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XLM/USD Analysis – Bearish Momentum Builds Below 20-Day EMA XLM has taken a notable hit, with recent price action showing a sharp drop that has dragged the token below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Currently sitting at $0.40, the 20-day EMA now acts as a dynamic resistance level, capping potential upside in the short term. This development signals a clear shift in short-term sentiment. The 20-day EMA, which reflects average pricing over the last 20 sessions with an emphasis on recent moves, typically supports bullish outlooks when the price remains above it. However, XLM's break below this level suggests growing sell-side pressure and a loss of bullish control. With momentum weakening and bearish signals intensifying, traders may want to exercise caution, especially if the price fails to reclaim the EMA in the near term. Further downside could follow if buyers don't step in to reverse the trend.
by BeInCrypto
This Is The Cause Of Shiba Inu Price’s 21% Fall In 10 DaysAt present, BINANCE:SHIBUSDT price is sitting at $0.00001210, down 21% over the last 10 days . The drop in Shiba Inu's price can be traced to a sharp decline in the number of new addresses interacting with the token. In the last 10 days, the number of new addresses has decreased by nearly 40% . This sudden exit of new investors indicates waning confidence in BINANCE:SHIBUSDT price potential, particularly after an extended rally earlier in the year. If this trend continues, BINANCE:SHIBUSDT could lose the critical support level of $0.00001188, pushing the price down to $0.00001141 or potentially lower. However, if SHIB manages to hold onto its $0.00001188 support level, there is a possibility of recovery. A bounce from this level could push BINANCE:SHIBUSDT price up to $0.00001317 . Securing this level as support would create a bullish scenario, invalidating the bearish thesis and offering hope for further price growth in the near future.
by BeInCrypto
Silver under pressure!Silver prices dropped sharply following a sudden plunge of over 20% in U.S. copper futures, triggered by a surprise decision from the Trump administration to cancel import tariffs on refined copper. This move caused turmoil in the markets and impacted related assets such as silver. From a technical perspective, silver is trading in a general downtrend on the 4-hour chart, forming lower lows and lower highs, maintaining a bearish structure. If the price rises to the 37.034 level, it is likely to reverse downward to continue the bearish trend, targeting the 36.45 and 35.60 levels in the medium to long term. However, if the price climbs above 37.26 and closes a 4-hour candle above that level, the bearish scenario would be invalidated, and this breakout could signal a trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
CFI:XAGUSD
by CFI
WTI Crude Oil Technical Outlook – Key Breakout or BreakdownWTI Crude Oil 4-hour chart suggests a potential inflection point after a strong bullish breakout from a larger symmetrical triangle pattern in late July. The price surged past key resistance levels and is now consolidating in a smaller symmetrical triangle formation just below the psychological $70 mark. This indicates a phase of indecision following a strong move, with market participants awaiting further confirmation. Price is currently hovering around $69.82, with key levels marked at $71.03 (resistance) and $69.05 (support). The short-term price action within the tight triangle could determine the next move, with both bullish continuation and bearish reversal scenarios on the table. Prices remain supported by supply concerns after Trump threatened to impose 100% secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian crude and warned China, a major oil consumer of severe penalties if it continues its purchases of Russian oil. 🔍 Potential Scenarios - Bullish Breakout Scenario If price breaks out of the smaller symmetrical triangle to the upside and clears the $70 resistance level with strong momentum, it may quickly test the $71.03 zone. A clean break above $71.03 would confirm the continuation of the previous uptrend, potentially opening room toward $72.50 and beyond in the medium term. The pattern would resemble a bullish pennant — a continuation pattern following the late July rally. -Bearish Rejection and Breakdown Conversely, a failure to sustain above $70 followed by a break below the lower boundary of the smaller triangle could lead to a sharper decline. The first critical level to watch would be $69.05; a break below this would likely invalidate the bullish setup and initiate a retest of the previously broken upper trendline of the larger triangle near $67.50. A further breakdown could lead price towards the larger support zone around $65–$66. 📈 Trend Outlook - Short-Term: Neutral to Bullish — Consolidation in a smaller symmetrical triangle suggests a pause before continuation. However, the structure is still technically bullish unless $69.05 is broken. - Medium-Term: Bullish Bias — The breakout from the large symmetrical triangle in late July indicates a shift in market sentiment, favoring higher prices unless the price fails to hold above $67.50. - Long-Term: Cautiously Bullish — As long as WTI holds above the $65–$66 structural support area, the longer-term outlook remains constructive. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by SibiSh
Why Apple Could Be Entering a Structural Correction🍎📉 Why Apple Could Be Entering a Structural Correction ⚠️🔍 After scanning major tech names today, one stock stood out— for all the wrong reasons : NASDAQ:AAPL . Technically, Apple has broken below long-standing trendline support , and my chart now assigns a 70% probability(roughly guys...roughly and rounded) of further downside vs only 30% upside . But it's not just about the chart... Here’s the macro storm Apple is walking into: 🧭 1. Trade War Revival New tariffs on Chinese electronics could cost Apple up to $1.1B/quarter , even as it tries to diversify production. India and Vietnam are promising, but not mature enough to offset risk. 🤖 2. Lagging in the AI Arms Race While Nvidia, Google, and Microsoft pour $30B+ into AI, Apple is spending less than half that. Analysts weren’t impressed with “Apple Intelligence.” Siri still isn’t leading. 🇨🇳 3. China: Flatlining Growth, Rising Risk ~18% of Apple’s revenue still comes from China. With Huawei resurging and tightening regulations, Apple’s dominance is being chipped away. 🛑 4. Innovation Pipeline: Empty? There’s no iPhone super-cycle ahead. Vision Pro remains niche. Apple now looks like a mature tech stock without a breakout catalyst —risky when valuation is still premium. ⚖️ 5. Legal Pressure on Both Sides of the Atlantic The DOJ and EU are targeting Apple’s App Store dominance. If changes are enforced, the service revenue moat weakens. 🔽 Summary: This Isn’t Panic. It’s Repricing. The market is re-rating Apple based on real structural risks. Downside levels I’m watching: 📉 177.65 (first support) 📉 154.53 (next key level) ❗️134–113 zone if macro pressure escalates Chart = structure. Narrative = pressure. Both are aligned. Let me know your thoughts—still long NASDAQ:AAPL , or hedging this weakness? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by FX_Professor
5
IOTXUSDT🚀 IoTeX (IOTX): A Hidden Gem for Short-Term Gains & Long-Term Growth? Looking for a crypto project with real-world utility and strong upside potential? IoTeX (IOTX)—a decentralized platform powering the Internet of Things (IoT)—might be worth your attention. Why IoTeX? ✔ Innovation Meets IoT: Combines blockchain + IoT for secure, privacy-focused machine-to-machine (M2M) ecosystems. ✔ Partnerships & Adoption: Backed by industry giants (like Samsung) and used in real-world applications (smart devices, DePIN). ✔ Price Potential: Volatility offers short-term trading opportunities, while long-term growth aligns with IoT’s explosive expansion (projected $2.4T market by 2029). 📌 Short-Term: Watch for bullish trends amid crypto market rebounds and project updates. 📌 Long-Term: HODL potential as IoT adoption grows and IoTeX cements its niche.
Long
by mehdi_kb
Rocket Lab Is Up 800%+ in 12 Months. What Does Its Chart Say?Space-services company Rocket Lab NASDAQ:RKLB , which has seen its stock shoot up by more than 75% year to date and 800%+ over the past 12 months, will report its latest quarterly earnings next Thursday. Does RKLB's chart show the company has more altitude to gain ... or will it crash back to Earth? Let's check things out: Rocket Lab's Fundamental Analysis For those of you unfamiliar with RKLB, it's a Long Beach, Calif.-based end-to-end space company. (Full disclosure: I own shares in the name.) Rocket Lab designs and manufactures its own small- and medium-class rockets in order to provide launch services from its sites, which are primarily in Virginia and New Zealand. The company has mostly had commercial customers since its founding, but is starting to get some traction providing these services to the U.S. government for national-security purposes. You might say the firm competes with Tesla chief Elon Musk's privately held SpaceX and Amazon founder Jeff Bezos' private Blue Origin firm, just on a smaller scale. RKLB is set to release Q2 results after the bell on Aug. 7, with the Street looking for a $0.07 adjusted loss per share on $135.3 million of revenue. That would represent a 27.3% revenue gain from the $106.3 million the company took in during the same period last year, although profitability would have eased from the $0.05 adjusted loss per share RKLB posted in Q2 2024. Of the seven sell-side analysts that I found that cover the stock, three have increased their earnings estimates since the quarter began, three have cut their estimates and one has sat on his hands. Notably, Jeff Van Rhee of Craig-Hallum this week initiated Rocket Lab with a "Hold" rating and a $51 target price (vs. the $45.30 the stock was trading at Friday afternoon). Looking further ahead, analysts expect Rocket Lab's revenues to grow 32% for 2025 as a whole, followed by another 56% for all of 2026. As for price action, Rocket Lab's shares have traded more volatilely as the firm approaches its earnings release. After spiking into mid-July on an almost parabolic run, RKLB has recently consolidated with a number of days that saw multi-percentage-point drops. As of Wednesday, options markets were pricing in a 50% likelihood of a move greater than 13%. Rocket Lab's Technical Analysis Now let's look at RKLB's chart going back to December: Readers will note that since Rocket Lab ended its sharp upward run in mid-July, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) has exited overbought territory -- although the RSI still remains healthy. Readers will also see that within the daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (marked "MACD" at the chart's bottom), the histogram of the stock's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted by blue bars) has entered negative territory. That's usually short-term bearish. Meanwhile, Rocket Lab's 12-day EMA (the black line near the chart's bottom) has also crossed below its 26-day EMA (the gold line). This is also traditionally a bearish signal. However, one positive for the RKLB is that the stock appears to have found support in recent days at its 21-day EMA (the green line above). This suggests a willingness of swing traders to support the stock at that line. Still, Rocket Lab's chart is showing what looks like a completed "head-and-shoulders" pattern of bearish reversal at the chart's right (denoted by curving black lines). Should this pattern foretell a sell-off (as the daily MACD seems set up for), Rocket Lab's downside pivot would likely show up as a neckline at around $37 a share. That's well below the $45.30 that RKLB was trading at Friday afternoon. What if Rocket Lab fails to hold its 21-day EMA ($45.90 in the chart above)? In that case, both the 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line) and 200-day SMA (the red line) would have to come into play for the pattern implied here to become fully realized. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long RKLB the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NASDAQ:RKLB
by moomoo
1
Xrp - The final bullish breakout!💰Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) will create new all time highs: 🔎Analysis summary: After a consolidation of an incredible seven years, Xrp is finally about to create new all time highs. With this monthly candle of +40%, bulls are totally taking over control, which means that an altcoin season is likely to happen. And the major winner will simply be our lovely coin of Xrp. 📝Levels to watch: $3.0 🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION SwingTraderPhil
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by basictradingtv
22
Is the uptrend complete? Will there be a pullback?On the last trading day of this week, gold prices soared, rising nearly $56, driven by the non-farm payroll data. The rally began at 3300 and peaked near 3356. The price has now retreated slightly, fluctuating around 3345. The current uptrend has repeatedly tested the resistance level near 3355 but has failed to break through. The RSI indicator hovered around 76.8, indicating a gradual flattening of the upward trend. The 3355 high is likely the end of this uptrend. As this is the last day of a major data week, Quaid believes the current uptrend is complete. Consider a light short position around 3350-3355. The current low has yet to be confirmed, and the pullback is likely to end around 3335. However, we cannot rule out the possibility that the price will remain within the upward channel with slight fluctuations on the last trading day of the week.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
