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Fundamental Analysis

Gbp/Jpy Intra-Day Analysis 30-May-2025Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
FED, a hidden rate cut?1) Money supply at an all-time high: an apparent paradox given that the Fed is no longer lowering interest rates The M2 money supply in the United States has just reached a new all-time high, even though the Federal Reserve has not lowered its key interest rate since December 2024. This may come as a surprise: how is such an influx of liquidity possible without explicit action by the Fed on rates? However, this phenomenon is providing strong support for risky assets, starting with the S&P 500 index, which has rebounded sharply since April. For the record, M2 includes immediately available liquidity in the economy: currency in circulation, demand deposits, time deposits, money market funds, and highly liquid assets. It is therefore a key indicator of the spending and investment capacity of economic agents. This rebound in money supply comes against a backdrop of macroeconomic resilience in the United States: commercial bank lending is picking up again, the labor market remains strong, and wages continue to rise. At the same time, the long-term upward trend in US stock markets remains intact. All these factors are fueling endogenous monetary expansion, regardless of immediate monetary policy decisions on interest rates. This strong return of liquidity is in turn fueling the markets, creating a self-reinforcing loop between rising asset prices, economic confidence, and credit injection. The chart below shows the overlap between US M2 money supply and the S&P 500 futures trend. 2) Implicit monetary easing: has the Fed already pivoted without saying so? The main explanation for this monetary expansion lies in an implicit pivot by the Fed, not through the Fed Funds rate, but via two less visible but equally powerful channels: the RRP (Reverse Repo Facility) and QT (Quantitative Tightening). On the one hand, use of the RRP program has been in free fall for several months. This tool allows money market funds to place their excess short-term liquidity with the Fed. When the RRP declines, it means that this liquidity returns to the financial system to be reinvested elsewhere (Treasury bills, money markets, risky assets). This simple shift in cash constitutes an implicit easing of monetary conditions, lowering real short-term rates and increasing the availability of capital. On the other hand, the Fed has significantly slowed its quantitative tightening program. In May 2025, it lowered its monthly cap on Treasury reductions to just $5 billion (down from $25 billion previously). This amounts to slowing the contraction of its balance sheet, thereby removing less structural liquidity from the economy. The result: the two levers, less sterilization via the RRP and less contraction via QT, combine to form de facto monetary easing, without any official change in the key interest rate. 3) So what are the consequences for the S&P 500 index? In this context, the rebound in the S&P 500 can be explained not only by the current phase of trade diplomacy but also by hidden monetary easing. From a technical analysis perspective, the S&P 500 futures contract remains in a medium-term uptrend as long as the major support level of 5700/5800 points is maintained. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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CME_MINI:ES1!
by Swissquote
Safe Entry ZoneCurrently stock in down movement. Has Two significate support level 1h Green Zone (most propaply will respected) and 4h Green Zone (Strongest Support Level) price targeting is the 1h Red Zone (Take Profit Line where you can secure profit) then for long term we got two P.High(Previous Hign) Lines which acts as Strong Resistance Levels MUST Be Respected and Watch-out for any selling Pressure to secure profit. Note: Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
NASDAQ:LCIDShort
by Faisalzor
It seems calm, but there are actually undercurrents!Today, the monthly, weekly and daily lines closed simultaneously. At the same time, the PCE data will be released during the US trading session, and the market volatility may intensify. From a technical point of view, 3285 is also the key to long and short today. If gold does not break 3285 today, the strength of gold bulls is expected to continue, and there is still room for gold to move upward. If gold continues to fall and falls below 3285, then gold may begin to fluctuate in a large range. The upper resistance is in the 3320-3330 area, and the focus is on the 3335-3340 line of suppression. Pay attention to the 3290-3285 line of support below, and the key position below is in the 3280 area. If it breaks below the 3280 area during the day, the market is expected to fall again to the 3265-3250-3240 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
1
Intel - This might be the bottom!Intel - NASDAQ:INTC - might create a bottom: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) For almost an entire year, Intel has been consolidating at a major horizontal support. Considering the previous significant bloodbath, Intel might soon find its bottom, which is inevitably followed by a major bullish reversal. After all, market structure is slowly shifting bullish. Levels to watch: $20.0, $25.0 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by basictradingtv
6
Safe Entry ZoneStock Pre-market in Down Movement. We have Three Main Support Fesh Zones acts as good support for IONQ: 1- The Blue POI IC (Point Of Interesting or Institutional Candle) acts as support level which is interest zone for price to re-test @ 38-36 price level. 2- The 1h Green Zone @ 33-34 Price level 3- P.High (previous High) Line at 29.5 price level Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NYSE:IONQ
by Faisalzor
Gold prices are likely to surge today for several reasons, but dGold prices are likely to surge today for several reasons, but do not expect a long-term rally just yet. Technically, the price has tested the former resistance-turned-support level at 3250, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci Retracement, and has completed a 3-wave minor structure. After testing the 3250 level, the price rebounded significantly and broke the previous high, indicating a potential short-term uptrend in wave c of the broader wave B. This suggests that gold is currently forming a complex corrective wave, likely entering the final minor bullish wave before reversing downward once major wave B completes. Fundamentally, a federal appeals court has temporarily halted a Wednesday decision by the Court of International Trade that had blocked President Donald Trump’s tariffs. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit reinstated Trump’s power to enforce tariffs under emergency authority declared earlier this year. This development deepens the uncertainty and confusion on US economic policies, which is putting pressure on the US dollar. This also reignites concerns over global trade and brings volatility to financial markets, prompting investors to return to safe-haven assets. The PCE inflation data, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, will be released today. It will likely affect both the US dollar and gold prices. The market expects the figure to ease to 2.2%, down from 2.3% previously. If the forecast is accurate, it would bring inflation closer to the Fed’s 2.0% target, increasing expectations of a potential rate cut. This would further weaken the dollar and could boost gold prices following the release. * The current price retracement below 3300 following yesterday's surge is a "buy-on-dip opportunity," as bullish momentum remains intact.* Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:GOLDLong
by KrisadaYoonaisil
DOGEUSDT → Long squeeze before growth?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P is consolidating. A range with clear boundaries has formed. Before a possible breakout, a liquidation (false breakdown) may form On D1, the structure is quite positive. Earlier, the price tested the downward resistance, but there was no reaction (fall) as such. Instead, the price is consolidating within the range of 0.211 (0.205) - 0.23 - 0.253. Bitcoin, like the entire crypto market, is consolidating within fairly clear boundaries. Based on the current situation, it would be logical to wait for one part of the market to be liquidated before the price can move in either direction. Based on the bullish market, there may be a retest of support in the form of a false break... Resistance levels: 0.2308, 0.253 Support levels: 0.213, 0.2116, 0.205 DOGE is consolidating with a focus on the 0.23–0.211 range. Against the backdrop of a bullish trend, a liquidation (long squeeze) relative to the lower boundary of the 0.23–0.205 range is possible before growth continues. A false break of support and liquidity capture would be useful maneuvers before implementation. However, if the market is aggressive enough and resistance at 0.23 is broken with subsequent consolidation above this level, it could trigger premature growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD: Z Wave in Progress - WXWXZ PatternGOLD: Z Wave in Progress - WXWXZ Pattern GOLD: Z Wave in Progress Gold is currently developing the final leg of a complex WXYXZ pattern, with the Z wave taking shape. Gold tends to rise unpredictably—even on days without major news or strong market volume, making this a hazardous trade. FOMC Minutes Today. The Federal Reserve’s minutes from the May 6-7 meeting will be released today. Policymakers showed no signs of adjusting interest rates soon, and today’s report may highlight how firmly they are sticking to their current "wait-and-see" approach. You may watch the analysis for further details! Thank you!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KlejdiCuni
16
LINK/USDT Long Setup: Technical Bounce + Chainlink FundamentalsTechnical Analysis (LINK/USDT): The daily chart highlights a strategic entry at 14.019, following a bounce from the 11.90–14.03 support zone, a level with prior consolidation and buying interest. The stop-loss at 11.99 sits below this support, guarding against a breakdown, while the take-profit at 26.51 targets the 24.26–26.54 resistance zone—a previous high with selling pressure—yielding a ~1:5 risk-reward ratio. Recent bullish rejection at support, paired with rising volume, signals potential upward momentum. Fundamental Analysis (Chainlink/LINK): Chainlink’s fundamentals are strong in 2025. The expansion of its CCIP protocol has boosted cross-chain interoperability, increasing adoption in DeFi. New partnerships with Polygon and Avalanche have solidified its ecosystem, driving LINK demand. Additionally, the rise in real-world asset tokenization has heightened reliance on Chainlink’s oracles for accurate data, supporting LINK’s value. However, crypto market volatility and regulatory risks remain key concerns. This trade blends a high-probability technical setup with robust fundamentals, making it a compelling opportunity.
Long
by AlgoVesting
$SG - LONGNYSE:SG is approaching a key monthly control level following a sharp decline. I’ve started a front-side entry and plan to scale in further if price moves lower toward the back-side level. Entries & Targets: **First Entry: $13 Target 1 (T1): Daily supply zone around $15 Target 2 (T2): ~$16.50 Target 3 (T3): ~$18.50 Target 4 (T4): ~$21 **Second Entry: $11 (if price continues to decline) Targets remain the same as above. ***Stop Loss*** Either: Weekly candle closing with a negative (COG) or A confirmed candle close below $9.50.
NYSE:SGLong
by DFW_ETH