Pound Steady as BoE holds ratesThe British pound is showing limited movement for a second straight day. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3435, up 0.18% on the day.
The Bank of England didn't have any surprises up its sleeve as it held rates at 4.25%. This follows a quarter-point cut at last month's meeting. The MPC vote indicated that six members voted to hold while three voted to lower rates. The markets had projected that the vote would be 7-2 in favor of holding rates.
Today's decision to hold rates was widely expected, but that doesn't mean there aren't economic signals which support a rate cut. The UK economy is in trouble and GDP came in at -0.3% in April, its deepest contraction in 18 months.
The weak economy could desperately use a rate cut, but inflation remains stubbornly high and a rate cut would likely send inflation even higher. Annual CPI remained at 3.4% in May, its highest level in over a year.
The geopolitical tensions, most recently the war between Israel and Iran have led to greater economic uncertainty and complicated any plans to lower rates. The BoE is expected to lower rates one or twice in the second half of the year, with the direction of inflation being a key factor in the Bank's rate path.
The Federal Reserve held rates at Wednesday's meeting for a fourth straight time. The Fed noted that inflation remains higher than the target but said the labor market remains strong. President Trump has pushed hard for the Fed to lower rates but Fed Chair Jerome Powell has stuck to his position and repeated on Wednesday that current policy was the most appropriate to respond to the economic uncertainty.
Fundamental Analysis
SPX: Elliott Wave indicating corrective phase nearly doneMy Elliott Wave count suggests the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) is nearing the completion of its current corrective phase. Price action has been consolidating around the 5980 area, last closing at 5980 on Wednesday.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, this setup implies an uptrend continuation is likely coming in the upcoming days.
Key levels I'm watching:
Immediate Support: 5840-5900 zone. A hold here would confirm strength.
Stronger Support: 5767-5840. A break below this would challenge the immediate bullish count.
Resistance: 6000 (psychological) and the all-time high of 6147.43. A clear break above these levels will validate the next impulse wave.
Volume and market breadth will be crucial confirmations. Let's see how the market reacts!
What are your thoughts on the current SPX wave count? Share below!
Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only, and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may result in the loss of your capital. Always conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Ibex 35 Drops Below 13,800 PointsIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The Ibex 35 falls 1.28% and drops below the 13,800 mark amid Fed uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The Ibex 35 closed Wednesday’s session with a 1.28% drop, ending at 13,744.9 points, on a day marked by monetary uncertainty in the United States and rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. With Wall Street closed for a public holiday, the Spanish benchmark index mirrored the widespread losses seen across European markets.
Two key factors shaped the session: on one hand, the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates within the 4.25%–4.5% range, alongside an upward revision in inflation forecasts and a downgrade in growth projections. On the other hand, escalating risks of a potential conflict between the U.S. and Iran, following threats of military intervention tied to the ongoing hostilities between Israel and the Islamic Republic.
The steepest losses of the day came from Indra (−6.06%), ArcelorMittal (−3.83%), and Amadeus (−2.99%). The financial sector also faced notable declines: Santander dropped 2.40%, Sabadell 2.07%, and Unicaja 1.99%. The rise in oil prices — with Brent surpassing $78 after a gain of more than 2% — weighed on stocks like IAG, which lost 2.97%.
In contrast, energy companies acted as a safe haven amid the market volatility. Solaria led the gains, rising 4.24%, followed by Repsol (+2.32%), Endesa (+0.71%), and Acciona Energía (+0.16%).
Losses spread across the continent. The EuroStoxx 50 fell 1.28%, while Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 dropped by more than one percentage point. Italy’s FTSE MIB and the UK’s FTSE 100 also ended in the red, both impacted by the same monetary and geopolitical pressures.
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Gold fluctuates in the short term, pay attention to 3344 and go 📌 Driving Events
After the Fed’s interest rate decision, as expected, the Fed kept the interest rate unchanged in terms of gold, which was in line with market expectations. The price of gold continued to fluctuate and fall in the short term, and the bullish momentum was not obvious. Even if regional conflicts triggered risk aversion, it is likely to show a trend of rising first and then falling. As the price of gold is under pressure at 3,400 points, the intraday rebound will still fall back briefly under the pressure of 3,400 points.
