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SOLB | Descending Triangle Breakout – Targeting +34% MoveTicker: EURONEXT:SOLB (Solvay SA – Euronext Brussels) 📆 Timeframe: 4H (4-hour) 📉 Price: €31.58 📈 Pattern: Descending triangle breakout from horizontal support 📊 Breakout Probability : ~73% upward breakout (short-term triangle) 🔍 Technical Setup: SOLB has successfully broken above a descending resistance line, bouncing off a solid horizontal support level near €28.00. This forms a bullish descending triangle breakout – a structure that historically resolves upward in short- to mid-term timeframes. ✅ Confirmed breakout from descending triangle 🟢 RSI pushing above 56 = bullish short-term momentum 📉 Defined support below = favorable risk/reward 🧠 Trade Plan: 📥 Entry Zone: €31.40–€31.70 (post-breakout confirmation) ⛔ Stop-Loss: Below €27.90 (under support base and triangle invalidation) 🎯 Upside Targets & ROIC (from €31.58): Target Price Return 🎯 Target 1 €33.84 +7.15% 🎯 Target 2 €39.76 +25.9% 📊 Pattern Probability – Based on Bulkowski: 📐 Pattern: Descending Triangle (short-term breakout) 🔺 Upward breakout probability: ~73% 💹 Measured move confirms Target 2 if volume remains elevated ⚠️ Technical Signals to Watch: 🔎 Strong green candle breaking the triangle → initial confirmation ✅ RSI breakout with no bearish divergence = supports continuation 📈 Volume spike = buyer interest returning 💬 Solvay’s breakout is a classic textbook move off strong horizontal support. This is a high-probability swing setup with tight risk and excellent upside potential. #SOLB #BreakoutSetup #DescendingTriangle #TechnicalPattern #SwingTrade #TargetTraders
EURONEXT:SOLBLong
by TargetTraders
Wednesday 2 July: USD to recover short term? The general market mood remains positive, and particularly sentiment for the USD remains in the douldrums. All of a sudden, there is talk of three FED cuts by the end of the year (although I think that's a bit ambitious). A soft NFP report could cement multi year USD weakness. But pre (Thursday's) NFP I suspect we could see some dollar profit taking. Currently, I see 'risk on' short JPY (or CHF) as very viable, the risk to a trade would be USD liquidity if the dollar continues to weaken. Recommended trade: AUD JPY long
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
Will Gold Continue Its Strong Rally or Face a Pullback?XAUUSD 02/07: Will Gold Continue Its Strong Rally or Face a Pullback? 📉 Technical Analysis – Gold Faces Short-Term Pullback After Strong Rally Gold has been experiencing a clear rally in recent days, but it’s currently undergoing a brief correction. The price has recently dropped slightly, prompting traders to keep a close eye on key levels for potential reversal or continuation of the bullish move. 🌍 Macroeconomic Context – Factors Impacting Gold's Price USD Fluctuation: The weakness in the US Dollar continues to affect gold prices, creating opportunities for the precious metal to maintain its upward movement. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions, including the US-Iran conflict, act as a safe-haven factor, supporting gold demand. Interest Rate Expectations: The market is closely watching for any changes in interest rate policies. Any future rate cuts by the Fed could further bolster gold's price. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1 – H4 – D1) Short-Term Trend: On the H1 timeframe, the price of gold touched a key level near 3340. From there, the price began to experience a pullback. However, the upward momentum remains strong on higher timeframes. Key Support Levels: The 3300 level remains a crucial support. If the price stays above this, there’s a chance for gold to continue rising towards higher levels. Key Resistance Levels: 3360 and 3380 are critical resistance levels. If breached, gold could move towards new highs. 📍 Important Support and Resistance Levels: 🔺 Resistance: 3345 – 3360 – 3380 – 3400 🔻 Support: 3300 – 3290 – 3270 – 3250 💡 Trading Plan for Today, 02/07: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 📈 Entry: 3305 – 3303 📉 SL: 3297 💰 TP: 3315 → 3325 → 3340 → 3360 🔴 SELL ZONE: 📉 Entry: 3360 – 3362 📈 SL: 3368 💰 TP: 3350 → 3340 → 3320 📣 Conclusion: Gold is showing signs of short-term correction but remains a strong asset due to geopolitical factors and monetary policies. Buying opportunities continue to be attractive at support levels, while key resistances will play a crucial role for any breakout. Keep an eye on the mentioned levels to capitalize on market movements. Happy trading and best of luck to all traders!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XRP Price Today: Rising Outflows Hinder RecoveryXRP has experienced notable volatility throughout June, with the altcoin failing to break through the $2.32 resistance level. Despite multiple attempts, XRP remains consolidated below this critical price point. This price action indicates a lack of bullish momentum in the short term, making further gains challenging unless the resistance is breached. The Ichimoku Cloud is turning negative , suggesting that bearish momentum could intensify for XRP. With the cloud positioned above the candlesticks, it signals further pressure on the price. Additionally, rising outflows are visible on the CMF, as the indicator moves closer to the zero line, adding to the negative outlook. If selling pressure continues to mount, XRP could fall below its support at $2.13 , potentially slipping to $2.02. This would mark a significant decline and invalidate the bullish thesis, signaling that XRP’s upward momentum could be at risk in the near future.
by aaryamann_shrivastava_bic
BNB Price Today: Downtrend Ends As Bullish Momentum Strengthens BNB is currently priced at $658 , showing resilience despite market volatility. However, it’s facing a micro downtrend this month. The positioning of the exponential moving averages (EMAs) below the candlestick indicates a potential bullish trend. This pattern suggests that if BNB can maintain its current price, there could be an upward movement, making it a favorable outlook for investors despite the ongoing market uncertainty. For BNB to regain bullish momentum, breaking free from the downtrend is key. A bounce off $646 support could help BNB target $667 , which has proven difficult since May. The RSI remains above neutral, signaling growing buying pressure that could fuel the uptrend. A successful breach of $667 into support would confirm a more optimistic outlook for the coin. If market conditions worsen, BNB risks dropping below the $646 support . In this scenario, the next levels of support at $628 and $615 would be tested. A break below these levels could invalidate the bullish outlook, leading to further declines. Investors should stay alert to shifts in broader market sentiment.
by aaryamann_shrivastava_bic
1
Musk-Trump Feud Sends Tesla (TSLA) Shares DownRenewed Feud Between Musk and Trump Drags Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Lower The US Senate yesterday narrowly approved Trump’s so-called “big, beautiful budget bill.” Elon Musk, who had previously criticised the bill for potentially adding $3.3 trillion to the national debt, warned that Republican lawmakers who supported it would face political consequences. In a post on X, Musk wrote: “Every member of Congress who campaigned on reducing government spending and then immediately voted for the biggest debt increase in history should hang their head in shame! And they will lose their primary next year if it is the last thing I do on this Earth.” He also reiterated his intention to establish a third political force under the name “America Party.” In response, President Trump issued sharp threats: → to apply federal pressure on Musk’s companies by revisiting existing subsidies and government contracts (estimated by The Washington Post at $38 billion); → to deport Musk back to South Africa. The market responded immediately to this renewed escalation in the Trump–Musk conflict. Tesla (TSLA) shares fell by over 5% yesterday, forming a significant bearish gap. Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart Eight days ago, we analysed the TSLA price chart, continuing to observe price action within the context of an ascending channel (indicated in blue). At that point: → In mid-June, when the initial Musk–Trump tensions surfaced, TSLA managed to hold within the channel. However, as of yesterday, the price broke below the lower boundary, casting doubt on the sustainability of the uptrend that had been in place since March–April; → The price breached the lower channel limit near the $315 level — a zone that previously acted as support. This suggests that $315 may now serve as a resistance level. As a result, optimism related to the late-June launch of Tesla’s robotaxi initiative has been eclipsed by concerns that the Musk–Trump confrontation may have broader implications. If the former allies refrain from further escalation, TSLA may consolidate into a broadening contracting triangle (its upper boundary marked in red) in the near term, ahead of Tesla’s Q2 earnings release scheduled for 29 July. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under ThreatEUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under Threat The euro has appreciated by approximately 15% against the US dollar this year, as confidence in the United States continues to wane. As ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane noted in an interview at CNBC: “There is a degree of reorientation by global investors towards the euro.” At the same time, officials at the European Central Bank have expressed concern that the rapid strengthening of the euro could undermine efforts to stabilise inflation at 2%. They warn that a move above $1.20 may pose risks for inflation and the competitiveness of export-oriented firms — an issue raised during the ECB’s ongoing ECB Forum on Central Banking in Portugal. Could EUR/USD Reach the $1.20 Level? From a technical analysis perspective, EUR/USD is showing bearish signals: → If the early April rally (coinciding with Trump’s announcement of new tariffs) is taken as the initial impulse wave A→B, and the May low is interpreted as the end of the B→C corrective move, then, according to Fibonacci Extensions, the pair has now risen to a key resistance zone around 1.1850 (as indicated by the arrow on the chart). → In addition, the RSI indicator signals strong overbought conditions, while the price is hovering near the upper boundary of the ascending channel — a level that typically acts as resistance. Given these factors, we could assume that EUR/USD may be in a vulnerable position, potentially facing a short-term correction — possibly towards the lower boundary of the channel, reinforced by support at the 1.1620 level. However, this does not negate the longer-term bullish outlook for the euro amid prevailing fundamental conditions. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Compounders: 5 Simple Rules to Build Long-Term WealthImagine this: …it’s 18 years ago. The very first iPhone has just hit the market. Meanwhile, Nokia’s legendary “Snake” game, once the height of mobile fun, was starting to feel… dated. ⚡ And you can sense it: something big is coming. You don’t know exactly what, but something is about to shake the system. So, you invest €1,000 into Apple stock. No fancy moves, no day trading. You don’t check the price every morning, you don’t sell at the first dip. You just hold and go about your life, using their products as always. ---------------------------------- Fast forward to today: the iPhone has evolved quite a bit, and so has your bank account, “a bit”. That modest €1,000 investment would now be worth roughly €70,000. For context, if you had simply invested in the S&P 500 instead, your total profit would be €3,300. This is what happens when you hold a real compounder. Apple: +6,942%. S&P 500: +334%. Time doesn’t just pass, it compounds! Big difference, right? And the craziest part? You didn’t need a crystal ball. Looking back, everything makes perfect sense. The real question is: Can you spot the next one before it becomes obvious? --------------------------------------- 📈 Compounders: The slow, steady, and surprisingly effective path to wealth A compounder is a company that steadily grows your investment over time, powered by a strong business model and consistent value creation. These stocks don’t need to chase headlines. They don’t create drama, and they certainly don’t swing wildly every week on the stock exchange. They simply keep building value. Strong financials, good products, and a clear direction—like a snowball quietly rolling downhill, gathering momentum with every meter. As Warren Buffett once said: That’s exactly what compounders allow you to do. While you rest, they keep working. It’s definitely not a get-rich-quick strategy. It’s more like a slow, somewhat boring, and failry a “safer” route. But in return, it might just give you something far more valuable than fast gains: financial peace of mind, and perhaps even financial freedom. 🔍 So how do you spot one? Now, let’s be clear: compounders are not bulletproof. Market crashes, disruptive competitors, and economic shocks can still shake them.But when the foundation is solid, these companies tend to stand strong, even in a storm. Here are five key traits that define a true compounder. From consistent growth to an unshakable competitive edge. --------------------------------------- 📈 1. Steady Growth What you want to see is a steady upward trend in both revenue and earnings per share (EPS). Not a rollercoaster. A clean, reliable trend. A strong compounder doesn’t explode one year and crash the next. It grows year after year. It grows calmly, consistently, and predictably… Microsoft EPS Q Source: TradingView That’s usually a sign of solid management and sticky customer demand. Let’s look at a key metric here: EPS CAGR (5-year) – the compound annual growth rate of earnings per share. 5% = solid → reliable and steady progress 10% = good → suggests a strong business model and real market demand 15%+ = great → this is where the snowball effect really kicks in, fast and orderly 📌 The higher the CAGR, the faster your investment compounds. But it’s not just about speed, it’s about repeatability. If that growth is not random but repeatable and sustainable, you don’t just have a growth stock → you’ve got a true compounder. ⚠️ Always consider the sector: A 15% CAGR might be normal in tech, but in a consumer brand or industrial company, that’s an exceptionally strong result. --------------------------------------- 💡 2. Efficient Capital Allocation A good compounder doesn’t just grow a lot—it grows wisely. That means every dollar the company reinvests into its business generates more than a dollar in return. Think of it like a business where every $1 invested turns into $1.20 or more in profit. The more efficiently it can put capital to work, the faster it compounds over time. 🎯 ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) tells you how effectively a company is using all its invested capital—including both equity and debt. ROIC shows how much profit the company earns after taxes and costs for every dollar it has invested, regardless of where that money came from.It’s broader than ROE, which only considers shareholder equity. >10% = solid >15% = good >20% = great 🎯 ROE (Return on Equity) measures how well the company generates returns specifically on shareholder money: >15% = solid >20% = good >25% = great 📌 In most cases, ROIC is more important than ROE , since it doesn’t get distorted by how much debt the company is using. But when both numbers are high, you’ve got something that creates a lot of value - a true compounding engine. Just imagine you give a chef $10 to make a dish. If they can turn that into a $15 meal, their ROIC is 50%. That’s the kind of capital efficiency we want to see in companies too, where every dollar invested pulls serious weight. --------------------------------------- 💰 3. High Profit Margins Selling stuff isn’t hard. Any company can sell something, even at a loss. A true compounder doesn’t just generate revenue, it earns real profit from it. That’s where operating margins come into play. They show how much money is actually left over after covering everything: salaries, logistics, rent, office coffee, stolen toilet paper, and all the other lovely overhead costs. ⚙️ Operating Margin – the percentage of revenue that turns into operating profit: 10% = solid → stable profitability, usually driven by volume or efficiency 20%+ = great → often signals strong pricing power, lean cost structure, or a dominant brand 📌 Why does this matter? Because the more profit a company retains after expenses, the more it can: - reinvest in new products or markets - pay dividends to shareholders - or buy back shares (which automatically increases your ownership per share) All of these create real, recurring value for you as an investor—not just once, but year after year. ⚠️ One important note: What qualifies as a “high” margin depends on the industry. A software company might easily run at 30% margins, while a retail chain or car manufacturer might be thrilled with 5%. So don’t judge the number in isolation. Always consider the type of business—in some sectors, profits come from volume, not margin. --------------------------------------- 🧱 4. Debt Matters Even if a company is growing fast and making money, it still doesn’t qualify as a true compounder if it’s drowning in debt. A real compounder moves forward mostly(!) under its own power, not thanks to borrowed money. Financially strong companies have a healthy buffer, so they’re not in trouble the moment the economy slows down or credit tightens. 📉 Debt-to-Equity (D/E) – how much of the company is financed with debt versus equity: Under 1 = solid → reasonable leverage Under 0.5 = great → very strong and conservative balance sheet 📈 Interest Coverage Ratio – how easily the company can pay its interest expenses: 5× = solid 10×+ = great → very safe, meaning debt costs won’t threaten profitability 📌 The lower the debt and the higher the buffer, the lower the risk.A company with a strong balance sheet doesn’t need to refinance debt in a panic or rely on costly tricks to survive downturns. Think of it like the foundation of a house. Without it, even the most beautiful structure can collapse. ⚠️ Some industries (like real estate or utilities) naturally operate with higher debt levels. But even in those cases, you want to see a business that controls its debt, rather than living “one day at a time.” --------------------------------------- 🏰 5. Durable Competitive Advantage (a.k.a. Moat) Back in the Middle Ages, a moat was a water-filled trench that protected a castle.Today, in investing, a “moat” is what protects great businesses from competition. It’s a business that others can’t easily reach or replicate. 💪 When a company has a wide moat, it can: - Defend its market share even when others try to attack - Command higher prices—because customers stay loyal - And if a competitor starts gaining ground, it often has enough capital to... just buy them out Here are some classic moat types with examples: - Brand Loyalty – People pay more for something familiarExample: Coca-Cola. There are hundreds of alternatives, but the taste, logo, and brand feel... irreplaceable. - Network Effects – Every new user strengthens the product or platformExample: Visa, Mastercard. The more they’re used, the harder it is for any new player to break in. - Technological Edge – The company is simply too far aheadExample: Nvidia, ASML. You can throw money at the problem, but patents and experience aren’t things you copy overnight. - Ecosystem Lock-in / Habitual Consumption – Customers get “stuck,” and switching feels like a hassleExample: Apple. Once you have the iPhone, AirPods, and MacBook… switching to Android just sounds like a lot of work.Or take Procter & Gamble. If your baby’s used to Pampers, you’re not going back to cloth diapers anytime soon. (To be fair—Huggies might actually be better 😄 That’s Kimberly-Clark, ticker KMB.) 📌 A strong moat allows a company to maintain both profitability and growth for the next 10+ years—because no one else can get close enough to steal it.It’s not fighting tooth and nail for every dollar. It rules its niche quietly and efficiently. --------------------------------------- Now that we’ve covered what makes a business a compounder, the next question naturally follows: “Okay, but if it’s such a great company... is it still a great price?” That’s where valuation comes in.P/E ratio: how to know whether you’re paying a fair price or just a premium for the brand. --------------------------------------- 👉 In my April article, I clearly broke down P/E along with eight other key fundamental metrics: straightforward, real-world explanations designed to help you actually use them… --------------------------------------- 💵 P/E (Price-to-Earnings Ratio) The P/E ratio tells you how much you’re paying for every $1 of a company’s earnings. Think of it like this: are you buying solid value for $20… or paying $70 just because the brand sounds familiar? Now, for compounders, a high P/E (say, 25–40) can actually be fine, IF(!) the company is growing fast and has a strong moat. Here’s a quick cheat sheet: * Under 15 → generally cheap (might be a bargain… or a trap) * 15–25 → fair price for a traditional business * 25–35 → reasonable if the company is growing consistently * 35–45 → starting to look expensive, must be justified by fundamentals * 45+ → expensive, and the market expects big things. One slip-up and the stock could drop fast. ⚠️ A P/E over 40–45 means the market expects strong, sustainable growth.If that growth doesn’t show up, the stock won’t just stumble—it could crash. But here’s the key: P/E doesn’t work well in isolation. Context is everything. Before judging the number, always ask: - What sector is this company in? - What’s the sector average? - How fast is the company growing? - Are the profits stable and sustainable? --------------------------------------- Real-World Examples: ✅ Visa – P/E around 37The average for financial stocks? Usually 10–15.But Visa grows quickly, is highly profitable, and has an ironclad moat.Is it expensive? Yes. But in this case, justifiably so. ✅ Microsoft – P/E around 35Tech-sector average tends to sit between 25–35.Microsoft has consistent growth, high margins, and clear market leadership.A P/E of 35 is absolutely reasonable—as long as the growth story continues. 🤔 But what if Microsoft trades at P/E 50+? Then you have to ask:Is earnings growth truly supporting that price?Or are you just paying for the brand... and a bit of FOMO? ----------------- Leave a comment: What’s the highest P/E you’ve ever paid, and was it worth it? ----------------- 📘 Compounder Cheat Sheet Don’t just stare at absolute numbers. Always compare within the sector, consider the company’s growth pace and business model. Ask yourself: “How much am I paying today for what this company will earn tomorrow?” --------------------------------------- 🧩 Summary Compounders are like good wine, they get better with time. Find companies that grow steadily, generate profits, keep debt low, and dominate their niche. Hold tight. Stay patient. Let the snowball roll. Thanks for reading! If this article was helpful or resonated with you, feel free to like, comment, or share it with a friend! It motivates me more than you’d think. 🙏 And if you’re new here: 🍷 Like good wine, this channel only gets better with time. Follow and let the ideas compound slowly, steadily, and deliciously. Cheers Vaido
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by VaidoVeek
5
XAUUSD - Breakdown: - RISK ON/Gold Pullback - Continued IIFrom a technical perspective, if the pre-breakout structure remains intact and gold prices continue to hit resistance and support in the 3344-3330 range, the probability of further gains is high, we need to wait for price stabilization to determine whether the next move is higher toward $3400, or if gold will face a strong rejection from these levels The global macro trend is upward, with downside pressure on the Dollar, we also have Optimistic Markets so this makes investors want to go into RISK ON, where they move investments from Safe Havens to Riskier investments. If we maintain the current macro trend and break through the resistance at 3347 and hold it, the next target will be higher targets. I do not rule out a pullback to 3325-3320 or lower (liquidity chasing) before we look for a higher push. We have important Fundamentals this week, the main driver being NFP, typically NFP week sees all kinds of manipulated and range moves, so trade accordingly. Higher targets are 3352-3355-3367-33375 Lower targets are 3320-3308
FX:XAUUSD
by JOHNDOUGHFX
Expecting Gold Selling movement In this 15 minute chart of Gold Spot XAU/USD price action indicates a potential bearish setup following a strong upward move that has started to lose momentum After reaching a peak near 3344 price formed a double top pattern followed by a series of lower highs and lower lows signaling a shift in market sentiment The blue horizontal zone around 3331 3332 acted as a significant support level which has now been broken and is being retested as resistance The yellow projection shows a bearish continuation scenario with price expected to reject the retest of the broken support and continue downward The projected target for the bearish move is near 3302 indicating a significant downside potential The risk zone highlighted in red lies above the resistance, likely placing the stop loss around the 3335 3340 range This analysis suggests that if the price fails to reclaim the support turned-resistance zone bears could take control and drive price lower throughout the day
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
The idea is clear, gold falls as expected!The gold market is just as I predicted. I have repeatedly warned everyone not to chase the 3350-3355 line. The technical side needs to step back. Now, it just proves the idea I gave. After gold hit the highest line of 3358, it stepped back to the 3337 line and started to fluctuate. Our 3355 short order plan successfully touched 3340 to stop profit and exit. From the current gold trend, it should fluctuate like this before closing. After the opening, we will step back and go long as planned. Focus on the 3330-3335 line below. If it does not break, we can consider going long. From the current gold trend analysis, pay attention to the 3360-3370 line of pressure on the top, and the short-term support on the bottom is around 3330-3335. Focus on the key support at 3315-3325. Relying on this range as a whole, maintain the main tone of low-long participation unchanged, wait for the pullback to confirm the support and then intervene when the opportunity arises. In the middle position, keep watching and do less, chase orders cautiously, and wait for the entry opportunity after the key points are in place. Gold operation suggestion: go long around 3315-3325, target 3340-3350.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Gold Under Pressure As Dollar StrengthenGold remains under pressure after a false breakout at $3,350, as the dollar's sudden strength dominates the market. Despite Powell's slightly dovish tone, Tuesday's PMI and JOLTs job data favored the dollar, keeping the market in limbo. Technically, gold has established a new range between $3,350 and $3,300. A drop to the lower end of this range could spark short-term buying opportunities. With the ADP numbers on the horizon, the market awaits further cues.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KINGSLIGHTFX
Análisis Técnico Multidireccional SAND USDT. Overall Trend and Price Patterns: In the long and medium term, SAND's trend is bearish. This is confirmed by the 4-hour charts and higher, where lower highs and lower lows are observed. The "Smart Money Concept" indicator also indicates a "Trend: Negative". A descending channel has been identified on the 4-hour chart, a bearish continuation pattern that suggests the price will continue to move downward within this channel. Previously, a descending triangle with similar bearish implications was considered. 2. Key Levels (Support and Resistance): Resistance: Levels around $0.2484 (15m chart) and "Order Blocks" or "Supply Zones" (red-shaded areas) on the 1h and 4h charts. Support: "Demand Zones" or "Order Blocks" (green/blue shaded areas) on the 1h and 4h charts, and the $0.2361 level (15m chart). The bottom line of the descending channel also acts as dynamic support. 3. Momentum Indicators and Moving Averages: Short Term (30 min - 1 hour): Investing.com reports "Strong Buy" and the 5, 10, and 20-period Moving Averages show a "Buy" signal. Some oscillators like RSI, Ultimate Oscillator, and ROC are also indicating "Buy". This suggests a very recent bounce or bullish momentum. Medium/Long Term (5 hours - Monthly): Investing.com reports "Strong Sell". The 100 and 200-period Moving Averages also show a "Sell" signal, confirming the bearish trend in these broader timeframes. Warnings: Indicators like STOCHRSI, Williams %R, and CCI are in "Overbought" conditions on some timeframes, suggesting that the short-term bounce might be running out of steam and prone to a correction or bearish continuation. 4. Volume: Volume has been significant during price declines, reinforcing selling pressure. Volume tends to decrease as the price approaches the apex of consolidation patterns. 5. Fund Flows (On-Chain): Large transfers of SAND (over 1.8 million tokens) were observed leaving Upbit wallets to a specific address in the early hours of June 30, 2025. Such significant movements from exchanges can indicate potential future selling pressure or internal exchange movements. Overall Conclusion: While SAND has shown a slight bounce or bullish momentum in the very short timeframes (30 min - 1 hour), the dominant trend in the medium and long term remains bearish, confirmed by price patterns (descending channel), Smart Money Concepts analysis, and longer-duration moving averages. Indicators showing "overbought" conditions in smaller timeframes suggest that this bounce may not be sustainable in the long run and that the price could move downwards again to follow the main trend. Large token movements from Upbit add an element of uncertainty and potential selling pressure.
