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Fundamental Analysis

Whale Alert! Transactions Dynamics, 2025 Bull-Market, Patience &Before the US Presidential elections, all the whale transactions within the Cryptocurrency market had bearish connotations. I was seeing large amounts of Crypto, mainly Bitcoin and Ether, being transferred across exchanges. It is said that when large amounts of Crypto is transferred, it is in order to sell and thus have bearish connotations. This dynamic was on for a while. After the elections, things changed. First, Tether Treasury minted 1Billion and then it did it again, today. Large amounts of USDT and USDC started to move across whale accounts and exchanges, this tend to be seen as bullish and has bullish connotations. Even now large amounts of stable coins is entering the exchanges and large amounts of Crypto (BTC, ETH and others) is leaving exchanges, the dynamics changed. But, compared to past market cycles, the bearish transactions are also present in-between the bullish ones and we see more and more ancient (satoshi-era) Bitcoin wallets waking up. So we are seeing a mix of bearish and bullish transactions being executed by the whales. The general sense I am getting from these transactions is that something big is about to develop and it ain't a new ATH. A new All-Time High has been hit already on Bitcoin, let's see what we get next. The war has been cancelled and this is awesome, but it seems that a major market flush has not been cancelled, let's consider the TOTAL chart next. First, super high volume for the bulls 6-November. Then a third strong lower high in a row. The volume is super high but lower than 5-August and lower than 6-March. (Bearish.) TOTAL Cryptocurrency continues to point down. The action we are seeing across Bitcoin is extraordinary and is not reflecting on the rest of the market, it seems it will soon end. I was considering a different scenario, what if the Altcoins are just behind and will soon breakout? As some are doing and already did; but, I continue to look at hundreds of charts and they are pointing lower, the bounce (pull-back) is over and next, down we go! Imagine/think/feel/listen, if we are about to experience the biggest bull-market ever in 2025, when will the correction take place? 1) Will the market rally straight up for 3 more months and end in March 2025? 2) Or will the market correct to set the stage to grow for more than 12 months straight? I am going with #2. Bull-market year tends to be bull-market year; growth, growth, growth. For sustained growth to be possible, it tends to start out of a market low. After three months of growth, a correction is due regardless of the short-term, mid-term or long-term, the market moves in waves. We are due for a correction, and we will be 100% bullish at the next support focused on the long-term. Now, there are different pairs and different charts; some are trading low already and these can be bought. Those trading high and at resistance, should be approached with caution because people are really smart. Only beginners would buy at the top, and the majority of the players approaching the market now have some experience and this will do what is right to win in the long-term. The beginners buying at the top, these are the ones that will have to go through the first lesson, they will have to wait just like we had to wait when we started trading back in those days. We noticed the market because of the new All-Time High. We buy in expecting forever growth (March 2024, November 2021, December 2017, 2014), but instead of growth, the market enters a major correction and we learn the first and most basic lesson, you can never buy at the top. Patience is key. The market is not going away. If we are bullish for the whole of 2025, there is plenty of time to buy and trade. This is not financial advice. Your support is appreciated. You are reading Alan Santana. Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by AlanSantana
6
Tea Sector: Goodricke Group at 6 year high# Tea Sector undergoing change as most stocks are either near all time high or are hitting all time highs. # Goodricke Group 74% owned by Camellia PLC is trading at 6 year high. # Silently the tea sector has outperformed the markets in last couple of months by giving double digit returns. # With Tea production significantly down this year 2024 than 2023 and prices being up 25%, the sector might be turning up after 20 years. # HUL, Tata consumer all announcing price hike in their Q2 concall, Tea inflation is about to happen on a structural basis it seems. # Highly underowned sector which has been under pressure for more than 10 years. # Not many stocks to play barring Goodricke as Mcleod russel is facing bankruptcy trouble, Jayshree tea has sugar and chemicals business along with Tea while harrison Malayalam has half the business as rubber. So this company appears the only pure play large scale tea company in India. # Its not a buy or sell recommendation just a thought about the developments happening in Tea sector.
BSE:GOODRICKE
by agrwal_amit
INVESTMENT IDEA - BAJAJ FINANCE Bajaj Finance , a major financial services provider in India, showcases a promising investment setup supported by both technical and fundamental strengths. Technical Reasons : Trend Line Support: The stock is holding above a long-term trend line, indicating resilience and potential for an upward move. Intact Trend: Continuous higher highs and higher lows signal that the bullish trend remains intact. Doji and Inside Candle Pattern on Weekly: This pattern suggests a possible reversal or continuation, highlighting a period of consolidation with potential for breakout. Fundamental Reasons : Record Revenue and Net Profit: Both metrics are at all-time highs, underscoring the company's financial strength. Attractive Valuation: With a current 10-year PE ratio of 27.9, Bajaj Finance trades below its 10-year median PE of 45.4, suggesting it is undervalued relative to historical standards. Solid Growth and Returns: The company boasts a 24% compounded sales growth rate, an ROCE of 11.9%, and an ROE of 22.1%, reflecting effective utilization of capital and profitability. These combined factors make Bajaj Finance an attractive long-term investment option, with technical support for entry and solid fundamentals for sustained growth potential.
NSE:BAJFINANCELong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
Ikio Lighting Ltd. - Bullish Setup in PlayIkio Lighting Ltd. is showing a potentially strong setup on the technical charts, with an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming—typically a bullish reversal sign. This pattern suggests a high probability of an upward movement, making it a compelling buy opportunity for short- to medium-term traders. Technical Analysis Entry Point: A strong buy level is identified at ₹268.5, where the setup aligns with previous support levels and offers a more favorable risk-reward ratio. Target: With a target price of ₹313.8, the potential upside looks attractive, supported by the formation and R/R ratio of 4.52. This ratio indicates substantial profit potential relative to the risk involved. Stop-Loss: We recommend a tight stop-loss at ₹258 to manage downside risk should the bullish setup fail. Fundamental Analysis Positive Aspects: Stable Revenue and Profitability: Consistent revenue growth and steady profits show demand stability and good cost control. Strong Cash Flow and Liquidity: Positive operational cash flow and strong cash reserves allow self-sustaining growth. Debt Reduction: Lower debt improves profitability and reduces risk. Negative Aspects: Slow Revenue Growth: Recent growth has been modest, which may limit future gains. Rising Costs: Higher employee expenses and finance costs could impact margins. Unused IPO Funds: Unspent IPO funds, kept in bank deposits, suggest a cautious approach, potentially slowing growth. Conclusion: For stability-focused investors, iKio offers consistent returns. However, growth-focused investors may want to wait until IPO funds are more aggressively deployed.
NSE:IKIOLong
by danchi10
Spring is ComingThe last months in crypto markets have been firmly in the shadow of the looming US presidential elections. Whatever one's political stance, it was hard to argue that a Donald Trump victory would not be immensely positive for the crypto industry. The ongoing legal fights between US regulators such as the SEC and the crypto industry and the Biden administration's open hostility to the industry were a constant backdrop of the past years. In sharp contract, Republican candidate Trump had embraced the industry in early 2024. His appearance at a large Bitcoin conference in Nashville, his announcement to fire SEC chairman Gary Gensler on day 1 of a Trump administration and also his promise to build a national US Bitcoin reserve have been music to the ears of many a crypto trader. No wonder that as soon as Trump started to take the lead on election night, Bitcoin rallied sharply. A new all-time-high of $75,000 per one Bitcoin was reached nearly effortlessly. Bitcoin has been trading above $76,000 for most of the post-election days. Across the industry, the drop in tension is almost palpable. No longer will a bad faith regulator pursue legitimate companies such as Coinbase, Uniswap or Consensys at will. No longer will Senate block common-sense crypto regulatory frameworks. The possibilities now seem almost limitless. Coins of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) projects have seen some of the largest rallies since election days. Not only will these projects benefit from regulatory clarity, but their tokens might also start to receive genuine utility such as revenue shares. The fundraising environment for projects should become more open. Maybe more onchain projects will open up to American users. It is common practice for projects to geo-block American users for fear of the long arms of US law enforcement. It is nearly poetic justice that mainstream pollsters predicting a tight election were outperformed by Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market that continuously showed Trump well ahead of his Democrat opponent Kamala Harris. What will the next months hold? US presidential elections tend to be bullish for crypto markets. After Obama’s 2012 victory, Bitcoin rose nearly 2,400% within a year. In 2016, following Trump’s success, Bitcoin soared 960% over the following 12 months. One year after Biden’s 2020 win, Bitcoin rose another 360%. Of course, Bitcoin's large market cap means that much more new capital must enter to move the price substantially. Yet, the optimism in the industry right now makes everything seem possible. Sure, disappointment could always come next year, but for now, Spring has arrived early. Let's enjoy the party while it lasts.
