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Fundamental Market Analysis for June 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened slightly against the US dollar during Friday's Asian session and moved away from the monthly low reached the day before. Data released by the Japanese government showed that the annual consumer price index (CPI) in May remained well above the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) target of 2%. This confirms market expectations that the BoJ will raise interest rates again and is a key factor driving the moderate growth of the JPY. Meanwhile, ongoing trade uncertainty and further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on investor sentiment, further strengthening the JPY's status as a safe haven. In addition, the moderate decline in the US dollar (USD) is pulling the USD/JPY pair back towards the psychological level of 145.000. However, expectations that the BoJ may keep rates unchanged until the first quarter of 2026, as well as the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish pause earlier this week, may limit the pair's losses. Market participants are paying extra attention to upcoming economic releases from the US, including inflation and labor market data, which could influence the Fed's monetary policy trajectory. If the statistics prove strong, this could strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the yen. However, the continuing weakness in the global economic recovery and high Japanese inflation continue to support expectations of a gradual tightening of BoJ policy, creating an ambiguous outlook for the USD/JPY exchange rate in the short term. Trading recommendation: SELL 145.400, SL 145.700, TP 144.300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Safe Entry Zone BTCBTC Current Movement Ranging. P.High's (Previous Highs) acts as good Support and resistance level. 4hh & 1D Green Zone Is Buying Zone. 4h Red Zone is Selling Zone. If No Buying Power showed at 4h Zone BTC will target 1D is safest Entry Zone. if price went above Red Zone BTC Movement will change to Up-Movement and Vice Versa Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M/1h TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5/1h Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Faisalzor
USD/JPY(20250620)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 145.32 Support and resistance levels: 146.35 145.96 145.72 144.93 144.68 144.30 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 145.72, consider buying, and the first target price is 145.96 If the price breaks through 145.32, consider selling, and the first target price is 144.93
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
1
WTI(20250620)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 74.33 Support and resistance levels: 77.40 76.25 75.51 73.15 72.40 71.26 Trading strategy: If it breaks through 73.15, consider buying, and the first target price is 75.00 If it breaks through 72.40, consider selling, and the first target price is 71.26
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors
The Midyear Mindset Reset: Reboot Your Trading Before Q3Because nothing says "trader growth" like admitting you’ve been winging it for six months. 👋 Welcome to Halftime — How’s Your P&L Looking? June’s closing bell isn’t just a date on the calendar — it’s that awkward moment where traders stare into the middle distance, coffee in hand, and quietly whisper: “Well… that went differently than I expected.” Whether you’ve been racking up wins, nursing drawdowns, or simply surviving market whiplash, midyear is nature’s way of handing you a clean slate. Before Q3 throws its inevitable curveballs, now’s your chance to pause, reset, and actually look at what the heck you’ve been doing. And, of course, prepare for the next batch of earnings reports . Spoiler: if your trading strategy this year has involved equal parts hope and caffeine, you’re not alone. 🔥 The Year So Far: Markets Kept It… Interesting Let’s quickly recap 2025 so far (because trauma processing is healthy). The Magnificent Seven? More like the Magnificent Two-And-A-Half. Meta NASDAQ:META and Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT ran victory laps while everyone else tripped over AI headlines or regulatory landmines. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA moonwalked into trillion-dollar territory, then stumbled after export bans — but somehow still has every fund manager whispering “Blackwell” like it’s a secret password. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD set new highs north of $110K (who needs fiat when you can have memes?). The Fed teased cuts, inflation teased persistence, and Trump teased… well, everyone. And summer trading arrived with its usual low-volume traps, giving us breakouts that break hearts and liquidity that disappears faster than your broker’s customer support. In short: volatility? Check. Opportunity? Absolutely. Discipline? That depends on whether you’re still following your rules or trading on vibes. By June, most traders have crafted elaborate narratives in their heads. You know the type: "This breakout is different," "The Fed has to cut next month," and "There’s no way Nvidia can keep running like this." The problem is, markets don’t care about your narrative. They care about price, volume, sentiment — and sometimes, absolute chaos. That beautifully clean chart setup? It’s not asking for your prediction. It’s begging you to respond with discipline, not bravado. The traders who thrived in the first half didn’t win by forecasting every twist in the macro plotline. They won by following the tape. The breakout happened? They took it. The stop-loss hit? They respected it. That’s not luck — that’s execution. 🫶🏻 Emotional Capital: The Real Balance You Should Be Watching P&L tells one story. Emotional capital tells another. By June, a lot of traders aren’t out of money — they’re out of discipline. They’ve been revenge trading after a string of losses, chasing AI headlines that already ran, and convincing themselves they can “make it all back” on the next oversized position. Do you know that feeling? Resetting your trading mindset at midyear means recalibrating that emotional bankroll. Start by reviewing your trading journal (yes, you’re supposed to have one ). Revisit the trades that made sense and the ones that make you cringe. Recognize your patterns — your strengths, but also your weaknesses. Success leaves clues and there are lessons in failures. 💭 Clean Up the Clutter There’s a special type of fatigue that sets in after six months of consuming too much trading content. You start layering on indicators like toppings at a frozen yogurt bar — RSI, MACD, Stochastics, VWAP, Fibonacci, Elliott Waves, Gann fans... until your charts light up like the billboards in Times Square. The truth is, the best traders heading into Q3 are simplifying. They’re not chasing complexity; they’re chasing clarity. They know their setups, they trust their process, and they wait for clean signals. Summer trading especially demands this discipline. Liquidity gets thinner, breakouts fail more often , and the tape gets choppy. Complex systems may amplify the noise. Strip it down. Focus on price structure. Simplify your strategy so you can execute when real opportunities appear — not when your 12th oscillator blinks green. ⚾ You Don’t Need a Home Run At this stage of the year, many traders fall into what we’ll call the desperate hero phase. They feel behind. They want to make up for drawdowns. They want “the trade” that fixes everything. If you’ve missed making bank over the first half of the year, chances are, you want to catch up — and fast. Here’s a secret: The best traders aren’t always looking for grand slams. They’re playing small ball too — consistent singles, tight risk, controlled losses, steady gains. Q3 isn’t about doubling your account. It’s about staying alive long enough for your edge to show up and play out. The traders who make it to year-end consistently profitable aren’t the ones chasing massive wins. They’re the ones compounding quiet, boring, disciplined trades. Midyear Reset: Your Q3 Trading Checklist Here’s your brutally simple plan for the back half: ✅ Journal your biggest mistakes from H1 ✅ Cut your watchlist in half ✅ Size smaller than feels exciting ✅ Trust clean setups over crowded trades ✅ Stay curious — but stay selective ✅ Leave the FOMO trades to the TikTok influencers So the real question heading into Q3 isn’t whether markets will go up or down. It’s whether you will trade better or keep winging it. Happy midyear reset. Trade smarter, not harder.
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
16
Gold Broke Out – Another Drop Loading?OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold is attempting a rebound but faces strong resistance near $3,364–$3,368, where previous support converges with the descending trendline (TL1). A clear rejection here could resume the bearish momentum. Technically, the price is hovering just below the TL1 resistance. The zone around $3,368 is critical — if bulls fail to reclaim this area, we could see a move back toward the $3,326 support, with a deeper target near weekly support at $3,310. 📉 A rejection around current levels = high probability drop 📈 Break and hold above TL1 = potential short-term reversal 🧠 Macro Check: Despite intensifying Middle East tensions (Israel-Iran conflict escalating, Trump weighing intervention), gold remains under pressure. The Fed’s hawkish hold, persistent inflation, and a strong dollar continue to weigh on bullion in the near term. 🔍 Key Levels: Resistance: $3,364–$3,368 (structure + TL1) Support: $3,326 / $3,310 Bias: Bearish below $3,368 Setup Idea: Watch for rejection near resistance for short setups toward $3,326 and $3,310
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
Gold price analysis June 20Daily candle continues to show the dispute while the Sellers are dominating. Today there may be a deep sweep and then recovery at the end of the day. Yesterday and this morning's 3343 zone did not sweep, so we cancel this zone. BUY must wait until below 3323. Note additional daily support at 3296 for today's 2 buy strategies. 3362 gives a SELL Breakout signal in the Asia-Europe session. If Gold closes back above 3362, then BUY will go up to 3400, the target of the two upper resistance zones remains the same as yesterday at 3415 and 3443
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GBPJPY I Expect a Rally from the Buy Zone in the 1H Time FrameDescription: I'm viewing the 195.116–194.845 range on GBPJPY as a strong buy zone. My target is 196.088. Once the trade setup becomes active or the target is reached, I’ll be sharing an update here. Stay tuned! I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
Long
by TraderTilki
18
GOLD → Continuation of the global trend... To 3350?FX:XAUUSD is testing trend support within a correction. Against a complex fundamental backdrop (the Middle East, Fed comments, Trump's desire to lower rates), the price may continue to rise. The price of gold rose from a weekly low of $3,363 on Thursday thanks to increased demand for safe-haven assets following reports of possible US strikes on Iran. Markets are ignoring the Fed's hawkish decision to maintain its tight policy and rate forecasts. Traders are waiting for new signals from the Middle East, given the risk of increased volatility due to low liquidity in connection with the US holiday. Technically, a bullish wedge pattern is forming as part of the correction. The breakdown of the pattern's support did not lead to a decline, but a return of prices and a breakout of resistance could trigger growth after liquidity returns. Resistance levels: 3373, 3403, 3420 Support levels: 3349, 3320 Before growth, a retest of the trend support or the 3350 zone is possible. However, if the price goes above 3375 and the bulls hold their ground above this level, then we can expect growth to continue within the trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
NXPCUSDT → The coin is being killed. Searching for a new bottomNXPCUSDT is testing the bottom at 1.1675 while Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies are in a global/local bullish trend... NXPCUSDT is showing its weakness in the cryptocurrency market. There is no potential or driver for the coin, and it continues to be killed... Against the backdrop of a growing market and Bitcoin forming a bullish trend, the NXPC coin is testing the bottom... After a strong and long-term decline, the NXPC coin is forming a flat (consolidation) in the range of 1.5637 - 1.1675. A pre-breakdown base is forming relative to support, which could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation downwards... Resistance levels: 1.2532 Support levels: 1.1675 Focus on support for the range and bottom in the current coin at 1.1675. This is a risk zone and a panic zone. If the price breaks out of this consolidation, there are no obstacles below and the fall could be aggressive. A breakout of the consolidation support could trigger a continuation of the rally or a decline with the aim of forming a new bottom... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
AAPL: Premium PlayApple beat expectations this quarter—revenue, profit, EPS—all slightly better than analysts hoped. But the stock dropped to $196.26, down from $212.83. Why? Investors are still worried about tariffs, margin pressure, and supply chain changes. Tim Cook talked about strong product sales (iPhone, Mac, iPad) and all-time high Services revenue. But he also admitted tariffs and regulatory issues are weighing on Apple’s outlook. My Covered Call Strategy I’m selling the $202.5 call and buying the $210 call for June 27, 2025. Big money seems to be doing the same—there was a huge premium sale over $2 million, likely betting Apple stays range-bound short term. - Why this works: - Resistance near $202.50 gives me a clear ceiling - Apple fundamentals are strong, but macro risk caps upside Chart Notes - Resistance: $202.50 and $210 - Support: Around $192.50 Bottom line: I like this trade as a way to bring in income while defining my risk. If Apple grinds sideways or pushes a bit higher, the trade still pays. Clean structure, high odds.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Wiiso
Gold continues to fluctuate, and range operations are effective!Gold opened high on Monday and then fell sharply. On Tuesday, it fluctuated and corrected with a cross-yang line. On Wednesday, the overall trend was also volatile. However, after the Fed's interest rate decision was announced on Wednesday, the price of gold fell to around 3362. The low point of this decline was just supported by the 10-day moving average. From a technical point of view, the support of the 10-day moving average at 3350 has become a key point. If this support can be effectively maintained, the gold price is expected to maintain a volatile pattern; once it breaks down, the short-selling force may continue, and then it will be necessary to look at the support of the 20-day moving average near 3350. In terms of upper resistance, the 5-day moving average is currently near 3390, which will suppress the upward movement of gold prices. Further resistance depends on the gains and losses of 3405. There is not much change in the 4-hour chart. The lower track has not opened, and the support of 3360 is strong. It is still a bullish trend. However, it is worth noting that in the continuous rebound, the Bollinger middle track suppression point has not been broken. Relatively speaking, gold is weak and volatile in the medium term. Under the trend today, if it continues to rise, we must pay attention to the gains and losses of the dense suppression point 3405. If 3405 is broken, the trend strength will come out and we can see the high point of 3430. For intraday trading, we still maintain high-altitude and low-multiple, waiting for the trend strength to break through the space, and we are bullish above the support of 3350 during the day. Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to short at the rebound of 3385-3390, with a target of 3370-3365; gold falls back to 3350-3355 and buys, with a target of 3375-3385;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
S&P 500: The Wedge, the Oil, and the Yen The S&P 500 SP:SPX OANDA:SPX500USD CME_MINI:ES1! AMEX:SPY appears to have completed a rising ending diagonal — a classic reversal structure. The 6050 zone stands out as strong resistance — notably, no monthly candle has ever closed above this level. 🧭 Minimum correction targets: filling the weekly FVG a retest of the 20-week moving average retracement to the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci zone from the recent leg 📌 Fundamentals support the downside: Iran–Israel tensions are pushing oil prices higher → which fuels inflation expectations Rising CPI in Japan may accelerate the carry trade unwind and lead to a stronger yen OANDA:USDJPY Seasonality also leans bearish during the summer months ⚠️ Bottom line: momentum is fading. A cooling phase is likely next — time to focus on risk management.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by shakatrade1_618
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 20, 2025🧭 Market Context Following FOMC volatility and a Wednesday bullish reaction off 3351, XAUUSD is now hovering near 3370. The structure remains compressed between a flat EMA cluster and a key supply zone above. Thursday may bring low-to-moderate volatility early on, but watch for reaction after Philly Fed Manufacturing and CB Leading Index data during NY. Also, stay alert for a tentative Fed Monetary Policy Report release that may trigger later-session volatility. 🔍 Structural Overview Daily Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish H4 Trend: Still respecting higher lows but price is trapped under dynamic resistance H1–M15: Consolidation between 3351 demand and 3388 supply RSI: Mixed; compression between 47–55 EMA Flow: Flat on M30/H1; slight compression building for breakout Liquidity Pools: Resting buy-side above 3388 Resting sell-side below 3351 and deeper toward 3340 📍 Key Zones to Watch 🔵 BUY ZONE #1 – 3345–3352 🔹 Demand zone | Previous NY reversal base 🔹 M15 OB + EQ zone + liquidity sweep 🔹 Below full EMA stack → oversold entry if NY flushes pre-news 🔵 BUY ZONE #2 – 3328–3340 🔹 Deeper HTF demand + RSI oversold potential 🔹 Bullish CHoCH reaction zone from last week 🔹 High RR for recovery play if price collapses during NY news 🔴 SELL ZONE #1 – 3384–3395 🔸 Rejected on FOMC wicks 🔸 Key supply zone + EMA200 (M30/H1) 🔸 Fakeout zone → valid if price spikes before NY volatility 🔴 SELL ZONE #2 – 3405–3415 🔸 Secondary high liquidity trap 🔸 Last bullish FVG inefficiency 🔸 To be used only in case of irrational spikes post-data 🟠 FLIP ZONE – 3368–3375 🔸 Compression zone + recent CHoCH 🔸 EMA50 (M15–H1) aligning 🔸 Watch for breakout and real volume entry → flip zone into continuation 📌 Note: Tomorrow’s news events: Philly Fed Manufacturing Index CB Leading Index m/m Fed Monetary Policy Report (Tentative) This could bring range plays early and a directional break later. Stay patient and wait for confirmation inside zones. Flip zone is ideal for quick scalps if volume picks up. 🔥 Stay sharp and don’t force trades in pre-news chop. Clean zones only. Tag us if you’re using the plan, and don’t forget: 🧠 Think in structure. Enter in precision. – GoldFxMinds 🟢 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
5
10 YEAR US GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD . the US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) stands at 4.39%-4.5%,The 10-year yield is a key benchmark for long-term interest rates in the United States and is closely watched by investors as an indicator of market sentiment regarding economic growth, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy. The yield has been rising recently, reflecting investor concerns about US fiscal policy, inflation, and the outlook for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (June 2025) The Federal Reserve held its key interest rate steady at 4.25%–4.50% at its June 2025 meeting. This marks the fourth consecutive meeting with no change in rates, as the Fed continues its cautious, data-dependent approach amid persistent inflation and moderate economic growth. The Fed’s latest “dot plot” and projections indicate that two 25-basis-point rate cuts are still possible by the end of 2025, but expectations for cuts in 2026 and beyond have been reduced. Key Drivers and Outlook Yield Movements: The 10-year yield has climbed amid concerns about US fiscal deficits, credit rating downgrades, and the impact of tariffs and trade policy on inflation. Fed’s Tone: The FOMC statement and projections reflect ongoing stagflationary pressures—slower growth, persistent inflation, and a slightly rising unemployment rate. Market Expectations: Markets are pricing in two rate cuts by year-end, most likely in September and December, but nearly half of Fed officials see little or no room for cuts in 2025 if inflation remains sticky. Conclusion The US 10-year Treasury yield remains elevated as markets weigh fiscal risks, inflation, and the Fed’s cautious stance. The Fed is holding rates steady but signaling that two rate cuts remain possible in 2025, with future moves highly dependent on incoming data, especially inflation and labor market trends. Investors should expect continued yield volatility as economic and policy uncertainties persist.
TVC:US10YLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold-----sell near 3393, target 3380-3366Gold market analysis: Yesterday, gold was basically a repeated shock, the K line was repaired at one position, and buying and selling were back and forth around the M side of the suppression platform 3405. Yesterday, our analysis was completely in line with our expectations. Yesterday, we also repeatedly arranged 5 sell orders, arranging 3382 break sell, 3387 sell, 3393 sell, 3382 sell, 3377 sell. Today's idea is to continue selling. The daily line cannot determine the bottom of this wave of decline. There are data in European and American time today. I think we can rely on the 3405 platform to be bearish before the data. If 3405 breaks, we adjust our thinking to be bullish. Otherwise, we can sell repeatedly. Gold is oscillating in the short term. Try not to chase it and wait for it to rebound and suppress the position to sell. In addition, the daily moving average suppression position of the moving average is 3396-3363, which is also the main reason for its repeated game at this position. The weekly buying momentum is not dead yet. Be cautious of its rocket in the second half of the week. In today's Asian session, we will first focus on the suppression of 3395. The risk of taking more is relatively large. The low point below is not stable. The Asian session fell to 3370 and rebounded quickly. From the perspective of the pattern, 3372-3366 is the support. The suppression position of the 1H hourly moving average is near 3395. Yesterday's US session rebounded at around 3396, and the hourly K suppression position was 3400. All the above are suppressed. In addition, the opening position today is also near 3393. Pressure 3393, 3400, 3405, support 3382, 3370, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3382. Fundamental analysis: In the previous fundamentals, we have been paying attention to geopolitical factors. The situation in the Middle East has indeed changed the way gold and crude oil are traded. Today we focus on the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, and there is also a speech by Chairman Powell during the US session. Operation suggestions: Gold-----sell near 3393, target 3380-3366
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NuggetsWarriors
3