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$JPINTR - Japan's Interest RateECONOMICS:JPINTR (Devember/2024) source: Bank of Japan -The Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained its key short-term interest rate at around 0.25% during its final meeting of the year, keeping it at the highest level since 2008 and meeting market consensus. The vote was split 8-1, with board member Naoki Tamura advocating for a 25bps increase. Thursday's decision came despite the US implementing its third rate cut this year, as the BoJ needed more time to assess certain risks, particularly US economic policies under Donald Trump and next year's wage outlook. The board adhered to its assessment that Japan's economy is on track for a moderate recovery, despite some areas of weakness. Private consumption continued its upward trend, aided by improving corporate profits and business spending. Meanwhile, exports and industrial output remained relatively flat. On inflation, the YoY figures have ranged between 2.0% and 2.5%, driven by higher service prices. Inflation expectations showed a moderate rise, and the underlying CPI is expected to add gradually.
ECONOMICS:JPINTR
by Mr_J__fx
Long #SKI - Spot Entry no LeverageAlright so almost all alts have taken a nosedive since Fed made announcement. Ski Mask Dog is one of the few that had a healthy retrace from going parabolic for weaks. Retrace was due to people taking profits that gone in weeks/months ago I bought on the last touch of the trendline for about a 0.16 average Has major potential to break out of bull flag soon as sell pressure has gone down and and Ski is at a major discount. Last few wicks reached deep to grab liquidity and we have had a strong bounce upwards after 3rd touch on bull flag Also Ski was on New york Times billboard today. Remember when WIF was on the Vegas sphere and the run that followed? Sometimes a strong community and advertising the right places beats the TA or even tokens that have way better tech and ability. Be careful as things are still uncertain and we could have another retrace but Ski is a still at the current price. DCA if you want but try not to wait for too much of a discount so you don't miss the move. No take profit target as I'm holding until it hits $1.00 which I would bet on happening as a minimum. *Look at the Market Cap of Ski compared to the other meme coins that have run into billion dollar market caps and you can see why SKI gives you a chance for multiples on you money instead of a 2-5x
UNISWAP3BASE:SKIWETH_0EA134.USDLong
by TommyGun24
$TSLA The High-Stakes Bet on Future Growth "Tesla isn’t just an automaker—it’s a revolution in motion, blending cutting-edge technology with daring ambition. But is its sky-high valuation the cost of innovation or the price of perfection?" Introduction Tesla has evolved from a disruptor in electric vehicles (EVs) to a global powerhouse in energy storage, solar technology, and autonomous driving. With 2023 revenue soaring to $96.77 billion, the company is growing at a breakneck pace. Yet, with a forward P/E of 139.93, Tesla's valuation raises questions for investors: does the potential outweigh the risks? This analysis unpacks Tesla’s financials, market position, growth opportunities, and the challenges it faces as an industry leader. Financial Analysis 1. Revenue Growth Tesla's $96.77 billion in revenue for 2023 reflects an impressive 18.8% YoY growth, driven by: EV Sales: Bolstered by demand for the Model Y and Model 3. Energy Storage: Expansion of Tesla’s Megapack installations for grid-scale projects. Services: Growth in software and maintenance revenues. 💡 "Tesla’s revenue streams are diversifying, but EVs remain its lifeblood." 2. Profitability Metrics Net Income: $15 billion, with margins improving despite supply chain challenges. Earnings Per Share (EPS): $3.65 TTM, highlighting strong profitability. Tesla's margin growth reflects its operational efficiency and cost control in an inflationary environment. 3. Cash Flow and Liquidity Operating Cash Flow: $14.48 billion—a clear indicator of Tesla’s ability to generate cash from core operations. Free Cash Flow: $3.61 billion after substantial capital expenditures of $10.87 billion. 💡 "Tesla’s aggressive spending on R&D and manufacturing is a double-edged sword: it fuels growth but pressures free cash flow." 4. Valuation Metrics Tesla’s valuation is a hot topic: Forward P/E: 139.93—a sign of immense market optimism but also a cautionary signal. EV/EBITDA: 104.16, reflecting high expectations for future profitability. PEG Ratio: 17.04, showing Tesla’s growth is priced at a premium. Market Position and Competitive Advantage Innovation at the Core Tesla leads in: Battery Technology: Pioneering advances in energy density and lifecycle. Autonomous Driving: A front-runner in full self-driving (FSD) software development. Infrastructure: The Supercharger network provides an unparalleled ecosystem for Tesla owners. Brand Strength Tesla has redefined itself as both a luxury and a technology brand, attracting loyal customers who value innovation and sustainability. Growth Opportunities 1. Autonomous Vehicles (AVs): Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology represents a massive untapped revenue stream. If approved and scaled, the potential for: Licensing the tech to other automakers. Launching a robotaxi network. 💡 "FSD is the golden goose, but regulatory hurdles keep it caged—for now." 2. Energy Storage and Solar: Tesla’s Megapack and Powerwall systems are gaining traction in commercial and residential markets, while its solar division capitalizes on the global push for renewable energy. 3. Global Expansion: Tesla continues to scale its manufacturing capacity with Gigafactories worldwide, including new projects in Mexico and expanded operations in China. Risks and Challenges 1. Regulatory and Legal Risks: Autonomous driving faces scrutiny due to safety concerns, while data privacy regulations could impact Tesla’s software-driven business model. 2. Intensifying Competition: The EV market is growing crowded, with legacy automakers like Ford and GM ramping up EV production alongside newcomers like Rivian and Lucid Motors. 3. Execution Risks: Elon Musk’s ambitious roadmap often hinges on breakthroughs that may not materialize on schedule, adding volatility to Tesla’s stock performance. 💡 "Innovation is Tesla’s greatest asset, but execution risks loom large when aiming for the stars." Stock Performance and Institutional Sentiment 1. Price Trends: Tesla’s stock remains volatile, reflecting high sensitivity to news, product announcements, and quarterly earnings. 2. Institutional Ownership: With hedge funds and mutual funds maintaining significant stakes, Tesla continues to attract institutional interest despite its lofty valuation. Conclusion Tesla remains a leader in innovation, with growth prospects spanning EVs, energy storage, and autonomous driving. However, its high valuation demands flawless execution and belief in its long-term vision. For investors, Tesla represents both an opportunity and a challenge—a high-risk, high-reward play that requires conviction in its disruptive potential. Recommendations: Long-Term Investors: Hold or accumulate on dips if you believe in Tesla’s future vision. Short-Term Traders: Consider rebalancing given the current valuation unless a clear catalyst for further upside emerges. 🚀 Want deeper insights into Tesla and other top stocks? Visit DCAlpha.net.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DCAChampion
Fundamental Analysis of EURUSDEURUSD is trading in the support area which has been respected by the price action since December of 2022. Similarly, there is an area of resistance. There are two scenarios based on the current geopolitical tension and the policy of the new administration in the US. Scenario#1: Risk OFF or USD depreciates against EUR and other currency pairs The new US administration will take charge in Jan 2025, and by that time if the Scenario#2 has not happened then the EUR should appreciate significantly against USD. The new administration is expected to be business friendly. The US economy should get an ultra-boost because of lower taxes and less regulations. There are many other promises made by the winning party like the increase in import tariffs on all the countries, deportation etc., maybe those promises were to attract voters. We don't know how it will play out, so we go with the simple approach that republican party means less regulation, hence business friendly. Scenario#2: Risk ON or USD appreciates against EUR and other currency pairs This scenario could play out even before the new administration takes charge!!! We don't know if it is a bluff from Russia or a real threat, but the fear of nuclear war can be frightening. Whenever there are major escalations in the world, the USD appreciates and that is as simple as 1 + 1 = 2, right?
by spranav
1
MSTZ to $32....early Christmas giftLet's start 2025 with a bang! This is my last gift for the year. Microstrategy will be tanking with BTC drop and the rate of decrease has noticeably been steep and purposeful. Thankfully, MSTZ is the superstar that will save the day (2x inverse). The gravity is strong with this one, until consolidation around $32. We're looking at 30%ish upside on this puppy. It will go fast so lock and loaded tomorrow and prob close out in a few hours. As always, do your due diligence and best of luck!
