XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – July 14, 2025Hey team 👋 and welcome to a fresh new week on the charts!
We’re starting this Monday without any major news — just pure price action, clean zones, and structure doing all the talking. No distractions. No excuses. Let’s lock in our focus and let the market show us where the edge is.
🔸 Bias: Bearish while below 3390
Last week’s rejection from the H1 premium zone (around 3375) created clear signs of exhaustion. Price is now forming lower highs and lower lows, with clean CHoCHs on both H1 and M15. Until we reclaim 3390, we remain bearish — waiting for the next lower high to form.
🔽 Sniper Sell Zones (above current price)
3360–3370 → H1 premium FVG + CHoCH OB + EMA5 cap
3380–3390 → Inducement zone + internal imbalance + RSI divergence
🔼 Sniper Buy Zones (below current price)
3310–3320 → Discount FVG + BOS base + HL support
3280–3290 → Final HL structure zone + fib 61.8% + OB + RSI oversold
🟡 Decision Zone:
3330–3340 → Neutral zone
→ Wait for break and retest or rejection confirmation.
→ No setup = no trade.
🧠 Battle Plan – Execution Scenarios:
🔴 Scenario A – Bearish Setup Active:
If price returns to 3360–3370 or 3380–3390 and shows M15/M30 rejection → enter short.
Target: 3330 → 3310.
If 3390 is broken and held → cancel short bias.
🟢 Scenario B – Bullish Setup Activated:
If price sweeps 3320 or 3290 and reacts with strong bullish PA (engulfing or CHoCH) → enter long.
Target: 3340 → 3360.
No confirmation = stay flat, do not anticipate.
🟡 Scenario C – No Reaction / Choppy Flow:
If price consolidates between 3330–3340 without clean rejection or break → wait.
Let price show its hand. Today is Monday — we need clarity, not emotion.
Every level in this plan was drawn with purpose — no shortcuts, no borrowed zones.
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📎 Trade Nation Disclaimer
Chart and structure based on Trade Nation broker feed on TradingView. For educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Gold Weekly Outlook -14-19th July🟡 Gold Weekly Outlook – Bullish Momentum Tested at Key Support
Welcome to a new trading week! Gold remains in a broader uptrend, though recent price action is testing a critical support zone that could define the next directional move.
🔹 Key Zone in Focus: $3,308
Gold is currently testing the $3,308 level, a major support area from previous consolidation. How price reacts here will shape the near-term outlook.
🔼 Upside Scenario (Rebound from $3,308):
$3,387 – Initial resistance and breakout target
$3,400 – Key psychological and structural level
$3,435 – Long-term resistance zone from weekly charts
🔽 Downside Scenario (Break below $3,308):
$3,290 – Minor support
$3,268 – Stronger demand zone with historical buying interest
Outlook: The bullish bias remains valid as long as Gold holds above $3,308. A daily close below would shift momentum to the downside, opening up lower support levels.
📉 Weekly Chart (High Timeframe Outlook)
Bias: Bullish, but signs of exhaustion are emerging
Current Candle: Bearish rejection forming after last week’s lower high
Trend: Still upward, but stalling inside a distribution-like pattern
Weekly Structure:
Major CHoCH in early 2023 triggered the ongoing uptrend
Price made a Higher High near $3,500, but it appears weak
Now consolidating inside a premium range, rejecting upper levels
🔑 Weekly Confluence Zones:
Type Price Zone Confluence Factors
🔼 Resistance $3,490–$3,500 Weak high + RSI divergence + FVG
🔼 Supply $3,450–$3,470 Imbalance fill + overextended EMA5
🔽 Support $3,355–$3,320 Weekly order block + FVG zone
🔽 Deep Demand $3,200–$3,170 Last strong demand + BOS origin
Fibonacci: 50% retracement sits near $3,250
Weekly RSI: Rolling over from overbought – potential early trend cracks
EMAs (5/21/50): Still bullish but flattening – short-term caution
🔍 Key Weekly Watchpoints:
Close above $3,470 → possible sweep into $3,500 resistance
Failure to hold $3,355–$3,320 → deeper drop toward $3,200
Watch for lower high formation inside premium = bearish shift
A bounce from $3,320 must be supported by volume and FVG reaction
📊 Daily Chart (D1) – Compression Near Supply
Bias: Neutral with rising bearish pressure
Trend: Still bullish overall, but compressing between supply and mid-range zones
Current Position:
Price capped below $3,395
Bearish CHoCH formed, but no daily BOS yet
EMAs are narrowing; RSI is flat → signs of indecision
🔑 Daily Zones to Watch:
Type Price Range Highlights
🔼 Supply $3,448–$3,465 Daily OB + EMA divergence + trap zone
🔼 LH OB $3,385–$3,395 Internal supply + EMA21 rejection
🔽 Mid FVG $3,328–$3,310 Fib midpoint + previous reaction zone
🔽 Strong OB $3,260–$3,245 Unmitigated OB + 61.8% fib retracement
Fibonacci: Pullback to $3,310 = mid-point of the last bullish impulse
EMAs (5/21/50): Bearish crossover, but no strong divergence
RSI: Neutral – awaiting price action confirmation
📌 Trade Scenarios:
Bearish: Rejection at $3,385–$3,395 → fall toward $3,310, then $3,245
Bullish: Clean break + retest above $3,395 → short squeeze into $3,460 liquidity
⏱️ 4H Chart – Intraday Bias: Bearish (Below $3,420)
Bias: Bearish unless price reclaims and holds above $3,420
Structure: Lower high formation likely; recent CHoCH may be inducement
Context: Filled FVGs + untested OBs in premium → caution warranted
RSI: Near exhaustion
🔼 Zones Above Price:
$3,445–$3,465 – Weak high + unfilled FVG = likely bull trap
$3,405–$3,420 – Lower high resistance zone; likely turning point
$3,360–$3,385 – Core supply from CHoCH + EMA21 dynamic resistance
🔽 Zones Below Price:
$3,340–$3,355 – Minor support; could break easily
$3,300–$3,280 – Key demand zone at 50% fib retracement
$3,240–$3,210 – Major support; origin of the last HL
$3,185–$3,160 – Final liquidity zone; break here would invalidate June rally
🎯 Intraday Trade Setups:
🔻 Bearish Setup (Preferred):
Rejection from $3,405–$3,420
Forms a lower high → clean drop toward $3,300
Confirmation: bearish engulfing or wick rejection on M30–H1
🔺 Bullish Breakout (Less Likely):
Strong break + hold above $3,420
Upside extension into $3,445–$3,465 zone
Must be supported by dovish macro events (e.g., soft CPI or FOMC tone)
Note: That zone remains weak liquidity, so not ideal for holding longs
📌 Final Word
Gold’s bullish trend is intact while price holds above $3,308, but momentum is slowing.
The battle between bulls and bears is happening in the $3,300–$3,395 range. A break outside this zone will likely define the trend for the week ahead.
Stay disciplined, watch for key confirmations, and manage risk carefully.
USDJPY Analysis : Major Move Loading Towards Target Zone🕵️♂️ Overview
The USDJPY pair is approaching a critical turning point within a well-established descending channel structure. After several months of corrective movement and internal structure shifts, the market is now displaying multiple layers of confluence pointing toward an impending major reaction or reversal. Let’s break down this chart step by step.
🧱 Market Structure Analysis
🔹 Descending Channel:
The entire chart is governed by a broad descending channel, with price making lower highs and lower lows since early March.
Each touch of the channel support has led to a bounce, and the price is now once again near channel resistance, creating a possible reaction zone.
🔹 Volume Contraction Phase:
In the mid-section of the chart, we observe volume contraction, indicating liquidity drying up and buyers/sellers entering a phase of uncertainty.
This contraction is typical in accumulation or re-accumulation phases, which often precede strong impulsive moves — exactly what followed here.
🧩 Structural Breaks and Trendline Clarity
🔸 Minor Break of Structure:
A recent high was taken out in early July, marking a minor break of structure (BOS), showing the first signs of bulls taking short-term control.
🔸 Major Break of Structure:
A more significant high (marked on the chart) has also been broken, confirming a major BOS — this implies institutional positioning or a shift in market sentiment.
🔸 Trendline Break – Extra Confirmation:
The bullish push came after breaking a clean internal trendline, which acted as diagonal resistance.
Once this trendline broke, price aggressively accelerated upward — this is a classic market maker cycle (MMC) Phase 2 (expansion) move.
📍 Confluence at Next Reversal Zone (149.00 – 150.00)
The green highlighted zone is the next potential area for bearish pressure to return, based on:
Key Supply Zone: Historical area where sellers previously dominated.
Channel Resistance Confluence: Top of the descending channel aligns with this zone.
Psychological Level: 150.00 is a major psychological round number — often attracts profit-taking and institutional activity.
Fibonacci (if plotted): Likely 78.6% – 88.6% retracement from last swing high.
Overextended Rally: Price has rallied strongly since early July with very little correction — it’s approaching exhaustion.
🔄 Market Maker Cycle (MMC) Alignment
This move perfectly reflects the Market Maker Cycle:
Accumulation: During volume contraction phase.
Manipulation: Fakeouts near channel support to trap shorts.
Expansion: Break of structure + trendline, aggressive rally.
Distribution (Next): Likely to occur at the 149–150 zone with a sharp rejection.
🧠 Trader’s Plan – What to Look For
📈 If Bullish:
Targets: 148.80 to 149.80 zone
Hold until rejection signs (bearish candles, volume spikes, divergences)
SL: Below recent swing low/trendline (~146.00)
📉 If Bearish (After Rejection):
Watch for:
Strong bearish engulfing candle or shooting star
RSI/MACD divergence (not shown but suggested)
Break of short-term ascending trendline
Targets: Back toward 145.50 or mid-channel (dynamic)
🔖 Summary
USDJPY is showing clear signs of bullish exhaustion near the upper channel resistance and major structure levels. If price respects this zone (149–150), expect a healthy corrective leg or full reversal. Multiple layers of technical evidence, including structure breaks, trendline breach, and MMC phases, are aligning for a high-probability play.
This is a textbook setup for experienced traders watching key zones with proper confirmations.
XAGUSD Weekly Analysis (MMC) : Bullish Channel Toward Target🧠 1. Trend Shift Confirmed – Silver in Full Bullish Momentum
Silver has officially broken free from its multi-year sideways range and has entered a well-defined ascending channel, pushing toward higher highs week after week. The momentum is strong and supported by a combination of technical elements, structure shifts, and clean retests.
The trend is now clear: bullish, with the price aiming for the Next Reversal Zone between $46 and $48 — a level not seen since mid-2020.
🔷 2. Blue Ray Break – Start of the Rally
The breakout began with a clean move above the Blue Ray trendline, a key structure that had suppressed Silver’s growth for several years.
As the chart notes:
“Blue Ray Always Continue Trend” — until broken.
Once Silver broke above this resistance, it not only confirmed the trend reversal but also triggered the formation of a new bullish market structure, supported by aggressive buying.
🔁 3. SR – Interchange Zone Holding Strong
The SR Interchange zone (around $27 – $30) has played a critical role in this breakout. It acted as:
Resistance during the multi-year range.
Then Support after the breakout, confirming a classic Support-Resistance Flip (SRF).
This zone now serves as a solid demand base, giving the rally a stable foundation to push higher.
🪙 4. QFL Formation – Momentum Confirmation
The breakout also aligns with a QFL (Quick Flip Level) structure — a powerful bullish continuation pattern.
QFL setups form when price breaks above a former base, pulls back slightly, and then quickly resumes the upward trend.
This indicates that buyers are aggressive and unwilling to let price fall too far, fueling a rally.
Combined with the ascending channel, the QFL structure gives extra confidence that Silver is on track to reach the $46–$48 Reversal Zone.
📏 5. Trendline & Channel – Price Structure in Control
Silver is currently moving cleanly within an ascending parallel channel, respecting both upper resistance and lower support trendlines. The inner trendline has been tested multiple times, and price is now riding its upper half.
This shows:
Buyers are in control.
Each correction is shallow.
Market confidence is growing week after week.
Expect volatility to increase as Silver approaches the next target area.
🎯 6. Next Reversal Zone: $46 – $48
The green box at the top marks the Next Reversal Zone, where Silver might:
Stall temporarily and consolidate.
Or face a pullback back toward the mid-channel line or lower support.
This zone corresponds to:
Historical supply area (2020 highs)
Strong psychological resistance
Potential profit-taking by institutions or swing traders
🔭 Trade Scenarios to Watch
✅ Bullish Continuation:
If Silver maintains support above $36 and remains inside the ascending channel, we may see a smooth ride into the reversal zone. Look for:
Break-and-retest of the midline
Bullish candles with long wicks on dips
⚠️ Short-Term Rejection:
If price reaches $46–$48 and shows signs of exhaustion (like long upper wicks, evening star, or bearish engulfing), expect a healthy pullback toward $35–$36 or even $32.
As long as the ascending structure holds, bulls remain in control.
🧩 Key Technical Levels
Element Zone / Level Action
SR Interchange Support $27 – $30 Strong demand zone
Blue Ray Breakout Confirmed Trend reversal signal
QFL Zone Around $36 Retest and rally confirmation
Reversal Zone $46 – $48 High-probability reaction area
Trendline Support Dynamic ($35–$36) Bullish channel continuation
📌 Final Thoughts:
Silver is now playing in the big leagues again. With the Blue Ray broken, QFL confirmed, and price following a disciplined trendline channel, this rally looks both technically sound and fundamentally strong.
Watch the $46–$48 zone carefully. Whether price rejects or breaks through, there will be high-probability setups for both breakout traders and dip buyers.
Stay disciplined, don’t chase, and let price give you confirmation.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – July 15, 2025After a sharp early-week move, gold is now pressing into H4 supply with clean CHoCHs and clear inducement in play. With CPI data and multiple FOMC speakers on deck, volatility is rising — and so are the opportunities. Let’s break down the current structure.
🔸 H4 Market Bias
Bias: Bearish unless we close firmly above 3420
Structure: Internal bearish flow remains → HL formed at 3210 → CHoCH → current move likely inducement
Context: Price has filled key FVGs and is testing unmitigated OBs in premium, with RSI approaching exhaustion
🔼 Zones Above Current Price:
3445–3465:
This is the weak high and final layer of buy-side liquidity. It includes an unfilled FVG and marks the upper limit of the premium range. If price reaches this zone, it’s likely to act as a trap before a deeper rejection.
3405–3420:
A clean imbalance zone left after the initial CHoCH push. It has already shown rejection once and is now positioned as the key area where a lower high could form. If price reacts here, it confirms continuation to the downside.
3360–3385:
This is the core supply OB, created from the CHoCH. It also aligns with the premium boundary and EMA21 resistance. Current price is already reacting here. Rejection confirms the bearish bias.
🔽 Zones Below Current Price:
3340–3355:
A minor wick-fill zone from past reactions. It may provide a small pause, but it’s structurally weak and more likely to break on momentum. Not a major support.
3300–3280:
This is the key intraday demand zone. It’s built from a previous BOS and sits at the 50% retracement of the last bullish leg. If this zone breaks, we open up deeper downside potential.
3240–3210:
The strongest demand OB on the chart. This is the HL origin and the 61.8% fib zone. If gold reaches here, expect a major decision: bounce or break.
3185–3160:
The final liquidity base under the higher low. If price sweeps this zone, it signals a major shift — potentially invalidating the June rally structure.
📊 Indicators & Flow Notes:
EMAs (5/21): Crossed bullishly, but testing overextension at 3360
RSI: Leaning overbought → potential for rejection at current zone
Volume: Bearish pressure expected if price fails to close above 3385
Fibonacci (last bullish leg): 50% sits at 3285; 61.8% near 3250
🧠 Trade Scenarios:
🔸 Bearish Setup (preferred):
→ Reject inside 3405–3420 → form LH under 3420 → clean drop toward 3300
→ Ideal confirmation = rejection wick or bearish engulfing on M30–H1
🔸 Bullish Breakout (less likely):
→ Break and hold above 3420 = potential squeeze into 3445–3465
→ Must be supported by CPI upside miss or dovish FOMC tone
→ But 3445–3465 remains weak liquidity — not a safe continuation zone
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Chart and structure based on Trade Nation broker feed on TradingView. For educational purposes only — not financial advice.
BTCUSD Weekly Analysis : Testing $130K Resistance + Next Target📌 1. Big Picture – Bitcoin is in a Parabolic Uptrend
This chart clearly shows that Bitcoin has shifted from a consolidation phase into a full-blown parabolic rally. That’s not just random growth — it’s an aggressive, momentum-driven market move that usually only happens during major bull cycles.
The curve shown in black — labeled “Black Mind Curve Support” — is your guide here. It's not a simple trendline. It shows how Bitcoin is accelerating upward, and this curve acts as a dynamic support. Every time price dips to it, buyers jump in fast — which shows strong bullish pressure and market confidence.
🔍 2. Blue Ray Broken = Trend Change Confirmed
Earlier, BTC was stuck under the Blue Ray, a long-term resistance trendline. As marked:
“Blue Ray Always Continue Trend”
That means, as long as price stays under it, the market is bearish. But guess what?
BTC broke above it — strongly.
That break confirmed a reversal in long-term structure, and it triggered this massive upward move. This breakout also aligned with a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, further confirming that bulls are now in full control.
🧠 3. Current Situation – Heading Into Mini Reversal Zone
Now BTC is trading around $117,820, and it's approaching the green box labeled Mini Reversal Zone — between $125,000 and $135,000.
Why is this area important?
It’s a psychological zone (big round numbers).
It lines up with historical resistance and previous supply zones.
It’s where smart money might take some profit, so we could see rejection or a short-term pullback here.
🎯 4. Two Scenarios to Watch
✅ Scenario A: Mini Pullback & Retest
BTC hits the Mini Reversal Zone → stalls → pulls back → retests the Black Mind Curve → bounces again.
That’s bullish and normal in a healthy uptrend. If you missed earlier entries, this pullback could be your golden opportunity.
🚀 Scenario B: Breakout of Reversal Zone
If Bitcoin breaks above $135K with strong momentum and closes the weekly candle high, we may see another parabolic rally toward $140K+.
This would mean even stronger buyer interest, possibly driven by FOMO, ETFs, or macro news.
📉 What Could Invalidate the Bullish Move?
Only if BTC:
Breaks below the Black Mind Curve, and
Starts closing weekly candles under $105K–$100K
That would mean the curve is broken, momentum is lost, and we might go into a consolidation or deeper correction.
But for now? No signs of weakness. Trend is strong, volume is rising, and price action is clean.
🧩 Summary of Key Levels
Type Level Notes
Curve Support Dynamic ($105K–$110K) Critical for trend continuation
Mini Reversal Zone $125K – $135K Watch for rejection or breakout
Bullish Target $140K+ If breakout holds above reversal zone
Trend Indicator Black Mind Curve As long as price rides this, bulls are in control
📌 Final Thoughts
This BTC chart isn’t just a random uptrend — it’s a well-structured parabola, powered by strong technical support and clean breakouts. Everything is lining up for a potential monster move, but don’t chase price blindly.
Watch the Mini Reversal Zone closely. If we see rejection, be ready to buy the dip. If we break through with volume — it’s 🚀 time again.
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – July 14, 2025Happy Sunday, traders. Gold opens the week inside a compressed range under key premium resistance, with CPI and FOMC speakers loading the macro agenda. Let’s break down today’s structure and expectations.
🔸 D1 Structure Overview:
Bias: Neutral with bearish pressure building
Trend: Still technically bullish, but compressing between LH OB and mid-range FVG
Current Position:
Price is trapped below 3395, inside a lower high structure
No clear BOS yet — but bearish CHoCH already formed
EMAs are tightening and RSI is neutral → signs of indecision
🧭 Key Daily Zones:
Zone Type Price Range Confluences
🔼 Supply Zone 3448–3465 Daily OB + FVG + Weak High trap + EMA divergence
🔼 LH OB 3385–3395 Structure cap + internal supply + EMA21 rejection
🔽 Mid FVG Demand 3328–3310 Daily FVG + fib midpoint + prior reaction
🔽 Strong OB Support 3260–3245 Unmitigated OB + fib 61.8% + sweep low base zone
Fibonacci: Pullback toward 3310 = mid-retracement of last bullish impulse
EMA 5/21/50: Bearish crossover confirmed, but no strong divergence yet
RSI: Flat, suggesting reactive play — confirmation must come from PA
📊 Macro Outlook:
Core CPI data drops today → key for market expectations on inflation
Multiple FOMC members will speak — high potential for whipsaw moves
Gold may remain volatile and range-bound until post-CPI structure resolution
📌 Trade Scenarios:
Bearish case: Reject from 3385 → continuation toward 3310 or deeper into 3245
Bullish case: Clean break & retest above 3395 → short-term pump into 3460 liquidity
Confirmation matters — follow the reaction at each zone, don’t rush reversals.
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📎 Disclaimer:
Chart and analysis based on Trade Nation broker feed on TradingView.
This is a technical outlook for educational purposes and not financial advice.
XAUUSD Analysis : Bullish Move Toward Key Resistance + Target🟩 Overview:
Gold is currently showing a clear bullish breakout on the 2-hour timeframe. The market structure has shifted from a downtrend into a bullish phase, with price now approaching a critical Reversal Zone. Let’s break down the key levels, structure shifts, and potential trade opportunities.
🔍 1. Structure Shift – Trendline Break & BOS Signals:
The price previously followed a Blue Ray Descending Trendline, which acted as dynamic resistance and guided the bearish trend.
As highlighted, “Blue Ray Always Continue Trend” – but in this case, we’ve seen a clean Break of Structure (BOS) that invalidated the bearish setup.
A Minor BOS occurred first, which hinted at weakening selling pressure.
Later, a Major BOS confirmed the bullish transition as the price broke above a key resistance level with strong momentum.
This transition was supported by consistent higher lows and a breakout above the descending resistance trendline — a classic reversal signal.
🟩 2. Demand Zone Reaction – Major Support Held Firm:
The Major Support Zone between $3,280 – $3,300 provided a strong base for buyers.
Multiple wick rejections and bullish engulfing patterns near this zone indicated aggressive buyer interest.
This support has now become the foundation for the recent bullish rally.
🎯 3. Next Target & Reversal Zone:
The current price is hovering around $3,358, showing strong bullish momentum.
The next major resistance area is marked between $3,380 – $3,400, identified as the Next Target + Reversal Zone.
This zone is critical — it aligns with a historical supply area and the previous market swing highs.
Traders should be cautious here, as price may react sharply. Reversal patterns (like bearish engulfing, pin bars, or double tops) could signal a potential retracement.
⚠️ 4. Trade Plan:
🟢 Bullish Bias (Short-Term):
If you entered from the support or trendline breakout, continue to hold long positions until price nears the reversal zone.
Trail stop-loss under the most recent higher low to secure profits.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Near-Term Reversal Play):
Watch for bearish rejection patterns in the $3,380 – $3,400 zone.
If confirmation appears, potential short setups could offer a retracement back to $3,330 – $3,320.
📌 Key Levels Summary:
Major Support Zone: $3,280 – $3,300 ✅
Next Target + Reversal Zone: $3,380 – $3,400 ⚠️
Current Price: $3,358
Major BOS Level: Confirmed
Trendline: Broken with strong bullish pressure
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Gold has officially shifted gears. The bullish breakout is in motion, and the trendline break + BOS combo supports further upside — at least until the reversal zone is tested. However, this is also where the market could exhaust, making it crucial to monitor price action closely.
Stay patient, wait for confirmation, and let the levels guide your next move.
Weekly XAUUSD Outlook (July 14–19, 2025)Hey team — we're entering a decisive week on gold as macro tensions heat up and price dances inside a key premium range. Let’s dive into what the chart is telling us.
🔸 HTF Bias: Weekly Structure Breakdown
Bias: Bullish with exhaustion signs
Current candle: Bearish rejection forming after last week's lower high inside the premium range
Trend: Still bullish overall, but stalling inside a distribution-like pattern
Weekly structure:
Confirmed CHoCH in early 2023 launched the bullish leg
Break of structure toward Higher High (HH) continues but weak high was created near 3500
We’re currently inside a weekly premium range, rejecting the upper quadrant
🔸 Key Weekly Confluences:
Zone Type Price Level Confluences
🔼 Resistance 3490–3500 Weak High + Premium zone + FVG + RSI divergence
🔼 Upper Range 3450–3470 Historical imbalance fill + EMA5 overextension
🔽 Support 3355–3320 Weekly OB + Discount side of premium leg + FVG
🔽 Deep Support 3200–3170 Last strong demand + BOS origin + RSI oversold risk zone
Fibonacci Range: 3500 = top of the bullish extension; 50% retracement sits around 3250
RSI (Weekly): Starting to curve down from overbought territory — watch for structure cracks
EMAs (5/21/50): Strong upside lock remains but a flattening 5EMA hints short-term slow-down
🗓 Macro + News Context:
This week is loaded with high-impact U.S. data and a parade of FOMC speakers:
Core CPI (Monday) and Retail Sales (Thursday) = critical for short-term inflation outlook
FOMC members speaking throughout the week = high chance of volatility spikes
Pre-G20 positioning (Friday–Saturday) could lead to risk-off flows or safety bids on gold
Watch Crude Oil Inventories and Building Permits for risk sentiment impact
The combination of CPI, retail sales, and continuous Fed commentary could cause abrupt sentiment swings — especially if inflation surprises to the upside again.
⚠️ What to Watch This Week:
Any weekly close above 3470 = potential sweep into weak high (3500)
Failure to hold 3355 zone = opens the door to revisit the deeper OB around 3200
Look for a lower high inside premium to confirm bearish weekly intent — otherwise we remain bullish
Any bounce from 3320 must show strong volume + FVG reaction to confirm continuation
✅ Final Notes:
This week is all about patience. We’re in a premium exhaustion phase, and with heavy macro catalysts on the table, gold is primed for a decisive breakout — up or down.
Stay flexible. Let price show its hand around the major zones. We’ll refine sniper entries on H4 and H1 once the weekly opens fully.
—
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Will gold sweep 3500 or collapse toward 3200? 👇
📢 Disclosure:
This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee.
⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice.
Weekly Close Watch: Bitcoin’s Key Level Could Shift the ChartsGood morning, Guys
There's only 1 day and 13 hours left until the weekly Bitcoin candle closes.
It's crucial that this candle closes above the 112,331 level with strong volume. Anyone experienced in economics and technical analysis knows just how significant this is.
If we get that close above the level, I’ll share a powerful analysis with a clear target.
I want to sincerely thank everyone who’s been supporting my analyses with likes—your support is
my biggest source of motivation when it comes to sharing content.
Much love to you all—we’re more than just a community, we’re a family. 💛
BTC's increasing fomo force will push the price up furtherCRYPTO:BTCUSD just broke the important resistance zone and trendline around 110000. This price increase to create a new ATH will create a large amount of FOMO in the market pushing BTCUSD to increase more than half. 116,000 FIbonacci extension points are considered the immediate Target for the uptrend.
Waiting for retests to the support zone for the trend-following BUY strategy.
Support: 110000-107500
Resistance: 116000
Buy zone: 110000 ( support + trendline)
Buy Trigger: break above 112000
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Bitcoin pushes higher, but its not the only game in townBitcoin is up around 26% this year. A strong gain. But it’s not alone. The higher Bitcoin rises, the less the gains become in percentage terms. It's now in a different league, so a $1,000 or $10,000 move its necessarily what it used to be.
Meanwhile, Gold, silver and copper have also pushed higher in 2025. The Nasdaq 100 is up too. All signs point to a weakening US dollar.
When risk assets and commodities rally together, it's a signal. Investors are shifting. Not out of fear, but to diversify away from the dollar. This is a theme that’s building strength.
Gold is up nearly over 25% YTD. Silver even more. Copper, the industrial bellwether, has joined the rally. These aren’t just trades. They’re strategic moves. A hedge against dollar debasement, inflation, and long-term fiscal risks in the US.
The Nasdaq’s rise tells a similar story. Tech stocks benefit when yields fall and the dollar softens. Big tech also has global revenue exposure. A weaker dollar inflates their earnings in foreign currencies.
What ties all this together? Loss of confidence in the dollar as the sole reserve hedge. Too much debt, too much printing. Central banks know it. They’ve been buying gold for years. Now, retail and institutional investors are catching on.
Bitcoin, the digital alternative to gold, gets the headlines. But it’s part of a broader move. The USD remains the world’s most important currency. That’s not changing tomorrow. But its dominance is being questioned in ways we haven’t seen in decades.
This isn’t just a crypto rally. It’s a dollar diversification play. And it’s gaining momentum.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
EURUSD Daily: More trouble ahead or ready to recover?The last Friday NY bearish closed sited at Fibo(38.2) and still showing a strong bullish move since last March we may see a bit more downward move to test the Fibo(50) at 1.16388 before start another bullish leg up again. While the price stays above the 1.5956 level I will look for any price action towards 1.18298 but with all chaos caused by this tariff war we need to be careful.
As a technical reference, Resistance at 1.182998, Support at 1.14522 and RSI(14) at 58 that seems to be heading to test the 50 level.
GBPAUD Pre-Market Analysis📉 GBPAUD Pre-Market Analysis – Weekly Outlook
Date: July 13, 2025
Session: Pre-London Open
Analyst: Papalui | Sub Saharan Technicals
🕵️♂️ Macro Outlook
The British Pound / Australian Dollar (GBPAUD) is currently showing signs of trend exhaustion after reaching major highs around the 2.14932 zone (Marked MHH – Most Recent Higher High). A strong bearish reaction is emerging from this area, suggesting potential for long-term downside retracement or even a reversal.
🔍 Technical Structure Breakdown (1W)
MHH (Major Higher High): 2.14932
WHH (Weekly Higher High): 2.06088
Current Price: 2.05049
Fib 50% Level: Aligned around recent resistance and acting as a pivot zone.
BOS (Break of Structure): Occurred in early 2022, later invalidated by strong bullish rally.
MLL (Major Lower Low Target Zone): Projected zone around 1.59109 - 1.57752
📉 Bearish Scenario: Reversal Play
🔽 Bias: Bearish Reversal
Context: Price has formed a new high but is rejecting near the 50% Fibonacci retracement and supply zone.
Plan: Watch for lower timeframe confirmations (e.g., D1 or H4 structure breaks) below 2.04859 to initiate short positions.
Target Zones:
TP1: 1.86584
TP2: 1.81327
TP3: 1.59109 – aligning with weekly demand and structural lows
🔧 Invalidation: A sustained weekly close above 2.14932 would invalidate this bearish scenario and signal bullish continuation.
🔁 Trade Management Zones
Zone Type Action
2.06088 - 2.14932 Supply/Resistance Monitor for rejections or confirmations of reversal
1.86584 - 1.81327 Intermediate Support Partial TP or structure reassessment
1.59109 Major Demand Full TP / Trend reversal opportunity
🧠 Sentiment & Strategy
This pair has rallied over the past year, but the bearish impulse from the recent high suggests large players may be unloading positions. With key Fibonacci confluence and price action showing weakness, the current zone is a strong sell interest region. Traders should:
Stay alert for weekly or daily lower lows
Use smaller timeframes to refine entries
Avoid premature entries before price confirms lower timeframe structure breaks
📌 Summary
Bias Key Resistance POI Bearish Target
Bearish 2.14932 2.04859 1.59109
Risk Disclosure:
All trading involves risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.
EURGBP EUR/GBP Pre-Market Top-Down Analysis
Date: July 13, 2025
Session: London Pre-Market
Analyst: Sub Saharan
🕰️ 1H Chart Overview
EUR/GBP is currently trading around 0.86652, with bullish momentum pushing toward the previous high at 0.86704, marked as HH (Higher High) on the chart. This level is a significant resistance, and a confirmed break and close above it could signal further bullish continuation.
🔍 Structure Breakdown
Key Levels and Market Structure:
HH (Higher High): 0.86704
LL (Lower Low): 0.85997
Recent HL (Higher Low): Series of HLs forming support during the rally.
Break of Structure (BOS): Occurred on July 11, indicating a shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
Key POI (Point of Interest): 0.86586 – Marked for potential buy entries based on LH structure.
🔁 Scenario Planning
🔼 Bullish Continuation Scenario
Bias: Buy on retracement
Plan: If price pulls back and respects the LH zone (0.86586) without breaking below it, look for bullish setups with target around or above 0.86704.
Confirmation: Rejection candle or bullish engulfing at POI
🔽 Bearish Reversal Scenario
Bias: Sell if structure shifts
Condition: If price breaks below the last HL to form a Lower Low (LL), it may indicate weakness.
Plan: Wait for a pullback to the broken LH zone (0.86586) to re-test as resistance, then sell with confirmation.
Target: Mid-range or previous low near 0.85997
🧠 Trading Insight
The price is in a bullish correction phase within a rising trend.
Aggressive buyers may consider early entries at or above 0.86586, but conservative traders should wait for price action confirmation.
If a lower low prints, treat it as a signal for potential structure change and reposition for short-term sells.
🧾 Trade Management Tips
Use 0.86704 as your decision point. Break and hold = bullish continuation.
POI at 0.86586 is key for both buy re-entries or sell re-tests.
Set alerts for structural changes (new LL or break of HH).
📌 Summary
Bias Key Level Action
Bullish 0.86586 Buy on retracement (if HL forms)
Bearish Below 0.86586 Sell if LL forms, re-test at LH
Stay patient and react to structure—not emotions. London session volatility may provide the liquidity needed to trigger setups.
Reploy AI ($RAI) Daily Chart: Inverse H&S PT $2.70Reploy AI ($RAI) Daily Chart: Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Signals Bullish Continuation
The daily chart for Reploy AI ($RAI) is flashing a textbook bullish reversal pattern: an Inverse Head & Shoulders, signaling a potential trend reversal after a prolonged downtrend. This formation, identified by three distinct troughs (a lower low flanked by two higher lows), has now completed its right shoulder and is pushing against neckline resistance.
🔹 Inverse Head & Shoulders Target: $2.70
The neckline has been tested multiple times, and volume has steadily increased—both signs of growing bullish conviction. A confirmed breakout above the neckline projects a measured move to $2.70, representing a potential 3x move from current levels (~$0.87). This is the first key target, marking the start of a potentially explosive rally.
🟠 Mid-Term and Cycle Top Targets
Beyond the $2.70 level, the chart maps out several macro targets aligned with previous structural support, Fibonacci extensions, and estimated market cap milestones.
🔸 PT1: $22.38 — ~$224M Market Cap
Why it matters: This level reflects a realistic mid-cycle valuation if Reploy AI continues gaining adoption as a core AI infrastructure asset.
Context: At $22.38, $RAI would still be under a $250M FDV—well below other AI tokens trading at similar narratives.
Technical note: This zone aligns with historical price congestion during the previous distribution top and acts as the next strong resistance.
🔸 PT2: $105 — ~$1.1B Market Cap
Why it matters: This is where the parabola starts steepening. A $1B market cap is the threshold where institutional players and VC funds begin re-rating upside in real terms.
Narrative momentum: By this stage, AI-driven protocol layers could see broad media attention, and $RAI's positioning as a decentralized inference engine may become central to the AI x crypto thesis.
🔸 Bull Market Top: $1,110 — Moonshot Scenario
Why it matters: While speculative, this level would mirror the kind of exponential blow-off top we’ve seen in prior crypto supercycles (think: Chainlink in 2021, or Solana from $1 to $250).
Valuation basis: A fully diluted market cap over $10B could still be justified if $RAI becomes the de facto compute layer for multiple LLM platforms or AI-native protocols.
Psychological: This price reflects peak euphoria and may act as the terminal blow-off before macro reversal.
🔹 Macro Setup
Volume accumulation near lows is reminiscent of early-stage breakouts in past altcoin cycles.
The chart structure is tight, with higher lows forming a clear ascending triangle—fuel for a squeeze.
Momentum indicators (RSI, MACD) are curling upward from oversold regions, supporting a Q3 breakout thesis.
🔮 Final Thoughts
With AI continuing to dominate both traditional and crypto narratives, Reploy AI ($RAI) is well-positioned as a deep-tech infrastructure play. The inverse head and shoulders breakout to $2.70 is just the ignition point. If confirmed, it sets the stage for a stair-step rally into the $20–$100+ range as the 2025 bull cycle matures.
As always, confirm breakouts with volume and protect capital with smart position sizing.
BTAF Token Update. Is a 1000% move coming? BTAF has completed a strong 100% breakout and is now consolidating above its support level. A retest of the breakout zone may offer a solid entry opportunity before the next leg up.
Next 90 Days Outlook:
Bullish structure remains intact.
Expect a potential upside of 200%–300% if momentum continues.
Increased demand from Whisper Drop utility and growing adoption support the case.
Long-Term View (6–9 Months):
Forecasting up to +1,000% growth from the original breakout base.
The BTAF Algorithm is expected to repeat. See the chart.
Ecosystem expansion and increased use cases are key drivers of growth.
Strategy:
Hold or accumulate on dips.
Watch for updates via Whisper Drop and TradingView.
Let the trend work for you.