TURBO/USDT - H4 - Wedge Breakout (29.06.2025)The TURBO/USDT pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.005173
2nd Resistance – 0.005994
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Fundamental Analysis
Bearish on ETH! Price has tested and retested the daily sellers order blocking creating a triple top bearish reversal pattern, which was then swept of liquidity. From there, Price broke below the neckline of the triple top and retested the now formed resistance at the 2,450 level. Also in this move we can see a daily bearish trendline that is being respected. This screams bearish sentiments to me, so I will be selling!
Ethereum’s $10K Breakout Is in Sight — BRock's Staking ETF July🚨 Ethereum’s $10K Breakout Is in Sight — BlackRock’s Staking ETF Could Trigger a Historic Supply Squeeze
All eyes are on the SEC’s pending decision regarding BlackRock’s Ethereum Staking ETF, and if approval lands in July 2025, it could trigger one of the most powerful supply-side shocks in Ethereum’s history.
This isn’t just about price speculation. It’s about structural demand meeting vanishing supply.
🟢 Why This ETF Is a Game-Changer
BlackRock isn’t just filing for an Ethereum ETF—it’s filing for a staking-enabled ETF. That’s a huge distinction. This means:
ETH held in the ETF will be staked, earning real yield
Staked ETH is locked and removed from circulation
Institutional capital gains exposure to yield + price upside
Ethereum becomes a yield-bearing digital commodity
It’s no longer just “digital oil.” It’s now digitized yield, and institutions are hungry for real yield in a low-rate environment.
📈 Technical Setup Is Bullish
ETH is coiling under its former ATH of ~$4,800
RSI shows no major bearish divergence
ETH/BTC ratio shows signs of breakout after long consolidation
Bitcoin dominance is peaking → altseason rotation imminent
Add a major ETF approval catalyst to this technical structure, and ETH could move explosively.
🔮 Ethereum Price Forecasts Post-Approval
Scenario Price Target Timeframe
Conservative $6,000–$7,000 2–4 weeks post-approval
Upside / Momentum $9,000–$10,000 Q3 2025
Supercycle Case $12K–$15K Q4 2025–Q1 2026
Why $10K ETH is Realistic:
Bitcoin’s ETF sparked $15B+ in inflows in <6 months
ETH has smaller market cap, so similar flows have outsized impact
Staking ETF removes ETH from float, making price reflexively bullish
TradFi gets exposure to yield + deflationary asset in one product
🔥 This Could Be Ethereum’s “GBTC Moment”
Remember how Grayscale’s GBTC product in 2020 created a reflexive premium and drove massive BTC inflows?
This is version 2.0, with yield attached. And instead of retail FOMO, we now have pension funds, RIAs, and endowments allocating via regulated ETF rails.
That’s not hype. That’s capital rotation—on-chain.
🛑 Risks to Watch
SEC delays or waters down staking component
Macro headwinds (rate volatility, geopolitical shock)
ETF approval gets front-run and sells the news
But even with these risks, the ETH supply structure is fundamentally stronger than during prior cycles. The burn is active. The float is tightening. And now TradFi wants in.
✅ Conclusion: July Could Be Ethereum’s Tipping Point
With a BlackRock staking ETF on deck, a macro environment ripe for a Fed rate cut, and Ethereum sitting under its ATH with rising momentum…
$10K ETH isn’t a moonshot—it’s the logical next leg.
If approved in July, Ethereum may never trade below $5,000 again.
🔔 Follow for updates on ETH ETF flows, ETH/BTC ratio breakouts, and altseason timing models.
📊 Comment below—what’s your Ethereum price target if the ETF is approved?
#Ethereum #ETHUSD #CryptoETF #BlackRock #Altseason #ETHAnalysis #CryptoNews #TradingView
RSI Flashes Warning on EURUSD: Critical Level Under Watch!Good morning traders,
If the EURUSD pair breaks below the 1.16729 level due to an RSI divergence, the next potential target could be around 1.16093.
Keep in mind that a break below 1.16729 may also signal a potential trend reversal.
I've marked the pivot points for you on the chart for better clarity.
Additionally, it's crucial to keep an eye on current economic data and news releases as part of your fundamental analysis.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
"PYPL Money Grab – Ride the Bull Wave Before the Reversal!"🔥 PAYPAL HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Grab Before the Trap! 🔥 (Thief Trading Tactics)
👋 Greetings, Market Bandits & Cash Pirates! 🏴☠️💰
This is not financial advice—just a strategic robbery blueprint for PayPal (PYPL).
🎯 THE MASTER PLAN (Day/Swing Heist)
🔑 Entry (Bullish Swipe):
*"The vault’s cracked—bullish loot is ripe! Enter at ANY PRICE or snipe pullbacks (15m/30m swing lows/highs)."*
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Thief’s SL: Recent swing low candle body/wick (3H TF).
Your SL = Your Risk. Adjust for lot size & multiple orders.
📈 Target: 82.00 (or escape earlier if bears ambush!)
⚡ SCALPERS’ NOTE:
Longs ONLY. Hit quick profits? Run. Still hungry? Ride the swing heist!
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car. 🚗💨
⚠️ DANGER ZONE (Yellow MA):
Overbought | Consolidation | Bear Trap | Trend Reversal Risk!
Take profits early—greed gets caught! 🏆💸
📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (DYOR!):
Check: COT Reports | Macro Trends | On-Chain Data | Sentiment Shifts 🔍🔗 (.Linnkkss. 👉 is there to read!)
🚨 NEWS ALERT (Volatility Warning!):
Avoid new trades during news.
Trailing SL = Survive the Chaos.
💥 BOOST THE HEIST!
👊 Smash "Like" & "Boost" to fuel our next robbery! More loot = More plans! 🚀
🔔 Stay tuned—next heist coming soon! 🤑🎉
Canadian National Railway has huge upside potentialA decades old trendline still unbroken after months of correction, the Canadian economy seems to be in a great position considering the circumstances. After conducting a simple technical analysis predicting a second leg up the upside potential is enormous if I am right about this. The downside is I am looking at a monthly chart so this will need to be a position trade or long term investment to achieve the desired results. Even if my target is reached I will likely hold onto the stock for years afterwards because the company will continue to make money. The intrinsic value for CNI is between $120 and $225 so it is well below the intrinsic value making any new position on it now at a bargain deal. I will likely be allocating a significant portion of my portfolio to it in the next few days to weeks.
BellRing Brands (BRBR) Weekly Gartley@ Key Levels + Kijun SignalIn March 2025, I previously took a look at this budding public company BellRing Brands, Inc. for a long-term investment horizon. It was priced around 74 at the time, then the fall of the overall market status put additional pressure on its stock, although the company itself is booming and meets my fundamental parameters. See the following:
Since then, we had an awesome and confident forward guidance from the company in the last earnings call in May 2025: bellring.com
Now, looking at BellRing Brands (BRBR) once again, on a weekly chart, key technical patterns have formed that look very promising and solid with its many confluences.
TECHNICALS:
WEEKLY:
Many weekly confluences have appeared from a technical perspective. Here is what I see:
(1) There is a clear Bullish Gartley-ish pattern in a weekly retracement to 50% followed by a retracement to 78.6% of a preceding move.
(2) The price is around 78% fib support.
(3) Horizontal area of support: The 50 - 58 area is a whole prior area of horizontal support that was a prior resistance area back in July 2024, and the price has landed back on that area. You know what we say as technicians and investors: past resistance = future support.
(4) MACD Hidden Bullish Divergence (weekly)
(5) The price tested the weekly cloud and broke through; however, bullish extremes were triggered when that happen, which is rare based on all my personal studies. In fact, the current level 55-58 marks the end of a bearish double top cycle that began around March 2025.
(6) A weekly Doji with volume support (classified as a "dVa" in my old notes of Volume Price Analysis).
Here is the weekly chart:
MONTHY:
BRBR is poised to rally Q3 and Q4 2025.
We have a potential monthly bounce of the kijun forthcoming along with good fundamentals going forward supporting the growth of the company in the long term.
** potential monthly Kijun Trend Bounce **
Here is the monthly chart:
Target:
Currently, the price is 58.54. My tentative target is around 140 by March 2026.
Thus, with all the fundamental support, good forward-looking guidance, and the technical I believe that BellRing Brands (BRBR) is at a great price right now. It is prime to continue its stretch of growth for 2025. Looking forward with investor foresight, the case for BellRing Brands and its stock (BRBR) is not only a high-probability outlook of positivity, but a high odds outcome of technical price pattern success. What a great discount.... :)
BRBR Power Bar and Protein Shakes Shakin' It UP!Fundamentals:
Meets my parameters for investing long-term.
Technicals:
Daily:
ExDiv1
Triples
161 extension, equal legs and weekly key fib meeting at the same spot (confluence)
New Crown high formed on the daily
Weekly:
uHd+hammerw/ d3 volume @ key fib pullback
morning star
Met monthly average range
Kijun signal
extreme indicator
Target 140 (tentatively), but will hold forever if I possible
Tentative rethinking point to buy more investment if it falls is about 48.
BTC/USD 1DHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the 3rd peak formed us and we are currently fighting to maintain the price or a potential output up if we do not see a try to break out, you can expect a stronger relief.
However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = 108376 $
T2 = 110473 $
Т3 = 112061 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 105444 $
SL2 = 103637 $
SL3 = 100644 $
SL4 = 98285
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As we entered the upper part of the indicator again, however, there is still a place to try to grow.
Realio ($RIO): The Most Undervalued RWA Gem 500-1000x GrowthHow a $40M Underdog Could Become the BlackRock x Nasdaq x Coinbase of Tokenized Private Assets⚡️ TL;DR
Realio is building the rails for a tokenized financial future: real estate, private equity, venture funds, private credit, and compliant secondary markets via a FINRA-registered ATS (tZERO).
While the market focuses on flashy RWA narratives like Ethena or Ondo, Realio has quietly launched the infrastructure layer that will serve as the picks-and-shovels for trillions of off-chain assets coming on-chain.
And at a $40M valuation, this is arguably the highest asymmetric upside in crypto RWAs right now.
📊 The Market Is 1000x Bigger Than People Realize
Before diving into Realio's product stack, let’s contextualize just how big the RWA opportunity really is:
Asset Class Global Market Size U.S. Market Size
Real Estate (res + com) $613T $200T
Private Equity + VC $11.7T $5.6T
Private Credit $1.5T $1T
Art, Collectibles, Gold $2T+ $500B+
Treasuries / Yield Funds $25T $7T
Just 1% of these assets moving on-chain = a $6T tokenized asset market—and someone needs to issue, custody, manage, and trade those RWAs. That’s where Realio shines.
🧱 Realio: Infrastructure, Not Just a Narrative
✅ Live Platform
White-label issuance, investor onboarding (KYC/AML), compliance layers, and integration with tZERO ATS for U.S.-compliant trading.
✅ Asset Agnostic
Real estate, equity, credit, commodities — Realio can tokenize any private asset, and already has with deals like St. Regis Aspen.
✅ Native Tokens
NYSE:RIO – governance, protocol-level staking
LSE:RST – smart compliance & validation layer
$LMX – liquidity mining token for ecosystem bootstrap
🧮 Base Case: $4.1B Market Cap Breakdown (100x from today)
This is based on modest adoption across each vertical using conservative serviceable addressable market (SAM) assumptions:
Vertical Realio Capture Revenue Potential Market Cap Contribution
🇺🇸 Real Estate (res + com) $2B tokenized $30M $300M
🧠 Private Equity / Venture $2.5B AUM $50M $600M
🔁 tZERO ATS Trading Volume $500M volume $7.5M $150M
🏦 Private Credit / Debt $200M AUM $6M $100M
🛰 RST Protocol Infrastructure N/A TBD $150M
💧 LMX Token / Liquidity Layer N/A N/A $200M
Subtotal — — $1.5B
Platform Premium (2.7x) — — $2.6B
BASE CASE MARKET CAP — — $4.1B
Even a 0.1–0.5% share in each vertical gets you there. But that’s not the moonshot.
🚀 Upside Case: $25.4B+ Market Cap
This scenario assumes:
RWA market on-chain penetration hits 1–2% globally
Realio becomes a top 3 infrastructure player for compliant RWA issuance and trading
Broader institutional adoption and LP demand for secondary liquidity
Upside Capture Table
Vertical Realio Capture Revenue Potential Valuation Multiple Upside Market Cap
🇺🇸 Real Estate (0.1% of $200T) $200B tokenized $3B+ in fees 10x $8.0B
🧠 Private Equity (0.5% of $5.6T) $28B tokenized $560M 12x $6.7B
🏦 Private Credit (0.3% of $1T) $3B tokenized $60M 10x $600M
🔁 Secondary ATS Volume $5B traded/year $75M 15x $1.1B
🛰 RST Protocol Node Ecosystem Global validator infra N/A Platform value $4.0B
💧 LMX Liquidity + DEX Stack Curated RWA trading hub Network effects Ecosystem value $5.0B
Upside Total — — — $25.4B
🧠 Why Realio > Ethena, Ondo, Lumia (in Scope + Compliance)
Project Use Case Compliance Ready Live Assets Secondary Trading Valuation (Jun '25)
Realio Tokenization Infra + Trading ✅ U.S. Ready ✅ Yes ✅ tZERO ATS $40M
Ethena Synthetic USD + yield ❌ Offshore only ❌ Derivatives ❌ $1.2B
Ondo Tokenized Treasuries ✅ Yes ✅ Yes ✅ Coinbase $1.5B
Lumia Treasury yield stablecoin ✅ Yes Early stage ❌ $180M
🔮 Final Thoughts: Bet on the Rails, Not the Train
Every major financial revolution is won not by the speculative use cases—but by the infrastructure that enables them:
AWS powered the cloud revolution
Ethereum powered the DeFi boom
Realio could power the $10T+ tokenized private asset wave
The base case? A 100x.
The upside case? A Coinbase-style rerating to $25B+ as the market matures.
And today? You can buy NYSE:RIO before the herd even notices.
Disclosure: This is not investment advice. Author holds $RIO.
Reploy AI ($RAI): The Microcap AI Gem with 310x PotentialWhile the market chases overbought giants like Nvidia and high-FDV AI tokens, Reploy AI ($RAI) is quietly building what could become one of the most asymmetric trades of the entire cycle. With a current price near $0.65 and a projected upside to $105 (a conservative $1B market cap), we’re looking at a potential 310x+ return from today’s levels.
Yes, 310x. And here’s why that’s not just hopium — but based on real narrative fit, technical structure, and market cap mechanics.
🧠 What is Reploy AI?
Reploy is building the connective tissue for decentralized AI services — think:
Agent-driven infrastructure
AI-as-a-Service marketplaces
Tools for developers to launch, train, and monetize AI models across Web3 rails
Whereas most “AI coins” just slap on buzzwords, Reploy is going after the actual AI developer stack — composable tools that plug into real-world workflows, just like what OpenAI, Langchain, and Hugging Face are doing — but decentralized and token-incentivized.
📉 The Chart: Silent Accumulation Ending Soon?
Let’s break it down:
Current price: $0.648
PT1: $22.38 → 758% gain (~8.6x)
PT2: $105.68 → +31,175% (~310x)
RSI hovering near neutral (44–49) — signaling a coiled spring
Price compressed near lows after the launch hype — potential for massive reaccumulation breakout
This isn’t just a moonshot — it’s a setup eerily similar to early moves from TAO, RNDR, or even MATIC in 2020.
📊 Market Cap Math That Makes This Work
At $0.65, RAI is trading at a tiny microcap valuation — sub-$5M fully diluted (depending on supply disclosures). That means:
$50M = 10x
$100M = 20x
$1B = 200–310x, depending on circulating supply
With AI narratives dominating VC, crypto, and big tech headlines — a true AI infrastructure token with composable tools could easily hit a $500M–$1B cap if properly positioned.
And remember: most AI infra companies in TradFi have valuations north of $2B without a token model or flywheel.
🔥 Why This Isn’t Just a Narrative Pump
This is why $RAI isn’t just “another AI token”:
✅ 1. Low float, clean chart
It’s not overbought like TAO or RNDR. The consolidation range is primed for breakout if volume returns.
✅ 2. Actual product direction
Reploy is shipping dev-first tools — not just speculation, but infrastructure (think LangChain meets Web3).
✅ 3. Narrative megastack
AI 🧠
Agent economies 🤖
Decentralized infra ⚙️
Microcap parabolic setups 🚀
🏁 Final Word
We’re entering a phase where AI and crypto are finally converging with purpose — and while everyone’s watching TAO near a $3B cap, Reploy AI sits quietly under $5M, waiting for the spark.
If you’re looking for hyper-convex exposure to the AI + Web3 thesis, Reploy AI ($RAI) offers one of the cleanest, most asymmetric entries in the entire market right now.
The best trades are obvious in hindsight. This one’s obvious right now — if you’re paying attention.
Disclosure: Not financial advice. Do your own due diligence. But in terms of pure upside potential with real product direction? $RAI might just be the next TAO — at 1/600th the price.
TAO - Bullish Channel - Easy 5-10x🧠 Bittensor ( LSE:TAO ): The AI Infrastructure Play Hiding in Plain Sight
In a crypto market crowded with overhyped narratives and underdelivered roadmaps, Bittensor ( LSE:TAO ) stands out as one of the most structurally sound, undervalued, and long-term scalable tokens in the entire AI x crypto sector. Despite a current market cap of ~$3B, the upside potential remains largely untapped.
🔍 TL;DR: Why Bittensor Could 5–10x From Here
Real utility in the AI stack: decentralized machine learning marketplace, not vaporware
$3B market cap is tiny compared to the trillions flowing into AI infrastructure
Network effects + crypto incentives = exponential flywheel
Tokenomics favor scarcity and network value accrual
Could be the “Nvidia of decentralized AI”
⚙️ What is Bittensor?
Bittensor is a decentralized network for machine intelligence. Instead of siloing AI development inside closed corporate labs (like OpenAI or Anthropic), Bittensor incentivizes open-source contributors to train and provide AI models to the network.
It’s a proof-of-intelligence protocol where miners contribute compute and models, and are rewarded in LSE:TAO tokens based on the quality and usefulness of their output.
Think of it as:
“A decentralized, crypto-native version of HuggingFace + OpenAI + AWS rolled into one trustless protocol.”
🧠 The LSE:TAO Bull Case
1. Massive Market Tailwinds
The AI industry will exceed $1.8 trillion by 2030 (PwC, Bloomberg estimates)
Current AI infra is centralized and bottlenecked (e.g., API limits from OpenAI, model censorship, GPU shortages)
Bittensor taps into the open-access, decentralized future of AI, where censorship resistance and incentive alignment matter
Even a 0.1% capture of AI infrastructure spend = $1.8B/year in value flowing through TAO.
2. Superior Token Design
LSE:TAO is the fuel for both training and inference — all compute value flows through it
Scarcity baked in: 21 million max supply (same as Bitcoin)
Inflation rewards productive nodes, meaning value is tied directly to performance and adoption
Validators and miners stake TAO — creating constant buy pressure from participants who need skin in the game
TAO is not a meme — it’s an incentive layer for decentralized intelligence.
3. Network Effects Just Beginning
TAO ranks and rewards subnetworks based on model performance, sparking competition
As more builders contribute models, the value and intelligence of the network improves
Early movers get rewarded heavily (like Bitcoin in 2011 or Ethereum miners in 2016)
Low retail awareness right now = asymmetry for early investors
4. $3B Market Cap Is Misleadingly Small
For context:
Chainlink ( BIST:LINK ) = $11B cap with no real network effect
Arweave = ~$2.5B for decentralized storage
OpenAI (private) = $80B+ valuation
Nvidia = $3T+ valuation with GPU dominance
TAO offers something none of them do: a decentralized, monetizable brain — and it’s only just starting to scale.
A move to $15–$30B (5–10x from here) is conservative if Bittensor becomes the de facto decentralized AI coordination layer.
5. The Right Narrative at the Right Time
AI + crypto is the most investable narrative of this cycle
TAO is the only AI token with real compute and learning on-chain
VCs and institutions are increasingly looking for AI token exposure — and TAO is one of the few with a credible moat
🏁 Final Thoughts
If you're looking for a conviction trade that combines crypto-native scarcity, real-world AI utility, and explosive upside in a still-underappreciated niche, Bittensor is that play.
It’s not just another token riding the AI hype. It’s an ecosystem building the future of decentralized intelligence — with a token that rewards performance, scales with adoption, and is designed to accrue real value.
In a world where data is the new oil, Bittensor is building the decentralized refinery.
Disclosure: As always, do your own research. But in a space full of noise, LSE:TAO is one of the few tokens that could genuinely outperform 5–10x from here — and still have room to run.
Overall Trajectory BullishEntering long positions on XAU/USD based on a confirmed 3-Drive pattern on the H4 timeframe, aligning with confluence from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone.
As long as price stays and holds above 3200 I will remain bullish, if there is a close below 3200 then my analysis will be subject to change. Strong resistance will be at 3400 if it holds then the target is 3641 with a minor pullback at 3548.
RAI - Hidden Bullish Divergence - 8.5x Short-Term TargetRAI, the native token powering Reploy AI’s decentralized inference network, is quietly setting up for what could be one of the strongest short-term moves in the altcoin space. A hidden bullish divergence is flashing on the daily chart, signaling that smart money may already be positioning for a breakout — with technicals and fundamentals aligning for a potential 8.5x upside.
🔍 Technical Setup: Hidden Bullish Divergence in Play
A hidden bullish divergence occurs when price prints a higher low, while the RSI (Relative Strength Index) makes a lower low — a subtle but powerful signal that an existing uptrend is preparing to resume with force.
That’s exactly what’s happening on RAI’s daily chart:
Price Action: RAI has printed a higher low vs. prior corrections, maintaining its bullish structure and showing resilience even in a choppy market.
RSI Signal: Meanwhile, the daily RSI has dropped lower than its previous trough, suggesting temporary momentum weakness that isn’t confirmed by price itself.
Implication: This divergence often signals bullish continuation and typically resolves with a sharp move upward, catching lagging traders off guard.
📈 Why 8.5x? The Technical Case
RAI’s consolidation has formed a large base, and hidden bullish divergence often marks the final fakeout before explosive expansion. If the price reclaims key horizontal resistance levels with volume, a measured move projection from the current range puts the target in the 8.5x zone from current levels.
Key confluences:
Major resistance above has thin liquidity, meaning breakouts can be fast.
RSI reset allows for a full expansion cycle without being overbought.
Past altcoin breakout patterns in similar setups (especially low float, AI-adjacent tokens) have delivered 5–10x moves once structure resolves bullishly.
🧠 Fundamentals Still Underpriced
RAI isn’t just a technical play — it’s backed by one of the few projects building decentralized inference infrastructure, positioning it at the intersection of AI x Crypto, arguably the two most explosive megatrends of this decade.
AI infrastructure tailwind: As demand for decentralized GPU compute rises, RAI’s role as a native coordination token becomes more mission-critical.
Undervalued vs. peers: RAI’s market cap still lags similar tokens by 5–20x — making the 8.5x target not only plausible, but arguably conservative if the project continues hitting milestones.
🧠 Bottom Line: Hidden Strength Before Open Momentum
The market often gives quiet signals before loud moves — and the hidden bullish divergence on RAI may be that signal. With a clean technical setup, explosive narrative tailwinds, and breakout potential that could shift sentiment fast, RAI may be entering its pre-expansion phase.
Smart money watches divergence. Retail chases candles. Which side are you on?
🧭 Target: 8.5x
📆 Timeframe: Short-term (4–8 weeks)
📊 Setup: Daily hidden bullish divergence + structural higher low
🔓 Unlock zone: Reclaim of next resistance on volume confirms breakout
BTC's Mid 2025 OutlookBitcoin is currently trading around $107,000 on the 4-hour 4H timeframe, navigating a consolidation phase following a sharp rally that culminated in a new all-time high of $111,900 in May 2025. Despite recent price corrections, BTC remains up 3% on the week, reflecting underlying bullish momentum. This sustained strength hints at continued confidence in the market, particularly among larger players.
A notable development supporting this view is the increase in the number of Bitcoin wallets holding at least 10 BTC, which has surged to a three-month high of 152,280. This metric is widely regarded as a proxy for whale activity and may indicate renewed institutional interest, especially amid accelerating inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs.
On the 4H chart, Bitcoin appears to be consolidating within a tight range, hovering just beneath a key supply zone at $107,000, which could act as short-term resistance.
Several potential outcomes are currently in play:
Bullish scenario:
A breakout above the $107,000–$108,000 range could clear the path toward the critical resistance at $115,000. A successful move above this threshold would likely signal resumption of the broader uptrend, with some technical analysts eyeing a potential cup and handle formation that could project long-term targets up to \$180,000
Bearish scenario:
If BTC fails to hold above the current level, it may correct toward the first major support at $102,800, with further downside risk to $98,500. In a more pessimistic setup, price could extend losses toward $96,000, especially if macroeconomic or geopolitical pressures intensify
Key levels to watch:
Resistance: $107,000 - $115,000
Support: $102,800 - $98,500 - $96,000
Market Sentiment and External Drivers:
Bitcoin's price is being shaped not only by technical dynamics but also by powerful external forces
Spot Bitcoin ETFs:
The US regulatory greenlight for spot ETFs has dramatically altered market dynamics. With projections of $190 billion in assets under management AUM for these products by the end of 2025, institutional access to BTC has become more streamlined, providing strong tailwinds for long-term accumulation
Geopolitical risk and macro conditions:
Global uncertainty, particularly due to escalating tensions in the Middle East and potential US military involvement, has introduced volatility. At the same time, rising inflation and economic instability in developed markets is a double-edged sword, either undermining risk assets or conversely boosting Bitcoin’s narrative as digital gold and a hedge against fiat devaluation
Forward-Looking Outlook:
Bitcoin is at a critical juncture. The ability to sustain above $107,000 and reclaim the $115,000 resistance will be pivotal. A confirmed breakout could open the door to price discovery and possibly a surge toward $130,000 to $150,000, with $180,000 as an extended target in more bullish scenarios
However, a failure to hold key support levels could shift momentum toward the bears, prompting a deeper correction toward the $96,000 zone. Traders should monitor:
- Price reaction around $107,000 and $115,000
- ETF inflow data and AUM growth
- Macro news especially inflation reports and central bank commentary
- Developments in global conflict zones impacting risk appetite
Conclusion:
Bitcoin’s medium-term direction hinges on a delicate interplay of technical consolidation institutional flow and macro geopolitical signals. While the bullish structure remains intact for now a decisive move in either direction above $115,000 or below $98,000 could set the tone for the next major trend.
CADCHF SellOne strong reason for this trade is that the price clearly broke down from an inverted Cup and Handle pattern and confirmed the move with a small bearish flag, making this a high-probability trend continuation short setup. These patterns together signal strong bearish momentum and give a solid reason for entering a short position.
Ethereum monthly cup and handleSoooo, this is my first post, and I'm not really too sure if I'm seeing this correctly, can somebody please explain to me why I'm wrong or if I'm right. Cuzzzzz this seems extremely bullish to me.
This is on the monthly timeframe, so this projection is for closer to November - February, IMO...
AM I SEEING THIS CORRECTLY, or is this my bullish personality shining through.
Gold has been falling continuously. Will it continue next week?Market review:
The conflict between Israel and Iran intensified, and gold surged in the early stage, and then continued to fluctuate downward. Affected by the situation in the Middle East and weak data from the United States, it fell severely in three trading days, and most of the other time periods were in the stage of repeated washing.
The first round of decline began at the high point of 3452. Affected by the situation in the Middle East, the price rose rapidly, but the rapid rise led to insufficient upward momentum, and the departure of buyers led to continuous declines in a single trading day. The second round of decline was affected by the easing of the conflict between Iran and Israel, and the US dollar, crude oil, and gold all plunged sharply; the third round of decline was Powell's wait-and-see attitude towards the interest rate cut policy, and some US data were bearish for gold, leading to a new round of decline.
Market outlook for next week:
The breaking of the key support bands of 3303 and 3295 means that the downward adjustment has not ended, but after touching the support near 3250, there was a clear bottoming out and recovery. It means that there is strong support below, and the focus of next week's opening is the emergence of price rebound. There were rebounds to varying degrees after the previous two rounds of decline, so this round of decline still needs to be paid attention to. The strategy mainly revolves around shorting on price rebound, with a focus on the upward suppression range of 3285-3310.
If the rebound is small, then at the beginning of next week, it is likely to maintain a small fluctuation in the range of 3270-3285.
PENGU = ETF Catalyst + Whale Accumulation = +30% More Upside?Today, on the weekend, I want to analyze the Pudgy Penguins project with the PENGU ( BINANCE:PENGUUSDT ) token from a fundamental and technical perspective .
Please stay with me.
Why did PENGU surge nearly 40% in just 48 hours? Here’s what’s driving it:
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Fundamental Analysis:
1. ETF Momentum via Cboe:
On June 26, Cboe officially filed a 19b-4 form for a new ETF that includes Pudgy Penguins and PENGU as major components.
Although not yet approved, this single move has fueled strong institutional anticipation, similar to what happened with Bitcoin ETFs in early 2023.
The market often prices in future narratives — and this ETF storyline has been a powerful one.
2.Whale Accumulation Signals
According to Nansen data, large holders have increased their balances by 11.37%, and notable wallets linked to public figures by 7% over the last 30 days.
Such coordinated accumulation often precedes major price moves, and that pattern seems to be repeating here.
3.NFT Ecosystem Boost
The Pudgy Penguins NFT collection saw a 400%+ surge in sales volume.
This sharp increase in NFT activity has reignited attention toward the broader Pudgy ecosystem, which naturally benefits its native token, PENGU.
Risk Note:
The ETF is not yet approved — we're still in the hype phase.
Volatility remains high, and strong pullbacks are common in low-liquidity tokens like PENGU.
If whale activity continues and institutional narratives grow, the upside potential remains — but so does the downside risk.
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PENGU token started to rise from the Support zone($0.01-$0.0076) . One of the signs of a continuation of the uptrend was the break of the upper line of the descending channel .
Educational Note: One of the price targets after a channel break can be as wide as the width of the broken channel.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the PENGU token has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) , and we can wait for the next impulsive waves .
I expect the PENGU token to attack the Resistance zone($0.0128-$0.0118) again, and if this zone is broken , it can increase to at least $0.0137(+30%) .
What is your idea about the Pudgy Penguins project?
Note: If the PENGU token drops below $0.01, we can expect a break of the Support zone($0.01-$0.0076).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Pudgy Penguins Analyze (PENGUUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Technical Analysis – UNO MINDA LTD (June 27, 2025)UNO MINDA is showing strong bullish momentum after forming a base and reclaiming the 200 EMA. The breakout from the falling channel and consolidation near resistance suggest strength. As long as it sustains above ₹1020, accumulation in the 1100–1110 range is favorable for a move toward ₹1300+
Weekly Chart:-
Daily Chart:-
The stock has:
Formed a strong base around ₹850–₹900.
Broken above the 200-day EMA with strength.
Recently made higher highs and higher lows, which is a bullish price structure.
Consolidated near a resistance zone (around ₹1100–₹1120) and is now trying to break above it.
Chart Pattern Insight:
The stock was earlier trading within a downward-sloping channel (black trendlines).
It has recently broken out of the upper boundary of this channel.
A horizontal resistance zone (highlighted in red) around ₹1110 is currently being tested.
If the price closes convincingly above ₹1120, it would confirm a bullish breakout.
ERUSUD: BookMost of us read books on FX trading, hopefully, we can pick up something new, something useful. All the books I had read to date are not useful. I think common sense tells me to forget about them.
But lucky me, I think one book stands out. Written by a nobody. But the method is quite original. His name is Gabriele Fabris. I bet none of you have heard of him or his method.
If I had applied his method to trading EURUSD, the win rate would not be favourable, but his core argument is to make use of time when it matters the most. This provides the basis to understand price movement better. With a bit of research and refinement, it is indeed very useful. Much better than the usual ABCD.
ABCD tells us WHERE and WHEN. It does not tell us the WHY. Which is why when the price reaches the 'D', we can only hope it bounces instead of pushing through.
WHY is the key - I think knowing the intention of the MARKET is crucial - better to let the market reveal itself, then trade along with it. I think the back testing looks good.
Let's see if this method can correctly 'predict' the WHEN, WHERE, and WHY price will pivot this time. It is a long way down.
Good luck.