Selling AUDJPY on the daily timeframe the price has retraced back into the resistance area and showing us loss in buying pressure momentum
Fundamental Analysis
TRUMP price analysis✊ At the end of March, we last wrote about #Trump and “looked like water” predicting a price drop to $7-7.20 if the “great and brilliant leader” did not stop doing stupid things.... but then came the April sanctions...
We can comment and discuss it for a long time, but it's no use - you can't get the rust out of the metal or out of your head...
It was interesting on 19.04 - when a large unlock of 40 million #Trump coins took place and participants expected the price dump to continue.... but no...
and already on 23.04 - the news comes out that #Trump will have dinner with the largest holders of his token and, oh, miracle = 75% of the OKX:TRUMPUSDT price pump
There are already jokes on Twitter that the TOP-5 holders will be able to choose to who will be the next to set or remove abnormal taxes during dinner)
But seriously, there is every chance that the #TRUMUSDC price pump will continue and God grant us patience to keep and hold this small amount of #Trump coins to $24-$32 or maybe to $40...
_____________________
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USD/CHF High-confidence, Trend-Aligned setup. – April 26 2025 1️⃣ Technical Outlook
TF Structure & Momentum Verdict
Weekly (W1) Lower-lows since Jan; bearish OB at 0.8400 caps rallies Bearish
Daily (D1) Clean bearish channel; Friday close < mid-channel Bearish
H4 Consolidation under 0.8335 FVG after liquidity sweep Bearish
Trend-Aligned ✅
2️⃣ Primary Alert Zones (H4)
Zone Price Type Setup Idea
0.8335 – 0.8350 Bearish OB + FVG Break-&-retest short
0.8260 – 0.8250 Weekly swing low TP1 / possible bounce
0.8200 – 0.8180 Liquidity pocket TP2 / extended target
3️⃣ Indicator Snapshot
RSI (H4): 38 → momentum still weak
MACD (D1): below 0, widening histo → bearish pressure
ATR (1 h): ≈ 10 pips (14-period)
Tick Vol (trigger-candle rule): need > 20 % above avg
4️⃣ Fundamental & Sentiment Radar
USD side: Dollar Index 99.25, stabilising after 4-wk slide
Investing.com
CHF side: SNB jawboning risk – talk of curbing CHF strength
Investing.com
Next Red-Flag Events:
FOMC (May 6-7) – full blackout starts Apr 26 00:00 (today)
Home
US ISM Mfg (May 1)
Swiss CPI (May 2)
Net positioning: CFTC shows record CHF longs vs USD → crowded trade (contrarian squeeze risk).
Risk Mood: Equities firm; CHF retains safe-haven bid if risk fades.
5️⃣ Trade Considerations (BEES v2)
Entry Trigger: M15 bearish engulf at 0.8335 OB + volume > 20 %
Rejection Filters: No trade if price < 0.8300 without retest (chase risk)
No-Trade Zone: ±50 pips around 0.8400 HTF resistance unless clean breakout
6️⃣ Risk Management
ATR-based SL: 1.5 × 10 pips ≈ 15 pips
TP Plan:
TP1 0.8260 (≈ 2 R)
TP2 0.8200 (≈ 3 R)
Trail remainder via H1 swing highs
7️⃣ Execution Checklist ✅/❌
HTF trend aligned
Volume surge > 20 % required
Outside 6 h of red-flag release (entry after NY open Mon)
Confidence ≥ High
Price not in No-Trade Zone
8️⃣ Pre-Trade Grading (0–2 each)
Criterion Score
Trend Alignment 2
Confluence Strength 2
Price Behaviour 2
Risk : Reward Quality 2
Event Risk Filtered 1
Total 9 / 10 → Trade Valid
🗺️ Time-Based Volatility Map
Session Expectation
Asia (Sun 17:00-00:00 EST) Likely gap fill, low vol
London (03:00-06:00 EST) Highest probability retest zone
NY (08:00-11:00 EST) USD data spikes; monitor spreads
🧩 Correlation Radar
EUR/CHF also heavy – confirms CHF strength
DXY soft; correlated pairs (USD/CAD, USD/JPY) biased lower
Weekly Market Recap | DXY, Gold, Bitcoin – What Just Happened? In this week’s market recap, we break down the key economic and political events shaking up the financial markets:
💥 DXY makes a short-term comeback — but is the dollar still on a long-term decline?
🏆 Gold pulls back from record highs — are dip-buyers already stepping in?
🚀 Bitcoin bounces back — is it acting like a risk asset or a safe haven?
We dig into:
The impact of easing Sino-U.S. trade tensions
Weak U.S. PMI data and Fed policy expectations
Goldman Sachs' bearish outlook on the dollar
Why institutional demand continues to fuel gold and crypto
🎯 Plus, I share my forecast for the U.S. dollar and what traders should watch next.
Whether you're trading currencies, gold, or crypto, this recap will give you the clarity and edge you need going into the new week.
XLM Approaching Key Moving Averages If the price of XLM breaks through all three moving averages cleanly, we could see one of those days where Stellar jumps up 50%+ in 24 hours.
I think given current market conditions something like this has an increased likelihood of occurring. Keep an eye of this one and wish me luck lol
Market trend analysis and unique operation layoutTechnical analysis of gold: From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, and there has been a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, the gold price rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about $3,368-3,370), which has now become an important short-term resistance. Today's opening trend of the gold market is like yesterday. The upward mode started during the Asian session, rising all the way to around $3,370, but encountered strong resistance here, and then turned downward and started a decline. It is worth noting that today's gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by yesterday's European and American sessions, and rebounded after the lowest point fell to $3,265.
In view of the important trend of gold prices breaking down key points, the subsequent market is likely to consider the idea of swinging and shorting. From the current market structure, the position of $3,260 has become the focus of the market, and investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively breaks, the bearish trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. From the 4-hour chart, the intraday rebound is under pressure from the middle track downward. At present, the K-line has returned to run below the moving average. The short-term trend is bearish. The market may further test the support near the lower track 3260. The short-term upper pressure focuses on the pressure near 3315, which is near the ma5 moving average. Above it is the pressure near the middle track currently moving down to 3338. Relying on these two pressures, there is still room for further decline in the short term, pointing to the previous day's low of 3260, so you can try to buy the bottom with a light position for the first time. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds. The upper short-term focus is on the 3315-3320 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3265-3260 line of support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
EURUSD 15m FORECASTHello guys, I hope you are well let me tell you that we will be selling now and our target will remain the OB Bullish
"Gold (XAUUSD) 15-Min Chart: Potential Rebound to 3300 Target? This 15-minute Gold (XAUUSD) chart from TradingView highlights a sharp bearish move breaking below an ascending trendline, followed by a stabilization around a key support zone near 3,260–3,270. A potential bullish retracement is anticipated, with a target set at the 3,300 level. The chart outlines key resistance and support zones, a break-retest pattern, and a projected bullish path. Traders should watch price action closely near the 3,300 target for potential rejection or continuation.
Gold is under pressure and falls again Short again on rebound!Gold rebounded weakly during the European session, and fell twice during the US session, with the lowest price dropping to 3265. However, even though it is extremely weak at present, it is not recommended to blindly chase the short position. The support below is 3260, which is the previous low point and is close to the volatility limit. Instead, you can try short-term long positions with a light position. The short-term pressure above is maintained at 3306, and the breakthrough will gradually reach 3315 and 3328!
Operational suggestions: Gold is short near 3310-20, and look at 3300 and 3280! Long positions can be made if the support below 3260 is not broken!
Short-Medium Recovery For ETHUSDInverted H&S reversal likely building. Bearish continuation structure on Left Shoulder likely sees a mirroring effect here, synchronicity is common in shoulder formations and makes for a stronger neckline.
Targeting 2392 (+25%) should we get a meaningful break of 1820 level.
Trade Status - Pending. Likely to chop around a bit more first (see potetnial left shoulder formation). Look for tightening volatility compression for more optimal entry.
Nokia:Inverted Head and Shoulders Structure + Retest of BreakoutOn the weekly chart of Nokia, a classic Inverted Head and Shoulders reversal pattern has formed. The breakout above the neckline occurred with increased volume, confirming the strength of the move. Currently, the price is undergoing a standard technical retest of the neckline from above — a typical phase before a potential continuation higher.
The structure remains active: the projected height (H) points to an initial target at $5.48, based on the distance from the neckline to the head. If momentum continues, Fibonacci extension targets are located at $6.18 (1.272), $6.55 (1.414), and $7.08 (1.618).
Technical view: the retest of the neckline is happening on declining volume, strengthening the probability of a bullish reversal. EMA 50/100/200 are beginning to align in a bullish crossover. The ascending channel structure also supports the upward movement.
Fundamentals: Nokia is progressing with its strategic programs in 5G and upcoming 6G network technologies, reinforcing its long-term growth prospects. Improved financial performance and the recovery in demand for telecommunications infrastructure amid global digitalization trends continue to support investor interest in the stock.
The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is confirmed by the breakout and current retest. As long as the price holds above the neckline, the bullish scenario toward $5.48 and beyond remains intact. This is a medium-term trend reversal structure — strong setups like this form the foundation for major moves. Don’t miss them.
FTM Delisting | OFICIALLY Becoming SONIC (S)Although a name change for FTM was announced in Aug 2024 already, many exchanges still list FTM, and this will soon change.
It is expected the Fantom will officially be delisted and become SONIC within the next two months.
In August 2024, Sonic Labs announced that they would be replacing Fantom with a new token called Sonic (S). Sonic Labs have confirmed that all existing FTM holders would be able to convert to S at a fixed rate of 1 FTM : 1 S. However, many exchanges will only transfer now, as they will finally be delisting FTM for good and converting all FTM S. This will be done at a conversion rate of 1:1.
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Make sure you don't miss the latest ETH update, since BTC is likely heading towards a new ATH and ETH stands much more to gain.
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CRYPTO:SONIUSD
POLONIEX:FTMUSDT
ADMA Biologics, Inc. (ADMA) – Plasma Power with Policy TailwindsCompany Snapshot:
ADMA Biologics NASDAQ:ADMA is carving out a dominant position in plasma-derived immunotherapies, with a 100% U.S.-based supply chain that delivers both regulatory resilience and logistical strength in a vital healthcare segment.
Key Catalysts:
Strategic Domestic Advantage 🇺🇸
Fully U.S.-based manufacturing and supply chain
Aligns with national healthcare policy and reduces global exposure risk
Elite Healthcare Partnerships 🏥
Works with Mayo Clinic & Cleveland Clinic
Validates product quality and ensures recurring revenue streams
Strong Insider Conviction 📈
CEO Adam Grossman purchased $1.2M in stock
Insiders own 12%, showing long-term commitment
Plasma Therapy Demand on the Rise 🚨
Growing market for immune deficiency and infectious disease treatments
Reliable production scale + strategic partnerships = compounding value
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $19.00–$20.00
🚀 Target Range: $29.00–$30.00
🔑 Thesis: Fully domestic moat + institutional partnerships + insider alignment = high-conviction growth biotech
📢 ADMA: A rare mid-cap with stability, growth, and a policy-aligned advantage.
#BiotechStocks #PlasmaTherapy #Immunology #ADMA #InsiderBuying #HealthcareMoat
Short term bounce to further short Expecting a bounce to 3200ish to continue to trend further downwards
XRP AND CRYPTO WHERE DO WE STAND NOW? 🔥 Hey hey, hope all is well, it's another day and another chance to make a change and difference so let's keep at it and give it our best.
🔥 Last few weeks as shown in the chart below we've been following XRP which has been stuck within this descending channel and dragged down along with the S&P 500 as the market took a dive the last few weeks with Trump's tariffs and all the uncertainty surrounding him.
🔥Next we'll look to our 1 hour chart depicting that exit from our descending channel with the horizontal channel as well signifying strength above our $2.00 mark with bulls currently taking the lead, especially as the S&P 500 and market has been more optimistic the last few days contributing to things.
🔥 Main thing right now is to watch that horizontal level and that $2.3 mark which has proved to be resistance a couple times already so we can look to that for a pivot or possible breakout indicator when we come back up again to that mark so I'd set some alerts for that as well as $2.15 which is the top of our horizontal channel. I've been following this channel since the 19th and we can see just the kind of impact it'd had on price action from when we formed this on the 19th as shown below:
🔥 Since then it'd been pretty clear that once we exited the descending channel traders then took to that horizontal channel for price action, indicators as we can see we fell out of the channel once or two before getting pulled back in and breaking out and above the channel bringing us to where we currently sit above it and with that 200 EMA underneath us.
🔥 Next few days I would keep mindful of that 200 EMA as well as the channel, no doubt if we fall back within the channel we'll likely be caught up with some sideways trading action again as traders search for the next breakout or fall depending on how the market sentiment is next week, most of that will fall upon Trump and his words.
🔥 It should be noted that in the last few day's Trump's tone and stances have shifted with him essentially turning down the flame as he expressed, especially after Monday in which trump met with the CEO's for Walmart, Target, and Home Depot which are amongst three of the nations largest retailers with the CEO's warning trump on the effects of his tarrifs and how it would leave shelves empty and disrupt their supply chains. This meet seemingly promtped Trump to shift his stance announcing on Tuesday that he was in the works on trade talks with China looking at much lower tariff deal than the current 145% and clarifying that he had no plan or intention on firing Powell which spread fear and uncertainty in the market last week with some rumors floating around. So we'll have to see what stance Trump takes next week and if he can keep the flame down, and linked below is a reference link to an article for anyone else that wants to read up more:
www.axios.com
🔥 As always, so grateful for the support and everything, appreciate you guys and wishing all the best till next, let's keep our heads up and keep pushing!
Best regards,
Rock'
ENIC, 1W Trend Reversal Setup and Breakout AnticipationOn the weekly chart of ENIC, a broad expanding triangle formation transitioning into a base accumulation structure is visible. The price is now approaching a critical resistance zone around $3.90–$4.00, an area that previously triggered major reversals. Currently, the market is consolidating just below this resistance, forming a platform for a potential breakout and retest.
Technical structure:
- EMA 50, EMA 100, and EMA 200 are starting to converge, signaling the potential for a bullish crossover — a key indicator of mid-term trend reversal.
- The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $3.25 has been broken and price is stabilizing above it, reinforcing the bullish setup.
- Higher lows and higher highs have been established — a clear early sign of a new upward trend.
- Volume during the consolidation phase remains stable without signs of heavy distribution or capitulation.
Fundamental analysis of Enel Chile:
- Sector: Energy, Renewable Energy Transition
- Enel Chile is aggressively expanding into green energy, reducing its coal generation portfolio and investing heavily in solar and wind projects.
- Financials: The company maintains stable dividend payouts and holds a manageable debt-to-cash-flow ratio.
- Chile’s national energy policy shift towards renewable energy and international demand for clean energy solutions provide strong long-term tailwinds.
- Global trends favor companies with sustainable energy models, positioning Enel Chile strategically for growth.
Structural targets:
After a successful breakout above $3.90 and a retest confirmation, the next upside targets are:
- $4.61 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement)
- $5.45 (0.236 Fibonacci retracement)
- Extended channel and Fibonacci target: $6.81
Enel Chile (ENIC) is building a mature base structure for a long-term bullish reversal. A confirmed breakout above $3.90, combined with bullish EMA alignment, would unlock a strong upside scenario toward and beyond $6.00. Both technical formation and fundamentals strongly support this outlook. This is a structure you don't want to miss.
I've Cracked the BEARISH Code for Japanese Yen Using COTJapanese Yen is setup for sells based on COT positioning and other underlying fundamental conditions.
ETC/USDT 4h chart Hello everyone, let's look at the 4h graph etc to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price came out of the top of the lasting downward trend. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = $ 17.44
T2 = $ 18.75
Т3 = 20.73 $
T4 = 22.48 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 16.25
SL2 = $ 15.05
SL3 = $ 13.74
SL4 = $ 12.66
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As we entered the upper part of the range again, which apparently affected the slow price of the price.
GE Healthcare Technology | GEHC | Long at $62.25GE Healthcare Technology $NASDAQ:GEHC. An aging and unhealthy population will only create an increased need for healthcare imaging services. Add AI to the diagnostic mix, and imaging will be imperative for routine health maintenance and screening. With a P/E of 15x, debt-to equity of 1x, earnings forecast growth of 8.36% per year, and bullish analyst ratings, this could be a good value play for the patient.
Thus, at $62.25, NASDAQ:GEHC is in a personal buy zone. Further drops are possible if trade wars make imaging materials/technology difficult to obtain, but that general statement applies to the whole market at this time...
Targets:
$70.00
$78.00
Apple Inc. Stock Price Target Lowered Amid Tariff ConcernsApple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is trading at $208.37 after climbing 4.32% in the latest session. Despite the recent bounce, analysts have made downward adjustments to its price outlook ahead of the company’s March 2025 quarterly earnings report. UBS analyst David Vogt has revised Apple’s price target from $236 to $210 while maintaining a ‘Neutral’ rating. This adjustment comes in response to anticipated U.S. tariffs and potential pressure on production costs.
UBS reported that Apple expedited about one million iPhone shipments during the quarter. This strategy contributed to a modest increase in iPhone revenue, despite flat demand. With the U.S. dollar weakening against major currencies, UBS also raised its March quarter revenue estimate to $95.5 billion, up from $93.5 billion. EPS forecasts were adjusted accordingly.
On the other hand, MoffettNathanson Research downgraded its price target from $184 to $141 and reiterated a “Sell” rating. The firm highlighted risks related to trade tensions, increasing manufacturing costs due to tariffs, and slowing innovation. According to their analysis, Apple faces difficult choices—either absorb high tariff costs or reconfigure supply chains at a premium. Both options are expected to affect profitability.
Technical Analysis
The stock has rebounded from a key support level near $170, which aligns with a long-term demand zone visible on the 3-day chart. It has broken above the 200-day moving average of $192.82 and now trades slightly below the 100-day moving average of $213.53 and 50-day MA at $229.03.
Momentum indicators suggest a possible continuation. The RSI stands at 45.67, showing recovering strength. If AAPL holds above $200, it may retest the $197 support level before targeting $260.10. A rejection could lead to a retest of the $170 support area.
S&P 500 Intra-day Analysis 25-Apr 2025The markets currently are showing some relief after China's decision to exempt certain U.S. goods from tariffs.
Potential scenarios for intra-day moves:
• Price recently touched the lower end of the range around $5,520 and then moved up. If this upward move continues, it could test the top of the range near $5,550. If that level is passed, the next area to keep an eye on might be around $5,660.
• If the price drops below $5,500, it could mean sellers are gaining strength, and the next level to watch could be around $5,360.
• If the price also goes below $5,320, then the $5,200 level might become the next important zone to monitor.
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AUDNZD (4H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakout+Falling Wedge ReversalOn the 4-hour chart of AUDNZD, the market has completed a compression phase inside a symmetrical triangle, nested within a larger falling wedge structure. Both patterns suggest a potential bullish reversal after an extended downward trend.
The breakout occurred to the upside, with price moving above the triangle and breaking through short-term resistance around 1.0713. Volume increased on the breakout, confirming genuine buyer interest. If the price holds above this level and breaks 1.0766, it opens the path to the next major target at 1.0844, aligned with the previous key swing level.
Technical picture:
– Symmetrical triangle breakout confirmed
– Price also broke out of the falling wedge
– Volume expansion on the move
– Bullish realignment of EMAs is starting
– Holding above 1.0713 + breaking 1.0766 will activate the next phase
Fundamental backdrop:
The Australian dollar is benefiting from resilience in the commodity and export sectors, while the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from weakening inflation and growing expectations of monetary easing by the RBNZ. This economic divergence creates short-term advantage for AUD over NZD.
This double-pattern setup confirms the transition from consolidation to bullish impulse. Holding above 1.0713 and a confirmed break above 1.0766 would unlock a move toward 1.0844. These patterns offer clean early entries into trend reversals.
