Be mindful of your investments!!!!Be mindful of your investments, as politics shows no mercy to anyone.
Give me some energy !!
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Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Fundamental Analysis
Finding Balance: Managing GREED in TradingIs greed helping or hurting your trading? While closing trades too quickly for small profits isn't ideal, neither is holding positions too long hoping for bigger gains. Let's explore how to find the right balance between healthy ambition and destructive greed.
📍 Understanding Healthy vs. Unhealthy Greed
Some greed can be good - it drives us to achieve goals and maintain optimism. But when it becomes an obsession, problems start. Professional traders manage their emotions well, while beginners often struggle as early successes fuel excitement and a dangerous focus on profits at any cost.
📍 Warning Signs of Unhealthy Trading Behavior
When trading turns unhealthy, you might notice these patterns:
🔹 Ignoring proven rules because you trust your "gut feelings" more than sound strategy. Your confidence leads you to dismiss common sense in pursuit of profits.
🔹 Expecting every trade to be profitable . While optimism helps, believing you'll win just because you want money is dangerous thinking.
🔹 Living with constant stress. You can't step away from price charts, scrutinizing every move and experiencing emotional highs and lows with each trade.
🔹 Chasing profits while skipping analysis. You focus only on results without learning from each trade, leading to more frequent losses over time.
📍 Dangerous Trading Habits to Avoid
⚫️ Using maximum leverage, thinking bigger trades mean bigger profits. This often leads to heavy losses when markets move sharply against you.
⚫️ Moving stop-losses and take-profit levels mid-trade. Whether hoping to avoid losses or catch more gains, this usually results in worse outcomes and added stress.
⚫️ Following the Martingale strategy - doubling position sizes after losses or wins. This approach typically leads to losing your account quickly.
📍 Practical Steps to Control Greed
1. Start with real money, but small amounts. Demo accounts can create false confidence since there's no real risk.
2. Set clear, achievable goals. For day trading (H1-H4 timeframes), aim for about 20 pips per trade. Scalpers should be satisfied with just a few pips.
3. Create and follow a detailed trading plan. Example: Take half profits at your target, use trailing stops to protect remaining gains.
4. Practice smart risk management. Decide your maximum risk per trade and stick to it - don't adjust stops once set.
5. Keep learning and practicing. With better market understanding, you'll make fewer emotional decisions. A realistic monthly return might be 2% - treat anything above as a bonus.
6. Connect with other traders. Share experiences to manage stress and gain perspective on what's normal in professional trading.
7. Stay skeptical and analytical. When excitement runs high, slow down. Check multiple information sources and grow your trading size gradually while continuing to develop your skills.
📍 Conclusion
Successful trading is about steady progress, not quick riches. Growth should happen naturally alongside your developing trading skills, without sacrificing other aspects of your life.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
USOIL Trade LogUSOIL Short Trade Setup 🚨
- Instrument: West Texas Oil (USOIL)
- Timeframe: 1-Hour
- Risk: Between 1% and 2%
- Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 minimum
Key Technical Analysis:
1. Price has formed a clear reversal structure accompanied by a rejection off the monthly Kijun level .
2. A 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) provides a potential entry point with a confluence of the Kijun 1H level.
3. The setup is in alignment with a broader bearish sentiment due to macroeconomic influences.
Fundamental Confluence:
- Recent announcements signal a ceasefire in the Middle East , reducing geopolitical oil supply risks.
- Trump's statement regarding plans to increase oil drilling has heightened expectations of increased supply, potentially pressuring prices downward.
Trade Plan:
- Entry: Within the 1H FVG zone upon bearish confirmation.
- Stop Loss: Above the 1H FVG's upper boundary.
- Take Profit: At least twice the stop-loss distance for a 1:2 RRR.
Risk Management:
Ensure strict adherence to the 1%-2% risk allocation. Always consider market volatility before executing trades.
This setup offers a balanced technical and fundamental perspective. Keep in mind, the market can always surprise you. Stay disciplined!
SOL/USD STRANGE MARKETSSince solana hit new highs and trump coin jumped the network, the market made big and strange moves since trump came on scene and is starting to slow down and make some pullbacks/retracements... not sure what to expect since the charts aren't looking that pretty but still with our strategy we can still just look for fake breakouts and right retracements. If anyone is trading memecoins, please be carefull since there is more logic than actuall strategy involved since there can only be pump and dumps and rug pulls.... good luck on the charts this week to everyone!
EURJPY - Short from bearish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I want price to go a little bit higher to fulfill the imbalance and then to reject from bearish OB.
Fundamental news: On Friday (GMT+2) we will see results of Interest Rate in Japan, news with high impact on currency.
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USDCAD - 4H Bearish signsThe FX:USDCAD pair fell sharply after news of Canada responding to potential US tariff changes under Donald Trump. It has now reached the bottom of the trading range on the 4H timeframe.
💡 Key Strategy:
Wait for breakout confirmations or enter on a pullback.
Avoid rushing in; price action confirmations are essential for entries!
Patience and strategy always win. Let's trade smart! 📉
"NICKEL" Commodity CFD Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "NICKEL" Commodity CFD market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 16130.000
However I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 16500.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The Nickel commodity CFD is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
BULLISH FACTORS:
Supply Constraints: The global nickel supply is expected to be constrained due to production disruptions and declining ore grades at major mines.
Increasing Demand: The demand for nickel is expected to increase, driven by the growing demand for stainless steel and electric vehicle batteries.
China's Nickel Imports: China's nickel imports are expected to increase, which could support nickel prices.
Indonesian Export Ban: Indonesia's export ban on nickel ore is expected to reduce global supply and support nickel prices.
Technical Analysis: The nickel chart is showing a bullish trend, with a potential target of $20,000 - $22,000 per ton.
UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
Chinese Economic Data: The upcoming Chinese economic data, including GDP growth and industrial production, is expected to show a strong economy, which could support nickel demand.
US Economic Data: The upcoming US economic data, including GDP growth and durable goods orders, is expected to show a strong economy, which could support nickel demand.
Nickel Inventory Levels: The upcoming nickel inventory levels report is expected to show a decline in inventories, which could support nickel prices.
Mining Production: The upcoming mining production report is expected to show a decline in production, which could support nickel prices.
MARKET SENTIMENT:
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 10%
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Public trade #13 - #ONDO price analysis😕 Rumor has it that #Trump “inner circle” is favorable to #ONDO
📊 If this is true, then the OKX:ONDOUSDT price should not fall below $1.15-1.19.
🚩 Critical buy zone for #OndoFinance is $0.91-0.96
Below that, we will no longer be interested, as the price movement structure will be broken.
💰 Medium-term target for #ONDO price growth, under a positive scenario, is $2.50
_____________________
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Coinbase ($COIN): Evolving Beyond a Crypto Exchange Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ): Evolving Beyond a Crypto Exchange 🚀
📈 Revenue Soars
In Q3 2024, NASDAQ:COIN reported $1.13B in revenue—up 81% YoY. Subscriptions and services, like interest from USDC reserves, fueled growth. Trading volumes? Volatile but still impactful.
🗓️ Key Date: February 19, 2025
Mark your calendars for Coinbase’s next earnings report. With subscription revenue growing, all eyes are on NASDAQ:COIN 's ability to weather crypto market uncertainty.
⚖️ Regulatory Tailwinds
A recent legal win may pave the way for more favorable crypto regulations. This could bolster Coinbase’s position as the go-to U.S. exchange.
📊 Valuation: Undervalued?
With a P/S ratio around 6, NASDAQ:COIN appears undervalued compared to past highs. But remember: crypto volatility and regulatory risks remain significant factors.
💡 SWOT Snapshot
Strengths: Leading U.S. crypto brand, regulatory compliance, diversified revenue streams.
Weaknesses: Reliance on crypto market conditions.
Opportunities: Institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and new services.
Threats: Rising competition, regulatory shifts, and tech risks.
📉 Risks to Watch
Market swings affecting trading revenue.
Competition from DEXs and centralized exchanges.
Security and platform reliability.
💬 What’s your take on NASDAQ:COIN ? Comment below
🚀 Buy for long term
🔄 Hold and watch
🚫 Too risky, avoid
Qifu Technology (QFIN) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Qifu Technology NASDAQ:QFIN is a prominent digital financial services provider in China, offering a broad range of loan products and financial services through its growing platform. The company has built a robust consumer base, connecting millions of users with over 160 financial institutions, ensuring strong diversification and market leadership.
Key Growth Drivers
Platform Growth:
254.3 Million Consumers (As of Sept 30, 2024): Qifu's impressive growth, with an 11.6% year-over-year increase in consumer connections, underscores the expanding adoption of its services. This large and growing user base reflects strong demand for digital financial solutions in China.
Diversified Loan Products: Qifu’s partnerships with 162 financial institutions provide access to a wide variety of loan products, helping to attract a broad customer base and drive increased revenue through a diverse range of offerings.
Management Confidence:
$450 Million Share Repurchase Plan (2025): The announcement of a significant share repurchase program indicates strong confidence from management in the company's future prospects and suggests that Qifu's stock may be undervalued at current levels. This initiative is likely to boost shareholder value and enhance investor sentiment.
Strategic Growth Focus: The share buyback also demonstrates a commitment to shareholder returns and signals management's belief in the company's long-term growth potential.
Market Leadership and Financial Strength:
Positioning as a Market Leader: Qifu's leadership in the digital financial services sector is reinforced by its strong partnerships and growing consumer base, giving it a competitive edge in a rapidly expanding market.
Revenue Growth: Qifu’s ability to generate revenue through its loan products and financial services will continue to expand as the platform connects more consumers and diversifies its offerings.
Investment Thesis:
Qifu Technology is well-positioned to capitalize on China’s growing digital financial services market, leveraging its vast consumer base, partnerships with financial institutions, and strategic buyback program. These factors, coupled with management’s confidence in the stock’s value, make Qifu an attractive investment opportunity.
Bullish Case:
Target Price Range: $67.00–$68.00
Entry Range: $32.00–$33.00
Upside Potential: The combination of strong consumer growth, solid partnerships, and management's strategic initiatives positions Qifu for significant upside potential in the coming quarters.
Vistra Corporation (VST) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Vistra Corporation NYSE:VST is a prominent U.S. integrated power company, combining retail and wholesale energy services. The company is actively transitioning toward renewable energy while maintaining a balanced portfolio with its conventional energy assets. Vistra's commitment to sustainability is reflected in the recent development of solar projects, positioning it well for the future of energy.
Key Growth Drivers
Renewable Energy Expansion:
Large Solar Projects in Illinois: Vistra's recent connection of two significant solar projects underscores its push to diversify into clean energy. This not only aligns with consumer demand for green energy but also supports regulatory trends favoring sustainability.
Strategic Diversification: By enhancing its portfolio with renewables, Vistra is positioning itself as a leading player in the transition to cleaner energy sources.
Operational Adaptability with Conventional Assets:
Baldwin Power Plant Extension (1,185 MW): The extension of this key asset through 2027 allows Vistra to maintain reliable power generation in the MISO market while transitioning to renewables. The move exemplifies strategic balance, ensuring reliability while supporting green energy goals.
Operational Flexibility: Vistra's ability to adapt its mix of assets enables it to capitalize on diverse market conditions.
Leadership and Regulatory Expertise:
Rob Walters Appointment: The recent addition of Rob Walters as an independent director strengthens Vistra’s regulatory and strategic leadership. This move enhances the company’s ability to navigate the evolving energy landscape, building investor confidence in its long-term strategy.
Investment Thesis:
Vistra is well-positioned to capitalize on both renewable energy growth and conventional energy reliability. The company's expansion into solar power and commitment to sustainable energy solutions, combined with the extension of key assets like Baldwin Power Plant, reinforces its competitive edge in a transforming energy market.
Bullish Case:
Target Price Range: $210.00–$220.00
Entry Range: $140.00–$142.00
Upside Potential: Strong growth potential due to diversified energy portfolio, renewable energy investments, and strategic leadership appointments.
GBP/JPY Bearish Channel (20.01.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. FX:GBPJPY
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 188.64
2nd Support – 188.00
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USOIL Short Setup: Key Zone to WatchUSOIL is testing a significant resistance zone around the 78.00 level, an area where price previously faced strong selling pressure. Current price action suggests potential exhaustion, with signs of rejection visible.
If sellers take control, a pullback toward the 76.01 level, acting as the first key support, could be in play. Traders should look for bearish confirmation, such as reversal candlestick patterns or breakdowns below recent lows, to position for a potential short move.
USDIDR - Short Opportunity from resistance zonePEPPERSTONE:USDIDR is testing a significant resistance zone that has consistently reversed bullish trends into bearish moves. The recent bullish push into this area suggests potential selling opportunities.
I personally anticipate a move toward 16,215.2.
On the other hand, a break above this resistance could indicate a shift in sentiment.
Traders should monitor this zone closely and wait for confirmation before entering short positions. If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
RELIANCE KEY LEVELS FOR 21/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
DOGE : Break .46 to $1.4 or Plunge to .23?Hey trading family
DOGE could soar to $1.4 if it goes over .46 cents. If it drops below .30, it might fall to .23 cents.
If you found this analysis valuable, boost it with a like, share: I appreciate the love or send me a DM if you need help.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
CNXMIDCAP Key levels for 21/012025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
Trump Coin's Wild Ride: Breaking Fibonacci to $115 or Busting toGood morning trading family! Here are the key levels to watch for $TRUMP:
Resistance to Break: Keep an eye on the 38.2% Fibonacci level. If $TRUMP breaks above this, watch for:
$89 - First significant target if the break is confirmed.
$104 - Another potential milestone.
$115 - The highest optimistic target if momentum continues.
Support to Hold: If $TRUMP fails to break above the 46 range, watch for a potential drop to:
$25 - A critical support level where the price might find a floor or continue to decline.
These levels will guide whether $TRUMP climbs the stairs or slides down. Last minute: If you found this analysis valuable, boost it with a like, share, or send me a DM if you need help.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See