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Trade Idea: US30 Short ( SELL LIMIT )Technical Overview: Daily Chart: • Clear downtrend with price sharply rejecting from recent highs (~42890). • MACD shows strong bearish momentum with a widening histogram. • RSI is below 50 at ~45, confirming downside pressure. • Price has broken below a key support level near 40200, now acting as resistance. 15-Min Chart: • Recent lower highs and lower lows. • MACD negative, with RSI nearing oversold (33), suggesting bearish bias but short-term exhaustion. 3-Min Chart: • Sideways chop after a sharp down move, showing bear flag/consolidation pattern. • MACD still negative, RSI around 49—no clear bounce signal. ⸻ Fundamental Overview: • Recent macro uncertainty (possibly due to inflation/Fed comments or geopolitical tensions) likely weighs on risk sentiment. • Bond yields are likely pressuring equities, and the US30 tends to be rate-sensitive. ⸻ Trade Setup: SHORT • Entry: 40250 (if price pulls back slightly into minor resistance zone) • Stop Loss: 40500 (above recent local high on intraday chart) • Take Profit: 39600 (next strong daily support level) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
$GBIRYY - U.K CPI (March/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 2.6% March/2025 source: Office for National Statistics - The annual inflation rate in the UK slowed to 2.6% in March 2025 from 2.8% in February and below market and the BoE's forecasts of 2.7%. The largest downward contributions came from recreation and culture (2.4% vs 3.4%), mainly games, toys and hobbies (-4.2%) and data processing equipment (-5.1%). Transport also contributed to the slowdown (1.2% vs 1.8%), largely due to a 5.3% fall in motor fuel prices. In addition, prices rose less for restaurants and hotels (3%, the lowest since July 2021 vs 3.4%), mostly accommodation services (-0.6%); housing and utilities (1.8% vs 1.9%); and food and non-alcoholic beverages (3% vs 3.3%). In contrast, the most significant upward contribution came from clothing and footwear (1.1% vs -0.6%), with prices usually rising in March as spring fashions continue to enter the shops. Compared to the previous month, the CPI edged up 0.3%, slightly below both the previous month’s increase and expectations of 0.4%. Annual core inflation slowed to 3.4% from 3.5%.
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
$CNGDPYY -China's GDP (Q1/2025)ECONOMICS:CNGDPYY 5.4% Q1/2025 source: National Bureau of Statistics of China - China’s economy grew 5.4% year-on-year in Q1 of 2025, maintaining the same pace as in Q4 and exceeding market expectations of 5.1%. It remained the strongest annual growth rate in 1-1/2 years amid Beijing's ongoing stimulus. The latest GDP readings were also buoyed by robust March activity: industrial output rose at its fastest pace since June 2021, retail sales posted the biggest gain in over a year, and the surveyed jobless rate eased from a two-year high. Fixed asset investment also slightly surpassed expectations in the first quarter. On the trade front, exports recorded their strongest growth since October as firms accelerated shipments ahead of looming tariffs, while a drop in imports narrowed. The statistics bureau said the Chinese economy was “off to a good and steady start” and highlighted the growing role of innovation. However, intensifying trade tensions with the U.S. have quickly darkened the outlook, increasing pressure on Beijing to roll out additional support measures.
ECONOMICS:CNGDPYY
by Mr_J__fx
SPY CRACK! WARNING!We are in the "honey" phase in Stocks. This is the part where they tell you: -Don't panic -Stocks are cheap forward EPS -Nible on the way down -Diversified portfolio wins.. -It's a stock picker's market -There is a lot of cash on the sidelines -It's just a reset -It's a correction -We needed this to shake out the weak hands -Buy when there is blood in the streets, even if it's yours -There is a lot of value in... -This is your last chance to... -This and that stock are going to $1,000 -Stocks are the best investment over the course of time The list is endless to get you to buy or stay in and suck up the pain. They will "Future Fuke" you the world. I will remind you that you cannot buy unless you first sell! No one has endless money, and your 1% addition monthly will not lower your cost basis. All I can tell you is what this chart shows! A BIG CRACK! WARNING!!! Click like, follow, subscribe, and let me help you navigate these crazy markets.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RealMacro
38
#XAUUSD #ForexThis chart shows the price action of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a quick breakdown: - **Price Channel**: The price has been moving within an ascending channel (blue lines), indicating a strong uptrend. - **Breakout**: The current price ($3,343.10) has broken above the upper boundary of the channel with strong momentum. - **Bullish Bias**: A bullish continuation is anticipated, as shown by the large blue arrow pointing upward. - **Target & Stop-Loss**: - **Target**: Around $3,401.25 (marked in green). - **Stop-Loss**: Around $3,302.95 (marked in red). - **Risk-Reward**: The setup appears to offer a favorable risk-reward ratio for a long position. Do you want an analysis of potential reversal points or a deeper dive into entry/exit strategies?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex_Navigator
2
AERGO Crashes 61% After Binance Futures Listing Aergo (AERGO) saw a dramatic price crash on April 16, falling by 61.32% within 24 hours to $0.1590, despite high trading activity. The sharp drop followed Binance’s launch of the AERGOUSDT Perpetual Futures Contract, which allows trading with up to 15x leverage. The contract went live at 11:00 UTC. Before this event, Aergo had reached a recent all-time high close to $0.76, marking strong bullish momentum. However, the futures launch triggered heightened volatility, leading to a swift decline in market price shortly after trading opened. Currently, Aergo’s market capitalization stands at $75.95 million, while its fully diluted valuation (FDV) is $79.61 million. The 24-hour trading volume has skyrocketed to $1.56 billion, reflecting a 204.66% increase, with a volume-to-market cap ratio of 2060.24% — signaling extremely high turnover. The token’s circulating supply is 477.49 million AERGO, with a total and max supply capped at 500 million AERGO. Holders of the asset currently number 7.65K. Aergo is a hybrid enterprise blockchain platform built by Blocko, a Samsung-backed South Korean firm. The platform enables SQL-compatible smart contracts and supports both public and private blockchain systems. It has seen adoption by major institutions such as Hyundai Motors and the Korea Exchange. Following its high, near $0.76, Aergo's price broke down sharply. It currently hovers around $0.1596. With the RSI close to oversold territory, traders may look for stabilization before any potential bounce.
Short
by DEXWireNews
BNB/USDT 1D chartHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BNB chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price came closer to the local lines of the downward trend. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price: T1 = $ 607 T2 = $ 632 Т3 = 660 $ T4 = $ 744 Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = $ 553 SL2 = $ 521 SL3 = $ 500 SL4 = 474 $ Looking at the RSI indicator, we see As we bounced from the inside of the range, remaining in the lower part, which gives room for potential increases.
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → If you didn't catch the train, what should you do?FX:XAUUSD in a rally. Running into a train that is already in motion is prohibited due to the lack of ability to calculate risks. Ahead of the news, a correction is possible, which will allow us to find a place to trade Gold continues to update an all-time high on the back of expectations of retail sales in the US and the speech of Fed chief Powell. Price growth was supported by strong data from China, increased demand for “protective assets” due to geopolitical tensions and trade risks between the U.S. and China. Additional support was provided by forecasts of gold price growth from ANZ to $3,600 by the end of the year Technically, the psychological zones of interest 3325 - 3350 are ahead, from which a correction may form. The ideal scenario is to wait for a correction to local or intermediate support levels and only there look for an entry point. Resistance levels: 3318, 3335, 3350 Support levels: 3275, 3265, 3244 On the background of a strong bull market it is worth using as a productive strategy to trade on the breakdown of resistance in order to continue growth, but in this case we need to wait for consolidation, we do not have it. Or wait for correction, support retest and only then consider buying. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
NZDUSD → Is there a chance for continued growth?FX:NZDUSD within the framework of the rally, which is associated with a strong decline in the dollar, is exiting the ascending channel and testing the resistance at 0.5922. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, which is associated with economic factors, the New Zealand has good chances to continue to grow. Consolidation of the currency pair above the level will indicate the readiness of the currency pair to continue to grow. But! Today is quite a day full of economic news. Traders are waiting for Core retail sales & retail sales, as well as Powell's speech at 17:15 UTC. High volatility is possible! Resistance levels: 0.5922, 0.6038 Support levels: 0.5853 A small correction may be formed from the resistance, but another retest and price consolidation above 0.5922 may be a good signal for both the bulls and us to make decisions. The currency pair has all chances to reach 0.6000 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
Gold hits record as Polymarket flips Fed callFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has warned that President Donald Trump’s tariff policy is likely to fuel higher inflation and slow economic growth. Speaking at the Economic Club of Chicago on Wednesday, Powell said, “Markets are struggling with a lot of uncertainty, and that means volatility.” His comments were quickly reflected in the markets, with the Dow shedding 1.7%, the S&P 500 falling 2.3%, and the Nasdaq tumbling 3.4%. Meanwhile, gold extended its rally to a new record high of $3,337. What may not be uncertain is the Fed’s next rate decision. According to Polymarket data, there's now an 89% chance the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady at its May meeting—up from 69% just a month ago. Polymarket is also pricing the odds of Powell being replaced by Trump with a more servile director this year at 17% (which could likely send the odds of a rate cut in May shooting up).
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
S&P 500 Outlook Post-PowellBelow is a focused prediction for the S&P 500’s direction in both the short term (next few days to 1–2 weeks) and long term (next 3–12 months) following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech on April 16, 2025. The analysis is based on Powell’s remarks, market reactions, and economic context, avoiding speculative overreach and grounding predictions in available data. Short-Term Prediction (Next Few Days to 1–2 Weeks) Outlook: Downward Bias (60%–70% Probability of Decline) Prediction: The S&P 500 is likely to face further declines, potentially dropping toward 4,800–4,900 or Morgan Stanley’s projected 4,700 level (a 7%–8% decline from the April 8, 2025, close of 5,074.08, likely lower post-speech). A temporary bounce is possible but expected to be limited. Key Drivers: Hawkish Fed Stance: Powell’s cautious tone, emphasizing persistent inflation (PCE at 2.3% headline, 2.6% core) and no urgency for rate cuts (rates steady at 4.25%–4.5%), has dampened hopes for monetary easing. His view that Trump’s tariffs could drive sustained inflation increases the risk of prolonged high rates, pressuring equities. Tariff Uncertainty: Powell’s remarks on “larger-than-expected” tariffs, alongside U.S.-China trade tensions and the World Trade Organization’s slashed 2025 trade forecast, fuel fears of a trade war, higher costs, and slower growth. Weak Sentiment: Declining household (March 2025 confidence at its lowest since January 2021) and business sentiment, as noted by Powell, could curb spending and investment, weighing on stocks. Market Momentum: The S&P 500’s 9% drop in the week ending April 8 and its decline during Powell’s speech signal bearish momentum. Technical weakness, with many stocks below their 200-day moving averages, suggests vulnerability. Potential for a Bounce (30%–40% Probability): Oversold conditions could trigger a technical rally toward 5,200–5,300, especially if trade policy fears ease (e.g., signals of negotiation) or softer economic data renews rate-cut hopes. However, Powell’s inflation focus limits upside, making a sustained rally unlikely. Key Levels: Support: 5,000 (psychological), 4,800–4,900, or 4,700 (Morgan Stanley’s target). Resistance: 5,200–5,300 (recent pre-sell-off levels). Catalysts to Watch: Q1 2025 GDP (due in ~2 weeks): Weak growth could deepen fears, while strong data might reinforce inflation concerns. Trade policy: Escalation (e.g., new tariffs) could drive further declines; de-escalation could spark a bounce. Inflation data (CPI, PCE) and consumer sentiment reports. Short-Term Verdict: Expect downward pressure toward 4,800–4,700, with a possible short-lived bounce to 5,200–5,300 if positive catalysts emerge. Monitor GDP, trade developments, and Fed commentary. Long-Term Prediction (Next 3–12 Months) Outlook: Cautiously Optimistic with Volatility (55%–60% Probability of Modest Gains) Prediction: Over the next 3–12 months, the S&P 500 is likely to experience volatility but could see modest gains, potentially reaching 5,500–5,800 (8%–14% above April 8’s 5,074.08 close) by mid-2026, assuming no severe economic downturn or trade war escalation. However, significant risks could cap gains or lead to stagnation/declines. Key Drivers Supporting Gains: Economic Resilience: Powell noted the U.S. economy remains “in a solid position,” with a balanced labor market (4.1% unemployment, 150,000 jobs added monthly) and positive consumer spending. If growth stabilizes (e.g., Q1 2025 slowdown proves temporary), corporate earnings could support higher valuations. Historical Trends: The S&P 500 often performs well in the second half of election years under a first-term president, with gains potentially extending into the following year. Seasonal strength could bolster markets if trade and inflation fears subside. Potential Fed Pivot: If inflation moderates toward 2% (e.g., due to weaker demand or resolved supply chain issues), the Fed could signal rate cuts by mid-2025, boosting equities. Markets historically rally when monetary policy eases. Corporate Adaptability: Companies may adjust to tariffs by diversifying supply chains or passing costs to consumers, mitigating earnings damage over time. Key Risks Capping or Reversing Gains: Persistent Inflation: If tariffs drive sustained inflation (Powell’s concern), the Fed may maintain or raise rates, squeezing valuations. Core PCE above 2.6% or rising CPI could trigger tighter policy. Trade War Escalation: A full-blown U.S.-China trade war or broader global trade disruptions could slow growth, hurt earnings, and push the S&P 500 toward bear market territory (e.g., 4,500 or lower). Economic Slowdown: If Q1 2025’s slowdown (weak GDP, souring sentiment) persists, consumer spending and corporate investment could falter, risking a recession. Morgan Stanley’s bearish scenario (4,700) could extend if growth weakens further. Geopolitical and Policy Uncertainty: Trump’s trade policies, combined with global risks (e.g., China’s response to chip restrictions), could keep volatility high, deterring investment. Key Scenarios: Bull Case (20%–25% Probability): Inflation moderates, trade tensions ease, and the Fed cuts rates by Q3 2025. The S&P 500 could rally to 5,800–6,000, driven by strong earnings and renewed optimism. Base Case (55%–60% Probability): Volatility persists, but growth stabilizes, and tariffs are partially mitigated. The S&P 500 grinds higher to 5,500–5,800, with periods of pullbacks. Bear Case (20%–25% Probability): Inflation spikes, trade wars escalate, or growth slows sharply, prompting tighter Fed policy or recession fears. The S&P 500 could fall to 4,500–4,700 or lower. Key Levels: Upside Targets: 5,500 (near recent highs), 5,800 (moderate growth scenario). Downside Risks: 4,700 (Morgan Stanley’s target), 4,500 (bear market threshold). Catalysts to Watch: Fed policy: FOMC meetings (e.g., May 6–7, 2025) and Powell’s comments on inflation vs. growth. Economic data: GDP, inflation (PCE, CPI), unemployment, and consumer confidence over Q2–Q3 2025. Trade policy: Resolution or escalation of U.S.-China tariffs and global trade dynamics. Earnings: Q1–Q2 2025 corporate earnings for signs of tariff impact or resilience. Long-Term Verdict: The S&P 500 is likely to see modest gains to 5,500–5,800 by mid-2026, driven by economic resilience and potential Fed easing, but volatility will persist due to tariff and inflation risks. A bearish outcome (4,500–4,700) is possible if trade wars or inflation worsen. Stay vigilant on Fed signals, trade policy, and economic indicators.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SnyperTA
1
ASML Holding NV Falls Short on Q1 Orders Amid Tariff UncertaintyASML Holding NV reported weaker-than-expected first-quarter orders, citing growing global uncertainty due to fresh tariff announcements. The Dutch semiconductor equipment firm recorded €3.94 billion ($4.47 billion) in net bookings for Q1, well below the €4.82 billion anticipated by analysts, according to Bloomberg data. The company supplies advanced chipmaking machinery to leading names like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Intel Corp. ASML’s CEO Christophe Fouquet acknowledged that the semiconductor industry is facing renewed pressure. He stated that tariffs are “creating a new uncertainty,” not only for global economic stability but also for future market demand. Despite missing order expectations, ASML emphasized that bookings often fluctuate and may not fully reflect ongoing business momentum. Nevertheless, concerns persist over how geopolitical tensions and potential tariff measures—particularly from the U.S. government—might impact the broader semiconductor supply chain. Technical Analysis As of 2:53:28 PM EDT, stock is trading at $630.08, down $52.79 (-7.75%), following the earnings announcement. Technically, this is seen in a sharp selling pressure after the earnings miss. Current price action is now trading towards a key support zone around $578, which marks the recent low. If the price faces rejection there, a potential retest of the $770 resistance remains likely. Alternatively, a successful breakout above the resistance may drive a move toward $600 levels.
NASDAQ:ASML
by DEXWireNews
EUR/USD at Key Decision Zone – Breakout or Smart Money Trap?🟢 Current Context Price: 1.13820 USD Trend: Strong bullish structure, with impulsive moves especially in April. Main timeframe: Appears to be daily or weekly, with multi-timeframe zones (1W, 1M marked). 🧱 Key Zones 🔴 Supply Zone (1.13000–1.15000) Well-defined area of historic selling pressure. Price reacted with a temporary drop but bounced right back into it. 🟦 Demand Zone (1.08500–1.10000) Major order block where the current rally was initiated. Price used this as a base to launch higher. ⚫ Lower Supports 1.03600: Weekly support 1.02838: Monthly support Broad accumulation zone (grey box) from which this trend began. 📈 Price Structure Strong breakout above 1.10–1.11 resistance. Currently pulling back inside the supply zone – the dashed arrows hint at potential liquidity sweeps before a continuation to 1.15+. 🔍 Momentum Indicator (likely RSI/CCI) Currently elevated, but not yet in extreme overbought. No clear divergence. Momentum favors bulls. 📊 Scenarios ✅ Bullish: Clean break above 1.14500–1.15000 opens the door to 1.1600 and 1.1800. Wait for a structural retest for safer long entries. ⚠️ Bearish (corrective): Strong rejection from the supply zone → potential pullback to 1.10–1.0850 (blue zone). Only below 1.0850 would a deeper bearish structure toward 1.03600 be confirmed. 🧠 Strategic Note This is a zone of clear smart money activity: liquidity grabs on both ends. Watch how this weekly candle closes – we’re either validating above 1.13 or setting up a trap for late longs.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
Momentum Trading Insights: MACD & meme coin FartcoinHello, For momentum trading a coin like Fartcoin, the momentum is extremely difficult to measure on the small scale time frames. For example, the 1 minute, 5 minute, 10 minute, and even 30minute time frames are all undependable since the momentum of the price could go any other direction at any moment. However, don’t be discouraged to trade in these time frames, my suggestion here is to increase the probability of successful momentum trading through confident, reliable, and emotionally detached trading. By analyzing larger timeframes such as the 4 hourly timeframe, the MACD and other indicators such as RSI, the VWAP, we could be more sure the overall price is heading in the direction we’d like. Taking this crucial step avoids the panic selling of a coin in the short-term when in the big picture, things are looking more than terrific. The MACD indicates when a momentum is positive, slowing down, and negative. By looking at the 4 hourly timeframe, we could be sure that once a negative momentum starts slowing down, chances are higher that it will switch to a positive momentum. I have changed the colouring of my MACD so it represents the colours of a traffic light. Red — don’t trade (lowest probability of making profit). Yellow — the momentum could change (if from red to yellow then price is going up; if green to yellow, price is going down). Green — trade here (greatest probability to make profits). Once confirming that the 4hourly is in a good place, you could be rest assured that when whiplash and sudden price dumps occur, you could hold more conviction to continue on holding, rather than panic selling and then an hour later, you have FOMO because the price moved incredibly higher. In order to enhance the prediction of memecoins, look into the total market and analyze it at the greater time-frames as well. I recommend higher time-frames the the 4hourly since the total market has a lot more data than the life of Fartcoin which is only a few months old. If the momentum is looking good, you could be more confident with your trades. This concludes my ideas on momentum trading memecoins and how we could leverage the best case use of these coins through a grounded trading technique such as momentum trading. Momentum trading doesn’t try to predict the price, it at the current probability of momentum. Cheers! -RanMcdon
by ranmcdon
1