Aljazira Takaful (8012) – Bounce from Key Support, More Upside?The stock bounced from a strong support around 14.30 after a steep decline.
Currently testing 14.90 as a key breakout level.
If it holds, targets are set at 15.60 and 16.20, with a stop loss below 14.30.
If it fails, next support lies around 13.70.
Short-term analysis on the 4H timeframe.
Fundamental Analysis
High Risk, High Reward: Shorting ATH in a Bullish Copper Market.Copper just broke above its all-time high, triggering my short entry at 5.3010. While the macro trend is undeniably bullish, past price action has shown that each major high was followed by aggressive selloffs. This might not be the case this time – but that’s exactly why we have a stop-loss in place.
This is a tactical counter-trade: not about fighting the trend but playing a potential rejection from a psychological and technical key zone. Let’s see if history rhymes or the red metal keeps melting resistance!
Technicals:
• Daily timeframe breakout above ATH triggered the short at 5.3010.
• Strong vertical rally into major supply – parabolic move often cools down.
• Previous ATH levels have consistently attracted heavy selling.
• If price invalidates with a continuation above 5.61, the setup is out.
• Volatility around this zone is expected – precision and SL management are key.
Fundamentals:
1. Trump’s Proposed Copper Tariffs:
• Tariffs of up to 25% could disrupt global trade flow and introduce price instability.
• Market already priced in a bullish narrative, so any delay or uncertainty could spark a correction.
2. Panama’s Cobre Mine Shutdown:
• The mine accounts for 1% of global supply, and uncertainty around reopening may already be priced in.
• The government is holding off public visits, which adds operational risk but no clear bullish resolution yet.
3. China Smelter Closures:
• While bullish in nature, these are known factors – any shift or reversal from China could cool the demand-side speculation.
4. Overbought Sentiment:
• Prices surged rapidly, creating a gap between LME and NY copper prices, reaching record spreads.
• Speculative exhaustion could trigger a short-term pullback or deeper correction.
Risk-Managed Play. Let’s see if this time is different – or just the same old Copper story in a new macro wrapper.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
High Volatility Trade Management & Risk Management Strategies
With a current geopolitical uncertainty and the election of Trump, forex market and gold experience wild price fluctuations. These unpredictable swings can result in substantial losses, particularly for the beginners in trading.
In this article, I will share with you the essential trade management and risk management tips for dealing with extreme volatility in trading.
I will reveal proven strategies and techniques for avoiding losses and unexpected risks.
1. First and foremost, pay attention to the news.
The main driver of high volatility on the markets are the news , especially the bad ones.
In normal times, high impact news events are relatively rare, while in times of uncertainty their frequency increases dramatically.
Such news may easily invalidate the best technical analysis setup: any powerful support or resistance level, strong price action or candle stick pattern can be easily overturned by the fundamentals.
Trump tariffs threats against Canada made USDCAD rise by 400 pips rapidly, while the change of rhetoric quickly returned the prices to previous levels.
One you hold an active trade, monitor the news. If you see the impactful news that may affect the pair or instrument that you trade, immediately protect your position, moving stop loss to entry.
It will help you avoid losses if the market starts going against you.
2. Even constantly monitoring the news, you will not be able to protect yourself from all the surprising movements.
Sometimes your trades will quickly be closed in a loss.
Therefore, I strictly recommend measure a lot size for every trade that you take. Make sure that you risk no more than 1% of your trading account per trade. That will help you to minimize losses cased by the impactful, uncertain events.
3. The impactful events may also occur on weekend, while Forex market is closed. Such incidents can be the cause of huge gap openings.
If you hold an active trading position over the weekend, remember that your entire account can be easily blown with such gaps.
Imagine that you decided to buy EURUSD on Friday during the NY session and keep holding the position over the weekend.
A huge gap down opening would make you face huge losses, opening the market 125 pips below the entry level.
By the way, this day I received a dozen of messages from my followers that their accounts were blown with the opening gaps.
4. If you see a significant price movement caused by some events, and you did not manage to catch it, let it go.
Jumping in such movements is very risky because quite ofter correctional movements will follow quickly.
It will be much safer and better to try to be involved in a trend continuation after a pullback.
Look what happened with Gold when Trump began a new trade war.
The price started to grow rapidly. However, even during such a sentiment, 500 pips pullback occurred, giving patient traders a safe entry point for the trade.
5. In the midst of geopolitical tensions and trade wars, the markets tend to rally or fall for the extended time periods.
The best trading strategies to use to get maximum from such movements are trend-following strategies.
While reversal, counter-trend trading might be extremely risky, providing a lot of false signals.
Trend trading may bring extraordinary profits.
These trading tips, risk management and trade management strategies and secrets are tailored for cutting and avoiding losses during dark times. Empower your strategy with this useful knowledge and good luck to you in trading high volatility on Gold and Forex.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Boeing (BA) Share Price Rally Slows Near Key ResistanceBoeing (BA) Share Price Rally Slows Near Key Resistance
The Boeing (BA) stock chart shows that since its March low, the price has surged by approximately 25%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen).
This rally was driven by the news that Boeing secured a contract to develop the next generation of fighter jets for the U.S. Navy, beating its main competitor, Lockheed Martin.
According to Business Insider, this success is tied to Boeing’s development of the F-47 fighter jet under the Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) programme, which will bring the company contracts worth around $20 billion.
Technical Analysis of Boeing (BA) Stock
Throughout March, bulls managed to break through local resistance around $172 (as indicated by orange arrows). However, the rally has now reached a stronger obstacle—the $188 level:
This area marks the 2025 high.
Bulls also struggled to sustain prices above $188 in mid-2024.
With the RSI indicator nearing overbought levels, a correction after such an impressive two-month rally seems like a plausible scenario.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
The Reasons Most Of The Traders Lose in The Beginning Most of Traders Lose Their Accounts in the beginning
Many new traders fail because they ignore key trading principles. Here’s a breakdown of the five biggest mistakes and how to avoid them:
**1️⃣ Emotional Trading – The Silent Account Killer** 😨
- Fear and greed drive impulsive decisions.
- **Example:** Chasing losses after a bad trade (revenge trading) or exiting too early due to fear.
- **Fix:** Follow a **trading plan**, stay disciplined, and never let emotions dictate trades.
**2️⃣ Poor Risk Management – Blowing Up Accounts** 💥
- Ignoring the **1-2% risk per trade** rule leads to massive losses.
- **Example:** A trader risks 20% on one trade—just a few losses can wipe out the account.
- **Fix:** Use **stop-loss orders**, position sizing, and proper risk management.
**3️⃣ Get-Rich-Quick Mentality – The Biggest Illusion** 💸
- Many expect overnight success, leading to **over-leveraging** and bad decisions.
- **Example:** Using high leverage to flip a small account quickly, only to lose it all.
- **Fix:** Focus on **consistent growth** instead of gambling with high-risk trades.
**4️⃣ Trading Without a Strategy – Gambling, Not Trading** 🎲
- No clear **entry, exit, or risk management plan** leads to random decisions.
- **Example:** Buying and selling based on emotions or social media tips.
- **Fix:** Follow a **proven strategy** with backtested results and clear trade setups.
**5️⃣ Overtrading – More Trades, More Losses** 📉
- The urge to trade constantly leads to bad setups and emotional exhaustion.
- **Example:** Taking 10+ trades a day without waiting for high-probability setups.
- **Fix:** Trade only **quality setups** that fit your strategy, not just to stay active.
**🚀 How to Avoid These Mistakes:**
✅ Follow a **disciplined trading plan**
✅ Develop **emotional control**
✅ Use **proper risk management**
✅ Stick to a **proven strategy**
✅ Be patient—**trading is a marathon, not a sprint**
By applying these principles, you can avoid being part of the 80% who fail and **build a profitable trading career**. 📈🔥
GBPUSD Sell Trade March 26 2025- Sell Limit ActivatedHello Traders!
Another great movement of GBPUSD, 1H and 15min TF confluence.
Entry: 5min TF with validity of OB (check charts for detailed annotation)
Note: This trade was a sell limit order in MT4 aiming for 1:5RR. You can see also Distribution Schematics in Higher Timeframe.
#wyckoff
#proptrader
#Riskmanagement
Gold – Bearish Rejection from Resistance | 1H AnalysisHello Guys Must Support Me For New Infomational Updatws Follow Me Here Is My new Analysis For Gols( XAUUSD ) Share Your Thoughts Comment Section Thanks
Gold is showing signs of rejection from the resistance zone near 3047 (All-Time High region), indicating a potential bearish move. The price is struggling to break higher, suggesting a downside move toward the support level at 3004 and possibly the strong demand zone below 2980.
Technical Analysis
Strong resistance at 3047, with multiple rejections
Bearish price action forming lower highs
Targeting support at 3004; further breakdown could lead to the demand zone
Fundamental Outlook
Stronger USD & hawkish Fed stance adding pressure on gold
Profit-taking at ATH levels contributing to potential retracement
Bias
Bearish below 3047 – A move below 3004 could accelerate downside momentum. Watch for confirmations before entering short positions.
JPY/USD Technical Analysis – Bullish Breakout from Falling WedgeIntroduction
The JPY/USD chart showcases a classic falling wedge pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. This pattern is characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines, indicating a weakening bearish momentum. Eventually, buyers stepped in, leading to a breakout to the upside. This analysis breaks down key elements, including support and resistance zones, trendlines, trading strategy, and risk management.
1. Breakdown of the Chart Pattern
A. The Falling Wedge Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
A falling wedge is a bullish technical pattern that forms when the price consolidates within two downward-sloping trendlines that converge over time. This signals that selling pressure is decreasing and a reversal may be near.
Downtrend Structure: The price was previously in a consistent downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows, which formed the wedge.
Breakout Confirmation: Once the price broke above the upper trendline, the pattern was confirmed, indicating the start of a bullish move.
Retest Possibility: Often, after a breakout, the price retests the upper trendline before continuing higher. If it holds, it strengthens the bullish outlook.
B. Key Levels Identified in the Chart
1. Support Zone (Buying Area)
The price found strong support in the 0.006291 – 0.006500 region.
Buyers stepped in, preventing the price from dropping further.
This support level coincides with the bottom of the wedge, further validating its importance.
2. Resistance Zone (Profit Target)
The 0.007100 – 0.007200 area is a major resistance level where sellers have previously dominated.
If the price reaches this level and consolidates, traders will look for either a breakout or a rejection.
A break above 0.007200 would indicate further bullish continuation.
3. Trendlines & Curve Formation
A curved trendline in the chart suggests a gradual transition from bearish to bullish momentum.
The dotted ascending trendline now acts as dynamic support, helping the price sustain its bullish move.
2. Trading Strategy & Risk Management
A. Entry Strategies
Traders have two primary ways to enter this trade:
Aggressive Entry:
Enter immediately after the breakout of the wedge.
Higher risk but captures early momentum.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a pullback to the trendline before entering.
Lower risk as it confirms trend continuation.
B. Take Profit Targets
Primary Target: 0.007117 (Resistance level from previous highs).
Extended Target: 0.007200 (Next significant resistance).
C. Stop Loss Placement
Below the recent swing low at 0.006291 to protect against false breakouts.
Ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
3. Market Sentiment & Confirmation Signals
✅ Bullish Confirmation
Breakout from the falling wedge
Price holding above the trendline
Higher highs and higher lows formation
Increased buying volume
⚠️ Bearish Risks & Invalidations
A break below the trendline would indicate weak momentum.
If the price fails to hold support, it could reverse downward.
Low volume on the breakout could signal a fake breakout.
4. Final Thoughts
This setup provides a high-probability trading opportunity following the breakout from a falling wedge pattern. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, making it an ideal setup for trend-following traders. However, patience is key—waiting for a successful retest before entering can minimize risks. If the price maintains momentum, we could see a rally toward the 0.007100 – 0.007200 resistance zone in the coming weeks. 🚀
XAUUSD (Gold) Sideways to Bullish Outlook
🔹 Market Sentiment: Sideways to Bullish 📈
🔹 Optimal Buying Zone: 3018 – 3024
🔹 Upside Targets: 3047 & 3056
🔍 Technical Analysis:
📊 Trend Outlook: Gold is consolidating but leaning bullish, respecting key support levels.
📈 Key Indicators:
EMA & Market Structure: Price holding above key EMAs signals potential upside.
RSI: Near neutral, allowing room for further gains.
Support & Resistance:
Support (Buy Zone): 3018 – 3024
Resistance (Targets): 3047 & 3056
Order Blocks & Fair Value Gaps: Buyers accumulating near support, increasing bullish probability.
🎯 Trading Strategy:
✅ Buy Entry: 3018 – 3024
🎯 Targets: 3047 & 3056
📉 Stop-Loss: Below 3014 (break of support structure)
⚠️ Risk Management: Use trailing stops and proper position sizing.
💡 Conclusion: Gold is showing bullish potential; ideal to buy dips near support for a move towards key resistance levels. 🚀📊
Eyes Off the Road, But On the Prize?While Tesla often dominates the autonomous driving narrative, the reality is far more nuanced. This article posits that Mobileye, with its recent significant collaboration with Volkswagen, stands as the only true competitor in this high-stakes technological race. Volkswagen's decision to integrate Mobileye's advanced camera, radar, and mapping technologies into its high-volume models underscores a growing industry trend: established automakers are increasingly relying on specialized technology providers to navigate the complexities of assisted and autonomous driving. This partnership not only validates Mobileye's technological prowess but also signals a potential shift in the autonomous driving landscape, moving beyond Tesla's proprietary approach.
Mobileye's strategic advantage lies in its comprehensive suite of technologies, notably the Surround ADAS platform powered by the EyeQ™6 High processor. This vertically integrated solution delivers sophisticated Level 2+ capabilities, including hands-free driving in specific conditions, and is designed for scalability across mass-market vehicles. Complementing this is Mobileye's innovative Road Experience Management™ (REM™) technology, a crowdsourced mapping system that leverages data from millions of vehicles to create and maintain high-definition maps globally. This approach offers near real-time updates and superior local accuracy, providing a critical foundation for future autonomous capabilities and contrasting with Tesla's reliance on its fleet data.
The fundamental difference in business models further distinguishes the two companies. Mobileye operates as a technology supplier, forging partnerships with over 50 automakers and integrating its solutions into numerous vehicle models. This strategy allows for a diverse and expansive collection of real-world driving data. In contrast, Tesla's vertically integrated model confines its autonomous driving technology primarily to its vehicles, potentially limiting its market reach and the breadth of its data acquisition. While Tesla champions an in-house approach, Mobileye's collaborative strategy positions it as a key enabler for the wider automotive industry's autonomous transition.
Ultimately, Mobileye's current focus on delivering robust and scalable Level 2+ systems, exemplified by the Volkswagen partnership, reflects a pragmatic evolution towards full autonomy. Coupled with positive analyst outlooks and a solid financial foundation, Mobileye is not just a contender but the most significant challenger to Tesla's autonomous driving ambitions, offering a compelling alternative path in the pursuit of a driverless future.
BTC/USD Rising Wedge – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?Introduction: Understanding the Market Structure
This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart presents a technical setup with a mix of bullish and bearish formations. The analysis focuses on key support and resistance zones, trendlines, and chart patterns to determine the next possible move.
🔍 The key takeaway? BTC has formed a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern, signaling potential downside unless a breakout invalidates the setup.
1. Market Structure & Current Trend Analysis
📌 Market in Curve Formation – The Accumulation Phase
Before the recent rally, Bitcoin was in a downtrend, making lower lows and lower highs, suggesting a period of price weakness.
However, price found strong support at around $77,600 - $80,000, forming a curved bottom structure—an early signal of an accumulation phase.
This bottoming pattern transitioned into a bullish uptrend, leading to the formation of a rising wedge.
🔹 Key Observations:
✔ Accumulation near $77,600 created a base for buyers.
✔ The gradual recovery curve suggests a shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
✔ Bitcoin later formed higher lows, confirming a temporary uptrend.
⚠ Shift in Momentum – The Rising Wedge Appears
The price rallied from the support zone but started forming a Rising Wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal.
A rising wedge indicates that although buyers are pushing prices up, they are losing momentum.
The narrowing price range suggests that sellers are entering at higher levels, weakening bullish strength.
2. Key Technical Levels to Watch
🔵 Resistance Zone ($92,000 - $94,957)
The shaded area near $92,000 - $94,957 is a major resistance level, where BTC previously failed to sustain a breakout.
This supply zone has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength.
The Stop Loss for short positions is placed above $94,957—any breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
🟠 Support Zone ($77,600 - $80,000)
The strong demand zone between $77,600 - $80,000 aligns with previous support levels.
If the rising wedge breaks down, this is the first major price target where BTC could find support.
A strong breakdown below $77,600 could lead to further declines toward $75,000 or lower.
3. The Rising Wedge Pattern – Bearish Warning!
🔍 What is a Rising Wedge?
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms during an uptrend when price moves within two converging trendlines.
It indicates that buyers are losing strength, and sellers are preparing to take control.
Once the lower trendline breaks, it confirms bearish momentum, leading to a price drop.
📝 Current BTC/USD Rising Wedge Analysis:
BTC has formed higher highs and higher lows, but the price range is narrowing.
The lower trendline is critical—a breakdown below this level could trigger a sharp decline.
The bearish target aligns with the support zone near $77,600.
4. Trading Plan – Possible Scenarios
📉 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (High Probability)
✅ Entry: Short BTC if the price breaks below the rising wedge (~$86,000 - $85,500).
✅ Stop Loss: Above $94,957 to protect against invalidation.
✅ Take Profit Target: $77,600 - $80,000 (first support level).
✅ Extended Target: If BTC drops below $77,600, watch for $75,000 - $72,000.
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Ideally 1:3 or higher for optimal trade management.
📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario (Low Probability but Possible!)
If BTC breaks and closes above $94,957, the bearish setup becomes invalid.
A confirmed breakout above resistance could push BTC towards $98,000 - $100,000.
Traders should wait for volume confirmation before entering long positions.
5. Risk Management & Final Thoughts
⚠ Risk Factors to Consider:
If BTC breaks the wedge with low volume, the move might be a false breakdown.
Macroeconomic events, such as interest rate decisions, can influence price behavior.
Watch for bullish divergences in indicators like RSI or MACD before shorting aggressively.
🔎 Conclusion:
The Rising Wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal—a breakdown could send BTC toward $77,600.
Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades.
If BTC breaks above $94,957, a bullish continuation could push it toward $100,000.
🔥 Bearish Bias Until Breakdown Confirmation!
Would you like an indicator-based analysis (e.g., RSI, MACD, or Moving Averages)? 🚀
What Is a Liquidity Sweep and How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is a Liquidity Sweep and How Can You Use It in Trading?
Mastering key concepts such as liquidity is crucial for optimising trading strategies. This article explores the concept of a liquidity sweep, a pivotal phenomenon within trading that involves large-scale players impacting price movements by triggering clustered pending orders, and how traders can leverage them for deeper trading insights.
Understanding Liquidity in Trading
In trading, liquidity refers to the ability to buy or sell assets quickly without causing significant price changes. This concept is essential as it determines the ease with which transactions can be completed. High liquidity means that there are sufficient buyers and sellers at any given time, which results in tighter spreads between the bid and ask prices and more efficient trading.
Liquidity is often visualised as the market's bloodstream, vital for its smooth and efficient operation. Financial assets rely on this seamless flow to ensure that trades can be executed rapidly and at particular prices. Various participants, including retail investors, institutions, and market makers, contribute to this ecosystem by providing the necessary volume of trades.
Liquidity is also dynamic and influenced by factors such as notable news and economic events, which can all affect how quickly assets can be bought or sold. For traders, understanding liquidity is crucial because it affects trading strategies, particularly in terms of entry and exit points in the markets.
What Is a Liquidity Sweep?
A liquidity sweep in trading is a phenomenon within the Smart Money Concept (SMC) framework that occurs when significant market players execute large-volume trades to trigger the activation of a cluster of pending buy or sell orders at certain price levels, enabling them to enter a large position with minimal slippage. This action typically results in rapid price movements and targets what are known as liquidity zones.
Understanding Liquidity Zones
Liquidity zones are specific areas on a trading chart where there is a high concentration of orders, including stop losses and pending orders. These zones are pivotal because they represent the levels at which substantial buying or selling interest is anticipated once activated. When the price reaches these zones, the accumulated orders are executed, which can cause sudden and sharp price movements.
How Liquidity Sweeps Function
The process begins when market participants, especially institutional traders or large-scale speculators, identify these zones. By pushing the market to these levels, they trigger other orders clustered in the zone. The activation of these orders adds to the initial momentum, often causing the price to move even more sharply in the intended direction. This strategy can be utilised to enter a position favourably or to exit one by pushing the price to a level where a reversal is likely.
Liquidity Sweep vs Liquidity Grab
Within the liquidity sweep process, it's crucial to distinguish between a sweep and a grab:
- Liquidity Sweep: This is typically a broader movement where the price action moves through a liquidity zone, activating a large volume of orders and thereby affecting a significant range of prices.
- Liquidity Grab: Often a more targeted and shorter-duration manoeuvre, this involves the price quickly hitting a specific level to trigger orders before reversing direction. This is typically used to 'grab' liquidity by activating stops or pending positions before the price continues to move in the same direction.
In short, a grab may just move slightly beyond a peak or low before reversing, while a sweep can see a sustained movement beyond these points prior to a reversal. There is a subtle difference, but the outcome—a reversal—is usually the same.
Spotting a Liquidity Sweep in the Market
Identifying a sweep involves recognising where liquidity builds up and monitoring how the price interacts with these zones. It typically accumulates at key levels where traders have placed significant numbers of stop-loss orders or pending buy and sell positions.
These areas include:
- Swing Highs and Swing Lows: These are peaks and troughs in the market where traders expect resistance or support, leading to the accumulation of orders.
- Support and Resistance Levels: Historical areas that have repeatedly influenced price movements are watched closely for potential liquidity buildup.
- Fibonacci Levels: Common tools in technical analysis; these levels often see a concentration of orders due to their popularity among traders.
The strategy for spotting a sweep involves observing when the price approaches and breaks through these levels. Traders look for a decisive move that extends beyond the identified zones and watch how the asset behaves as it enters adjacent points of interest, such as order blocks. The key is to monitor for a subsequent reversal or deceleration in price movement, which can signal that the sweep has occurred and the market is absorbing the liquidity.
This approach helps traders discern whether a significant movement is likely a result of a sweep, allowing them to make more informed decisions about entering or exiting positions based on the anticipated reversal or continuation of the price movement.
How to Use Liquidity Sweeps in Trading
Traders often leverage liquidity sweeps in forex as strategic indicators within a broader Smart Money Concept framework, particularly in conjunction with order blocks and fair value gaps. Understanding how these elements interact provides traders with a robust method for anticipating and reacting to potential price movements.
Understanding Order Blocks and Fair Value Gaps
Order blocks are essentially levels or areas where historical buying or selling was significant enough to impact an asset’s direction. These blocks can act as future points of interest where the price might react due to leftover or renewed interest from market participants.
Fair value gaps are areas on a chart that were quickly overlooked in previous movements. These gaps often attract price back to them, as the market seeks to 'fill' these areas by finding the fair value that was previously skipped.
Practical Application in Trading Strategies
Learn how liquidity sweeps can be applied to trading strategies.
Identifying the Trend Direction
The application of liquidity sweeps starts with understanding the current trend, which can be discerned through the market structure—the series of highs and lows that dictate the direction of the market movement.
Locating Liquidity Zones
Within the identified trend, traders pinpoint liquidity zones, which could be significant recent swing highs or lows or areas marked by repeated equal highs/lows or strong support/resistance levels.
Observing Order Blocks and Fair Value Gaps
After identifying a liquidity zone, traders then look for an order block beyond this zone. The presence of a fair value gap near the block enhances the likelihood of the block being reached, as these gaps are frequently filled.
Trade Execution
When the price moves into the order block, effectively sweeping liquidity, traders may place limit orders at the block with a stop loss just beyond it. This action is often based on the expectation that the order block will trigger a reversal.
Utilising Liquidity Sweeps for Entry Confidence
The occurrence of a sweep into an order block not only triggers the potential reversal but also provides traders with greater confidence in their position. This confidence stems from the understanding that the market's momentum needed to reach and react at the block has been supported by the liquidity sweep.
By combining these elements—trend analysis, liquidity zone identification, and strategic use of order blocks and fair-value gaps—traders can create a cohesive strategy that utilises sweeps to enhance decision-making and potentially improve trading results.
The Bottom Line
Understanding liquidity sweeps offers traders a critical lens through which to view market dynamics, revealing deeper insights into potential price movements. For those looking to apply these insights practically, opening an FXOpen account could be a valuable step towards engaging with the markets more effectively and leveraging professional-grade tools to navigate liquidity phenomena.
FAQs
What Is a Liquidity Sweep?
A liquidity sweep occurs when large market participants activate significant orders within liquidity zones, causing rapid price movements. It's a strategic manoeuvre to capitalise on accumulated buy or sell orders at specific price levels.
What Is a Sweep Trade?
A sweep trade is a large order executed through multiple different areas on a chart and venues to optimise execution. This is common in both equities and derivatives trading to minimise market impact.
How to Spot a Liquidity Sweep?
Liquidity sweeps can be identified by sudden, sharp movements towards areas dense with orders, such as previous swing highs or lows or known support and resistance levels, followed often by a rapid reversal.
What Is the Difference Between a Liquidity Sweep and a Liquidity Grab?
A liquidity sweep is a broader market move activating a large volume of orders across a range of prices. In contrast, a grab is a quick, targeted action to hit specific order levels before the price reverses direction.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakout & Bullish Overview of the Chart
This chart presents a daily timeframe (1D) analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) and highlights a well-defined bullish trend supported by a breakout from a triangle pattern. The overall price action suggests a strong uptrend continuation, with clearly marked support and resistance levels, trendlines, and potential trade setups.
Gold has been consistently respecting key technical levels, forming higher highs and higher lows, which is a classic indicator of a strong bullish market. Traders can use this analysis to identify entry points, stop-loss levels, and profit targets for a strategic trading approach.
Key Technical Components in the Chart
1. Triangle Pattern Formation – The Setup for Breakout
One of the most crucial formations in this chart is the triangle pattern, which acts as a continuation pattern.
The triangle pattern (highlighted in green) represents a period of consolidation where price action was squeezing between higher lows and lower highs before a breakout occurred.
This pattern suggests that buyers and sellers were in equilibrium, building up momentum before gold made a decisive move to the upside.
The breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle confirms the bullish continuation, leading to a strong rally.
📌 Technical Significance: Triangle patterns are a reliable technical structure used by traders to anticipate breakouts. The breakout direction (upward in this case) determines the next trend phase.
2. Trendline Analysis – Defining Market Structure
The dashed black trendline represents the primary ascending trendline, which has been respected multiple times, indicating that the market remains in an uptrend.
Several minor support levels (highlighted in blue) have acted as strong demand zones, preventing price breakdowns and helping sustain the bullish momentum.
A major support zone (highlighted in beige at $2,300-$2,400) serves as the base of the uptrend, where price action historically reversed strongly, indicating heavy institutional buying.
📌 Technical Significance: As long as the price remains above these support levels, the uptrend remains intact.
3. Breakout & Price Action Structure – Momentum Confirmation
The breakout from the triangle pattern signaled the beginning of a new bullish impulse wave, and the price action structure confirms this move.
Higher Highs & Higher Lows: The black zig-zag pattern represents a strong bullish structure where each retracement finds support before continuing higher.
Price Movement Post-Breakout:
After breaking above the triangle’s resistance, gold started forming higher highs at an accelerated pace.
Minor pullbacks are bouncing off key support levels, providing re-entry opportunities for traders.
📌 Technical Significance: A breakout followed by sustained higher highs and strong buying pressure is a key bullish signal.
Trading Plan & Strategy
1. Entry Strategy – Ideal Buying Zones
Buy on Pullbacks:
Enter near minor support levels to take advantage of retracements.
This improves the risk-to-reward ratio and reduces exposure to sudden reversals.
Confirmation Signals:
Look for bullish candlestick patterns (bullish engulfing, pin bars, hammer candles).
Increased trading volume on bullish moves supports trend continuation.
2. Stop-Loss & Risk Management
📍 Stop-Loss: $2,661
Placed below the most recent minor support level to protect against downside risk.
If price breaks below this level, it may signal a trend shift or deeper correction.
📍 Why this Stop-Loss Level?
It ensures a tight risk control while allowing room for natural price fluctuations.
3. Take-Profit & Target Projection
📍 Target Price: $3,170
The measured move projection from the triangle breakout suggests a target near $3,170, which aligns with historical resistance.
If the price approaches $3,100-$3,170, traders should monitor for potential reversals or further breakouts.
4. Key Factors Supporting the Bullish Bias
✅ Uptrend Structure: The market is making higher highs and higher lows, which is a textbook sign of bullish momentum.
✅ Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken out of the triangle pattern and is sustaining higher levels.
✅ Support Levels Holding: Each pullback is being absorbed by buyers at well-defined support zones.
✅ Momentum & Volume: Increased volume and strong buying pressure indicate that the bullish trend is likely to continue.
5. Risk Management & Market Conditions
Market Sentiment:
If gold continues to hold above the support zones, further upside momentum is likely.
If price starts breaking below key support levels, it may signal a trend reversal or deeper correction.
Geopolitical & Economic Factors:
Gold prices are often affected by inflation data, interest rate changes, and global uncertainties.
Traders should monitor economic news that could impact gold’s trend.
Conclusion – A High-Probability Trade Setup
This analysis confirms that gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong bullish uptrend following a successful triangle breakout.
🚀 Trade Setup Summary:
✅ Entry: Buy on pullbacks at minor support levels
✅ Stop-Loss: $2,661 (Below support)
✅ Target Price: $3,170 (Next resistance level)
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup with strong trend confirmation
🔹 Final Verdict: As long as gold remains above the minor support levels, the bullish bias remains strong, making this a high-probability long trade setup.
Would you like to add any additional indicators (RSI, MACD) for confirmation? 📈
CHEX moves to $3Chintai claims to be a key player in the real asset tokenization (RWA) sector due to its strategic advantages: being licensed in Singapore (one of the strictest jurisdictions in regulating blockchain projects), partnering with global corporations and engaging a market maker to provide liquidity. These factors form a stable foundation for the growth of the ecosystem, with the CHEX token acting as its key element.
I expect a significant uptick over the next two months and a distribution phase in the summer. I will further short this asset from September.
Alex Kostenich,
Horban Brothers.
Solana (SOL) 22.03.2025In the near term, Solana (SOL) is showing a desire to return to its price channel, but further asset allocation is likely to be delayed until the summer of 2025. Despite the possible optimistic outlook for growth, it is worth preparing for corrective moves in September. SOL is among the three assets where market makers are already active, which may indicate artificial liquidity maintenance or position accumulation.
Significant growth is likely to be expected in Ethereum (ETH), while recent momentum is more likely to manifest itself in Bitcoin (BTC) and Solana (SOL). The long-awaited altcoin season may start soon, which requires investors to be more selective. It is recommended to reallocate capital from fundamental assets to high-risk instruments with growth potential, keeping a balance between risk and return.
Special attention should be paid to the Solana ecosystem, where promising projects such as PRCL are already present, which emphasizes the technological and investment attractiveness of blockchain.
Alex Kostenich,
Horban Brothers.
Long Entry – Technical & Fundamental Breakdown Technical Rationale:
I’ve taken a long position following a liquidity grab during last night’s session. Price is still respecting the broader bullish structure, and the move down to $68.77 appeared to be a stop run, faking out breakout shorts. My next target is the weekly level around $70.50, assuming no major market shocks through the rest of the week.
Fundamental Rationale:
I remain unconvinced by the current peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, this is likely a slow-moving narrative, and the market seems to be discounting it for now. Supply constraints are still in play, particularly after the new U.S. tariffs on Venezuelan oil. Yesterday’s larger-than-expected API crude draw is also supporting prices. Meanwhile, ongoing conflict between Israel and Iranian proxies continues to disrupt Red Sea shipping, adding further pressure to global supply.
COT Data Summary:
Overall decline in positioning signals caution, not outright bullishness.
Managed Money added to shorts a slight bearish tilt.
Institutional positioning (Other Reportables) shows a mild bullish bias.
The market appears to be watching key support levels and waiting on further fundamental catalysts.
ALTSEASON 2025Dear investors and traders, members of the Horban Brothers community!
Today I come to you not with a warning of an impending crisis, but with the certainty that we are on the threshold of significant changes. The cryptocurrency market, which has been wavering in uncertainty for a long time, is finally entering a phase of active growth. Yes, you heard me right - from this moment, from today, we see all the signs that cryptocurrency is ready to take off.
All the data points to this: institutional investment in cryptocurrency is up 400% year-on-year, regulation is becoming clearer, leading to increased confidence among the big players, and most importantly, technological innovation in blockchain continues to convince even the most skeptical.
Make no mistake, the volatility of the cryptocurrency market will not go away, but those who are willing to accept these risks can expect rewards that are rarely seen in traditional markets. I'm not suggesting you rush out to buy everything, but carefully analyze those assets that show fundamental strength and technological resilience.
Now is not the time to be passive. Check your portfolios, reassess your strategies. If you're still standing on the sidelines of cryptocurrencies, now is the time to get in on the action. But remember, this is not for the faint of heart - this is a game for those who are willing to study, analyze and act.
This market, like any other, requires discipline and knowledge. Don't get caught up in emotions, don't fall for the hype, evaluate each project critically. But if you see that the project has potential, do not be afraid to invest.
Remember that cryptocurrencies are not just tokens; they are the foundation of the future financial world. And that world is already beginning to take shape.
Regards CFO Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
Golden Opportunities: Navigating the New Era of InvestmentFolks, we're witnessing something truly remarkable with XAUUSD. Gold's weekly uptrend is not just a blip on the radar; it's a beacon signaling a return to the fundamentals I've been harping on for ages. Recall my earlier insights? I pegged the long-term trend in Gold, and here we are, watching it soar. Trump's chatter about inflation and rates? It's like watching a chess game where each move by the Fed could be influenced by such rhetoric. The market, my friends, seems to be betting on this narrative, pricing in these potential shifts.
Now, let's not forget the basics. Historically, precious metals dance to the tune of real interest rates - those inflation-adjusted numbers. Sure, during times of market panic or geopolitical tension, Gold might get caught in the crossfire as either a collateral darling or a safe haven. But in these calmer waters, it's the real rates that dictate the dance. So, keep your eyes on the prize. Gold isn't just shining; it's setting the stage for what might be a golden era in investment. Watch, learn, and maybe, just maybe, enjoy the ride as we navigate these waters together. Stay vigilant, and may your investments be as golden as your opportunities.
Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
BTC Accumulation Zone: Technicals & Cyclical Entry StrategiesBitcoin’s long-term macro structure does not currently align with bear market conditions as defined by sustained price decay below key moving averages or a violation of multi-year structural support. Presently, the market exhibits characteristics of a consolidation phase within a broader uptrend, presenting asymmetric opportunities across micro, medium, and macro timeframes for participants who anchor decisions to quantifiable support/resistance zones, Fibonacci retracements, and volume-weighted price anchors. The current price regime between $70,000 and $80,000 represents a high-probability accumulation zone, validated by the incomplete Wave 5 extension (post-election rally), which implies unresolved cyclical momentum, historical fractal patterns suggesting Wave 5 extensions often retrace 38.2–50% of Wave 3, on-chain metrics such as dormant supply accumulation (declining exchange reserves) and rising HODLer net positions signaling smart money redistribution, and risk-reward asymmetry tied to the 78,000–73,000 zone’s alignment with the 2024 realized price (~$69,000) and the 200-day moving average. Position management should prioritize a dollar-cost averaging strategy within the 70,000–80,000 zone, weighted toward Fibonacci retracement levels (78.6%, 61.8%), and volatility-adjusted sizing using the Average True Range to align risk per trade with portfolio volatility targets. Behavioral risks such as retail panic (measured by Fear & Greed Index extremes) and media-driven FUD create liquidity voids exploitable by informed participants, while Bitcoin’s cyclical patterns (halving-driven supply shocks, four-year cycles) mirror 2013–2017 fractals, underscoring the asset’s asymmetric return profile. Disciplined investors recognize that volatility is the premium paid for non-correlated alpha, and Bitcoin’s current structure—anchored by on-chain fundamentals and cyclical tailwinds—rewards systematic, mathematically rigorous strategies focused on position sizing, risk management, and predefined triggers. Markets oscillate between fear and greed, and the 70,000–80,000 zone represents where capital is deployed by those who understand that risk is managed, not avoided, and that asymmetric opportunities arise from preparation rather than prediction. Ignoring noise and trusting data-driven analysis remains critical to navigating this phase.
Alex Kostenich,
Horban Brothers.
Gold hit 3300 , why not ? The Conference Board (a non-profit research organization in the United States, specializing in providing reports and analysis on economic issues, jobs, labor markets and long-term trends) announced on Tuesday that the US consumer confidence index fell to 92.9, down from a revised 100 in February.
This data was weaker than expected, as economists had predicted a smaller decline, only falling to 94.2.
Société Générale (SocGen - a large multinational bank based in France) has just announced its multi-asset portfolio strategy for the second quarter. The bank still holds 7% of its portfolio in gold and forecasts that the price of gold could reach $4,000/ounce.
At 7%, gold remains the largest commodity position in SocGen’s portfolio. “Gold remains a strong asset amid the geopolitical reshaping of the US, which has triggered strong policy responses,” the analysts said.
Although gold prices are currently hovering above $3,000 an ounce, SocGen expects gold prices to continue to rise. The French bank forecasts gold prices to average around $3,300 an ounce in the fourth quarter.
Geopolitical uncertainty continues to support gold as an important global currency, the analysts said. They also pointed to conditions that could push prices to $4,000 an ounce.