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CHF is the new gold? Safe-haven flows keep pressure on USDCHFBank of America argues that the Swiss franc has reasserted itself as the true safe-haven hedge. BofA says the trend of the CHF being used more like gold, and a hedge against problems like rising US debt, could continue. Unlike the yen, which has lost much of its appeal as a pure haven. Technically, recent candles might indicate buyers are attempting to build a base, but there’s no decisive reversal yet. Should price fail to reclaim the 0.8030–0.8050 region soon, the broader bearish structure could resume - possibly testing fresh lows. Meanwhile, rallies in USD/CHF may face pressure as the franc’s macro backdrop continues to attract inflows.
by BlackBull_Markets
7/2/25 - $btcs - Given sbet and bmnr... this?7/2/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:BTCS Given sbet and bmnr... this? - 14,600 eth = 35 mm usd? and mkt cap is like 50... so that's another 1.5 mnav - it's even smaller, no options... and we see what low float stuff does lately - add to this the "comps" (quotes b/c this one is substantially smaller) like sbet and bmnr have run (and continue to run today) - nevermind this has an actual software biz associated w it (and hold your nose if analyst recommendation for growth are adequate for revenue)... but there's something else here - and their metamask "partnership" whatever that means. i think this one could run substantially if sbet and bmnr keep up the whacky action (fortunately we're doing well on sbet at the moment) V
NASDAQ:BTCSLong
by VROCKSTAR
4
XAU/USD Analysis – Expecting Fibonacci Retracement to 0.618 I’m currently anticipating a short-term retracement in XAU/USD towards the 0.618 Fibonacci level around 3323, followed by a continuation of the bearish move targeting a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3272. 📌 Technical Confluence: The market has recently shown a strong bearish impulse, and the current price action appears to be forming a corrective retracement. The 0.618 retracement level aligns with a key resistance area around 3323, increasing the probability of a bearish reaction from this zone. There’s a visible FVG left unfilled near 3272, which may act as a price magnet. I’m also watching for a liquidity sweep above local highs, followed by bearish confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., 5min) to trigger a short entry. 📉 Trade Idea: Looking for a sell entry near 3323 after confirmation (liquidity grab, bearish structure shift, etc.) Target: 3272 FVG zone Stop Loss: Just above recent highs or liquidity zone, depending on intraday structure
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by The_Gold_Syndicate
$TAN $65 STRIKE CALLS EXPIRING JAN 15, 2027 (17 MONTHS AWAY)WILL THIS PRINT??? AMERICA WILL RUN INTO A POWER CRISIS 2025-2035 The U.S. power grid is nearing a breaking point as AI, robotics, and data centers drive unprecedented electricity demand. By 2030, data centers could consume 9% of U.S. power, doubling from 2023, with AI queries alone using 10x the energy of a Google search. Robotics and manufacturing add further strain. The grid, however, is unprepared—aging infrastructure, permitting delays, and labor shortages hinder upgrades. Virginia and Texas already face shortages, with grid connection wait times up to 7 years. Renewables can’t scale fast enough without $720B in grid investments. Tech giants’ carbon-neutral goals may falter, relying on fossil fuels. Without urgent action—faster permitting, workforce growth, and innovations like microgrids—power shortages could cripple AI progress and the digital economy. They can drill baby drill, but the private sector has solar. Tesla should be in this ETF. The US gov't may even print more billions and pump into this sector. ITS BLOODY OBVIOUS.
AMEX:TANLong
by zainnaqvi23
A Return to 1:1?As spending heats up considerably with the 5 Trillion USD bill, in my opinion it looks like CAD is set to skyrocket vs the USD once again. The main driving factors include greater industrialization (worlds biggest nuclear plant, more gold/platinum production than the USA, bigger oil reserves than USA), comparatively less spending, less tariffs, expanding to other countries via exports, and the most untapped resources/land with lowest population of any developed nation in the world. Personally, for the next 10 years I'll be heavily focusing on Canadian companies if the CAD breaks the trend line
Long
by PoorMemory
1
ETH/USDT 1W Chart📊 Trend structure (Price Action) Downtrend (historical): A series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) — a classic downtrend. Confirmed by the orange downtrend line. A change in structure — a possible beginning of an uptrend: A Higher Low (HL) has recently been formed after a Lower Low (LL). Suggests a possible end to the downtrend and an attempt to break out upwards. Currently: The price is testing the upper downtrend line. A breakout above the orange line may confirm a trend change. 🟢 Key Resistance Levels (Green Lines): Level Meaning 3.058 USDT Potential target after a breakout from consolidation 2.767 USDT Nearest strong resistance - currently being tested 3.427 USDT Deep resistance level from the previous high (HH) 🔴 Key Support Levels (Red Lines): Level Meaning 2.234 USDT Nearest support - previous breakout 1.883 USDT Early 2023 support 1.507 USDT Local bottom 1.204 USDT Historical support - LL extreme 📉 Stochastic RSI (Momentum Indicator): Currently in the overbought zone. This may suggest a short-term correction before an actual breakout. However, in a strong uptrend, the indicator may "hang out" in the overbought zone for a long time. 📈 Potential scenario: If the breakout above 2.767 and the orange trendline holds: A possible move to 3.058 USDT as the first target. Extended target: 3.427 USDT (HH). If the breakout fails: Correction to 2.234 USDT or lower. There is a risk of returning to a downtrend. ✅ Bullish signals: Higher Low (HL) formation after Lower Low (LL). Testing the upper downtrend line with an attempt to breakout. Volume is increasing (based on candles). ⚠️ Bearish threats: Stochastic RSI in the overbought zone. Breakout not confirmed by 100% (needs a weekly closing candle above 2.767). Resistance at 3,058 could halt the move. 📌 Conclusion: Ethereum (ETH) could be on the cusp of a new uptrend, but a breakout above 2,767 USDT is needed for confirmation. If it does, a move to 3,058 and then 3,427 is possible. However, the current overbought level on the Stochastic RSI could signal a short-term correction before the trend gains strength.
by cryptodailyuk
GBP/JPY: Total Confluence Targeting 202.05 BreakoutThis is a high-conviction trade setup based on a powerful confluence of fundamental drivers and multi-timeframe technical alignment. We are anticipating a bullish breakout in GBP/JPY, catalyzed by the upcoming UK GDP data release. The price action has formed a classic "coiled spring" pattern, indicating a significant buildup of energy before a potential move higher. The analysis is based on pure price action, structure, and macroeconomics. The chart is kept intentionally clean to highlight the strength of the setup itself. The Fundamental Why 📰 Two core data-driven factors underpin this trade: 1️⃣ Macro Policy Divergence: The primary long-term driver is the stark monetary policy difference between a relatively hawkish Bank of England (BoE), which is still fighting inflation, and an ultra-dovish Bank of Japan (BoJ). This fundamental imbalance creates a natural tailwind for GBP/JPY. 2️⃣ Positive Leading Indicators: Recent economic data from the UK has shown surprising strength. Both the Services and Manufacturing PMIs for June beat expectations, suggesting underlying resilience in the economy. This points to a higher probability of an upside surprise in Friday's GDP figures, which would be the direct catalyst for a breakout. The Technical Picture 📊 Our confidence comes from a rare "Total Confluence," where every timeframe tells the same bullish story. The Monthly Chart (Strategic View): Shows a powerful, multi-year uptrend that has decisively broken the critical 8-year resistance from the 2015 highs. The macro trend is undeniably bullish. The Weekly Chart (The Confirmation): Confirms the uptrend is resuming now after breaking out of a year-long bullish continuation pattern. The "resting" phase appears to be over. The 4-Hour Chart (The Setup): This is the "coiled spring." Price is consolidating in a very tight range right underneath the key breakout level of 199.45. This shows a lack of sellers and a buildup of buying pressure. Fibonacci Confluence: Our take profit target is not random. It aligns perfectly with the 1.272 Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension, giving us objective, mathematical confirmation for the target at 202.05. The Trade Plan ✅ This is a "set and forget" breakout strategy. The order should be placed as a Buy Stop to capture the momentum as it breaks higher. 📉 Asset: GBP/JPY 👉 Entry (Buy Stop): 199.85 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 198.75 🎯 Take Profit: 202.05 🧠 Risk/Reward: 1:2 This analysis is for educational purposes. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately. Good luck.
Long
by MaxellAguiran
Trade Idea: MARA (Marathon Digital) - High-Probability Breakout📈 Ticker: MARA (Nasdaq) 💰 Entry: $17.28 (pullback to support) 🛑 Stop Loss: $14.03 (below swing low) 🎯 Take Profit: $24.05 (next resistance + Fib extension) 🔢 Risk/Reward Ratio: 3:1 🔍 Technical Setup ✅ Trend: Strong daily uptrend (higher highs & higher lows) ✅ Support/Resistance: Entry: $17.28 (near 20-day EMA & previous breakout zone) TP: $24.05 (1.618 Fib extension + prior resistance) ✅ RSI (14): ~60 (neutral, room for upside) ✅ Volume: Rising on up-moves, confirming bullish momentum ✅ MACD: Bullish crossover on daily chart 🎯 Why This Trade? 1️⃣ Strong Uptrend: MARA is in a clear bullish phase with institutional interest. 2️⃣ Optimal Entry: Pullback to $17.28 offers low-risk entry near dynamic support (EMA 20). 3️⃣ High Reward Potential: TP at $24.05 (39% upside) with tight risk (SL at -18.8%). 4️⃣ Bitcoin Correlation: MARA often follows BTC’s momentum (bullish BTC = bullish MARA). ⚠️ Risk Management Stop Loss: Hard stop at $14.03 (below recent swing low). Position Size: Risk only 1-2% of capital (adjust shares accordingly). Trailing Stop: Move SL to breakeven if MARA hits $20.00. 📅 Timeframe & Strategy ⏳ Holding Period: 2-6 weeks (swing to position trade) 📊 Ideal Scenario: Holds $17.28 support and pushes toward $20, then $24.05. Volume expansion on breakout = confirmation. ❌ Invalidation Criteria Close below $14.03 = exit (break of structure). Loss of 20-day EMA + declining volume = caution. 📌 Final Thoughts MARA offers a high-reward swing trade with a 3:1 R/R ratio. The setup aligns with: Bitcoin’s bullish sentiment (if BTC holds $60K). Strong technicals (EMA support, RSI not overbought). 🔥 Like & Follow if you agree! Would you enter this trade? Comment below! 👇 #MARA #Bitcoin #Stocks #Trading #Crypto #Breakout #SwingTrading (Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.)
NASDAQ:MARALong
by marjaku
XAUUSD NY SESSION FLOW – JULY 8→ 9 , 2025"Structure doesn’t lie. Price answered exactly where we expected it to." Hey traders 👋 Let’s set the record straight after today’s precision bounce. We saw textbook price action across all sessions — Asia triggered the short from our 3344–3351 HTF supply, and both London and New York followed through with no hesitation, driving price down to 3287. But here’s the key point: 🧨 3287 was just 10 pips above our clean 3286–3280 buy zone. No mitigation. Just a front-run. That’s what real liquidity does — grabs what it needs before the crowd gets in. Our zone is still valid… just untouched. 🔍 HTF BIAS & STRUCTURE UPDATE 📆 Daily Bias: Structure is still bearish — lower highs, CHoCH, and soft RSI. EMAs 5/21 are flat. No power for bulls unless 3351 breaks. ⏰ H4 Bias: New lower high confirmed after rejection from our 3344–3351 zone. Trend is still bearish unless we reclaim 3330+ with conviction. Liquidity is driving movement, not news. 🕐 H1 Flow: Bounce from 3287 = engineered reaction before real demand Price now hovering above 3306, forming mid-structure No trade in the middle. Let’s work the edges. 🎯 TODAY’S SNIPER ZONES 🔻 SELL ZONES 1. 3325–3330 Nearest short trap. OB + inefficiency + H1 rejection base. If price returns, watch M15/M30 for CHoCH or BOS → entry. 2. 3344–3351 Our major HTF supply. Asia already reacted from top half. If revisited, this zone remains the high-probability rejection zone. 3. 3380–3394 Premium OB + imbalance pocket. Untouched zone far above — if tapped late in the week, watch for liquidity sweep → clean reversal potential. 🟢 BUY ZONES 1. 3297–3300 NY session bounce zone. Price tapped 3297 → pushed to 3306. Still live for intraday reentry if price retests and confirms with BOS. 2. 3286–3280 Our true demand base. Price front-ran it by 10 pips — didn’t mitigate. Still valid, still reactive. Don’t delete this zone. 3. 3263–3255 Last line of support. Deep zone — only comes into play if 3280 fails with conviction. ✅ EXECUTION REMINDERS Price is hovering mid-range → don’t force entries Only act if structure reacts at the edges (3325 or 3286) 3380–3394 may be a late-week trap if bulls get overconfident 📌 If this breakdown helped, hit 🚀 and drop a comment: 👉 Are you stalking 3325… or waiting for 3286 to finally wake up? Let structure talk. You just execute. GoldFxMinds 💭🔥 📢 Disclosure: This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee. ⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Trade Idea: INBX (Inhibrx) - Breakout Play 📈 Ticker: INBX (Nasdaq) 💰 Entry: $19.80 (breakout zone) 🛑 Stop Loss: $14.22 (below key support) 🎯 Take Profit: $39.59 (measured move + Fib extension) 🔢 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.8:1 🔍 Technical Setup ✅ Trend: Strong daily uptrend (higher highs & higher lows). ✅ Breakout Level: $19.80 (previous resistance, now support). ✅ RSI (14): Neutral (~60), no overbought signal. ✅ Volume: Increasing on upward moves (bullish confirmation). ✅ MACD: Bullish crossover in daily timeframe. 🎯 Why This Trade? 1️⃣ Breakout Confirmation: Price has cleared resistance at $19.80, signaling potential continuation. 2️⃣ Strong Upside Target: $39.59 aligns with: 1.618 Fibonacci extension from recent swing. Measured move from consolidation range. 3️⃣ Low-Risk Entry: Tight stop below $14.22 (swing low + psychological level). ⚠️ Risk Management Stop Loss: $14.22 (28% below entry). Position Size: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade. Trailing Stop: Consider moving SL to breakeven if price reaches $25.00. 📅 Timeframe & Strategy ⏳ Holding Period: 3-6 months (position trading). 📊 Ideal Scenario: INBX holds above $19.80 and continues uptrend. Volume supports bullish momentum. ❌ Invalidation Criteria If price closes below $14.22, exit trade (failed breakout). Watch for bearish RSI divergence or breakdown below $19.80. 📌 Final Thoughts INBX shows strong technicals for a long-term breakout play. The 2.8:1 reward/risk ratio makes this an attractive swing trade. 🔥 Like & Follow if you found this useful! Would you take this trade? Comment below! 👇 #INBX #Breakout #Stocks #Trading #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #PositionTrading (Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own research before trading.)
NASDAQ:INBXLong
by marjaku
REAX breaking outREAX is a real estage brokerage company that has been in this bullish decending wedge for about a year now. It just broke out yesterday and had a push higher today, confirming the breakout. A measured move of the bull flag puts price targets on this stock around $10 a share, roughly double its current share price. It also sports a Zack's #1 buy rank and is expected to report positive earnings for the first time in company history, when it reports Q2 earnings on August 6th. If this indeed happens, the stock will push much higher, get in early before that happens.
NASDAQ:REAXLong
by bradc1984
Copper Cup & Handle Formation - Confirmed by Half-Yearly CloseIn a recent interview, Kevin Warsh, a former Member of Board of Governors Federal Reserve said: “External shocks like wars, pandemics, and supply chain disruptions may cause a spike in prices, that's not inflation. That's more like the weather. Inflation's more like the climate. Weather refers to the day-to-day state of the atmosphere. A storm may come, but it will eventually pass. Climate is the long-term average of weather patterns, typically measured over 30 years or more. If the underlying causes of climate change are not addressed, they are likely to affect future weather — for example, storms may become more unpredictable, occur more frequently, and intensify when they happen. Going back to the financial markets. Have we address the underlying causes of inflation climate today? If not, then with every war or rumors of war or tariff or any unwelcome surprises. They are likely to become even more volatile than before, some more bullish and the others more bearish. What is the real cause of inflation climate the world is facing? Debt. At every pit stop, I will keep checking if there’s any chance that U.S. debt might start trending downward. If it does, my existing strategies would have to change. But for now, I’m maintaining these strategies. Here are some examples: With fears of inflation still in sight, stocks have become more volatile. Since inflation hit a high of 9% in 2022, we’ve seen stock market swings widen. With fears of inflation, bonds are under pressure. The drop in U.S. bonds wasn't triggered by the “Liberation Day” tariff announced on 2nd April alone. In fact, bonds peaked in 2020 and broke below their main uptrend support when inflation hit 9%. With fears of inflation are also driving commodities higher — from “weather” to “weather,” so to speak. I’ve been covering gold, bitcoin, silver, and soybean oil. Today, copper looks interesting to me. Let’s dive into the technical. I find the half-year chart particularly interesting. On this half yearly chart. We can see as the close on 30th June, copper settled firmly, closed above its $4.44 resistance that has been tested for years. This study indicates that copper could be at the beginning of an uptrend. I will be looking out for buying-on-dips opportunities whenever they arise. What Began Well, Grew Risky — Yet Opportunity Awaits. Besides debt, there are two other key elements that may trigger fears of inflation from time to time. What do you think they are? I would like to hear your thoughts on this. Video version: Mirco Copper Futures Ticker: MHG Minimum fluctuation: 0.0005 per pound = $1.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
COMEX:HG1!Long
by konhow
1
Goldman Says $4K – My Chart Says Sell💥📉 Gold Analysis – Divergences, Resistance, and a Short Bias 🪙⚠️ Hey Traders, As promised in the latest video, here's the official chart update for Gold – and the message is clear: I'm short. 📊 What I See on the Chart We're now well below the 3,446 resistance, with early signs of weakness showing up across multiple timeframes. I’ve laid out both the 2-Day and 4H charts in this post, and here’s what I’m tracking: ⚠️ Technical Warning Signs: 🔻 2D chart: Six bearish divergences – RSI, Stochastic, CCI, OBV, MFI, and MACD all flashing red 📉 1D chart: Same thing — six divergences, telling me momentum is fading ⏳ 4H chart: Price action breaking trendlines, and support at 3,237 looks shaky 🚨 If that breaks, my main support zone is at $3,000 – and that’s where I believe we’re heading. This is not just a pullback. This is the kind of confluence you can’t ignore if you trade technically. 🔁 Sentiment Shift Back in December '22 and again earlier this year, I was long Gold – and it was the right call. But now? 📌 This chart has gone from momentum to exhaustion. 📌 I see less demand, softer momentum, and strong bearish divergence stacking across every major timeframe I watch. 🎯 Trade View ✅ I’m short Gold. 🎯 Targeting the $3,000–3,050 zone. 📉 Invalidated if we reclaim and close above $3,446 with strength. It’s that simple. Nothing personal – just structure, divergence, and flow. 🧠 The Chart vs. The Narrative Recently, I saw a note from Goldman Sachs forecasting $4,000 Gold. Maybe they’re right. But I’ll be honest with you – I don’t buy the media hype. I'm not here for the headlines. I'm a chart guy. Always have been. Always will be. The chart is the map to the treasure – and that’s the only thing I follow. 🧠 I cover this and the broader macro setup (Dollar, BTC, DAX, Tech, BTC.D, and more) in the full 20-min video just dropped. If you haven’t watched it yet, go catch up — it explains the logic and why this isn’t just a gold story. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
COMEX:GC1!Short
by FX_Professor
6
Momentum Watch: GOOG Entry ZoneNASDAQ:GOOG – Trend Continuation Setup The price has been trending within a clean ascending channel since April 2025. After a pullback toward the midline and Bollinger basis, price is showing potential support. Setup: • Entry: $175 (conceptual) • Stop: $165.5 (below channel) • Target: $208 (upper boundary) • Risk/Reward: 3.51 Stochastic is retracing but remains above key support zone. As long as the channel holds, expecting continuation toward $200–208 by late September. ⚠️ Market remains under pressure following July 9th events, which could increase short-term volatility across tech.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by ALVO13_official
Australian dollar stabilizes after RBA's surpriseThe Australian dollar is in positive territory after a three-day skid, declining 1.5%. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6532, up 0.50% on the day. The Australian dollar rose as much as 0.95% earlier before retreating. The Reserve Bank of Australia blindslided the markets on Tuesday as the central bank held the cash rate at 3.85%. The markets had priced in a quarter-point cut at 96%, but the RBA had the last laugh. For the first time, the RBA published the vote tally, which was 6-3 in favor of maintaining the rate. The rate statement was cautious, as members said "there are uncertainties about the outlook for domestic economic activity and inflation". Governor Bullock tried to calm the markets, saying that the decision was about "timing rather than direction" and that the Bank would "wait a few weeks" to confirm that inflation was on track to ease and remain sustainably around 2.5%. Bullock said that "we don't want to end up having to fight inflation again". Inflation is moving in the right direction but the RBA wants to see the second-quarter inflation report on July 30, ahead of the rate decision on Aug. 12. Headline CPI in May eased to 2.1% y/y from 2.4% in April. The core rate dropped to 2.8% from 2.4% in April, the lowest rate since early 2022. The RBA will be hoping that waiting till August will provide some clarity with regard to US tariff policy. President Trump has pledged new tariffs against various countries but this move is not expected to have much impact on Australia's economy. AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6513. Above, there is resistance at 0.6541 There is support at 0.6463 and 0.6435
by OANDA
Dollar Index Analysis – Trump, Hegemony & a Dangerous Disconnect🇺🇸💣 Dollar Index Analysis – Trump, Hegemony & a Dangerous Disconnect 📉⚠️ Hey Traders, FXPROFESSOR here with a deep-dive update on the Dollar Index (DXY) – and this one hits both technicals and macro geopolitics. 🧠 Macro Context: For decades, the U.S. strategically outsourced much of its basic manufacturing capacity to China—everything from screws, cables, plastics, and circuit boards. This freed America to focus on high-margin sectors like technology, finance, and defense innovation. But this efficiency came at a cost: dependency. You can't be the military and economic hegemon of the world if you don’t manufacture your own basic components. That’s the foundation of hard power—and Trump understands this well. 🔁 Now Trump is trying to reverse that. He knows America can’t win long-term without reclaiming production and export competitiveness – and a strong dollar kills that dream. So what’s the play? ✅ Trump brings the volatility ✅ Fed stays cautious ✅ Dollar weakens... but without actual rate cuts That’s the scary part 👇 📉 💵 Dollar Strength vs. Treasury Stress This is also why the U.S. Treasury market is under stress. If the U.S. wants to rebuild domestic production, reduce trade deficits, and support massive fiscal spending, it needs to weaken the dollar and attract internal capital—not depend on foreign buyers of debt. A strong dollar = trade imbalance, hollowed industry, and rising debt service costs. A normalized dollar = controlled exports, internal manufacturing, and a potential realignment of global capital flows. 📉 The Chart: "The Year of the Normalized Dollar" 🟡 This is a continuation of the same chart I published over a year ago. Key Rejection Zone: 100.965 (former support, now resistance) Current Trajectory: Approaching my long-held target at 94.677 Macro Message: The dollar is dropping without a Fed pivot Worrying Signal: If we hit major support while the Fed stays tight... the entire market may need to reprice expectations. That could shake equities and crypto alike. 🧊 This is not a clean-cut dollar short anymore . It’s already priced in, and that’s why I’m spooked. 🧭 What I’m Watching: Will Trump’s trade war accelerate this move? Will Powell finally cut in September—or double down? Will the support at 94.5 hold, or break and open a much larger macro shift? This chart is no longer just technical. It’s political. It’s strategic. It’s a chessboard for hegemony. 🎥 FULL 20-min video breakdown is now live! I cover DXY, Bitcoin, tech stocks, gold, silver, DAX, BTC.D and much more Watch it if you want the full map of what I’m thinking this week. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TVC:DXY
by FX_Professor
2
Australian dollar stabilizes after RBA's surprise The Australian dollar is in positive territory after a three-day skid, declining 1.5%. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6532, up 0.50% on the day. The Australian dollar rose as much as 0.95% earlier before retreating. The Reserve Bank of Australia blindslided the markets on Tuesday as the central bank held the cash rate at 3.85%. The markets had priced in a quarter-point cut at 96%, but the RBA had the last laugh. For the first time, the RBA published the vote tally, which was 6-3 in favor of maintaining the rate. The rate statement was cautious, as members said "there are uncertainties about the outlook for domestic economic activity and inflation". Governor Bullock tried to calm the markets, saying that the decision was about "timing rather than direction" and that the Bank would "wait a few weeks" to confirm that inflation was on track to ease and remain sustainably around 2.5%. Bullock said that "we don't want to end up having to fight inflation again". Inflation is moving in the right direction but the RBA wants to see the second-quarter inflation report on July 30, ahead of the rate decision on Aug. 12. Headline CPI in May eased to 2.1% y/y from 2.4% in April. The core rate dropped to 2.8% from 2.4% in April, the lowest rate since early 2022. The RBA will be hoping that waiting till August will provide some clarity with regard to US tariff policy. President Trump has pledged new tariffs against various countries but this move is not expected to have much impact on Australia's economy. AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6513. Above, there is resistance at 0.6541 There is support at 0.6463 and 0.6435
by OANDA
Macro Moves & Market Reversals: BTC-Metals-Tech-Dollar & more! 🤖📊 Macro Moves & Market Reversals: Bitcoin, Metals, Tech, Dollar & DAX Breakdown 🔥💹 Hey beautiful people, FXPROFESSOR here with a massive market update to kick off the week. This one’s for my serious traders—those of you ready to read the market like a pro 📚💡 We’re in a critical transition. The Trump–Powell standoff, rate cut games, tariff escalations, and a surprising shift in risk appetite across bonds, metals, and equities are reshaping the entire trading landscape. Let’s get into the full breakdown 👇 🧠 MACRO FIRST – THE FUNDAMENTAL PULSE 🟢 Interest Rates: The Fed is keeping rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, citing strong jobs data. 147K jobs added, unemployment at 4.1%. The market wanted bad news for rate cuts... didn’t get it. 🗓 September remains the most likely cut, but the Fed isn’t rushing. Strong labor = slow policy change. ⚠️ Tariffs Heating Up: Trump just slapped 25–40% tariffs on imports from Japan, Korea, and others – effective August 1. ➡️ If no political resolution by July 9, prepare for a volatility wave. Tariffs = supply chain risks + cost-push inflation. 💣 Geopolitics: Middle East tensions remain background noise, but no major disruptions for now. Still, oil remains sensitive. 📈 Risk Appetite (Bonds): U.S. Treasuries still lagging, but junk bonds and quality credit (LQD) have pumped. That’s a big clue: risk appetite is returning, even without a Fed pivot. 📉 DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) – "THE YEAR OF THE NORMALIZED DOLLAR" We’ve followed this dollar short all year. 🔻 From rejection at 100.965, DXY dropped straight into our long-term 94–95 target zone. 📌 Now what? This level is MAJOR. A bounce could trap dollar bears. 🧭 No new short from me unless we re-tag 100+. The juice is squeezed. Key takeaway: The dollar already priced in rate cuts, and we didn’t even get them. That’s telling me the next macro move might not be so predictable. 💰 BITCOIN – STILL THE KING 📍 BTC at $115K resistance – a level I’ve charted for years, not weeks. Three hits: 1️⃣ First rejection 2️⃣ Second rejection 3️⃣ And now... a decisive moment 🚨 Break 115K → BTC flies. 📉 Fail here → we could revisit $64K, yes, seriously. I’m ready for both outcomes. This is not the time for hopium. It’s 50/50. 🪙 BTC DOMINANCE – THE ALTCOIN SWITCH BTC.D is now above 65%. That means: ✔️ Capital flowing back into BTC ❌ Altcoins not ready yet We don’t chase alts until BTC.D hits 71.3–72.9%. That’s the real “altseason trigger zone.” 🔒 I’m personally turned off from alts for now—too much noise, too many memes, not enough macro support. 🔩 PRECIOUS METALS – SHINING BRIGHT 💛 Gold (XAU/USD): Reached near $3,500 highs Now stalling 🛑 Taking profits here – caution warranted. 🤍 Silver (XAG/USD): 13-year high Holding $36+ well Potential breakout pending global inflation data 💿 Platinum (the sleeper): +47% YTD Beautiful long setup played out exactly as planned Still bullish above $1,400 if supply squeeze continues 💡 ETFs in metals are seeing inflows – more institutions hedging as dollar weakens. 🚗🔌 TECH STOCKS – NVDA, TSLA & THE NASDAQ 📈 NVIDIA (NVDA) Best trade of the year for me Clean re-entry, now hitting ATH levels AI demand + tight supply = rocket fuel ⚡ Tesla (TSLA) Bounce off 4H trendline Still lagging slightly – political tensions (Trump vs. Musk) not helping But levels are working like a charm 📊 NASDAQ (QQQ) Hit our “max pain” zone perfectly Rebounded with textbook precision Momentum intact – watching for new highs 🇩🇪 DAX INDEX – CHARTS DON’T LIE All-time high. Boom. Called it weeks ago. Despite: No Russian energy Industrial drag ECB policy constraints 📌 But what worked? ➡️ Simple chart structure. ➡️ Market psychology. ➡️ Pure TA. Now at resistance again. Watch carefully – support below is clearly defined. 🧾 FINAL THOUGHTS – THE PROFESSOR'S NOTES 🔹 The market’s narrative can change fast, especially with Trump in the mix. He’s Mr. Volatility. 🔹 Powell holds the real power – and right now, he’s not flinching. 🔹 Risk appetite is back – but not evenly. Bitcoin is leading, altcoins are lagging, metals are maturing. 🔹 If rate cuts materialize in September, expect massive rotation across all risk assets. 💭 Until then, I’m playing level-to-level. No FOMO. Just charts and logic. That’s how we survive, and thrive. Let me know which chart you want next – and thank you for staying sharp 💪📚 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TVC:DXY
by FX_Professor
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