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Liberation Day: Fear or greed in the air? We are less than hour out from the Liberation Day tariff announcements. The U.S. is preparing to roll out reciprocal tariffs on all countries, with rates set at 10%, 15%, and 20%, according to Sky News. Investors hoping for certainty may be disappointed—this could mark the start of a longer phase of trade battles. Mexico, once again, is reading the room. President Sheinbaum has confirmed Mexico won’t respond with tit-for-tat tariffs. They understand that the way to deal with Trump is to treat him with kid gloves. Meanwhile, gold hit another record high, reaching $3,149.04 on Tuesday before pulling back a little. Buyers might have a better setup around the parallel pivot line to position for further upside.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
JPY/USD: Bearish Triangle Pattern Breakout Towards TargetChart Pattern: Triangle Pattern Pattern Description Type: The chart identifies a Triangle Pattern, which is a type of consolidation pattern that can act as either a continuation or reversal pattern depending on the preceding trend and the breakout direction. Triangles are characterized by converging trendlines, indicating a period of indecision in the market as the price range narrows. Specific Type: This appears to be a Symmetrical Triangle, as the upper and lower trendlines converge at a similar angle, suggesting neither buyers nor sellers have clear control during the consolidation phase. Appearance on the Chart: The Triangle Pattern is marked with two converging trendlines: Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward. Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the higher lows, sloping upward. The pattern began forming around March 27, after a sharp downtrend, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025. Breakout Direction: Symmetrical Triangles can break out in either direction, but they often continue the preceding trend. In this case, the preceding trend was bearish (a sharp decline from 0.006720 to 0.006640), and the breakout is to the downside, confirming a bearish continuation. The chart shows the price breaking below the lower trendline of the triangle around April 2, 2025, with a strong bearish candle, indicating a confirmed bearish breakout. Key Levels and Trading Setup 1. Support Level A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.006640 (approximately 0.00664–0.00665). This level acted as a base during the triangle formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 28 and March 31). The price has now broken below this support, turning it into a resistance level on any potential retest. 2. Resistance Level A resistance zone is marked around 0.006705 (approximately 0.00670–0.00671). This level corresponds to a previous high within the triangle and aligns with the upper boundary of the triangle at the time of the breakout. After the breakout, this resistance level is where the stop loss is placed, as a move back above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. 3. Target The target for the breakout is projected at 0.006599 (approximately 0.00660). This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the triangle at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance downward from the breakout point. The chart indicates a potential move of -0.000604 (-0.96%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 0.006654) to the target (0.006599). 4. Stop Loss A stop loss is suggested above the resistance level at 0.006705. This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price moves back above the triangle’s lower trendline (now acting as resistance), the trade is exited with a manageable loss. Trading Setup Summary Entry: The setup suggests entering a short (sell) position after the price breaks below the lower trendline of the Triangle Pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bearish candle closing below the trendline at approximately 0.006654. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the resistance level at 0.006705 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (0.006654) to the stop loss (0.006705) is 0.000051, representing the risk on the trade. Take Profit/Target: Aim for the target at 0.006599, which is the projected price objective based on the triangle’s height. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.000055, or a 0.96% move. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk is 0.000051 (from 0.006654 to 0.006705), and the reward is 0.000055 (from 0.006654 to 0.006599), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08 (0.000055 / 0.000051). While this ratio is slightly above 1:1, it’s on the lower side for a typical trading setup, so traders should ensure high confidence in the breakout. Additional Observations Price Action Context: Before the triangle formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 0.006720 (March 23) to 0.006640 (March 27), indicating a strong bearish trend. The triangle represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the downside breakout suggests a continuation of the bearish momentum. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a triangle breakout would include: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong selling pressure. Bearish momentum signals, such as an RSI below 50 or a bearish MACD crossover. Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength. Timeframe: This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day. Market Context: USD/JPY is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Japanese yen safe-haven demand, and interest rate differentials. A bearish move in USD/JPY could be driven by a stronger yen (e.g., due to risk-off sentiment) or a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data). Conclusion The TradingView idea presents a bearish setup for USD/JPY based on a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken below the triangle’s lower trendline, confirming a bearish continuation with a target of 0.006599. The setup includes a stop loss at 0.006705 to manage risk, offering a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08. Key levels to watch include the former support (now resistance) at 0.006640 and the resistance at 0.006705. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
DOGE/USDT 1D chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D Doge chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves over the downward trend line, but fights to stay over it. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price: T1 = 0.175 $ T2 = 0.184 $ Т3 = 0.199 $ T4 = 0.223 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 0.167 $ SL2 = 0.156 $ SL3 = 0.143 $ Looking at the RSI indicator, we see As we are approaching the center of the range again, but here the space for further continuation of growth is visible.
by cryptodailyuk
The Day AheadWednesday, April 2 Data Releases: US March ADP report, February factory orders, Japan March monetary base, France February budget balance. Central Banks: Speeches from Fed’s Kugler, ECB's Schnabel, and Escriva. Trump Tariff Announcement: Trump’s team is finalizing options for a 4 p.m. announcement, considering a tiered system with flat rates or a customized approach. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Paradigm Shift: Markets in Tension over Trump's New TariffsBy Ion Jauregui - Analyst at ActivTrades The recent announcement of tariffs by Donald Trump's administration has generated a wave of uncertainty in financial markets. This measure could trigger a forceful response from the European Union, marking a paradigm shift in global trade and in the European bloc's economic strategy. Reactions in Europe and the ECB Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), has stressed the need for Europe to move towards greater economic independence. Her statements suggest that the EU will not back down from protectionist measures and that its fiscal and financial policy will have to adapt to this new global context. It can be sensed from the statements that countries such as Germany and Italy, with a strong dependence on automotive exports, could be among the most affected. In addition, strategic sectors such as steel and aluminum would face an increase in production costs and possible interruptions in supply chains. Spain and Poland could be affected in the strategic raw materials sector as one of the most powerful net exporters in Europe. Especially Spain, given that it dedicates a large part of its aluminum exports to the North American country. Economic and Financial Impact A tariff-based trade war could slow growth, increase unemployment and generate a disinflationary or even deflationary environment not only in the United States but also in the European economic region. In this context, the bond market has begun to discount further interest rate cuts, reflecting declines in longer maturity yields and break-even inflation rates. Expectations of Europe, and even traditional allied countries Canada and its rapprochement with Europe, as well as Japan and Korea showing approaches to China, could be demarcating a red line for the White House in terms of its foreign policy form. What Trump will have to consider if the market begins to respond so negatively to such an “enemy of trade” attitude, and especially such a “bad friend” to his traditional allies. Another key factor to consider is the NATO-NATO section where Europe may eventually displace the US from the grouping. DAX Analysis (Ticker AT: GER40) The German index has started the Asian session with a sideways movement and 2 hours before the European opening there have been strong falls after the alliance comments in Asia. The situation of the index seems to have reached a floor around 22,241 points generating a possible support this Wednesday. If we look at the trend, the index has reached highs twice last month on March 6 and 18, marking on the second occasion a new milestone trading at 23,480.22 points, generating a return to a range where the index is comfortable this year between 22,918 points and 22,105 points, with the annual lows at 22,209.21 points. The current situation is indicating a possible golden crossover to reverse the current situation. The Current Control Point (POC) is located at 22,967.56 points, so it would not be unusual with the increase in volume and with an oversold RSI at 44.93%, it is possible that the index climbs to 22,522 points in its mid-range zone and try to pierce if the news accompanies the Euro zone and in particular Germany and the companies that make up the index. If this happens, we could see an advance to the upper part of the range slightly below the indicated checkpoint. Future Outlook If the Trump administration maintains its uncompromising trade strategy, pressure on European financial markets could intensify. The EU, for its part, will have to assess possible countermeasures to protect its economy and maintain stability in an increasingly challenging environment. At ActivTrades, we are closely following these developments and their impact on global markets. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:GER40Long
by ActivTrades
Gold Price Analysis April 1D1 candle is still showing a remarkable increase of Gold. Signaling that the uptrend will continue for another half. The wave in the h4 frame is still continuing a strong uptrend and no correction wave has appeared. H1 is trading in the border zone of 3126 and 3142. The trading plan for GOLD to close below 3032 shows a clear downtrend to 3106. On the contrary, if the candle closes above, wait for the 3142 zone to confirm that it does not break the price, then SELL to 3106. 3163-3165 is the Target for the BUY signal to break the ATH when the candle confirms above 3143
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
4/2/25 - $fc - Solid co, but dip buy ONLY4/2/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:FC Solid co, but dip buy ONLY - been on my radar for about a year, but "rolling" over starting last quarter and estimates really got floored - so the "setup" from a financial POV such that we can *see* bottom and *have confidence* in mgmt "optimistic" speech is a stock you could buy - but honestly, at higher EBITDA multiple than NXT (which as you all know is my benchmark) on a small cap stock in this environment and where this type of service (training ppl inside biz's) is likely being tightened at the margin, especially "now", early in 1H25... i can't imagine if you don't own this you would want to be piling in. - if stock does pop, i'd guess larger holders use the liquidity to sell down/ adjust. if stock sinks... the incremental bid esp to the start to a new quarter could be limited. - but even on trough say $20 mm FCF on a cap of $320 mm, you're at >6% fcf "not bad at all". the only issue is whether you can believe it's $20 and on it's way back to $25 or $30 in '26. i just don't think we have that visibility. - so the play for me is if they report "abysmal results" and perhaps even we get a double whammy of mkt beta/tide go out in the coming weeks. this could be an interesting play at a double digit+ FCF yield, which is still a healthy 30% lower. so i'll set my greedy target slightly above $20 to look again <> mainly bc that sort of move on a well capitalized co like this is simply too extreme - so it would be a multi-day/week greedy target. that's a lot of writing for a small name, but wanted to do the thinking for myself in the future b/c when we're in the moment it's easier to "just act" then go through this exercise and block out the emotions :) have a good liberation day, or whatever that is, everyone. V
NYSE:FC
by VROCKSTAR
GBP/JPY showing the Bulls some love !!As i write this down GBP/JPY teases us with a triangle on a 1h timeframe with a break and test... and maybe a confirmation? 195.00 level is also there - giving us extra confirmation the YEN showed some strength since the year began maybe because of the ongoing Japanese fiscal year ending up in march, but since we are talking about fiscal years, UK's fiscal year concludes in April ! ( during fiscal year end companies tend to repatriate their offshore capital for several reasons: Tax Optimization, Financial Reporting, Dividend Payments, Debt Servicing, Currency Exchange Considerations, Strategic Investments) - this ensure a increased demand for the specific currency making it raise in value ( supply and demand 101) so where are we at right now: - Fundamentals favor the GBP in the near term future ( other fundamentals must be taken into consideration - do some research tell me what you find) - Technically we see an opportunity to profit for the coming fundamentals even tough is a good chance this setup is not the start line of the race upwards when it comes to Taking profits the only level that comes into mind is 198.200 (not a guarantee but a possibility) - Other Technical's the currency sits above the YTD Anchored VWAP and the march Anchored VWAP for some time now, in terms of Market Structure we see higher highs on the 4h/Daily and previous highs taken out ( feb high and Jan high) - this an uptrend no doubt For day traders: on the lower timeframes we see some head & Shoulders formations gearing up 1min_ chart completed H&S 5m_chart H&S in construction - and if I'm stretching my luck a bit maybe another H&S on the 15 min that's all there is to it! Whatever your trading remember to take the risks into consideration and always do your own analysis before taking a decision !! I'm still new to sharing ideas on the community - don't start throwing rocks now if your Bearish :D -Not financial Advice !
Long
by Chrispy3000
ETH-----Sell around 1900, target 1820 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 2: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negatives. The price was at a low level, and the attached indicator was a golden cross with a shrinking volume, but it can be seen that the fast and slow lines are still below the zero axis, which is an obvious price suppression, and the current pullback trend is only a correction performance, which is difficult to continue and difficult to break. This is the signal, so the downward trend remains unchanged; the correction trend of the four-hour chart for two consecutive trading days is also completed. At present, the K-line pattern is continuous negative, and the price is under pressure and retreats. Whether the European session can break down is very critical. The short-cycle hourly chart of the previous day's US session hit a high in the early morning and retreated under pressure in the morning. The current K-line pattern is a continuous negative and the attached indicator is dead cross running. It is still bearish during the day. The starting point is near the 1850 area. The European session depends on the breakout of this position. Therefore, today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the pullback 1900 area, stop loss at the 1930 area, and target the 1820 area;
Short
by BraveTigercat
FedEx: Balancing Act or Precarious Gamble?Recent market activity highlights significant pressure on FedEx, as the logistics giant grapples with prevailing economic uncertainty. A notable drop in its stock price followed the company's decision to lower its revenue and profit outlook for fiscal year 2025. Management attributes this revision to weakening shipping demand, particularly in the crucial business-to-business sector, stemming from softness in the US industrial economy and persistent inflationary pressures. This development reflects broader economic concerns that are also impacting consumer spending and prompting caution across the corporate landscape. In response to these domestic headwinds, FedEx has adopted a more conservative operational stance, evidenced by a reduced planned capital spending for the upcoming fiscal year. This move signals an emphasis on cost management and efficiency as the company navigates the current economic climate within its established markets. It suggests a strategic adjustment to align spending with the revised, more cautious revenue expectations. However, this domestic caution contrasts sharply with FedEx's concurrent and ambitious expansion strategy in China. Despite geopolitical complexities, the company is making substantial investments to enlarge its footprint, building new operational centers, upgrading existing gateways, and increasing flight frequencies to enhance connectivity. This dual approach underscores the central challenge facing FedEx: balancing immediate economic pressures and operational adjustments at home while pursuing a long-term, high-stakes growth initiative in a critical international market, all within an uncertain global environment.
NYSE:FDXShort
by UDIS_View
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 2, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) fails to capitalise on the previous day's modest gains against its US counterpart and attracts fresh sellers during Wednesday's Asian session. The USD/JPY pair, however, remains in the range it has been in since the beginning of this week as traders await a new catalyst before positioning for the next leg of directional movement. As such, attention will remain focused on US President Donald Trump's announcement of retaliatory tariffs later today. Meanwhile, speculation that the slowdown in the economy caused by the tariffs may force the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to keep policy steady for now is undermining the yen. However, investors seem convinced that the BoJ will continue to raise interest rates amid signs of rising inflation in Japan. This is a significant divergence from the growing confidence that the Federal Reserve (BoJ) will resume its rate-cutting cycle in June, and should support the lower-yielding Japanese Yen. Trade recommendation: SELL 150.00, SL 150.90, TP 148.60
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Possibility Of A Big Drop on Gold !!!! huge drop is coming , we had gold yesterday huge profit taking , and deliveries were huge , so the big money never comes in now ! , the yesterday range is empty of orders , the big boys taking out , so get ready for a big drop , if u check my ideas posted i told about the big buys coming previous week and banked 1200 pips in one trade , so be careful with ur longs now , yesterday chart is empty of the orders this means when it drops it really drops about 600 pips at least , mark my words! stay tuned ==> i.n.s.t.?a => awtforex
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by jacobradan
10
GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025👇 🦁 GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025 📆 📍 Macro & Political Context 🗞️ Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing war in Ukraine + fresh tariff threats from Trump are sparking investor fear. Safe-haven flows into gold continue. 💰 Fundamentals: Inflationary fears remain strong. Market eyes the US NFP later this week. Fed is silent... too silent. 👀 🌍 Central banks are still buying gold – clear sign of institutional appetite. 🔍 Market Structure Overview Trend: Bullish HTF ✅ Current Price: $3,113 All-Time High: $3,148 (Reached recently – likely liquidity swept!) Last Valid BOS: H1 and H4 both show bullish structure, but a correction is brewing. 🍃 📊 Key Technical Zones & Confluences 🔻 Sell-Side Liquidity Below 📌 $3,100 – Clear liquidity pool (equal lows + psychological level) 🔥 Below $3,100 to $3,085 – Strong imbalance zone + unmitigated FVG 🧲 Expectation: Price may grab liquidity here before next leg up 🔷 Imbalance + Discount Zone 📉 $3,085–$3,095 – Massive H1/H4 imbalance. Could be a POI if price breaks $3,100 🧱 Valid Demand OB (H1) inside this zone + FIBO 61.8% retracement from last impulse 🔺 Premium Rejection 🧱 H1/H4 OB near $3,135–$3,145 = Price sharply rejected = probable redistribution zone ✂️ This was also the weekly high, which got swept = liquidity taken 🎯 Plan of Action 🟢 Scenario 1: Long Entry from Discount Zone "Let them take the liquidity, we take the reversal!" 💸 Entry Zone: $3,085 – $3,095 Confluence: Valid H1 OB (confirmed with PA) Imbalance zone FIBO 61.8% + structure break Sell-side liquidity sweep from $3,100 Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + Bullish engulfing or low volume sweep SL: Below $3,078 TP1: $3,130 TP2: $3,145 TP3: $3,150 (liquidity magnet again) 🔴 Scenario 2: Short if Price Pushes Back to $3,140+ Catch the premium short 🧨 Entry Zone: $3,140 – $3,148 Confluence: All-time high sweep (liquidity trap) HTF OB rejection Weakness shown on M15 Confirmation: M5-M15 CHoCH + engulfing SL: Above $3,155 TP1: $3,125 TP2: $3,100 TP3: $3,085 🧠 Final Notes 📌 Be reactive, not predictive – wait for PA confirmation at POIs 📰 Watch news – especially unexpected geopolitical catalysts or Fed surprise 🧘‍♂️ Stick to risk management. At ATHs, volatility is high and manipulation common. 👉 If this breakdown helped you, don’t forget to FOLLOW for more sniper setups and smash that ❤️ LIKE button to show some love! Your support keeps this 🔥 content coming!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
3
#SAND #SANDUSDT #SANDBOX #LONG #SWING #AMD #Eddy#SAND #SANDUSDT #SANDBOX #LONG #SWING #AMD #Eddy SANDUSDT.P SWING Long AMD Setup Important areas of the upper time frame for scalping are identified and named. This setup is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. (( AMD SETUP )) Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this Swing Setup to enter the trade. Don't forget risk and capital management. The entry point, take profit point, and stop loss point are indicated on the chart along with their amounts. The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management. By scratching the price and time bar, you can see the big picture and targets. Note: The price can go much higher than the second target, and there is a possibility of a 50%-100% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the targets, you can keep it for the pump. Be successful and profitable.
Long
by Eddy_Trade_
USDCAD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCAD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy