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Rising Trend Holds for XAU/USD:Watching for Bullish ContinuationChart Overview: Instrument: (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 15-minute Current Price: $3,341.07 Price Action: Market recently exited a rising channel and is currently consolidating near the upper zone of a prior accumulation range. --- Key Technical Observations: 1. Rising Channel (Bullish Trend Continuation): A rising channel broke down recently, suggesting short-term weakness. However, price is still holding above the diagonal trendline support (green). 2. Support and Demand Zone (Green Box around 3,325 – 3,330): This lower area previously acted as a demand zone where buying interest emerged. Price respected this zone multiple times, reinforcing it as strong short-term support. 3. Current Consolidation Near Resistance: Price is consolidating just below a minor resistance zone (~3,350). The dotted blue arrow suggests an anticipated bullish breakout toward the upper resistance band (~3,355–3,360). 4. Price Structure Suggests Higher Lows: A series of higher lows is forming, hinting at potential bullish pressure building. 5. Indicators Not Visible: No RSI, MACD, or volume are visible in this chart, which would be helpful for confirmation. Based on price action alone, buyers are gaining strength near the trendline support. --- Potential Trading Plan: Bullish Scenario: Entry: Upon bullish breakout above ~$3,345–3,348 Target: ~$3,355–3,360 (previous supply zone) Stop: Below the trendline or $3,330 to minimize risk Bearish Scenario (if support fails): Entry: Break and close below ~$3,330 Target: Revisit of lower green zone ~$3,320 Stop: Above $3,340
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Faiza
BTC/USD Intraday Range Breakdown with Potential Reversal SetupMarket Context & Structure: Sideways Range Movement: The chart shows two primary consolidation (range-bound) zones marked with green shaded rectangles. BTC has been trading within these horizontal zones for a considerable period, suggesting indecision or accumulation/distribution phases. Current Breakdown: Recently, BTC broke down from the upper consolidation range (~109,800–110,200 zone) and dipped below, forming a bearish move. This is confirmed by the red candles and the price moving out of the prior horizontal range. --- Key Levels: Resistance Zone: ~110,000 Marked by the upper green line and previous consolidation highs. This will likely act as resistance if price tries to move up again. Support Zone: ~107,400 Marked by the lower green horizontal line. Price touched this area and bounced slightly (as shown by the highlighted circle). --- Candlestick Patterns: Bearish Momentum: Multiple red candles indicate selling pressure. However, the recent candle shows a potential hammer-like recovery wick, suggesting some buyer interest near the support. --- Projection (Dotted Line with Arrow): The chart includes a bullish recovery scenario illustrated with a blue dotted line. This indicates a possible short-term reversal from the support area with a target to retest the previous resistance around 110,000. --- Interpretation: If Price Holds Above Support (107,400): A potential bounce and retest of the 110,000 resistance is possible — a bullish reversal setup. If Support Breaks Decisively: Further downside may be expected, possibly toward 106,000 or lower. Sellers would gain control. --- Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice): Long Entry: Near 107,400 if bullish confirmation forms (e.g., bullish engulfing or higher low). Stop Loss: Below 107,000 to limit downside. Target: 109,800–110,200 zone.
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Faiza
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )✅ Bias: Long (Buy) Rationale: • 4H Chart shows price reclaiming the 20/50 SMA zone after the recent pullback — a bullish reset after a shallow correction. • 15M Chart confirms trend resumption — clean higher highs and higher lows, with strong price support above the 20/50 SMA crossover. • 3M Chart shows a breakout with higher volume and sustained move above recent consolidation. White 20 SMA is holding price well. ⸻ 🎯 Trade Setup: Buy XAUUSD • Entry: 3345.00 (wait for a small pullback or price base just above current level for better RR) • Stop-Loss: 3332.00 (below last intraday swing low and the SMA base) • Take-Profit: 3371.00 (near previous resistance zone) Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 2:1 ⸻ 📍 Move SL to Breakeven When: Price reaches 3358.00 (midway point = 1:1 RR) and: • 3M chart shows no strong bearish engulfing or reversal candle. • Volume on the move is rising or stable (not collapsing). This protects capital without choking the trade. ⸻ 🧠 Confluence Summary: • Trend Alignment across all timeframes. • 20/50 SMA bullish stack on 15M and 4H. • Volume Expansion on breakout leg. • RSI (15M) near 67 — strong but not overbought yet (room to run). ⸻ ⚠️ Fundamental Notes: • Gold has been rising with Fed pivot expectations and equity uncertainty — momentum is on the bulls’ side unless sharp risk-on news appears. • Caution near major US data releases tomorrow or speeches from Fed members. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
CETUS Hack Giving Opportunities Within SUICRYPTOCAP:SUI SUI is one of the fastest growing L1 chains. Previously extreme intra SUI dominance within swapping volume by KUCOIN:CETUSUSDT CETUS. This hack is a direct threat to the confidence of not just the application but the chain itself just like Ethereum was exposed during the MakerDAO hack. Volume market wants to know their funds are secure to certain degree and predictable. Volume flow is more than fine with centralisation, esp with low barriers. Should the deposits be mostly secured and exploit fixed then it can bring confidence roaring back not just to CETUS but more importantly, SUI. CETUS dominance within SUI is falling to rising applications. My favourite is Bluefin with its low barriers to account creation like google login. KUCOIN:BLUEUSDT BLUE has rising dominance within SUI volume market.
Long
by SoftQuant
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 27th May 2024)Bias: No bias USD News(Red Folder): -None Analysis: -Price closed weak bearish on bank holiday -Scene 1: Looking for price to break the structure high & form bearish structure -Scene 2: Looking for price to pullback to 0.5fib level -Potential BUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 3280, 3380 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by HM_fxtrading
FIL 1W – Compression Building at Multi-Year SupportFIL is trading near multi-year support between $2.50–$2.90. Downtrend persists, but momentum is flattening. MACD on 1W nearing a bullish cross after long suppression. Volume is gradually increasing — early accumulation signals. Price is compressing under 50/100 EMA on both daily and weekly. Funding rate remains negative → crowd is still short. Risk-reward is asymmetric. If price reclaims $3.35, breakout structure is confirmed. First targets: $4.00, then $6.50 (macro lower high). Stop invalidation below $2.40. Setup favors patient positioning.
KRAKEN:FILUSDLong
by BroLal
DOLLARThe US Dollar Index (DXY) Yearly Support and Potential Sell-Off to 96 Zone: Role of 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rates 1. Technical Outlook: DXY Support Breakdown and 96$ Target and Critical Support Levels. The DXY recently breached the 200-week moving average (200-WMA), a key multi-year support level, signaling a potential trend reversal . A sustained break below 98.00 could trigger a steeper decline toward 96.00-95$ long-term uptrend ascending trendline acting as 6months support floor connecting 2008, 2011 and 2020, . However, analyst projections also highlight the 96–95 zone as a plausible target if Fed rate cuts and macroeconomic headwinds persist . Current Context (May 2025): The DXY is testing 98.4 on weekly charts, with bears eyeing lower supports amid weakening USD sentiment . A drop to ascending trend line on 6months would align with forecasts tied to Fed policy shifts and global currency strength . 2. 10-Year Bond Yield and Interest Rate Dynamics Direct Relationship with the Dollar: The 10-year Treasury yield and USD share a strong correlation: higher yields attract foreign capital, boosting dollar demand, while lower yields weaken the currency . As of May 2025, the 10-year yield hovers near 4.54%, down from peaks but still elevated compared to global peers . Impact of Rate Cuts and Policy Divergence: Fed Rate Expectations: Markets price in five Fed rate cuts by late 2025, which would reduce yield advantages and pressure the dollar . Policy Divergence: The ECB and BoJ are expected to maintain or ease policies, while the Fed delays cuts, temporarily supporting USD. However, prolonged easing could reverse this advantage . 3. Key Drivers of Dollar Weakness Toward 96-95 ascending trendline Bearish Factors: Yield Decline: A drop in the 10-year yield (e.g., due to Fed cuts or recession fears) would erode USD appeal. For every 1% decline in yields, the DXY could fall 3–5% . Risk Sentiment: A "soft landing" scenario or rally in risk assets (stocks, commodities) may reduce safe-haven USD demand . Tariff and Geopolitical Risks: Escalating US-China/EU trade tensions could weaken the USD if global growth fears dominate . Bullish Counterpoints: Hawkish Fed Surprises: Strong US data (e.g., inflation, jobs) may delay rate cuts, keeping yields and the dollar elevated . Safe-Haven Flows: Renewed geopolitical/market turmoil could revive USD demand despite lower yields . 4. Summary: Interplay Between Yields, Rates, and DXY Factor Impact on DXY 10-Year Yield Rises Strengthens USD (investor inflows) 10-Year Yield Falls Weakens USD (capital outflows) Fed Rate Cuts Pressures USD (narrows yield gap) ECB/BoJ Easing Supports USD (policy divergence) Path to 96: A combination of Fed rate cuts, declining 10-year yields, and stronger global currencies (EUR, JPY) could drive the DXY toward 96–95 . Reversal Risks: Hawkish Fed pivots or safe-haven demand amid crises may stall the decline. Conclusion The DXY’s potential drop to the 96–95 zone hinges on sustained declines in the 10-year Treasury yield and Fed rate cuts, compounded by technical breakdowns. While policy divergence and safe-haven flows offer temporary USD support, broader macroeconomic shifts (e.g., tariff risks, global growth) could accelerate the sell-off. Traders should monitor yields, Fed rhetoric, and technical levels on demand floor and supply roof for confirmation of bearish or bullish momentum
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
GBP/USD Weekly zone!The price is currently located at a strong weekly zone, where sellers have their stop-losses placed above it, and buyers have pending buy orders just above the same level. This creates a high probability that big players will push the price above the zone to trigger the stop-losses of sellers and activate the buy positions of those waiting to enter long. What almost always happens next is the following: The price then drops back below the zone, taking out the buyers as well. That’s why at strong zones on higher timeframes, a false breakout is often expected.
Short
by EliteFxAcademy
Marex Group: Minor 5–10-year investment updateCommentary: I mentioned that MRX is a minor investment back in April 21, 2025. I have decided to post an individual technical chart of daily price fluctuation (although I don't look or care for daily too much). This company meets the fundamental parameters that I mentioned back in April 21, 2025 in a video. I will focus on the technical pattern here, that I see. Technicals: Morning Star at a 38% fib retracement. More technical support to 39.80. Reconsideration of fundamentals: Around 30. Tentative holding period 5-10 years with re-invested dividends and then update. Tentative targets: 61 and 104 by 2026
NASDAQ:MRXLong
by Rocketman
Always consider Weekly charts for price action extremes!1). Typically, 5 Motive Waves go 200% of Wave 1, which is established using Fib.tool levels. 2). The Chart likely needs a pullback correction towards $100K or lower for a long position entry. 3). The US$ appears to have a little steam remaining, which support the deeper ABC Bitcoin correction lower. 4). Always consider where the price is during the Motive sequence, as in this case, it needs to complete a Wave 5, since the bottom of Wave 4 can be an excellent Buy entry! 5). Also, drop charting down to lower time frames for more detail. 6). And of course, the MACD supports my analysis! "Cheers & Good Luck, always!"
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ScotThomsen
2
USD/JPY Breakdown: Is 140 the Next Target? Smart Money Says Yes!USD/JPY is currently in a highly interesting technical and macro phase, characterized by divergences between price action and institutional positioning, negative seasonal signals, and retail sentiment that goes against what would typically be expected in a reversal scenario. Let’s break it down: 1. Institutional Positioning (COT Report) The COT data reveals a mixed picture with bearish implications for USD/JPY: On the USD side, non-commercial traders continue to increase their net long exposure (+2,044 new long contracts this week). However, this rise is almost equally offset by +1,975 new shorts, indicating indecision and hedging activity. For the Japanese Yen, non-commercials (speculators) are significantly rebuilding long JPY positions, while commercials have started covering their short exposure. 📌 Implication: The net flow favors the Yen, meaning bearish pressure on USD/JPY. The increase in JPY long positions reflects expectations of a stronger Yen in the short to medium term. 2. Historical Seasonality Seasonal data reinforces the bearish bias: In May and June, USD/JPY has historically posted negative returns. The 5-year average shows -0.57 in May and -0.76 in June, with both the 2Y and 10Y averages confirming a similar downward seasonal pattern. 📌 Implication: The current seasonal window does not favor a USD rebound vs. the Yen. Historically, the likelihood of downside increases into early summer. 3. Retail Sentiment Retail traders are heavily long, with 64% positioned long on USD/JPY versus 36% short. 📌 Implication: From a contrarian perspective, this is a bearish signal. Markets tend to move against retail positioning, adding further downside risk. 4. Price Action & Technical Structure (Daily Chart) On the weekly chart: Price broke the key 144.00 support decisively, closing the week at 142.81. Structure shows lower highs and lower lows, typical of a bearish trend. RSI is falling but still above oversold levels, leaving room for further downside. First demand zone: 141.50–142.20. A confirmed break could open the way to 140.00–139.80. Key resistance on any pullback: 145.00–146.00. 📌 Implication: The confirmed break of support activated a bearish continuation setup, unless short-term bounces offer new sell opportunities near resistance. 5. Market Depth Market depth shows a strong cluster of long orders above current levels, while short volumes appear fragmented. This suggests any short-term rally could face aggressive selling between 144.50–145.50. 🎯 Conclusion & Operational Outlook The overall context points to a high probability of further downside in USD/JPY over the short to medium term: Smart money is rotating toward the Yen. Seasonal patterns historically support a drop in May–June. Contrarian retail sentiment adds additional bearish weight. The weekly chart confirms a break of structure, opening space below 141.50.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
Momentum builds in GBP/USD and NZD/USD following tariff delayThe U.S. dollar weakened sharply in recent sessions as President Trump's announcement that the proposed 50% tariffs on EU imports will now be delayed until July 9, giving markets temporary relief. GBP/USD edged toward 1.3600, testing levels last seen three years ago. The RSI sits just under 60, suggesting there’s still room before overbought conditions are reached. Volume has been gradually increasing, potentially reinforcing the strength of the breakout. Risk-on flows also lifted the Australian and New Zealand dollars. NZD/USD has broken above the Ichimoku cloud and rose 0.62% on the day. Price is well above the Tenkan-sen (blue) and Kijun-sen (red), indicating strong upward momentum. However, the pair is pulling back slightly after the sharp breakout, suggesting short-term consolidation.
by BlackBull_Markets
NZDUSD 3MONTHS CHARTNZD/USD Interest Rate Differential, 10-Year Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–30, 2025) Current 10-Year Bond Yields New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.70% (as of May 21, 2025) . US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 22, 2025) . Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between New Zealand and US 10-year bonds is:4.70%(NZD)−4.54%(USD)=+0.16% the 4.70% (NZD)−4.54% (USD)=+0.16% This modest differential slightly favors the New Zealand dollar, creating a limited carry trade opportunity. Carry Trade Advantage Investors can borrow USD at lower US rates and invest in higher-yielding NZD assets, earning the 0.16% yield spread. The strategy is supported by New Zealand’s elevated bond yields despite recent Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate cuts. However, the narrow spread reduces potential returns compared to higher-yielding currency pairs. Key Events and Risks (May 25–30, 2025) RBNZ Monetary Policy Meeting (May 27–28): Markets expect a 25 basis point rate cut to 3.50% , which could pressure NZD yields lower and narrow the IRD. Further easing signals may weaken NZD, offsetting carry trade gains. US Economic Data and Fed Policy: US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell’s speeches could influence USD strength. Traders currently price in five Fed rate cuts by year-end , which may limit USD upside. China Trade Dynamics: New Zealand’s trade ties with China (its largest partner) make NZD sensitive to US-China trade tensions. Progress in tariff negotiations could support NZD . Summary Table Metric New Zealand (NZD) United States (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.70% 4.54% Interest Rate Differential +0.16% (NZD over USD) — Carry Trade Appeal Modest, but narrowing — Conclusion The 0.16% yield advantage for NZD over USD provides a limited carry trade opportunity. However, the upcoming RBNZ rate cut (May 27–28) and potential Fed easing could narrow the spread further. NZD/USD remains vulnerable to: RBNZ policy: Further rate cuts may reduce NZD’s yield appeal. US-China trade developments: Escalating tensions could pressure NZD due to its reliance on Chinese trade. While the carry trade offers marginal gains, traders should prioritize risk management amid volatility from central bank decisions and geopolitical risks.
by Shavyfxhub
TMGH Rebound ExpctationTMG Holding trend has reached its downward zone at the support line 51.142. In case of a rise, it is expected to breach the resistance line 51.233 and reach the resistance line at 51.625 points, then reach the third resistance line at 51.777 points. This upward direction is expected due to TMGH signs MoU For Development of New Large-Scale Mixed-Use Project In Iraq, which is expected to generate total sales of $17 Billion, and income of $1.5 Billion per annum upon project completion. In case of falling, it's expected to break the 1st support line at 50.961 points, then the second support line at 50.900, then the third line at 50.779.
EGX:TMGH
by RowaynaAhmed
US Gov Spending to Tax Revenues & Debt to GDPUS government spending is exceeding tax revenues by over 2:1, reaching extreme levels compared to historical norms and worsening rapidly More alarmingly, unlike past decades, the US government's total debt-to-GDP ratio is also rising sharply with no end in sight, accelerating in the wrong direction. For this reason, bond investors are currently demanding higher interest rates. Trump's tariffs, undermining trust in Gov, the economy, and markets, are creating conditions for a global currency crisis coupled with an economic recession or depression. If you think this information has no impact on your trading/investing, you are making a grave and possibly an expensive mistake. Click Boost, follow, and subscribe for more. Let's get to 5,000 followers. ))
FRED:FGEXPND
by RealMacro
SWDY Future ReboundSWDY stock is trying to peak up, but unfortunately, it's rebounding back from the resistance line 80.081. It had already broken the support line 78.989. In case of continuing, it'll break the support line 78.928 till reaching the support line 78.868. In case of rising, it'll breach the 1st resistance line at 79.199, the 2nd resistance line at 79.320, and the 3rd resistance line at 79.470, which is more recommended due to its Q1 Profit Rise, which achieved EGP 4.15 Billion versus EGP 3.98 Billion a year ago beside its Q1 revenue EGP 59.39 Billion versus EGP 45.25 Billion a year ago.
EGX:SWDY
by RowaynaAhmed