Long
by farfanluna
LCrude Oil: Bearish Pressure as Brazil Emerges as an Energy PHLCrude Oil: Bearish Pressure as Brazil Emerges as an Energy Powerhouse By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades LCrude (Ticker AT:Lcrude), which replicates the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures contract, has been one of the most volatile assets in 2025. It faces mounting pressure from a growing global supply, cautious demand, and a renewed wave of investment in Latin America—especially in Brazil. Technical Analysis Technically, LCrude has lost momentum since the April 2024 highs near $87 per barrel. After breaking the upward trendline in late June, the same daily candle triggered a corrective move toward the $64–$65 range, where it has been trading since. The price entered a downward channel, and the key $66 support was broken decisively. Losing that level opens the door for a drop toward $60 per barrel. On the upside, a recovery above $73 would reignite buying pressure, targeting $78 near the long-term point of control. The support around the $54.72 lows reinforces the view that LCrude is now trading around its mean. Moving average crossovers—where the 200-period MA sits above the 50-period—suggest that price corrections may continue. Fundamental Analysis On the macroeconomic front, concerns over economic slowdowns in China and Europe are weighing on demand expectations. At the same time, the outlook for a supply surplus is solidifying, particularly with signals coming from emerging producer countries. One of the most significant developments is the resurgence of Brazilian oil—a silent revolution that could shift the global energy power balance. Brazil, now an external member of OPEC+, has impressed with record discoveries and licensing rounds. Its offshore projects offer an internal rate of return (IRR) close to 26%, among the highest in the world. Sector Experts project that by 2030, Brazil could surpass 5 million barrels per day, placing it among the global top five, just behind the U.S., Russia, and Saudi Arabia. However, the sustainability of this growth will depend on the exploration of new frontiers, such as the Foz do Amazonas basin. The International Energy Agency (IEA) warns that without new discoveries, production could begin to decline after 2030. Conclusion LCrude's performance will depend on both technical patterns and fundamental factors tied to geopolitics and the global supply-demand balance. Brazil’s rise on the global energy map and the context of oversupply exert structural bearish pressure on the market. Nonetheless, current levels continue to offer opportunities for traders focused on range strategies and momentum. ******************************************************************************************* La información facilitada no constituye un análisis de inversiones. El material no se ha elaborado de conformidad con los requisitos legales destinados a promover la independencia de los informes de inversiones y, como tal, debe considerarse una comunicación comercial. Toda la información ha sido preparada por ActivTrades ("AT"). La información no contiene un registro de los precios de AT, o una oferta o solicitud de una transacción en cualquier instrumento financiero. Ninguna representación o garantía se da en cuanto a la exactitud o integridad de esta información. Cualquier material proporcionado no tiene en cuenta el objetivo específico de inversión y la situación financiera de cualquier persona que pueda recibirlo. La rentabilidad pasada no es un indicador fiable de la rentabilidad futura. AT presta un servicio exclusivamente de ejecución. En consecuencia, toda persona que actúe sobre la base de la información facilitada lo hace por su cuenta y riesgo.
ACTIVTRADES:LCRUDEShort
by ActivTrades
Gold prices have risen sharply. How should we trade gold? 📣Gold news: US Senate passes Trump tax reform bill. Trump wins major victory Trump's signature tax and spending cuts bill passed the Senate on Tuesday. Republican leaders finally convinced dissenting lawmakers after a hard fight, helping Trump win another political victory. Trump refuses to extend July 9 tariff deadline US President Trump reiterated on Tuesday that he has no intention of extending the 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs on most countries after it expires on July 9. When asked whether he would extend the suspension of tariffs, Trump replied on Air Force One: "No, I haven't thought about it. I will write to many countries to notify them of the tariff rates they will face." Gold (XAU/USD) struggled to extend its two-day rally, fluctuating narrowly in the Asian session on Wednesday, just below Tuesday's one-week high. The dollar's slight rebound - from its lowest level since February 2022 - put pressure on gold. Moreover, improving market sentiment continues to weaken demand for safe-haven assets such as gold, further limiting its upside. ⭐️Technical Analysis: Trend lines are steadily picking up, and continued buying could move towards 3383 based on today's ADP-NF data 💰Set Gold Price: 💰Sell Gold Zone: 3375-3385 ​​SL 3395 TP1: $3370 TP2: $3360 TP3: $3350 💰Buy Gold Zone: $3315-$3310 SL $3305 TP1: $3320 TP2: $3330 TP3: $3340 ⭐️Technical Analysis: Set reasonable buy orders based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 2, 2025 GBPUSDOn Wednesday, during the Asian trading session, the GBP/USD pair is trading unchanged at around 1.37450. However, dovish statements by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and growing concerns about the budget may put pressure on the dollar in the near term. Investors are awaiting the ADP report on US employment for June, which will be released later on Wednesday, in the hope of new momentum. Powell said on Tuesday that the US central bank would be patient about further interest rate cuts, but did not rule out a rate cut at its July meeting, although the decision would depend on incoming data. According to the CME FedWatch tool, short-term interest rate futures now price in the probability of a rate cut in July at almost 1 in 4, up from less than 1 in 5 previously. Investors are concerned about US President Donald Trump's massive tax and spending bill, which could increase the national debt by $3.3 trillion. The bill will return to the House of Representatives for final approval. Fiscal concerns could dampen optimism and contribute to a decline in the US dollar. As for the pound sterling, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said last week that there are currently signs of a weakening UK labor market and stressed that interest rates are likely to continue to fall. The UK central bank is expected to cut interest rates three times by the end of 2025, bringing them to 3.5% to combat sluggish economic growth and a weakening labor market. Rate cuts are expected in August, September, and November 2025, with possible quarterly reductions. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.37450, SL 1.37900, TP 1.36750
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Is Japan's Economic Future at a Tariff Crossroads?The Nikkei 225, Japan's benchmark stock index, stands at a critical juncture, facing significant pressure from potential US tariffs of up to 35% on Japanese imports. This assertive stance by US President Donald Trump has already triggered a notable decline in Japanese equities, with the Nikkei 225 experiencing a 1.1% drop and the broader Topix Index falling 0.6% on Wednesday, marking consecutive days of losses. This immediate market reaction, characterized by a broad-based selloff across all sectors, underscores profound investor concern and a pre-emptive pricing-in of negative outcomes, particularly for the highly vulnerable automotive and agricultural sectors. The looming July 9 deadline for a trade agreement is pivotal, with President Trump explicitly stating his intention not to extend the current tariff pause. These proposed tariffs would far exceed previous rates, adding substantial financial burdens to industries already facing existing levies. Japan's economy, already struggling with a recent contraction in GDP and persistent declines in real wages, is particularly susceptible to such external shocks. This pre-existing economic fragility implies that the tariffs could amplify existing weaknesses, pushing the nation closer to recession and intensifying domestic discontent. Beyond immediate trade concerns, Washington appears to be leveraging the tariff threat to compel allies like Japan to increase military spending, aiming for 5% of GDP amidst rising geopolitical tensions. This demand strains the "ironclad" US-Japan military alliance, as evidenced by diplomatic setbacks and Japan's internal political challenges in meeting such ambitious defense targets. The unpredictable nature of US trade policy, coupled with these geopolitical undercurrents, creates a complex environment where Japan's economic stability and strategic autonomy are simultaneously challenged, necessitating significant strategic adjustments in its international relationships.
INDEX:NKYShort
by UDIS_View
Swing Trade Plan: MAN Industries (NSE: MANINDS) A classic Cup & Handle Pattern bullish continuation pattern showing accumulation and a breakout from resistance. Indicates renewed buying interest. Breakout supported by rising volume, confirming buyer strength. Price holding above 20 and 50 EMA, indicating bullish trend continuation. Company has consistent order inflows and is part of infra/pipe supply chain, aligning with current government spending themes. This is my personal swing trade plan based on price action and fundamental analysis. Please do your own research before taking any investment decision.
NSE:MANINDSLong
by Airborn_trader
Gold breaks trend – bullish wave returnsIn the most recent trading session, gold (XAUUSD) has made a strong rebound from the key support zone around $3,263 and is now approaching a short-term resistance near $3,347 – signaling a potential continuation of the bullish momentum in the short term. 1. Price Structure & Market Behavior After reaching a local top around $3,347–$3,350, gold entered a clear downtrend. However, the breakout of the descending trendline (yellow line) with solid bullish candles is a strong reversal signal. The market has formed higher highs and higher lows with strong bullish candles, confirming a V-shape reversal pattern from the bottom zone. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels Immediate resistance: $3,347–$3,350 – previous rejection zone. Short-term support: $3,308 – newly broken resistance now acting as support. Major support: $3,263 – previous low with strong bullish bounce, highlighting significant buyer interest. 3. Suggested Trading Strategy Given the strong breakout and bullish trend structure, traders may consider a buy-the-dip strategy around $3,308–$3,315 on potential pullbacks. Stop-loss should be placed below $3,263 to protect against false breakouts. Short-term take-profit targets can be set at $3,350–$3,360. If this level breaks, extended targets could reach $3,375. Volume & Momentum Volume is increasing along with price, confirming strong buyer participation. Bullish candles are closing near highs, showing weak selling pressure and suggesting the uptrend may continue. Conclusion: Gold has resumed a short-term uptrend after breaking its previous downtrend. Traders should favor bullish setups and look for pullbacks to enter at better prices. Watch the $3,347 zone closely – if gold breaks and holds above it, further upside is likely.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion