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Fundamental Analysis

XAUUSD Expecting Bullish movementSupport Zone Marked in red the price recently tested this zone and sharply rebounded indicating strong buyer interest The red circle highlights a possible false breakout" or liquidity grab below support Reversal Structure The yellow zigzag line outlines a projected bullish reversal pattern This includes a potential double bottom or higher low formation which is a classic bullish signal Upside Targets Target 1 $3324 First resistance or take profit level Target 2 $3338 Intermediate resistance Final Target $3350 Major resistance or bullish target zone
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
USDCAD Bullish Setup – Watching Key Breakout LevelUSDCAD has tested the lower trend line and is showing signs of a potential reversal. The overall trend remains bullish, but additional confirmation is needed before entering. I’ll be looking to go long above 1.39734, which would signal a strong breakout continuation. 🔹 Trend: Bullish 🔹 Entry Idea: Long above 1.39734 🔹 Confirmation Needed: Break and retest or strong bullish momentum 🔹 Support Zone: Around the trend line 🔹 Resistance: Monitor previous highs once breakout occurs Let me know your thoughts or drop your chart in the comments below!
Long
by clintonHFX
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. Retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD remained above the key support level of 3280 and is testing intermediate resistance. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline, the metal has a chance to continue its growth... Gold is trading in consolidation ahead of the Fed meeting minutes. Easing trade risks and the dollar's recovery triggered a correction from the recent peak of $3366. Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, the metal is entering a phase of local rally and testing resistance at 0.5f The Fed is maintaining a cautious tone, and the market is waiting for signals on interest rates. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine and the threat of new sanctions from Trump did not cause significant concern in the markets. Investors are waiting for drivers Resistance levels: 3322, 3348, 3363 Support levels: 3290, 3282, 3265 A small correction may form from 3322 before growth continues. The market is interested in liquidity in the 3348-3363 zone, and the price is likely to test this zone. However, further developments depend on the fundamental background. Rising economic risks or hints of interest rate cuts could support the price of gold. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
The Day Ahead Key Economic Data United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (May) Insight into regional manufacturing. Weak data may increase rate cut expectations. Dallas Fed Services Activity Measures service sector strength; can affect Fed rate outlook. Germany Unemployment Claims Rate (May) Higher unemployment could support a more dovish ECB. Import Price Index (April) Key for inflation outlook; may influence euro and bund yields. France PPI, Consumer Spending, Q1 Payrolls Indicators of inflation and consumer strength. Can affect Eurozone equities and ECB expectations. Australia CPI (April) Major driver for AUD and rate expectations. A high print could push AUD higher. Central Bank Events FOMC Minutes Traders will watch for signals on inflation concerns and future rate path. Fed Speakers: Williams, Kashkari Comments may influence expectations for Fed policy shifts. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey Insight into Eurozone inflation expectations. Affects EUR. RBNZ Decision Direct impact on NZD. A hawkish stance could lift NZD. Earnings (Market Movers) NVIDIA High-impact for NASDAQ and AI stocks. Watch for volatility and options activity. Salesforce Key for tech sector sentiment, especially SaaS names. Synopsys, Agilent, Abercrombie & Fitch Sector-specific insights: semis, health, consumer. Bond Auctions US 2-Year FRN US 5-Year Notes Auctions may impact Treasury yields and USD. Weak demand could push yields higher. Trading Focus Watch USD, AUD, EUR, NZD around data and central bank events. NVIDIA earnings could shift tech and AI market sentiment. Treasury yield curve may move on Fed minutes and auctions. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Gold is about to reach the shorting zone The tariff policy against Europe and Apple was temporarily shelved last Friday due to the decline in the credibility of the Trump administration, which failed to push gold prices up this week. Instead, gold prices continue to fluctuate within the downward channel. Currently, the focus is on the resistance level of $3,325-3,335, and shorting can be attempted near this level. Pay close attention to whether the support level of $3,280 and the resistance level of $3,365 are broken.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action📊 Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action 🕒 Timeframe: 4H (Based on candlestick structure) 📅 Published: May 27, 2025 💰 Current Price: 3,303.860 🔴 Major Resistance Zone 📍 3,480 – 3,500 📌 Seen with red arrows and price rejections. 📉 Strong selling pressure has occurred twice from this level (double top-like behavior). ❗ Until price breaks above this, bulls face a major hurdle. 🟣 Key Mid-Level Zone (S/R Flip) 📍 3,340 – 3,360 🔄 This area has flipped between support and resistance. 🔸 Price tested this level recently and pulled back (orange circle), suggesting sellers are active. 🔮 This is the pivot zone – watch for break/rejection to determine next trend leg. 🟪 Main Support Zone 📍 3,180 – 3,220 ✅ Multiple bounce reactions visible (green arrows and circles). 💪 This zone has held strong; indicates solid buyer interest. 📉 If price returns here and breaks below, we could see further downside to 3,120 or lower. 🧭 Market Structure Summary 🔁 The market is in a range-bound structure between 3,220 – 3,360, with spikes towards 3,480. 🔃 The recent higher low followed by rejection at mid-resistance suggests potential distribution. 🧠 Forecast Scenarios 🔵 Bullish Scenario (Blue Path) Break above 3,360 → Retest as support → 📈 Potential rally to 3,480 📍 Target: 3,480+ 🟢 Confirmation: Strong bullish engulfing candle + volume surge 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Blue-Arrow + Orange Circle) Rejection at current resistance → Drop toward 3,220 📍 Target: Main Support zone ❗ Watch for bearish candle pattern confirmation at 3,340 ⚖️ Trading Strategy Tips 🔍 Wait for confirmation at the mid-resistance before entering. 🛡️ Place stops below support zones for long positions. 💥 Aggressive short sellers may look to enter near 3,340 with tight stops above. 🧩 Conclusion The asset is in a critical decision zone. Whether it breaks higher toward the resistance or retraces to support will shape the next directional move. Traders should remain cautious, and let price action confirm bias before committing.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZareeFxTradingAac
4
EURJPY → False breakout of resistance. Reversal?FX:EURJPY is testing the resistance of the trading range as part of a distribution movement, but the situation ends with a false breakout and price consolidation within the flat. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, the Japanese yen is strengthening and thus exerting a corresponding influence on the currency pair. EURJPY is forming a false breakout of resistance within a distribution movement formed after a retest the support of the flat. The price returns to the channel. After a false breakout of resistance and a return of the price below a strong key level, a base is forming in the form of support at 163.2 (trigger). Resistance levels: 163.4, 163.6 Support levels: 163.2, 162.7 A breakdown of the 163.2 trigger and price consolidation below the key level could intensify the sell-off, triggering a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11
Gold fluctuates upward. Waiting for a breakthrough?Since the trend of today's Asian session is a drop before an increase, and we are currently holding long orders near 3292, the trend is still looking upward. It is about to reach the resistance position near 3325 that I predicted. This is a strong and weak dividing point in the short term. Whether it can continue to break through and move upward depends on the situation in the European session. If you hold a long position, you can continue to hold it and wait for the price to break through. For those who have not entered the market yet, you can continue to wait and see if the upper resistance level can break through strongly. The market changes drastically. I hope everyone will make a profit today.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
USD/JPY Poised for Upside: Momentum Building Toward Key TargetsBy examining the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 144. Given the momentum, I expect this pair to rise soon. The potential bullish targets are 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65 respectively. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
6
Gold’s Rally Faces Exhaustion: A Technical Pause or Trend ReversTVC:GOLD Gold has been on an impressive bullish run in recent months, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions, inflationary concerns, and macroeconomic uncertainty. However, recent price action suggests that the trend may be entering a critical turning point. Despite strong underlying sentiment, gold has failed to set a new high—often a clear indication of trend fatigue and the potential start of a technical correction. The inability to push beyond resistance signals that gold may be entering what market theorists refer to as an "exhaustion phase." In this phase, bullish momentum begins to slow down as the market runs out of buyers willing to chase higher prices. This often results in a pullback, not necessarily a full reversal, but a pause that allows the market to reset. Volume dynamics also support this view. A decline in volume during recent rallies suggests waning conviction among buyers—a subtle but telling clue that demand may be weakening. From a technical standpoint, if this pullback extends further, gold is likely to test a key structural support zone. This level has historically served as both resistance and support, making it significant not only technically but also psychologically for market participants. This area also aligns with several other technical confluences: a Fibonacci retracement zone (possibly the 38.2% or 50% level), trendline support, and even the potential completion point of a Bullish Bat harmonic pattern. The Bullish Bat pattern, a well-known formation in harmonic trading, is especially worth noting. Based on precise Fibonacci measurements, it typically forecasts a reversal near the 88.6% retracement of the initial XA leg. When this pattern completes near major support and is accompanied by price action confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing candle, divergence, or base-building), it can offer a high-probability setup for long entries. However, technicals alone are not sufficient. A comprehensive view of the macroeconomic environment is essential. Several factors are in play: upcoming U.S. inflation data, evolving expectations around the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, geopolitical uncertainty, and movements in real bond yields. Any of these variables can either validate or invalidate the technical setup, and traders need to stay alert to news that might affect the overall risk appetite. From a tactical perspective, this is a time for patience. Aggressive entries without confirmation can expose traders to unnecessary risk. Waiting for clear signals near support, aligning trades with higher timeframes, and adhering to disciplined risk management will be essential for success. In conclusion, gold is at a potential inflection point. Whether this is just a healthy correction in a broader uptrend, or the beginning of a deeper shift, remains to be seen. Both technical and fundamental perspectives are required to build a well-informed trading thesis. I welcome your insights—whether you analyze from a chart-based or macroeconomic angle. Let’s continue the conversation, share strategies, and grow together as traders.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – Smart Money Setup with Key Zones & Target 🧠 Market Summary: This chart shows a classic Smart Money Concept (SMC) play. We're looking at how big players (banks, institutions) trap retail traders, push price through liquidity zones, and move toward their real targets. 📌 Detailed Breakdown: 1️⃣ Ellipse Zone (Left Side – Accumulation Phase) This shaded ellipse shows where price was moving sideways in a tight range. This is a classic accumulation zone, meaning big players were quietly building their long positions. ✅ Price stayed in this range from May 20–21 before breaking out with strong bullish candles. 👉 What this means: Institutions are loading up. Once they’re filled, they push price upward fast. 2️⃣ Central Zone of Market (Green Diamond) After the breakout, price made a small pause/retest, which we marked with a green diamond. This is a re-accumulation area—a temporary consolidation before another push up. It’s also a mid-point, showing the “central engine” of this price move. 👉 What this means: Market still bullish here, collecting more orders. 3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (Top of Chart) Price reached this supply zone near 3,360–3,370 and immediately faced strong rejection. You can see: Long wicks at the top Bearish pressure stepping in Start of a curve formation 👉 What this means: Big players are offloading their long positions and preparing for a reversal. 4️⃣ Rounded Top Curve (Distribution Phase) Notice the arc shape drawn over the candles. This is a distribution pattern — a rounding top that shows price is topping out slowly. It’s often a sign that smart money is exiting while trapping late buyers. 🔻Price then dropped aggressively, breaking structure. 5️⃣ BOS (Break of Structure) A major bearish signal occurred here. Price broke a recent low and created a BOS (Break of Structure) — a strong confirmation that the market has shifted from bullish to bearish. 👉 What this means: Now we look for retracement entries to go short. 6️⃣ 50% Retracement + Reversal Area After the BOS, price pulled back to the 50% Fibonacci level and hit a small resistance zone (highlighted in purple). This is a classic area for smart entries. ✅ This level rejected price again — showing bearish confirmation. 7️⃣ Target Zone – 3,330.055 A clean, well-defined target area where: Liquidity rests Previous orders may get triggered Market could react strongly 👉 If price pushes into this zone again, expect a reaction (either continuation or a reversal). 8️⃣ Support Zone – 3,290.345 This is your final support zone if the market continues to drop. If price breaks this support, it could open room for a larger bearish move. 🎯 Trading Plan (Example): 📈 If price retraces to 3,330.055 and shows rejection → consider short setup 📉 Watch 3,290.345 for bounce or breakdown ❌ Invalidation: Break above 3,370 (major resistance) 💡 Bonus Tip – Trading Psychology: “Smart money doesn’t chase. It waits for the trap to be set, then strikes with precision.” Stay patient. Don’t rush entries. Let price come to your zones. 🏁 Summary: This chart is a full example of smart money manipulation, showing: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Breakdown BOS + 50% retrace = high-probability short Key zones: 3,330 (Target) & 3,290 (Support) 📢 Don’t Forget: If this analysis helped, drop a like, share, or comment your view below! #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #Minds #ForexStrategy #GoldSetup #SMC #LiquidityZones
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 28, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair retreated below 1.1400 for the second consecutive day, helped by a recovery in the US Dollar (USD) following the release of a positive consumer confidence report. Risk appetite increased as market participants digested the news that US President Donald Trump said that trade talks between the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) have gained momentum following his threats to impose 50 percent tariffs last Friday. Although he backtracked on his words, allowing some room for negotiations, it remains to be seen if the two sides will reach an agreement before July 9. The convincing US consumer confidence data for May released by the Conference Board (CB) put pressure on EUR/USD. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the US currency against the other six currencies, rose more than 0.62% to 99.54. The ECB's Gediminas Simkus said he sees scope for an “interest rate cut in June”. Robert Holzmann, a member of Austria's central bank and a member of the ECB, told the Financial Times (FT) that he sees no reason to cut rates at the June and July policy meetings. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1265, SL 1.1365, TP 1.1065
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Roche Strengthens Its Bet Against the “Superbug”By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Zosurabalpin: A New Hope Against Antimicrobial Resistance Swiss pharmaceutical giant Roche (SWX: ROG) has just taken a major step forward in the fight against bacterial resistance: its new antibiotic zosurabalpin is entering Phase 3 clinical trials. The compound targets acinetobacter baumannii, a highly resistant Gram-negative bacterium that causes serious infections such as pneumonia and sepsis, with mortality rates ranging from 40% to 60%, according to Larry Tsai, Chief Medical Officer at Genentech, Roche’s U.S. subsidiary. The clinical trial is set to begin in late 2025 or early 2026, involving approximately 400 patients across more than 100 international sites. If successful, zosurabalpin would become the first new class of antibiotics targeting Gram-negative bacteria in over 50 years, marking a historic milestone in pharmaceutical development. Strategic Return to the Antibiotics Arena After stepping away from antibiotic research for several years, Roche re-entered the field in the past decade, just as the WHO warned of the growing threat of antimicrobial resistance, which could lead to up to 10 million deaths annually by 2050. This move underlines Roche’s renewed commitment to innovation in critical areas of global health. Economic Context and Market Position So far in 2025, Roche has delivered mixed financial results. In its first-quarter report, revenue grew 2% year-on-year, driven by its diagnostics division, while its oncology segment remains solid. However, margin pressures persist, and the biotech landscape remains fiercely competitive. On the stock market, Roche shares have remained relatively stable around 250 Swiss francs, with investors showing caution toward the company’s pace of innovation in the post-pandemic era. The move to Phase 3 for zosurabalpin may shift that perception and position Roche as a pioneer in a long-overlooked segment of the pharmaceutical industry: next-generation antibiotics. Technical Analysis The stock has been trading within a range between 249.6 and 303.2 francs, peaking at 323.6 francs in late March, followed by a sharp correction that found support at 244 francs in early April. The current point of control lies slightly below the midpoint of the range at 263 francs. The RSI sits at 49.11%, indicating a relatively balanced momentum. Moving average crossovers suggest a potential price correction, as the 200-day average recently crossed below the 50-day average. Conclusion Roche’s latest advance could not only save thousands of lives but also restore the company’s leadership in the fight against infectious diseases. If all goes according to plan, zosurabalpin could be available before 2030, ushering in a new era in modern medicine. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
SIX:ROShort
by ActivTrades
Geopolitics Fail to Lift Gold as Dollar Regains MomentumOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold trades near $3,300, respecting TL1 trendline resistance. A break below the $3,289 level may trigger a deeper pullback toward the key $3,247 support zone. On the flip side, reclaiming $3,315 could open the path toward $3,342 resistance. On the news front, despite escalating Russia–Ukraine tensions and a record drone strike from Moscow, gold failed to gain. Risk sentiment improved after President Trump postponed the 50% EU tariff deadline, lifting both the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. U.S. consumer confidence also surprised to the upside at 98.0 in May, dampening safe-haven demand. Markets now await the Fed’s May Meeting Minutes, which may reinforce the cautious hawkish stance. This poses near-term downside risk to gold if policy flexibility remains limited. Resistance : $3,315 , $3,342 Support : $3,289 , $3,247
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
Gold closed with a big negative line, and may fall below 3285 📌 Driving events On Monday, gold prices fell nearly 2%, falling below the $3,300 mark. Investor sentiment improved after U.S. President Donald Trump decided to postpone the imposition of tariffs on EU imports. The recovery in risk appetite, coupled with the dollar's small rebound from last week's decline, put pressure on the non-yielding precious metal. Earlier, President Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had a call over the weekend and finally decided to postpone the U.S. plan to impose a 50% tariff on EU goods to July 9. The move eased global trade concerns, prompted investors to shift away from safe-haven assets other than the dollar, and pushed global stocks higher. 📊Commentary Analysis Gold showed a downward trend on Tuesday and has now broken below the 5-day moving average. This change has turned the market from a previous strong rise to a volatile trend. However, to determine whether the market has weakened, further observation is needed. From the perspective of upper resistance, focus on the position near 3350. This position is not only yesterday's high point, but also the resistance position formed by the extension of the line connecting the high points of 3350 and 3438. Once the price breaks through this resistance level, it means that the market will return to a strong upward trend. In fact, it is near 3325 or the low point in the previous decline. It is necessary to pay attention to the top and bottom conversion here. The support level below is first yesterday's low of 3285 and the previous low of 3280. 💰Strategy Package Operation strategy; Short gold near 3325, defend 3335, target 3305-3285 Long gold near 3280, defend 3270, target 3300-3320 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
3
Mr. President repeatedly wavered, new trend?Last Friday, Trump threatened to escalate the trade war again, suggesting that a 50% tariff be imposed on the EU from June 1. The US dollar index continued to decline during the day, falling to a low of around 99. Due to increased risk aversion demand, spot gold once rose by more than 2%, reaching a daily high of $3,365. At the opening of this Monday, Trump issued a statement to postpone the imposition of tariffs on the EU, extending the deadline for the EU to face 50% tariffs to July 9. Gold was also affected, and it has continued to rectify its downward trend this week. Yesterday, the lowest point was near 3285. From the current daily chart, the trend support line here on the daily chart has been broken. So it is very likely that there will be a short-term correction trend on the daily line next. Once the lower 3250-3260 is broken, it will directly test the lower trend line of the daily line at 3160-3170. From the 4-hour chart: We can reverse the market. If we take the previous daily low of 3160 as the target, we can see that 3285 is exactly where it stopped and stabilized yesterday. So, it is normal for 3285 to rebound and consolidate. We can also see that the range of the 4-hour chart has been broken, so 3285 may fall directly and break through next. Then the next position to pay attention to is 3260-50. If it falls below this range, we can directly see the trend line support position of 3160-70 in this round of daily lines. Trading is risky, and I hope my analysis can help traders reduce the risk of trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
1