FIL 1D – Strategic DCA OpportunityPrice bounced off the $2.20 level with rising volume.
Momentum slowdown shows in narrowing MACD histogram.
We see potential bottom formation after a heavy flush.
EMA50 and EMA100 remain overhead but flattening.
Early signs of seller exhaustion below the $2.30 mark.
Perfect zone for strategic DCA – asymmetry is shifting.
Quant view: reward/risk skew turning favorable for long exposure.
Patience now = positioning for upside convexity.
Stay tactical. Stay data-driven.
Fundamental Analysis
Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture
Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊
Technical Analysis
Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage
You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact.
Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎
Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm!
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers:
Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation.
Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry.
Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch
As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏
Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game.
Final Thoughts
My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
NATURAL GAS Natural gas prices have pulled back from a 2½-month high due to forecasts of normalizing summer temperatures in the U.S., which could reduce cooling demand and electricity generation needs.
Demand Drivers:
U.S. LNG exports are ramping up, supporting demand and prices. LNG export facilities like Plaquemines LNG and Corpus Christi Stage 3 began production in late 2024, with more capacity expected in the next two years.
Domestic demand for natural gas in power generation is expected to rise seasonally in summer, with June electric power consumption projected to be about 25.7% higher than May.
Supply Factors:
U.S. dry gas production remains robust, currently around 106.7 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d), up 3.3% year-over-year.
Natural gas inventories are near five-year averages but expected to end the injection season (October 31) about 3% below average due to strong demand and exports.
Price Forecast:
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects Henry Hub spot prices to average around $4.00/MMBtu in 2025 and rise further to about $4.90/MMBtu in 2026, driven by increased LNG exports and domestic consumption growth.
Conclusion
Natural gas prices are currently moderating after recent gains but remain supported by strong export demand and seasonal power consumption increases. The market outlook is for prices to rise through 2025 and 2026 as LNG exports expand and domestic demand grows, despite some short-term weather-driven fluctuations.
#LNG #USOIL #DOLLAR
Weekend Report – June 21, 2025US FEDERAL RESERVE SPLIT: POLICY AT A CROSSROADS:
The US Federal Reserve stands increasingly divided over the trajectory of interest rates, with significant macro implications. Fed Governor Christopher Waller, viewed as a top contender to succeed Jerome Powell, called for a rate cut as early as the next meeting, citing muted inflationary pressure despite Donald Trump's new tariff regime. This position contrasts sharply with Powell’s own tone, which remains cautious amid a lack of definitive economic signals.
The Fed has now paused for four straight meetings following 100 bps of cuts in 2024. However, the so-called "dot plot" released this week reveals increasing internal disagreement: 10 Fed officials project two or more cuts, while seven see no rate moves at all. Futures markets reflect expectations of two quarter-point cuts in 2025, starting around October, suggesting investors believe inflation remains contained despite trade protectionism.
Waller's comments underscore growing Fed discomfort with political pressure. Trump has called for 250 bps in cuts and publicly derided Powell, adding to uncertainty about the Fed's independence heading into an election cycle. While Powell emphasized “anchored long-term inflation expectations” and said divergence would “diminish with data,” the Fed’s credibility remains sensitive to both political intervention and market interpretation.
SWISS INHERITANCE TAX POLL TRIGGERS CAPITAL FLIGHT RISK:
Switzerland faces reputational and financial damage ahead of a national vote in November to introduce a 50% inheritance tax on estates above SFr50 million. The proposal—originating from the far-left Young Socialists—is spurring warnings of an exodus of UHNWIs, reminiscent of the UK’s non-dom exodus.
Legal and private banking professionals report that families are already relocating to Italy, Greece, and the UAE, fearing that even the proposal introduces dangerous legal and fiscal uncertainty. Prominent voices in Geneva and Zurich warn this could irreparably harm Switzerland’s wealth management brand and weaken its position amid competition from zero-tax jurisdictions like Dubai and Hong Kong.
SUDAN’S GOLD SURGE FINANCES WARFARE:
Sudan’s ongoing civil war is being underwritten by soaring artisanal gold production, driven by record-high bullion prices. Output hit 80 tonnes in 2024, worth over $6 billion, much of it smuggled to the UAE and Russia. This illicit supply chain funds both the SAF and RSF factions in a war that has killed 150,000 and displaced 12 million people.
International think tanks such as Chatham House and C4ADS warn of deeply entrenched militarized trade networks and argue that the West has failed to address mineral revenue flows with sanctions or regulatory frameworks. Analysts suggest that targeting gold supply chains could represent a powerful pressure point in ending the conflict.
BBC THREATENS AI STARTUP OVER CONTENT MISUSE:
The BBC has issued a legal ultimatum to Perplexity AI, accusing the $14 billion-valued US AI search engine of unlawfully scraping and reproducing BBC content. In a formal letter, the BBC demanded deletion of scraped material and financial compensation, citing reputational damage and copyright violations.
This marks the UK broadcaster’s first aggressive stance against AI scraping, as public sector institutions grow wary of being used to train large language models without remuneration or consent. While Perplexity dismissed the claim as “manipulative,” this could signal a broader wave of litigation across media institutions echoing ongoing legal battles from News Corp, The New York Times, and Condé Nast.
APOLLO BOLSTERS UK NUCLEAR BUILDOUT WITH £4.5BN LOAN:
US private capital giant Apollo has agreed to fund £4.5bn in unsecured debt to EDF’s delayed Hinkley Point C project in Somerset, easing pressure on a project whose costs have ballooned from £18bn to £46bn, with a new opening date set for 2029. The loan, at ~7% interest, addresses a shortfall following the UK’s ejection of China General Nuclear in 2023.
The deal is a win for private credit’s emergence in public infrastructure, and a major boost to the UK’s push for baseload, low-carbon energy independence. EDF will now focus on France, while UK officials prepare to approve another £11.5bn investment into Sizewell C, to be discussed at a Franco-British summit in July.
MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT DRIVES ENERGY VOLATILITY AND RISK REPRICING:
The geopolitical crisis between Israel and Iran continues to drive extreme price movements in energy and logistics. Brent crude briefly surged to $79 per barrel, up 10% from the previous week after Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear infrastructure. Though prices have since retraced to $76.66, volatility remains elevated due to uncertainty over supply routes.
VLCC charter rates from the Gulf to China more than doubled from $19,998 to $47,609 per day within a week, with owners holding out for further gains. Rates for LR2 product tankers also surged to $51,879 per day. This reflects a possible market shift away from Iran’s dark fleet toward fully insured routes, which could lead to persistent tightness in freight availability.
Global markets responded to tentative diplomatic outreach. European equities rallied, with Frankfurt’s DAX up 1.3%, while the FTSE 100 fell 0.2% on weak UK retail data. The VIX dropped 8%, but investor caution remains as supply chain risks through the Strait of Hormuz—transiting 30% of global seaborne crude loom large.
EU-CHINA TENSIONS ESCALATE IN MEDTECH SECTOR:
The European Commission announced that Chinese companies will be excluded from public procurement of medical devices on contracts exceeding €5 million. This move, enabled by the International Procurement Instrument, comes after EU investigations concluded 87% of Chinese contracts discriminate against EU suppliers.
With EU-China tensions already inflamed by tariffs on EVs and spirits, this marks a pivot toward strategic reciprocity. China condemned the measure as “protectionism” and threatened countermeasures. The Commission remains open to lifting the restrictions should Beijing provide market access parity. This signals to global investors a tightening regulatory environment for Chinese participation in critical EU sectors.
US CLEAN ENERGY FACES POST-TRUMP CLIFF:
The Biden-era clean energy boom is facing a rapid reversal. Major solar providers like Sunnova and Mosaic have filed for bankruptcy, as proposed Congressional tax legislation threatens to slash key residential solar credits. Industry leaders predict a 50–60% demand collapse and up to 250,000 job losses if cuts proceed.
Markets are already repricing: Sunrun shares dropped 36%, Enphase 21%, SolarEdge 30%, and First Solar 19% in recent days. With at least nine bankruptcies in 2025, compared to 16 in all of 2024, the sector’s liquidity is at breaking point. The Solar Energy Industries Association warns of a “six-month cliff” ahead, as the Trump administration pivots toward oil, biofuels, and nuclear.
X CORP PUSHES INTO FINANCIAL SERVICES:
Elon Musk’s X (formerly Twitter) is accelerating its push to become an “everything app” akin to China’s WeChat. CEO Linda Yaccarino announced plans to launch peer-to-peer payments, trading, and even debit cards this year via X Money, beginning in the US with Visa integration.
While this could revolutionize user engagement and monetization, analysts warn of regulatory risks including compliance with anti-money laundering, KYC, and financial licensing laws. Notably, X is seeking to recover its ad business post-Musk acquisition 96% of advertisers have reportedly returned, though 2025 revenue forecasts ($2.3bn) remain far below 2022 levels ($4.1bn).
MICROSOFT VS OPENAI: EQUITY BATTLE INTENSIFIES:
Microsoft is reportedly prepared to walk away from equity renegotiations with OpenAI if no favorable deal is reached. While the partnership remains in “good faith,” Microsoft wants to retain its 20% revenue share up to $92bn, exclusive Azure distribution rights, and access to OpenAI’s IP pre-AGI.
OpenAI needs Microsoft’s approval to finalize its for-profit restructuring, without which it risks losing funding commitments from SoftBank and others. This adds pressure to an already fragile alliance amid infrastructure capacity constraints and competition from xAI and Meta’s Llama. Market attention now shifts to whether OpenAI’s valuation premium holds if Microsoft pivots to broader AI diversification.
NOVO NORDISK SURGES ON OBESITY PIPELINE STRENGTH:
Novo Nordisk has announced early-stage trial results for amycretin, a new obesity drug that caused 24.3% weight loss in its injectable form, surpassing both Wegovy and Eli Lilly’s Zepbound. The pill version delivered 13.1% loss, with the potential to match injectables over longer durations.
Novo is aiming to regain investor confidence after disappointing CagriSema trials last year. Shares, down over 50% YoY, may rebound as the company expands its anti-obesity portfolio. Analysts say amycretin could rival Lilly’s orforglipron, which showed 14.7% weight loss over 36 weeks in Phase 2 trials.
NIGER NATIONALIZES URANIUM ASSETS AMID GEOPOLITICAL SHIFT:
Niger has moved to nationalize the Somair uranium project, co-owned with France’s Orano, amid deteriorating diplomatic ties. The junta accuses Orano of failing to transfer funds and actively undermining the state. Compensation will be offered, but France's influence in Niger’s resource sector is likely to decline.
This follows a trend of state asset seizures in the Sahel, with Mali and Burkina Faso asserting more control over mining ventures. Orano is reportedly seeking to sell its Niger assets, possibly to Russian or Chinese interests. The move adds a new geopolitical risk layer to nuclear energy supply chains.
AUSTAL SHIPYARD TAKEOVER POSES SECURITY DEBATE:
South Korea’s Hanwha is seeking to increase its stake in Australian defense shipbuilder Austal to 19.9%, raising national security concerns. While CFIUS has cleared the deal in the US, Australia’s FIRB may block it, given Austal’s pivotal role in naval procurement. CEO Paddy Gregg said foreign ownership would conflict with Canberra’s “sovereignty-first” strategy outlined in its 2023 defense review.
While US officials favor Hanwha’s role in joint shipbuilding initiatives, Australia must weigh alliance integration against domestic capability protection. This debate reflects broader defense industrial shifts in the Indo-Pacific amid growing Chinese naval assertiveness.
Gold weekend review Gold ended a choppy week on a hopeful note, surging during the New York opening after Fed Governor Christopher Waller's comments hinted at a potential rate cut as early as July. However, most policymakers favor a wait-and-see approach, suggesting a possible delay until September. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions could boost gold's appeal. Technically, gold's higher timeframe remains bullish, but the 1-hour chart shows a bearish correction to the $3,340 support. We'll monitor the market's opening closely. If gold stabilizes above $3,368, it could target $3,405, $3,425, or even $3,450. Conversely, a decline could lead to $3,333, $3,320, or $3,308.
ETH READY TO GO 3000$ ???🔍 ETH/USDT Analysis – Daily Timeframe
ETH is currently trading at $2,427, holding above the key support zone around $2,370 - $2,390, which is aligned with the 100 EMA. This zone has acted as a strong accumulation area.
📈 Market Structure:
Price is consolidating inside a horizontal range. A confirmed breakout above the resistance zone ($2,650 - $2,700) could lead to a bullish continuation towards the major resistance at $2,861.
📊 Technical Outlook:
Trend: Sideways range (accumulation phase)
100 EMA: Acting as dynamic support
Breakout Potential: Bullish continuation expected on breakout and retest
📌 Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice):
Entry Idea: Break and close above $2,700 zone
Target: $2,861 and higher
Invalidation: Daily candle close below $2,370
ETH is building strength above its 100 EMA. A breakout from this range can trigger a fresh bullish leg.
🔁 Like & share your opinion! Always DYOR before trading.
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
BTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break LevelBTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break Level: Will Bitcoin Rebound or Slide Further?
Bitcoin continues to hover near a critical support level after last week's sharp drop. With rising macro uncertainty, shifting institutional flows, and growing interest in crypto regulation, BTCUSD is showing signs of a potential reversal — but traders should proceed with caution.
🌐 Macro Outlook – Debt Pressure, ETFs & Election Talk Fuel Uncertainty
US fiscal stress is building: Analysts warn that the United States could see interest payments exceed $1 trillion in 2025 — more than its defense or healthcare budget. This puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider fiscal tightening instead of rate cuts.
Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows are slowing: After a strong start in early 2024, institutional flows into spot BTC ETFs have cooled down recently. Hedge funds and asset managers are waiting for more clarity on economic policy.
Pro-crypto narratives gaining traction in US politics: With elections approaching, political figures are floating proposals to use Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset and encourage crypto-based financial infrastructure.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains volatile. A weaker dollar could support crypto, but stronger-than-expected inflation data may fuel further caution.
📉 Technical Analysis (BTCUSD – H1 to H4)
BTC is currently trading within a medium-term descending channel, and has recently tested the key support zone near 103,108.
A potential V-recovery pattern is forming. If buyers can hold this zone and break above 104,184, the price may target 106,047 and eventually 107,586.
However, EMA clusters (50–100–200) on the H1 chart are still pressing downward. A confirmed bullish reversal would require a breakout above 105,200 with strong volume.
✅ Suggested Trade Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 103,100 – 103,300
Entry: On price reaction with confirmation candlestick
SL: 102,600
TP: 104,184 → 106,047 → 107,586
🔴 SELL ZONE: 107,500 – 107,800
Entry: Only if price rejects resistance at upper channel
SL: 108,200
TP: 106,000 → 104,500
⚠️ Avoid aggressive shorting in the current range to reduce false breakout risk.
💬 Final Thoughts for Indian Traders
The current market is caught between macroeconomic caution and long-term crypto optimism. Bitcoin is holding near its lower range — a zone that historically triggers upward momentum.
For Indian traders, the key is to wait for clear structural confirmation and respect technical levels. Let price and macro alignment guide your decisions, not emotion or hype.
Plan the trade. Trade the plan. Protect your capital.
EUR/USD - H4 - Triangle Formation (31.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern.
1. Wait for Breakout with Good Volume
2. Conformation in short Timeframe Must
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Fundamental Updates :
Dollar mixed on tariff uncertainty, U.S. President Donald Trump to battle a U.S. trade court ruling that blocked most of his proposed tariffs.
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Stablecoin Market: A Clear Path to Bitcoin Over $700k?I've been following the strong correlation between stablecoin liquidity ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT , CRYPTOCAP:USDC , etc, here represented by CRYPTOCAP:STABLE.C ), and the Bitcoin price, and there's a very clear correlation between both.
Why is there a correlation between the stablecoin market and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ?
An increase in stablecoin market cap means that more money is available to be invested in crypto and Bitcoin.
The more stablecoin liquidity exists, the easier it is for investors to invest in crypto. That's why we see a very strong correlation between the stablecoin liquidity and Bitcoin: the long-term correlation is 86%.
So now we know that BTC price follows the stablecoin liquidity.
The GENIUS Act and the stablecoin market
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently posted that the stablecoin market could grow from the current $263 billion to $3.7 trillion. the data comes from a BIS report.
Why does this matter?
If the stablecoin market grows to $3.7 trillion and we continue to observe the high correlation with Bitcoin, the Bitcoin price would land between $700k and $1 million by 2030.
Let me know your thoughts!
APP Weekly Trade Plan – June 20, 2025🟥 APP Weekly Trade Plan – June 20, 2025
🎯 Instrument: APP (Applovin Corp)
📉 Direction: Bearish (Put)
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-20
📊 Confidence Level: 65%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
🔎 Model Consensus Breakdown
Model Direction Summary
Grok/xAI 🔻 Bearish Clear bearish momentum. Recommends $325 put.
Claude ⚠️ No Trade Mixed signals; confidence below 50%.
Gemini 🔻 Bearish Recommends $322.50 put based on RSI/VIX.
Llama ⚠️ No Trade Slightly bearish but low conviction.
DeepSeek 🔼 Bullish Contrarian call ($327.50) against oversold bounce.
🧠 Consensus Takeaway
✅ Most models agree APP is under bearish pressure on the daily chart.
⚠️ Mixed signals emerge due to oversold RSI and elevated VIX (~20.31).
🧨 Watch for short squeezes or rebound attempts off key support ($325–$327).
✅ Recommended Trade (Put Option)
Metric Value
🎯 Strike $325 Put
💰 Entry Price $0.75 (limit)
🛑 Stop Loss $0.38
🎯 Profit Target $0.975+
📈 Confidence 65%
📏 Size 1 contract
📅 Expiry June 20, 2025
💡 This trade bets on short-term continuation lower, possibly breaking $325 support.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
VIX at 20+ increases whipsaw risk — limit order strongly recommended.
Oversold RSI could lead to a dead-cat bounce.
Respect the stop-loss if APP rebounds above $327 intraday.
🧾 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
json
Copy
Edit
{
"instrument": "APP",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 325.0,
"expiry": "2025-06-20",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 0.975,
"stop_loss": 0.38,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.75,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-06-20 15:21:16 UTC-04:00"
}
OSCR Weekly Trading Plan – June 20, 2025🟢 OSCR Weekly Trading Plan – June 20, 2025
🎯 Instrument: OSCR (Oscar Health)
📈 Direction: Long (Shares)
📊 Confidence Level: 72%
⏰ Time Horizon: 3–4 Weeks
⚠️ Market Condition: Volatile, meme-stock behavior, overbought risk
🧠 Model Consensus Snapshot
Model Direction Key Takeaways
DS 🔻 Short RSI 76, euphoric price surge, meme risk; targets $17.50
LM 🔼 Long Still bullish above $20.50, target $22.55, careful sizing
GK ⏸️ Watch Wait for dip to $19.25–$20.50, bullish bias if pullback
GM ⏸️ Watch Avoid for now, entry only if retesting $19.50
CD 🔼 Long Trade at open with $26.50 target; wide stop at $18.50
🧾 Summary & Final Decision
📌 Overall Market View:
Strong short-term uptrend is still active, but all models agree we are at overbought RSI levels. The price has surged ~50% in 5 days — historically unsustainable for "meme-like" setups.
📉 Bearish Risks:
RSI > 75
Elevated VIX = increased whipsaw risk
Meme-stock volatility
Potential for profit-taking or rug-pull behavior
📈 Bullish Catalysts:
Technical breakout confirmed above key EMAs
High volume + news momentum
Heavy interest from social media channels
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
Parameter Value
📉 Direction LONG (Shares)
💵 Entry Price $21.00 (limit open)
🛑 Stop Loss $18.50
🎯 Target Profit $26.50
🔢 Size 12 shares (based on $10K acct, ~2.5% risk)
📅 Holding Period 3–4 weeks
📈 Confidence 72%
📌 NOTE: Reduce size and tighten stops if market volatility continues rising next week.
📊 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
json
Copy
Edit
{
"instrument": "OSCR",
"direction": "long",
"entry_price": 21.00,
"stop_loss": 18.50,
"take_profit": 26.50,
"size": 12,
"confidence": 0.72,
"entry_timing": "open"
}
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Overbought RSI: Expect choppiness and high risk of short-term reversal.
Meme stock volatility: News, Reddit chatter, or influencer tweets may spike/dump price irrationally.
VIX > 20: Use limit orders to avoid bad fills on open.
💡 This is a high-risk, high-reward momentum play. Stick to your stop-loss and use small sizing.
BTC to 125000📈 BTCUSD Long Setup – Maximum Fear Often Marks the Bottom
Timeframe: 8H
Entry: ~103,500
SL: 96,448
TP: 125,000
RR: ~3:1
🧠 Market Sentiment:
The current environment is dominated by extreme fear – sentiment is heavily bearish, and interest from retail investors is strikingly low. Most market participants appear to be short or sitting in hedged positions, which ironically sets the stage for a potential short squeeze if price breaks to the upside.
🔍 Technical Context:
BTC has been ranging for weeks – support has held repeatedly.
Liquidity has been swept below previous lows – possible spring formation.
A reclaim of the 104k–105k zone could act as a launchpad.
Setup anticipates a contrarian move against the prevailing bearish bias
1000PEPE looks good from here?I did my analysis on different times frames, On higher time frame we are bearish, Short time frame up or down is unpredictable. On as you guy can see price didn’t respect trend and breakdown’ It’s does means that 100% is goin down because we also have Fib Support may that change the market direction from bearish to bullish. We also have FVG which didn’t respect it also and As you guys can see the situation of market mostly up and down by news. So I don’t expect anything good news for the market right now but we should prepare for everything. Those analysts on daily time frame.
KVYO - Daily - Financial Health is PristineThis company, a Software as a Service (SaaS) marketing platform with a market capitalization of $9 billion, presents a compelling investment case. Its SaaS model inherently suggests lower overhead and a strong potential for sustained profitability, a track record this company has consistently demonstrated. Furthermore, the stock's short interest is currently at its lowest point in its history, indicating a lack of bearish sentiment. A price target between $45 and $60 appears entirely feasible given its robust financial health. While accumulation of the stock has been ongoing, it appears to have concluded around May 1, 2025, suggesting the market is now anticipating a trigger event to initiate a rally. The fact that prominent institutions like Vanguard and BlackRock are among its owners further reinforces confidence in its prospects.
Not financial advice, always do your due diligence
Leave a like👍 and/or comment💬.
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- RoninAITrader
SILVERSilver, US 10-Year Yield, and Interest Rate Dynamics
the relationship between silver prices, the US 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y), and interest rates is characterized by strong inverse correlations, driven by macroeconomic forces and monetary policy expectations. Below is a detailed analysis:
1. Silver and US 10-Year Yield: Inverse Correlation
Core Mechanism: Silver prices typically move inversely to the US 10-year yield. When bond yields rise, silver becomes less attractive as a non-yielding asset, increasing its opportunity cost. Conversely, falling yields boost silver’s appeal.
Current Data (June 2025):
US10Y: ~4.377% (slightly down from recent peaks).
Silver (XAG/USD): ~$36.02.00/oz,
Historical Evidence:
A correlation coefficient of -0.94 between silver and 5-year yields (and -0.86 vs. 10-year yields) confirms this inverse link.
Periods of declining yields (e.g., 2024–2025) coincided with silver rallies (Aprail 2024 and jan 2025) silver buyers come bullish
2. Interest Rates and Silver: Opportunity Cost Driver
Rate Hikes: Higher interest rates strengthen the dollar and increase the opportunity cost of holding silver, pressuring prices.
Rate Cuts: Lower rates weaken the dollar and reduce silver’s opportunity cost, boosting demand.
Fed Policy Impact (June 2025):
The Fed held rates at 4.25%–4.50%, but signaled potential cuts in late 2025, will give silver under valued metal a bullish impulse.
Geopolitical/Safe-Haven Demand Conflicts (e.g., Israel-Iran) or recessions increase silver’s appeal.
Industrial Demand Renewable energy/electronics demand provides structural support.
4. Current Market Outlook
Bearish Pressures:
Rising bond yields or delayed Fed cuts could trigger silver selloffs.
US10Y above 4.5% historically pressured silver.
Bullish Catalysts:
Fed rate cuts (expected late 2025) and falling real yields could drive silver toward $40/oz. to 50$
Geopolitical risks and sustained central bank buying (e.g., inflation hedging) add upside.
Conclusion: Silver remains highly responsive to US10Y and interest rate shifts, with real yields being the paramount driver. In 2025, silver’s rally hinges on Fed easing, subdued real yields, and safe-haven demand—though bond yield resurgences pose risks.
#silver #gold #dollar
Navigating a Pullback in Natural GasNatural gas prices have been on a wild ride lately, with a recent pullback raising questions about the future of this energy source. This video provides insights into navigating this market volatility, offering actionable strategies for live trading in the midst of uncertainty.
Current weather forecasts for the U.S. show neither extreme heat nor cold—limiting heating or cooling demand. This typical spring-to-summer lull supports low prices .
Although rig counts in the U.S. are falling—the latest count shows an 8‑week decline—production remains ample. Storage levels remain healthy, and oversupply worries persist .
Natural gas rallied earlier today but faced resistance at the $4/mmBtu mark—a major psychological barrier. After hitting that ceiling, prices gave back gains, a typical sign of "rally exhaustion"
NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now) 🚀💻 NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now) 🔥🧠
Hey everyone! Back in 2021, I called NVIDIA the best buy of the decade, and in 2023, we followed up as NVDA rocketed to my target of $143. Now in 2025, it’s time for Part 3 — and the case for NVDA being a generational play just got even stronger. 💪
✅ On April 4th, I re-entered around $96.85, right at my alert level. The setup? A rounded bottom reversal pattern forming with 4 strong bullish divergences on key indicators (Stoch, CCI, MOM, MFI). Target levels ahead:
📍 $143
📍 $182
📍 $227
📉 Yes, Nvidia took a 6% hit after announcing a $5.5B impact from U.S. export restrictions on its H20 chip to China — a reminder that macro & geopolitical factors still matter. But…
💡 The company just launched DGX Spark and DGX Station, bringing AI supercomputing to the desktop — powered by Grace Blackwell architecture. That’s next-level innovation, not just for enterprises, but for developers, students, and researchers alike. A true desktop AI revolution.
🇺🇸 And most importantly: NVIDIA will now manufacture AI supercomputers on U.S. soil — in Arizona and Texas — aiming to produce $500 billion worth over the next four years. This initiative is a bold move toward supply chain resilience, economic growth, and cementing NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI arms race.
⚠️ If we lose the $96 level, I’ll re-evaluate. But for now? The technical and fundamentals still say: Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now we will revisit this chart).
💬 What’s your outlook? Are you buying the dip or waiting on clarity?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