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Fundamental Analysis

Go Russel - Strong upside for the small fry to 2,506First analysis ever done on the Russell 2000. And the reason is because there is MAJOR upside to come for the first time in a LONG time. So why now? 🧨 1. Rate Cuts = Small-Cap Lifeline Small-cap stocks love lower interest rates — and the Fed's softening tone is a green light for upside. 💥 2. Breakout Setup After Long Chop The US2000 has been stuck in a sideways range — now it's building energy for a potential breakout. 🏦 3. Regional Banks Bouncing Regional financials (big weight in US2000) are showing signs of life — that’s a major boost to the index. 🧠 4. Under the Radar = Big Move Potential While everyone’s chasing Nasdaq and S&P, smart money is quietly positioning in small caps before the crowd catches on. 📊 5. Economic Resilience Helps the Little Guys US economy staying stronger than expected = tailwind for smaller domestic-focused businesses in the Russell 2000. Cup and Handle Price> 20 and 200MA Target 2,506 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:US2000Long
by Timonrosso
UK showing strong upside once breaks above C&H to 9,772 A very large Cup and Handle has formed on UK100. There are many reasons for the upside to come but here are a few ones I can think of. 📉 2. Undervalued vs. Other Indices FTSE 100 has lagged behind the US and EU — now global investors are eyeing it as a catch-up play. 💷 3. Weak Pound Helps Export Giants A softer GBP = stronger revenue for big FTSE names like Shell, BP, Unilever, etc., which dominate global markets. 🏦 4. Rate Cut Hopes Are Back With UK inflation cooling, the Bank of England might ease up — which is fuel for stocks, especially banks and housing. 📈 5. Rotational Flows Into Value Traders are rotating out of overbought tech and into solid dividend/value plays — and the FTSE is packed with them. And this is looking great for upside. We can expect upside to come ONCE the price breaks above the brim level. Price>20 and 200MA. 9,772 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:UK100FULong
by Timonrosso
Gold grows, recovers near 3390 📣Gold News Gold prices edged higher during the North American trading session as investors turned their attention to the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls report (NFP), which could influence the Fed's next policy move. The latest labor data showed that companies are pausing hiring rather than laying off employees, reflecting caution in an uncertain economic environment. Meanwhile, Microsoft's decision to lay off 9,000 employees has heightened concerns about a weak labor market. Traders are currently awaiting the official employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday, which is expected to show 110,000 new jobs in June, down from 139,000 in May. The unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly to 4.3%, still within the 4.4% range of its forecast according to the Fed's latest summary of economic projections. 📣 Technical Analysis NF is worth buying before the news release, holding. The dollar continues to be under selling pressure from investors worried about the Trump administration's erratic tariff policy. 💰Set Gold Price: 💰Sell Gold Zone: 3390-3398 SL 3405 TP1: 3380 USD TP2: 3363 USD TP3: 3350 USD 💰Buy Gold Zone: 3296-3294 USD SL 3289 USD TP1: 3308 USD TP2: 3318 USD TP3: 3330 USD ⭐️Technical Analysis: Set reasonable buy orders based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support and resistance areas.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
Litecoin is setting itself for some heavy upside to 1,114Are we priming for another Crypto Summer. Across the board is showing strong upside to come for all - ETH, BTC and even Litecoin. ⚡ Faster, Cheaper BTC Alternative Litecoin still delivers cheap, fast transactions — it’s the “digital silver” to Bitcoin’s gold. 🪙 Institutional Interest Sneaking In More funds and platforms are quietly adding LTC to their offerings — don’t sleep on it. 🔄 High Correlation with Bitcoin If BTC breaks out, LTC often follows fast — and sometimes harder. 💎 Still Undervalued vs. Major Alts LTC hasn’t popped yet like ETH or SOL — which makes it a solid catch-up play. The price has broken the Wedge formation. We need it to close above the neckline of the W Formation and for the price to go above 20MA & 200MA. Once it goes above 949, we can see the next target to 1,114. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:LTCUSDLong
by Timonrosso
Cocoa Futures: CC1! Potential Pullback at Familiar Supply ZoneCocoa futures (CC1) are approaching a key demand zone previously tested in March 2025. This area, highlighted on the chart, presents a potential for a pullback, fueled by likely buy orders from commercial traders, as indicated by bullish sentiment evident in the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report. We're watching for a reversal pattern within these highlighted zones, signaling a shift from the current upward trend. This anticipated pullback, driven by commercial market participation, could offer a compelling entry point for traders looking to capitalize on a potential reversal in the agricultural commodity. ✅ Please share your thoughts about CC1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
ICEUS:CC1!Long
by FOREXN1
1
Safe Entry Zone TOSTNote: Switch to 1H TF for better View and more details Stock Current Movement Ranging. 4h Green is buy Zone stop loss Below. 4h Red Is Resistance Zone. P.High Lines (Previous High) Consider as Strong Resitances! Also My Beloved CAthie Wood BEST INVESTOR All Time (based on statics better than Warren Buffet Entire Histroy) Is BUYING! Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
NYSE:TOSTLong
by Faisalzor
UPDATE Japan cruising to 42,153 thanks to the Tech War btw E & WIf you read my previous post about China you'll note, there are MAJOR developments in the East compared to the west. It's always been a battle between the two. But this time it's based on research, developments and upgrades. Loving the war on technology, because it is helping us normal folk with living quaility.l Anyway, fundamentally Japan continues to expand. 🗳️ Political Stability = Market Confidence Japan’s government is stable, and investors love certainty — it sets the tone for bullish momentum. 📉 Weak Yen = Export Party A weaker yen boosts Japanese exports like cars and tech — big names like Toyota and Sony are crushing it. 💹 BOJ Staying Chill The Bank of Japan isn’t rushing to hike rates — that’s fuel for equities and easy money flow. 📊 Value + Tech Combo Japan’s got solid value plays AND hot AI growth stories — a killer combo right now. 🌍 Foreign Funds Are Piling In Global investors are rotating into Japan — and that buying pressure alone can keep pushing prices higher. And technically it's the same as last time, hence it's an update. The price broke above the pattern and is slowing moving up a consistent uptrend to 42,153. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:JP225
by Timonrosso
UPDATE The future of Hong Kong is here and ready to rally 26,944Have you noticed the developments in China lately? TOp of the market buildings, technology, self driving train stations, delivery drones and flying cars. Out of a futuristic movie - but in reality. It seems like China is breaking away from the dependency to produce for America, and is showing the signs of growth, development and economic independence. And fundamentally it is looking great too. 🧱 Mainland Money Surge Mainland Chinese investors have poured a record $90 billion into Hong Kong stocks in H1 2025, boosting liquidity and narrowing the valuation gap with A‑shares 🚀 IPO Wave & Tech Strength A booming IPO pipeline—including DeepSeek, Shein, CATL—has lifted market sentiment, while tech giants like Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi ride the AI growth wave 🤝 Trade Truce Optimism Reduced U.S.–China trade tensions, including tariff de‑escalation and diplomatic overtures, are powering a broader rebound in risk assets across Hong Kong 🏦 Monetary Tailwinds Expectations of U.S. rate cuts and continuing PBoC easing are lowering borrowing costs and lifting dividend‑yield plays in banking and property 📈 Market Leadership & Momentum With a ~20 % YTD gain, the Hang Seng is outperforming mainland China, and analysts expect this victory lap to keep going as global investors re‑orient into Asia As this is an update the setup remains the same and I guess is just waiting for that boost catalyst to take it up The Cup and Handle pattern remains with the price needing to break above the brim level and for the price to continue above 20 and 200MA the target is still 26,944. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:HK50Long
by Timonrosso
Potential NFP tonightThe markets are currently bracing for a softer-than-expected NFP print, driven by weak ADP data and U.S. demographic headwinds. If the numbers come in below consensus, it would open the door for USD‑short trades and entries into gold or equity indices. Conversely, a stronger release would warrant watching for a rebound in the dollar and Treasury yields. This report will also shape expectations around Fed policy and the likelihood of a rate cut in September.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingFaizwan
1
USD/CHF Slips LowerUSD/CHF Slips Lower USD/CHF declined and now struggling below the 0.8000 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today - USD/CHF declined below the 0.8000 and 0.7950 support levels. - There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7920 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/CHF Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from well above the 0.8080 zone. The US Dollar dropped below the 0.8000 support to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc. The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.7940. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 0.7870 level. A low was formed near 0.7872 and the pair is now consolidating losses. There was a minor increase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8080 swing high to the 0.7872 low. On the upside, the pair could face resistance near the 0.7920 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7920. The next major resistance is near the 0.7940 level, above which the pair could test the 0.7975 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8080 swing high to the 0.7872 low. If there is a clear break above the 0.7975 resistance zone, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could even surpass 0.8030. On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.7870. The first major support is near the 0.7850 level. The next major support is near 0.7800. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward the 0.7720 level in the coming days. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
France 40 is priming up for strong upside to 8,673France is definitely setting itself for upside to come. We have positive data from the love country including: 📈 Oversold Conditions The CAC 40 was heavily sold off — now it’s ripe for a bounce. 🏦 ECB Rate Cuts Lower interest rates fuel investor appetite for European equities. 💼 Strong Corporate Earnings French companies are reporting resilient profits despite volatility. 💰 Foreign Investment Flowing In Global funds see value and are buying the dip in France. Technicals also look great including: W Formation is forming but hasn't broken the neckline just yet. Price>20 and 200MA Target 8,673 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:F40Long
by Timonrosso
EUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar WeaknessEUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar Weakness EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.1750 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a decent increase from the 1.1600 zone against the US Dollar. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1770 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1600 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.1650 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar. The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1750. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1830 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1829 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high. Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.1770. The next major support is the 1.1710 level. A downside break below the 1.1710 support could send the pair toward the 1.1680 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.1645. Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.1830 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.1850 level. An upside break above the 1.1850 level might send the pair toward the 1.1920 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.1950 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.2000 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Nearing the Top: A Final Push or Smart Money Liquidity Trap?EUR/USD – Nearing the Top: A Final Push or Smart Money Liquidity Trap? 🌍 MACRO OUTLOOK – EURO CLIMBS WHILE USD TREADS ON UNCERTAIN POLITICAL GROUND: EUR/USD is trading just below the 1.1700 mark as investors remain cautious about the US dollar's long-term credibility. Growing concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence — should the “Trump 2.0” scenario unfold — have weighed heavily on USD sentiment across global markets. Meanwhile, the Euro is gaining support thanks to a relatively hawkish tone from the European Central Bank (ECB). Policymakers appear reluctant to ease policy prematurely, which supports the Euro through expectations of prolonged higher interest rates. However, with no major catalyst in play yet, traders are watching closely for mid-tier US data and any upcoming statements from ECB officials that might set the tone for the next directional breakout. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H4 TIMEFRAME: Market Structure: EUR/USD remains in a well-defined ascending price channel. However, the pair is now testing the upper band near the 1.1804 resistance, a key liquidity zone where sellers previously stepped in. EMA Alignment: Price is trading above the EMA 13/34/89/200 cluster — a strong sign of sustained bullish momentum. Momentum Indicators: RSI is hovering near 70 — potential overbought territory. ADX remains above 25 — confirming trend strength but signaling caution at extended highs. FVG (Fair Value Gap): A visible unfilled gap between 1.1600 and 1.1640 could act as a magnetic zone for price to revisit before the next impulse move. 🔹 Key Resistance: 1.1804 – 1.1835 🔹 Key Support: 1.1640 – 1.1600 (gap zone) 🔹 Major Demand Zone: 1.1499 – 1.1515 🎯 TRADE PLAN: Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias): Entry: 1.1600 – 1.1640 Stop Loss: 1.1550 Targets: 1.1750 → 1.1800 → 1.1850 Scenario 2 – Buy Deep Pullback: Entry: 1.1499 – 1.1515 Stop Loss: 1.1450 Targets: 1.1640 → 1.1700 Scenario 3 – Countertrend Sell at Key Resistance (High Risk): Entry: 1.1804 – 1.1830 Stop Loss: 1.1860 Targets: 1.1720 → 1.1650 📌 Strategic Insight: EUR/USD may be setting up for either a breakout continuation above 1.1800 or a temporary reversal to sweep liquidity from the lower zones. Momentum favors bulls, but chasing highs without confirmation is risky. Focus on clean retracements and volume-supported entries. 💬 If EUR/USD drops back into the 1.1600 zone, will you load up for another leg higher — or wait for confirmation of trend strength? Share your view in the comments!
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Price Analysis July 3GOLD Technical Analysis - D1 Frame On the D1 frame, the uptrend is still being maintained with momentum towards the price gap zone. During the European session, selling pressure started to appear around the resistance zone of 3365 - showing that this is the area where the sellers are making counter-moves. On the chart, the gold price is accumulating and forming a triangle pattern, indicating the possibility of a strong movement phase. If the price breaks the upper border of the triangle (above the 3363 zone), it will likely open up an opportunity to approach the next resistance at 3388. On the contrary, if it breaks the lower border (below the 3330 zone), the correction trend may be triggered, heading towards deeper support zones. Important Zones: Resistance: 3363 – 3388 Support: 3330 – 3311 – 3297 – 3277 Trading Strategy: BUY Breakout: When price breaks above 3363 SELL Breakout: When price breaks below 3330
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
3
Trade closed manually. Plus USD short 'anticipation' trade? I have closed yesterday's NZD JPY trade for a small profit of +0.6. (to avoid NFP risk). With an early close today due to independence day tomorrow, it's debatable whether there will be a post NFP opportunity. I do think there is a case to say a pre event USD short 'anticipation' trade is a viable option. Something like an AUD or EUR USD - buy stop order a few minutes before the release. The reasoning being that the consensus is for a below forecast number, which would compound USD weakness. The risk being NFP is particularly volatile and any triggered trade could whipsaw as the market digests the numbers. Personally, it's not a trade I'll be attempting, I'm just saying I think it's a reasonable idea. Wishing you a lovely weekend, today I'll be designated photographer as Michelle graduates her PGCE. Weekly Review to follow, please feel free to offer thoughts or questions:
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
Gold May Find Support From These Various FactorsGold May Find Support Amid Concerns Over U.S. Debt Sustainability, Economic Weakness, and Renewed Geopolitical Tensions Gold prices are holding steady today, near $1,353 per ounce in spot trading, in what is expected to be a low-liquidity session due to the early closure of U.S. markets. This follows three consecutive days of gains. The yellow metal’s subdued movement comes as markets await key labor market data that may offer further insight into the health of the U.S. economy, especially after the recent shock from ADP figures. Gold continues to find support from several underlying factors that could sustain its upward trend this week. These include rising uncertainty around the long-term sustainability of U.S. public finances and the risk of renewed conflict in the Middle East. Concerns over U.S. fiscal stability have intensified following the introduction of the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” which combines tax cuts with spending reductions. In an opinion article for The New York Times , former Treasury Secretaries Robert Rubin and Lawrence Summers warn of the bill’s potentially severe consequences, including persistently high interest rates, reduced business confidence, falling investment, and the risk of a financial shock that markets may struggle to absorb. This could also leave the economy more vulnerable to economic and geopolitical threats. Such risks may erode investor confidence in U.S. government debt, potentially boosting gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset even in an environment of elevated bond yields and prolonged high interest rates. On the geopolitical front, the specter of renewed escalation in the Middle East looms, and this time, the consequences could be more severe. Amid conflicting reports and statements regarding the extent of the damage to Iran’s nuclear facilities, both sides appear to be preparing for the possibility of renewed hostilities. Diplomatic efforts remain stalled, and hardline voices continue to call for a return to conflict. In an opinion piece for The New York Times, former National Security Advisor John Bolton described negotiations with Iran as ineffective and dangerous, calling instead for regime change and the use of force. While previous rounds of conflict have not caused lasting damage to the global economy or energy supply chains, a new round may prove more disruptive. According to Reuters , Iran has reportedly loaded naval mines onto vessels, raising fears that it may attempt to close the Strait of Hormuz. Such a move would cross a critical threshold and turning a contained conflict into one with global economic implications. The Strait of Hormuz handles over one-fifth of the world’s crude oil and liquefied natural gas exports. However, Iran may avoid this step as long as its own oil exports continue flowing through the strait, as was the case during the last conflict in June. On the trade front, there is growing optimism about the potential for new agreements that could ease tensions that have disrupted global supply chains and threatened U.S. and global economic growth. This optimism follows President Trump’s announcement of a trade deal with Vietnam. There is also hope that progress can be made with China. Recent reciprocal steps, that involve the easing of restrictions on rare earth exports by China and some relaxation of U.S. technology export controls, suggest that the de-escalation agreed upon earlier in Switzerland could hold, potentially laying the groundwork for a broader trade agreement. Samer Hasn
COMEX:GC1!
by SamerHa
GBPUSD – Pound Stumbles on Political Risk and NFP FearGBPUSD – Pound Stumbles on Political Risk and NFP Fear: Reversal or Breakdown? 🧭 MACRO SNAPSHOT – All Eyes on UK Politics and US Jobs The British Pound came under renewed pressure on Wednesday, losing nearly 0.8% intraday, driven largely by escalating political uncertainty in the UK. Concerns over early elections, party leadership instability, and fiscal doubts have weighed on GBP sentiment. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains supported ahead of the June Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) release. With recent labor data showing signs of weakness (ADP: -33K), today’s NFP is expected to shape short-term Fed expectations. A weak report may cap USD gains and provide a rebound opportunity for GBP – but risk is two-sided. 📊 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE – H4 Chart Insights: Trend Channel: GBPUSD is still trading within an ascending channel, but recent rejection at 1.3769 raises caution. EMA Signals: Price has broken below EMA 13 and 34, showing momentum loss. EMA 89 is the next possible support near 1.3570. Fibonacci Zones: 0.382: 1.3543 0.5: 1.3466 0.618: 1.3390 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 1.3681 – 1.3769 Support: 1.3570 – 1.3450 (golden pocket) The price is likely to test the midline or lower bound of the channel before resuming a move higher, assuming macro tailwinds don’t intensify GBP selling. 🎯 TRADE PLAN: 🔵 Buy Setup (Reversal from Demand Zone): Entry: 1.3450 – 1.3460 SL: 1.3390 TP: 1.3570 → 1.3680 → 1.3760 Bias: Counter-trend rebound from golden pocket & ascending trendline 🔴 Sell Setup (Short-term pullback): Entry: 1.3680 – 1.3700 SL: 1.3765 TP: 1.3570 → 1.3450 Bias: Fade weak bullish momentum near prior high resistance 📌 Risk Context: Today’s US NFP report is high-impact – expect volatility spikes and spread widening. UK political headlines could cause gaps or sharp reversals. Traders are advised to reduce size or wait for clear rejection/confirmation candles before entry.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 7Title: Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 7 Post: 🌍📊 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 7 🧭🔥 This is it — Part 7 of our ongoing macro Bitcoin analysis — and this one is rooted in the three all-time trendlines that I’ve used for years to map out Bitcoin’s biggest moments. We are now heading north, potentially to do something historic : test the upper trendline resistance for the third time . 📈 When Bitcoin does this, it tends to either break out massively ... or signal the end of a cycle . That’s why this zone — 114.5K to 115K — is critical . A successful breakout here and $100K becomes history . It would unleash Bitcoin into a new phase of its long-term bullish evolution. 🦅 On the flip side: this might also mark the final resistance of the current cycle . Either way, it’s a zone where serious decisions will be made — and manipulation will likely spike. 👀 🔑 Key Levels: 114,520–115,000 : Breakout zone — reclaim this and we’re headed higher. 97,770 : Key support — fail to hold, and we reassess the bullish case. 🎥 Want to better understand the levels in play? Watch my latest video idea, where I draw comparisons between BTC now and the Brexit 2016 setup. This will help you see why I’m preparing for major volatility . 🚀📈 Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!' 💥🇬🇧 I’ll post the video link below once live — keep an eye out for it! 👇 Previous post: “Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!’” One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 ps. Big breakout at 115k or end of cycle? I am hoping for the first!
Long
by FX_Professor
3