Standard Bank outperforming the market and showing strong upsideHere is the update with Standard Bank.
The price broke up and out of the Brim level of the Cup and Handle.
The price is also above the 20 and 200 MA - Bullish by nature.
It then rocketed up which I said, the target was on the way to R251.68.
It's an unusual situation as the general JSE has been coming down as of late, and yet banks signal a bit of a foretelling notion that the index is soon set to fly.
Is that the case or will there be a fakeout of note.
We will have to see.
Fundamental Analysis
UC UpdateBased on today's data from ForexFactory for the USD, the USD/CHF pair is likely to experience a short-term upward movement in the days ahead. Here's why:
Flash Manufacturing PMI: Reported at 52.5, slightly above the forecast of 52.3, indicating stronger-than-expected manufacturing activity.
Flash Services PMI: Came in at 55.3, exceeding the expected 54.8, showing robust growth in the services sector.
These positive PMI figures suggest that the U.S. economy is outperforming expectations, which typically strengthens the USD. As a result, the USD/CHF pair is expected to see a short-term rally in the coming days.
Anheuser Busch InBev preparing for MAJOR upside!Inv Head and Shoulders formed on Anheuser Busch Inbev and now we are waiting for a SOLID break to the upside above the Neckline.
We also see bullish signs with the Moving Averages.
Price> 20 and 200
So we can expect the first target at R1,384.54
But remember, Neckline needs to break first.
Ion Beam Applications S.A. (IBAB) 1WTechnical Analysis
The chart shows a breakout of the weekly ascending trendline and the formation of a "rising wedge", indicating a potential decline.
Key Levels:
- Support: 11.46 EUR, 9.00 EUR
- Resistance: 13.06 EUR, 14.01 EUR
Fundamental Analysis
Ion Beam Applications is a leader in radiation therapy and medical accelerators.
Factors influencing the stock:
- Financials: Revenue growth but high volatility.
- Macroeconomics: Interest rate impact on the tech sector.
- Competition: Rivalry with Varian and Elekta.
A breakdown below 11.46 EUR could open the way to 9.00 EUR. To regain an uptrend, the stock needs to reclaim 13.06 EUR.
Weekly preview and trading idea for Monday 24.03.2025🔹 W1 – Weekly Bias
Bias: Bullish
SMC: Valid Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, with consecutive higher highs.
Order Block: Last bullish OB (gray zone) still valid and respected.
Premium/Discount: Price is currently in the premium zone, indicating a higher probability of retracement.
FVG / Imbalance: Unfilled FVG zones remain between 2900 - 2800.
EMA 5/21/50/200: Price trades above all EMAs, confirming strong bullish momentum.
Key POI: 3060 – 3085 (potential reversal or reaction zone).
EQH: Potential Equal Highs forming, suggesting a liquidity grab is likely.
✅ Note: Weekly structure is intact, but we may expect a correction down into discount levels.
🔹 D1 – Daily Bias
Bias: Bullish (with active retracement)
SMC: BOS confirmed + liquidity grab above recent highs.
Price Action: Strong rejection from premium zone with a significant bearish candle.
Order Block: Valid OB between 2970 – 2990, aligning with Daily FVG.
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 are tightening up, signaling a potential short-term bearish cross.
Imbalance: Clear gap between 2985 – 2940 remains unfilled.
Daily POI: 2995 – 2970 → key zone to monitor for bullish reaction.
RSI: Not yet oversold, suggesting more room for downside movement.
🎯 Retracement Target (Daily): 2990 – 2950 for potential long setups.
🔹 H4 – Intraday Swing Setup
Bias: Bearish retracement
SMC: Confirmed BOS on H4
Order Block: Strong OB between 3025 – 3035 (origin of previous impulse drop)
FVG: Valid Fair Value Gap between 2988 – 2940
Imbalance: Still unfilled under 2970
EMA: Bearish EMA 5/21 crossover, EMA50 flattening
POI: 3030 (short setup zone), 2970 (potential buy reaction zone)
🔁 Scenario:
If price retests 3025–3030 and shows bearish PA → valid short.
If price drops into 2970–2950 and sweeps liquidity → potential long setup.
🔹 H1 – Entry Refinement
Bias: Temporary bullish correction
SMC: CHoCH printed, but no BOS yet
PA: Last reaction suggests mitigation
OB: OB zone at 3033–3037 still valid for shorting opportunities
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 remain bearish; 50 and 200 beginning to flatten
RSI: Nearing overbought – watch for signs of bearish reversal
POI (H1): 3033–3037 (short setup), 2985–2970 (buy zone)
🔹 M15 – Sniper Entry
Bias: Bullish correction in progress
SMC: CHoCH formed, waiting for confirmation of BOS
OB (M15): 3028 – 3033 → clean Order Block for possible bearish reaction
Imbalance: Unfilled gap at 3029 – 3032
EMA: EMA 5 > EMA 21 → minor bullish trend
RSI: Close to overbought – ideal for a reversal sniper short
EQH: Equal High at 3032 → ideal liquidity inducement
🎯 Sniper Trade Plan (Short):
Sell Entry Zone: 3029 – 3033
TP1: 3010
TP2: 2995
SL: Above 3035 (above OB high)
🔄 Alternative Scenario
If price breaks and closes above 3035 with bullish volume → short invalidated
Long setups only valid if price drops into discount zones (below 2985) with a bullish PA reaction + CHoCH confirmation
✅ Summary
Overall Bias: Bullish on higher timeframes, but currently in retracement → only looking for short-term sells
Sniper Short Zone: 3029 – 3033
Buy Zone to Re-enter: 2970 – 2940 (only on proper confirmations)
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XAUUSD 1D SELL continuationSince our last analysis, price action has continued to respect the upper boundary of the ascending channel, with signs of potential distribution forming. The previously highlighted internal liquidity (int. LQ) and unfilled imbalance (IMB) levels remain key areas of interest.
What to Monitor Now?
- Potential Rejection & Weakness – If price fails to sustain above the recent highs, we could see a shift toward lower liquidity zones.
- Breakout vs. Fakeout – A temporary push higher is possible, but failure to hold could confirm a larger reversal.
- Fair Volume Range Test – If distribution plays out, watch for retracement toward the fair volume ranges below.
For confirmation, look for signs of lower highs, aggressive selling pressure, or failed attempts to push higher. Until then, remain cautious and reactive to price behavior.
$CPB: Campbell Soup – Simmering or Boiling Over?(1/9)
Good afternoon, everyone! ☀️ NASDAQ:CPB : Campbell Soup – Simmering or Boiling Over?
With CPB at $38.21, is this iconic soup maker a tasty investment or a stale option? Let’s ladle out the details! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 38.21 as of Mar 24, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Down from $43.00 (early 2025), an 11% dip, per data 📏
• Sector Trend: Consumer goods volatile, inflation pressures, per posts on X 🌟
It’s a mixed stew—let’s see what’s cookin’! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Approx $11.4B (298.5M shares) 🏆
• Operations: Soups, snacks, meals, strong brand presence ⏰
• Trend: Digital sales up, per historical data, but competition fierce 🎯
Firm in the pantry, but is it a staple or a luxury? 🏭
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Recent Earnings: Q4 2024 mixed, revenue up, EPS missed, per data 🌍
• Innovation Push: Plant-based, keto options, per reports 📋
• Market Reaction: Price reflects caution, per posts on X 💡
Stirring the pot with new flavors! 🍲
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Inflation: Higher costs squeeze margins 🔍
• Competition: Private labels, Kraft Heinz, per data 📉
• Health Trends: Shift to healthier options, per posts on X ❄️
It’s a spicy market—watch out for heat! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Iconic Brand: Campbell’s soup, strong loyalty 🥇
• Diverse Portfolio: Soups, snacks, meals, per data 📊
• Dividend Yield: ~3.5%, attractive for income seekers 🔧
Got a robust recipe for success! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Perceived as less healthy, innovation lag, per data 📉
• Opportunities: E-commerce growth, plant-based trends, per strategy 📈
Can it spice up its offerings or stay stuck in the past? 🤔
(8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢
CPB at $38.21—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $45+ soon, brand strength shines 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance out ⚖️
• Bearish: $35 looms, competition heats up 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
CPB’s $38.21 price tags a mix of nostalgia and uncertainty 📈. With a strong brand but competitive pressures, it’s a stock to watch. DCA-on-dips could be a savory strategy! Gem or bust?
XAU/USD H4: Pullback After Breakout, Watching for ContinuationGold has pulled back after breaking above 3032.54 on the 4H chart, now testing support at 3004.50. A bounce from this level could lead to a retest of 3032.54 and a continuation toward 3041.50, while a break below 3004.50 may signal a deeper correction to 2984.70. Fundamentals like geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and a weaker dollar support Gold, but a stronger dollar and potential profit-taking by banks (per COT data) could cap gains. Trade with caution and proper risk management!
Trading Setup:
* Buy Scenario:
* Entry: On a bounce from 3004.50 with a 4H candle close above 3013 (confirmation of support).
* Stop Loss: 2995 (below support).
* Target: 3032.54 (first target), 3041.50 (second target).
* Risk/Reward: ~1:2 for the first target.
* Sell Scenario:
* Entry: Below 3004.50 (break of support).
* Stop Loss: 3013 (above support).
* Target: 2984.70 (first target), 2981.50 (second target).
* Risk/Reward: ~1:1.5 for the first target.
EURUSD → Price is in consolidation. Emphasis on false breakdownFX:EURUSD is forming a correction within the consolidation that was formed on the uptrend. The reason for the consolidation is the halt in the movement of the dollar index...
The dollar is forming a counter-trend correction due to political and econmoic data, but the general background is bearish. But, the fall of the dollar, to which the index may soon return, may strengthen the growth of the currency pair. EURUSD consolidation within the uptrend (against the background of the dollar index correction). The zone of interest is the support at 1.078 and the imbalance area
Resistance levels: 1.078, 1.074
Support levels: 1.0936.1.1009
The price has not tested the support and is forming a correction to the imbalance zone 1.087 - 1.09 from which the price may return to the downward movement to 1.078. The emphasis is on the range support from which we should wait for a false breakdown before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Long squeeze (false break of uptrend support) FX:XAUUSD within the liquidation the price is testing the key support at 3004.9 and forms a false break of support. The trend is generally bullish as the geopolitical situation remains tense and carries high risks.
Friday saw a liquidation phase relative to the consolidation at 3024-3045. Reason: the White House is expected to revise tariff policy, easing measures against key trading partners. Negotiations over the conflict in eastern Europe, where the U.S. is a key link, also support the positive sentiment. On Monday, market attention will focus on Russia-US talks, as well as preliminary PMI data that could affect the global economic outlook.
The focus is on the current consolidation and the 3024 level. If the bulls hold their defenses above this level, gold will continue to strengthen.
Resistance levels: 3045 - 3056
Support levels: 3024, 3004
The growth within the bullish trend may continue. The price is forming a consolidation between trend support and resistance at 3024. The emphasis is on 3024, if the bulls hold the defense over this zone, gold may head for a retest of the high (the initial reaction to ATH may trigger a pullback down)
Regards R. Linda!
[D] USX - Major Change AheadA rough idea how this could play till mid April. I do expect unusually disturbing readings on early-warning indexes and ISM since Trump inauguration to finally show up in metrics such as unemployment and CPI. This could weight strongly on the US Dollar. If basic axioms hold true, we're about to witness a major change in perception on the global reserve currency.
[D] EUR/USD - Major change ahead?A rough idea how this could play till mid April. I do expect unusually disturbing readings on early-warning indexes and ISM since Trump inauguration to finally show up in metrics such as unemployment and CPI. This could weight strongly on the US Dollar. If basic axioms hold true, we're about to witness a major change in perception on the global reserve currency.
[W] GOLD - 24.3.2025With major financial institutions expecting the gold price to sear up to 3,100 - 3,200 USD per 1 oz., I personally think that is a very optimistic scenario. Considering both geopolitical and economical factors that are looming ahead, the most likely nearest stop seems to be around 3,600-3,800 USD / oz. As the investors brace for volatile and uncertain times.
[W] SP500 - 24.3.2025This has been an unusually disturbing prediction that I have ever made, and yet so long expected. It's also probably for the first time, I do it on a weekly chart! The huge question mark here, is how FED will react to stagflation turning into a recession, and to recession with a looming threat to progress further. At some point, they might be tempted to act with low rate and EQ, which will further increase already high Gini index and might eventually cause defaults on loans and mortages. Thus, causing a crisis not seen since 2008. The current president Donald Trump might want to distract from the increasingly worsening domestic situation by seeking and external (and internal) enemy, further strengthening his grip on power. While the entire situation might provide a temporary boost to the defense sector alongside with utilities, foreign capital and trade will likely diminish. Unlike the 2008 crisis that was caused predominantly by internal factors, this case might be marked by geopolitical isolation which threatens to leave a much deeper scar.
Perfect hit, interval thinking remains unchangedThe idea remains unchanged according to the previous article!
In the wave of financial markets, accurate prediction is the badge of strength. Previously, we firmly arranged short selling, and it turned out that this decision was extremely correct! The trend of gold perfectly matched our expectations, falling all the way back to the area around 3010-3000.
Next, new opportunities have emerged. We will adopt the high-altitude and low-multiple operation mode within the range. At present, we have decisively gone long in the area around 3010-3000. Every ups and downs of the market are opportunities for us to make profits. Let us be full of confidence and look forward to the subsequent wonderful performance of gold together, and work together to reap more fruits of victory!
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