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GENSLER'S EXIT AND TRUMPS INAGURATION! XRP IMPACT🔥 Hey hey, hope everyone's doing well today. Sure most of you are busy so I'll keep this short and concise. Thanks for tuning in as always. 🔥 With the exit of the SEC's Gary Gensler tomorrow as well as trumps inauguration in which many are anticipating, expecting trump to execute a series of executive orders, primarily in regards to the digital asset industry as he's voiced his support of cryptocurrencies and America holding a dominant position in the field. 🔥 Alongside trump's Inauguration we have Gary Gensler's exit which the crypto and digital asset industry is celebrating and no doubt that will be met with positive sentiment tomorrow alongside trump's inauguration. In lieu of Gensler's exit the SEC has also seen a number of ETF submissions highlighting what many are looking to as a positive road ahead for the digital asset space as many expect the SEC will take a kinder stance to the digital asset space now with Trump as soon to be president and Gary Gensler out of office. Referenced below is an article highlighting the recent ETF submission for any interested. cointelegraph.com So definitely expecting prices to be volatile tomorrow, anything can happen but as far as I can see, things look positive, it's been years in the work, but things are working well for Ripple and it's holders. We've persevered and the wait will be well worth it. 🔥 And as for a quick technical look, we're still within this descending channel so I'll be keeping an eye on that to see whether or not we can get a breakout or if we'll continue the trend down though with how tomorrow is looking, chances are we'll have a green day to say in the least. I've attached a 30 minute chart below for reference as well: 🔥 Have to go but as I said, a short and concise idea. Expect tomorrow to be volatile with news and positive sentiment likely driving the market so keep note of that and keep posted as always, let's make the best of it and thanks for tuning in, till next! ~ Rock '
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
by Rocksorgate
1
Weekly update 1/19/25 - 1/25-24Weekly Update 1/29 – 1/25: Two things of importance this week to consider. First and always is the weather and second and always is the supply/demand storage balance. Models have been having some trouble the last four days in holding the Greenland blocking in place. Which is showing up as the arctic cold being displaced and not being injected into the North American mid-continent. The Polar vortex is still predicted to continue elongating though February and early March. Which should keep furnaces burning and gas being consumed. This is a longer term impact on NG pricing, especially with models varying from run to run showing brief run ups in temperature the last few days of January, which happen to coincide with the February contract roll-over. So, I will briefly touch upon the weather set up, but of more importance this week is the Artic cold and frozen precipitation making its way to the Gulf Coast. Which will have a tremendous impact on well head freeze offs and the LNG production facilities. I believe this is going to set up a one-two punch, if you will for the next 7-10 days of trading. Weather impacts. The weekend GFS weather data trended 3 HDDs warmer, while the EC trended 6 HDDs colder. Both maintain a frosty Arctic Blast the several few days, although the EC was numerous HDDs colder than the GFS with a weather system into the Midwest and East Jan 28-30. Both then forecast a much milder US pattern gaining ground over the US the first few days of February, although with the GFS teasing a new frigid blast pushing into the Midwest around Feb 2-4. Sunday night and Monday opening we can expect an emotional reaction on the models turning warmer since Friday mid-day and the MLK trading holiday tomorrow. There was a great deal of profit taking as of Friday EOD, with the price moving almost $1.00 off the lows of the month. I would hope people would be smart enough to take some profits off the table after such a big move! But, for the week there were two 60 cent moves and one 40 cent move for the week, and I see no change in this pattern until we get into the second week of February and the back half of winter starts to verify for storage amounts. The weather this week is going to be down right brutal in the US. The first concern are the well head freeze-offs. Today, 1/19/25, production is down to 101 BCF/d with freeze offs in the Bakken and the Marcellus. We are expecting the late cycle revisions to revise production down further. There is a belief that production might hit the lows seen last year of 90 BCF/d. “We could see 10 Bcf/d or more of lost production due to freeze-offs” during the cold snap, said Huenefeld. These could include “substantial disruptions” not only in the Marcellus Shale, but potentially the Midcontinent, Haynesville Shale and Permian Basin, he said. Reduced production, in turn, “could exacerbate the storage draw” for the week ending Jan. 24, which may exceed 300 Bcf, Huenefeld said. That’s right industry followers are now confirming that we can see a 300 BCF withdrawal this week! This would bring storage under the 5-year average for the first time since last winter. The cold is here to stay for the next seven days and that will continue to be a big factor on production and heating demand. As the week wears on and the models battle back and forth, we can expect that daily model runs to keep daily pricing volatile. So be prepared for daily swings 20-30 cents again. Long term I am still in the colder than normal belief. This continued elongation of the Polar Vortex is not predicted to end, we just need the models to get on board. But this I believe will happen in time. Supply/demand storage concerns: Well heads, pipelines and Europe! As discussed above, production is being curtailed, via Mother Nature. Well head freeze offs have been a constant concern in the Bakken area in North Dakota. This has skyrocket pricing all over the US with Henry Hub spot price currently $10.70. Spot pricing in the North East is currently trading over $100.00 BCF. While there is limited contribution to the overall supply structure coming out of the Bakken, it does supply more NG than the GOM and it is a good barometer for infrastructure issues with the production and transportation of NG. As the temperature drops the water in the gas condensate freezes and prevents the gas from flowing, both at the well head and at the compressor stations which move NG in the pipeline. It only need to be a few degrees below freezing to create a giant headache for the production and distribution of NG. Wood Mackenzie also noted that, “A long list of pipelines across the U.S.” have already posted operational flow orders (OFS) and weather alerts, anticipating the shocks of extreme cold temperatures that could linger until Wednesday or Thursday. “The complete list of pipelines that have issued OFOs or OFO warnings is too long to include,” Wood Mackenzie said in a separate update. With all 50 US states predicted to be below freezing and the major production areas to be 5-20 degrees below freezing, we can start to see where and why production would drop for the next 5 days. Take above normal HDD, then add in drop in production, and it is a nice recipe for bullish momentum. LNG terminals have been running at historic levels the last three days. We are waiting for confirmation for the first 16 BCF/d! Which I see happening today or tomorrow. Now the big worry sometime Wednesday morning is if it is too cold to produce LNG at the coast facilities. There is a historic winter storm predicted to lay down frozen precipitation from Houston to Savannah, Ga along the I-10 corridor. Which is the heart of LNG country! If you remember last year, Freeport experienced a severe freeze off which disrupted LNG production and needed repair for over 6 weeks. This was the beginning of the downturn in NG pricing last year to the lows in February-March 24. This season is a bit different in that there is a concern that the US is colder than normal and NG storage is going to be below the 5-year average. But Institutional traders love a reason to sell and take our money. Remember history may not repeat, but it does rhyme! So, the expectation is that LNG production will keep bullish momentum on pricing, but keep a keen eye on facility issues to rug pull the LNG card. This is not investing advice, please trade at your own risk. But I did take positions the end of the day Friday, with the expectation that there will be big disruptions in the production of supply. Which I will hold hopefully until the EIA report. I do expect trading to be a bit light due to the US futures market having abbreviated hours. Which I believe will be a good set up for the news of freeze offs coming in Monday afternoon and night for open on Tuesday. I expect and will be trading the big daily bounces once the market opens in London tomorrow, but will be prepared for the NY market to be closing early. I will be watching LNG facilities for signs of distress with production numbers declining. If I see production of LNG dropping, I will be expecting it to temporarily impact a downward trend on pricing. Lots and lots to be watching out for. Keep it burning boys!
NYMEX:NG1!
by jrvpane
USDJPY - Rising Channels, Pullbacks, Double Tops & BOJ NewsToday we're looking at a potential bearish trading opportunity on the USDJPY. After a long bullish rally, followed by a lengthy period of consolidation in the form of a rising channel. The &USDJPY has violated the pattern to the downside & with the recent pullback, is giving us an opportunity to jump on the next potential move down. As we venture down to the hourly chart, we may have a potential double top to open our week which would be an excellent entry reason for getting involved. On the fundamental side of things, later this week the Bank of Japan will make an interest rate decision & word on the street is that they are considering a hike. How a lot will depend on what happens after President Donald Trump takes over, but if an interest rate hike from the BOJ were to happen it "should" mean Yen strength and confirmation for our bearish prediction. If you have any questions or comments please leave them below. And I hope you guys have an excellent week of trading. Akil
Short
by Akil_Stokes
16
XAUUSD Up Trend on Lower time frame 15MinCurrently, it appears to be a buy signal on the lower timeframe. On the daily timeframe, it has already touched the support level and has the potential to rise up to 2744.10. To identify the buy signal, I will wait for a retest at the 5-minute support level. At that point, I'll look for a double bottom formation. Once the price breaks the 2704.17 level on the 5-minute chart, I'll open a buy trade. Key Point is Wait for the right moment: Be patient and wait for the right timing before making your move. Reevaluate on 5-minute support: Check the 5-minute support level to confirm your next step. Surpass the entry level (5-minute trend): Aim to break past the entry level based on the 5-minute trend. Identify the signal candle: Look for the signal candle as it crosses the entry level and observe the buying pressure on it.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Rafilathif
Little rally to trap everyone? Then were caught holding the bag?10-11 expiration for NVDA has way to much open interest at 120 - 130 levels. 118 looks more realistic. I think we can see a climb to 120-130 early in the week and a huge sell off to 118 to end the week. If this happens, it opens the door to max pain of 112 - 113 by 10/18. There are going to be so many traps this months and I think were all in the middle of one now. Inversely, my theory above could be a trap as well haha. If this is truly a blow off top, $149 -$150 is my absolute peak.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by LeapTrades
18
Will BTC continue its uptrend?Hi all, let's look at the 1D BTC to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has broken out of the downtrend line and currently we can see how we are struggling to move towards the recent ATH at $108700. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face: T1 = 106275 USD T2 = 108476 USD Т3 = 112839 USD Т4 = 115756 USD Т5 = 118876 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 102746 USD SL2 = 100744 USD SL3 = 99094 USD SL4 = 97479 USD SL5 = 95161 USD It is worth taking a look at the MACD indicator, which shows that we have entered an uptrend again, and here we have a visible place for this trend to continue. Additionally, on the SMAs 20 and 50 we can see how we are getting closer to returning to a strong uptrend.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
GBPUSD May Resume Bearish Trend, Testing March 2023 LowGBPUSD May Resume Bearish Trend, Testing March 2023 Low The president-elect may issue up to 100 executive orders in the first days of his second presidency. This news could create high price volatility in the market. At the close of the market on Friday, January 17, we saw the US dollar ending the day with profits across all pairs, raising expectations for a bullish run in the coming days. The uncertainty surrounding Trump's executive orders may favor USD bulls in the short term until more clarity emerges. GBPUSD has been holding strong, but it appears that the pair may resume the bearish trend and test areas last seen in March 2023. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
9
Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Recommendation Based on the analysis of the Gold (XAU/USD) chart using the Alligator indicator and Fibonacci levels, we observe that the price is currently trading near the key support level at 2,534.092. The Alligator indicator suggests a potential bearish trend, as its lines (Jaw, Teeth, Lips) are positioned above the price, indicating selling pressure. Recommendation: Sell Entry: If the price breaks below the support level at 2,534.092, it could be considered a signal to open a sell position with a target at the Fibonacci 0.382 level (2,726.744). Risk Management: Place a stop-loss above the 2,600.000 level to minimize risks. Note: It is recommended to monitor trading volumes and economic news that may impact gold prices before making any trading decisions.
TVC:GOLDLong
by stocksfox
4
Applied Materials Inc. Technical and Fundamental Aspects.Applied Materials, Inc. is an American corporation that supplies equipment, services and software for the manufacture of semiconductor (integrated circuit) chips for electronics, flat panel displays for computers, smartphones, televisions, and solar products. The company also supplies equipment to produce coatings for flexible electronics, packaging and other applications. U.S. chip stocks rise on Thursday, January 16th, after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co NYSE:TSM , the world's largest contract chipmaker, reported record quarterly profit today. In technical terms, Applied Materials stock was not among hyped and scorching-hot Trump-a-Rally assets in November, 2024. However the most important thing is that in December, 2024 AMAT stocks has been supported by 100-week SMA and now is forming breakthrough of descending top/ flat bottom technical figure, trying to print the biggest over past twelve months 4-weeks upside swing. In fundamental terms, Applied Materials NASDAQ:AMAT is presently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 22.12. This signifies a discount in comparison to the average Forward P/E of more than 25 for Semiconductors industry peers. Another Semiconductors industry peers are being trading as follow - a Forward P/E ratio for Nvidia Corp NASDAQ:NVDA is presently 53.30; for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing NYSE:TSM is 34.92; for Broadcom Inc NASDAQ:AVGO is 191.80; for Asml Holding NV NASDAQ:ASML is 40.08; and for Advanced Micro Devices Inc NASDAQ:AMD is 106.63. The main technical graph for Applied Materials Inc. NASDAQ:AMAT indicates on a forming breakthrough of descending top/ flat bottom technical figure. The nearest upside target is considered by our team as a 6-month highs near $ 215 a share, and the far target is considered as a Double Top technical figure around $ 250 a share, that can be achieved over next 6 months.
NASDAQ:AMATLong
by Pandorra
XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast LONGMain scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 2576.36 with a target of 2880.00 – 2976.66. A buy signal: the price holds above 2576.36. Stop Loss: below 2570.00, Take Profit: 2880.00 – 2976.66. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 2576.36 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 2464.30 – 2282.23. A sell signal: the level of 2576.36 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 2585, Take Profit: 2464.30 – 2282.23.recast for 10.01.25 – 17.01.25. The ascending fifth wave of larger degree 5 is presumably developing on the weekly chart...
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ShumbaFx07
How Bitcoin’s Recent Golden Cross Could Impact Your Crypto Bitcoin has been performing strongly on the charts since hitting a low of GETTEX:89K a week ago. The cryptocurrency’s value has risen to over $105,000 at the time of writing, marking an increase of over 11% in just a week. The recent gains have sparked optimism within the crypto community, with some speculating about a potential short-term rally. According to Burak Kesmeci from CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s 1-7 day UTXO average has crossed above the 7-30 day UTXO average. This crossover signifies that the average cost basis for Bitcoin acquired over the past week is rising, despite recent price hikes. This positive signal indicates that the ongoing price upswing is backed by fresh capital inflows.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by ShumbaFx07