Get started

Fundamental Analysis

$BTC correction: targets 101k, 97.5k, 94k, 87kThe hype is peaking — institutions, banks, Wall Street, and even governments are buying Bitcoin. Yet despite the frenzy, BTC has been rejected three times around the $110K level and appears to be heading into another correction. Bitcoin maximalists are pushing a strong FOMO narrative to attract retail investors, but several factors are pushing back: - Psychological barrier: At these price levels, retail investors are hesitant. Owning just a "fraction" of a Bitcoin doesn’t appeal to the average person. - Geopolitical tension: The conflict with Iran is serious. This isn’t a small, isolated country — Iran is a millennia-old civilization with global alliances. This situation won't resolve quickly or easily like Libya, Syria, or Iraq. - Oil price surge: Escalating tensions could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil. Western sanctions on Russia already strain supply — if Iran joins, where will Europe get its energy? U.S. supply won’t be enough. Expect a spike in inflation. - Recession risks: Persistent inflation could drive a recession in the second half of the year. - Trade wars & tariffs: No resolution, just chaos. - Ukraine-Russia war: Still unresolved. Still draining global stability. In short, the world is burning — and this is terrible for markets. Bitcoin maximalists — some even selling company shares to buy more BTC — may soon face the harsh reality: Bitcoin needs a deeper flush before it can rally again. Retail won’t return until altseason clears the way and resets sentiment. In a cycle dominated by propaganda, institutional manipulation, and global unrest, predictions are fragile. The only guide left: the chart. Technically, we’re in correction mode again. Comparing with past cycles, potential pullback targets are: $101K, $97.5K, $94K, $87K There’s massive support at $74K, but it's unlikely we revisit it soon. Stay cautious. DYOR. #Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCUpdate #Geopolitics #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #MacroView #CryptoFOMO #RiskAssets #DYOR
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
9
BTC/USD (4-hour interval)📈 BTC/USD 🕒 Interval: 4H 1. General trend We are observing a medium-term downtrend. Since June 10 (middle vertical line), the price has been systematically creating lower highs and lower lows. Current price: approx. USD 102.625. 2. Formation and Price Action 🔻 Left side of the chart (May 20 - June 10): Volatility, no clear direction, but local highs are formed in the area of ​​USD 111,000 - 112,500. Consolidation from May 27 to June 2. 🔻 Right side of the chart (after June 10): A clear breakout from the consolidation downwards. A potential correction or continuation of the downward movement is currently forming. The last candles suggest a strong downward impulse, and the current candle has a long lower shadow – a possible demand reaction. 3. Technical levels 📉 Resistance: $112,400 – local peak from June 10. $109,000 – $109,500 – area of ​​previous consolidations. $107,000 – lower limit of previous support. 📈 Support: $102,000 – currently tested level. $100,000 – psychological support level. $97,000 – potential range of further declines. 4. Stochastic RSI (oscillator at the bottom of the chart) The indicator currently shows the intersection of the %K and %D lines in the oversold zone. This may suggest a short-term upward rebound – but in the context of a downtrend, this may just be a correction. 5. Candles and price action The last candle has a long lower shadow and a close close to the maximum – this may indicate buyer pressure in this zone. No confirmation of a reversal – only the closing of a bullish candle and a breakout above USD 103,500–104,000 may give a signal of a larger rebound. 6. Scenarios ✅ Bullish scenario (short-term): Rebound from the USD 102,000 zone. Test of USD 103,500–104,000 (local resistance). If broken – a move towards USD 107,000 is possible. ❌ Bearish scenario (continuation): Breakout of support at USD 102,000. Movement towards the psychological level of 100,000 USD. Possible escalation of declines on increased volume. 7. Signals to watch Price behavior in the area of ​​102k USD - a key place to react. Volume indicators (not visible here) could confirm the direction of the movement. Will stochastic RSI give a full buy signal? (%K line above %D, both coming out of the oversold zone).
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
1
BTC CORRECTIONBIG REASON WHY Geopolitical tension. The war between Iran and Israel is inevitable. It's just a matter of time; either the USA, China, and Russia will be involved. The money will flow much more into safe havens like assets. But based on the Jerome Powell interview after the FOMC statement, the US economy is going on the great path. We can say that if the USA is involved, it will cost the economy growth. But they still need to show the world who's the BOSS (military co.). The conclusion is, BTC is too risky for current conditions. As we know, the war might escalate. BTC Projectory price Nearest Area 94.5-95K Mid term Area 85.4 - 86K Worst Case 76.5-72-53.2K P.S. Things will change rapidly; always monitor your portfolio and the news
Short
by Eirxco
2
Gold out look Daily Timeframe Analysis Gold continues to respect its medium to long-term bullish structure on the daily timeframe. Despite the ongoing geopolitical tensions and war-driven headlines, price action has experienced a corrective pullback from the key resistance area near 3430. Importantly, gold appears to be forming a minor bullish channel within a broader consolidation zone suggesting that price is currently in a range-bound correction phase nested inside a higher-timeframe uptrend. The channel structure reflects healthy consolidation, not a trend reversal. Chart Reference: Daily Chart 3-Hour Timeframe (Intraday Structure) The 3H chart shows price recently reacting from the bullish channel support, confluenced with a demand zone and the Fibonacci golden zone indicating a strong technical base. A new fresh demand zone has been created as a result of this reaction. Price is currently holding above the minor intraday structure at 3365. If this level holds, short-term targets are 3377 – 3380. A confirmed break and retest above 3380 opens up the next leg toward 3400 – 3404 resistance. Chart References: Fundamental Backdrop A combination of macroeconomic and sentiment-based indicators support the bullish bias: COT (Commitment of Traders) data shows institutional positioning remains net long on gold. Retail sentiment is skewed towards short, which historically supports upside moves. Seasonal bias for gold typically favors strength during mid-to-late Q2. US economic indicators show signs of cooling: Manufacturing PMI & Services PMI have slowed. Retail sales remain soft. Inflation readings suggest disinflationary pressure. These factors collectively weaken the US dollar, adding upside pressure to gold. Downside Risk / Bearish Scenario If price fails to hold above 3365 and decisively breaks below the current channel, we could see a deeper correction toward the 3300–3280 area of interest which aligns with a major support, daily bullish trendline, and longer-term reaccumulation zone. 15-Minute Timeframe (Microstructure Insight) On the 15M chart, gold rallied from the channel base and demand zone, but has since entered a consolidation phase between 3365 and 3372. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies just beneath the 3365 pivot — suggesting the potential for a liquidity sweep before any continued move to the upside. This setup is often a precursor to an aggressive expansion move, particularly during high-volume sessions (London/New York overlap). Summary Bias: Bullish (while above 3365) Immediate Support: 3365 Short-Term Targets: 3377 → 3380 → 3404 Key Resistance: 3430 Bearish Invalidations: Below 3365
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by samstoobad
NATURAL GAS XNGUSDCorrelations: Natural Gas, Bond Yields (US10Y), DXY, and Seasonal Patterns 1. Natural Gas and 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) Positive Correlation: Natural gas prices and the 10-year Treasury yield tend to move in tandem, driven by shared macroeconomic forces like inflation expectations and growth outlooks. Mechanism: Rising yields signal economic strength or inflation, boosting industrial/energy demand and gas prices. Conversely, falling yields often align with gas price declines during economic softening. 2. Natural Gas and US Dollar Index (DXY) Inverse Relationship (Historically): A stronger dollar (DXY↑) typically pressures natural gas prices, as dollar-denominated commodities become costlier for global buyers, reducing demand. Exception: During extreme supply disruptions (e.g., geopolitical crises), a strong dollar and gas prices can rise together if global energy shortages override currency effects. Recent Weakness: This correlation has diminished in 2024–2025, with DXY and gas prices occasionally moving independently amid supply shocks (e.g., LNG export surges). 3. Seasonal Impact on Natural Gas (Winter vs. Summer) Winter (Peak Demand): Demand: Heating needs (residential/commercial) drive consumption to yearly highs (e.g., 30+ Bcf/d in U.S. residential use). Price Impact: Colder winters amplify price spikes, especially if storage inventories are low or supply chain disruptions occur. Summer (Secondary Peak): Demand: Electricity generation for cooling sustains demand, though typically below winter peaks. Price Impact: Heatwaves can cause short-term surges, but prices generally remain lower than in winter. 4. Seasonal Influence on Correlations Winter: US10Y Correlation Strengthens: Inflation fears from heating demand can push yields and gas prices higher together. DXY Correlation Weakens: Geopolitical supply risks (e.g., Russia-Ukraine tensions) may decouple gas from dollar strength. Summer: US10Y Correlation Muted: Cooling demand is less inflation-sensitive, weakening the gas-yield link. DXY Correlation Resumes: Stronger dollar more consistently pressures gas prices absent winter-like crises. Key Drivers Macro growth/inflation expectations Global trade costs, currency flows Weather, storage levels Conclusion Natural gas exhibits a strong positive correlation with 10-year yields (driven by shared macro sensitivity) and a historically inverse link to the dollar (though recently unstable). Seasonal peaks in winter amplify gas-yield ties due to inflation risks, while summer realigns gas with dollar dynamics. Geopolitical or supply shocks can override these patterns, particularly in winter. #DOLLAR #GAS
FOREXCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Shavyfxhub
SNOWFLAKE to $369Snowflake Inc. is an American cloud-based data storage company. Headquartered in Bozeman, Montana, it operates a platform that allows for data analysis and simultaneous access of data sets with minimal latency. It operates on Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform. As of November 2024, the company had 10,618 customers, including more than 800 members of the Forbes Global 2000, and processed 4.2 billion daily queries across its platform #DoubleBottom #Wformation
NYSE:SNOW
by BallaJi
Bitcoin downside all but confirmed, sub 100k next- follow up analysis on this one: - with the original analysis posted in late May, more than a month later and Bitcoin is still struggling near ATH levels - with weekly bearish divergence now confirmed, odds of a downside move are very high - Iran v Israel conflict acting as a strong headwind for all markets, should the USA get involved I expect that effect to increase tenfold Needs to be said that a pullback to 90 or even the mid 80k region would still constitute a higher low on the very large time-frames. Structurally wise, as long as BTC is above 75k, the macro trend is still one of a bull nature.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Mansasuma
CEG on the watch listI have been following CEG for a while and am looking to obtain more energy expansion in my portfolio. I would LOVE to buy this stock closer to 275, but this might now happen. There have been weekly wicks into the top of the buy zone, so far I have missed the opportunity as I am in other plays. We note a ranging stochastic, and very elevated volatility. This is because energy growth stocks are associated with Ai expansion. CEG recently partnered with microsoft to restart the 3 mile island nuclear plant but with upgraded technology and safety features. The market might still be soured on nuclear, but it remains a very effective energy source.
NASDAQ:CEGLong
by Apollo_21mil
Trade Idea: Buy NZD/USD (Short-Term) **📈 Trade Idea: Buy NZD/USD (Short-Term)** **Bias:** 🔼 Mildly Bullish **Timeframe:** ⏳ Short-Term (few days to a week) --- ### **💡 Why Buy NZD/USD?** **🇺🇸 U.S. Dollar (USD):** * **U.S. growth slowing** → *📉 Losing steam — not great for the greenback.* * **Inflation still above 2%** → *🔥 Still sticky, but not hot enough to force more hikes.* * **Fed on pause, no hikes expected** → *🛑 Neutral stance = no strong push behind the dollar.* * **Traders are heavily short USD** → *📊 Market leaning bearish — the flow favors downside.* --- **🇳🇿 New Zealand Dollar (NZD):** * **Moves with AUD; USD weakness helps** → *🧲 Riding the Aussie’s coattails and dollar softness.* * **RBNZ cut to 3.25% but no surprises now** → *💤 Dovish tone is baked in — no fresh reason to sell.* * **Inflation stable, no shock data** → *⚖️ Balanced outlook helps keep NZD supported.* * **June 23 GDP is the next big test** → *📅 Eyes on the date, but no panic until then.* * **Dairy & China demand still a drag** → *🐄📉 Known risks — not new, not spooking the market.* --- ### **🔍 Outlook:** Not a breakout setup, but NZD/USD could **grind higher** if nothing major changes. USD weakness + quiet Kiwi = room to float up short-term. --- **📌 Note:** > *“It’s not exciting, but it’s working. USD soft, NZD steady — could drift higher while the market waits for GDP.”*
Long
by Wainainarobert
Trade Idea: Sell USD/CAD **Why Sell USD/CAD?** **🇺🇸 U.S. Dollar (USD):** * **U.S. growth is slowing** → *Losing steam. A weaker economy means less support for the dollar.* * **Inflation still above 2%** → *Sticky, but not scary. Not enough heat for the Fed to tighten further — dollar stays dull.* * **Fed is on pause, no rate hikes ahead** → *The engine's idling. No fuel to push USD higher.* * **Market heavily short USD** → *Traders are already betting against it — and they might be right. Momentum is down.* --- **🇨🇦 Canadian Dollar (CAD):** * **Oil prices are back above \$70** → *Oil is CAD’s lifeline — and it’s flowing again. That props up the loonie.* * **BoC holding rates with a neutral tone** → *Not cutting, not panicking. Steady hands support CAD.* * **Core inflation still high (CPI-trim \~3.1%)** → *Quiet pressure. Enough to keep the BoC on alert — a silent strength for CAD.* * **More traders turning bullish on CAD** → *The crowd’s shifting — and the loonie is starting to feel the love.* * **CAD still sensitive to risk-off mood** → *If markets panic, CAD could slip. But for now, risk is manageable.*
Short
by Wainainarobert
Trade Idea: Sell USD/CHF **Why Sell?** **CHF (Swiss Franc):** * Still strong this year — up 11% vs USD. * SNB cut rates, but franc hasn’t weakened much. * Inflation is low, and growth is weak — SNB might cut again, but no big surprise expected. * Risk of intervention if the franc gets too strong. **USD (U.S. Dollar):** * U.S. economy is slowing down. * Inflation is still high but not rising. * Fed is on pause — no hikes expected soon. * Traders are already betting against the dollar. --- **Market Mood:** * USD/CHF is calm but slowly drifting lower. * No big moves yet, but pressure is building on the dollar. --- **Outlook:** This pair could slide lower if the dollar stays weak. It’s not a fast mover, but the setup favors more downside. --- **Note:** > *“Not a flashy setup, but dollar looks heavy. Could drop more if momentum builds.”*
Short
by Wainainarobert
H4 Outlook – Between Flip and Trap👋 Hey Gold minds, welcome to another sniper-level breakdown. We're mid-range between major sweep zones and watching carefully how price reacts around the current compression under key EMAs and FVG. Let’s break it down: 🔸 MACRO + FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT USD drivers this week: 🔹 Monday–Tuesday: Multiple FOMC Members speaking 🔹 Wednesday: Powell Testimony 🔹 Thursday: Final GDP + Unemployment Claims 🔹 Friday: Core PCE and UoM Inflation Expectations Macro sentiment: FOMC speakers remain hawkish while inflation is sticky. Gold reacts defensively as markets price in Powell’s tone. Liquidity traps on both sides still active. Gold consolidates below key liquidity at 3405, potentially setting up for either expansion or sweep rejection. 🔸 H4 STRUCTURE + BIAS Market structure: Price formed a Lower High (3452) and confirmed bearish intent with a break of structure to the downside (CHoCH & BOS). Currently compressing under H4 Fair Value Gap and retesting an internal OB + EQ zone around 3360–3370, showing signs of rejection. EMA Cluster: Price is compressing between EMA 21 / 50 / 100, failing to reclaim EMA100. EMA5 is crossing under EMA21 – short-term bearish bias holds. Bias: 🔻 Bearish to neutral As long as price stays under 3380, supply remains in control. Only a break and close above 3405–3415 would flip bias bullish short term. 🧭 Sniper Zones – H4 Precision Map 🔷 Type 📍 Price Zone 📌 Justification 🔵 Buy Zone #1 3315 – 3340 Valid OB , previous HL structure, FVG reaction support 🔵 Buy Zone #2 3280 – 3302 Deeper demand pocket, untapped imbalance 🟠 Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 FVG + internal OB + EMA compression = key battle zone 🔴 Sell Zone #1 3405 – 3415 Internal OB + unmitigated premium zone under LH 🔴 Sell Trap Zone 3440 – 3460 Extreme rejection zone — 3452 HH sweep logic + OB 🔸 Price Action Expectations (PA) If price rejects 3360–3380, expect a clean push back to 3320, with possible deeper draw to 3300–3285. A clean break and close above 3380 (not just a wick) may open the door for a sweep of 3405, where sellers are expected. Only an aggressive news-driven breakout above 3415 would unlock the final trap zone toward 3450+ – lower probability unless Powell surprises. ✅ Conclusion & Execution Plan 🎯 Watch how price behaves around the Flip Zone — this is the decision point. 📉 Main bearish confirmation = strong rejection at Flip Zone or 3405. 📈 Bullish continuation only above 3415 with volume and closing strength. 💎 Best RR zones: Sell 3405–3420 → targeting 3360 / 3340 Buy 3315–3340 → targeting 3360 / 3380 🔥 If this breakdown helped sharpen your edge, drop a 🚀 in the comments and like the post! 🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for more real-time, structure-based sniper plans. 🧠 Precision isn't optional. It's the edge. 🔹 Disclosure: As part of Trade Nation’s Influencer Program, we receive monthly compensation for using their charts. GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
2
EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market: Core PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4% Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation. PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5% Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft. Unemployment Claims: Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market. Market Outlook : These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move. DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum . ----------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame . EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels . I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
5
XAUUSD Daily Outlook | June 23, 2025👋 Hello Gold traders! We’re entering a new week with structure sharpening around key zones. Price is now hovering just below the decision shelf at 3385, and all eyes are on whether bulls defend structure — or bears trigger the first real trap. Let’s zoom in with pure Daily focus and zero noise. 🔸 DAILY STRUCTURE OUTLOOK Gold remains in a clear bullish trend on the Daily timeframe, with the last confirmed Higher High at 3452. However, current price is in a retracement phase, testing the area just below the BOS and reacting to recent liquidity sweeps. Despite rising USD pressure, the bullish structure remains intact unless a daily close breaks below 3315. 📌 Daily Bias: Bullish (retracement phase active) 🧭 Macro Context: Heavy Fed week: Powell testifies Tue & Wed, Core PCE and Consumer Sentiment hit Fri. USD may remain supported short-term, but gold still benefits from long-term inflation hedge + geopolitical risk flows. 🔹 STRUCTURAL KEY ZONES (D1) Type Zone Confluences 🟢 Buy Zone #1 3320 – 3340 Daily OB, FVG base, EMA50 , structure HL defense 🔵 Buy Zone #2 3265 – 3285 Untapped OB + imbalance, deeper fib retrace 🟠 Flip Zone 3363 – 3385 Former BOS, FVG retest, minor liquidity shelf 🔴 Sell Zone #1 3405 – 3425 First sweep of equal highs, premium OB, FVG pocket 🔴 Sell Zone #2 3440 – 3460 Extreme bull trap: clean OB top, imbalance cluster 🎯 EXECUTION PLAN 🔍 Flip Zone is your battlefield — if bulls reclaim this zone cleanly, we may revisit 3405. 📉 3405–3425 offers the first sniper short opportunity: liquidity sweep + OB + FVG = prime short trigger. 📈 3320–3340 is the cleanest high-RR long zone — only enter if price reacts with strength and forms a rejection candle or bullish engulfing. 🧊 If 3320 fails, standby at 3265–3285 for a deeper correction entry backed by clean OB/FVG logic. ✅ SUMMARY & ACTION PLAN Wait for confirmation at the Flip Zone — do not force direction. Most precise sniper trades expected: 🔻 Sell from 3405–3425 → target Flip Zone 🔺 Buy from 3320–3340 → target 3385–3400 Only engage with clear OB reactions and strong PA confirmation — no bounce chasing. 💬 If this outlook gave you clarity, drop a 🚀 and a like to support the work — it helps more traders find it. 💡 Got feedback or want to ask something? Comment below — we read everything. 📌 Follow GoldFxMinds for high-precision sniper plans, every single day. 📌 Disclaimer: I'm part of Trade Nation's Influencer Program and receive compensation for using their charts on TradingView. This content is for educational purposes only. — GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
12
AVAX PLAN FOR 2025 H2 🔥 CRYPTOCAP:AVAX long setup (1D) 🚀 ✅ Entry Zone: $14.50 – $16.50 (macro support) 🎯 Targets • TP-1: $34.00 (’24 supply block) • TP-2: $46.00 (descending-trend tap) ⛔ Stop-Loss Daily close < $13.00 📊 Thesis HyperSDK mainnet → 100 K+ TPS subnets ⚡ Durango Warp Messaging brings native cross-subnet calls 🔀 $50 M Vista fund kick-starts RWA tokenisation 💰 Evergreen subnets land Tier-1 institutions 🏦 Web3 gaming boom (Shrapnel, Off The Grid) 🎮
by Og_Bitpool