Get started

Fundamental Analysis

Tips for Corrections & Dips with TradeStation: TradingView ShowJoin us for an insightful TradingView live stream with David Russell, Head of Global Market Strategy, as we dive deep into the latest market developments, including potential crashes, corrections, and the upcoming Federal Reserve announcement. We'll cover it all, LIVE! In today’s session, we’ll explore the critical factors shaping the market landscape and how you can leverage the TradingView platform to stay ahead. Plus, we’re excited to share a major update to our broker integration with TradeStation, which opens up new trading opportunities and provides expanded options for your portfolio strategy. TradeStation, a fintech leader since 1982, has built a reputation for providing institutional-grade tools, personalized services, and competitive pricing to active traders and long-term investors alike. Known for their innovation and reliability, TradeStation remains a trusted partner in navigating volatile market conditions. For the first time, we've expanded our integration with TradeStation to include equity options trading directly on TradingView. This new feature complements our recently launched options trading suite, featuring tools like the strategy builder, chain sheet, and volatility analysis, helping you make informed decisions, especially in light of potential market corrections. This session is sponsored by TradeStation, whose vision is to provide the ultimate online trading platform for self-directed traders and investors across equities, equity index options, futures, and futures options markets. Equities, equity options, and commodity futures services are offered by TradeStation Securities Inc., member NYSE, FINRA, CME, and SIPC. www.tradestation.com www.tradestation.com
TVC:RUT
by TradingView
3
Want to know how to grow your portfolio in crypto?Follow these five simple steps👇 1. Watch your portfolio like a hawk, using either a spreadsheet/tracking software, to understand how well you are actually doing. 2. Stop listening to influencers online who try to shill you the tokens they hold and intend on selling once you buy them. 3. Only allocate to altcoins when they are 40% below their all-time highs and in an uptrend. 4. Keep a market journal to track your decision-making and emotional control. 5. Seek proper education and guidance from someone who's done it before i.e. @CryptoJayCoaches If this helped, please follow and retweet for more useful insights.
Long
by CryptoJayTrades
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 30 - FXOPEN **Key Elements in the Chart:** 1. **Support and Resistance Levels:** - **Resistance Zone** (~$3,036 - $3,038): This is the upper boundary where price may face selling pressure. - **Support Zone** (~$3,000 - $3,004): This is the lower boundary where price might find buying interest. 2. **Price Projection (Blue Lines):** - The chart outlines a potential movement where price first tests the resistance level before retracing back to support. - After bouncing from support, the price is expected to rise again towards the resistance zone. 3. **Background Colors & Highlights:** - Yellow background for the overall chart. - Green and red shaded areas indicating potential trading ranges and key price action zones. 4. **Current Market Price:** - The current price of gold is around **$3,020.54**, slightly above the midpoint between support and resistance. ### **Possible Trading Strategy:** - **Short-term traders** may look for opportunities to sell near resistance and buy near support. - A **breakout above resistance** may indicate a continuation of the bullish trend. - A **break below support** may lead to a bearish move.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by ChartingMarketInsights
Tesla Financials: Q1 2025The market is currently staging a short-term rally - essentially a speculative mean reversion bounce as a reaction to -55% crash from all-time high. This move appears driven largely by retail traders seizing what it perceives as a rare opportunity to accumulate an oversold "large-caps". While retail participation and opportunistic capital are supporting the current bounce, this alone is insufficient to sustain a full recovery. As the price approaches higher levels, particularly near key supply zones, it will likely encounter significant resistance, resulting in reversal. Let's not forget the fact that figures in Tesla’s Q4 '24 financial report initiated bearish sentiment among institutional investors which resulted in market crash. Similarly, the upcoming Q1 earnings report presents a clear downside risk, as the significant events throughout this quarter will inevitably be reflected in the financial figures! Anticipated impact of significant developments on Tesla’s Q1 2025 Financial Statements 🛑 Revenue Decline • U.S. Market Weakness: Lower-than-anticipated vehicle sales in the U.S. directly reduce automotive revenue. • Severe European Slump: A significant 76% sales decline in Germany and weakness elsewhere in Europe will notably reduce international revenues. • Chinese Market Challenges: A substantial 49% sales drop in China will negatively affect one of Tesla’s crucial growth markets. • Cybertruck Weakness and Recalls: Reduced demand and multiple recalls of Cybertruck models further erode revenue growth. • Resale Value Decline and Trade-Ins: Increased vehicle trade-ins indicate lower demand, causing inventory buildup, discounting pressures, and further sales reductions. 🛑 Gross Margin Erosion • Price Reductions and Sales Incentives: Competitive pressures and lower demand likely forced Tesla to reduce vehicle prices and offer incentives, compressing gross margins. • Increased Competition from BYD: BYD’s advanced battery technology (providing 400 km of range in just 5 minutes of charging) pressures Tesla to increase R&D spending or cut prices further, negatively affecting margins. • Production Challenges (Supply Chain and Battery Issues): Ongoing global supply chain disruptions and difficulties scaling battery production significantly increase manufacturing costs, further squeezing gross margins. 🛑 Increased Operating Expenses • Recall Costs and Legal Expenses: Vehicle recalls, along with lawsuits related to product issues such as phantom braking, will significantly increase warranty provisions, legal fees, and related operating expenses. • Protests and Vandalism Costs: Public backlash and vandalism necessitate additional expenditures on security, facility repairs, and public relations initiatives. • Employee Turnover Costs: Departures of key personnel result in increased recruiting, training, onboarding, and severance expenses. 🛑 Net Income and EPS Impact • Analyst Earnings Downgrades: Already-reduced EPS projections by major analysts suggest Tesla will likely report earnings below expectations, reflecting revenue shortfalls and elevated expenses. • $1.4 Billion Financial Discrepancy: If confirmed or unresolved, this discrepancy could lead to substantial asset impairments, restatements, or write-downs, negatively impacting net income and earnings per share (EPS). 🛑 Cash Flow and Liquidity Pressures • Lower Operating Cash Flows: Reduced revenue coupled with rising operating costs (including recalls, lawsuits, security, and PR spending) severely diminish cash generated from business operations. • Increased Capital Expenditures: Additional CapEx is likely required to address battery production bottlenecks and delays in autonomous driving technology development, resulting in elevated investing cash outflows. • Investor Divestment and Stock Volatility: Negative investor sentiment could lead to costly equity financing conditions if Tesla needs to raise capital, adversely affecting financing cash flows and liquidity. 🛑 Balance Sheet Risks • Rising Inventory Levels: Weak sales combined with continued vehicle production may lead to increased inventory levels, reducing cash and potentially requiring markdowns or provisions. • Debt and Liquidity Challenges: Deteriorating credit metrics or covenant breaches could make refinancing existing debt more expensive or complicated, negatively impacting Tesla’s financial stability.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
6
EUR/GBP (1H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown – Trade SetupThe EUR/GBP 1-hour chart presents a symmetrical triangle formation that has now broken to the downside, signaling a bearish continuation. This pattern is widely recognized in technical analysis and often acts as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction. In this case, the price has breached the lower support boundary, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market. In this detailed analysis, we will explore the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies to navigate this move efficiently. 1️⃣ Understanding the Symmetrical Triangle Formation A symmetrical triangle occurs when price action creates lower highs and higher lows, forming two converging trendlines. This reflects a period of market indecision, where buyers and sellers are evenly matched until a breakout occurs. 📌 Key characteristics of this triangle: ✅ Converging Trendlines – Representing lower highs and higher lows, suggesting market compression. ✅ Price Consolidation – The pair traded within this structure, awaiting a catalyst for breakout. ✅ Breakout Direction – A breakdown from the support level confirms a bearish move. Pattern Psychology: A symmetrical triangle often precedes a significant price move. Traders and investors monitor the breakout direction to determine the next trend. Here, the breakdown below the lower boundary signals a continuation of the prevailing bearish trend. 2️⃣ Key Levels & Chart Structure 🔹 Resistance Zone (Upper Boundary) – 0.84227 The upper trendline acted as a strong resistance level, preventing price from breaking higher multiple times. The yellow-highlighted area represents a supply zone, where selling pressure was dominant. Price attempted to break above this region but failed, confirming bearish dominance. 🔹 Support Level (Lower Boundary) – 0.83500 The lower boundary of the triangle previously held as support, where buyers attempted to push the price higher. However, once price broke below this support, it confirmed a bearish trend continuation. The blue horizontal support line represents a potential retest area, where sellers may step in again. 🔹 Breakout Confirmation & Price Action The chart clearly shows a bearish breakout, as price broke through the lower trendline. Retest Probability: Many breakouts experience a pullback to the broken support (now resistance) before resuming the downtrend. The dashed black lines illustrate the expected bearish move, with a potential decline towards 0.82815. 3️⃣ Trading Plan & Entry Strategy Based on this setup, traders can capitalize on the bearish move using a structured trading plan: 📌 Bearish Trading Setup (Short Position) ✔ Entry Strategy: Traders can enter a short position either immediately after the breakout or after a retest of the broken support at 0.83500 - 0.83700. The ideal confirmation would be bearish candlestick patterns, such as an engulfing candle or pin bar rejection on the retest. ✔ Stop-Loss Placement: To mitigate risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the previous resistance level (0.84227). This ensures protection against fake breakouts or sudden reversals. ✔ Target Price (Take Profit Level): The measured move of a symmetrical triangle breakout is typically equal to the height of the triangle. Based on this projection, the expected target is around 0.82815, a significant support level. Traders may also scale out at intermediate levels (0.83000) to lock in profits. ✔ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): A well-structured trade here presents an attractive RRR of approximately 1:3, meaning the potential reward is three times the risk. A higher RRR enhances the probability of profitability over multiple trades. 4️⃣ Market Context & Fundamental Analysis 🔍 Why Is EUR/GBP Dropping? While technical patterns are valuable, traders must also consider fundamental factors that drive currency pairs. 🟢 Possible Bearish Catalysts for EUR/GBP: GBP Strength: If the British Pound (GBP) strengthens due to strong economic data or hawkish Bank of England (BoE) policy, EUR/GBP may continue declining. EUR Weakness: The Euro (EUR) may be under pressure due to weak GDP growth, higher inflation, or dovish European Central Bank (ECB) statements. Geopolitical Events: Any negative news impacting the Eurozone (e.g., political instability) could trigger further selling pressure on EUR/GBP. 5️⃣ Risk Management & Alternative Scenarios While the current outlook favors a bearish move, traders must remain prepared for alternative scenarios. ⚠ Alternative Scenarios: 📌 False Breakdown: If price closes back above the support level (0.83500 - 0.83700), it could indicate a failed breakout, potentially leading to a bullish reversal. In this case, a breakout above 0.84227 would invalidate the bearish setup. 📌 Sideways Consolidation: If the price stalls around 0.83300 - 0.83500, the market may range before the next move. Traders should wait for clear confirmation before entering new trades. 6️⃣ Summary & Key Takeaways ✅ Pattern Identified: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Bearish). ✅ Breakout Direction: Price has broken below support, confirming a downtrend. ✅ Trade Setup: Sell below 0.83500 (or on retest at 0.83700). Stop Loss: Above 0.84227 (previous resistance). Take Profit: Targeting 0.82815 based on the pattern’s measured move. ✅ Risk-Reward: Favorable, offering 1:3 or higher RRR. ✅ Fundamental Drivers: GBP strength or EUR weakness could accelerate the downtrend. 📢 Final Thoughts This symmetrical triangle breakdown offers a high-probability trading opportunity for short sellers, with a clear technical structure supporting the bearish move. However, traders should remain cautious of false breakouts and adjust stop-loss levels accordingly. For best results: ✔ Wait for price action confirmation (retest rejection or bearish candle formations). ✔ Follow proper risk management (stop-loss placement and profit-taking levels). ✔ Monitor key economic events impacting EUR and GBP movements. By combining technical analysis, fundamental insights, and sound risk management, traders can enhance their profitability and navigate the markets with confidence. 🚀📉
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD 1H Chart Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyOverview of the Chart The EUR/USD 1-hour chart is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup. This indicates that although the price has been trending downward, the selling pressure is weakening, and a breakout to the upside is becoming more likely. Currently, the price has broken above the wedge, signaling potential trend reversal. However, traders should watch for a retest of the breakout level to confirm whether the price holds above the resistance-turned-support area before further upward movement. Key Components of the Chart 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal Signal) A falling wedge consists of two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, showing a narrowing price range. This pattern is formed when: The price makes lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend. The slope of the lower trendline is less steep than the upper one, meaning sellers are losing momentum. Eventually, the price breaks out above the upper trendline, confirming a bullish reversal. 2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels ✅ Support Zone (Key Demand Area) The price recently tested a strong support level (highlighted in beige), where buyers aggressively entered the market. This level has held multiple times, indicating that buyers are stepping in whenever the price reaches this zone. The green upward arrow suggests that this is a key accumulation area, where demand is stronger than supply. 🚫 Resistance Zone (Profit Target) The resistance zone near 1.09450 is the first major target for bulls. Historically, price action has struggled to break through this level, making it a logical place to take profits. 3️⃣ Breakout Confirmation & Retest The price has successfully broken out above the falling wedge, which is a strong buy signal. However, a retest of the breakout level (marked by the yellow circle) might occur before further bullish continuation. If the price retests and holds above the previous resistance (now support), this will confirm the breakout and provide an additional buying opportunity. Trade Execution Strategy 📌 Entry Point: Enter a long trade after the breakout confirmation. For conservative traders, waiting for a successful retest before entering can reduce risk. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement: Place a stop loss just below the recent swing low at 1.07541 to limit downside risk. This ensures that if the breakout fails, the trade is exited with minimal loss. 📌 Profit Target: The first take-profit target is at 1.09450, the key resistance level. If bullish momentum continues, traders can look for higher targets based on price action. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, meaning that potential profits outweigh the risk taken on the trade. Technical Indicators Supporting the Trade 📈 Trend Reversal Signals The market has been in a downtrend, but the falling wedge signals a potential reversal. A higher low after the breakout would further confirm the uptrend. 📊 Volume Confirmation Ideally, a breakout should be accompanied by increased volume, showing strong buying pressure. If volume is low, a false breakout could occur, requiring careful trade management. 🔍 Retest & Price Action A retest of the breakout level should hold above the wedge to confirm bullish momentum. If the price fails to hold and falls back below, the breakout may have been a fakeout, meaning traders should exit or wait for re-entry. Risk Management & Trade Considerations Always use a stop-loss to manage risk. If the price fails to stay above the breakout level, consider exiting early. Watch for external market factors such as news events or economic data releases, which can impact EUR/USD volatility. Conclusion: Bullish Momentum is Building 🚀 This falling wedge breakout on the EUR/USD chart provides a high-probability long trade setup. As long as price holds above the breakout level, bullish continuation toward 1.09450 is expected. Traders should monitor price action carefully and adjust their positions accordingly to maximize gains while managing risks.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
French Diamond ready to break up and glimmer to upsideFrance is another European market that seems to be outperforming many of the large markets in 2025. There are strong catalysts apart from foreign investments to Europe compared to the US. Including: 1. 🛡️ France boosts defense spending €1.7B added to support the military. 2. 💰 Strong French earnings Big companies like L'Oréal beat forecasts. 3. 💶 Euro stays steady Helps exports and investor confidence. 4. 📉 Lower energy costs help Trade balance improves, lifting the CAC. And technically, there is a Strong Diamond formation in the making. We are approaching the second half of the diamond to complete. And once price breaks above it could signal a strong rally going forward. French Diamond Price> 20 and 200 Target 8,848 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:F40Long
by Timonrosso
Tesla on the Path to New Highs: Correction Before a Major high?hello guys. let's have a comprehensive analysis of Tesla __________________________ Technical Analysis Price Structure & Trend: The monthly chart indicates a long-term uptrend within a broad ascending channel. Tesla has recently faced resistance around $300 and is now in a corrective phase. The expected correction may bring the price down to around $220-$250, where it could find strong support before continuing its bullish move. or it is possible to start an upward movement and form an ATH! RSI & Divergence: The RSI indicator previously showed a fake bearish divergence, meaning the price action remains strong despite earlier weakness signals. Potential Higher Levels If Tesla successfully follows the projected movement, a break above $575 could open the door to $700-$750, based on the channel extension and historical breakout patterns. __________________________ Fundamental Analysis Earnings & Growth: Tesla's revenue growth remains strong despite market headwinds. New factory expansions (Giga Texas, Giga Berlin) and production efficiency improvements contribute to long-term profitability. The Cybertruck ramp-up and expansion in AI-driven automation could drive future stock value. EV Market Outlook: Tesla maintains a dominant position, but increasing competition from Chinese EV manufacturers and legacy automakers remains a challenge. Recent price cuts have impacted margins but helped sustain high sales volume. Macroeconomic Factors: Interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve could impact growth stocks like Tesla. If rates stabilize or decrease in 2025, Tesla could see renewed investor interest, pushing the stock to new highs. _________________________ Conclusion The mid-term bearish retracement toward $250 aligns with healthy correction levels. If Tesla holds above support and breaks $350, your $575 target is highly probable. A break above $575 could lead to $700+ in the longer term, assuming positive earnings growth and stable macroeconomic conditions.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by melikatrader94
15
SL: $3,036.50 (Above premium institutional protection)🚀 **Ultra-Aggressive OverConfidence Trading Plan | XAU/USD | March 25, 2025 (London Session)** 🚀 🔥 **We trade to MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY!** 🔥 --- ## 📊 Ultra-Precise XAU/USD Market Analysis 🌐 ### 📊 Market Overview (Institutional Precision) - 💲 **Current Price:** $3,025.52 - 🚀 **Today's High:** $3,026.59 - 🛑 **Ultimate Resistance Zone (Premium R3):** $3,030 - $3,035 - 📉 **Pivot Point (Strong Institutional Level):** $3,016 - 📉 **Recently Flipped Resistance to Support (R2):** $3,023.50 (POC Level) - 📊 **Dynamic Institutional Support (50 EMA):** $3,015 - 🔻 **Psychological Institutional Floor (S1):** $3,010 --- ## 🏦 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Insights 🏦 ### 📉 **DXY Weakness – Fuel for Gold 🚀** - **Weakening USD (DXY)** anticipates softer US housing data release, fueling aggressive institutional buying of gold. ### 🏦 **Institutions Aggressively Accumulating:** - Strong institutional buying detected at $3,010 - $3,015. Heavy bullish interest actively driving gold upward. ### 📊 **Heavy Institutional Distribution Zones:** - Significant selling and profit-taking orders heavily stacked at Premium Resistance ($3,030 - $3,035). ### 🎯 **Liquidity Sweep – Institutional Trap 🚨** - High probability of market makers engineering liquidity sweeps into the Premium Zone ($3,030 - $3,035) before triggering aggressive sell-offs. ### 📈 **COT Institutional Positioning:** - Institutions remain heavily **net bullish** (long positions growing), supporting bullish momentum in the medium term but indicating profit-taking scenarios at higher premiums. --- ## ✅ **Technical Indicators (Aggressive Precision)** - ✔️ **Fibonacci Institutional Levels:** - **38.2%:** $3,015 (Perfect confluence with pivot & 50 EMA) - **50%:** $3,008 (Strong institutional accumulation zone) - **61.8%:** $3,002 (Deep Discount Institutional Buy Zone) - ✔️ **50 EMA & 200 EMA – Bullish Institutional Momentum:** - **50 EMA:** $3,015 | **200 EMA:** $3,005 (Bullish Control Confirmed) - ✔️ **RSI (7):** - Aggressive bullish momentum (65-70), nearing overbought. Prime for quick institutional-driven scalps. - ✔️ **VWAP (Institutional Level):** - $3,020 (Solid bullish institutional alignment) - ✔️ **Liquidity Zones (Institutional Control):** - **Buying Zones:** $3,010 - $3,015 (Active institutional buying) - **Selling Zones:** $3,030 - $3,035 (Institutions stacking sells aggressively) - ✔️ **MACD Momentum Confirmation:** - Bullish crossover on lower timeframes confirms immediate bullish bias. Monitor momentum fade in Premium zone. --- ## 📈 **Ultra-Aggressive Technical & Momentum Analysis 🚨** - **RSI/Stochastic Divergence:** - No bearish divergence detected, reinforcing bullish continuation short-term. - **MA Deviation & Retracement Alert:** - Slightly overextended price above 50 EMA suggests possible minor retracement at Premium Resistance. - **Institutional Volume Insight:** - Strong buying volumes pushing price higher, expect confrontation at heavy institutional sell walls ($3,030 - $3,035). --- ## 📢 **High-Confidence, Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan 🚨🔥** ### 🟢 **Immediate BUY SCALP (Momentum Continuation)** - 🎯 **Entry:** $3,023 - $3,025 (On pullbacks) - 🛡️ **SL:** $3,018 (below recent pivot) - 🚀 **TP:** $3,030 (Aggressively targeting institutional premium liquidity) ### 🔴 **High-Probability Institutional SELL SETUP** (Prime Trade🔥) - 🎯 **Entry (Aggressive Liquidity Sweep Zone):** $3,030 - $3,032 - 🛡️ **SL:** $3,036.50 (Above premium institutional protection) - 🚀 **TP 1:** $3,020 | **Extended TP 2:** $3,015 ### 📊 **Risk-Reward Ratio:** Minimum **3:1+** (Institutional discipline assured) --- ## 🚀 **🔥 FINAL ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE DECISION 🔥** - 📌 **Real-Time Verdict:** - Immediate: **BUY** 🟢 Aggressively scalp to Premium Zone ($3,030). - Strategic SELL 🔴 at Premium ($3,030-$3,032) post-clear liquidity sweep rejection confirmation. - 📌 **Institutional Money Flow:** - Currently aggressively pushing price towards the Premium Zone. Anticipate sharp selling activity once liquidity above $3,030 is swept. --- ## 🎯 **Fundamental & Economic Catalysts (Institutional Drivers)** 🔥 - 🚨 **US Economic Data (New Home Sales):** - Forecast mildly positive (0.5% MoM vs. previous -10.5%). - Stronger data: Temporarily bearish gold (short-term USD strength). - Weaker data: Bullish continuation for gold, aggressively targeting premium zone liquidity. - 🚨 **Market Sentiment:** - Prevailing **Risk-Off sentiment** aggressively supports bullish gold outlook. - 🚨 **Geopolitical Uncertainty:** - Ongoing global tensions continuously provide strong mid-term bullish support. --- ## 🛑 **CRITICAL RECOMMENDATIONS (Aggressive & Disciplined)** - Monitor volatility spike during upcoming news (New Home Sales in 3h 55m). - Respect strict SL/TP adherence to avoid unnecessary exposure. - Optimal SELL execution after clear bearish institutional candlestick rejection from Premium liquidity sweep. --- ## 🌟 **CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 80%+ Ultra-Aggressive Institutional Grade Execution 🚀** 🔥 **We trade to MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY!** 🔥 **No second guessing, only precise aggression. Let’s dominate the market NOW!** 📊✨💰🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
FCX - We had a great month, can we continue with the uptrend?FCX Looking for a potential buy! 🔍 Technical Context: FCX had a tremendous up-beat with 24% increase in the stock just in march! MACD Bullish Crossover: A clear bullish cross on the MACD confirmed upward momentum. RSI Strength: The RSI remains in bullish territory, signaling further upside potential. Favorable Risk-Reward Setup: The stock maintains support above breakout levels, offering an attractive trade opportunity. 📰 Fundamentals Analyst Upgrades: J.P. Morgan and Scotiabank both issued upgrades and increased their price targets, reflecting confidence in FCX’s future performance. Tariff Advantage: Potential U.S. tariffs on imported copper could benefit domestic producers like Freeport-McMoRan, increasing their advantage. Strategic Policy Support: FCX is advocating for copper to be classified as a critical mineral, which could unlock tax credits and boost annual profits by up to $500 million. 📌 Trade Plan 📈 Entry: 41.90 ✅ Target: 58.30 ❌ SL: 23.90 💡 Looking for a potential 35% increase!
NYSE:FCXLong
by DG55Capital
Price approaching OB POI with Trendline LiqPrice is currently bullish, structure turned bullish from last week's CHOCH and Mondays subsequent break of structures to make price bearish for the short=term, how short-term is price bearish for ? i have no idea but price will definitely still go for the ATH maybe inside this week or early next week which will be a new month (April). Right now, I'm bearish still hence this setup, it's actually a decent setup though (OB+IDM to take out the trendline liq) Disclaimer: Do your own analysis and please kindly risk what you can, apply proper risk and money management.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by LaBOSS_FX
US10Y: 10-Year Treasury Yield – Safe Bet or Yield Trap?(1/9) Good morning, everyone! ☀️ US10Y: 10-Year Treasury Yield – Safe Bet or Yield Trap? With the 10-year yield at 4.358%, is it time to lock in safety or wait for better rates? Let’s break it down! 🔍 (2/9) – YIELD PERFORMANCE 📊 • Current Yield: 4.358% as of Mar 25, 2025 💰 • Historical Context: Above pandemic lows (~1-2%), below early 2000s (5-6%), per data 📏 • Sector Trend: Inverted yield curve signals caution, per economic reports 🌟 It’s a mixed bag—let’s see what’s cooking! ⚙️ (3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈 • Safe Haven: U.S. Treasuries are risk-free ⏰ • Income Appeal: 4.358% yield draws income seekers 🎯 • Potential Upside: If rates fall, bond prices rise 🚀 Firm in safety, with growth potential! 🏦 (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑 • Inverted Yield Curve: 2-year yield higher, hinting at slowdown, per data 🌍 • Fed Outlook: Expected rate cuts later in 2025, per posts on X 📋 • Market Reaction: Investors balancing income with economic risks 💡 Navigating through uncertainty! 💪 (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡ • Interest Rate Risk: If rates rise, bond prices drop 🔍 • Inflation Risk: Erodes real returns if inflation outpaces yield 📉 • Opportunity Cost: Missing higher returns from stocks ❄️ It’s a trade-off—risks are real! 🛑 (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪 • Risk-Free: No default risk, backed by U.S. government 🥇 • Liquidity: Active market for trading, per data 📊 • Tax Benefits: Interest exempt from state, local taxes 🔧 Got solid foundations! 🏦 (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️ • Weaknesses: Interest rate and inflation risks, per economic reports 📉 • Opportunities: Capital gains from falling rates, diversification benefits 📈 Can it deliver both income and growth? 🤔 (8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢 US10Y at 4.358%—your take? 🗳️ • Bullish: Buy now, rates will fall soon 🐂 • Neutral: Hold, wait for more clarity ⚖️ • Bearish: Wait for higher yields or better opportunities 🐻 Chime in below! 👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯 US10Y offers a steady yield with safety, but with an inverted curve, caution is advised. Gem or bust?
TVC:US10Y
by DCAChampion
Parabolic rise after significant sideways movement.Technical and Sector Analysis of CPS Technologies Corp. (CPSH) CPS Technologies Corporation shows promising growth in several areas while technically being in a consolidation phase. The company underwent significant transformation in the fourth quarter of 2024, successfully replacing its expiring military armor contract with new business areas and having several promising research and development projects that could offer growth opportunities in the long term. Financial Situation and Performance Fourth Quarter 2024 Results CPS Technologies Corp. reported revenue of $5.9 million in the fourth quarter of the 2024 fiscal year, down from $6.7 million in the same period last year. The decline is attributed to the completion of the HybridTech Armor® contract for the U.S. Navy. Notably, revenue increased significantly by about 40% compared to the previous quarter, due to expanded production capacity and increased shipment volumes. In the fourth quarter, the company recorded a gross loss of $0.3 million (-4.6% gross margin) and a net loss of $1.0 million (-$0.07 per share), compared to a net income of $0.2 million in the previous year. This performance decline is partly due to the completion of the armor contract and start-up costs related to the production of AlSiC substrates. Annual Financial Indicators For the full fiscal year 2024, CPS Technologies reported revenue of $21.1 million, a 24% decrease from $27.6 million in 2023. The decline primarily resulted from the completion of the armor contract in April 2024. The annual gross profit was a loss of $0.1 million (-1%), compared to a profit of $6.8 million (25%) in 2023. Operating results significantly deteriorated: a loss of $4.4 million was recorded in 2024, compared to a profit of $1.7 million in 2023. The net result was a loss of $3.1 million in 2024, compared to a profit of $1.4 million in 2023, despite a tax benefit of $1.0 million. The basic loss per share was $0.22, compared to earnings of $0.09 per share in 2023. Key Contracts and Projects After the fourth quarter, the company secured three new Phase I SBIR (Small Business Innovation Research) contracts from the U.S. Army, each worth $250,000 over six months. This brings the total to six externally funded programs, including five SBIR projects. Two of the new contracts focus on artillery developments, and one aims to enhance the fuel efficiency and extend the range of military vehicles using the company's fiber-reinforced aluminum (FRA) technology. CPS Technologies also received a significant order worth approximately $12 million from a semiconductor customer for power module components and related solutions. Additionally, the company announced its first commercial radiation shielding sale, marking the first successful product expansion in many years. Technical Analysis Stock Price Situation and Volatility The CPSH stock is currently in a consolidation phase, with reduced volatility over recent times. The closing price on March 24, 2025, was $1.71, representing a 3.93% decline (-$0.07). After market close, the price further decreased to $1.62 (-5.26%). The stock received a technical rating of 6/10, indicating a moderate technical strength. Although not exceptionally strong, the stock shows a notable pattern and potential for a breakout following consolidation. Supports and Resistances Technical analysis identified two key support and two resistance zones. A significant resistance zone starts just above the current price at $1.79. This area could serve as a potential entry point if the price breaks through this resistance. It is positive that larger market players have shown interest in CPSH shares recently, which could add strength to a potential breakout. Trading Strategy Example A possible trading strategy could involve: Entry point: $1.80 (Buy Stop order just above the resistance zone) Exit point: $1.51 (Stop Loss order below the support zone) Potential loss: 0.29 points (16.11%) Portfolio management: With a 1.00% total portfolio risk, 6.21% of capital could be allocated to this trade It is crucial to note that the reliability of technical analysis signals depends on market conditions and generally works better in calmer market environments. Industry and Sector Analysis Business Operations CPS Technologies offers advanced material solutions across various markets, including transportation, automotive, energy, computing/internet, telecommunications, aerospace, and defense. The company's primary material solution is metal matrix composites (MMC), used to enhance performance and reliability in these sectors. Market Position and Strategy The company's products play a crucial role in the electrification of the green economy, used in high-speed trains, mass transit, hybrid and electric vehicles, wind turbines, and internet infrastructure. This provides diversified revenue streams, helping to offset the expiration of singular contracts like the armor project. The company's strategy focuses on leveraging its unique material technology capabilities and introducing new products. Developments such as radiation shielding and fiber-reinforced aluminum (FRA) enable the expansion of the product portfolio into promising new areas, including vehicles, aircraft, munitions, and industrial applications. Research and Development Activities CPS Technologies actively participates in externally funded research projects, demonstrating its ability to develop unique new solutions. A recent Phase II contract from the Department of Energy (worth $1.1 million) allows the continuation of the "Modular Radiation Shielding for Microreactor Delivery and Use" project. Additionally, the company received a $200,000 development contract from the U.S. Naval Air Systems Command (NAVAIR) to continue developing metal matrix composite solutions for applications requiring high strength with reduced weight. Outlook and Conclusion Future Opportunities CPS Technologies indicates favorable prospects for 2025. Management is optimistic about future performance, supported by an improving order backlog and growing demand for core products. After initial costs and efficiency challenges associated with introducing a third shift, the company is expected to benefit from increased production capacity. The company's participation in externally funded research projects and new product areas, such as radiation shielding, offer significant growth opportunities. The strategy focusing on leveraging unique material technology capabilities and introducing new products can create long-term value. Risks and Challenges CPS Technologies faces several challenges, including the difficulties of transitioning its business after the expiration of large contracts. The negative gross margin and operating loss in the 2024 fiscal year indicate the need for improved operational efficiency and cost structure. Industry-wide challenges, such as supply chain disruptions, inflationary pressures, and macroeconomic uncertainties, can also impact the company's performance. The success of technological developments and entry into new markets is not guaranteed. Investment Considerations The CPS Technologies stock is currently in a consolidation phase with moderate technical strength. The company's financial performance in 2024 deteriorated compared to the previous year, but the fourth quarter showed improving trends, and management is optimistic about 2025 prospects. For investors, CPSH offers growth potential through new product developments and government contracts, but also poses risks due to recent losses and uncertainties during the transition period. The diversified industry presence and participation in the green economy are long-term positive factors, while the stock's current technical picture suggests potential for a breakout following consolidation.
NASDAQ:CPSHLong
by meszaros
Bull Trap Confirmed: HOOD's 8% Rally Faces ExhaustionHey Traders after the success of our last month trade on Tesla hitting all targets more than 35%+ With a Similar Trade setup I bring you today the NASDAQ:HOOD Short opportunity on Hood Based on Technical + Fundamental View -Market structure -Head and shoulder pattern -Currently will be trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame. 1. Declining User Growth and Transaction-Based Revenue 2. Regulatory and Legal Challenges 3. Rising Costs and Profitability Pressures 4. Intense Industry Competition 5. Macroeconomic and Market Volatility Technical View Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a great Risk Reward ratio. Pro Tip Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone. Target 1 - 35.52$ Target 2 - 30.81$ Target 3 - 26.26$ Stop Loss - 44.72$ Fundamental View 1. Declining User Growth and Transaction-Based Revenue Robinhood’s revenue model relies heavily on Payment for Order Flow (PFOF), which makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in trading activity. After a pandemic-driven surge in 2020–2021, user growth stalled, with monthly active users dropping 34% YoY to 14 million by mid-2022. Transaction revenue fell 55% in Q2 2022, and while assets under custody grew to $140 billion by Q2 2024, the platform’s dependence on volatile crypto and meme-stock trading amplified revenue instability. 2. Regulatory and Legal Challenges The SEC’s scrutiny of PFOF and proposed trading rule changes threaten Robinhood’s core revenue source. In 2022, New York regulators fined Robinhood’s crypto unit $30 million for anti-money laundering violations. Ongoing legal risks, including backlash from the 2021 GameStop trading restrictions, have further eroded institutional trust. 3. Rising Costs and Profitability Pressures Operating expenses surged due to aggressive marketing, technology upgrades, and compliance investments. Despite workforce reductions (23% layoffs in 2022), profitability remains strained. The company’s shift toward diversified products like retirement accounts and credit cards has yet to offset these costs. 4. Intense Industry Competition Traditional brokers like Fidelity and Charles Schwab adopted zero-commission trading, neutralizing Robinhood’s initial edge. Newer platforms like Webull and Public.com also captured younger investors with advanced features, while Robinhood’s limited product range (e.g., lack of wealth management services) hindered retention of high-net-worth clients. 5. Macroeconomic and Market Volatility - Interest Rate Sensitivity: As a growth stock, HOOD declined amid rising rates in 2022–2023 and broader tech-sector sell-offs. - Recent Market Turmoil: On March 10, 2025, HOOD dropped 18% alongside crypto-linked stocks like Coinbase due to Bitcoin’s price volatility and fears of inflationary tariffs under new U.S. policies. - Retail Investor Pullback: Reduced discretionary investing and crypto crashes (e.g., Bitcoin’s 71% plunge in 2022) dampened trading activity. NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISE
NASDAQ:HOODShort
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
22
Breaking: KB Home (NYSE: KBH) On The Verge of a Selling SpreeShares of KB Home (NYSE: NYSE:KBH ) saw a 7% downtick early morning in Tuesday's premarket session breaking below the psychological support point of $60 enroute towards a selling spree. Operating as a homebuilding company in the United States, the company operates through four segments: West Coast, Southwest, Central, and Southeast. It builds and sells a variety of homes, including attached and detached single-family residential homes, townhomes, and condominiums primarily for first-time, first move-up, second move-up, and active adult homebuyers. Yesterday after market close KB Home report earnings results, posting lower profit and revenue in its fiscal first quarter, hurt by softer-than-expected demand. KB Home shares have declined 10% over the past year due to affordability pressures and elevated interest rates, with Q1 results showing significant demand slowdown. The company reported weak Q1 financials, with earnings and revenue misses, a 9% drop in deliveries, and a 17% fall in net orders. Elevated interest rates and increased supply have pressured margins and demand, particularly affecting first-time buyers, leading to reduced revenue guidance and operating margin Financial Performance In 2024, KB Home's revenue was $6.93 billion, an increase of 8.10% compared to the previous year's $6.41 billion. Earnings were $650.19 million, an increase of 10.97%. Technical Outlook As of the time of writing, shares of NYSE:KBH are down 7.20% on Tuesday's premarket trading with the asset facing selling pressure, should the RSI which is currently at 48 dip to 40, a bearish campaign would be inevitable- similarly, a move above the $72 pivot could change the course for NYSE:KBH shares. Analyst Forecast According to 13 analysts, the average rating for KBH stock is "Hold." The 12-month stock price forecast is $75.5, which is an increase of 22.19% from the latest price.
NYSE:KBHShort
by DEXWireNews
$XAUUSD (Gold): Golden Rally or Gilded Pause?(1/9) Good morning, everyone! ☀️ XAUUSD (Gold): Golden Rally or Gilded Pause? With gold at $3,020.82, is this safe-haven surge a treasure or a tease? Let’s sift through the shine! 🔍 (2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊 • Current Price: $ 3,020.82 per ounce as of Mar 25, 2025 💰 • Recent Move: Near $3,057 high from Mar 20, per data 📏 • Sector Trend: Precious metals up on tension, per posts on X 🌟 It’s a golden glow—let’s see if it holds! ⚙️ (3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈 • Global Role: Top safe-haven asset ⏰ • Drivers: Central bank buying, geopolitical risks 🎯 • Trend: Bullish near $3,000, per data 🚀 Firm as a refuge, shining in uncertainty! 🏦 (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑 • Geopolitical Boost: Trade tensions linger, per data 🌍 • U.S. Data: PMI strength supports USD, caps gold, per posts on X 📋 • Market Reaction: Consolidating near $3,020-$3,030 💡 Simmering in a tense market! 🌩️ (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡ • Profit-Taking: Post-$3,000 sales loom 🔍 • U.S. Rates: Policy shifts could hit, per data 📉 • Oil Prices: CAD link affects broader forex ❄️ It’s a shiny tightrope—watch your step! 🛑 (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪 • Safe Haven: Thrives in chaos, per posts on X 🥇 • Central Banks: Steady buying props it up 📊 • Green Demand: Key in renewables, per data 🔧 Got a golden backbone! 🌟 (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️ • Weaknesses: Volatility from profit-taking 📉 • Opportunities: More tensions, rate cuts 📈 Can it gleam higher or dim out? 🤔 (8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢 Gold at $3,020.82—your take? 🗳️ • Bullish: $3,100+ soon, rally rolls 🐂 • Neutral: Steady, risks balance out ⚖️ • Bearish: $2,950 looms, correction hits 🐻 Chime in below! 👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯 Gold’s $3,020.82 price tags a safe-haven rally 📈, but volatility’s in the mix 🌿. Dips are our DCA jackpot 💰—buy low, ride high! Gem or bust?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DCAChampion
GOLD just start for BULLISH or shift to BEARISH?Hello guys... i wish you have a good trading days so far. I will give you my analysis for GOLD in current condition. I need you to see my analysis before so you have complete understanding about GOLD movement. Fundamental Factor that Moves GOLD 1. As we all know, last weekend there is a conflict between Hamas and Israel after 2 month's ceasefire. It's not a good news. 16 people were died. Netanyahu stated that Israel attack just a beginning of higher attacking. US mission to make a peace in Middle East seems far a away. This factor will make demand higher for GOLD (for a long period of course) . 2. Russia - Ukraine peace agreement seems find a hard way. Trump administrations must give high effort to push both Russia and Ukraine to stop war. Last, Trump just stopped weapon delivery for Ukraine although some country in eurozone still supporting Ukraine with their weapon. 3. FED still have a high chance to do more than 2 rate cut this year. We would see in three-months later if inflation goes down and unemployment rate comes higher so THE FED will revise it's SEP and give lower rate, i think. It will pump GOLD higher if geopolitical factor still on fire, of course. Technical Movement Technically, GOLD just make a new higher high around $3055/ounce. Current movement seems just a pullback and i see 2968-2971 as a support level for GOLD. If seller hold position, it may comes to 2945-2948 and we will evaluate again later. But, if seller have no gains, i will see support on 2987-2990 and GOLD will comeback to it's nature, bullish. If GOLD pass 3033 level in short terms, i will say that it could be back to 3055 or higher. What's your opinion guys???
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by vicariuzchrist
Silver (XAG/USD) Double Top Reversal – Bearish Trading SetupThe provided 1-hour chart for Silver (XAG/USD) presents a well-structured bearish trade setup, highlighting key price action patterns, technical indicators, and confluence factors that suggest a potential downside move. Let's analyze the chart step by step to understand the logic behind this bearish trade setup. 1. Market Structure & Trend Overview Silver (XAG/USD) has been in a short-term uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline. However, the trend now shows signs of exhaustion, with a clear shift in market behavior. The price action reveals the formation of a double top at a strong resistance level, coupled with a Change of Character (CHOCH), which signals a possible reversal. A break below the trendline suggests that the bullish momentum is losing strength, and sellers are beginning to dominate the market. The combination of these elements makes this setup a high-probability short trade opportunity. 2. Key Technical Levels & Zones A. Resistance Zone ($33.96 - $34.20) – The Selling Pressure Area The chart marks a clear resistance zone, where price has struggled to break higher. Two price rejections from this level indicate that sellers are actively defending this region. This zone serves as an ideal stop-loss area for short trades, as a breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. B. Double Top Formation – Reversal Pattern The price tested the resistance zone twice and failed to establish new highs, forming a double top structure. A double top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The second top (Top 2) aligns with a downward trendline, further confirming that sellers are stepping in at lower levels. C. Support Level ($32.60 - $32.80) – Initial Reaction Zone This area has previously acted as a demand zone where buyers stepped in. If the price breaks below this support, it would confirm further downside movement towards the final target. D. Trendline Breakdown – Loss of Bullish Momentum The dotted trendline represents the previous bullish trend, supporting price action for several days. A break below this trendline suggests a structural shift in market dynamics, meaning buyers are losing control. The failure to reclaim the trendline increases the probability of a deeper move downward. E. Target Level ($32.11 - $32.20) – The Bearish Objective The projected target is based on the double top’s measured move, which suggests a price drop to at least $32.11. This level also coincides with previous historical price action, making it a strong confluence zone for profit-taking. 3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan 📌 Entry Point: Aggressive Entry: Short position around $33.40 - $33.50, near the second top where price rejected the trendline. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed break and retest of the support level at $32.80 before entering short. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement: The stop-loss should be placed above the resistance zone at $33.96. This level ensures that the trade is invalidated if the price breaks out higher. 📌 Take-Profit Target: Primary Target: $32.60, which is the first support level where price may temporarily react. Final Target: $32.11, aligning with the double top breakdown target and historical support. 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: A minimum 1:2 risk-reward ratio, meaning for every 1% risked, there is a potential 2%+ gain. This makes the trade favorable in terms of risk management. 4. Confluence Factors Supporting the Bearish Outlook ✅ Double Top Formation – A classic bearish reversal pattern. ✅ Lower Highs Formation – Indicates increasing selling pressure. ✅ Trendline Breakdown – A significant loss of bullish momentum. ✅ Resistance Zone Rejection – Strong seller presence. ✅ CHOCH (Change of Character) – Confirms a shift in market sentiment. 5. Risk Management & Alternative Scenario 📌 What If Price Moves Against the Trade? If the price breaks above $33.96, the bearish outlook becomes invalid, and a potential bullish continuation could follow. In this case: Stop-loss is triggered, and the setup is considered invalid. Traders should then wait for a new setup before re-entering the market. 📌 Market Conditions to Monitor: Volatility: Ensure there is enough momentum in the market before entering. Volume Confirmation: A break below support should have strong volume. News Events: Watch out for fundamental catalysts, such as US Dollar strength, economic data, and geopolitical events, which could influence Silver’s price movement. 6. Final Thoughts & Summary This chart setup provides a clear bearish trade opportunity based on technical analysis. The combination of double top formation, resistance rejection, trendline breakdown, and lower highs strongly supports the idea of further downside movement. 💡 Key Takeaways: Bearish bias is valid as long as price stays below $33.96. Target is set at $32.11, with an intermediate support at $32.60. Risk-to-reward is favorable, making it an ideal short trade setup. If the market follows this expected scenario, this trade has the potential to yield significant profit while maintaining disciplined risk management. However, always stay alert to market conditions and adjust strategies accordingly.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades