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Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order🪙 Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order 📈 🏆 Gold Bulls Rejoice — The Chart Speaks Loud From $1,700 to over $3,200 — gold has defied every rule in the macro playbook. It rallied through rising rates, a strong dollar, and a supposed tightening cycle. This move isn't just about demand — it's a signal . 📉 Interest Rate Timeline: 2020–2025 Gold moved counter to monetary logic — here’s the full context: 2022 🔺 R: 0.25 ➝ 4.50 Start of aggressive rate hikes – CPI peaked at 9.1% 🔥 2023 ⚒️ R: 4.50 ➝ 5.50 Peak tightening – gold didn’t flinch 2024 ✂️ R: 5.50 ➝ 4.25 Mid-year rate cuts – inflation cooled to 2.4% ❄️ 2025 🔁 R: 4.25–4.50 Fed paused, Trump pushing for deeper cuts – tariffs complicate the easing path 🇨🇳 The China Factor – A Strategic Gold Game #1 producer AND importer Keeps all domestic production Estimated holdings: 13,000–17,000 tons Investing globally (Africa, Asia, LatAm) Possible BRICS-backed gold currency on the horizon? China isn't just hedging inflation — it's preparing for monetary evolution. 💱 CPI From Fire to Frost 2022: CPI at 9.1% 🔥 2025: 2.4% ❄️ — near the Fed’s 2% target Yet despite “normal” inflation, the Fed holds — a sign of deeper uncertainty. 🧭 The 4 Modes of Gold – Explained on Chart Trump Mode : Aggressive cuts → Gold targets $3,300–$3,600 Feds Mode : Status quo → Gold tests $3,000 China Mode : Strategic surge → Long-term $3,998+ Bitcoin Mode : Digital store of value rises → Gold reverts to $2,537 zone These are not just technical levels — they represent global monetary narratives. 🕰️ Will History Repeat Itself? In 1873, Germany adopted gold. China stayed on silver — and lost its monetary edge. Today, it’s not silver vs gold — it’s gold vs Bitcoin . China stockpiles gold U.S. institutions embrace Bitcoin Trade wars have become currency wars This isn't a normal market — this is the early stage of a global monetary shift . 🔮 Final Thoughts We stand at the crossroads of history . Gold has already chosen its path. Bitcoin is waiting in the wings. And fiat? Under pressure. Stay awake. Stay diversified. The next monetary standard may already be forming. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
COMEX:GC1!
by FX_Professor
8
2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar (Part Two)📉💵 2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar: Part Two 🔄🔥 Part 1: As we kick off the week on April 21st, we find gold hitting historic highs of $3,400 while the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to slide — down 1.42% and firmly below the psychological 100 level. 📉 The breakdown at 99.3 confirms what we mapped out months ago. Back in February, I highlighted the rejection at the 107.5 level and predicted that 2025 would mark The Year of the Normalized Dollar. That vision is unfolding exactly as drawn. 🔍 Technical Breakdown Recap Rejection Zone: 107.5 Mid Support Breached: 100.95 Breakdown Level: 99.3 Next Target Range: 94.6–93.7 🧭 The visuals attached here are not new drawings — this is the same framework from my February 25th analysis, and it's playing out beautifully. 📊 The DXY is on a structural path toward normalization, aligning with macro policy shifts. 🗣️ Policy Catalyst The dollar’s weakness isn’t just technical — it’s political and economic. Trump’s continued pressure on the Fed to slash interest rates, combined with tariff talk and geopolitical realignment, is creating a push toward a weaker but more "normalized" dollar. From the Executive Order remarks on Jan 23, 2025: “I'd like to see interest rates come down a lot. When oil comes down, prices come down — and then no inflation.” These aren't just words — they're shaping market expectations and price action. 💬 Is this the soft landing the Fed is hoping for? Or the beginning of something bigger for DXY bears? Drop your thoughts below and let’s keep the conversation rolling. 🎯 Charts attached for reference. 📢 Follow for more macro breakdowns & chart-focused insights. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
TVC:DXYShort
by FX_Professor
4
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [April 21 - April 25]Earlier this week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD fell from $3,245/oz to $3,193/oz after US President Donald Trump exempted tariffs on 20 goods, including smartphones, laptops, hard drives, computer monitors and machinery used to produce semiconductors and chips. However, the US-China trade war became increasingly tense when Mr. Trump announced a tax of up to 245% on Chinese goods imported into the US, pushing the gold price to skyrocket to $3,357/oz, then adjusted down to $3,283/oz and closed the week at $3,327/oz. Many experts believe that the unpredictable policy changes of the US President, as well as the risk of a global economic recession, especially Mr. Trump's threat to remove FED Chairman Powell... May continue to support gold prices in the short term. In addition, the weakening of the USD has also been actively supporting the upward momentum of gold prices. 🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES THIS WEEK: There won’t be many important economic reports coming up next week, especially since markets will be closed on Monday for the Easter holiday. On Wednesday, markets will get the preliminary S&P Global Composite PMI for April and new home sales data for March. On Thursday, a slew of important data will be released, including durable goods orders, weekly jobless claims and existing home sales. The weekend will close with the final report on the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index. Markets will also be closely watching speeches from Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, Adriana Kugler and Patrick Harker, especially after notable comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday. 📌Technically, gold is already deep in overbought territory, and a technical correction could be imminent before gold can move higher. Depending on the strength of the correction, gold could fall to $3,250/oz next week, followed by $3,150/oz, and then the psychological support of $3,000/oz. However, if $3,300/oz proves to be a solid support level, gold could soon break above $3,400/oz next week. It could even go as high as $3,500/oz if US-China trade tensions continue to escalate. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,304 – 3,300 – 3,261USD Resistance: 3,338 – 3,372USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3394 - 3392⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3398 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3243 - 3245⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3239
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2
NAS100 - Will the stock market go bullish?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, one can look for the next Nasdaq long positions with a good risk-reward ratio. Economists remain divided over whether President Donald Trump’s tariff policies are weakening the economy enough to trigger a recession. Some believe the possibility of a recession is significant, citing the rising costs of tariffs that are burdening both businesses and consumers. Others argue that the U.S. economy is strong enough to weather the trade war without falling into recession, pointing to resilient employment levels and consumer spending. Forecasting experts also express differing views regarding the risk that Trump’s tariff campaign could tip the economy into a downturn. A Wall Street Journal survey conducted in April among 57 economists revealed that, on average, participants estimated a 45% chance of a recession occurring within the next 12 months—up from just 20% in the January survey. The economic outlook took a notable downturn in February, when Trump began announcing tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. Many forecasters, who had expected a “soft landing” from post-pandemic inflation, are now preparing for a possible recession, as these tariffs and other economic barriers are forcing both households and businesses to tighten spending. A separate survey of financial professionals working with businesses found that many companies have recently faced greater difficulty in collecting payments from clients, indicating growing financial strain among key economic players. The Credit Managers’ Index, overseen by the National Association of Credit Management and monitored by economist Chris Kuehl, still showed growth in March, though at a slower pace than before. On the more optimistic side is Allen Sinai from Decision Economics, who assigns only a 20% probability to a recession within the next year. Although this is an increase from his January estimate of 10%, he still considers it an unlikely scenario. Sinai’s primary reason for optimism is the strength of the labor market, which has remained stable since recovering from the massive layoffs during the COVID-19 lockdowns. March’s unemployment rate was 4.2%—close to historic lows—and not indicative of an economy in recession. One major point of disagreement between recession pessimists and optimists lies in the interpretation of consumer sentiment data. Surveys have shown that people are increasingly worried about inflation, the job market, and their personal finances. If such concerns lead to more cautious consumer spending, it could weigh heavily on the overall economy. The upcoming week is expected to begin quietly in terms of economic data releases, particularly due to global markets being closed on Monday in observance of Easter. However, midweek brings key reports that could significantly influence market expectations. On Wednesday, the preliminary S&P Global composite purchasing managers’ index for April and March new home sales figures are due. Thursday will feature a packed slate of indicators, including durable goods orders, jobless claims, existing home sales, and the final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index. Alongside the data releases, investors will closely monitor remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Following Jerome Powell’s firm stance last week, upcoming speeches by Kashkari, Goolsbee, and Harker could shape or reinforce market expectations regarding the Fed’s future policy path. Meanwhile, Apple is grappling with mounting challenges in the global marketplace. In China, the company has lost a significant portion of its market share, with sales declining by 9%, while Huawei’s sales have grown by 10%, and Xiaomi now holds the top spot with an 18.6% market share. These shifts reflect a notable pivot in Chinese consumer preferences toward domestic brands. Furthermore, U.S.-imposed tariffs on Chinese goods have put additional pressure on Apple’s profit margins in its home market, placing the company in a tough position.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Bitcoin - Is Bitcoin on the way up?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and has broken out of its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s upward trend will depend on maintaining the drawn upward trend line. A valid break of this trend line will cause Bitcoin’s price to correct to the 80,000 range. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. Following the announcement of new trade tariffs by the United States, Bitcoin experienced a 16.7% drop in price. However, it partially recovered from its 26.7% plunge. The total global cryptocurrency market capitalization has now reached $2.74 trillion, marking a 1.71% increase compared to the previous day. Over the past 24 hours, the total crypto market trading volume hit $60.7 billion, reflecting a 32.28% rise. Within this, DeFi transactions account for $5.25 billion, making up 8.65% of the total 24-hour market volume. Meanwhile, stablecoins have dominated trading activity with $55.84 billion in volume, representing 92% of the total market volume for the day. When comparing Bitcoin’s performance to other major assets, gold leads with a 12.9% gain. In contrast, both silver and the U.S. Dollar Index saw a 4.8% decline. The S&P 500 fell by 13.8%, while the Nasdaq dropped 17.5%. Despite its volatility, Bitcoin sits between oil and the Nasdaq in performance, showing signs of partial recovery. However, its behavior still diverges from that of traditional safe-haven assets like gold. On the political front, Hong Joon-pyo, a presidential candidate from South Korea’s conservative party, pledged that if elected, he would implement reforms in blockchain and cryptocurrency regulations. He also promised to integrate blockchain technology into public sector and administrative services. Additionally, Hong plans to invest at least 50 trillion Korean won (approximately $35.1 billion) over the next five years in research and development across artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and room-temperature superconductors. These initiatives are part of his broader strategy focused on growth driven by emerging technologies. In Q1 2025, publicly traded companies collectively acquired 95,431 bitcoins, bringing their total holdings to 688,000 BTC. This amount represents 3.28% of Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins. The Coinbase Premium Index, which tracks the difference in Bitcoin demand between U.S. markets and global exchanges, has shown reduced volatility since March 2024. It appears to be forming a pattern often seen before bullish market trends. Robert Kiyosaki, renowned entrepreneur and author of the best-selling book Rich Dad Poor Dad, has forecasted that Bitcoin’s price could rise to between $180,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2025. Kiyosaki has long been an outspoken supporter of Bitcoin, portraying it as a safe hedge against inflation and economic instability.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
EURCAD Short 4//17/2025EUR/CAD Short (Re-entry After Rate Cut Reversal) Got stopped out on the previous attempt — but this re-entry offered a stronger, higher-timeframe confirmation. Daily Chart: We printed a long-tailed hammer rejecting hard off a key weekly zone. That wick tested liquidity and snapped back, giving early signs of euro exhaustion. Today, price is flipping into what looks like a bearish engulfing candle — pending the close — suggesting trend reversal pressure is real. Catalyst: The ECB dropped a 25bps rate cut, a shift from my earlier post when no EU news was expected. This move added strong bearish sentiment, especially paired with continued U.S. trade pressure under Trump’s new tariffs. Macro + technicals aligned = clean setup. 4H Chart: Multiple rejections off the weekly zone after that liquidity sweep, followed by an inside bar setup — that was my re-entry trigger. I’ve been holding since yesterday and we’re now running a 1:6.27 R:R play toward a key downside target. 1H Chart: During and after the ECB announcement, price action got messy — hammers, dojis, and fake bullish pushes all turned into supply-heavy rejections. That’s typical “fade the news” behavior when the big players already had their direction. Key Zone: 1.56800 is the final liquidity shelf before price enters clean air. Once we get a solid 4H close below that zone, I expect price to accelerate toward my target at 1.55727. This one’s got weight behind it — technical structure, macro catalysts, and institutional pressure all aligned.
Short
by Big6Financial
21/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $86,492.19 Last weeks low: $83,112.72 Midpoint: $84,802.45 Is the market finally showing its hand? After President Trumps escalation of the tariff trade war, BTC saw huge volatility swings in line with Tradfi, the panic led to de-risking and as a result BTC hit $74,500. Then after a small bounce another revisit of the exact same area resulted in a much more substantial reversal back up into the $80K's. A double bottom and rally despite the tariff situation ongoing suggests huge support/strength in that area on the HTF, I am now satisfied that BTC has closed the area of imbalance caused by the US election pump, confirming support. This event also coincided with SPX bouncing off the 1D 200 EMA. Since then Bitcoin has rallied back to the upper limit of the downtrend channel (see my previous posts on this structure) which also has the 4H & 1D 200 EMA placed there. For a bullrun to sustain itself these moving averages are important to maintain momentum, time spent under these MA's kill the bullish trend and weaken sentiment around the move. Last week we saw a very tight trading range of only 4%, that is compared to 15.4% the week previous. My theory was that this compression of price around a key area (4H & 1D 200 EMA + trend channel high) leads to a much bigger impulse move, the only question was in which direction? The minute the weekly bar closed BTC exploded above both of these MA's and out of the downtrend, so it looks like the question is answered when it comes to direction of the impulse move. The next question is, will it stick? I do find the timing of the move somewhat suspicious as the majority of Europe are on a public holiday, could this be a MM taking advantage of thin order books? the SPX pre-market is fairly neutral and so I believe tomorrow will tell the true story of where BTC really is.
by ProR35
3
The market bullish trend continues, operation strategy.Driven by multiple favorable factors, the international gold price has continued to hit record highs this year, reaching $3,357/ounce by the close of last Friday. Although a technical correction signal appeared after hitting a record high last Thursday, it eventually closed above $3,320/ounce, with a real positive line on the weekly line and short upper and lower shadows, indicating that there is still inertial upward momentum this week. It is worth noting that while the market is expected to correct overbought at the end of the week, there are still funds that choose to buy on dips, resulting in a bottoming-out and rebound trend in gold prices last Friday, and finally closed at $3,327/ounce, further strengthening the bullish trend. From the perspective of technical analysis, the correction on Thursday last week was supported at $3,284/ounce, which is more resilient than the previously expected $3,245/ounce previous high conversion support, so it can be adjusted to a short-term long-short watershed. The focus on the suppression effect of the historical high of $3,357/ounce is needed above. If there are major changes in the news over the weekend, especially in trade frictions and Fed policy expectations (such as Trump's remarks continue to pressure the Fed to cut interest rates), the probability of gold going up will be significantly increased. Based on the current technical form and fundamental factors, this week's gold trading strategy recommends that the callback is mainly long, supplemented by short-term rebound short selling. In terms of specific operations, the first long order entry point can refer to $3310/ounce, which is both the ladder support level of the previous high callback and the technical retracement confirmation point. The stop loss can be set at $3290/ounce, and the target is $3389/ounce. If this resistance level is effectively broken, the upper space can be further expanded to the $3410/ounce area. Comprehensively judged, today's short-term operation of gold recommends callback long as the dominant idea, rebound short selling as an auxiliary strategy, focus on the pressure of the $3400-3420/ounce range above, and focus on the $3370-3360/ounce support level below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Patrick-Daniel
Gold Daily Outlook Short-Term Pullback Before Trend Continuation📌 Gold Daily Outlook – Short-Term Pullback Before Trend Continuation? 💡📉 📊 Technical Overview Gold (XAU/USD) is currently testing a key resistance zone around 3412 – 3414, where we could see short-term selling pressure emerge after recent bullish momentum. Following a strong rally, the market may be preparing for a healthy retracement to collect liquidity before resuming the trend. The chart shows signs of a potential intraday distribution pattern forming near highs, especially as price struggles to break above resistance during the early Asian session. Today’s outlook leans toward a short-term dip into support zones before buyers potentially step back in. 🔴 SELL ZONE (Short-term Reversal Opportunity) Entry: 3412 – 3414 Stop Loss: 3420 Take Profit: 3409 → 3400 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370 This is a high-probability reversal zone. If price prints bearish confirmation (e.g., pin bar or engulfing candle), short entries may offer favourable risk-reward setups. 🟢 BUY ZONE 1 – Minor Pullback Area Entry: 3355 – 3353 Stop Loss: 3348 Take Profit: 3358 → 3370 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400 Ideal for quick buy setups if price reacts cleanly to this mid-structure level. 🟢 BUY ZONE 2 – Deeper Support for Trend Re-entry Entry: 3335 – 3333 Stop Loss: 3328 Take Profit: 3338 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → 3380 If a deeper pullback occurs, this zone may act as a key demand area and offer clean trend continuation opportunities. 🌍 Fundamental Insight No major economic events are scheduled today, so market direction will likely follow technical structure. USD is showing mild intraday strength, adding some pressure on gold in the short term. Overall sentiment still supports gold as a safe-haven, but short-term profit-taking near highs is expected after recent aggressive buying. ⚠️ Strategy Notes Focus on trading within defined structure: Sell from resistance with confirmation; buy dips at clean support zones. Avoid FOMO entries – let the market give you confirmation. Always use clear TP/SL levels – especially in a sensitive market environment like this. 💬 How are you approaching gold today? Looking to fade highs or waiting for dip-buy setups? Drop your thoughts below! 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
2
When will gold's continued surge peak? Market analysis referenceTechnical analysis of gold: The recent gold bulls are very strong. No matter the daily or weekly charts, there is no peak signal. We previously estimated that 3400 is coming. Does anyone still question our prediction? However, the ups and downs of gold have made short-term operations more difficult. Last Thursday, the daily chart showed a deep V-shaped market. It was broken by 3300 and thought that the big shorts had begun. In fact, it was just a normal technical sell-off in the market before the holiday. Finally, it rebounded again in the middle of the night. Today's Asian session was even crazier, directly rising to around 3395. The big rise is not a top. Don't guess or intercept it. Moreover, this wave of market fluctuations is also the most in history. It has refreshed multiple records. For novices, surviving in such a market is the best. In the 4-hour level, the price has made a small V-shaped reversal and continued to maintain a relatively strong trend along the short-term moving average. The 1-hour moving average continues to form a golden cross and upward bullish arrangement. Gold rose directly in the Asian session, breaking through the short-term downward trend and directly breaking through the previous high of 3357. Then the short-term 3357 of gold has formed support. Gold will continue to buy on dips when it falls back to 3357 in the Asian session. However, it should be noted that if gold falls below 3357 again, the adjustment range may increase. Recently, gold has been rising wildly under the stimulation of safe-haven. In this emotional market, you can only follow the trend, because gold keeps hitting new highs and no one knows where it will rise. However, don't chase more easily at high levels. After the volatility increases, the amplitude of each callback is not small. Opportunities are waiting. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to buy on callbacks and sell short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3405-3410 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3357-3360 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel1
1
2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar📉💵 2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar! 🔥 The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness after breaching key support levels. With interest rate cuts on the horizon and a shift in economic policy, we may be entering a new phase for the dollar’s normalization. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Resistance: 107.5 (Immediate resistance) 🔹 Key Mid Support: 100.95 (Next major level) 🔹 Final Target: 94.8 (Major support & potential bottom) 📰 Fundamental Factors Driving the Move 💡 Trump’s Dollar Policy: Historically, Trump has favored a weaker dollar to boost exports. His recent remarks during the Executive Order signing on January 23, 2025, reinforce this stance, as he pushes for interest rate cuts and lower energy costs. Remarks by President Trump at Executive Order Signing (January 23, 2025): Q: Mr. President, you said earlier that you would like to see interest rates come down. THE PRESIDENT: Yeah. Q: How much would you like to see them come down? THE PRESIDENT: A lot. Q: And will you talk with Powell? THE PRESIDENT: I’d like to see them come down a lot, and oil prices will come down. And when oil prices come down, everything is going to be cheaper for the American people — and actually for the world — but for the American people. So, I’d like to see oil prices come down. Q: Are you worried that there’s too much going on at once if you’re trying to bring interest rates down and get the economy back going? THE PRESIDENT: No, no. It just works that way. I mean, it just economically works that way. When the oil comes down, it’ll bring down prices, then you won’t have inflation, and then the interest rates will come down. Q: You said that you would demand that the interest rates come down. Do you expect the Fed to listen to you? THE PRESIDENT: Yeah. 📉 What’s Next for the Dollar? 🔸 If 100.95 breaks, we could see further downside, testing the 94.8 region. 🔸 A retest of resistance at 107.5 would be a key test before further declines. 🔸 The global macro environment (oil prices, inflation, and geopolitical shifts) will heavily influence the dollar’s trajectory. 🌍 Economic & Geopolitical Impact Beyond monetary policy, Trump’s trade and labor policies are also playing a role in shaping the inflation outlook. His push for tariffs and tighter immigration policies has led to higher labor costs, causing short-term inflation. However, on the global stage, Trump's potential deal with Putin to resolve the Ukraine conflict could help ease inflation worldwide by stabilizing supply chains and reducing geopolitical risks. With Trump pushing for rate cuts, the Fed under pressure, and DXY losing momentum, could we see a full-scale dollar correction in 2025? Let’s discuss! ⏬ 📢 Follow for more macro insights & market analysis! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
TVC:DXYShort
by FX_Professor
The 100 EMA Is Under Siege — Bulls Want BloodThis isn’t a relief bounce — it’s a systematic assault on the 100 EMA. Bulls have been loading since $2.15 and now they're stacking pressure right at resistance. Volume confirms it: this isn’t noise — it’s liquidity warfare. MACD crossover brewing Price printing green Momentum is shifting Quants aren’t chasing — they’re executing. Above this level? It’s vacuum territory to $2.85 — and every candle from here is a threat to the bears’ control panel.
KRAKEN:FILUSDLong
by BroLal
SMR: The Nuclear Renaissance in Europe and the U.S.By Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst Following the impact of the war in Ukraine and the volatility of Russian gas supplies, Europe has accelerated its transition toward clean energy sources. By 2024, 48% of the EU's electricity mix already comes from renewables, 24% from nuclear power, and only 28% from fossil fuels. Spain is even further ahead, with renewables accounting for 55.8% of its electricity system. This evolution has led to a 59% reduction in CO₂ emissions and a 16% annual drop in the average price of electricity. However, the green transition faces challenges such as renewable intermittency, technological dependency, and a shortage of skilled personnel. In response, both Europe and the U.S. are reinforcing their commitment to nuclear energy, particularly through Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), a safer, more flexible, and more efficient technology. SMRs offer key advantages: compact design, lower costs, and the ability to be installed near industrial centers or remote communities. In Europe, France is leading the charge through EDF, which expects to have its first NUWARD prototype operational before 2030. In the UK, Rolls-Royce is developing 470 MWe reactors with both public and private support, aiming to build up to 10 units by 2035. Meanwhile, Tractebel (ENGIE) is working on SMR engineering projects across Central and Eastern Europe. In the U.S., SMR technology has gained momentum with support from the Department of Energy. NuScale Power was the first company to receive design approval from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), and although its Utah project was canceled, it maintains agreements with Canada, Romania, and Ukraine. Also notable is Oklo Inc., backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, which went public in 2024 with an innovative compact reactor. Other key players include Constellation Energy and Vistra Corp., which operate nuclear facilities, as well as private firms TerraPower (founded by Bill Gates) and X-energy—both federally funded. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) has funneled billions in incentives toward clean energy in the U.S., supporting both renewable and nuclear technologies. The transatlantic approach is clear: combine solar, wind, storage, and SMRs to achieve a clean, resilient, and competitive energy supply. NuScale Power Corp. Analysis On the hourly chart, NuScale entered an accumulation phase starting on October 24, 2024, pushing its price up to a peak of $32.30 by March 25, 2025. However, it has since lost momentum, largely due to the uncertainty triggered by U.S. tariff policies. Currently, the stock is trending toward a key support zone around $16.75, a level that previously acted as resistance multiple times. The firmest support lies at $11.02, marking a recent low. The Point of Control (POC), which indicates the price level with the highest traded volume, currently stands at around $18.36—just above immediate resistance. The most active trading range is between $17.24 and $25.60. Technical indicators show an RSI at 48.18%, suggesting slight overselling, though not extreme. Moving average crossovers are unclear, reflecting market indecision. This lack of bullish strength may prolong the current sideways movement. In the long term, if market sentiment improves and regulatory tensions ease, the stock could recover toward the mid-range zone of around $21.00. Publicly Traded Energy Companies: Renewables and SMRs Nuclear Energy and Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) • EDF – 🇫🇷 Euronext Paris: EDF • Tractebel (ENGIE) – 🇧🇪 Euronext Paris: ENGI • Rolls-Royce SMR – 🇬🇧 LSE: RR • NuScale Power – 🇺🇸 NYSE: SMR • Oklo Inc. – 🇺🇸 NYSE: OKLO • Constellation Energy – 🇺🇸 NASDAQ: CEG • Vistra Corp. – 🇺🇸 NYSE: VST • Cameco Corp (Uranium) – 🇨🇦 NYSE: CCJ Private Companies to Watch • TerraPower – 🇺🇸 (Bill Gates, Natrium Reactor) • X-energy – 🇺🇸 (Xe-100 Reactor, DOE-funded) Renewables and Energy Storage • Iberdrola – 🇪🇸 BME: IBE • Acciona Energía – 🇪🇸 BME: ANE • Ørsted – 🇩🇰 CPH: ORSTED • Enel – 🇮🇹 BIT: ENEL • Siemens Energy – 🇩🇪 ETR: ENR • Vestas Wind Systems – 🇩🇰 CPH: VWS • First Solar – 🇺🇸 NASDAQ: FSLR • NextEra Energy – 🇺🇸 NYSE: NEE • Plug Power – 🇺🇸 NASDAQ: PLUG • Bloom Energy – 🇺🇸 NYSE: BE In this context, investment opportunities are expanding rapidly. Companies like EDF, Rolls-Royce, NuScale, Oklo, and Iberdrola are well positioned to lead the energy transition. The green revolution is no longer just about renewables—the new energy era is also nuclear. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NYSE:SMRLong
by ActivTrades
ENA/USDT Breakout Pattern (18.04.2025)The ENA/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.3015 2nd Resistance – 0.3217 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
18
GOLD → Recovery after the FB of 0.5 fibo. What's next?FX:XAUUSD on Thursday tests 0.5 fibo, which I outlined to you on April 17, forms a false breakdown and recovers amid unstable geopolitical relations in the world. Price may continue its northward run. The dollar continues to fall. The fundamental background depends on the relationship between the US and China as well as economic data especially after Powell's speech. The weekly session closes close to support, the decline may continue. Gold after the shakeout is heading back north. Based on the fundamental background, the price may continue to rise. There are three days of downtime ahead as traders rest. Fundamentally, anything can happen over the weekend, however, technically, the emphasis is on intermediate levels. The trend is still strong and bullish Resistance levels: 3332, 3344, 3357 Support levels: 3313, 3288, 3284 If nothing supernatural happens over the weekend, gold in the Asian session may bounce off the nearest resistance and test trend support before continuing the uptrend. If there are any critical changes in the mood of countries/politicians then I will update the situation Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
Dollar has next 4 years (Be greedy when others are fearful)The world is changing fast, and the next four years may be strong for the U.S. dollar . This is not random— it's part of a cycle . Greed-fear cycle Right now, humanity is entering a time where AI will take over most service-based jobs . Lawyers, designers, consultants—even coders—are slowly being replaced by machines. The entire service economy is becoming automated. When that happens, only countries with real manufacturing will survive. That’s why what President Trump said earlier about “bringing back manufacturing” makes full sense now. When services become automated, tangible assets rise. And the dollar may lead this shift.
TVC:DXY
by LensOfChartist
RB - US Gasoline Futures to Decline due to Lower ConsumptionNYMEX: RBOB Gasoline Futures ( NYMEX:RB1! ) WTI crude oil futures declined 13.4% since the beginning of the year. It dropped as much as $20 from the mid-January peak of $80 a barrel, before recovering to $64 last week. In my commentary on February 11th, “Reversal of US Energy Policy Could Push Crude Oil Lower”, I described the main reasons behind the oil market correction: • US oil production will rise, benefiting from the new energy policy by President Trump as “Drill Baby Drill” • OPEC+ to increase crude oil production, ending its voluntary production cuts • Threats of Tariffs could curtail global oil demand First, on March 31st, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (“EIA”) reported that U.S. field production of crude oil reached 13.146 million barrels per day (mb/pd), up 592 mb/pd or +4.7% from the year-ago level. This is the highest January production level since 1920! Second, on April 3rd, the OPEC+ members met and decided to end the voluntary production cuts, gradually bringing back 2.2 mb/pd additional supply to the oil market. Third, Reciprocal Tariff has brought the container shipping industry to its knees. MSC, Maersk, CMA CGM, and Hapag-Lloyd, which ferry goods for retail giants like Walmart, Target, and Home Depot, have seen sharp declines in booking. The tariff uncertainty caused many importers to cancel their orders. This could cause major consequences. According to Statista, about 71% of the items sold on Amazon were sourced from China. The procurement for Christmas-season products has already begun. Without a US-China trade deal, US consumers could expect fewer gift options at higher prices. Inflation could rebound sooner, as merchants deplete their inventory and face a supply shortage. This could hurt gasoline demand. On the one hand, higher shopping costs cut into consumer spending budget; on the other, fewer deals at retailers discourage shoppers from taking a trip. On April 18th, American Automotive Association (“AAA”) reported that national average price for regular gas was $3.182 per gallon, down 14% from the year-ago level. On April 19th, RBOB gasoline futures quoted $2.0839 per gallon, up 1.8% year-to-date. This contrasts sharply with the down trends in the spot market and the oil futures market. The April EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (“STEO”) report states that U.S. retail price for regular gasoline averages $3.10 per gallon in its forecast for this summer (April–September), about 20 cents less than the previous forecast in March. The lower price forecast mostly reflects the expectation of lower crude oil prices. If realized, the forecast gasoline price would be the lowest inflation adjusted summer average price since 2020. In my opinion, gasoline prices could stay relatively high during the peak summer driving season. After that, Gas prices could turn significantly lower through the end of the year. Commitment of Traders shows bearish sentiment The CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that on April 15th, total Open Interest (OI) for NYMEX RBOB Futures is 418,277 contracts. “Managed Money” (i.e., hedge funds) own 52,114 in Long, 36,615 in Short and 47,628 in Spreading positions. • While they maintain a long-short ratio of 1.4:1, hedge funds have reduced long positions by 5,198 (-9%) while increasing short positions by 6,021 (+14%). • This indicates that “Smart Money” is becoming less bullish on gasoline. Trade Setup with RBOB Futures If a trader shares a similar view, he could express his opinion by shorting the NYMEX RBOB Gasoline Futures ( CSE:RB ). RB contracts have a notional value of 42,000 gallons of gasoline oil. With Friday settlement price of $2.0149, each September contract (RBU5) has a notional value of $84,626. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $5,840. Hypothetically, a trader shorts September RB contract and RBOB prices drop to $1.90. A short futures position would gain $4,826 (= (2.0149 – 1.90) x $42000). Using the initial margin as a cost base, a theoretical return would be +82.6% (= 4826 / 5840). The risk of shorting gasoline futures is rising oil and gas prices. Investors could lose part of or all their initial margin. A trader could set a stop loss while establishing his short position. In the above example, the trader could set stop-loss at $2.10 when entering the short order at $2.0149. If gasoline price continues to rise, the maximum loss would be $3,574 ( = (2.10 – 2.0149) *42000). Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NYMEX:RB1!Short
by JimHuangChicago