Fundamental Analysis
XAUUSD Pre-Powell Key Level Update – April 16, 2025⚠️ XAUUSD Pre-Powell Key Level Update – April 16, 2025
🔥 Post-speech positioning starts now – but smart money prepares before the speech.
🔍 Macro & Context
🗣️ Powell speaks tonight – market expects hawkish reassurance amid ongoing inflation fears.
🥇 Gold just made new All-Time High (ATH) = 3319, liquidity swept, now consolidating.
🏦 US Dollar still uncertain, Nasdaq under pressure → Gold remains king for now.
🕯️ Key Levels – Updated with ATH Context
🟡 Daily Chart
ATH (Liquidity Grab): 3319
Next potential targets above:
🧲 3340.00 = extension level + premium FVG target
🧲 3365.00–3370.00 = extreme FIB 1.618 + psychological round number
Key Demand Below (Daily):
🔵 3246–3248 (Daily FVG)
🔵 3211–3214 (Valid Daily OB + FVG)
🔵 3204.97 (Daily FVG Base)
🟡 H4 Key Levels
Current Structure: HH-HL bullish, last BOS clean
Premium FVG rejection zone (current): 3306–3319 (Price reacting here)
Support zone:
🔵 3247–3251 (unmitigated H4 OB + FVG)
🔵 3211–3214 (FVG + prior CHoCH retest)
🟡 H1 Key Levels
🧠 Weak High: 3319
🔄 Possible Pullback Area:
🔵 3285.00–3290.00 (minor H1 imbalance)
🔵 3264–3268 (last H1 HL zone)
Strong demand below =
🔵 3247–3251
🔵 3211–3214
🧭 Scenarios To Watch Before Powell
Quick retrace into 3285–3290, then another sweep attempt toward 3319 or new ATH (3340+).
Deeper retrace into 3247–3251, then long (if speech fuels bullish sentiment).
If Powell hawkish → gold may drop to 3211–3214 (valid buys here) before resuming uptrend.
📢 Final Reminder
📌 Don’t chase price right now. Wait for clean mitigation before reentry.
📌 Powell’s tone will define short-term bias, so protect capital!
📌 Always zoom out — the structure was right, but we need to act faster next time!
💬 Let’s Talk
✅ Drop your thoughts in the comments
✅ Like & follow if you caught today’s rally or plan to ride Powell volatility!
🎯 Stay sharp, stay patient — and remember: gold doesn’t forgive chasers.
ETH-----Sell around 1610, target 1550 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 16:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single negative and a single positive, but the price was still below the moving average. The attached indicator dead crosses and the fast and slow lines are golden crosses, but the pressure is below the zero axis. In this way, the current pullback trend can only be regarded as a correction, because the price has not stood on the moving average and has not broken the previous high. It is easy to fall under pressure for the second time when the indicators are not unified; the current K-line pattern of the four-hour chart has fallen continuously, and the attached indicator dead crosses. The price is below the moving average, and the pressure position of the pullback moving average is near the 1610 area. The short-cycle hourly chart was under pressure in the US market yesterday and was corrected in the Asian time today. The trend pattern is still the same, and the correction pullback cannot be large.
Therefore, today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the pullback 1610 area, stop loss at the 1640 area, and target the 1550 area;
USDCADTook the first wave of USDCAD and rode that successfully and we've have been given a re-entry for yet another long position. The pair is on some recovery as it makes it's way to the downside on the overall timeframe so entry has to be calculated carefully.
Trump's Tax tariffs, some friction with Canada, lingering war between Russia, the EU and Ukraine really having some effects on this pair
We would ride this pair all the way to the upside carefully so, brace up!
SOL/USDT Ranging and ranging...The price is overall in sell trend and since the candle here made a big wick to the upside theres a chance of another fakeout....now i dont believe the market will just turn around but i am sure that since its a sell range that its possible it will come back for another touch to the upside sooner or later.
TSM great potential before earnings call? Value to be collected!Hi guys we would be taking a look into our analysis for TSM!TSMC (TSM) Stock: Positioned for
Strong Growth Despite Tariff Pressures -
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the world’s leading contract chipmaker, continues to shine as a long-term winner in the semiconductor space, even amid renewed trade tensions and potential tariffs.
1. Resilience Amid Tariffs and Trade Tensions
While the U.S. has recently introduced or hinted at higher tariffs on tech-related imports from China, TSMC stands out due to its strategic positioning. As a Taiwan-based company with increasing investments in the U.S., including a major Arizona facility, TSMC is well-insulated from the harshest tariff implications. In fact, the shift toward U.S. domestic chip production could boost TSMC's presence and government support, solidifying its role in global supply chains.
2. Unmatched Technological Leadership
TSMC is years ahead of competitors in cutting-edge semiconductor manufacturing, particularly in advanced nodes like 3nm and 2nm chips. This technology edge secures high-value contracts with top-tier clients like Apple, NVIDIA, and AMD, ensuring a steady and growing revenue stream.
3. Surging Demand for AI and High-Performance Computing
With the global explosion of demand for AI infrastructure, data centers, and high-performance computing, TSMC is perfectly positioned. It is the go-to foundry for the most advanced AI chips, giving it a critical role in powering the next generation of tech innovation.
4. Strategic Global Expansion
TSMC’s global expansion—including new plants in the U.S., Japan, and Germany—reduces geopolitical risks and enhances its ability to serve major markets locally. These moves also align with government incentives and support from the CHIPS Act and similar programs.
Outlook:
TSMC is not only weathering the global trade climate—it’s thriving. Its dominant market share, world-class technology, and expanding global footprint give it a strong competitive moat. With rising AI demand and the shift toward local production, TSM is set to benefit on multiple fronts.
TSM stock remains a high-conviction play for investors looking to capture the future of tech.
TSMC has consistently delivered impressive financial results, with the company surpassing analyst expectations in the past 12 consecutive quarters. For instance, in the fourth quarter of 2024, TSMC reported earnings per share (EPS) of $2.24, exceeding the consensus estimate of $2.16. This track record underscores the company's robust operational efficiency and market demand for its advanced semiconductor solutions.
Upcoming Earnings Call
Investors are anticipating TSMC's next earnings call scheduled for Thursday, April 17, 2025, before the market opens. Analysts expect the company to report an EPS of $2.02 for the first quarter of 2025. Given TSMC's history of exceeding expectations, there is optimism that the company will continue its trend of strong financial performance.
EPS beat estimates 16 times in 17 quarters!!!!!
We are targeting approximetly 18% increase!!!
📌 Trade Plan
📈 Entry: 152
✅ Target 183
❌ SL: 128
GBPUSD Analysis 4/16 at 8:55amI entered long at 1.32273 on April 15, and as of now, GBP/USD is trading around 1.3252, meaning I'm already up.
Why I'm Staying Long
Trend Confirmation:
The daily chart still shows a strong uptrend, and moving averages confirm that GBP/USD has been trading above key levels.
The RSI is at 62.76 on the daily timeframe, meaning bullish momentum is intact but not overly overbought.
Short-Term Signals:
On the hourly chart, some indicators suggest price may consolidate before continuing higher.
Stochastic RSI has cooled off, which often signals a chance for price to stabilize before another move up.
Aroon Oscillator (Hourly) at -78.57 shows fading bullish momentum in the short term, so I’m watching whether buyers step back in to push price higher.
Support & Resistance Levels:
1.3250 is a key level—if price holds above it, GBP/USD could continue toward 1.3280–1.3300.
If 1.3250 breaks, I’ll monitor 1.3220, which is close to my entry point, as the next potential support.
Fundamental Factors Affecting GBP/USD:
UK Inflation (2.6%) missed expectations, meaning GBP might not be as strong as before.
US Retail Sales beat expectations, reinforcing USD strength, which could put some pressure on GBP/USD.
Fed Chair Powell speaks later today, which could inject volatility—if he’s hawkish, USD may strengthen and push GBP/USD lower.
My Next Steps
I’ll continue holding as long as price remains above 1.3250.
If Powell’s speech creates sharp volatility, I might adjust my stop to secure profits.
My target is 1.3280–1.3300, but I’m prepared to reassess based on price action.
Overall, I’m feeling good about staying long, but I'm monitoring key levels closely to ensure I lock in gains while managing risk.
Bad News from NVDA and ASML Put Pressure on AI StocksTwo pieces of bad news hit the chip sector in a single day.
First, the U.S. announced new restrictions on Nvidia, blocking the sale of its H20 chip to China. H20 was the only AI chip Nvidia could legally sell to China under existing regulations. The company stated the new restrictions could cost up to $5.5 billion.
The second blow came from ASML’s earnings report. ASML is the sole producer of EUV machines, which are critical for manufacturing advanced chips, including those used in AI. ASML's revenue miss, combined with the Nvidia news, weighed heavily on technology stocks. However, there is a silver lining: the revenue miss was due to weaker DUV machine sales, which are used for more basic chips. EUV sales actually beat market expectations by 33.54%, indicating that investment in AI infrastructure remains strong.
Nvidia shares are down more than 6% in premarket trading. This downward pressure may continue after the market opens. If the price drops below 100, it could present a buying opportunity for medium- to long-term investors. AI investment continues globally, and countries outside the U.S. are likely to accelerate their efforts to catch up. Despite the recent negative sentiment, there is no major change in the long-term outlook for the sector.
United Airlines Holdings, (NASDAQ: $UAL) Surge 6% on Strong Q1Shares of United Airlines Holdings, (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:UAL ) saw a noteworthy uptick of 6% on Wednesday's premarket session after the industry leaders reported it swung to a profit in the first quarter as revenue hit a record high, sending shares surging in extended trading Tuesday, further extending gains to premarket session.
The Chicago-based carrier posted first-quarter revenue of $13.2 billion, up 5% year-over-year and above the analyst consensus from Visible Alpha.1 Adjusted net income of $302 million, or 91 cents per share, compared to a loss of $50 million, or 15 cents per share, a year earlier, and also topped Wall Street’s estimates.
United Says It Expects 'Resilient' Earnings in Q2
The results come amid an uncertain economic environment for airlines. Last week, Visual Approach Analytics warned that air travel could face "demand destruction" as a result of the Trump administration's tariff policies, and rival carrier Delta (DAL) withdrew its full-year outlook, citing “current uncertainty."
Looking ahead, United said it expects "resilient earnings" in the second quarter and full fiscal year, despite macroeconomic challenges. The airline said it plans to reduce off-peak flying on lower-demand days.
Technical Outlook
United shares jumped nearly 7% in after-hours trading, extending gains to Wednesday premarket session. The stock has lost nearly a third of its value so far in 2025 through Tuesday’s close. The daily price chart depicts a bullish flag pattern with the asset gearing to break the ceiling of the flag - a move that will cement the bullish campaign for NASDAQ:UAL shares.
Further more, with the RSI at 44.97, NASDAQ:UAL shares are well ready for a bullish campaign capitalizing on the moderate momentum of the market.
March Pain Point in $NSE:NIFTY | Best Support is Coming !NSE:NIFTY
Hi
Green Area Is Best Time to Accumulate Stocks.
Best Support, and Stocks with Low Beta are the Gems So Accumulate them with Nifty Supports.
Too Much is Happening, like Nifty Rebalancing, Nifty50 Next Rebalancing, Global Sentiments with Indian Govt Love for Tax Policy.
Be Prudent !
Let Them Short and Long on the Other Side.
Make Good Position on Nifty Stock !
thanks
ICICI Prudential Life – Turning the Corner?After months of steady decline inside a falling channel, ICICI Prudential Life is showing early signs of reversal. The stock has recently broken out of its channel with a strong bullish weekly candle, closing at ₹571.70 with a +4.5% gain. Volume is picking up, and RSI is curling up above 40 with a bullish divergence—indicating momentum is building. Price is now near a key resistance zone (~₹590–₹610); a clean breakout here could confirm trend reversal.
📊 Financial Snapshot
Net Premium Income: ₹10,169 Cr vs ₹9,465 Cr ⬆️
PAT: ₹226 Cr vs ₹221 Cr (flat YoY)
VNB Margin: Healthy at 26.7%
Embedded Value: ₹47,020 Cr
Solvency Ratio: Strong at 211%
AUM: ₹2.88 Lakh Cr
💡 Why Consider Buying?
Reversal setup after long correction
Attractive risk-reward near base
Steady premium growth, strong solvency
Long-term growth play on India’s underpenetrated life insurance sector
🚫 Risks / Why to Wait:
Resistance at ₹590–₹610 still intact
PAT growth has been flat
Sector sentiment can be sensitive to interest rate trends
🎯 Trade Setup:
Buy Zone: ₹565–575
Target 1: ₹610
Target 2: ₹660
Stop Loss: ₹540
for educational purposes only
XAG USD LONG SETUP Silver Price has been in Strong Bullsh trend after invalidating the double top pattern it formed previously.
Thereafter creating an ascending wedge and then spread out into an ascending triangle, from which I made and took the long position snd it's still moving in our target direction, so we'll see how it ends
#XAUUSD: $3400 On The Way! Get Ready For Record High! Gold has rebounded to previous highs, maintaining a bullish trend. We expect it to continue this momentum, potentially reaching $3400 in the long term. To set take profit, consider $3250, $3300, and $3400. Use accurate risk management and conduct your own research before trading gold.
Please support us by liking and commenting on this idea.
Team Setupsfx_
#XAUUSD: Last Four Analysis Helped US Gain Over 4000+ Pips!Next?Our previous four analysis has yielded a substantial gain of over 4,000 pips. Analysing the current market situation, we anticipate that the price may either experience a significant drop or continue its upward trajectory.
Should a resolution be achieved between the trade tariffs imposed by China and the United States, we anticipate a substantial decline in gold prices. Conversely, if the situation remains unchanged, which is the more probable outcome at present, we will have two potential trading opportunities.
The first entry involves the assumption that the price will remain unchanged and continue its upward trend. The second entry is contingent upon a correction in the price.
We extend our best wishes and express our gratitude for your unwavering support throughout our endeavours. We sincerely hope that this analysis will serve as a valuable guide for your own trading endeavours.
Much Love
Team Setupsfx_
#USDJPY: Huge Risk To Buy Read The Description
Trading JPY pairs is risky due to the market’s volatility.
USDJPY fell below our buying zone due to JPY’s bullishness and USD’s weakness. While USD has yet to recover, JPY is consolidating. The market is undecided, leading to unusual market movements. We have three targets in this chart analysis. Use it as an alternative bias and have your own analysis and trade management.
Thanks for your support. We expect it to increase, helping us post more analysis.
Much Love🧡
Team Setupsfx
#GBPJPY: Will JPY Drop or Continue The Bullish Trend? As JPY strengthens, all ‘XXXJPY’ pairs sold heavily. This trade war scenario is uncertain, so it brings significant risk. If strong news supports the US DOLLAR, we’ll likely see a sharp price drop. Use accurate risk management and analyse before blindly following any advice.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best.
Thanks for your support and love.
Team Setupsfx_
Gold Skyrockets Like It's 2011: Are We There Yet?Gold has been on a powerful run since breaking above the 2100 resistance level in March 2024. After just one year of relentless gains and a return of over 60%, it has become one of the top-performing assets. But the big question now is: how far can this rally go? To the moon?
It's difficult to predict how far prices can climb during these kinds of parabolic moves. In 2011, the final green monthly bar alone rose 17% from open to high. These FOMO-fueled surges often lead to euphoric tops followed by painful bear markets. So, are we there yet?
Since Richard Nixon ended the dollar's gold backing and introduced the modern fiat system, gold's status as a safe haven has become even more prominent. Whenever there are heightened risks, whether geopolitical, fiscal, or related to the fiat money system, investors tend to flock to gold. The 2011 rally was a clear example of this. After the 2008 financial crisis and the quantitative easing that followed, gold became the go-to asset for both preserving value and speculative opportunity.
A similar pattern has unfolded following the COVID-19 shock. The Federal Reserve returned to aggressive quantitative easing, while both the Trump and Biden administrations increased fiscal spending, including direct payments to households. This surge in money supply and concerns about fiat stability, along with rising government debt, helped trigger another major gold rally. With the added risk of a trade war, the rally has accelerated further, pushing gold beyond 3300 and creating a situation that closely mirrors 2011.
Looking at the money supply-to-gold ratio and the US federal debt-to-gold ratio, gold now appears to be testing trendline levels. Its recent surge has made metrics like M2 and federal debt seem relatively smaller, which may be a sign that the rally is approaching exhaustion.
Still, history shows that final euphoric moves can stretch even higher before a true top is formed. Rather than trying to predict the peak, it's often better to wait for signs of price stabilization. Gold typically offers a second opportunity, often forming two peaks with the second lower than the first, before entering a bear phase.
In 1980, gold fell more than 60% within two years. After the 2011 top, it declined nearly 40%. Even if the retreat expected to be milder this time, gold could still offer a 20% or greater downside opportunity once the top is in.
Smart money has already started to take profits gradually. Net managed money positions in the COT report have decreased by 40% since January, as we discussed in our earlier post:
XAU USD LONG RESULT Gold Price has been in a Major uptrend although the trump Tarrifs and news and still continuing it's bullish rally,
As it yesterday I noticed the Symmetrical Triangle pattern the price was trading indo I waited for the breakout on either side, of which it broke to the upside, from which I took the long position and it move sporadically better than I expected.
Taking $3,280 as a psychological level.
THE LONNIE TANKED IN THE WAKE OF A SOFTER INFLATION READINGThe Lonnie is seen bearish during the Asian session. Meanwhile the overall trend is bearish but rebounded the previous day to close at 1.3958 a cumulative of + 58% for the day. The pair witnessed a slight resistance somewhere around 1.3977 but tanked afterwards and maintained this trajectory today the 16th of April 2025.
The pair is seen hovering around 1.3916 and 1.3904 which serves as minor support while waiting for the next catalyst to drive prices.
Talking about catalyst that drives prices, on the radar yesterday we saw the annual inflation rate in Canada fell to 2.3% in March of 2025 from eight-month high of 2.6% in the previous month, below market expectations that it would remain at 2.6% and below forecasts by the central bank of 2.5%. This decline could further explain the tank in the pair.
UPCOMING CATALYST:
Later today at 4:30PM GMT +4, markets await the release of U.S core retail sales and retail sales m/m simultaneously with a forecast of 0.4% a slight tick up from 0.3% from previous month and 1.3% a significant increase from 0.2% from previous month respectively.
At 5:45PM GMT +4, the BoC would likely hold its interest rate steady at 2.75% for the first it’s holding rate since June 2024.
LEVELS TO WATCH:
In view of the upcoming data release, analyst expects price to tank further to 1.3868 and probably resisted around 1.3833 if the CAD is strengthened against the USD, on the flipside, in the event that the USD gains momentum, then potential target would be around 1.3972 and further rally would eye 1.4071. However, further breakout of these levels is not ruled out as per analyst.
Aki Network ($AKI) Breaks Out of A Falling Wedge Surging 20%Aki Network ( NSE:AKI ) broke out of a falling wedge pattern delivering 20% gains to traders and investors. The asset has being in a falling wedge for the past 7 days before delivering this massive gains.
While currently up 14.5% for the past 4 hours, NSE:AKI is gearing up for another legged up should it break above the resistant point as the altcoin's chart pattern is depicting a three white crow candle stick pattern- a pattern typically seen as a continuation of a current trend pattern.
With the RSI at 75, we might experience a respite before the continuation move as the general crypto market is consolidating. Similarly, with listings on top exchanges, NSE:AKI could deliver a massive gain if the hype on multichain tokens emerge.
What is Aki Network?
Aki Network emerges as a pioneering project within the web3 domain, aiming to restructure the way information is organized and accessed. At its core, the network introduces a dual-layered approach: the Aki Protocol and the Aki Network application suite.
Aki Network Price Live Data
The Aki Network price today is $0.015637 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $15,320,266 USD. Aki Network is up 21.87% in the last 24 hours, with a market cap of $31,274,389 USD. It has a circulating supply of 2,000,000,000 AKI coins and a max. supply of 2,000,000,000 AKI coins.