Fundamental Analysis
BTCUSD - Is the Bounce Coming?Bitcoin’s recent price action has been nothing short of intense — we’ve seen a sharp drop to the GETTEX:87K - FWB:88K zone, which is making everyone wonder: is the bounce finally here? Let’s break down the case for what might happen next.
🛠 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $87,350 (OMG PLEASE BOUNCE! Zone)
Resistance: $94,474 / $95,734 (First Major Hurdle)
POC: $96,752 (High Volume Node)
Upper Resistance: $97,554
📊 Technical Indicators:
Market Cipher B: We’re seeing signs of momentum shifting with green dots forming and the wave curving upward. Historically, this has been a strong indicator of reversals.
Moving Averages: The blue and yellow moving averages are still showing bearish alignment, but a cross upward could confirm bullish momentum.
Volume Profile: Price is sitting right above a demand zone — if buyers step in here, we could see a strong push upward.
💡 My Thesis:
I believe we’re at a critical inflection point. If BTC can hold above the GETTEX:87K support and we see a follow-through with volume, the next targets are $94K and $95K. Break those, and we’re heading to the POC around $96,750.
However, a breakdown below GETTEX:87K could spell trouble, with $84K likely being the next stop.
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry: FWB:88K - GETTEX:89K (On Confirmed Bounce)
Stop Loss: $86,900 (Below Key Support)
Take Profit 1: $94,474
Take Profit 2: $96,752
Take Profit 3: $97,554
📝 Final Thoughts:
Patience is key here. Let the market show its hand. A strong bounce from here makes a lot of sense technically, but always manage risk.
Let’s learn and grow with crypto together! 💪🚀
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #Trading #Investing #MarketAnalysis #CryptoCommunity #AntiCryptoCryptoClub
USD lower, yields whacked on renewed Fed-cut betsEven as recently as two weeks ago, the thought of fed cuts were in the distant past. Yet a slew of weak data from the US since Friday including two consumer sentiment reports and a surprise PMI miss has seen markets reconsider a 25bp Fed cut in June. Today I cover bond yields, the US dollar index and futures exposure to update my dollar outlook.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
USD/CAD Bulls to Dominate @1.4500 Handle US President Trump renewed his threats to impose tariffs on Canada, noting that the latest delay was only for ‘30 days’, and is set to come back into effect next week. the loonie is under pressure as policy concerns continue to weigh. that being said, I am expecting this week or early March for the bulls to come in and dominate the @1.4500 Fair value area Before the aggressive bulls try and push the price a little bit higher aiming the @1.4600 handle
Tp 1.44664
tp 2 aggressive trader aim @1.46364
S&P500 How Expensive Is It?The Average Wage Earner Needs To Work166.5 Hours To Buy One Share Of The S&P500
If this chart does not drive the point home. Nothing will.
Sometimes simple common sense is more powerful than all the fancy analysis one can buy or think of to create.
Price is what you pay, and value is what you get! Remember that my friends.
DANGER IS SCREAMING AT YOU!
the trap is set! market makers just swept liquidity below $2,900🔥🚀 ultra-aggressive xau/usd trading plan – february 26, 2025 💰🔥
💰💥 we trade to milk the market everyday! 💥💰🚀
no hesitation. no fear. high confidence. high profits. absolute domination!
🔥📊 real-time market overview – we own this market! 📈💎
🔹 💲current price: $2,915.045
🔹 🚀 high of the day: $2952(real-time update incoming!)
🔹 🛑 major resistance (r3): $2,950.016 💥 (market makers’ liquidity grab zone – we take their money!)
🔹 📉 recently broken resistance (r2, now support): $2,925.104
🔹 📊 key dynamic support (50 ema): $2,920.283 💎 (smart money battle zone!)
🔹 🔻 targeting weak psychological support (s1): $2,900.053 (retail traders about to get slaughtered!)
🔥🏦 institutional order flow & liquidity analysis – retail traders are about to get wrecked! 📊💰
📊 market makers’ next move – undeniable buy confirmation!
🔥 the trap is set! market makers just swept liquidity below $2,900 – now the pump begins!
📍 massive institutional buy orders detected at $2,900 - $2,905 → smart money is entering hard! 💎
📍 price reclaimed vwap = institutional confidence is sky-high! 🚀
📍 50 ema regained – momentum shifting into full bullish mode! 💰
🚀 wait for the fake dip to clear, then strike with zero hesitation! – market makers will try to trap weak hands before launching gold to the moon!
✅ ultra-aggressive confirmation – no room for weak hands!
✔ fibonacci retracement: 38.2% ($2,920) & 50% ($2,925) rejection incoming! 🎯
✔ 50 ema & 200 ema: golden cross forming – market is about to explode! 🔥
✔ rsi (7): breaking above 50 – bulls taking full control! 💰
✔ vwap: price trading above vwap = institutional green light! 🚀
✔ macd: bullish cross – pump mode fully activated! 💎
✔ order flow & liquidity zones: smart money is buying huge – why are you still thinking?! 🤯
🔥💰 ultra-high confidence buy setup – this is free money!
🟢 buy setup locked in – 99.9% win rate!
📌 entry: $2,910 - $2,915 (the perfect sniper entry before retail chases!) 💰
📌 stop-loss: $2,899 (tight sl – no fear, no doubt!) 🚀
📌 target #1: $2,925 (quick scalp – instant money!) 🏆
📌 target #2: $2,930 - $2,940 (full-on market domination!) 💥
📌 risk-reward ratio: 3:1 – the easiest trade of your life! 💎
🚀 extreme execution plan – take control or get left behind!
1️⃣ wait for price to touch $2,910 - $2,915 and confirm rejection – be patient and lethal! 🤯
2️⃣ watch the order book – if large buy orders stack up, we strike without hesitation! 💰
3️⃣ enter long with full aggression at $2,910 - $2,915! 🚀
4️⃣ no fear, no second-guessing – hold strong for $2,930 - $2,940! 🏆
5️⃣ if market dips to $2,899 – small cut, re-enter lower, and milk the market again! 💎
🔥 final decision – we own this market! 💰🏆
📌 verdict: maximum aggression buy! 🔥 this is the easiest trade of the day!
📌 entry: $2,910 - $2,915 | sl: $2,899 | tp: $2,930 - $2,940
📌 market makers cannot trick us – we are the smart money now! 🏦💎
💰💰 we trade to milk the market everyday! 💰💰
🚀 this is the highest-confidence, most aggressive gold trade of the day! 🚀🔥
🔥 no fear. no hesitation. just pure profits! 🔥
JETS 7 Year ResistanceThis is a very simple chart to read. Airlines hitting a 7-year resistance trendline.
Airlines are very capital-intensive and would greatly benefit from rate cuts.
Despite inflation pricing power has not risen sufficiently even nominally.
Oil has not helped their situation.
We have seen many airlines go bankrupt, close shop, and reduce capacity. This indirectly helps the major airlines as the industry cleanses.
A lot of talk of mergers and buyouts. For example, Frontier wants to merge with Spirit, Jetblue & United, and Southwest Pilot union seeking merger attorneys. Streamlining is always a good thing which is why JETS has risen as much as it has.
However, this may be it according to the chart. The next move could be down from here. Airlines are very economically sensitive and a recession would hit them hard.
Nat Gas Report, Contract Rollove Day: 2/25/25The week has traded a bit stronger than expected, but the future contract rolls over tomorrow. And today there was a great deal of settlement positioning before rollover. As seen in the jump in volume at the expiration window timeframe. It is still expected that tomorrow there will be a great deal of selling into the strength of the pricing. The range of the 20-Day Bollinger Band for the March contract is more than $1.50. Last year it was closer to 30 cents. There were a great deal of contracts to settle with futures. Tomorrow we see a reversion to the mean.
I closed my putts last night, at the 3930 level. I did not expect the strength that we saw today begin last night, but I had my target in sight and took action. I am now waiting for the futures to rollover, some profit to be taken and then to enter my longs for the month. I was looking at the 3650 level on the upcoming April contract, but with the Models starting to see the cold coming, like discussed, I believe my new entry point will be 3800 on the April contract. Good luck and good fortunes.
Keep it burning!
The recent dip has been met with strong buying interestThe recent dip has been met with strong buying interest, signaling accumulation rather than distribution. Just because we've been at all-time highs doesn’t necessarily mean continuation is inevitable—but it also doesn’t mean the move is over. My target is to take out the highs, aligning with the current momentum and liquidity dynamics.
Prelim GDP q/q & Unemployment Claims, Friday Core PCE Price Index m/m
$BTC: Key Levels to Watch in the MarketKey Levels to Watch in the Market
📉 Bybit hack aftermath:
Destroyed market sentiment
Shook institutional confidence
Killed the national reserve idea (US states considering Bitcoin reserves have now canceled their votes)
🚀 The last push to $99K was all Michael Saylor, spending SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B alone.
Is he insane? Buying at the top of the market?
Painful Consolidation Ahead?
We’re sitting at $91K—a crucial support. If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, expect a freefall to $85K, then possibly $81K (major support zones).
From there, Bitcoin can either:
✅ Bounce into a relief rally
❌ Break down into a full bear market if it falls below Support 3
Tough Times for Crypto
Meme coin frenzy scared off retail investors after massive losses.
Presidents rugging people doesn’t help trust in the industry.
Trump’s tariff policies could push inflation up, forcing the FED to hike interest rates.
Any Good News? Nope.
📉 SPX500 is also dropping.
🔍 TruthLabs warns that if a bear market starts, most exchanges and DeFi protocols won’t survive —they aren’t backed 1:1. This could trigger the worst bear market ever.
(See their warning here: x.com)
Final Thoughts
⚠️ Watch $91K—if it breaks, exit the market and wait. No need to get rekt in this toxic environment.
And pray that Tether has enough liquidity to handle the mass exodus. Put your funds on Binance or another reputable exchange.
🔍 DYOR
Bitcoin Q1 2025- Up for a Delayed Cycle?🚀 2025 kicks off with Bitcoin’s big picture in focus. This is Part 6 of our "Where Can Bitcoin Go?" series, where we explore long-term Bitcoin price dynamics and key levels to watch.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
1️⃣ $94,629 – Current support within the 30-minute channel.
2️⃣ $102,150 & $111,192 – Resistance levels likely to be tested again soon.
3️⃣ $79,717 – The level Bitcoin hasn’t tested as support yet. A massive buy opportunity if it gets there! (...If!)
4️⃣ 160k to 192k – Yearly target for 2025, with a 30% chance of reaching higher toward $313,000.
🧐 Big Picture Analysis:
The current bull market doesn’t feel like one, due to macroeconomic factors: inflation concerns, Fed rate policies, and a maturing crypto market. Will revert in detail in due time.
This could mark the end of traditional Bitcoin cycles as we know them, with less seasonality and new norms emerging.
Despite the noise, Bitcoin remains bullish long-term.
📈 What’s Next?
Bitcoin has tested structural resistance twice. A third test is expected in February or March 2025.
A breakout above $111,192 would signal a new all-time high.
If Bitcoin drops to $79,717, prepare to go long like there’s no tomorrow!
💡 “Cycles are evolving as the market matures. More investors understand Bitcoin's seasonality, halving, and structure. This could be the most interesting and volatile year yet.”
🌟 Let’s stay patient, trade smart, and watch these levels closely. Step by step, we’ll navigate this exciting market together. Here’s to a beautiful year ahead!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Video:
The secret of trading is to be cowardly when others are greedyFor over 96 days now, Bitcoin has been planning a precise accumulation process, a process that initially managed to undermine quite a few of us, but at the current point, it appears to be a precise accumulation point after a second low, which appears to be a shakeout after strong and accelerated attempts to lower the price downwards. This is currently not visible on the horizon. The relative strength index is very low in all time intervals and combined with a very strong fundamental environment for the crypto market, it seems that the road to all-time highs is closer than ever.
2/21/25 - $qqq - Pls read this and comment2/21/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ
Pls read this and comment
- i put my Schiff on the table
- guys. i'm working with a really wonky thesis and i need some comments, let's debate this
"the market has mostly crashed already"
- this has been a pretty asynchronous crash. aapl, nvda, msft... meta held the tape for a record period... they all are taking turns keeping vol in check
- and then under the surface, we have EPS reports and this has been the weirdest thing i've ever traded, experienced in 30 years. i have never felt like i'd just want to trade ex post dips and avoid necking out at all (with VERY few exceptions hello UBER and NXT- thank gawd for you :)
- so the thinking is, we're in an asynchronous crash. everything INCLUDING MAG7 is down 15-50% from the let's say last 6 months peaks. and so the index has managed vol. the machines. our overlords. whatever.
- so maybe we "crush" 5% from here. 10%? dude 10% is a thing of the past. i dumped my TQQQ puts today. i didn't expect them to cash. just insurance against my mega positions (which has become somewhat singular. nx-faking-t. nextracker NASDAQ:NXT )
- but let's get this real. are we getting gaslighted into a crash incoming when we're literally in the middle of it. new coronavirus BS coming out of "wuhan" we believe that chit again. come on. ppl. take off that N95, touch grass... think. think.
- am i going nuts? usually i'm the guy that goes nuts first. rings the bells. i'm lonely thinking this. tell me WHY i'm wrong if you disagree. i genuinely want to debate this.
- i'm picking winners here. getting situated in the non momo BS that has reported gains, generates cash, attractively valued.
- nxt HUGE size
- obtc, get the king at a 10% discount (use limits)
- uber
- glob (short term swing b/c OTD cucks gonna cuck didn't expect to trade or own this, but here i am, cleaning you all up)
- tsm
some others stuff.
but honestly. i'm here. i'm typing this. that's 90% of success. God. family. friends.
the rest are details.
be well. we'll crush it.
but if we read this tape right...
V
NN GROUP ($NN) Q4—INSURANCE CASH SHINES IN EUROPENN GROUP ( EURONEXT:NN ) Q4—INSURANCE CASH SHINES IN EUROPE
(1/9)
Good evening, TradingView! NN Group ( EURONEXT:NN ) is humming—H2 revenue hit $ 7.94B, topping estimates 📈🔥. Q4 earnings and a cash boost spark buzz—let’s unpack this Dutch dynamo! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE RUSH
• H2 Haul: $ 7.94B—beats $ 7.41B est. 💥
• Full ‘24: $ 12.36B—up 12% from $ 11.03B 📊
• OCG: $ 1.9B—hits ‘25 goal early
EURONEXT:NN ’s cash flow’s sizzling—steady wins!
(3/9) – BIG MOVES
• Buyback: $ 300M—shares get a lift 🌍
• Dividend: $ 3.44—up 8%, juicy payout 🚗
• Deals: $ 360M settled—risks trimmed 🌟
EURONEXT:NN ’s flexing—insurance muscle shines!
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAP
• P/E: ~10—below 11.9x avg 📈
• P/B: 0.57—vs. sector’s 1.04—cheap?
• Edge: 12% growth tops peers 🌍
EURONEXT:NN ’s a bargain—or just quiet strength?
(5/9) – RISKS ON DECK
• EPS Miss: $ 2.21 vs. $ 3.60—hiccup ⚠️
• Rates: Volatility stings returns 🏛️
• Climate: Claims could climb—yikes 📉
Solid run—can it dodge the bumps?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Cash: $ 1.9B OCG—rock solid 🌟
• Payouts: 8% divvy, $ 300M buyback 🔍
• Europe: 20% new biz—growth zip 🚦
EURONEXT:NN ’s a steady beast—built tough!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: EPS slip, Dutch lean 💸
• Opportunities: Eastern Europe perks 🌍
Can EURONEXT:NN zap past the risks?
(8/9) – EURONEXT:NN ’s Q4 cash surge—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—Value shines bright.
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Misses stall it out.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
EURONEXT:NN ’s $ 7.94B H2 and $ 1.9B OCG spark zing—insurance hums 🌍. Low P/E, but EPS wobbles—gem or pause?
2/25/25 - $zeta - a lil EPS bingo2/25/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:ZETA
a lil EPS bingo
- i'm aware of the bear/ culper write up and tend to believe it
- i also witnessed NASDAQ:APP go bananas (and that one is a total banana fr4ud too)
- nevermind a ton of NYSE:ZETA stuff is email related, and we saw $kyvo post good results
- all the ad/ data related stuff
- i'm only ATM C's
- keeping it small
- rough tape
- but it's a type of name where upside could be kinda stupid (downside too - hence the C's not outright shares)
- play a lil bingo.
V