Is the Euro's Stability a Mirage?The Euro Currency Index stands at a crossroads, its future clouded by a confluence of political, economic, and social forces that threaten to unravel the very fabric of Europe. Rising nationalism, fueled by demographic shifts and economic fragility, is driving political instability across the continent. This unrest, particularly in economic powerhouses like Germany, triggers capital flight and erodes investor confidence. Meanwhile, geopolitical realignments—most notably the U.S.'s strategic pivot away from Europe—are weakening the euro's global standing. As these forces converge, the eurozone's once-solid foundation appears increasingly fragile, raising a critical question: is the stability of the euro merely an illusion?
Beneath the surface, deeper threats loom. Europe's aging population and shrinking workforce exacerbate economic stagnation, while the European Union's cohesion is tested by fragmentation risks, from Brexit's lingering effects to Italy's debt woes. These challenges are not isolated; they feed into a cycle of uncertainty that could destabilize financial markets and undermine the euro's value. Yet, history reminds us that Europe has weathered storms before. Its ability to adapt—through political unity, economic reform, and innovation—could determine whether the euro emerges stronger or succumbs to the pressures mounting against it.
The path forward is fraught with complexity, but it also presents an opportunity. Will Europe confront its demographic and political challenges head-on, or will it allow hidden vulnerabilities to dictate its fate? The answer may reshape not only the euro's trajectory but the future of global finance itself. As investors, policymakers, and citizens watch this drama unfold, one thing is clear: the euro's story is far from over, and its next chapter demands bold vision and decisive action. What do you see in the shadows of this unfolding crisis?
Fundamental Analysis
ETFs vs Mutual Funds: Differences and Advantages ETFs vs Mutual Funds: Differences and Advantages
Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and mutual funds are two of the most popular investment options, each offering unique features and advantages. While both provide access to diversified portfolios, their differences in structure, management, and trading make them suitable for different strategies. This article breaks down the key distinctions between exchange-traded funds vs mutual funds and how to choose between them.
What Are ETFs?
Exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, are investment vehicles that allow traders to access a diverse range of assets through a single product. An ETF is essentially a basket of investments—such as stocks, bonds, or commodities—that typically tracks the performance of an index, sector, or specific theme. For example, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) follows the S&P 500 index, providing exposure to the largest companies listed on US stock exchanges.
What sets ETFs apart is how they’re traded. Unlike mutual funds, which are only bought or sold at the end of the trading day, ETFs trade on stock exchanges throughout the day, just like individual shares. This means their prices fluctuate as demand and supply change, giving traders the flexibility to enter or exit positions at market prices.
ETFs are known for their cost-effectiveness, as most are passively managed to mirror the performance of an index rather than exceed it. This passive structure usually leads to lower management fees compared to actively managed funds. Additionally, ETFs are often transparent, with their holdings disclosed daily, so investors know exactly what they’re buying.
ETFs come in various types, from those focused on specific sectors, like technology or healthcare, to broader options covering entire economies or bond markets. This variety makes them a popular choice for traders and investors looking to diversify or target specific market opportunities.
What Are Mutual Funds?
Mutual funds are investment products that pool money from multiple investors to create a diversified portfolio, typically managed by a professional fund manager. These funds invest in a wide range of assets, including stocks, bonds, and other securities, depending on the fund’s objective. For instance, an equity mutual fund focuses on stocks, while a bond fund invests primarily in fixed-income securities.
One defining feature of mutual funds is their pricing. Unlike ETFs, mutual funds aren’t traded on stock exchanges. Instead, they are bought and sold at the fund’s net asset value (NAV), which is calculated at the end of each trading day. This makes them more suited to long-term investment strategies.
Mutual funds often appeal to investors looking for a hands-off approach. The fund manager handles the selection and management of assets, aiming to achieve the fund’s stated goals—whether that’s generating income, preserving capital, or achieving long-term growth.
However, this active management comes with higher fees compared to ETFs. These costs include management fees and sometimes additional charges like entry or exit loads, which can eat into returns over time.
Mutual funds also often require a minimum investment, making them less accessible for some investors. That said, they offer a wide variety of options, from sector-specific funds to diversified portfolios, providing flexibility for different investment goals and risk preferences.
Are There Differences Between an ETF and a Mutual Fund?
ETFs and mutual funds share similarities—they both allow investors to pool money into diversified portfolios. However, the differences between ETFs and mutual funds can significantly impact which one is better suited to an investor’s goals.
Trading and Pricing
ETFs are traded on stock exchanges continuously during market hours, similar to individual shares. Price fluctuations are based on market demand and supply. In contrast, mutual funds are priced only once per day after the market closes, based on the fund’s net asset value (NAV). This makes ETFs more appealing for those seeking flexibility and the ability to react to market movements, while mutual funds cater to long-term investors less concerned with intraday price changes.
Management Style
ETFs are mostly passively managed, designed to track the performance of a specific index, sector, or asset class. Mutual funds, on the other hand, often feature active management. This involves fund managers selecting assets to outperform the market, which can offer potential opportunities for higher returns but also comes with increased costs.
Fees and Costs
ETFs typically come with a lower expense ratio compared to mutual funds, making them more cost-efficient. This is due to their passive management approach and lower operational costs. Mutual funds may charge higher fees to cover active management and administrative expenses. Additionally, mutual funds may have extra costs like sales charges or redemption fees, whereas ETFs incur standard brokerage commissions.
Liquidity
When considering mutual funds versus ETFs, liquidity becomes a critical factor, as ETF prices change intraday, while mutual funds are limited to end-of-day pricing. This difference can influence how quickly you can access your funds.
Tax Efficiency
ETFs tend to be more tax-efficient because of their structure. When investors sell ETF shares, transactions occur directly between buyers and sellers on the exchange, limiting taxable events. In mutual funds, redemptions often require the fund manager to sell securities, which can result in capital gains distributed to all investors in the fund.
Minimum Investment
Mutual funds often require a minimum initial investment, which can range from a few hundred to thousands of dollars. ETFs, however, don’t have such requirements—traders can purchase as little as a single share, making them more accessible for those with smaller starting capital.
ETF CFD Trading
ETF CFD trading offers a flexible way for traders to speculate on the price movements of exchange-traded funds without the need to buy them on stock exchanges. CFDs, or Contracts for Difference, are derivative products that track the price of an ETF, allowing traders to take positions on whether the price will rise or fall. This approach is particularly appealing for short-term speculation, making it a useful complement to traditional long-term ETF or mutual fund investing.
Flexibility
One of the standout features of ETF CFDs is their flexibility. Unlike investing directly in ETFs, CFD trading enables you to capitalise on price fluctuations without owning ETF shares. Traders can go long if they anticipate a rise in the ETF’s value or short if they expect a decline. This ability to trade in both directions can potentially create opportunities in both bullish and bearish markets. Moreover, CFDs allow for trading over shorter timeframes like 1-minute or 5-minute charts, providing potential opportunities for scalpers and day traders.
Leverage
Leverage is another significant feature of ETF CFDs. With leverage, traders can gain larger exposure to an ETF’s price movements with smaller initial capital. For example, using 5:1 leverage, a $1,000 position would control $5,000 worth of ETF exposure. However, you should remember that while this magnifies potential returns, losses are also amplified, making risk management a critical component of trading CFD products.
Costs
Actively managed ETFs can charge expense ratios to cover management and operational costs. CFDs eliminate these fees, as traders don’t directly invest in the ETF’s assets. However, both ETF investing and ETF CFD trading include brokerage fees or spreads.
Wider Range of Markets
With CFDs, traders can access a variety of global ETF markets through a single platform. This reduces the need to open accounts in different jurisdictions, saving on administrative and currency conversion costs.
CFD trading is popular among traders who want to take advantage of short-term price movements, diversify their strategies, or access ETF markets straightforwardly. While traditional ETFs are often favoured for long-term growth, ETF CFDs provide an active, fast-paced alternative for traders looking to react quickly to market changes.
Use Cases for ETFs and Mutual Funds
In comparing ETFs vs mutual funds, it’s important to recognise their use cases based on an investor’s goals, strategies, and time horizons.
ETFs
ETFs are used by investors seeking flexibility and real-time market engagement. They are attractive for those who want to take advantage of price movements or actively manage their portfolios. For example, an investor might focus on sector-specific ETFs, like technology or energy, to capitalise on industry trends. ETFs also offer a lower-cost option for diversification, making them useful for those building broad exposure across markets without significant capital.
Additionally, ETFs may be effective for hedging. An investor with exposure to a specific market segment can use an ETF to potentially offset risks, especially in volatile markets. For instance, during an anticipated downturn in equities, an inverse ETF could be used to possibly mitigate losses.
Mutual Funds
Mutual funds are popular among long-term investors prioritising professional management. Their hands-off approach makes them appealing to individuals who prefer not to monitor markets daily. For instance, someone saving for retirement might opt for a diversified mutual fund that balances risk and growth over time.
Mutual funds are also advantageous for accessing specialised strategies, such as actively managed funds focusing on niche markets or themes. While they typically involve higher fees, the tailored management can align with specific financial objectives.
Factors for Choosing Between ETFs and Mutual Funds
Selecting between mutual funds vs ETF options depends on an investor’s financial goals, trading style, and the level of involvement they are comfortable with in managing their investments.
- Time Horizon: ETFs are popular among short- to medium-term investors and traders who prefer flexibility and the ability to follow intraday price movement. Mutual funds, on the other hand, are mostly used by long-term investors focused on gradual growth or income over time.
- Cost Sensitivity: ETFs generally have lower expense ratios and no minimum investment requirements, making them cost-efficient. Mutual funds often involve higher management fees and, in some cases, additional charges like entry or exit fees, which can add up over time.
- Active vs Passive Management: If you’re looking for a hands-off approach with professional oversight, actively managed mutual funds might be more appealing. However, if you prefer to track indices or specific sectors at a lower cost, ETFs might be more suitable.
- Liquidity Needs: Investors who need quick access to their capital often prefer ETFs because they can be traded throughout the day. Mutual funds lack this intraday liquidity, as transactions are only processed at the trading day’s end.
The Bottom Line
Understanding the differences between mutual funds vs exchange-traded funds is crucial for selecting the right investment approach. ETFs offer flexibility and cost-efficiency, while mutual funds are popular among long-term investors seeking professional management. For those interested in ETF CFD trading, which allows traders trade in rising and falling markets, opening an FXOpen account provides access to a diverse range of ETF markets alongside competitive trading conditions.
FAQ
What Is an ETF vs Mutual Fund?
An ETF is a fund traded on stock exchanges, offering intraday liquidity and lower fees, typically tracking an index or sector. A mutual fund pools investor money for professional management, priced once at the end of a trading day at its net asset value per share.
Mutual Funds and ETFs: Differences
ETFs trade like stocks, are generally more cost-efficient, and offer intraday liquidity. Mutual funds are actively managed, have higher fees, and are designed for long-term investing with end-of-day pricing.
Is the S&P 500 an ETF or a Mutual Fund?
The S&P 500 itself is an index, not a fund. However, it can be tracked by both ETFs (like SPDR S&P 500 ETF) and mutual funds, offering similar exposure but with differing management styles and fee structures.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
ADA Poised for a Bullish Breakout? Key Levels to Watch!🔹 Current Market Structure: #ADA is moving sideways in an accumulation phase on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating potential strength for an upcoming bullish move.
🔹 Bullish Confirmation:
We are closely monitoring a breakout above the resistance level. A confirmed candle close above the accumulation zone with a successful retest would signal a strong buy opportunity.
🔹 Trading Plan:
🔹 Wait for a break and retest above the resistance.
🔹 Enter a long trade with proper risk management.
🔹 Target key resistance zones for potential profits.
🔹 What’s Your Take? Will #ADA break out or get rejected? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
🔹 Like, Comment & Follow for more real-time updates!
Osaka Protocol ($OSAK) Gears Up for a Surge!$OSAK has broken out of a falling wedge pattern, climbing 5% today, signaling potential upside momentum. The decentralized finance initiative, which emphasizes equal ownership and responsibility, once soared to nearly $300M market cap before retracing to its current $44M valuation.
With growing momentum and rising hype, RSI at 65 hints at further bullish movement. Since late February 2025, $OSAK has been in a falling wedge, mirroring the broader market downturn, shedding 71% of its value—but this breakout could mark a turning point.
Osaka Protocol Price Live Data
The live Osaka Protocol price today is $0.00000006.04 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $73,505.72 USD. Osaka Protocol is up 5.79% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $45,315,303 USD. It has a circulating supply of 750,869,738,630,302 OSAK coins and a max. supply of 1,000,000,000,000,000 OSAK coins.
The impact of Trump's tariffs on the copper marketBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
The copper market is going through a decisive phase, influenced by political and economic factors that could alter its behavior in the coming months. The return of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency and his reactivation of tariff policies has generated expectations of a new record in the price of the red metal since the beginning of the year. Executives of the copper sector indicated at that time that its value could exceed 13,000 dollars per ton (approximately 404.35 dollars per ounce). One troy ounce is equivalent to 31.1034768 grams; therefore, there are 32.15074657 troy ounces in 1 kg. This means that the value of copper is multiplied by 32.1 times, a level that was already surpassed on Tuesday with its current price at 517 dollars per ounce.
United States accumulates copper while China suffers shortages
Trade tensions have led to a redistribution of global supply. It is estimated that 500,000 tons are being diverted to the U.S., which is drastically reducing stocks in China, the world's largest consumer. This supply imbalance could put further pressure on prices.
Factors driving the rise in copper prices
1. Electrification and renewable energies: The growing adoption of electric vehicles and the expansion of electric infrastructures increase the demand for copper.
2. Production constraints: Chile and Peru, the world's leading producers, face disruptions due to labor disputes, environmental regulations and lower investment in mining infrastructure.
3. U.S. trade policy: Tighter tariffs have encouraged the accumulation of reserves in the U.S. and other countries, further restricting global supply and putting upward pressure on prices.
4. Restrictions on the export of scrap from the EU: The European Union is evaluating the implementation of tariffs on the export of scrap, which could impact the supply of raw material for the production of refined copper. This measure seeks to strengthen the domestic industry and reduce dependence on third countries, but could also affect the global supply of the metal.
5. Geopolitical instability: International conflicts, trade sanctions and changes in central banks' monetary policies influence copper prices. Industrial demand from China continues to be a determining factor in the market equation.
Copper price outlook
In 2021, the metal reached an all-time high of $10,700 per tonne at $505 per ounce. Now, with the combination of growing demand and increasingly tight supply, the market could surpass this level. The evolution of trade policies and China's response will be decisive in its trajectory. Looking at the chart, it reached a new high of $518.45 on Monday. The current price oscillates between $510 and $512, showing an accumulation structure by institutional traders initiated in the last impulse of March 11. The control point (POC) is distant at around $477 per ounce, and the volume distribution shows a third dominance zone near $512. Since March 11, the golden crossover of the moving averages has facilitated bullish expansion, although the 50-average has brushed the 100-average on several occasions. Currently, both averages are in price confluence, which coincides with an RSI that has corrected from 71.84% to 54.40%. This movement could indicate the possibility of a new upward momentum that takes the price above $535.
Impact of tariff measures on the industry.
If Trump ultimately ends up implementing new tariffs on industrial metals, it could drastically alter the flow of global copper trade. Tariffs on imports could incentivize domestic copper mining in the U.S. and raise costs for importers, affecting the competitiveness of manufacturing companies. On the other hand, China may be forced to diversify its sources of supply or develop technological alternatives to reduce its dependence on imported copper.
In addition, restrictions on the export of scrap by the European Union could influence the availability of recycled copper, a key source for industrial production in China and other markets. The EU seeks to reduce the leakage of strategic materials, which could lead to higher prices on the international market for all rare metals and materials.
Conclusion
Copper is at a turning point. The combination of production restrictions, increased global demand and protectionist policies could push its price to record levels. The evolution of the geopolitical and economic context will be key to define the direction of the market in the coming months. Investors and companies in the sector will have to pay close attention to the evolution of trade policies and the response of the main market players in order to anticipate possible movements in copper prices.
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
How to Track Inflation NumberHow to track inflation number?
When the Fed mentions their 2% inflation target, are they referring to the commonly published CPI that we often read about, or are they referring to Core CPI or Core PCE?
10-Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 10Y
Minimum fluctuation:
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
Exact Entry: $3,020–$3,021📌 Market Overview (Institutional Precision):
💲 Current Price: $3,018.35
🚀 High of the Day: $3,021.13
🛑 Major Resistance (R3): $3,025 – $3,026 (Strong Order Block Zone)
📉 Pivot Point: $3,016.04 (Recent significant support/resistance flip)
📉 Recently Broken Resistance (now Support): $3,016.00 (key short-term support)
📊 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): ~$3,011.50 area (maintaining bullish short-term momentum)
🔻 Psychological Support (S1): $3,010.00
🔍 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity:
📊 Liquidity Map:
Strong liquidity and major sell orders clustered around the $3,025–$3,026 area. Institutions are likely defending this zone aggressively.
Buy-side liquidity pools evident at $3,010–$3,006, suggesting institutions might drive price towards this area for liquidity sweeps before another rally.
🏦 Market Makers' Moves:
Currently engineering price action to lure retail buyers near the equilibrium and preparing a potential liquidity sweep above $3,021 to trap late buyers before pushing down again.
📈 COT Data Insight:
Current institutional positioning remains cautiously bearish in short-term, with recent distribution in higher zones ($3,025–$3,035). Institutions seem to prefer selling on rallies rather than buying aggressively here.
📉 Recent Headlines Impact on XAU/USD:
U.S. Economic Data & Fed Impact:
Mixed U.S. economic data suggesting uncertainty on Fed’s future interest rate cuts. A neutral to slightly hawkish stance could pressure gold slightly downward.
No immediate aggressive Fed rate cuts are expected; this limits upside momentum for gold temporarily.
Market Sentiment:
Currently mixed sentiment: neither clearly risk-on nor fully risk-off. This indecisiveness is creating range-bound volatility rather than sustained trending moves in gold.
Geopolitical Developments:
Moderate uncertainty persists globally, providing background support for gold, but not strong enough to fuel significant bullish momentum at current prices.
Overall News Impact:
Slightly neutral to bearish short-term impact on gold. Institutional preference currently leans toward distribution at recent highs rather than aggressive accumulation.
✅ Key Technical Indicators (Precision Setup):
✔️ Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
Key Retracement Resistance at 50%–61.8% ($3,021–$3,026) from recent down-swing. Price currently testing this crucial level.
✔️ Moving Averages (50 EMA & 200 EMA):
Price remains slightly above the 50 EMA (bullish short-term momentum), but far below critical high resistance zones. Bearish structure on higher timeframes (4H) is clear.
✔️ RSI (7):
Approaching overbought territory on short-term charts, signaling potential exhaustion in current bullish momentum.
✔️ VWAP:
Currently around $3,016 (Pivot Point), institutional price magnet area for potential retest.
✔️ MACD:
Slight bearish crossover signals emerging, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
📈 Deep Technical Analysis & Execution:
⚡ Momentum Divergence (RSI & MACD):
Recent candle patterns on 15-min and 1-hour charts show weakening bullish momentum, creating bearish divergence signals.
📊 Volume Analysis:
The recent bullish candles show declining volume; buying pressure seems to be fading as the price approaches strong institutional resistance.
📉 Order Flow Dynamics:
The presence of a strong Point of Control (POC) at $3,023.00–$3,025.00 suggests heavy selling orders waiting at these premium price levels.
📢 Final Institutional Verdict & Best Trade Setup:
🔴 SELL (High-Confidence, Institutional-Grade Setup)
🎯 Ideal SELL Entry:
$3,020–$3,021 (Premium institutional zone, optimal short entry on retest)
🛡️ Stop-Loss (SL):
$3,026.50 (Tight stop above major liquidity pool, ensuring minimal risk exposure)
📉 Take-Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1: $3,011 (Immediate liquidity zone & strong short-term support)
TP2: $3,006 (Extended institutional liquidity grab area for larger profit potential)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio:
Excellent R:R of approximately 3:1 to 4:1, satisfying strict institutional-grade risk management.
📌 Trade Probability:
Confidence level: 75%-80%. High probability setup aligned clearly with institutional order flow, liquidity analysis, and technical indicators.
🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILKING THE MARKET STRATEGY 🚀✨:
📌 Direct Real-Time Verdict: 🔴 SELL
📌 Exact Entry: $3,020–$3,021
📌 SL: $3,026.50
📌 Optimal TP: $3,011 / Extended TP: $3,006
Institutional money is likely distributing at current levels, actively preparing to push price lower towards identified liquidity pools.
✨ TRADE SMART, TRADE WITH INSTITUTIONS – DOMINATE & MILK THE MARKET! 💰🚀📉
XAU/USD Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakdown – Trading Setup📌 Chart Overview
The chart represents the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, where the price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern consists of a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating market indecision. However, as price approaches the apex of the triangle, a breakout is imminent, making this a high-probability trading opportunity.
The analysis suggests a potential bearish breakdown, with price action likely to drop toward key support levels if the lower boundary of the triangle is breached.
📊 Breakdown of Key Chart Elements
1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation
The symmetrical triangle is a well-known technical pattern that signals a period of consolidation before a significant move. It forms when:
Buyers and sellers struggle for control, resulting in a narrowing price range.
A breakout occurs when one side gains dominance, leading to an expansion in volatility.
In this chart, the price is trapped within the triangle, gradually forming a squeeze, and a breakout is highly likely.
2. Resistance & Support Levels
Understanding key support and resistance zones is crucial in determining the next price direction.
🟧 Resistance Zone (~3,030 – 3,058 USD)
Marked in yellow, this area has acted as a strong resistance.
Multiple rejection points suggest that bulls are struggling to push prices higher.
If price breaks above this zone, it could trigger a bullish rally.
🟦 Support Level (~2,990 USD)
This is a critical support zone that has been tested multiple times.
The lower boundary of the triangle aligns with this level.
A clean breakdown will likely trigger stop losses and aggressive selling pressure.
📉 Expected Breakdown & Price Projection
The price is currently trading near the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle. Based on technical probabilities, the higher likelihood is a breakdown, which is why the trade setup leans towards a short-selling opportunity.
3. Retesting Area (~3,015 – 3,020 USD)
If price breaks below the triangle, it may retest the broken support before continuing downward.
The retesting area is a critical zone where sellers may re-enter to drive prices lower.
A failed retest (bounce back inside the triangle) would invalidate the bearish setup.
📈 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
This setup presents a well-structured short-selling opportunity based on the expected breakdown scenario.
🔽 Short Entry Strategy
Entry Confirmation: Short position can be taken once price breaks and closes below 2,990 USD (triangle support).
Retest Entry: If price retests the breakdown zone (around 3,015 – 3,020 USD) and rejects, it confirms the bearish bias.
Aggressive Entry: Traders who take early positions can enter a short once price approaches the lower triangle boundary with a tight stop-loss.
🎯 Target Levels
Upon confirmation of a breakdown, price action is likely to follow a measured move toward the following downside targets:
Target 1: 2,942 USD (first major support level)
Target 2: 2,920 USD (next key demand zone)
These levels are determined by previous price reactions and historical support zones.
🛑 Stop-Loss Placement
To manage risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the recent swing high to protect against a fake breakout.
Safe Stop Loss: Above 3,058 USD (strong resistance zone).
Aggressive Stop Loss: Just above the breakout retest zone (~3,030 USD).
📌 Market Psychology & Risk Management
Traders should consider the psychological aspects behind this setup:
Bullish traders may attempt to defend the support zone, but a failure will lead to panic selling.
Smart money (institutional traders) often use fake breakouts to trap early sellers before driving the price lower.
Wait for confirmation before entering trades to avoid being caught in false moves.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)
Entry: ~2,990 USD
Target 1: 2,942 USD
Target 2: 2,920 USD
Stop Loss: 3,058 USD
This setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (RRR), making it a high-probability trade.
🔎 Conclusion & Final Thoughts
The symmetrical triangle is at its final stage, and a breakout is imminent.
A break below 2,990 USD will likely confirm a bearish move.
Retesting the breakdown zone (3,015 – 3,020 USD) is crucial for short entries.
Downside targets are 2,942 USD and 2,920 USD based on historical support zones.
Proper risk management is essential—always use stop-losses to mitigate potential losses.
This setup presents a strong opportunity for short traders, but patience is key. Traders should wait for confirmation before committing to a position.
$SSE has broken out of the key trendline
Hello LSE:SSE community,
Since the launch of SorooshX - an innovative Web3 crypto exchange and SocialFi platform - its native token (SSE) has surged over 400% in recent months before undergoing a healthy market correction. The token shows a strong correlation with Bitcoin's long-term trends, and with the project's continued development and fundamental upgrades, SSE could reach higher levels after this consolidation phase.
Key Upcoming Updates for SSE:
- New exchange listings to improve liquidity
- Smart contract upgrades for features like trading fees, collateral, and staking, enhancing SSE's on-chain utility
Price Analysis:
The key resistance levels to watch are $0.0025 - $0.0030, with a potential retest. For high-potential projects like SorooshX, a DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) strategy is recommended.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency investments are high-risk. Always manage your capital wisely and trade responsibly.
Good luck with your trades!
USD/JPY – Key Resistance Tested After Strong RallyThe USD/JPY pair has been in a steady uptrend after finding support near the 147.800 level, leading to a breakout above key levels. The price is currently testing a significant resistance zone around 150.500, where previous rejections occurred.
Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Resistance: 150.500 (current test), 155.500, 156.500
📌 Support: 147.800
If buyers sustain momentum above 150.500, we could see a move toward the 155.500 - 156.500 zone. However, rejection at this level could trigger a pullback toward 147.800 support.
Traders should monitor price action at this level to determine whether a breakout or rejection occurs.
What are your thoughts? Will USD/JPY break higher, or are we due for a pullback? 🚀📉
IO Weekly TA [2025/12]:Bears Growl Amid Falling Prop InvestmentsSGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe) Index Futures (“IO Futures”) dropped last week, closing USD 3.60/ton lower by end of week.
Friday’s T+1 session is depicted as the following Monday’s trading session on TradingView.
IO Futures opened at USD 103.60/ton on 17/March (Mon) and closed at USD 100/ton on 21/Mar (Fri).
Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 103.75/ton on 17/Mar (Mon) and a low of USD 99.05/ton on 21/Mar (Fri). It traded in a range of USD 4.70/ton during the week, which was narrower than the prior week.
Prices crossed the S1 point of USD 100.10/ton and pivot point of USD 102.15/ton during the week, closing below the S1 (USD 100/ton).
Volume peaked on 17/March (Mon) as previously idled mines and beneficiation plants resumed operations post-major meetings.
Iron Ore Fundamentals in Summary
Prices hovered near their 3-month low as China’s steel industry’s recovery remains sluggish despite Beijing’s policy support.
China’s property sector continues to struggle , with January–February data showing a steep 9.8% drop in investment and a 5.1% decline in sales YoY. New construction starts plummeted 29.6%, extending 2024’s 23% slump.
Citi expects iron ore prices to remain capped unless China's steel demand sees a significant rebound. The bank projects for IO to trade around USD 100/ton, citing minimal supply disruptions in Australia and Brazil and anticipating faster supply growth. UBS forecasts prices averaging USD 100 in 2025, dipping to USD 95 in 2026 and USD 90 in 2027.
China's port IO stockpiles increased by 0.27 million tons (+0.2%) WoW to 141.44 million tons for the week ending 21/Mar as per MMI data .
Based on seasonality, IO Futures April contract trades 20.3% below its last 5-year average (USD 124.35/ton).
Short-Term MA Signals Imminent Downtrend amid Demand Woes
The 9-day and 21-day moving averages suggest that bearish momentum remains intact. With the gap between them widening, the odds of a bullish crossover in the near term appear slim—unless prices mount a decisive comeback.
Prices Trend Down Amid Potential Long-term Moving Average Convergence
IO prices are trading well below 100-day & 200-day DMAs, which now act as support levels. Will prices revert towards longer-term averages or sustain their downward trajectory?
MACD Signals Weakening Bearish Momentum, RSI Stalls in Neutral Zone
The MACD line is near the signal line suggesting weakening momentum of the bearish trend. Meanwhile, the RSI is at 40.39, suggesting a weak momentum phase, leaning toward bearish territory but not yet oversold.
Volatility Steady & IO Prices Close Below 61.8% Fibonacci Levels
Volatility remained steady this week. Prices traded between the 78.6% Fibonacci level (USD 98.85/ton) and the 38.2% level (USD 104.20/ton), closing below the 61.8% Fibonacci level. Going forward, 61.8% Fibonacci level (USD 101.05/ton) may act as resistance, with 78.6% Fibonacci level (USD 98.85/ton) as support.
Buying Pressure Softened & IO Prices Trade Below Below Basis Bollinger Band Levels
Buying pressure softened during second half of last week based on A/D indicator. IO prices gradually fell from the basis band towards the lower band closing at USD 100.25/ton.
China’s Two Sessions: A Key Catalyst for Iron Ore Market Swings?
China's Two Sessions (Lianghui) is an annual political gathering in China where key economic and industrial policies are set. This can significantly impact China linked assets including iron ore. Over the past four years (2021-2024), prices have shown a pattern of pre-meeting speculation-driven gains, followed by declines due to policy interventions or cautious economic targets. While 2021 and 2022 saw initial optimism fueling price spikes before corrections, 2023 and 2024 featured steady declines amid weak demand and rising inventories. This trend underscores China's policy direction as a key driver of iron ore market fluctuations.
Source: TradingView Data and Mint Finance Analysis
IO Futures Only Aggregate Exposure
Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed Money participants are net long with 103k lots and 33.3k across all futures expiries. Physicals participants and Others are net short with 105.6k and 30.8k lots respectively across all futures expires. Managed Money decreased net long positions. Physicals increased net short positions while FIs increased net long positions last week. Overall futures open interest was 1,262,337 lots as of 14/March (+10.6%) while it was 1,141,304 lots as of 07/March.
Source: SGX
IO Futures & Options Aggregate Exposure
Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed Money participants are net long with 96.6k lots and 40.4k across all futures and options expiries. Physicals participants and Others are net short with 98.8k and 38.2k lots respectively across all futures and options expires. Managed Money increased net long positions, Physicals increased net short positions while FIs increased net long positions last week. Overall futures and options open interest was 1,528,361 lots as of 14/March (+9.2%) while it was 1,399,761 lots as of 07/March.
Source: SGX
Historical Futures Aggregate Exposure by Market Participants
Physical participants continue to maintain their short position. Managed Money participants have switched from net short to being net long in the last six weeks. Financial Institutions continue to hold net long positions since the second quarter of last year.
Source: SGX and Mint Finance Analysis
Hypothetical Trade Setup
IO prices linger near a three-month low as China’s steel sector struggles to gain momentum, despite policy boosts from Beijing. The ongoing downturn in the property market, marked by plunging investment and sales, further weighs on sentiment. This contrasts with past years when hopes of economic stimulus fuelled early-session rallies in 2021 and 2022.
MACD hints at fading bearish momentum, while RSI stalls near neutral zone. Iron ore prices slipped from above the 50% Fibonacci level, closing just below the 61.8% mark—suggesting a strengthening bearish grip.
Against this backdrop, this paper posits a short position in SGX Iron Ore Futures expiring on 30th April 2025 (FEFJ2025) with an entry at USD 100.80/ton combined with a take profit level at USD 96.30/ton and a stop-loss at USD 104.40/ton resulting in a reward-to-risk ratio of 1.25x.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for March 25, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) declined against its US counterpart for the fourth consecutive day, taking the USD/JPY pair to 151.000, or a three-week high, during Tuesday's Asian session. Sentiment regarding global risk is being fuelled by hopes that US President Donald Trump's so-called retaliatory tariffs will be narrower and less harsh than originally anticipated. In addition, optimism over a possible peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, and reports that China is considering including services in a subsidy programme to boost consumption, have further bolstered investor confidence, undermining the safe-haven yen.
Meanwhile, minutes from the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) January meeting showed that policymakers discussed under what conditions the central bank should raise interest rates further. However, the minutes gave no clues as to the likely timing of the BoJ's next move and failed to make much of an impression on the JPY bulls. The Bank of Japan's hawkish outlook is at odds with the Federal Reserve's (Fed) forecast of two 25 basis point rate cuts before the end of this year. This could deter dollar bulls from making aggressive bets and support a low-yielding yen, which should limit the upside of USD/JPY.
Trade recommendation: BUY 151.000, SL 150.200, TP 152.150
Gold----Sell near 3025, target 3000-2982Gold has risen too much before. There have been technical adjustments in the past two days. The general trend is still bullish, but we are just a short-term trader and we need to follow it. Yesterday, we just lost 3033 in the 3025 short position we arranged. In the evening, we went short again at 3031. Judging from the current performance, the market is in line with our expectations. Today's short-term continues to fluctuate. Note that the weekly buying and selling watershed is 2982, which is also the starting point of last week. The daily line has begun to attack downward. Is it the time to sell or just adjusted to continue to rise? Pay attention to two positions in the future. One is the low point of this wave, 2998, and the other is 2982. If these two positions cannot stop the decline, we will consider the adjustment of the big short position. Today's idea is to consider the opportunity to sell on the rebound.
The K-line pattern begins to decline. Today, we will focus on the suppression of 3025 and 3018. The K-line pattern forms a triangle to be broken. If the Asian session rebounds, consider selling it first. If the Asian session breaks the position of 2998, you can continue to sell it when it rebounds. The bottom of gold fluctuations is also at this position. If it breaks, it will be around 2982.
Suppression 3025 and 3018, strong pressure 3033, the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3018.
Operation suggestion
Gold----Sell near 3025, target 3000-2982
Trading isn't Rocket Science!!! - BUY NAS100 All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01: 9988 (BABA)
The price has broken out of a consolidation range that lasted approximately two years, supported by a normal volume distribution.
The stock has risen to meet the Fibonacci Extension resistance level of 161.8 at a price of 144 HKD. Currently, it is forming a sideways consolidation pattern on the smaller timeframe, establishing a base structure viewed as re-accumulation.
The 6-month target is set at the Fibonacci Extension level of 261.8, which corresponds to a price of 189 HKD. This target aligns with a price cluster based on the valuation from sensitivity analysis, using the forward EPS estimates for 2025-2026 as a key variable for calculations, along with the standard deviation of the price-to-earnings ratio.
Wait for the Right Moment to Accumulate Shares within the Consolidation Range
Purchase near the support level of the range when the price pulls back. Look for a candlestick reversal pattern as a signal to add to your position.
However, should the price break down to the lower consolidation range, the stock would lose its upward momentum, potentially leading to a prolonged period of consolidation or a deeper pullback to around 90 HKD.
Always have a plan and prioritize risk management.
Ultra Aggressive OverConfidence Trading Plan – March 25, 2025🚀 Ultra Aggressive OverConfidence Trading Plan – March 25, 2025 📊
🔥 WE TRADE TO MILKING THE MARKET EVERYDAY....................................🔥
📌 1. Market Overview (Institutional Order Flow)
🔸 Key Price Levels Value
🥇 Current Price $3,010.08
📉 Recent Swing Low $2,994.00
📈 Recent Swing High (PDH) $3,036.00
📌 Point of Control (POC) $3,023.34
📛 Key Resistance $3,020 – $3,028 (Strong SELL Wall 🧱)
🟩 Key Demand Zone $2,994 – $2,986
💰 Discount Zone Below $3,000
🧠 2. Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Insights
🥇 Liquidity Cluster (POC at $3,023):
Heavy volume node signals institutions aggressively defending short positions above this price.
🟩 Volume Spike at $2,994–$2,986:
Strong institutional accumulation identified; high-probability reversal zone.
❌ CHoCHs at $3,015 & $3,025:
Failed bullish attempts confirm strong institutional bearish control.
📈 3. Technical Indicator Overview
Indicator Reading Interpretation
📉 MACD Bearish Crossover ⚠️ Weakening bullish momentum—Bearish ✅
📊 Delta Volume Fading Buy Pressure ❌ No genuine breakout strength—Bearish ✅
📌 Price vs. POC Below POC Bearish bias confirmed—Premium rejection ✅
📰 4. Macroeconomic & Sentiment Analysis
📌 Fundamental Headlines Impacting XAU/USD:
🏦 U.S. Fed Outlook:
Slightly Hawkish stance → Delayed Rate Cuts → Bearish Pressure on Gold ⚠️
📉 Risk Sentiment:
Flat-to-Bearish Equities → Mild Risk-Off → Slight Support for Gold (Neutralized) 🛡️
🌍 Geopolitical Risk:
Stable, No escalation → Neutral ⚖️
🧠 Institutional Summary:
Institutions in Distribution Mode; No immediate bullish catalyst.
Awaiting deeper discounts for aggressive re-accumulation.
🎯 5. Ultra-Aggressive Trade Execution Plan (Intraday)
📛 SELL Setup – Ultra-Aggressive Short (Primary)
Entry: $3,022 – $3,025 (Aggressive Sell Zone 📍)
Stop-Loss: $3,031
Take-Profit Targets: $3,000 → $2,986
Risk-Reward (R:R): 3.5:1 ✅
Context: Strong institutional SELL Wall at POC—high probability of rejection.
🟩 BUY Setup – Aggressive Long (Alternative/Conditional)
Entry: ONLY after clean liquidity grab at $2,994–$2,986
Stop-Loss: $2,981
Take-Profit: $3,020 (POC retest)
Risk-Reward (R:R): 4:1 ✅
Context: Confirmed institutional accumulation from recent volume spike.
📍 6. Final Decision – BUY or SELL?
❌ AVOID BUYING NOW!
Price equilibrium trapped under institutional POC.
📉 BEST SETUP (Ultra-Aggressive):
SELL at $3,022–$3,025 📌
🟩 ALTERNATIVE SETUP:
BUY ONLY after liquidity grab at $2,994–$2,986 📍
🚨 FINAL INSTITUTIONAL VERDICT:
📛 SELL Bias ACTIVE Below POC ($3,023.34)
📌 SELL Entry: $3,023 | SL: $3,031 | TP: $3,000 → $2,986
📌 Conditional BUY Entry: $2,994–$2,986 ONLY upon confirmed liquidity grab.
⚠️ Stay Disciplined! Let Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Zones dictate your trades.
🔥 WE TRADE TO MILKING THE MARKET EVERYDAY....................................🔥
Not Chasing—JUST MILKING! 🚀🥇📊
EIGEN/USDTEIGEN/USDT Analysis
Time frame (1D)
Buy Setup:
Entry Zone: $1.08 - $1.14 (strong support area & Fibonacci 0.382).
Target Levels:
TP1: $1.94 (Fibonacci 1.618).
TP2: $2.27 (Fibonacci 2.272).
TP3: $3.61 (Fibonacci 3.618).
Stop Loss: Below $0.95 (support breakdown).
Key Insights:
1. Price continues to respect the ascending trendline, confirming bullish momentum.
2. Pullback to Fibonacci 0.382 signals a potential buying opportunity.
3. Additional confirmation: Monitor for increased volume during a breakout of minor resistance.
USD/JPY(20250325)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
150.25
Support and resistance levels:
151.62
151.11
150.78
149.73
149.40
148.89
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 150.78, consider buying, the first target price is 151.11
If the price breaks through 150.25, consider selling, the first target price is 149.73
Trading Plan – March 25, 2025# 🚀 **Ultra Aggressive OverConfidence Trading Plan – March 25, 2025** 📊
🔥 **WE TRADE TO MILKING THE MARKET EVERYDAY....................................🔥**
---
## 📌 **1. Market Overview (Institutional Order Flow)**
| 🔸 **Key Price Levels** | **Value** |
|--------------------------------|---------------------|
| 📉 **Current Price** | **$3,010.08** |
| 🔻 **Recent Swing Low** | $2,994.00 |
| 🔺 **Recent Swing High (PDH)** | $3,036.00 |
| 📦 **Point of Control (POC)** | $3,023.34 |
| 🔴 **Key Resistance** | $3,020 – $3,028 (SELL Wall 🚧) |
| 🟢 **Key Demand Zone** | $2,994 – $2,986 |
| 🔵 **Discount Zone** | Below $3,000 |
---
## 🧠 **2. Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Insights**
- 🧲 **Liquidity Cluster (POC at $3,023):**
- Heavy volume node suggests institutions aggressively defending short positions above this zone.
- 🟢 **Volume Spike at $2,994–$2,986:**
- Significant institutional absorption indicates strong accumulation zone. High-probability reversal zone identified!
- 🚫 **CHoCHs at $3,015 & $3,025:**
- Failed bullish attempts confirm bearish control—strong institutional shorts dominating currently.
---
## 📈 **3. Technical Indicator Overview**
| Indicator | Reading | Interpretation |
|--------------------|--------------------------|-------------------------------------|
| 📉 **MACD** | Bearish Crossover ⚠️ | Weakening bullish momentum—Bearish ✅ |
| 📊 **Delta Volume**| Fading Buy Pressure 🚫 | No genuine breakout strength—Bearish ✅ |
| 📉 **Price vs. POC**| Below POC | Bearish bias confirmed—Premium rejection ✅ |
---
## 📰 **4. Macroeconomic & Sentiment Analysis**
📌 **Fundamental Headlines Impacting XAU/USD:**
- **U.S. Fed Outlook:** Slightly Hawkish → Rate Cuts Delayed → **Bearish Pressure on Gold** ⚠️
- **Risk Sentiment:** Flat-to-Bearish Equities → Mild Risk-Off → **Slight Support for Gold 🛡 (Neutralized)**
- **Geopolitical Risk:** Stable, No Escalation → **Neutral**
🧠 **Institutional Summary:**
- Institutions in **Distribution Mode**; No strong bullish catalyst today.
- Waiting patiently for deeper discounts for potential re-accumulation.
---
## 🎯 **5. Ultra-Aggressive Trade Execution Plan (Intraday)**
### 🔴 **SELL Setup – Ultra-Aggressive Short (Primary)**
- **Entry:** $3,022 – $3,025 (Aggressive Sell Zone)
- **Stop-Loss:** $3,031
- **Take-Profit Targets:** $3,000 → $2,986
- **Risk-Reward (R:R):** **3.5:1** ✅
- **Context:** High-probability rejection at POC & strong institutional sell wall.
### 🟢 **BUY Setup – Aggressive Long (Alternative/Conditional)**
- **Entry:** ONLY if clean liquidity grab at $2,994–$2,986
- **Stop-Loss:** $2,981
- **Take-Profit:** $3,020 (POC retest)
- **Risk-Reward (R:R):** **4:1** ✅
- **Context:** Strong institutional accumulation zone confirmed by recent volume spike.
---
## 📍 **6. Final Decision – BUY or SELL?**
- ❌ **AVOID BUYING NOW!** Price stuck near equilibrium; trapped below institutional POC.
- 📉 **BEST SETUP (Ultra-Aggressive):** **SELL at $3,022–$3,025.**
- 🟢 **ALTERNATIVE SETUP:** **BUY ONLY on Liquidity Grab at $2,994–$2,986.**
---
## 🚨 **FINAL INSTITUTIONAL VERDICT:**
🔴 **SELL Bias ACTIVE Below POC ($3,023.34)**
📌 **SELL Entry:** **$3,023** | **SL:** **$3,031** | **TP:** **$3,000 → $2,986**
📌 **Conditional BUY Entry:** **$2,994–$2,986** ONLY after liquidity grab confirmation.
⚠️ **Stay Disciplined!** Let liquidity zones & institutional order flow guide your execution.
🔥 **WE TRADE TO MILKING THE MARKET EVERYDAY....................................🔥**
**Not chasing—JUST MILKING!** 🚀💰📊
FEAR PRESENTS A BUYING OPPORTUNITYThe deteriorating sentiment over the last 3 years has created a substantial buying opportunity.
The negative sentiment can be attributed to 4 main things- decreased EPS/ Net Income since 2022/2023 (end of COVID $$), increased debt levels post-Seagen acquisition and revenue challenges due to upcoming patent expirations.
While these concerns are not unwarranted, it is important to note that Pfizer has been through several patent cliffs before while simultaneously growing dividends .
The notable upcoming expirations include the pneumonia shot Prevnar in 2026 and the cancer drugs Ibrance and Xtandi, both in 2027. Pfizer has an exceptional history of capital preservation and therefore will continue to take action to address any potential revenue shortfalls including aggressive cost-cutting measures already in progress.
From a valuation perspective, PFE's shiller PE is currently 9.51 or 94% as low as it has been in the last 10 years and also 89% better than 462 companies in the drug manufacturing industry.
Seeking Alpha gives PFE a grade of F on Growth, but when looking at the individual characteristics not 1 is below a D and only two are D's, and in aggregate looks much better than SA is portraying with a grade of F. Pfizer should not usually be expected to be a grower as it is a mature company.
From a technical standpoint it looks like a double bottom is forming at the bottom of a 12 year trend line.
The Price/ FCF and EV/EBITDA ratios have decreased back to 2023 and prior levels indicating it is no longer overvalued as it was in 2024.
Reverse DCF based on EPS w/out NRI and an 11% discount rate show thaf Pfizer's fair value is $35.89, indicating a 27% margin of safety.
The recent volume shows large-scale buying, probably by institutions.
Overall I believe the negative sentiment mostly due to the upcoming patent expiration and the realization of loss of revenue from COVID era $ is currently baked into the price and presents a decent buying opportunity.
CRM's Rebound Rally!Salesforce Inc. (CRM) is exhibiting potential bullish momentum, with a notable weekly gap around the $260 level. A breakout above the $313.80 level could signal further strength, positioning the stock to target the $349.13 resistance. This trade setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, with a stop-loss set at $256.16 to manage downside risk.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for CRM was extremely oversold at 24 on March 10th, indicating a potential for a bounce. As of March 17, 2025, the 14-day RSI had risen to 36.22, suggesting improving momentum.
Analyst sentiment remains positive, with a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" among 40 analysts. The average 12-month price target is $375.58, indicating a potential upside of approximately 33.84% from current levels. Price targets range from a low of $243.00 to a high of $440.00, reflecting confidence in the company's growth prospects.
Salesforce's continued innovation in artificial intelligence, particularly with the development of Agentforce 2.0, positions the company well for future growth. This AI-driven suite is expected to optimize marketing campaigns and customer service, contributing to revenue expansion.
This combination of technical indicators and strong fundamentals supports a bullish outlook for CRM, with a potential move toward the $349.13 resistance level.
NYSE:CRM
Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway.
I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain:
Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted)
Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action
selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist)
I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.