CBOE:MSTZLong
by antonini2002
DRI Darden Restaurants : A Deep Dive into Its Recent Performance "In a world of shifting tastes and tighter wallets, Darden Restaurants serves up a recipe for resilience and growth." Introduction Darden Restaurants Inc. ( NYSE:DRI ) has stirred investor interest with its strong premarket performance, showcasing its relevance in a turbulent restaurant sector. As a major operator of beloved brands like Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse, Darden’s recent financial results offer valuable insights into the state of full-service dining and its future prospects. Here’s a breakdown of Darden’s latest performance and what it means for investors. Recent Financial Performance Q2 FY25 Earnings: Darden exceeded expectations with an adjusted EPS of $2.03, just edging out the consensus estimate of $2.02. Revenue hit $2.89 billion, boosted by: 2.4% blended same-restaurant sales growth. The addition of 103 restaurants from the Chuy’s acquisition. Net Income and Sales: Net Income: $215.7 million for the quarter, showcasing its profitability despite inflationary headwinds. Sales Growth: Up 6.0% YoY, reflecting both organic and acquisition-driven expansion. 💡 "In an industry battered by inflation and changing habits, 6% growth isn’t just survival—it’s strength." Same-Store Sales Growth Darden’s same-store sales increased by 2.4%, signaling organic growth. Olive Garden: A steady performer. LongHorn Steakhouse: The star player, leading growth for several quarters. However, performance wasn’t uniform. Fine dining and other segments saw declines, highlighting the importance of diversification within Darden’s portfolio. Operational Efficiency and Strategic Moves Efficiency Measures: Darden is leveraging technology and refining menus to manage costs effectively, sustaining margins amid inflation. Strategic Acquisitions: The Chuy’s acquisition expands Darden’s reach and offerings, laying groundwork for continued revenue and EPS growth. Shareholder Returns: Darden declared a quarterly dividend of $1.40/share, underscoring its strong cash flow and commitment to rewarding investors. Market Sentiment and Stock Performance Stock Reaction: Following the Q2 earnings report, NYSE:DRI jumped 9% in premarket trading to $175.00, reflecting investor optimism. Analyst Views: Analysts are cautiously optimistic, with upward price target revisions. The EPS beat and a strong FY25 outlook have bolstered confidence in Darden’s strategy. Future Outlook Guidance: For FY25, Darden projects: Total Sales: $12.1 billion. Adjusted EPS: $9.40–$9.60 (above consensus). These figures reflect expectations of operational improvements and successful integration of new restaurants. Challenges Ahead: Rising labor costs. Food price volatility. Consumer spending patterns. 💡 "For Darden, the challenge isn’t just cooking up growth—it’s serving it sustainably." Opportunities: Darden is embracing digital transformation, with initiatives like: A partnership with Uber for Olive Garden delivery services. Enhanced digital sales channels targeting new customer segments. Conclusion Darden Restaurants continues to showcase its resilience and strategic foresight in navigating a challenging industry. With strong Q2 performance, a diversified brand portfolio, and promising acquisitions like Chuy’s, Darden is poised for continued growth. However, as always, investors should monitor macroeconomic conditions and Darden’s ability to manage operational costs. For those seeking opportunities in the restaurant sector’s recovery, NYSE:DRI is a stock worth watching. 🚀 Want to stay ahead in market insights? Join DCAlpha.net for exclusive strategies and tools.
NYSE:DRILong
by DCAChampion
Get Ready for More Gain: NOTCOIN Hits 0.0097 Fast!Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for NOTCOIN, 📚💡 NOTCOIN has recently broken through its downward trend and daily resistance levels, signaling a potential market shift. This breakout from its triangle pattern, combined with a surge in trading volume, suggests a growing bullish momentum. I anticipate further upward movement, targeting higher price levels as shown on the chart. 📚🎇 While a 47% short-term gain is expected, minor pullbacks or consolidation phases are possible, which are normal market behaviors during trend development. These fluctuations should be seen as part of the overall positive trend. 📚💡 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 NOTCOIN has broken its downward trend and resistance levels, signaling potential bullish momentum with a 47% short-term gain. While upward movement is expected, minor pullbacks or consolidation phases may occur as part of the trend development. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
1
12/2/24 - $nu - Bot $12, load closer to $10 if/when (LONG)12/2/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:NU Bot $12, load closer to $10 if/when - is one of the three stonks in latam that i've commented in the past is worth keeping a v close eye on b/c of the growth rates and tremendous product. the others are NASDAQ:MELI and NASDAQ:DLO (the latter of which worked out nicely and we made a good exit earlier this year from the lows, but it took a minute). - back to Nubank: 1/ brazil in earlier innings of economic funeral, but what's new this happens every so often and those battle tested growers tend to come out of these events eating massive share, Nu will be one of these 2/ timing is always the tricky thing. you want to take calculated risk, but unlike the US stonks, you have clear geo/ FX and therefore adverse flows risk to consider. invest in emerging mkts and you need to have a tolerance/ knowledge of currency risk, minimally. i'm not going to downplay that here, but only to flag this needs to be something you consider if/when considering a stake in $nu. the counter point is they're growing bananas outside of Brazil as well and likely take over pretty much over every other latam country similar to Meli. IMO, there's no competition for the growth engine they can export into latam. 3/ let's math and use two approaches... PE and ROE -> book value a1. PE: let's imagine the 62c next year (in USD) is 50c - only a 15% growth. the reason you'd look at this is b/c most investors r going to be focused here, so you stand the chance of risk-evaluating what others see and making a call (similar to support and resistance vs. some esoteric TA you've developed). in this vein, what would you pay for a 15% EPS grower (ignoring all other factors of what this biz is and only considering it's a bank in Latam)? maybe 10-12x? def sub 1x PEG. b/c it's brazil, brazil is currently fukt. so you put a "depressed multiple" on a depressed EPS. at call it 50c and 10x - you're at $5 bucks. sick downside from the $12 it closed at today. so that's probably *worst* case, from today's POV. let's call that -60%. diddy slip and slide party pain. a.2: PE: but this isn't some "new kid on the block". a lot of Nu investors are smart int'l types that are going to look beyond trough '25, even today, including papi warren B. so if we assume we pick up from 15% toward 20% the following year and go 50c -> 60c, you'd probably start to consider at that point at least a PEG of 1x given growth would extend to the following yrs as well. at 20x on 60c you're at $12 for year-end '26. and let's give it a 15% discount (Ke brazil finger in air - but likely in the ballpark) and you get to $10 and change for the 12M view e.g. YE25, which is the bogey we're all looking at today given we're already done w/ '24. so that's 20% downside. combining a.1 and a.2 above... i'd likely weight a.2 as being perhaps a 70% and a.1 as 30% given the logic described, investor base and this isn't some going concern issue. also i'm being mega conservative w/ my EPS estimates as well. if you haven't noticed, they keep ripping the cover off the ball on EPS. so combined that's -60%*30% + -20%*70% = 33% downside more or less or a $8 stonk. b: ROE thinking. 25% ROEs (probably expanding) and growing book at probably ~$1/shr for the next 2 yrs combined gets you to a book of $5. when you consider this likely continues to grow nearly 15-20% a year... and we could be conservative and say it's 10% a year (cut it more than in half)... at a 15% Ke you get: Price = BookVal * (ROE - g)/(Ke - g) then discount 2 yrs by 15%. this is Price = $5 * (25 - 10)/(15 - 10)/1.15/1.15 = $11+ today. tying this all together... fair value is probably between 10 and 11 today. so buying $12 is defn being a bit opportunistic and playing a reversion move on BRL related assets. i'd not be surprised to see this thing move back toward $13/14 into year end, and equally i'd not be surprised to see it test the big green dilly from Aug 5 this year that ripped thru $10. So, it's not an obvious trade for those who don't know this asset or haven't been following that closely. perhaps easier to wait for better entry even if that means some chop here/ there and you get a bit of fomo if first move is up. The way i'm personally playing it are $10 and $11 strike 2027 leaps. allows me to amp my exposure without necking out too hard on a notional cash-in basis. offers about 3-1 leverage, so a 1.5-2% options position gets me a gross effective of about 5-6%. that's comfy for now. i'd like to get this position closer to 10-15% if/when we hit the $10s area or below (and it will be one to manage b/c *WHY* we go there will matter a lot - not just a rote plan, these things always evolve and perhaps there are other better deals out there too esp in the US or my favs NASDAQ:NXT , NYSE:TSM , NASDAQ:META ). anyway. wanted to flag. should be on your radar. this is a quality LT compounder that's gotten cheap b/c of geography, but is a neo-bank virus to the existing dino's in latam. LMK what u think or esp if u see it differently. have a good week my friends V
NYSE:NULong
by VROCKSTAR
$AMD BuyThe chart of NASDAQ:AMD , combined with its latest fundamental research, provides a detailed overview of the stock’s current position and outlook. Technical Analysis: NASDAQ:AMD is currently in a corrective phase, testing critical support levels. The price is approaching significant support around **$120**, corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, with deeper support near **$92**, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement and a long-term moving average. These levels are historically strong areas where buyers could re-enter the market. Momentum indicators such as **RSI** and **Stochastic Oscillator** are showing oversold conditions, signaling a potential reversal upward. The **MACD** remains bearish but hints at a possible shift in momentum. The long-term trend remains upward, with the current price action indicating the stock is near a potential turning point. Fundamental Analysis: Recent financial performance highlights NASDAQ:AMD 's strength. In Q3 2024, revenue grew by **17.82% year-over-year**, driven by strong demand across its product lines. Net income increased by **157.86%**, reflecting improved profitability and operational efficiency. Despite these positives, NASDAQ:AMD faces challenges. It is trailing Nvidia in the AI GPU market, limiting its ability to capture a significant share of this high-growth sector. Additionally, a potential slowdown in the PC market could pressure revenue growth. However, NASDAQ:AMD continues to benefit from Intel’s struggles, while growth opportunities in the data center and custom chip markets remain strong. Synthesis: The current correction in NASDAQ:AMD 's price reflects market concerns over its competitive position in the AI sector and potential softness in PC demand. However, the company’s robust financial performance and opportunities in high-growth areas like data centers suggest that this correction may be temporary. Key support levels at **$120 and $92** are critical to monitor for potential long-term entry points. Conclusion: While NASDAQ:AMD faces near-term challenges, its strong financials, market positioning, and growth potential in high-performance computing present a positive long-term outlook. If the stock holds the current support levels, it could regain momentum, with significant upside potential in the coming years.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by FairValueBuffet