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Fundamental Analysis

Bearish Bias on USD/CAD – Fundamental and Technical ConfluenceFundamental Overview: We’re seeing several bearish signals from the fundamental side for USD/CAD: Retail Sales: Negative, indicating weaker consumer spending and slowing economic activity. Inflation: Bearish, as high inflation may lead to tighter monetary policies, slowing growth. Employment Change: Negative, suggesting a contraction in job creation, signaling economic weakness. Unemployment Rate: Negative, reflecting potential challenges in the labor market. These factors all lean toward a bearish bias, reinforcing the case for selling USD/CAD. Technical Overview: On the chart, price is currently in a discounted zone with confluence from the anchored VWAP from the recent low, which aligns with the current bearish trend. The VWAP suggests that the price has retraced back to a significant level, and with the fundamentals pointing to a weak outlook for USD, a continuation to the downside seems likely. Key Levels & Target: Short entry near the VWAP confluence. Targeting the next key support level, watching for any price action confirmation.
Short
by benjaminlombaert
1
What Is Tesla’s Fundamental and Technical Analysis Showing?EV maker Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA is perhaps the most controversial stock in U.S financial markets right now. Sales appear to be slowing, while CEO Elon Musk's position as a Trump administration adviser has led political opponents to attack Tesla vehicles, dealerships and even some vehicle owners. TSLA popped 11.9% on Monday (March 24), but has generally been sinking for months. What does technical and fundamental analysis say might happen next? Let's dig in and see what we find: Tesla’s Fundamental Analysis TSLA rose almost 95% in the roughly seven weeks between Donald Trump’s November election victory and the stock’s $488.54 all-time intraday high on Dec. 18. After all, Musk’s close ties to Trump seemed to point to good times ahead for the company. However, the stock’s price has been in decline ever since then, while vandalism of Tesla vehicles by Trump opponents has made owning or one a slightly risky affair. As of this writing, TSLA was down 32.2% year to date and 44% from the stock's Dec. 18 peak. Beyond politics, a lot of this had to do with the reality that demand for electric vehicles might have hit something of a saturation point, at least for now. There’s also been a tremendous increase in competition in recent years for electric-vehicle purchases or leases. Volkswagen OTC:VWAGY has ramped up its EV efforts, while China is absolutely full of homegrown competitors like BYD OTC:BYDDF , Nio NYSE:NIO and XPeng NYSE:XPEV . All in, Tesla’s vehicle sales have slackened not just in America, but also in Europe and China. But to be fair, Ford NYSE:F , General Motors NYSE:GM and Rivian NASDAQ:RIVN have all hit slowdowns in EV sales as well. Still, add it all up and Wall Street is looking TSLA to report Q1 results in May that include $0.47 of adjusted earnings per share on $22.9 billion of revenue. That would represent 4.4% larger earnings and about 7.5% higher revenues when compared to last year’s Q1, where Tesla reported $0.45 of adjusted EPS on $21.3 billion in revenues. However, all 13 sell-side Tesla analysts that I can find have revised their quarterly estimates lower since current quarter began. On the bright side, the automaker’s operating and free cash flows have remained strong for the past three quarters. The firm ended 2024 with some $36.6 billion in cash against a $13.6 billion total debt load. That’s what many would consider a strong balance sheet that could sustain Tesla’s operations for a time if need be. Tesla’s Technical Analysis A look at Tesla’s one-year chart shows that while the stock has been falling since December, it still managed to make a stand technically in recent days: The purple line at right in the above chart shows that TSLA found support twice in March very close to $212.30. That’s the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the stock’s entire April 2024 to December 2024 run. That purple line also shows indicates that Tesla has formed a small “double bottom” pattern of what could be a bullish reversal at the Fibonacci support level, and that the stock has since tried to rally from there. TSLA was also able to recently take back its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” denoted by the green line above). However, the stock appears to have hit resistance at the 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked above with a red line). That makes the 200-day SMA the stock's likely new pivot point. A retaking of the 200-day SMA would allow for increased target prices. Conversely, a retest and loss of Tesla’s 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level could permit a further decline. Meanwhile, Tesla’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line in the above chart’s top) has mostly improved recently and now stands in neutral territory. Similarly, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator -- or “MACD,” denoted by the black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom -- is in a less-awful place than it was earlier this year. The histogram of Tesla’s 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” denoted by the blue bars at the chart’s bottom) is now above zero. That’s historically a short-term bullish sign. Similarly, the stock’s 12-day EMA (the black line at the bottom) is now above its 26-day EMA (the gold line). That’s typically somewhat positive, but both of those lines are still below zero -- which is historically a negative signal. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in TSLA at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. 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NASDAQ:TSLA
by moomoo
1
Breaking: $TRUMP Token Dips 10% Reverting to $10 ZoneThe price of OFFICIAL TRUMP coin ($TRUMP) tanked 10% today, falling back to the $10 region. The asset ever since peaking to an all time high of $76, faced insane selling pressure losing about 80% of total value together with its compatriot $MELANIA coin. For Weeks now, $TRUMP has been circumventing in the $10- $12 zone albeit the crypto market was most of the time in a bloodbath season. For $TRUMP coin, should the bulls push the token above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement point, that may be the catalyst the token needs to spark a bullish renaissance as hinted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 30- pointing at the disparity $TRUMP has to capitalise and make a bullish move. Similarly, the 1-month low is serving as support point for $TRUMP should extreme selling pressure push the token lower. OFFICIAL TRUMP Price Live Data The live OFFICIAL TRUMP price today is $10.21 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $517,239,338 USD. OFFICIAL TRUMP is down 8.71% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #45, with a live market cap of $2,041,294,317 USD. It has a circulating supply of 199,999,430 TRUMP coins and a max. supply of 999,999,993 TRUMP coins.
Long
by DEXWireNews
2
XAUUSD - GOLD HITS ALL-TIME HIGH AT $3,085! 🔹 Market Outlook: Amid ongoing economic tensions and a brewing trade war, gold remains a safe-haven asset, pushing prices to new historic highs. 🔹 Technical Analysis: 📈 Elliott Wave Theory suggests a bullish continuation, with Gold expected to reach $3,096. 📊 Price is moving from $3,065 to $3,070, with key upside targets at $3,085 & $3,096. 🎯 Trading Plan: ✅ Buy on dips: Entries between $3,065 - $3,070 ✅ Take Profits: $3,085 & $3,096 ✅ Stop Loss: Below $3,060 ✅ Risk Management: Use trailing stops to lock in profits. 📢 Stay sharp! Volatility is high – trade wisely! 🚀✨
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_with_Ray
TSLA what's wrong? no supercharger in sight? 2 things i need to say Technicals - TSLA has a Elliot wave in motion, so far it respected the sequence, 1H - divergence (But no resistance in sight) - caution if if settles below 270 , then we might see 221 or even lower? Fundamentals I'm not even going to mention the popularity loss of TSLA since Elon meddled into politics, but the recent Auto tariffs President Trump imposed? - well... TLSA makes cars, needs auto parts, ... you get the point Remember to take the risks into consideration and always do your own analysis before taking a decision !! I'm still new to sharing ideas on the community - don't start throwing rocks now :D -Not financial Advice !
