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AUDUSD Bears "Flag Down" Potential OpportunitiesOn the Technical Analysis stand-point, FX:AUDUSD has been Consolidating in an Ascending Channel since the beginning of this year after having a sharp decline which started in October last year. Now the past 6 Months, Price Action seems to be forming a strong Continuation Pattern, the Bear Flag! Based on the Retracement from the Swing High @ .6942 to the Swing Low @ .60872, Price has made a 38.2% Retracement to .64081, resulting in a False Break, pushing Price back into Pattern! Price has been trading Under the 200 EMA since the start of the "Flagpole" and with the separation between it and the 34 EMA Band, feeds the Bearish Bias after we see Price heavily rejected after touching the 34 EMA Band! *Once Price makes a Breakout of the Rising Support of the Channel -> Bear Flag Confirmed *Increase in Volume after Break -> Breakout Validated If we get a True Breakout that is Validated by the checklist of factors, we could be looking at great opportunities to take FX:AUDUSD down to the current 5 Year Low of .55063 set back in March 16th 2020 (Initial Outbreak of Covid) based on the Flagpole and Potential Extension of a Valid Break and Retest of the Bear Flag! Now, Fundamentally what is driving the Weaker Aussie Dollar is the fear of the impact of what the US Tariffs will do to Australia's "Key Trading Partners" being China, Japan and South Korea all being high on the Reciprocal Tariff List. Because of this, the RBA has now priced in 100 Basis Points worth of Rate Cuts to come with the expectations of a "dampened broader outlook for global trade and economic growth." www.tradingview.com Stay Tuned!
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
GBP/USD Short Trade Setup with Resistance & Support Levels"### **Chart Description: GBP/USD Short Trade Setup** This chart represents a **GBP/USD (British Pound to US Dollar) 1-hour timeframe** trade setup, highlighting key technical levels for a potential **short (sell) trade**. #### **Key Components:** - **Short-Term Resistance (1.31450 - 1.31600 Zone):** A price area where GBP/USD has faced selling pressure. - **Entry Point (1.30970):** The suggested level to enter the short position. - **Stop Loss (SL) at 1.31450:** If the price moves above this level, the trade is invalidated. - **Target (1.29376):** The price target based on previous support levels. - **Support Zone (1.29200 - 1.29400):** A historically strong buying zone where price is expected to react.
Short
by Michael-trades-
Oil in a multi-week declining triangle patternPYTH:USOILSPOT Oil has been in a multi-week declining triangle pattern, lasting over 2 years so far, which will eventually break to the downside. When it does, the price target should be around $35 USD. Which is calculated subtracting the width of the triangle from the base of the triangle. When? Probably when we have a stock market crash, which could be soon. Fundamentally speaking, a global recession should reduce global demand for crude oil. Also, a resolution of the Ukraine-Rusia conflict should increase global supply of crude oil. Good luck to you
FX:USOILShort
by Raul_Dominguez
PY/USD Analysis: Rising Wedge Bearish Reversal & Short SetupThis chart represents the JPY/USD (Japanese Yen vs. US Dollar) on a daily timeframe (1D), published on April 3, 2025, via TradingView. The price action and technical indicators suggest a bearish outlook based on the formation of a Rising Wedge Pattern, a classic reversal structure signaling potential price depreciation. 1. Chart Structure & Identified Patterns A. Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Reversal Pattern) The price has been moving in an uptrend, forming higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). The two converging black trendlines indicate a rising wedge, a pattern that typically precedes a downside breakout. A rising wedge is considered a bearish signal, especially when formed after a strong rally. B. Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Zone (Highlighted in Beige, Upper Range) This level represents a historically significant supply area where selling pressure is expected. Price action shows multiple rejections at this level, indicating the presence of strong resistance. The red downward arrow further confirms that this level is acting as a cap on price movement. Support Zone (Highlighted in Beige, Lower Range) This area previously served as a strong demand level, where buyers stepped in, reversing the price. The green upward arrow suggests that it played a critical role in the prior bullish move. C. Key Price Levels All-Time High (ATH) Marked at ~0.007155 This represents the historical peak price, which serves as a potential long-term resistance. Stop-Loss Placement (~0.006959) This is placed above the resistance level to manage risk in case of a false breakout. Target Level (~0.006178) Based on the wedge height, this level is calculated as the measured move after a breakdown. 2. Price Action & Market Sentiment A. Recent Bullish Move The market has been in a strong uptrend since hitting the support zone. This move was characterized by higher lows and higher highs, reinforcing bullish momentum. However, momentum appears to be weakening as the price struggles to break through the resistance. B. Confirmation of a Bearish Reversal The price has touched the upper resistance zone multiple times but failed to break through. The trendline breakdown (expected move) suggests sellers are stepping in. A lower high formation is seen as an early warning of a reversal. 3. Trade Setup: Short Position Strategy This setup aligns with the principles of technical analysis, utilizing the Rising Wedge as a bearish reversal pattern. A. Entry Strategy Sell Entry Trigger: Enter a short trade upon a confirmed breakdown below the lower trendline. Retest Confirmation: Ideally, wait for a pullback to the broken trendline before shorting to avoid false signals. B. Risk Management Stop-Loss Placement: Above the resistance zone at 0.006959, to protect against an invalidation. Take-Profit Target: Set at 0.006178, calculated based on the wedge’s height projection. C. Reward-to-Risk Ratio (RRR) RRR = 2:1 or higher The target level offers a risk-reward ratio that justifies the trade setup. 4. Summary & Final Outlook Bearish Signals: ✅ Rising Wedge Pattern – A strong reversal indicator. ✅ Lower Highs and Weak Momentum – Suggests selling pressure. ✅ Failure to Break Resistance – Indicates bullish exhaustion. ✅ Projected Target Based on Wedge – Price expected to reach 0.006178. Neutral Considerations: If price does not break the lower trendline, the pattern is not validated. If a false breakdown occurs, prices may briefly recover before falling. Bullish Invalidation: If the price breaks above 0.006959 and sustains above resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated. Final Verdict: 📉 Bearish Bias – The market setup favors a downside move upon a confirmed breakdown. 🎯 Target: 0.006178 (Key support level). ⚠️ Risk: If the price does not break lower, consolidation may occur before a clearer move.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Trade war impact on Nasdaq 100Trade wars are escalating, and this time the United States is in conflict with nearly every major economy. In this video, I explain why this shift could have a massive impact on global markets and what it means for traders right now. I walk through the historical parallels from 95 years ago, when similar tariffs deepened the Great Depression and led to an 80 percent drop in the Dow Jones. A decade later, World War II followed. While no one wants to see that repeated, economic tension is clearly building. We take a closer look at the Nasdaq 100, which is now trading below its 200-day moving average. I explain why the technical setup suggests further downside and how traders might look to short into rallies rather than chase the current move. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Short
by ThinkMarkets
86K for another short sellMorning folks, So, not occasionally we said in previous 2-3 updates that BTC action doesn't look bullish and we suggest a new nosedive. Now we have bearish engulfing pattern on weekly chart . And consider these two Fib levels for another short entry attempt. Of course, 86K would be just perfect, but it could start earlier. One of the possible shapes we consider a downside butterfly. In general, re-test of 70-73K area on average fits to our long-term view. In a case if 86K will be broken, it could mean that market is tending to 93.5K target, based on daily AB=CD pattern . But we consider this scenario as less probable due on overall BTC heavy performance in a recent few weeks. Thus, for now, if you want to make a scalp long trade, you could try, but better to set initial target not higher than 86K. Our major scenario is bearish and we consider 84K and 86K Fib levels for accumulation of a bearish position, unless something extraordinary will happen. Profit to everybody, Peace.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
GOLD TRADING PLAN – After Breaking ATH & Sharp CorrectionGOLD TRADING PLAN – After Breaking ATH & Sharp Correction 🔥 Former U.S. President Donald Trump has officially announced a comprehensive global tariff policy, targeting multiple countries and regions. This sparked: 📉 A major sell-off in risk assets 💵 A sharp weakening in the U.S. Dollar 🪙 A strong rally in gold, reaching a new All-Time High (ATH) at 3167 as a preferred safe-haven asset 📉 Latest Market Reaction – Gold Corrects from ATH After a strong bullish breakout, gold is now pulling back from its peak, driven by profit-taking and investor caution ahead of key economic data — including the upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Despite the short-term pullback, the overall trend remains bullish on higher timeframes. 📐 Technical Overview Yesterday, we identified and traded a symmetrical triangle pattern, which broke out sharply as expected. Now, price is retesting previous breakout zones — where new long opportunities may form. 📌 Focus on BUY setups during the Asian & EU sessions, and be cautious during the U.S. session due to expected volatility. 🔍 Key Technical Levels 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3167 (ATH) – 3175 – 3185 – 3198 – 3206 📝 (These are psychological levels & Fibonacci extensions. Wait for clear candle confirmation before entering.) 🔻 Support Levels: 3140 – 3132 – 3120 – 3112 – 3106 – 3100 🛒 TRADE PLAN 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3112 – 3110 🛑 Stop Loss: 3106 🎯 Take Profits: 3116 – 3120 – 3124 – 3128 – 3132 – 3136 – 3140 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3167 – 3169 🛑 Stop Loss: 3173 🎯 Take Profits: 3162 – 3158 – 3154 – 3150 ⚠️ Final Notes 📈 The uptrend is still in play — no need to FOMO sell near the highs. ⏳ Be patient, wait for price to react at key support/resistance zones. 🚫 Avoid overtrading or rushing into trades — tariff news has major global impact. 📅 Stay sharp ahead of Friday’s NFP release — we'll reassess trend direction after the data. ✅ Stick to your risk management: follow your TP/SL strictly. Wishing you safe & profitable trades! 💼📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold price hits a new all-time high!Market news: In the early Asian trading on Thursday (April 3), spot gold continued to rise, once refreshing its historical high to $3,168/ounce, as US President Trump declared a national emergency on Wednesday to enhance the competitive advantage of the United States, protect US sovereignty, and strengthen US national and economic security. He will impose a 10% benchmark tariff on all goods imported into the United States and impose higher tariffs on some of the largest US trading partners. This move will lead to an intensification of the trade war launched after his return to the White House, and the market risk aversion sentiment has risen sharply. After the news of large-scale tariffs came out, the market risk aversion sentiment rose sharply in the early Asian trading on Thursday, US stock futures plummeted, and Dow futures plunged more than 1,100 points. London gold prices soared, and international gold prices soared after US President Trump announced reciprocal tariffs on global trading partners. Gold is traditionally a safe-haven asset in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. When people's concerns about the global economy intensify, investors regard gold as a safe haven. Such concerns have helped gold prices rise 19% so far this year after a strong rally in 2024, driven mainly by massive central bank purchases and strong demand in Asia. The dollar index fell after Trump's tariff plan was announced, making gold more expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. Investors need to pay attention to the number of layoffs in challenger companies in the United States in March, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending March 29, and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI data in the United States in March. In addition, investors need to pay attention to the market's further interpretation of Trump's tariff policy and the response measures of various countries, and pay attention to changes in national stock market performance and risk aversion. Technical Review: At the daily level, gold started the downward adjustment mode on Tuesday, breaking the previous continuous rise in one fell swoop. However, the current moving average system still maintains an upward divergent trend. The 4-hour trend of gold temporarily maintains a high range of oscillation repair. At present, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flattening, and tends to continue to maintain a high-level oscillation repair trend during the day. The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a golden cross with upward bullish arrangement. Although gold fell below the moving average support yesterday, the strength of gold bulls to bottom out and rebound is still relatively strong, and with the support of gold safe-haven, gold bulls are still better. As long as it does not break 3100, it will continue to be strongly bullish. Today's analysis: The news of gold early in the morning upgraded the risk aversion, and gold broke upward again. Then the previous resistance of gold has now become support again. The previous platform support of gold at 3135 has broken upward, so gold has now formed support at 3135. Gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy. Since after the shock, gold bulls have exerted their strength again under the stimulation of risk aversion, the trend continues to belong to bulls, and gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy. The 1-hour moving average of gold turned upward again, and gold bulls regained control of the home court. Gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy on dips on the previous platform support of 3135. Now risk aversion stimulates gold to rise. Don't chase it directly at high levels for the time being, and wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. As risk aversion is upgraded, gold buying will continue to be strong and gold is expected to rise to a higher level. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 3132-3135 buy, stop loss 3124, target 3160-3170; Short-term gold 3174-3177 sell, stop loss 3185, target 3140-3130; Key points: First support level: 3140, second support level: 3133, third support level: 3120 First resistance level: 3166, second resistance level: 3174, third resistance level: 3187
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
EURJPY Double Top - Bearish Reversal Ahead Toward Target!🔍 Chart Analysis: Identifying the Double Top Pattern The EURJPY (Euro/Japanese Yen) 1-hour chart shows a classic Double Top pattern, which is a strong bearish reversal formation. This pattern occurs when the price reaches a significant resistance level twice but fails to break above it, indicating a potential shift from bullish momentum to bearish control. 1️⃣ Top 1: The first peak formed as buyers pushed the price higher, but strong resistance forced a pullback. 2️⃣ Top 2: The price attempted to break the same resistance level again but failed, forming a second peak at approximately 164.165, confirming that sellers are overpowering buyers. 3️⃣ Neckline (Support Level): The critical support level around 160.000 acted as a trigger for the bearish move. Once this level broke, the double top pattern was confirmed. 📌 Key Levels and Market Structure 🔹 Resistance (164.165): The highest level where sellers dominated, preventing further upward movement. 🔹 Support/Neckline (160.000): This level acted as a crucial pivot. Once broken, it signaled a trend reversal. 🔹 Take Profit Levels: TP1 – 159.036: This serves as the first profit target, aligning with a prior demand zone. TP2 – 157.200: The full projected downside move based on the double top pattern. 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Above 164.165, ensuring a risk-managed approach in case of trend invalidation. 📉 Trading Strategy: How to Trade This Setup? 1️⃣ Entry Confirmation: The ideal entry was after the price broke the neckline at 160.000 and retested it as resistance. A breakdown candle with high volume confirmed seller dominance. 2️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement: A stop-loss above 164.165 provides room for price fluctuations while protecting against false breakouts. 3️⃣ Profit Targets: TP1: 159.036, securing partial profits. TP2: 157.200, completing the double top measured move. 📊 Market Psychology & Price Action Insights The double top pattern reflects a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. The repeated rejection at 164.165 signals a lack of buying strength, increasing the probability of a downward move. The breakdown of the 160.000 neckline confirms that sellers have taken control. The price action also shows a lower-high formation, reinforcing bearish momentum. ✅ Conclusion: Bearish Bias Until 157.200 This setup strongly favors short positions, as long as the price stays below 162.500. A break above 164.165 invalidates the bearish setup, signaling a potential reversal. Until then, the market remains bearish, with TP1 & TP2 as achievable downside targets. 💬 What’s your outlook on EURJPY? Drop your analysis below! 👇
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Ford (NYSE:F) Drop 5%+ as Tariffs Threaten Auto Industry marginsFord Motor Company (NYSE: F) is facing a challenging market environment as its stock price fell 5.27% to $9.61 as of 3:24 PM EDT. This drop comes amid declining sales and the looming threat of new tariffs from the Trump administration. In the last 52 weeks, Ford's stock has traded within a range of $9.06 to $14.85. On Tuesday 1st April, Ford reported a 1.3% decline in total vehicle sales year-over-year, delivering 501,291 vehicles in Q1 2025. Despite this decline, retail sales rose by 5%, with a strong 19% surge in March, signaling that buyers may be accelerating purchases ahead of the impending tariffs. General Motors (GM) posted strong results with a 17% increase in sales, delivering 693,353 vehicles in Q1 2025. The company achieved double-digit growth across all its brands, marking its best first-quarter performance since 2018. While GM shares remained stable, Ford shares saw further declines. Tariffs Add Uncertainty for Automakers The auto industry is preparing for the impact of a 25% tariff on foreign cars and parts. The Trump administration confirmed on Wednesday that his 25% global car and truck tariffs would take effect as scheduled on Thursday and that duties on automotive parts imports will be launched on May 3rd. Although Ford manufactures most of its vehicles in the U.S, many essential parts are imported. Higher production costs could push car prices higher, affecting demand. Ford executives have stated they are assessing the impact of these tariffs on their business operations. Chairman William Clay Ford Jr. assured shareholders that the company is prepared to handle geopolitical uncertainties. Despite this, investor sentiment remains cautious, contributing to the recent stock price decline. Technical Analysis Ford’s stock has been trading within a narrow range of $9 to $10 in the last three months. A strong resistance level at $11, tested several times from August to November 2024, remains unbroken. Since failing to break the resistance level, the stock has since then declined. Currently, the price is testing a double support level at $9 comprising of a horizontal key support and a descending trendline. If this support holds, Ford’s stock may attempt another bull phase toward the $11 resistance level. On the other hand, a break below $9 could push the price lower, with the next potential support level at $8.45. The 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages are positioned above the current Market price, at $9.74, $10.08 and $10.70 respectively. This indicates strong bearish pressure, limiting bullish momentum in the near term. Thoughts Moving Forward With tariffs and the auto industry facing supply chain disruptions, Ford’s stock is likely to remain under pressure. The bearish sentiment could persist in the short term, especially if the price breaks below the key $9 support level. If support holds, Ford could see a short-term bounce toward $11. However, sustained bullish momentum would require strong demand and improved market sentiment. This would be witnessed if its earnings report, set to be released between April 22nd and April 28th, 2025, is favorable. Until then, geopolitical and economic uncertainties weigh on the stock.
NYSE:FLong
by DEXWireNews
Welcome to the real world Uncle Sam!The market can withstand a lot of pressure. It can handle: the dawn of "fake news" and outright "lying" the pollution and "enshitification" of social media imperialist ideas of a Gaza takeover partnering with a Russian totalitarian state overhyping of AI and Nvidia's overpricing populist politics unworldly valuations of tech stocks What it cannot handle is: Upsetting the world order Undermining of NATO, Europe, and allies Starting trade wars with your best friends Establishing tariffs which will harm the US economy I love the US stock market, and US animal spirits, it's the best in the world. But when risk rises, then secure investments like bonds/treasuries become the smart money move. Stocks become "risk off" Risk is rising, tariffs will pressure inflation, inflation kills economies and markets. The European defense industry will benefit, the US consumer will pay higher prices. Higher risk, could mean a lack of confidence, and confidence powers the stock market. Batton Down the Hatches. Trading Note: I sold all my US holdings on Tuesday, at the break of the double top neckline (see chart). My target price is the 2021 high, before the one-year bear market. Its a big drop, I give it a 60-70% chance. RSI & ROC Negative Medium-term divergences Of course this could all change if Trump backtracks on trade wars, tariffs and imperialist rhetoric. But until then, enjoy the ride.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by liberatedstocktrader
11
EURUSD Tests 17-Year Long-Term Trend!!!After Trump announced an additional 20% in tariffs, EURUSD made a relatively surprising move and surged sharply. This marks the second leg of the upward trend that began in early March. However, the sharp rise has now brought EURUSD to the doorstep of a very long-term resistance level. Since testing 1.60 in 2008, EURUSD has been moving lower within a wide descending trend channel that has held for 17 years. Since 2015, the pattern has evolved into a wedge formation within this broader channel. The most recent test of this resistance came last year, but at the time, a weak Eurozone economy, crowded Euro long positions, and a hawkish Fed prevented a breakout. This time, the landscape is different. The Eurozone is showing early signs of recovery, the ECB’s rate cuts appear to be nearing their end, and European countries have started to band together following a decline in confidence in their biggest ally and decide to increase technology, defence spending. Despite these developments, the medium-term effects of the new tariffs and the strength of the long-term resistance level are likely to prevent a clear breakout for now. Still, the long-term outlook is beginning to shift in favor of the euro, and a breakout later this year carries a significant probability.
by ftdsystem
AFCONS INFRASTRUCTURE Upside potential 20 - 40% Afcons Infrastructure Limited is an India-based infrastructure construction company. It is engaged in construction of marine works, highways, bridges, railways, metro works, hydro and underground, water, tunnels, oil & gas, LNG (liquefied natural gas) tanks. Its business includes Marine and Industrial, Surface Transport, Urban Infrastructure, Oil and Gas, and Hydro and Underground. Marine and industrial segment covers project related to ports and harbors jetties, dry docks, wet basins, breakwaters, outfall and intake structure, LNG tanks and material handling systems. Surface and transport segment which covers project like highways and roads, interchanges, mining-related, infrastructure, railways. Urban infrastructure business focusses on metro works, bridges and flyovers. Oil and gas business focusses on offshore oil and gas and onshore oil and gas segments. Hydro and underground business focusses on the dams and barrages, tunnels and underground works and water and irrigation. Reasons to buy: Trading at the support level PE < 40 FII's increased holding from 8.20% to 18.00% in Dec 2024 qtr. Institutional Investors increased holding from 21.45% to 29.12% in Dec 2024 qtr. Profit is increasing EPS increased from ₹12.06 (2023) to ₹13.20 (2024) despite equity dilution.
NSE:AFCONSLong
by Shaiv_Market
The Collaborative Edge: Pfizer's Innovation Secret? Pfizer's success in the biopharmaceutical industry hinges on its internal capabilities and a strategic embrace of external collaboration. This proactive approach, spanning diverse technological frontiers, fuels innovation across its operations. From partnering with QuantumBasel and D-Wave to optimize production planning using quantum annealing, to collaborating with XtalPi to revolutionize drug discovery through AI-powered crystal structure prediction, Pfizer demonstrates the tangible benefits of cross-industry partnerships. These initiatives showcase a commitment to exploring cutting-edge technologies to enhance efficiency and accelerate the identification of promising drug candidates, ultimately improving patient outcomes and strengthening Pfizer's competitive position. The article highlights specific examples of Pfizer's collaborative endeavors. The Pfizer Healthcare Hub in Freiburg acts as a catalyst, connecting internal needs with external innovation. The successful proof of technology in production planning using quantum annealing resulted in significant time and resource savings. Furthermore, the partnership with XtalPi has dramatically reduced the timeframe for determining the 3-D structure of potential drug molecules, enabling faster and more efficient drug screening. These collaborations exemplify Pfizer's strategic focus on leveraging specialized expertise and advanced technologies from external partners to overcome complex challenges in the pharmaceutical value chain. Beyond these specific projects, Pfizer actively engages with the broader quantum computing landscape, recognizing its transformative potential for drug design, clinical studies, and personalized medicine. Collaborations with technology giants like IBM and fellow pharmaceutical companies underscore the industry-wide interest in harnessing the power of quantum computing. While the technology is still in its early stages, Pfizer's proactive participation in this collaborative ecosystem positions it at the forefront of future healthcare breakthroughs. This commitment to synergy, from basic research to market research, underscores a fundamental belief in the power of working together to drive meaningful advancements in the pharmaceutical industry.
NYSE:PFELong
by UDIS_View
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
Can Gold Continue Higher? Last month, I pointed out that Large Speculators started to close out their net-long positions in Gold futures, betting on the possibility of a reversal as they attempted to time the market turn at all-time highs. This behavior continued for several weeks, yet Gold’s price continued its upward rally, leaving many traders scratching their heads. What’s particularly puzzling is the lack of chasing in this rally, especially considering the massive price movement since then. This is particularly surprising because Large Speculators, for the most part, are trend-followers — and right now, the trend in Gold is unmistakably bullish. When comparing positioning in Gold to Silver, there’s a distinct difference. While Large Speculators initially followed the rally in Silver, continuing to buy as Silver lagged behind Gold, this strategy was much more reactive. Silver’s underperformance relative to Gold made sense, given that Silver is more crowded than Gold — meaning there’s less demand and fewer buyers. The key takeaway from this analysis is that the Commitment of Traders (COT) report can offer valuable insights into which market presents the better risk/reward trade. In this case, the COT report highlighted Gold as the superior trend to follow, especially for traders looking to capitalize on precious metals amidst all the tariff news and rising market uncertainty. By using the COT, traders can refine their strategies to focus on trends with more significant potential, rather than getting distracted by more volatile, crowded trades.
COMEX:GC1!
by Crowded_Market_Report
GBPUSD(20250404)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Countermeasures from many countries against the United States - ① It is reported that Europe will slow down the pace of tariff retaliation; EU member states will vote on countermeasures against US steel and aluminum tariffs on April 9; ② ​​Macron said that the response to US tariffs will be larger than before, and called on French companies to suspend investment in the United States. France may plan to impose retaliatory tariffs on large US technology companies. ③ Canadian Prime Minister Carney: Canada will impose a 25% tariff on all cars imported from the United States that do not comply with the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3092 Support and resistance levels 1.3325 1.3238 1.3181 1.3003 1.2946 1.2859 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3181, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3238 If the price breaks through 1.3092, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3003
Long
by BraveTigercat
Gold retreats but remains supported by macro tailwindsXAUUSD pared recent gains following a retreat below the channel's upper bound and resistance at 3150. The price remains in an uptrend, holding above the Ichimoku Cloud and within the ascending channel. However, should the price experience a retracement, a throwback to the 3050 support may occur. Conversely, regaining its bullish momentum and closing above 3150 could prompt a further rise to the following resistance at 3220. Gold pulled back sharply from record highs after Trump's tariffs excluded precious metals, easing immediate supply concerns, but the broader backdrop remains favorable. Central bank buying, expectations of rate cuts, and persistent geopolitical risks underpin demand, even as short-term profit-taking kicks in. While volatility may persist, the metal's role as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty keeps its long-term bullish case intact. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by lixing_gan