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How the U.S. Election Could Impact USD and EUR/USD Trading"As the U.S. presidential election approaches, it’s time to consider how it might impact our trading strategies, particularly with the U.S. dollar and EUR/USD. Political shifts bring market volatility, so let’s break down how each outcome could influence the dollar and the EUR/USD pair. Election Outcomes and Market Impact 1. If Democrats Win: A Democratic victory could weaken the dollar, as policies may lead to lower inflation and reduced real interest rates. This scenario might push the EUR/USD pair higher, with potential targets around 1.1300–1.1850. For traders, this could mean a favorable environment to consider EUR/USD gains. 2. If Republicans Win: On the other hand, a Republican win might initially strengthen the dollar, thanks to expected trade policies and rising interest rates. However, this strength could be short-lived. Long-term factors may introduce volatility, potentially giving the euro a chance to regain ground against the dollar. Key Levels to Watch in EUR/USD From a technical standpoint, keep an eye on resistance levels from 1.1275 to 1.1750 for potential bullish moves, while support around 1.1000 and a critical level at 1.0900 could indicate a downturn. Combining these levels with election news can help you make informed trade adjustments. How to Trade Before, During, and After the Election Leading up to the election, watch for narrowing polls, as this could introduce uncertainty and increased volatility. During the election itself, expect the market to react strongly—prepare for a Trump win to potentially strengthen the dollar and a Harris victory to have the opposite effe
by habib75rajabi
USD/JPY surges as Trump storms to victoryThe US dollar is on a tear against the major currencies after Donald Trump’s sweeping victory in the US presidential election. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 154.62, up a massive 2.0% on the day. There are still plenty of votes to count in the US election but it looking increasingly likely that Republican Donald Trump has been re-elected as President. Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris were in a dead heat going into the election on Tuesday and there was concern that declaring a winner could take days or even weeks, which would have led to prolonged uncertainty. In what was a huge surprise to both sides, Trump cruised to victory. The win is even sweeter for the Republicans as they likely have won control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. With the Republicans in charge, Trump’s agenda will be easier to push through Congress. It should be noted that at the time of writing, the vote count is incomplete and Harris has not conceded defeat. The US dollar has responded to the Trump win with sharp gains and the yen is in full retreat. Trump’s threats to slap stiff tariffs on China, Europe and Mexico would support the dollar, as tariffs would raise inflation and interest rates. If Trump’s policies lead to trade wars, market sentiment will fall, further boosting the dollar. The Bank of Japan released the minutes of its September meeting today. At the meeting, the BoJ kept rates at 0.25% and Governor Ueda said that BoJ would not rush to raise rates during market volatility. Those comments were a response to a stock market slide after weak US employment reports raised fears that the US economy was deteriorating much more quickly than expected. Those fears were unfounded and the markets don’t expect a BoJ rate hike before early 2025, although if the weak yen takes a dive, it could accelerate plans to raise rates. USD/JPY has pushed past resistance at 151.86, 152.87 and 153.84. The next resistance line is 153.95 150.78 and 149.77 are providing support
by OANDA
Crypto Frenzy: Elon Musk's Impact on Bitcoin and DogecoinCryptocurrencies are skyrocketing just 7 days before the presidential election, and many people are wondering why. The answer, which should come as no surprise, is of course, Elon Musk.The reason is a perfect storm of sorts. Musk’s increased prominence as he campaigns for Donald Trump, his recent comments about cryptocurrency, and his potential role in a Trump administration (should Trump win) are all driving up the price of Bitcoin as well as Dogecoin and a number of other meme coins.Dogecoin, a favorite of Musk’s, was up 9.7% on Tuesday. This comes after the tech billionaire said at a Trump political rally in Pennsylvania that he’s not “actively involved” in crypto: “I just like Dogecoin.” The billionaire founder of Tesla and Space X and owner of X has a long history with Dogecoin, which he first promoted in 2021 on Saturday Night Live, causing the price to spike, only to plunge afterward. (The meme coin’s price has gone up and down based on Musk’s comments since.)Musk, who has been actively campaigning for the Republican nominee and raising money for Trump, has also said he would be heading the Department of Government Efficiency, dubbed DOGE, if the former president is elected. That has also contributed to the frenzy, leading to a more-than-20% gain in Dogecoin over the past seven days, and 33% over the month. Meanwhile, Bitcoin, which is the largest cryptocurrency by total market capitalization, was up over 4.4% on Tuesday, seemingly swept up in the excitement. It’s now trading just short of its March record high.
by habib75rajabi
GOLD → Global reversal H&S. How far do we fall? FX:XAUUSD was looking pretty steady in the Asian session until the press came out with their statements before Trump's speech. The fundamental background is weakening, but there are positive nuances from the news.... There is one last vote left, but Trump has a 99% chance of winning. Markets believe his policies will put upward pressure on inflation, treasury yields and the US dollar, which could have an overall negative impact on the XAU BUT, there is a possibility that in the long term, the gold price will also benefit from the new president's policies as Trump's foreign policy related to China and Europe could cause unrest and panic in the market Sentiment around the US election will play a key role in gold price movement ahead of the US Fed policy announcement due on Thursday. Technically, gold is giving hints of a possible reversal by forming a classic H&S pattern. The main support is at 2708 Resistance levels: 2731, 2735, 2749 Support levels: 2724, 2713, 2708, 2689 Also, H1 is starting to show a local descending channel. Before the official verdict of the vote, the price can still test these resistance areas, but later the market may turn around and start a gradual decline until the end of market-wide euphoria.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
Bitcoin Breaks or Fakes? Eyeing the $79K Target!🚀💥 Bitcoin Breaks or Fakes? Eyeing the $79K Target! 💡💰 Hey everyone, it's been a while! If you've missed my voice, let's dive right back into it and see what Bitcoin has been cooking up. The BTC price has been flirting with the $66,320 level, hitting it for the sixth time now, as seen on the descending channel. Historically, the third and sixth attempts have shown the highest chances of a breakout, so is this the moment we’ve been waiting for? If Bitcoin does break out this time, we could be looking at a potential rise to $79,000. While there are some mild resistances around $69K, $70K, and $71K, the major target remains $79K. The exchange reserve data shows a significant drop, indicating fewer people are moving Bitcoin to exchanges to sell—an encouraging sign that could be pointing toward a potential rally to new highs. Zooming into the 15-minute chart, we’ve seen two rejections after hitting resistance. However, the third attempt, if successful, could trigger the next leg up. On the downside, we have solid support at $65,322 that has been tested, and buyers seem ready to jump back in below the $60K mark. I’m bullish on Bitcoin and keeping an eye on this breakout. If it happens today, we could be well on our way to $79,000. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below! I’ll keep you posted on the latest developments. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
7
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 3 (Chart)This is the video as well: 📈🌐 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 3: Revisiting the Big Chart and Preparing for the Next Breakout 🚀💡 Hey everyone! FX Professor here, and it’s time to revisit what I call my 'Big Chart' as we continue our exploration into Bitcoin’s future price movements. Back in March 2023, Bitcoin was trading below $25,000, and today, we’re looking at how the landscape has shifted and what we can expect moving forward. In this post, we’re sticking purely to technical analysis—focusing on Bitcoin’s halving cycles, my 3 major key trend lines, and the overall technical structure that has proven reliable over the years. Key Insights: Halving Cycles & All-Time Highs: Historically, all-time highs have followed 548 to 565 days after a halving event. Could we see similar patterns play out in 2025? Trend Line Mastery: My Big Chart tracks three critical trend lines that have been instrumental in identifying breakout and support zones. These levels continue to offer crucial guidance. February 2024 Breakout: Earlier this year, we had a major breakout in February, leading to a test of the $73,000 level. After some consolidation, what comes next? What to Watch Next: We’ve seen Bitcoin break out above major resistance levels after finding strong support around $58,800. This support is part of an ascending trend, meaning it will rise as the price continues upward. As we could be approaching the $100,000 zone, the question is: Will we hit all-time highs (peaks) earlier than usual? (pattern says end of 2025). With a strong possibility of achieving this 400 to 450 days after the halving, we could see this sooner than expected (550 days historical pattern) Major Levels: Support: Currently, the key support level is at $58,800, but as the price trends upward, this level is ascending and will be rising as time goes by. Resistance: The next major resistance is at $105,800. A break above this could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs. This will be the third attempt (the green 3, if you know you know!) The journey continues! Follow along as we track Bitcoin’s path toward new highs. Drop your comments below, and let me know what you think! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Part 1:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/yifcqKZB-Where-can-Bitcoin-Go/ Part 2: and remember:
Long
by FX_Professor
2
