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Fundamental Analysis

What Fuels Cisco's Quiet AI Domination?Cisco Systems, a long-standing titan in networking infrastructure, is experiencing a significant resurgence, largely driven by a pragmatic and highly effective approach to artificial intelligence. Unlike many enterprises chasing broad AI initiatives, Cisco focuses on solving "boring" yet critical customer experience problems. This strategy yields tangible benefits, including substantial reductions in support cases and significant time savings for customer success teams, ultimately freeing resources to address more complex challenges and enhance sales processes. This practical application of AI, coupled with a focus on resiliency, simplicity through unified interfaces, and personalized customer journeys, underpins Cisco's strengthening market position. The company's strategic evolution also involves a nuanced embrace of Agentic AI, viewing it not as a replacement for human intellect but as a powerful augmentation. This shift from AI as a mere "tool" to a "teammate" enables proactive problem detection and resolution, often before customers even recognize an issue. Beyond internal efficiencies, Cisco's growth is further fueled by shrewd strategic investments and acquisitions, such as the integration of Isovalent's eBPF technology. This acquisition has rapidly enhanced Cisco's offerings in cloud-native networking, security, and load balancing, demonstrating its agility and commitment to staying at the forefront of technological innovation. Cisco's robust financial performance and strategic partnerships, particularly with AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, underscore its market momentum. The company reports impressive growth in product revenues, especially in its Security and Observability segments, signaling a successful transition toward a more predictable, software-driven revenue model. This strong performance, combined with a clear vision for AI-driven customer experience and strategic collaborations, positions Cisco as a formidable force in the evolving technology landscape. The company's disciplined approach offers valuable lessons for any organization seeking to harness the transformative power of AI effectively.
NASDAQ:CSCOLong
by UDIS_View
Trading at the Market OpenTrading at the Market Open The market open marks a critical juncture in the financial world, presenting a unique blend of opportunities and challenges for traders. This article explores the essence of trading at the open across stocks, forex, and commodities. It delves into the heightened volatility and liquidity characteristic of this period, offering insights and strategies to navigate these early market hours effectively, setting the stage for trading opportunities. What Does the Open Mean in Stocks, Forex, and Commodities? The open signifies the start of the trading day for various financial markets. It's a time when trading activity surges, marked by a rush of orders that have accumulated since the previous close. In stock markets, this includes shares, indices, and Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). The influx of orders often leads to significant price movements as the market absorbs overnight news and global economic developments. For forex and commodity markets, the open can vary by region, reflecting their 24-hour nature. This period is crucial for setting the tone of the trading day, offering insights into sentiment and potential trends. Traders closely watch the market open to gauge the strength of these movements, which can indicate broader market trends or sector-specific shifts. Volatility and Liquidity at Market Open Trading at the open is often marked by enhanced volatility and liquidity. Heightened volatility is primarily due to the influx of orders accumulated overnight, reacting to various global events and news. As traders and investors assimilate this information, rapid price movements are common, especially in the first few minutes of the session. These price fluctuations can present both opportunities and risks for traders. Increased liquidity, which refers to the ease with which assets can be bought or sold without causing significant price movements, is also a characteristic of the open. A higher number of market participants during this period may result in better order execution and tighter bid-ask spreads, particularly in highly liquid markets like forex and major stock indices. What to Know Before the Market Opens In terms of things to know before the stock market opens, it's essential to review the overnight and early morning news that can affect stocks. This includes company earnings reports, economic data releases, and geopolitical events. Traders also check pre-market trading activity to gauge sentiment and potential opening price movements. For forex and commodities, understanding global events is crucial. Developments in different time zones, like policy changes by central banks or shifts in political scenarios, can significantly impact these markets. Additionally, reviewing the performance of international markets can provide insights, as they often influence the US open. It's also vital to analyse futures markets, as they can indicate how stock indices might open. Lastly, around the forex, commodity, and stock market openings, indicators and other technical analysis tools applied to the previous day can also offer valuable context for the day ahead. Market Open in Different Time Zones Market open times vary globally due to different time zones, significantly impacting trading strategies. For instance, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) opens at 9:30 AM Eastern Time, which corresponds to different times in other parts of the world. For traders in London, this translates to an afternoon session, while for those in Asian markets like Tokyo, it's late evening. Forex, operating 24 hours a day during weekdays, see overlapping sessions across different regions. For example, when the Asian trading session is concluding, the European session begins and later overlaps with the North American session. Such global interconnectivity ensures that forex markets are active round the clock, offering continuous trading opportunities but also requiring traders to be mindful of time zone differences and their impact on liquidity and volatility. Strategies for Trading at Market Open Trading at market open requires strategies that can handle rapid price movements across all markets. Here are some effective approaches: - Pay Attention to Pre-Market Trends: This helps traders assess how a stock might behave at the market open. If a stock is fading from post-market highs, it might be wise to wait for a trend change before entering​​. - Gap and Go Strategy: This involves focusing on stocks that gap up on positive news at market open, an indicator of potential further bullishness. Traders look for high relative volume in pre-market and enter trades on a break of pre-market highs. This strategy is fast-paced and requires quick decision-making​​. - Opening Range Breakout (ORB): The ORB strategy uses the early trading range (high and low) to set entry points for breakout trades across all types of assets. The breakout from this range, typically the first 30 to 60 minutes of the session, often indicates the price direction for the rest of the session. Time frames like 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute are commonly used for ORB​​. - Gap Reversal: The gap reversal method is used when the price creates a gap, but then the range breaks in the opposite direction. If the gap is bullish and the price breaks the lower level of the opening range, it signals a gap reversal. The same concept applies to bearish gaps but in reverse. The Bottom Line In essence, understanding unique features of market open trading is vital for those participating in stock, forex, and commodity markets. The opening moments are characterised by heightened volatility and liquidity, driven by global events and sentiment. However, savvy traders may capitalise on these early market dynamics with effective strategies. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by FXOpen
1
GOLD recovers from $3,371, risks remain highOn Tuesday (June 17) in the Asian market, the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly fell sharply in the short term, and the price of gold once fell below 3,380 USD/ounce. As investors watched the hostile situation between Israel and Iran, US President Trump called for an immediate withdrawal of troops from Iran and ordered officials to be ready in the situation room, boosting demand for safe-haven assets. Trump posted on his social media platform "Real Social": "Iran should sign the 'deal' I asked them to sign. What a shame and waste of lives. Simply put, Iran cannot have nuclear weapons. I have said this over and over again! Everyone should evacuate Tehran immediately!" Axios News reported that shortly after Trump's tweet, Iranian media reported explosions and heavy anti-aircraft fire in Tehran. It is unclear whether there is any connection between Trump's tweet and the attack. According to the latest report from Fox News, US President Trump asked the National Security Council to be on standby in the White House Situation Room after he cut short his trip to the G7 summit and returned to Washington earlier than expected. The White House Situation Room is a conference room and intelligence management center located in the basement of the West Wing of the White House, with a total area of ​​about 460 square meters. The main purpose of the White House Situation Room is to provide a working space for the National Security Council, including the President of the United States, the Vice President, the White House Chief of Staff, the Secretary of State, the Secretary of Defense, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, the National Security Advisor, etc., to quickly discuss and respond to sudden domestic and international events affecting the national security of the United States. It has advanced and complete security communication facilities, allowing the President of the United States to control the United States military around the world at any time. WTI crude oil prices rose about 3.00% on the day after Trump told officials to be ready in the situation room. These market risks clearly leave plenty of room for gold to rise, and the current decline, which is being driven by profit-taking, is unlikely to last. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD After a sharp decline, gold has recovered from the support level noted to readers in the previous issue at the price point of 3,371 USD, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement, and currently the original price point of 3,400 USD is the nearest resistance at present. If gold breaks above 3,400 USD, it will have the conditions to aim for the target of 3,435 USD in the short term. Currently, gold still has enough technical conditions for an uptrend with the price channel as the short-term trend, while the price channel as the long-term trend and the EMA21 as the nearest support at present. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50 and is far from overbought territory, suggesting that there is still plenty of room for upside ahead. The current declines should still be viewed as a short-term correction rather than a full-fledged trend, or as a buying opportunity. During the day, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted by the following positions. Support: $3,371 – $3,350 Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3420 - 3418⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3424 →Take Profit 1 3412 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3406 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3350 - 3352⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3346 →Take Profit 1 3358 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3364
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Meta & Microsoft: How Two Tech Titans Outran a Sinking Mag 7Forget about the Magnificent Seven and say hello to M&M — the only two winners of the year so far. If you blinked during the first half of 2025, you might’ve missed it: the mighty Magnificent Seven are starting to look more like a Scraggly Five. While Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA fumbled its autonomy narrative and Apple NASDAQ:AAPL spent more time designing slides for the WWDC than in keynotes, two names quietly did the thing — created shareholder value. Meta NASDAQ:META and Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT Both are up more than 13% year-to-date each, sitting comfortably at the top of the gains leaderboard. For comparison: Nvidia managed just 3% (and that’s with all the AI hype), and everyone else? Down. Flat. Or just ghosted by Wall Street. The iPhone maker? How’s 20% to the downside? Let’s break down how Meta and Microsoft dodged the selloff. 📞 Meta: Not About That Meta Meta NASDAQ:META came into 2025 like it had something to prove. Zuck had long gone full avatar with the metaverse. But now? Now he wants to win AI — and he’s putting his money where his data is. Meta’s latest foray into AI is a $14.3 billion investment into Scale AI. A 49% non-voting stake in the AI darling isn’t for fun — but for function. It’s a full-court press to close the Llama-size gap between Meta’s in-house models and the heavyweights like OpenAI and Anthropic. Scale AI, already one of Meta’s biggest vendors, processes and labels the data that fuels Meta’s large language models. It was only a matter of time before Zuck decided, “Hey, let’s just own a piece of the pipeline.” And in true tech soap opera fashion, Scale CEO Alexandr Wang last week confirmed in an internal memo he’s leaving to join Meta full-time. For those keeping score: Wang, born in 1997, became the youngest billionaire in 2021. Now, he’s headed into the belly of the Menlo Park beast. Wall Street seems to dig that. The stock shot up when the news leaked , as investors rewarded Meta for looking less like a social media giant and more like a serious AI player — even if it still serves your aunt’s minion memes. 👾 Microsoft: The OS of Enterprise Still Runs Smooth Meanwhile in Redmond, Satya Nadella was out here quietly running the table. Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT hit an all-time high of $480 on June 12, pushing its market cap to a record-breaking $3.5 trillion. For about a day or two before that, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA was on top — and then Microsoft did what Microsoft always does: calmly pressed Ctrl+Alt+Delete on its competition and reclaimed its spot as Earth’s most valuable company . How did that happen? Certainly not overnight. Azure continues to gobble cloud market share, Microsoft 365 is still the gold standard for digital productivity, and Teams — love it or hate it — is now basically corporate law. But don’t sleep on its AI game. Microsoft isn’t just throwing money at OpenAI, it’s embedding AI into everything it touches. Outlook, Excel, Word — all getting their Copilot upgrades. Want to finish that quarterly report faster? Let AI do it. Want it rewritten in pirate-speak? AI’s got you. Microsoft isn’t just building tools. It’s establishing an infrastructure for the new AI economy. And traders see that. They understand that while Nvidia sells the shovels, Microsoft owns the mine. 👩🏻‍💻 Why the Rest of the Mag 7 Didn’t Make the Cut Quick vibe check: Apple NASDAQ:AAPL Still chasing the AI breakthrough. No one talks about the Vision Pro headset anymore, and the annual WWDC event wasn’t anything special. The stock is down 20% on the year. Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA Robotaxis are coming ( maybe even this week ). But earnings pressure and margin squeeze made investors wish for more than tweets and timelines. The shares are underwater by 14% YTD. Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN E-commerce growth hit cruise control, and its AI presence still feels more like an R&D lab than a monetized machine. The stock is staring at a 3.7% loss, largely thanks to Amazon getting slapped in the face from Trump’s tariffs . Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL Search is still dominant, but Gemini’s bumpy launch and questionable performance has traders waiting for Google to actually ship something great, and not just strip the results from the iconic blue links . The stock is down 8%. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA Yes, still the king of chips. And yes, it’s still delivering. But with valuation stretched like Lululemons in a CrossFit class and export bans weighing heavy , it’s getting harder to maintain the pace. 🍻 Trading Lesson: Leadership Rotates If you’re a trader who’s been glued to Nvidia’s every tick or still buying dips on Apple because it “has to come back,” let this be your mid-year reminder: the market doesn’t care what used to lead. Leadership rotates. Fundamentals shift. And sometimes, the best trade is the one hiding behind less hype and more function. Case in point: While Apple’s been trying to find a catalyst, Meta just found a whole new business partner. While Nvidia’s been spinning plates on export rules, Microsoft’s just printing money off the back of Office subscriptions and Azure servers. 👀 What Happens Next? With the second half of the year approaching, all eyes are on: Meta’s AI ambitions — can the Scale deal accelerate model performance fast enough to close the gap with rivals? Microsoft’s cloud dominance — can Azure continue its double-digit growth without hitting the regulatory radar? Earnings, earnings, earnings — it’s almost the season again! Earnings reports kick off in about a month and things will get cracking. Whatever happens, don’t bet the farm on what used to work. Watch the rotation. Track the strategy shifts. And for the love of charts — keep one eye on the Earnings Calendar . 💬 Final Thought If Meta and Microsoft can shine while their peers flounder, what does that say about the real winners in this new AI economy? Maybe it’s not about who builds the flashiest model — but who actually knows how to monetize it. What’s your thought?
SP:SPX
by TradingView
9
Bitcoin: Strong Support Holds Amid Market UncertaintyBitcoin: Strong Support Holds Amid Market Uncertainty Bitcoin recently tested a key support zone near 102,670, bouncing back in alignment with the broader bullish trend. The ongoing Middle East conflict continues to reinforce BTC’s strength, establishing another solid support level at 102,650, which signals that the price remains well-supported by buyers around this zone. For Bitcoin to dip below this area, it would likely require significant market manipulation or unexpected developments. At present, BTC suggests an upward trajectory, potentially reaching 107,850, 109,100, and even a retest of the previous highs near 111,500. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
9
Geopolitics (Iran/Israel), 6 relevant risk barometersGeopolitics is in the spotlight this week, along with the FED's monetary policy decision. Geopolitical news is covered by the general media, so there's no need here to repeat information that's accessible to everyone. We therefore propose to review our selection of stock market barometers which, in our opinion, best measure the intensity of geopolitical risk. 1) Oil and natural gas prices Naturally, oil price trends are the main barometer of the geopolitical risk of the current confrontation between Israel and Iran. Although Iran accounts for just 3% of the world's oil supply, the region itself represents 20%, and above all there is a risk of closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which 25% of the world's oil supply passes. Technical analysis of the oil price is therefore the primary tool for measuring the intensity of current geopolitical tensions. The price of oil recently returned to the former technical support of $65, but there is no major bullish technical signal as long as the price of US crude oil remains below resistance at $80. We must therefore keep a close eye on the $80 threshold for US oil. 2) The trend of the S&P 500 index, the benchmark of Western finance The equity market is the second barometer of geopolitical risk that we offer. The most important thing is to select the stock indices that best represent the perception of geopolitical tensions. We believe that the S&P 500 future contract does this job well, as it is the most widely traded stock market futures index in terms of volume by global high finance. A few days ago, we published a detailed graphical analysis of the S&P500 index, which you can consult by clicking on the image below. 3) Trends on the main stock markets in the Near and Middle East Equity markets in the Near and Middle East are excellent indicators of the current perception of geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel. We suggest you take a look at the Saudi Arabian Stock Exchange (Tadawul), the region's largest in terms of market capitalization. Naturally, you should also follow the trend of the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange's flagship index, the TA 35, as well as that of the Egyptian stock market. These markets have the advantage of being open on Sundays, and are often a good early indicator of trends in Asia and Europe for Monday morning. 4) The trend of the US dollar (DXY) on the foreign exchange market (Forex) and of gold on the commodities market On the floating foreign exchange market (FX), it is the US dollar that plays to the full its safe-haven aspect. In the event of geopolitical tensions spiraling out of control, it would make a strong bullish reversal. This week, however, the US dollar will be under the influence of the FED. So it's best to trust gold's trend as a barometer of geopolitical risk. Geopolitics is not necessarily the dominant fundamental factor, but rather the dynamics of interest rates and the US dollar. 5) The TRUFLATION trend If current geopolitical tensions were to become a major global shock, international trade would be disrupted, and transport difficulties would lead to a sharp rise in prices, particularly for raw materials and industrial goods. This potential price rise would then be rapidly reflected in TRUFLATION, the benchmark for real-time price dynamics in the USA. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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NYMEX:CL1!
by Swissquote
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 17, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continues to experience significant pressure against the US dollar (USD), showing a three-day decline and trading above the key psychological level of 145.000. This weakening is largely due to growing market expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may delay raising rates until the first quarter of next year. The main reason for this delay is said to be the continuing uncertainty surrounding future US tariff policy, which could have a significant impact on global trade flows and Japan's economic growth. Moderate but steady growth in the US dollar is also contributing to the strengthening of the USD/JPY position, pushing the pair to new highs during the Asian trading session. However, market participants are cautious about aggressive bearish bets against the yen ahead of the upcoming Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting. This meeting is seen as a critical event that could provide additional signals about the central bank's long-term policy outlook. Any hints of a change in tone or new assessments of the economic situation will be carefully analyzed by traders. In addition to central bank decisions, growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may help limit deeper losses for the Japanese yen. As a traditional “safe haven,” the yen typically attracts investors during periods of global instability, which may offset some of the negative impact of interest rate differentials. In addition, the outlook for the USD/JPY pair is influenced by the growing recognition that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may lower borrowing costs in 2025. Expectations of future Fed rate cuts could hinder further strengthening of the US dollar and thus limit the upside potential of the USD/JPY pair. Overall, the market remains in anticipation of key decisions that will determine the future trajectory of one of the world's most actively traded currency pairs. Trading recommendation: SELL 144.550, SL 145.000, TP 143.600
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Telefónica: Consolidation or the Start of a New Bullish Phase?Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst Telefónica is experiencing one of its strongest market moments in recent years, with a nearly 20% appreciation so far in 2025 and a share price that has reached €4.73. These are levels not seen since July 2022, sparking renewed investor interest, although questions remain regarding its ability to sustain this momentum. Fundamental Analysis The company is undergoing a structural transformation aimed at improving profitability and reducing operational risk. In this regard, it has accelerated the divestment of assets in less strategic Latin American markets such as Ecuador, Peru, Argentina, Uruguay, and Colombia, focusing instead on its core operations in Europe and Brazil. This strategy has allowed Telefónica to reduce its exposure to currency volatility and improve capital allocation efficiency. Despite reporting a net loss of €1.304 billion for the fiscal year, this figure is primarily attributable to accounting write-downs related to asset disposals and does not undermine its cash flow generation capacity or its commitment to maintain the annual dividend of €0.30. With a customer base exceeding 390 million and a solid infrastructure network, the operator remains a key player in the markets where it operates. Its current focus on financial discipline and risk profile improvement aligns with an environment in which operational stability and efficiency outweigh aggressive growth strategies. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, Telefónica broke through a significant resistance level at €4.430 at the end of May — a ceiling in place since its sharp price drop in 2020. This breakout was accompanied by a notable increase in volume, adding validity to the move. The current price of €4.610 aligns with a medium-term high. If the stock manages to consolidate above the €4.628 high in the coming weeks, it could pave the way toward €5.00, where the next relevant resistance level lies, coinciding with the current point of control at €5.064. Conversely, a failure to hold above current levels could lead to a retracement toward the current moving average around €3.930 or slightly above, where previous highs now act as support. The RSI currently stands in overbought territory at 64.67%, suggesting there may still be room for an upward move toward the €5.00 point of control zone if bullish momentum persists. Conclusion Telefónica is at a pivotal stage in its strategic redefinition, a process that has begun to reflect positively in its share price. This shift is driven by a more rational approach to risk management, a clear focus on priority markets, and a sustained commitment to financial discipline. The technical breakout from historic resistance levels strengthens the case for a continued bullish trend, although caution remains warranted: further upside will depend on sustained consolidation above current levels and the emergence of solid catalysts to support the company’s narrative. After years of sideways movement, the stock has finally broken out — now comes the true test: turning this rally into a lasting trend. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
BME:TEFLong
by ActivTrades
Citigroup predicts a decline in gold prices? Blacklisted?Information summary: Citigroup analysts predict that by the second half of 2026, gold will fall back to around $2,500-2,700, with a significant reduction in investment demand, improved global economic growth prospects, and a decline in the factors that led to the rise in gold prices due to the Fed's interest rate cut. My point of view is: blacklist Citigroup. Since last year, they have predicted that the highest point of gold prices will exceed $4,000, and they have constantly changed the forecast point in the middle, and now they even point out that the price will fall below $3,000, which is completely unreliable. Market analysis: In the early Asian session, it also rose strongly, and it seems that there is a lot of upward momentum, but $3,405 is the pressure position for the top and bottom conversion, and the rise in the morning is a lure. At this position, it fell rapidly, reaching a minimum of around $3,373. The Asian market seemed to rebound strongly in the morning, but the MA5 and MA10 moving averages showed a downward trend. This kind of market cannot wait for a decline to go long, but it is also a repeated wash-out shock. The first focus below is the 3375-3370 area, followed by 3360. The short-term trend is still dominated by wash-out shocks. The short-term important focus position is around 3405. 3405 is used as the dividing point between long and short positions. A short-selling strategy is carried out near this position. Pay attention to the 3375-3360 area below.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
Gold Price Analysis June 17The D1 candle shows profit-taking by the sellers, pushing the price back below 3400. In the current context, the pullback is only short-term and has not confirmed the reversal, but long-term Buy signals can still be noticed at important support zones. Today, there are many price zones that can BUY Gold, so wait for confirmation before placing an order. Gold is heading towards the first support around 3375-3373. This is also the Breakout zone. If it breaks out, Gold will go to 3343-3341 to be able to BUY (pay attention to sell break). If there is a sweep to 3343 and then bounces and closes above the 3373 breakout zone, it confirms that the uptrend will continue strongly in the near future. The next BUY support zone to pay attention to is 3322-3320 and the 3305-3303 zone. The BUY order target is always pushed further back to 3415 or 3443.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
WLD Sparks Panic Here’s Why the Worst Might Still Be AheadYello Paradisers, have you seen how #WLDUSDT just collapsed out of nowhere? After weeks of slow, grinding price action inside a dangerous ascending broadening wedge, #Worldcoin has finally snapped, and this breakdown could be the start of something much bigger. 💎We had this move on the radar well in advance, as the structure continued maturing. The wedge was perfectly defined by rising support and resistance levels, and price got smacked down with precision from the top of that range. When #WLD printed a clear Change of Character (CHOCH), breaking beneath the wedge’s lower boundary, it wasn’t noise it was a direct signal of weakening momentum and a confirmed shift in market structure toward the downside. 💎What followed was a textbook retest of the breakdown level, which now aligns with a powerful supply and resistance zone between $1.069 and $1.125. As long as the price remains trapped below this zone, the bearish momentum stays in full control. Right now, the next area we’re eyeing is $0.847, where price might see a temporary pause. But make no mistake if the selling continues, #WLD is likely heading toward $0.580, and in the most extended bearish case, we’re watching the major support base at $0.347. 💎Any invalidation of this bearish setup would require a full breakout above $1.623, but with the current market structure, that kind of reversal seems extremely unlikely without a strong macro or fundamental catalyst flipping the narrative. Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
5
Gold trading strategy June 17D1 candle shows profit taking by sellers pushing the price back below 3400. In the current context, the pullback is only short-term and has not confirmed the reversal, but long-term Buy signals can still be noticed at important support zones. Today, there are many price zones that can BUY Gold, so wait for confirmation before placing an order. Gold is heading towards the first support around 3375-3373 (this zone has just reacted 100 pips). This is also the Breakout zone. If it breaks this zone, Gold will reach 3343-3341 before it can BUY. Note that to sell break 3373 and the SELL resistance point must wait for 3415 and the daily resistance 3443-3445 If there is a sweep to 3343 and bounces and closes above the 3373 breakout zone, it confirms that the uptrend will continue strongly in the near future. The next BUY support zone to pay attention to is 3322-3320 and the 3305-3303 zone. The BUY target is always pushed further back to 3415 or to the peak around 3443. SUPPORT: 3373;3342;3322;3304 RESISTANCE: 3415;3443
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
XAU / USD ANALYSIS [Bullish Bias]Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum, supported by key technical levels and favorable market structure. Price action remains constructive above the major support zone, indicating potential for further upside. I'm closely monitoring the following levels for a high-probability long setup: Demand Zone / Support Level: Entry key level: 3375 - 3370 As long as gold holds above this support, the bias remains bullish with potential for a continuation toward higher resistance levels. A break and sustained move above the entry zone would confirm bullish strength and could trigger the next leg up. Risk management remains key waiting for clear confirmation before entering is advised. #GOLD, #FOREX , # VeloraFXReal
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VeloraFXReal
Bitcoin Strategic Interval, CME Dislocation and Macro Friction.⊢ 𝟙⟠ - BTC/USDT - Binance - (CHART: 1W) - (June 17, 2025). ⟐ Analysis Price: $106,851.31. ⊢ I. ⨀ Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval - (1W): ▦ EMA21 – ($96,818.00): ∴ The current candle closes +10.3% above the EMA21, maintaining bullish dominance over the mid-term dynamic average; ∴ This is the 17th consecutive weekly candle closing above the EMA21 since its reclaim in February 2025, forming a structurally intact uptrend; ∴ No violation or wick-close below the EMA21 has occurred since April, and the distance from price to EMA21 remains within a standard deviation of mid-trend movement. ✴ Conclusion: The trend is active and preserved. EMA21 acts as dynamic support and bullish pressure zone. A reversion would only be expected if weekly closes return below $98K with volume confirmation. ⊢ ▦ SMA200 – ($48,969.73): ∴ The 200-week simple moving average remains untouched since early 2023, never tested during the current cycle; ∴ The slope of the SMA200 is positive and gradually increasing, indicating a long-term structural trend recovery; ∴ Price stands +118% above the SMA200, a level historically associated with mid-cycle rallies or overheated continuation phases. ✴ Conclusion: The SMA200 confirms long-term bullish structure. Its current distance from price makes it irrelevant for immediate action but critical as the absolute invalidation level of the macro trend. ⊢ ▦ Ichimoku – Kumo | Tenkan | Kijun: ∴ Price is above the Kumo cloud, with Span A ($107,172.16) and Span B ($98,562.38) creating a bullish tunnel of support; ∴ The Kijun-sen rests at $95,903.19, slightly below EMA21, and aligns with the last strong horizontal range; ∴ Chikou Span is free from historical candles, confirming trend continuity under Ichimoku principles. ✴ Conclusion: All Ichimoku components are aligned bullish. Pullbacks to the Kijun around $96K would be healthy within a macro-uptrend, and only sub-cloud closes would question this formation. ⊢ ▦ Fibonacci - (Swing Low $49,000 – High $111,980): ∴ Bitcoin remains between the (0.236 Fibo - $97,116.72) and local top at $111,980, showing respect for fib-based resistance; ∴ The (0.5 Fibo - $80,490.00) has not been retested since March, confirming the range compression toward upper quadrants; ∴ Weekly price is consolidating under fib extension with decreasing body size, suggesting strength with pause. ✴ Conclusion: The Fibonacci structure confirms bullish extension phase. If $97K breaks, retracement to (0.382 Fibo - $87,921.64) is expected. Otherwise, the breakout above $112K enters full projection territory. ⊢ ▦ MACD – (Values: 1,077.98 | 5,963.81 | 4,885.82): ∴ MACD line remains above signal line for the third consecutive week, recovering from a prior bearish cross in April; ∴ The histogram has printed higher bars for four weeks, but the slope of growth is decelerating; ∴ Positive cross occurred just below the zero-line, which often results in delayed reactions or failures unless reinforced by volume. ✴ Conclusion: MACD signals a weak but persistent momentum recovery. Reaffirmation depends on histogram expansion above 1,500+ and signal spread widening. ⊢ ▦ RSI – (Close: 64.37 | MA: 57.56): ∴ The RSI is in the bullish upper quadrant, but without overbought extension, suggesting active buying without euphoria; ∴ The RSI has been above its moving average since mid-May, maintaining a healthy angle; ∴ Momentum is not diverging from price yet, but is approaching the 70 zone, historically a point of hesitation. ✴ Conclusion: RSI confirms controlled strength. Further advance without consolidation may trigger premature profit-taking. Above 70, caution increases without being bearish. ⊢ ▦ Volume - (16.97K BTC): ∴ Weekly volume is slightly above the 20-week average, marking a minor recovery in participation; ∴ There is no volume spike to validate a breakout, which is common in compressive ranges near resistance; ∴ Volume has been declining since mid-May, forming a local divergence with price highs. ✴ Conclusion: Volume profile supports current levels but does not confirm breakout potential. A rejection with strong volume will mark local exhaustion. ⊢ II. ∆ CME Technical Dislocation – BTC1! Futures: ▦ CME GAP – BTC1! – ($107,445.00): ∴ The CME Futures opened this week at $105,060.00 and closed the previous session at $107,445.00; ∴ A clear unfilled gap persists between $105,060.00 and $107,900.00, with price action hovering just above the top edge; ∴ Bitcoin has a consistent historical behavior of returning to close such gaps within a short- to mid-term range. ✴ Conclusion: The unfilled CME gap acts as a gravitational technical force. As long as price remains below $109K without volume expansion, the probability of revisiting the $105K area remains elevated. ⊢ III. ∫ On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ Exchange Inflow Total - (All Exchanges): ∴ Current inflow volume remains below the 1,000 Bitcoin daily threshold, indicating no panic selling or institutional exits; ∴ This inflow level corresponds to accumulation or holding phases, rather than distribution; ∴ The pattern matches a neutral-to-positive mid-cycle environment. ✴ Conclusion: There is no structural on-chain pressure. As long as inflows remain low, risk of capitulation or distribution is minimal. ⊢ ▦ Spot Taker CVD - (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 90-day CVD shows continued dominance of taker buys over sells, reflecting ongoing demand strength in spot markets; ∴ However, the curve is flattening, suggesting buyers are meeting resistance or fading interest; ∴ No sharp reversal in the CVD curve is detected — only saturation. ✴ Conclusion: Demand remains dominant, but the pace is decelerating. Without renewed volume, this curve may revert or plateau. ⊢ ▦ Exchange Inflow Mean - (MA7) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 7-day moving average of exchange inflow continues to decline steadily; ∴ This metric often precedes calm phases or pre-breakout plateaus; ∴ Historical patterns show similar inflow behavior before prior volatility expansions. ✴ Conclusion: A period of silence is unfolding. Reduced mean inflow suggests price is awaiting external catalysts for movement. ⊢ ▦ Funding Rates – (Binance): ∴ Current funding rates are neutral, with slight positive bias, suggesting balanced long-short sentiment; ∴ No extreme spikes indicate absence of excessive leverage; ∴ This equilibrium typically precedes significant directional moves. ✴ Conclusion: Market is leveled. Funding neutrality reflects hesitation and prepares ground for upcoming directional choice. ⊢ IV. ⚖️ Macro–Geopolitical Axis – (Powell, Middle East & BTC/XAU): ▦ MACRO CONTEXT: ∴ Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak on Wednesday (June 19), with markets anticipating remarks on rate stability or future hikes; ∴ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) elevate risk-off behavior in traditional markets; ∴ Bitcoin has triggered a rare Golden Cross vs. Gold, as noted by U.Today, signaling digital strength over legacy value. ✴ Conclusion: Macro remains the primary external catalyst. Powell’s statement will determine short-term volatility. Until then, Bitcoin floats between its technical support and CME magnetism, with gold dynamics providing long-term bullish backdrop. ⊢ ⚜️ 𝟙⟠ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis! ⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⊢
by Magister_Arcanvm
2
Sell-Side Breakdown for XAUUSD (Gold) on the 15-Minute chart🔻 Sell-Side Analysis – June 17, 2025 🧠 Context & Market Structure Price rejected major resistance around 3415–3448 zone. SL Hunt zone marked at mid-levels around 3400–3408, showing manipulation. Current price: ~3397, after bouncing from the Daily Flip (support) at ~3388. --- 📉 Bearish Case Setup 1. Distribution Pattern at the Top The upper resistance zone has been tested multiple times without a breakout. Clear sign of exhaustion, with possible Smart Money Distribution. 2. Lower High Formation After breaking the short-term demand (green box), price formed a lower high near 3404–3405. Bearish market structure forming. 3. Consolidation Breakdown Likely Price is currently inside a small consolidation box (3393–3402). Failure to break and hold above 3402 = bearish continuation. Look for breakdown retests below 3393 to confirm. --- 🔻 Sell Zones Zone 1: 3402–3405 = good supply/retest area for shorts. Zone 2: 3410–3413 = high-risk re-entry (SL hunt zone retest). --- 🎯 Targets for Shorts TP1: 3388 (Daily Flip) TP2: 3373–3375 (next volume node and support block) TP3: 3365 (if full breakdown with momentum) --- 🛡️ Invalidation Clean break and hold above 3405–3410 invalidates bearish bias short term. If price reclaims SL Hunt zone and flips it, bullish continuation is likely. --- 🔍 Volume + Order Flow Notes Volume spikes around support zone hint at buyer absorption, not dominance. Bullish bounce lacked follow-through = potential sign of weak buyers.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Siddharth_Joshi
Geopolitics and Fed policies dominate the trend of gold prices 📌 Gold news On Monday, boosted by the risk aversion of the Iran-Israel war, the gold price hit a high of 3452, but the continuity was not strong, and a series of other adjustments appeared; let's briefly sort it out: 1: Adjustment: Adjustment is normal. If the market rises, if the risk aversion does not continue to exert force, then the gold price can only return to technical adjustments. Therefore, Monday's adjustment trend and the decline trend are normal! 2: Risk aversion trend: The risk aversion trend will not be reversed for the time being! Once the war starts, it will not end easily; unless the interests of both sides are not damaged, the two sides agree to a ceasefire, but at present, the hope and probability are relatively small, so the risk aversion trend is the mainstream of the current global market; 3: The direction of the Iran-Israel war is nothing more than a few possibilities: A: The war expands, the surrounding countries stand in line, and the US and Western imperialism join the battlefield; the war expands rapidly! At the same time, Iran is forced to block the Strait of Hormuz! This is a manifestation of escalating war; B: Both sides, as well as the forces behind them, have calculated their interests, reached an agreement, and agreed to end the war conflict; this mainly depends on Iran's attitude; is it "powerful and unyielding", continuing to oppose the United States and imperialism; or is it pro-American, completely changing its identity, or changing its identity to submit to Israel and the United States; To sum up: risk aversion eased slightly on Monday, but the overall global market is still risk-averse; technical adjustments are normal trends; but don't completely ignore the importance of risk aversion and risk aversion control because of technical adjustments; in addition, the subsequent results of the Middle East war are nothing more than the above two; what determines all this is the attitude of both sides; 📊Comment Analysis Although the gold price fell below 3400 and the short-term trend changed, the general direction still remains bullish. In the future, it is still expected to hit the high point of 3500, but it is necessary to wait patiently for the bottom to stabilize before choosing the opportunity to buy the bottom. The current market is changing rapidly, and investors should adhere to the principle of following the trend and flexibly adjust their trading strategies. 💰Strategy Package Short-term gold 3383-3393 long, stop loss 3372, target 3420-3440; Short-term gold 3420-3430 short, stop loss 3435, target 3390-3370; ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
Gold Trading Strategy June 16There is not much surprise when the price gap up appeared on Monday morning there is no barrier that can stop the price of gold from increasing towards ATH. Gold has a slight adjustment in Tokyo session after the price gap up touched the round resistance zone 3450. The adjustment may extend to 3413 in European session. This is a BUY zone with the expectation that Gold will regain the ATH hook. If broken, there will be some Scalping buy zones but the risk is quite high so to be safe, wait for 3398. In the long term, 3463 acts as temporary resistance for a reaction phase before Gold returns to its all-time high. Maybe before that, 3490 will have another price reaction before reaching the peak. Resistance: 3428 (Scalping) - 3444 - 3463 - 3490 Support: 3413- 3298
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
3
GOLD- XAU-USD Hello Traders! The GOLD MARKET is on fire! 🚨🔥 XAUUSD has officially broken above the key resistance zone — this is not just a move, this could be the start of something BIG! 💥📈 Is this the golden breakout we’ve been waiting for, or just a short-lived spike? Are we heading toward the next major target, or is a pullback on the horizon? 🎯🔍 Your insights matter — comment below with your analysis and let’s decode this golden move together! Stay sharp, stay golden! ⚔️💰 #XAUUSD #GoldBreakout #ForexTraders #MarketMomentum #GoldAnalysis #TradeSmart
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
Continue to be bullish after successful adjustment of low longToday, gold opened high at 3448, and fell under pressure after touching 3452. It fell after repeatedly confirming resistance at high levels. We arranged short orders in the 3445-3450 area, successfully touched the target of 3330, and realized profit-taking. Then the market fell back to around 3409 and stabilized and rebounded. We arranged long orders and stopped profit at around 3420. Then we fell back and arranged long orders of 3385 and 3395 to take profits at 3405. Overall, gold fell slowly after opening high, and maintained sideways consolidation in the European session. The US session continued to fall due to the easing of the geopolitical situation. At present, the focus of the evening is on the support of 3390. If it does not break after the retracement, it can still go long. Pay attention to the key pressure levels of 3410 and 3422 above. The current market is still in the adjustment stage of the upward trend. After the adjustment, it is expected to continue the upward rhythm. Operation suggestion: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3390-3392, with the target at 3410 and 3435. If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel