DAILY ANALYSIS - XAUUSD (MON, 16th DECEMBER 2024)Bias: None
USD News:
-Flash Manufacturing PMI
Analysis:
-Strong bearish closure from Friday
-Looking for intraday trade between 4hr structure high & structure low
-Looking for BUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: -
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy
Fundamental Analysis
Is CHR gearing up for an ATH update?We see a triangle with an attempt to break it and further exit behind the ATH update! Given that one of the investors is a subsidiary of XRP, this project could be part of the future of XRP as it is itself implied as a modular blockchain. We're also entrenched above 50 EMA, a 1B+ capitalization and a $1.2 price is just around the corner.
Horban Brothers.
SMCI: A Sleeping Monster Ready to AwakenSuper Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has recently shown a notable pullback, presenting what I believe to be a massive opportunity. Despite the stock’s short-term volatility, SMCI remains a sleeping monster with huge upside potential in my view.
The recent decline toward the $35 mark (down from $50 earlier this week) can be largely attributed to two factors:
Delisting from the NASDAQ100: This fueled a wave of shorting, as traders capitalized on the news—something we’ve seen happen with this stock in the past.
Profit-Taking: Let’s not forget SMCI delivered a 180% revenue increase in just 24 days. A retracement following such explosive moves is not only expected but healthy for future growth.
Please also keep in mind that the weight of SMCI on the NASDAQ100 was only 0.13% of the entire index. This means that by buying one contract of NASDAQ100, only 0.13% of your capital was allocated to SMCI. In simple terms, the delisting is practically irrelevant, as its small weight doesn’t have a significant impact on the stock’s true value or long-term potential.
While many are cautious, I remain extremely bullish on SMCI’s long-term prospects. In the short term, I will take a conservative approach, expecting the stock to reach $54, which represents an impressive 54% increase from the current price.
Looking further ahead, my longer-term target is $75, as I believe this undervalued stock still has plenty of room to run.
If history has taught us anything, it’s that SMCI has a habit of bouncing back stronger after periods of uncertainty—and this recent dip is no different. The upside potential is massive.
Let the traders short, let the market shake weak hands—opportunity is knocking for those with patience and vision!!
This is not financial advice, just my personal view!!
ProStarter ($PROSUSDT): Daily | Promising Upside MoveI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
ProStarter ( BINANCE:PROSUSDT ): Daily Chart Analysis for a Promising Upside Move
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.7416
- Stop-Loss: $0.4692
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $1.3388
- TP2: $2.0740
Fundamental Analysis:
ProStarter ( BINANCE:PROSUSDT ) is a multi-chain fundraising and token launch platform designed to empower decentralized finance (DeFi) projects. By offering seamless cross-chain interoperability, $PROSUSDThas established itself as a go-to solution for early-stage crypto projects. Its focus on simplifying token launches and enhancing security makes it an attractive choice for both developers and investors.
Recent updates, such as partnerships with leading DeFi ecosystems, have bolstered the token's utility and adoption. With the crypto market showing signs of recovery, SET:PROS is poised for a strong upward move.
Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
- Current Price: $0.7450
- Moving Averages:
- 50-Day SMA: $0.7000
- 200-Day SMA: $0.6500
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 63, indicating mild bullish momentum.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $0.7000
- Resistance: $0.8500
The daily chart highlights a clear bullish trend, with BINANCE:PROSUSDT breaking above its key resistance level at $0.7200. This breakout is supported by rising trading volumes and a bullish crossover on the moving averages, indicating potential for further gains.
Market Sentiment:
BINANCE:PROSUSDT has seen increased interest from the DeFi community due to its unique multi-chain fundraising model. The token’s steady price recovery and strategic developments have created a positive outlook among investors.
Risk Management:
A stop-loss at $0.4692 ensures downside protection, while the take-profit targets at $1.3388 and $2.0740 offer significant upside potential. TP1 provides an 80% return, while TP2 offers a potential 179% gain, making this trade highly attractive for swing traders.
Key Takeaways:
- BINANCE:PROSUSDT is in a strong bullish breakout, supported by both fundamentals and technicals.
- Favorable risk-to-reward ratios make this an ideal setup for swing traders and mid-term investors.
- Adherence to stop-loss and profit targets is critical to managing market volatility.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
GRASS 1D. Upcoming Airdrop Could Send This Token Soaring Again! The current price is in an accumulation phase, seemingly preparing for a breakout.
The project is expected to conduct a second airdrop soon. During the first airdrop, the token’s price surged significantly, from $1 to $3.
This time, I don’t expect as dramatic a rise, but I believe the token could reach a value between $5 and $7.
Given the upcoming airdrop, I anticipate a potential price increase following this event.
DYOR.
$TURBO/USDT: Market Sentiment and Trade Analysis $TURBO/USDT: 24-Hour Market Sentiment and Trade Analysis
I spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
Market Overview (Last 24 Hours):
- TURBO/USDT is trading near 0.0080982, showing bullish potential. The pair has gained traction due to increased retail interest and speculation.
- Market sentiment around $TURBO/USDT is driven by broader crypto momentum, with altcoins showing renewed strength as Bitcoin and Ethereum maintain stability.
Technical Overview:
- Support Levels: 0.0065000
- Resistance Levels: 0.0159817 (TP1), 0.0239840 (TP2)
- Indicators: RSI is trending upward but remains below overbought levels, indicating room for growth. MACD shows bullish crossover, confirming positive momentum.
Fundamental Catalysts:
- On-Chain Metrics: Increased wallet activity and trading volume suggest heightened interest in TURBO.
- Tokenomics Overview: TURBO’s token supply and burn mechanisms are creating scarcity, driving demand.
- Community Sentiment: TURBO is gaining traction on social platforms like Twitter and Discord, reflecting strong retail enthusiasm.
- Liquidity: Elevated trading volume supports the potential for large price movements.
Scenario Planning:
- Bullish Scenario: If buying momentum persists, the price could achieve TP1 ($0.0159817) and extend to TP2 ($0.0239840).
- Risk Scenario: If liquidity diminishes or BTC dominance rises, the price could fall toward SL at $0.0045605.
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.0080982
- Stop-Loss: $0.0045605
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $0.0159817
- TP2: $0.0239840
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
Could there there be NO real ALT season this cycle ? Why ?Not many people Will like this idea, including me but as someone who will ALWAYS try and look to Both sides of possibilities that exist , technical and Macro, I am beginnign to think that the ALT seasons we have seen previously may become History.
And in fact, some evidence of that already exists in the Way Some ALTS ran Hot right from the start, like INJ
BUT, I hear some of you say, You ..YOU posted a chart, OTHERS.D chart that suggests ALT season may have begun...
I refer you to yhr beginning of this post.
It is ALWAYS best to see Both sides.
And so..Why could an Alt season not really happen this time.?
Let see Why an ALT season is definded by.
If we look back over previous Cycles, ALT Seasons have begun just under a year from the Halving. At thsi poinrt, the BTC Dominacne seems to Fall and yet the BTC PA continues to Rise, to a New ATH
The Crux is the BTC DOMINANCE needs to fall.
The chart above is the BTC.D chart that could point towards an ALT Season beginning. See how PA here falls, ATH are created and ALTS run fast
~BUT in NONE of these previsou seasons have we had the Corporate uptake of Bitcoin and the use of Bitcoin in Trusts and ETF trading
My question being, " Why will BTC.D Drop" if so many are Buying thr coins ?
A decrease in BTC. D suggests that capital is rotating out of Bitcoin and into altcoins. This is where altseason potential lies. Strong altcoins with solid fundamentals and clear narratives often lead this phase with explosive gains.
BUT Why would the Corporations Sell the BTC coins to invest in to a more volatile substitute and possibly have to rebuy the BTC at a higher price ?
Just look how structured that Rise in BTC.D looks..NEVER happened before. And while it has just dropped off its line of support, it has landed on another Strong line.
We need to pay very VERY Close attention this this right now.
This is Not saying ALTS will not run but maybe, Not as explosively as once or twice before.
Or maybe they will
Att he end of the day, GREED can do increadable things to people.
Trade safe and have a good one..and lets see how the next 12 months unfold
Solo Trading in a Frenzied Market: Avoiding the Crowd TrapIn the world of trading, the crowd effect is a serious psychological obstacle that often causes traders to lose their way. This phenomenon, where traders make decisions based on the majority's actions rather than their own analysis, can result in impulsive buying or selling. As many traders point out, such decisions often end in financial losses.
📍 Understanding the Crowd Effect
The crowd effect is based on the tendency of people to obey the actions of the majority. In the trading arena, it can manifest itself when traders jump on the bandwagon and buy assets during an uptrend in the market or hastily sell them during a downtrend due to panic.
While trend trading may be logical - after all, if most people are buying, it may seem unwise to resist the flow - there is a delicate balance to be struck here. Joining a long-term uptrend can lead to buying assets at their peak. This is especially evident in cryptocurrency markets, where FOMO can cause prices to rise artificially, allowing an experienced market maker to capitalize on these moments by selling off assets at peak levels.
📍 The Dangers of the Crowd Effect for Traders
• Impulsive Decision-Making: Crowd-driven decisions are rarely based on careful analysis, increasing the risk of costly mistakes.
• Ignoring Personal Strategy: Traders often abandon their trading plans in the heat of mass panic or excitement, forgetting the essential disciplines that guide their decisions.
• Overestimating Risks: Following the herd can lead to overextended positions in the expectation of “guaranteed” profits, further increasing potential losses.
• Market Bubbles and Crashes: Collective crowd behavior can lead to market bubbles and sharp declines, negatively affecting all participants.
📍 Examples of the Crowd Effect
▸ Bull Market and FOMO: During a strong uptrend, new traders may be attracted by the sight of other people buying assets. They often join the frenzy at the peak of prices and then take losses when the market corrects.
▸ Bear Market and Panic Selling: During a downturn, fear can prompt traders to sell off massively, minimizing their ability to recoup losses in a recovering market.
▸ Social Media Influence: In today's digital age, the opinions of self-proclaimed market “gurus” can prompt uncritical investment decisions. Traders may buy trending assets without proper analysis, leading to losses when prices inevitably fall.
📍 Why Traders Give in to Crowd Influence
Several psychological factors underlie why traders may succumb to the crowd effect:
▪️ Fear of Being Wrong: Traders derive a sense of security by aligning with the majority, even when it contradicts their logic.
▪️ Desire for Social Approval: The inclination to conform can lead to decisions based on collective trends rather than independent analysis.
▪️ Emotional Traps: High volatility can spread feelings of euphoria or panic, swaying traders away from rational decision-making.
▪️ Cognitive Distortions: The phenomenon of groupthink reinforces the false belief that popular decisions are invariably correct.
▪️ Lack of Confidence: Inexperienced traders, particularly, may align themselves with the crowd out of insecurity in their own judgment.
📍 Steps to Mitigate the Crowd Effect
🔹 Develop a Clear Trading Strategy: Create and adhere to a trading plan that reflects your risk tolerance, and trust it even when market participants act differently.
🔹 Avoid Emotional Decision-Making: Base your trading on systematic analysis rather than fleeting market sentiment. Take a moment to pause and assess your emotions before making critical choices.
🔹 Limit External Influences: Steer clear of forums and social media during volatile periods; avoid following advice without verifiable research.
🔹 Employ Objective Analysis Tools: Lean on technical and fundamental analysis instead of crowd sentiment. Identify patterns and levels for entry and exit rather than moving with the trending tide.
🔹 Enhance Self-Confidence: Fortify your market knowledge and trading strategy to reduce reliance on crowd validation. Keep a trading journal to document your successes and the soundness of your decisions.
🔹 Manage Risks Wisely: Never invest more than you can afford to lose. Segment your capital to mitigate the impact of any sizable losses.
🔹 Assess Crowd Behavior: Use indicators, such as market sentiment and trading volume, to gauge the crowd's actions, but retain the independence of thought. Remember that crowds can often misjudge trend reversals.
📍 Conclusion
The crowd effect poses a serious threat to rational decision-making in trading. However, through disciplined strategies, thorough analysis, and effective emotion management, traders can minimize adverse impacts. Remember that successful trading is rooted in objectivity and independent judgment rather than blind conformity.
“The market favors traders who think independently instead of conforming to the crowd.”
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
IONQ Daily Chart: Technical Analysis (Long-Term View)1. Trend:
* IONQ has been in an uptrend for the past few months, with higher highs and higher lows.
* Currently showing a pullback but holding above the key EMA 9/21 levels, indicating potential continuation.
2. Support & Resistance:
* Support: Around $30–$31, where it bounced recently.
* Resistance: Near $38.45 (recent highs) and $40, a psychological level.
3. Volume:
* Strong green volume on the recent bounce suggests buyers stepping in.
* Sustained volume will be crucial for a move higher.
4. MACD:
* Currently bearish, but showing signs of a reversal as the histogram flattens. A bullish crossover could confirm renewed upside momentum.
Long-Term Perspective:
* IONQ is showing strong technical strength but remains volatile.
* Upside Potential: If the uptrend continues and it breaks above $38–$40, IONQ could see further growth.
* Downside Risk: A break below $30 could signal weakness, so managing risk is essential.
----------------
Strengths for Long-Term Investment
1. Leader in Quantum Computing:
* IONQ is at the forefront of a rapidly growing industry with strong innovation and technology leadership.
* Quantum computing is expected to disrupt sectors like finance, pharmaceuticals, and AI, offering huge upside potential.
2. Strategic Partnerships:
* Collaborations with major players like Amazon (AWS), Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud give credibility and scalability to their business.
3. Strong Revenue Growth:
* While still in its early stages, IONQ has shown solid revenue growth year over year, reflecting increasing adoption.
4. Market Position:
* As one of the first publicly traded quantum computing companies, IONQ holds an early-mover advantage.
Risks to Consider
1. High Valuation and Volatility:
* Like most early-stage tech companies, IONQ trades at a premium with significant price swings, which can be risky for conservative investors.
2. Unproven Commercialization:
* Quantum computing is still an emerging technology, and widespread commercial adoption may take years to materialize.
3. Competition:
* Tech giants like IBM, Google, and Intel are heavily investing in quantum computing, which could challenge IONQ's position over time.
4. Profitability Concerns:
* IONQ is not yet profitable and requires continued investment in R&D, which could lead to cash burn concerns.
Final Thoughts
IONQ offers significant long-term potential as a pioneer in quantum computing, but it remains a speculative play. If you're a long-term investor with a higher risk tolerance, IONQ could be worth considering as part of a diversified portfolio.
Key areas to watch include:
* Revenue growth and financial stability.
* Technological advancements and partnerships.
* Market adoption of quantum computing solutions.
For a cautious approach, consider starting with a small position and scaling in as the company's growth trajectory becomes clearer. 🚀
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Perform your own due diligence before trading.
GBPNZD - Idea for a long position !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish OB + institutional big figure 2.18000.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Moon river ( MOVR)Movr usdt Daily analysis
Time frame 4hours
Risk rewards ratio >1.8 👈👌
Moon river is good asset for short time trading
What is MOVR ?
As a decentralized smart contract platform, Moonriver requires a utility token to function.
The moonriver token uses include :
Supporting the gas metering of smart contract execution
Incentivizing collators and powering the mechanics around the creation of a decentralized node infrastructure on which the platform can run ...
Rising Demand for ChainlinkThe team behind the World Liberty Financial (WLFI) crypto project has acquired Chainlink (LINK), which has piqued the interest of the crypto community. Currently, their portfolio includes 4 cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Chainlink (LINK), and Aave (AAVE). World Liberty Financial purchased LINK tokens at an average price of $24.2. You can use Etherscan or other services to check the composition of their portfolio. Their wallet address is 0x5be9a4959308a0d0c7bc0870e319314d8d957dbb.
Bitwise Asset Management has filed an application with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch the "Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF", an exchange-traded fund that includes ten cryptocurrencies. Chainlink (LINK) is also part of this fund. Here’s the full list of cryptocurrencies in the ETF:
Bitcoin (BTC)
Ethereum (ETH)
Ripple (XRP)
Solana (SOL)
Cardano (ADA)
Avalanche (AVAX)
Chainlink (LINK)
Polkadot (DOT)
Bitcoin Cash (BCH)
Uniswap (UNI)
There is no certainty that their application to launch an ETF will be approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). However, the fact that they have included Chainlink in their list of ten cryptocurrencies suggests that Bitwise Asset Management is optimistic about the prospects of this blockchain.
That’s not to say that Chainlink is a useless project only used for Pump & Dump schemes. Yesterday, it was announced that the cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase is integrating Chainlink’s CCIP technology. CCIP is a protocol that allows different blockchain networks to communicate with each other, enabling the transfer of assets, data, and functionality between chains.
Brazil’s central bank is working on creating a central bank digital currency (CBDC). In a press release on November 19, the central bank of Brazil announced that it has chosen Chainlink for this task. If Brazil achieves the desired results, it could lead to other countries’ central banks also choosing to use Chainlink.
Technical Analysis
The falling wedge pattern may cause the price of LINK to rise to $45.
BITFARM - lowest against HUT+MARA+CLSKBitfarm was unable to maintain its long-standing relationship with its competitors:
HUT 8; MARA; CLSK
This relationship was maintained for a long time but was recently overtaken by the improvement of its rivals while Bitfarm continues to decline, in the background we see that its relationship against Bitcoin is not improving either,
Bitfarm is at a great entry point if there is a change in the price of this stock!
We will have to keep a close eye on it!
Strong Support and Momentum Driving GrowthNASDAQ:OM is well supported around $2.38, with a target of $7.57 in sight.
Bitcoin's positive momentum will be critical to NASDAQ:OM 's climb. With SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:FXS and CRYPTOCAP:GNO supporting its ascent, NASDAQ:OM is on course to reach its target ahead of schedule, thanks to robust market support.
#MANTRA #OM #RWA #Bullish #Altcoins
BITCOIN → Consolidation before the breakout. When do we go up?BINANCE:BTCUSD continues to consolidate, but within a strong bullish structure. The price is approaching the trigger, the breakout of which may provoke the formation of an upward impulse
Globally, the coin is still in the phase of realizing a global " cup and handle ", which I reminded one of the first back in August:
A good signal that hints that the growth is likely to continue is the fact that after a strong growth and testing 100K the price does not fall, but consolidates with gradually rising local lows, it is also worth paying attention to MA-50, which acts as a strong support. Within this consolidation we have clear zones, within which the price is trading and accumulating potential, and there is also a clear trigger, the breakout of which can provoke the continuation of growth (distribution).
But next week is the Fed meeting on December 17-18, and there may be short-term market manipulative reactions. Be careful
Resistance levels: 101.8K, 104.1K
Support levels: 98.9K, 94.15K
Technically, the focus is on 101.8 - 98.9. Consolidation is forming inside this channel. I do not exclude a chance of support retest in the format of a false breakdown before further growth. Another deep correction to the lower liquidity zone - 94.1K is also possible. But until the price breaks 101.8, bitcoin will not go up, and based on the chart, the event is close and the chance is high
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!