What Is the Difference Between Brent and WTI Crude OilWhat Is the Difference Between Brent and WTI Crude Oil for Traders?
Brent Crude and WTI are two of the most important oil benchmarks in the world, influencing global markets and trading strategies. While both represent high-quality crude, they differ in origin, composition, pricing, and market dynamics. This article explores questions like “What is Brent Crude?”, “What is WTI Crude?”, and “What is the difference between Brent and crude oil from West Texas?”, helping traders navigate their unique characteristics.
Brent Oil vs Crude Oil from West Texas
Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) are two primary benchmarks in the global oil market, each representing distinct qualities and origins.
What Is Brent Crude Oil?
Brent Crude originates from the North Sea, encompassing oil from fields between the United Kingdom and Norway, like Brent, Forties, Oseberg, Ekofisk, and Troll. This region's offshore production benefits from direct access to sea routes, facilitating efficient transportation to international markets. The North Sea's strategic location allows Brent Crude to serve as a global pricing benchmark and influence oil prices worldwide.
This blend is slightly heavier and contains more sulphur compared to WTI. Despite this, Brent Crude is extensively traded and serves as a pricing reference for about two-thirds of the world's oil contracts, primarily on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).
What Is WTI Crude Oil?
West Texas Intermediate is primarily sourced from US oil fields in Texas, North Dakota, and Louisiana. The landlocked nature of these production sites means that WTI relies heavily on an extensive network of pipelines and storage facilities for distribution. A key hub for WTI is Cushing, Oklahoma, which serves as a central point for oil storage and pricing. This infrastructure supports WTI's role as a benchmark for US oil prices.
Known for its lightness and low sulphur content, West Texas Crude is ideal for refining into gasoline and other high-demand products. WTI serves as a major benchmark for oil prices in the United States and is the underlying commodity for the New York Mercantile Exchange's (NYMEX) oil futures contract.
Brent and WTI Crude Oil CFDs
Most retail traders interact with Brent and WTI through Contracts for Difference (CFDs) instead of futures contracts. CFDs enable traders to speculate on price fluctuations without having to own the underlying physical oil. Instead, they open buy and sell positions and take advantage of the difference in the price from the time the contract is opened to when it’s closed.
This makes CFDs a popular choice for retail traders looking to make the most of short-term price fluctuations in oil without the complexities of physical ownership, storage, or delivery. CFDs also offer leverage, allowing traders to control larger positions with smaller capital.
You can trade Brent and WTI crude oil at FXOpen with tight spreads and low commissions! Check the recent oil prices at the TickTrader trading platform.
Quality and Composition Differences
Brent Crude is classified as a light, sweet crude oil. It has an API gravity of approximately 38 degrees, indicating a relatively low density. Its sulphur content is about 0.37%, making it less sweet compared to WTI. Brent's composition is well-suited for refining into diesel fuel and gasoline, which are in high demand globally.
But what is WTI like? Known for its superior quality, WTI boasts an API gravity of around 39.6 degrees, making it lighter than Brent. Its sulphur content is approximately 0.24%, classifying it as a sweeter crude. This lower sulphur content simplifies the refining process, allowing for the production of higher yields of gasoline and other high-value products.
These differences in API gravity and sulphur content are significant for refiners. Lighter, sweeter crudes like WTI are generally more desirable because they require less processing to meet environmental standards and produce a higher proportion of valuable end products. However, the choice between Brent and WTI can also depend on regional availability, refinery configurations, and specific product demand.
Trading Volumes and Market Liquidity
Brent Crude and WTI both see significant trading volumes, but they differ in terms of their market liquidity and global reach.
As mentioned above, Brent Crude is widely traded on international markets, and it serves as the pricing benchmark for roughly two-thirds of the world's oil contracts. Its broad appeal comes from being a global benchmark, which makes it highly liquid in global exchanges like ICE Futures Europe.
This high liquidity means traders can buy and sell contracts with relative ease, often with tighter spreads. As a result, it’s popular among traders looking for high-volume, internationally-influenced oil exposure.
On the other hand, WTI is primarily traded in the US through exchanges like the NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange). While still highly liquid, WTI's trading volumes tend to be more concentrated within the US market.
Despite this, it remains a crucial benchmark, especially for traders focusing on the US oil industry. Its close ties to the domestic market mean liquidity can be slightly more affected by US-specific factors.
Pricing Influences and Differences Between Brent and WTI
The geographic focus and market influence distinguish WTI Crude vs Brent oil. Brent is a globally traded benchmark, making it more reactive to international forces, while WTI’s market is more US-centric, with pricing heavily influenced by domestic factors and energy dynamics.
Therefore, Brent Crude and WTI often trade at different prices, with Brent Crude typically priced higher. This price difference, known as the Brent-WTI spread, reflects the varying dynamics between global and US markets. Traders keep a close eye on this spread, as it signals the relative strength of international versus US oil markets.
Price Influences for Brent Crude
- Geopolitical events: Brent is highly sensitive to tensions or conflicts in major oil-producing regions like the Middle East and North Africa. Any disruptions to supply routes or production in these areas can cause its prices to spike.
- OPEC+ decisions: Since many OPEC+ members produce oil that influences Brent’s pricing, their decisions on production cuts or increases have a direct impact on its price. A reduction in global output typically raises prices.
- Global shipping and transport logistics: Brent is traded internationally, so shipping costs, potential blockages in transport routes (e.g., the Strait of Hormuz), and other logistics play a role in price movements.
- Global energy demand: Trends in global demand, especially from key regions like Europe and Asia, affect pricing. For instance, economic growth in these regions tends to push prices higher.
Price Influences for WTI
- US shale oil production: WTI is highly responsive to the levels of US shale oil output. When production surges, oversupply can put downward pressure on prices.
- US oil inventory levels: Key storage hubs like Cushing, Oklahoma, are crucial for pricing. Rising inventory levels signal oversupply, which typically lowers prices, while declining inventories may indicate higher demand and push prices up.
- Pipeline and transportation infrastructure: Bottlenecks in US oil pipelines or delays in transportation can influence WTI pricing. For instance, limited capacity in pipelines can restrict oil flow to refineries, leading to fluctuations in prices.
- Domestic energy policies: Government regulations, taxes, or subsidies affecting US energy production can impact prices, with changes in drilling activity or environmental policies influencing supply levels.
Which Oil Should Traders Choose?
When deciding between WTI vs Brent, traders consider their market focus, trading strategy, and the factors driving each benchmark. Here’s an overview of what might help you choose:
1. Geopolitical Focus
- Brent Crude is more sensitive to global geopolitical events, making it a strong choice for traders who focus on international markets. If you analyse global tensions, OPEC+ decisions, or international energy policies, Brent is likely more relevant.
- WTI is less influenced by global events and more driven by US domestic factors. Traders focused on US politics, infrastructure, and energy policies may find WTI a better fit.
2. Market Liquidity and Trading Volume
- Brent Crude is widely traded across global exchanges, giving it strong liquidity. It’s ideal for traders who prefer access to international markets and global trading volumes. Its liquidity also makes it attractive for those trading larger volumes or seeking tighter spreads.
- WTI has high liquidity as well, but it’s more concentrated in US markets. This makes it better suited for traders with a specific interest in US oil dynamics.
3. Price Volatility
- Brent Crude tends to react more to geopolitical shocks, meaning it can experience more volatility from global crises. Traders looking for opportunities driven by international supply disruptions or geopolitical risks might prefer Brent.
- WTI is typically influenced by domestic production and inventory levels, which can result in different volatility patterns. US-focused traders or those tracking domestic shale oil production often gravitate toward WTI for its more region-specific volatility.
4. Regional Focus
- Brent Crude is favoured by traders who have a global outlook or trade oil products tied to European, Asian, or African markets.
- WTI is a solid choice for traders interested in US oil markets or those who rely on data from domestic US reports like the EIA.
The Bottom Line
In summary, understanding the differences between Brent Crude and WTI is crucial for traders analysing global oil markets. Both benchmarks offer unique opportunities depending on your trading strategy and market focus, whether you prefer the global influence of Brent or the US-centric dynamics of WTI. To get started with Brent and WTI CFDs, consider opening an FXOpen account for access to these key markets alongside low-cost trading conditions.
FAQ
Why Is Oil Called Brent Crude?
Brent Crude gets its name from the Brent oil field located in the North Sea, discovered by Shell in the 1970s. The name "Brent" was derived from a naming convention based on birds—specifically, the Brent goose. Over time, it’s become the benchmark for oil produced in the North Sea, now serving as a global pricing standard for much of the world's oil supply.
What Does WTI Stand For?
WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate. It refers to a grade of crude oil that is primarily produced in the United States, specifically from oil fields in Texas, North Dakota, and surrounding regions. WTI is one of the key benchmarks for oil pricing, particularly in North America.
Is Brent Crude Sweet or Sour?
Brent Crude is considered a light, sweet crude oil. It has a low sulphur content, making it easier to refine into high-value products like gasoline and diesel. However, it contains slightly more sulphur than WTI, which is why it's marginally classified as less sweet.
Why Is Brent Always More Expensive Than WTI?
Brent is often more expensive than WTI due to its global demand and greater sensitivity to geopolitical risks. Brent is influenced by international factors, including OPEC+ decisions and conflicts in key oil-producing regions, which often lead to supply disruptions. WTI, meanwhile, is more affected by domestic US supply and demand.
Is Saudi Oil Brent or WTI?
Saudi oil is neither Brent nor WTI. It falls under its own classification, primarily as Arabian Light Crude. However, Brent Crude is often used as a pricing benchmark for oil exports from Saudi Arabia and other OPEC nations.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Fundamental Analysis
XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent breakout from a well-defined Trendline pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2663
2nd Support – 2689
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
US 10Y TREASURY: only 50 bps in 2025?The Fed spoiled the market game for one more time. Although interest rates were cut by another 25 bps as expected, still the market did not like what Powell said about projections for 2025. He noted that the Fed expects persistent inflation, hence, the current projections are drop in interest rates by only 50 bps. Inflation expectations were also corrected, so now the Fed expects the PCE indicator to end next year at 2,5%, versus 2,2% previously forecasted, while its targeted 2% is expected to reach in 2027.
The inevitable happened on the Treasury market - yields went strongly higher. The 10Y US benchmark yields were moved from 4,3% from the start of the week toward the highest weekly level at 4,58%. However, they eased at Friday's trading session, after better than expected US inflation data, ending the week at 4,52%.
Holiday season on Western markets is coming in the week ahead. During this period of time it should not expect any stronger moves or higher corrections. In this sense, the 10Y US Treasury would most probably end this year around levels of 4,5%.
Bitcoin to the moon or doom?The BTC/USD monthly chart does appear to be forming a rising wedge pattern, which is often considered a bearish reversal signal.
What is a Rising Wedge?
A rising wedge is a chart pattern characterized by two converging lines, with the upper line sloping upwards more steeply than the lower line.
This pattern suggests that buying pressure is weakening, and sellers are gaining control.
A breakout below the lower trendline of the wedge is typically considered a bearish signal, potentially indicating a significant price decline.
Potential Implications:
Market Top: If the rising wedge pattern plays out as expected, it could signal the end of the current uptrend and a potential market top.
Price Correction: A breakout below the lower trendline could lead to a significant price correction, potentially wiping out a portion of recent gains.
Black Swan Events:
Unpredictable Nature: Black swan events are highly improbable and unexpected events that have a significant impact on the market.
Potential Impact: A positive black swan event, such as a major regulatory approval or a significant technological breakthrough, could potentially reverse the bearish trend and propel Bitcoin prices higher.
Important Considerations:
Chart Patterns are not Deterministic: Chart patterns are not foolproof predictions. They provide insights into potential market movements but should not be relied upon solely for investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis: It's crucial to consider fundamental factors, such as economic conditions, regulatory developments, and investor sentiment, alongside technical analysis.
SPX: Fed`s game of marketsMarkets were happy prior to Fed's rate cut in December in expectation of an additional drop of 25 bps of reference interest rates. However, Fed Chair Powell said something that markets did not expect to hear - inflation is going to be persistent in 2025, hence, Fed would most likely cut rates by only 50 bps during the next year. The correction was immediate, and the S&P 500 dropped from the level of 6,080 down to 5.867. The index recovered a bit during Friday's trading session to the level of 5.930, after cooling inflation data.
All sectors included in the S&P 500 gained on Friday, indicating that the market most probably overreacted during the previous two days. Still, this jump in the market value was not enough to cover weekly losses. A cooling inflation data for November made markets revise their initial projections and value equities at higher levels. Still, considering that the Holiday season in Western markets starts in the middle of the week ahead, it is questionable whether the S&P 500 has the strength to reach for one more time level from two weeks ago.
S&P500 - The Next 14 Days Will Decide Everything!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is about to break all resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of weeks, the S&P500 has been repeating the major breakout rally of 2021. Back then the S&P500 actually broke above the channel resistance and immediately rallied more than +15%. If we see the confirmed breakout, we will likely see the same thing happening again.
Levels to watch: $6.000, $7.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin: pain is your gainOne more week which was close to heart-attack for BTC traders. It was very challenging to keep the common sense, and understand such a strong sell-off of the BTC. However, books are saying that the markets are always right - so probably they were right also this time. The BTC price entered into strong correction after the FOMC meeting. It was not pleasant news that the inflation is going to persist in 2025 and that the Fed will cut “only” 50 bps, but how much it can actually impact BTC liquidity? The only explanation for developments during the week, was market overreaction, same as with equity markets.
In one week, BTC reached its new ATH at $108K and a tumble toward the $92K. It was indeed a challenging week, even for BTC, which usually has a higher volatility. But it also shows fragility of market sentiment. However, on the opposite side, a strong overbought market was holding from November this year, indicating that the potential reversal might come anytime. The RSI is currently moving around the level of 50, and is not ready to take a path toward the oversold market side. The moving average of 50 days continues to strongly diverge from MA 200, without an indication that the indicator could change the course soon.
Although the BTC market is the 24/7 one, still, it could be expected that the Holiday season during the week ahead might affect some calm down of the BTC price. BTC is ending the week with a target of $100K for one more time, which might occur only if the resistance line at the $ 98K is breached. On the opposite side, corrections are also possible, especially now that the RSI reached the level of 50, however, the extension of it will depend on some higher players on the market. Namely, as interest rates are not going to be cut as initially expected, borrowed money will not be so much at disposal to investors, in which sense, they will use the week ahead to wage how much more cash flow can end up in BTC in the year ahead.
Total Market CapTotal Market Cap started a parabolic run from the beginning of 2021 after the breakout and retest in December 2020, which was the 2017 ATH level ($761B).
The breakout at the 2021 ATH level ($3.01T) in December 2024 has been co!mpleted and is being retested!
I think the countdown to the parabolic run has begun for CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:ETH and #Altcoins
Why AIrBNB might be the company to watch in 2025Hello,
we see an opportunity for investors to buy Airbnb at the bottom. In this video we go a step further and try and explain why.
While the company's long-term prospects remain strong, short-term headwinds are likely to keep its stock price under pressure. As the travel industry gradually normalizes post-COVID, we anticipate minimal demand erosion for alternative accommodations from ABNB's existing customer base. However, the company's share growth in urban markets continues to lag behind its gains in non-urban regions in recent years, presenting a potential growth opportunity moving forward. In the near term, I anticipate AirBNB's share price will
continue its pullback to around USD 100. However, over the longer term, the company is expected to remain resilient, with an initial price target of USD 170 and a longer-term target of USD 220.88.
All the best & goodluck
GOLD trading liquidity is low during the Christmas holidayAmid sluggish trading during the holiday season, OANDA:XAUUSD decreased slightly, dragged down by the strength of the US Dollar and high US Treasury bond yields. And the market needs to wait for clearer signals from the Federal Reserve's 2025 monetary policy.
Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points last week, this signaled fewer rate cuts in 2025, sending gold prices to their lowest since mid-month 11 last week.
While non-yielding gold benefits from the low interest rate environment, the market will need to readjust expectations for the year ahead.
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 have weighed on gold prices, and gold will face pressure during the holiday week.
Interest rate cuts initially boosted gold prices, but the Fed's forecast of only two rate cuts by 2025 (down from four in September) sparked a sell-off that sent gold prices to lows. lowest since mid-November.
With economic data limited this week due to the Christmas holiday, gold prices are expected to remain in a tight range. Liquidity remains low, reducing volatility and keeping price action subdued.
Gold has hit multiple record highs this year and is up 27% year to date, its best annual gain since 2010, thanks to strong central bank buying, geopolitical tensions and monetary policy monetary easing by major banks.
President-elect Donald Trump will take office on January 20. The market is about to return to trading in a Donald Trump environment, we cannot forget the trading period when he was in office, how the market fluctuated with his emotions on each line.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to maintain activity below the confluence resistance area noted by readers in yesterday's publication at the upper price channel edge and the 0.618% Fibonacci level, to maintain the trend. main discount.
While the recovery has been limited, gold is also trading above the $2,613 technical level, and gold could fall a bit further with a target of around $2,591 as it is sold below $2,613.
The relative strength index (RSI) is operating below 50, which should be considered a negative signal for the trend of gold prices.
During the day, as long as gold remains below the EMA21, the upper price channel edge and the 0.618% Fibonacci, it remains inclined towards a bearish outlook with notable technical points listed as follows.
Support: 2,613 – 2,600 – 2,591USD
Resistance: 2,634 – 2,643USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2646 - 2644⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2650
→Take Profit 1 2639
↨
→Take Profit 2 2634
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2594 - 2596⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2590
→Take Profit 1 2601
↨
→Take Profit 2 2606
BUY BUY BUY!You shouldn't care about the sell-off today.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is slipping, and so is CRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance!
This means money is flowing into altcoins!
But, altseason is not here yet, it's coming.
#VIRTUAL is up 8% and GETTEX:HYPE is on sale!
I'm buying the dip you should too.
JUST HODL and don't panic sale!
RIPPLE's Recovery Phase📊 XRP has consolidated around $2.14, showing strength near the $2.00-$2.05 support zone.
✅ With this support likely to hold, the price appears positioned to rebound toward $2.38 and $2.60 as it begins to break out of the current downward trendline.
⚠️ Trading involves risk; assess carefully before taking action.
Why I Think More Companies Will Buy Themselves Back in 2025I noticed that Nordstrom is making headlines today as the Nordstrom family moves to take the company private, effectively "buying it back" from public shareholders. I find this fascinating and may add it to one of my themes for 2025: more small and mid cap companies will leave public markets and go private.
What is Nordstrom's doing? The strategy involves acquiring all outstanding shares not already owned by the family, removing Nordstrom from the public stock exchange. Taking the company private allows the family to regain full control, enabling strategic decisions without the pressure of quarterly earnings reports or shareholder scrutiny. Actually, the exact quote from the company is rather interesting: The Nordstrom family believes it will be more successful without the scrutiny and demands of the public market.
For Nordstrom, going private could mean focusing on long-term investments and restructuring without the constraints of public market expectations, costs or regulations. Ah, the freedom to build! A few things to note about this:
1. Look at the trend of Nordstrom's in the chart above into this go private offer.
2. Nordstrom's will save massively on legal costs and fees associated with going public.
3. I think more companies that are floundering at the small and mid cap level will opt to go in this direction.
4. More CFOs and CEOs will ask if it's worth it to stay public if there is no immediate benefit.
5. What's also interesting is that the companies can always go public again if they think they need to raise money once again or need to tap back into the markets.
This will be a space to watch and I will be writing about this more in 2025.
Mobileye & Honda Partnership? Massive move ahead!MOBILEYE - NASDAQ:MBLY 🚘
A partnership between HONDA and MOBILEYE could potentially result in a massive $10-30 billion deal over ten years, or even shorter time frames with the same extrapolated value. 🚀
Base Case Added Revenue: $1B/year
Current 2024 Revenue: $1.7B
New Potential Revenue: $2.7B/year minimum with just one partnership!
To put this into perspective, let's consider the old Honda deal with GM's Cruise, which was cut short and is now over six years old.
Technological Advancements
A LOT of advancements in Full-Self Driving (FSD) and Autonomous Vehicle (AV) technology have occurred since then, friends!
In October 2018, Honda partnered with General Motors (GM) and Cruise, agreeing to invest $2.75 billion over 12 years into GM Cruise, starting with an initial $750 million equity investment. This partnership aimed to develop and deploy autonomous vehicle technology on a large scale, though Honda recently ended the agreement.
Conclusion
If my gut, research, and the data at my fingertips are correct, not only will this deal between Honda and Mobileye be monumental, but it will also squeeze shorts to a pulp. Simultaneously, Wall Street will recognize the massive opportunities in FSD/AV technology beyond NASDAQ:GOOGL (Waymo) and $TSLA. This news could potentially take us to $25 or more in my opinion! And that's before any type of squeeze!
Not financial advice
EURUSD: Fed spoiled Holiday seasonThe FOMC cut interest rates by 25 bps at their December meeting, which was expected by the markets. Still, in an after the meeting address to the public, Fed Chair Powell provided some not-so welcomed projections for the following year. At this moment, Fed is expecting fewer rate cuts in 2025, from initially projected, with a 50 bps current baseline. This change comes from expectations of a higher inflation in 2025. The PCE indicator is expected to end next year at 2,5%, versus 2,2% previously forecasted, while its targeted 2% is expected to reach in 2027.
The US Retail Sales increased in November by 0,7% for the month, above market expectation of 0,5%. Retail sales increased by 3,8% on a yearly basis. The Industrial Production was down by 0,1% in November, which was lower from market estimate of +0,3%. The IP on a yearly basis was down by -0,9%. Building Permits preliminary for November were higher by 6,1%. The GDP Growth rate final for Q3 is 3,1%, higher from market estimate of 2,8%. The PCE Prices final for Q3 were higher by 1,5% for the quarter, in line with market expectations. The PCE index was up by 0,1% in November for the month, while core PCE reached also 0,1% in November. Personal Income was up by 0,3% in November, while Personal Spending reached 0,4% for the month. The PCE index stands at 2,4% for the year, which was lower from market estimate at 2,5%. The Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for December was published, reaching the level of 74,0, and the five year inflation expectations of 3%.
The HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for Germany in December was standing at 42,5, lower from market forecast of 43,1. At the same time, the same indicator for services stands better at the level of 51,0, higher from market estimate of 49,3. The Ifo Business Climate in Germany for December was 84,7, again a bit lower from estimated 85,6. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in Germany in December exceeded market expectations with a value of 15,7, while the forecasted figure was 6,5. Inflation rate in the EuroZone, final for November, was standing at 2,2%, a bit lower from estimated 2,3%. The GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany for January is -21,3, lower from market estimate of -22,5.
It was a challenging week on financial markets. The Fed projections for the year 2025 was something that the market did not expect, so the currency pair reacted in a pretty volatile way. The eurusd started the week around 1,05 level and moved all the way down to lowest weekly level at 1,035. Still, at Friday's trading session, the currency pair reverted a bit, ending the week at 1,0430. The RSI reached an oversold territory, but ended the week at the level of 40. The moving average of 50 days continues to strongly diverge from MA200 counterparty, indicating that no cross should be expected in the near term.
The following week is a Holiday week on the Western markets. This means finally some less volatility, although this was a very challenging year-end. As seen during the previous week, the 1,04 support line might continue to be under pressure in the following period. Still, due to the Holiday, it should not be expected that this level is going to be breached till the year-end.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Holiday season starts from Wednesday, and no significant data is scheduled to be published.
USD: Although Holiday season starts from Wednesday there will be only a few macro data published: Durable Goods Orders for November are due on December 24th.
Gold: steady way up?It was a strongly challenging week for financial markets. The Feds projections for year 2025 came as a huge surprise, as “only” 50 bps planned cut during the course of the year, and persistent inflation was not something that markets were willing to hear, while preparing to close the year. The US Dollar gained in strength, bringing the price of gold toward the downside. The minimum weekly level reached was $2.587. The gold is ending the week at the level of $2.620.
The RSI continues to move below the level of 50, indicating that the market is still not ready to make a clear move toward the overbought market side. The moving average of 50 days is trying to converge toward the MA200, but it slowly moves. Anyway, the potential cross is still not close.
The week ahead brings the Holiday season on Western markets. Traditionally, this is not a time in the year when any high moves occur. In this sense, one could expect a relatively calm week when financial markets are in question. The price of gold will continue to follow its negative correlation with the US Dollar, with potential relatively smaller moves around current levels.
Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 235The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
$AMD: The AI Challenger Closing 2024 Strong
Introduction
AMD’s 2024 journey has been marked by strong performance in AI and gaming, backed by solid product launches and strategic moves.
📈 As the year ends, AMD’s MI300 series has crossed $5 billion in data center GPU revenue, setting the stage for further growth in 2025.
💡 But is this momentum enough to solidify AMD as a long-term investment opportunity? Let’s explore. 🔍
Key Insights
1. Financial Highlights 💵
Stock Price: $119.21 (+0.28% today).
P/E Ratio: 45, showcasing high growth expectations.
Revenue Growth: +18% YoY in Q3, driven by data centers and gaming. 🎮
Note: While AMD’s valuation appears stretched compared to historical norms, its forward-looking growth potential justifies a deeper look. 👀
2. AI Market Expansion 🤖
MI300 Series Success: AMD’s data center GPU revenue surpassed $5 billion in 2024, boosted by adoption across cloud providers and enterprises. ☁️
Future Pipeline: The MI325X is set to launch in late 2024, and the MI350 series is planned for 2025. These products aim to strengthen AMD’s position in AI computing.
Analysis:
The global AI market, projected to reach $1 trillion by 2030 🌍, presents immense growth opportunities. AMD’s investment in AI-focused products and partnerships positions it well to capture a meaningful share of this expanding market. 🚀
3. Gaming and Esports Stability 🎮
Revenue: Gaming contributed $1.5 billion in Q3 (+4% YoY).
Growth Drivers: Ryzen CPUs and Radeon GPUs remain popular for gaming rigs, while console upgrades and esports continue to fuel demand.
Takeaway: Gaming remains a consistent revenue stream for AMD, complementing its more volatile AI and data center segments. 💻
4. Competitive Positioning ⚔️
Against Nvidia: AMD’s MI300 series competes in performance and adoption but remains a challenger to Nvidia’s dominance.
Against Intel: AMD continues to outpace Intel in CPU performance and market share growth, reinforcing its reputation as a reliable competitor. 🏆
5. Undervaluation Potential 📊
AMD trades below key moving averages, suggesting a potential opportunity for long-term investors.
Forward P/E could drop to 30 if 2025 earnings grow as projected, aligning with value-focused investment strategies. 📉➡️📈
What’s Next? 🔮
With 2024 closing on a strong note, AMD’s focus shifts to executing its 2025 product launches and capitalizing on AI market growth. Whether you see AMD as undervalued or overvalued depends on your confidence in its ability to sustain this momentum. 🧠
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a professional before making investment decisions. 📢
Fantom (FTM) Poised for a Critical Move: Are You Ready for This?Yello, traders! Have you been tracking Fantom's recent price action? It’s make-or-break time for FTM as it clings to crucial support zones this setup could define its trajectory for weeks to come. Let’s dive into the details.
💎#Fantom (FTM) has been respecting a critical ascending trendline for months, and the current price action suggests that the $0.741–$0.7906 range is a vital support zone. This level has repeatedly acted as a launchpad for bullish momentum, and any failure to hold here could lead to a deeper retracement, potentially toward the $0.5237–$0.5574 region. On the other hand, if bulls step in and defend this level convincingly, we could see #FTM push back toward its next major resistance at $1.10–$1.20.
💎Breaking above this resistance would be a significant bullish signal, opening the door to a rally toward $1.50 and possibly as high as $2.00 in the coming weeks. However, hesitation in the market is evident, as trading volumes remain muted, suggesting that both bulls and bears are waiting for confirmation of the next major move.
💎The RSI currently sits near neutral levels, not yet signaling oversold conditions, but a dip below 40 would confirm bearish momentum. For now, the trendline remains intact, and the long-term structure leans bullish as long as the $0.7906 support holds. However, if sellers manage to break below this key area, the structure would shift, bringing much lower levels into play.
💎#Fantom is at a crossroads, and patience is key. The market is testing traders’ discipline right now, and emotional decisions could be costly. The best strategy is to wait for confirmation either a bounce above support or a decisive breakdown below it before taking a position.
Stay focused, trade smart, and always prioritize risk management over greed. Only those who play the game strategically will stand at the top when the dust settles. Stay sharp, Paradisers!
MyCryptoParadise
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ETH/USD 2H AnalysisOur Preferance
The price is trading below the resistance level, forming a descending structure with multiple rejection points. A strong support zone has been identified near $3,095. Potential short setup with SL above $3,589 and TP1 at $3,343, TP2 at the support area. Watch for a bearish breakout confirmation,
Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies.
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12/23/24 - $lyft - Buy $13, impossible to ignore12/23/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:LYFT
Buy $13, impossible to ignore
- while we all reflect on the year past, it's time to start preparing for the '25 book (and we have been).
- uber remains one of my fav (misunderstood) plays heading into january. but when you look at valuation and recent beats of much smaller competitor, lyft, it's impossible to ignore at these levels. cash generation yield is ~10%.
- possible M&A as well at this valuation ($5 bn), could easily see something like NASDAQ:DASH step up, among others.
- clearly the AV overhang will continue to play a front and center role on the ST dynamics, and while uber is clearly the better platform, i think both will probably trade very close to correlation 1, but lyft's superior valuation and nominal px tag ($13 vs. $60 for uber) mean it's subject to more gamma moves for the tape that's trading.
- so while i own some jan calls (to again avoid the neck out on nominal book... i'm v cash heavy rn about 35% total), i think it's a mistake for my book/ strategy to not play some 10-1 leverage on this esp in the illiquid YE tape (which i believe will be higher).
let's see. merry christmas.
V