Get started

Fundamental Analysis

#XAUUSD:From Our Last Analysis 534+ Pips What Next?We published our analysis on gold on April 24th, highlighting the bullish market presence. The price indeed reversed from our zone, enabling us to make a significant move of over 234 pips. We anticipate a continuous price increase from our entry zone, potentially reaching 3500$. There are several reasons behind this belief. Firstly, the escalating war-like tension between India and Pakistan could lead to a surge in gold prices, potentially surpassing the previous high. Secondly, the heightened tensions among global investors are expected to result in an extreme bullish movement in gold prices. Given the volatility of gold, we recommend trading cautiously and taking extra precautions while trading gold. Wishing you good luck and safe trading! Thank you for your support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
Is Trump's official Set for a 20% Rally to $18.95?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Trump's official 🔍📈. I successfully shorted Trump at key levels with precision and later identified the bottom near the $8 zone. Following a strategic accumulation, I now anticipate at least 20% additional upside. My primary price target is set at $18.95.📚🙌 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 I shorted Trump perfectly, bought near $8, and now see at least 20% upside toward my main $18.95 target.📚🎇 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬 Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
Gold fluctuates in a range and corrects sideways! Trend AnalysisAnalysis of gold market trends next Monday: Technical analysis of gold: From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, and there has been a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, the gold price rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about $3,368-3,370), which has now become an important short-term resistance. The opening trend of the gold market on Friday was like Thursday, and the Asian session started to pull up and rise all the way to around $3,370. However, it encountered strong resistance here, and then turned downward and started to fall. It is worth noting that today's gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by yesterday's European and American sessions, and rebounded after reaching a minimum of $3,265. From the current market structure, the position of $3,260 has become the focus of the market, and investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively breaks, the bearish trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. From the current form, there are two Yins enveloping Yangs, so the adjustment will continue at the beginning of next week; of course, this adjustment can be replaced by sideways trading, which means that it is not ruled out that it will run back and forth in the 3260-3380 range. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is recommended to be mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3368-3370, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3265-3260. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions. Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3368-3370, target near 3300-3285, and look at the 3260 line when it breaks. Strategy 2: Go long on gold when it pulls back to around 3265-3270, target around 3290-3330, and look at the 3370 line if it breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
ONDO 4H – Fake Breakdown Reversed, Bullish Momentum BuildsBYBIT:ONDOUSDT is exhibiting a strong bullish reversal pattern on the 4H chart, aligning with the broader ascending channel observed on the daily timeframe. After a brief deviation below the channel, which acted as a bear trap, the price swiftly re-entered the channel and broke above the descending resistance trendline. This move indicates a resurgence of buyer strength and a potential shift in market sentiment. Following the breakout, COINBASE:ONDOUSD has been consolidating above the broken trendline and the ascending channel's support, suggesting that the previous dip was a false breakdown. This consolidation phase often precedes significant upward movements. If the bullish momentum continues, we can anticipate ONDOUSDT targeting the mid-channel resistance around 1.40, with the possibility of challenging the 2.00 zone or even reaching new all-time highs. On the fundamental front, Ondo Finance has recently made headlines by engaging in discussions with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding the tokenization of U.S. securities. This strategic move aims to bridge traditional finance with blockchain technology, enhancing the project's credibility and long-term growth prospects. 🔔 Follow for real-time updates!
Long
by Sober_Trading
BTC big profit taking in the horizon....popBTC seems to be full of hot air lately, which lead me to think that most of it is purely speculative. There's a very decent chance of a 5-10k drop soon, at which point, BTCZ / MSTZ (inverse ETFs) will spike up very nicely. History repeats itself and a trend is developing! Let's see where this lands over the next few days, but I'm seeing a thick long red candle coming in the middle of the night as investors look to take their profits. Best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
Short
by antonini2002
Fundamental Analysis: Filecoin will become 100x fasterThe game changes April 29 @ 10:00 UTC. Filecoin activates Fast Finality F3, slashing finality time from 7.5 hours to ~2 minutes. This is more than an upgrade — it’s an infrastructure shift. 💡 Why It Matters: • GossiPBFT brings instant confirmations • Real-time DeFi, cross-chain bridges, & dApps now possible • Faster onboarding for storage providers • Better UX for lightweight clients & mobile nodes Filecoin is no longer just storage. It’s high-speed, scalable consensus. The chain is evolving. So is its value. Markets are not yet pricing this in. 📈 Position accordingly, like a quant! #Filecoin LSE:FIL #F3 #DePIN #DeFi #Web3 #Crypto #FastFinality
KRAKEN:FILUSDLong
by BroLal
GBPUSD Trade RecapFX:GBPUSD Friday trade recap on GBPJPY. 📌 The rationale behind taking this trade was firstly, the positive GBP news for Retail Sales of actual 0.4%, greater than the -0.3% forecast. 📌 Secondly, the price tapped into the strong 4H demand zone, while also sweeping the Asian lows. 📌 The news took place on 6 am UTC, while there were no sudden spikes in price during 6 am, we can see a 30 pips price push few minutes after the news, signaling the market price reacting to the news. 📌 Price got rejected twice from the 15 minutes bearish shooting star, creating a strong short term resistance zone. 📌 Since the bias is short term bullish, I waited for a break and retest of the trendline, as soon as price failed to close below the zone, I immediately place buys. 📌 Price Eventually hit TP at a 1:2.46% risk to reward trade but closed at +1.9% to avoid the subsequent red news. 3min chart
by CandleCipher
DOT/USDT About to Explode or Crash?Yello Paradisers! Are you ready for DOT's next explosive move, or will you be caught in the trap again? Right now, #DOTUSDT is sitting at a key decision point inside a textbook ascending channel — and what happens next could either print profits or wipe out the unprepared. 💎After respecting both the ascending resistance and support lines with high precision, it has now pulled back into a crucial area of interest: the Fair Value Gap (FVG). If DOT continues to hold above this level, the probability of a bullish continuation increases significantly. The area around $3.90–$3.95 is aligning perfectly with the demand zone, adding to the confluence and giving bulls a strong foundation to build on. 💎However, the real test lies ahead. POLKADOT must clear the immediate resistance around $4.10–$4.30 for the bullish momentum to gain traction. A successful break and retest of the $4.30 level would likely open the doors to a fast move toward the high-value resistance zone at $4.50 and above. 💎But here’s the twist: if DOT fails to defend the demand zone and instead closes below $3.683, the entire bullish setup becomes invalid. Such a breakdown could trigger a deeper correction, targeting the $3.40 region and possibly flushing out the overleveraged players in the process. Stay focused, Paradisers. Be the hunter, not the hunted MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
8
Why Coinbase (COIN) Shares Are RisingWhy Coinbase (COIN) Shares Are Rising As the Coinbase (COIN) stock chart shows, trading closed yesterday above the $200 mark — for the first time since March. Since the beginning of April, COIN's share price has risen by nearly 20%, while the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) has declined by approximately 2%. Bullish Drivers Behind COIN’s Price Rise According to media reports, several factors are contributing to the bullish momentum: → Yesterday’s announcement that Coinbase and PayPal are expanding their partnership in the areas of crypto payments and decentralised finance (DeFi). The collaboration aims to increase the adoption of the PYUSD stablecoin and integrate it into merchant settlements. → The anticipated adoption of US stablecoin legislation, designed to establish a regulatory framework for the use of stablecoins. This is being supported by the Trump administration’s progressive stance on cryptocurrencies, including the appointment of crypto-friendly officials, the creation of a strategic crypto reserve, and other pro-crypto initiatives. Technical Analysis of COIN Stock The psychological level of $150, which served as strong support in 2024, has proven resilient again in April 2025. However, despite the rapid rise in price from $150 to $200 in under three weeks, there are reasons to believe that bullish sentiment may begin to fade: → The COIN share price remains within a downward trend, highlighted by a channel originating in early 2025. → The upper boundary of the channel may act as a resistance level. → Bears have previously demonstrated control in the $225–240 zone, where the price declined sharply (marked with a red rectangle). This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:COIN
by FXOpen
1
S&P 500 tests key resistance as trade uncertainty continuesTrump continues to say positive things - just now suggesting that they are very close to a deal with Japan on tariffs. But it is China where the bulk of uncertainty lies. He has been quite upbeat this week, but China continues to push back against the optimism. European indices extended their gains, buoyed by the previous day’s upbeat mood, while US futures have given up their earlier gains. The shift likely linked to an interesting interview US President Donald Trump gave to Time Magazine. While Trump claimed Chinese President Xi had personally rung him — and insisted that negotiations with Beijing were progressing — it was his remark that he’d consider “50% tariffs a year from now” to be a success that seemed to spook investors. Unsurprisingly, that struck a more hawkish tone, nudging some traders to lock in profits. Earlier in the session, risk appetite had been given a lift after reports surfaced that China was weighing tariff exemptions for select US imports. This, combined with upbeat comments from Trump the day before and a solid set of earnings from Alphabet, helped extend the rally in equities. Gold, meanwhile, gave back some ground — dipping below the $3,300 mark — as safe haven demand cooled in response to the renewed optimism. Yet, beneath the surface, caution remains palpable. Trump’s off-the-cuff comment about 50% tariffs a year from now served as a stark reminder that nothing is set in stone, and that the trade saga is far from over. As such, while some of the worst risk-off flows may be behind us, it’s far too soon to declare an end to the market turmoil. A period of consolidation — both in equities and gold — may now be on the cards. Meanwhile the S&P 500 has entered a key area of resistance between 5490 to 5550 area. A bearish trend line also comes into play. A clean break should be positive from a short-term point of view, while a sharp rejection is what the bears would be looking for. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
BITCOIN BULLISH SETUP - CHANNEL BREAKOUT LOADING?Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently trading inside a rising channel on the daily timeframe. After a strong breakout from the previous consolidation zone, price is showing bullish momentum. Expecting a short-term pullback towards the midline of the channel, followed by a continuation towards the upper boundary. Key levels to watch: • Support: 92,700–93,000 zone (mid-channel retest) • Resistance: 96,500–97,000 (channel top) A break above the channel could trigger further bullish extension, while a breakdown below mid-channel may invalidate this bullish scenario. Bias: Bullish Short-Term: Pullback → Continuation to upside BE PATIENT.
Long
by AlexParker_trader
WELCOME TO THE BEGINNING OF ALT COIN SEASON!Traders, Hodlr's and Soon to be Liquidity (late retail buyers), This is likely the moment we have been waiting for. Last week in our weekly VIP market update we discussed just a few things that would really show us if we just saw the bottom of the alts and if it was now time to start seeing some new local HH's and then HL's showing us a shift in trend. I had posted a few trades pointing this out. We have now at this point accomplished what we were looking for to see if we would be starting Alt coins season. We have been watching a few things. The first being Bitcoin Dominance or CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D as this is a great chart to watch and look for reversals prior to looking at the chart of the specific alt coin against BTC to see if it also is showing it could have a rally or a pullback based on your bias on this BTC.D chart. For instance if I were to want to see maybe when XRP would likely start breaking out say that this BTC.D chart is in fact correct and the triangle trend line will end up being the top for btc dominance at around 64.4% of the total market I would go to BITSTAMP:XRPBTC to give myself some insight on confluence of market movements. Being that we are now here at the point that I believe we will start to see money flow into alts based on this chart and others such as CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 , CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 and CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI and the specific BTC pairings that I am holding by looking up the ticker of my alt coin/BTC and studying that chart I will honestly say that I am in the 90%/10% bullish on alts to bearish. I hope this information helped you in your journey to get more information and come up with your own analysis to base your investment decisions and you become prosperous for doing soo! Stay Profitable Folks, Savvy!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Crypto_Kinfolk
USD/CHF High-confidence, Trend-Aligned setup. – April 26 2025 1️⃣ Technical Outlook TF Structure & Momentum Verdict Weekly (W1) Lower-lows since Jan; bearish OB at 0.8400 caps rallies Bearish Daily (D1) Clean bearish channel; Friday close < mid-channel Bearish H4 Consolidation under 0.8335 FVG after liquidity sweep Bearish Trend-Aligned ✅ 2️⃣ Primary Alert Zones (H4) Zone Price Type Setup Idea 0.8335 – 0.8350 Bearish OB + FVG Break-&-retest short 0.8260 – 0.8250 Weekly swing low TP1 / possible bounce 0.8200 – 0.8180 Liquidity pocket TP2 / extended target 3️⃣ Indicator Snapshot RSI (H4): 38 → momentum still weak MACD (D1): below 0, widening histo → bearish pressure ATR (1 h): ≈ 10 pips (14-period) Tick Vol (trigger-candle rule): need > 20 % above avg 4️⃣ Fundamental & Sentiment Radar USD side: Dollar Index 99.25, stabilising after 4-wk slide Investing.com CHF side: SNB jawboning risk – talk of curbing CHF strength Investing.com Next Red-Flag Events: FOMC (May 6-7) – full blackout starts Apr 26 00:00 (today) Home US ISM Mfg (May 1) Swiss CPI (May 2) Net positioning: CFTC shows record CHF longs vs USD → crowded trade (contrarian squeeze risk). Risk Mood: Equities firm; CHF retains safe-haven bid if risk fades. 5️⃣ Trade Considerations (BEES v2) Entry Trigger: M15 bearish engulf at 0.8335 OB + volume > 20 % Rejection Filters: No trade if price < 0.8300 without retest (chase risk) No-Trade Zone: ±50 pips around 0.8400 HTF resistance unless clean breakout 6️⃣ Risk Management ATR-based SL: 1.5 × 10 pips ≈ 15 pips TP Plan: TP1 0.8260 (≈ 2 R) TP2 0.8200 (≈ 3 R) Trail remainder via H1 swing highs 7️⃣ Execution Checklist ✅/❌ HTF trend aligned Volume surge > 20 % required Outside 6 h of red-flag release (entry after NY open Mon) Confidence ≥ High Price not in No-Trade Zone 8️⃣ Pre-Trade Grading (0–2 each) Criterion Score Trend Alignment 2 Confluence Strength 2 Price Behaviour 2 Risk : Reward Quality 2 Event Risk Filtered 1 Total 9 / 10 → Trade Valid 🗺️ Time-Based Volatility Map Session Expectation Asia (Sun 17:00-00:00 EST) Likely gap fill, low vol London (03:00-06:00 EST) Highest probability retest zone NY (08:00-11:00 EST) USD data spikes; monitor spreads 🧩 Correlation Radar EUR/CHF also heavy – confirms CHF strength DXY soft; correlated pairs (USD/CAD, USD/JPY) biased lower
Short
by wojoforex
GOLD Expecting once Short Term Bearish Gold next setup trade wisely best of Luck. Analysis from Mr Martin Date 25 April Friday 2025 Gold seeing a bearish pattern no need to move upside Gold is very weak Optimism about tariff cuts quickly faded after denials from the white house weak US business activity data is fuelling talk of fed Policy fed Policy technically Gold will push but no up more after again decline top downside. Ps Support with like and comments for motivating to share more analysis with you Thanks investors.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11
TSLA LONG ~ All the technicals are there!TSLA will still hit $2600 ~ Says Cathie Wood Will it? Let's take a look ~ ELON is pissing people off and investors are worried, Tarrif FUD, brand deterioration. All of this doesn't matter Why? Pull up TSLA YoY earnings since 2013 and you will see that their revenue growth is outrageous, this past year is really the very first time TSLA flat lined, but holding at 25B revenue. From a technical analysis since 2013 on the LOG chart, you can see TSLA has done a 10x rally twice, and has held strong support through it's bear cycles. The next it due by 2027. TSLA has been uptrend for over a year, and broke it's ATH 6 months ago. Voluming is rising in the longterm and literally the conservatives love him, If you think competitors are nipping at their heels think again. The infrastracture that Elon has built with his mega factories, and their positioning in the market is so insane other's don't even come close. On the short term, The FUD will wash away, TSLA is finding support at the bottom of the channel, shorterm volume is waning on the sell offs, Shorts will get squeezed by end of June, and Up and UP TSLA will continue. BTFD!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by lillybear
UK retail sales beat forecast, pound edges lowerThe British pound has edged lower on Friday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3214, down 0.17% on the day. UK retail sales were a ray of sunshine in March. Monthly, retail sales rose 0.4%, beating the market estimate of -0.4% but below the revised 0.7% increase in February. Clothing sales showed strong growth as shoppers took advantage of the sunny weather. Annualized, retail sales rose 2.6% from a revised 1.8% gain in February and above the market estimate of 1.8%. This was the strongest gain in three months. The strong retail sales was a pleasant surprise but the consumer economy remains fragile. The GfK consumer confidence index deteriorated in April to -23 from -19 and below the market estimate of -22. This was the lowest level since November 2023. Consumers are concerned over the rising cost of living and worsening global trade tensions which has been fuelled by President Trump's tariffs. The GfK survey found that consumers are anxious that inflation will continue to rise due to the US tariffs. The Bank of England is following trade tensions carefully as well. On Thursday, Governor Andrew Bailey said that the BoE was "quite focused on the growth shock" for the UK from the tariffs, although he said the UK was not close to a recession. If the global trade war intensifies, it will weigh on UK growth but will also push inflation lower. President Trump's tariff policy is expected to raise inflation and consumers are anxious that inflation will rise sharply. The UoM consumer inflation expectations index jumped to 6.7% in the initial April release, up from 5.0% in March. Today's final release is expected to confirm this figure, which would mark the highest level since Nov. 1981.
by OANDA
Market trend analysis and unique operation layoutTechnical analysis of gold: From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, and there has been a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, the gold price rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about $3,368-3,370), which has now become an important short-term resistance. Today's opening trend of the gold market is like yesterday. The upward mode started during the Asian session, rising all the way to around $3,370, but encountered strong resistance here, and then turned downward and started a decline. It is worth noting that today's gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by yesterday's European and American sessions, and rebounded after the lowest point fell to $3,265. In view of the important trend of gold prices breaking down key points, the subsequent market is likely to consider the idea of ​​​​swinging and shorting. From the current market structure, the position of $3,260 has become the focus of the market, and investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively breaks, the bearish trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. From the 4-hour chart, the intraday rebound is under pressure from the middle track downward. At present, the K-line has returned to run below the moving average. The short-term trend is bearish. The market may further test the support near the lower track 3260. The short-term upper pressure focuses on the pressure near 3315, which is near the ma5 moving average. Above it is the pressure near the middle track currently moving down to 3338. Relying on these two pressures, there is still room for further decline in the short term, pointing to the previous day's low of 3260, so you can try to buy the bottom with a light position for the first time. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds. The upper short-term focus is on the 3315-3320 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3265-3260 line of support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1