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Fundamental Analysis

BITCOIN → Consolidation before the breakout. When do we go up?BINANCE:BTCUSD continues to consolidate, but within a strong bullish structure. The price is approaching the trigger, the breakout of which may provoke the formation of an upward impulse Globally, the coin is still in the phase of realizing a global " cup and handle ", which I reminded one of the first back in August: A good signal that hints that the growth is likely to continue is the fact that after a strong growth and testing 100K the price does not fall, but consolidates with gradually rising local lows, it is also worth paying attention to MA-50, which acts as a strong support. Within this consolidation we have clear zones, within which the price is trading and accumulating potential, and there is also a clear trigger, the breakout of which can provoke the continuation of growth (distribution). But next week is the Fed meeting on December 17-18, and there may be short-term market manipulative reactions. Be careful Resistance levels: 101.8K, 104.1K Support levels: 98.9K, 94.15K Technically, the focus is on 101.8 - 98.9. Consolidation is forming inside this channel. I do not exclude a chance of support retest in the format of a false breakdown before further growth. Another deep correction to the lower liquidity zone - 94.1K is also possible. But until the price breaks 101.8, bitcoin will not go up, and based on the chart, the event is close and the chance is high Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
33
Algorand ALGOUSD Periodic Analysis (Issue 52)The analyst believes that the price of { ALGOUSD } will increase in the next 24 days. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame. ------- Risk warning Investing in high-risk financial markets not only offers the potential for profit but also carries the possibility of losing a portion or even the entirety of your capital. Various factors, such as market fluctuations, economic and political events, and asset-specific risks, can impact the value of your investments. Prior to making any investment, carefully assess all associated risk factors.
BINANCE:ALGOUSDLong
by MoonriseTA
Playing Both Sides of the Upcoming USD Monetary Policy DecisionTwo trading opportunities for the price of one today as we look at difference scenarios that may play out from out upcoming US monetary policy announcement this Wednesday. The first trading opportunity on the NZDUSD is a bearish trend continuation/breakout trade that would take advantage of US Dollar strength in the market. The second trading opportunity on the AUDUSD is a bearish gartley pattern that would complete if the reaction to Wednesday's decision provided us with US Dollar weakness. I personally would not recommend trading through these news events, rather waiting for the outcome (confirmation) and making a decision afterwards, but it's your money and you can do whatever you want with it! lol If you have any questions, comments or want to share you views, please do so below as I love reading through them. Akil
Short
by Akil_Stokes
2
BULLISH NZDUSD PREPARING FOR FLASH PMI TOMMOROW From a technical standpoint, The NZDUSD remains firmly entrenched in a bearish trend. The pair is nearing critical support at the 0.5740 level which is seems ti have been breached and could possibly pave a further decline. The NZD/USD pair extended it's downward trajectory on Friday thereby retesting very interersting zones that helped me come up with this analysis. The sustained weakens in the NZDUSD reflects a combination of factors including a dovish stance by the Reserve bank of NZ persistant concerns over China's economuc recovery and robust USD supported by shifting federal reserve monetary policy expectations. This particular analysis I'm cutting corners looking for bullish sentiments based on tomorrows PMI DATA. The NZDUSD pair has been left at the mercy of a broader market sentiment and traders appear reluctant to take aggressive positions ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting this week. The meeting is expected to provide further insight into Fed's policy outlook and could potentially influence the pair's trajectory in the near term hence the bullish outlook I'm looking to get inside buy positions Trade recommendation BUY NZDUSD SL 0.575336 TP 1 - 0.577769 TP 2 - 0.578698 TP 3 - 0.579761
Long
by XAUSEER
USD/JPY Short term Buy read what below 1) Short Term (Maximum One Month) Rating: Buy Average Target Price: 153.00 - 155.00 Justification: Economic Data: Recent US economic data reports, including CPI and employment figures, have been strong, suggesting a resilient economy, which generally supports a stronger dollar. Interest Rates: The expectation of the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance with potential rate hikes creates upward pressure on the USD against the JPY, especially as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) shows reluctance to adjust its significantly lower rates. Market Sentiment: Analyst projections indicate a bullish trend for USD, with reports highlighting robust performance in USD over major currencies and a potential target nearing 155.00. Geopolitical Stability: The US dollar is considered a safe haven amidst geopolitical uncertainties, maintaining demand over the JPY. 2) Medium Term (6-12 Months) Rating: Hold Average Target Price: 150.00 - 152.00 Justification: Economic Outlook: While the USD looks strong in the near term, medium-term trends suggest some volatility as markets adjust to the Fed's policy changes. Exchange Rate Dynamics: Analysts indicate that USD/JPY may trade in a range as US economic growth faces headwinds from potential recession fears leading into the latter half of 2025. Inflation Impacts: If inflation remains stubbornly high, the Fed may need to adjust rates further, but this could lead to economic slowdowns in the US, impacting growth and therefore the USD. Bank of Japan Policy: Any shift in the BoJ’s policy, especially if it decides to hike rates, would impact the USD/JPY exchange rate and could stabilize the yen against the dollar. 3) Long Term (2-5 Years) Rating: Sell Average Target Price: 140.00 - 145.00 Justification: Economic Shifts: Over a horizon of 2-5 years, structural changes in the Japanese economy might lead to stronger growth outcomes compared to the US, encouraging a stronger yen. Demographic Trends: Japan’s demographic shifts may compel the government to adopt more aggressive fiscal policies, potentially strengthening the yen. Global Economic Position: As the global economy transitions, shifts in trade dynamics and investment flows could favor the JPY over the USD, especially if US economic dominance wanes. Long-Term Interest Rate Trends: If the BoJ is forced to raise rates while the Fed enters an easing cycle, the relative attractiveness of Japanese securities could enhance the yen’s strength against the dollar. Conclusion The USD/JPY pair is positioned for short-term gains due to robust US economic data and a hawkish Fed stance. However, the medium-term outlook reflects potential volatility and a need for cautious holding, while the long-term perspective suggests a potential depreciation of the USD against the JPY as structural factors evolve. Monitoring economic data, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical developments will be critical in refining these views.
by FreeAnas
1
#MASK (SPOT) entry range( 2.86- 3.66)T.(12.00) SL( 2.727)BINANCE:MASKUSDT (Infrastructure) Entry ( 2.86- 3.66) SL 1D close below 2.727 T1 6.5 T2 7.8 T3 9.0 T4 12.0 ______________________________________________________________ Golden Advices. ******************** * collect the coin slowly in the entry range. * Please calculate your losses before the entry. * Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you. * No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey. Useful Tags. **************** My total posts www.tradingview.com 1Million Journey www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com ********************************************************************************************** #Manta #OMNI #DYM #AI #IO #XAI #ACE #NFP #RAD #WLD #ORDI #BLUR #SUI #VOXEL #AEVO #VITE #APE #RDNT #FLUX #NMR #VANRY #TRB #HBAR #DGB #XEC #ERN #ALT #IO #ACA #HIVE #ASTR #ARDR #PIXEL #LTO #AERGO #SCRT #ATA #HOOK #FLOW #KSM #HFT #MINA #DATA #SC #JOE #RDNT #IQ #CFX #BICO #CTSI #KMD #FXS #DEGO #FORTH #AST #PORTAL #CYBER #RIF #ENJ #ZIL #APT #GALA #STEEM #ONE #LINK #NTRN #COTI #RENDER #ICX #IMX #ALICE #PYR #PORTAL #GRT #GMT #IDEX #NEAR #ICP #ETH #QTUM #VET #QNT #API3 #BURGER #MOVR #SKL #BAND #ETHFI #SAND #IOTX #T #GTC #PDA #GMX #REZ #DUSK #BNX
Long
by Crypto_alphabit
1
#MASK (SPOT) entry range( 1.940- 2.440) T.(4.549 ) SL( 1.826 )BINANCE:MASKUSDT entry range ( 1.940- 2.440) Target1 (3.581 ) - Target2 ( 4.549 ) SL .1D close below (1.826 ). *** Collect the coin slowly in the entry range *** *** No FOMO - No RUSH - it is a long journey *** **** #Manta #OMNI #DYM #AI #IO #XAI #ACE #NFP #RAD #WLD #ORDI #BLUR #SUI #VOXEL #AEVO #VITE #APE #RDNT #FLUX #NMR #VANRY #TRB #HBAR #DGB #XEC #ERN #ALT #IO #ACA #HIVE #ASTR #ARDR #PIXEL #LTO #AERGO #SCRT #ATA #HOOK #FLOW #KSM #HFT #MINA #DATA #SC #JOE #RDNT #IQ #CFX #BICO #CTSI #KMD #FXS #DEGO #FORTH # AST #PORTAL #CYBER #CLV #RIF #ENJ #ZIL #APT #MAV #ZRX #RENDER #THETA #CHZ #MASK ****
Long
by Crypto_alphabit
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Dec 16 - Dec 20]At the beginning of this week, OANDA:XAUUSD quite strongly from 2,627 USD/oz to 2,726 USD/oz, but then dropped sharply to 2,645 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,648 USD/oz. The reason why international gold prices increased sharply in the first sessions of this week was because investors reacted to the fact that the People's Bank of China (PBoC) returned to buying 5 tons of gold in November after many months of temporarily stopping buying. reserve gold. Even with the six-month hiatus, the PBoC bought 34 tons of gold this year and remains one of the top central banks buying gold in 2024. However, gold currently accounts for less than 6% of China's total foreign exchange reserves. This shows that the PBoC's room to continue buying gold reserves is still very large, especially when US-China tensions are increasingly escalating when President-elect Donald Trump threatens to impose very high tariffs on China. However, after rising to 2,726 USD/oz earlier this week, gold prices once again fell sharply because US inflation remained persistent, affecting expectations of the FED's monetary easing cycle. While the decision on FED monetary policy will receive more attention next Wednesday, the gold market will also receive important economic data that can impact the FED's monetary easing cycle, such as retail sales, revised third quarter GDP of the US... 📌Technically, the gold price still maintains an uptrend on the Daily technical chart, as the price is still above the EMA89 moving average. However, on the H4 chart, the movement of the moving average shows that the price is accumulating sideways, the resistance area to pay attention to is around the 2725 mark, while the important support zone is around the round resistance mark of 2600. In the coming week Many influential information can cause gold prices to fluctuate strongly beyond this sideways range. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,644 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,663 – 2,676 – 2,693USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2751 - 2749⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2755 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2575
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
U.S. Dollar IndexHello dear traders, In the past week, we witnessed the release of numerous economic news that had significant impacts on the market. These reports, especially concerning the U.S. economy, greatly influenced the price trends of the U.S. dollar (DXY) and other currencies. Analysis of Economic News from Last Week Various reputable economic organizations published reports including employment data, unemployment rates, and changes in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Notably, the non-farm payroll (NFP) report, which was expected to indicate an increase in new jobs, turned out to be below expectations. This created heightened concerns about the strength and stability of the U.S. economy, which in turn pressured the dollar. Additionally, the announcement of high inflation rates and interest rates had compounded effects on market trends. While an increase in interest rates was anticipated, the negative news regarding economic growth raised concerns that future Federal Reserve meetings might be affected. Consequently, these combined factors led traders to adopt a cautious outlook on the market, resulting in price declines in the currency markets. Technical Impacts on the Market From a technical perspective, the U.S. dollar (DXY) chart has been showing bearish signals, and as previously mentioned, we expect a downward correction in the coming weeks. Price trends in the DXY align well with the recent economic news, as the breakdown of key support levels, such as 107.243 , and the formation of bearish patterns indicate weakness in this currency against others. Given the technical analysis, we can point out that if the downward trend in DXY continues, the charts of the euro (EUR), British pound (GBP), Australian dollar (AUD), and New Zealand dollar (NZD) will offer suitable buying opportunities. Particularly if corrections in DXY persist, we can expect further appreciation in these currencies. Conclusion Considering the detailed analysis of economic news and the technical conditions, it is recommended to keep in mind that rapid and significant changes in the market may occur following new announcements. With careful attention and appropriate risk management, you can take advantage of the upcoming opportunities. Thank you for your support and trust, and I hope the insights provided are beneficial for you. Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading center (Forex)." Wishing you success!
TVC:DXYShort
by fereydoon1199
CHFJPY short tradeBias Bearish Fundamental Analysis CHF is turning more bearish as all datas are worse. JPY on the other hand is turning bullish due to global interest rate reducing Price Action: Price broken out of H1 support level and rejection from H4 resistance level. Price is likely to head lower to swing low. Confluence: Higher TF (W/D/H4) - H4 resistance level. Broke of double top pattern. RSI for H4 went below 50 Lower TF (H1/M30/M15) - Broke of H1 support level. broke of H1 double top pattern. RSI for H1 went below 50 Set up: Short setup - at H1 broken support level of double top neck level. SL - swing high of last H1 high. TP next swing low of H4. R:R 1:4.
Short
by royschen07