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Fundamental Analysis

LAYERUSDT → Far retest of key resistance at 1.400BINANCE:LAYERUSDT.P is forming a realization within the uptrend. The coin is stronger than the market, but the initial reaction to the strong resistance at 1.400 may be in the form of a false breakout and a pullback to 1.275 or 0.5 fibo Since the opening of the session, LAYERUSDT has passed the daily ATR, but after reaching the resistance, the coin may not have the potential to continue rising. Liquidity above the 1.400 level may hold this area and prevent the coin from breaking through this zone the first time around. Bitcoin is testing trend resistance at this time and could likely form a rebound or a continuation of the decline, which could affect altcoins accordingly! Resistance levels: 1.400 Support levels: 1.2932, 1.2747, 0.5 fibo BUT ! Everything depends on the price reaction at 1.400. A sharp and distributive approach with 90% probability will end in a false breakout and correction to the mentioned targets. But, if LAYER starts to slow down and consolidate in front of the level, an attempt of breakout and struggle above 1.400 is possible and further movement will depend on it. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
15
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Next Week Big Move?The daily chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) presents a well-structured triangle pattern breakout, a strong uptrend, and a critical resistance zone near all-time highs (ATH). The price action suggests that gold is in a bullish phase but approaching a key decision point where it could either break higher or face a temporary pullback. This analysis provides a detailed breakdown of the pattern, key levels, potential scenarios, and trading strategies for the coming week. 1. Technical Chart Breakdown A. Triangle Pattern Breakout (Bullish Continuation) The chart shows a symmetrical triangle formation, which typically signals a consolidation phase before a major price movement. After a period of accumulation within the triangle, gold broke out upwards, confirming a bullish continuation pattern. This breakout was supported by strong volume and buying pressure, reinforcing the trend strength. B. Trendline & Support Levels (Key Areas for Buyers) A rising trendline has been acting as dynamic support, confirming that the market remains in a bullish structure. Major Support Levels: $3,000 – A psychological support level that may act as a bounce zone in case of rejection at resistance. $2,885 – A well-defined horizontal support level, previously tested multiple times. If the price falls below $2,885, it could signal a trend reversal or a deeper correction. 2. Key Price Levels & Market Sentiment A. Resistance & Target Levels (Where Sellers Might Step In) Primary Resistance Zone: $3,137 - $3,150 This level represents a combination of all-time high (ATH), historical resistance, and a key breakout target. If the price breaks and holds above this zone, it could trigger further upside towards $3,200 - $3,250. However, if sellers dominate at this level, a pullback or correction could occur. B. Stop-Loss & Risk Management Considerations Traders should be cautious around the resistance zone and place stop-loss levels strategically to manage risk. Stop-Loss Suggestions: For Long Trades: Below $3,000 (to protect against fake breakouts). For Short Trades: Above $3,150 (if price rejects resistance and starts a reversal). 3. Trading Strategy for Next Week Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout & Continuation If gold breaks and sustains above $3,137, it will confirm a bullish continuation. Entry Strategy: Look for a retest of the breakout level ($3,100 - $3,137) before entering long positions. Profit Targets: First Target: $3,200 Second Target: $3,250+ Stop-Loss: Below $3,000, to protect against sudden reversals. Scenario 2: Rejection at Resistance & Pullback If gold fails to break $3,137 and forms a bearish rejection candle, it may indicate a short-term pullback. Short Entry Strategy: Wait for confirmation of rejection with bearish price action signals (e.g., bearish engulfing, long upper wick). Downside Targets: First Target: $3,000 Second Target: $2,885 (major support) Stop-Loss: Above $3,150, to avoid being trapped in a false breakdown. Scenario 3: Bearish Reversal (Break Below $2,885) If gold falls below $2,885, it could signal a potential trend reversal. Short Trade Setup: Enter below $2,885, targeting $2,800 - $2,750 in the medium term. Stop-Loss: Above $2,900, in case of a false breakdown. 4. Indicators & Confirmation Signals A. Volume & Candlestick Patterns Watch for high volume during breakouts to confirm strength. Candlestick patterns such as bullish engulfing, hammer (for support bounces), or shooting star (for resistance rejection) can provide strong confirmation signals. B. RSI (Relative Strength Index) & Overbought Conditions If RSI is above 70, it could indicate that gold is overbought, increasing the likelihood of a pullback. If RSI stays above 50 but below 70, it confirms bullish strength. C. Moving Averages for Trend Confirmation 50-day and 200-day moving averages can act as additional support and resistance zones. If the price is above both moving averages, it confirms the bullish trend. 5. Conclusion – What to Watch for Next Week? ✅ If price breaks and holds above $3,137 → Expect continuation towards $3,200 - $3,250. ✅ If price rejects at $3,137 → Watch for a pullback towards $3,000 or $2,885 for re-entry. ✅ If price drops below $2,885 → Expect deeper correction with a shift in trend structure. 📌 Key Takeaway: Gold remains bullish, but traders should watch the resistance level at $3,137 closely for confirmation of a breakout or a possible reversal. Risk management is crucial in case of unexpected market shifts. Would you like me to add more insights using Fibonacci levels or historical trends? 📊🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1
Unstoppable, GOLD could rise in Big Data WeekOANDA:XAUUSD markets maintained solid gains in the initial reaction to higher-than-expected inflation data, with OANDA:XAUUSD surging to a record high as investors flocked to the safe-haven asset amid concerns that US President Donald Trump’s latest tariffs will spark a global trade war. It is now up more than 17% for the quarter, which would be its best quarterly performance since 1986. PCE data slightly exceeds expectations, but has limited impact on rate cut expectations Data showed that the US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.4% month-on-month in February, above market expectations of 0.3% and in line with January. While inflation data was somewhat upbeat, it was not enough to significantly change market expectations for a Fed rate cut. The Fed has yet to adjust its policy rate this year, having previously cut rates three times through 2024. Markets now expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by a total of 63 basis points starting in July this year, and could start cutting rates by 50 basis points by mid-year. Gold is traditionally a safe-haven asset that performs well in an environment of political and economic risk and low interest rate expectations. Trump is about to announce "reciprocal tariffs", and the market is very wary of inflation and growth risks The market is closely watching the Trump administration's plan to announce "reciprocal tariffs" on April 2. Trump's policies have the effect of promoting inflation, not only increasing the risk of economic recession, but also may exacerbate global trade tensions. This is beneficial for gold prices! Looking ahead to next week, in addition to the technical upside and current support for gold, gold prices remain well supported as US economic data continues to highlight slowing growth. Next week’s jobs data is expected to be a significant mover. Any weakness in the labor market could weigh on equities and boost safe-haven demand for gold. Therefore, as usual, the employment data will be the focus of the economic calendar next week, and more detailed analysis will be sent to readers in the next editions. In particular, along with the economic data, traders also need to monitor how the world reacts to the implementation of US trade tariffs, which are expected to take effect on April 2. This will deeply affect the US Dollar and the price of gold, any risk of escalating tariff conflicts will cause gold prices to increase immediately. Economic Data to Watch Next Week Tuesday: US ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Jobs Open Wednesday: US Global Tariffs, ADP Nonfarm Payrolls Thursday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI Friday: US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
DKNG 1W – Technical and Fundamental AnalysisDKNG shares have broken a rising wedge on the weekly chart, reinforcing a bearish signal. The price is testing the $35.29 level after failing to hold above $36.88. A breakdown below $31.74 could accelerate a decline toward $28.67 and $14.89. RSI indicates weakening bullish momentum, MACD shows a bearish crossover, and EMA 50 and EMA 200 confirm a long-term uptrend but signal correction risks. Fundamentally, DraftKings remains a leader in online gambling, but its stock is sensitive to Fed rate decisions and macroeconomic conditions. The upcoming earnings report could also impact price action. Correlation with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 increases its dependence on overall market sentiment. A confirmed break below $31.74 could lead to further downside toward $28.67 and $14.89. If the price holds above $35.29, a recovery toward $36.88 is possible.
NASDAQ:DKNGShort
by TotoshkaTrades
8
USDJPY analysis week 14🌐Fundamental Analysis The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept interest rates unchanged in the 4.25% - 4.50% range and forecast core PCE inflation to average 2.8% by year-end. The higher-than-expected inflation data reinforced expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates for an extended period. Investors are concerned that these tariffs could add to global inflationary pressures and trigger a recession. In Japan, the Tokyo CPI rose sharply in March, boosting expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates this year. The hot inflation data also supported the Yen's appreciation against other currencies. 🕯Technical Analysis USDJPY is still in a bullish recovery. The pair is facing support at 149.200, preventing further declines. The weekly high around 151.100 is still acting as key resistance before the pair breaks out to 152.000. Conversely, if the trend breaks at 149.200, weekly support is seen at 148.300. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL USDJPY 151.300-151.100 SL 150.500 SELL USDJPY 152.000-152.200 SL 152.400 BUY USDJPY 149.300-149.100 SL 148.900
by TVS-Trader
A meme stock, at value prices?It’s not often that you see a meme tier stock trading at deep enough value to attract the attention of highly successful long term investors. This is a classic euthanasia coaster stock from well before Covid, with massive pump & dump patterns all the way back to 2002 that continue to echo in the price chart and are absolutely going to continue appearing. The company made its meme status official by acquiring the intellectual property assets of Bed Bath & Beyond in mid 2023. When a meme stock becomes a value stock, it’s time to bid. If the company can start to turn around its failing business, which is very possible in this cyclical furniture industry, this will ignite a retail trader mania that will create massive momentum and continue rising at faster and faster speeds. The long term target for Byon is $30. This trade could take a few years to play out but I think it's a great idea if you can be patient. I don't have too much of a position yet, and I will only be buying more if the price can start going up fast and confirming that I'm correct.
NYSE:BYONLong
by bowtrix
BTC.D and altcoin season analysis and prediction 2025 #BTC #BTC #BitcoinDominance #AltcoinSeason #Crypto2025 #Cryptocurrency #CryptoMarket #BitcoinAnalysis #Altcoins #Ethereum #CryptoBullRun #BTCPricePrediction #CryptoInvesting #Blockchain #CryptoTrends Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): BTC.D measures Bitcoin's market capitalization relative to the total cryptocurrency market. A high BTC.D indicates Bitcoin's market share is substantial compared to altcoins, while a declining BTC.D suggests altcoins are gaining traction. Recent analyses indicate that BTC.D is approaching a resistance level around 62%-63%. A breakout toward 70% could delay the altcoin season, whereas a decline below 58% may signal its onset. Market Dynamics: Analysts predict that an altcoin season has started and will continue throughout the first quarter of 2025. CCN.COM Historical Patterns: Historically, altcoins tend to outperform Bitcoin in the third year of a bull market, which could make 2025 the year of altcoins. BUSINESSINSIDER.COM Regulatory Environment: The election of Donald Trump and several crypto-friendly lawmakers has contributed to Bitcoin crossing the $100,000 mark for the first time. Analysts predict Bitcoin prices could reach between $180,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2025. Despite a potential cyclical correction, the involvement of institutional investors may dampen downturns. The Federal Reserve's interest rate policies could also impact Bitcoin prices. There is uncertainty whether altcoins will follow Bitcoin's rally, although financial institutions are preparing for broader crypto ETF approvals. INVESTOPEDIA.COM Predictions for 2025: Steno Research forecasts that 2025 will be an exceptional year for both Bitcoin and Ethereum, with Bitcoin potentially reaching $150,000 and Ethereum around $8,000. This optimistic outlook is supported by a favorable regulatory environment, decreasing interest rates, improved liquidity, and expanding institutional adoption.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Aziz_Hmaidii
ORDIUSDT analysis and prediction 2025 #ORDI #ORDIUSDT #Crypto#ORDI #ORDIUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #BitcoinOrdinals #BRC20 #CryptoTrading #CryptoPrediction #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #Altcoins #CryptoMarket #Blockchain Fundamentals: ORDI depends on Bitcoin Ordinals adoption. High potential but faces regulatory and market risks. Technical: Bullish trend; support at $18.50-$15.00, resistance at $22-$25+. Indicators show potential upside but risk of correction. Market Sentiment: Strong Bitcoin correlation, whale activity causes volatility, hype-driven demand. Prediction: If Bitcoin performs well, ORDI could hit $30-$50 in 2025. If interest drops, it may fall below $15.
Short
by Aziz_Hmaidii
2
SEI Poised for a Breakout After Bold 23andMe Acquisition Bid !Sei (SEI), the innovative layer-1 blockchain designed for high-speed trading and decentralized finance (DeFi), is flashing strong bullish signals both fundamentally and technically. The recent news that the Sei Foundation is exploring the acquisition of 23andMe, the leading personal genomics company, has sparked excitement in the market. If successful, this strategic move could position Sei at the forefront of the multi-billion-dollar genomic data industry — combining blockchain’s security and transparency with the rapidly growing demand for data privacy. Why This Is Huge 23andMe recently filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, opening the door for a potential buyout. The Sei Foundation’s plan to migrate genetic data onto the blockchain would give individuals direct control over their data, allowing them to decide how it’s used and even monetize it. This taps into a massive and underserved market where data security and privacy are becoming critical issues. Bullish Chart Setup From a technical perspective, Sei’s chart is showing signs of a major breakout: ✅ Double Bottom: SEI has recently formed a clear double bottom pattern, signaling a strong reversal from recent lows. This is a classic bullish pattern that suggests the selling pressure has been exhausted and buyers are stepping in. ✅ Falling Wedge: SEI is also breaking out of a falling wedge, a high-probability bullish formation. Falling wedges typically lead to strong upside moves as downward momentum fades and buying pressure builds up. ✅ Volume Increasing: Recent spikes in volume confirm that smart money could be accumulating in anticipation of a breakout. Perfect Storm for a Rally With a bullish technical setup aligning with a game-changing fundamental catalyst, Sei could be on the verge of a major breakout. A successful acquisition of 23andMe would not only give Sei real-world utility in the health data sector but also drive increased adoption and network activity. If SEI clears key resistance levels, this combination of technical strength and strategic growth could send the token to new highs. Sei isn’t just another DeFi project — it's positioning itself to be a leader at the intersection of blockchain, health data, and privacy. This could be the beginning of a powerful new trend for SEI. 🚀
Long
by TopgOptions
3/28/25 - $blze - Watchlist, but need lower px3/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:BLZE Watchlist, but need lower px - i'm more positive on this stock than negative, but i am not convinced of a few factors in the ST that have not much to do w/ the business but the "zipcode" of what it does that keep me sidelines looking for a lower px - i wouldn't expect a 250 mm ent value company to be pumping out cash in this industry, bc "why not spend to grow" becomes obvious first question. but with that being said, cash gen (and ideally ex SBC - i'll get that to that in the pt below) is really "king" in this market that will dump everything correlation 1 and so while many "investors" in today's tape are tea reading gurus, a few of us still prefer to base our decisions on mgmt/ execution and cash generation (or at least the "obvious" visibility of cash gen). and NASDAQ:BLZE remains in scale up mode - on the topic of SBC, i can't "fault" a co of this size/ budget and they *should* be incentivizing well the team. i can see they r generating more year on year gross profit for the amt they're incrementally spending on opex (i mainly look at sales expense) and that's a green flag. but ostensibly to overcome the SBC element of FCF and start generating what i'd call "organic" FCF, you need probably 2 years at the mid teens growth stage. and that's just hard to justify here (from a "looking at it from other people's perspective" i.e. the market won't pay up for that in this tape) - i need to do more work on mgmt. mgmt is the make or break on co's of this size, so hence it makes sense to read a few transcripts/ listen to a call for that intangible comms style etc. i will need to revert there. - so at say low DD EBITDA mgns and growing (steady state perhaps teens+) for an infra play, underscaled (i.e. not benefiting from mkt out flows which are disproportionately nailing low liquidity stuff)... i'd defn need to pay something closer to 8x this (2025*) year on a conservative number. so superficially (though it comes w a lot of years of playing this game for sport)... instead of a cons of $24 mm (which for a name like this always tends to skew more "forgiving") let's say it's $20 and put 8x on that. you're at $160 mm EV. obviously not a great downside to "eat" if you took a full position here. at this stage in the tape i'm only accepting stuff where i'd literally pile in and hold 2 or 3 positions that go -25-30% lower. i'm avoiding anything (*anything* that could have any realistic probability of doing -40 or -50+). so while i don't think that extreme case is necessarily a base case... it's not like there are any obvious buybacks (they don't have that capacity). i'm not sure in the world of software-infra outside a PE grabbing this and taking it private - which i don't want to pay up for as part of my thesis (only as a "bonus" to own)... it's not like the tape will buy this first... and not the leaders e.g. NYSE:BOX OMXSTO:PURE etc. and i get they don't exactly comp - but in a sense - in this world - "they do". - so minimally i'd need sub $4 to take stock of where risk is/ mkt at that pt (and perhaps and likely if it's a correlation 1 sell off i probably would prefer other things)... but nevertheless. happy to add it to the ol watchlist and set that trigger for trading view to hit me with that obnoxious *BING* usually on the most stressful days :) have a good weekend all thanks for flagging this HB. curious on your opinion of above, or if u can augment on more idiosyncratic bottoms-up/ mgmt/ biz moat etc. factors if any V
NASDAQ:BLZE
by VROCKSTAR
1
Nike (NKE) Game Plan: Is Now the Perfect Time to Buy?1. Technical Analysis March 2025 Nike’s stock ( NYSE:NKE ) is currently trading near a 52-week low of $63.19, signaling a bearish trend driven by weak earnings and macroeconomic challenges. • Moving Averages: The 50-day MA is below the 200-day MA (death cross), confirming a long-term downtrend. • Relative Strength Index (RSI): Near 30, indicating oversold conditions and a possible short-term rebound. • Support & Resistance: • Key support: ~$60 (historical demand zone) • Key resistance: ~$75–$80 (previous consolidation area) • Volume Analysis: High selling pressure, but institutional investors may step in at lower levels. 2. Fundamental Analysis March 2025 Nike remains a global leader in the sportswear industry, but recent headwinds have impacted on its financial performance. Key Financial Metrics (Q3 2025) • Revenue: $11.3 billion (-9% YoY) • Net Income: Declining due to lower sales and margin compression • EPS: Lower than expected, prompting downward revisions by analysts • Dividend Yield: ~2.3%, with 23 consecutive years of dividend increases • Debt-to-Equity Ratio: ~0.6, indicating moderate leverage • Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Lower than historical averages (~18–22x), making it relatively undervalued compared to its long-term trends 📈 Strengths: • Brand Power & Innovation: Nike’s brand remains dominant, and new product lines (e.g., Pegasus Premium, Vomero 18) are receiving positive feedback. • Global Reach & Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Shift: Strong e-commerce presence, which could improve margins over time. • Dividend Growth: 23 consecutive years of increases make Nike attractive to long-term income investors. 📉 Weaknesses & Risks: • Declining Sales: A 9% revenue drop YoY, with a 17% decline in China—a crucial market. • Tariff Concerns: New U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports could impact profit margins. • Competitive Landscape: Adidas, Puma, and newer brands (On Running, Hoka) are gaining market share. • Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Consumer spending on discretionary goods remains weak. 3. 5-Year Price Prediction (2025–2030) Year Price Range Prediction 2025 $55 – $85 (high volatility, potential recovery) 2026 $75 – $100 (rebound if sales improve) 2027 $90 – $120 (growth phase, innovation & DTC strategy gains traction) 2028 $110 – $140 (bullish market conditions, brand strength) 2029 $130 – $170 (potential all-time highs if fundamentals align) 2030 $150 – $200 (long-term upside if Nike maintains market dominance) Conclusion: Buy, Hold, or Sell? • Short-Term (2025–2026): High risk, potential upside if Nike stabilizes its sales and margins. • Mid-to-Long Term (2027–2030): Likely strong recovery, given Nike’s brand strength, innovation, and historical growth. • Best Strategy: Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) for long-term investors; traders may wait for a confirmed reversal. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Stock market investments carry risks, including the loss of capital. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NYSE:NKE
by Invest_MTS
Tencent Holdings LtdIs Tencent Stock a Buy Now? Tencent posted its third quarter earnings report on Nov. 16. The Chinese tech giant's revenue fell 2% year over year to 140.1 billion yuan ($19.8 billion), which represented its second consecutive quarter of declining revenue since its IPO in 2004. Its net profit rose 1% to 39.9 billion yuan ($5.6 billion). On an adjusted basis, which excludes its investments and other one-time items, its net profit grew 2% to 32.3 billion yuan ($4.5 billion). Those growth rates seem anemic, but Tencent's stock had already been cut in half over the past two years amid concerns about China's tightening regulations, slowing economic growth, and COVID19 lockdowns. So is it the right time to take the contrarian view and buy Tencent as a turnaround play? Let's review its core businesses and valuations to decide. Tencent generated 31% of its third quarter revenue from its video game business. Domestic games, which include its blockbuster game Honor of Kings, accounted for 73% of that total. The remaining 27% came from overseas hits like League of Legends, Valorant, and PUBG Mobile.Its domestic gaming revenue fell 7% year over year, representing its third consecutive quarter of shrinking revenue, as it grappled with tighter playtime restrictions for minors in China over the past year. Those restrictions also coincided with a temporary suspension on new video game approvals in China, which started last July and ended this April.Its international gaming revenue rose 3% year over year, accelerating from its 1% decline in the second quarter, as new games like Tower of Fantasy and Goddess of Victory: Nikke attracted new players. Unfortunately, its overseas growth still couldn't offset its declining domestic revenue. As a result, Tencent's total VAS (value-added service) revenue which includes its gaming divisions, social media platforms, and streaming media subscriptions -- declined by 3% in the third quarter but still accounted for more than half of its top line. This core business might gradually stabilize as Tencent expands its international gaming business, but it will likely remain under intense pressure as long as the Chinese government continues to scrutinize the gaming industry. 200$ was one of the biggest support and great opportunity to buying the dip. 300-320$ is a big resistance level for tencent and if bulls win that battle then 350$ is next but can we back 250 or even 200$ again? YES
HKEX:700
by moonypto
11
Tesla - There Is Hope For Bulls!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is just crashing recently: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After Tesla perfectly retested the previous all time high just a couple of weeks ago, we now witnessed a quite expected rejection of about -50%. However market structure remains still bullish and if we see some bullish confirmation, a substantial move higher will follow soon. Levels to watch: $260, $400 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
52