Gold Daily Outlook Short-Term Pullback Before Trend Continuation📌 Gold Daily Outlook – Short-Term Pullback Before Trend Continuation? 💡📉
📊 Technical Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently testing a key resistance zone around 3412 – 3414, where we could see short-term selling pressure emerge after recent bullish momentum. Following a strong rally, the market may be preparing for a healthy retracement to collect liquidity before resuming the trend.
The chart shows signs of a potential intraday distribution pattern forming near highs, especially as price struggles to break above resistance during the early Asian session. Today’s outlook leans toward a short-term dip into support zones before buyers potentially step back in.
🔴 SELL ZONE (Short-term Reversal Opportunity)
Entry: 3412 – 3414
Stop Loss: 3420
Take Profit: 3409 → 3400 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370
This is a high-probability reversal zone. If price prints bearish confirmation (e.g., pin bar or engulfing candle), short entries may offer favourable risk-reward setups.
🟢 BUY ZONE 1 – Minor Pullback Area
Entry: 3355 – 3353
Stop Loss: 3348
Take Profit: 3358 → 3370 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400
Ideal for quick buy setups if price reacts cleanly to this mid-structure level.
🟢 BUY ZONE 2 – Deeper Support for Trend Re-entry
Entry: 3335 – 3333
Stop Loss: 3328
Take Profit: 3338 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → 3380
If a deeper pullback occurs, this zone may act as a key demand area and offer clean trend continuation opportunities.
🌍 Fundamental Insight
No major economic events are scheduled today, so market direction will likely follow technical structure.
USD is showing mild intraday strength, adding some pressure on gold in the short term.
Overall sentiment still supports gold as a safe-haven, but short-term profit-taking near highs is expected after recent aggressive buying.
⚠️ Strategy Notes
Focus on trading within defined structure: Sell from resistance with confirmation; buy dips at clean support zones.
Avoid FOMO entries – let the market give you confirmation.
Always use clear TP/SL levels – especially in a sensitive market environment like this.
💬 How are you approaching gold today? Looking to fade highs or waiting for dip-buy setups? Drop your thoughts below! 👇👇👇
Fundamental Analysis
When will gold's continued surge peak? Market analysis referenceTechnical analysis of gold: The recent gold bulls are very strong. No matter the daily or weekly charts, there is no peak signal. We previously estimated that 3400 is coming. Does anyone still question our prediction? However, the ups and downs of gold have made short-term operations more difficult. Last Thursday, the daily chart showed a deep V-shaped market. It was broken by 3300 and thought that the big shorts had begun. In fact, it was just a normal technical sell-off in the market before the holiday. Finally, it rebounded again in the middle of the night. Today's Asian session was even crazier, directly rising to around 3395. The big rise is not a top. Don't guess or intercept it. Moreover, this wave of market fluctuations is also the most in history. It has refreshed multiple records. For novices, surviving in such a market is the best.
In the 4-hour level, the price has made a small V-shaped reversal and continued to maintain a relatively strong trend along the short-term moving average. The 1-hour moving average continues to form a golden cross and upward bullish arrangement. Gold rose directly in the Asian session, breaking through the short-term downward trend and directly breaking through the previous high of 3357. Then the short-term 3357 of gold has formed support. Gold will continue to buy on dips when it falls back to 3357 in the Asian session. However, it should be noted that if gold falls below 3357 again, the adjustment range may increase. Recently, gold has been rising wildly under the stimulation of safe-haven. In this emotional market, you can only follow the trend, because gold keeps hitting new highs and no one knows where it will rise. However, don't chase more easily at high levels. After the volatility increases, the amplitude of each callback is not small. Opportunities are waiting. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to buy on callbacks and sell short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3405-3410 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3357-3360 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm
2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar📉💵 2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar! 🔥
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness after breaching key support levels. With interest rate cuts on the horizon and a shift in economic policy, we may be entering a new phase for the dollar’s normalization.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Resistance: 107.5 (Immediate resistance)
🔹 Key Mid Support: 100.95 (Next major level)
🔹 Final Target: 94.8 (Major support & potential bottom)
📰 Fundamental Factors Driving the Move
💡 Trump’s Dollar Policy: Historically, Trump has favored a weaker dollar to boost exports. His recent remarks during the Executive Order signing on January 23, 2025, reinforce this stance, as he pushes for interest rate cuts and lower energy costs.
Remarks by President Trump at Executive Order Signing (January 23, 2025):
Q: Mr. President, you said earlier that you would like to see interest rates come down.
THE PRESIDENT: Yeah.
Q: How much would you like to see them come down?
THE PRESIDENT: A lot.
Q: And will you talk with Powell?
THE PRESIDENT: I’d like to see them come down a lot, and oil prices will come down. And when oil prices come down, everything is going to be cheaper for the American people — and actually for the world — but for the American people. So, I’d like to see oil prices come down.
Q: Are you worried that there’s too much going on at once if you’re trying to bring interest rates down and get the economy back going?
THE PRESIDENT: No, no. It just works that way. I mean, it just economically works that way. When the oil comes down, it’ll bring down prices, then you won’t have inflation, and then the interest rates will come down.
Q: You said that you would demand that the interest rates come down. Do you expect the Fed to listen to you?
THE PRESIDENT: Yeah.
📉 What’s Next for the Dollar?
🔸 If 100.95 breaks, we could see further downside, testing the 94.8 region.
🔸 A retest of resistance at 107.5 would be a key test before further declines.
🔸 The global macro environment (oil prices, inflation, and geopolitical shifts) will heavily influence the dollar’s trajectory.
🌍 Economic & Geopolitical Impact
Beyond monetary policy, Trump’s trade and labor policies are also playing a role in shaping the inflation outlook. His push for tariffs and tighter immigration policies has led to higher labor costs, causing short-term inflation. However, on the global stage, Trump's potential deal with Putin to resolve the Ukraine conflict could help ease inflation worldwide by stabilizing supply chains and reducing geopolitical risks.
With Trump pushing for rate cuts, the Fed under pressure, and DXY losing momentum, could we see a full-scale dollar correction in 2025? Let’s discuss! ⏬
📢 Follow for more macro insights & market analysis!
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The FXPROFESSOR 💙
The 100 EMA Is Under Siege — Bulls Want BloodThis isn’t a relief bounce — it’s a systematic assault on the 100 EMA.
Bulls have been loading since $2.15 and now they're stacking pressure right at resistance.
Volume confirms it: this isn’t noise — it’s liquidity warfare.
MACD crossover brewing
Price printing green
Momentum is shifting
Quants aren’t chasing — they’re executing.
Above this level?
It’s vacuum territory to $2.85 — and every candle from here is a threat to the bears’ control panel.
SMR: The Nuclear Renaissance in Europe and the U.S.By Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
Following the impact of the war in Ukraine and the volatility of Russian gas supplies, Europe has accelerated its transition toward clean energy sources. By 2024, 48% of the EU's electricity mix already comes from renewables, 24% from nuclear power, and only 28% from fossil fuels. Spain is even further ahead, with renewables accounting for 55.8% of its electricity system. This evolution has led to a 59% reduction in CO₂ emissions and a 16% annual drop in the average price of electricity. However, the green transition faces challenges such as renewable intermittency, technological dependency, and a shortage of skilled personnel. In response, both Europe and the U.S. are reinforcing their commitment to nuclear energy, particularly through Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), a safer, more flexible, and more efficient technology.
SMRs offer key advantages: compact design, lower costs, and the ability to be installed near industrial centers or remote communities. In Europe, France is leading the charge through EDF, which expects to have its first NUWARD prototype operational before 2030. In the UK, Rolls-Royce is developing 470 MWe reactors with both public and private support, aiming to build up to 10 units by 2035. Meanwhile, Tractebel (ENGIE) is working on SMR engineering projects across Central and Eastern Europe.
In the U.S., SMR technology has gained momentum with support from the Department of Energy. NuScale Power was the first company to receive design approval from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), and although its Utah project was canceled, it maintains agreements with Canada, Romania, and Ukraine. Also notable is Oklo Inc., backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, which went public in 2024 with an innovative compact reactor. Other key players include Constellation Energy and Vistra Corp., which operate nuclear facilities, as well as private firms TerraPower (founded by Bill Gates) and X-energy—both federally funded. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) has funneled billions in incentives toward clean energy in the U.S., supporting both renewable and nuclear technologies. The transatlantic approach is clear: combine solar, wind, storage, and SMRs to achieve a clean, resilient, and competitive energy supply.
NuScale Power Corp. Analysis
On the hourly chart, NuScale entered an accumulation phase starting on October 24, 2024, pushing its price up to a peak of $32.30 by March 25, 2025. However, it has since lost momentum, largely due to the uncertainty triggered by U.S. tariff policies.
Currently, the stock is trending toward a key support zone around $16.75, a level that previously acted as resistance multiple times. The firmest support lies at $11.02, marking a recent low. The Point of Control (POC), which indicates the price level with the highest traded volume, currently stands at around $18.36—just above immediate resistance. The most active trading range is between $17.24 and $25.60.
Technical indicators show an RSI at 48.18%, suggesting slight overselling, though not extreme. Moving average crossovers are unclear, reflecting market indecision. This lack of bullish strength may prolong the current sideways movement. In the long term, if market sentiment improves and regulatory tensions ease, the stock could recover toward the mid-range zone of around $21.00.
Publicly Traded Energy Companies: Renewables and SMRs
Nuclear Energy and Small Modular Reactors (SMRs)
• EDF – 🇫🇷 Euronext Paris: EDF
• Tractebel (ENGIE) – 🇧🇪 Euronext Paris: ENGI
• Rolls-Royce SMR – 🇬🇧 LSE: RR
• NuScale Power – 🇺🇸 NYSE: SMR
• Oklo Inc. – 🇺🇸 NYSE: OKLO
• Constellation Energy – 🇺🇸 NASDAQ: CEG
• Vistra Corp. – 🇺🇸 NYSE: VST
• Cameco Corp (Uranium) – 🇨🇦 NYSE: CCJ
Private Companies to Watch
• TerraPower – 🇺🇸 (Bill Gates, Natrium Reactor)
• X-energy – 🇺🇸 (Xe-100 Reactor, DOE-funded)
Renewables and Energy Storage
• Iberdrola – 🇪🇸 BME: IBE
• Acciona Energía – 🇪🇸 BME: ANE
• Ørsted – 🇩🇰 CPH: ORSTED
• Enel – 🇮🇹 BIT: ENEL
• Siemens Energy – 🇩🇪 ETR: ENR
• Vestas Wind Systems – 🇩🇰 CPH: VWS
• First Solar – 🇺🇸 NASDAQ: FSLR
• NextEra Energy – 🇺🇸 NYSE: NEE
• Plug Power – 🇺🇸 NASDAQ: PLUG
• Bloom Energy – 🇺🇸 NYSE: BE
In this context, investment opportunities are expanding rapidly. Companies like EDF, Rolls-Royce, NuScale, Oklo, and Iberdrola are well positioned to lead the energy transition. The green revolution is no longer just about renewables—the new energy era is also nuclear.
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ENA/USDT Breakout Pattern (18.04.2025)The ENA/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.3015
2nd Resistance – 0.3217
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GOLD → Recovery after the FB of 0.5 fibo. What's next?FX:XAUUSD on Thursday tests 0.5 fibo, which I outlined to you on April 17, forms a false breakdown and recovers amid unstable geopolitical relations in the world. Price may continue its northward run.
The dollar continues to fall. The fundamental background depends on the relationship between the US and China as well as economic data especially after Powell's speech. The weekly session closes close to support, the decline may continue.
Gold after the shakeout is heading back north. Based on the fundamental background, the price may continue to rise. There are three days of downtime ahead as traders rest.
Fundamentally, anything can happen over the weekend, however, technically, the emphasis is on intermediate levels. The trend is still strong and bullish
Resistance levels: 3332, 3344, 3357
Support levels: 3313, 3288, 3284
If nothing supernatural happens over the weekend, gold in the Asian session may bounce off the nearest resistance and test trend support before continuing the uptrend. If there are any critical changes in the mood of countries/politicians then I will update the situation
Regards R. Linda!
Dollar has next 4 years (Be greedy when others are fearful)The world is changing fast, and the next four years may be strong for the U.S. dollar . This is not random— it's part of a cycle . Greed-fear cycle
Right now, humanity is entering a time where AI will take over most service-based jobs . Lawyers, designers, consultants—even coders—are slowly being replaced by machines. The entire service economy is becoming automated.
When that happens, only countries with real manufacturing will survive.
That’s why what President Trump said earlier about “bringing back manufacturing” makes full sense now.
When services become automated, tangible assets rise.
And the dollar may lead this shift.
RB - US Gasoline Futures to Decline due to Lower ConsumptionNYMEX: RBOB Gasoline Futures ( NYMEX:RB1! )
WTI crude oil futures declined 13.4% since the beginning of the year. It dropped as much as $20 from the mid-January peak of $80 a barrel, before recovering to $64 last week.
In my commentary on February 11th, “Reversal of US Energy Policy Could Push Crude Oil Lower”, I described the main reasons behind the oil market correction:
• US oil production will rise, benefiting from the new energy policy by President Trump as “Drill Baby Drill”
• OPEC+ to increase crude oil production, ending its voluntary production cuts
• Threats of Tariffs could curtail global oil demand
First, on March 31st, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (“EIA”) reported that U.S. field production of crude oil reached 13.146 million barrels per day (mb/pd), up 592 mb/pd or +4.7% from the year-ago level. This is the highest January production level since 1920!
Second, on April 3rd, the OPEC+ members met and decided to end the voluntary production cuts, gradually bringing back 2.2 mb/pd additional supply to the oil market.
Third, Reciprocal Tariff has brought the container shipping industry to its knees. MSC, Maersk, CMA CGM, and Hapag-Lloyd, which ferry goods for retail giants like Walmart, Target, and Home Depot, have seen sharp declines in booking. The tariff uncertainty caused many importers to cancel their orders. This could cause major consequences.
According to Statista, about 71% of the items sold on Amazon were sourced from China. The procurement for Christmas-season products has already begun. Without a US-China trade deal, US consumers could expect fewer gift options at higher prices. Inflation could rebound sooner, as merchants deplete their inventory and face a supply shortage.
This could hurt gasoline demand. On the one hand, higher shopping costs cut into consumer spending budget; on the other, fewer deals at retailers discourage shoppers from taking a trip.
On April 18th, American Automotive Association (“AAA”) reported that national average price for regular gas was $3.182 per gallon, down 14% from the year-ago level.
On April 19th, RBOB gasoline futures quoted $2.0839 per gallon, up 1.8% year-to-date. This contrasts sharply with the down trends in the spot market and the oil futures market.
The April EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (“STEO”) report states that U.S. retail price for regular gasoline averages $3.10 per gallon in its forecast for this summer (April–September), about 20 cents less than the previous forecast in March. The lower price forecast mostly reflects the expectation of lower crude oil prices. If realized, the forecast gasoline price would be the lowest inflation adjusted summer average price since 2020.
In my opinion, gasoline prices could stay relatively high during the peak summer driving season. After that, Gas prices could turn significantly lower through the end of the year.
Commitment of Traders shows bearish sentiment
The CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that on April 15th, total Open Interest (OI) for NYMEX RBOB Futures is 418,277 contracts. “Managed Money” (i.e., hedge funds) own 52,114 in Long, 36,615 in Short and 47,628 in Spreading positions.
• While they maintain a long-short ratio of 1.4:1, hedge funds have reduced long positions by 5,198 (-9%) while increasing short positions by 6,021 (+14%).
• This indicates that “Smart Money” is becoming less bullish on gasoline.
Trade Setup with RBOB Futures
If a trader shares a similar view, he could express his opinion by shorting the NYMEX RBOB Gasoline Futures ( CSE:RB ).
RB contracts have a notional value of 42,000 gallons of gasoline oil. With Friday settlement price of $2.0149, each September contract (RBU5) has a notional value of $84,626. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $5,840.
Hypothetically, a trader shorts September RB contract and RBOB prices drop to $1.90. A short futures position would gain $4,826 (= (2.0149 – 1.90) x $42000). Using the initial margin as a cost base, a theoretical return would be +82.6% (= 4826 / 5840).
The risk of shorting gasoline futures is rising oil and gas prices. Investors could lose part of or all their initial margin. A trader could set a stop loss while establishing his short position. In the above example, the trader could set stop-loss at $2.10 when entering the short order at $2.0149. If gasoline price continues to rise, the maximum loss would be $3,574 ( = (2.10 – 2.0149) *42000).
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
GBP/USD in terminal phase? This zone could flip everything!📊 Technical Analysis
Price is currently trading in a strong weekly/monthly resistance zone around 1.3390–1.3400, marked by a dense multi-layer supply area. Historically, this level has caused sharp rejections.
From the lows, price completed a steep bullish leg, breaking through several structures. However:
Momentum seems overstretched.
RSI shows potential overbought signals.
There's a likely bearish target zone between 1.2950 and 1.2850, which is a key demand area.
📌 Trade Setup:
I’m watching for exhaustion signals or bearish confirmations on H1 to short from the current resistance, targeting the grey and turquoise zones below 1.30.
🧾 COT Report – GBP
Large Speculators (Asset Managers) still hold a net short position, although they've reduced exposure in recent months.
Leverage Funds remain slightly long, but without strong conviction.
💵 COT Report – USD
Leverage Funds have turned significantly net long on the dollar (strong green line upward since March).
This supports a bearish view on GBP/USD, as USD strength returns.
📉 Summary:
Price is at a key decision zone. A technical correction is possible. COT data supports this view:
GBP remains weak on the institutional side.
USD is regaining strength.
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Rebounds in TandemMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Rebounds in Tandem
WTI Crude oil prices climbed higher above $60.00 and might extend gains.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices started a recovery wave above the $60.00 and $61.50 resistance levels.
- There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $63.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a recovery wave from $58.40 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $60.00 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The bulls pushed the price above the $61.50 and $62.00 resistance levels. The recent high was formed at $64.20 and the price started a downside correction. There was a minor move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59.87 swing low to the $64.18 high.
There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $63.00. The RSI is now below the 50 level. Immediate support on the downside is near the $62.0 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59.87 swing low to the $64.18 high.
The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $61.50 zone, below which the price could test the $59.90 level. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $58.40. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $56.20 support zone.
If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $64.20. The next major resistance is near the $65.00 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $68.50 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: Gold Extends Record RunMarket Analysis: Gold Extends Record Run
Gold price started a fresh surge above the $3,250 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a fresh surge and traded to a new record high at $3,384 against the US Dollar.
- A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,322 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,200 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,250 and $3,280 resistance levels.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,350. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,380 resistance zone. A new record high was formed near $3,384 and the price is now consolidating gains.
On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,362 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,283 swing low to the $3,384 high.
The next major support sits at $3,322. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,322. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,283 swing low to the $3,384 high.
A downside break below the trend line support might send the price toward the $3,282 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,242 support zone.
Immediate resistance is near the $3,384 level. The next major resistance is near the $3,388 level. An upside break above the $3,388 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,500. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,520 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Bitcoin crash back to $74,000I hope the chart is self explanatory as don't want to make this long. I added some trendlines for the visual learners.
Bitcoin did not meets its monthly correction target of $74000, we pump right before...Its not very wise to buy randomly- You want to buy at a key level for higher probability...If the bull run ought to continue. Don't you think for such a big move its more likely to react from important key levels where most the demand is waiting?
2ndly the weekly tf is still bearish. We flipped bullish on daily but price is high and struggling to clear 85k.
4hr already flipped back bearish.
Next point is that there is still a lot of uncertainty around tariffs, while market is not reacting to tariffs news as strongly as it did before its still factor of uncertainty. An important factor
Next point. In yesterdays Speech by Jerome powell he clearly stated that inflation likely to rise due to tariffs he also clearly stated they not ready to jump in and 'save the stock market' And he said they not looking to make any adjustments to interest rates at the moment. They still playing it cautious-waiting on more data.
For me the likely bottom signal when it comes to fundamental will be the lowering of interest rates.
On the bullish side, gold been making ATHs on a regular now and many are starting to speculate that bitcoin is next...that's a possibility but so far we haven't seen any strong sign of that narrative playing out in the chart.
I think this is 1 final trap before the actual continuation of the bull-run. For invalidation -I would like to see a very clear breakout out on the day and weekly closing above 89k with volume confirmation.
I called bitcoin top from December of last year with target of $74000. And its still in effect.
Now, let's see if am right again. I believe I am.
The Uptrend Continues
EUR/USD continues to rise and broke above the previous high this morning.
The next target, based on Fibonacci extension, is set at 1,1608.
The only valid trade opportunities are in the direction of the trend, ideally after a pullback.
Watch for a retest of the previous high and potential buying setups.
Wait for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio before entering and avoid using large position sizes!
Can AI Forge America's Next Shield?Palantir Technologies finds itself strategically positioned at the forefront of a potentially transformative U.S. defense initiative, the "Golden Dome" missile defense system. As a crucial partner in a consortium reportedly led by SpaceX and including Anduril Industries, Palantir is a leading contender for significant involvement in this multi-billion-dollar project. Golden Dome aims to establish a next-generation, networked shield against advanced missile threats, emphasizing rapid development and integration of space-based sensors and diverse defensive capabilities, moving beyond traditional procurement timelines.
Within this ambitious framework, Palantir's role leverages its core expertise in AI and large-scale data analytics. The company is anticipated to provide the essential software platform required to process and interpret data from potentially hundreds or thousands of tracking satellites, creating real-time situational awareness and enabling coordinated responses across the complex defense network. This involvement could also benefit from innovative procurement approaches, such as SpaceX's proposed subscription model, potentially securing stable, long-term revenue streams for Palantir.
Recent successes underscore Palantir's readiness for such a demanding role. The rapid adoption of its Maven Smart System by NATO validates its AI capabilities in high-stakes military environments, while its partnership with Vatn Systems demonstrates the utility of its platform in scaling and modernizing defense manufacturing. Securing a key position in the Golden Dome would represent a major strategic victory, solidifying Palantir's ascent as a disruptive force in the defense technology sector and signaling significant growth potential as it helps shape the future of national security.
JUSTDIAL LTD Falling Wedge (Bullish breakout)🔁 Chart Analysis Summary
Weekly RSI is reversing from oversold levels and shows bullish divergence.
Volume on breakout candle confirms strength.
Clear breakout above falling wedge indicates a trend reversal.
✅ Buy Recommendation
Buy above: ₹925 (Confirmation of breakout)
Target 1: ₹1,050
Target 2: ₹1,250
Target 3: ₹1,400+ (Long-term potential based on pattern projection)
❌ Stop Loss
SL: ₹840 (Below wedge support & recent low)
for educational purposes only
Gold fulfills weekly review expectations, Go long on the declineGold opened higher and continued to set new highs with strength, which is in line with our weekly review ideas and expectations. The weekly line closed with a full big positive, and there are still high points to be seen this week. After breaking the high on the daily line, it also continued to rise, and the shape remained strong. Before there is a high test and fall back, the short-term will continue to force a short rise, constantly setting new highs, and will not give the bears any breathing room. Therefore, the long idea remains unchanged this week. In the 4H cycle, it rebounded and strengthened relying on the middle track. The middle track support is at 3286, but the strong trend makes it difficult to have a large retracement space. The intraday short-term support remains at 3346, and if it is extremely strong, pay attention to the top and bottom support of 3358. In terms of operation, go long according to the strength of the decline, and gradually look up to 3380 and 3400. Short-term volatility increases. The specific layout is combined with the shape, and the notice before the market opens shall prevail!
Operation suggestion: Go long near gold 3346-3340, look at 3380, 3400! If it is very strong, buy gold at 3360-55!
Behind the Curtain: Bitcoin’s Surprising Macro Triggers1. Introduction
Bitcoin Futures (BTC), once viewed as a niche or speculative product, have now entered the macroeconomic spotlight. Traded on the CME and embraced by institutions through ETF exposure, BTC Futures reflect not only digital asset sentiment—but also evolving reactions to traditional economic forces.
While many traders still associate Bitcoin with crypto-native catalysts, machine learning reveals a different story. Today, BTC responds dynamically to macro indicators like Treasury yields, labor data, and liquidity trends.
In this article, we apply a Random Forest Regressor to historical data to uncover the top economic signals impacting Bitcoin Futures returns across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes—some of which may surprise even seasoned macro traders.
2. Understanding Bitcoin Futures Contracts
Bitcoin Futures provide institutional-grade access to BTC price movements—with efficient clearing and capital flexibility.
o Standard BTC Futures (BTC):
Tick Size: $5 per tick = $25 per tick per contract
Initial Margin: ≈ $102,000 (subject to volatility)
o Micro Bitcoin Futures (MBT):
Contract Size: 1/50th the BTC size
Tick Size: $5 = $0.50 per tick per contract
Initial Margin: ≈ $2,000
BTC and MBT trade nearly 24 hours per day, five days a week, offering deep liquidity and expanding participation across hedge funds, asset managers, and active retail traders.
3. Daily Timeframe: Short-Term Macro Sensitivity
Bitcoin’s volatility makes it highly reactive to daily data surprises, especially those affecting liquidity and rates.
Velocity of Money (M2): This lesser-watched indicator captures how quickly money circulates. Rising velocity can signal renewed risk-taking, often leading to short-term BTC movements. A declining M2 velocity implies tightening conditions, potentially pressuring BTC as risk appetite contracts.
10-Year Treasury Yield: One of the most sensitive intraday indicators for BTC. Yield spikes make holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin potentially less attractive. Declining yields could signal easing financial conditions, inviting capital back into crypto.
Labor Force Participation Rate: While not a headline number, sudden shifts in labor force data can affect consumer confidence and policy tone—especially if they suggest a weakening economy. Bitcoin could react positively when data implies future easing.
4. Weekly Timeframe: Labor-Driven Market Reactions
As BTC increasingly correlates with traditional markets, weekly economic data—especially related to labor—has become a mid-term directional driver.
Initial Jobless Claims: Spikes in this metric can indicate rising economic stress. BTC could react defensively to rising claims, but may rally on drops, especially when seen as signs of stability returning.
ISM Manufacturing Employment: This metric reflects hiring strength in the manufacturing sector. Slowing employment growth here could correlate with broader economic softening—something BTC traders can track as part of their risk sentiment gauge.
Continuing Jobless Claims: Tracks the persistence of unemployment. Sustained increases can shake risk markets and pull BTC lower, while ongoing declines suggest an improving outlook, which could help BTC resume upward movement.
5. Monthly Timeframe: Macro Structural Themes
Institutional positioning in Bitcoin increasingly aligns with high-impact monthly data. These indicators help shape longer-term views on liquidity, rate policy, and capital allocation:
Unemployment Rate: A rising unemployment rate could shift market expectations toward a more accommodative monetary policy. Bitcoin, often viewed as a hedge against fiat debasement and monetary easing, can benefit from this shift. In contrast, a low and steady unemployment rate may pressure BTC as it reinforces the case for higher interest rates.
10-Year Treasury Yield (again): On a monthly basis, this repeats and become a cornerstone macro theme.
Initial Jobless Claims (again): Rather than individual weekly prints, the broader trend reveals structural shifts in the labor market.
6. Style-Based Strategy Insights
Bitcoin traders often span a wide range of styles—from short-term volatility hunters to long-duration macro allocators. Aligning indicator focus by style is essential:
o Day Traders
Zero in on M2 velocity and 10-Year Yield to time intraday reversals or continuation setups.
Quick pivots in bond yields or liquidity metrics could coincide with BTC spikes.
o Swing Traders
Use Initial Jobless Claims and ISM Employment trends to track momentum for 3–10 day moves.
Weekly data may help catch directional shifts before they appear in price charts.
o Position Traders
Monitor macro structure via Unemployment Rate, 10Y Yield, and Initial Claims.
These traders align portfolios based on broader economic trends, often holding exposure through cycles.
7. Risk Management Commentary
Bitcoin Futures demand tactical risk management:
Use Micro BTC Contracts (MBT) to scale in or out of trades precisely.
Expect volatility around macro data releases—set wider stops with volatility-adjusted sizing.
Avoid over-positioning near major Fed meetings, CPI prints, or labor reports.
Unlike legacy markets, BTC can make multi-percent intraday moves. A robust risk plan isn’t optional—it’s survival.
8. Conclusion
Bitcoin has matured into a macro-responsive asset. What once moved on hype now responds to the pulse of the global economy. From M2 liquidity flows and interest rate expectations, to labor market stability, BTC Futures reflect institutional sentiment shaped by data.
BTC’s role in the modern portfolio is still evolving. But one thing is clear: macro matters. And those who understand which indicators truly move Bitcoin can trade with more confidence and precision.
Stay tuned for the next edition of the "Behind the Curtain" series as we decode the economic machinery behind another CME futures product.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.