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Fundamental Analysis

ES Futures Trade Idea: Santa Rally Expectationswww.tradingview.com The ES futures market has maintained a bullish trajectory in 2024, with few pullbacks along the way. Currently, the futures are consolidating near All-Time Highs, setting the stage for a pivotal week ahead. Key Catalysts to Watch Wednesday, December 18th, 2024 FED Interest Rate Decision Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) FOMC Meeting These events could provide the momentum needed to fuel a potential Santa Claus Rally. However, whether this materializes remains uncertain. Additional Economic Data The economic calendar this week is packed with key data releases, beginning with the preliminary Manufacturing and Services PMI readings at 8:45 AM CT today. On Tuesday, the spotlight will be on November US Retail Sales, while Thursday, December 19th, 2024, brings a flurry of critical updates, including the Bank of England (BOE) and Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate decisions, Q3 US GDP, initial jobless claims, and November existing home sales. The week concludes on Friday, with the release of the FED’s preferred Core PCE Price Index for November at 7:30 AM CT, offering fresh insights into inflation trends. Key Levels to Watch: Target for Bulls: 6295-6310 Line in Sand (LIS): 6045-6055 R1: 6105-6115 R2: 6145-6155 R3: 6195-6205 S1: 5970-5960 S2: 5855-5835 Key Support S3: 5735-5745 Possible Scenarios Scenario 1: Sustained Bullish Movement and Santa Rally In this bullish case, ES futures break out of the consolidation zone following the FED announcements. This could lead to a year-end rally with prices targeting the Fibonacci extension level at 6312.50, setting the stage for continued gains into Q1 2025. Scenario 2: Santa Rally Followed by Pullback Here, the FED-driven Santa rally kicks off but encounters resistance. After the initial bullish push, the market consolidates into year-end as traders await fresh inflows and sector rotations in January for the next directional move. Both scenarios hinge on key data releases and market reaction to the FED’s guidance. Keep an eye on the Line in the Sand (LIS) at 6045–6055, as it represents a critical level for the ongoing trend. This week’s calendar is packed with high-impact events that could drive volatility and shape the near-term outlook for ES futures. Stay prepared! Disclaimer: The views expressed are personal opinions and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Derivatives involve a substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by EdgeClear
IS AUD/USD ON THE BRINK OF BREAKING STRONG SUPPORT? FUNDAMENTAL VIEW Later today, markets will focus on U.S. PMIs, with manufacturing PMI forecast at 49.4 and services PMI at 55.7. On Tuesday, at 5:30 PM GMT+4, key data releases include USD core retail sales and retail sales, expected at 0.4% and 0.6%, respectively. On Wednesday, December 18, the spotlight will be on the Fed funds rate decision, with markets pricing in a 25bps cut during the December policy meeting. On Thursday at 5:30 PM GMT+4, USD GDP q/q is expected at 2.8%, alongside weekly unemployment claims projected at 245k. The week concludes on Friday with the U.S. core PCE m/m release, forecasted at 0.2%. TECHNICAL VIEW On the daily time frame, price action is consolidating within a defined range, with the upper red rectangle serving as strong resistance and the lower green rectangle acting as firm support. The price is struggling to break and close below this support zone. The RSI is near the oversold level of 30, suggesting a potential reversal, reinforced by the historically strong support at this level. If bears succeed in closing the price below 0.63366, the pair could drop to the October 25, 2023, low of 0.62748, and potentially to 0.62001, almost a four-year low. This scenario could align with a strong dollar and political factors such as Trump's second term. Conversely, if bulls manage to push the price above 0.64742, the next target would be around 0.65488, signaling a possible bullish reversal. The coming days will provide clarity on the direction.
by CFI
#PYTH (SPOT) entry range (0.3660- 0.4660)T.(0.9500) SL( 0.3573)BINANCE:PYTHUSDT ( Infrastructure ) Entry (0.366- 0.466) SL 4H close below 0.3573 T1 .50 T2 .66 T3 .74 T4 .95 ______________________________________________________________ Golden Advices. ******************** * collect the coin slowly in the entry range. * Please calculate your losses before the entry. * Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you. * No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey. Useful Tags. **************** My total posts www.tradingview.com 1Million Journey www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com ********************************************************************************************** #Manta #OMNI #DYM #AI #IO #XAI #ACE #NFP #RAD #WLD #ORDI #BLUR #SUI #VOXEL #AEVO #VITE #APE #RDNT #FLUX #NMR #VANRY #TRB #HBAR #DGB #XEC #ERN #ALT #IO #ACA #HIVE #ASTR #ARDR #PIXEL #LTO #AERGO #SCRT #ATA #HOOK #FLOW #KSM #HFT #MINA #DATA #SC #JOE #RDNT #IQ #CFX #BICO #CTSI #KMD #FXS #DEGO #FORTH #AST #PORTAL #CYBER #RIF #ENJ #ZIL #APT #GALA #STEEM #ONE #LINK #NTRN #COTI #RENDER #ICX #IMX #ALICE #PYR #PORTAL #GRT #GMT #IDEX #NEAR #ICP #ETH #QTUM #VET #QNT #API3 #BURGER #MOVR #SKL #BAND #ETHFI #SAND #IOTX #T #GTC #PDA #GMX #REZ #DUSK #BNX #PYTH
Long
by Crypto_alphabit
Long Position Idea on Coca-Cola - $62 Support ZoneFirst, the $62 zone has proven to be a strong support level historically. Every time the price has approached this area, buyers have stepped in, and we’ve seen a reversal to the upside. Right now, the price is also testing the ascending trendline support that has been holding since 2022. If this trendline holds again, it could lead to another strong move upward. What makes this trade even more interesting is the risk/reward ratio. My target is at $77.45, which represents a 24.86% upside, while the stop loss is set at $57.51, or about 7.29% downside. That gives this trade a very attractive 3.41 risk/reward ratio, meaning the potential reward far outweighs the risk. Additionally, the RSI is near oversold territory, sitting in the 30–40 range. This typically signals that sellers are exhausted and a reversal might be coming. I’m also seeing volume starting to stabilize, which indicates that selling pressure is easing. If buyers step in here, we could see volume increase alongside price, further supporting the move upward. Finally, the target at $77.45 aligns perfectly with the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which has been respected for quite some time. This makes the upside not only achievable but also consistent with the broader trend.
NYSE:KOLong
by finansovich
2
Daily Analysis of GBP to USD – Issue 170The analyst believes that the price of { GBPUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Short
by MoonriseTA
Daily Analysis of Gold Ounce to USD – Issue 170The analyst believes that the price of { XAUUSD } will increase in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MoonriseTA
Russell 2000 - rolling over?US stock index futures began the week on the front foot this morning. All four majors were trading in positive territory, shrugging off a mixed close on Friday night, and a generally disappointing week. Only the tech-heavy NASDAQ registered a gain last week, and this was just a modest 0.3%. The S&P 500 lost 0.6%, while the Dow and Russell 2000 lost 1.8% and 2.7% respectively. In fact, a look across the daily charts suggests that, while the NASDAQ displays upside momentum as it continues to hit fresh record highs, the S&P is now consolidating, and the Dow and Russell 2000 maybe rolling over, following an exceptionally strong bullish run. In some ways it’s surprising that the domestically-focused, mid-cap Russell should be in decline, given that small business optimism has surged higher since Donald Trump’s decisive election victory in early November. The news saw the Russell finally post a new record high, three years after the last one, as investors priced in the prospect of deregulation and a favourable tax environment. Perhaps some profit-taking should be expected after the Russell’s outperformance in November. But if that’s all it is, then buyers should soon turn up to take advantage of cheaper prices. Following last week’s inflation data, the consensus expectation is that the Fed will announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut following the close of its two-day meeting on Wednesday. If so, that would mean the Fed has cut by 100 basis points this year, or more accurately, since September. This is short of 150 points priced in at the beginning of the year, yet it has still provided a strong tailwind for equities in 2024. As things stand, the Fed is forecast to cut by a further 50 basis points next year, although much depends on inflation resuming its previous downward trend. In other news, Palantir and MicroStrategy have jumped higher following their inclusion, along with Axon Enterprises, in the NASDAQ 100. Super Micro Computers, Illumina and Moderna are all out.
TRADENATIONSB:US2000
by TradeNation
Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 230The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
Is Uber a good buy at the current price? Here is whyHello, Here is our outlook on Uber Technologies. Uber Technologies, Inc provides a platform that allows users to access transportation and food ordering services. The Company operates through two segments: Core Platform and Other Bets. The Core Platform segment consists of Ridesharing and Uber Eats. The Other bets segment consists of Uber Freight and New Mobility platforms. Ridesharing refers to products that connects consumers with drivers who provide rides in a variety of vehicles, such as cars, auto rickshaws, motorbikes, minibuses and taxis. Its Uber Eats platform allows consumers to search for and discover local restaurants and order meals through online. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data) Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- A correction forming. Price is at the bottom of the corrective wave. Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- Await zero crossover on MACD Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- As shown in chart Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target at $100 per share Uber Technologies, Inc. financial performance for Q3 2024 and the nine months ended September 30, 2024. Total Revenue: $11,188 million for Q3 2024, $32,019 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. Income from Operations: $1,061 million for Q3 2024, $2,029 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. Net Income including Non-Controlling Interests: $2,599 million for Q3 2024, $2,944 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. Net Income Attributable to Uber Technologies, Inc.: $2,612 million for Q3 2024, $2,973 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. Basic Net Income per Share Attributable to Uber Technologies, Inc. Common Stockholders: $1.24 for Q3 2024, $1.42 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. Diluted Net Income per Share Attributable to Uber Technologies, Inc. Common Stockholders: $1.20 for Q3 2024, $1.36 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. Revenue from the United States and Canada was $17,304 million, Latin America was $2,068 million, Europe, Middle East, and Africa was $8,939 million, and Asia Pacific was $3,708 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. Uber announced the pending acquisition of Foodpanda Taiwan from Delivery Hero SE for approximately $950 million in cash, expected to close in the first half of 2025. Beginning in early 2025, Waymo and Uber will bring autonomous ride-hailing to Austin and Atlanta, only on the Uber app. In these cities, Uber will manage and dispatch a fleet of Waymo’s fully autonomous, all-electric Jaguar I-PACE vehicles that will grow to hundreds over time. You can find a summary of financial statements here: Our recommendation Since February 2024, Uber's stock (UBER) has been undergoing a correction, largely driven by concerns over the rise of robotaxi services potentially eroding the market share of traditional ride-hailing giants like Uber and Lyft. Notably, Waymo—Alphabet's autonomous vehicle division—recently expanded to Miami and now completes over 150,000 self-driving rides per week. Tesla is also set to enter the space with a planned robo-taxi launch in late 2025. However, Uber is not sitting idle. The company, in collaboration with WeRide, has launched an autonomous mobility service in Abu Dhabi and is targeting fully driverless commercial services by late 2025 in the same region. This demonstrates Uber's proactive strategy to stay competitive in the evolving ride-hailing landscape. Beginning in early 2025, Waymo and Uber will bring autonomous ride-hailing to Austin and Atlanta, only on the Uber app. The sharp decline in Uber's stock price—down 34% in recent weeks. The MACD indicator is showing that we shall be having a zero crossover soon hence suggesting that selling pressure may be nearing exhaustion, potentially signalling a trend reversal. The stock appears poised to recover and return to a more balanced supply-and-demand dynamic. Despite current challenges, we expect Uber to remain resilient and successfully navigate market headwinds. The current price level presents a compelling buying opportunity, with a target price of $100.00 offering significant upside potential for investors who act now. Current price: $60.80 Good luck and best regards.
NYSE:UBERLong
by thesharkke
1
FED's Impact on GoldThe Federal Reserve has signaled that it will continue with interest rate cuts in 2025, but at a slower pace. It is not expected to make a cut in January, due to persistent inflation and labor market strength. This suggests that the Fed will be more cautious in its next moves, keeping interest rates higher for longer than expected. Gold, traditionally a safe haven in times of economic uncertainty, could be affected by these policies. Prolonged high interest rates could make dollar assets, such as bonds, more attractive to investors, which would decrease demand for gold. However, inflation remains a relevant concern, which keeps gold as an option to protect purchasing power. In addition, the strength of the labor market could continue to put pressure on inflation, which would benefit gold as a safe haven. Gold Technical Analysis Gold starts the week with a bullish momentum, trading at $2659. To continue its advance, it needs to overcome resistance at $2666, which could lead it to look for the next resistance at $2685. The checkpoint zone is at $2637, which marks a key support level. Technical indicators, especially the mid-range crossovers, suggest that gold could face a bearish consolidation. If this scenario is confirmed, the price could pull back towards the checkpoint at $2637, a level to watch closely to assess the strength of the trend. Short-Term Outlook In conclusion, even if the Fed maintains a cautious stance, gold remains a valuable asset in the face of inflation and economic uncertainty. In the short term, gold faces resistance at $2666 and could correct towards $2637 if technical indicators suggest a bearish consolidation. However, inflation and economic strength could continue to support gold demand. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:GOLD
by ActivTrades
Hang Seng - Stimulus package still lingering to the upside?Hi guys , next we would look into the Hang Seng. With the Stimulus package made in the Chinese economy we saw a very big boost into the price of the Hang Seng, of which afterwards we saw a decent correction to the current level, I believe from this point forward we would formulate an an ascending channel and push towards the higher level, maybe not the strong Resistance Level, but around the level which I wrote down on the chart. Entry : 19,740 Target : 20,621 I have entered with 250 contracts. As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
HKEX:HSI1!Long
by DG55Capital
Consolidation Midweek Rally #8I wanted the price to break last week’s high to confirm that it was moving upward, and this happened on Tuesday. I decided to wait for Wednesday, specifically after 2:30 PM NY time, to see if the price would return to the 15-minute order block. However, that didn’t happen. Instead, the price formed a double bottom, and below it, there was a 4-hour order block and the high of the mitigation block. Seeing this, I chose to step back and not trade. On Friday, I also didn’t trade because I avoid trading after three consecutive daily candles, even though I expected the price to create the high of the week on that day.
by Bufalodorato
Enzyme is a Great Project IMOI have been meaning to post on MLN for a while. It is a small market cap but a really great project IMO. It essentially is trying to democratise fund creation so that anyone can create a fund that others can invest in. This is a major part of moving from the ponzi that is most of defi currently to something sustainable and I think it has the potential to become a major player in the defi space long-term. Immediate target is just over $100 but long-term could be face-meltingly high. I won't speculate now because there is not enough data but i'm thinking maybe around $3500 at the moment (approx. $10bn FDV)
Long
by cultureofwoods
2
US 10Y TREASURY: expecting a 25 bps cutAs the Feds December meeting is approaching, so the market nervousness is increasing. During the previous week the 10Y US benchmark reverted back toward the 4,4% level, from 4,2% traded previously. Such a move was a reflection of market expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by additional 25 bps on December 18th. Also, ahead of the FOMC meeting, November inflation data was published, showing 0,4% increase in November, higher from market expectation of 0,2%. Increased volatility might be expected also during the first two days of the week ahead. The current 4,4% level for 10Y US Treasuries might be its highest level for the week. As per CME FedWatch Tool, there is currently 97% odds that the Fed will cut by 25 bps. In this sense, some relaxation in yields might be expected during the week ahead.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
Gold: only a short correction?The price of gold slipped a bit during the previous week, to adjust for the rise of the US Dollar. The highest-lowest trading range was between levels of $2.725 down to $2.650 where the price is closing the week. Still, analysts see this drop in price as only a temporary move, considering the FOMC meeting scheduled for December 18th, where the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by another 25 bps. The RSI dropped to the level of 48, but is still not clearly indicating that the market is ready for a move toward the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to slow down its divergence from MA200, but the convergence has not started yet. This postpones the potential for a cross in the coming period. All markets are currently set for a Fed's decision during the week ahead. This might imply some increased volatility during the week. As per current charts there are two possible scenarios for the price of gold for the week ahead. In one case, if the current level of $2.650 is broken toward the downside, then the price will continue its down trend, at least till the $2,6K support line. On the opposite side, if current level sustains, then the price will revert toward the upside, till the $2,7K resistance level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
SPX: in green to end a year?A week after the S&P 500 reached a new ATH, the market slowed down a bit during the previous week. The new ATH has been tested for a potential for further move toward the upside, however, there has not been enough market strength, so the index reverted just a bit to the downside. The lowest weekly level reached was 6.030 points. The market's beloved tech companies were traded with a modest negative sentiment, except TSLA. A brand new star of the week was company Broadcom, which surged 24% for the week, after the company published that its AI-generated revenue soared by an incredible 220%. Analysts are noting high probability that the equity market will continue to head toward the upside till the year end. Such sentiment will be supported by the expected Fed rate cut of 25 bps on December 18th. However, they are also noting that the switch from large caps toward the small cap companies has been occurring for some time now, and will continue in the future period, supported by the environment of decreased interest rates.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX