WTI Crude Oil Trade Plan: DOE Release NYMEX:CL1!
In this tradingview blog, we go over our technical setup and trade idea for Crude oil.
It is important to note we also have DOE inventory numbers coming at 10:30 ET.
Once the release has settled in, the trade idea can be framed using either of our two scenarios.
Scenario 1: Liquidity Trap
Rejection above March Monthly Open or Yearly Open and prices mean revert towards March mcVAH and CVPOC confluence. The idea considers the trend from last Wednesday. Late breakout buyers get trapped. Higher time frame participants push prices lower.
An example swing trade idea would be taking a long position once the release has settled and waiting for a pull back around 69.50.
• Entry: 69.50
• Stop: 70.30
• Target: 68.15
• Risk: 80 ticks
• Reward: 135 ticks
• Risk/Reward ratio: 1.69
This is an example swing trade idea that may play out by the end of the week.
Scenario 2: Shift back into 70 - 75 range distribution.
Immediate resistance is at March monthly open and yearly open. Above it the path clears towards Q1 mid-range and 2025 mCVPOC.
An example of a trade idea for this scenario is to wait for a breakout and close of candle on the 30 minutes time frame above yearly open. Wait for a pullback towards 70.28
• Entry: 70.35
• Stop: 69.50
• Target 71.45
• Risk: 85 ticks
• Reward: 110 ticks
• Risk/Reward ratio: 1.29
Please note that these are example trade ideas. Trades are advised to do their own preparation. Stops are not guaranteed to trigger, and losses may be greater than predetermined stops.
Fundamental Analysis
So amazing! Accurate again, follow-up strategyToday, the first wave of gold price retreated from around 3026 to around 3013 in the Asian session. The lower support is obviously moving up gradually. Yesterday's white session also started to rise from above 2310. The two retracements before the US session only reached 3014 before rebounding quickly. At present, the focus on the upper side is the suppression of 3030-35. The hourly line of gold is now oscillating in the range box. Only after gold breaks through the box, will the gold market appear. Gold hit the 3035 line on Tuesday, but gold quickly fell back after hitting the high. We actually shorted at the 3032 line. The perfect harvest was harvested after stepping back. Gold did not break through the 3030-35 line suppression we mentioned above. If it breaks through the 3035 line and stands firm, then the bulls will rise and hit a new high. Our operation of stepping back to do more ideas remains unchanged, but we should not chase more directly, otherwise the adjustment of stepping back will be more uncomfortable. Be a steady hunter and wait quietly for the appearance of prey.
From the 4-hour trend, the upper short-term resistance focuses on 3030-35, and the lower support focuses on 3000-3005. Relying on this range, the layout of the long and short oscillation range is maintained. In the middle position, watch more and move less and chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will inform you of the specific operation strategy in time. Gold operation strategy: 1. Go long when gold falls back to 3010-3000. If the subsequent market breaks through the 3035-3040 resistance line, we will adjust whether to go short based on the technical and news aspects and notify everyone in time.If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. The information I recently shared about the gold market has received a lot of feedback, and everyone said it was very helpful! If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow me 🌐, I will release specific signals in real time, remember to pay attention to the bottom 🌐 signal in time.
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT )1. Technical Analysis Breakdown:
Daily Chart:
• Trend: Bullish overall, but showing signs of pullback.
• MACD: Bearish, indicating weakening momentum.
• RSI: At 45.23 — neutral but leaning toward oversold territory.
• Support level: Around 41,500.
• Resistance level: Recent high near 42,890.
15-Min Chart:
• Trend: Strong intraday upward momentum.
• MACD: Bullish crossover with momentum building.
• RSI: 69.09 — nearing overbought but still has room.
• Support: Around 41,760.
• Resistance: 42,208 (current price), next major level at 42,500.
3-Min Chart:
• Trend: Short-term bullish with a slight consolidation.
• MACD: Flat, showing a pause but no reversal yet.
• RSI: 53.19 — mid-range, suggesting more upside potential.
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2. Fundamental Analysis:
• US economy shows resilience (strong job data, improved GDP).
• Fed’s stance on rates remains balanced, leaning dovish, supporting equities.
• Geopolitical tensions slightly cooling, risk appetite growing.
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3. Trade Plan — Long Position (Buy)
• Entry: 42,210 (after a clean break above consolidation).
• Stop Loss (SL): 41,900 (below recent intraday support).
• Take Profit (TP): 42,830 (previous daily high). FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Retailers on the Attack: The “Buy the Dip” Phenomenon on NasdaqBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
In a surprising turn of events for the stock market, so far in 2025 we see how retail investors have taken center stage, betting heavily on “ buy the dip” as large investors reduce their positions. According to data from VandaTrack, these small investors have injected nearly $70 billion into U.S. stocks and ETFs. This phenomenon, which seems to be straight out of a Reddit forum, has sparked conversation on digital platforms and has captured the attention of analysts and specialized media.
The “buy the dip” phenomenon is based on the idea of buying stocks during their declines, with the expectation that the price will recover and a profit will be made. Despite the volatility generated by the current environment - marked by geopolitical tensions, regulatory changes and the impact of technological innovations such as China's DeepSeek artificial intelligence - retailers have shown unusual resilience. Phrases such as “be the dip” have become popular in forums and social networks, driving a wave of optimism that contrasts with the cautious approach of large investors, who are withdrawing their liquidity or diversifying into less volatile assets.
The notable betting by retail investors is reflected in large-scale deals. For example, last week alone saw investments of $3.2 billion in Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) and $1.9 billion in Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), according to figures released by JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM). These moves not only evidence confidence in the recovery potential of these companies, but also the ability of small investors to influence liquidity and market direction.
In addition, the trend extends to leveraged ETFs, whose trading volume has increased considerably. The “buy the dip” behavior has been internalized to the point of becoming an automatic reflection of today's retail mentality. This phenomenon has also been observed in other international markets, where online investment platforms and mobile applications have facilitated access to the stock markets, allowing a greater number of investors to participate actively and, in many cases, on a massive scale. This dynamic can have both short- and long-term effects. On the one hand, the massive inflow of capital by retailers can generate a “rebound effect” in certain sectors, especially those perceived as innovative and disruptive. On the other hand, the high concentration of investments in a few assets and sectors - such as technology - could increase volatility and systemic risk in the market. While the “buy the dip” strategy has worked in previous periods, relying solely on this tactic in such a changing environment could lead to significant imbalances if there is a sharp turn in the market.
The implications of this trend also extend to the regulatory arena. Financial authorities are closely observing how the massification of “buy the dip ” is impacting market stability, and some regulators have already initiated studies to evaluate possible control measures. The evolution of this phenomenon could force a rethinking of current regulations on retail investor participation in high volatility markets.
Technical Analysis Nasdaq 100(Ticker AT: USATEC)
Currently, the main support zone is around 16,986 points. The second support zone pivots around 18,400 points. The current range is between 18,737 and 20,505 points with the control point (POC) at 19,755 points. The RSI is at 53.64% since this last rebound started at 23.03% so it seems to have stabilized in a middle zone. If we look at the movement of the index, it does not seem to have finished its movement to the upper band of the range. At the moment, it is about to test its strength in the direction of the highs if the Bulls continue to drill hard. The truth is that on March 4th on the daily chart there was a bearish crossover, so it does not seem that this strength will hold and the lower part of the range will be tested again. If the index shows weakness we will see a return to the 18,400 level.
In short, while the “ sharks ” or large investors flee the water, the “ minnows ” continue to splash about happily, demonstrating a new era in which the democratization of access to the stock markets is redefining the rules of the game. The commitment to “ buy the dip ” is a clear reflection of a renewed confidence in the market's potential for recovery and growth, although not without risks and challenges that must be managed by both investors and authorities.
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MARA Running with the BULLS Looking to shoot for $20The share price of Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MARA) has rebounded from strong support at 12.20 USD. Given the upside potential and momentum, there is a high probability that the downward trend will be reversed. The next target for growth could be 20.60 USD.
GBP/USD Set for a Potential Decline as UK CPI Eases to 2.8%GBPUSD Set for a Potential Decline as UK CPI Cools to 2.8%
GBP/USD has been consolidating within a narrow range since the beginning of March, struggling to establish a definitive direction. This prolonged indecision suggests that the pair may require a correction before resuming any upward movement.
The latest data from the UK further supports this outlook.
February’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) revealed inflation cooling to 2.8% year-over-year, slightly below the forecasted 2.9%. Additionally, retail sales data fell short of expectations, coming in at 3.4% compared to the projected 3.6%.
As a result, market sentiment could weigh on GBPUSD, potentially driving the pair into a deeper correction.
Key support levels to watch include 1.2865 and 1.2800
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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EURUSD Is due a correction EUR/USD has been in a sustained uptrend for some time, but we are currently seeing a period of consolidation. Given the current market structure, I anticipate a bearish move this week, with a potential entry either now or in the near future.
Let me know your thoughts, and if you found this analysis valuable, give it a boost!
3.26 Technical analysis suggestions for short-term gold operatioIn the early European trading on Wednesday (March 26), spot gold continued to rebound in the short term, and the current gold price is around $3027/ounce.
Gold technical analysis, how to operate in the evening? ——
The daily chart of gold shows that gold prices are rising above all bullish moving averages, while setting higher highs and higher lows. The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) has gained upward momentum and currently provides dynamic support around 2954.70. At the same time, after correcting the extreme overbought conditions, technical indicators resumed their upward trend within the positive level. From the 4-hour line, gold prices are fighting against the mildly bearish 20-period SMA, but are still well above the bullish 100-period SMA and 200-period SMA. At the same time, technical indicators are retreating from the midline and slightly lower within the neutral level. Overall, it is recommended to treat gold operations with a wide range of fluctuations today!
Gold operation strategy at night:
Short order strategy: short near 3031 above, stop loss 3040, target near 3010;
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Gold Outlook: Bullish Momentum Ahead – Key Insights from Recent Gold remains bullish, driven by increasingly negative economic indicators. February brought a wave of weak economic data, a rise in layoffs, and a steep drop in consumer sentiment—now at its lowest level since February 2021. These developments point toward growing recession risks, which continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset.
In recent sessions, we observed a mix of profit-taking and rollover activity, with fresh positions being opened in the $3005–$3015 range. This zone now reflects strong speculative interest, suggesting that new capital is positioning for a further move upward.
Based on current market structure and positioning, gold looks set for a potential 1000 pip move, which could begin as early as today.
To summarize:
Price should hold above $2010 from here.
I’m already long from $2005.
Focus only on buy opportunities at this stage.
If you’re serious about learning how real analysis is done and how professionals track market behavior—stay tuned, and good luck! 🚀
#Gold #XAUUSD #Recession #BullishView #MarketInsight
DXY FORECAST Q1 FY25 : zim dollar dollarBack again with a TVC:DXY doomsday post my judgement at the moment is based of the following reasonings.
📉 Tariffs & Global Trade Impact
Tariffs weaken trade activity: If the U.S. imposes tariffs, it might reduce export competitiveness and disrupt global supply chains. That can lead to lower foreign demand for U.S. dollars, putting downward pressure on the DXY.
Market uncertainty: Investors often move away from riskier assets during trade wars, but if confidence in the U.S. economy declines, they might shift into other safe havens (like gold or the Swiss franc) instead of dollars.
💰 Money Supply Contraction
Dollar scarcity effect: The contraction in M2 money supply could strengthen the dollar temporarily due to reduced liquidity. However, if the Fed eases monetary policy to counter recession fears, it might reverse the effect, weakening the dollar.
📊 Inflation & Real Interest Rates
Sticky inflation: If inflation remains above target (around 2.9%), and tariffs drive consumer prices higher, the Fed may face pressure to hold or hike interest rates — which could eventually support the dollar.
Recession signals: On the flip side, if the economy contracts, rate cuts could come into play, flooding markets with liquidity and pushing the dollar down.
in my opinion
the shrinking money supply points to future deflationary pressures, which historically support the dollar however disruptive trade policies could destabilize growth, undercutting the dollar’s strength.
If tariffs intensify and growth stalls, the dollar may stay weak or decline further despite the contracting money supply. But if the Fed stays firm on inflation control and global instability rises, the dollar could rebound as a safe haven... though this would depend on whether markets believe the U.S. can avoid a full-blown recession.
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Two things I wish I knew about crypto before startingHere are two things I wish I knew about crypto before getting into the markets.
1. Volatility is part of the crypto game. Instead of fearing it, embrace it with a strategy.
2. Tracking your portfolio isn't just about numbers; it's about clarity in decision-making. If you don't know where you stand, how can you plan your next move?
If you want, one click the link in my bio. @CryptoJayTrades
USD/JPY: Long Opportunity at Weekly Demand ZoneThe USD/JPY currency pair is currently pulling back into a significant weekly demand area, presenting a promising opportunity for traders looking to enter long positions. This area historically denotes strong buying interest, suggesting potential upward momentum.
In contrast, the 6J1! Yen futures market displays a bearish sentiment, with many retail traders positioning against this bullish signal in USD/JPY. This divergence in market sentiment could create unique trading opportunities for those who can effectively interpret technical indicators and retail positioning.
Yen Futures
To capitalize on this potential rebound, a pending order has been set on the CFD for USD/JPY, with a buy limit positioned just above the demand zone. Effective risk management, including a stop-loss just below the demand area, is essential as traders navigate this evolving landscape.
In summary, the combination of strong demand at critical levels and contrasting sentiment in the futures market presents a strategic trading scenario for bullish plays in USD/JPY.
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GBP/USD: Technical Signals Point to Potential Bearish ReversalIn the early stages of the European session on Friday, GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its footing, trading below the 1.2925 mark as I compose this article. The pair faces pressure from a robust demand for the US dollar amid a backdrop of cautiousness from the Federal Reserve and prevailing economic uncertainties. This selling pressure persists despite the Bank of England's recent hawkish stance.
As market participants await insights from Federal Reserve officials as well as a speech from US President Trump in the Oval Office, attention is heightened. From a technical perspective, the currency pair has entered a supply zone, prompting expectations for a potential reversal and the commencement of a bearish trend.
✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Bitcoin Market Update – 26 March 2025Bitcoin Market Update – 26 March 2025
After reaching an all-time high near $110,000 earlier in 2025, Bitcoin experienced a notable correction and is currently trading around the $88,000 level.
Key Technical Observations:
• The area near $91,300 may act as short-term resistance. If price action struggles to maintain momentum there, we may observe a retest of lower zones such as $80,000 or $78,000. A sustained move below $78,000 could bring the $72,000 demand region into focus.
• On the upside, a decisive 4-hour or 1-hour candle close above $93,000 could indicate strengthening bullish sentiment. Should that occur with supporting volume and positive market conditions, the $100,000 area may come back into view, followed by the previous high near $110,000 as a potential reference point.
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GBPCAD Bearish BiasFundamentals:
Valuation:
British Pound is heavily overvalued VS CAD
on 13d - 30d
We can see that on 10d it moved from
Overvalued the day it mitigated the supply
zone marked. 11/03/2025
Seasonality:
Showed that the Top was last week - CHECK
Shows a potential downtrend until Mid May
(On 15y seasonality)
We know that GBPUSD is in supply on weekly TF too
Therefore, we can expect a bearish move on GBPCAD
GOLD Might Take A Bearish TurnThe gold price finally reached the magical USD 3000 mark a few days ago.
However, a look at the volume calls for caution, as a setback could be imminent. We are seeing significant outflows at the top and selling in strength.
Although we do not expect a bearish reversal in the big picture, a setback of around USD 150 to 200 in XAUUSD is not unlikely.
Why XAUUSD is Bullish ?? Detailed analysis XAU/USD currently trading at approximately $3,030, forming a bullish pennant pattern—a continuation signal that typically precedes further upward movement. This pattern emerges after a strong price surge, followed by consolidation marked by converging trendlines. A breakout above the pennant's upper boundary could propel gold prices toward the target of $3,100, aligning with the prevailing bullish trend
Fundamental factors support this optimistic outlook. Recent geopolitical tensions and concerns over escalating inflation have heightened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's dovish stance, including potential interest rate cuts, has weakened the U.S. dollar, making gold more attractive to investors. These elements collectively contribute to the bullish sentiment surrounding gold.
Technical indicators further reinforce this perspective. Gold has recently surpassed the significant $3,000 threshold, reaching new all-time highs. The formation of the bullish pennant suggests a continuation of this upward momentum. Key support levels to monitor include $2,961 to $2,965, while resistance is anticipated around $3,021 to $3,030. A decisive break above these resistance levels could confirm the pennant breakout, paving the way toward the $3,100 target.
Traders should exercise prudent risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
Gamestop ($GME) Surge 16% in Premarket Amidst Earnings Beat The shares of GameStop (NYSE: GME) surge nearly 17% as the firm reported fiscal fourth-quarter results, which saw revenue fall 28% year-over-year to $1.28 billion.2 However, adjusted net income rose to $136.4 million, or 30 cents per share, from $67.7 million, or 22 cents per share, a year earlier. The earnings growth came as the company moved to cut costs.
GameStop (NYSE: NYSE:GME ) updated its corporate investment policy to include Bitcoin, sending shares higher in extended trading Tuesday.
The video game retailer said its board unanimously approved the decision to add Bitcoin to its investment policy, following reports last month that the retailer was considering investing in cryptocurrencies.
The announcement follows speculation about GameStop's crypto plans after CEO Ryan Cohen last month posted a picture of himself with Michael Saylor, cofounder of Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin formerly known as MicroStrategy. The price of Bitcoin was just under $88,000 in recent trading.
Shares of GameStop jumped more than 6% in after-hours trading Tuesday following the announcement. The stock was down about 19% for the year so far through the market close.
EUR/JPY Triple Bottom Breakout – Bullish SetupThis chart represents the EUR/JPY currency pair on the daily timeframe. It highlights a Triple Bottom pattern, a bullish reversal formation that signals a potential upward trend after testing strong support multiple times.
1. Chart Pattern Analysis – Triple Bottom Formation
The Triple Bottom is a classic reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend and consists of three distinct lows at nearly the same level. This indicates that sellers attempted to push the price lower but failed three times, suggesting that buying pressure is increasing.
Bottom 1 (August 2024): The price reached a low near 150.344, forming the first support zone.
Bottom 2 (September 2024): The price dropped again to the same support level but bounced back, indicating strong demand.
Bottom 3 (March 2025): The price retested the support for the third time and rebounded, confirming the pattern.
💡 Key Takeaway: The repeated failure to break below the support level suggests that sellers are losing control, and buyers are preparing for a strong move up.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
Understanding support and resistance levels is crucial for identifying entry and exit points:
Support Level (150.344 - 150.125): This zone has acted as a strong demand area where price consistently bounced back.
Resistance Level (167.500 - 170.000): This is the neckline of the Triple Bottom pattern. A breakout above this level confirms the bullish trend.
If the price breaks above the resistance level, it will trigger buying momentum and open the doors for further upside.
3. Trading Strategy & Price Targets
✅ Entry Criteria
The ideal buy entry is after the price breaks above the resistance level (~167.500 - 170.000) with strong bullish momentum and increased volume.
Wait for a daily candle close above the resistance level to confirm the breakout.
🎯 Target Levels (Take Profit - TP)
TP1 (173.001) – First profit-taking level, as the price may encounter some resistance.
TP2 (179.266) – Final bullish target if the breakout holds strong.
📉 Stop Loss (Risk Management)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 150.125, just below the previous support level. This minimizes losses if the price fails to break out.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: This setup offers a high risk-reward ratio, making it a favorable trade.
4. Market Psychology & Confirmation Signals
The Triple Bottom indicates a strong shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Confirmation signals to watch for:
✅ Bullish breakout above resistance
✅ Increase in trading volume
✅ Formation of bullish candlesticks (e.g., Engulfing, Marubozu, or Breakout Retest Confirmation)
5. Summary & Final Thoughts
🔹 The Triple Bottom pattern signals a strong reversal with clear upside potential.
🔹 The breakout above resistance (~167.500 - 170.000) will confirm a bullish trend.
🔹 Entry: Buy after breakout confirmation with volume support.
🔹 TP1: 173.001, TP2: 179.266
🔹 SL: Below 150.125 to protect capital.
🚀 Conclusion : This setup presents an excellent long opportunity with a well-defined risk-reward strategy. If the breakout holds, EUR/JPY could see a strong uptrend in the coming weeks.