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Fundamental Analysis

No Tech Stock Should Trade at a Higher PE Than Apple or NvidiaWhy No Tech Stock Should Trade at a Higher PE Than Apple or Nvidia — A Case for Shorting Analog Devices (ADI) No technology company should be trading at a higher price-to-earnings (PE) ratio than industry giants like Nvidia or Apple. That principle applies directly to Analog Devices (ADI), which is currently overvalued relative to its peers. As long as ADI's price stays below $216, I believe it presents a compelling short opportunity. My short targets are as follows: - Target 1: $190 - Target 2: $168 - Target 3: $146 These price levels not only offer solid exit points for short positions but also serve as attractive long-term entry points for those looking to hold ADI shares at more reasonable valuations. For traders, these levels can be leveraged effectively through option strategies to maximize risk-reward potential.
NASDAQ:ADIShort
by Golfistry
Great Uncertainty with a Dramatic Twist: Intel’s Recent ShakeupIn a surprising move last December, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger abruptly stepped down following a tense board meeting that revealed growing dissatisfaction with his turnaround strategy. The sudden exit—on a quiet Sunday—left the tech world stunned and set off a chain of dramatic leadership changes. To stabilize the company, Intel temporarily appointed CFO David Zinsner and Executive VP Michelle Johnston Holthaus as interim co-CEOs. But the real twist came in March 2025, when the company announced the return of Lip-Bu Tan as the new CEO—a figure whose reappearance adds serious dramatic flair to the story. Tan had previously resigned from Intel’s board in August 2024, seemingly stepping away from the company for good. His unexpected return just months later, this time as CEO, feels like a corporate plotline worthy of an Emmy—or even an Oscar—nomination. Adding intrigue, Tan had reportedly clashed with Gelsinger on Intel’s direction, making his comeback a powerful statement about the board’s new vision. Meanwhile, both Gelsinger and Zinsner were named in a shareholder lawsuit filed in August 2024, alleging securities fraud tied to concealed operational setbacks. The case, however, was dismissed in March 2025 after a judge ruled there wasn’t enough evidence to prove the company misled investors. But beyond the boardroom drama lies a more sobering concern: Intel’s financial health. To me, the situation increasingly mirrors that of Lehman Brothers before its collapse—over-leveraged, burdened by mounting obligations, and heading straight into intensifying macroeconomic and sector-specific headwinds. The semiconductor industry is cyclical, and as the winds shift, Intel may simply not be financially equipped to weather the storm. Unless it secures a major loan or receives a government bailout, I believe Intel’s stock is significantly overvalued at its current price of $22. Based on its deteriorating fundamentals, market sentiment, and leverage risk, a fairer valuation could be as low as $2 per share. Ironically, that $2 level roughly aligns with a 30x price-to-earnings ratio—where many mature tech companies are trading—if one accounts for where Intel’s true earnings power might settle after the dust clears. My Fibonacci levels also suggest a sharp dip toward $12 in the near term. And even if Intel does hit that level, I suspect it may only be a dead cat bounce—temporary relief before a deeper plunge. With leadership drama, legal clouds, and financial fragility all colliding, Intel isn’t just facing a tough quarter—it’s staring down a full-blown existential crisis.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by Golfistry
Positioning for Market Repricing: A PE-Based Strategy Involving Both Nvidia and Apple currently have price-to-earnings (PE) ratios near 30, while other technology companies, such as Tesla and Analog Devices, are trading with significantly higher PE ratios of over 125 and 60, respectively. Given the economic headwinds we are facing, I believe stocks with higher PE ratios may experience more pronounced declines compared to those with lower ratios. At present, I intend to initiate a long position in Nvidia at its current price around $110, with plans to take profits by shorting the stock at approximately $118, targeting a price of $115. Additionally, once Nvidia reaches my profit target of $118, I will look to short both Tesla and Analog Devices at that price range. This strategy is based on the expectation that the broader market may place additional pressure on high-PE stocks in the near term.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Golfistry
warning dji huge correction incomingThis is whats going on,Trumps tariffs are a catalyst for whats happening.we are going back down to the 0.618 level and are in an abc correction at this time, a 3 month bearish Div on the macd,also,we only have seen dji only down 2+ percent and people are freaking out about there 401k and how the richer are going to get richer by buying this dip. i agree if you have no free cash you are stuck. if this plays out its going to be painful,but after this correction we will be shooting vertical,and is your best opportunity to buy low and get rich.
TVC:DJIShort
by Mrbigman
Bitcoin Dominance Keeps Climbing Despite Bearish Divergence📉 Bitcoin Dominance Keeps Climbing Despite Bearish Divergence 🚨 Since January 29, 2025, a massive bearish divergence on Bitcoin dominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) has been forming... yet it never materialized! 🔍 Even worse—this divergence keeps growing, meaning CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is overbought but still pushing higher, defying all technical indicators. 💡 The March 19, 2025 FOMC Pump: Bitcoin jumped +6% from GETTEX:82K to $86K 📈 Altcoins barely moved—most stayed stable or had a minor push 📉 This was not an organic move—it was institutional & political manipulation ⚠️ The Consequences: Altcoins are getting wrecked—again 😤 When Bitcoin corrects, altcoins will crash harder 🚨 Bitcoin maximalists (Saylor, politicians, whales) are pushing Bitcoin at the expense of the entire crypto industry 🎭 Reality Check: Bitcoin maximalists don’t care about crypto—they care about their own bags 💰. Their goal? Kill altcoins & centralize wealth in Bitcoin. ⏳ Until the crypto industry wakes up to this war between Bitcoin maximalists & the rest of the market, nothing will change. Another altseason cancelled, another liquidity funnel into Bitcoin to protect institutional & banking interests. Hopefully this bearish divergeance will finally plays out and we will see this very welcome altseason. Until then, altcoins are struggling. #Bitcoin #Crypto #Altcoins #BTC #BearishDivergence #CryptoManipulation #AltseasonCancelled #BTCMaximalists #CryptoNews #Saylor #InstitutionalManipulation
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CryptoNikkoid
11
AUD/CAD Short🔍 Technical Context: Market Structure: Price is in a long-term sideways range with lower highs. AUD/CAD is struggling to break above the 0.90–0.91 region, showing signs of exhaustion. Zone of Interest (Supply): Purple box: 0.9000 – 0.9100 A clean historical rejection zone that has acted as both support and resistance multiple times since 2022. Entry Type: Sell Limit @ 0.9070 placed slightly below the top of the resistance zone to increase likelihood of getting triggered on a spike. Stop Loss: 0.9175 – above multiple wick rejections and key structure highs. Allows breathing room for volatility without compromising the structure. Take Profit Targets: TP1: 0.8650 (conservative target at strong support) TP2 (optional extension): 0.8500 (major long-term range low) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 minimum to TP1, potentially 1:4+ if extended to 0.8500. 🧠 Strategic Notes: Trigger Conditions: Wait for a retrace to the 0.9070 zone rather than enter at market open. This is based on the idea that a final upward effort could grab liquidity and fill your limit. Monthly Candle Watch: Monday is month-end. Monitor the monthly close to determine if the structure still supports the trade idea. If the close is strongly bullish and you’re triggered early, be open to closing the trade early to avoid deeper drawdown. Why It’s High Probability: Multi-year horizontal structure Repeated failure to hold above 0.90 Candlestick wicks rejecting the same zone Fundamentals slightly favor CAD over AUD (higher real yields, oil correlation) Defined invalidation point and asymmetric reward
by tradercat2025
$USPCEPIMC -U.S Core PCE Inflation Rises More than ExpectedECONOMICS:USPCEPIMC (February/2025) source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - The US PCE price index rose by 0.3% month-over-month in February, maintaining the same pace as the previous two months. The core PCE index increased by 0.4%, the most since January 2024, surpassing the forecast of 0.3% and up from 0.3% in January. On a year-over-year basis, headline PCE inflation remained steady at 2.5%, while core PCE inflation edged up to 2.8%, above the expected 2.7%.
ECONOMICS:USPCEPIMC
by Mr_J__fx
BTC Confirmed a Clear Bearish MovementBTC Confirmed a Clear Bearish Movement Yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC) shifted from a bullish outlook to a bearish one. In my previous analysis, I mentioned this change was possible, as BTC was bullish but lacked strong momentum. However, instead of showing signs of upward movement, BTC moved straight down. Today, BTC has clearly broken through key levels, increasing the likelihood of a further downward trend. Based on the chart, BTC is expected to continue its decline and may find strong support around 81,600, 79,000, and 74,000. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
5
NZDUSD: Trading Within a Narrow 50-pip RangeNZDUSD: Trading Within a Narrow 50-pip Range The NZDUSD currency pair has been trading within a narrow 50-pip range, stuck between 0.5710 and 0.5760 for about 10 days. It seems likely that this sideways movement will continue in the coming week, as there are no major developments expected. Next week, two key events could impact the US dollar. The first is the decision on Trump's tariffs, expected by April 2 or 3. The second is the release of Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. The U.S. is forecasted to report a decline in job growth to 128,000, down from 151,000 in the previous month. Market conditions may remain choppy, and even if NZDUSD moves lower, I don't expect it to fall below 0.5680. The reversal zone between 0.5680 and 0.5710 will likely remain critical for the pair to regain upward momentum, as highlighted on the chart. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
4
Gold swing trade with buy and sell levelsThis week we are looking to sell Gold down to previous resistance which aligns with Fibonacci 0.382 level for a sell total pips of 309. When we reach our take profit we will go back into a buy at 2994 and a take profit target of 3053 for an additional pip count of 588 pips. Trade idea is based on higher time frame and uses trend lines as well as support and resistance and Fibonacci levels. With these type of trades expect to go into some drawdown that's why I recommend using small lots and securing profit along the way . Check out my weekly gold forecast with both buy and sell entries posted below.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
Gold weekly forecast with buy and sell levelsGold weekly forecast with both buy and sell entries. Friday Gold sold off from 2334 all the way to 2300 for a drop of 334 pips before retracing up to where we are now at 3024. What can we expect for the coming week ?. My plan is as follows. For a buy I would look at entering at 3032 expecting first resistance (marked in red on chart ) to be 3038 to 3040 area. If we break these then next target would be 3048 to 3052 (200 pip from entry) this is high resistance level , if gold continues to be bullish expect 3078 to be the next area. For a sell I would enter at 3018 expecting 3010 to 3008 as first support, next level is 3000 to 2998 and if broken we can expect gold to fall to 2880 and 2840 levels. As always wait for levels, take profit along the way and don't over leverage . Ill update this as the week goes on. Check out my other trade idea for a gold swing trade below. Trade safe
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
Strong Momentum and Price Performance $AEMAnalysis of NYSE:AEM Stock Performance 1. Strong Momentum and Price Performance NYSE:AEM exhibits strong momentum characteristics, with the stock price trading above short, medium, and long-term moving averages. Additionally, it has achieved a new 52-week high today, indicating strong bullish sentiment. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) also suggests price strength, reinforcing the stock’s positive momentum. 2. Consistent Outperformance Against the Industry NYSE:AEM has consistently outperformed its industry peers over various timeframes, including 1 week, 3 months, 1 year, and even 10 years. This long-term relative strength makes it an attractive investment within its sector. 3. Growth and Profitability Indicators The company has shown good quarterly growth in its recent financial results. Annual profit growth has been higher than the sector’s profit growth. Net profit growth has been robust, aligning with significant gains in share price. Revenue has increased consistently every quarter for the past 4 quarters, reflecting strong business expansion. The company has strong cash-generating ability, with operating cash flow improving over the last two years. 4. Valuation Metrics and Financial Strength The Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is lower than the industry average, suggesting the stock may be undervalued relative to its peers. The PEG ratio (Price/Earnings to Growth) is lower than the industry PEG, indicating that the stock offers a good balance of price and growth potential. Book value per share has been improving for the last two years, a positive indicator of financial health. The company maintains low debt levels, reducing financial risk and ensuring sustainability. 5. Technical and Volume-Based Strength Stocks near 52-week high with significant volumes indicate continued buying interest. Volume shockers suggest that the stock has experienced unusual trading activity, which may indicate accumulation by institutional investors. High momentum scores, with technical indicators above 50, reinforce the stock’s strong trend. Conclusion NYSE:AEM is a fundamentally strong stock with a combination of growth, profitability, and strong momentum indicators. The stock’s consistent outperformance relative to its industry, low valuation metrics, rising cash flow, and strong financial health make it an attractive investment. Given its technical strength and fundamental resilience, NYSE:AEM appears well-positioned for further upside in the near to medium term.
NYSE:AEM
by swingstocktraders
The "Good" Crypto Narrative Is OverIt's been a while since I've done a bit of a deep-dive on this market and why I don't believe it'll sustain a significantly higher value in the future. I no longer have the stamina to write a long-winded post. It's exhausting at this point, and I don't need to reiterate it. Instead, I'll summarize recent developments and their impact on the crypto narrative. 1) The TOTAL crypto market cap currently rests below the all-time high from 2021. This is even including stablecoins. There is $144B worth of USDT currently in circulation. In 2021, that number was $80B. Meanwhile, stock indexes and several individual stocks are significantly up from their last peaks. From a "store of value" standpoint, this doesn't look great, particularly factoring in inflation. Adjusted for inflation, Bitcoin itself is sitting below its inflation-adjusted 2021 all-time high, which is around $84K. 2) Bitcoin active addresses are back to 2017 levels and BELOW the levels from even the previous bear market! This implies that "authentic" adoption has stagnated and begun a decline. studio.glassnode.com 3) In the eyes of a growing number of investors, Trump and Elon's crypto push has only solidified the crypto market as a joke and as a global symbol of greed and corruption. 4) Gold has far outpaced Bitcoin as a store of value during this recent period of turbulence, disproving Bitcoin as a possible safe haven. Here is the Bitcoin/Gold chart for reference: 5) Still, if cryptocurrencies completely ceased to exist, there would be no net-negative effect on the world. In fact, it may be a net-positive. Unless this suddenly changes, crypto does not have any real world value. You cannot say this about most MIL:1T + markets: If most major companies and resources ceased to exist, we'd see a very significant (mostly negative) impact on our daily lives, almost immediately. In summary, I don't think people will be coming in droves to invest in this market. I think that ship has sailed. The opportunity for it to prove itself has waned, and it has been overtaken by largely bad actors. If anything, I think people are more likely to be forced to buy it than enter the market willingly. From a technical standpoint, a breakdown from the big uptrend channel in the chart above would likely confirm that the top is in. --------------------------------------------- Beware, a crypto narrative still exists, but it's only the one fed to us by those in power. It will be important not to fall for it. I worry that people will be forced to own cryptocurrencies, at the expense of their freedom. And even in a situation where crypto prices continue to increase, it is unlikely to be seen positively. Once we graduate from these strange and confusing times, rife with dissociation, monopolies, grift, and power consolidation, it seems more likely that humanity will look at crypto as part of an uncomfortable past. If we never move on to more optimistic times, and things continue to become more dystopian, well, then that would be a time where crypto adopters can say, "hey, we were right!" But...at what cost? Regardless, it will always be possible to profit from the volatility, hence my attempts at trading a little recently, with a focus on Litecoin. So, trading opportunities will present themselves, which will keep at least some people interested in this market. I think it is unlikely to be enough liquidity to sustain significant new all-time highs. Here is my last big post, where I detailed more reasoning - this was prior to the Bitcoin ETF's: And here is a recent post, where I describe how my own thoughts about the market evolved, from when I first entered in 2017 to the present: As always, this represents only my opinion, and is meant for speculation and entertainment only, not as financial advice. There are many other opinions out there. It is your responsibility to develop critical thinking. Thanks for reading as always! -Victor Cobra
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by VictorCobra