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Fundamental Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - Bullish Momentum Strengthens After Key NewsBitcoin (BTC/USD) has surged in response to fundamental news regarding U.S. crypto policy, sparking strong bullish momentum. The breakout from the support zone and trendline confirmation indicate a potential rally toward key resistance levels. Technical Analysis: ✅ Strong Support at $85,800: BTC found buying interest at this level, forming a higher low and continuing its uptrend. ✅ Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken past the $92,267 buy entry level, signaling bullish continuation. ✅ Key Resistance Zone: The $106,137 level is a major target, aligning with previous price rejections. ✅ Trendline Support: BTC remains above the ascending trendline, reinforcing the uptrend structure. Trade Setup: 🔹 Buy Entry: $92,679 (Active trade) 🔹 Target: $106,000 (Resistance Zone) 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $85,801 (Support Level) 🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable for bullish positions Fundamental Catalyst: 🔥 Crypto Policy Announcement: A pro-crypto stance by former U.S. President Donald Trump has fueled positive sentiment, driving Bitcoin higher. 🔥 Institutional Interest: The growing adoption of Bitcoin by institutions and the potential impact of government policy changes are adding upward pressure. 🔥 Macroeconomic Impact: Federal Reserve policies and economic conditions will influence further price movements. Conclusion: Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, backed by both technical breakouts and fundamental catalysts. If the price sustains above the buy entry zone, a move toward $106,137 is likely. Traders should monitor price action for trend continuation or possible pullbacks. 📌 Bitcoin rally in progress! Manage risk and watch key resistance levels for breakout confirmation! 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Traders_Team
1
Solana (SOL/USD) - Bullish Reversal from Key SupportSolana (SOL) has been in a downtrend, retracing from its previous highs. However, the price is now reacting to a strong support zone around $140 - $101, suggesting a potential reversal toward higher levels. Technical Analysis: ✅ Key Support Holding: The $101 - $140 zone has acted as a strong demand area, preventing further downside. ✅ Bullish Reversal Potential: If buyers maintain momentum, SOL could rally toward the $250 - $260 resistance zone. ✅ Price Structure: Previous price action shows a history of strong rebounds from similar levels, making this a high-probability trade setup. ✅ Resistance Zone: $257 - $260 is the next major target, aligning with historical price action and key resistance. Trade Setup: 🔹 Entry Zone: $143 (Active trade) 🔹 Target: $257 - $260 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $101 (Strong support zone) 🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable for long positions Fundamental Factors to Watch: Market Sentiment: Broader crypto market trends, Bitcoin movement, and overall risk-on sentiment will influence SOL’s price. Solana Ecosystem Growth: Any positive developments in Solana's DeFi, NFTs, or network upgrades could support bullish momentum. Macroeconomic Trends: Interest rate decisions and global liquidity conditions could impact crypto markets. Conclusion: Solana is showing early signs of a bullish reversal from a strong support level. If momentum sustains, SOL could test the $257 resistance in the coming weeks. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation of the uptrend. 📌 Bullish setup in progress! Watch for breakout confirmation and manage risk effectively. 🚀
CRYPTO:SOLUSDLong
by Gold_Traders_Team
TOP CALL but for how long who knows? Not me, but i'll bet on it.Willing to take a bet that unless we push this violently lower, its the temporary top in Tech and Equities, people seem to be moving to the shiny new thing (crypto) and I expect some nice volatility to work with, and I want to take it to the downside for the FUTURES LEAP COMP for FEB. This is what I'm using to make that call. Looking to take swings at good entry points, while I day trade the micros for ideas on swing entries and scalps. Oil moves down one more time, lower than the previous move. Equities go higher, sell, everything sells, crypto goes back faster and then up way quicker drawing in all of that money. I don't think this is the start of a prolonged bear, and IF I get my trade, I'll update after the event with my long entry when IT comes ;D GOOD LUCK
TVC:MOVEShort
by whitekidspaz
USDJPY analysis week 10Fundamental Analysis The Japanese Yen (JPY) continued to weaken against the US Dollar (USD), pushing the USD/JPY pair above the psychological 150.00 level in late US trading on Friday. Japanese government bond (JGB) yields fell after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s government cut its fiscal 2025 budget plan. However, any meaningful depreciation in the JPY appears to be far off after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) increasingly accepted that it would continue to raise interest rates this year. Furthermore, USD bulls may refrain from placing aggressive bets and opt to wait for the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting path. Technical Analysis USDJPY is heading towards the technical resistance level of 151.200 where sellers are waiting quite a bit. When sellers in this 151,200 price zone cannot push below 150,100, the uptrend will continue to be maintained to the weekly target around 152,200. Note that the weekly support zone of 149,400, if broken, will form a long-term downtrend chain of this currency pair.
by TVS-Trader
1
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 3rd March 2025)Bias: Bearish USD News(Red Folder): -ISM Manufacturing PMI Analysis: -Price closed strong bearish on weekly -Looking for continuation to the downside as no bottom wick on weekly candle -Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 2890 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by HM_fxtrading
March 4 tariff planningMarch 4 tariff planning: likely minimum pressure down. either today or tomoro further extend of flush depends on trump's upcoming announcement Check out our socials for some nice insights. Let us know if there're any pair you like to see or if this is something you like. Do ask if you have any question Not as refined as our direct trade setups. More for advanced active traders. information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice! NOT financial advice
Short
by Mabelm
long (buy) position on GBP/USDAscending Trendline: The most visible technical aspect is the upward sloping trendline. This indicates potential bullish momentum, suggesting the Pound is gaining strength against the Dollar. Traders often use trendlines to identify potential entry points in an ongoing trend. Support Level: The trader has placed the stop-loss (SL) just below a recent low point, indicating they are using this low as a support level. If the price breaks this support, it would invalidate the bullish view. Resistance Level: The take-profit (TP) is placed above recent high points, suggesting the trader is targeting a resistance level. If the price reaches this level, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend. Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance between the entry and stop-loss compared to the distance between the entry and take-profit suggests the trader has calculated a favorable risk-reward ratio. Fundamental Economic Factors (Hypothetical): Positive UK Economic Data: If recent UK economic data (e.g., GDP, employment, inflation) has been stronger than expected, it could strengthen the Pound. Hawkish Bank of England (BoE): If the BoE has signaled a more aggressive stance on raising interest rates to combat inflation, it could attract investment to the Pound. Weak US Economic Data: Conversely, if recent US economic data has been weaker than expected, it could weaken the Dollar. Dovish Federal Reserve (Fed): If the Fed has signaled a more cautious approach to raising interest rates, it could put downward pressure on the Dollar. Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment could be favoring the Pound due to factors like political stability or positive news flow. Interest Rate Differentials: If the interest rate differential between the UK and the US is widening in favor of the UK, it makes the Pound more attractive to carry traders. Considerations for Publication: Disclaimer: Always include a disclaimer that forex trading is risky and past performance is not indicative of future results. Chart Clarity: If publishing, ensure the chart is clear and easy to understand. Fundamental Context: Provide context for the fundamental factors that may have influenced the trade. Risk Management: Emphasize the importance of using stop-loss orders and managing risk. Educational Purpose: Frame the analysis as an educational example rather than a trading recommendation. Time Sensitivity: Forex markets are dynamic, so the analysis may become outdated quickly. Important Note: Without knowing the exact news and economic data at the time of the trade, this analysis is based on general assumptions. A thorough analysis would require looking at the specific economic calendar and news events at the time the trade was taken.
Long
by Adrian_Rahssan
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT) Technical Analysis 1. 1H Chart (Higher Timeframe Trend) • Downtrend Reversal: Price was in a strong downtrend but is now bouncing off a key support near 2827-2830. • MACD: Histogram is reducing bearish momentum, suggesting a possible trend reversal. • RSI (14): Rising from oversold conditions (~54.89), indicating bullish momentum building up. 2. 15-Min Chart (Intraday Confirmation) • Reversal Pattern: A sharp recovery from lows around 2849, forming higher lows. • MACD: Bullish crossover with histogram turning positive, confirming bullish momentum. • RSI (12): Nearing overbought levels (~68.23), but still has room for continuation. 3. 3-Min Chart (Entry Timing) • Pullback to Support: Price is consolidating after a strong breakout above 2862. • MACD: Still showing bullish structure but a minor pullback is visible. • RSI (10): Neutral at 50.89, meaning price is neither overbought nor oversold, ideal for a continuation entry. Fundamental Analysis • Gold Demand: Potentially rising due to economic uncertainty, with investors looking for safe-haven assets. • USD Weakness: If upcoming economic data (e.g., inflation, job reports) indicate a slowing U.S. economy, gold could gain strength. • Market Sentiment: If risk-off sentiment continues, gold could push higher. Trade Execution Position: Long XAU/USD • Entry: 2865 (After minor pullback confirmation) • Stop Loss: 2855 (Below recent pullback low) • Take Profit: 2890 (Near previous resistance level) • Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2.5:1 Rationale • The uptrend reversal is forming on the 1H and 15M charts. • Momentum indicators (MACD & RSI) support a bullish move. • Strong demand and potential USD weakness could fuel further upside. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
1
ETH/USD "Ethereum vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ETH/USD "Ethereum vs U.S Dollar" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (2250) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 3000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: ETH/USD "Ethereum vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. Fundamental Analysis Network Congestion: Ethereum's network congestion has decreased, with an average block time of 12 seconds. Transaction Volume: The transaction volume for Ethereum has increased by 15% in the last 24 hours. Mining Difficulty: The mining difficulty for Ethereum has decreased by 2% in the last adjustment. Macro Economics Inflation Rate: The global inflation rate is expected to decrease to 3.2% in 2025, which could lead to increased demand for cryptocurrencies like Ethereum. Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve has maintained its hawkish stance, keeping interest rates at 5.25% to combat inflation. Global Trade: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China are expected to have a minimal impact on the cryptocurrency market. Global Market Analysis Cryptocurrency Market: The global cryptocurrency market capitalization has increased by 2% in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin Dominance: Bitcoin's dominance has decreased to 40.2%, which could lead to increased demand for altcoins like Ethereum. Altcoin Market: The altcoin market has increased by 3% in the last 24 hours. On-Chain Analysis Transaction Count: The transaction count for Ethereum has increased by 10% in the last 24 hours. Active Addresses: The number of active addresses for Ethereum has increased by 5% in the last 24 hours. Hash Rate: The hash rate for Ethereum has increased by 1% in the last 24 hours. Market Sentiment Analysis The overall sentiment for ETH/USD is bullish, with a mix of positive and neutral predictions. 58% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment. Positioning The long/short ratio for ETH/USD is currently 1.4. The open interest for ETH/USD is approximately 2.5 million contracts. Next Trend Move Bullish Prediction: Some analysts predict a potential bullish move, targeting $2,600 and $2,800, due to the increased demand for cryptocurrencies and the decreased mining difficulty. Bearish Prediction: Others predict a potential bearish move, targeting $2,200 and $2,000, due to the increased competition from other altcoins and the potential decrease in global cryptocurrency demand. Overall Summary Outlook The overall outlook for ETH/USD is bullish, with a mix of positive and neutral predictions. The market is expected to experience a moderate increase, with some analysts predicting a potential bullish move targeting $2,600 and $2,800. Real-Time Market Feed As of the current time, ETH/USD is trading at $2,400, with a 2.0% increase in the last 24 hours. Future Prediction Short-Term: Bullish: $2,500-$2,600, Bearish: $2,300-$2,200 Medium-Term: Bullish: $2,800-$3,000, Bearish: $2,000-$1,800 Long-Term: Bullish: $3,200-$3,500, Bearish: $1,800-$1,600 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
GOLD UPDATE ROUTE MAPI am currently analyzing the 4-hour timeframe of gold. As we know, there has been strong bearish pressure in the gold market over the past few days. Therefore, my focus will remain on bearish opportunities. On the higher timeframe, gold has broken its bullish trendline, and my selling area will be around this level, as seen on the chart. I will wait for the price to reach my key levels and either show bearish confirmation or any reversal signal so that I can plan my sell entry at my ideal level. Confirmation is very important. Let's see what happens. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. Let's analyze more deeply in smaller time frame. #XAUUSD 4H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
XAU/USD - Gold Weekly Analysis(3rd. Mar. 2025 to 7th Mar. 2025)XAU/USD - Gold Weekly Analysis(3rd. Mar. 2025 to 7th Mar. 2025) Weekly recap: Even though Gold is MACRO bullish on the HTF. We did a fantastic job last week adapting to sells from ATHs, and back below 2930s. We anticipated we can at least retest into near demand zone around 2880s BUT we extended the bearish profit taking move printing an unexpected LL at 2840s. This is lining up with EOM and new business month prices setting up around the corner. Reminder on Gold: Even though Gold is MACRO bullish on the HTF, the asset class sees very large retracement / pullback as markets moves in waves. Keep in mind we are starting a new business month. We have to be careful where if Gold buyers do no reclaims price above 2880-2890 we can instead see extension of retracement into Trump trade Nov 2024 prices of 2750-2760s. With no NEW trade war tensions events, geopolitical risk on the back burner, Feds slow approach to rate cuts, USD starting to find a support/ bullish steam and on Gold specifically profit taking from record break highs requires adaption. Something to look out for on the Macro. Trade ideas for upcoming week: Since Gold is currently in a secondary phase of MS i will be playing sells into better demanded prices Bullish bias: 1 - Gold comes down into first 2760 AOI Bearish bias: 1 - Holds below 2880s 2 - Breaks and holds below current lows at 2845 KL Economic outlook: In terms of economic events this week, we have a lot to unfold as we are in a new business month. To begin this week, We have United States ISM Manufacturing PMI and during the second half of the week will be our main focus as we have United States ISM PMI Services data, Initial Jobless Claims, NFP and Unemployment rate. 1 - Monday : ISM Manufacturing PMI 2 - Wednesday : ISM PMI Services 3 - Thursday : Initial Jobless Claims 4 - Friday : NFP, Unemployment Rate Daily Reminder: -Caution- Stay Smart, Trade safe, follow your trading plan, follow your risk management plan, focus on long term vision, keep emotions out and avoid crashing your account.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KamauRemmers
2
Nat Gas Pre-Open Report: 3/2/25 Nat Gas futures dropped 8.5% this week, primarily due to a decline in heating demand and a continuation of the weather models printing below average degree days (DD) for the upcoming 15-day period. This weekends model runs were showing promise for a colder 8-15 day period, but were wiped out with Sunday’s midday models runs. The US models printed a modest 10 HDD warmer while the Euro printed 1 HDD colder. Which now put the two models in close to perfect agreement for the upcoming 15-day heating demand period, warmer! Both are predicting over 35 HDD warmer for the upcoming period. What was interesting to see was Saturday’s and early Sunday’s run show a coder shot coming in the 10-15 period. The models are beginning to see the cold pattern developing that I have been discussing for the back half of March and early April. The big news from the models the past four days have been the developing SSW event, but more importantly the effect it is beginning to have on two major Teleconnections, the NAO and the AO. I had briefly discussed these back in January, and the effect they had on the January frigid cold it helped bring to the US. I do discuss them in today’s video. I did hold my puts (shorts) over the weekend, with crossed fingers! Seeing the models trend colder and the Teleconnection trending colder, due to the upcoming SSW event, I almost chewed my finger nails off. But thankfully the models have a hard time with the synoptic physics of the atmosphere, and until they do, I will take full advantage of others only having the vison of the numbers they print out. I think the first big support we will see is at the 3685-3700 level tonight. I do believe that NG will gap lower tonight. Will it gap to the 3685-3700 level? We will see. But I am looking for 3685-3700 by open tomorrow for the NY open. Tonight’s models will be important to see if the models pick up the longer rang pattern change influenced from the SSW event. If there is momentum through the 3685-3700 level, next up will be the 3550 level. I discuss the technical reasons why I think these number are important in the video, but believe we are closer to the models picking up the coming cold than continuing to see the warmth. I am preparing to reenter with a block on long call position once I see the models confirming the upcoming cold after the March 15th period. There is reason to believe that if the models do continue to print a warmer period that the price could fall all the way to the 3330-3350 level. I will have a watchful eye on the daily weather models for verification. For if this breaks the 3350 level, then watch out below!!!! Storage should continue to drop, compared to the 5-year average, with the upcoming 3 EIA reports. Which should continue to be a bullish catalyst for the upcoming shoulder season. There is reason to believe that if the SSW event unfolds, and the heating season continues through the first three weeks of April, we just might have a very short shoulder season. As discussed last week, years that had a SSW event in March and April, tend to have a very warm May, which will jump us right into the Cooling season. So, with LNG continuing to export at daily records, storage continuing to drop, we just need an addition push to keep the bullish momentum going. And personally, I think we will see that later in the month of March. Production is a bearish catalyst now, with today’s production at 106 BCF/d. But there are too many demand side factors that are increasing faster than the overall increase in production. We will continue to monitor the heating season until draw season ends. Then it will be onto storage deficits, pipeline maintenance, coal-to-gas switching, nuclear power plant maintance shutdowns, verse the upcoming rig count and field activity. But that is for another month or so. Enjoy the video. Have a great day and good fortunes! Keep it Burning!
NYMEX:NGJ2025
by NrG_Trader
3