Fundamental Analysis
Gold Market Eyes 3326 Mitigation Ahead of London OpenGold market looks set to pull back toward the 3326 zone during the Asian session close, aiming to mitigate prior imbalances. A clearer sentiment is anticipated as the market transitions into the London open, which may define the next directional push. follow for more insights , comment for more opinions , and do well to boost idea if you find this helpful
Bullish Breakout Anticipation on Gold (XAU/USD)Bullish Breakout Anticipation on Gold (XAU/USD)
On the 30-minute chart, Gold is forming a classic falling wedge pattern, typically seen as a bullish reversal setup. We've just touched the lower support trendline, and early breakout signs are emerging.
📍 Entry: 3,309.500
🎯 Target: 3,335.500
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,299.000
The risk-to-reward ratio looks favorable, and a breakout above the wedge resistance could push price towards the 3,335+ region. Let’s watch for confirmation and volume on breakout.
👇 Drop your thoughts below and let’s discuss!
✅ If you find this analysis helpful, please support by giving a like and following — your support means a lot! 🙌 🟡
Bitcoin Breakout Ahead of Crypto WeekBitcoin has a great chance at cracking new all time highs and breaking out into price discovery this month. On July 14th, the US is considering it Crypto Week. Signing in the GENIUS bill, and more around crypto assets.
Bitcoin has held this volume shelf at around 104/105k for a while and these relative equal highs on the daily look like they can crack. I have highlighted some zones on the chart that I'd consider extremely important levels.
If we do crack these highs , I am on the side that the price action will be extremely expansive after all the work that has been done at those high volume clusters. If it fails I believe we should trade back to the high volume clusters, and if that doesn't hold, then we should trade through the thinner volume to do more business before bouncing off of the POC at around 96.5k.
The 50,150 & 200 EMAs are all signing ideal strength. Virtually all expansions in their early stages from 2023 to now contained these crosses on the Daily TF.
I am long BTC on a high timeframe. Macro narratives are strong, the asset is strong, and the downside is always in our control to be limited.
KRSNAA DIAGOSTICS techno-funda analysisKrsnaa Diagnostics Ltd. is one of India's largest diagnostic service providers, operating diagnostic centers across public-private partnerships (PPPs) and private hospital networks. The company offers radiology, pathology, and teleradiology solutions. With an expanding national footprint and tie-ups with state governments, the stock is currently trading at ₹785.50, showing technical signs of accumulation after a prolonged corrective phase.
Krsnaa Diagnostics Ltd. – FY22–FY25
Snapshot Sales – ₹415 Cr → ₹489 Cr → ₹574 Cr → ₹642 Cr – Consistent top-line growth driven by PPPs
Net Profit – ₹43.6 Cr → ₹54.2 Cr → ₹64.9 Cr → ₹82.7 Cr – Strong margin profile with cost control and volume
Company Order Book – Moderate → Strong → Strong → Strong – Robust pipeline from state diagnostic projects Dividend Yield (%) – 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% – No payouts; reinvestment-led growth strategy
Operating Performance – Moderate → Moderate → Strong → Strong – Operating leverage kicking in
Equity Capital – ₹31.78 Cr (constant) – Stable equity base, no dilution
Total Debt – ₹123 Cr → ₹112 Cr → ₹102 Cr → ₹93 Cr – Deleveraging consistently
Total Liabilities – ₹435 Cr → ₹456 Cr → ₹478 Cr → ₹505 Cr – Aligned with expansion and capacity build-up
Fixed Assets – ₹155 Cr → ₹170 Cr → ₹186 Cr → ₹205 Cr – Gradual asset base expansion to support lab network
Latest Highlights
FY25 net profit rose 27.4% YoY to ₹82.7 Cr; revenue increased 11.8% to ₹642 Cr
EPS: ₹26.02 | EBITDA Margin: 24.7% | Net Margin: 12.9%
Return on Equity: 13.91% | Return on Assets: 7.49%
Promoter holding: 27.34% | Dividend Yield: 0.00%
New PPP contracts in Maharashtra and West Bengal began contributing to volumes
Focus on expanding radiology-led diagnostics and digital teleradiology infrastructure
Technical Snapshot Krsnaa Diagnostics is trading at ₹785.50 with an RSI of 50.33, indicating neutral momentum with signs of base formation. Price is consolidating just above a key support zone around ₹728.45. Volume is gradually increasing. If buying interest continues, potential medium-term targets emerge near ₹944.60, ₹1,031.30, and ₹1,141.70, based on Fibonacci retracement projections.
Business Growth Verdict Yes, Krsnaa Diagnostics is expanding steadily with a scalable and asset-light model
Margins and profits are improving on the back of volume growth
Balance sheet is strengthening with steady debt reduction
Strategic growth focused on underserved geographies via PPPs and digital health infrastructure
Final Investment Verdict Krsnaa Diagnostics presents an attractive scalable opportunity in India’s expanding diagnostics ecosystem. With sustained earnings momentum, rising efficiency, and a robust public-private client base, the company is building a dependable long-term platform. Although the promoter stake is modest and dividends are absent, the earnings quality, healthcare tailwinds, and improving operating leverage position the stock as a strong compounder candidate in the diagnostics segment.
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 7, 2025 GBPUSDEvents to pay atttenyion to today:
09:00 EET. GBP - Change in retail sales
GBPUSD:
The GBP/USD pair is starting the new week on a subdued note, fluctuating within a narrow range around the 1.3600 mark during the Asian session amid mixed fundamental signals.
The British pound (GBP) received some support last week after Prime Minister Keir Starmer said that Chancellor Rachel Reeves would remain in her post for the foreseeable future. However, the growing likelihood of a rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) as early as August is having a negative impact on the GBP/USD pair. In fact, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said that interest rates are moving downwards, while Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Alan Taylor called for faster rate cuts amid the risk of a hard landing for the British economy.
However, the decline in the GBP/USD pair is still being held back by the underlying bearish sentiment towards the US dollar (USD). Investors remain concerned that US President Donald Trump's sweeping bill to cut taxes and increase spending will lead to an explosion in the federal deficit and exacerbate the US's long-term debt problems. This, along with growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its cycle of rate cuts in the near future, is keeping the US dollar close to its February 2021 low.
Investors will therefore be closely studying the FOMC meeting minutes, which will be published on Wednesday, for clues about the Fed's rate cut path, which will stimulate demand for the US dollar and give a significant boost to the GBP/USD pair.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3620, SL 1.3640, TP 1.3520
7/7/25 - $eose - Spec punt long ~$5/shr7/7/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:EOSE
Spec punt long ~$5/shr
- at $5/shr (-ish) you get a company that will be ramping the living daylights out of revenue into 2h
- any battery tech that VST mgmt r referring to "domestic mfg" will benefit the entire sector, esp names like NASDAQ:EOSE w/ ample mfg and revenue already scaling
- obv. if it *is* Eos, well, see u at like *make up a number*
- batteries are the sector i am admittely not as smart on as i'd like to be, esp given my love for NASDAQ:NXT and to a slightly lesser degree NASDAQ:FSLR (and solar as a dominant generation tech in the coming decade)
- so here's to putting some skin in the game to force me to get smart faster than i'd otherwise do from the sidelines
- if you like quantum memes... how about a market cap w/ revenue, real world use case and exploding (actually, not made up) growth already in 2H with a chart that doesn't already look toppy/ or meme-esque
- what resources/ ppl should i follow to get smarter here?
V
BONK: ETF Speculation Ignites RallyBONK, the Solana-based dog-themed memecoin, is back in focus after surging over 50% in the past seven days. It’s currently trading around $0.000022, with strong bullish momentum building behind the scenes.
The main catalyst? Mounting speculation around a 2x leveraged BONK ETF. Tuttle Capital Management recently confirmed July 16 as the earliest possible launch date, pending regulatory approval. This has fueled investor optimism, pushing both price and trading volume sharply higher.
In the last 24 hours alone, BONK's trading volume has jumped over 75%, topping $3 trillion. A simultaneous surge in price and volume typically signals growing market interest and strengthens the bullish outlook.
If this momentum holds and ETF expectations remain intact, BONK could see further upside in the coming days. A short-term target sits around $0.000025, especially if buyer pressure continues to build.
Analysis on USD/JPY LONGHello! As we all know the Thursday NFP came in positive for USD thereby making usd to be in stronger position against the JPY. More analysis are stated below
US–Japan Interest Rate Divergence
Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains cautious post its January rate hike, with rates near 0.5% and monetary policy likely on hold through 2025
U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has postponed cuts amid robust job data and inflation above target; markets have pulled forward rate cut expectations to autumn rather than summer .
The interest-rate gap (USD >4%, JPY ~0.5%) favours a stronger dollar but carries a steep “carry cost” for yen investors .
Economic Outlooks & Trade Dynamics
Japan’s Q2 business sentiment (Tankan) is slightly positive, despite export weakness due to tariff risks
U.S.–Japan trade tensions are escalating, with looming tariffs on Japanese car imports potentially impacting growth and yen sentiment
reddit.com
Persistent Japanese inflation (~2.5% in Tokyo) and wage gains (~2.8%) bolster long-term BoJ tightening expectations
Summary: The dollar remains supported by stronger U.S. policy and treasury yields. Meanwhile, Japan’s cautious BoJ, inflation, and trade vulnerabilities push the yen—and thus USD/JPY—into a volatile bracket.
Trend Continuation After NonfarmToday's D1 candle started to continue the trend of NF with a decrease to 3306 in the Asian session this morning.
The bearish structure of Gold Price will continue in today's trading session towards important support zones.
The downtrend of Gold was only broken with a candle closing back above 3324. And the downtrend may reach support 3275 today.
Support 3297-3275
Resistance 3324-3343-3364
SELL Trigger: Break support 3296
$MELI: Long term trend activeThe dominant e-commerce and fintech player in Latin America, MercadoLibre, has demonstrated robust growth in the first quarter of 2025.
With a significant increase in gross merchandise volume and total payment volume, the company is capitalizing on the region's digital transformation.
Key metrics to watch include user growth on its platform and the performance of its credit and asset management services.
Time at mode and valuation analysis paint a solid picture here, with ample relative strength against the broad market in all timeframes overall as well.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Trade Breakdown: XAUUSD 15-Min | Liquidity Grab + Reversal PlayOANDA:XAUUSD
Psychological Setup
This trade is rooted in the psychology of smart money and retail behavior. After a sharp drop in price, most retail traders expect continuation (trend-following). However, institutions often manipulate liquidity zones — hunting for stop-losses before a true reversal. This trade capitalizes on that behavior.
🔍 Technical Explanation:
🔻 1. Market Structure:
Price was previously in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
A falling wedge pattern (red lines) formed after a strong bearish move, signaling potential bullish reversal.
Price broke the wedge to the upside — a classic reversal signal.
🔁 2. Liquidity Concept:
Below the wedge: The market grabbed liquidity by taking out stop losses of buyers who entered too early.
Above the wedge (TP Areas):
TP 1 Area (red box): This is the first logical resistance where previous supply sits — many sellers will enter here, providing buy-side liquidity.
Next Target Liquidity (grey box above): This is a major imbalance zone and likely where stop-losses of early short sellers are stacked.
Price is expected to grab liquidity from that area (marked by the red arrow).
✅ Entry & Trade Logic:
Entry Zone: After liquidity was swept at the bottom of the wedge, a bullish engulfing candle formed near demand — signaling institutional interest.
Risk-Reward Setup:
Targeting 0.80% move (approx. 26.48 points).
Trade is based on reversal from demand zone + wedge breakout + liquidity grab confirmation.
🎯 Target Projections:
TP1 Area: Conservative target, just above recent structure.
Final Target: High-probability liquidity zone where market is drawn to clean up resting orders (grey zone).
🧠 Why This Trade Matters (Trading Psychology Insight):
Most retail traders get trapped in emotional entries — entering shorts after a drop or longs too early in a wedge.
Smart money waits for liquidity sweeps before moving price in the desired direction.
This setup shows the importance of patience, structure, and understanding market psychology rather than reacting emotionally to price action.
📌 Key Takeaways:
📉 Trap: Falling wedge builds false bearish confidence.
🧠 Psychology: Stop hunts create fuel for reversal.
📈 Reaction: Smart money absorbs liquidity, moves price toward next inefficiency.
Hashtags:
#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquidityHunt #TradingPsychology #GoldTrade #PriceAction #WedgeBreakout #FXOpen #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyDemand
Long EURUSDThe uptrend on EURUSD remains intact, and buying opportunities are still the only viable option.
No major news is expected from the economic calendar this week.
Watch for the end of the current pullback and signs of a new bullish move.
The target is a breakout above the previous high, aiming for 1,1915.
Tuesday Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD)
After Monday’s move into the 4H Fair Value Gap and rejection near the trendline and Asia High, I’m expecting a corrective move to start Tuesday.
I’m currently watching two possible downside targets:
🔸 Scenario 1: A short-term drop into the upper part of the 4H FVG (around 3320–3310) – this zone could act as intraday demand and cause a quick bounce.
🔸 Scenario 2: A deeper retracement toward the unfilled imbalance around 3290–3280, lining up with the London Low and completing the 4H FVG.
This would be a more significant liquidity sweep before a potential bullish reaction.
From both zones, I’ll be looking for price action to confirm a possible long setup back toward the trendline and above.
Let’s see how Tuesday plays out.
Gold rebounded from the bottom. Is the decline over?Gold prices faced selling pressure in today's Asian market. The price fell from 3343 to around 3320 in the early Asian session. The European price continued to fall, reaching a low of around 3296, and then rebounded upward. The current price is fluctuating around 3320.
Most investors will focus on the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting to be released on Wednesday to get guidance on the trend.
From the hourly chart, the upper pressure position is constantly being corrected. The current average pressure value is around 3330-3335. At the same time, this position is also the watershed between long and short positions in the previous dense area. The price may rebound to this position again. The lower support level is in the range of 3300-3290.
Quaid believes that the current market is still showing a downward trend, and the price may fall back below 3300 again.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3330, stop loss 3340, profit range 3310-3300, sustainable ownership after breakthrough.
Gold Between Trade Optimism and Economic Concerns
Gold is declining for the second consecutive session, although it remains above the critical psychological level of $3,300 per ounce in early spot trading this morning.
Losses in the precious metal come amid renewed optimism over potential trade agreements that could de-escalate the global trade war, alongside upbeat sentiment regarding the strength of the U.S. economy following last Friday’s labor market data.
The 90-day suspension of tariffs imposed by the administration of President Donald Trump is set to expire on Wednesday, but it could be extended at least until August 1, according to statements from both the president and Treasury Secretary Scott Besant.
Both the United States and its allies and trade rivals appear eager to reach an agreement. China and the U.S. are moving to implement the framework of a previously reached trade deal by reviewing the export restrictions imposed on one another. Meanwhile, European officials stated last week that a draft agreement with the U.S. may be near, aiming to maintain base tariff rates at just 10%, according to The Wall Street Journal .
Markets appear largely unbothered by trade developments, given the flexible and seemingly open-ended deadlines and the lack of major surprises, according to analysts cited by Reuters . This easing of concern may lead gold to gradually lose the risk premium it had gained from fears of a global trade war.
Still, those concerns could return swiftly if negotiations fail and heavy tariffs are reinstated. The Washington Post reported that a potential U.S.-Vietnam trade deal may anger China and, in turn, reduce the likelihood of a broader deal between Beijing and Washington.
Additionally, the prolonged uncertainty itself may start to weigh on the U.S. economy, which could, over time, rekindle demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The Editorial Board of The Journal noted cracks in the U.S. labor market that lie beneath the better-than-expected headline figures released Friday. The report revealed weak hiring in key private sectors, a decline in manufacturing employment, and a drop in labor force participation to its lowest level since 2022.
The Editorial Board called for dissipation of uncertainty around trade policy to encourage private sector hiring, as companies remain hesitant amid the current indecision in the White House. Another report from The Journal also warned that prolonged uncertainty could weaken the U.S. dollar, delay corporate investment and spending, and dampen business confidence.
On a related front, The Journal’s chief economics commentator Greg Ip criticized what he called “fiscal dominance” under Trump, where the Federal Reserve may be pressured to lower interest rates to ease the burden of the rising deficit caused by tax cuts. He warned this could undermine economic strength and increase inflation in the long run.
In my view, the early signs of a deteriorating U.S. fiscal position could become one of the key long-term drivers of sustained gold gains—even if markets remain complacent for now and equities continue climbing to record highs. This would not reflect an economic cycle, but rather a deeper shift in market fundamentals characterized by eroding confidence in the U.S. economy and its currency.
USDJPY (Update)Hi everyone hope the video helps nice continuation of the bulls looking for that untapped daily wick zone this week. hope everyone is having a great start to the week. I have a full house at the moment with family visiting so I will probably be limited with posting. any questions feel free to message me directly and i will try get to it as soon as i can.
Happy Trading!!!
AUD/JPY: Rejection at Key ResistanceThis is a high-conviction short setup on AUD/JPY based on a powerful rejection pattern that has formed on the 4-hour chart. As you can see, the price spiked into the critical resistance zone between 95.00 and 95.55 but was immediately and forcefully rejected, leaving behind a long "Exhaustion Spike."
This is a classic sign of buyer exhaustion and seller dominance. It tells us that despite the recent rally, there is significant supply waiting at these higher levels. This price action provides a clear opportunity to short the pair in anticipation of a significant move down.
🏦 Fundamental Analysis
The fundamental backdrop provides a strong tailwind for this trade, with two key drivers:
1️⃣ Central Bank Divergence: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is in an easing cycle, having recently cut rates to 3.85% with more cuts expected. In stark contrast, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is on a path of normalization, having already raised its rate to 0.50%. This divergence in monetary policy is structurally bearish for AUD/JPY.
2️⃣ Imminent Catalysts: This week is packed with event risk that is skewed to the downside for this pair. We have the RBA interest rate decision on Tuesday, July 8th , and the U.S. tariff deadline on Wednesday, July 9th . A dovish RBA or a "risk-off" move from the tariff news would likely accelerate the decline in AUD (a risk currency) and strengthen the JPY (a safe-haven currency).
📊 Technical Analysis
The price action on the chart confirms the bearish bias:
1️⃣ 4-Hour Rejection: The "Exhaustion Spike" at the 95.00 - 95.55 supply zone is the primary signal. It shows a clear failure by buyers and a strong takeover by sellers at a key level.
2️⃣ Long-Term Trend: On the daily chart, the price is trading below the critical 200-day moving average , confirming the long-term trend remains bearish.
3️⃣ Waning Momentum: There is a clear bearish divergence on the daily RSI. The price made a higher high, but the momentum indicator made a lower high, signaling that the rally is internally weak and losing steam.
📋 Trading Setup
This is a swing trade designed to capture a significant correction with a simple "set and forget" plan.
📉 Direction: SHORT / SELL
👉 Entry: Sell Limit @ 94.85
⛔️ Stop Loss: 95.60
🎯 Take Profit: 91.10
💡 Rationale: The entry is placed strategically to capitalize on a potential retest of the rejection area. The stop loss is placed safely above the rejection wick and the major resistance zone. The take profit targets the major structural support from the May 2025 lows, offering an excellent risk-to-reward ratio.
Nas Long to clear HH liquidity before correctionHTF Context – Monthly / Weekly / Daily
• Big Beautiful Bill (Trump Tax + Spending Bill)
o Passed July 4th, acting as a stimulus.
o Markets historically rally on fiscal stimulus expectations (tax cuts + spending packages).
o This fuels bullish sentiment short-term, but long-term raises debt, inflation risk, and rate hike concerns.
• Seasonality
o July is typically strong for equities, especially tech, with mid-July often marking local tops before August pullbacks.
• Monthly structure
o Strong bullish monthly candles.
o Next major fib retracements if rejected: 38.2% ~20,398, 50% ~19,625, 61.8% ~18,852.
• Weekly / Daily structure
o HH-HL sequence continues.
o Price in premium zone, approaching major supply block 23,200–23,300.
o Daily BOS not broken downwards yet.
________________________________________
Key Levels
• Major supply / liquidity magnet: 23,200–23,300 (sell-side OB in futures, uncollected liquidity above HH)
• Recent swing high: 22,900
• Daily pivot: 22,470
• Intraday demand zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H wedge base + VWAP)
• Weekly support shelf: 22,100–22,200 (if lost, major trend shift bearish)
________________________________________
My View – Most Likely Path
1. Price is likely to sweep the liquidity above recent highs into the 23,200–23,300 supply zone.
o Why? Market rarely leaves liquidity uncollected. This move traps breakout buyers and hits stops above HHs.
o Big Beautiful Bill fuels the final squeeze higher as algorithms price in fiscal stimulus.
2. After liquidity sweep above 23,200–23,300:
o Expect strong rejection from that zone.
o Institutions offload positions into trapped retail longs.
o Price pulls back towards daily and weekly support zones for reaccumulation.
3. Alternate scenario (less likely)
o Immediate sell-off from current levels without sweeping HH.
o Weak move; would still expect a revisit higher later to clear liquidity before a proper downtrend.
________________________________________
Trade Setups – Intraday & Swing
Intraday Long (Most Likely)
• Bias: Bullish continuation
• Entry Zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H demand + VWAP)
• Trigger: 5m/15m BOS up
• Stop: Below 22,300.
• Targets: First at 22,615, next at 22,845, final at 23,200–23,300.
________________________________________
Intraday Short (Countertrend / Liquidity Sweep Reversal)
• Bias: Short from supply after liquidity grab
• Entry Zone: 23,200–23,300
• Trigger: Sweep of HH with rejection wick or bearish engulfing candle
• Stop: Above 23,350 (structure invalidation).
• Targets: First at 22,845, then 22,600, extend to 22,450 if momentum accelerates.
________________________________________
Swing Long (Continuation)
• Bias: Bullish trend intact
• Entry: After retest of daily pivot (22,470) or 4H demand (22,350–22,450) with 4H CHoCH + BOS up.
• Stop: Below 22,200 (weekly support break invalidates).
• Targets: 22,845 then 23,200–23,300. Blue sky if above.
________________________________________
Swing Short (Only if structure breaks)
• Trigger: Daily close below 22,200
• Bias: Bearish trend shift
• Targets: 21,800 first, then 21,000 major fib cluster and weekly MA.
________________________________________
Summary – My Final Opinion
Price is in a strong uptrend fuelled by fiscal stimulus, rate cuts and tarrif hopes . I think it will sweep the liquidity above 23,200–23,300 before any deeper pullback or trend reversal. Any rejection from that supply zone will be the cue to short for a structural retracement. Until then, I’ll keep buying dips aligned with the HTF bullish structure.