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Fundamental Analysis

John Deere position trade setupI have been wanting an excuse to add this to my portfolio for a while now. Primarily because Bill Gates has it in his portfolio. I like to try and copy the most successful investors like Warren Buffett, Cathy Wood, Bill Gates, etc... I paid the market price today for a position with a cost average of $525. The intrinsic value of the stock is between $250 - $1050 so its not ideal to be in at $525 but I am not playing the voting game, I prefer the weighing game. I want to see how the position affects the other things I have in my portfolio and hopefully improve the performance with this stock in there. Maybe I will buy more if I can find a reason to add to the position in case it starts losing money because dividends are being paid out soon. I have drawn a simple technical analysis predicting a two legged pullback pattern.
NYSE:DELong
by Capitalist_Zach
$JPIRYY -Japan CPI (May/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY May/2025 source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications - Japan's annual inflation rate edged down to 3.5% in May 2025 from 3.6% in the previous two months, marking the lowest level since November. Price growth eased for clothing (2.6% vs 2.7% in April), household items (3.6% vs 4.1%), and healthcare (2.0% vs 2.2%), while education costs fell further (-5.6%). In contrast, inflation held steady for transport (2.7%) and miscellaneous items (1.3%), but accelerated for housing (1.1% vs 1.0%), recreation (3.0% vs 2.7%), and communications (1.9% vs 1.1%). Meanwhile, prices of electricity (11.3% vs 13.5%) and gas (5.4% vs 4.4%) remained elevated. On the food side, prices increased by 6.5%, staying at the slowest pace in four months, though rice prices soared over 100%, underscoring the limited impact of government efforts to rein in staple food costs. Meanwhile, the core inflation accelerated to 3.7% from 3.5% in April, reaching its highest level in over two years, ahead of the summer election. Monthly, the CPI rose 0.3%, after a 0.1% gain in April.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
Will Nike’s Upcoming Earnings ‘Just Do It’ for Investors?This hasn’t been the greatest year for Nike NYSE:NKE , which will report earnings next Thursday at a time when the stock is down more than 20% year to date. What does technical and fundamental analysis say might happen to the stock from here? Let’s take a look: Nike’s Fundamental Analysis NKE ended Wednesday down 21.4% year to date, and last year wasn't so hot for the athletic-gear giant, either. Shares fell 30.3% over 2024 as a whole. In fact, it’s been a tough decade so far for Nike, a one-time Wall Street darling. All in, the stock has fallen some 66.8% since peaking at $179.10 in November 2021. Gross. Things got so bad that former CEO John Donahoe "retired" in October 2024 -- a retirement that the firm’s board graciously “agreed” to. The board then pulled in Nike veteran Elliott Hill, who had retired in 2020 after 32 years with the firm, off of the bench to serve as the company’s new CEO. While it's still early, Hill hasn’t worked much magic so far for the stock, either. Nike shares have struggled since March, when the firm beat analyst expectations for its fiscal Q3 earnings and revenues but provided poorly received forward guidance. As for next week’s fiscal Q4 results, the Street is looking for NKE to report just $0.11 of GAAP earning per share on roughly $10.7 billion of revenue. That would compare badly to the $0.99 of EPS on $12.6 billion of revenues that Nike saw in the same period last year -- an 88.9% decline in earnings per share and about a 15% drop in sales. In fact, of the 23 sell-side analysts that I’ve found that track the stock, 21 have revised their fiscal Q4 earnings estimates lower since the quarter began. Only two have moved their forecasts to the upside. Nike’s Technical Analysis Now let's take a look at NKE’s chart going back some four months: Readers will see that from early April through mid-June, Nike developed a so-called “rising-wedge” pattern of bearish reversal, marked with purple shading and a red box in the chart above. Late last week, shares broke through the wedge’s lower trend line at about $62, which is the pivot point here. Nike also recently gave up its 21-day Exponential Average (or “EMA,” marked with a green line above). That’s likely turned some swing traders against the stock for now. The stock will now have to look to its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” denoted above with a blue line) for support. That’s at $59.50 in the chart above, but NKE was trading at $59.51 on Friday afternoon as I wrote this. Should that line crack as well, a certain percentage of portfolio managers would likely have their risk managers force them to reduce long-side exposure to the stock. But interestingly, readers will also note that from Nike’s late-February high to its early April low, shares hit resistance at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of that move twice -- first in mid-May and then again a month later. This typically implies that there are probably institutional sellers at that level. Looking at NKE’s other technical indicators, the stock’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) is on the weak side of neutral here. It’s not awful, but it also isn’t positive. Worse, Nike’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” marked with blue bars and black and gold lines at the chart’s bottom) is postured quite bearishly. Within that indicator, the 9-day EMA (the blue bars) stands below zero, while the 12-day EMA (the black line) has crossed below the 26-day EMA (the gold line). Those are all typically negative technical signals for a stock. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in NKE at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NYSE:NKE
by moomoo
6
Energy giants surge: Top 5 stocks to watchJune 2025 was marked by heightened volatility across the global energy sector . Amid fluctuating oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty, and ongoing industry transformation, major oil and gas companies delivered mixed results. Let’s break down the key drivers behind the moves in Shell, TotalEnergies, BP, Chevron, and Exxon Mobil. Here are the five leaders that set the tone this June : 1. Shell: Steady growth driven by strategic adjustments . The stock climbed 7% thanks to a pragmatic dividend policy and a $3.5B share buyback plan. LNG Canada project developments also boosted investor confidence. 2. TotalEnergies: Strong performance backed by green energy push . Shares rose 5.5% after the acquisition of a renewable energy portfolio and a dividend increase. Conservative production forecast (+3% for 2025) and investment in clean energy kept demand strong. 3. BP: Recovery supported by oil price rebound . BP added around 7% on oil market stabilization and a new share buyback program. Although production declined due to asset sales, higher profitability in the oil segment offset the drop. 4. Chevron: Notable gains fueled by new projects . Chevron advanced 7.5% following the launch of the Ballymore field in the Gulf of Mexico. Expanded buyback and dividend plans further attracted investors. 5. Exxon Mobil : Stable upward momentum from production expansion. Shares jumped nearly 10% as Q1 profits reached $7.7B. Liquefied natural gas development and output growth targets energized traders. FreshForex analysts believe the rally in energy majors may continue in the near term. Shell, TotalEnergies, BP, Chevron, and Exxon Mobil remain strong picks for active investors.
NYSE:XOMLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Timing the Shift; BTC Daily High in?Based on timing statistics and current price action, I’m anticipating a potential daily high forming here. I’m watching for a wick to develop on the 4H chart while maintaining a close within the imbalance. This setup would allow time for short positions to build, setting the stage for a market shift and potential move down into the liquidity resting below. Execution will depend on how price behaves around this timing window. I would like to see intent on the lower timeframe when creating the shift in structure upon which well enter.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by tristanmartinusdijkmanderojas1
1
Middle East Tension: Read This Before You Trade today⚔️🕊️💣 Middle East Tension: Read This Before Markets close for the Weekend 🌍🔥✌️ Video: Hey traders, Today’s landscape is delicate and raw: we stand between a possible US strike on Iran and a chance for leaders to step back from the edge. Many are asking: Should I bet on gold? Should I short the indices? Should I buy oil? Here’s my honest read, straight from today’s video (which I highly recommend you watch for full context 📺): 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) Still ranging sideways. The last move hit my resistance zone perfectly. For now, BTC keeps its cool — but watch out: global fear can spark sudden moves, or the opposite, a liquidity crunch. 👉 Gold & Silver Yes, they’re classic safe havens — but don’t fall for the textbook trap. When true chaos strikes, big players often sell profitable gold positions to cover losses elsewhere. So an initial spike is possible, but deep pockets can reverse it fast. This is why I’m cautious: I do not expect a guaranteed pump on gold or silver. 👉 Crude Oil (WTI) The chart says it all: any strike in the Middle East fuels oil prices fast. But as I’ve always said — I do not long oil during human tragedy. Ethics over easy pips. 👉 Indices & USDJPY Gaps are likely. Risk assets may get hammered if bombs fall. If leaders choose dialogue instead, expect a risk-on rebound. The USD stays a wildcard: trust in the US remains, but shocks test that trust. 👉 Airlines Pausing Flights? Yes — major airlines are avoiding the Gulf. That alone signals how real this risk is. ✅ My plan is clear: I never short disasters. I never profit from pain. I am LONG on humanity and peace. I’d rather lose a trade than wish for blood in the streets. I do have some carefully calculated positions open tonight — fully risk-managed and small-sized. If Monday gaps bless me, fine. If peace wins and my trades lose? Even better. 👉 Watch the full video for my live charts, context, and unfiltered thoughts. This text is just a recap — the full idea is already posted as a video. Stay sharp. Stay ethical. Protect your capital and your soul — one good trade is never worth your humanity. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by FX_Professor
7
Middle East Tension & Markets: My Honest Stance🌍🕊️✌️ Middle East Tension & Markets: My Honest Stance 💣 🔥 🗡️ Hi everyone, It’s Friday, June 20th — and we face a fragile moment: the uncertainty of possible US military action against Iran. 📉📰✈️ On my charts: Bitcoin (BTC) reached key resistance and now ranges sideways as we await clarity. Gold (XAUUSD) remains the classic safe haven — it holds an ascending structure, but profit-taking could trigger dips if markets crash. Silver (XAGUSD) is similar, yet needs broader industrial strength to outperform gold. Crude Oil (WTI) could spike dramatically if bombs fall — but I choose not to profit from pain. USDJPY & USD pairs reflect global trust in the dollar and US stability — I’ll cover this more next week. My personal stance is simple: 💙 I never short disasters. I never profit from human suffering. I am LONG on humanity and peace. 🕊️✌️🌈 👉 I expect potential market gaps between now and Monday: ✅ Bad news (war) → gold, silver, oil likely pump ✅ Good news (diplomacy) → risk assets rebound, oil stabilizes I am positioned carefully with small risk and clear stops. My goal: protect my capital, trade my plan, but never bet on pain. If I lose because peace prevails — I win as a human. Stay safe, trade wisely, and never forget: sometimes the best trade is no trade at all. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by FX_Professor
5
$AVTR | Direction: Long | Key Reason | (June 20, 2025)NYSE:AVTR | Direction: Long | Key Reason: Fundamentals & Technical | (June 20, 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary NYSE:AVTR is showing strong fundamentals, with ~$7 billion in revenue and ~$700 million net income. As a healthcare and medical-tech distributor since 1904, it has survived major crises and now sees accelerated flow-in from institutional and retail buyers—making now an ideal pull-back entry before heading higher. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters Bias: Long Entry: Around $9.00–$9.35 (current price) Stop Loss: Below $8.50 Take Profit 1: $15.95 Take Profit 2: $19.90 Take Profit 3: $23.00 Max Target: Holding long could stretch to $34.54 (prior major swing), depending on macro support 3️⃣ Key Notes ✅ Massive scale & history – Founded in 1904, NYSE:AVTR has weathered wars and crises with ~$7 billion revenue and ~$700 million net income. ✅ Sector & services – Operates in healthcare distribution, advanced-tech, biopharma, education, and government sectors, giving broad exposure and stability. ✅ Capital flows – Capital inflow is strong; both retail (call volume) and institutions are showing buying interest. ✅ Technical outlook – With aggressive money flow and a recent consolidation near $9.35, a breakout could propel prices toward $15–23. ✅ Macro driver – Strength in the S&P 500 and healthcare sector momentum may support the run-up to the $34.54 zone. 4️⃣ Follow‑up Note I’ll monitor market correlation with the S&P 500 and sector rotation. If flows continue and NYSE:AVTR breaks out decisively above $10–11, holding through $23 and possibly $34.54 becomes more likely. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NYSE:AVTRLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
UK retail sales slide, Pound edges higherThe British pound has gained ground for a second straight day. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3496, up 0.22% on the day. UK retail sales took a tumble in May, falling 2.7% m/m. This followed an upwardly revised 1.3% increase in April and was much worse than the market estimate of -0.5%. This marked the steepest decline since December 2023 and was driven by a sharp drop in food store sales. Consumers are being squeezed by inflation and are pessimistic about economic conditions - Gfk consumer confidence for June rose slightly to -18 from -20. Annually, retail sales dropped 1.3%, following a 5.0% gain in April and missing the market estimate of 1.7%. This was the weakest reading since April 2024. The dismal retail sales report reflects the volatile economic landscape and there may not be a light at the end of the tunnel for some time. The Israel-Iran war could lead to oil prices continuing to rise and the uncertainty over US tariffs will only add to the worries of the UK consumer. The Bank of England held rates on Thursday but the weak retail sales report will add pressure on the central bank to lower rates in the summer. The markets expect one or two rate cuts in 2025, but the main impediment to a rate cut is stubbornly high inflation. Inflation ticked lower to 3.4% y/y in May from 3.5% a month earlier. The core rate dropped to 3.5% from 3.8% but these numbers are still too high, well above the BoE's target of 2%. Without signs that inflation is easing, it will be difficult for the BoE to justify a rate cut. GBP/USD is testing resistance at 1.3498. Above, there is resistance at 1.3527 1.3440 and 1.3411 are providing support
by OANDA
Hold on to the high point and go short decisively!Gold closed the weekly line today, maintaining the idea of ​​​​oscillating downward. The 4H consecutive negatives tested the support of the lower Bollinger track. Although it was roundabout and saw-sawed, every decline would be accompanied by a new low. Therefore, hold the high point to see the bottom break and accelerate. The lower side will gradually look to 3338 and 3315. Among them, 3315 is a strong support for the weekly line. If it is not broken, you can consider going long; the upper rebound pressure is 3361 and 3375. In terms of operation, short according to the rebound strength, and the specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification. Operation suggestion: Short gold in batches near 3361-3375, with a target of 3350-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Gold Trading Strategy June 20Daily candle continues to show a struggle while the Sellers are dominating. Today there may be a deep sweep and then a recovery at the end of the day. Yesterday's 3343 zone is reacting 5 prices in the direction of profit. Next support around 3323 pay attention to the next sweep. Pay attention to additional daily support at 3296 for today's buy strategy. 3362 gives a SELL Break out signal in the Asia-Europe session. If Gold closes back above 3362, then BUY to 3400 target the two upper resistance zones remain the same as yesterday at 3415 and 3443 Resistance: 3400-3415-3443 Support: 3323-3296 Break out: 3362
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader