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Natural Gas - Soaring Upside - Option Plays!Technical Breakout Observed! Huge upside potential - Increased Demand: After a sluggish 2024, demand for natural gas is rebounding—especially for electricity generation in North America and Asia. This is tightening the market and pushing prices up. - LNG Export Boom: New liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminals, like the one coming online in British Columbia, are expanding shipping capacity. That’s opening up more international markets and driving up prices domestically. - Geopolitical Tensions: Broader energy markets are reacting to instability in the Middle East, particularly between Iran and Israel. While this directly impacts oil, it also creates uncertainty across all energy commodities, including natural gas. - Inventory and Supply Adjustments: After oversupply in 2024, producers are now recalibrating. But with inventories still low in some regions, prices are sensitive to even small disruptions
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
1
Wedge Breakout in Motion – 317% Potential Toward Channel Up📍 Ticker: NASDAQ:ACB (Aurora Cannabis Inc.) 📆 Timeframe: 1D (Daily) 📉 Price: $4.71 📊 Volume: 1.22M 📈 RSI: 42.76 (rising from oversold territory) 🔍 Technical Setup: After years of decline, NASDAQ:ACB has broken out of a large descending wedge, with price pushing above downtrend resistance and reclaiming horizontal support. 🔼 Breakout Structure: Descending wedge + horizontal base 📉 Bear market floor established at ~$3.00 📈 Next key level: ~$5.60, then $9.00+ 💠 Price projection drawn within expanding ascending channel, targeting mid-to-upper range reversion over time. 🧠 Trade Plan & Price Targets: ✅ Entry Zone: $4.60–$4.80 (confirmed breakout, medium risk) ✅ Entry Zone: $3.60–$3.80 (full gap retest, lower risk) ✅ Entry Zone: $2.95–$3.10 (Lowest low, lowest risk) ❌ Stop-Loss: Close below $4.00 (failed retest + support invalidation) ❌ Stop-Loss 2: Close below $3.55 (Lower than the biggest gap low level) ❌ Stop-Loss 3: Close below $2.84 (Lower than the lowest low) 🎯 Target 1: $5.60 → 📈 Return: +18.9% 🎯 Target 2: $9.00 → 📈 Return: +91.0% 🎯 Target 3: $15.00 → 📈 Return: +217.0% ⚠️ Key Insights: RSI curling up from below 40 = momentum shift Short interest remains high → potential short squeeze trigger Price is now above long-term downtrend — trend reversal scenario in play Macro sentiment toward cannabis may act as catalyst Still haven't started the biggest US market 💬 Can Aurora Cannabis light up again and return to its long-term channel highs? Follow for more setups with asymmetric risk/reward. #TargetTraders #ACB #CannabisStocks #WedgeBreakout #ChannelReversion #PennyStockSetup
NASDAQ:ACBLong
by TargetTraders
6/18/25 - $bill - Meh in this tape. "ignore"/ fry diff fish6/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:BILL Meh in this tape. "ignore"/ fry diff fish - friend DM'd me today "V what about NYSE:BILL ?" - too much brain damage to care. - i a world where AI wasn't gutting SMB software, where SMB wasn't being handed a noose by our gov't and interest rates were not 4.5% and likely to rise... i'd say "sure". but this is parallel universe is not the one i wake up to everyday. - so barely any earnings growth, most of the FCF is stock comp (which is fine for co's that have stock charts up and to the right, not the opposite here).. "what is the right valuation"? well... ask a PE shop. these guys like to overpay for everything. they'll tell you it's $80. good luck with that one. these guys also mark their books by licking one finger and shoving another one up their backsides. - truth is... idk what it's worth, except to say this: - i can find a ton of other stuff with FAR better valuation, FAR better growth, FAR LESS stock comp/ dilution and FAR LESS macro-factor-related headache. And even those "alternatives" aren't even that obvious. - "gotcha V but what price to look again?" - "reality is, if things get so abysmal in the economy that this think takes a deeper bath... i'd still probably find other stuff that still a/ grows faster, b/ has better cash returns etc. etc. and would prefer to own that stuff at a discount". it's always possible tmr this goes -20% and everything else "stays the same". unlikely. and i don't spend my time thinking about sub 1% probability events. so tl;dr... i don't really watch this thing anymore. tbh, i find most B2B/ SaaS software still too expensive. even if AI ultimately doesn't gut their businesses in the next say 1-3 years... that "threat" is always going to keep multiples compressed. so i don't look at any software as much as I do anymore, unless it's attached to a hardware platform e.g. NVDA, TSLA... etc. i know that sounds boring, but i don't think small caps will "come back" vs. larger-scale-cap stuff that has reached takeoff velocity. i think big co's not screwing up will keep winning. and while NYSE:BILL might eventually get taken out, i don't like putting "take out" as a cope for buying a down and to the right stock. that's private equity mentality. that's not facing the music. there are no chairs. there is no more music and you're left with a stock that nobody wants. i like the founder. i like the co. but the stock is no longer on my care-to-care list. ignore. V
NYSE:BILL
by VROCKSTAR
June 19 XAUUSD Setup — FOMC Aftershock or Bull Trap? Hey traders 👋 After yesterday’s FOMC fireworks and a weak reaction to initial retail sales data, gold broke structure into 3363 and is now floating below key resistance. Price is compressing under the previous H1 lower high, and liquidity continues to build on both sides — perfect conditions for engineered spikes. Let’s break it down clearly. 🌍 Macro & Sentiment Yesterday’s FOMC left rates unchanged, but Fed tone leaned hawkish. Retail Sales and Unemployment Claims disappointed — slight downside pressure on the dollar. Geopolitical front remains tense: no ceasefire in Gaza, Iran-Israel rhetoric escalates, and Russia-Ukraine conflict is ongoing. Liquidity is king — and gold is being boxed for the next big move. 📉 Bias & Structure Daily: Compression after FOMC, lower high remains in control. H4: Bearish break below 3380, EMA21 hovering above price. H1: Trendline structure broken, EMA5/21 forming bearish cross, RSI below 50. Fibo: H1 drawn from 3452 to 3363 — key golden zone at 3405–3415. 🎯 Bias: Tactical Bearish under 3415 — looking for short-term bounces or premium traps to sell. 🧠 Sniper Zones 🔻 Sell Zones 1️⃣ 3405 – 3415 → Key golden zone + EMA21 + FVG → Monitor M15/M5 rejection for continuation sells 2️⃣ 3435 – 3445 → Premium OB trap zone → If price spikes irrationally, this becomes the extreme reversal area 🔺 Buy Zones 1️⃣ 3365 – 3380 → Golden buy zone — real fib confluence → Already tapped today, but any clean retest may offer reactive bounce trades 2️⃣ 3335 – 3345 → Extreme flush zone — only valid if deep dump occurs → Watch for exhaustion and M15 reversal confirmation 🔻 Emergency Buy Zone: 3305 – 3292 🧠 Why this zone? ✅ H4 untested Order Block + FVG (June 11 candle). ✅ 78.6% Fibonacci retracement (H1 swing from 3452 → 3363). ✅ RSI likely to print oversold. ✅ Deep discount structure — potential final inducement for reversal. 🔔 Important: This is a backup zone, not for blind entries. It only becomes active if 3335 breaks with conviction (full candle body close + volume). Look for M15/M5 confirmation (divergence + price action signal) before engaging. 🔄 Flip Zone 3390 – 3398 → Volume zone from FOMC + OB test → If reclaimed cleanly, may flip intraday bias short-term 📌 Battle Notes Gold tapped 3363 today, reacting mildly. If price retraces toward 3405–3415, I’ll watch for shorts — but no early entries. Below 3365, watch for another bounce or setup around 3345. Flip zone remains indecisive until confirmed with volume. 🧭 Plan Recap → Bearish under 3415 → Pullback into 3405–3415 = short setup → Retest 3365–3380 = bounce watch → Flush into 3335 = reversal zone → 3435+ = irrational spike trap 🧠 Stay sniper. Wait for price to come to your zones — and execute only on confirmed reactions. — 🚀 If this helped bring clarity, tap that 🚀, leave your bias in the comments, and hit FOLLOW for real structure-based trading. 🟨 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles. — GoldFxMinds 🧠✨
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
1
Pound recovers as UK CPI edges lowerThe British pound has stabilized on Wednesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3551, up 0.28% on the day. The US dollar showed broad strength on Tuesday and GBP/USD declined 1.05% and fell to a three-week low. UK inflation for May edged lower to 3.4% y/y, down from 3.5% in April and matching the market estimate. The driver behind the deceleration was lower airline prices and petrol prices. Services inflation, which has been persistently high, eased to 4.7% from 5.4%. Monthly, CPI gained 0.2%, much lower than the 1.2% gain in April and matching the market estimate. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, fell to 3.5% in May, down from 3.8% a month earlier and below the market estimate of 3.6%. Monthly, the core rate rose 0.2%, sharply lower than the 1.4% spike in April and in line with the market estimate. This marked the lowest monthly increase in four months. The Bank of England will be pleased that core CPI moved lower but the inflation numbers are still too high for its liking. Headline CPI had been below 3% for a year but has jumped well above 3% in the past two months. BoE policymakers won't have much time to digest today's inflation report as the central bank makes its rate announcement on Thursday. The markets are widely expecting the BoE to maintain the cash rate at 4.25%, Investors will be keeping a close eye on the meeting, looking for hints of a rate cut later in the year. The UK economy contracted in April and with wages falling and unemployment rising, there is pressure for the BoE to lower rates, but that is risky with inflation well above the BoE's 2% inflation target. US retail sales slumped in May, falling 0.9% m/m. This was well below the revised -0.1% reading in April and worse than the market estimate of -0.7%. Annually, retail sales fell to 3.3%, down sharply from a revised 5.0%. Consumers are wary about the economy and anxiety over Trump's tariffs has weighed on consumer spending. If additional key US data heads lower, this will increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. GBP/US is putting pressure on resistance at 1.3480. Above, there is resistance at 1.3545 1.3364 and 1.3299 are providing support
by OANDA
New Zealand GDP expected to contract, New Zealand dollar recoverThe New Zealand dollar has posted gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6042, up 0.45% on the day. The New Zealand dollar sustained sharp losses a day earlier, declining 0.75%. The New Zealand economy is in recession and the markets are bracing for a contraction in first-quarter GDP of 0.8%. The economy declined in Q4 2024 by 1.1%. A weak GDP report would put pressure on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to reduce interest rates at the next meeting on July 9. The Reserve Bank has been aggressive and lowered rates for a sixth straight time in May to 3.25%, for a total of 225 basis points. Is the resilient US consumer showing cracks? US retail sales slumped in May, falling 0.9% m/m. This was well below the revised -0.1% reading in April and worse than the market estimate of -0.7%. Annually, retail sales fell to 3.3%, down sharply from a revised 5.0%. The monthly retail sales is particularly concerning because it marked a second straight decline. The pre-tariff spike in consumer spending has fizzled as the tariffs have taken effect. Consumers are wary that the tariffs will boost inflation and dampen consumer spending power and concerns about hiring have risen, prompting consumers to batten down the hatches in anticipation of tougher times ahead. If additional key US data heads lower, this will increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. The markets have priced in a hold at Wednesday's meeting at practically 100%, with little chance of a rate cut before September. NZD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6035. Above, there is resistance at 0.6060 0.5990 and 0.5965 and providing support
by OANDA
HK50 bearish momentumWe see this index coming down much lower due to Investors being underwhelmed by Beijing's latest economic support measures, with some stimulus lacking detail—similar to a previous sharp drop (~–9%) after disappointing announcements . Mixed Chinese PMI and retail data also dampen sentiment. U.S.–China tariff fears: Ongoing trade tensions and tariff worries continue to pressure Chinese-connected stocks, impacting the Hang Seng disproportionately . Foreign fund outflows & shifting global appetite: Capital has been flowing out toward safer or higher-growth markets, especially as U.S. and European equities show more stability. A weaker yuan adds to pressure .
CAPITALCOM:HK50Short
by Aqilabs
1
6/18/25 - $obtc - Portfolio update during Papa Powell6/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:OBTC Portfolio update during Papa Powell - as you have all noticed (if you follow along), i'm usually early... and i've started building more strategic short spots and putting on more and more cash - we've traded a few stocks around, esp in the end-mar and april context. esp semi's like NYSE:TSM etc. - but ultimately, my alpha is in understanding CRYPTOCAP:BTC better than anyone. - a lil apha here: the marginal cost of production is about $80k for the entire network. sure you'll see some armchair work here/ there to prove this. i have some pretty sophisticated models that i've built and kept to myself that validate this. AND SUCH THAT bitcoin is not broken (and it's definitely not), this level is a line in the sand - anything sub $80k will get bought VERY fast. - so with that being said, OTC:OBTC is allowing me to size up here at $91k as of today. add these to your trading view (without the quotes " ") This is the nominal ticker px OBTC Each share holds 0.000324 BTC. I'd link you, but the last time i did this trading view thought i was shilling and getting paid (i'm definitely not- i'll never charge anyone for my views, i don't need the $... i just like to make friend and make my friends money). Add: "OBTC/0.000324" That will show you the effective price Now add: "OBTC/BTCUSDT/0.000324" and this will show you the discount to spot. It's about 0.88 as of this writing - or about a 12% discount to spot. I bring this all up, because I look at these three elements on my tradingview more than anything. OBTC is now 40% of my book and the goal is to make it 50... 60... 70... should the situation call for it. I don't trade stocks for the purpose of outperforming BTC. I trade stocks to tread water while BTC waffles so I can buy more BTC. Period and the end. My north is to stack as many sats as I can. SO with this being said: - I've taken my NASDAQ:NXT size to about 10% (nominal) and 15% gross - I've taken GAMB to 9% (nominal) and leveraged is 35-40% gross - i've added three shorts which i'll comment on in time NASDAQ:BUG , NASDAQ:ROBT , NASDAQ:QUBT - and i'm about 33% cash. I want to simplify my PnL so I can start to make decisive moves and not worry about managing stuff that's not a game changing situation. So I've temporarily removed NYSE:ANF , $tsm... other stuff I do like (but it's not as good as BTC). hope it helps your own process. keep your eye on the prize. the prize is BTC. V
OTC:OBTCLong
by VROCKSTAR
Apple is standing at the edgeApple (AAPL) is losing its long-term structure — second retest of the broken trendline suggests a bearish setup On the 3D chart, Apple shows signs of structural breakdown. The weekly trendline from 2023 was broken and retested — twice. The price failed to regain it and now trades below, with candles showing weakness: low body closes, upper wicks, and no upside follow-through. MA200 is now above price, and all EMAs are turning down. Volume Profile shows a heavy resistance block near $197. If the price remains below, sellers are in control. Key levels: — $192.20 = 0.5 Fibo support. — Breakdown ➝ targets: $180 → $167 → $152. Fundamentals: Apple's recent reports show decelerating growth, weak China demand, and compressed margins. While AI buzz supports sentiment, institutional flow suggests distribution. BigTech may be topping out, and Apple is positioned for pullback. Strategy: Short below $196 with confirmation. Stop: $198. Targets: $180 / $167 / $152. Failure to reclaim $192–197 = broken trend confirmed. This is not a growth setup. This is where trends end — and profit-taking begins.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by TotoshkaTrades
GBIRYY - U.K Inflation (May/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY May/2025 source: Office for National Statistics -The annual inflation rate in the UK edged down to 3.4% in May 2025 from 3.5% in April, matching expectations. The largest downward contribution came from transport prices (0.7% vs 3.3%), reflecting falls in air fares (-5%) largely due to the timing of Easter and the associated school holidays, as well as falling motor fuel prices. Additionally, the correction of an error in the Vehicle Excise Duty series contributed to the drop; the error affected April’s data, but the series has been corrected from May. Further downward pressure came from cost for housing and household services (6.9% vs 7%), mostly owner occupiers' housing costs (6.7% vs 6.9%). Services inflation also slowed to 4.7% from 5.4%. On the other hand, the largest, upward contributions came from food and non-alcoholic beverages (4.4% vs 3.4%), namely chocolate, confectionery and ice cream, and furniture and household goods (0.8%, the most since December 2023). Compared to the previous month, the CPI rose 0.2%.
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
What Is the Base Price for Oil?What is the base price for oil? Specifically, today we will discuss crude oil, and we can apply this understanding to other commodities as well. I won't go into too much technical detail about the difference between the base price and the cost price for crude oil, but for most people, it helps to see the title as “Is there a bottom-line price or support level for crude oil?” My answer is yes, and this is due to inflation. Over time, we tend to pay higher prices for food, gas and many others that we consume. WTI Crude Oil Futures & Options Ticker: MCL Minimum fluctuation: 0.01 per barrel = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by konhow
GOLD On June 18, 2025, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims came in at 245,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous 250,000 and in line with forecasts around 246,000. Interpretation of the Data: Current Level: Claims are stabilizing near the highest levels seen in the past eight months but remain historically low overall, indicating the labor market is slowing but still relatively resilient. Labor Market Momentum: The slight decline suggests a modest easing in layoffs but also reflects a gradual loss of labor market momentum, consistent with softer hiring trends seen in recent months. Seasonal and Technical Factors: Some elevation in claims is attributed to seasonal factors such as summer school breaks allowing non-teaching personnel to claim benefits, and technical adjustments. Impact on Markets and Fed Policy: The Fed views stable but slightly elevated claims as a sign that the labor market is cooling but not weakening sharply. This supports the expectation that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% in the June 18TH meeting while monitoring future data for signs of further labor market weakening or inflation pressures. The data reduces immediate pressure for aggressive rate cuts but keeps the door open for gradual easing later in the year if the labor market softens further. Federal Reserve June 2025 FOMC Decision and Market Implications 1. Federal Funds Rate Decision The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 4.25%–4.50% at its June 18, 2025 meeting, marking the fourth consecutive meeting with no change in rates. 2. FOMC Economic Projections The Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), including the "dot plot," was released alongside the rate decision. Key highlights: Policymakers continue to project two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025, but the timing remains data-dependent and could shift if inflation or labor market conditions change. The Fed’s economic outlook reflects slower growth, slightly higher unemployment, and persistent inflation risks compared to earlier in the year. The median forecast for core PCE inflation in 2025 is 2.8%, with GDP growth expected at 1.7%. The unemployment rate is projected to rise modestly, with the labor market showing signs of gradual cooling. 3. FOMC Statement Highlights The FOMC statement emphasized a data-dependent approach, noting that while inflation is easing, it remains above the 2% target. The committee acknowledged mixed economic signals: inflation is moderating, but labor market participation has declined and global uncertainties (tariffs, geopolitical tensions) persist. The Fed reiterated its commitment to maintaining restrictive policy until there is greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward target. 4. FOMC Press Conference (7:30pm) Chair Jerome Powell reinforced the Fed’s cautious stance, stating that the committee needs to see more evidence of sustained progress on inflation before considering rate cuts. Powell highlighted that the timing and pace of future rate cuts will depend on incoming data, particularly regarding inflation and labor market trends. The press conference also addressed external risks, including the impact of tariffs and geopolitical events on the economic outlook. 5. Market and Economic Implications Bond Yields and Dollar: The decision to hold rates steady, combined with cautious forward guidance, is likely to keep the 10-year Treasury yield and the U.S. dollar relatively stable in the near term. Rate Cut Expectations: Markets continue to price in the first rate cut for September 2025, but the Fed’s projections suggest a slower and more data-driven path to easing. Key Risks: Upside risks to inflation (e.g., from energy prices or tariffs) and downside risks to growth (e.g., from labor market softening) remain central to the Fed’s outlook. 6. Summary Table Federal Funds Rate 4.25%–4.50% (unchanged) No immediate change in borrowing costs Rate Cut Projections 2 cuts in 2025 (data-dependent) First cut likely in September Core PCE Inflation 2.8% (2025 forecast) Above target, supports cautious Fed GDP Growth 1.7% (2025 forecast) Slower growth outlook Unemployment Rate Gradual increase expected Labor market cooling Conclusion The Fed’s June 2025 decision reflects a steady, cautious approach amid persistent inflation and a gradually cooling labor market. The committee remains data-driven, with future rate cuts contingent on clear evidence of sustained progress toward its inflation and employment goals. #GOLD # DXY
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
2