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XAUUSD : Clear weakening What about XAU? Many would be asking. From a harmonic point of view, I can see price is weakening. Even with a push by BUYERS, it would only reach the banana, which is BELOW the previous high at the blue line. So, the plan is that when it reaches banana, a SELL is possible with SL just above the blue line. In this way, we have a higher probability of success, plus a fantastic R/R. Looking at the DXY, the $ is also at an inflection point. Good luck.

Short

Gold’s Bullish Range Holds – Is This the Dip to Buy?With tensions easing in the Middle East and risk appetite moderating, gold has settled into a bullish daily range. The metal recently broke a key high, confirming its upward momentum, but now appears to be consolidating. The central question is whether gold will break lower for a deeper correction or whether this is merely a pause before the next leg higher. Reduced geopolitical risk has tempered the “risk-on” rally in gold, but the metal remains firmly within a bullish daily range. This indicates that the underlying bid has not disappeared—only short-term speculative flows have adjusted. Gold recently breached a protected high—likely a higher high or significant resistance level—reinforcing the prevailing bullish momentum. A pullback into imbalance or demand zones is anticipated; however, if a catalyst emerges, price could resume its advance from current levels, with the 0.328 Fibonacci retracement acting as a strong support. Meanwhile, the DXY is exhibiting signs of a pullback but lacks the fundamental drivers necessary to sustain a broader rally.

Long

by Austin_Palmer

BTC/USDT July Outlook: Road to 116K or a Trap Below?The current structure shows Bitcoin consolidating after a strong bounce off the June lows. We’re now forming a potential bullish continuation pattern within a clear rising channel (dashed yellow lines), but the price is currently testing a mid-channel liquidity zone around $108,000–$110,000. Key observations: Local resistance zone: $111,980 (marked ATH) – a major liquidity magnet that could trigger a squeeze if broken. Support range: $106,000–$103,000 – strong confluence zone if price rejects current structure. Potential fakeout: Liquidity dip down to the $98,200–$95,500 zone is possible before a mid-July reversal (highlighted yellow path and vertical time marker on July 18). Upside target: The upper channel boundary and projected fib confluence points to a bullish target of $116,722 by mid-to-late July. Invalidations: Sustained break below $95,000 could negate the bullish structure and push us into deeper correction territory. Timing: The key date to watch is around July 18, where multiple structural lines and projection paths converge. What’s your bias for July? Trap and rip… or stairway to 117K? #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #LiquidityZones #BTCJulyOutlook

Long

by Dutch_Viking

DOODUSDT.P 4H SHORT DOODUSDT.P {BYBIT} 🔻 Market hits resistance with lower momentum showing divergence in momentum. Expecting a third touch on bearish trendline and a strong bearish confirmation to short. Share your thoughts in the comment section.

Short

Bitcoin the exact scenario bitcoin may need some mre liquidity to fuel back up , so it's better to see this scenario as the most accurate, in order to make some new all time high

Short

by thetradinglord28

Down the road - Gold Outlook June 30 - July 24, 2025 FX_IDC:XAUUSD 📰 The past weeks has been a wild ride for gold prices, caught between the fiery conflict in the Middle East and a deluge of crucial economic data from the U.S. 📈 Adding to this, a detailed technical analysis provides a deeper look into gold's immediate future. **Geopolitical Drama Unfolds & Peace Prevails!** 🕊️ ceasefire negotiations. Initially, gold was shrouded in uncertainty 🌫️ due to the Iran-Israel war, with markets bracing for potential U.S. involvement and a full-blown escalation. Daily tit-for-tat attacks between Iran and Israel kept everyone on edge, and the question of U.S. intervention remained a nail-biter 😬, though President Trump did announce a 14-day "timeout". Then came the dramatic twist on June 21st: "Operation Midnighthammer" saw the U.S. unleash bunker-buster bombs on Iranian uranium enrichment facilities. 💥 Short time later, the U.S. declared mission accomplished, stating their goal of destroying these sites was achieved, and no further attacks would follow. Iran's response, "Operation Annunciation of Victory," on the following Monday, involved missile strikes on U.S. military bases in Qatar and Iraq. 🚀 Interestingly, these attacks were pre-announced, allowing for safe evacuations and thankfully, no casualties. 🙏 The biggest surprise came from President Trump as he declared, "Congratulations world, it's time for peace!" 🎉 He then brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which, despite being fragile, largely held, leading to the war's end.🤝 Both nations, as expected, officially claimed victory – a common move to satisfy their citizens. 🏅 Personally, I was genuinely surprised that the U.S.President mediated ceasefire, actually brought the conflict to a close – but it's a welcome outcome! 🙏 **Economic Data & Fed's Steady Hand** 💹🏛️ The cessation of hostilities triggered a steady downward slide in gold prices from June 24th to 27th. ⬇️ This dip initially met some market resistance but it ultimately prevailed, especially with the release of mixed U.S. economic data, which, despite being varied, was generally interpreted positively by the market. The spotlight also shone on the Federal Reserve, with several representatives speaking and Fed Chair Jerome Powell undergoing a two-day Senate hearing. 🎤👨‍⚖️ Powell meticulously explained the Fed's rationale for holding interest rates steady, despite market pressures. 🤷 However, recent whispers suggest the Federal Reserve might actually cut rates in September! 😮 ## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰 India / Pakistan Pakistan rejected claims that it supported militant groups active in Indian Kashmir. India issued a formal protest but reported no fresh border clashes during the week. Outlook 🔮: De-escalation is possible in the short term. However, unresolved disputes over water rights (Indus Treaty) could reignite tensions. Gaza Conflict Heavy Israeli airstrikes killed dozens in Gaza, including civilians near aid centers. The UN warned that U.S.-backed aid systems are failing. Humanitarian corridors remain blocked. Outlook 🔮: Ceasefire talks may resume in July, but success depends on international pressure and safe humanitarian access. Russia / Ukraine Russia advanced 36 sq mi in eastern Ukraine, deploying outdated T-62 tanks. Ukraine reinforced defensive lines, aided by Western military packages. Outlook 🔮: The front remains volatile. Sustained Western support will be key to halting further Russian gains. U.S. – China Trade War A breakthrough deal was signed for China to fast-track rare-earth exports to the U.S. Talks on tech transfer and tariffs continue behind closed doors. Outlook 🔮: A phased de-escalation is possible, but deep trust issues linger, especially over semiconductors and AI. 🌐 Global Trade War Several countries, including Brazil and Thailand, imposed fresh restrictions on Chinese imports, echoing the U.S. stance. Global supply chains remain fragmented. Outlook 🔮: Trade blocs like the EU and Mercosur may take on greater importance as countries hedge against rising protectionism. Trump vs. Powell Fed Chair Powell resisted political pressure, stating rate cuts are unlikely before September. Trump called him “stubborn” and demanded immediate easing. Outlook 🔮: The Fed’s independence is under strain. If Trump wins re-election, major policy shifts could follow. 📈 U.S. Inflation Despite tariffs, core inflation remains elevated. Powell warned of persistent price pressures. Trump insists the Fed should cut rates to boost growth. Outlook 🔮: A rate cut later in 2025 is possible—if labor market data weakens. Until then, inflation will remain politically explosive. ## Technical View 📐📈 **Current Market Context:** Gold plummeted to $3,273.67 USD/t.oz on June 27, 2025, marking a 1.65% drop from the previous day, which confirms the strong bearish momentum. The price action shows a significant retreat from recent highs around $3,400. **ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Methodology Analysis:** * **Market Structure:** The trend is clearly bearish, with a definitive break of structure (BOS) to the downside. * **Order Blocks:** Several bearish order blocks have been identified at prior resistance levels, specifically in the $3,380-$3,400 range. * **Fair Value Gaps (FVG):** The aggressive sell-off has created multiple imbalances, particularly in the $3,350-$3,320 range. * **Liquidity Pools:** Buy-side liquidity above $3,400 has been swept. Sell-side liquidity is now accumulating below the $3,270 lows, which is the current target zone. * **Session Analysis:** The London session showed aggressive selling, followed by a continuation of bearish momentum in the New York session. The Asia session could see consolidation or further declines. * **Smart Money Concepts:** Heavy selling pressure suggests "smart money" distribution. There's been strong bearish displacement from $3,380 down to $3,270, indicating the market is currently in a "sell program" phase. **Gann Analysis:** * **Gann Angles & Time Cycles:** The primary 1x1 Gann angle has been broken, pointing to continued weakness. Key price squares indicate resistance at $3,375 (25²) and support at $3,249 (57²). Daily cycles suggest a potential turning point around June 30-July 1, while weekly cycles indicate continued pressure through early July. * **Gann Levels:** * Resistance: $3,375, $3,400, $3,481 (59²) * Support: $3,249, $3,136, $3,025 **Fibonacci Analysis:** * **Key Retracement Levels (from recent swing high to low):** * 78.6%: $3,378 (Strong resistance) * 61.8%: $3,348 (Key resistance zone) * 50.0%: $3,325 (Psychological level) * 38.2%: $3,302 (Minor resistance) * 23.6%: $3,285 (Current area of interest) * **Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets):** * 127.2%: $3,245 * 161.8%: $3,195 * 261.8%: $3,095 * **Time-Based Fibonacci:** The next significant time cluster is July 2-3, 2025, with a major cycle completion expected around July 15-17, 2025. **Institutional Levels & Volume Analysis:** * **Key Institutional Levels:** * Major Resistance: $3,400 (psychological + institutional) * Secondary Resistance: $3,350-$3,375 (order block cluster) * Primary Support: $3,250-$3,270 (institutional accumulation zone) * Major Support: $3,200 (monthly pivot area) * **Volume Profile Analysis:** * High Volume Node (HVN): $3,320-$3,340 (fair value area) * Low Volume Node (LVN): $3,280-$3,300 (potential acceleration zone) * Point of Control (POC): Currently around $3,330 **Central Bank & Hedge Fund Levels:** Based on recent COT data and institutional positioning, heavy resistance is seen at $3,400-$3,430, where institutions likely distributed. An accumulation zone for "smart money" re-entry is anticipated at $3,200-$3,250. **Cycle Timing Analysis:** * **Short-Term Cycles (Intraday):** Bearish momentum is expected to continue for another 12-18 hours. A daily cycle low is likely between June 29-30, with a potential reversal zone on July 1-2 for the 3-day cycle. * **Medium-Term Cycles:** The current weekly cycle is in week 3 of a 4-week decline. The monthly cycle indicates a mid-cycle correction within a larger uptrend. For the quarterly cycle, Q3 2025 could see a major low formation. * **Seasonal Patterns:** July-August is typically a weaker period for gold ("Summer Doldrums"). September has historically been strong for precious metals ("September Effect"), setting up for a potential major move higher in Q4 2025 ("Year-End Rally"). **Trading Strategy & Levels:** * **Bearish Scenario (Primary):** * Entry: Sell rallies into the $3,320-$3,350 resistance zone. * Targets: $3,250, $3,200, $3,150. * Stop Loss: Above $3,380. * **Bullish Scenario (Secondary):** * Entry: Buy support at $3,250-$3,270 with confirmation. * Targets: $3,320, $3,375, $3,400. * Stop Loss: Below $3,230. **Key Events to Watch:** * **US PCE Data:** Fresh downside risks could emerge ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data release. * **Fed Communications:** Any hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve could further pressure gold. * **Geopolitical Developments:** Ongoing global events could trigger safe-haven demand. **Conclusion:** The technical picture for gold suggests continued short-term weakness, with the metal testing its 2025 trend line at $3,290 following last week's rejection at the $3,430 resistance. However, the longer-term outlook remains constructive, given gold's robust performance year-to-date. Key support at $3,250-$3,270 will be crucial in determining the next significant price movement. **Upcoming Week's Economic Calendar (June 29 - July 4, 2025):** 🗓️🌍 🗓️ Get ready for these important economic events (EDT) * ** Sunday , June 29, 2025** * 21:30 CNY: Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 49.6, Previous: 49.5 * ** Monday , June 30, 2025** * 09:45 USD: Chicago PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 42.7, Previous: 40.5 * ** Tuesday , July 1, 2025** * 05:00 EUR: CPI (YoY) (Jun) - Forecast: 2.0%, Previous: 1.9% * 09:30 USD: Fed Chair Powell Speaks * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 52.0, Previous: 52.0 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 48.8, Previous: 48.5 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 70.2, Previous: 69.4 * 10:00 USD: JOLTS Job Openings (May) - Forecast: 7.450M, Previous: 7.391M * ** Wednesday , July 2, 2025** * 08:15 USD: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun) - Forecast: 80K, Previous: 37K * 10:30 USD: Crude Oil Inventories - Forecast: -5.836M * ** Thursday , July 3, 2025** * Holiday: United States - Independence Day (Early close at 13:00) 🇺🇸⏰ * 08:30 USD: Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) - Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.4% * 08:30 USD: Initial Jobless Claims - Forecast: 239K, Previous: 236K * 08:30 USD: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) - Forecast: 129K, Previous: 139K * 08:30 USD: Unemployment Rate (Jun) - Forecast: 4.2%, Previous: 4.2% * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Services PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 53.1, Previous: 53.1 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 50.3, Previous: 49.9 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 68.7 * ** Friday , July 4, 2025** * All Day: Holiday - United States - Independence Day 🎆 **Gold Price Forecast for the Coming Week** 🔮💰 Given last week's market movements, there's a strong likelihood that the downward trend in gold prices will continue.🔽 However, fresh news can always flip the script! 🔄 As of now, I expect gold to dip further to $3255 by mid-next week. Yet, a brief rebound towards $3300 isn't out of the question before a potential drop to $3200 by week's end or early the following week. 🤞 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊

Short

Updated

BTC/USDT BYBIT IDEA #2 – Local Range Hold and OMEGA CANDLE PRINT This is my second Setup I am currently in - apart from going to 6h orderblock we will hold the LTF range and continue higher breaking new highs and starting price discovery. Combined this with Bullish News could bring amazing BTC Run, followed by Altcoin Season in Mid August/September. If you look into Bitcoin Balance and the way this token is being bought and accumulated by institutions. The way you know Bull Run is about to start is because no Grandmas and Taxi Drivers are talking about it. I would not believe it myself but here we are. The way I do this I keep my position running from lows (bought at 107 400) and I am buying LTF ranges for extra 30-40% of existing position and then closing around the same amount on highs of LTF like 15M-30M. looking for longs, my SL is set for break even. Good luck.

Long

by petermichalides

Updated

WHy is everyone Freaking out over the DXY !?!?!Here is a chart of the DXY. with a linear regression channel plotted over it. Yes, we are close to the bottom of the channel. But we are no where near an all time low. Far from it. The DXY may be due for a push, but even if it was to drop more it would not be that big of a deal relative to historical patterns.

EUR vs. CHF: Who Wins?EUR vs. CHF: Who Wins? The Euro (EUR) is holding strong thanks to: ✔️ Germany’s new spending boosting growth ✔️ ECB done cutting rates (no big surprises ahead) ✔️ Weak USD helping EUR overall But the Swiss Franc (CHF) is a tough rival because: ✔️ It’s a safe haven—up 11% in a year ✔️ Swiss National Bank (SNB) keeps it strong to fight inflation ✔️ Switzerland’s economy is stable (low inflation, steady growth) What This Means for Traders: If markets get nervous (wars, trade fights, etc.) → CHF gets stronger If Europe’s growth stays solid → EUR could fight back Right Now? Not the best time to buy EUR/CHF CHF could keep winning unless SNB changes its tune Watch ECB & SNB speeches—any hints could move markets Bottom Line: Wait for a clearer signal before trading this pair. CHF is the safer bet for now. Trade smart—keep it simple! 🚀 Not a buy setup yet—wait for clearer signals.

by Wainainarobert

Gold Bearish Reversal – Targeting 3293 After Channel Breakdown 📉 Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Min Chart Analysis: 🔹 Pattern Overview: Triple Top Formation spotted (circled areas), indicating strong resistance around the 3,365–3,375 zone. A descending channel formed after the top, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows — clear bearish momentum. Fib retracement level (0.618) acted as a resistance during the bounce. 🔹 Current Price Action: Price broke down from the recent bullish correction inside the channel. Bearish impulse wave is forming again after lower high around 3,355. Price is currently dropping from ~3,360 to 3,313, heading toward key support. 🔹 Target & Support: Marked downside target: 3,293 — aligned with prior support zone and measured move from the last swing high/low. This is a critical demand area; potential short-term bounce could occur there. 🔹 Conclusion: Bias: Bearish below 3,335. Immediate Target: 3,293 Invalidation: Break above 3,355 could delay or reverse bearish move.

Short

by Olivia_Magnam44

Analysis on USD/JPY LONG Hello! As we all know the Thursday NFP came in positive for USD thereby making usd to be in stronger position against the JPY. More analysis are stated below US–Japan Interest Rate Divergence Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains cautious post its January rate hike, with rates near 0.5% and monetary policy likely on hold through 2025 U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has postponed cuts amid robust job data and inflation above target; markets have pulled forward rate cut expectations to autumn rather than summer . The interest-rate gap (USD >4%, JPY ~0.5%) favours a stronger dollar but carries a steep “carry cost” for yen investors . Economic Outlooks & Trade Dynamics Japan’s Q2 business sentiment (Tankan) is slightly positive, despite export weakness due to tariff risks U.S.–Japan trade tensions are escalating, with looming tariffs on Japanese car imports potentially impacting growth and yen sentiment reddit.com Persistent Japanese inflation (~2.5% in Tokyo) and wage gains (~2.8%) bolster long-term BoJ tightening expectations Summary: The dollar remains supported by stronger U.S. policy and treasury yields. Meanwhile, Japan’s cautious BoJ, inflation, and trade vulnerabilities push the yen—and thus USD/JPY—into a volatile bracket.

Long

01:10

GBP/USD - Bearish Channel (07.07.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3545 2nd Support – 1.3485 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.

Short

by KABHI_TA_TRADING

Updated

ASX200- Swing Trade Plan - SELL The ASX200 has reached last year's high, and bulls have attempted to push the price higher, and we have seen a failure for demand on the weekly for the last two weekly candles. Seasonality - Risk off. Price is reached MM3 pivot. If support is breached on the hourly -8592 and the hourly candle closes, and the next candle restest this area then the trade plan is to short. Targeting - WKM1 - 8506.

Short

by gillianpatrice

EURusd Short position 07/07/2025 English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a bearish scenario. Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna antsanaw hboot ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signal

Short

[SOLUSDT scalping short signal]- Signal: SHORT - Entry: 151.300 ~ 151.500 - Take Profit: 150.820, 150.350 Chasing highs and lows is prohibited, so miss it; Prohibit stop-loss operation, only to do "controlled static and dynamic resonance zone" within the transaction.

Short

by SUNNNNNNY333

Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 7th July 2024)Bias: Bearish USD News(Red Folder): -None Notes: - Strong bearish momentum on market open -Looking for price to retest 4hr structure - Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe - Pivot point: 3345 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.

Short

by HM_fxtrading

FULL MARGIN TEST ETH ✅ 2. ETHUSD (Strong bias rising) Entry: 2565 Long on retracement Stop Loss: 2540 Take Profit: 2600 Recommended lot size: 0.20 lot (1:100)

Long

by SUNNNNNNY333

Opportunity Beneath the Fear: SPY's Reversal Setup In the Shadow of Headlines: SPY’s Drop Could Be 2025’s Big Opportunity As markets react sharply to renewed tariff fears and Trump-related headlines, SPY continues its descent. Panic is setting in—but behind the noise, a strategic opportunity may be quietly forming. While many rush to exit, others are beginning to position for the bounce. A well-structured entry strategy could be key to turning uncertainty into gains. Entry Zone (Staggered): 🔹 543: First watch level—look for signs of slowing momentum. 🔹 515: Deeper entry point as the selloff extends. 🔹 <500 (TBD): Stay flexible—if panic accelerates, this could mark a generational setup. Profit Targets: ✅ 570: Initial rebound target. ✅ 590: Mid-range level if recovery builds. ✅ 610+: Full recovery potential—rewarding those with patience and vision. Remember: Headlines fade, but price action and preparation stay. This selloff may continue—but it might also be laying the foundation for 2025’s most powerful move. The key? Enter with discipline, protect your capital, and let the market come to you. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.

Updated

4-Dimensional Investing: Evolving Beyond News, Charts, and Math 📚 4-Dimensional Investing: Evolving Beyond News, Charts, and Math Most people start learning about stocks in a 1-dimensional way — by following the news. But news is noisy. Some is fake, some is "buy the rumor, sell the fact", and sometimes the price moves the opposite of what the news suggests. So, many give up on news and turn to... 📊 2D: Technical Analysis (TA) TA has been around since the 1980s, when personal computers went mainstream. It's visual and intuitive — charts, lines, indicators. You see price action unfold on-screen and feel like you're deciphering the market in real time. Some traders even build entire systems off indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages. They think: "Aha! The chart did this, so next time I’ll do that." But often, "next time" doesn't work the same. TA is fundamentally historical — it's about pattern recognition and hoping history repeats. It’s like counting the color of every fallen leaf, trying to predict the next one. We needed something better. So the institutions turned to… 🧠 3D: Quantitative Modeling Enter the quants — physicists, mathematicians, engineers. They model the markets like rocket science using multi-dimensional equations. Think LTCM (Long-Term Capital Management), led by Nobel Prize winners. Quant models are more sophisticated than charts — they simulate human behavior with precision. But there's a problem: humans change. A model may work… until people start behaving differently. Markets are not just math. They’re psychology, emotion, fear, greed. Which brings us to the new frontier… 🤖 4D: AI-Powered, Language-Driven Investing This is where LLMs (Large Language Models) enter the game. People often ask me: “Why use LLMs for trading? Why not traditional ML like LSTM?” Here’s my answer: Markets are made of humans, and humans communicate through language. Not numbers. Not charts. Not just price. Now, with LLMs, we can: Analyze any human-created document (news, filings, tweets, speeches) Understand sentiment in real context Capture nuance — the stuff traditional models miss LLMs don’t just convert text to numbers. They learn meaning. This adds a fourth dimension to our trading models: language + reasoning + context + behavior. Underneath, it’s still powered by classic ML and deep learning. But now the machine can think more like a human — with intuition, memory, and adaptability. --- 🌐 The Future Is 4D Investing We're not saying this is the final answer to markets. But it’s a major leap forward. Trading is one of the hardest prediction problems in the world. And now we have a tool that bridges the gap between math and human behavior. Welcome to the era of 4D investing — Where the future of trading is built with language, context, and AI. Let’s explore it together in ⁠📖qs-academy. 🚀

Education

by quantsignals

7/7: Key Zone – 3320 to 3350 Good morning, everyone! Due to the U.S. market closure on Friday, price movement remained relatively subdued, and the week concluded with modest gains. As of this morning, gold opened higher but has since pulled back, and the price remains in a consolidation phase. Key technical levels for today: Resistance: around 3350 Support: near 3321 Short-term traders may focus on range-bound strategies between these levels. If a breakout occurs, follow the trend accordingly: If price breaks above and stabilizes above 3338, the market may shift its focus toward the 3400 psychological level; If price drops below and holds under 3332, there’s potential for a retest of the 3260 support zone. In terms of broader trend analysis, the MA20 and MA60 on the daily chart should be watched closely, as they currently serve as key dynamic resistance and support levels. Lastly, stay alert to any developments related to trade tariffs, as such news may significantly impact market sentiment and gold price direction.

by China_MsWang

Weekly Pivot points for Gold by Adon Fx and Stocks Market Weekly Pivot points for Gold by Adon Fx and Stocks Market

by ebenezerrobot

BTC Smart money Bullish don’t be fooled !**BITCOIN MICROSTRUCTURE ANALYSIS: Institutional Accumulation Through Order Flow Divergence** The current BTCUSD market structure presents a compelling case study in institutional accumulation mechanics, utilizing sophisticated order flow analysis to identify smart money positioning ahead of retail market participants. **Technical Infrastructure Analysis** The convergence of multiple analytical frameworks reveals a coordinated accumulation pattern across various timeframes and exchanges. Volume Profile Analysis on the primary chart indicates substantial institutional interest between $108,000-$110,000, with the Point of Control (POC) establishing a robust foundation for directional bias determination. **Order Flow Microstructure Dynamics** The Bitfinex footprint data reveals critical microstructural imbalances that traditional technical analysis often overlooks. The current candle displays a **-4.52 delta** with price resilience at $109,480, indicating aggressive institutional absorption of retail selling pressure. This negative delta combined with price strength represents a classic **Wyckoff accumulation signature** - large participants are utilizing iceberg orders and hidden liquidity pools to build positions without triggering algorithmic momentum systems. **Smart Money Positioning Mechanics** Three key indicators confirm institutional accumulation: 1. **Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Divergence**: Both spot and perpetual markets showing negative CVD (-95.77K spot, -50.05K perp) while price maintains elevation, indicating off-exchange accumulation through dark pools and cross-trading networks. 1. **Open Interest Expansion**: The increase from 77.89K to 78.75K contracts with minimal funding rate pressure suggests fresh institutional capital rather than retail speculation. 1. **Volume Profile Concentration**: The heatmap reveals 105.85M in trading volume concentrated within the $108K-$110K range, representing systematic accumulation rather than random market activity. **Institutional Arbitrage Mechanics** The funding rate dynamics (0.001783 with periodic negative spikes to -0.000753) indicate sophisticated carry trade positioning. Institutions are likely utilizing the negative funding periods to establish leveraged long positions while simultaneously hedging through spot accumulation, creating a self-reinforcing feedback loop. **Market Microstructure Implications** This accumulation pattern typically precedes **Phase C markup** in Wyckoff methodology, where institutional players transition from absorption to active price discovery. The thin volume profile above $112,000 suggests minimal resistance once the breakout occurs, creating conditions for rapid price expansion toward the $113,600 target. **Risk-Adjusted Positioning Strategy** The confluence of volume profile analysis, order flow dynamics, and institutional positioning indicators supports a high-probability long bias with the following parameters: - **Entry Zone**: $109,000-$109,200 (current accumulation range) - **Risk Management**: Stop loss at $108,200 (below institutional POC) - **Target Sequence**: $110,653 → $112,000 → $113,600 - **Confidence Level**: 90% (upgraded from initial 75% based on footprint confirmation) **Forward-Looking Market Structure** The sophisticated nature of this accumulation pattern suggests institutional preparation for a significant directional move. The combination of hidden liquidity absorption, funding rate arbitrage, and volume profile concentration creates optimal conditions for sustained upward momentum once the $110,000 psychological resistance is cleared. This analysis exemplifies how advanced order flow techniques can provide substantial informational advantages over traditional technical analysis, particularly in identifying institutional positioning ahead of retail market recognition. *Position sizing should remain within 3-5% of total portfolio allocation, with dynamic risk management protocols adjusted based on evolving market microstructure conditions.*

Long

$MELI: Long term trend active The dominant e-commerce and fintech player in Latin America, MercadoLibre, has demonstrated robust growth in the first quarter of 2025. With a significant increase in gross merchandise volume and total payment volume, the company is capitalizing on the region's digital transformation. Key metrics to watch include user growth on its platform and the performance of its credit and asset management services. Time at mode and valuation analysis paint a solid picture here, with ample relative strength against the broad market in all timeframes overall as well. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.

Long

11 22 33 44 55 66 77 88 99 1010 1111 1212 1313 1414 1515 1616 1717 1818 1919 2020 2121 2222 2323 2424 2525 2626 2727 2828 2929 3030 3131 3232 3333 3434 3535 3636 3737 3838 3939 4040 4141 4242

Select market data provided by ICE Data services. Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2025 FactSet Research Systems Inc.© 2025 TradingView, Inc.

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