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Fundamental Analysis

"The Wall" QQQ Short Setup on Weekly Chart - Bye bye profitsThere is an old saying when you look at macro-economics - 'When people stop buying chips, take your bets off the table". You can always know when the house is about to win. It's when the numbers of people at the chips window is starting to teeter. When the house sees that, they push the buzzer int he pocket of all the dealers - "take the chips back from the public, we are not seeing enough withdrawals to constitude offering any more winnings". So, the dealers take as many chips of your out, to give it back to the bank. When this thing pivots, whose side are you going to be on? I hear the hopium is really good over by the backarack table. Maybe we should try some on leverage before the dealer gets buzzed. Oh wait, what's that sound? It's the sound of 10 years of consolidation and net 0 returns on Total Stock market. Ready to till the earth for food? I'm not, and that's why I'm long treasuries. +5% is better than -30%.
NASDAQ:TQQQShort
by MikaelZg
WM Technology | MAPS | Long at $1.00WM Technology NASDAQ:MAPS provides ecommerce and compliance software solutions to retailers and brands in cannabis market in the United States and internationally. After it's de-SPAC in 2020, it soared to $29.50 and now can be found for around $1.00. It's been consolidating at these lows for almost two years, and it may be gaining algorithmic traction for a move soon based on my selected simple moving average (SMA). Often (but not always), when this SMA gets close to the price, there is a pop to the historical SMA. Currently, it is in a personal buy zone at $1.00. Target #1 = $1.50 Target #2 = $2.00
NASDAQ:MAPSLong
by WorthlessViews
ETHUSD: Bullish Momentum with Inverse Head & Shoulders PatternDescription: Ethereum (ETH) is currently exhibiting a strong bullish trend, supported by both technical and fundamental analysis. The price action is forming an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal setup. Key Levels to Watch: Neckline: 4164.41. A breakout above this level will confirm the bullish trend and signal a potential long entry. Support Levels: 2884.49. Trade Plan: Entry: On a confirmed breakout above the neckline with volume. Stop Loss: Below the right shoulder or neckline to minimize risk. Target: Measure the height of the pattern and project it upward from the breakout point 4164.41. Risk Management: Always use proper position sizing and set your risk-to-reward ratio appropriately. No trade setup is guaranteed, so maintaining discipline is key. Fundamental Backdrop: Ethereum’s fundamentals remain strong, with growing adoption, network upgrades, and robust DeFi activity adding fuel to the bullish outlook. Note: Wait for the breakout confirmation and avoid entering trades prematurely. Patience pays in trading!
Long
by mudusir
USD/JPY climbs, markets eye TrumpThe Japanese yen is in negative territory on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.53, up 0.68% on the day. There are no key releases in the US today. On Thursday, the US releases unemployment claims and President Trump will address the World Economic Forum. Trump has vowed to levy tariffs on US trading partners, including China and the European Union. The financial markets are taking his threats seriously, and on Monday, his first day in office as President, Trump announced that he was delaying applying tariffs until Feb. 1. That announcement was a relief for the market and the US dollar fell sharply against many of the majors, although the yen failed to gain ground. Will Trump's comments at the World Economic Forum shake up the financial markets? Investors are keeping a close eye on the Bank of Japan rate decision and December Core CPI on Friday. The central bank has hinted at a rate hike at the rate meeting and is widely expected to raise rates to 0.50%, which would be the highest level since the 2008 global financial crisis. After decades of deflation and an ultra-loose monetary policy, inflation has taken root and the BoJ is slowly moving towards normalization. The BoJ's tightening cycle makes it an outlier among the major central banks, most of which are easing rates in response to lower inflation. Japan's core inflation rate has been steadily rising and is expected to climb to 3% y/y in December 2024, up from 2.7% in November which was a three-month high. The core rate, which is a key gauge of inflation trends, has remained above the BoJ target of 2% for over two years and is a key reason why the BoJ is tightening policy. USD/JPY has pushed above resistance at 155.51 and 156.24. Above, there is resistance at 156.97 154.78 and 154.05 are the next support levels
by OANDA
GBPAUD, What will happen in near future ?Hello Traders, Hope you're doing Great. For upcoming weeks, we'll probably see a downward momentum in this pair. From the viewpoint of Technical, the price has broken its last HL in Daily time frame and changed the trend. from the viewpoint of Fundamental, both Currencies are vulnerable about Risk off sentiment; but GBP is more Vulnerable than AUD because of bad data that came from Britain recently. so with all of these reasons, Short Position is more reasonable and a downward momentum to the Demand zones is anticipated. And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post. If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend. THANKS.
Short
by aminrzb
Teladoc Health | TDOC | Long at $9.91Teladoc Health NYSE:TDOC - Initial position started at $9.91 with the potential for the price gap in the $7's to be closed in the near future (likely another entry there unless fundamentals change) Pros: User base of over 90 million and growing Revenue grew from $555 million in 2019 to $2.6 billion through Q3 of 2024 Positive free cash flow since 2021 Low debt (debt to equity ratio around 1x) AI integration and partnership with Amazon and Brightline Historical simply moving average is approaching price, which often leads to a jump or change in downward momentum in the longer-term Cons: Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years Lots of insider selling and exercising of options No dividend Daily price gap in the $7 dollar range which may close prior to move up Targets through 2027 : $14.20 $20.00 $27.00 $35.00 $55.00 (long-term, positive outlook)
NYSE:TDOCLong
by WorthlessViews
1
Waiting for entryLet's wait for an entry on this trade. Support levels and price target have been set by doing a top down analysis. The price target is the ATH trading price for USDCAD, with looming tariffs and Trumps America First Agenda I'm speculating we will see USDCAD trade at its ATH again within the next 4 years. Im looking for an entry into this trade after the Canadian election, I want to see price come back down to a support level and then once market sentiment wears off from the election we will be looking for a reversal pattern on the smaller time frames.
by pitachio7712
Is this really Trump's son's memecoin? I don't know!!I don't know the identity of this coin, but since Trump family meme coins are very popular, I have done this analysis. From a technical perspective, it can be said that the price is forming a wedge, and maybe even an Adam and Eve pattern. If my analysis is correct, we will see a 100% increase. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
MEXC:BARRONUSDTLong
by CobraVanguard
9
US Dollar Bearish Trend: Key Insights Analyzed**Is the US Dollar Heading for a Bearish Turn? Key Insights to Watch** The US dollar has been a hot topic lately, and for good reason. With Donald Trump back in office and the motto being *AMERICA FIRST*, the currency’s trajectory is under scrutiny. As many of you know, the Trump administration has historically favored a weaker US dollar and lower interest rates. The rationale? A weaker dollar can boost exports, while lower rates are seen as a way to stimulate economic growth. This approach was a hallmark of Trump’s first term, and it looks like we might see a repeat. Another key factor to consider is Trump’s focus on increasing crude oil and natural gas production. Higher energy output could lead to lower energy prices, which would further support economic growth. However, this could also weigh on the dollar, as lower energy prices often correlate with a weaker currency. Looking back to 2016–2017, when Trump first took office, the US dollar initially surged but then reversed sharply in January 2017, marking the start of a prolonged bearish trend. Fast forward to today, and we’re seeing similar patterns emerge. The wedge formation on the Dollar Index suggests limited upside potential, and a break below key support levels—specifically 108 and 107.58—could confirm that a bearish trend is underway. If those levels fail to hold, the next area to watch would be the 107 to 106 demand zones. This scenario aligns with what we’ve been discussing over the past few weeks. If the Dollar Index breaks below these critical levels, it could signal the completion of the wedge pattern and the beginning of a new bearish phase for the US dollar. What does this mean for traders and investors? Keep a close eye on the Dollar Index and watch for those key support levels. A break below them could present significant opportunities, but it’s also a reminder to stay cautious and informed. What are your thoughts on the US dollar’s trajectory? Do you think history will repeat itself, or are there other factors at play? Let’s discuss in the comments! #USD #Forex #Trading #Economy #Trump #DollarIndex #Investing #Markets
TVC:DXYShort
by forex_forge
ADANIENT KEY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2025**Explanation:** This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits. **Entry/Exit Points:** - **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan. - **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above. - **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below. **Timeframe:** Use a 5 timeframe for trading. **Risk Disclaimer:** This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
NSE:ADANIENT
by nandupk
NIFTY 50 KEY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2025**Explanation:** This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits. **Entry/Exit Points:** - **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan. - **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above. - **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below. **Timeframe:** Use a 5 timeframe for trading. **Risk Disclaimer:** This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
NSE:NIFTY
by nandupk
AAPL earnings next ThursdayApple Q1 earnings are on Thursday 1/30 at 4:30pm. Apple (AAPL) reported earnings of 1.64 per share on revenue of 94.93 billion for Q4 ending September 2024. The consensus earnings estimate was 1.49 per share on revenue of 94.48 billion. The company beat expectations by 0.61% while revenue grew 6.07% on a year-over-year basis. The company said during its conference call it expects Q1 revenue to grow in the low to mid-single digits, or revenue of approximately 120.77 billion to 128.54 billion with gross margins of 46.0% to 47.0%, which calculates to earnings of approximately 2.19 to 2.47 per share. This long AAPL trade idea is based off SMA200 support at 221, RSI is oversold and it's printing a bullish reversal hammer this morning. Therefore, it's a great long entry position with low risk & high probability, heading into earnings on next Thursday. Q1 consensus: EPS = 2.36 Revenue = 124.1 B SMA200 = 221 Trade idea: long = 222 stop = 219 profit = 240 Options data: 1/31 expiry Put Volume Total 10,866 Call Volume Total 25,128 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.43 Put Open Interest Total 76,428 Call Open Interest Total 126,251 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.61 2/21 expiry Put Volume Total 3,441 Call Volume Total 11,700 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.29 Put Open Interest Total 224,398 Call Open Interest Total 315,905 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.71 3/21 expiry Put Volume Total 2,008 Call Volume Total 12,900 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.16 Put Open Interest Total 298,306 Call Open Interest Total 317,092 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.94
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Options360
LTC/USD to 4-digitsThis is a repost because apparently I broke some TV rule I was not aware of and the last one was hidden. Just want this idea to be out there. -- Litecoin/dollar is mispriced. This value asymmetry should be interesting for investors who value asymmetric bets. Where is the asymmetry? The speculative market and the fundamental data are at odds. Reconciliation is logical. The question is; who is wrong? The speculative market which apparently values SOL; a network which just went offline (again), can barely process txs, is botted to infinity and the home to thousands of scams, or litecoin which hits 200k tx/s on a daily basis and is set to overtake btc in onchain volumes soon? I bring up SOL just to emphasise how the speculative market is misallocated and probably quite silly. There is no other reason to compare the two since Litecoin is the user-chosen Bitcoin scaling solution and has nothing in common with analos. The answer is fairly straight forward in my view. In this chart we can see tx counts, address growth, miner reserves being lower than 2015 levels (contributing to the incoming supply shock) and litecoin volumes in comparison to btc volumes, which are on the rise. I did not include btc fees which rocket during network congestion. This is interesting because the tx-spillover into litecoin is persistent, resulting in permanent network growth. Ltc is a top 3 asset in the making and it could swap places with eth easily in my view.
VANTAGE:LTCUSDLong
by chrisoncrypto1
2
AAVE - DeFi leader As I have stated in my previous analysis AAVE is one of the leaders in DeFi sector, and stays quite underpriced still. Just as I predicted, it reached my target and now I think it will go for .618 Fib. After that in theory there also will be a correction. But if you look at Solana chart, it has gained a lot of attraction in this cycle and has made a new ATH. I think AAVE will be one of the few Altcoins which have the required potential to make new ATH also. Let's hope and monitor
Long
by AlexLukyanin
BTC push to 124.000€Current Price The price is currently near the 0.236 Fibonacci level on the spiral, suggesting it is approaching a resistance zone. Trend: The overall market structure is bullish, as Bitcoin has been recovering from lower levels in a sustained upward trajectory. The 1.618 Fibonacci spiral level, located far above the current price, could represent the long-term bullish target if Bitcoin successfully breaks through intermediate resistance levels. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Case: If Bitcoin breaks above the 0.236 Fibonacci resistance decisively, the next targets could align with the 1.0 or 1.618 levels on the spiral. Such a move would likely require strong buying momentum and a pickup in volume. A bullish continuation would also be supported by maintaining the current trendline and staying above key moving averages. Bearish Case: A rejection from the 0.236 level could lead to a retracement toward lower Fibonacci levels, such as 0.382 or 0.5. The 0.618 level could act as a strong support if the downtrend accelerates. A failure to hold the diagonal trendline would invalidate the bullish structure and potentially signal a deeper correction. Likely Movement: Given the current position near a significant resistance zone, a short-term consolidation or pullback is plausible unless strong bullish momentum emerges. A breakout above the current level would signal a continuation of the uptrend, with potential targets toward the higher Fibonacci spiral levels. BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
by CryptoKaiserDE
Phathom Pharmaceuticals: Biopharmaceutical Stock (300%)I spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. Phathom Pharmaceuticals ( NASDAQ:PHAT ): Biopharmaceutical Stock with High Upside Potential Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $6.92 - Stop-Loss: $5.82 - Take-Profit Targets: - TP1: $19.69 - TP2: $31.39 Company Overview: Phathom Pharmaceuticals ( NASDAQ:PHAT ) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing novel treatments for gastrointestinal diseases. Their flagship product, vonoprazan, is poised to disrupt the market with its innovative approach to acid-related conditions. Market Sentiment: The recent FDA approval has significantly improved market sentiment, with increased trading volumes and positive investor outlook. Phathom's focus on a high-demand therapeutic area further supports long-term bullish prospects. Risk Management: A stop-loss at $5.82 limits downside risk, while the take-profit targets offer exceptional upside potential. TP1 represents a **179% gain**, and TP2 offers a massive **346% return**, making this trade setup attractive for swing and long-term investors. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All! *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
NASDAQ:PHATLong
by SiriusTrading
Gold and silver see fresh gains as Trump 2.0 era beginsGold has rallied strongly this week, with the move accelerating after breaking resistance—now support—at USD 2,725, clearing the path to retest last year’s record high at USD 2,790. In our recently published Q1 2025 outlook, we reiterated our long-held bullish view on both gold and silver. Demand for investment metals continues to be fueled by an uncertain geopolitical landscape, where global tensions and economic shifts have led investors to seek safer assets. With Trump 2.0 upon us, this development shows no signs of fading, given the potential risks of tariffs causing inflation to move higher and the dollar eventually weakening, thereby removing an obstacle standing in the way of further gains. Central bank buying looks set to continue, thereby providing a soft floor under the market, as they seek to diversify away from the USD and USD-based assets such as bonds. Together with concerns about mounting global debt, particularly in the United States, investors continue to seek a hedge against economic instability by turning to precious metals, including both gold and silver. We forecast a potential decline in the gold-to-silver ratio, which currently trades above 89, possibly moving towards 75—a level seen earlier in 2024. If this occurs, and with gold reaching our current forecast of USD 2,900 per ounce, silver might trade above USD 38 per ounce, both well above the cost of carry.
SAXO:XAUUSD
by Saxo