EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge – Buy Setup!Introduction
This EUR/GBP 4-hour chart analysis presents a high-probability bullish trading setup based on a falling wedge breakout. A falling wedge is a reliable bullish reversal pattern, signaling that selling pressure is fading, and buyers are regaining control. The price has now broken out of the wedge, confirming potential upside momentum.
This setup provides a well-defined entry, stop-loss, and target level, allowing traders to capitalize on the bullish breakout while maintaining a proper risk management strategy.
1. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)
The primary pattern on the chart is a falling wedge, which is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. It is characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines, indicating that sellers are gradually losing momentum.
🔹 Key Characteristics of the Falling Wedge Pattern:
Lower highs & lower lows within a narrowing price range.
Decreasing selling pressure, indicating a potential shift in trend.
A bullish breakout above the upper trendline confirms a reversal.
Typically followed by a strong price surge, aiming for previous resistance levels.
The price action confirms this pattern as it broke above the wedge's upper boundary, signaling the start of a bullish trend.
2. Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Resistance Level (Target) – 0.84183
This level marks a previous strong resistance zone, where the price faced rejection multiple times.
It serves as the primary profit-taking area for this setup.
A successful breakout and close above this level could lead to further upside movement.
🔹 Support Level – 0.83154
This is the major demand zone where price previously bounced.
Strong buying pressure emerged at this level, leading to the recent breakout.
It serves as an important level to define risk and set stop-loss orders.
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement – Below 0.83154
A stop-loss is placed slightly below the support zone, ensuring a logical exit if the market reverses.
This prevents unnecessary losses while allowing room for normal price fluctuations.
🔹 Entry Point Consideration
Ideal entry: Around 0.83700, just after the breakout confirmation.
Confirmation: A strong bullish candle closing above the wedge.
3. Trade Execution Plan: Long Setup
📌 Trade Idea – Bullish Setup
📈 Buy Entry: 0.83600 – 0.83700 (After wedge breakout)
🎯 Target: 0.84183 (Major resistance level)
❌ Stop-Loss: 0.83154 (Below support level)
🔄 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:1
📊 Risk Management Strategy
Trade with discipline: Never risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade.
Adjust position size: Based on risk tolerance and account balance.
Use trailing stops: To secure profits if price continues upward.
4. Market Sentiment & Price Action Analysis
Prior Uptrend: The price previously had a strong bullish rally, indicating overall bullish strength.
Corrective Move: The market entered a falling wedge correction, allowing for a healthy pullback before resuming the trend.
Breakout Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge's upper trendline confirms bullish momentum.
📊 Factors Supporting a Bullish Move:
✅ Breakout confirmation above the wedge pattern.
✅ Higher buying volume supporting the move.
✅ Support level holds strong, preventing further downside.
5. Trading Psychology & Risk Considerations
⚠️ Key Considerations Before Entering the Trade:
✔ Wait for confirmation – Ensure a strong breakout candle before entering.
✔ Avoid chasing the price – Enter at a reasonable pullback level post-breakout.
✔ Monitor economic events – Watch for news that could impact EUR/GBP volatility.
✔ Follow a strict risk-reward ratio – Stick to your predefined stop-loss and target.
6. Conclusion – Bullish Outlook
This falling wedge breakout on EUR/GBP suggests a bullish reversal, offering a high-probability long trade setup. The price is expected to move towards the 0.84183 resistance level, with 0.83154 as the key stop-loss level.
✅ Bias: Bullish
🎯 Target: 0.84183
❌ Stop Loss: 0.83154
📊 Risk-to-Reward: ~1:1
📌 TradingView Idea Title & Description
Title:
🚀 EUR/GBP Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Move Incoming!
Description:
📈 Bullish breakout confirmed! EUR/GBP has broken out of a falling wedge, signaling a trend reversal. A long position above 0.83600 targets the 0.84183 resistance level with a stop-loss at 0.83154. Watch for strong bullish momentum! 📊💹
💡 Risk Management: Stick to your stop-loss, and don’t chase price action. Manage your trade wisely! 🔥
Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD Double Top Analysis - Bearish Reversal Trade Setup This analysis highlights a Double Top pattern forming on the EUR/USD 4-hour timeframe, which is a classic bearish reversal pattern. The pattern signals a potential shift from a bullish trend to a downtrend, providing traders with a well-defined entry, stop loss, and target levels.
1. Understanding the Double Top Pattern
A Double Top is a trend reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It consists of two peaks (Top 1 and Top 2) at approximately the same resistance level, followed by a break below the neckline (support level), confirming the pattern.
Pattern Breakdown:
Top 1 & Top 2: These peaks represent failed attempts to break higher, showing strong selling pressure at resistance.
Support (Neckline): The price found support at a key level, where buyers initially stepped in, but eventually, this level was broken, triggering a potential downtrend.
2. Key Levels & Trading Setup
📌 Resistance Level (Bearish Rejection Zone)
The resistance level is marked in the 1.09500 - 1.09600 range.
Price action tested this zone twice (Top 1 & Top 2) but failed to sustain above it.
The repeated rejection indicates that sellers are dominant in this zone.
📌 Support Level (Neckline Breakout Confirmation)
The support level is marked in the 1.07700 - 1.07800 zone.
The price bounced off this area initially, but later broke below it, confirming a bearish move.
The breakout suggests selling momentum is increasing.
3. Trading Strategy – Bearish Setup
🔴 Entry Point (Sell Trigger)
A short trade is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline (support level) after forming the Double Top.
The breakout confirms seller dominance and signals potential downside movement.
🚨 Stop Loss Placement
Stop Loss is placed slightly above the resistance level at 1.09575.
This ensures protection against false breakouts or price retracements.
🎯 Target (Take Profit Projection)
The price target is calculated based on the height of the Double Top pattern.
Target Level: 1.06639, aligning with the measured move from the resistance to the neckline.
4. Market Outlook & Risk Management
📉 Bearish Scenario (High Probability Move)
✔️ The market structure shows a strong bearish reversal with price failing to break above resistance.
✔️ The confirmed neckline break indicates sellers have taken control.
✔️ If the price continues lower, we can expect a move toward 1.06639.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation of Trade)
❌ If price closes back above resistance (1.09575), it would invalidate the bearish setup.
❌ This would indicate that buyers are regaining control, and the trade setup should be re-evaluated.
5. Final Thoughts & TradingView Tags
Summary of Trading Setup:
✅ Pattern: Double Top (Bearish Reversal)
✅ Sell Entry: Below the support neckline
✅ Stop Loss: Above 1.09575
✅ Target: 1.06639
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable
📌 Tags for TradingView Idea:
#EURUSD #DoubleTop #ForexTrading #BearishReversal #SupportResistance #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #TradingStrategy
Gold weekly forcast with both Buy and sell levels 30-5-25Gold weekly forcast with both Buy and sell levels
gold in an uptrend all week from last weeks buy level it ran 553 pips wit little to no drawdown.
For this week we are looking at 2 levels for both buy and sell entries .
For a buy ill look at entering at 3091 expecting 3098 to 3100 as first resistance , if we brreak we can expect 3112 as next resistance on the way to 3136.
For a sell ill look at entering at 3076 expecting 3068 to 3066 as first support , if broke we can expect 3054 to 3050 as next support.
With these trades its best to just wait for levels for a conformation and the bigger moves.
last weeks buy are did not register until Thursday morning but when it hit there was no drawdown and closure at the high gave 533 pips.
As always with these trades wait for levels and secure on the way by either taking profit or reducing lot size.
Trade is based on support and resistance, trend lines and fibonacci levels from the higher time frame.
Ill update as the week progresses , stay safe
JPY/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Head & Shoulders Breakdown & BearishThis detailed technical analysis covers a Head & Shoulders pattern formation on the 4-hour chart of JPY/USD, highlighting a potential bearish reversal setup. The pattern suggests a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend, supported by a trendline breakdown and key resistance & support levels.
1️⃣ Understanding the Chart Pattern: Head & Shoulders (H&S)
📉 What is the Head & Shoulders Pattern?
The Head & Shoulders (H&S) is a classic bearish reversal pattern that appears after a prolonged uptrend, signaling a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. It consists of three main parts:
Left Shoulder: A peak followed by a retracement.
Head: A higher peak, indicating the last strong bullish attempt.
Right Shoulder: A lower peak, failing to reach the height of the head, showing weakening momentum.
Neckline: A crucial support level that connects the lows of the shoulders. A confirmed break below this neckline is the trigger for a bearish continuation.
📊 Breakdown of the Pattern in This Chart
Left Shoulder (First Peak): The price made a high and then pulled back.
Head (Higher Peak): The market made another higher high but failed to sustain it, indicating exhaustion.
Right Shoulder (Lower Peak): A weaker attempt to push higher, but price failed to break previous highs, confirming the loss of bullish strength.
Neckline Breakout: The dotted trendline shows the ascending support that was eventually broken, confirming bearish momentum.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
Understanding the important levels in the market is crucial for setting up an effective trade.
🟧 Resistance Zone (Supply Area)
The resistance level, marked in a beige box, is located around 0.006800.
Price was rejected multiple times from this zone, confirming strong selling pressure.
The head of the pattern was formed in this region before a sharp drop.
🔵 Support Level (Neckline & Demand Area)
The neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern was acting as support before being broken.
This level was tested multiple times before the final breakdown.
Once broken, it turned into a resistance level, meaning price may pull back to this area before continuing downward.
📉 Trendline Breakout (Bearish Confirmation)
A dashed trendline was previously supporting the uptrend but was broken, confirming the bearish shift in market structure.
This signals a trend reversal and a possible extended move lower.
3️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution
A well-planned entry, stop loss, and take-profit strategy is essential for managing risk effectively.
📌 Entry Strategy (Short Setup)
Ideal Entry: Look for price to pull back to the neckline (previous support turned resistance).
Confirmation: Watch for bearish candlestick patterns such as:
Bearish engulfing
Pin bar rejection
Shooting star
Lower highs forming near the neckline
A rejection in this zone confirms seller dominance and a high-probability short setup.
📌 Stop Loss Placement
The Stop Loss is placed above the right shoulder at 0.006725.
This ensures protection from false breakouts or unexpected bullish moves.
📌 Profit Target Projection
Take-Profit Target: The projected move suggests a target at 0.006493.
This aligns with previous structural support, increasing its significance.
The measured move for Head & Shoulders suggests that price could fall further after confirmation.
Risk-Reward Ratio
The Risk (Stop Loss): Around 50 pips.
The Reward (Profit Target): Around 180 pips.
This results in a Risk-Reward Ratio of approximately 1:3, making it an attractive trade.
4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Expected Price Movement
📉 Bearish Scenario (Most Likely)
Price retests the neckline but fails to break above it.
Sellers step in, rejecting the resistance level, leading to further downside.
Price targets the next major support at 0.006493, completing the Head & Shoulders move.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Alternative)
If price reclaims the neckline and moves back above 0.006725, the pattern is invalidated.
This could lead to a bullish continuation back toward previous highs.
In this case, traders should cut losses early and avoid forcing a short trade.
5️⃣ Risk Management & Best Practices
1️⃣ Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of your account per trade to maintain long-term profitability.
2️⃣ Confirmation Before Entry:
Wait for price to reject the neckline resistance before entering short.
Avoid entering too early without clear bearish signs.
3️⃣ Monitor News & Fundamentals:
Major economic events, interest rate decisions, or central bank announcements could impact JPY/USD price action.
🔎 Final Conclusion: Bearish Outlook on JPY/USD
The Head & Shoulders breakdown signals a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
The neckline breakout confirms seller control over the market.
The best short entry is on a pullback to previous support (now resistance).
Target at 0.006493, with a Stop Loss at 0.006725 ensures controlled risk.
📢 Trading Bias: Bearish 📉
💡 Watch for a retest & rejection before entering short.
XAG/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown To Bearish Trade Setup1. Overview of the Chart
This chart represents Silver (XAG/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe from the OANDA exchange. The price action has formed a Rising Wedge pattern, which is a classic bearish reversal formation. This suggests that a potential breakdown could lead to a significant decline in price.
2. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation
A Rising Wedge consists of a narrowing price range with higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the support line (bottom trendline) is steeper than the resistance line (top trendline).
This signals weakening bullish momentum, as buyers are struggling to push the price higher, and sellers are stepping in.
Rising Wedges typically break downward due to the loss of buying strength.
3. Key Technical Levels and Market Structure
A. Resistance Level (Highlighted in Beige Box - $34.50 to $34.80)
This zone has acted as a supply area, where price struggles to break higher.
The price touched this level multiple times, failing to hold above it, which increases the probability of a reversal.
B. Support Level (Highlighted in Blue Box - Around $33.50)
This is a critical short-term support where buyers previously stepped in.
A break below this zone would indicate a confirmation of the wedge breakdown and further downside potential.
C. Stop Loss Level (Marked at $34.80)
Placed above the resistance zone, ensuring protection if price invalidates the pattern and moves higher instead.
This aligns with a logical risk-management strategy to minimize losses if the setup fails.
D. Bearish Breakdown Projection & Target (Marked at $30.46)
The projected target aligns with previous structure support, meaning price may find buyers around this level.
This level is determined by measuring the height of the wedge and projecting it downward from the breakout point.
4. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
📌 Short (Sell) Trade Setup:
Entry:
Enter a short position once price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge with strong bearish momentum (e.g., a big red candle closing below support).
A possible retest of the broken support could provide a second entry opportunity.
Stop Loss:
Set at $34.80, above resistance, to ensure the trade is protected against invalidation.
Take Profit (Target):
First target: $32.50 (psychological level and minor support).
Final target: $30.46 (major support and full pattern breakdown projection).
5. Market Psychology & Confirmation Signals
Why This Setup is Bearish?
Price action shows higher highs but with decreasing strength, signaling bull exhaustion.
The Rising Wedge is a well-known bearish structure, and its breakdown typically leads to a strong sell-off.
Volume confirmation: If the breakdown happens with high volume, it strengthens the bearish case.
What to Watch For?
A decisive bearish candle closing below the wedge support confirms the short setup.
If price retests the broken trendline and fails to reclaim it, it provides a second opportunity for entry.
Avoid entering if price consolidates near resistance instead of breaking down.
6. Conclusion: Bearish Bias & Trading Edge
The Rising Wedge formation suggests that Silver is losing bullish momentum and could break down.
Key levels and structure provide a well-defined trade setup, ensuring a good risk-to-reward ratio.
Traders should wait for a confirmed breakdown before entering a short position.
📉 Bearish Outlook – Price likely to drop toward $30.46 target
⚠️ Risk Management is crucial – Stop Loss at $34.80
🎯 Breakdown confirmation needed before entering short positions
Would you like me to refine any part or add more insights? 😊
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Breakdown – Rising Wedge Signals Further Drop!1. Chart Overview
This 4-hour BTC/USD chart from BITSTAMP presents a well-defined Rising Wedge pattern, which is a bearish reversal structure typically signaling an upcoming price decline. After a strong upward movement, Bitcoin formed a wedge pattern with higher highs and higher lows converging. This indicates weakening bullish momentum, leading to a confirmed breakdown.
2. Key Technical Elements & Market Structure
A. Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern)
A rising wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that appears after an uptrend, showing gradually weakening buying pressure.
The chart shows that price action was following an upward sloping support and resistance trendline.
The higher highs and higher lows formed within the wedge indicate a loss of bullish momentum.
Eventually, the price broke below the lower trendline, confirming a bearish breakdown.
B. Breakdown Confirmation
A decisive bearish candle broke below the wedge's lower trendline, confirming the downward move.
After breaking down, the price attempted a small retest of the wedge’s support, which has now turned into resistance.
This successful rejection from the previous support adds to the bearish confirmation.
C. Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Level ($88,547):
This zone acted as a strong supply area, where previous bullish moves were rejected.
If BTC/USD attempts to recover, this area may provide selling opportunities.
Support Level ($79,193):
This is the next downside target, aligned with previous price consolidation zones.
A break below this support could trigger further selling pressure.
3. Trading Setup & Strategy
A. Short Trade Setup
Entry Point: After BTC/USD confirmed the breakdown of the rising wedge.
Stop Loss: Placed slightly above the $88,547 resistance level to limit risk.
Target Price: A decline towards $79,193, which aligns with the previous major support zone.
B. Bearish Market Sentiment
BTC/USD is currently trading below the wedge, reinforcing bearish bias.
A successful retest of the broken wedge support would validate further downside continuation.
If price remains below the $85,000 level, sellers are likely to maintain control.
4. Market Outlook & Next Price Action
Bearish Scenario
If BTC fails to reclaim the wedge breakdown level, further downside is expected.
A breakdown below $80,000 psychological level could increase selling momentum toward $75,000-$77,000 levels.
Volume analysis suggests that selling pressure is increasing.
Bullish Scenario (Invalidation)
If BTC/USD reclaims the $88,547 resistance and closes above it, the bearish bias could weaken.
Bulls need to break above the rising wedge resistance trendline for a reversal.
5. Conclusion & Trading Plan
The Rising Wedge pattern breakdown confirms a bearish outlook for BTC/USD.
The risk-reward ratio for a short trade is favorable, targeting a move down to $79,193.
Traders should watch for volume confirmation and trend continuation signals before entering.
Key Takeaways
✅ Bearish Bias confirmed after the Rising Wedge breakdown.
✅ Short Position setup with entry, stop loss, and target defined.
✅ Resistance at $88,547 - Failure to break above it strengthens the bearish case.
✅ Target at $79,193 - A strong support area where buyers may step in.
6. Tags for TradingView Post
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #BearishPattern #RisingWedge #Breakdown #ShortTrade #PriceAction #SupportResistance #MarketAnalysis
Would you like any further refinements or additional insights? 🚀
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Analysis: Bullish Pennant Breakout to Target1. Overview of the Chart
This 4-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) presents a bullish pennant pattern, which is a strong continuation formation, indicating that the price is likely to continue its upward trajectory. The price action has followed a clear trend structure, and we can identify key support and resistance levels, breakout points, and potential profit targets.
This analysis provides a comprehensive breakdown of the chart setup, including:
The technical pattern formation
Key support and resistance zones
Trade setup with an ideal entry, stop loss, and profit target
Risk management considerations
Market conditions and external factors to monitor
2. Breakdown of the Chart Pattern: Bullish Pennant Formation
Understanding the Bullish Pennant Pattern
A bullish pennant is a continuation pattern that occurs after a strong upward movement (known as the "flagpole"). The market then consolidates within a small triangular shape, forming the pennant. This consolidation is seen as a temporary pause before the next bullish move.
Key Characteristics of the Pennant in this Chart
Flagpole Formation:
The steep rally before the pennant formed represents a strong bullish impulse, driven by increased buying pressure.
This rapid price increase set the foundation for the pennant pattern.
Consolidation (Pennant Formation):
Price action moved within converging trendlines, forming a symmetrical triangular pattern.
The market temporarily paused, as some traders took profits while others awaited further momentum.
This type of consolidation is common before the price resumes its trend.
Breakout from the Pennant:
The bullish breakout above the upper trendline of the pennant confirms the continuation of the uptrend.
A strong breakout suggests renewed buying interest, likely pushing prices toward the next resistance level.
3. Key Technical Levels on the Chart
A. Resistance Level (Potential Selling Zone)
A critical resistance zone is marked between $3,100 - $3,125, where selling pressure could emerge.
If the price faces rejection in this zone, a temporary retracement could occur before another push higher.
A breakout above this resistance level would further strengthen the bullish case, possibly pushing gold toward the $3,175 - $3,200 range.
B. Support Level (Demand Zone)
The support zone is around $3,025 - $3,017, which is the last significant swing low.
This level represents a strong buying area where traders may look for re-entry on a pullback.
A break below this support could invalidate the bullish setup, signaling a shift in market sentiment.
C. Trendline Support (Dynamic Support)
The dashed black trendline represents an uptrend support.
If price retraces toward this level and holds, it may offer another buying opportunity before resuming its uptrend.
A break below this trendline would be a warning signal, suggesting a weakening of bullish momentum.
4. Trade Setup and Execution Strategy
A. Entry Strategy
The ideal entry point was upon the confirmed breakout above the pennant, around $3,075 - $3,085.
Aggressive traders may have entered at the breakout itself.
Conservative traders may wait for a pullback to retest the breakout zone before entering, ensuring confirmation.
B. Stop Loss Placement (Risk Management)
A stop loss is placed below the support zone at $3,017 to minimize downside risk.
This placement protects against false breakouts or unexpected market reversals.
Keeping a tight stop loss allows for a higher risk-to-reward ratio while maintaining a disciplined approach.
C. Profit Target Projection (Expected Price Movement)
The target price is determined using the measured move approach, where the height of the flagpole is added to the breakout point.
The expected profit target is in the range of $3,175 - $3,200, offering a potential upside of 4.29% from the breakout level.
If price maintains its bullish momentum, further gains could be expected beyond the target zone.
5. Risk Management & Considerations
A. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
This trade setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR).
With an entry near $3,085, a stop loss at $3,017, and a target around $3,175, the trade offers a reward-to-risk ratio of approximately 3:1.
This ensures that even if the trade does not succeed, the risk is controlled while allowing significant upside potential.
B. Factors That Could Invalidate the Setup
Failure to sustain the breakout: If price falls back below the pennant, the setup may be invalid.
Break below the support zone ($3,017): This would signal a possible trend reversal.
Weak volume on breakout: A lack of volume could indicate a false breakout, leading to price retracement.
C. Alternative Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1: Retest & Continuation:
If price pulls back to retest the breakout zone ($3,075 - $3,085) and holds, traders can look for another buying opportunity.
Scenario 2: False Breakout & Reversal:
If price falls below the support level ($3,017), traders should exit long positions and re-evaluate market conditions.
6. Market Conditions & External Factors to Monitor
A. Gold’s Correlation with USD & Interest Rates
Stronger USD → Downward Pressure on Gold
Weaker USD → Bullish Gold Trend
Interest rate decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve play a significant role in gold prices.
B. Economic Events & News Impact
Inflation Reports: Higher inflation often supports gold prices.
Geopolitical Tensions: Political instability can lead to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Stock Market Movements: A weaker stock market can drive capital into gold.
7. Conclusion: Bullish Outlook with Cautious Optimism
Key Takeaways:
✔ Bullish pennant breakout confirmed – strong continuation signal.
✔ Price is above key support & trendline – maintaining bullish structure.
✔ Clear trade plan with entry, stop loss, and target levels.
Trading Plan Summary:
Entry Stop Loss Target Risk-Reward Ratio
$3,075 - $3,085 $3,017 $3,175 - $3,200 3:1
📌 Final Recommendation:
Maintain a bullish bias as long as price holds above the support zone ($3,017).
Watch for volume confirmation to ensure the breakout is valid.
Adjust stop loss or secure profits if price reaches key resistance levels ($3,100 - $3,125).
If you need further clarification or alternative trade scenarios, let me know! 🚀
Accurately predict the timing of short position entryAs of now, we have made profits during the trading session. But gold hit the 3048 area yesterday. What should we do if some brothers did not close the order in time? We have made corresponding adjustments according to the current market.
Gold news:
On Friday, the price of gold climbed to 3083, mainly driven by factors such as rising risk aversion, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the global central bank's gold buying boom and increased inflationary pressure. The tense situation in the Middle East, global economic uncertainty and expectations of a depreciation of the US dollar have further enhanced the attractiveness of gold. This week, gold is expected to rise for the fourth consecutive week. The US PCE (personal consumption expenditure) data to be released tonight has attracted much attention from the market because it is the core indicator of the Federal Reserve to measure inflation and may have a significant impact on market expectations and asset prices. If the PCE data triggers concerns about stagflation, it may cause US Treasury yields to rise, further boosting gold prices. If the data eases inflationary pressures, it may boost risky assets, but gold may rise simultaneously due to rising expectations of interest rate cuts. Boosted by risk aversion, gold advanced all the way yesterday afternoon, hitting a new high of 3059 during the US trading session. Today's market continued to rise at the opening, and the current highest has reached 3086. Gold bulls rose like a tiger, where is the top?
Gold technical analysis: From the wave point of view, the large level is no longer repeated. The daily line 2832 runs a standard 5-wave structure upward, wave 1 2832-2929, wave 2 2929-2880, wave 3 2880-3057, wave 4 3057-2999. Yesterday's market broke through 3057 and rose. The current market is in the 5th wave. From the wave rule, wave 1 runs 97 US dollars. If the amplitude of wave 1 and wave 5 is equal, the high point of wave 5 can be seen near 3097. Using the Fibonacci retracement extension line, pay attention to the two resistance levels of 3088-3108 above. Therefore, the short-term continues to follow the trend of low-multiple bullishness. Pay attention to whether there is a structure to go short near 3108 above. Gold is currently high, and it is bound to fall back. This crazy bull trend cannot last long. This is inevitable. The gold price is currently seriously off track, that is, it is directly off track. This is unreasonable. Return is inevitable. There must be a deep fall today. The support below is around 3050, which is also the target of the fall.
Gold operation strategy: Short gold 3075-70 to increase the number of transactions. Target 3060-3050
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. The short profit area of 3060-3050 is all closed.
3. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
3DP possible multibagger opportunityThis Chart uses EMA and an untraditional indicator the Darvas Box (100). I've personally found that Darvas Box(100) is a good entry filter. Enter when the price is within the box, preferably the lowest quarter of the box. Do not enter if the price is below the box. All the of the biggest runs start with SP being above the Darvas Box - However SP isn't guaranteed to run every time it is above the box.
Over the past 6 - 9 months 3DP has broken it's four year retracement and SP appears to be breaking out towards the upside.
The 50day EMA has just passed through the Darvas Box (100day) top. As highlighted - the last occurrence was mid 2020 which saw a 10x growth over the course of a year.
Current SP as posting on 30th March 2024 is a 0.084 SP has a potential to retrace to the 200day EMA 0.06 or further to the bottom darvas box (100) line which is at 0.04
A high level summary of who Pointerra are - 'Pointerra Limited is an Australia-based geospatial technology company. The Company is focused on the global commercialization of its 3D technology solution to support digital asset management activities across a range of sectors, including civil infrastructure, mining, oil and gas, architecture, engineering and construction, and others. Its cloud-based platform, Pointerra3D, is an end-to-end solution that stores, processes, manages, analyzes, extracts, visualizes, and shares the insights from 3D data. Its products include Pointerra3D CORE, Pointerra3D ANALYTICS and Pointerra3D ANSWERS. Pointerra3D CORE provides a common data environment where organizations can visualize different data types in a unified way and then store, manage and share them in a flexible way. Pointerra3D ANALYTICS creates a digital twin to enable intelligent analysis of physical assets. Pointerra3D ANSWERS delivers predictive insights that enable definitive answers to physical asset management questions.'
With Cash Receipts of $4.243M, Net Cash from Operating Activities of $1.447M, and a Cash balance of $4.6M, the company’s performance is clearly on track.
The total outgoing cash for the latest 3DP Quarterly report was $2.796M, which is just below the $2.855M average for FY 23/24.
This suggests that the cash outflow has returned closer to the average, especially after the higher outflows in the July to September 2024 quarter.
The substantial net cash inflows highlight the strong profitability of the business, particularly when higher cash receipts and revenue levels are achieved.
Ian Olsen and the management team have consistently emphasized that they are "not unhappy" with Finola Burke's (RAAS) projections. For FY 24/25, the forecast figures are as follows:
Revenue: $13.8M
GP: $12.7M
EBITDA: $2.19M
NPAT: $2.15M
EPS: $0.27
PER: 18
With a strong first half in FY 24/25 (cash receipts of $7.32M for the first 6 months), several already secured contracts, and numerous opportunities across Pointerra's six target sectors, these projections now seem well within reach.
I warrant that the information created and published by myself on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
March 31, 2025, the gold (XAU/USD) market"This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Before making any trading decisions, double-check the accuracy of the analysis and ensure it aligns with current market conditions. Always conduct thorough fundamental analysis, including economic news and geopolitical factors, to gain a complete understanding of potential price movements."
gold (XAU/USD) market has exhibited significant bullish momentum, with prices recently reaching new highs. In such strong uptrends, traders often utilize technical tools like Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci extensions to identify potential reversal points and set target levels
SELL Signal – NZD/USD - Targeting 226 PipsEntry: 0.5764
TP: 0.5538
SL: 0.5889
Risk/Reward: 2.32
Reasoning:
Monetary Divergence: The RBNZ has paused rate hikes, weakening NZD appeal, while USD strength is supported by higher U.S. Treasury yields and reduced Fed rate-cut expectations.
Economic Weakness: New Zealand faces slowing growth, a weak housing market, and reduced demand from China.
Bearish Momentum: NZD/USD recently broke two long-term support levels, suggesting further downside toward the 0.5538 demand zone.
Strong USD: Global monetary easing (e.g., Switzerland, Canada, ECB) and policy concerns are bolstering the USD, further pressuring NZD.
Crude Oil (WTI) Bullish Breakout – Eyes on $78.47!🚀 Crude Oil (WTI) Bullish Breakout – Eyes on $78.47! 🚀
📊 Trade Setup:
Entry Price: $73.12
Take Profit 1: $73.99
Take Profit 2: $76.20
Take Profit 3: $78.47
Stop Loss: $71.21 (below key support zone)
📈 Analysis:
After months of trading in a range, WTI Crude Oil has broken above the upper boundary of the channel , signaling a bullish breakout. This breakout is supported by:
1️⃣ China's Economic Optimism: Growth pledges and potential stimulus are boosting demand expectations.
2️⃣ Technical Momentum: Key resistance at $71.50 and $74 has been breached, opening the path toward higher targets.
3️⃣ Tight Weekly Chart Range: A big move was anticipated, and the bulls delivered!
🎯 Targets:
With momentum on our side, we’re targeting:
$73.99: Quick resistance retest.
$76.20: Alignment with prior highs.
$78.47: Major resistance and breakout zone.
🔹 Risk Management:
Stop loss at $71.21, well below the key support zone, ensures controlled risk in case of reversal.
⚡ Are you riding the breakout, or watching from the sidelines? Let me know your thoughts below! ⚡
Micron Technology (MU): AI Powerhouse Trading at a 40% Discount!1️⃣ AI Boom: Micron’s advanced DRAM and NAND solutions are fueling growth in AI and cloud computing, with Nvidia’s ecosystem showcasing its critical role.
2️⃣ Analyst Targets: With 42 ratings averaging $131.47 and highs of $150, Micron offers over 50% upside from current levels.
3️⃣ Automotive Growth: As the top memory supplier for autonomous vehicles, Micron dominates a market set to grow at a 27% CAGR.
4️⃣ Technical Momentum: Breaking $75 resistance, a golden cross and rising volume confirm strong bullish signals.
💹 Trade Setup:
TP1: $100
TP2: $110
TP3: $120
SL: $80
Micron is a top-tier AI play at a deep discount. With massive growth catalysts, it’s primed to soar! 🚀
Sugar (CFD) – Bullish Setup from a Key Demand Zone! 🔥 Sugar (CFD) – Bullish Setup from a Key Demand Zone! 🍬
Sugar is bouncing off a major demand zone, presenting a great risk/reward setup for a bullish move. With technical indicators signaling a reversal and fundamental tailwinds supporting higher prices, this could be a great swing trade opportunity. Let’s dive into the setup!
💼 Trade Setup (CFD Pricing):
🔹 Entry Price: 1,770
🎯 Take Profit 1: 1,820
🎯 Take Profit 2: 1,930
🎯 Take Profit 3: 2,070
🎯 Take Profit 4: 2,350
🛡️ Stop Loss: 1,650
📈 Why Am I Bullish on Sugar?
1️⃣ Technical Reversal from a Strong Demand Zone
Sugar is bouncing off a key support level around 1,750-1,770, a demand zone that has held multiple times in the past. This level has consistently attracted buyers, and the current bounce suggests renewed interest from bulls.
Additionally, the RSI is climbing out of oversold territory, and Stochastic indicators are signaling a potential reversal, which supports a bullish outlook.
2️⃣ Fundamental Tailwinds
The global sugar market remains tight, with ongoing supply concerns in major producing countries like Brazil and India. At the same time, demand from China continues to rise, adding upward pressure on prices.
With weather risks and logistical issues, the supply/demand imbalance favors higher prices in the medium term.
💡 Final Thoughts:
Sugar is setting up for a strong bullish move, with both technical and fundamental factors aligning. If the price holds above the 1,750 demand zone, we could see a rally toward 2,000 and beyond.
Keep an eye on the 1,800 breakout level, which could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. Let’s see how it plays out! 🚀
💬 What’s your take on Sugar? Are you bullish too? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Goldman Sachs Earnings Tomorrow – Ready for a Bullish Breakout?Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) is shaping up for a potential bullish move ahead of its earnings report tomorrow (January 15) before the market opens. With the stock bouncing off key support levels and positive momentum indicators, a strong earnings surprise could trigger further upside toward my targets.
Let’s break down the setup:
💼 Trade Setup for Swing Trade:
🔹 Entry Price: $569 (current price)
🎯 Take Profit 1: $600
🎯 Take Profit 2: $625
🎯 Take Profit 3: $650
🛡️ Stop Loss: $540 (below key support)
📈 Why Am I Bullish on Goldman Sachs?
1️⃣ Earnings Catalyst (January 15, Pre-Market)
Goldman Sachs will release its Q4 2024 earnings tomorrow before the market opens. Historically, the bank has outperformed expectations, particularly in trading revenues and fixed income.
Given the recent recovery in capital markets, there’s a good chance Goldman will report higher-than-expected revenues, which could trigger a sharp rally.
2️⃣ Technical Reversal in Play
GS is bouncing off a key support zone near $550, which has acted as demand multiple times in the past. The RSI is rising from oversold levels, and Stochastic has turned bullish, suggesting momentum is building.
A break above $575 would confirm the reversal and open the door to higher targets at $600, $625, and $650.
3️⃣ Valuation and Undervaluation
Goldman Sachs is trading at a P/E ratio of 16.8, which is cheaper than peers like JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley. This leaves room for valuation expansion, especially if the bank delivers positive earnings surprises.
With recovering trading volumes, M&A activity, and IPO deals, GS could see a significant boost to revenue and profitability.
💡 Final Thoughts:
Goldman Sachs is setting up for a potential bullish move, with a solid technical and fundamental backdrop. The upcoming earnings report is a key catalyst that could trigger strong upside if results beat expectations.
I’m targeting $600, $625, and $650, while managing risk with a stop loss at $540. Let's see how it plays out!
💬 What do you think? Are you bullish on Goldman Sachs too? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
Ride the Silver Surge: A Strategic Long-Term Trade Opportunity! 🚀 Silver: Bullish Setup Targeting $34.86 🚀
Silver presents a strong buy opportunity with bullish momentum building both technically and fundamentally. Here’s the updated setup:
Key Levels
Entry: $30.60
🎯TP1: $32.10
🎯TP2: $34.86
🛑 Stop Loss: $28.54
Why This Trade Looks Promising
1️⃣ Trendline Support: The price has rebounded strongly off a key ascending trendline, signaling continued bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Industrial Demand: Long-term demand for Silver is fueled by clean energy initiatives, including solar panels and EV production.
3️⃣ Bullish RSI: The RSI is trending upward, confirming growing buyer strength and potential for further price gains.
4️⃣ Long-Term Setup: This trade requires patience and is more suitable for traders with larger accounts, as the stop-loss is set wider to accommodate market fluctuations.
Market Context:
Silver remains fundamentally supported by rising industrial demand, inflation hedging, and the prospect of a weaker US Dollar in the months ahead. This longer-term setup aligns with both technical and macroeconomic trends, offering significant upside potential.
⚠️ Note: Please ensure this trade aligns with your account size and risk tolerance. For smaller accounts, a tighter stop-loss or different setup might be more appropriate.
GE on the Rise: Bullish Momentum in an Ascending Channel!Current Price: $187.31
Stop Loss: $166 (below key support).
TP1: $195 (near-term resistance).
TP2: $210 (channel resistance).
TP3: $230 (analyst high target).
🚀Why GE is a Bullish Opportunity
1️⃣ Strong Earnings Potential (Jan 23, 2025)
Analysts expect: EPS: $1.03 and Revenue: around $9.85 billion, showcasing year-over-year growth.
2️⃣ Aerospace Momentum
Projection: GE Aerospace is on track to achieve an operating profit of $6.7 billion to $6.9 billion for 2024, benefiting from robust demand in both commercial and defense sectors.
3️⃣ Bullish Technicals
Technical Indicators: GE stock is trading within a strong upward channel. Indicators like Stochastic (potentially showing bullish crossover), RSI (at a balanced level of 51, suggesting room for growth), and MACD (indicative of bullish momentum) support this view.
4️⃣ Analyst Sentiment
Consensus Price Target: Analysts have set an average target of $209.78, with some forecasts reaching up to $230, offering an upside potential of 15% to 23% from the current price of $187.31.
Bearish Analysis: Crude Oil (CL Futures)1️⃣ Rejected at Supply Zone:
The price was strongly rejected from the $80 supply zone, where sellers clearly took control. This zone has been a key resistance level, and the recent bearish momentum confirms strong selling pressure.
2️⃣ Bearish Momentum in Play:
The sharp decline from the supply zone has broken short-term supports, signaling sustained bearish movement. The next major target is the $66–$67 demand zone, where buyers may step in.
3️⃣ Technical Indicators Supporting Bears:
RSI: At 54.88, the RSI suggests there’s room for further downside before reaching oversold conditions.
Stochastic Oscillator: A bearish crossover between the %K and %D lines confirms increasing selling pressure, with momentum favoring a continuation of the trend.
4️⃣ Fundamentals Adding Pressure:
Trump’s Energy Policy: Potential policy changes to increase domestic oil supply could create a bearish outlook for crude oil.
Stronger Dollar: The strengthening USD makes oil more expensive for global buyers, further dampening demand and supporting the bearish case.
🎯 Strategy:
TP1: $75 (Near-term target, close to the current price).
TP2: $74.30 (Minor support, a potential bounce or pause area).
TP3: $72 (A strong psychological and technical level).
TP4: $67 (Major demand zone).
🔔 Note:
Consider using a positive stop loss to secure gains and reduce risk. Always practice proper risk management to protect your capital and maintain consistent results.
Copper Set to Rally: Bullish Setup with Massive Upside PotentialCopper is holding firmly at a key support level and poised for a potential breakout. The combination of bullish macroeconomic factors and tightening supply suggests significant upside potential.
China’s Growth Push:
Chinese leaders are targeting 5% annual growth in 2025, with plans to boost domestic consumption and infrastructure spending, key drivers of copper demand.
Robust Demand Drivers:
Industries like EVs, power grids, and air conditioning continue to drive structural demand for copper, aligning with the global shift toward electrification and renewable energy.
Supply Challenges:
Multi-month low inventories in Shanghai warehouses signal tight supply conditions.
Peru’s flat output and Chinese smelter profitability issues add further pressure to global supply.
With these factors converging, copper prices are primed for a bullish move from current levels.
Trade Setup
TP1: $4.3498
TP2: $4.6347
TP3: $5.000
Stop Loss: $3.8622
This trade setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, with tightening supply and robust demand creating a solid foundation for bullish momentum.
#X #XUSDT #XEMPIRE #LONG #Scalp #Scalping #Eddy#X #XUSDT #XEMPIRE #LONG #Scalp #Scalping #Eddy
XUSDT.P Scalping Long Setup
Important areas of the upper time frame for scalping are identified and named.
This setup is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. (( AMD SETUP ))
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this scalping setup to enter the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
The entry point, take profit point, and stop loss point are indicated on the chart along with their amounts.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
Note: The price can go much higher than the second target, and there is a possibility of a 70% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the targets, you can keep it for the pump.
Be successful and profitable.
$BTC for Next week (31st March - 4th April)Given out all the ideas, Will react to the market based on which idea presents itself.
If Yellow line - Its better to stay out of the markets.
With the other wait for MSS (Market Structure Shift) and then take the trade and target the other side of the liquidity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Overall I'm neutral on CRYPTOCAP:BTC but SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ and NYSE:ES look bearish to me, and CRYPTOCAP:BTC could follow.
#AUDUSD: Three Swing Target Accumulating Total of 1400+ Pips! Analysing the AUDUSD currency pair on a broader timeframe of three days reveals a bearish trend. This suggests a potential final decline in prices before a significant bullish surge in the market.
Two golden lines are drawn around the entry area, indicating potential entry points at the first, second, or intersection of these lines. Alternatively, the first and second lines can serve as entry and stop loss points, tailored to your trading strategy.
Additionally, important economic indicators are set to impact the market. For instance, the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report scheduled for this coming Friday will significantly influence the direction of the DXY monthly price.
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