Bullish Correction: What's next?🤖🚀 Bitcoin’s Bullish Correction: What’s Next on the Chart? 💡📈 Hey everyone! Time to check in on Bitcoin’s latest move. Yesterday, while U.S. markets stumbled, Bitcoin gave us a corrective dip, but in a bullish context! Here’s what I’m seeing in the charts: Bitcoin Analysis Support Reclaimed: Bitcoin dipped to revisit its previous breakout levels, securing support at $69,579. Next Target: If BTC can hold steady or push up from here, I’m watching $72,000 as the next test. If momentum carries it further, my projection is $79,000 for a potential new high. Key Levels: Current support at $69,600, with a fallback to $65,670 if the trend doesn’t hold. Overall, my stance remains bullish, but remember fundamentals—U.S. elections, Middle East tensions, and today’s NFP data—can add volatility. Bitcoin Dominance BTC dominance is nearing a significant resistance point, and I’m 90% confident it could retrace from here. It didn’t quite trigger my alert, but with the NFP data release, we might see a quick spike before rejection. Ethereum & Solana Ethereum: Testing the waters at 0.058 BTC with a strong structure forming. I see room for a breakout toward $3,634, with support solid at $2,398. Solana: At all-time highs but primed for a pullback, especially with the new competitor SUI entering the market. SUI’s levels are worth watching around $1.80 for a long, with psychological markers at $2 and $3. Final Thoughts Patience is key—these levels are guiding us, but the market may retest support before new highs emerge. Stick to the plan and keep a cool head in these moves! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
2
Ethereum - This Is The Last Buying Opportunity!Ethereum ( BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ) is still super bullish: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Despite the correction of about -50% which we saw over the past couple of months on Ethereum, market structure and price action is still overall bullish. Ethereum is currently creating a bullish break and retest with a potential move of +60% towards the upside. Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by basictradingtv
14
Google - It Is Bullish Either Way!Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) will follow one of two scenarios: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Google just perfectly followed the anticipated bullish break above the previous all time high, the retest and the bullish continuation towards the upside. Even if we see another retest of the breakout level, Google remains in an overall uptrend and the path of least resistance is higher. Levels to watch: $200, $150 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by basictradingtv
13
DOGE COIN SWING LONG IDEA - MEMECOINDOGE is the leading coin in the meme sector of crypto and occasionally receives direct support from Elon Musk. With Musk potentially in office alongside President Trump, this coin could see significant upward momentum. Technical Analysis: The price recently broke the bearish trendline that’s been in place since the end of October. During this breakout, we also established a strong daily demand zone. Today, there’s been a notable upside movement following news about Elon Musk's involvement with Trump. I anticipate a retracement to the daily and 4-hour demand zones, which are aligned with the Fibonacci optimal trade entry area. I’ll look for lower time frame confirmations to enter the trade. Target: $0.23 Stop Loss: $0.14
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
ETH/USDT Short SetupEthereum is showing signs of reaching a local resistance level after a strong upward push. Given the market structure and recent rejection near the resistance zone, a potential short opportunity is developing. Entry: Around the current resistance at 2,700 USDT Stop Loss: Set slightly above the recent highs at 2,800 USDT to minimize risk Take Profit Zone: Looking for a pullback to the trendline support around 2,500 USDT Analysis: ETH has faced challenges in breaking above this level consistently, indicating a possible temporary top in this range. The recent volatility suggests that a correction could be on the horizon as traders lock in profits. The broader trend still holds bullish potential, so this is a cautious short position for a quick gain rather than a long-term reversal bet. Remember, this market moves quickly, so stay alert for any rapid changes. Manage your risk, and trade wisely! DYOR as always.
Short
by HedonistTrade
Trump Wins! Bitcoin Hits New ATH, Ethereum Hits $5000 & AltcoinsGood afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, we have so much to look at today. Trump won the US presidential elections and this is having a major effect across everything, not only Bitcoin and the financial markets. Today we can see Bitcoin hitting a new All-Time High and we wonder what is happening, what to make of this development and how to approach the market. ➖ Ethereum is not trading at $5,000. Ethereum's Ether token ATH stands at $4,868, November 2021. Current price trades at $2,673. Huge discrepancy here, a warning sign. ➖ Dogecoin ATH happened in May 2021 at $0.74, current price is $0.193; huge difference. ➖ Cardano hit an All-Time High of $3.10 in August 2021, current price is almost ten times lower, $0.357. How to approach the market? What comes next? Are you trading? Are you watching? Are you holding? Are you accumulating? How to approach the market based on current conditions will depend on your trading style, your goals, your capital, risk tolerance, etc. Those pairs trading low can be accumulated, this is true since August 2024 and will continue to be true for several additional months. The pairs trading super high and at resistance, it is better to stay away. The DXY is ultra-bullish. We tend to say that the stock market crashes when the DXY is bullish, also Bitcoin, but we are seeing stocks rise as well as Bitcoin and the DXY. This means that we are seeing an extraordinary event happening right now. Will this abnormal behavior continue indefinitely or will the market seek balance? The abnormal behavior will come to an end and the market will seek balance. I cannot say for how long the market reaction to Trumps win will last, but this is an extraordinary event and calls for caution. We trade based on the long-term. We buy low to sell high. ➖ Here is an example, this is a chart that looks good: ➖ Here is an example, this is a chart that looks bad: Buy those trading low. Sell those trading high. It is wise to wait for the weekly close. I will expand in a new article, I lost the flow on this one. Thanks a lot for the support. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
4