📊Comment Analysis
Short sellers continue to exert selling pressure on gold prices. Accumulate to below 3400
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3390-3400 SL 3410
TP1: $3385
TP2: $3375
TP3: $3365
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3360-$3370 SL $3355
TP1: $3380
TP2: $3390
TP3: $3400
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
oil price Rise to seeking to mitigate the $ 78.00 per barrelCrude oil extended its rally to over $76.5 per barrel, the highest in five months, as worsening geopolitical tension threatened the supply of energy from the key region. Israel and Iran continued to exchange missiles late in the week. President Trump struck a hawkish tone against Iran to maintain the possibility of US involvement, which would risk global conflict and cut off tanker activity through the Strait of Hormuz. The demand for the crude will be so high that it will drive the Barrel at around $ 78.00 per barrel,that being said i will be aiming for the following areas
Main target for the week
Buy zone @74.00
tp 1:@78.00
Safe Entry ZoneStock current at Support Level.
P.High's (Previous Highs) acts as good Support and resistance level.
1h & 4h Green Zone Is Buying Zone.
4h Red Zone is Selling Zone.
If No Buying Power at current Price level 4h is safest Entry Zone.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Detailed technical analysis of the ETH/USD chart🧭 General Context (1D, Long-Term):
The chart covers the period from approximately September 2023 to June 2025.
ETH/USD has gone through a complete cycle: growth → decline → correction → potential consolidation/accumulation.
🔹 Market Structure (Price Action)
🔸 Trends:
November 2023 – March 2024: strong uptrend, ETH reaches highs around $4,000+
March 2024 – February 2025: clear downtrend ending with a local low around $1,600
February 2025 – May 2025: dynamic rebound – probable trend change (new higher low + higher high)
May – June 2025: currently consolidating between ~$2,400–2,800
📉 Key Support and Resistance Levels
Type Level Notes
🔴 Resistance ~2,800 – 2,900 Local high, many candles with shadows rejected from above
🟡 Resistance ~3,200 – 3,400 Beginning of strong declines from 2024
🟢 Support ~2,300 – 2,400 Local lows in June 2025
🟢 Strong support ~1,600 – 1,800 Final market low of March 2025 (possible accumulation phase)
📊 Technical indicators
✅ Stochastic RSI (at the bottom of the chart):
Currently in the oversold zone (~0–20) → may signal a potential bottom / buying opportunity
Red-blue lines are starting to wrap upwards → possible rebound
Recent crossovers of the indicator corresponded to local price movements
🔍 Technical formations
⚠️ Possible formations:
Double Bottom: February–March 2025 → classic trend reversal formation
Rising Channel: from March 2025 to present – prices are moving in a slightly rising channel
Current consolidation may be a bull flag (continuation after the increase)
📌 Summary – scenarios
🟢 Bullish scenario:
Breakout of resistance ~2,800 → possible test of levels 3,200 – 3,400 USD
Confirmation of a higher low → continuation of the uptrend
Stochastic RSI in the oversold zone → potential for an uptrend
🔴 Bearish scenario:
Drop below 2,300 USD → possible return to the area of 1,800–1,600 USD
Breakout of the structure of higher lows
Confirmation that the increase was only a correction
🧠 Final conclusions
Currently, ETH/USD is in a key decision zone: after a strong rebound, the market is resting.
Stochastic RSI suggests a potential upside impulse, but requires confirmation by a breakout of resistance.
For traders: 2,800 (resistance) and 2,300 (support) are worth watching.
For investors: 1,600–1,800 could be considered a long-term accumulation zone.
GBP/USD HOLDS NEAR 1.3400 AFTER BOE RATE HOLDGBP/USD hovers around the 1.3400 mark following the Bank of England’s decision to keep interest rates steady at 4.25%, as widely expected. The hold reflects the central bank’s cautious approach amid slowing economic data and persistent global uncertainties.
Meanwhile, during the Asian session, the pair dropped sharply, hitting a one-month low of 1.3382, equivalent to a 0.24% decline on the day. The move was largely driven by a stronger U.S. dollar, which gained traction following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone on Wednesday. Additionally, investor sentiment was weighed down by growing concerns over potential U.S. military involvement in the Middle East conflict, further boosting safe haven flows into the dollar and pressuring the pound.
However, a rebound was observed during the European session, as the pair regained some ground. The recovery was buoyed by positive market reaction to BoE Governor Andrew Bailey’s remarks, which, while dovish in tone, provided a sense of stability
TECHNICAL VIEW
From a technical perspective, the pair remains in a clear downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows confirming bearish momentum, as sellers continue to dominate amid broader risk aversion in global markets.
In the face of heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, safe-haven demand for the U.S. dollar has strengthened. This macro backdrop supports continued downside pressure on the pair. If the price breaks below the 1.3382 support, it will signal renewed bearish momentum, opening the door for further declines toward 1.3334, followed by 1.3253.
On the other hand, if buyers’ step and push the price above 1.3476, this would mark a break of the immediate market structure, potentially signaling a bullish reversal or short-term correction. In this scenario, the next upside targets would be 1.3579 and 1.3632, key resistance levels. Meanwhile break out of these levels are not ruled out.
Conclusively, while the prevailing trend remains bearish, volatility driven by geopolitical headlines and dollar strength could result in breakouts on either side.
$FTNT In a Wedging PatternI bought a ½ size position on June 2nd after it had tremendous volume and institutions protected it from slipping below the 50 DMA the day before. It has been nothing but sideways since and I am slightly underwater. My stop is a decisive close under the 50 DMA. I did not feel the Wed June 18th qualified as decisive.
Mark Minervini may call this a VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern). In any event it is clearly in consolidation mode and could break either way. I will either be selling if it does not recover the 50 DMA or will be adding if / when it closes above the downward sloping upper trendline.
I thought this would be a good one for your watchlist. If you like the idea, please make it your own and follow “your” trading rules. Remember, it is your money at risk.
XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS ITS BREATH: IS A MAJOR BREAKOUT BREWING🌍 MACRO OUTLOOK: GLOBAL UNCERTAINTY PUTS GOLD IN THE SPOTLIGHT
💬 The Federal Reserve has paused rate hikes for now, but Powell’s tone remains firm. His latest remarks point toward persistent inflation risks, fueled by rising energy costs and escalating geopolitical instability...
🔥 Tensions between Iran and Israel continue to escalate. Should the US step in as a peace broker, we could see gold retreat further toward the 3,357–3,345 support area.
👉 On the flip side, if Trump reaffirms his support for Israel or hints at potential military action against Iran, we could see a strong safe-haven reaction, pushing gold back up to the 3,417–3,440 region.
📊 TECHNICAL SNAPSHOT (M30): TIGHT RANGE – VOLATILITY LOADING?
Gold is currently trading inside a short-term descending channel, with price compressed between the EMAs (13–34–89–200).
🔄 An inverse head & shoulders formation appears to be developing at the bottom – a bullish signal if it confirms with a breakout.
⚠️ Key Support Zone: 3,345–3,357
⚠️ Resistance Barrier: 3,417–3,440
🧭 TRADE PLAN
✅ BUY SCENARIO:
Buy Zone: 3,345 – 3,357
Trigger: Wait for bullish rejection with confirmation candle
Stop Loss: Below 3,342
Targets: 3,373 → 3,384 → 3,403 → 3,417 → 3,440
❌ SELL SCENARIO:
Sell Zone: 3,438 – 3,440
Trigger: Look for bearish rejection around resistance
Stop Loss: Above 3,445
Targets: 3,403 → 3,384 → 3,373 → 3,357
📣 FINAL THOUGHTS FOR INDIAN TRADERS
Even though the mid-term trend remains bullish, gold is still in consolidation mode. This is a time to stay calm, wait for clean setups, and only act on clear signals.
💡 Keep a close eye on geopolitical shifts – especially involving Iran, Israel, and the US – as these could be the catalyst for gold’s next major move.
Gold breaks down, short-term bears dominate the rhythmThe Fed's June resolution kept interest rates unchanged, but Powell's remarks (expected to slow down the pace of future rate cuts) suppressed gold prices, causing gold prices to fall from around $3,396 to $3,362; the rebound of the US dollar index put short-term pressure on gold, but gold rebounded slightly when the US dollar pulled back; the conflict between Iran and Israel continued to ferment, and the safe-haven demand partially supported the gold price, limiting the decline. After several days of volatility, gold opened slightly higher today and then fell sharply to $3,347.56 per ounce, breaking the unilateral decline in the volatile trend. The 4-hour moving average is in a short position, the Bollinger band is narrowing, and the gold price is running near the lower Bollinger band. Therefore, today's operation is to rebound and short.
Operational suggestions: Arrange short positions in batches in the 3370-3385 range, follow the trend, and control risks. Target 3350-3340.
GBPUSD(20250619)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed's June meeting - kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth time in a row, and the dot plot showed two rate cuts this year, but the number of officials who expected no rate cuts this year rose to 7, and the rate cut expectations for next year were cut to 1. Powell continued to call for uncertainty, and the current economic situation is suitable for waiting and watching. He also expects tariff-driven inflation to rise in the coming months.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3432
Support and resistance levels:
1.3507
1.3479
1.3461
1.3403
1.3385
1.3357
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3432, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.3461
If the price breaks through 1.3403, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.3385
BTC/USD – Price Rejected at ATH | Key Support in PlaY Bitcoin recently reached a new all-time high at $111,942, but the daily candle closed lower around $109,550, signaling a potential rejection.
On the 1D timeframe, we are now watching the $100,725 level closely. A confirmed break below this support would be a strong signal to consider short positions.
Until then, BTC may consolidate or attempt another push higher. Patience is key here — wait for confirmation.
📌 Key levels:
• Resistance: $111,942 (ATH)
• Support: $100,725 (critical break level)
🧠 Trade safe, manage risk, and follow for more analysis.
Where Is The Real HypeThis latest crypto cycle has been the hardest to navigate for even the most experienced crypto traders. No real Altcoin season has transpired, maybe best reflected by the fact that over 2 years into it, Ethereum still has not seen a new All-Time-High. That is not to say that there have not been winners. Hyperliquid, the 'decentralized' perpetuals exchange has taken the market by storm. The word 'decentralized' is in inverted commas as the extent of decentralization for the platform is debatable but starting with UX and product first, and arguably bringing in decentralization later, has so far proven to be winning strategy. The performance of the project's native token HYPE has been one of the few bright lights in this market.
HYPE, the token, launched in what is an immaculate conception in crypto terms: no VCs who got in at better price levels, an airdrop that heavily rewarded the community, revenue-driven token buybacks. The project is a case-study on how to succeed in today's crypto world. Perpetuals trading is one of the core use-cases for crypto. Enabling perpetuals trading for jurisdictions where it is banned for retail via 'decentralization' is regulatory arbitrage at its best. Luckily, regulation-wise, the stars seem to have aligned. At the same time, crypto traders have been overwhelmed by large supplies of tokens dumped on the market at unfavorable terms for retail investors. Non-crypto retail on the other hand has been burned one too many times by mingling in our industry and has so far stayed out. Consequently, the vast majority of crypto tokens has simply not gone anywhere in this cycle so far.
Where non-crypto retail funds go becomes visible when looking at the performance of various stock indices, pennystocks and even crypto-related stocks including Microstrategy. Even despite economic uncertainty and war, stocks are at all-time highs. On the institutional side, funds and tradfi have been playing the crypto-leverage game via instruments they are familiar with. We have spoken about Michael Saylor's strategy of borrowing funds to buy more Bitcoin many times in this newsletter previously. Other companies have copied the Microstrategy playbook in increasing numbers. 151 publicly traded companies now hold Bitcoin.
Meanwhile, the less 'degen' side of tradfi has focused its attention on stablecoins. The so-called 'GENIUS' Act to regulate stablecoins has just passed the US Senate with bi-partisan support. The performance of Circle's stock after its recent IPO is the best example for the growing Tradfi excitement over Stablecoins. A 5x return in a little over a week may remind crypto traders of happier days. It is certainly not the norm in Tradfi world. Stripe, the Fintech giant, has been acquiring crypto infra players including Bridge and Privy. Shopify has enabled stablecoin payments. Adoption comes slowly, then all at once.
As the worlds of crypto and Tradfi continue to merge, opportunities for traders will continue to present themselves. We may be facing a quieter period in crypto markets right now. But the lessons of HYPE's immaculate conception are being studied by teams and founders around the industry. Inevitably, the possibilities of permission-less onchain finance will sooner or later lure back the traders. Until then, good luck looking for the next hype.
#ASCM - Egyptian stock - great opportunity, high financial risk#ASCM time frame 1 DAY
Note : before technical analysis the financial position of the company isn't in the best condition , there isn't any cash flows from operations activity , in anther hand the company work in MINING so that may cost the company lot of expenses and time before achieving any Mining discovery .
We have here a great Gartley Bullish pattern with 2 positive diversions at MACD and RSI in addition the prices in critical point ( stop loss of the pattern ) so :
Entry level at 34.00 ( price now is 32.85 ) so we can wait to close daily over 34.00 or start from this point ( consult your account manager )
Stop loss 32.70 ( estimated loss -4% ) or estimated loss from this point is 0.50 %
First target at 37.50 ( estimated profit around 14% )
Second target 40.70 ( estimated profit around 23% )
Third target 42.70 ( estimated profit 30% )
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , it`s may take period up to 3 months to achieve targets , you must study well the Alternative opportunities before invest in this stock .
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck