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SL: $3,036.50 (Above premium institutional protection)🚀 **Ultra-Aggressive OverConfidence Trading Plan | XAU/USD | March 25, 2025 (London Session)** 🚀 🔥 **We trade to MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY!** 🔥 --- ## 📊 Ultra-Precise XAU/USD Market Analysis 🌐 ### 📊 Market Overview (Institutional Precision) - 💲 **Current Price:** $3,025.52 - 🚀 **Today's High:** $3,026.59 - 🛑 **Ultimate Resistance Zone (Premium R3):** $3,030 - $3,035 - 📉 **Pivot Point (Strong Institutional Level):** $3,016 - 📉 **Recently Flipped Resistance to Support (R2):** $3,023.50 (POC Level) - 📊 **Dynamic Institutional Support (50 EMA):** $3,015 - 🔻 **Psychological Institutional Floor (S1):** $3,010 --- ## 🏦 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Insights 🏦 ### 📉 **DXY Weakness – Fuel for Gold 🚀** - **Weakening USD (DXY)** anticipates softer US housing data release, fueling aggressive institutional buying of gold. ### 🏦 **Institutions Aggressively Accumulating:** - Strong institutional buying detected at $3,010 - $3,015. Heavy bullish interest actively driving gold upward. ### 📊 **Heavy Institutional Distribution Zones:** - Significant selling and profit-taking orders heavily stacked at Premium Resistance ($3,030 - $3,035). ### 🎯 **Liquidity Sweep – Institutional Trap 🚨** - High probability of market makers engineering liquidity sweeps into the Premium Zone ($3,030 - $3,035) before triggering aggressive sell-offs. ### 📈 **COT Institutional Positioning:** - Institutions remain heavily **net bullish** (long positions growing), supporting bullish momentum in the medium term but indicating profit-taking scenarios at higher premiums. --- ## ✅ **Technical Indicators (Aggressive Precision)** - ✔️ **Fibonacci Institutional Levels:** - **38.2%:** $3,015 (Perfect confluence with pivot & 50 EMA) - **50%:** $3,008 (Strong institutional accumulation zone) - **61.8%:** $3,002 (Deep Discount Institutional Buy Zone) - ✔️ **50 EMA & 200 EMA – Bullish Institutional Momentum:** - **50 EMA:** $3,015 | **200 EMA:** $3,005 (Bullish Control Confirmed) - ✔️ **RSI (7):** - Aggressive bullish momentum (65-70), nearing overbought. Prime for quick institutional-driven scalps. - ✔️ **VWAP (Institutional Level):** - $3,020 (Solid bullish institutional alignment) - ✔️ **Liquidity Zones (Institutional Control):** - **Buying Zones:** $3,010 - $3,015 (Active institutional buying) - **Selling Zones:** $3,030 - $3,035 (Institutions stacking sells aggressively) - ✔️ **MACD Momentum Confirmation:** - Bullish crossover on lower timeframes confirms immediate bullish bias. Monitor momentum fade in Premium zone. --- ## 📈 **Ultra-Aggressive Technical & Momentum Analysis 🚨** - **RSI/Stochastic Divergence:** - No bearish divergence detected, reinforcing bullish continuation short-term. - **MA Deviation & Retracement Alert:** - Slightly overextended price above 50 EMA suggests possible minor retracement at Premium Resistance. - **Institutional Volume Insight:** - Strong buying volumes pushing price higher, expect confrontation at heavy institutional sell walls ($3,030 - $3,035). --- ## 📢 **High-Confidence, Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan 🚨🔥** ### 🟢 **Immediate BUY SCALP (Momentum Continuation)** - 🎯 **Entry:** $3,023 - $3,025 (On pullbacks) - 🛡️ **SL:** $3,018 (below recent pivot) - 🚀 **TP:** $3,030 (Aggressively targeting institutional premium liquidity) ### 🔴 **High-Probability Institutional SELL SETUP** (Prime Trade🔥) - 🎯 **Entry (Aggressive Liquidity Sweep Zone):** $3,030 - $3,032 - 🛡️ **SL:** $3,036.50 (Above premium institutional protection) - 🚀 **TP 1:** $3,020 | **Extended TP 2:** $3,015 ### 📊 **Risk-Reward Ratio:** Minimum **3:1+** (Institutional discipline assured) --- ## 🚀 **🔥 FINAL ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE DECISION 🔥** - 📌 **Real-Time Verdict:** - Immediate: **BUY** 🟢 Aggressively scalp to Premium Zone ($3,030). - Strategic SELL 🔴 at Premium ($3,030-$3,032) post-clear liquidity sweep rejection confirmation. - 📌 **Institutional Money Flow:** - Currently aggressively pushing price towards the Premium Zone. Anticipate sharp selling activity once liquidity above $3,030 is swept. --- ## 🎯 **Fundamental & Economic Catalysts (Institutional Drivers)** 🔥 - 🚨 **US Economic Data (New Home Sales):** - Forecast mildly positive (0.5% MoM vs. previous -10.5%). - Stronger data: Temporarily bearish gold (short-term USD strength). - Weaker data: Bullish continuation for gold, aggressively targeting premium zone liquidity. - 🚨 **Market Sentiment:** - Prevailing **Risk-Off sentiment** aggressively supports bullish gold outlook. - 🚨 **Geopolitical Uncertainty:** - Ongoing global tensions continuously provide strong mid-term bullish support. --- ## 🛑 **CRITICAL RECOMMENDATIONS (Aggressive & Disciplined)** - Monitor volatility spike during upcoming news (New Home Sales in 3h 55m). - Respect strict SL/TP adherence to avoid unnecessary exposure. - Optimal SELL execution after clear bearish institutional candlestick rejection from Premium liquidity sweep. --- ## 🌟 **CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 80%+ Ultra-Aggressive Institutional Grade Execution 🚀** 🔥 **We trade to MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY!** 🔥 **No second guessing, only precise aggression. Let’s dominate the market NOW!** 📊✨💰🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
FCX - We had a great month, can we continue with the uptrend?FCX Looking for a potential buy! 🔍 Technical Context: FCX had a tremendous up-beat with 24% increase in the stock just in march! MACD Bullish Crossover: A clear bullish cross on the MACD confirmed upward momentum. RSI Strength: The RSI remains in bullish territory, signaling further upside potential. Favorable Risk-Reward Setup: The stock maintains support above breakout levels, offering an attractive trade opportunity. 📰 Fundamentals Analyst Upgrades: J.P. Morgan and Scotiabank both issued upgrades and increased their price targets, reflecting confidence in FCX’s future performance. Tariff Advantage: Potential U.S. tariffs on imported copper could benefit domestic producers like Freeport-McMoRan, increasing their advantage. Strategic Policy Support: FCX is advocating for copper to be classified as a critical mineral, which could unlock tax credits and boost annual profits by up to $500 million. 📌 Trade Plan 📈 Entry: 41.90 ✅ Target: 58.30 ❌ SL: 23.90 💡 Looking for a potential 35% increase!
NYSE:FCXLong
by DG55Capital
Price approaching OB POI with Trendline LiqPrice is currently bullish, structure turned bullish from last week's CHOCH and Mondays subsequent break of structures to make price bearish for the short=term, how short-term is price bearish for ? i have no idea but price will definitely still go for the ATH maybe inside this week or early next week which will be a new month (April). Right now, I'm bearish still hence this setup, it's actually a decent setup though (OB+IDM to take out the trendline liq) Disclaimer: Do your own analysis and please kindly risk what you can, apply proper risk and money management.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by LaBOSS_FX
US10Y: 10-Year Treasury Yield – Safe Bet or Yield Trap?(1/9) Good morning, everyone! ☀️ US10Y: 10-Year Treasury Yield – Safe Bet or Yield Trap? With the 10-year yield at 4.358%, is it time to lock in safety or wait for better rates? Let’s break it down! 🔍 (2/9) – YIELD PERFORMANCE 📊 • Current Yield: 4.358% as of Mar 25, 2025 💰 • Historical Context: Above pandemic lows (~1-2%), below early 2000s (5-6%), per data 📏 • Sector Trend: Inverted yield curve signals caution, per economic reports 🌟 It’s a mixed bag—let’s see what’s cooking! ⚙️ (3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈 • Safe Haven: U.S. Treasuries are risk-free ⏰ • Income Appeal: 4.358% yield draws income seekers 🎯 • Potential Upside: If rates fall, bond prices rise 🚀 Firm in safety, with growth potential! 🏦 (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑 • Inverted Yield Curve: 2-year yield higher, hinting at slowdown, per data 🌍 • Fed Outlook: Expected rate cuts later in 2025, per posts on X 📋 • Market Reaction: Investors balancing income with economic risks 💡 Navigating through uncertainty! 💪 (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡ • Interest Rate Risk: If rates rise, bond prices drop 🔍 • Inflation Risk: Erodes real returns if inflation outpaces yield 📉 • Opportunity Cost: Missing higher returns from stocks ❄️ It’s a trade-off—risks are real! 🛑 (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪 • Risk-Free: No default risk, backed by U.S. government 🥇 • Liquidity: Active market for trading, per data 📊 • Tax Benefits: Interest exempt from state, local taxes 🔧 Got solid foundations! 🏦 (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️ • Weaknesses: Interest rate and inflation risks, per economic reports 📉 • Opportunities: Capital gains from falling rates, diversification benefits 📈 Can it deliver both income and growth? 🤔 (8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢 US10Y at 4.358%—your take? 🗳️ • Bullish: Buy now, rates will fall soon 🐂 • Neutral: Hold, wait for more clarity ⚖️ • Bearish: Wait for higher yields or better opportunities 🐻 Chime in below! 👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯 US10Y offers a steady yield with safety, but with an inverted curve, caution is advised. Gem or bust?
TVC:US10Y
by DCAChampion
Parabolic rise after significant sideways movement.Technical and Sector Analysis of CPS Technologies Corp. (CPSH) CPS Technologies Corporation shows promising growth in several areas while technically being in a consolidation phase. The company underwent significant transformation in the fourth quarter of 2024, successfully replacing its expiring military armor contract with new business areas and having several promising research and development projects that could offer growth opportunities in the long term. Financial Situation and Performance Fourth Quarter 2024 Results CPS Technologies Corp. reported revenue of $5.9 million in the fourth quarter of the 2024 fiscal year, down from $6.7 million in the same period last year. The decline is attributed to the completion of the HybridTech Armor® contract for the U.S. Navy. Notably, revenue increased significantly by about 40% compared to the previous quarter, due to expanded production capacity and increased shipment volumes. In the fourth quarter, the company recorded a gross loss of $0.3 million (-4.6% gross margin) and a net loss of $1.0 million (-$0.07 per share), compared to a net income of $0.2 million in the previous year. This performance decline is partly due to the completion of the armor contract and start-up costs related to the production of AlSiC substrates. Annual Financial Indicators For the full fiscal year 2024, CPS Technologies reported revenue of $21.1 million, a 24% decrease from $27.6 million in 2023. The decline primarily resulted from the completion of the armor contract in April 2024. The annual gross profit was a loss of $0.1 million (-1%), compared to a profit of $6.8 million (25%) in 2023. Operating results significantly deteriorated: a loss of $4.4 million was recorded in 2024, compared to a profit of $1.7 million in 2023. The net result was a loss of $3.1 million in 2024, compared to a profit of $1.4 million in 2023, despite a tax benefit of $1.0 million. The basic loss per share was $0.22, compared to earnings of $0.09 per share in 2023. Key Contracts and Projects After the fourth quarter, the company secured three new Phase I SBIR (Small Business Innovation Research) contracts from the U.S. Army, each worth $250,000 over six months. This brings the total to six externally funded programs, including five SBIR projects. Two of the new contracts focus on artillery developments, and one aims to enhance the fuel efficiency and extend the range of military vehicles using the company's fiber-reinforced aluminum (FRA) technology. CPS Technologies also received a significant order worth approximately $12 million from a semiconductor customer for power module components and related solutions. Additionally, the company announced its first commercial radiation shielding sale, marking the first successful product expansion in many years. Technical Analysis Stock Price Situation and Volatility The CPSH stock is currently in a consolidation phase, with reduced volatility over recent times. The closing price on March 24, 2025, was $1.71, representing a 3.93% decline (-$0.07). After market close, the price further decreased to $1.62 (-5.26%). The stock received a technical rating of 6/10, indicating a moderate technical strength. Although not exceptionally strong, the stock shows a notable pattern and potential for a breakout following consolidation. Supports and Resistances Technical analysis identified two key support and two resistance zones. A significant resistance zone starts just above the current price at $1.79. This area could serve as a potential entry point if the price breaks through this resistance. It is positive that larger market players have shown interest in CPSH shares recently, which could add strength to a potential breakout. Trading Strategy Example A possible trading strategy could involve: Entry point: $1.80 (Buy Stop order just above the resistance zone) Exit point: $1.51 (Stop Loss order below the support zone) Potential loss: 0.29 points (16.11%) Portfolio management: With a 1.00% total portfolio risk, 6.21% of capital could be allocated to this trade It is crucial to note that the reliability of technical analysis signals depends on market conditions and generally works better in calmer market environments. Industry and Sector Analysis Business Operations CPS Technologies offers advanced material solutions across various markets, including transportation, automotive, energy, computing/internet, telecommunications, aerospace, and defense. The company's primary material solution is metal matrix composites (MMC), used to enhance performance and reliability in these sectors. Market Position and Strategy The company's products play a crucial role in the electrification of the green economy, used in high-speed trains, mass transit, hybrid and electric vehicles, wind turbines, and internet infrastructure. This provides diversified revenue streams, helping to offset the expiration of singular contracts like the armor project. The company's strategy focuses on leveraging its unique material technology capabilities and introducing new products. Developments such as radiation shielding and fiber-reinforced aluminum (FRA) enable the expansion of the product portfolio into promising new areas, including vehicles, aircraft, munitions, and industrial applications. Research and Development Activities CPS Technologies actively participates in externally funded research projects, demonstrating its ability to develop unique new solutions. A recent Phase II contract from the Department of Energy (worth $1.1 million) allows the continuation of the "Modular Radiation Shielding for Microreactor Delivery and Use" project. Additionally, the company received a $200,000 development contract from the U.S. Naval Air Systems Command (NAVAIR) to continue developing metal matrix composite solutions for applications requiring high strength with reduced weight. Outlook and Conclusion Future Opportunities CPS Technologies indicates favorable prospects for 2025. Management is optimistic about future performance, supported by an improving order backlog and growing demand for core products. After initial costs and efficiency challenges associated with introducing a third shift, the company is expected to benefit from increased production capacity. The company's participation in externally funded research projects and new product areas, such as radiation shielding, offer significant growth opportunities. The strategy focusing on leveraging unique material technology capabilities and introducing new products can create long-term value. Risks and Challenges CPS Technologies faces several challenges, including the difficulties of transitioning its business after the expiration of large contracts. The negative gross margin and operating loss in the 2024 fiscal year indicate the need for improved operational efficiency and cost structure. Industry-wide challenges, such as supply chain disruptions, inflationary pressures, and macroeconomic uncertainties, can also impact the company's performance. The success of technological developments and entry into new markets is not guaranteed. Investment Considerations The CPS Technologies stock is currently in a consolidation phase with moderate technical strength. The company's financial performance in 2024 deteriorated compared to the previous year, but the fourth quarter showed improving trends, and management is optimistic about 2025 prospects. For investors, CPSH offers growth potential through new product developments and government contracts, but also poses risks due to recent losses and uncertainties during the transition period. The diversified industry presence and participation in the green economy are long-term positive factors, while the stock's current technical picture suggests potential for a breakout following consolidation.
NASDAQ:CPSHLong
by meszaros
Bull Trap Confirmed: HOOD's 8% Rally Faces ExhaustionHey Traders after the success of our last month trade on Tesla hitting all targets more than 35%+ With a Similar Trade setup I bring you today the NASDAQ:HOOD Short opportunity on Hood Based on Technical + Fundamental View -Market structure -Head and shoulder pattern -Currently will be trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame. 1. Declining User Growth and Transaction-Based Revenue 2. Regulatory and Legal Challenges 3. Rising Costs and Profitability Pressures 4. Intense Industry Competition 5. Macroeconomic and Market Volatility Technical View Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a great Risk Reward ratio. Pro Tip Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone. Target 1 - 35.52$ Target 2 - 30.81$ Target 3 - 26.26$ Stop Loss - 44.72$ Fundamental View 1. Declining User Growth and Transaction-Based Revenue Robinhood’s revenue model relies heavily on Payment for Order Flow (PFOF), which makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in trading activity. After a pandemic-driven surge in 2020–2021, user growth stalled, with monthly active users dropping 34% YoY to 14 million by mid-2022. Transaction revenue fell 55% in Q2 2022, and while assets under custody grew to $140 billion by Q2 2024, the platform’s dependence on volatile crypto and meme-stock trading amplified revenue instability. 2. Regulatory and Legal Challenges The SEC’s scrutiny of PFOF and proposed trading rule changes threaten Robinhood’s core revenue source. In 2022, New York regulators fined Robinhood’s crypto unit $30 million for anti-money laundering violations. Ongoing legal risks, including backlash from the 2021 GameStop trading restrictions, have further eroded institutional trust. 3. Rising Costs and Profitability Pressures Operating expenses surged due to aggressive marketing, technology upgrades, and compliance investments. Despite workforce reductions (23% layoffs in 2022), profitability remains strained. The company’s shift toward diversified products like retirement accounts and credit cards has yet to offset these costs. 4. Intense Industry Competition Traditional brokers like Fidelity and Charles Schwab adopted zero-commission trading, neutralizing Robinhood’s initial edge. Newer platforms like Webull and Public.com also captured younger investors with advanced features, while Robinhood’s limited product range (e.g., lack of wealth management services) hindered retention of high-net-worth clients. 5. Macroeconomic and Market Volatility - Interest Rate Sensitivity: As a growth stock, HOOD declined amid rising rates in 2022–2023 and broader tech-sector sell-offs. - Recent Market Turmoil: On March 10, 2025, HOOD dropped 18% alongside crypto-linked stocks like Coinbase due to Bitcoin’s price volatility and fears of inflationary tariffs under new U.S. policies. - Retail Investor Pullback: Reduced discretionary investing and crypto crashes (e.g., Bitcoin’s 71% plunge in 2022) dampened trading activity. NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISE
NASDAQ:HOODShort
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
22
Breaking: KB Home (NYSE: KBH) On The Verge of a Selling SpreeShares of KB Home (NYSE: NYSE:KBH ) saw a 7% downtick early morning in Tuesday's premarket session breaking below the psychological support point of $60 enroute towards a selling spree. Operating as a homebuilding company in the United States, the company operates through four segments: West Coast, Southwest, Central, and Southeast. It builds and sells a variety of homes, including attached and detached single-family residential homes, townhomes, and condominiums primarily for first-time, first move-up, second move-up, and active adult homebuyers. Yesterday after market close KB Home report earnings results, posting lower profit and revenue in its fiscal first quarter, hurt by softer-than-expected demand. KB Home shares have declined 10% over the past year due to affordability pressures and elevated interest rates, with Q1 results showing significant demand slowdown. The company reported weak Q1 financials, with earnings and revenue misses, a 9% drop in deliveries, and a 17% fall in net orders. Elevated interest rates and increased supply have pressured margins and demand, particularly affecting first-time buyers, leading to reduced revenue guidance and operating margin Financial Performance In 2024, KB Home's revenue was $6.93 billion, an increase of 8.10% compared to the previous year's $6.41 billion. Earnings were $650.19 million, an increase of 10.97%. Technical Outlook As of the time of writing, shares of NYSE:KBH are down 7.20% on Tuesday's premarket trading with the asset facing selling pressure, should the RSI which is currently at 48 dip to 40, a bearish campaign would be inevitable- similarly, a move above the $72 pivot could change the course for NYSE:KBH shares. Analyst Forecast According to 13 analysts, the average rating for KBH stock is "Hold." The 12-month stock price forecast is $75.5, which is an increase of 22.19% from the latest price.
NYSE:KBHShort
by DEXWireNews
$XAUUSD (Gold): Golden Rally or Gilded Pause?(1/9) Good morning, everyone! ☀️ XAUUSD (Gold): Golden Rally or Gilded Pause? With gold at $3,020.82, is this safe-haven surge a treasure or a tease? Let’s sift through the shine! 🔍 (2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊 • Current Price: $ 3,020.82 per ounce as of Mar 25, 2025 💰 • Recent Move: Near $3,057 high from Mar 20, per data 📏 • Sector Trend: Precious metals up on tension, per posts on X 🌟 It’s a golden glow—let’s see if it holds! ⚙️ (3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈 • Global Role: Top safe-haven asset ⏰ • Drivers: Central bank buying, geopolitical risks 🎯 • Trend: Bullish near $3,000, per data 🚀 Firm as a refuge, shining in uncertainty! 🏦 (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑 • Geopolitical Boost: Trade tensions linger, per data 🌍 • U.S. Data: PMI strength supports USD, caps gold, per posts on X 📋 • Market Reaction: Consolidating near $3,020-$3,030 💡 Simmering in a tense market! 🌩️ (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡ • Profit-Taking: Post-$3,000 sales loom 🔍 • U.S. Rates: Policy shifts could hit, per data 📉 • Oil Prices: CAD link affects broader forex ❄️ It’s a shiny tightrope—watch your step! 🛑 (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪 • Safe Haven: Thrives in chaos, per posts on X 🥇 • Central Banks: Steady buying props it up 📊 • Green Demand: Key in renewables, per data 🔧 Got a golden backbone! 🌟 (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️ • Weaknesses: Volatility from profit-taking 📉 • Opportunities: More tensions, rate cuts 📈 Can it gleam higher or dim out? 🤔 (8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢 Gold at $3,020.82—your take? 🗳️ • Bullish: $3,100+ soon, rally rolls 🐂 • Neutral: Steady, risks balance out ⚖️ • Bearish: $2,950 looms, correction hits 🐻 Chime in below! 👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯 Gold’s $3,020.82 price tags a safe-haven rally 📈, but volatility’s in the mix 🌿. Dips are our DCA jackpot 💰—buy low, ride high! Gem or bust?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DCAChampion
GOLD just start for BULLISH or shift to BEARISH?Hello guys... i wish you have a good trading days so far. I will give you my analysis for GOLD in current condition. I need you to see my analysis before so you have complete understanding about GOLD movement. Fundamental Factor that Moves GOLD 1. As we all know, last weekend there is a conflict between Hamas and Israel after 2 month's ceasefire. It's not a good news. 16 people were died. Netanyahu stated that Israel attack just a beginning of higher attacking. US mission to make a peace in Middle East seems far a away. This factor will make demand higher for GOLD (for a long period of course) . 2. Russia - Ukraine peace agreement seems find a hard way. Trump administrations must give high effort to push both Russia and Ukraine to stop war. Last, Trump just stopped weapon delivery for Ukraine although some country in eurozone still supporting Ukraine with their weapon. 3. FED still have a high chance to do more than 2 rate cut this year. We would see in three-months later if inflation goes down and unemployment rate comes higher so THE FED will revise it's SEP and give lower rate, i think. It will pump GOLD higher if geopolitical factor still on fire, of course. Technical Movement Technically, GOLD just make a new higher high around $3055/ounce. Current movement seems just a pullback and i see 2968-2971 as a support level for GOLD. If seller hold position, it may comes to 2945-2948 and we will evaluate again later. But, if seller have no gains, i will see support on 2987-2990 and GOLD will comeback to it's nature, bullish. If GOLD pass 3033 level in short terms, i will say that it could be back to 3055 or higher. What's your opinion guys???
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by vicariuzchrist
Silver (XAG/USD) Double Top Reversal – Bearish Trading SetupThe provided 1-hour chart for Silver (XAG/USD) presents a well-structured bearish trade setup, highlighting key price action patterns, technical indicators, and confluence factors that suggest a potential downside move. Let's analyze the chart step by step to understand the logic behind this bearish trade setup. 1. Market Structure & Trend Overview Silver (XAG/USD) has been in a short-term uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline. However, the trend now shows signs of exhaustion, with a clear shift in market behavior. The price action reveals the formation of a double top at a strong resistance level, coupled with a Change of Character (CHOCH), which signals a possible reversal. A break below the trendline suggests that the bullish momentum is losing strength, and sellers are beginning to dominate the market. The combination of these elements makes this setup a high-probability short trade opportunity. 2. Key Technical Levels & Zones A. Resistance Zone ($33.96 - $34.20) – The Selling Pressure Area The chart marks a clear resistance zone, where price has struggled to break higher. Two price rejections from this level indicate that sellers are actively defending this region. This zone serves as an ideal stop-loss area for short trades, as a breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. B. Double Top Formation – Reversal Pattern The price tested the resistance zone twice and failed to establish new highs, forming a double top structure. A double top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The second top (Top 2) aligns with a downward trendline, further confirming that sellers are stepping in at lower levels. C. Support Level ($32.60 - $32.80) – Initial Reaction Zone This area has previously acted as a demand zone where buyers stepped in. If the price breaks below this support, it would confirm further downside movement towards the final target. D. Trendline Breakdown – Loss of Bullish Momentum The dotted trendline represents the previous bullish trend, supporting price action for several days. A break below this trendline suggests a structural shift in market dynamics, meaning buyers are losing control. The failure to reclaim the trendline increases the probability of a deeper move downward. E. Target Level ($32.11 - $32.20) – The Bearish Objective The projected target is based on the double top’s measured move, which suggests a price drop to at least $32.11. This level also coincides with previous historical price action, making it a strong confluence zone for profit-taking. 3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan 📌 Entry Point: Aggressive Entry: Short position around $33.40 - $33.50, near the second top where price rejected the trendline. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed break and retest of the support level at $32.80 before entering short. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement: The stop-loss should be placed above the resistance zone at $33.96. This level ensures that the trade is invalidated if the price breaks out higher. 📌 Take-Profit Target: Primary Target: $32.60, which is the first support level where price may temporarily react. Final Target: $32.11, aligning with the double top breakdown target and historical support. 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: A minimum 1:2 risk-reward ratio, meaning for every 1% risked, there is a potential 2%+ gain. This makes the trade favorable in terms of risk management. 4. Confluence Factors Supporting the Bearish Outlook ✅ Double Top Formation – A classic bearish reversal pattern. ✅ Lower Highs Formation – Indicates increasing selling pressure. ✅ Trendline Breakdown – A significant loss of bullish momentum. ✅ Resistance Zone Rejection – Strong seller presence. ✅ CHOCH (Change of Character) – Confirms a shift in market sentiment. 5. Risk Management & Alternative Scenario 📌 What If Price Moves Against the Trade? If the price breaks above $33.96, the bearish outlook becomes invalid, and a potential bullish continuation could follow. In this case: Stop-loss is triggered, and the setup is considered invalid. Traders should then wait for a new setup before re-entering the market. 📌 Market Conditions to Monitor: Volatility: Ensure there is enough momentum in the market before entering. Volume Confirmation: A break below support should have strong volume. News Events: Watch out for fundamental catalysts, such as US Dollar strength, economic data, and geopolitical events, which could influence Silver’s price movement. 6. Final Thoughts & Summary This chart setup provides a clear bearish trade opportunity based on technical analysis. The combination of double top formation, resistance rejection, trendline breakdown, and lower highs strongly supports the idea of further downside movement. 💡 Key Takeaways: Bearish bias is valid as long as price stays below $33.96. Target is set at $32.11, with an intermediate support at $32.60. Risk-to-reward is favorable, making it an ideal short trade setup. If the market follows this expected scenario, this trade has the potential to yield significant profit while maintaining disciplined risk management. However, always stay alert to market conditions and adjust strategies accordingly.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Nears $3,010, PCE in FocusGold hovered around $3,010 per ounce after three straight losses as markets observed Trump’s mixed tariff signals. He suggested possible levies on cars and Venezuelan oil but hinted some countries may be exempt from next week’s reciprocal tariffs, creating uncertainty. Gold remained supported, though pressure came from Fed official Raphael Bostic, who forecast slower inflation progress and just one 25bps rate cut this year. Friday’s PCE data is now awaited for more clues on the Fed’s next move.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
CHF/USD – Double Bottom Reversal Setup - Trading SetupComprehensive Analysis of CHF/USD 4-Hour Chart The CHF/USD 4-hour chart presents a technical trading setup based on a Double Bottom reversal pattern, combined with trendline support and key resistance levels. This pattern suggests a potential bullish breakout if key resistance is cleared. Below is a professional breakdown of the chart, covering the market structure, pattern formation, and a strategic trading setup. 1️⃣ Market Structure & Trend Analysis The overall market structure suggests that CHF/USD has been in an uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline that has consistently provided support. The price has recently tested a key support zone twice, forming the Double Bottom pattern, which is known for signaling a trend reversal or continuation of an uptrend. The dashed trendline connecting higher lows confirms the bullish momentum. As long as the price stays above this trendline support, the bullish bias remains valid. A break below the trendline would indicate a possible reversal or a deeper retracement. The most critical observation here is that the price is respecting both the trendline and horizontal support zone, which increases the likelihood of a breakout in the upward direction. 2️⃣ Double Bottom Pattern Formation The Double Bottom pattern is clearly formed at a strong demand zone, reinforcing the idea that buyers are stepping in to prevent further declines. The first bottom was formed after a rejection from the 1.1250 - 1.1290 support zone. The price then attempted to recover but faced resistance at 1.1350 - 1.1400, which now acts as the neckline of the pattern. The second bottom was formed at approximately the same price level as the first, confirming the validity of the pattern. A Double Bottom pattern is considered bullish, but confirmation is required through a breakout above the neckline resistance (1.1350 - 1.1400). If the price successfully breaks this level, it will indicate that buyers have regained control and the price is likely to move higher. 3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Levels In this setup, there are three crucial price zones: support, resistance, and the target area. The support zone, located around 1.1250 - 1.1290, is where buyers stepped in to push the price higher. This level is crucial because it provided strong demand during the formation of the Double Bottom. The resistance level at 1.1350 - 1.1400 serves as the neckline of the pattern. A breakout above this level would confirm the bullish trend continuation, while rejection could lead to another retest of support. The target area is projected around 1.1500 - 1.1550, based on the measured move of the Double Bottom formation. This is the price level where traders may start taking profits if the bullish breakout occurs. 4️⃣ Trade Execution Plan To take advantage of this potential setup, traders should focus on three key aspects: entry, stop-loss placement, and take-profit levels. Entry Strategy Aggressive traders can enter a long position above 1.1350, anticipating an immediate breakout. Conservative traders may wait for a break and retest of the 1.1350 - 1.1400 zone, which would act as a confirmation for a sustained bullish move. Stop-Loss Placement A logical stop-loss should be set below 1.1138, which is beneath the Double Bottom formation and trendline support. If the price drops below this level, it would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a potential trend reversal. Profit Targets The first target zone lies around 1.1450 - 1.1500, where traders may consider securing partial profits. The extended target zone is 1.1550, which aligns with the expected measured move of the Double Bottom pattern. 5️⃣ Risk Management & Final Considerations Since this setup is based on a strong trendline support and bullish pattern, risk management is essential to protect against fake breakouts or sudden trend reversals. Traders should monitor price action near the 1.1350 - 1.1400 resistance zone. A strong bullish candle closing above this area increases the likelihood of a successful breakout. If the price fails to break out and starts moving lower, it may indicate that sellers are still in control, which could lead to a deeper correction toward 1.1200 or lower. 6️⃣ Summary & TradingView Idea This CHF/USD 4-hour chart presents a high-probability bullish setup based on a Double Bottom reversal at a strong support zone. The key confirmation level to watch is 1.1350 - 1.1400, which, if broken, will likely push the price toward 1.1500 - 1.1550. Entry: Buy above 1.1350 or after a breakout retest. Stop Loss: Below 1.1138 to avoid false breakouts. Take Profit: First target at 1.1450 - 1.1500, extended target at 1.1550. This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it a strong potential trading opportunity. However, traders should always wait for confirmation signals before entering a position. 🚀
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Is the Euro's Stability a Mirage?The Euro Currency Index stands at a crossroads, its future clouded by a confluence of political, economic, and social forces that threaten to unravel the very fabric of Europe. Rising nationalism, fueled by demographic shifts and economic fragility, is driving political instability across the continent. This unrest, particularly in economic powerhouses like Germany, triggers capital flight and erodes investor confidence. Meanwhile, geopolitical realignments—most notably the U.S.'s strategic pivot away from Europe—are weakening the euro's global standing. As these forces converge, the eurozone's once-solid foundation appears increasingly fragile, raising a critical question: is the stability of the euro merely an illusion? Beneath the surface, deeper threats loom. Europe's aging population and shrinking workforce exacerbate economic stagnation, while the European Union's cohesion is tested by fragmentation risks, from Brexit's lingering effects to Italy's debt woes. These challenges are not isolated; they feed into a cycle of uncertainty that could destabilize financial markets and undermine the euro's value. Yet, history reminds us that Europe has weathered storms before. Its ability to adapt—through political unity, economic reform, and innovation—could determine whether the euro emerges stronger or succumbs to the pressures mounting against it. The path forward is fraught with complexity, but it also presents an opportunity. Will Europe confront its demographic and political challenges head-on, or will it allow hidden vulnerabilities to dictate its fate? The answer may reshape not only the euro's trajectory but the future of global finance itself. As investors, policymakers, and citizens watch this drama unfold, one thing is clear: the euro's story is far from over, and its next chapter demands bold vision and decisive action. What do you see in the shadows of this unfolding crisis?
NASDAQ:XDEShort
by UDIS_View
ETFs vs Mutual Funds: Differences and Advantages ETFs vs Mutual Funds: Differences and Advantages Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and mutual funds are two of the most popular investment options, each offering unique features and advantages. While both provide access to diversified portfolios, their differences in structure, management, and trading make them suitable for different strategies. This article breaks down the key distinctions between exchange-traded funds vs mutual funds and how to choose between them. What Are ETFs? Exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, are investment vehicles that allow traders to access a diverse range of assets through a single product. An ETF is essentially a basket of investments—such as stocks, bonds, or commodities—that typically tracks the performance of an index, sector, or specific theme. For example, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) follows the S&P 500 index, providing exposure to the largest companies listed on US stock exchanges. What sets ETFs apart is how they’re traded. Unlike mutual funds, which are only bought or sold at the end of the trading day, ETFs trade on stock exchanges throughout the day, just like individual shares. This means their prices fluctuate as demand and supply change, giving traders the flexibility to enter or exit positions at market prices. ETFs are known for their cost-effectiveness, as most are passively managed to mirror the performance of an index rather than exceed it. This passive structure usually leads to lower management fees compared to actively managed funds. Additionally, ETFs are often transparent, with their holdings disclosed daily, so investors know exactly what they’re buying. ETFs come in various types, from those focused on specific sectors, like technology or healthcare, to broader options covering entire economies or bond markets. This variety makes them a popular choice for traders and investors looking to diversify or target specific market opportunities. What Are Mutual Funds? Mutual funds are investment products that pool money from multiple investors to create a diversified portfolio, typically managed by a professional fund manager. These funds invest in a wide range of assets, including stocks, bonds, and other securities, depending on the fund’s objective. For instance, an equity mutual fund focuses on stocks, while a bond fund invests primarily in fixed-income securities. One defining feature of mutual funds is their pricing. Unlike ETFs, mutual funds aren’t traded on stock exchanges. Instead, they are bought and sold at the fund’s net asset value (NAV), which is calculated at the end of each trading day. This makes them more suited to long-term investment strategies. Mutual funds often appeal to investors looking for a hands-off approach. The fund manager handles the selection and management of assets, aiming to achieve the fund’s stated goals—whether that’s generating income, preserving capital, or achieving long-term growth. However, this active management comes with higher fees compared to ETFs. These costs include management fees and sometimes additional charges like entry or exit loads, which can eat into returns over time. Mutual funds also often require a minimum investment, making them less accessible for some investors. That said, they offer a wide variety of options, from sector-specific funds to diversified portfolios, providing flexibility for different investment goals and risk preferences. Are There Differences Between an ETF and a Mutual Fund? ETFs and mutual funds share similarities—they both allow investors to pool money into diversified portfolios. However, the differences between ETFs and mutual funds can significantly impact which one is better suited to an investor’s goals. Trading and Pricing ETFs are traded on stock exchanges continuously during market hours, similar to individual shares. Price fluctuations are based on market demand and supply. In contrast, mutual funds are priced only once per day after the market closes, based on the fund’s net asset value (NAV). This makes ETFs more appealing for those seeking flexibility and the ability to react to market movements, while mutual funds cater to long-term investors less concerned with intraday price changes. Management Style ETFs are mostly passively managed, designed to track the performance of a specific index, sector, or asset class. Mutual funds, on the other hand, often feature active management. This involves fund managers selecting assets to outperform the market, which can offer potential opportunities for higher returns but also comes with increased costs. Fees and Costs ETFs typically come with a lower expense ratio compared to mutual funds, making them more cost-efficient. This is due to their passive management approach and lower operational costs. Mutual funds may charge higher fees to cover active management and administrative expenses. Additionally, mutual funds may have extra costs like sales charges or redemption fees, whereas ETFs incur standard brokerage commissions. Liquidity When considering mutual funds versus ETFs, liquidity becomes a critical factor, as ETF prices change intraday, while mutual funds are limited to end-of-day pricing. This difference can influence how quickly you can access your funds. Tax Efficiency ETFs tend to be more tax-efficient because of their structure. When investors sell ETF shares, transactions occur directly between buyers and sellers on the exchange, limiting taxable events. In mutual funds, redemptions often require the fund manager to sell securities, which can result in capital gains distributed to all investors in the fund. Minimum Investment Mutual funds often require a minimum initial investment, which can range from a few hundred to thousands of dollars. ETFs, however, don’t have such requirements—traders can purchase as little as a single share, making them more accessible for those with smaller starting capital. ETF CFD Trading ETF CFD trading offers a flexible way for traders to speculate on the price movements of exchange-traded funds without the need to buy them on stock exchanges. CFDs, or Contracts for Difference, are derivative products that track the price of an ETF, allowing traders to take positions on whether the price will rise or fall. This approach is particularly appealing for short-term speculation, making it a useful complement to traditional long-term ETF or mutual fund investing. Flexibility One of the standout features of ETF CFDs is their flexibility. Unlike investing directly in ETFs, CFD trading enables you to capitalise on price fluctuations without owning ETF shares. Traders can go long if they anticipate a rise in the ETF’s value or short if they expect a decline. This ability to trade in both directions can potentially create opportunities in both bullish and bearish markets. Moreover, CFDs allow for trading over shorter timeframes like 1-minute or 5-minute charts, providing potential opportunities for scalpers and day traders. Leverage Leverage is another significant feature of ETF CFDs. With leverage, traders can gain larger exposure to an ETF’s price movements with smaller initial capital. For example, using 5:1 leverage, a $1,000 position would control $5,000 worth of ETF exposure. However, you should remember that while this magnifies potential returns, losses are also amplified, making risk management a critical component of trading CFD products. Costs Actively managed ETFs can charge expense ratios to cover management and operational costs. CFDs eliminate these fees, as traders don’t directly invest in the ETF’s assets. However, both ETF investing and ETF CFD trading include brokerage fees or spreads. Wider Range of Markets With CFDs, traders can access a variety of global ETF markets through a single platform. This reduces the need to open accounts in different jurisdictions, saving on administrative and currency conversion costs. CFD trading is popular among traders who want to take advantage of short-term price movements, diversify their strategies, or access ETF markets straightforwardly. While traditional ETFs are often favoured for long-term growth, ETF CFDs provide an active, fast-paced alternative for traders looking to react quickly to market changes. Use Cases for ETFs and Mutual Funds In comparing ETFs vs mutual funds, it’s important to recognise their use cases based on an investor’s goals, strategies, and time horizons. ETFs ETFs are used by investors seeking flexibility and real-time market engagement. They are attractive for those who want to take advantage of price movements or actively manage their portfolios. For example, an investor might focus on sector-specific ETFs, like technology or energy, to capitalise on industry trends. ETFs also offer a lower-cost option for diversification, making them useful for those building broad exposure across markets without significant capital. Additionally, ETFs may be effective for hedging. An investor with exposure to a specific market segment can use an ETF to potentially offset risks, especially in volatile markets. For instance, during an anticipated downturn in equities, an inverse ETF could be used to possibly mitigate losses. Mutual Funds Mutual funds are popular among long-term investors prioritising professional management. Their hands-off approach makes them appealing to individuals who prefer not to monitor markets daily. For instance, someone saving for retirement might opt for a diversified mutual fund that balances risk and growth over time. Mutual funds are also advantageous for accessing specialised strategies, such as actively managed funds focusing on niche markets or themes. While they typically involve higher fees, the tailored management can align with specific financial objectives. Factors for Choosing Between ETFs and Mutual Funds Selecting between mutual funds vs ETF options depends on an investor’s financial goals, trading style, and the level of involvement they are comfortable with in managing their investments. - Time Horizon: ETFs are popular among short- to medium-term investors and traders who prefer flexibility and the ability to follow intraday price movement. Mutual funds, on the other hand, are mostly used by long-term investors focused on gradual growth or income over time. - Cost Sensitivity: ETFs generally have lower expense ratios and no minimum investment requirements, making them cost-efficient. Mutual funds often involve higher management fees and, in some cases, additional charges like entry or exit fees, which can add up over time. - Active vs Passive Management: If you’re looking for a hands-off approach with professional oversight, actively managed mutual funds might be more appealing. However, if you prefer to track indices or specific sectors at a lower cost, ETFs might be more suitable. - Liquidity Needs: Investors who need quick access to their capital often prefer ETFs because they can be traded throughout the day. Mutual funds lack this intraday liquidity, as transactions are only processed at the trading day’s end. The Bottom Line Understanding the differences between mutual funds vs exchange-traded funds is crucial for selecting the right investment approach. ETFs offer flexibility and cost-efficiency, while mutual funds are popular among long-term investors seeking professional management. For those interested in ETF CFD trading, which allows traders trade in rising and falling markets, opening an FXOpen account provides access to a diverse range of ETF markets alongside competitive trading conditions. FAQ What Is an ETF vs Mutual Fund? An ETF is a fund traded on stock exchanges, offering intraday liquidity and lower fees, typically tracking an index or sector. A mutual fund pools investor money for professional management, priced once at the end of a trading day at its net asset value per share. Mutual Funds and ETFs: Differences ETFs trade like stocks, are generally more cost-efficient, and offer intraday liquidity. Mutual funds are actively managed, have higher fees, and are designed for long-term investing with end-of-day pricing. Is the S&P 500 an ETF or a Mutual Fund? The S&P 500 itself is an index, not a fund. However, it can be tracked by both ETFs (like SPDR S&P 500 ETF) and mutual funds, offering similar exposure but with differing management styles and fee structures. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by FXOpen
1
ADA Poised for a Bullish Breakout? Key Levels to Watch!🔹 Current Market Structure: #ADA is moving sideways in an accumulation phase on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating potential strength for an upcoming bullish move. 🔹 Bullish Confirmation: We are closely monitoring a breakout above the resistance level. A confirmed candle close above the accumulation zone with a successful retest would signal a strong buy opportunity. 🔹 Trading Plan: 🔹 Wait for a break and retest above the resistance. 🔹 Enter a long trade with proper risk management. 🔹 Target key resistance zones for potential profits. 🔹 What’s Your Take? Will #ADA break out or get rejected? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔹 Like, Comment & Follow for more real-time updates!
Long
by mudusir
Osaka Protocol ($OSAK) Gears Up for a Surge!$OSAK has broken out of a falling wedge pattern, climbing 5% today, signaling potential upside momentum. The decentralized finance initiative, which emphasizes equal ownership and responsibility, once soared to nearly $300M market cap before retracing to its current $44M valuation. With growing momentum and rising hype, RSI at 65 hints at further bullish movement. Since late February 2025, $OSAK has been in a falling wedge, mirroring the broader market downturn, shedding 71% of its value—but this breakout could mark a turning point. Osaka Protocol Price Live Data The live Osaka Protocol price today is $0.00000006.04 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $73,505.72 USD. Osaka Protocol is up 5.79% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $45,315,303 USD. It has a circulating supply of 750,869,738,630,302 OSAK coins and a max. supply of 1,000,000,000,000,000 OSAK coins.
CRYPTO:OSAKUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
The impact of Trump's tariffs on the copper marketBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The copper market is going through a decisive phase, influenced by political and economic factors that could alter its behavior in the coming months. The return of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency and his reactivation of tariff policies has generated expectations of a new record in the price of the red metal since the beginning of the year. Executives of the copper sector indicated at that time that its value could exceed 13,000 dollars per ton (approximately 404.35 dollars per ounce). One troy ounce is equivalent to 31.1034768 grams; therefore, there are 32.15074657 troy ounces in 1 kg. This means that the value of copper is multiplied by 32.1 times, a level that was already surpassed on Tuesday with its current price at 517 dollars per ounce. United States accumulates copper while China suffers shortages Trade tensions have led to a redistribution of global supply. It is estimated that 500,000 tons are being diverted to the U.S., which is drastically reducing stocks in China, the world's largest consumer. This supply imbalance could put further pressure on prices. Factors driving the rise in copper prices 1. Electrification and renewable energies: The growing adoption of electric vehicles and the expansion of electric infrastructures increase the demand for copper. 2. Production constraints: Chile and Peru, the world's leading producers, face disruptions due to labor disputes, environmental regulations and lower investment in mining infrastructure. 3. U.S. trade policy: Tighter tariffs have encouraged the accumulation of reserves in the U.S. and other countries, further restricting global supply and putting upward pressure on prices. 4. Restrictions on the export of scrap from the EU: The European Union is evaluating the implementation of tariffs on the export of scrap, which could impact the supply of raw material for the production of refined copper. This measure seeks to strengthen the domestic industry and reduce dependence on third countries, but could also affect the global supply of the metal. 5. Geopolitical instability: International conflicts, trade sanctions and changes in central banks' monetary policies influence copper prices. Industrial demand from China continues to be a determining factor in the market equation. Copper price outlook In 2021, the metal reached an all-time high of $10,700 per tonne at $505 per ounce. Now, with the combination of growing demand and increasingly tight supply, the market could surpass this level. The evolution of trade policies and China's response will be decisive in its trajectory. Looking at the chart, it reached a new high of $518.45 on Monday. The current price oscillates between $510 and $512, showing an accumulation structure by institutional traders initiated in the last impulse of March 11. The control point (POC) is distant at around $477 per ounce, and the volume distribution shows a third dominance zone near $512. Since March 11, the golden crossover of the moving averages has facilitated bullish expansion, although the 50-average has brushed the 100-average on several occasions. Currently, both averages are in price confluence, which coincides with an RSI that has corrected from 71.84% to 54.40%. This movement could indicate the possibility of a new upward momentum that takes the price above $535. Impact of tariff measures on the industry. If Trump ultimately ends up implementing new tariffs on industrial metals, it could drastically alter the flow of global copper trade. Tariffs on imports could incentivize domestic copper mining in the U.S. and raise costs for importers, affecting the competitiveness of manufacturing companies. On the other hand, China may be forced to diversify its sources of supply or develop technological alternatives to reduce its dependence on imported copper. In addition, restrictions on the export of scrap by the European Union could influence the availability of recycled copper, a key source for industrial production in China and other markets. The EU seeks to reduce the leakage of strategic materials, which could lead to higher prices on the international market for all rare metals and materials. Conclusion Copper is at a turning point. The combination of production restrictions, increased global demand and protectionist policies could push its price to record levels. The evolution of the geopolitical and economic context will be key to define the direction of the market in the coming months. Investors and companies in the sector will have to pay close attention to the evolution of trade policies and the response of the main market players in order to anticipate possible movements in copper prices. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:COPPERK2025Long
by ActivTrades
How to Track Inflation NumberHow to track inflation number? When the Fed mentions their 2% inflation target, are they referring to the commonly published CPI that we often read about, or are they referring to Core CPI or Core PCE? 10-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 10Y Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIACLong
by konhow
1
Exact Entry: $3,020–$3,021📌 Market Overview (Institutional Precision): 💲 Current Price: $3,018.35 🚀 High of the Day: $3,021.13 🛑 Major Resistance (R3): $3,025 – $3,026 (Strong Order Block Zone) 📉 Pivot Point: $3,016.04 (Recent significant support/resistance flip) 📉 Recently Broken Resistance (now Support): $3,016.00 (key short-term support) 📊 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): ~$3,011.50 area (maintaining bullish short-term momentum) 🔻 Psychological Support (S1): $3,010.00 🔍 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity: 📊 Liquidity Map: Strong liquidity and major sell orders clustered around the $3,025–$3,026 area. Institutions are likely defending this zone aggressively. Buy-side liquidity pools evident at $3,010–$3,006, suggesting institutions might drive price towards this area for liquidity sweeps before another rally. 🏦 Market Makers' Moves: Currently engineering price action to lure retail buyers near the equilibrium and preparing a potential liquidity sweep above $3,021 to trap late buyers before pushing down again. 📈 COT Data Insight: Current institutional positioning remains cautiously bearish in short-term, with recent distribution in higher zones ($3,025–$3,035). Institutions seem to prefer selling on rallies rather than buying aggressively here. 📉 Recent Headlines Impact on XAU/USD: U.S. Economic Data & Fed Impact: Mixed U.S. economic data suggesting uncertainty on Fed’s future interest rate cuts. A neutral to slightly hawkish stance could pressure gold slightly downward. No immediate aggressive Fed rate cuts are expected; this limits upside momentum for gold temporarily. Market Sentiment: Currently mixed sentiment: neither clearly risk-on nor fully risk-off. This indecisiveness is creating range-bound volatility rather than sustained trending moves in gold. Geopolitical Developments: Moderate uncertainty persists globally, providing background support for gold, but not strong enough to fuel significant bullish momentum at current prices. Overall News Impact: Slightly neutral to bearish short-term impact on gold. Institutional preference currently leans toward distribution at recent highs rather than aggressive accumulation. ✅ Key Technical Indicators (Precision Setup): ✔️ Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Key Retracement Resistance at 50%–61.8% ($3,021–$3,026) from recent down-swing. Price currently testing this crucial level. ✔️ Moving Averages (50 EMA & 200 EMA): Price remains slightly above the 50 EMA (bullish short-term momentum), but far below critical high resistance zones. Bearish structure on higher timeframes (4H) is clear. ✔️ RSI (7): Approaching overbought territory on short-term charts, signaling potential exhaustion in current bullish momentum. ✔️ VWAP: Currently around $3,016 (Pivot Point), institutional price magnet area for potential retest. ✔️ MACD: Slight bearish crossover signals emerging, indicating weakening bullish momentum. 📈 Deep Technical Analysis & Execution: ⚡ Momentum Divergence (RSI & MACD): Recent candle patterns on 15-min and 1-hour charts show weakening bullish momentum, creating bearish divergence signals. 📊 Volume Analysis: The recent bullish candles show declining volume; buying pressure seems to be fading as the price approaches strong institutional resistance. 📉 Order Flow Dynamics: The presence of a strong Point of Control (POC) at $3,023.00–$3,025.00 suggests heavy selling orders waiting at these premium price levels. 📢 Final Institutional Verdict & Best Trade Setup: 🔴 SELL (High-Confidence, Institutional-Grade Setup) 🎯 Ideal SELL Entry: $3,020–$3,021 (Premium institutional zone, optimal short entry on retest) 🛡️ Stop-Loss (SL): $3,026.50 (Tight stop above major liquidity pool, ensuring minimal risk exposure) 📉 Take-Profit (TP) Targets: TP1: $3,011 (Immediate liquidity zone & strong short-term support) TP2: $3,006 (Extended institutional liquidity grab area for larger profit potential) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: Excellent R:R of approximately 3:1 to 4:1, satisfying strict institutional-grade risk management. 📌 Trade Probability: Confidence level: 75%-80%. High probability setup aligned clearly with institutional order flow, liquidity analysis, and technical indicators. 🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILKING THE MARKET STRATEGY 🚀✨: 📌 Direct Real-Time Verdict: 🔴 SELL 📌 Exact Entry: $3,020–$3,021 📌 SL: $3,026.50 📌 Optimal TP: $3,011 / Extended TP: $3,006 Institutional money is likely distributing at current levels, actively preparing to push price lower towards identified liquidity pools. ✨ TRADE SMART, TRADE WITH INSTITUTIONS – DOMINATE & MILK THE MARKET! 💰🚀📉
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
XAU/USD Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakdown – Trading Setup📌 Chart Overview The chart represents the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, where the price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern consists of a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating market indecision. However, as price approaches the apex of the triangle, a breakout is imminent, making this a high-probability trading opportunity. The analysis suggests a potential bearish breakdown, with price action likely to drop toward key support levels if the lower boundary of the triangle is breached. 📊 Breakdown of Key Chart Elements 1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation The symmetrical triangle is a well-known technical pattern that signals a period of consolidation before a significant move. It forms when: Buyers and sellers struggle for control, resulting in a narrowing price range. A breakout occurs when one side gains dominance, leading to an expansion in volatility. In this chart, the price is trapped within the triangle, gradually forming a squeeze, and a breakout is highly likely. 2. Resistance & Support Levels Understanding key support and resistance zones is crucial in determining the next price direction. 🟧 Resistance Zone (~3,030 – 3,058 USD) Marked in yellow, this area has acted as a strong resistance. Multiple rejection points suggest that bulls are struggling to push prices higher. If price breaks above this zone, it could trigger a bullish rally. 🟦 Support Level (~2,990 USD) This is a critical support zone that has been tested multiple times. The lower boundary of the triangle aligns with this level. A clean breakdown will likely trigger stop losses and aggressive selling pressure. 📉 Expected Breakdown & Price Projection The price is currently trading near the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle. Based on technical probabilities, the higher likelihood is a breakdown, which is why the trade setup leans towards a short-selling opportunity. 3. Retesting Area (~3,015 – 3,020 USD) If price breaks below the triangle, it may retest the broken support before continuing downward. The retesting area is a critical zone where sellers may re-enter to drive prices lower. A failed retest (bounce back inside the triangle) would invalidate the bearish setup. 📈 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan This setup presents a well-structured short-selling opportunity based on the expected breakdown scenario. 🔽 Short Entry Strategy Entry Confirmation: Short position can be taken once price breaks and closes below 2,990 USD (triangle support). Retest Entry: If price retests the breakdown zone (around 3,015 – 3,020 USD) and rejects, it confirms the bearish bias. Aggressive Entry: Traders who take early positions can enter a short once price approaches the lower triangle boundary with a tight stop-loss. 🎯 Target Levels Upon confirmation of a breakdown, price action is likely to follow a measured move toward the following downside targets: Target 1: 2,942 USD (first major support level) Target 2: 2,920 USD (next key demand zone) These levels are determined by previous price reactions and historical support zones. 🛑 Stop-Loss Placement To manage risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the recent swing high to protect against a fake breakout. Safe Stop Loss: Above 3,058 USD (strong resistance zone). Aggressive Stop Loss: Just above the breakout retest zone (~3,030 USD). 📌 Market Psychology & Risk Management Traders should consider the psychological aspects behind this setup: Bullish traders may attempt to defend the support zone, but a failure will lead to panic selling. Smart money (institutional traders) often use fake breakouts to trap early sellers before driving the price lower. Wait for confirmation before entering trades to avoid being caught in false moves. Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) Entry: ~2,990 USD Target 1: 2,942 USD Target 2: 2,920 USD Stop Loss: 3,058 USD This setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (RRR), making it a high-probability trade. 🔎 Conclusion & Final Thoughts The symmetrical triangle is at its final stage, and a breakout is imminent. A break below 2,990 USD will likely confirm a bearish move. Retesting the breakdown zone (3,015 – 3,020 USD) is crucial for short entries. Downside targets are 2,942 USD and 2,920 USD based on historical support zones. Proper risk management is essential—always use stop-losses to mitigate potential losses. This setup presents a strong opportunity for short traders, but patience is key. Traders should wait for confirmation before committing to a position.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades