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KTOS BUY Kratos Defense (KTOS) is a buy due to escalating global conflicts driving demand for low-cost, high-tech defense systems. KTOS aligns with shifting military priorities. Strong government contracts and rising revenues position it to benefit from sustained geopolitical instability and defense modernization. KTOS is pioneering AI-powered drones and autonomous systems, areas the Pentagon is prioritizing for future warfare capabilities. earnings showed double-digit YoY revenue growth and a rising backlog, confirming increasing contract momentum. The FY2025 U.S. defense budget remains robust, with a focus on next-gen warfare and drones. World conflicts not seeing improvement : Russia-Ukraine .. Israel-Iran
NASDAQ:KTOSLong
by wilhelmthethird
TSLA Honey Ticking Bull Trap!TSLA has a beautiful big ars bear flag! While it should have broken down to trigger a short trade, it decided to Honey Tick people right into a Trap! It formed a perfect MEGAPHONE in wave 3 up that has now CRACKED! This is a much juicer short setup with the potential of collapsing from here and taking out the entire bear flag and MORE!! First, we need a lower low and then a lower high and off we GO BABY!!! Don't Get HONEY TICKED! As I always say, never EVER!! Invest in toxic people like Elona. They always blow themselves up in the end. It's in their nature! Click boost and follow, let's get to 5,000 followers. ;)
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by RealMacro
62
$JPINTR -Japan Interest Rates (June/2025)ECONOMICS:JPINTR (June/2025) source: Bank of Japan - The Bank of Japan kept its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.5% during its June meeting, maintaining the highest level since 2008 and aligning with market expectations. The unanimous decision underscored the central bank’s cautious stance amid escalating geopolitical risks and lingering uncertainty over U.S. tariff policies, both of which continue to pose threats to global economic growth. Tokyo and Washington agreed to extend trade talks after failing to achieve a breakthrough during discussions on the sidelines of the G7 Summit in Canada. Meanwhile, as part of its gradual policy normalization, the BoJ reaffirmed its plan to cut Japanese government bond purchases by JPY 400 billion each quarter through March 2026. Starting April 2026, it will then slow the reduction to JPY 200 billion per quarter through March 2027, targeting a monthly purchase level of around JPY 2 trillion—signaling a measured but steady path away from ultra-loose monetary policy.
ECONOMICS:JPINTR
by Mr_J__fx
CRCL (“Circle”) | Long | Stablecoin | (June 17, 2025)CRCL (“Circle”) | Long | Stablecoin & Institutional Crypto Infrastructure | (June 17, 2025) 1️⃣ Short Insight Summary: Circle, known for its USDC stablecoin and institutional crypto infrastructure, displays a financially solid foundation with healthy free cash flow and an evolving product footprint, making it a compelling long-term play. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long Entry: Blue-chip levels in the $100–$120 zone (assumed range near current $160) Stop Loss: ~$90 (well beneath key support zones) Take Profit 1 (TP1): $200 (psychological & projected 5‑year mid-target) Take Profit 2 (TP2): $250 (upper end of 5‑year expectation) 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ Latest revenue: ~$1.6 B with net income around $155 M; ~82–87 M floating shares, market cap ~$3 B. ✅ Free cash flow is ~6x less debt and matches cash levels—pointing to strong liquidity and balance sheet health. ✅ CEO Jeremy Allaire (since 2013) leads Circle’s path from peer payments to global crypto-financial infrastructure. ✅ Core stablecoin USDC, built on numerous chains (Ethereum, Solana, Polygon, Optimism…), fuels 24/7 trading and reserves—~98% of income comes from net interest on reserves. ✅ Major partnerships include Visa, Shopify, Walmart, Ripple, Ledger, Coinbase, plus backing from Goldman Sachs—highlighting institutional trust. ✅ Regulatory-first design and transparency position Circle favorably amid evolving global crypto frameworks. 4️⃣ Optional Follow‑up Note: Will track key industry catalysts: regulatory clarifications (e.g. EU’s MiCA), stablecoin adoption rates, yield curve shifts impacting interest income, and enterprise integration announcements. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you find value in this idea! Also share your thoughts and charts in the comments section below! This supports keeping content free and reaching more people.
NYSE:CRCLLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 16 - Jun 20]The unrest in the Middle East this week has boosted safe-haven demand for gold, pushing it above $3,400 an ounce. While gold has broken several recent technical resistance levels, it is unlikely that it will hit a new record high next week. The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran provides safe-haven support, but historically, gold rallies driven by geopolitical events tend to be short-lived. Gold is currently outperforming the US dollar, which has struggled to attract safe-haven funds. Iran launched a retaliatory airstrike on Israel on Friday night (June 13), Reuters reported. Air raid sirens sounded across Israel and authorities urged residents to take shelter in shelters. The Israeli military said Iran fired nearly 100 missiles, most of which were intercepted or missed their targets. Israel's Channel 12 reported two people were seriously injured, eight were moderately injured and 34 suffered shrapnel injuries. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it had carried out military operations against dozens of targets in Israel. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards' news website released a message that evening saying the "powerful and precise" counterattack was in retaliation for Israel's "invasion" of many parts of Iran and the killing of many senior military commanders, nuclear experts and Iranian civilians, including children. Wider Middle East Conflict Could Erupt Israel destroyed Tehran's military command system early Friday and struck key Iranian nuclear facilities. The Fars news agency, which is affiliated with Iran's Revolutionary Guards, cited data saying the Israeli attack killed dozens of people in Iran and wounded more than 300. Israel has carried out large-scale airstrikes on multiple locations in Iran since early Friday, bombing Iranian nuclear facilities and military targets. Reuters said Israel's attacks on Iran during the day and Iran's retaliation have raised concerns about a broader conflict in the region. All Eyes on the Fed While gold will continue to be affected by geopolitical developments, market attention will also be on the Federal Reserve, particularly Chairman Powell, who will speak after next week’s monetary policy meeting. Economists generally expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged. However, expectations are growing that Powell could begin paving the way for a rate cut later this year. The latest inflation data and signs of a slowing US economy have given the Federal Reserve room to cut rates. However, growing geopolitical uncertainty may prompt some market participants to adjust their expectations. Overall assessment of the basic environment The gold market in particular will still receive absolute support when there are too many risks appearing, from geopolitical developments to interest rate prospects, and tariffs. Major conflicts in the Middle East, Russia - Ukraine, trade war between the US and the rest of the world, ... are all sudden risk support that makes gold likely to surge in the short term. Therefore, in general vision, gold is considered the top safe-haven asset in the global unstable environment and it tends to increase in price in the current context. Economic Data to Watch Next Week Monday: State Manufacturing Survey, Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Tuesday: US Retail Sales Wednesday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, US Housing Starts, Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Meeting Thursday: US Markets Closed for Black Lives Matter Day, Swiss National Bank Monetary Policy Meeting, Bank of England Monetary Policy Meeting Friday: Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has almost achieved all the bullish targets noted by readers in last week's weekly issue, initially at $3,371, then at the full price point and finally at $3,435. Gold can still continue to increase in price as technical conditions still absolutely support the short-term trend channel, while the long-term trend channel and the nearest support is the EMA21. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sloping up after receiving support from 50 and is still far from overbought territory, indicating that there is still a lot of room for upside ahead. To sum up, as long as gold remains within/above the price channel, it remains bullish in the short term. Any dips that do not break below the price channel should only be considered as short-term corrections or a new buying opportunity. Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,400 – 3,371 USD Resistance: 3,435 – 3,500 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3497 - 3495⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3501 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3374 - 3376⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3370
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2
TradingView Show: New Trade Ideas and The Leap TradeStationJoin us for a timely TradingView live stream with David Russell, Head of Global Market Strategy at TradeStation, as we break down the latest rebound in the markets and what it could mean for traders and investors. In this session, we’ll dive into: - The upcoming Fed meeting and what policymakers might signal heading into the second half of the year - Why the 10-year yield nearing 4.5% is important — and how to set alerts to stay ahead of key moves - Summer trading strategies to navigate slower market conditions and spot emerging opportunities - A closer look at Latin American equities, with names like Mercado Libre in focus - The surprising strength in stocks that have doubled since the tariff-driven selloff - How energy and oil markets are reacting to renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East - And other trends that are shaping the broader investment landscape Whether you're trading short-term setups or planning longer-term plays, this session will give you fresh insights and practical takeaways to help you stay prepared and informed through the summer months. Bonus: Discover our latest broker integration update with TradeStation—now supporting equity options trading directly on TradingView. This upgrade brings advanced tools like the strategy builder, options chain sheet, and volatility analysis to your fingertips, making it easier to trade through uncertain market conditions. This session is sponsored by TradeStation, whose vision is to provide the ultimate online trading platform for self-directed traders and investors across equities, equity index options, futures, and futures options markets. Equities, equity options, and commodity futures services are offered by TradeStation Securities Inc., member NYSE, FINRA, CME, and SIPC. Disclosures from TradeStation: tradestation.com/insights/etf-disclosures/ tradestation.com/important-information/
NYSE:DIS
by TradingView
3
Bitcoin Strategic Compression, ETF Inflows and Powell’s Shadow.⊢ ⟁ BTC/USD - Binance - (CHART: 12H) - (June 17, 2025). ⟐ Analysis Price: $105,324.51. ⊢ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (12H): ▦ EMA13 – ($106,094.47): ∴ The arcane speed line was briefly reclaimed but lost again in the latest candle close; ∴ Price has consistently failed to close above EMA13 since June 13th, indicating weakening momentum; ∴ It now acts as primary dynamic resistance in the 12H structure. ✴️ Conclusion: EMA13 has been rejected. Bearish pressure remains in control. ⊢ ▦ EMA44 – ($105,907.07): ∴ Price is currently below EMA44, though recent candles show no strong bearish conviction; ∴ This level functions as a neutral battleground - a true trend emerges only with decisive close above or below; ∴ The slope remains positive, preventing immediate breakdown. ✴️ Conclusion: EMA44 is the structural balance line. Below it, weakness persists. ⊢ ▦ VWAP (Session) – ($106,117.67): ∴ VWAP sits above current price, reflecting rejection of institutional value; ∴ All recent attempts to reclaim VWAP failed, signaling lack of dominant buy-side volume; ∴ Confluence with EMA13 and Donchian upper band creates a unified technical ceiling. ✴️ Conclusion: Institutional control remains absent. Value zone denied. ⊢ ▦ Donchian Channel (20) – ($106,690.95 / $102,854.49): ∴ Bands remain narrow, and price consolidates between mid-channel and the lower range; ∴ Upper band has been precisely respected for multiple sessions; ∴ This signals imminent volatility release from compression. ✴️ Conclusion: Volatility is fully compressed. Expansion is near. ⊢ ▦ Volume - (MA20: 154): ∴ Volume remains below the 20-period moving average; ∴ No strong buying or selling pressure confirms indecision; ∴ Market stands in strategic silence. ✴️ Conclusion: Low activity zone. Observation mode prevails. ⊢ ▦ Stoch RSI (3,3,14,14) – (21.38 / 27.27): ∴ Oscillator is crossing upward from oversold, but with weak momentum; ∴ Attempt to recover above 40 still incomplete; ∴ Risk of fakeout unless next candle confirms with bullish volume. ✴️ Conclusion: Reversal signal is weak. Watch for trap conditions. ⊢ ▦ MFI (14) – (31.86): ∴ Money flow index stays in low liquidity zone - no signs of accumulation from large players; ∴ No clear bullish divergence, yet no panic selloff either; ∴ The flat trajectory since June 10 confirms institutional disengagement. ✴️ Conclusion: Capital remains cautious. No inflow to trigger reversal. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight — Technical Oracle: ∴ Indicators show compression, rejection at $106K and lack of institutional momentum; ∴ Price structure is neutral-bearish with volume confirming indecision; ∴ A breakout would only be valid with strong candle body and +180 BTC/12H volume. ✴️ Conclusion: Tactical patience advised. Await true breakout with confirmation. ⊢ ∫ III. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ Exchange Inflow Total – (All Exchanges): ∴ Total BTC inflows remain below 10K/day, well beneath panic thresholds; ∴ No spikes above 50K BTC since early April - aligns with neutral market conditions; ∴ This reflects dormant whale behavior and no visible distribution phase. ✴️ Conclusion: The market is in structural silence. No signs of capitulation. ⊢ ▦ Exchange Inflow Mean = (MA7) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 7-day moving average of inflow size dropped to ~0.4 BTC - a historic low; ∴ Indicates retail-dominant transactions, not whales; ∴ Precedents show this pattern often occurs before breakout events. ✴️ Conclusion: Institutional wallets remain inactive. Momentum awaits external ignition. ⊢ ▦ Spot Taker CVD - (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day): ∴ Buyers still hold slight dominance, but the curve is flattening; ∴ This signals demand exhaustion and growing equilibrium; ∴ Historically precedes redistribution or longer sideways action. ✴️ Conclusion: Spot market is neutralizing. Demand fades. No clear strength. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight - On-Chain Oracle: ∴ All on-chain indicators confirm weak momentum, low inflows, and diminishing spot demand; ∴ There’s no signal of heavy sell pressure - but also no engine for rally; ∴ This is the seal of silence: light flows, thin volume, no imbalance. ✴️ Conclusion: Market waits for external driver. Watch for catalyst. ⊢ ⧉ IV. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicus: ▦ Middle East Tensions – Israel / Iran: ∴ Dow and S&P futures drop as evacuation alerts from Tehran raise global concern - (InfoMoney); ∴ Crude oil rises up to +2% - markets brace for supply disruption via Hormuz - (CryptoSlate); ∴ Global capital flows to Treasuries and gold, reducing liquidity in risk-on assets like BTC. ✴️ Conclusion: Geopolitical risk increases macro fear. Bitcoin faces risk-off inertia. ⊢ ▦ ETF Activity vs Macro Outlook: ∴ Despite $1.7B ETF inflows last week, price failed to hold key resistances - (CryptoSlate); ∴ This divergence reflects growing fear and fragile confidence in crypto exposure amid global tension; ∴ Institutional demand is present, but impact is diluted by macro noise. ✴️ Conclusion: ETF flows bring no clear edge under macro instability. ⊢ ▦ Fed Chair Powell (Upcoming): ∴ Jerome Powell will speak on June 19 - expected to comment on rate pause and forward guidance - (Cointelegraph); ∴ Retail data weakens U.S. outlook, but Fed’s stance remains cautious - (FXStreet); ∴ The speech will likely reset volatility across all assets. ✴️ Conclusion: Powell’s message is the next global pivot point. Market waits. ⊢ ⚜️ 𝟙⟠ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis! ⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⊢ ⊢ ⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note: The current bias is neutral with a bearish weight; No validated entry present at this time; Volume must confirm any breakout attempt; The Seal of Silence remains active - we watch, not react. ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Magister_Arcanvm
USDCAD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCAD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
1
Continue the rally, get ready for gold to return to 3443 ⭐️Gold News: Gold prices (XAU/USD) fell for the second consecutive trading day on Tuesday, retreating from the gains in the early Asian trading hours, which had briefly pushed above $3,400. A slight rebound in the US dollar (USD) continued to put pressure on the precious metal, acting as a major resistance. However, the downside for gold seems limited due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further cut interest rates in 2025. Meanwhile, the ongoing air conflict between Israel and Iran has entered its fifth day, exacerbating concerns about further escalation in the region. This ongoing geopolitical uncertainty supports demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. Investors also remained cautious ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)'s two-day policy meeting, the outcome of which could affect the next move of non-yielding gold. ⭐️Technical analysis: Gold price gets liquidity from the support level below: 3385, 3373 completed, short-term downward trend breaks, gold price will soon return to above 3400. Set gold price: 🔥Sell gold area: 3443-3453 SL 3458 TP1: $3435 TP2: $3422 TP3: $3407 🔥Buy gold area: $3358-$3350 SL $3345 TP1: $3368 TP2: $3376 TP3: $3390
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
$ARIS SmartSelect Composite Rating: upgraded to 96📉 Technical Analysis Stock Price Action (June 17): $26.19, up marginally 50-day SMA: ~$24.30; 200-day SMA: ~$26.38 Currently near 200-day moving average resistance Momentum & Strength IBD RS Rating: ~86–87 — signals relative strength over the past year SmartSelect Composite Rating: upgraded to 96, reflecting strong fundamentals & technicals EPS Rating: 87 — solid earnings growth relative to other stocks Pattern & Volume Recently broke out of consolidation; now testing higher levels on rising volume Not yet in a classic "buy zone" per IBD, but above consolidation increases bullish odds Key Levels: Support: $24.00–$24.30 (50-day MA) Resistance: $26.40–$26.50 (200-day MA); breakout above ~$27 could target ~$30 Strategic Insight: Long-term investors focused on ESG, yield, and infrastructure play may find ARIS attractive if it sustains its growth and dividend. Momentum traders should watch for a confirmed technical breakout. Cautious investors should consider valuation and leverage, especially given oil-driven cash flow variability. 🛠 What to Monitor Next Q2 Earnings (late July): Watch volumes, EBITDA margin, oil-price impact. Oil & commodity vs. Activity: Any contraction could pressure utilization and cash flow. Debt & leverage: Future capital structure stability, interest costs. Chart Breakout: Volume-backed move above $27 may signal next leg. Conclusion: As of June 17, 2025, ARIS blends strong fundamentals—record volumes, refinancing boost, and a healthy dividend—with improving technicals. The stock is positioning for a potential breakout, though valuation and commodity sensitivity warrant caution. It remains a compelling pick for ESG‑minded or yield-seeking investors, provided macro headwinds stay benign.
NYSE:ARISLong
by swingstocktraders
BTC - AnalysisWe’re currently back at the short-term trend reversal zone, which has been reactivated after price moved 3% away from it. The zone itself spans 1.6%, so a new reaction from this level is likely. If the bottom at $102,500 holds, we’ve activated a valid bullish structure that could take us up to the $119,000 target zone — which also overlaps with a weekly target region. We’ll see what the next few days bring... Key events to watch right now: 1️⃣ Israel & Iran – Will the conflict escalate or calm down? 2️⃣ Tomorrow’s FOMC meeting – Will QT be addressed? Feel free to drop any questions or feedback — I’ll read and respond to everything. LFG 🚀
by The-white-goat
6/17/25 - $nxt - What changes? My plan...6/17/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT What changes? My plan... - a few TL;DR comments before i copy/paste from a msg i sent a friend, in order to keep things efficient on my end. - i don't think rushing to BTFD makes sense here (for me) - my exposure is well-managed (15% 2027 LEAPS at about 1.5x leverage), don't feel compelled to size up or down. now the thread if it helps frame my mindset/ trading plan... they trade as a basket, the residential stuff was always unownable even considering "credits" in this environment b/c who is paying to install these things when interest rates are so high, the payback period is >10yr and going to the grocery store burns... ...with that being said, what will likely happen is that a TON of demand (for the utility guys - namely NASDAQ:NXT > NASDAQ:FSLR > NASDAQ:ARRY > NASDAQ:SHLS ) will get pulled forward this year and next and they're going to produce tons of cash. BUT... ...the market simply cannot care about this right now (it's how the market thinks). while i'm tempted to buy NASDAQ:NXT here, i do think we're going to see a move back to that gap from may 25, all else equal - ESPECIALLY - if the market has a sell off (solar will be the weak/ "easy" drop for many funds/ investors given this tough setup). Therefore, reasoning is v logical. sub $50 "yes". but i'd like to see it go mid $40s even if it's 46/47... before biting. A test of the low $40s is not out of the cards (30% scenario?) and i'd want to make it my biggest LT position again, at that point. the other name that could/ will make sense to own if/when this all happens (mid 40s NXT etc, macro downdraft etc) would be NASDAQ:FSLR back in the $130s, but ideally in the $120s. that company is going absolutely nowhere. and if i may be so bold... solar has already won the game, by 2028 these things will be so efficient, that it will be obvious that installing nuclear vs. solar+battery is just a bad investment. i think we've already crossed that Rubicon and it's part of the reason for taking such dramatic measures to "protect" the legacy and very much DOA non-technology sources of energy. fwiw - we've seen clear "bottoms" on many solar names in the last pukeathon (end march/april) and then many ripping tops in the last weeks. this sort of clear identification of both bottom/top allows us to use fib lines to get a sense of trading levels IN ADDITION TO (the more important) support/ resistance levels and IN ADDITION TO the gaps left by many. for NASDAQ:NXT the second fib level (b/c the first got smashed thru) is about $52 and corresponds to the wicks from may 14 and 22. and the next one is about $49. above the gap from between may 9/10 given how this sector trades, if we see a multi-day move, that gap gets filled and we test the $46 fib level + the gap fill BUT there's some resistance there from prior px action. give the direction + situation... my guess is that also gets broken/ tested, eventually if nothing changes. so the $42-$44 level is the IDEAL spot to size up. but if we're not looking to get too cute, mid 40s is a good LT spot too ($44-47). anything above that... and i'll just hand sit, probably, avoid the brain damage. hope that helps! V
NASDAQ:NXTLong
by VROCKSTAR
MU Options Insight: Bulls Eyeing $123Fundamental Overview Micron Technology's $200 billion expansion plan aligns with the broader push for domestic semiconductor manufacturing. The company is investing $150 billion in fabrication plants across Idaho, New York, and Virginia, while $50 billion is allocated for high-bandwidth memory packaging and R&D. This move strengthens Micron’s position in AI-driven demand and supply chain resilience. The CHIPS and Science Act funding of $6.4 billion and eligibility for the Advanced Manufacturing Investment Credit further bolster Micron’s financial outlook. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra emphasized that this expansion will create tens of thousands of jobs and reinforce U.S. tech leadership. Technical Analysis Micron’s stock is currently near a 12-month high, up 37% year to date. The momentum remains strong, with institutional activity suggesting bullish sentiment. - Options Flow Insight: A vertical bull spread was spotted in Times & Sales, with 118 strike contracts executed on the ask and 123 strike contracts executed on the bid simultaneously. This suggests a bullish stance, as traders anticipate further upside. - Expiration Consideration: The June 20 expiration (4 days away) indicates a short-term bullish outlook, likely targeting a breakout above $123. - Institutional Positioning: The 500 additional contracts at 118 reinforce the bullish bias. If MU moves beyond $123, traders holding the spread still profit, confirming strong conviction in upside potential.
NASDAQ:MULong
by Wiiso
BTC 4H: Triangle Breakout - Next Leg Up?Bitcoin (BTC/USD): 4H Triangle Breakout Signals Bullish Continuation Hello TradingView, On the 4-Hour (4H) timeframe, Bitcoin has convincingly completed a significant triangle consolidation pattern. This pattern, which typically signals a build-up of energy, has now resolved with a clear bullish breakout. The price action over the last few days has been coiling, and we're now seeing strong confirmation as BTC pushes decisively above the triangle's upper trendline, ideally supported by robust volume. This indicates that the recent period of indecision has ended, and bulls are regaining control, setting the stage for the next upward move. Crucial Invalidation Point: For this bullish setup to remain valid, Bitcoin must firmly hold above $102,664.54. A sustained close below this level on the 4H chart would invalidate our thesis and suggest that a deeper correction or re-evaluation is needed. Outlook: With the breakout confirmed, we anticipate a push towards immediate resistance levels and potentially a retest of recent higher price points. Always manage your risk, and happy trading! ⚠️ Disclaimer: Not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only. Do your own research (DYOR). Trading involves substantial risk; you can lose money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by exprwebdev
Bitcoin Retests Broken Channel | Bounce to $110k?Bitcoin is currently retesting the broken downward channel. This selloff was a market shock reaction due to Israel's airstrikes on Iran. Price found support around $103k, at the daily timeframe 50SMA. The daily 50SMA also served as support in the previous drop to $100k last week. In the chart's red circle is likely where many long leveraged positions had their stop losses or liquidation levels. We can safely assume this event was a liquidity hunt as Bitcoin remains strong above $100k. A healthy pullback to retest. Historically, we have seen similar market shock selloffs like this. One example is the 1st of October 2024 Iran strikes on Israel. Bitcoin crashed 5% from $63k to $60k. What followed after was a recovery to over $100k, never seeing $60k again. Will Bitcoin recover? We still have multiple bullish developments. Institutions are becoming increasingly interested in Bitcoin, the US Bitcoin reserve, SEC x Ripple case settlement, SOL ETF approval, Fed rate cuts, among others. Provided that the conflict does not escalate, once the market panic reaction is over, we can expect a healthy bullish continuation, as long as Bitcoin remains above $100k. We also have a massive pool of short liquidity above $111k. Once we break above this level it will be a short-squeeze to $120k.
Long
by gunhy
1