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#XAUUSD – Hourly Chart🔍 Technical Analysis Current Price: $3,312.65 Short-Term Outlook: Upward momentum remains, but the price is nearing the overbought zone. Supports: 3,299 – 3,274 – 3,241 Resistances: 3,331 – 3,358 🔧 Indicators: RSI (14): 71 – Approaching the overbought zone; risk of pullback increasing Volume Delta: In negative territory – buying pressure weakening Bollinger Bands: Price is pressing against the upper band – possible squeeze POC (Volume Profile): 3,234 – Key volume area; if broken, selling pressure may intensify MA200: 3,242 – Critical support and trend level 🎯 Technical Commentary: Price is moving within a rising wedge pattern. There’s a heightened risk of rejection from the upper band. RSI and negative volume delta suggest potential correction. If 3,299 support breaks, 3,274 and 3,241 could be tested next. On the upside, 3,331 and 3,358 are short-term resistance levels to watch. 🌐 Fundamental Analysis 📈 Bullish Drivers: Geopolitical Tension: Rising tensions between Israel and Iran are boosting safe-haven demand Weakening USD: The downgrade of the US credit rating is pressuring the dollar, supporting gold China Demand: Gold imports in China hit an 11-month high Rate Expectations: Fed rate cut expectations are positive for gold 📉 Risk Factors: Profit-Taking: Sharp price increases raise the risk of correction Inventory Build-up or Low Demand: Gold ETF reserve declines should be monitored
FX:XAUUSD
by demiralmert
GOLD A carry trade is a popular forex trading strategy where a trader borrows money in a currency with a low interest rate (the funding currency) and uses it to buy a currency with a higher interest rate (the target currency). The goal is to profit from the difference between the two interest rates, known as the interest rate differential. How It Works: The trader sells or shorts the low-yielding currency and buys or goes long on the high-yielding currency. By holding this position overnight, the trader earns the interest rate differential—essentially collecting interest on the higher-yielding currency while paying less interest on the borrowed currency. For example, borrowing Japanese yen (which historically had very low or negative rates) to buy Australian dollars (which had higher rates) allowed traders to earn the difference in interest rates. Key Points: Profit Sources: Traders can profit from both the interest rate differential and potential appreciation of the higher-yielding currency. Leverage: Carry trades often use high leverage, magnifying gains but also increasing risk. Risks: Exchange rate fluctuations can offset interest gains, and sudden market shifts can force traders to unwind positions, causing volatility. Market Conditions: Carry trades perform best in stable, low-volatility environments where interest rate differentials remain wide and exchange rates do not move sharply against the trader. Example: If the Australian dollar has a 4% interest rate and the Japanese yen has a 1% interest rate, a trader borrowing yen to buy Australian dollars could earn a net 3% interest differential, assuming exchange rates remain stable. In summary: A carry trade is a strategy to earn profits by exploiting differences in interest rates between two currencies, borrowing cheap money to invest in higher-yielding assets, commonly used in forex markets #GOLD
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD 21/05 – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE VS. TECHNICAL LEVELSGOLD MARKET UPDATE 21/05 – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE VS. TECHNICAL LEVELS – BIG MOVE AHEAD? Gold’s recent rally has paused as traders weigh the latest signals from the Federal Reserve. Despite geopolitical tensions and softer U.S. economic data, the Fed is sticking with a "higher-for-longer" interest rate policy, which has kept the U.S. dollar strong and put pressure on gold’s price action. 📉 However, the technical outlook suggests a different story. ⚙️ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Is It A Bearish Trap Or A Hidden Bullish Opportunity? Looking at the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is consolidating after reaching a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 3328–3356. This zone reveals significant volatility and potential liquidity grabs, with two key FVG zones forming above and below the current price levels. There’s a potential bullish scenario if gold retraces to the 3250–3252 support zone, where strong trendline confluence and dynamic support are likely to drive demand. On the flip side, any rejection from the 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could initiate a bearish trend, pushing gold lower to test key structural support levels. 💹 TRADING STRATEGY FOR TODAY: 🔵 BUY ZONE Entry: 3252–3250 Stop Loss: 3246 Take Profit: 3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP Entry: 3277–3275 Stop Loss: 3272 Take Profit: 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300 🔻 SELL ZONE Entry: 3354–3356 Stop Loss: 3360 Take Profit: 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320 🔻 SELL SCALP Entry: 3328–3330 Stop Loss: 3334 Take Profit: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300 🌍 MACRO INSIGHT The Fed’s hawkish stance continues to weigh on gold, but geopolitical uncertainty and ongoing de-dollarization trends maintain gold’s appeal. China, along with other central banks, is still actively accumulating gold, signaling that long-term bullish pressure remains intact. Keep an eye on U.S. data this week, especially PMI and jobless claims, as these could act as short-term catalysts for gold. 📌 KEY NOTES Volatility is increasing, so stay disciplined. Stick to your key levels and manage risk effectively. Patience and strategy will be key as the market moves in the coming days. Stay alert and trade wisely!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Bearish Reversal Confirmed – BTC Rising Wedge TrapBitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1H timeframe is displaying a bearish reversal structure after failing to sustain a breakout above key resistance. The recent price action has formed a Rising Wedge Pattern, which typically precedes a downside correction, especially when formed near a key supply zone. Let’s break down the setup: 🔍 Technical Analysis Overview: 🔹 1. Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish) A rising wedge is visible near the top of the recent bullish impulse. This wedge is characterized by converging trendlines with higher highs and higher lows, but with diminishing momentum. It typically signals a weakening uptrend and a potential trend reversal or correction once price breaks below the lower wedge boundary. The breakout to the downside has already begun, confirming bearish intent. 🔹 2. SR Interchange Zone The blue zone marked in the chart represents a Support-Resistance Interchange (SR Flip). This was previously an area of consolidation and breakout, acting as a key decision zone. Price is expected to retest this zone after the wedge breakdown before continuing further down. This creates a perfect "Break → Retest → Drop" scenario, often favored by institutional and swing traders. 🔹 3. Consolidation Structure Before the wedge formation, Bitcoin was stuck in a prolonged consolidation phase. This type of ranging price action often accumulates orders before a breakout. Once broken, these zones serve as magnets for pullbacks or liquidity grabs, and are frequently retested. 🔹 4. Target Zone The measured move from the rising wedge pattern points to a target near $101,617, which aligns with a previous structural low and a potential demand zone. This area could serve as the next major support level. 🎯 Trade Strategy & Setup: Entry: After confirmation of breakdown and a clean retest of the SR zone. Stop Loss (SL): Just above the wedge high and structural resistance (~$108,020). Target (TP): $101,617 (downside projection based on wedge height and price structure). 📌 Risk-Reward Setup: 1:3+ possible if retest confirms. 🧠 Trader’s Insight: This setup reflects a common smart-money behavior where price forms a bullish-looking structure (rising wedge), entices buyers, and then traps them with a swift breakdown. The SR retest provides a low-risk shorting opportunity. Patience is key — let price come to your level before entering. 🚨 Risk Note: If BTC reclaims and holds above the $108,020 level, the bearish thesis may be invalidated. Always wait for confirmation before execution.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Midweek Market Pulse: Gold Surges, Dollar Slips, Bitcoin WobblesThis week’s market landscape is shaped by growing U.S. fiscal concerns, a weakening dollar, and surprising moves in gold and crypto. In this midweek review, I break down the key macroeconomic drivers behind DXY's slide, gold’s bounce from key support, and why Bitcoin is showing unusual weakness despite a softening dollar. Plus, I highlight critical upcoming events like the G7 finance summit and Fed speeches that could spark fresh volatility. Don’t miss this strategic breakdown if you trade DXY, XAUUSD, or BTCUSD!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by DeanMuller
Asymmetric setup with a potential 75.44% annual return. Quad currently sees itself as a defensive stock in the eyes of the market. This can be seen in how investment research firms like Zacks and Barrington Research view QUAD as an outperformer and an efficient stock. Efficient stock means that the company has the capability to transform available input into output and is often considered an important parameter for gauging its potential to make profits. A company with a high-efficiency level is expected to provide stellar returns as it is believed to be positively correlated with price performance. However, at times, it becomes difficult to measure the efficiency level of a company. As such, we can utilize efficiency ratios to measure its potential efficiency. These are the following: Receivables Turnover: This is the ratio of 12-month sales to four-quarter average receivables. It shows a company’s potential to extend its credit and collect debt in terms of that credit. A high receivables turnover ratio, also known as the “accounts receivable turnover ratio” or “debtor’s turnover ratio,” is desirable as it shows that the company is capable of collecting its accounts receivables or that it has quality customers. Asset Utilization: This ratio indicates a company’s capability to convert assets into output and is thus a widely known measure of efficiency level. It is calculated by dividing total sales over the past 12 months by the last four-quarter average of total assets. Like the above ratios, high asset utilization may indicate that a company is efficient. Inventory Turnover: The ratio of the 12-month cost of goods sold (COGS) to a four-quarter average inventory is considered one of the most popular efficiency ratios. It indicates a company’s ability to maintain a suitable inventory position. While a high value indicates that the company has a relatively low level of inventory compared to COGS, a low value indicates that the company is facing declining sales, which has resulted in excess inventory. Operating Margin: This efficiency measure is the ratio of operating income over the past 12 months to sales over the same period. It measures a company’s ability to control operating expenses. Hence, a high value of the ratio may indicate that the company manages its operating expenses more efficiently than its peers. These ratios are widely used and recognized by investment firms to make these convictions. Zacks and Barrington both support this conviction. Some background on Quad Graphics or QUAD: Quad Graphics is a provider of print and related multichannel solutions for consumer magazines, special interest publications, catalogs, retail inserts and circulars, direct mail products, books, and directories. QUAD has an average four-quarter earnings surprise of 71.8%. Now looking at QUAD’s financials, we have seen quarter-over-quarter net margins and income increasing steadily, whilst this first quarter of 2025 having a negative cash flow of \$100 million and an increase in their debt. As such, QUAD is providing a dividend payout of 3.84%. Their increased debt and negative cash flow is attributed to the following: On April 1, 2025, Quad acquired the co-mailing assets of Enru, a third-party co-mail and logistics solutions provider. The acquisition was structured as \$16.3 million in cash at closing, with an additional \$2.0 million due later in 2025, and a potential earn-out of up to \$16.0 million over five years, contingent on meeting financial targets. This strategic move aimed to enhance Quad’s capabilities in postal optimization and logistics. Regarding its seasonal cash flow patterns, as stated by investing.com: Quad's business exhibits seasonal cash flow patterns, with the majority of free cash flow generation and debt reduction typically occurring in the fourth quarter. The first quarter often reflects higher working capital requirements, leading to temporary increases in net debt. Despite the Q1 increase in net debt, Quad remains focused on its strategic transformation into a marketing experience company, investing in innovative offerings and optimizing operations. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting adjusted EBITDA between \$180 million and \$220 million, and free cash flow of \$40 million to \$60 million. Quad aims to reduce its debt leverage ratio to approximately 1.5x by year-end. Currently, QUAD sits at a low 6.66 P/E ratio, which is cheap, with growth for 2025 projected at 4.71. QUAD also currently sits at a short float interest of 5.04%, indicating market confidence in their ability to grow. From a technical standpoint, we have seen QUAD sit in an accumulation pattern from July 2023 until November 2024, seeing it finally shoot up to its price target at the time of 9.34. We have now seen it regress back to a strong point of support from the past 3-4 years at 4.48. When the reciprocal tariffs were announced, the stock maintained and respected that level, which is a good sign, indicating that if we were to see another downturn, we could expect the level to hold. Considering the points made above, we look to enter at 5.70 and look to get out around 10, giving us a 75.44% potential return.
NYSE:QUADLong
by distinctEnthus64834
XAUUSD Breakout from Bullish Flag – Eyes on $3,387Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe is exhibiting a strong bullish continuation setup, supported by multiple confluences that suggest the uptrend is far from over. The chart clearly shows the market breaking out from a Bullish Flag Pattern, respecting curve support, and targeting the major resistance zone near $3,387. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 1. Bullish Flag Pattern Formation After a sharp bullish impulse, price consolidated in a tight downward-sloping channel — the classic bullish flag. This pattern typically appears mid-trend and signals a healthy pause before the next leg higher. The breakout from the flag confirms bullish continuation, often offering a high-probability trade entry. 2. Break of Structure (BOS) The breakout above minor resistance marked a Break of Structure (BOS), which is a key bullish signal. It indicates a shift in market sentiment and validates the end of the corrective phase (flag) and beginning of the next impulse wave. 3. Curve Support (Parabolic Trajectory) A parabolic curve support is now guiding price upward, showing increasing bullish pressure and higher lows forming consistently. This type of dynamic support often appears in strong trending markets where buyers step in aggressively at every pullback. 4. Liquidity Sweep & Smart Money Behavior Before the breakout, price dipped below recent lows within the flag, likely sweeping liquidity and triggering stop-losses. This move provided institutional players with the liquidity needed to push price higher — a classic smart money trap-and-break scenario. 5. Volume & Momentum Confirmation The breakout occurred with strong bullish momentum and rising volume (if checked on the volume profile), reinforcing the credibility of this move. A momentum-based continuation is likely as long as price remains above previous resistance (now support). 🎯 Target & Resistance Levels: Short-Term Target: $3,387 — aligned with the previous major resistance area Support Zone: $3,260–$3,275 (previous flag breakout + structure support) Major Resistance Zone: Around $3,360–$3,387 (historical supply zone) 🧠 Trade Idea / Strategy: As long as price holds above the curve support and retests the previous breakout zone (flag top or minor resistance), bullish entries on pullbacks are favored. ✅ Buy on dips into curve support or minor resistance retests. ❌ Avoid shorting into a strong parabolic structure unless signs of exhaustion appear. 🎯 Potential RR setups: 1:2 and beyond if entry is timed well. 💬 Conclusion: The market structure, pattern confirmation, and strong bullish momentum all point toward a continuation move toward the $3,387 level. This setup provides a solid technical case for bullish trades with multiple entry options and well-defined risk levels. Keep an eye on curve support and potential higher timeframe resistance reactions for dynamic trade management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
THETAUSDT: Strong Fundamentals, Bullish Technicals: What’s Next?Hello Everyone! In this idea, I’ll break down BINANCE:THETAUSDT from both a fundamental and technical perspective. The goal is to uncover whether THETA presents a real opportunity or if it’s just another altcoin market noise. 1. Fundamental Analysis I’m bullish on THETA not only for its technical setup but also for its strong fundamentals: - AI Integration Advantage: THETA is carving out a niche in the AI and decentralized video infrastructure space which is a sector currently enjoying massive global attention and investment. This AI focus gives THETA a competitive edge in a rapidly evolving industry. - Tokenomics: THETA has a maximum and circulating supply of 1 billion tokens , which is relatively no inflationary token. - Upcoming Catalyst : EdgeCloud Beta Launch : A major catalyst is scheduled for June 25 , with the beta launch of THETA’s EdgeCloud platform. This development could generate renewed investor interest and media attention. - Active Transparent Team : THETA’s team is known for being highly active and continuously forming strategic partnerships, which reinforces long-term credibility and ecosystem growth. 2. Technical Analysis On Weekly timeframe - THETA has recently made an upward move from a strong demand zone , showing clear signs of buyer interest. Notably, it didn't break below its 2023 bottom , which reinforces a bullish structure and suggests that the long-term support is holding firm. - Additionally, the MACD is on the verge of a bullish crossover, signaling a potential shift in momentum. If confirmed. On 4D timeframe - THETA also bounced off a PD Array, specifically a Fair Value Gap (FVG) , which often acts as a high-probability reaction zone in ICT . Adding to the bullish confluence, it closed a previous 4-day candle with strength , confirming bullish intent and showing institutional interest may be stepping in at this level. - THETA is currently targeting the next PD Array — a swing point around $1.08 . If price sweeps this level with strength, the next potential target lies around $1.311 , aligning with the next major liquidity zone . On 4H timeframe - For bullish momentum to truly build, THETA must break above the key resistance zone at $0.93 . This level has acted as a supply barrier, and a clean breakout could trigger increased buying pressure. - On the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) , there's a bullish divergence forming — a strong indication that buying interest. In conclusion, THETA/USDT is showing promising signs both technically and fundamentally. The bounce from a key demand zone, bullish divergence on CVD, and a potential MACD crossover suggest momentum may be shifting in favor of bulls. If price breaks above the $0.93 resistance , we could see a move toward $1.311 . On the fundamental side, THETA’s involvement in the booming AI sector, capped supply, upcoming EdgeCloud beta launch (June 25), and an active development team provide strong long-term potential. As always, manage risk wisely and monitor key levels for confirmation.
Long
by ahmedeidoox
3
Gold breaks upward, space opens up 📌 Driving events Internationally, US media reported that US intelligence agencies found that Israel was preparing to attack Iran's nuclear facilities, and gold and crude oil both soared in the short term. Recently, the Iran nuclear talks and the Russia-Ukraine talks were carried out simultaneously, and the market risk aversion sentiment fluctuated greatly 📊Comment analysis While the medium and long-term outlook continues to be bullish on gold's performance this year, short-term operations are mainly based on news. Pay attention to light positions and maintain flexibility in short-term operations. 💰Strategy Package 🔥Buy Gold Zone: 3310-3315 SL 3307 Scalping TP1: $3318 TP2: $3325 TP3: $3330 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3354-3356 SL 3361 TP1: $3345 TP2: $3332 TP3: $3320 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245 TP1: $3260 TP2: $3270 TP3: $3280 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
BTC/USD Double Top Formation | Short Opportunity AheadBitcoin is showing a Double Top reversal pattern on the 4H chart, suggesting potential bearish momentum. Price action has rejected resistance around $109,000 and is now testing neckline support. 🔹 Technical Analysis: ⚠️ Double Top pattern with neckline near $106,000 📉 Break below neckline would confirm bearish reversal 🎯 Target zone projected near $100,300 based on pattern height 🛑 Stop Loss placed above $109,000 resistance zone 🔹 Fundamental Insight: 🏦 Market cautious amid potential Fed rate hold and stronger USD 🌐 Risk-off sentiment pressuring crypto markets 📊 On-chain activity shows cooling momentum post recent rally 📌 Trade Idea: Sell below neckline confirmation, targeting $100,293 with stop above recent highs. High-probability setup for short-term swing traders. Note : If you found this helpful, like and follow for more trade ideas! Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section Note: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Hellena_Fx
Gold breaks through 3300, where is the next stop 📌 Driving events Beth Hammack, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, stressed that the current US government's policies make it increasingly challenging for the Federal Reserve to effectively guide the economy and fulfill its dual mission of maintaining price stability and full employment. She also warned that the risk of a stagflationary environment (characterized by stagnant growth and persistent inflation) is rising. In contrast, Alberto Musalem, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, recently said that the current monetary policy stance is still appropriately adjusted. Despite rising US Treasury yields, gold has struggled to gain support, indicating that higher yields alone are not enough to drive safe-haven demand under the current circumstances. However, global monetary easing policies may provide support for this precious metal. In the latest moves during the Asian trading session, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) cut its benchmark interest rate, followed by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unexpectedly cutting the cash rate from 4.10% to 3.85% - moves that usually support non-yielding assets such as gold. 📊Comment Analysis Spot gold prices have extended gains in recent intraday trading, taking advantage of its stability above EMA50 and trading along a bullish trend line on a short-term basis, strengthening its ability to reach the main resistance level of $3,300 and break it. Some weak signals have appeared on technical indicators. We noticed that a negative overlap signal has formed on the RSI, and after reaching overbought levels, this indicates that a temporary adjustment is needed on the upward action. Therefore, gold has reduced some of its early gains and waited for clearer signals to continue the bullish trend. 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3354-3356 SL 3361 TP1: $3345 TP2: $3332 TP3: $3320 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245 TP1: $3260 TP2: $3270 TP3: $3280 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
2
Fake Candle: Stop Getting Liquidated TodayA giant green candle pops up on your chart… You get excited, jump in — and boom, price dumps ! Fake candles are one of the market’s most psychological traps . This breakdown shows how to avoid getting tricked — and even profit from them! Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Dogecoin: Dogecoin has posted an impressive 60% rally in recent weeks and is now testing the key psychological resistance at $0.25. A confirmed breakout from this level could unlock at least 22% further upside , aligning with a breakout above the descending channel toward the $0.28 target. Key daily support, Fibonacci confluence, and a rising trendline are also in play. 📉🚀 Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🧠 The Psychology Behind Candle Traps It all starts when the market shows a sudden sharp move. A strong bullish candle — full of hope — shows up out of nowhere. But guess what? Most of the time, it’s just bait. Smart money loves this moment — when retail traders think a moonshot is coming. So never trust the candle’s look alone. Look deeper for confirmation. 🛠 TradingView Tools to Catch Fake Candles📊 practical tools inside TradingView that help detect false signals. Set these up and test them live in your charting flow: Volume Profile Shows you where volume is really happening. No volume = no trust. Session Volume HD Reveals hidden session volume. If a big candle has weak session volume, that’s a red flag. Relative Volume (RVOL) Tells you if current volume is above/below normal. Fake candles often come with volume mismatch. Candle Close Timer Shows how long until a candle closes. Wait for that close — fake candles often flip last minute. Multiple Timeframe Analysis Check higher TFs before trusting the move. Many fake candles trick you in low TFs. Apply these directly inside your TradingView layout — it’s a game changer. 🔍 Real Candle vs Fake Candle A real candle usually forms at a key support/resistance level with solid volume. A fake one? Often pops up in a random zone, low volume, and before higher timeframes confirm. Pro tip: Wait for the candle to fully close — then check if volume + structure supports the move. 📉 Rookie Mistake Alert New traders often jump in on the first big candle they see. Why? Because they want to be “early” and catch the move. But in markets, patience wins — not speed. Follow footprints, not fireworks. 🎯 Three-Step Filter For Fake Candles Here’s your anti-fake-candle checklist: No volume? No entry! Confirmation over assumption. Use indicators like RSI, divergence, or MAs. Always check the higher timeframe. Low TF = high deception. 🔄 Market Makers Love These Games Fake candles are a classic weapon for market makers. They know exactly when emotional traders will FOMO in. These aren’t just candles — they’re emotional traps. Study the trap, not just the move. 🧩 Final Takeaway & Suggestion Fake candles aren’t just technical — they’re psychological . Use the right tools, wait for confirmation, and don’t let your emotions lead . Start your next analysis with a mental filter , not just a visual one. always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
7
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 21, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair rose slightly on Tuesday, rising to 1.34000 (but failed to overcome it). The price is ahead of key inflation and business outlook data: the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) is due out on Wednesday and a double dose of UK and US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) survey results on Thursday. Trade news remains the key driver for global markets this week. Investors remain hopeful of a deal with the US that will encourage the Trump administration to pull the tariff gun away from the head of its own economy, but the constant drift into the unknown is starting to limit bullish sentiment. The Trump administration is rapidly approaching its self-imposed 90-day deadline to pass a package of “retaliatory tariffs.” While some potential trade deals have been announced, nothing concrete has emerged. UK CPI inflation for April will be released early Wednesday. Mid-market forecasts expect the monthly CPI to rise to 1.1% m/m from the previous reading of 0.3%. Annual CPI is also expected to rise to 3.3% from 2.6%. UK core CPI inflation is also expected to rise, to 3.6% y/y from 3.4%. A double batch of UK and US PMIs will be released on Thursday. Markets are expecting a broad-based increase in indexed forward-looking business activity survey results, while mixed data is expected in the US. The US manufacturing PMI for May is expected to decline to 50.1 from 50.2, while the services component is expected to remain unchanged at 50.8. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.34200, SL 1.33900, TP 1.34900
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
What Fuels Microsoft's Unstoppable Rise?Microsoft Corporation consistently demonstrates its market leadership, evidenced by its substantial valuation and strategic maneuvers in the artificial intelligence sector. The company's proactive approach to AI, particularly through its Azure cloud platform, positions it as a central hub for innovation. Azure now hosts a diverse array of leading AI models, including xAI’s Grok, alongside offerings from OpenAI and other industry players. This inclusive strategy, driven by CEO Satya Nadella's vision, aims to establish Azure as the definitive platform for emerging AI technologies, offering robust Service Level Agreements and direct billing for hosted models. Microsoft's AI integration extends deeply into its product ecosystem, significantly enhancing enterprise productivity and developer capabilities. GitHub's new AI coding agent streamlines software development by automating routine tasks, allowing programmers to focus on complex challenges. Furthermore, Microsoft Dataverse is evolving into a powerful, secure platform for AI agents, leveraging features like prompt columns and the Model Context Protocol (MCP) server to transform structured data into dynamic, queryable knowledge. The seamless integration of Dynamics 365 data within Microsoft 365 Copilot further unifies business intelligence, enabling users to access comprehensive insights without switching contexts. Beyond its core software offerings, Microsoft's Azure cloud provides critical infrastructure for transformative projects in highly regulated sectors. The UK's Met Office, for instance, successfully transitioned its supercomputing operations to Azure, improving weather forecasting accuracy and advancing climate research. Similarly, Finnish startup Gosta Labs utilizes Azure's secure and compliant environment to develop AI solutions that automate patient record-keeping, significantly reducing administrative burdens in healthcare. These strategic partnerships and technological advancements underscore Microsoft's foundational role in driving innovation across diverse industries, cementing its position as a dominant force in the global technology landscape.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by UDIS_View
Temporary euphoria fades, a sharp correction is likelyThe current index surge appears increasingly disconnected from core fundamentals. Markets have been brushing aside key economic data, rallying instead on short-term sentiment and speculative flows. ⚠️ Once this temporary momentum fades, I expect a pullback to 4800, with a possible extension toward 3900 if macro headwinds intensify. This setup reflects a growing divergence between price action and economic reality—something that rarely lasts.
IG:SPTRD.USD.250.IFDShort
by DonsTrading1M
GOLD spikes on geopolitics, not enough for new bull runIn the early trading session this morning (May 21), the spot OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly skyrocketed in the short term, surpassing the $3,300/ounce mark for the first time since May 9. In addition, the price of WTI crude oil also skyrocketed, at one point increasing by 3%. US media reported that US intelligence agencies had detected that Israel was preparing to attack Iran's nuclear facilities. After the price increase on the previous trading day, the gold price continued to skyrocket to $3,304.18/ounce in the early trading session on Wednesday in Asia. Because gold is considered a safe asset in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, new signs of geopolitical instability once again supported the increase in gold prices. CNN reported Tuesday local time that several US officials told CNN that new information obtained by the US shows that Israel is preparing to attack Iran's nuclear facilities even as the Trump administration seeks a diplomatic deal with Tehran. Such an attack would be a clear break with President Donald Trump, U.S. officials said. It could also spark a broader conflict in the Middle East, something the United States has tried to avoid since the 2023 Gaza war ratcheted up tensions. The growing concern stems not only from messages from senior Israeli officials, both public and private, that Israel is considering such a move, but also from intercepted Israeli communications and observations of Israeli military activity that could indicate an Israeli strike is imminent, multiple sources familiar with the intelligence said. Geopolitical factors also played a role in pushing gold higher, as the failure to reach a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine and rising tensions in the Middle East could prompt investors to hold onto gold. The dollar weakened on Tuesday after Moody's downgraded the United States' top triple-A credit rating. Fed officials were also cautious about the economic outlook, hurt by the downgrade. A weaker US dollar means gold becomes more attractive. Analysis of the technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold surged to a technical confluence of key resistance formed by the location of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement and the 21-day EMA. At this point, gold has not completely broken out of the price action around the $3,300 base point. If gold breaks above and sustains above the $3,300 base point, it will be in a position to continue to rise with a target of around $3,371 in the short term. On the other hand, a sell-off below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement would open the door for a retest of the $3,250 technical level followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. Currently, the active position is not yet in line for a new bullish cycle. Therefore, the technical outlook for gold for the day is a retest of $3,250 in the short term, followed by $3,228. The notable positions for intraday downside correction expectations are listed below. Support: $3,250 – $3,228 Resistance: $3,331 – $3,345 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3356 - 3354⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3360 →Take Profit 1 3348 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3342 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3270 - 3272⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3266 →Take Profit 1 3278 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3284
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading