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Fundamental Analysis

LYFT stock is a grower and undervalued, future 10x ?LYFT stock is trading a low pe and has a potential smooth 25% annual growth rate to EPS for next years. PE price /earnings is low at around 11. More cash than debt on the balance sheet, making them a little cheaper. easily should be worth 20-25 PE for a fair price. Growth rate should make LYFT even trade a potential premium. Im in for the value, but if retail gets behind LYFT, could be more exciting even. Cheers, be safe. #LYFT #LYFTstock #uber #Ev #AV #tesla #rivian #autonomousvehigles
NASDAQ:LYFTLong
by ValuePig
2
NASDAQ Harmonic pattern indicating strong bounce incoming.AI vs. Dot-Com Bubble When drawing parallels between #AI and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, many express concerns that current valuations may be excessively inflated. However, significant differences are apparent. To begin with, the current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the NASDAQ-100 is approximately 30, whereas during the dot-com bubble, it skyrocketed to 200, with many companies lacking any earnings in sight. Additionally, the market capitalisation to #GDP ratio reached unprecedented levels in the late 1990s, while today's figures, although still high, are supported by robust earnings and solid cash flows from established business models. Innovations in AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation have fuelled revenue growth, exemplified by #NVIDIA's data centre sales, which surged 409% year-over-year in Q4 2024, and Microsoft's Azure, which experienced a 28% year-over-year increase in 2024. This surge in productivity is being driven by individuals, businesses, and governments alike. As a result, major tech firms are making substantial investments in AI research and development, with clear strategies for monetisation. AI is poised to become a transformative force, akin to the transistor, a groundbreaking invention that scales effectively and permeates various sectors of the economy. Lastly, the Federal Reserve raised interest #rates to 6.5% to tackle inflation after previously lowering them to address Y2K concerns before the bubble burst in 2000. In contrast, current expectations suggest that interest rates will stabilise or decrease, which would support valuations.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by BallaJi
1
SOL - Breakout Retest & FVG Target This 4-hour SOL/USDT chart shows a breakout retest at a key support level, with a potential move toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG). Key Observations: 🔹 Breakout & Retest: Price has broken below the trendline and is now stabilizing near support. 🔹 FVG Target: A bullish reaction from this level could send SOL toward the FVG before further continuation. 🔹 Potential Bullish Structure: A strong bounce could lead to higher highs, while failure to hold may invalidate the setup. Will SOL confirm this bullish scenario? Let’s watch how it reacts! 📈🔥
Long
by wdstrades
3
Middle East heats up, GOLD rises more than 20 USDIn the Asian trading session, the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly jumped by more than 20 USD in the short term and the gold price just touched 3,135 USD/ounce. The situation in the Middle East suddenly became tense and the US Department of Defense sent more aircraft carriers and bombers to the Middle East, increasing risk aversion, which boosted the demand for safe havens. The latest news from Bloomberg News in the US said that in the context of the US declaring to continue the fight against the Iran-backed Houthi rebels and escalating tensions with Iran over Iran's nuclear program, US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth ordered the dispatch of more troops to the Middle East, including the USS Carl Vinson aircraft carrier strike group and many fighter jets. The Carl Vinson will arrive in the region after completing the Indo-Pacific exercise. Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell said in a statement Tuesday that the Defense Department will also extend the deployment of the USS Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group in the region. The rare deployment of two aircraft carriers echoes a show of force last year under the Biden administration. "Secretary Hegseth made clear once again that if Iran or its proxies threaten U.S. personnel and interests in the region, the United States will take decisive action to protect our people," Parnell said. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on Monday that any attack by the United States or Israel would be met with "decisive retaliation." US President Donald Trump has previously threatened to bomb Iran if it does not sign a deal to give up its nuclear weapons. Last week, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said there would be no direct talks with the United States as long as the Trump administration continued its "military threats." "If there is no deal, the bombing will come," Trump warned in an interview last weekend. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold tested the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level and declined slightly after receiving support from the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level. As we have communicated to our readers in previous publications, given the current fundamental context and technical chart conditions, further price declines are possible, but should only be considered as short-term corrections and not a trend. Or we can consider the downward corrections as another buying opportunity. As long as gold remains within the price channel, there is still a long-term main uptrend, with the main support from the EMA21 and the short-term trend is highlighted by the price channel. For now, gold is capped by the $3,135 level, once this level is broken above gold, there will be conditions to continue to refresh the all-time high set on yesterday's trading day with the next target being the $3,172 price point of the 1% Fibonacci extension. During the day, the bullish outlook of gold will be highlighted by the following technical levels. Support: $3,108 – $3,100 – $3,086 Resistance: $3,135 – $3,149 – $3,172 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3171 - 3169⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3175 →Take Profit 1 3163 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3157 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3085 - 3087⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3081 →Take Profit 1 3093 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3099
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan for April 3, 2025🧠 Smart Money Concepts x Fundamental Flow Despite negative USD news (ADP & ISM) and Trump’s hawkish blurbs, Gold didn’t pop aggressively — it wicked up into premium supply, then quickly retraced. That’s a liquidity game, not a trend change (yet). Still bullish bias overall, but intraday looks mixed. 🧭 Bigger Picture – D1/H4 Price rejected strongly from the premium supply zone near 3144–3147, leaving a clear wick with imbalance underneath. Bullish structure remains valid, but we're seeing a potential distribution pattern short-term. Trendline liquidity & HLs are stacking up below, ideal for a grab. 🟩 Demand zones of interest: 3107–3115 (discount zone, strong reaction in prior sessions) 3086–3092 (last known rally base) 📌 Key Zones 🔵 Premium supply: 3144–3147 🟡 Buyside liquidity: 3147–3155 🟦 Sellside liquidity grab zone: 3107–3115 🟢 Strong demand: 3086–3092 🔴 Major liquidity draw: 3180 zone (untouched weekly magnet) 🧩 SCENARIO 1 – 🐂 “Power of Discount” Buy Setup “When in doubt, hunt the imbalance out.” Price dips toward 3115–3107, taps imbalance + OB, shows M5/MS shift Confirmation + sniper long TP1: 3142 (last high), TP2: 3180 if momentum kicks in 🎯 Confluences: Discount OB zone + unfilled imbalance Trendline tap + BOS + liquidity grab Weak DXY context 🧩 SCENARIO 2 – 🐂 Trap, Swipe & Rally Buy Deep sweep to 3086 zone Reversal signs after stop hunt / equal low grab Entry on CHoCH or breaker retest (M15 or M5) TP1: 3140, TP2: 3180 💡 This is the “maximum pain = maximum profit” play. 🧩 SCENARIO 3 – 🐻 Premium Rejection Intraday Sell “Supply hits, market flips.” Price tests 3144–3147 again in early session No BOS on M5, shows weakness (M5/M15 LH + CHoCH) Sell into imbalance zones TP1: 3127, TP2: 3110 ⚠️ Only take this if we don’t break above 3147. Watch liquidity wicks! 🧩 SCENARIO 4 – 🐻 Fake Pump & Dump Price spikes through PDH, into 3155–3160 Quick rejection (news-induced spike or algo trap) Sell setup on lower TF reversal after liquidity sweep TP to 3115 zone 🎭 A classic “grab & go” trap. Great RR but needs discipline. 📰 Macro Watch – April 3, 2025 Fed speakers are lining up — watch for dollar volatility 👀 China PMI during Asia could boost metals DXY might stay weak → keep gold supported Gold is at ATH regions = more manipulation + fakeouts!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
$NASDAQ:TLRY Up in Smoke or Waiting for the Puff and Pump?NASDAQ:TLRY Up in Smoke or Waiting for the Puff and Pump? Left for Dead or a Sleeper Rocket in the Making? 🚀 Alright, let’s talk about Tilray (TLRY). I know what you’re thinking: this thing’s been taken behind the woodshed, beaten, and then fed through the wood chipper—twice. Technically speaking, it’s been in a brutal downtrend. But here's where it gets interesting... Since December, I’ve been noticing signs of quiet accumulation. Volume patterns are showing life. This isn’t just random noise... it looks like smart money nibbling while the rest of the market sleeps. Fundamentally, it's trading at 0.68x sales and a crazy 0.17x price to book. That’s deep value territory... basically priced like it’s going out of business, which it’s not. Cannabis isn’t going anywhere, and when this sector comes back (and it will), I want to already be on the launchpad. Now imagine a scenario: Trump leans on Musk-style libertarian logic, and pushes for federal legalization to fill the coffers with tax revenue (and their pockets as they and their friends will be ahead of the trend as all politicians at that level are). Boom. You think this thing trades at 65 cents for long? Me neither. I’m not saying we’re going to $5 next week....but the risk/reward here feels very asymmetrical. Worst case? We chop sideways or retest lows. Best case? We get a face-melter rally that TLRY has shown it's capable of in the past. This is precisely the kind of chart I look for. Beaten up, forgotten, but technically setting up... and fundamentally undervalued. Not financial advice. Just sharing my thinking as someone who loves deep contrarian setups.
NASDAQ:TLRYLong
by VeloGuy
1
XAG/USD Bullish Setup - Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetChart Overview Asset: Silver / U.S. Dollar (XAG/USD) Timeframe: 1-hour (1H) Date and Time: Published on April 2, 2025, at 11:17 UTC Publisher: GoldMasterTraders on TradingView Current Price (at the time of the chart): Open: 33.82300 High: 33.89005 Low: 33.79435 Close: 33.88880 Change: -0.05780 (-0.20%) Price on the Right Axis: The price scale ranges from approximately 32.80000 to 35.25000, with the current price around 33.88880. Chart Elements and Technical Analysis 1. Candlestick Price Action The chart displays a 1-hour candlestick representation of XAG/USD, showing price movements from late March to early April 2025. Trend Context: Prior to the formation of the pattern, the price experienced a sharp rally from around 32.80000 (March 21) to a high near 34.60000 (March 27). This indicates a strong bullish trend. Following this rally, the price entered a consolidation phase, forming lower highs and lower lows, which is characteristic of the Falling Wedge pattern. Recent Price Action: On April 2, the price appears to have broken out of the wedge pattern, closing above the upper trendline with a strong bullish candle. The current price of 33.88880 is above the breakout level, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend. 2. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge Pattern Identification: The chart highlights a Falling Wedge pattern, a bullish chart pattern that can act as either a reversal or continuation pattern. In this case, given the preceding uptrend, it’s likely a continuation pattern. A Falling Wedge is characterized by two converging trendlines: Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward. Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle than the upper trendline. The wedge started forming around March 27, after the price peaked near 34.60000, and continued until the breakout on April 2. Pattern Dynamics: The narrowing range between the trendlines indicates decreasing selling pressure and a potential buildup of buying interest. Falling Wedges typically resolve with a breakout to the upside, as the price breaks above the upper trendline, signaling a resumption of the prior trend (bullish in this case). Breakout Confirmation: The price broke above the upper trendline of the wedge on April 2, with a strong bullish candle closing at 33.88880. This breakout is a key signal for a potential upward move. The breakout level appears to be around 33.85000–33.90000, and the price is currently holding above this level, which is a positive sign for bulls. 3. Key Support and Resistance Levels Support Level: A horizontal support zone is marked around 33.58553 (approximately 33.58–33.60). This level acted as a significant support during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 28 and March 31). The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its importance as a key area of buying interest. Resistance Level: A resistance zone is marked around 34.60000 (approximately 34.60–34.80). This level corresponds to the high reached on March 27, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged. After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move. Target Level: The target for the breakout is projected at 34.82470 (approximately 34.82). This target is likely calculated using the standard method for wedge patterns: measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point. The target of 34.82470 is just above the resistance zone, suggesting that a break above 34.60000 could lead to further upside toward this level. 4. Stop Loss and Risk Management Stop Loss: The stop loss is suggested below the support level at 33.58553. Placing the stop loss below this level ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a controlled loss. The distance from the breakout level (around 33.90000) to the stop loss (33.58553) is approximately 0.31447, which represents the risk on the trade. Risk-Reward Ratio: The chart indicates a risk-reward ratio of 0.9467 (2.80% / 9,469.7). The potential reward is the distance from the breakout level (33.90000) to the target (34.82470), which is approximately 0.92470, or a 2.80% gain. The risk is the distance to the stop loss (0.31447), making the risk-reward ratio approximately 2.94:1 (0.92470 / 0.31447), which is favorable for a trading setup. 5. Additional Annotations Arrows and Labels: A blue arrow labeled “Falling Wedge” points to the pattern, clearly identifying it for viewers. A green arrow labeled “Support Level” points to the 33.58553 zone, indicating where buyers have stepped in. A red arrow labeled “Resistance Level” points to the 34.60000 zone, highlighting the next significant barrier. A blue arrow labeled “Target” points to 34.82470, showing the projected price objective. A blue arrow labeled “Stop Loss” points to 33.58553, indicating the risk management level. Price Labels on the Right Axis: The right axis shows key price levels, with the current ask price at 33.89900 (red) and bid price at 33.88558 (black), reflecting the live market spread. Trading Setup Breakdown Based on the chart, here’s the detailed trading setup: Entry: Position: Long (buy) XAG/USD. Entry Point: The setup suggests entering after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around 33.85000–33.90000 on April 2. Confirmation: The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline, with the current price at 33.88880, slightly below the high of 33.89005 but still above the breakout level. Traders might wait for a retest of the breakout level (now acting as support) for a safer entry, though this isn’t explicitly suggested in the chart. Stop Loss: Level: Place the stop loss below the support level at 33.58553. Rationale: This placement protects against a false breakout. If the price falls back below the wedge’s upper trendline and breaches the support, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and the trade should be exited. Risk: The distance from the entry (33.90000) to the stop loss (33.58553) is 0.31447, or approximately 0.93% of the entry price. Take Profit/Target: Level: The target is set at 34.82470. Rationale: This target is derived from the height of the wedge projected upward from the breakout point. It also aligns with a logical extension beyond the resistance at 34.60000. Reward: The distance from the entry (33.90000) to the target (34.82470) is 0.92470, or approximately 2.80% of the entry price. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk-reward ratio is approximately 2.94:1, which is attractive for a trading setup. For every unit of risk (0.31447), the potential reward is nearly 3 units (0.92470). Trade Management: Trailing Stop: Once the price approaches the resistance at 34.60000, traders might consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits, especially if the price shows signs of stalling. Partial Profit Taking: Some traders might take partial profits at the resistance level (34.60000) and let the remaining position run toward the target. Broader Market Context Trend Analysis: The broader trend before the wedge was bullish, as evidenced by the rally from 32.80000 to 34.60000. The Falling Wedge, therefore, acts as a consolidation within this uptrend, and the breakout suggests a continuation of the bullish trend. The price action after the breakout will be critical. A strong move toward 34.60000 with high volume would confirm the bullish momentum. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout includes: Volume: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest. Momentum: A bullish signal from indicators like RSI (e.g., moving above 50 or 70) or MACD (e.g., a bullish crossover). Traders should check these indicators to validate the breakout’s strength. Market Factors: Silver prices are influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, interest rates, inflation expectations, and geopolitical events. On April 2, 2025, traders should consider: U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): A weakening dollar typically supports higher silver prices. Economic Data: Key releases like U.S. non-farm payrolls, inflation data, or Federal Reserve statements around this time could impact silver. Geopolitical Events: Any risk-off sentiment (e.g., due to global tensions) could drive safe-haven demand for silver. Potential Risks and Considerations False Breakout: If the price fails to hold above the breakout level (33.85000–33.90000) and falls back into the wedge, the setup is invalidated. The stop loss at 33.58553 mitigates this risk. Resistance at 34.60000: The resistance level has previously capped the price, and there’s a risk of rejection at this level. Traders should watch for bearish price action (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing candle) near 34.60000. Market Volatility: Silver can be volatile, especially on a 1-hour timeframe. Unexpected news or economic data could lead to sharp price swings, potentially triggering the stop loss prematurely. Timeframe Limitations: This is a short-term setup on a 1-hour chart, so the target might be reached within hours to a couple of days. However, intraday noise could lead to choppy price action, requiring active trade management. Conclusion The TradingView chart by GoldMasterTraders presents a well-structured bullish trading setup for XAG/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern. The price has broken out above the wedge’s upper trendline on April 2, 2025, signaling a potential move toward the target of 34.82470. Key levels include support at 33.58553 (where the stop loss is placed) and resistance at 34.60000, which the price must overcome to reach the target. The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.94:1, making it an attractive trade for short-term traders. However, traders should confirm the breakout with additional indicators (e.g., volume, RSI) and monitor broader market conditions, as this chart is a snapshot from April 2, 2025, and market dynamics may have evolved since then. If you’d like to search for more recent data on XAG/USD or check the outcome of this setup, I can assist with that!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Can Gold Continue Higher? Last month, I pointed out that Large Speculators started to close out their net-long positions in Gold futures, betting on the possibility of a reversal as they attempted to time the market turn at all-time highs. This behavior continued for several weeks, yet Gold’s price continued its upward rally, leaving many traders scratching their heads. What’s particularly puzzling is the lack of chasing in this rally, especially considering the massive price movement since then. This is particularly surprising because Large Speculators, for the most part, are trend-followers — and right now, the trend in Gold is unmistakably bullish. When comparing positioning in Gold to Silver, there’s a distinct difference. While Large Speculators initially followed the rally in Silver, continuing to buy as Silver lagged behind Gold, this strategy was much more reactive. Silver’s underperformance relative to Gold made sense, given that Silver is more crowded than Gold — meaning there’s less demand and fewer buyers. The key takeaway from this analysis is that the Commitment of Traders (COT) report can offer valuable insights into which market presents the better risk/reward trade. In this case, the COT report highlighted Gold as the superior trend to follow, especially for traders looking to capitalize on precious metals amidst all the tariff news and rising market uncertainty. By using the COT, traders can refine their strategies to focus on trends with more significant potential, rather than getting distracted by more volatile, crowded trades.
COMEX:GC1!
by Crowded_Market_Report
Regional shocks, friends holding positions should pay attention!Technical analysis of gold: Gold first rose and then fell, but the subsequent rebound was indeed quite strong, exceeding our expectations. Gold fell into a large range of fluctuations, which added a certain degree of difficulty to the operation. Although gold rebounded beyond expectations, it still did not break through today's high point, so it is still under pressure in the range of the head and shoulders top pattern. At most, it is still a shock, and there is no need to think about whether it will rise sharply. The 1-hour moving average of gold has gradually begun to show signs of turning, and the 1-hour gold is also a head and shoulders top pattern. Even if it is pulled back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There are more data in the second half of this week, and there are also important events. So gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold go out of a new round of direction. If gold does not break through the intraday high, we will continue to focus on high altitude. Retracement is supplemented by long positions. Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to 3130-3035, stop loss at 3140, target 3120-3110; long gold when it falls back to 3110-3100, target 3120-3130. Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform us in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Gold Price Analysis April 2The D1 candle has a red candle and the selling pressure has started to take profit of Gold but it is still unclear. The most recent H4 candle cluster shows 2 important price zones 3135 and 3108. Breaking this boundary will form a new trend. Trading plan: Gold pushes to 3108 and does not break this zone in the European session, then BUY GOLD to 3124. At the end of the European session, if it breaks 3124, then keep the order to 3135 and 3164 in the US session if it breaks the resistance. If it breaks 3108, do not buy anymore but wait for Sell Break out 3108, target day 3084, pay attention to the price reaction at 3100 (resistance of last night's session). If 3100 is broken, then SELL DCA, not BUY at 3100. Scenario 2: Price does not return to 3108 first but to 3124 in the European session. If it is not broken, then SELL 3124 to 3108 and breaks the 3108 area in the US session, then the TP scenario is the same as scenario 1. If 3124 is broken, then 3135 waits for a breakout when it breaks, it will be better to SELL down today. (Note the SELL scalp point around 3142)
TVC:GOLD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyGold prices hit a new all-time high as investors seek safe haven assets amid growing uncertainty in the global economy. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week. In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound. Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year. In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2. In short, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
#XAUSUD: Small Time Bearish Correction With Three Take Profit! After reaching a record high of $3,150, the XAUUSD currency pair has experienced a decline. Analysis conducted over the past few hours has led us to anticipate that the price may experience minor corrections within a short time frame. Upon analysing the data and price movements, we have identified three distinct zones or targets that could serve as potential price levels for the XAUUSD pair. For further insights into chart analysis, please consider liking and commenting on our content. We appreciate your continuous support. Sincerely, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Setupsfx_
Buy BitcoinThe idea that Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) tend to go up around 70 days after global liquidity (M2) increases is based on how liquidity drives risk asset prices—especially in speculative markets like crypto. Here's a breakdown of why this happens, particularly with the 70-day lag: 🔍 What is M2 Global Liquidity? M2 includes: Cash Checking deposits Savings accounts Other near-money assets When global M2 increases, it usually means central banks are easing (e.g., lowering rates, injecting liquidity), which tends to: Increase money supply Lower the cost of capital Make riskier assets more attractive 💸 Why Does BTC/ETH React to M2? Crypto = High-Beta Asset Class BTC and ETH are risk-on assets, meaning they thrive when: Investors are optimistic There's more disposable capital floating around Liquidity Flows Down the Risk Curve When liquidity enters the system: It first boosts safe assets (e.g., bonds, large-cap stocks) Then mid-cap equities Finally flows into speculative plays like crypto Crypto’s Reaction is Delayed (~70 Days) This 70-day lag happens because: Institutions take time to reallocate capital Retail follows after they see initial market strength It takes time for M2 to affect sentiment, demand, and actual buying 📊 Empirical Backing Analysts like Arthur Hayes, Macro Alf, and others have noted: BTC price often correlates with global M2, with a lag of 60–90 days Crypto tends to front-run rate cuts, but lags money supply changes ⏱️ Summary: Why the 70-Day Lag? Cause Effect Global M2 rises Money becomes more available Institutions adjust portfolios Risk-on flows begin Investors re-enter crypto Demand for BTC/ETH increases ~70 days later BTC/ETH prices begin to climb
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by rossjohnson47
Australian dollar rally continues, Trump tariffs loomThe Australian dollar has posted strong gains for a second straight day. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6306, up 0.47% on the day. The Reserve Bank of Australia maintained the cash rate at 4.10% on Tuesday, in a move that was widely expected by markets. Still, the Australian dollar reacted positively, gaining 0.48% on Tuesday. The RBA statement noted that underlying inflation continued to ease in line with the Bank's forecast, but the Board "needs to be confident that this progress will continue" so that inflation remains sustainable at the midpoint of the 2%-3% target band. The statement said there was "significant" uncertainty over global trade developments, pointing to the threat of further US tariffs and possible counter-tariffs from targeted countries. The central bank's decision was made in the midst of a hotly contested election campaign, and a rate cut would likely have been attacked by the opposition parties as political interference. In a press conference after the meeting, Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged the uncertainty over the global outlook due to US trade policy but sought to assure the markets by saying that Australia was "well placed" to weather the potential storm of a global trade war. US President Trump has not specifically targeted Australia with any tariffs but China is Australia's number one trading partner and a US-China trade war would inflict damage on Australia's economy. The new US tariffs are expected to be announced later today and take effect on Thursday. The financial markets remain volatile as investors look for some clarity from Washington about the tariffs, as it remains unclear which countries will be targeted and the extent of the tariff rates.
by OANDA
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Shares Drop Over 7%Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Shares Drop Over 7% As the chart shows, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) shares declined by approximately 7.6%, reaching their lowest level since late February. This marked one of the worst performances in the stock market yesterday. Why Did JNJ Shares Fall? Two major bearish factors contributed to the decline: A Texas judge rejected Johnson & Johnson's third attempt to settle lawsuits related to allegations that its baby powder and other talc-based products harmed consumers. On Tuesday, Johnson & Johnson announced that its upcoming acquisition of Intra-Cellular Therapies is expected to dilute adjusted earnings per share by approximately $0.25 for the full year 2025. Investors appear to have reacted negatively to this outlook, despite the company’s expectation that the deal will generate around $700 million in additional sales. Technical Analysis of JNJ Stock Chart Price movements in 2025 have formed an ascending channel (marked in blue), with indicators highlighting how: → The channel’s boundaries have acted as support and resistance levels. → The channel’s median line has served as a “magnet” for price action, reflecting the balance between supply and demand. As JNJ's share price approaches the lower boundary (circled), just above the psychological support level at $150—previously a key level in February—traders have reasons to anticipate that the decline may slow down or even lead to a significant rebound from this support area. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:JNJ
by FXOpen
BTC/USD Bullish Breakout from Rectangle PatternOverview: The chart represents Bitcoin's price action against the US Dollar on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a Rectangle Pattern Breakout with a well-structured trade setup. This analysis will break down the pattern, key levels, and possible trading scenarios. 1️⃣ Chart Pattern Breakdown – Rectangle Consolidation The price has been moving within a rectangle pattern (range-bound movement), where Bitcoin found support at lower levels and faced resistance at the upper boundary. Rectangle Pattern: A continuation/consolidation pattern where price fluctuates between horizontal resistance and support before breaking out. Curve Formation: The price action within the rectangle also forms a rounding bottom, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. Breakout Confirmation: BTC has broken out from the rectangle, suggesting bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels 🔹 Support Level ($84,110) This zone has acted as a strong demand area, preventing the price from falling further. Buyers consistently stepped in at this level, making it a significant psychological floor for Bitcoin. 🔹 Resistance Level ($86,850 - $87,000 Zone) This level had previously rejected upward movements, leading to multiple price pullbacks. After the breakout, this area is expected to act as a new support level upon a retest. 🔹 Target Price ($89,931 – Next Resistance Zone) If the breakout sustains, the next key target for bulls is around $89,931, based on prior resistance zones and technical projections. 🔹 Stop Loss ($84,110 – Below Support Zone) A stop loss below the support zone ensures risk management in case of a false breakout. 3️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution 📌 Entry Point – After price confirms the breakout above the rectangle’s resistance. Traders should wait for: A pullback and retest of the broken resistance, which should now act as support. A strong bullish candle confirming continuation. 📌 Take Profit (TP) – $89,931, based on historical resistance levels and price projection from the rectangle range. 📌 Stop Loss (SL) – Placed at $84,110, below the rectangle’s previous support zone to minimize downside risk. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) – The setup offers a favorable RRR, meaning potential profits outweigh the risks. 4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Additional Factors ✔ Bullish Outlook – The breakout signals strong buying interest and potential upside continuation. ✔ Volume Confirmation – Traders should monitor volume spikes during the breakout to confirm institutional participation. ✔ Economic Events & News – External factors like macroeconomic data or Bitcoin-related news can impact price action. Conclusion – BTC/USD Trading Setup Pattern Identified: Rectangle Pattern Breakout Current Trend: Bullish breakout from consolidation Trade Type: Long position (Buy setup) Key Levels: ✅ Support: $84,110 ✅ Resistance: $86,850 - $87,000 ✅ Target: $89,931 ✅ Stop Loss: $84,110 🔥 Final Thought : Bitcoin has broken out of a key consolidation range, signaling a bullish move towards $89,931. Traders should wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly! 🚀📈
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Update XAUUSD Intraday Battle Plan"Gold never sleeps… but it might fake you out first!" 🤫 🟢 Buy Scenario 1 – “The Spring Trap” 💧 If price sweeps liquidity below 3107 zone (grab zone + FVG), be ready for a bounce. Entry zone: 3100 – 3107 Confluences: Valid FVG + Imbalance Strong rejection already shown from this area Trendline liquidity trap below Buy-side OB forming (watch M15/M30 for confirmation) SL: Below 3090 TP1: 3125 TP2: 3140 Note: A classic liquidity sweep to trap bears before a news-driven reversal? Don’t blink. 👀 🟢 Buy Scenario 2 – “The Bounce of Faith” 🧗 If price respects the trendline and discount zone without grabbing 3100. Entry: 3112 – 3117 SL: 3106 TP1: 3135 TP2: 3147 – PDH Confluences: Equilibrium + strong bullish reaction from previous HL CHoCH confirmed on LTF Divergence on RSI (M15) might cook a sniper launch 🚀 🔴 Sell Scenario 1 – “The Fakeout Masterclass” 🎭 If price retests supply zone 3145–3150 and fails to break PDH (3148) Entry zone: 3145 – 3150 SL: 3155 TP1: 3130 TP2: 3112 Confluences: Weak high + premium zone PDH liquidity magnet → sell-side grab potential Bearish OB forming on M15 Reminder: Respect the zone—don’t marry the bias. 💍 🔴 Sell Scenario 2 – “The Trap Breaker” ⚔️ If ascending triangle fails & price nukes below 3110. Entry: 3110–3105 (after CHoCH or BOS on LTF) SL: 3117 TP1: 3096 TP2: 3086 (stronger OB zone) Fuel: Momentum + stop hunt + potential shift from bullish to correctional structure 📢 News Watch – April 2, 2025 ⚠️ ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (15:15 GMT+2) Big mover, early warning before NFP. More jobs = bearish gold. ⚠️ ISM Services PMI (17:00 GMT+2) High impact. Strong services = stronger USD → bearish for gold. 📌 Expect volatility spikes. Best entries = after liquidity grabs post-news. 🧨 Final Words Be patient. Let price come to your zone. Set alerts. Don’t chase—trap it like a sniper. 🎯 💬 Drop a follow & smash that ❤️ if this plan made your day easier. Let’s ride the gold wave together 🌊⚡
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD sell Again, this is a “parental advisory” just ahead of the main event for this Wednesday. With the primary tailwind for the Goldrush set to be officially announced, the “buy the rumour, sell the fact” rule of thumb should be considered. The risk could be that once the reciprocal tariffs take effect on Wednesday, only easing due to profit-taking in Gold could occur once separate trade agreements and partial unwinds take place. XAUUSD sell 3133 Support 3121 Support 3116 Support 3107 Resistance 3150
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stiven088
USD/JPY Stands Firm, But Volatility ExpectedVolatility has receded with less than 20-hours to go until Trump's tariffs are officially implemented, with traders now clearly in watch-and-wait mode. So while headline risks around tariffs remain in place, moves could remain limited unless traders are treated to any last-minute negotiations. Typically, risk has benefitted when it has been expected that tariffs have been watered down. If that turns out to be the case by Trump's speech at 4pm ET Wednesday, indices could rise alongside the US dollar and the yen weaken. Bit of course, the opposite is true. And that could weigh on USD/JPY. Rightly or wrongly, I'm feeling optimistic and now seeing a bounce on USD/JPY. Two bullish pinbars found support and close above the 20-day SMA and monthly pivot point. The bias remains bullish while prices remain above Monday's low, and a break above 150 brings the 200-day SMA, February VPOPC and 152 handle into focus. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex