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Fundamental Analysis

XAU/USD Climbs Within Rising Channel Toward 3325technical analysis setup that highlights price action, support/resistance zones, and a probable price projection. Key Observations: 1. Resistance and Support Zones: Yellow boxes represent supply and demand zones: Upper box (3325–3320) is a resistance zone where price repeatedly reversed. Lower box (3290–3285) is a support zone where price found buying interest. 2. Trend Pattern: The chart illustrates a rising channel (blue area), indicating an upward trending market. Price is making higher highs and higher lows, confirming the bullish channel. 3. Arrows and Circles: Red arrows (top): Indicate price rejection or bearish reversal points (resistance). Green arrows (bottom): Indicate bounce points or bullish reversal areas (support). These areas correspond with the upper and lower boundaries of the blue rising channel. 4. Price Projection: The projected path (blue zig-zag line) suggests: A slight pullback within the channel. Followed by a continuation toward the target of 3325, aligning with the upper resistance zone. 5. Volume/Volatility Indicator: The purple lightning bolt symbol may suggest a news event or high volatility point, often important for intraday traders. Summary: The chart suggests a bullish bias for gold in the short term as it trades within an ascending channel. Price action indicates potential continuation toward the 3325 resistance level, provided the lower boundary of the channel and the ~3,300 support hold.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fx_Faiza
6
XAUUSD Expecting Bullish movementCurrent Price As of the chart's timestamp gold is trading at 3310 Support Zone A strong demand zone is highlighted in red around the 3290 level indicating prior price reactions and potential for bullish reversals if tested again Bullish Projection Path The yellow zigzag line represents the anticipated price movement, forecasting a series of higher highs and higher lows a classic bullish structure Target and Resistance Levels Three significant green horizontal lines mark price targets Level 1: 3320 Initial resistance Level 2: 3335 Intermediate resistance Target Zone 3348 Main target level labeled with a blue marker 3348 Trading Implication The chart suggests a potential long buy opportunity, with a bullish breakout expected upon sustaining momentum above the key support level and progressing through each resistance level towards the ultimate target
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
USDJPY- IS it a beginning of major bulish trend nowthe USD/JPY pair is currently in a major bullish trend, driven by several key factors: 1. Interest Rate Differentials: The U.S. Federal Reserve maintains higher interest rates compared to the Bank of Japan, attracting capital flows into the U.S. dollar and away from the yen. 2. Dovish Bank of Japan: Despite global tightening, the BOJ remains cautious about raising rates or ending yield curve control, weakening the yen further. 3. Robust U.S. Economic Data: Strong economic indicators from the U.S. (such as inflation, jobs, and GDP growth) continue to support expectations of prolonged higher rates, boosting the dollar.
Long
by SadarExplore
1
S&P500: Vanna Snapback is Over – Short Gamma Drift Underway Belo📝 Summary Short gamma regime re-entered after 20Y auction shock. Below 5870, dealers face structural sell pressure from vanna + gamma + charm convergence. Wait for VIX to fall before buying any dip. 📊 Price Levels to Watch 🔺 Upside Breakout Trigger: 5885 → Reclaiming this level flips dealers back toward neutral gamma, opening short-covering squeeze potential toward 5925–5950 🔻 Downside Acceleration Zone: 5870 → Structural pressure zone. Vanna-driven delta hedging intensifies. Below here, the market enters a volatility expansion regime 🧱 Gamma Walls: Call Wall: 5950 Put Walls: 5875 / 5850 / 5800 🔍 Structural Regime Analysis Macro trigger: Last night’s 20Y Treasury auction was weak, triggering a sharp risk-off move. SPX broke 5935 → 5875 in 15 mins, entering short gamma zone (GEX 🔴🔴). Volatility Regime Shift: VIX spiked >20, breaking the downward vol trend that supported recent vanna snapback rallies. This marks the end of volatility compression. Vol expansion regime is in effect. Dealer Hedging Mechanics: Below 5870, Vanna pressure increases sharply as price declines + IV rises. Dealers short puts must delta hedge by selling ES, amplifying downside in a feedback loop. No Dip Buy Until Vol Stabilizes: VIX must fall or implied volatility flatten before any long bias resumes. Until then, treat rebounds as short entries, not long setups. ⚠️ Volatility Metrics Supporting This View GEX: 🔴🔴 (Negative Gamma on both 0DTE and aggregate expiries) IVx 5D Change: +4.04% → Implied volatility rising into the drop PUT$: 85.6% → Option flow heavily defensive (puts > calls) Skew: High, supporting demand for tail risk hedging 🧭 Tactical Strategy Short bias below 5870, scale-in entries on failed intraday bounce attempts First targets: 5850 → 5800 (Put gamma cluster + dealer momentum zone) Invalidate short above 5885 (where short gamma neutralizes) 📌 Final Note We are now inside a third-order Greeks-driven sell zone: Speed ↑, Color ↑, Ultima ↑ → this is a self-reinforcing volatility trap. No long setups are valid until structural vol metrics cool down.
CBOE:SPXShort
by mithril174
2
The break-up (a must-watch chart)One of the most important—and unusual—developments in the market right now is the combination of rising US bond yields and a falling US dollar. Normally, when bond yields go up, the dollar strengthens. It's similar to a high-interest bank account: if you can earn more by holding US assets, global investors tend to pile in, increasing demand for the dollar. But that’s not what we’re seeing today. Instead, yields are rising while the dollar weakens—something that’s more often associated with emerging markets facing debt concerns. It signals a deeper issue: despite higher returns on offer, investors are becoming wary of the underlying fundamentals. In short, **America’s massive debt load and relentless money printing may be starting to catch up—**even with the world’s reserve currency. And the market is beginning to take notice. This is important to all asset classes moving forward. Keep your eyes peeled on it.
TVC:US10Y
by Sam_Eder
24
JAPAN GOVERMENT 10 YEAR BOND YIELD JP10YJP10Y, Yen Strength, and Bond Price Correlation Key Relationships JP10Y (Yield) and Bond Price: Inverse Correlation: Bond prices and yields move inversely. When Japan’s 10-year government bond yield (JP10Y) rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. JP10Y (Yield) and Yen Strength: Positive Correlation (Typically): Rising JP10Y often strengthens the yen (JPY) by attracting foreign capital into Japanese bonds. Higher yields make yen-denominated assets more attractive, increasing demand for JPY. Exception: If yields rise due to fiscal instability or inflation fears (e.g., Japan’s 2025 bond yield surge to 1.59%), the yen may weaken despite higher yields, as investors prioritize safety over yield. Bond Price and Yen Strength: Indirect Link: Falling bond prices (rising yields) can strengthen the yen if driven by improved economic confidence or hawkish Bank of Japan (BoJ) policies. Conversely, bond price declines due to fiscal risks may weaken JPY. Factors Influencing Correlation Factor Impact on JPY Strength Impact on JP10Y (Yield) BoJ Rate Hikes Strengthens JPY Raises JP10Y (bond prices fall) Foreign Demand for JGBs Strengthens JPY Raises JP10Y (bond prices fall) Carry Trade Activity Weakens JPY (if yields low) Lower JP10Y (bond prices rise) Economic Growth/Fiscal Health Mixed (depends on context) Rises if growth/inflation up Global Risk Sentiment Strengthens JPY (safe-haven) Lower JP10Y (bond prices rise) Recent Examples (2024–2025) March 2025: Japan’s 10-year bond yields surged to 1.59% (highest since 2008), driven by BoJ rate hikes and reduced bond purchases. This initially strengthened the yen, but concerns about higher borrowing costs and economic stress later tempered gains. February 2025: Declining JGB yields (due to BoJ’s dovish signals) weakened the yen, highlighting the sensitivity of JPY to yield fluctuations. Summary Table Relationship Typical Direction Exceptions/Caveats JP10Y ↑ → JPY ↑ Positive (capital inflows) Negative if driven by fiscal risks JP10Y ↑ → Bond Prices ↓ Inverse (fundamental) Always holds Bond Prices ↓ → JPY ↑ Indirect (if yields signal strength) Weakens if yields reflect stress Conclusion The correlation between JP10Y, yen strength, and bond prices hinges on the underlying driver of yield movements: Yield rises from BoJ tightening or economic optimism → JPY strengthens. Yield rises from fiscal instability → JPY may weaken despite higher yields. Bond prices and yields remain inversely linked regardless of context. Traders should monitor BoJ policy, global risk sentiment, and Japan’s fiscal health to interpret these dynamics accurately.
TVC:JP10Y
by Shavyfxhub
Ugly SP500 Reaction to Treasury YieldsUnlike other headline news, long term interest rates breaking out to the upside is an immediate threat to equity prices especially if it's driven by bond vigilantes rather than strong economic news. This will immediately compress valuations and particularly hurt high growth and small caps the most. In addition, this is not a one-off headline where equities markets can easily shake it off and continue to rally. I think we're going to test the gap ~$567 on AMEX:SPY after breaking down from a rising wedge and triggering the PSAR flip.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Audacity618
GBPCAD 15m Short ExecutionGBPCAD 15m Time Frame Short Execution. Overall the short position was choppy, almost reaching stop levels, but then began to move downside to previous lows within the Asian session. I entered at 1.86226 and took profits at 1.85740. Overall Analysis Of The Trade... Liquidity Grab (Stop Hunt) > The price aggressively spiked above recent highs, possibly triggering buy stops or luring in breakout traders. >Immediately after the spike, it reversed sharply, suggesting it was a liquidity grab before the real move down. > This is typical “smart money” behaviour. Supply Zone Respect >The spike tapped into a supply zone (seen at the top of the chart where previous bearish pressure started). > Once the supply was hit, strong selling pressure resumed. Break of Market Structure (BoS) > After the reversal from the top, price broke below previous higher lows, confirming a bearish market structure shift. Time of Day / Session Alignment > The move happened near or during London–New York overlap, a period known for high volatility and institutional activity. Consolidation Before the Drop. There was a sideways range/consolidation just before the large drop—typical of “accumulation of orders” before a breakout.
Short
by jayrollings
Analysis of BTC price prediction for 2025 to 2026Hello sexy friends, I hoping that you are very good and be successful in this market today. Based on the released data bullrun not happened yet and market still collecting the liquidity for a big movement, don't worry this year will finishing very nice by a great momentum....I want to all of we can give a nice profit from the market. This analysis based on pitchfan tools that BTC can gets to high levels consist of 3 tp that I think : Tp1 : 108,000$ that reached successfully Tp2: 160,000$ common soon... To3: after correction will happening Be patient 🙏 and wait All Tim be successful. Kiss 👄 😘 all of you.
Long
by ICTTRADER2024
1
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – May 22, 2025 Structure Wins. Noise Gets Trapped. Let’s Get Paid.Only Snipers Survive. Hey traders, GoldFxMinds here! Big day for gold tomorrow, with major USD news set to trigger volatility. Here’s how to stay ahead of the crowd — and not get hunted.Here’s your big picture, bias, and every level that matters. 📈 Macro Structure (D1/H4) Bias: Bullish-to-neutral as long as 3290 holds. Trend: Higher highs & higher lows. Price is in accumulation, not distribution, waiting for a real breakout. News: • USD Unemployment Claims • Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI • Existing Home Sales — All high-volatility triggers! 🕹️ SCENARIOS & SNIPER PLAYBOOK 🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO News comes in weak for USD, gold holds 3320–3313 or sweeps 3302–3292 and instantly reclaims. Action: Long only on M15–M30 confirmation Targets: 3357–3362, then 3380–3388, with runners possible up to 3408 or even 3427 if the squeeze goes wild. 🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO Data is USD bullish; gold breaks & holds below 3302–3292. Action: Sell rallies into 3320–3313 (now resistance) or on M15/M30 rejection at 3357–3362/3388 ONLY if you see a hard reversal Targets: 3287–3282 (first), then 3266–3258, finally 3238–3230 if selloff accelerates. 🟠 FAKEOUT/WHIPSAW Expect first move after news to be a liquidity hunt – stop run above 3357 or below 3292. Sniper move: Wait for the fake, then take the reversal with confirmation – not the first spike. 🎯 TRADE EXECUTION GUIDELINES Never chase news. Let the stops get hunted, then strike with confirmation only at key levels. Use the level context: Reversal/fakeout = wait for rejection, don’t front-run. Sweep and reclaim at demand = sniper buy. No confirmation = no entry. Plan for volatility windows: 2:30pm – 4:00pm is where the traps are set. 👀 EYES ON TOMORROW BUY ZONES: 3320–3313, 3302–3292, 3287–3282 SELL ZONES: 3357–3362, 3380–3388, 3400–3408, 3420–3427 Control pivot: 3320–3313 decides intraday bias after news Gold doesn’t care about your FOMO. Structure tells the truth. Drop a comment if you want this style daily, smash like & follow for sniper-level clarity, and stay patient — the real trade comes when everyone else gets trapped. Stay sharp! GoldFxMinds 🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
5
Will BTC endure and continue to reach further highs?As we can see, the BTC price has broken the previous ATH and established a new one at $ 109,886, but here we have to see that we had a slight breakout and the price immediately returned below the previous peak. At this point, we should observe whether it will positively break out from the previous peak and whether it will stay above it so that it can gather energy for a strong move towards strong resistance at $ 130,000. However, if we see a correction, it may first go down to $ 101,500, then we can see support at $ 96,000, and then we may have a drop to around $ 87,000. When we look at the Stoch RSI indicator, we will see that despite the current increases, the indicator remains around the middle of the range, which could potentially give room for another upward move.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by cryptodailyuk
1
Technical Levels Respected – BTC Reaches $108K Target what next?📍 BTC Target Hit with Precision! ✅ As predicted in the previous analysis, Bitcoin has successfully tapped the $108K resistance zone — clean and technical execution! 📊 My chart spoke in advance... and the market listened. 🎯 Why miss out on these accurate forecasts? 📉 My strategies are not just random lines — they’re built on solid market structure, EMAs, and key price action zones. 📢 Let’s stay connected! 🧠 I’m committed to sharing educational content and professional trading insights to help you grow as a trader. 💡 Whether you're a beginner or seasoned trader, there’s always something new to learn with me. 📚 Join the journey — learn, trade, and win! 📩 DM or follow to get consistent updates and chart breakdowns. 🚀 Let’s trade smart, not hard!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MrStellanSight
18