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Chrispy3000
Feeling lost in crypto? Learn how to improve your strategy with my 5-step method before the bull run ends. Read this thread to learn more. 🧵 I. Make sure to hold at least 75% of your portfolio in CRYPTOCAP:BTC during the market's CRYPTOCAP:BTC season. This ensures that whenever CRYPTOCAP:BTC sells off, the effect on your portfolio is minimal. It has become clear that when CRYPTOCAP:BTC slips, you can lose up to 90% of your altcoin portfolio in a few days or weeks, but if you hold CRYPTOCAP:BTC , this won't affect you as much. II. Don't be afraid to sit in stablecoins whilst you wait for a market stabilisation or clear trend. Sitting in stablecoins is great because it shows you have patience, and if you don't have patience, you will FOMO in at the top and then get wrecked on a small CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullback. Many great protocols offer good APYs on USDC or USDT, especially in the CRYPTOCAP:SOL and CRYPTOCAP:SUI ecosystems. For example, NYSE:NX from NX Finance III. Constantly look for new trends and narratives forming! Your ability to research projects well is the difference between catching a 100x and losing 80% of your portfolio. Some good tools to research are: 1. CoinMarketCap or Coingecko to observe new trends and emerging tokens in different sectors. 2. Tokenomist AI to observe the vesting schedules and upcoming unlocks of a token to avoid being a VC's exit liquidity. 3. Grok to summarise whitepapers and specific sections to save you time from reading long, boring docs. IV. Look for strong, resilient altcoins during CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullbacks. As bad as CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullbacks can be for altcoins, this is really where the greatest opportunities are found. Whenever there is FUD around a coin and an extended CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullback, like what happened recently with GETTEX:HYPE , it creates an opportunity to buy a project at a 'discount'. Even if you buy a bad project, you can profit greatly from it if you buy it 'cheap'. Buying altcoins at major high-time-frame supports is a great way to hedge against the risks of losing 90% on them. V. Unless you have a strategy, avoid memecoins and airdrops. For the most part, they are a waste of time and will never give you long-lasting returns or an advantage in the markets. Instead, focus on building up a portfolio that generates cash flow and doesn't leave you regretting entering crypto in the first place by following steps I-IV. I've been @CryptoJayTrades, I hope this has been helpful. Check the link in my bio to get a free portfolio tracker to see how well you are really doing this bull run!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoJayTrades
AMD - Perfect timing to grasp great potential ahead!AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) has shown strong potential for growth, and the recent trend analysis using the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator suggests that the stock remains in a favorable position for continued upside momentum. Technical Analysis: The MACD is a powerful trend-following momentum indicator that helps traders identify potential buy and sell signals based on moving averages. For AMD, the MACD indicator is currently showing a bullish crossover, where the MACD line has crossed above the signal line. This suggests that the stock’s momentum is shifting positively, indicating an increasing rate of price change to the upside. Key MACD Signals for AMD: Bullish Crossover: The MACD line (typically the difference between the 12-day and 26-day exponential moving averages) has recently crossed above the signal line (a 9-day EMA of the MACD). This is a classic bullish signal, which often precedes further price appreciation. Strong Momentum: The distance between the MACD line and the signal line is widening, signaling strong momentum in the upward direction. This suggests that buying interest in AMD is gaining strength, and the stock could continue to rise as long as the momentum remains intact. Positive Histogram: The MACD histogram is currently above the zero line, reflecting that the difference between the MACD and its signal line is positive. This further validates the strength of the bullish momentum, indicating that the stock could continue to experience upward pressure. AMD’s Fundamental Strength: Beyond technical indicators like MACD, AMD's fundamentals also support the favorable technical outlook. The company continues to make significant strides in the semiconductor industry with its innovative product lineup, including the Ryzen processors and Radeon graphics cards. AMD has been gaining market share from competitors like Intel and Nvidia, further strengthening its long-term growth prospects. Our conclusion for this stock. With a favorable MACD indicator, coupled with the robust fundamentals of AMD, the stock is well-positioned for potential gains. The bullish momentum indicated by the MACD suggests that AMD could experience continued price appreciation, making it an attractive option for investors who are looking for stocks with solid upward potential. Trade set-up Entry: 105 Target: 135 - Our target is set up below the weak resistance which used to serve as a support line when the stock was trading at ATH levels.When we reach that key-level we would analyse the stock again to see if it has more favourable data to boost the price towards the strong resistance level of 170+ below the ATH area Stop Loss: 70 which is an unsustained bottom, utilizing it for protection over the trade
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by DG55Capital
Nasdaq Swing Trade – Bullish Setup with Strong FundamentalA confluence of fundamental and technical factors supports a long position on Nasdaq. COT data, retail positioning, seasonality, GDP, SPMI, inflation, and interest rates all align with a bullish outlook. Technically, price is in a discounted zone relative to the monthly low’s anchored VWAP, presenting an optimal long entry within the overall bullish trend. My target levels are set based on risk-reward principles, aiming to capture trend continuation if momentum sustains.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by benjaminlombaert
Oil Market Update – 28 March 2025Oil Market Update – 28 March 2025 Oil prices continue to move within a volatile range, influenced by competing fundamental factors. On one hand, geopolitical developments — such as potential sanctions on oil-producing nations and newly announced U.S. tariffs on Venezuelan oil — have contributed to recent upward pressure. On the other hand, market participants remain cautious due to broader macroeconomic uncertainties. Key Levels Observed by Market Participants: • The $71.50 level has previously acted as a point of interest; some analysts are watching to see how price behaves around this area. • In the event of downward movement, the $66.00–$66.50 range has historically attracted attention during past price consolidations. • Should the price establish itself above $72.00 with supportive developments, attention may turn toward the $75.00 region, which has been highlighted in prior analyses. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:OILUSD
by easyMarkets
Mastering Risk Management in Trading: The Ultimate GuideMastering Risk Management in Trading: The Ultimate Guide In the world of trading, success isn’t measured only by big wins but by how well you protect your capital from unnecessary losses. Risk management isn’t just a safety net—it’s the backbone of sustainable trading. In this comprehensive guide, we’ll break down the principles and strategies you need to safeguard your account while still maximizing your profit potential. --- 1. Risk-Reward Ratio: The Foundation of Every Trade - What it is: The risk-reward ratio is the cornerstone of every trade. It tells you how much potential reward you’re targeting compared to the risk you’re willing to take. For instance, if you risk $100 and aim to make $200, your risk-reward ratio is 1:2—a commonly accepted standard in trading. - How to use it: - Always predefine your risk-reward ratio before entering a trade. - For swing traders, aim for a minimum of 1:2 or 1:3 to justify holding overnight. --- 2. Position Sizing: The Key to Survival - Why position sizing matters: Position sizing ensures you don’t over-leverage your account or lose too much in a single trade. Many traders fail because they bet too big and get wiped out after just a few losing trades. - How to calculate position size: - Use this formula: Position Size = (Account Risk $ ÷ (Entry Price - Stop-Loss Price)). - For example, if you’re risking $100 per trade and the difference between your entry and stop-loss is $5, your position size should be 20 units (100 ÷ 5). --- 3. Stop-Loss Orders: Your Safety Net - What is a stop-loss? A stop-loss is your emergency brake. It’s an order you set in advance to sell your position if the price moves against you by a specified amount. - How to set stop-losses: - Use technical analysis to place your stop-loss below support levels for long trades or above resistance levels for short trades. - Avoid placing stop-losses too close to your entry point, as small fluctuations might trigger them unnecessarily. Here you can see my ratio is on the low side so i can place a tactical TP and SL in relation to liquidity lines. --- 4. The Art of Diversification: Spreading Risk - Why diversification works: Putting all your capital into a single trade or instrument increases your risk. Diversification spreads that risk across multiple trades or markets, reducing the impact of any single loss. - How to diversify effectively: - Trade across multiple sectors or currency pairs. - Avoid overexposure to correlated assets (e.g., don’t trade EUR/USD and GBP/USD simultaneously). --- 5. Emotional Discipline: Winning the Mental Game - Why it matters: Even the best trading strategy can fail if emotions like fear or greed take over. Emotional trading leads to impulsive decisions, revenge trading, and overtrading. - How to maintain discipline: - Stick to your trading plan, no matter what. - Use tools like meditation, journaling, or physical exercise to manage stress. --- 6. Dynamic Risk Management: Adapting to Changing Markets - Adjusting your strategy: Markets are dynamic, and your risk management should adapt. Volatility can change quickly, requiring you to adjust your stop-loss distance or position size. - Use ATR (Average True Range): The ATR is a great tool to measure market volatility and decide how much room to give your stop-loss. --- 7. Tracking and Reviewing Your Trades - The power of a trading journal: Every trade is a learning opportunity. Keep detailed records of your trades, including your reasoning, execution, and results. - What to include in your journal: - Entry and exit points. - Risk-reward ratio. - Mistakes or deviations from the plan. - Lessons learned. --- Conclusion: Plan the Trade, Trade the Plan Risk management isn’t just a skill—it’s a habit. By understanding your risk-reward ratio, managing position sizes, using stop-losses effectively, and staying emotionally disciplined, you can protect your capital and increase your chances of long-term success. Take a moment to reflect: How do you manage risk in your trading? Are there areas you could improve? Start implementing these strategies today, and watch how they transform your trading results.
Education
by Louigi_24
29
EURGBP: Bullish Harmonic Pattern in a Strong ZoneEURGBP: Bullish Harmonic Pattern in a Strong Zone EURGBP has completed a bullish harmonic pattern within a robust zone. Despite this, the likelihood of the price testing the entire red zone remains high. It's crucial to be careful and closely monitor the price's reaction. Key resistance zones for the harmonic pattern are 0.8307, 0.8335, and 0.8370. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
2
GOLD’s Next Big Play – Don’t Miss This $3000+ Setup!Gold has been following my analysis perfectly over the last two weeks and remains in a strong uptrend! 📈 For this week, the plan is to look for buying opportunities—but only at the right price. I don’t believe the bull run is over just yet. Despite Friday’s drop, gold recovered strongly and held above $3,000, signaling that buyers are still in control. ⚠ Caution for sellers: While there may be shorting opportunities if gold overextends, it’s risky to bet against this trend too soon. If I see a high-probability short setup, I’ll make a separate post about it. Let’s stay patient and trade smart! 💡💰 Traders, if you found this analysis valuable 🎓, feel free to give it a boost 🚀 and share your thoughts in the comments 📣. Let’s discuss!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by omz_zz
3
Ford (F) Share Price Drops Following Trump's TariffsFord (F) Share Price Drops Following Trump's Tariffs President Trump has fulfilled his promise to impose tariffs on foreign car manufacturers, introducing a 25% tariff on all cars and light trucks not made in the United States, as well as on "certain auto parts." As reported by Yahoo Finance: "This will continue to drive growth like you've never seen before," Trump stated from the White House on Wednesday while signing the tariff order. The 25% tariffs are set to take effect on 2 April, adding to existing duties. The White House announced that $100 billion in annual tariffs would be collected. Why Have Ford (F) Shares Fallen? Trump’s decision has led to a sharp drop in car manufacturers’ share prices, particularly in Europe. However, shares of American automakers have also declined. Ford (F) shares, according to the price chart, fell by approximately 4% yesterday. This decline is due to the fact that Ford (as well as GM and Stellantis) has manufacturing facilities in Canada, Mexico, and China, which now means higher costs due to the impact of tariffs on supply chains. Technical Analysis of Ford (F) Share Price Chart As we noted when analysing Ford (F) shares on 6 March, Trump's tariff policy previously helped the price recover from a four-year low. However, it now seems that “the pendulum has swung the other way.” Examining the price chart, we can identify three levels that actively interact with the price (some key reversals are marked with an arrow), with the middle level appearing to act as a median for the "pendulum" of market sentiment. From this perspective, we can reasonably assume that: → The $10.25 level continues to act as resistance; → The $9.66 level, acting as a median for Ford (F) price fluctuations, may "attract" the price. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:F
by FXOpen