Xauusd sell Gold resumes its decline after the early advance and trades below $2,600 early in the American session. Stronger than anticipated US data and recent central banks' outcomes fuel demand for the US Dollar. XAU/USD nears its weekly low at $2,582.93.
Gold now sell 2592
Support 2580
Support 2570
Resistance 2600
Fundamental Analysis
XAUUSD/GOLD Here Falling Levels XAUUSD GOLD with Potential Price levels. Here are Breakdown Of the Zones You've mentioned.
Resistance Zone In This Range price level 2595/2600 This Ranges Suggest to move these levels the might be Strong level.
Support Zone This is the level we will Expected gold is find some support. 2580 /2570 if the Gold starts falling and hits that's zone.
Your expectation is that gold might not see an upward movement Tommorw last of Market we Expect Bearish Trend.
Rate Share Your Idea What's Going On Thanks.
Bitcoin Poised for a Potential Drop: Will BTC Test the 95K SuppoPrice Action: The chart shows a sharp decline from recent highs, with the price currently around the 100,259 level.
Support and Resistance:
There is strong resistance highlighted in the red zone above the price, which previously rejected the price upward.
Below the current level, there is green support near the 95,000 mark.
Trendline Break:
The orange upward trendline has been breached or is very close to being breached, signaling potential bearish movement.
Projection:
The white arrows illustrate a potential pattern where the price may bounce slightly after breaking the trendline but could ultimately fall toward the 95,000 level.
The chart shows a projected drop of ~11.57%, which aligns with a fall to 95,000.
Conclusion:
The chart suggests a bearish scenario where Bitcoin (BTC) may fall to touch the 95,000 support level after breaking the upward trendline. If BTC fails to hold this trendline and support area, further downside movement is likely.
BTC CRASH ALERT UPDATEKey Levels and Observations
Previous All-Time High (ATH):
Clearly marked and seems to have acted as both resistance and psychological reference point.
Price briefly tested this level before consolidating below.
Resistance Zones:
Highlighted in Red: These zones indicate where selling pressure is concentrated. The recent move upwards has struggled near the $106,000 zone (1.618 Fibonacci extension) and the resistance cluster below $108,000.
Red Circle near ATH: Indicates a critical rejection zone where bears might be stepping in to control the price.
Support Zones:
Fibonacci levels from $91,000 to $99,500 (0.618, 0.5, and 0.382 retracement levels) show clear support zones where buyers may accumulate.
The green lines below $92,000 show additional support extensions for deeper corrections.
Black Swan Warning ("Dump Incoming"):
Suggests the possibility of a sudden, sharp decline. This may be speculative but worth noting for risk management.
Red zone above $108,000 highlights extreme caution.
Trend Lines:
Dashed upward trendline indicates the broader uptrend still intact, but a breach below would signal a possible reversal.
Market Sentiment:
"BTC CRASH ALERT" emphasizes bearish caution.
"The Bears are out watchout" adds to the bearish sentiment as Bitcoin approaches resistance zones.
Fibonacci Analysis
Key Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
0.236 ($99,417): Currently holding as weak support.
0.382 ($100,793): Significant midpoint level currently in play.
0.5 ($101,905) and 0.618 ($103,017): Critical retracement levels to watch for continuation or reversal.
1.618 Extension ($106,436): Serves as an immediate resistance target.
Deep Retracement Zone:
0.618 ($95,308) to 1.0 ($92,918) retracement range indicates the strongest support for a larger correction.
Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Scenario (Breakout):
Price breaks and holds above $106,000 (1.618 Fibonacci).
Retests and holds $108,000, targeting new highs.
Bearish Scenario (Fakeout or Dump):
Price fails to sustain $104,000 or falls below $101,000 (0.382 retracement).
A sharp correction could target deeper support levels at $95,000–$92,000.
Neutral/Consolidation:
Price remains range-bound between $101,000 and $106,000, building momentum for a directional move.
Actionable Points
Shorting Resistance Zones: Monitor for price rejections near $106,000 and $108,000. Bearish candlestick patterns here could confirm a short trade.
Buying Support Levels: Look for bullish signals around $95,000–$92,000 or key Fibonacci levels.
Breakout Entries: If Bitcoin closes decisively above $106,000, a breakout trade could target $110,000 or higher.
Stop-Loss Management:
For longs: Place below $95,000.
For shorts: Place above $108,000.
Gold price analysis December 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell sharply due to the impact of the Fed's less dovish outlook.
Fed Chairman Powell emphasized cautious policy in the context of ongoing high inflation risks.
The Fed forecasts inflation target to reach 2% in the next 1-2 years, indicating slow progress.
The latest dot chart shows few interest rate cuts until 2026, stabilizing the Fed funds rate at 3.4%.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices fell to the 2685 area and were accepted by buyers to push prices up around 2610 in the Asian session. If the European session fails to break 2613, Gold will continue to fall in the European session and the destination is relatively far away at 2585-2558. In case the resistance zone at 2613 is broken, the direction is towards 2633, which is the first corrective wave SELL zone and the second corrective wave SELL zone around 2663
GODL NEXT MOVEGOLD Is Going To Hit Our Target
XAUUSD was rising during Asian and early European trading hours, regaining 1.2% after yesterday's losses. Technically and fundamentally, the asset still remains in a bearish trend. Today, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims report may significantly influence the dynamics of the precious metal. Higher-than-anticipated data may trigger bullish momentum in XAUUSD, while softer data will ignite further downward correction.
Quick Rally For 3030 Has Fallen to a High volume trading area reaching the point of control that could act as a strong support, added There's also a strong Hidden Bullish Divergence on the RSI that gives great indication that we could see a rally up from this daily support lvl (42,300) back to the "trend line" break & previous structure low,(Filling the sell side imbalance -FVG)
Confluences on This Trade
- Rejecting Daily support lvl 42,266
- Rejecting Demand zone
- @ 38.2 Fib Retracement
- Hidden Bullish Divergence (RSI)
- Buy Side imbalance fill
- Daily Volume Support
Lock in with your LTF Bullish Entry Signal,
WAIT FOR YOUR CONFIRMATION AND
**RISK ACCORDINGLY
Intro to the next possible move:
After this bullish move - price could reject the Trend line and previous structure low, then continue down.
**This bullish to bearish move would give price action a "Head and shoulders ish" Pattern on a HTF.
Caution on the Bearish Sell- we have high volume right below the 41,000 bank lvl that could act as a support.
with all of that being said the one thing that gives me great hesitation on the 2nd part of this move The "Bearish Sell" is the fact that this current pull back only brought price down to the 38.2 Fib lvl, so this could just be a minor pull back for a big Bullish continuation move.
11/7/24 - $bird - More interested $7-8/shr11/7/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: $ IDX:BIRD
More interested $7-8/shr
- mgmt is operating on their own time
- beyond M&A, it's hard to see how stock really moves higher in the 3-6 month timeframe, unless it catches some momentum in this whacky environment where rando-stuff-moon. but i'd not bet my dog's tennis ball on it
- basically mgmt "taking right" actions still e.g. store closing, gearing up for some interesting product launches/ marketing but it sounds like we get to see this all playing out in 2H25. that's an eternity to wait for a result that wasn't really a beat (inside guidance) and where guidance for 4Q/FY was taken lower. ewww, that doesn't work in this environment.
- while balance sheet remains net cash and we can decide how to handle leases (maybe i say it's not $50 but $25 mm of "debt") that still say puts us in a $50 mm net cash position. at the same time we burn 10-15 mm a quarter until someone buys the company or results start to inflect. rough. essentially by 4Q, we'll either be raising with a good story, or stock will have started to work a bit as FCF inflects positive (probably a '26 event at the earliest given my experience operating in reality)
- so what's the brand worth? 1x gross profit? 0.5x gross profit?
- really hard to say. i think you need to assume someone like NYSE:BIRK , NASDAQ:CROX , NYSE:ONON (even NASDAQ:LULU ) could buy these guys and cut a lot of the SG&A out on their bigger platform. this is why i think multiple of gross profit makes the most sense.
- at most i'd say 1x gross profit which if/when you assume buyers would want to see the new lineup in the market (bc the current portfolio is still not growing... so why complicate things for yourself), and take out all the net cash bc we burned it getting there, that's the stock as of y'day call it $10-11/shr or ~90 mm market cap.
- but if we need to wait, what's the right discount rate for something like this 25-30%? private equity style? so you're now at probably $7-8/shr today and it waffles up or down depending on how well these marketing/ launches go next year
TL;DR... the company's best option is to sell today at some modest premium. i think they've made it quite hard to do so in delaying this decision for years. now they need to swim. and the stock is on it's back heading into tax sell off season and where the ticker is too small cap for (real) institutions to get involved and what would an activist really accomplish in a founder-led situation like this on fire? unfortunately i think this thing is going lower and/or i'm uninterested unless we start entering the mid single digits, call it $7-8, minimally.
talk then. stay well.
V
GBPUSD Analysis December 17GBPUSD is currently in a corrective downtrend when encountering the EMA line. The 1.263 and 1.261 zones are important support zones at the moment. A break through this zone will form a long retracement of the pair. On the other hand, the breakout zone of 1.272 still acts as an immediate resistance zone of the pair before touching the old peak around 1.277.
Is NVIDIA Ready to Break Out or Break Down?Good morning, trading family!
How’s everyone feeling today? Got your coffee? Charts ready? It’s time to dive in and see what the market has in store for us.
Here’s the vibe: NVIDIA’s setting up for something big—are we aiming for $142 or sliding to $119? It’s like a game of tug-of-war, and the market’s holding the rope.
Quick Tip: Remember, trading is about patience and discipline. If you’re feeling stuck, step away, take a breath, and come back with a clear head. The market’s not going anywhere.
If you want a closer look at these setups or other ideas I’m watching, feel free to check out my profile or send me a DM—I’m always happy to share insights or answer questions. Let’s make it a great day!
Kris /Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Lupin - A Value stock at Monthly breakoutLarge Cap
Double digit ROE, ROCE
PE ~= Industry PE
Piotroski = 8
PEG Ratio < 2
PE in Buy Zone
FII and DII presence
Technically,
Monthly: The price is retesting the monthly breakout.
Weekly: Flag and pole pattern
Daily and 4H Time frame: Price breaking the Trendline.
CCI (26) finally crossing above 100
**Not a buy/sell recommendation, only analysis.
Tesla at the Crossroads: Breakout to $522 or a Slide to $420?Tesla’s price action is heating up as it hovers between $452 resistance and $441.54 support. A breakout above $452 could ignite a rally toward $522, while a breakdown below $441.54 might signal a drop to $420 or lower. This is the moment to stay sharp—will Tesla soar or stumble? Let’s dive into the key levels, actionable tips, and what to watch for next!
Any questions about this chart or any others send me a message
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
DXY - Bullish Flag Breakout PatternAfter an explosive bullish move due to the US Interest Rates news yesterday the US Dollar Index is showing signs of relief.
This relief is also forming a Flag Pattern with the expectation being a breakout to the upside.
Not only is this flag pattern a bullish sign, but overall the market is providing us with more bullish signs as well making this a very interesting opportunity to keep an eye.
I'll walk yo through what I'm seeing and where I expect price to go if this trading idea works out.
Hope you enjoyed the video and I wish you a Happy Holiday's
Akil
GOLD → Interest rates are down, but why is gold falling?FX:XAUUSD falls to 2581. Yesterday's news had a negative impact on the market and it's not about rate cuts. Technically the price confirms the bearish nature of the market.
The main reason for the decline in gold prices is the Federal Reserve's caution about lowering interest rates amid the latest economic data. The US central bank lowered the interest rate by 0.25% to the range of 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but for the next year it forecasts 2 rate cuts, which is much less than expected.
The Fed's hawkishness has played its role: the dollar is rising, markets are falling.
Today all eyes are on GDP and initial jobless claims.
Technically, the price is out of the global channel, breaking the support, gold updates the low to 2581.
Resistance levels: 2620, 2630, 2636
Support levels: 2616, 2612, 2603
After updating the low, a retest of the previously broken channel boundary and imbalance zones is formed. False breakdown of key resistance, for example 2620 or 2630 and subsequent consolidation of the price below these zones may lead to further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
Tesla ideas on Fib bollinger... TSLA in troubleSure you can have a squeeze or euphoria...but didn't like 7 Billion in Charging stations that are said to be a few hundred in all the 48 continuous combined...
There are like 100 TA and Love's on Interstate 80 Alone
AP running damage control...who cares, just look at that number...~200 divided by 48, gives you like 5 per state....yeah, autonomous screams success with one in each major city...
*only 10 handles per site and few may be out of sync, not sync, or be malfunctioning due to weather...if weather didnt cut their power- Its okay...diesel generators will help...wait, ??
SMCI’s Game-Changing Move: Could This Be a 500% Opportunity? Bullish Analysis for Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)
1. Valuation Metrics
P/S Ratio: Previously 7.46, now just 1.43, showcasing significant undervaluation compared to historical levels.
P/E Ratio: Previously 90, now 16.67, making the stock much more attractive to value-focused investors.
Fair Value Estimate: According to Simply Wall Street , the fair value per share is estimated at $439.38 , suggesting substantial upside from the current price levels.
2. Strong Financial Metrics
Current Market Cap: $18.87 billion.
Revenue: This year's revenue is $14.94 billion, and 2025 revenue is expected to exceed $23 billion, surpassing the current market cap—a promising signal of growth potential.
Financial Health: SMCI can cover all its debt twice over , with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40 , which sits comfortably in the ideal range of 0.30–0.60.
3. Growth Drivers
New Manufacturing Facility: A facility in Malaysia is expected to become operational in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, enabling SMCI to scale up its AI server production.
Liquid Cooling Expertise: SMCI specializes in liquid cooling technology , critical for the new generation of powerful chips and data centers, including Nvidia’s Blackwell GPUs , which are experiencing record demand as Nvidia ramps up production.
4. Technical and Price Action
Support Levels: SMCI has established strong support at $30.
Trend Reversal: The stock has broken the structure of its downtrend and is now showing clear signs of heading to the upside, further reinforcing bullish momentum.
Resistance Levels: Potential price targets based on resistance areas:
Target 1: $50 (52.4% increase).
Target 2: $70 (113.4% increase).
Target 3: $100 (204.8% increase).
Target 4: $120 (265.8% increase).
Long-term Target: $200+ (509.75% increase).
5. AI Market Leadership
SMCI’s continued focus on AI servers positions it as a key beneficiary in the rapidly growing AI-driven computing market.
Conclusion
With its attractive valuation, robust financial health, strategic expansion plans, and leadership in liquid cooling and AI servers, SMCI is well-positioned for substantial growth. The recent trend reversal adds technical confirmation to the fundamental bullish case, making current price levels a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the AI and data center markets.
GBPAUD to the moon?Taking a long position on GBPAUD, main reasons being:
- BoE holding interest rates for now and less rate cuts are expected next year, could drive more institutions to hold GBP and increase it's value
- AUD are trade partners with China who are experiencing significant economic instability
- COT traders are 57% long on GBP (+2.14% compared to last week)
- COT traders are 52% long on AUD, but are adding more short positions (-4.53% change in net long positions compared to last week)
- Retail traders are 93% short on GBPAUD (I find that retail is usually wrong, so this is a positive signal for GBPAUD longs in my book)
This trade is more based on Australia's weakness rather than Britain's strength. I was also thinking of shorting AUDJPY (see previous trade idea) or AUDUSD.
I couldn't get in a position that I liked on AUDJPY (yet) and I'm already in a short position on EURUSD, so I want to diversify a bit away from the US Dollar.
The reason I'm entering here is because it is filling an imbalance candle, and it's also at the 0.682 mark on the Fibonacci retracement tool.
If I get taken out I don't mind, there may be better entries on GBPAUD available if that happens, or there may be an opportunity to short AUDJPY instead, which I prefer the fundamentals of.
Don't take this as investment advice, I'm just sharing what I'm doing. Please don't follow me blindly, create your own strategy and ideas.