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Fundamental Analysis

DIS: Does it deserve its 26x valuation?We’re in what feels like a bear market, where stock ownership demands sharper scrutiny. Valuations are under the microscope, and I want the companies I invest my hard-earned money in to take actions that boost earnings. My investments need to outpace inflation, not lag behind. Disney’s current P/E ratio is around 27, based on a share price of $83 and trailing twelve-month EPS of $3. I question whether an entertainment company, struggling with money-losing content—contrary to what an entertainment giant should do—merits such a premium. A business with declining margins, stagnant growth, and unprofitable projects doesn’t scream “27x multiple” to me. Looking back, Disney’s P/E was as low as 12-13 in March 2019, with a share price of $111 and EPS of $9. Over the past decade, Disney’s multiple has inflated while earnings growth has lagged. A P/E of 27 today feels rich compared to its 10-year median of ~23 especially given weaker fundamentals. If sentiment sours further, I can see Disney’s share price sliding below $80, potentially to $55 (implying a P/E of ~19, assuming EPS holds) or even $45 (P/E of ~13). These levels would align better with a company facing headwinds. That said, nothing is set in stone. Businesses pivot, and markets shift. Disney could course-correct with sharper strategies or cost discipline. However, after a decade of trading in this range with little earnings progress, I’d be cautious. As a shareholder, I’d consider looking elsewhere for better opportunities. No trade advice.
NYSE:DISShort
by HassiOnTheMoon
Global Market Overview. Part 4.3: TON TON Coin: The Undervalued Giant with Telegram’s DNA (Previous article: ) It’s time to talk about an asset that I rank alongside Solana, Ethereum, and Bitcoin — despite its relatively modest market cap. I’m talking, of course, about TON Coin. And here’s why I fully believe in its potential — why TON isn’t just another altcoin, but a project with vision, architecture, and a mission that most assets on the market sorely lack. A Project Born from Telegram’s Philosophy TON is not a speculative startup. It’s a continuation of Pavel Durov’s vision — a man who’s already proven he can build digital ecosystems with hundreds of millions of users, and do it without bowing to outside pressure. Yes, the road was rough: During its ICO in 2018–2019, TON faced lawsuits in the U.S. totaling over $100 million American regulators effectively delayed the launch, fearing the uncontrollable rise of a blockchain funded by U.S. citizens The project had to abandon its original launch plan — but it didn’t disappear. It simply rebooted in a new form: as a public blockchain network Today, Toncoin exists as part of Telegram’s Web3 infrastructure, and its tokenomics are already integrated into the app. This is not some "future roadmap" — it’s already live: Payments in TON inside Telegram Web3 tools for creators Bots, wallets, NFTs, and mini-apps running on TON All within the world’s most popular messaging platform Telegram Isn’t Just an App — It’s a Movement Here’s the key: Telegram is no longer just a messenger. It’s a new type of global media platform. In 2024, Telegram topped download charts worldwide — including in the U.S., Latin America, Europe, and the Middle East After Pavel Durov was detained in France at the request of intelligence agencies — following Telegram’s refusal to cooperate with authorities and hand over user data — the app became a symbol of digital freedom It wasn’t a scandal — it was a marketing triumph. App installs surged, and interest in TON soared TON isn’t just a token — it’s Telegram’s payment layer. And that will matter enormously in the long run. Weak Hands Are Gone. Strong Hands Are Entering. TON didn’t go parabolic like Solana or Doge did in their early days. And that’s a good thing. The speculators looking for quick flips are gone The builders and long-term thinkers — the ones who recognize real-world utility and deep integration — are quietly accumulating now In my view, the current price zone is one of the best accumulation opportunities in the entire market: Market cap is low by mainstream crypto standards The tech is live and working The ecosystem is growing Telegram is expanding rapidly in the U.S. Early-stage discussions about ETF approval for TON are already happening (informally — but significantly) My Strategy for TON I’m buying TON for the long haul. Not for a week. Not for a month. But for at least 12–18 months. Because: A 3x–5x return is absolutely realistic The product is integrated into an ecosystem used by hundreds of millions daily Pavel Durov isn’t some anonymous dev — he’s a visionary who’s already built a global-scale digital tool Even without major news, TON has a base case target of $3–3.50. If we get ETF approvals or deeper integration into Telegram Premium, the upside could be far greater. For Futures Traders Even if you're not a long-term holder, there are clear opportunities here: The current $1.80–2.00 zone is ideal for tactical entries $3.50 is technically reachable even without a big news catalyst Moderate leverage and defined risk can work well — especially if you're not chasing tops A Critical Reminder Fundamental analysis isn’t about timing RSI. It’s about understanding what an asset means in the broader context of economy, media, politics, and tech. Right now, the market is noisy and turbulent: Tariff war tensions China’s retaliatory measures Elevated volatility Media hysteria Political manipulation But in all this noise, it’s easy to miss the signal: Crypto is maturing. And the U.S. wants control — not through brute force, but through smart moves: by capturing infrastructure and acquiring strategic assets. Until they tighten the noose with heavy-handed regulation — we have a first-mover advantage. Final Thought TON Coin is not a hype play. It’s a strategic asset of the next crypto economy. It’s tied to Telegram It doesn’t rely on memes It’s integrated into a real, living audience It’s supported by a team that’s proven itself If you want to argue — drop your thoughts in the comments. If this article resonated — show some love. As always, I don’t offer investment advice. I just share what I’m doing. And TON is in my portfolio. Right now. And for the future.
Long
by StarTradePro
Global Market Overview. Part 4.2: SOLANA Solana: The American Blockchain Making a Comeback (Previous post: ) Continuing from everything I’ve written earlier about Bitcoin and Ethereum, Solana deserves a separate spotlight. Because this asset is a different story altogether. It’s not like Bitcoin. It’s not like Ethereum. Solana has its own path, its own logic — and most importantly, its own market cycle, which follows a very different pattern of growth. Why did Solana rally? Let’s be blunt: Solana isn’t just a blockchain — it’s the epicenter of the new crypto cycle, where the main drivers weren’t decentralization or institutional capital, but memes, hype, and community. Thousands of new tokens launched on Solana became the spark behind an explosion of interest. The network surged with activity, and it was that real usage — not marketing — that pushed market cap higher. But that’s not all. Solana is Made in the USA. And in crypto, just like in politics, that matters. An American project, developed on U.S. soil, Solana quickly gained the trust of the largest and wealthiest crypto investor base in the world — American investors. To be precise: it was the U.S. crypto community that pushed Solana into the mainstream. And once funds and OTC brokers joined the party, it became clear — this asset isn’t going anywhere. What about fundamentals? Peak price: nearly $300 Growth from 2021 to 2024: one of the fastest in crypto Network load: consistently high Number of projects in the ecosystem: growing Confirmed approval for a Solana ETF in the U.S. Technological flexibility and strong developer support U.S. jurisdiction: trusted by both institutions and retail Why didn’t it crash with the rest of the market? Here’s the twist: even as the crypto market was rocked by negative news and broad corrections, Solana held above $100. That’s a key support level — and it held up under pressure from: Trump’s tariff panic Futures market liquidations Capital outflows from other altcoins Rising Bitcoin dominance Yes, the price pulled back to the $130–140 range, but it never broke major support — a clear sign that strong hands haven’t let go. But why hasn’t it gone higher if things are so good? Simple: the Solana ETF hasn’t officially launched yet. But once formal approval from the SEC is in place — the asset is set to explode. We already saw a pump above $200 just on rumors. Now the clock is ticking — when will rumor become reality? And here’s a spoiler: the Solana ETF has already been approved. In crypto, that’s how it goes — first the whispers, then insider info leaks, then the price runs. And finally, when the official news drops — that’s when the real move starts. We haven’t seen that final leg yet because of all the macro confusion over tariffs. What’s next? I’m not giving financial advice. But here’s the reality — I bought Solana on the dip and I’m still buying. Why? Because I need to recover the $300K I lost on Ethereum Because everything points to a continuation of the bull trend Because no other major asset offers this kind of symmetry between fundamentals and upside potential Solana isn’t a bubble. It’s a trading platform for the meme economy — and one of the few blockchains where actual demand matches real scalability and low fees. And in crypto, that means a lot. My personal take If you’ve got free cash right now — don’t be afraid to look Solana’s way. I see no reason to fear this asset in the medium to long term. The network is alive. The network is growing. The asset is holding strong. Now all we need is the next trigger — and it will come. The potential to see $200 again in the coming months? Very real.
Long
by StarTradePro
3
Global Market Overview. Part 4: BITCOINPreliminary Context — See Above Bitcoin: Euphoria, Fear, and a Foundation That Withstood It All If we were to describe the mood of the crypto market over the past few months in a single phrase, it wouldn't be just a roller coaster — it’s been a full-blown thrill ride, driven by geopolitics, news hype, and emotional burnout among participants. Public sentiment toward Bitcoin this year has swung across the entire spectrum — from wild excitement and $200K price forecasts after Trump’s projected victory, to total pessimism with claims like: “That’s it, Bitcoin’s going back to $20K — crypto is a scam.” And, as is so often the case, both camps were wrong. The market survived — not on hype, but on fundamentals. I make no secret of the fact that I remain a Bitcoin optimist. Not because I want to believe — but because when you mute the media noise, one thing remains: the strongest macroeconomic foundation the crypto market has ever had. Let’s be honest: it’s getting harder and harder to find a solid reason why Bitcoin should collapse back to $50K — let alone $20K. Strip away the emotion, and here’s what we’re left with: What do we have, in fact? 1. Regulators are no longer suffocating the market — they’re participating. The SEC has dropped major investigations into crypto projects, including Ethereum and leading DeFi platforms. The U.S. Senate has approved legislation to create a national crypto reserve — for now, it’s based on confiscated assets, but it marks the first precedent of crypto being recognized as part of state strategy. Meanwhile, the European Union has officially launched the MiCA regulatory framework, making crypto a fully legal asset class in the EU with clear compliance norms, a tax model, and open access to institutional clients. 2. Institutions are playing big. Crypto ETFs have launched not only in the U.S., but also in Europe. This means one thing: Pension funds, insurance companies, and hedge funds are entering the market. The capital is not speculative — it’s strategic. These are not "hot" retail dollars chasing tweets — they’re building portfolios for the long haul. 3. Exchanges are drying up. Whales are accumulating. Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges are at historic lows. This tells us: Long-term holders aren’t selling. Large players are moving assets to cold wallets. Retail hype hasn’t kicked in yet — which, frankly, makes it a perfect entry point. When the crowd starts buying, it’ll be too late. 4. Even a trade war couldn’t break the market. The tariff escalation between the U.S. and China has hit global trade hard, triggering corrections across traditional markets. Yet despite that: Bitcoin held strong above $70K, rising from the $110 levels. This zone has become ironclad support — a sign that the market has matured. There’s panic in the headlines, but not in the charts. Even Wall Street veterans are cautiously suggesting Bitcoin may be a necessary hedge against fiat devaluation. 5. China is silent — for now. But if that changes... Any positive signal from Beijing — even a hint at easing restrictions or partial legalization of crypto ownership — would cause an immediate surge. Because: Chinese capital is waiting. The tech infrastructure is already in place. And if the government gives the green light, the market will relaunch overnight. What do I think? The current Bitcoin price range is a prime entry zone for medium-term positions. The 70K–85K range is a fundamental accumulation corridor, where: Strong hands are already in. Weak hands have been shaken out. FOMO and retail hype haven’t even started. By Fall 2025, even modest optimism in geopolitics or trade could push the market to new all-time highs — not on hype, but on dry institutional demand. Final thoughts I’m not a fan of conspiracy theories. But this setup is too clean to be a coincidence. The crypto market has survived it all: bans, lawsuits, regulatory crackdowns, exchange collapses, hacks, FTX, LUNA, and every form of digital black magic. But it's still here. More than that — it’s quietly becoming a legitimate part of the global financial system. Without noise. Without asking permission. While everyone else is talking panic — the market is already in an accumulation phase. And those who understand the cycles don’t look to the news for validation. They look at the fundamentals — and act accordingly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by StarTradePro
Global Market Overview. Part 4.1: ETHEthereum: Fell. Miscalculated. Still Believe. (Previous post:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/ecmMaAdq-Global-Market-Overview-Part-4-BITCOIN/) Let me get straight to the point: I lost over $300,000 during the last Ethereum rally. That’s a fact. And I’m not alone. But here’s what truly matters: I still consider Ethereum one of the most fundamentally strong assets in the entire crypto market. And I’ll explain why this drop isn’t a collapse into the abyss — but a temporary breakdown in price mechanics, driven not by fundamentals, but by greed and speculation. What went wrong? At first glance, the market behavior made no sense. While BTC, Solana, XRP — and even meme coins — were being aggressively bought up, Ethereum just... froze. No breakout. No test of previous highs. Not even a real attempt. Which is strange, considering: Ethereum has become a deflationary asset — more ETH is being burned than issued ETH ETFs have attracted hundreds of millions of dollars Developers are consistently improving the network and reducing fees It remains the backbone of both the DeFi and NFT ecosystems And yet — the price stood still. And then it fell. Why? Because we are to blame. Let’s be honest. I made a mistake. Just like millions of others. Instead of holding ETH on spot, I went long with leverage on futures. I thought I’d amplify my volume. Boost my profits. Instead — I amplified my liquidation. That’s exactly what happened to the market: ETH futures volume exceeded spot volume Open interest in long positions skyrocketed Market makers saw the imbalance — and began systematically flushing out over-leveraged positions The price didn’t fall because there’s something wrong with Ethereum. It fell because the market became too one-sided. Greed became vulnerability — and the market makers took full advantage. And then came tariffs. As if the futures flush wasn’t enough, the market got hit with more bad news: Trump’s administration escalated a new trade war. Stock indices dropped. The dollar strengthened. Crypto got slammed again — this time not technically, but macroeconomically. Now Ethereum is sitting far below its highs. Disappointment in the eyes of millions. And yes — heavy losses, including mine. Will there be a reversal? Yes. Hell yes. I don’t know exactly when, but I’m absolutely certain that it will come. Ethereum will recover. Why? There’s fundamental demand. Exchanges are running low. Whales are accumulating and transferring ETH to cold storage. Technologically, it’s stronger than its competitors. No other L1 or L2 has the developer base or ecosystem Ethereum commands. The market will get a tailwind. Any de-escalation in the trade war could reignite the entire crypto space. It’s undervalued. ETH at $2,000 is a floor. In a normal market phase, it’ll trade much higher — significantly. This isn’t a revenge play. It’s analysis. I’m not writing this to justify myself. I’m writing to say this: Ethereum is not dead. It’s exhausted. Temporarily. I understand those who sold. It’s human. But I’m staying. Because unlike hype-driven altcoins, Ethereum is infrastructure. You can’t replace it. You can’t bypass it. You can only ignore it — and regret it later. Bottom line Ethereum doesn’t have to move in sync with Bitcoin. It has its own path. But that path is not downward. Right now, it just happens to go through the pain of futures liquidations and media noise. As soon as Trump exhales, as soon as the rhetoric shifts — the market will see ETH at $2,500 and beyond. And this growth won’t be speculative — it’ll be based on fundamentals. Yes, I lost $300K. But I haven’t lost faith in the asset. And I’m not going anywhere. Because Ethereum doesn’t end with this drawdown. It’s just getting ready for its next phase.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by StarTradePro
4
BTCUSD (M30) NEW ANALYSIS RSI BULLISH **🔹 Trend:** Short-term consolidation, larger trend still bullish **🔹 Your Avg. Entry:** ~$83,500 **🔹 Immediate Resistance:** $84,600 – $85,200 **🔹 Strong Resistance:** $86,000 – $86,800 **🔹 Support Zone:** $83,000 – $82,600 **🔹 Key Psychological Level:** $80,000 --- ### 📈 Trade Management **✅ Targets:** - **TP1:** $84,800 (previous rejection zone) - **TP2:** $85,800 (near-term high) - **TP3 (if momentum strong):** $86,800 – $87,200 **❌ Stop-Loss Options:** - Conservative: Below $82,500 - Aggressive: Below $81,900 (structure breakdown confirmation) **🔁 Add More?** - Optional last buy zone: $82,600 – $81,800 (only if BTC shows wick + strong bounce on M30 or H1) --- ### 📊 Indicators to Watch (on M30) - **RSI > 50:** Bullish continuation - **MACD crossover + histogram green:** Strength building - **Price holding above EMA50:** Trend intact --- 🔒 Risk Tips - Use trailing SL if price breaks $85.5k+ - Be cautious if price breaks down and consolidates below $82.5k (could flip bias to bearish) - Don’t overleverage near resistance
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EA_Gold_Man
Growth potential up to 3400Description of the weekly analysis: After a good week of trading, we move on to next week.Given the bullish market sentiment, it is not unreasonable to expect the price to rise to 3,400. I expect the price to be ready to rise to 3400 after a correction towards 3293 or eventually the 3230-3246 support zone. Note and reminder: Of course, this analysis is valid as long as the price does not close below 3200. If the analysis fails, it will be updated immediately and I will share it. Possible positions this week: A:Suitable prices for BUY positions 1)3300~3290 2)3230~3246 B:Suitable prices for SELL positions 1)3398~3408 This is just an analysis and everyone is responsible for their own work. Hoping for a good and profitable week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AliAsghariii
2
Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Resolution: Breakout or Breakdown?BTC/USD H4 Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Resolution: Breakout or Breakdown? 📊 Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a clear symmetrical triangle, with price tightening ahead of a potential major breakout. The chart shows price testing the upper boundary of the triangle, supported by MA13 and MA34 from below. Key resistance zones: 86,594 and the extended target zone at 88,753. A successful breakout above this region could trigger a strong rally toward 90,000+. Key support levels: 81,397 – 78,725 – 75,102, acting as critical retracement zones in case of downside rejection. The structure suggests two primary scenarios: Bullish breakout to 86,594 → 88,753, followed by a pullback and continuation higher. False breakout or breakdown, leading to a sell-off toward 78,725 and possibly down to 75,102 if market sentiment deteriorates. 🌍 Macro Context & Market Sentiment Investor sentiment remains fragile, impacted by ongoing geopolitical risks and the Fed’s cautious stance on monetary policy. Altcoins are underperforming, signaling that capital rotation remains limited – often a precursor to short-term correction or distribution in BTC. Volume is fading as price coils inside the triangle, typically a precursor to a sharp move in either direction. 🧠 Trading Strategy Ideas Watch closely for price action near 86,594 – 88,753. If rejection or wick rejections occur, short-term pullback trades may be viable. A breakdown below the triangle support (~84,000 area) could open up downside targets at 81,397 and 78,725. A clean breakout with volume confirmation? Look for retest buys around 86k with continuation potential. ⚠️ Caution Advised BTC is in a “calm-before-the-storm” zone. This is not the time to chase moves or overleverage. Let the market confirm direction and trade based on structure, not emotion. 💬 Are you leaning bullish or bearish on BTC’s next move? Will we see 90k or a drop back to 75k? Share your thoughts below! 👇👇👇
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
4
XAUUSD trade idea for upcoming week Current Situation: : Price is around 3326 : There’s a strong previous uptrend, and now price is recovering from a recent dip. Trade Setup Explanation : Bullish Phase (Short-Term Buy Idea) : First Buy Zone: Current price up to the all-time high zone around 3355. : The chart anticipates a short-term bullish push, likely to retest the ATH area. : This zone is considered a liquidity grab or “trap” area, where price could reject and reverse. Main Sell Zone: > Sell Zone Identified: 3355–3360 area. > This is a key resistance zone with: > Previous multiple rejections (marked by red arrows). > It's also where sellers are expected to be strong. Sell Target Path: 1: TP1 = 3305 – Minor support, first logical reaction zone. 2: Price is then expected to range around 3305–3295 (highlighted in purple). 3: After consolidation, the expectation is a bearish continuation. >>Final Target = 3255 – A major support zone and final destination of the swing short.<<
TVC:GOLDShort
by Ahmad_Fxbeast
4
What Has Warren Buffet, Elizabeth Warren & Arbitrum In Common?The good news is that the market is now turning green. All is well that ends well. There was lots of excitement in late 2024 because of the bullish period, but this bullish period was followed by an even stronger bearish period. Just as there was excitement, now all that there is is depression. People are worn out, they can't take it anymore. That's the signal. When the market participants are tired and ready to give up, that's when the market turns. When nobody is around and people no longer care, that's the best time to buy and that's exactly when the market looks great. When people are on vacation away from home, that's when the signals will start to show that the bearish wave is over, but people won't know. When the market becomes strongly bullish again, it will be too late. There will be additional growth but when the majority decide to buy because of a challenge of the previous high, a new correction will form. The participants seeing a correction and having samskaras of the previous bearish wave, they start thinking that this one will be the same and will last a long-term, so instead of holding they decide to fold. The moment they fold, the market resumes growing but too fast for them to decide to buy again and there goes the last run. It is a psychological game. One has to buy when there is strong aversion to the market, one has to sell when the feeling is to stay in for as long as possible; forever growth. When people start talking about Bitcoin going to $1,000,000 when it already trades at $160,000 or $180,000, that's the time to take profits. When people start calling for Bitcoin to $5,000,000 and Michael Saylor starts making videos, that's the time to consider how much money you can withdraw. When even Elizabeth Warren starts to admit that we were right and she was wrong, that's the moment to sell everything because the moment the bank puppet turns, that's the sure sign of a doom scenario. The moment that Warren Buffet decides, "I am buying Bitcoin," that's it, all 21 million Bitcoins will be already gone. By the time Mr. Buffet figures out that Bitcoin is the new Internet, it will already be the year 2,140, it will be impossible to mine a new Bitcoin. Actually, I don't know anything about these people, all I know is that Crypto is going up. Arbitrum is ready to start a new wave of growth. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
NZD/CHF Triangle Breakout (17.04.2025)The NZD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.4886 2nd Resistance – 0.4916 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19