Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 27th February 2025)Bias: No bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-Prelim GDP q/q
-Unemployment Claims
Analysis:
-Price closed back to market open price on previous daily
-Waiting for retest of 0.5 fib level or liquidity sweep on daily equal low
-Potential BUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 2930 , 2880
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Fundamental Analysis
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long ( BUY STOP )Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Strong uptrend with price making higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD is bullish, and RSI is at 62.67 (still below overbought territory).
• No major resistance above the current level, suggesting continuation.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Price is recovering from a recent pullback.
• MACD is turning positive, signaling a potential bullish move.
• RSI at 53.30 suggests room for upside.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• Consolidation near 2916.88, indicating a possible breakout.
• MACD and RSI show signs of bullish momentum returning.
Trade Setup:
• Position: Long (Buy)
• Entry: 2920 (above recent consolidation)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 2908 (recent minor support)
• Take-Profit (TP): 2944 (next key resistance)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
Fundamental Justification:
• Gold remains bullish due to inflation concerns and potential rate cut expectations from the Fed.
• No significant bearish catalyst, and momentum favors bulls. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Liquidity Grab Above $2,920: Institutions might sweep liquidity 🔥 ULTRA AGGRESSIVE TRADING PLAN – FEBRUARY 27, 2025 🔥
📌 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 💰🔥🚀
📊 REAL-TIME MARKET DATA & CONFIRMATION CHECKLIST 📈
✅ PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS
💲 Current Price: $2,917.675
🚀 Resistance Zone: $2,917 - $2,920 (Strong institutional sell zone)
🛑 Major Resistance (R3): $2,925.104
📉 Key Dynamic Support: $2,912 - $2,910
🔻 Psychological Support: $2,900.053
✅ TECHNICAL INDICATORS CONFIRMATION
📉 MACD: Bearish divergence forming, indicating slowing momentum ⚠️
📊 RSI (7): Near overbought levels, showing exhaustion 🚨
📉 VWAP: Price slightly above VWAP, signaling a potential rejection 📉
📏 Fibonacci Retracement: 61.8% Zone at $2,917 - $2,920, a perfect reversal level 🌀
✅ INSTITUTIONAL ORDER FLOW & LIQUIDITY INSIGHTS 🏦💰
⚠️ Liquidity Grab Above $2,920: Institutions might sweep liquidity before dumping price 🎯
📉 COT Data: Institutional traders are heavily shorting from this level 🏦💰
🔴 Order Block Detected: $2,915 - $2,920 is a major liquidity trap! 🚨
📈 FINAL TRADE SETUP – SELL ENTRY PLAN 🔥
🔴 SELL NOW IF PRICE REJECTS $2,917 - $2,920 AGAIN!
📉 Profit Targets (TPs) 🎯:
🎯 TP1: $2,910 (First support level)
🎯 TP2: $2,900 (Psychological level & demand zone)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): $2,922 (Above manipulation zone to avoid stop-hunts!) 🚨
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 🚀 HIGH WIN PROBABILITY!
🔥 FINAL DECISION – YES, SELL XAU/USD NOW WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE! 🔥
📌 Entry Zone: $2,917 - $2,920 🚨
📌 Target: TP1 = $2,910 | TP2 = $2,900 💰
📌 Stop Loss: $2,922 (Avoid market manipulation wicks) 🛑
🔥 MILKING THE MARKET – EXECUTE WITH ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE PRECISION! 💰🚀🔥
🎯 Trade with institutional-level execution and confidence!
⚡ This is a high-probability short setup with massive profit potential!
💰 Lock in gains, manage risk, and execute the perfect sell trade!
🚀 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 🔥💰🔥💰🔥
This trading plan is designed with institutional-level insights and ultra-aggressive execution to maximize profit and win rate. Stick to the plan, follow confirmations, and execute with precision! 🚀🔥
BigCommerce | BIGC | Long at $7.15BigCommerce NASDAQ:BIGC is growing. Revenue in FY2020 was $152 million and in FY2024 it rose to $333 million. In 2025, the company is targeting $342.1M-$350.1M revenue with focus on B2B growth. Free cash flow in FY2024 was positive for the first time at $22 million. Stay cautious, however, with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6x... insiders have recently grabbed $100k+ in shares as well as awarded themselves options. While the price gap near the mid $5 range may be closed in the near-term, the longer-term outlook here seems positive unless the company fundamentals change. The price has also entered my historical simple moving average zone/lines, which is often a bullish signal. Thus, at $7.15, NASDAQ:BIGC is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$8.00
$9.00
$10.00
$11.00
Applied Materials | AMAT | Long at $169.75Republican Ashley Moody recently dropped $200k-$500k on Applied Materials $NASDAQ:AMAT. The semiconductor boom may not be over...
Price-to-earnings: 21.68x (great in comparison to others...)
Debt-to-equity: 0.34x (low)
Cash flow: $10.4 billion (FY2024)
Insiders awarded options recently
Unless NASDAQ:NVDA brings the market down, NASDAQ:AMAT is in a personal buy zone at $169.75. While the price may dip in the near-term to the $140s, bullish until the semi boom dies...
Targets:
$195.00
$215.00
$240.00
JOURNAL FOR MGC1!Today I placed two trades on MGC1! my first entry was a sell scalp which was strictly a technical entry and the second was the buy back up because it goes with the bias of gold being bullish, and inflation fears, so for each trade Ive wait on a area of consolidation (order block) then wait on a break out in this case after that impulsive move to the downside on gold I waited for an area of support to form with rejections of pushing lower at this point an order block should start forming, I tend to get a better structure of an order block forming on the 5min, once a bullish engulfing to print above the last high then I take the trade, today I had no draw down my entry was precise!
JUPITER ($JUPUSD)—SOLANA’S DEFI STAR SHINES?JUPITER (JUP)—SOLANA’S DEFI STAR SHINES?
(1/9)
Good morning, X! Jupiter (JUP) is buzzing 💸 $ 3.7B Nov ‘23 volume, $ 1.07 price 🌍 Q1 ‘25 let’s unpack this crypto contender!
(2/9) – VOLUME HUM
• Nov ‘23: $ 3.7B—Solana DEX lead 💡
• Jan ‘25: $ 3M revenue—fees stack 📊
• Supply: 1.35B JUP—$ 1.45B cap 🌟
JUP’s hauling—Solana’s DeFi engine!
(3/9) – CASH GLOW
• Fees: 500K−650K daily—Ultra Mode 🚀
• Buyback: 50% fees snag JUP—locked 🌞
• Price: $ 1.07—down 65% from $ 1.85 💎
JUP’s cash flows—steady grind!
(4/9) – BIG MOVES
• Buyback: 16M+ JUP/mo.—supply shrinks 📈
• Sanctum: SOL debit card—real spend 🌐
• Features: DCA, futures—DeFi zip 🚗
JUP’s stretching—crypto’s toolbox!
(5/9) – RISKS ON TAP
• Delay: Mainnet lags—Q1 ‘25 wobbles ⚠️
• Control: Team grips—central snag 🔒
• Comp: Uniswap bites—tight race 📉
Hot buzz—can it dodge the traps?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Lead: $ 3.7B vol.—Solana champ 💪
• Cash: $ 3M Jan—fee beast 🏋️
• Tools: Swap, futures—steady juice 🌱
JUP’s a DeFi hauler—built tough!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Token lock, 65% drop—eek 🙈
• Opportunities: Buybacks, Solana lift—zing 🌏
Can JUP vault past the snags?
(8/9) – JUP’s $ 1.07 buzz—what’s your take?
1️⃣ Bullish—$ 3+ stacks up 😎
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, risks linger 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish—Dips below $ 0.63 😕
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
JUP’s $ 3.7B vol and $ 1.07 price pile up—Solana hauler 🪙 Buybacks spark, risks loom—gem or bust?
Ethena $ENA is Heating Up – Institutional AdoptionThis weeek, Ethena Labs and its synthetic stablecoin USDe have been making waves in the crypto space.
Here’s what’s happening:
1. Massive $100M Funding Round in Dec 2024 reveald
Ethena raised $100M in a private sale of BINANCE:ENAUSDT tokens to support its new blockchain for TradFi institutions.
Key investors: Franklin Templeton & F-Prime Capital (Fidelity’s VC arm).
The private sale was reportedly completed in December 2024, offering Ethena’s eponymous governance token, BINANCE:ENAUSDT , to investors at an average price of $0.40.
New product launch: iUSDe, a stablecoin designed specifically for institutional finance.
Why it matters: This signals deepening TradFi interest in crypto-native stablecoins. If major financial firms are getting involved, it suggests long-term strategic positioning.
2. MEXC Drops $20M on USDe – Plus $1M in Rewards
MEXC acquired $20M in USDe to promote stablecoin adoption.
$1M reward campaign launched to incentivize staking & usage.
MEXC Ventures also invested $16M in Ethena Labs to support ecosystem growth.
Why it matters: Exchanges are not just listing USDe—they’re actively acquiring it and pushing incentives to drive adoption. This could significantly increase its market presence vs. USDT & USDC.
3. Risk Management Upgrade – Chaos Labs’ Oracles
Ethena integrated Chaos Labs’ Edge Proof of Reserves Oracles.
Goal: Enhance transparency and independent verification of USDe reserves.
Comes right after USDe volatility due to Bybit’s $1.5B ETH hack.
Why it matters: Ethena is addressing concerns about reserve security & DeFi transparency, which could attract more institutional capital.
4. Partnership with Trump’s World Liberty Financial (WLFI)
Ethena’s sUSDe stablecoin will serve as a collateral asset for WLFI.
WLFI is backed by Trump’s family and allies, positioning itself as a “Made in USA” financial platform.
Aave’s risk assessment approved sUSDe, increasing its legitimacy.
Why it matters: This could bring Ethena closer to regulatory approval and Republican-friendly financial networks, boosting its institutional credibility in the US.
Key Market Reactions & Speculation
USDe supply is nearing 6B, making it the 3rd largest stablecoin after USDT & USDC.
ENA price surged 8.5% in 24 hours, as whales accumulate.
Some speculate big investors are positioning ahead of major announcements.
Final Thoughts – What’s Next?
BINANCE:ENAUSDT has dropped to $0.40 – exactly the private sale price from December 2024, where institutional investors like Franklin Templeton & F-Prime Capital (Fidelity VC) entered.
Why This Level Matters:
Final Weekly FVG (Fair Value Gap) support zone – macro trend remains intact if it holds.
Institutional break-even level – smart money doesn’t like losing; potential for re-accumulation.
iUSDe Launch Coming Soon – a major narrative driver for the ecosystem.
USDe adoption & integrations expanding (Chaos Labs oracles, WLFI partnership, MEXC buy-in).
If a major listing or ETF tie-in happens, ENA could explode—but if USDe faces regulatory pressure, we might see a harsh correction.
Risks:
Still, USDe is NOT a fiat-backed stablecoin. Its yield model (9%) and DeFi integration mean risks remain.
How to Play This?
Option 1: DCA Now – Accumulate here while price stabilizes in the demand zone.
Option 2: Wait for LTF Range – Look for deviations & liquidity sweeps before confirming re-accumulation.
Block | XYZ | Long at $64.84Block's NYSE:XYZ revenue is anticipated to grow from $24 billion in FY2024 to $32 billion in FY2027. With a current price-to-earnings ratio of 13.8x, debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36x, and rising cash flow in the billions, it's a decent value stock at its current price. Understandably, there is some hesitation among investors due to competitive fintech market and economic headwinds. But, like PayPal NASDAQ:PYPL , growth is building.
From a technical analysis perspective, the price dropped to within my historical simple moving average bands. Often, but not always, this signals a momentum change and the historical simple moving average lines indicate an upward change may be ahead. While the open price gaps on the daily chart in the $40s and GETTEX:50S may be closed before a true move up occurs, NYSE:XYZ is in a personal buy zone at $64.84.
Targets:
$80.00
$90.00
$100.00
[*) $134.00 (very long-term)
Gold Market Supply Extends Bearish Sentiment, 2929 MitigationThe gold market continues its bearish sentiment as the daily candle formation opens at 2915, reinforcing a supply-driven stance. With supply mitigation at 2929, the market aligns with a corrective phase, responding to macroeconomic shifts and investor sentimen follow for more insight , comment , boost idea
Journal on NQ1!This morning I decided to try out a new symbol, even though it was a lost I still learned today, overall price action was ranging, but because Im a fundamental, technical trader I was able to see how each played a part in trades today. When trading this pair I know that I need to focus more on candle closures, unless its an impulsive move, today I learned to focus on candle closures, although I had a breakout from a consolidation, I entered impulsivly when all I had to do was wait on the candle to close below the last low and either wait on a retest or just place the trade, because I didnt over leverage I didnt have to worry about blowing my account, moving forward I will set alerts and be patient. I won today mentally!!
2/26/25 - $obtc - the goal is to buy this...2/26/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:OBTC
the goal is to buy this...
- the goal is to accumulate bitcoin
- not panic sell it because jim cramer told ur mom's boyfriend it's going to zero
- obtc buys it 10% off, in other words, mid 70s.
- does it go lower? V says. idk and idc.
- the end game is stack sats
- if you're not buying something today, you're doing it wrong.
a lil PSA for the lobotomized. and a reminder to my friends that it's 10% off w OBTC, use limit orders!
V
SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SRPT Sarepta Therapeuticsprior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 120usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-8-15,
for a premium of approximately $9.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
EUR/USD 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE This chart represents the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe, showing key technical analysis elements:
1. Sell Zones (Highlighted in Red Boxes): These are areas of strong resistance where price previously reversed downward, indicating potential selling opportunities.
2. Trendlines (Blue Lines):
The first blue trendline represents a downtrend, which was eventually broken to the upside.
The second blue trendline shows an uptrend, which also appears to have been broken, suggesting potential weakness.
3. Price Action & Projection:
The price recently touched a sell zone around 1.0520 and started rejecting it.
The chart suggests a possible downward movement, with a blue arrow pointing toward the lower support levels.
Support levels are marked at 1.04544 and 1.04054, where price might find some buying interest.
Conclusion:
This analysis indicates a bearish outlook after price rejected the sell zone. If the price stays below the resistance, it could move toward the lower support levels. Traders might consider short positions if the price confirms the breakdown.
$BTC bearish outlook: $2B selling pressure incomingI am bearish on CRYPTOCAP:BTC for the following reasons:
1️⃣ The $Bybit hack resulted in a loss of $1.4B worth of $ETH. To continue trading, Bybit is currently bridging liquidity with Binance. However, this is only a temporary solution. Eventually, they will need to buy back $1.4B in ETH, and the only reserve asset large enough to cover this is Bitcoin. I expect at least SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B of BTC to be sold on the market to acquire the necessary ETH.
2️⃣ The hackers are liquidating their $1.4B in stolen ETH. Since smart contract-based assets can be traced and frozen, their best option is to swap to CRYPTOCAP:BTC , which is harder to track and cannot be frozen.
In total, Bitcoin faces a potential selling pressure of over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , which is enough to significantly impact its price.
📉 Given that Bitcoin is already in a consolidation phase, this pressure could push the price down to $93K or even $91K.
📊 Expect dead cat bounces, where traders can profit, but be cautious—this selling pressure is real. Bybit needs to resolve its liquidity issues quickly, and the hackers are racing to cash out ASAP.
⚠️ DYOR (Do Your Own Research).