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Fundamental Analysis

AUSSIE STRENGTH OVER THE CANADIANS?Commodity Prices: Both Australia and Canada are major exporters of commodities, particularly metals and energy. If there has been a rise in commodity prices (such as iron ore, oil, or copper), it can benefit the Australian Dollar (AUD) if these prices are moving in Australia's favor. For example, if oil prices (which directly affect the Canadian economy) have dropped, it could hurt the CAD, making the AUD relatively stronger. Economic Data: Positive economic data from Australia (like strong GDP growth, employment figures, or retail sales) can boost the AUD. Conversely, weaker-than-expected economic data from Canada (such as lower-than-forecasted GDP growth, inflation figures, or trade balances) could make the CAD weaker and lead to a stronger AUD/CAD.
Long
by Marshall_Wick
Clear sign of 153 as the trend continues upIndescribably, one of the most significant moments for the stock is on sound fundamentals, a suitable catalyst, and a technical setup for continuation. The second level upper band on Bollinger shows it can even extend out to 190, and even though there are overbought levels on some indicators, it's business as usual. It can retrace as it has been doing, and 136 is a good start on the trend line. It could fake a further drop only to catch back up, watching for the correction more than a continuation, but all angles of the stock are extreme in volume, volatility, and price action.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by themoneyman80
BITCOIN new ATH soon Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ The previous two analyses regarding Bitcoin have achieved their upward targets, and in this analysis, we will summarize Bitcoin's movement in the relevant time frame. 💣🚀 In the last few days, we’ve seen an impressive surge as the price has not only shattered its all-time high (ATH) but has also broken through multiple significant resistance levels. At this moment, we have a powerful support level and a solid trendline in place, both of which are pivotal for our trajectory. 📚✨ I’m very optimistic that these key factors will drive substantial growth, positioning us to reach a new ATH in the near future. The potential for upward momentum is strong, and I’m excited to see where this journey takes us! 📚🙌 🧨 Our team's main opinion is The price has recently surpassed its all-time high (ATH) and several key resistance levels, supported by a strong trendline and support level. This sets the stage for significant growth and the potential for a new ATH in the near future. 🧨 To enhance your understanding, I’ve summarized the key takeaways at the bottom of the chart for your convenience. I hope you find this analysis insightful and beneficial. ✌🎉 Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
Long
by MadWhale
34
USDJPY Daily Outlook: Bearish Bias Expected Amid Key Economic !USDJPY Daily Outlook: Bearish Bias Expected Amid Key Economic Drivers (07/11/2024) Overview On November 7, 2024, USDJPY appears to be leaning toward a slight bearish bias as various fundamental factors impact the pair. This article delves into the primary drivers shaping USDJPY today, including central bank policy stances, global market sentiment, and economic data releases. Traders and investors on TradingView can benefit from a close analysis of these influences to navigate the USDJPY pair’s movement. Keywords: USDJPY forecast, forex trading, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, inflation, interest rates, technical analysis, forex market --- Key Factors Supporting a USDJPY Bearish Bias Today 1. Dovish Stance from the Federal Reserve The Federal Reserve has recently shifted toward a more cautious tone on rate hikes, with key policymakers indicating a preference for a "wait-and-see" approach. This cautious stance could limit USD strength, particularly as traders anticipate no further rate hikes unless inflation surges unexpectedly. A softer dollar environment could weigh on USDJPY. 2. Bank of Japan’s Slightly More Hawkish Outlook While the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has traditionally maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy, recent comments from BoJ officials suggest a growing willingness to adjust policy if inflation stays persistently higher. This subtle shift in tone has sparked interest in the yen as traders reassess Japan’s inflation and policy outlook, which could add bearish pressure on USDJPY. 3. Rising Risk Aversion Risk sentiment has turned cautious in global markets, with equities slightly under pressure and investors showing renewed interest in safe-haven assets. The yen, as a traditional safe-haven currency, often benefits in times of risk aversion, making USDJPY more vulnerable to downside movement when risk sentiment fades. 4. Weak U.S. Economic Data Recent U.S. economic indicators, such as declining consumer sentiment and slower employment growth, are casting doubt on the resilience of the U.S. economy. Softer data contributes to concerns that the Fed may pause or even reverse its tightening, further pressuring USD and potentially driving USDJPY lower. 5. Technical Analysis Insights On the technical side, USDJPY is trading near significant resistance at the 150.00 level, a historically sensitive price area. If sellers defend this resistance, USDJPY could turn bearish, with initial support around 148.00. Technical indicators such as the RSI suggest USDJPY may be overbought, aligning with a potential pullback. USDJPY Today: What to Watch For - U.S. Initial Jobless Claims – Today's release of U.S. jobless claims data may further affect USD sentiment, particularly if the data reveals a labor market slowdown, adding to USDJPY’s bearish potential. - BoJ Commentary – Any fresh statements from BoJ officials about policy flexibility could strengthen the yen and add further pressure on USDJPY. Conclusion Today, USDJPY shows signs of a bearish bias due to dovish signals from the Fed, a potentially more hawkish BoJ, risk aversion, and weaker U.S. data. As always, traders should monitor key data releases for potential market-moving surprises that could impact USDJPY. SEO Tags : #USDJPYforecast #ForexTrading #JapaneseYen #USD #USDJPYtechnicalanalysis #ForexMarket #RiskSentiment #CentralBankPolicy #DailyForexAnalysis
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
NZDUSD Daily Outlook: Bullish Bias Expected Amid Key FundamentalNZDUSD Daily Outlook: Bullish Bias Expected Amid Key Fundamental Drivers (07/11/2024) Overview On 7th November 2024, NZDUSD is showing signs of a slight bullish bias, driven by key economic data releases and broader market sentiment. This article provides an in-depth look at the factors shaping NZDUSD today, including central bank commentary, global market trends, and recent shifts in risk sentiment. Keywords: NZDUSD forecast, New Zealand dollar, forex trading, USD, economic data, central bank policy, risk sentiment, technical analysis, forex market --- Key Factors Supporting NZDUSD Bullish Bias Today 1. Federal Reserve Dovish Outlook Recent Federal Reserve statements have taken a slightly dovish tone, with policymakers emphasizing a "wait-and-see" approach to further rate hikes. The possibility of a Fed pause on interest rates provides support to the New Zealand dollar, as market sentiment leans towards a softer USD. 2. RBNZ’s Hawkish Stance on Interest Rates The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) recently signaled a focus on inflation control, reinforcing a hawkish stance relative to the Fed. This contrasts with other central banks, positioning NZD as an attractive currency in the current global environment. Markets are pricing in a limited chance of a rate hike from the RBNZ in the near term, which could further support NZD. 3. Improved Risk Sentiment Global markets have seen an increase in risk appetite, with equities rebounding and commodities trading higher. This shift often benefits the NZD due to its reputation as a commodity-linked and high-yield currency. As investors seek yield, demand for the New Zealand dollar may rise, enhancing NZDUSD. 4. Strong New Zealand Economic Data New Zealand’s recent economic data, including employment figures and business confidence, indicate resilience in the economy. Solid domestic growth and low unemployment rates suggest underlying strength, which could further boost NZD demand against USD. 5. Technical Analysis Indicators From a technical standpoint, NZDUSD is approaching key support levels around 0.5900, showing upward momentum and signaling a potential reversal. RSI (Relative Strength Index) levels indicate that the pair may have room to move higher before hitting overbought territory, aligning with a bullish outlook. NZDUSD Today: What to Watch For - US Initial Jobless Claims – Scheduled later today, these figures may influence USD if they show a labor market slowdown, potentially adding to the Fed’s dovish stance and supporting NZDUSD. - NZDUSD’s Resistance Levels – Key resistance near 0.6050 could be tested if bullish momentum continues, while support at 0.5900 could offer a base. Conclusion Given the softer stance from the Federal Reserve and favorable economic data from New Zealand, NZDUSD shows signs of a slight bullish bias. As always, forex traders should monitor any significant data releases closely, as these could prompt volatility in NZDUSD. SEO Tags: #NZDUSDforecast #ForexTrading #NewZealandDollar #USD #NZDUSDtechnicalanalysis #ForexMarket #RiskSentiment #CentralBankPolicy #DailyForexAnalysis
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
Dogecoin Just Barked ,Thanks to Elon & Trump’s crypto magicMusk & Trump: Dogecoin’s New Favorite Hoomans? In a landscape where cryptocurrency trends often intersect with political drama, both Bitcoin and Dogecoin have seen notable price movements leading up to the US presidential election. Bitcoin has rallied to within 5% of its all time high, while Dogecoin, defying the general altcoin downturn, surged almost 12%. This surge followed Elon Musk’s endorsement and the coin’s growing association with Donald Trump’s campaign. Dogecoin’s Rise and the Musk Trump Link Bitcoin’s upward trend is mainly driven by technical factors and larger economic conditions. On the other hand, Dogecoin’s momentum can be traced to its ties with Elon Musk and Donald Trump. After Musk’s appearance at a Trump rally in New York, Dogecoin’s price jumped by 16%, hitting $0.167 and marking the highest percentage gain among the top 100 cryptocurrencies for that day. Musk, known for his strong support of DOGE, proposed a “Department of Government Efficiency”—cleverly abbreviated as D.O.G.E . making the coin a playful symbol for Trump’s campaign goal of reducing government spending. Musk’s impact on Dogecoin is well-documented, particularly during the 2021 bull market when he frequently mentioned it on Twitter. Recently, he fueled further excitement by tweeting a meme of himself with a DOGE avatar, invigorating Dogecoin’s community. Paul Howard, a senior director at crypto trading firm Wincent, stated, “DOGE is now closely connected to the US presidential race due to Musk’s endorsement and his presence at Trump’s rallies.” Prediction Markets, Dogecoin & Trump’s Chances Dogecoin’s rise isn’t happening in isolation. The correlation between Trump’s campaign progress and Dogecoin’s price growth has been magnified by prediction markets favoring Trump’s chances in the election. On Polymarket, blockchain-based odds for Trump’s victory have risen from 61% to nearly 66% in the last week. This Dogecoin-Trump link, strengthened by Musk’s involvement, brings a speculative edge to both the meme coin and Trump’s campaign, both driven by their nontraditional popularity and social media narratives. As Trump’s odds improve, some believe Dogecoin could keep gaining attention if Musk’s D.O.G.E. proposal picks up support. Although the department idea is only theoretical, it has resonated with both Musk and Trump supporters, injecting a novel and ironic rallying point into the 2024 campaign. Market Reactions and Future Implications Dogecoin’s recent rally shows how influential prominent endorsements can be, even amid a sluggish altcoin market. Once considered a “joke currency,” DOGE now has serious investors betting on Musk’s ongoing support to maintain its relevance. While it remains well below its peak of $0.7 in 2021, Dogecoin’s current five-month high and unique position in the political limelight could attract more attention leading up to Election Day. For Bitcoin, the focus is on its tendency to rally after elections, as new market entrants often surge in during these periods. If BTC’s current “bullish setup” resembles late 2020’s conditions, as Sigel suggests, it may reflect crypto’s changing role during political transitions and heightened speculation. Overall, the intertwining of political narratives with cryptocurrency prices signals a noticeable market shift. While Bitcoin remains relatively stable, Dogecoin’s speculative value fluctuates with the influence of key figures. Whether gains are driven by Trump, Musk, or broader market forces is uncertain, but one thing is clear: in the unpredictable world of crypto, politics and social popularity have become key factors in shaping market dynamics.
Long
by moonypto
Interpreting Long/Short Ratios in Futures Trading█ Interpreting Long/Short Ratios in Futures Trading: Beyond Bullish and Bearish For beginner traders, the long/short ratio in futures markets can seem like a clear-cut indicator of market sentiment. Many assume that a high ratio of longs to shorts means the market is bullish, while more shorts than longs signals a bearish outlook. But in reality, this interpretation is oversimplified and can lead to misguided trading decisions. In this article, we'll break down the nuances of the long/short ratio in futures trading, explaining why positions on the “short side” don’t always indicate a bearish stance and how traders can better interpret these ratios for a well-rounded perspective. █ Understanding the Basics: Futures Trading Is Not Spot Trading In the futures market, every trade requires a buyer (long position) and a seller (short position). For each person going long, there’s a counterpart going short. This zero-sum structure means that, by definition, there’s always a balance between longs and shorts. However, the reasons why traders take long or short positions vary widely—and not all of them are directional bets on price movement. █ Why Not All Shorts Are Bearish (And Not All Longs Are Bullish) Let’s dig into why a trader might take the short side without actually betting on a price drop: ⚪ Hedging: Some traders go short to hedge an existing position. For instance, if they already hold a large amount of Bitcoin in the spot market, they might take a short position in Bitcoin futures to protect against potential downside risk. This doesn’t mean they’re bearish on Bitcoin; they’re just managing risk. ⚪ Arbitrage: Some traders take short positions for arbitrage purposes. For example, they might go long in one market and short in another to profit from small price differences without having any directional view on Bitcoin’s future price. Their short position is purely for balancing and not a bet on falling prices. ⚪ Market Making: Market makers provide liquidity to the market by taking both long and short positions. Their goal isn’t to profit from price movements but to capture the spread between the bid and ask prices. They don’t have a directional view—they’re simply facilitating trades. ⚪ Closing Long Positions: When traders close long positions, they effectively create a new short transaction. For instance, if a trader decides to exit a long position by selling, they’re adding to the short side of the market. But this action doesn’t necessarily mean they expect prices to drop—it could just mean they’re taking profits or reallocating their portfolio. █ Interpreting CoinGlass Long/Short Ratio Charts: Volume vs. Accounts Let’s look at the long/short ratio charts on CoinGlass as an example. CoinGlass provides two main types of ratios: ⚪ Volume-Based Ratio: This chart shows the volume of capital in long vs. short positions. For example, a high volume in longs might suggest that large players are buying into Bitcoin. However, it’s important to remember that some of these long positions could be from market makers, hedgers, or arbitrageurs, who may not expect Bitcoin to rise. The volume itself doesn’t tell us why they’re in these positions. ⚪ Account-Based Ratio: This chart tracks the number of accounts on each side (long vs. short) on exchanges like Binance. A higher number of accounts on the short side doesn’t mean all those traders are bearish. Many could be taking short positions to balance other trades or hedge risks. They’re not necessarily expecting Bitcoin to decline; they’re just managing their positions. █ Example Analysis: Misinterpreting Long/Short Ratios Imagine you’re looking at a CoinGlass chart that shows an increase in long volume around November 5th. A beginner might see this and think, “Everyone’s bullish on Bitcoin!” But as we discussed, some of this long volume could be non-directional. It could include positions taken by market makers providing liquidity or hedgers who are long on Bitcoin futures but have a corresponding short in another market. Similarly, if you see a spike in the number of short accounts, don’t automatically assume that everyone expects Bitcoin to fall. Some of those accounts might just be managing risk or taking advantage of arbitrage opportunities. █ Avoiding the Pitfall of Overinterpreting the Long/Short Ratio The biggest mistake traders make is interpreting the long/short ratio as a direct indicator of market sentiment. Remember, every trade has a counterparty. If there’s a high volume of longs, it simply means there’s an equal volume of shorts on the other side. The market’s overall sentiment isn’t always reflected in this ratio. Instead of relying solely on the long/short ratio, consider these other factors to form a clearer market view: Market Sentiment Indicators: Use sentiment tools, news, and social media sentiment to understand how traders are feeling beyond just positions. Volume Trends: Look at overall market volume to see if there’s conviction behind the moves. Context and Price Action: Interpret the ratio in the context of price action and recent events. If there’s a strong bullish trend, a higher long ratio might reflect confidence in the trend rather than simply volume. █ Conclusion: A Balanced Perspective for Smarter Trading Understanding the long/short ratio requires a more nuanced perspective. Just because the “longs” are up doesn’t mean everyone’s bullish—and just because the “shorts” are up doesn’t mean everyone’s bearish. The futures market is filled with diverse participants, each with unique motives, from hedging and arbitrage to liquidity provision. By looking at these ratios with a balanced view, traders can avoid common pitfalls and interpret the data more accurately. Trading is about context and strategy, not just numbers on a chart. So, next time you’re checking the long/short ratio, remember: there’s more to it than meets the eye. █ Final Takeaway: Focus on Context, Not Just Ratios The long/short ratio can be a helpful tool, but it’s only one piece of the puzzle. Use it in combination with other market indicators, and always consider the motives behind trades. By doing so, you’ll make better-informed trading decisions and avoid falling into the trap of oversimplifying complex market data. ----------------- Disclaimer This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only. The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Zeiierman
SOLANA more gain Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ The previous analysis I shared with you effectively and accurately hit our Saudi target, providing us with valuable insights. Now, I would like to present a new analysis regarding this stock. As you can see on the chart, I’ve marked the critical points using trendlines this time. These trendlines function similarly to support and resistance levels, helping us better understand potential price movements. 📚💡 In addition to the trendlines, I have identified the most important daily support level, which plays a crucial role in our analysis. It’s important to note that while we may see some short-term candles either ranging or moving downward, indicating possible fluctuations in the price, our main focus remains on the upward trajectory. 📚🎇 The primary target we’re aiming for is still bullish, reaching towards the price point that is clearly indicated on the chart. Monitoring these levels closely will allow us to make informed decisions as we navigate potential market changes. 📚✔ 🧨🧨 Our team's main opinion is The new analysis indicates an upward target for the stock, supported by trendlines and a key daily support level, despite potential short-term fluctuations. 🧨🧨 Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
Long
by MadWhale
5
ETHFI → A door has been opened to the bulls. Resistance retest BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT is forming a bottom. The coin continues to accumulate potential giving signs that the price is preparing to go up. The fundamental background is changing to favorable The U.S. presidential election and Trump's victory have a favorable impact on the cryptocurrency market in the medium and long term. This will be especially visible after the inauguration of the new (old) president :). Fundamentally, the market opened another door.... Technically, there is a clear bottom at 1.092 with no attempts to renew the low, and a basic cascading support is formed, indicating the buyer's strength. The focus is on consolidation of 1.798 - 1.092. The price exit from this channel will be accompanied by a strong distribution (most likely upward) Resistance levels: 1.798, 2.761 3.240 Support levels: 1.302, 1.092 There is a conglomerate of resistances ahead (descending line and channel boundary at 1.798). In the near future the market may continue to test this area with a breakout target. If the bulls can keep the defense above these areas, the rally will not be long in coming. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT.P ;) Regards R. Linda!
by RLinda
2
The situation of gold in the coming weeks, correction or new H?The situation of gold in the coming weeks, correction or new ceiling? According to the chart in the weekly long time frame, we have the hanged man candle, which is confirmed by a big red candle. Considering the fundamental conditions of the US presidential election, the growth of gold in recent weeks, the announcement of the US interest rate today, we may see a correction for gold, this precious metal. Profit from existing positions with capital management. good luck
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mansour1978
Trump Win Could Spur BOJ Rate Hike if Yen Weakens Further Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election is adding new uncertainties for the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The yen's recent slide against the dollar has raised concerns that a further drop—potentially hitting a key 160 yen per dollar level—could prompt the BOJ to hike rates sooner than expected. Former BOJ executive Kazuo Momma suggests that rapid yen depreciation is one of the few triggers for an early rate move. For now, a January rate hike is seen as plausible, but Japan's political climate and economic stability remain critical factors in timing. The BOJ is set to weigh these variables closely ahead of its mid-December policy meeting, where no surprises are expected if a move is communicated in advance. Source: Insights based on Bloomberg's reporting by Toru Fujioka.
by Eleazarahmath