Fundamental Analysis
NASDAK 1HTFShort-term outlook:
Positive (bullish) scenario:
In case of a clear break and stability above 22,050, the upward momentum may continue towards 22,400 and then 22,600 levels.
Negative (bearish) scenario:
In case the price fails to stabilize above 22,000, a decline may occur towards the support levels at 21,600.
Recommendation:
Scalpers: Follow the price closely around 22,000 levels, and enter with confirmation of resistance breakout or wait for a bounce from support.
Investors: Maintain a positive outlook as long as the uptrend continues and higher highs and lows are formed
Dow Jones 1HTFDow Jones
Short-term outlook:
Positive (bullish) scenario:
If the price stabilizes above 43,500 and stronger buying momentum emerges, we may witness a retest of 44,000 with a potential return towards 44,600.
Negative (bearish) scenario:
A break of 43,200 downwards may push the index towards 42,800 with increased chances of further decline if selling dominates
Adani enterprise Survey this year, but need miracleIf you current data, it seem like not enough positive trade on this amount in past history. Also India BJP Government sideline the Adani, as focus is only thing for government left is on "One Nation, One Election" to survive BJP Government with many problem without solution. See Adani Test Timeline for references.
- Trump first day 1/21/2025
- India Budget Session ~2/1/2025 to 5/30/2025 (Possible More funding for Adani)
- 2 Month till Feb 2025 = ~.005 loss, Adani survive as goal not to reach under ~$2100.
- 2 Month till Feb 2025 = VP or Amitshah removal amendment in India Govement pass, Adani stock speed down to loss very fast and India collapse. Orelse Adani survive.
- 3 Month till March 2025 = US Budget bill day, US may everthing get halted, Adani survive for that month.
- 4 Month till April 2025 = If Trump cabinate choices get approved, No India Amendment for removal, US doesn't hault, then Adani Final Showdown Lawsuite Begin.
Planet 13 Holdings | PLNH | Long at $0.39The marijuana sector has taken a beating over the last few years, yet certain companies may provide value and dominate the space in the future. Enter Planet 13 Holdings $OTC:PLNH. This OTC play warrants extreme caution, though. It's either going to zero or could produce massive returns. My personal logic is not to bet the farm with any OTC play, but maybe an old goat ... and potentially buy the farm in the future.
From a technical analysis perspective, my selected historical simple moving average (SMA) line is approaching the current price of $0.39. Frequently, as this SMA line and price get closer to each other, there is a pop in the price.
Fundamentally, financial growth is anticipated. Financial highlights from the Q3 2024 report state that the company's revenue was $32.2 million as compared to $24.8 million, an increase of 29.7%. The increase in sales was driven by the addition of Florida as well as strong sales in Illinois. Gross profit was $16.7 million or 51.9% as compared to $11.1 million or 44.7%. Free cash flow: $108,807 million. Operationally, OTC:PLNH looks pretty good on paper.
Marijuana legalization in the US is only going to expand. It's inevitable given the changing sentiment around the topic. If OTC:PLNH can do well in this space and is able to continue to grow, this ticker could get very interest. Thus, at $0.39, OTC:PLNH is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1: $0.55
Target #2: $0.75
Target #3: $1.00
Target #4: $5.75 (very long-term outlook if legalization spreads...)
How to Trade Lower Liquidity Festive MarketsWith the festive season upon us, there tends to be a natural decline in trading activity as many market participants step away to enjoy the holidays. This change in rhythm creates unique market dynamics, offering traders an opportunity to observe and adapt to a different set of conditions.
Liquidity often decreases during this time, which can influence price behaviour, spreads, and volatility. Understanding these shifts can help you approach the markets with greater awareness and flexibility, whether you decide to trade actively or simply observe from the sidelines.
What Happens in Lower Liquidity Markets?
Lower liquidity means there are fewer buyers and sellers actively participating in the market. As a result, price movements can become less predictable. Even a relatively small order can cause larger-than-expected moves, creating the potential for heightened volatility.
Spreads—particularly in less-traded instruments—may also widen, increasing transaction costs. This is something to keep an eye on, especially if you trade in smaller-cap stocks, emerging market currencies, or commodities with seasonal demand swings.
However, it’s not all about increased volatility and wider spreads. Lower liquidity can also bring periods of calm to typically active markets, especially in the absence of major news or data releases.
Adapting to the Festive Markets
The key to navigating festive markets is adaptability. Here are some practical tips to help you stay on top of your trading this Christmas:
1. Focus on Major Markets and Instruments
During periods of reduced liquidity, larger markets like major currency pairs or blue-chip stocks tend to remain more stable than smaller, niche instruments. Staying with these higher-liquidity markets can reduce the risk of unexpected price swings.
2. Be Selective with Trades
The festive season isn’t the time to chase every opportunity. Instead, focus on high-quality setups and avoid overtrading. Patience can be your biggest asset when market conditions are unpredictable.
3. Adjust Your Risk Management
Lower liquidity markets can lead to greater volatility, which means a single price move might reach your stop-loss or take-profit levels more quickly than expected. Consider adjusting your position sizes or widening your stop-loss levels to account for this. That said, any changes to your risk management approach should align with your overall trading strategy.
4. Keep an Eye on Key Levels
In quieter markets, price tends to gravitate towards well-defined support and resistance levels. These levels often become even more significant, as fewer participants can break through them.
5. Pay Attention to News Events
Even during the festive season, economic data releases and news events can spark movement. With fewer participants, the impact of these events may be amplified, so it’s worth staying informed.
Useful Indicators for Festive Markets
Using technical indicators can provide added clarity in lower liquidity conditions. Here are some tools to consider:
• ATR (Average True Range): ATR can help you gauge market volatility. During low-liquidity periods, rising ATR values may signal increased volatility, while falling ATR values might indicate a quieter market.
• Volume: Monitoring volume is crucial to understand the strength of price moves. During the festive period, lower volume is expected, but an unusual spike can indicate genuine interest in a breakout or trend.
• Anchored VWAP: Anchored VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) is a helpful tool for identifying key levels where trading volume has concentrated. Anchoring the VWAP to significant events, such as the start of the festive trading period, can provide dynamic support or resistance levels.
• Keltner Channels: These are particularly useful for managing trades. Setting Keltner Channels to 2.5 ATR around a 20-day exponential moving average (standard settings) can help identify overextended moves. For instance, if the price breaks above the upper channel in a long trade, it may be a good signal to take profits into strength.
Example: S&P 500
On the S&P 500, we can observe some classic festive market behaviour. While daily volume has remained steady, ATR has been declining since Thanksgiving, dropping to levels not seen since the summer. This suggests the market is consolidating near broken resistance—a key level—aligned with the Keltner Channel’s basis.
Just below this area lies the VWAP anchored to the November swing low, creating a zone of confluent support that could attract higher levels of liquidity.
S&P 500 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Summary:
The festive season introduces a unique set of market conditions that can challenge even experienced traders. Whether you choose to trade actively or observe from the sidelines, understanding how reduced liquidity affects price behaviour is key to navigating these quieter markets.
By focusing on major instruments, refining your risk management, and leveraging key technical indicators like ATR, volume, Anchored VWAP, and Keltner Channels, you can adapt to the rhythm of the season and make the most of what the markets offer during this period.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
KSE 100 is ready for a short CorrectionHow's the Josh Pakistani Traders !!
This folk from India is Analyzing your Stock market, I hope you will Like IT!!
HERE WE GO WITH THE DETAIL
As we can clearly see that market has Completed its Wave 3 (Wave 3 is an impulse wave of Elliot wave structure) and Wave 3 is Extended Wave to 3.618 % of Wave 1.
So Wave 4 would be 0.382 % of Wave 3 ( Wave 4 is Corrective wave in Elliot wave theory).
SO HERE IS THE TRADE
SELL KSE100 @ 118,000-120,000
TARGET @ 87000
SL @ 123,000
NOTE : THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY PLEASE REFER TO YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR BEFORE TAKING ANY TRADE
HAVE A GOOD DAY TRADERS
The start of a new bull cycleARC's 2029 $2500,00 price target with a historical perspective (see box on the far right of the chart)
“It continues to be Tesla's world, and everyone else is paying rent” ... "when you look at this AI party it's 10PM and it goes till 4AM" –Dan Ives
When in doubt, zoom out.
Bitcoin’s Journey to $108K?: Trends, Insights, and What’s Next"Crypto is like a rollercoaster: thrilling on the way up, terrifying on the way down, and you never really know when the ride ends."
1. Price Volatility: The CRYPTOCAP:BTC Rollercoaster
Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) recently hit an all-time high of $108,000 before pulling back to $104,000. Analysts are split—is this a correction or a temporary pause before another leg up?
Volatility is Bitcoin’s DNA. It’s what attracts both the thrill-seekers and the skeptics.
2. Institutional Interest Driving Supply Squeeze
Big players are loading up. Institutions are buying at scale, tightening supply, and fueling price surges. Riot Platforms, among others, continues stacking Bitcoin, signaling growing confidence in $BTC.
When institutions dive in, they’re not just buying coins—they’re buying the narrative of Bitcoin’s future.
3. Market Predictions: Wild Speculations
The Bitcoin crystal ball is hazy. Forecasts range from $160,000 to $500,000 depending on market conditions and legislation. Others warn of a potential dip to $100,000-$102,000.
Crypto predictions are like weather forecasts: everyone has one, and they’re rarely 100% right.
4. Criticism and Debate: The MicroStrategy Playbook
MicroStrategy’s leveraged Bitcoin buys have critics, like Peter Schiff, raising alarms about sustainability. Bitcoin believers counter with long-term growth arguments.
Love it or hate it, MicroStrategy’s strategy is bold. But bold doesn’t always mean bulletproof.
5. Whale Movements: Mt. Gox and Beyond
Massive Bitcoin transfers by entities like Mt. Gox are happening, yet the market holds firm. This resilience showcases robust holding sentiment among whales.
Whales are moving funds, but the waters remain calm. A sign of a maturing market?
6. The Bullish Sentiment on X
X users are overwhelmingly bullish. Many cite institutional adoption, CME gaps, and The crypto crowd is optimistic, and with Bitcoin, optimism often leads the charge.
7. Is Bitcoin Still Worth the Hype?
Bitcoin’s volatility is both its allure and its risk. Institutional interest, strong holding sentiment, and the halving provide reasons for optimism, but corrections are part of the game.
The question isn’t whether Bitcoin will grow—it’s how wild the ride will be.
ASML Bullish OutlookShort-Term Drivers:
Stock Performance: Shares have risen 13.89%, from $655 on November 21 to $746, signaling strong bullish momentum.
Analyst Confidence: 'Moderate Buy' ratings with a $943.83 price target (32% upside); BNP Paribas targets $858.
Options Activity: Elevated call options volume reflects growing investor confidence.
Long-Term Drivers:
Growth Projections: Revenue forecast of €44-€60 billion by 2030, driven by AI-driven chip demand.
AI Expansion: AI-related chips expected to dominate 40% of the chip market, boosting demand for ASML's cutting-edge tools.
Technological Leadership: Dominance in EUV lithography systems ensures a critical role in next-gen chip manufacturing.
Technical Analysis:
ASML bounced strongly from a key support level at $655 on November 21, rallying 13.89% to $746. This rebound confirms the long-term uptrend and highlights growing bullish momentum. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has started reversing to the upside, signaling further potential for price appreciation.
Potential Price Targets:
TP1: $870 (Aligns with short-term analyst targets and reflects immediate upside potential).
TP2: $1,110 (Breaks into higher resistance zones with extended bullish momentum).
TP3: $1,300 (Long-term target supported by sustained growth and market dominance).
Why ASML is the Right Pick Now:
ASML's unique position as the sole supplier of EUV lithography machines, its strong innovation pipeline, and robust financials make it a standout choice. With bullish momentum, supported by technical and fundamental factors, the current price of $746 presents a strategic entry point with clear upside potential to key targets.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Ryde Group: A Temporary Downtrend Presents a Long-Term ChanceRyde Group Ltd (NYSE: RYDE), a leading mobility and quick commerce platform from Singapore, has recently experienced a downtrend in its share price. While this might raise concerns, the current dip is best seen as temporary market volatility, not a reflection of the company’s fundamentals. With its recent expansion to serve international travellers, Ryde is positioned for growth, making this an opportunity for forward-looking investors.
On November 1, 2024, Ryde announced its app’s availability for international travellers visiting Singapore, tapping into the city-state's booming tourism industry. This move aligns with the growing demand for convenient and reliable transport services among tourists. The app’s real-time tracking features and global payment options are tailored for travellers, aiming to provide a seamless user experience.
Ryde stands out in the competitive ride-hailing sector with its 0% commission policy, which benefits its driver-partners and ensures a high-quality rider experience. This commitment to safety and fairness continues to attract both users and drivers, strengthening its market position.
The recent decline in Ryde’s share price does not align with its strong fundamentals and growth trajectory. The company’s strategic expansion into tourism, coupled with its innovative business model, positions it for significant revenue growth. Singapore’s rebounding tourism market provides a clear avenue for Ryde to capitalise on increased demand.
For investors, the current dip offers a chance to invest in a company poised for long-term success. As its initiatives gain traction, Ryde’s share price is likely to reflect the underlying growth in its business.
Conclusion
Ryde Group’s recent share price movement is a short-term fluctuation that doesn’t capture the company’s growth potential. With a clear strategy to expand into tourism and a robust operational model, Ryde is positioned for sustainable success. Investors looking for value in the mobility sector should consider this a timely opportunity to enter before the stock rebounds.
Short GBPUSD on Fibonacci RetracementThe Cable (GBPUSD) charts shows a down trend on the daily and weekly charts. This is consistent with a long term view of the US economy doing better than the UK according to recent data releases. An initial impulse has broken a 4H up trend to the downside and has retraced to 0.618 during the 17 Dec 24 Asian session.
I have gone short at 1.2700 and SL 1.2770. I have two targets: first TP at 1.2630 and second at 1.2570 giving risk to reward ratios of 1:1 and 1:2 respectively.
Caution is advised as the FOMC are announcing their Dec interest rate decision this Weds and UK BoE on Thursday. I shall review positions in about 24 hours therefore.
NVIDIA - The best performing copany ,enjoy a Christmas RallyHi guys, we are looking into NVIDIA, the world's most successful company which has had a tremendeous year, looking to close it with fantastic results.
Currently we are sitting in a low level oversold area on the RSI , which gives us a technical overview of forming an Ascending Channel from here onwards. Currently the Interest Rate decision by the FED will give us a necesasry boost to uplift the prices from this point forwards.
Entry on market open: 134.03
Target 1: 140.98
Target 2: 150.78
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Pudumjee Paper Products LtdTarget in chart - Longterm play
Fundamentals
Market Cap
₹ 1,191 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 125
High / Low
₹ 136 / 46.2
Stock P/E
9.41
Book Value
₹ 57.5
Dividend Yield
0.48 %
ROCE
26.8 %
ROE
20.9 %
Face Value
₹ 1.00
Price to book value
2.18
Intrinsic Value
₹ 120
PEG Ratio
0.23
Price to Sales
1.43
Debt
₹ 15.2 Cr.
Debt to equity
0.03
Int Coverage
48.7
Reserves
₹ 537 Cr.
Promoter holding
71.3 %
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EPS last year
₹ 10.3
Net CF
₹ -4.95 Cr.
Price to Cash Flow
8.96
Free Cash Flow
₹ 126 Cr.
OPM last year
17.3 %
Return on assets
13.9 %
Industry PE
9.41
Sales growth
12.7 %
Gold next Moves.We have observed gold had moved in inclined parallel channel in past days but it broke support area of Parallel channel currently it is moving in horizontal parallel channel after getting some liquidity.
In my point of view gold will fall around 2615 then it will get a big reversal to fly up to 2700.
Put your entries you will enjoy your profits.
Copper , fantastic potential within the Precious Metal market!Hi guys, we would be looking into one of my favourite precious metals COPPER. Currently it has been fluctuating around this price level overviewed on 1H and 4H time frames. The RSI is also sitting in low levels which is forming an Ascending Channel.
This is on a technical level,now let's look into Fundamental level :
Investing in copper presents a compelling opportunity due to its critical role in the global economy and its growing demand across multiple sectors. As a key industrial metal, copper is essential for infrastructure development, construction, and the production of electrical equipment, making it a cornerstone of both established and emerging industries.
The accelerating transition to renewable energy and electric vehicles (EVs) further underscores its importance. Copper's superior conductivity makes it indispensable for solar panels, wind turbines, EV batteries, and charging stations, driving long-term demand as the world shifts toward greener energy solutions.
Moreover, global supply challenges, including declining ore grades and the need for significant new mining projects, create a favorable supply-demand dynamic that supports higher copper prices. For investors, copper represents a strategic asset with potential for strong returns tied to industrial growth, technological innovation, and the push for sustainability.
Entry cover up.
Entry : 4.1500
Target 1 : 4.21803
Target 2: 4.34026
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
ASR/USTD Weekly Analysis$ASR/USDT Analysis 📊
#ASR Current Price: $2.204
A break below $2.013 could drop to $1.602. Monitor the $2.013 support. Upside potential remains strong toward $3.64 if buyers sustain momentum. 🚀
$3.640 (first target)
$4.753 (secondary target)
$6.036 (ultimate breakout target).
Trend: Price forming a recovery after a descending wedge breakout.
Musk's Infernal Prime EV PumpIn the infernal depths of Sanctuary’s marketplace, Tesla stock rises like a demon lord ascending to claim dominion. At $479, it smolders with restrained power, but the winds of hell whisper of a greater reckoning—a Hellfire Surge driving it toward the blazing peak of $640. The flames of innovation lick higher, and the Muskian sorcerer stands at the helm, summoning an army of believers to fuel the ascent.
Like a rune-etched blade, Tesla’s potential cuts through the shadows of doubt. Each EV rolling off the assembly line and each technological breakthrough is another soul harvested for its unholy cause. The naysayers—those weak cultists of skepticism—scatter as Tesla’s infernal energy ignites a Demonic Charge through the battlefield of Wall Street.
But this isn’t merely a rise; it’s a Diablo IV-worthy Musk Pump. The stock surges as though guided by the hand of the Prime Evil himself, ascending with relentless purpose to the scorching heights of $640. The question isn’t if Tesla will rise—it’s how high the flames will burn before the market bows in submission to its unstoppable power. The Lord of EVs is on the march.
Bitcoin Bullish Surge or Major Reversal Ahead?Bitcoin's price is moving within an ascending channel. A potential move toward the upper channel boundary near $106,511.66 a new all time high is marked with a red arrow, indicating a possible reversal from resistance. The structure reflects a bullish trend, but traders should remain cautious of a potential correction after hitting the resistance level.