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Gold Breaks Out: Pullback Before the Next Move?Gold Price Analysis (15-Minute Chart) Current Price: $3,356.31 Date: May 24, 2025 --- What Happened: 1. Gold was going down before May 23. 2. Then it broke out of the downtrend and started going up (this is called a trend breakout). 3. After the breakout, gold moved up strongly and reached around $3,360. --- What Might Happen Next (Prediction): The price is now slowing down after a big move up. It might drop down a bit to around $3,340 (a support level). If the price holds there, it could bounce back up again. --- Key Levels: Support (where price may stop falling): Around $3,340 Resistance (where price may stop rising): Around $3,360 --- Simple Summary: Gold had a strong move up, but now it might take a short break and drop slightly before possibly going up again.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Fx_Faiza
BTC reflects key technical developments and potential breakout? reflects key technical developments and potential breakout scenarios: Description and Analysis: 1. Previous Uptrend (Left Section): The chart begins with a strong bullish trend forming a rising channel. Candles within the channel show consistent higher highs and higher lows, reflecting strong buying momentum up to the peak near $112,000. 2. Range-Bound Movement (Middle Section): After reaching the top of the channel, Bitcoin enters a consolidation phase. The price fluctuates horizontally within a well-defined range between approximately $110,800 and $112,000. Candlestick bodies become shorter with frequent wicks on both sides, indicating indecision and balance between buyers and sellers. 3. Bearish Breakdown: A sharp bearish breakout follows, with a long red candle breaking down below the range support. This marks a shift in sentiment as sellers gain control, driving the price down to around $107,800. 4. Symmetrical Triangle Formation (Right Section): After the breakdown, price action begins to consolidate again in a symmetrical triangle, showing lower highs and higher lows. This pattern typically precedes a breakout but doesn't indicate direction. 5. Current Scenario and Potential Breakouts: Price is nearing the triangle's apex around $108,753.50, suggesting an imminent breakout. Two scenarios are illustrated: Bullish breakout: A move above the upper triangle boundary could drive price back toward the previous range resistance around $112,000. Bearish breakout: A drop below the lower triangle support could lead to further decline toward the $106,000–105,000 area. Candle Behavior: High-volume red candles initiated the drop from the range. Recent candles within the triangle are mixed and relatively small, hinting at consolidation and a battle for control. Volume contraction supports the idea of a potential breakout setup. Conclusion: BTC/USD is currently at a critical juncture. Traders should watch for a decisive breakout from the symmetrical triangle, as it could determine the short-term direction—either a recovery toward previous highs or continuation of the downtrend. Tight stop-losses and breakout confirmation are advised for any trades initiated from this setup.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by Fx_Faiza
EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Will the Bears Strike Back from 1.14? 📍1. TECHNICAL CONTEXT EUR/USD is trading around 1.1405, inside an ascending channel and right within a supply zone (1.1370–1.1470), which already triggered a rejection on April 16. Price action currently shows hesitation, with three consecutive candles at the top of the channel and RSI divergence, suggesting a loss of bullish momentum after an overextension. The bullish trendline from April remains intact and validated, but the upside is narrowing. Likely scenario: bullish exhaustion followed by a pullback towards 1.1270–1.1220, with a potential retest of both the trendline and the lower boundary of the channel. 📊2. COT REPORT (USD & EUR) – Updated to May 20 USD Index: Non-Commercials added +2,044 net longs, but also +1,975 new shorts. Open Interest rose by +2,207 → a more active market, but still mixed. Net exposure remains neutral to slightly bearish for the dollar. EURO FX: Non-Commercials cut -3,587 longs and added +6,814 shorts, while Commercials increased longs by +16,796. Speculative funds are gradually shifting short on the Euro, while Commercials continue to hedge long. → Combined read: Large speculators are reducing their Euro exposure and staying cautious on the Dollar. Short-term pressure on EUR/USD remains bearish, though no macro reversal yet. 📉3. SENTIMENT & POSITIONING Retail sentiment shows 71% of traders are short EUR/USD — a classically contrarian signal. However, price is now sitting in a liquidity cluster where smart money might exploit a final squeeze before a real reversal. Market depth shows strong imbalance, with long orders stacked above current price — suggesting potential stop hunt already triggered or about to fade. 🧭4. SEASONALITY Historically, May is a bearish month for EUR/USD: -0.0079 on 20-year average, and -0.0163 on 10-year average. Seasonality supports late May weakness and potential downside continuation into early June. ✅ TRADING OUTLOOK 📌 Primary Bias: short-term corrective bearish, waiting for clearer reversal signals. 📌 Key Reaction Zone: 1.1400–1.1470 → structural short area, already tested. 📌 Bearish Target: 1.1270 > 1.1210 (golden pocket + trendline confluence) 📌 Setup invalidation: daily close above 1.1470 with volume → possible extension to 1.1550/1.1580 📌 Macro support: Commercials remain long on the Euro → underlying structure still bullish, but too early to fade short-term bearish momentum.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
9
TSLA: Not recommended by me!Hello Traders, TSLA Tesla fundamental score is not really good for me! My score is based on EPS data and EPS forecasts. there might be better stocks out there! Regarding the technical aspects, White it reacted to the bottom of the channel median of the channel might be a small struggle. There is a strong possible resistance on the way up. I prefer to give a better/safer score after breaking this zone. Also, if we just consider technical analysis, any long options should have a SL, the possible rational SL is so far from the current price. in case of correction or breaking the zone, the possible SL could be very tighter. Fundamental: Not recommended. Technical: So-So. Overall: I don't buy
NASDAQ:TSLA
by AliSignals
6
The week's fundamental highlightsThe financial markets are currently under the influence of a conjunction of themes of fundamental concern, the most important of which are : - the trade war and the current phase of trade diplomacy - the current phase of disinflation in the West, which could be threatened by tariffs - the intransigence of the Federal Reserve (FED) which, unlike the European Central Bank, has not re-committed to cutting its federal funds rate this year - The increasing likelihood of a US economic recession, linked to the trade war and high interest rates, and the ultimate risk for the equity market, which is stagflation. - the US budget deficit and public debt, as the Trump administration pushes through its massive tax cut bill and raises the public debt ceiling - The risk this poses to US corporate bond yields, and hence to corporate earnings prospects (the cornerstone of equity market trends). - Current geopolitical conflicts In short, the general level of uncertainty is high, but this has not prevented the equity market from rallying strongly since the beginning of April. 1) This final week of May on the stock market, the fundamental highlight of the week is the US PCE inflation update. The “FED Minutes” on Wednesday May 28, the second estimate of US GDP for the first quarter on Thursday May 29 and US PCE inflation on Friday May 30 are the three fundamental highlights of the week. But it is US PCE inflation that will be decisive, as it is the FED's preferred inflation index. Disinflation has picked up again this year, and the downward trajectory is still tending towards the FED's 2% target. However, certain leading inflation indicators (such as consumer inflation expectations) suggest caution in the face of a possible rebound in inflation linked to the trade war. Below, you can see that core PCE inflation is well on its way to the 2% target, but that there are concerns about a rebound in inflation. It is imperative that US disinflation continues if the FED is to cut interest rates again this summer. 2) For the S&P 500 index, the major support at 5700/5900 points is the technical guarantor of the bullish rally underway since the beginning of April. This final week, Wall Street's benchmark index will continue to be subject to intense fundamental activity. In terms of technical analysis of the financial markets, the S&P 500 future contract must continue to be closely monitored, as it is the benchmark index for US finance. The market has taken a logical technical breather in the short term, but the underlying uptrend remains intact as long as the 5700/5900 point support zone remains intact. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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ECONOMICS:USPCEPIAC
by Swissquote
Can Small Reactors Solve Big Energy Problems?Oklo Inc. has recently captured significant attention in the nuclear energy sector, propelled by anticipated executive orders from President Trump to accelerate the development and construction of nuclear facilities. These policy shifts are designed to address the US energy deficit and reduce its reliance on foreign sources for enriched uranium, signaling a renewed national commitment to atomic power. This strategic pivot creates a favorable regulatory and investment environment, positioning companies like Oklo at the forefront of a potential nuclear renaissance. At the core of Oklo's appeal is its innovative "energy-as-a-service" business model. Unlike traditional reactor manufacturers, Oklo sells power directly to customers through long-term agreements, a strategy lauded by analysts for its potential to generate sustained revenue and mitigate project development complexities. The company specializes in compact, fast, small modular reactors (SMRs) designed to produce 15-50 megawatts of power, ideally suited for powering data centers and small industrial areas. This technology, coupled with high-assay, low-enriched uranium (HALEU), promises enhanced efficiency, extended operational life, and reduced waste, aligning perfectly with the escalating energy demands of the AI revolution and the burgeoning data center industry. While Oklo remains a pre-revenue company, its substantial market capitalization of approximately $6.8 billion provides a strong foundation for future capital raises with minimal dilution. The company targets the commercial deployment of its first SMR by late 2027 or early 2028, a timeline potentially accelerated by the new executive orders streamlining regulatory approvals. Analysts, including Wedbush, have expressed increasing confidence in Oklo's trajectory, raising price targets and highlighting its competitive edge in a market poised for significant growth. Oklo represents a high-risk, high-reward investment, with its ultimate success contingent on the successful commercialization of its technology and continued governmental support. However, its unique business model, advanced SMR technology, and strategic alignment with critical national energy and technological demands present a compelling long-term opportunity for investors willing to embrace its speculative nature.
NYSE:OKLOLong
by UDIS_View
GOLD rises impressively after mid-May declineUS President Trump once again used tariffs and the market's risk-off sentiment suddenly heated up. OANDA:XAUUSD jumped nearly 2% on Friday and the weekly gain reached nearly 5%. OANDA:XAUUSD has grown impressively after a sharp decline in mid-May, taking advantage of safe-haven flows, the recovery was mainly due to growing investor concerns about the sustainability of US government debt. The market will likely continue to react to headlines surrounding the difficult US fiscal situation, trade relations and geopolitics. On Friday local time, US President Trump said on his social media platform "Real Social" that he proposed to impose a 50% tariff on the European Union from June 1. Trump wrote that the main purpose of the establishment of the European Union was to "take advantage of the United States on trade". In addition, on Friday local time, Trump posted on "Real Social" that he had long told Apple CEO Tim Cook that he expected Apple's iPhones sold in the United States to be produced and manufactured in the United States, not in India or anywhere else. Trump said that otherwise, Apple would have to pay at least a 25% tariff to the United States. Assessing the situation surrounding Trump "Trump has been vocal in the past 24 hours, threatening to impose 50% tariffs on the European Union starting June 1, imposing major sanctions on Apple and taking on Harvard University, all of which have weighed on stocks but boosted gold prices. Recurrent tariff concerns, coupled with low liquidity ahead of the long weekend, could exacerbate volatility." Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has achieved its initial upside target at $3,371 which is the technical confluence of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement with the upper edge of the price channel after receiving support from the confluence of the EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. In the short term, if gold breaks $3,371 it will tend to continue its bullish trend with the next target being $3,400 in the short term, more so than the last $3,435 which is the all-time high of $3,500. As long as gold remains within/above the channel, the overall trend outlook is bullish, and the immediate support is currently around the $3,300 raw price point area with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level and EMA21. In case of a sell-off below $3,292, gold could still find short-term support at the $3,250 technical point and the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is pointing up from around the 50 mark, with the RSI still well above the overbought zone, suggesting room for further upside. Looking ahead, the overall technical outlook for gold is bullish, with key points to watch out for as follows. Support: $3,300 – $3,292 – $3,250 Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,435 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3391 - 3389⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3395 →Take Profit 1 3383 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3377 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3299 - 3301⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3295 →Take Profit 1 3307 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3313
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Equity Research Flash – Hexaware Technologies Ltd.CMP: ₹722.35 | Bullish Momentum Post Trend Reversal HEXT shows a bullish breakout from a falling trendline, with RSI near 60 and strong volume uptick. The price reclaimed the 0.5 Fibonacci level, eyeing next targets at ₹749.85 (0.618) and ₹793.35 (0.786). Fundamentally strong with robust revenue growth, improving ROCE (26.4%), and low debt. A move above ₹750 could trigger further upside. Accumulate on dips with SL at ₹688. Recommendation: Positive | Buy on Dips Near ₹700 For Education Purpose only
NSE:HEXT
by rmhetre15
Trump's tariff measures trigger market shocks 📌 Driving events Last Friday, as Trump threatened to raise tariffs on the European Union to 50%, and also pointed the finger at smartphone manufacturers such as Apple and Samsung, the market's risk aversion sentiment suddenly heated up, and spot gold closed up nearly 2% on the day. On Sunday local time, US President Trump announced after a call with European Commission President von der Leyen that he would extend the deadline for the European Union to face 50% tariffs to July 9. Trump told reporters on his way back to Washington on Sunday: "We had a very pleasant call, and I agree to postpone the deadline." Bloomberg analysis said that there are signs that US President Trump may relax his radical stance on EU trade, which will affect gold's safe-haven status. At the geopolitical level, the conflict between Israel and Iran is imminent. The Israeli army's shooting of a diplomatic delegation has triggered international condemnation. Netanyahu has maintained a tough stance in the Israeli-Kazakh conflict; Trump's mediation of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine has been frustrated. The Wall Street Journal revealed that when he spoke with the European side, he said that Putin believed that the Russian army was "winning", which contradicted his public statement. This week, the market focus shifted to the Fed's policy minutes, the Bank of Japan's rate hike expectations, European and American economic data, and OPEC+'s production increase plan. The interweaving of trade frictions, debt risks and geopolitical conflicts has kept the uncertainty of the global pattern high. 📊Comment Analysis The first support level for gold prices may be in the range of $3290-3300/ounce. If it falls below the above support, the next support for gold prices will be $3250/ounce and $3200/ounce (50-day moving average). On the upside, the first resistance for gold prices is $3370/ounce. If this obstacle is overcome, the next resistance for gold prices will be $3430/ounce and $3500/ounce (historical high). Labaron will digest a series of economic data to be released by the United States this week, such as durable goods and home sales, as well as the consumer confidence index. The U.S. stock market will be closed on Monday due to the Memorial Day holiday. 💰Strategy Package ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3388- 3390 SL 3395 TP1: $3376 TP2: $3363 TP3: $3350 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3301- $3299 SL $3294 TP1: $3312 TP2: $3325 TP3: $3338 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Long Entry Idea 📈 USD/JPY Weekly Swing Setup 🗓️ Bias: Long from Weekly Demand Zone 📍 Context: Price is approaching a higher-timeframe demand block with a strong reaction expected. Structure shows repeated sweeps and rejection near weekly EQ. Looking to catch the macro reversal from the lows before liquidity floods the upside. 🟦 ENTRY ZONE 141.300 – 140.900 Weekly demand + prior structural sweep + inside discount territory 🔻 STOP LOSS 139.700 Below major liquidity shelf + protected weekly low 🧨 Risk: ~160 pips 🛡 Use position sizing accordingly 🎯 TAKE PROFITS Target Price Reason TP1 143.951 High chance reclaim to minor resistance TP2 144.921 Weekly EQ zone TP3 146.178 Clean inefficiency + OB fill TP4 149.385 Final premium zone / supply 📌 Trade Narrative Looking for a long setup off weekly demand between 141.300–140.900. Expecting bullish reversal and liquidity run through prior highs. Structure is showing signs of exhaustion on the bearish leg, and weekly CHoCH zones have formed. TP1 holds ~80% probability as it aligns with daily inefficiency and structure. Remaining targets scale through unfilled FVGs into premium territory. 🧠 Risk-Reward SL: 139.700 Entry: 141.300 TP1: 143.951 → ~2.6R TP4: 149.385 → ~5R+
Long
by MillionaireMind717
EUROUSD COT and Liquidity Analysis chart The EUR/USD pair has demonstrated a convincing upward momentum, which might suggest a sustained long opportunity. However, traders should exercise caution—this bullish move could be a classic trap. Despite the current strength, signs of exhaustion are beginning to appear in the price action and volume. The market may soon shift direction, and a downward correction or full reversal could be imminent. Now is not the time to chase the high—stay alert, as the fall could happen sooner than expected.
by SadarExplore
2
Bitcoin on track as alwaysHello, This chart is a Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on a weekly timeframe (1W) from BITSTAMP, with annotations around halving cycles, historical patterns, and projected tops. Let’s break down the key insights and patterns visible in this chart, especially focusing on the implications for the next potential top following the 4th halving on April 20, 2024. 🔁 Cycle Structure and Repeating Patterns Each cycle is defined between two halving events: 1st Halving: Nov 28, 2012 2nd Halving: Jul 9, 2016 3rd Halving: May 11, 2020 4th Halving: Apr 20, 2024 Each halving is followed by: Accumulation/Sideways Period (marked in purple boxes) Strong Bull Run to a new all-time high Sharp Correction Longer consolidation until the next halving So, we use historical halving-based fractals to forecast the next Bitcoin bull cycle top around October 2025, assuming a consistent 525-day post-halving rally. The current price structure aligns closely with prior cycles, suggesting BTC is still on track. If the pattern holds, we may see a strong upward trend from mid/late 2024 into late 2025, with a potential blow-off top near the cycle peak. ⚠️ Caveats Past performance is not a guarantee of future results Each cycle may rhyme but not repeat exactly – macro conditions, regulations, ETFs, institutional flows, and global liquidity all play bigger roles now Diminishing returns are evident – each cycle's ROI peak is lower
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Lain33
A strategic, short-term bullish trade driven by the USDT.D!This DIA/USDT long position is a strategic, short-term bullish trade driven by the USDT.D distribution pattern on the 45-minute timeframe, signaling a potential altcoin rally. DIA’s strong fundamentals, including its transparent data sourcing, DeFi adoption, and cross-chain compatibility, make it a compelling choice for this trade. While we remain long-term bearish on the crypto market due to macroeconomic and cycle risks, this trade serves as a hedge to capture short-term upside while aligning with our broader strategy.
Long
by JarlView
Golds Correction Is Over!Gold corrected itself all the way down to 3120 yesterday which is a significant demand level by institutions. Price then rebounded and closed at 3150. If it creates a confirmed HL by the end of Friday, the odds and probability XAUUSD will go back to its supply area at 3500 is highly probable. Price will also depend on macro fundamentals. The weekly shows a strong uptrend and so as the monthly chart. Institutions started buying back and increased their long positions.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by supertrader72
EURAUD 3MONTHS CHARTEUR/AUD Bond Yield, Interest Rate Differential, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–30, 2025) Current 10-Year Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.48% (as of May 19–21, 2025) , rising slightly due to RBA rate cuts and global uncertainty. Eurozone 10-Year Bond Yield: 3.17% (as of May 23, 2025) , reflecting moderate inflation and cautious ECB policy. Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between Australian and Eurozone 10-year bonds is:4.48(AUD−3.17(EUR)=+1.31% 4.48% (AUD)−3.17% (EUR)=+1.31% This differential favors the Australian dollar, creating a carry trade opportunity. Carry Trade Advantage Investors can borrow EUR at lower Eurozone rates and invest in higher-yielding AUD assets, earning the 1.31% yield spread as profit. The strategy is supported by Australia’s elevated bond yields despite recent RBA rate cuts, driven by global demand for commodity-linked currencies and resilient growth. Key Economic Data (May 25–30, 2025) Date Region Event Impact on Yields May 25 AUD RBA Meeting Minutes Neutral (rate cut already priced in) May 28 EUR Eurozone GDP Growth (Q1) Potential downside risk to EUR yields if growth disappoints May 29 AUD Australia Private Capital Expenditure Could support AUD yields if spending rises Summary Table Metric Australia (AUD) Eurozone (EUR) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.48% 3.17% Interest Rate Differential +1.31% (AUD over EUR) — Carry Trade Appeal Favorable for long AUD/EUR — Conclusion The 1.31% yield advantage for AUD over EUR supports a long AUD/EUR carry trade strategy. However, traders should monitor: RBA policy: Further rate cuts could narrow the yield spread. Eurozone growth data: Weak GDP figures may pressure EUR yields lower, widening the differential. Commodity prices: AUD remains sensitive to iron ore and coal price fluctuations. While the carry trade offers potential gains, volatility from macroeconomic data and shifts in risk sentiment could impact returns. #EURAUD #AUDEUR
by Shavyfxhub