The idea of shorting on rallies below 3315 remains unchanged.Gold remains generally weak, with multiple rebounds showing signs of fatigue. The upward moving average continues to suppress prices, indicating that the bearish trend remains intact, and the short-term market outlook remains bearish. Trading strategies remain bearish today, with a key focus on the 3300-3315 area, a key short-term resistance zone. If the market rebounds before the US market opens and approaches this area, or if a clear topping signal appears near this range, consider entering a short position. Today will see the release of the non-farm payroll data, which may influence the market's trajectory. We recommend prioritizing short-term trading before the release, and reconsidering the market's direction based on market feedback after the release. Structurally, gold continues to exhibit a volatile downward trend, with lower highs and lower lows. Today's low is expected to be lower than yesterday's. Short-term short positions are focused on 3285-3280, with a break below this level potentially allowing for further declines. Please carefully time your entry, strictly implement risk management, and avoid emotional trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade-Daniel
2
GBPUSD: Selling the Retest | Clean Break, Wait for Confirmation🔻 GBPUSD | Sell the Retest of Broken Support Timeframe: 1H Bias: Bearish Type: Break and Retest 📊 Technical Setup GBPUSD has broken a key 4H support zone (~1.3460–1.3494) which now acts as a turncoat resistance. Price is currently pulling back, offering a prime opportunity to sell the retest. • Entry: 1.3460–1.3490 (after confirmation of rejection) • SL: Above 1.3508 • TP: 1.3398 • RR: ~1:2 • RSI: Bearish momentum, RSI < 50 with mild recovery—ideal for a fade trade 📉 Macro & Fundamental Confluence • GBP: Despite hawkish BOE tone, GBP is showing technical weakness and soft CFTC positioning • USD: Strong macro bias with rising conditional score and delayed Fed cuts (still supporting USD strength) • Seasonal Bias: GBPUSD marked bearish in seasonal chart • COT Data: GBP positioning turning bearish after previous net build-up 🧭 Gameplan “Wait for the retest of broken support-turned-resistance to reject before entering short. Stick to the zone.” 🔔 Set alerts around 1.3460–1.3490 and monitor for bearish engulfing or pinbar confirmation.
Short
by wajahatarif
How to accurately grasp the gold trading opportunitiesGold was greatly affected by the positive non-farm payroll data, and it rose strongly, with the increase completely covering all the losses this week. The current gold trend has completely reversed the previous bull-short balance. After breaking through the 3300 level and rising to around 3355, it maintains strong upward momentum, and the possibility of further testing the 3360-3375 area cannot be ruled out. Due to the strong positive data, if everyone fails to chase the long position or set a breakout long position in time in the first wave of the market, the subsequent pullback opportunities may be relatively limited, so it is necessary to maintain an active strategy in operation. It is recommended to continue to be bullish when it retreats to the 3335-3320 area, and the upper target is the 3360-3375 pressure range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
BTCUSD – Bullish Recovery Setup Forming Near Trendline Support🧠 Market Structure & Technical Breakdown The BTCUSD 4H chart showcases a well-formed descending triangle or falling wedge structure with clearly respected major and minor descending trendlines. Currently, price action is testing a dynamic support zone, highlighted in green, which has been a strong reaction area in the past. This area aligns with a bullish accumulation zone, from which buyers have previously stepped in to initiate impulsive moves. Given the confluence of diagonal support and horizontal price reactions, we may be on the verge of a bullish breakout opportunity. 📍 Key Zones & Trendlines ✅ Green Support Channel (Demand Zone): Acting as a key pivot for multiple recent rejections, this area (~114,000–113,000) is now being revisited again, offering potential buy interest. 📉 Minor Trendline: A short-term descending resistance around 120,000—likely the first barrier in case of a bounce. 📉 Major Trendline: A more extended dynamic resistance line connecting swing highs, currently intersecting near the 124,000 region. 🔄 Potential Price Scenarios Primary Bullish Setup (MMC Plan): Price bounces off the green demand zone. Breaks above the minor trendline (~120K). Pullback retest to confirm breakout. Continuation toward the major breakout level (~124K and beyond). Invalidation / Bearish Case: A clean breakdown below 113,000 with strong bearish momentum would negate this setup, likely targeting the psychological support near 110,000. 🧠 MMC Mindset: Trade with Patience & Confluence This is a classic accumulation-to-breakout scenario. Smart traders wait for confirmation—especially as BTC often exhibits false breakdowns before a major move. Monitor candle behavior, volume, and reaction to the minor trendline. Let the market show signs of strength (like bullish engulfing, pin bars, or a breakout-retest) before committing to the upside. Avoid FOMO; the key is discipline and precision entry at structural break points. ✅ Trade Plan Summary: Watch zone: 113,000–114,500 for bullish price action Breakout level: Minor trendline (~120,000) Target zone: 123,500–124,000 (Major resistance) Stop-loss idea: Below 112,800 (Invalidation of structure)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
NFP Miss Implications: Recession Signal or Rate Cut CatalystCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! Happy Friday, folks! Today is the first Friday of August, and that means the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers came in at 7.30 am CT. US Non-Farm Payrolls (Jul) 73.0k vs. Exp. 110.0k (Prev. 147.0k, Rev. 14k); two-month net revisions: -258k (prev. +16k). Other key labor market indicators were as follows: • US Unemployment Rate (Jul) 4.2% vs. Exp. 4.2% (Prev. 4.1%) • US Average Earnings MM (Jul) 0.3% vs. Exp. 0.3% (Prev. 0.2%) • US Average Earnings YY (Jul) 3.9% vs. Exp. 3.8% (Prev. 3.7%, Rev. 3.8%) • US Labor Force Particle (Jul) 62.2% (Prev. 62.3%) Data and Key Events Recap: What a year this week has been! It's been packed with high-impact economic data and pivotal central bank decisions, especially from the Federal Reserve. On top of that, trade and tariff announcements have dominated the headline. U.S. economic data this week was broadly strong. Second-quarter GDP came in at 3.0%, beating expectations and signaling solid growth. The ADP employment report also surprised to the upside, printing 104K vs. the 77K forecast. Consumer confidence showed resilience as well, with the Conference Board’s reading rising to 97.2. Inflation data was mixed but mostly in line. Core PCE for June rose 0.3% MoM, while the YoY reading ticked up to 2.8%, slightly above the expected 2.7%. The broader PCE Price Index also came in at 0.3% MoM, with a YoY print of 2.6%, slightly higher than forecast. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 4.25% – 4.50%. Notably, Governors Waller and Bowman dissented, favoring a 25-basis-point rate cut as expected, however, marking the first dual dissent by governors since 1993. Changes to the FOMC Statement included a downgraded assessment of economic growth, reflecting slower real consumer spending. The Committee reiterated that uncertainty around the economic outlook remains elevated. It maintained its view of the labor market as "solid" and inflation as "somewhat elevated." Forward guidance remained unchanged, emphasizing the Fed’s readiness to adjust policy as necessary while continuing to monitor risks to both sides of its dual mandate. Here’s a summary of key points from the FOMC press conference: • On current policy stance: “We decided to leave our policy rate where it’s been, which I would characterize as modestly restrictive. Inflation is running a bit above 2%... even excluding tariff effects. The labor market is solid, financial conditions are accommodative, and the economy is not performing as if restrictive policy is holding it back.” Chair Powell commented on the need to see more data to help inform Fed’s assessment of the balance of risks and appropriate Fed Funds rate. • On labor market risks: “By many statistics, the labor market is still in balance... You do see a slowing in job creation, but also a slowing in the supply of workers. That’s why the unemployment rate has remained roughly stable.” • On inflation and tariffs: “It’s possible that tariff-related inflationary effects could be short-lived, but they may also prove persistent. We’re seeing substantial tariff revenue—around $30 billion a month—starting to show up in consumer prices. Companies intend to pass it on to consumers, but many may not be able to. We’ll need to watch and learn how this unfolds over time.” Trade Headlines: US President Trump announced tariffs on countries ranging from 10%-41%. Average US tariff rate now at 15.2% (prev. 13.3%; 2.3% pre-Trump), according to Bloomberg. US officials said that if the US has a surplus with a country, the tariff rate is 10% and small deficit nations have a 15% tariff, US officials said they are still working out technicalities of rules of origin terms for transshipment and will implement rules of origin details in the coming weeks. No details on Russian oil import penalty. Sectoral Tariffs White House said new reciprocal tariff rates take effect on Friday. Although Canada’s tariffs were increased to 35%, excluding USMCA goods, the effective rate is only 5%. The economic data is showing strength, on the contrary, tariffs announcements for most countries have now been announced. Investors need to consider that tariffs are not just a tool to reduce trade deficit, it is also a geopolitical tool presently being used to shape alliances. The US wants to soften BRICS, China and Russian influence on the world stage. Key to note is that these tariffs are substantially lower than what was announced on April 2nd, 2025. The key question now remains, do participants buy the dip or ‘sell the fact’ is the current playbook? Market Implications Given the prior revisions in NFP data of -258K, July’s payroll came in at 73K, missing forecasts of 110K. What does this mean for markets? Markets are now pricing in 75% chance of a September rate cut. Prior revisions along with the current job market slowing down imply that risks to the downside are substantially increasing. Fed’s current policy is not just moderately restrictive but rather it may likely tip the US into a recession if Fed Funds rates remain elevated. The Chair asked to see more data, and here it is but I do wonder why they did not take this data into account for the July meeting. Surely, it would have been available to them. Another question to ask would be, is it due to defiance of rate cut calls by the US administration? Is the Fed already behind the curve? Fed’s dual mandate targets inflation and maximum employment. While inflation is sticky, the Fed may need to abandon their 2% mandate in favor of average inflation of 2.5% to 3%. A less restrictive policy will provide needed stimulus along with the fiscal stimulus provided via the BBB bill. This drastically changes, in our analysis, how investors position themselves heading into the remainder of the year. Markets (equities) may retrace slightly but the dip in our opinion will still be the play given weaker labor market data and increased rate cut bets. The bad news here means that the Fed has the data it wants to see to start cutting. Market pricing in 2 cuts seems to be the way forward for now.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by EdgeClear
GOLD falls sharply, fundamental analysis and technical positionOANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply below the $3,300/oz price level as Chairman Jerome Powell did not signal any rate cuts at his next press conference on September 16-17. He only said that “no decision has been made on September” and that “more data will be evaluated in the coming months.” Economic data undermined the case for a rate cut, while geopolitical play remained a potential support. The Fed and Interest Rates The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged for a fifth straight meeting on Wednesday, defying persistent pressure from President Donald Trump and White House officials. However, two members of the central bank's board dissented, a rare move in three decades that underscored growing divisions within the central bank over the impact of Trump's tariff policies. At the meeting, the Fed kept its benchmark federal funds rate in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, in line with policy through 2025. Last fall, the Fed cut rates by a total of 100 basis points. However, Federal Reserve Board Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman opposed cutting interest rates by another 25 basis points, marking the first time since Alan Greenspan in 1993 that two board members have opposed a majority resolution at a meeting. At the press conference, Chairman Jerome Powell did not signal a rate cut at the next interest rate meeting on September 16-17, saying only that “no decision has been made about September” and that “more data will be evaluated in the coming months.” Powell also noted that despite Trump’s call for a sharp 3% rate cut to reduce interest costs on US debt and stimulate the housing market, the Fed will continue to monitor the longer-term impact of tariffs on the path of inflation and economic recovery. Market expectations for a Fed rate cut in September fell to 47% in Powell's speech. Economic data ADP jobs data beats expectations and is bearish US ADP payrolls jumped 104,000 in July, beating market expectations of 75,000 and marking the biggest gain since March. The data showed continued strength in the labor market, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s stance on keeping interest rates high. Meanwhile, the preliminary estimate of annual GDP growth in the second quarter came in at 3% (2.4% expected), and the core personal consumption expenditures price index rose 2.5% year-on-year (2.3% expected), indicating both economic resilience and inflation stability, further weakening expectations for a rate cut. Keep an eye on the ISM manufacturing PMI and non-farm payrolls data on August 1. If the jobs numbers continue to be strong, this could reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance. Geopolitical and Policy Plays News of a 90-day extension of the US-China tariff deal has eased some safe-haven demand, but Trump’s August 8 deadline for a new Russia-Ukraine deal, coupled with tensions in the Middle East, continue to provide potential support for gold. Continued purchases by central banks (such as China and India) are a positive signal in the medium to long term, but are unlikely to offset short-term pressure from the Federal Reserve’s policies. Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has been sold below the $3,300 level and now the $3,300 level has become the nearest resistance at present. For now, gold will be limited by the area of ​​the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement with the original price point of $3,300, along with that it has formed a short-term downtrend with the price channel, the next target will be around $3,246 in the short term followed by the Fibonacci retracement level noted with readers in previous publications. On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index is operating below 50 and is far from the oversold zone (20-0), indicating that there is still plenty of room for downside ahead. In addition, the gold trend will also be pressured by the EMA21, as long as gold remains below the EMA21, the current technical conditions continue to favor the downside. For the day, the technical outlook for gold is bearish with notable positions listed as follows. Support: 3,246 – 3,228 USD Resistance: 3,300 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3345 - 3343⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3349 →Take Profit 1 3337 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3331 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3240 - 3242⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3236 →Take Profit 1 3248 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3254
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
3
Gold: Are the Bulls Still Behind It?Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Fundamental Analysis In 2025, gold has appreciated around 27% year-to-date, reaching a peak of 33.37% at the end of April, driven by structural factors. Its strength is based on global de-dollarization, central bank purchases, persistent inflation, and expectations of real rate cuts in the U.S. Since real interest rates peaked in July 2023, gold has risen 74%, reinforcing its role as a hedge against monetary policy. In addition, countries like China and Russia continue to accumulate gold as protection against the dollar and potential sanctions, supporting long-term structural demand. Diversifying with physical and financial gold (ETFs, mining stocks) is an increasingly common strategy in an environment of high debt, geopolitical tensions, and doubts about traditional safe-haven assets. A suggested allocation in a classic model portfolio could range between 10% and 25%, depending on the risk profile, in a typical equity-focused investment portfolio. Technical Analysis From a technical standpoint, gold has completed a long-term “cup with handle” formation that began in 2012, with an upside projection toward the $4,000 per ounce area. This pattern supports the continuation of its long-term upward structure. In the short term, however, the price is in a consolidation phase after reaching all-time highs of $3,499.94 at the end of April. Since then, the lateral movement suggests a pause within the primary trend. Technical indicators are showing mixed signals: RSI and MACD are pointing toward a possible oversold condition, suggesting a risk of short-term correction. Additionally, a bearish crossover between the 50-day and 100-day moving averages may reinforce selling pressure. If this corrective scenario unfolds, gold could retrace toward a key support zone around $3,140, a level that has served as the base of the current range and where renewed buying interest could emerge. Despite a possible pullback, the broader technical outlook remains constructive. Any correction would likely present tactical opportunities to re-enter the market—especially if expectations of real rate cuts or global geopolitical tensions persist. Gold Consolidates After Highs All in all, despite potential short-term pullbacks, gold continues to offer value as a tool for diversification, wealth protection, and a hedge against systemic risks. Its inclusion in portfolios remains relevant, even at current levels. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
ACTIVTRADES:GOLDLong
by ActivTrades
What To Expect From XRP In August 2025?Currently, BINANCE:XRPUSDT is trading at $2.99, slipping through the key support level of $3.00. While the altcoin is still over 22% away from its ATH of $3.66 , the foundation for potential growth remains strong. Historical data has shown that August typically brings bearish momentum for BINANCE:XRPUSDT , with median monthly returns of -6% . However, given the strong buying activity observed recently and the positive technical indicators, this August might defy the usual trend. If BINANCE:XRPUSDT manages to secure support above $3.41, the altcoin could push towards its ATH once again . Alexis Sirkia, Captain at Yellow Network, discussed with BeInCrypto how XRP’s future could be looking like. “Institutions that have been in the market for a while are gaining momentum. We're also, in the meanwhile, in a macro environment where funds are doing risk rotation… BINANCE:XRPUSDT is taking its stand with regulation and infrastructure, not hype. That's what will endure in the long run. Short-term flows are fleeting, but the groundwork laid today will define the cycle to follow.” However, there’s a downside risk. If BINANCE:XRPUSDT fails to reclaim the $3.00 support, the price could fall to $2.65, invalidating the bullish thesis. A drop to this level would mark a four-week low and would likely lead to further selling pressure.
by BeInCrypto
Gold is significantly bullish, where can we short?The positive non-farm payroll report pushed the market from 3300 directly above 3330, demonstrating overall bullish momentum. Congratulations again, everyone. Real-time strategies are like a beacon guiding your investment journey. The market will never disappoint those who persevere and explore wisely. Charlie advises against blindly chasing highs. Trading advice (first hit is valid): Focus on key support levels: 3300 and 3310. Go long if these levels are reached. ~For those who want to go short above 3350-55, only use a stop-loss and feel free to try~ PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst