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Fundamental Analysis

CHOCH vs BOS !!WHAT IS BOS ? BOS - break of strucuture. I will use market structure bullish or bearish to understand if the institutions are buying or selling a financial asset. To spot a bullish / bearish market structure we should see a higher highs and higher lows and viceversa, to spot the continuation of the bullish market structure we should see bullish price action above the last old high in the structure this is the BOS. BOS for me is a confirmation that price will go higher after the retracement and we are still in a bullish move WHAT IS CHOCH? CHOCH - change of character. Also known as reversal, when the price fails to make a new higher high or lower low, then the price broke the structure and continue in other direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Snick3rSD
USD/CHF Wedge Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/CHF pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.9138 2nd Resistance – 0.9221 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
EURCHF → Bears increase pressure to lower the priceFX:EURCHF breaks trend support and overall bullish structure. The rising dollar is putting negative pressure on the forex markets The fundamental background for the Eurozone is extremely negative due to Trump's policy and the US in general, especially when it comes to the tariff war. The dollar is strengthening, which generally creates a negative background for the markets. Technically, after breaking the support of the uptrend, the bears are confirming their dominance by keeping the price in the selling zone. Resistance levels: 0.93807, 0.94179 Support levels: 0.93299, 0.92945 A retest of the reversal zone 0.9400 is possible, but at the moment we can focus our attention on 0.93800. Consolidation of the price under this level will provoke further sell-offs. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
Solana (SOL/USD) - Bullish Reversal from Key SupportSolana (SOL) has been in a downtrend, retracing from its previous highs. However, the price is now reacting to a strong support zone around $140 - $101, suggesting a potential reversal toward higher levels. Technical Analysis: ✅ Key Support Holding: The $101 - $140 zone has acted as a strong demand area, preventing further downside. ✅ Bullish Reversal Potential: If buyers maintain momentum, SOL could rally toward the $250 - $260 resistance zone. ✅ Price Structure: Previous price action shows a history of strong rebounds from similar levels, making this a high-probability trade setup. ✅ Resistance Zone: $257 - $260 is the next major target, aligning with historical price action and key resistance. Trade Setup: 🔹 Entry Zone: $143 (Active trade) 🔹 Target: $257 - $260 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $101 (Strong support zone) 🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable for long positions Fundamental Factors to Watch: Market Sentiment: Broader crypto market trends, Bitcoin movement, and overall risk-on sentiment will influence SOL’s price. Solana Ecosystem Growth: Any positive developments in Solana's DeFi, NFTs, or network upgrades could support bullish momentum. Macroeconomic Trends: Interest rate decisions and global liquidity conditions could impact crypto markets. Conclusion: Solana is showing early signs of a bullish reversal from a strong support level. If momentum sustains, SOL could test the $257 resistance in the coming weeks. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation of the uptrend. 📌 Bullish setup in progress! Watch for breakout confirmation and manage risk effectively. 🚀
CRYPTO:SOLUSDLong
by Gold_Traders_Team
I Think March Is Gonna Be a GOOD Month📆🔥 I Think March Is Gonna Be a Good Month! 🚀💡 Bitcoin Dominance and the Altseason Setup 🚀 BTC Dominance Update: Bitcoin's dominance currently sits at 61.63%, and we're seeing some interesting developments in the market! 🔹 Back in the Channel – BTC dominance has climbed back into the ascending channel, a sign that it could continue its upward momentum. However, a drop to 58% or lower would be great for altcoins. 🔹 Major Rejection at 64.5% – The recent wick to 64.5% was a clear rejection, which could indicate that BTC dominance may struggle to push higher in the short term. Historically, these sharp rejections have led to potential shifts in market dynamics. 🔹 Will BTC Dominance Hit 71-73%? – Some analysts expect BTC dominance to test the 71-73% resistance, a historical inflection point that has previously led to strong altseasons. While such a scenario could put pressure on altcoins, the market has evolved, and alts have a much larger share than before. 📉 If BTC dominance fails to break higher and starts reversing, we could see a significant rotation into altcoins. Keep an eye on this trend as it unfolds! 🔥 March could be a pivotal month, and patience might just pay off! If you’re interested in deeper insights, check out my Bitcoin Broken Cycle / Delayed Cycle video from today. 💬 Drop your thoughts below! Will BTC dominance climb higher, or are we on the verge of an altcoin breakout? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 PS. I came across an interesting chart on Twitter and wanted to share the insights with you. I have no intention of advertising anyone, nor do I use others' charts without credit—I always create my own analysis. After all, all good legends create and post on Tradingview📊🔍
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by FX_Professor
1
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - Bullish Momentum Strengthens After Key NewsBitcoin (BTC/USD) has surged in response to fundamental news regarding U.S. crypto policy, sparking strong bullish momentum. The breakout from the support zone and trendline confirmation indicate a potential rally toward key resistance levels. Technical Analysis: ✅ Strong Support at $85,800: BTC found buying interest at this level, forming a higher low and continuing its uptrend. ✅ Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken past the $92,267 buy entry level, signaling bullish continuation. ✅ Key Resistance Zone: The $106,137 level is a major target, aligning with previous price rejections. ✅ Trendline Support: BTC remains above the ascending trendline, reinforcing the uptrend structure. Trade Setup: 🔹 Buy Entry: $92,679 (Active trade) 🔹 Target: $106,000 (Resistance Zone) 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $85,801 (Support Level) 🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable for bullish positions Fundamental Catalyst: 🔥 Crypto Policy Announcement: A pro-crypto stance by former U.S. President Donald Trump has fueled positive sentiment, driving Bitcoin higher. 🔥 Institutional Interest: The growing adoption of Bitcoin by institutions and the potential impact of government policy changes are adding upward pressure. 🔥 Macroeconomic Impact: Federal Reserve policies and economic conditions will influence further price movements. Conclusion: Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, backed by both technical breakouts and fundamental catalysts. If the price sustains above the buy entry zone, a move toward $106,137 is likely. Traders should monitor price action for trend continuation or possible pullbacks. 📌 Bitcoin rally in progress! Manage risk and watch key resistance levels for breakout confirmation! 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Traders_Team
1
GOLD suffered a fierce sell-off, the US Dollar was strongerOANDA:XAUUSD Continuing to endure a fierce sell-off fueled by market profit-taking and a stronger US dollar, the US Dollar Index rose to a 10-day high on Friday of 107.66 amid concerns about US trade policy and data that raised fears of a recession. US President Trump confirmed 25% tariffs will be imposed on Mexican and Canadian products next week, March 4. This increases market uncertainty. Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau said Canada does not want to get into a trade war with the United States, but if the United States imposes tariffs on Canadian goods on March 4, Canada "will immediately have an extremely strong response." Bloomberg said currency traders bought the dollar after US President Trump confirmed he would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico next week. On Friday, the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model predicted that U.S. GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 would be -1.5%, compared with a previous forecast of 2.3%. The US Dollar was boosted after the data was released due to concerns about an economic recession. OANDA:XAUUSD fell to lows in early New York trading on Friday as Wall Street's major indexes opened weak as investors remained cautious about the potential for price pressure from President Trump's policies. As US PCE inflation data was in line with expectations, the data suggested the Federal Reserve may be more cautious in cutting interest rates, which helped the dollar remain at a two-week high. The US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year in January, in line with expectations. The overall PCE price index in the United States increased 0.3% month-on-month and 2.5% year-over-year in January, also in line with expectations. However, “personally” believes that PCE data does not significantly change Fed price expectations, so it essentially has a small impact on gold prices. Spot gold prices fell 2.7% in the past trading week, the largest weekly decline since November last year. Next, the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP), (ADP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports will become important market data. If inflation data rises too high, it could trigger a sharp sell-off in gold, and the opposite effect if slowing inflation data stimulates market bets on the Fed's ability to cut interest rates. Of course, further analysis of the above data will be sent to readers in daily publications. Economic data to watch next week Monday: Euro Flash CPI Estimates, US ISM Manufacturing PMI Wednesday: ADP jobs report; ISM US Services PMI Thursday: European Central Bank Monetary Policy Decision, US Weekly Jobless Claims Friday: US nonfarm payrolls. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week. With its current position, gold does not have enough conditions to continue falling in price as long as gold maintains price activity above 2,835 USD and Fibonacci retracement of 0.382%, along with the Relative Strength Index above 50. On the other hand, a confirmation signal for gold price to end the downward correction cycle is price activity returning to the price channel. However, traders also need to be careful as a new bearish cycle will open up once RSI goes below 50, the price chart is sold below 2,814 USD, so protective positions should be placed behind 2,814 USD. In the short term, gold is still in a downward correction cycle and the notable points will be listed as follows. As for "personally", I continue to defend the view that declines are only short-term corrections and not a sustainable trend, declines can also be considered an opportunity to buy. Support: 2,835 – 2,814USD Resistance: 2,868 – 2,900USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2896 - 2894⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2900 →Take Profit 1 2888 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2882 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2819 - 2821⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2815 →Take Profit 1 2827 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2833
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XRP - Long termIt should be noted that any asset may experience a sudden decrease in value, but XRP has had a slight decrease in price after a 150% increase from the price of $0.50. Although this currency will definitely increase in the future, it is necessary to pay attention to the decreases and make purchases within the price support areas because these support areas are highly regarded by the general public. In this analysis, two limits have been identified that are used to enter the market in the event of a price drop. Sasha Charkhchian
Long
by Sashacharkhchi
2
XAUUSD Weekly Long Term Gold Prices— Bearish Reversal Targets $2,746.58 Amid Fed Uncertainty - Gold fell 2.66% last week, closing at $2,858.14—its first weekly decline in over two months. A stronger U.S. dollar and concerns over delayed Fed rate cuts fueled selling pressure, while global trade tensions failed to lift safe-haven demand for bullion. - The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose 0.3% in January, with core PCE up 2.6% year-over-year, slightly lower than December’s 2.7%. While markets still price in a 79% chance of a June rate cut, the Fed’s cautious approach has dimmed gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Trade Tensions Boost Dollar, Not Gold - Despite rising global trade risks, investors sought refuge in the U.S. dollar rather than gold. The dollar index climbed nearly 0.9%, hitting a two-week high after President Trump reaffirmed tariffs on Mexican, Canadian, and Chinese imports. The stronger dollar made gold more expensive for foreign buyers, further pressuring demand. More Downside Before a Rebound! - Gold remains fundamentally strong due to central bank demand, inflation risks, and geopolitical uncertainties. However, technical signals suggest a deeper pullback. A break below $2,832.72 would confirm a bearish reversal, targeting $2,746.58 in the coming weeks. - A meaningful rebound may require softer U.S. economic data, a more dovish Fed, or heightened geopolitical tensions. Until then, gold could stay under pressure as investors favor cash and the dollar over bullion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GOLDFXCC
Gold weekly swing trade with buy and sell levelsAm looking for Gold to initially rise at market open, I think the disaster which was Trump diplomatic meeting will have an effect on the price of Gold. My stratigy would be to buy until 2879/80 and expect the rejection at 2880 down to 2811 for a total of 200 pips on the buy and 670 pips on the sell. Trade is base on higher time fram support and resistance plus the fact that now we can see the bulls running out of steam the last few trading days. I think the inital market open will rise before continueing to hit resistance and fall. Thee trades are high pip value so you have to be flexable on your stop loss within reason, it is better to use small lot size so you can avoid considerable drawdown if they go wrong. Check out my other trade ideas below
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
Verbal intervention was great but what's on the back?Morning folks, So, the pullback that we were waiting for is done. Although we thought that it will be driven by some natural forces and reasons. The way how it has happened and by what factors make us to be caution on its perspectives. Indeed, it was just verbal intervention from D. Trump. It had bad week - scandal in White House with Zelensky, stocks are falling, crypto are falling, inflation expectations are raising, March debt ceil and shutdown is almost here, EU "allies" do not want to work together... So, to say couple of words and pump the market is not a bad idea at all. But, what is on the back? Nothing. Special Committee will make Reserve report only by July. I'm sure on crypto Summit this week we also will hear a lot of bravery speeches, but this is just words. This is a reason why we do not want to buy BTC now and prefer to watch for reversal signs around our resistance 96-97K area. Sooner or later but fundamentals should return control over the market. I do not have yet the specific picture but, since we have strong upside momentum - it should fade and appearing, say H&S or butterfly pattern, together with completion upside XOP target seems as great combination. Once this patterns will be formed, we could try to use it for short entry.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
GOLD may continue to fall after correction to 2876- Gold is trading in a phase of deep correction after reaching local highs. - The price formed a false breakdown of the key support level, which may indicate the liquidation of weak positions before a possible corrective growth. - The dollar index (DXY) shows growth, which puts additional pressure on gold. Liquidation and reaction - There was a longs liquidation after the double top formation, which triggered an impulsive decline. - The price tested the liquidity zone near $2852 and formed a rebound. - A return to 0.5 Fibo ($2876.8) is possible, after which big players may sell the price down again. - The area of interest of market-makers can be seen around $2852. - Potential zone for selling is $2876-$2890 area (local imbalance). - Support: $2852 (liquidity zone), $2825 (next support level). - Resistance: $2876 (0.5 Fibo), $2890-$2900 (key selling zone). - Key formations: Double top → decline → false breakdown → formation of “W”-shaped structure. Conclusion - Short-term: a pullback to $2876 is possible. - Long-term: if the price does not consolidate above $2876-$2890, the probability of the downside continuation remains high. - SMC indicates bearish control until there is a break of the structure on the higher timeframe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
1
SPX: break of long term trend-lineThe game of nerves could be one of descriptions of developments on the US equity markets during the previous week. It was a heavy week due to a significant drop in the value of the S&P 500 but also other US equity indexes. The index declined about 1% during the previous week, and 1,4% since the beginning of February. Friday brought back significant buyers, where the index managed to end the week at the level of 5.954. The lowest weekly level was at 5.840. Tech companies were trying to hold, however, the majority ended February in a negative territory. Tesla is one of the most hit companies, with a weekly loss of around 16%. Analysts are noting that this represents the highest weekly loss of TSLA since December 2022. Other large companies also had significant drop, where Nvidia lost around 10%, while Palantir was down by around 19%, after recently reaching the historically highest level. On the other hand, companies within the financial sector performed in a positive manner, rising 1,3% for the week. When looking at the daily chart of S&P 500, the major support line was clearly breached. This line connects historical lows from October 2023, August 2024 and January 2025. It has been clearly breached on Thursday, however, Friday trading session brought the index back toward this line, but this time from the down side. Whether Friday's positive sentiment will continue is to be seen on Monday. For the moment the US equity market is under strong influence of geopolitical topics and potential trade tariffs. In addition, it should be considered that NFP data will be published in a week ahead, which might influence some higher volatility.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
GBP/USD Kicking Off March 2025 and Ending Q1Monthly View: The February monthly candle closed bullish, remaining within the Buy Side Imbalance (BISI) formed in November, which is still being respected. Liquidity was swept in January, indicating that price is still being magnetized towards the imbalance and the level of 1.2800. I anticipate that price might trade below the monthly close before making an upward move. Weekly View: The weekly candle closed bearish and tapped into a weekly BISI at 1.2560, where a reaction could occur. My main focus is on the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 1.2550, which could act as the final support before targeting 1.2700 and possibly higher. Note that after recent meetings, the dollar strengthened, causing price to drop and leaving behind a daily sell-side inefficiency. I would like to see price fill this inefficiency before taking out liquidity at 1.2550 and 1.2800. Daily View: The daily FVG at 1.2550 is crucial and could be the final support level before targeting 1.2700 and potentially higher. 4-Hour View: There is a bearish FVG and liquidity at 1.2645, which might influence price movements. 1-Hour View: The 1-hour chart is heavily bearish and currently in a Sell Side Imbalance (SISI) that might drive the price lower at the open. I expect price to potentially take out 1.2550 and find support at 1.2530 before heading upwards. Keep an eye on upcoming news this week including nfp Key Levels to Watch: 1.2800 (monthly target) 1.2560 (weekly BISI) 1.2550 (daily FVG and potential support) 1.2645 (4-hour bearish FVG and liquidity) 1.2550 and 1.2530 (1-hour support levels)
Long
by hskarue
Gold, An upward movement incoming ?Hello traders, I hope you are great. our latest analysis on Gold hit all its targets and we gained a profit of around 800 pips; but what's next ? Will the price continue its downward correction or not ? Let's clarify things a bit to make decision making easier for ourselves: With the delayed possibility of a ceasefire in the war between Ukraine and Russia, as well as existing tensions between the USA and other countries, the likelihood of a continued correction in gold has diminished at least in the short term. We should also keep in mind that there is a possibility of renewed conflict between Hamas and Israel in the upcoming Days. If we have consider these factors together, it seems to me there is at least a chance of another upward movement in Gold. Targets have determined by Blue dashed lines. And finally Tell me What are your thoughts about GOLD ? UP or DOWN ? comment your opinion below this post.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by aminrzb
1
March 4 tariff planningMarch 4 tariff planning: likely minimum pressure down. either today or tomoro further extend of flush depends on trump's upcoming announcement Check out our socials for some nice insights. Let us know if there're any pair you like to see or if this is something you like. Do ask if you have any question Not as refined as our direct trade setups. More for advanced active traders. information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice! NOT financial advice
Short
by Mabelm
Gold price analysis March 3💥Fundamental Analysis European leaders are drafting a peace plan to present to Washington, raising hopes for a resolution to the conflict. This optimism has pushed the Euro (EUR) to rise sharply, putting pressure on the US Dollar (USD) and pulling gold prices back up. In addition, the USD continued to weaken as China's manufacturing PMI data beat expectations, indicating an improvement in the global economy. The cryptocurrency market also recorded a strong recovery after former President Donald Trump directed the establishment of a Strategic Reserve of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana and Cardano. This further increased pressure on the USD, helping gold regain momentum after two days of downward correction last week. 💥Technical Analysis Gold prices are recovering towards resistance at 2890. Last week's old bottom support at 2836 is also important at the moment. These two zones are considered as two notable price zones, closing above these two zones is confirmation of strong trend continuation. 2782 is considered as Gold's weekly support zone. 2916 acts as the only barrier before Gold moves to the next ATH. Note the important price zones for BUY and SELL signals
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader