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Fundamental Analysis

BTCUSD 4H(4-Hour Timeframe): A potential short position could be opened from the local order block and the OTE zone at 104,161.75, targeting the liquidity zone at 102,500 as the initial goal. Further targets include the previous month's low and the imbalance at 108,353. I continue to closely monitor Bitcoin’s movements and will soon share a more detailed idea for a short position (short). It is essential to note that this analysis represents my personal opinion and is not a call to action for trading. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.!!!
by TraderNo007_
$BTC: Last 2 months pump before the bear market starts.On the chart, you can clearly see the similarities between the last cycle and the current one. First, this cycle is already longer, so I don’t expect another top in 2026, as some are suggesting. Based on my analysis, we are currently in the equivalent stage of the last cycle where two strong monthly candles appeared before the market dropped into a bear phase. Why is this happening? We are resetting the weekly MACD — it's at the bottom and needs to push into overbought territory before it can turn down alongside the monthly MACD. As shown in the chart, the monthly MACD is close to turning bearish. If the weekly MACD also flips bearish, that could mark the end of the bull market. Additionally, volume is dropping, and the RSI supports this scenario. It looks like we’re setting up for one last pump, just like last time — likely followed by a rejection in 2 months. 📊 Check the chart — I’ve laid it out as clearly as possible. 💬 If you agree or disagree, let’s discuss in the comments! 🧠 DYOR — Do Your Own Research! #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #MACD #RSI #CryptoCycle #BullMarket #BearMarket #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR #Altcoins #MarketUpdate #CryptoCommunity #Cryptocurrency
by CryptoNikkoid
7
When to Sell GOLD?? When will Gold STOP RISING? When will gold stop rising - When to sell gold and start investing in other assets Hey everyone, Tradevietstock is back again! Today, I’m diving into gold investing after a hot streak in gold prices, with everyone in the media talking about it. There’s even some unofficial info and rumors claiming gold could reach 6,000USD per ounce. But what data shows that gold prices will continue to rise dramatically, maybe even double? And, more importantly, when will gold stop rising? And what is the exact time to sell it and take profit? Let’s break down the data below. Our view at Tradevietstock is that gold won’t keep climbing like that. Instead, this is the time to look for opportunities to sell at the best price. FOMO (fear of missing out) at this point, chasing gold at its peak, can lead to significant losses, especially if you’re a short-term speculator. Looking at recent movements, XAUUSD has surged for three consecutive sessions, each by around 3%. To me, this signals strong FOMO in the gold market—not a good sign for new buyers. i. Gold Price History 1. Historical Data from 1970 Gold has seen significant spikes in the past, similar to the recent surge. Below is a summary of gold price history from 1987 to present, highlighting periods of strong consecutive increases and other key benchmarks. 2. The historical context at key moments => As we can see from the events above, gold tends to rise during periods of financial instability and geopolitical tension. However, from 2022 to now, gold prices have almost doubled, and all macroeconomic negative news has been priced in. So, when will gold stop rising and when to sell it? ii. Probability Data 1. Quantitative Statistics Below is a statistical comparison of XAUUSD gold prices with similar strong price movements observed in April 2025: Looking at the data, we can see that gold prices generally decrease from the 30th session onward, after experiencing a 3% increase each session. The 30th session begins on April 9, 2025. Additionally, since 2024, gold has increased by more than 60%. 2. Probability Results Based on probability calculations from April 9, 2025, the opportunity to buy new positions in XAUUSD is virtually gone. After the 10th and 30th sessions, it's no longer advisable to enter new positions. Instead, it's time to look for sell positions or lock in profits. => Since the cycle began, gold has accumulated for 213 consecutive sessions, while the average accumulation period for XAUUSD is about 290 sessions. This is quite close. The longer the accumulation phase, the stronger the price increase afterward. However, we’ve already seen a significant rise in gold prices, meaning most of the potential gains have already been priced in. 3. What Signals Confirm That Gold Prices Will Drop Sharply? When will gold stop rising and when should we sell it? The answer is simple: we need clear confirmation signals from XAUUSD. In this case, the signal would be a sharp 5% decline in a single session. Based on statistical probability and historical data, such 5% declines have historically confirmed the start of a bear market for gold, meaning prices will either decrease or remain stagnant for an extended period. A notable 5% drop occurred on May 15, 2006, when gold had previously surged by approximately 55% over a period of about 246 sessions. The outcome was that gold prices dropped by around 14% in the next 30 sessions. Another example of when to sell occurred on December 4, 2009, when gold experienced a 4% decline after a previous gain of 24% over 144 consecutive sessions. Since the prior gain wasn’t exceptionally strong, XAUUSD only dropped around 6% in the following 50 sessions. From these examples, we can conclude that gold tends to rise sharply after an accumulation cycle of about 200 sessions or more, with subsequent price increases of 50% or higher. The stronger the previous rise, the larger the drop afterward, typically around 14-15%. 4. Data from Gold Sentiment When will gold stop rising? When should you sell gold? Based on the Gold Sentiment data from MacroMicro, it’s clear that as the Survey Diffusion Index increases, gold prices tend to rise. Conversely, when this index decreases, gold prices enter a correction phase, leading to a period of stagnation. Currently, the Survey Diffusion Index has been declining since around March 2025. So when will gold stop rising? This suggests that the gold price may soon reach the end of its upward cycle. However, since this is a lagging indicator, selling or locking in profits requires considering additional factors. iii. Conclusion So, when will gold stop rising and when should you sell it? Will the price reach 6,000USD per ounce? According to our analysis, the right time to sell or lock in profits is when a 5% drop occurs in a single session. This conclusion is based on data, not speculation. Gold prices are unlikely to hit 6,000USD per ounce in the near future and will likely need to go through another cycle with an average accumulation period of 200 sessions. The price target to take profit could be around 3,600USD I hope that the information in this When will gold stop rising article will help you begin your investment journey smoothly and with more confidence. Wishing everyone successful investments and profits!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TVSltd_algoindicators
1
4H Gold (XAUUSD) chart 4H Gold (XAUUSD) chart Let’s break it down: 🧐 Current Structure: • Price has pushed up strongly (big bullish momentum). • Now it’s consolidating after the strong move (small candles, indecision). • No clear breakout yet after consolidation. • Last strong push started from around 3200-3220. • Current level: around 3327. 📈 Is there a Buy Now? NO, not immediately now. • The price is stalling (small candles = indecision = possible short pullback). • Buying now would be chasing — risky because price might correct first. 🔔 Better buy plan: • Wait for price to pull back to a strong support zone. • Good buy area = around 3280–3290 (small pullback) or stronger at 3250 (deeper pullback zone). • Look for a bullish 4H candle confirmation at those levels (like a pin bar or bullish engulfing). 📉 Can you scalp a Sell? YES, but very carefully. • You can scalp a sell IF price breaks below 3320 with momentum. • Target = 3300–3290 area for scalping (small pullback zone). • Be careful: overall trend is still bullish, so selling is short-term only! 🛡️ Scalp Sell Setup Idea: • Sell break below 3320. • Stop loss above 3335. • Target 3300–3290. 🚨 Quick Strategy Summary: Action Condition Target Buy Pullback to 3280–3250 with bullish candle 3350–3380 Scalp Sell Break below 3320 3290–3300
FX:XAUUSD
by ThizizAlex
long for smart money and long investors up to April 2026Credit Agricole Egypt (EGX:CIEB) is currently fundamentally undervalued with a strong balance sheet and net cash position of 55.72 billion or 44.58 per share. Wyckoff Analysis for EGX:CIEB Using the Wyckoff Method, we analyze smart money accumulation and potential future price action. Accumulation Zones (Smart Money Entry Points) Primary Accumulation Zone: 19–18 EGP Secondary Accumulation Zone: 13.50–14.60 EGP Supporting Evidence: Strong Support Level at ~17.1 EGP – Confirmed as a previous accumulation zone. Extremely Low P/E (2.9) – Undervaluation likely attracted institutional buying. Price Decline (-14.99% over 52W) – Classic Wyckoff accumulation behavior. Smart Money Entry Below 20.0 EGP – Likely near the Last Point of Support (LPS) before markup. 🚀 Distribution Phase Projection (Future Exit Zone) Per Wyckoff theory, smart money may begin distributing shares near fair value, estimated at: Fair Value (FV) = EPS × P/E → 6.24 × (5–6) = 32.1~38.52 EGP Investment Thesis (if suitable for your portfolio): • ✅ Very low PE & high ROE • ✅ Strong dividend yield (17.2%) • ✅ Healthy balance sheet with large net cash • ⚠️ Risks: Market liquidity, FX/capital controls, macro instability in Egypt
EGX:CIEBLong
by maminpip
Can Notcoin Deliver an 18% Gain in This Setup?0.002100 TargetHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Notcoin 🔍📈. Notcoin is currently presenting a short-term trading opportunity within its downward channel. I'm anticipating a potential rebound toward the upper boundary, aiming for a minimum return of 18%. The primary target for this move is set at 0.002100, assuming favorable market momentum.📚🙌 🧨 Our team's main opinion is:🧨 Notcoin looks ready for a short-term bounce toward 0.002100, with at least 18% upside if momentum kicks in.📚🎇 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬 Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
1
$PDD Set To flip bearishSignificant downside risk based on a combination of fundamental, macroeconomic, and geopolitical factors. One major reason for this pessimistic outlook could be valuation concerns; the current stock price may appear overvalued relative to key metrics like earnings, revenue growth, or free cash flow. Additionally, regulatory risks play a large role, especially given PDD’s operations in China. Increased government scrutiny, the threat of tighter tech regulations, and the ongoing risk of U.S. delisting due to geopolitical tensions may all contribute to the bearish sentiment. Slowing growth is another common concern. If analysts see evidence that user growth, spending per user, or revenue momentum is tapering off—particularly as competition from giants like Alibaba or JD intensifies—that could justify a lower target. On top of that, macroeconomic headwinds in China, such as sluggish consumer spending, youth unemployment, or a weakening property market, may further dampen expectations for PDD’s performance. Some bears may also point to transparency or accounting concerns, especially with the limited visibility U.S. regulators have into Chinese financial audits. If insider selling is also occurring, that may reinforce concerns that even company leadership lacks confidence in future prospects. Altogether, these factors can easily justify a sharply lower price target like $50 per share.
NASDAQ:PDDShort
by BigeMarket
INTEL BUY 2030Claro, aquí tienes el texto completamente limpio, sin negritas ni símbolos especiales: --- Preliminary Projection: Intel's Potential Workforce Transformation (2025–2030) As Intel continues its restructuring and integrates more AI-driven systems into its operations, significant changes are expected in its workforce distribution. The following outlines an estimate of the potential job displacement or transformation due to artificial intelligence by 2030. Area: Manufacturing - Percentage of total employees: 35% (approximately 40,000) - Percentage potentially replaceable by AI: 70% - Estimated replaceable jobs: 28,000 Area: Administration - Percentage of total employees: 20% (approximately 23,000) - Percentage potentially replaceable by AI: 55% - Estimated replaceable jobs: 12,500 Area: Engineering - Percentage of total employees: 30% (approximately 34,000) - Percentage potentially replaceable by AI: 20% - Estimated replaceable jobs: 6,800 Area: Sales and Marketing - Percentage of total employees: 15% (approximately 17,000) - Percentage potentially replaceable by AI: 40% - Estimated replaceable jobs: 6,800 Total estimated jobs that could be automated or transformed by AI: approximately 54,000, representing around 47 percent of Intel’s current workforce. --- Key Intel Facilities Focused on AI-Driven Automation Ohio, USA – Ohio One Campus Investment: Over 28 billion dollars Purpose: To become the world’s largest chip manufacturing hub for AI by 2027 Key technologies: Advanced automation, digital twins, and AI systems to optimize production and operational efficiency Source: Reuters Hillsboro, Oregon, USA – D1X Factory Function: Research and development center for next-generation manufacturing technologies Key technologies: AI-powered predictive maintenance, computer vision, and real-time analytics to improve efficiency and quality Source: Intel Newsroom These facilities reflect Intel’s strategic transition toward leading in both semiconductor innovation and intelligent manufacturing. The company’s integration of artificial intelligence across its industrial operations is expected to drive productivity, reduce costs, and reshape its employment structure. --- ¿Quieres que lo convierta ahora en PDF, en PowerPoint o en algún diseño tipo folleto?
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by isantiagocano
$BTC LONG BTCCRYPTOCAP:BTC Position update on the current market structure. The block was tested from above, but there was no full-fledged move in - a sign of limited pressure from the seller so far. That said, there remains the possibility of liquidity taking hold in the $82,000-$83,000 range. The key condition is the realization of the scenario within the next week, maximum - before the month's close. May, in the absence of extraordinary events from the political agenda (primarily the US and Trump), should work out in positive dynamics. If the market ignores the designated range and forms a break above $90,000 before the end of April - the scenario with a re-entry under $80,000 becomes extremely unlikely. Simply put, the current volatility and fluctuations are just localized structural distortions within the dominant bullish medium-term trend. Going above $90,000 in this configuration becomes the base scenario, the only question is the nature of short-term price transformation.
CME:BTC1!Long
by swarmick
2
Bull Engines Maxed — Liquidity Hunt Has BegunThe 100% Bull Load isn’t just a label — it’s a signal of execution in motion. Clean break above the 100 EMA with conviction. Volume spike confirms: this isn’t random. It’s institutional. MACD curves ready to cross zero — momentum just found ignition. Shorts overstayed. Liquidity is above. We’re heading there. This is controlled aggression — the kind that ends sideways consolidation in pieces. Let them chase. #FIL #ScalpingStructure #LiquiditySweep #BreakoutPlay #SmartMoneyMove #4HSetup #AlgoFuel #ChartPrecision #MomentumLoading #InstitutionalMove
BINANCE:FILUSDLong
by BroLal
Jesus Coin (ETH: $JESUS) Gearing For A 300% Breakout Jesus Coin (ETH: $JESUS)—a memecoin created on the Ethereum blockchain, to encourage generosity, foster community, and transform charitable giving. With a clear goal to "Do Good, Give More". Jesus Coin (ETH: $JESUS) is gearing up for a breakout that could catapult its value by over 300%, backed by strong technical indicators, a passionate community, and impeccable timing with Easter Sunday approaching. In the past 24 hours alone, the token has surged by 27.32%, with a 52.90% climb this past week. Jesus Coin isn’t just another crypto asset; it's a faith-fueled movement. With a long-term wedge pattern tightening and momentum building, this token could be mere days away from one of the most talked-about runs in the altcoin space this season. Technical Overview of Jesus Coin (ETH: $JESUS) Since October 2024, Jesus Coin has been consolidating in a prolonged falling wedge—a classic technical setup for bullish reversals. With current price action nearing the wedge’s apex, and the RSI showing over 70, signs point to a powerful upside breakout. Despite a 61.5% drop in daily trading volume, indicating short-term caution, the price is defying the dip—suggesting strong accumulation. Recent resistance sits around $0.0000000618, which, once broken, opens the door to a projected 300% rally. This setup positions Jesus Coin as a sleeping giant waiting for a single spark—an event, listing, or meme campaign—to trigger lift-off.
UNISWAP:JESUSWETH_8F1B19.USDLong
by DEXWireNews
US500 BULLISH SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLEhi Fundamental view The **US500 index** dropped due to several key factors affecting the U.S. stock market: 📉 **Tech Stock Decline** – Technology stocks faced heavy pressure, especially after **Nvidia** plunged **6.9%** due to U.S. restrictions on AI chip exports to China. Other stocks like **AMD (-7.3%)** and **Micron Technology (-2.4%)** also fell. 💰 **Federal Reserve Uncertainty** – Remarks from **Fed Chair Jerome Powell** raised concerns in the market. Powell warned that new tariffs could trigger higher inflation and slow economic growth, making investors uncertain about interest rate policies. 🛍️ **Surge in Retail Sales** – Retail sales jumped **1.4%** in March as consumers rushed to buy before new tariffs took effect. This highlights economic uncertainty, pushing investors to sell their stocks. Overall, a mix of trade tensions, uncertain monetary policy, and a tech stock sell-off caused the **US500 index to drop 120.93 points (-2.24%)** on **April 16, 2025**. Technical view Yes, the **bullish symmetrical triangle** pattern is often a strong signal for upward price movement. When the price moves within this pattern, it usually indicates a **tightening volatility** before a **breakout**, which can present a good market entry opportunity. 🔍 **Breakout Confirmation** 1️⃣ Increased trading volume when price breaks above the **upper trendline**. 2️⃣ A closing candle above the **triangle resistance** for a valid signal. 3️⃣ Price targets can be measured using the pattern’s initial height as a projection. 📈 **Potential Price Movement** If the breakout happens, the price could surge toward the next **resistance level**. However, if the breakout fails and price moves below support, the pattern could turn **bearish**. Warren Buffett famously said, “Be greedy when others are fearful.” good luck **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by mytw0cents