Long
by Coinrule
2
What’s Next for DRIFT After 500% Volume Surge on Upbit?From Airdrop to Airborne | DRIFT Token Soars Like a Rocket ! The governance token DRIFT from Solana based decentralized exchange Drift Protocol is currently gaining attention after being listed on an exchange. On November 8, the South Korean exchange Upbit announced that DRIFT would be listed at 18:00 KST, with trading pairs in Bitcoin , USDT, and the Korean Won also Bianance will add DRIFTUSDT Perpetual Contract as well This development triggered a 500% increase in trading volume for DRIFT which is insane, accompanied by an 90% price rise. Now trading at $0.91, this strong surge mirrors past trends observed with other tokens listed on Upbit. In May 2024, the Drift Foundation launched DRIFT, its new governance token, through an airdrop of 120 million tokens 12% of the initial 1 billion DRIFT supply plus a bonus of 20 million tokens was included in the distribution, exceeding the original planned supply. Drift Protocol’s co founder, Cindy Leow, explained that the bonus aimed to prevent network congestion and premature sales, enhancing the user experience and rewarding loyal traders. Drift Protocol supports perpetual futures trading on the Solana Network, and DRIFT allows holders to propose and vote on governance improvements by staking. The daily chart shows the Bollinger Bands widening, indicating increased volatility around DRIFT. However, the token’s price has reached the upper BB band, signaling potential overbought conditions, as reflected in the Relative Strength Index The RSI currently stands at 78, which, being above 70, suggests an overbought asset. This indicates that DRIFT's price could undergo a short term correction, potentially dropping to $0.70. However, if buying pressure persists and profit-taking remains low, the altcoin may continue climbing, possibly surpassing $1 Alt szn just started and now is the best time for gem hunting Dont miss the train
by moonypto
2
SUPER STOCKS 2023 notes & issues for POSiTiONiNG there are stocks driven by MARKET .. meaning float is out in the public that normally has a DRUNK price action with gaps and erratic volume there are issues with an assigned Specialist that can TRADE or CROSS huge volume without moving the price or go beyond a range RANGE highlighted ones have been decided by both the MARKET and the MARKET MAKER best of both worlds where artificial price meets the wisdom of PUBLiC Vanguard holds most or is the CUSTODY of most issues Citadel & the gang of 3 manages the FLOAT FUNDS are public PUBLIC is barometer for entry or exit of Sovereign and Trust Fund babies on a 3 5 7 10 year cycle determined by the FED's cost of printing borrowinng and lending note: Market Cap is dated June 22, 2022 ... Bottom are of MARKETS
AMEX:SPY
by senyor
11
EURUSDSentiments - In recent Presidential Race Trump win which have strong posstive affect to USD - Today is Friday Possible Trader are closing their position which may reach the near Support Reason for Entry in Daily Timeframe there is Fair value gap also daily swing, also looking in 1hour time frame there is also fair value gapand CISD break, and in 15 minute where i enter the trade the CISD break and confirm Trade Plan I have four entry and my position is not just big because im starting, my stoploss are above the swing where the trade is invalided if it goes there and i have four TP area and each of them is in near swing and POI daily
Short
by manlagasca18
1
$ARKK caught a #Whale in $55C 1/17/2024 (Profit Target @ $69)5,000 Open Interest on this contract until this morning when we found a whale/institution buying up probably 10k 55C contracts for Jan 17... This is a HIGH RISK HIGH REWARD PLAY given the holdings in AMEX:ARKK , but something tells me it can get to MONKEY ie $69 , and some whale or some bank also believes the juice could be worth the squeeze on this former high flyer... Past All Time Highs at $158 ... $53 now = Buy Low? - Probabilities_R_Us
AMEX:ARKKLong
by Prophecies_R_Us