Get started

Fundamental Analysis

WTI Technical Analysis – WTI (1H Chart) Structure & Momentum: WTI recently broke out of a short-term bullish structure, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, momentum appears to be weakening, with divergence showing between price action and volume (or internal strength), hinting at a potential short-term pullback. Liquidity & Reaccumulating: There’s a visible liquidity pool resting below the recent swing lows, around the $62 level, which aligns with a bullish order block or prior consolidation zone on the 1H chart. If price revisits this zone, it would likely be a liquidity grab followed by reaccumulating. ✅ Scenario Outlook: "WTI might pull back to the $62 area to clear resting liquidity and mitigate previous demand imbalances. If the level holds with strong bullish intent, we can expect a continuation toward higher levels—targeting the $67–$70 range in the coming sessions." Trade Setup Concept (SMC-style): Wait for price to sweep the $62 level. Look for a shift in market structure (CHOCH) on lower timeframes from bearish to bullish. Entry: Post-CHOCH confirmation above local high. SL: Below liquidity sweep. TP1: $66.80 TP2: $69.90 🛢️ Geopolitical Context: If Iran retaliates directly or if Strait of Hormuz tensions rise, crude could spike suddenly. But U.S. SPR releases or weak global demand data might offset rallies—watch macro data.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by ProSignalai
This Just Went Nuclear - Explosive Move!Uranium prices have surged due to several key factors: - Increased demand for nuclear energy – Many countries are expanding nuclear power to meet clean energy goals. - Geopolitical tensions – Supply disruptions from Russia and Niger have tightened the market. - Underinvestment in uranium mining – Years of low prices led to reduced production, creating a supply deficit. - Government policies – The U.S. and other nations are prioritizing domestic uranium production for energy security. - Rising uranium prices – Spot prices have climbed significantly, boosting mining stocks. We are near some major resistance and expect some profit taking to occur. Names Like NYSE:OKLO NYSE:SMR AMEX:URNM AMEX:URA NASDAQ:CEG should be on watch for a strong selloff.
AMEX:URAShort
by Trading-Capital
GOLD Gold (XAU/USD), DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Interest Rate Correlations As of June 2025, the relationships between these assets reflect a mix of traditional dynamics and evolving market forces. Below is a breakdown of their correlations and current data: 1. Gold (XAU/USD) and DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Traditional Inverse Relationship: Gold is priced in USD, so a stronger dollar (higher DXY) typically makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold prices. Recent Anomaly (2023–2025): Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Iran-Israel conflict, U.S.-China trade disputes) and central bank gold purchases (notably by China and Russia) have driven simultaneous strength in gold and the dollar. For example: Gold hit a record high of $3,500/oz in April 2025 despite DXY hovering near 98.43. Central banks bought 1,037 tonnes of gold in 2024, offsetting typical dollar-driven headwinds. The inverse correlation is reasserting as Fed rate-cut expectations grow, but geopolitical risks still support gold. 2. Gold and 10-Year Treasury Yield Inverse Correlation Typically: Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Inflation Hedge Exception: When real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation) are negative or low, gold rises despite higher yields. For example: 10-year yield: 4.450% (June 2025) U.S. inflation: 3.1% (May 2025) → real rate ~1.26%, reducing gold’s appeal but not eliminating it. Current Driver: Market focus on Fed policy (potential cuts) and inflation persistence keeps gold supported even with elevated yields. 3. DXY and 10-Year Treasury Yield Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into U.S. bonds, boosting dollar demand (DXY↑). Divergence Risks: Geopolitical tensions can decouple this relationship (e.g., safe-haven dollar demand outweighs yield changes). 4. Interest Rates and Gold Fed Policy Impact: Higher rates strengthen the dollar and dampen gold demand, while rate cuts weaken the dollar and boost gold. 2025 Outlook: Fed funds rate: 4.25–4.50% (held steady in June 2025). Geopolitical Risks: Safe-haven demand for gold and the dollar persists. Real Interest Rates: Gold’s performance hinges on whether real rates stay subdued. Central Bank Demand: Record gold purchases (1,200+ tonnes in 2024) provide structural support. Conclusion While traditional correlations between gold, DXY, and yields persist, structural shifts (central bank buying, geopolitical fragmentation) and evolving Fed policy are redefining these relationships. Gold remains bullish in the medium term. WATCH MY GREEN BAR ZONE FOR BUY.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
5
Bitcoin Or Gold? Real Safe Haven In Middle East tension When the world shakes, where does money go— Bitcoin or gold ? You may think crypto is the ultimate safe haven… but data tells a different story. This breakdown compares digital dreams vs. physical trust —with charts, tools, and the psychology behind every move. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: Contrary to common expectations, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience amid recent geopolitical tensions, refraining from a sharp sell-off. This price behavior signals a potential shift in market psychology—something I’ll explore further in an upcoming educational post. Based on my previous analyses, I continue to anticipate an upward breakout above the $110K resistance zone in the current structure. Now , let's dive into the educational section, 📌 Gold: The Legacy of Trust For thousands of years, gold has been the go-to safe asset. In wars, inflation, sanctions, and crashes—it remains the mental anchor of value. Tangible, historic, and out of government control. 🪙 Bitcoin: Revolutionary but Unstable Bitcoin promises freedom, decentralization, and anti-inflation. But during actual crises, trust wavers. High volatility, regulatory risk, and lack of a long history make investors hesitate when fear hits hard. 🛠️ TradingView Tools That Reveal Where Smart Money Flows One reason TradingView stands out is its wide set of tools that help you track market psychology—not just price action. When it comes to analyzing the Bitcoin-vs-Gold battle during global crises (like the Iran-Israel war), these tools are essential: Correlation Coefficient: This shows how closely BTC and gold move together. In panic moments, it helps reveal where the real trust is flowing. On-Balance Volume (OBV): Key for spotting where big money is headed. If OBV on gold rises while BTC’s falls, smart money isn’t betting on crypto just yet. Fear & Greed Index Logic (DIY): While not a native TradingView tool, you can mimic it by combining volatility and volume indicators to reflect market emotion. Overlay XAUUSD and BTCUSD: Place both on a single chart with “percentage scale” enabled. You’ll see exactly which one holds up better during chaos. Marking Geo-Political Events: Tag key events (like missile strikes or sanctions) on your charts. Track how Bitcoin and gold react immediately after. 📊 How Investors React in Crisis During events like an Iran-Israel war, data shows money often flows into gold—not BTC. When panic peaks, people run toward the “known,” not the “new.” 🧠 The Illusion of Crypto as Safe Haven We want to believe BTC is the new gold. But the human mind—under threat—defaults to ancient instincts. Fear doesn’t innovate. It runs to what it knows: shiny, physical, historical gold. 💡 When Will Bitcoin Truly Compete? When the next generation fully embraces digital assets. When institutions store BTC alongside gold. When BTC no longer crashes on scary headlines—that’s when the shift becomes real. ⚠️ Lessons from War Wars reveal that markets don’t behave rationally in fear. Even if Bitcoin makes sense on paper, emotion drives flows. Right now, that flow still favors gold. 🔍 What to Watch Next If, during a future conflict, Bitcoin drops less—or even rises while gold does—you may be witnessing a turning point. Until then, keep tracking both with your TradingView setups. 🧭 Final Takeaway Gold still owns the trust game in a crisis. Bitcoin is on its way but hasn’t crossed that psychological line. If you’re a smart trader, know how to read both—and move before the herd does. ✨ Need a little love! We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛 Big thanks, Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Education
by MadWhale
9
Path Toward 1.20 Still in Play but there's a catch....The pair has recently completed a major technical breakout by moving above a long standing trendline that dates back to the 2008 high. For more than 15 yearsthis trendline acted as strong resistance, repeatedly rejecting bullish attempts. The latest move did not just break through this resistance. It returned to retest the level around the 1.1450 to 1.1500 area and held with near perfect precision. This successful retest signaled a structural shift, turning former resistance into solid support. Since then, the pair has remained within a steep upward channel, forming higher lows and maintaining strong upside momentum. This momentum appears to be backed by real macro flows rather than just short-term speculation. The euro’s recent strength is not being driven by strong economic performance in the Eurozone. Instead, it reflects a broader shift in global capital allocation and diverging monetary policy expectations. The Federal Reserve began easing policy in late 2024 with a series of rate cuts aimed at responding to softening inflation and slowing labor market conditions. By early 2025, the Fed had completed a handful of cuts before entering a pause. That pause remains in effect for now but markets are increasingly expecting the Fed to resume cutting later this year, with 2 to 3 additional cuts projected for the second half of 2025. These expectations have weakened the dollar as traders anticipate a return to more accommodative policy. (This is known as pricing in or speculative markets) On the European side, the European Central Bank began cutting rates in late 2024 (Duh we all know this by now) and is now widely seen as operating in neutral territory. The ECB has taken a careful and measured approach to easing, avoiding any aggressive dovish turn and instead emphasizing a data dependent path. With limited room to cut further and no urgent economic pressure to do so, the euro has maintained a relative yield advantage compared to the dollar, even in a context of muted growth. Another important driver of euro strength has been the rotation of capital into U.S. equities, particularly in the technology and large cap sectors. As investors allocate more capital into risk assets, the dollar tends to weaken in FX terms, as funding shifts out of USD and into growth exposures (aka emerging markets) This type of flow indirectly benefits the euro. At the same time the dollar is no longer acting as a dominant safe haven for now. Despite the presence of global uncertainty, low market volatility and return focused positioning have reduced the appeal of defensive USD flows. This has allowed the euro to benefit from repositioning, not because of its own economic strength, but because the dollar is no longer absorbing global liquidity the way it once did. From a technical standpoint, the breakout above the 2008 trendline marks a significant structural change. As long as the 1.1500 area holds as support, the trend remains intact. The next major upside target is around 1.20, which aligns with the top of the rising price channel and represents a likely area for medium term profit taking by larger market participants. However , risks to the upside scenario remain. Because this rally is being driven by capital flows and positioning rather than Eurozone fundamentals, it is highly sensitive to shifts in sentiment and data. A stronger than expected U.S economic report, such as an upside surprise in CPI, employment or consumer spending, could quickly change the market’s view on the Fed’s rate path and trigger a resurgence in dollar strength. Similarly, any signal from the ECB that suggests renewed dovishness or further deterioration in European economic data, could weigh heavily on the euro. In addition, if a geopolitical shock or a sharp decline in risk appetite occurs, safe haven flows could return to the dollar and result in a fast reversal in EUR/USD. We saw a warning of this past weekend with Israel and Iran attacking each other. all in all, the euro has made a technically sound and macro supported breakout, driven by diverging rate cycles, capital rotation and the evolving role of the U.S dollar in global flows. The move toward 1.20 remains a valid target as long as 1.1500 holds as support. But this is not a fundamentally bullish euro story. It is a positioning driven move based on relative rate expectations and macro sentiment. If those expectations shift, the rally could unwind quickly. Active risk management remains essential. I hope this helps you all, Cheers! Chart White dashed line - 2008 Resistance Red and Blue Ascending channel (Bullish on Daily) Red is 1.19-1.20 AOI TP
by RobertTMFX
1
6/16/2025 3:33 AM PST - PreMarket Analysis - ChatGPTGOLD/USD (XAU/USD) 15m Chart Analysis – Forecast for Next 24 Hours Market Context Summary (as of chart time ~3:20 UTC, June 16, 2025): Price: ~$3,412 USD/oz Structure: Recent breakdown from the $3,430–$3,440 range; consolidating near $3,412 Trend: Short-term downtrend following a peak near $3,445 Volume: Increasing during breakdown, fading in current range Support Zone: $3,410, $3,402, $3,384 Resistance Zone: $3,430, $3,440+ 🔎 Technical Indicators: 1. RSI (14) Current: ~34.82 Implication: Oversold region nearing bounce zone, but not confirmed yet Watch: Break above 40-45 for early bullish divergence confirmation 2. MACD (12,26,9) Histogram showing signs of waning bearish momentum Signal line is about to cross MACD line upwards — bullish crossover potential Suggests upcoming momentum reversal or relief rally 3. Volume Profile High volume on sell-off from $3,440, but volume has since dropped Volume drop during consolidation typically precedes breakout 🧠 Price Action / Key Levels: Price is holding above key micro-support ~$3,410 Multiple historical order blocks around $3,402 and $3,384 — strong demand zones Prior resistance at $3,430 now acts as resistance again 🎯 Trade Setup (Next 24 Hours) ✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal (Higher Probability) Conditions for entry: MACD bullish crossover + RSI breaking above 45 Price reclaims and closes above ~$3,417–$3,420 on volume Entry: 📈 Buy on breakout candle above $3,420 🎯 Targets: TP1: $3,428 TP2: $3,437 🛑 SL: $3,406 (just below support zone) ❌ Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation (If bounce fails) Conditions: Rejection below $3,420 Breakdown of $3,410 support with increased selling volume Entry: 📉 Sell on confirmed candle close below $3,410 🎯 Targets: TP1: $3,402 TP2: $3,384 🛑 SL: $3,421 (above last consolidation top) 🧠 Strategic Recommendation: Favor long (buy) setup if bullish MACD crossover + RSI recovery >45 happens before NY session Watch for fakeouts during low liquidity hours (Asia session) Avoid premature entries; wait for volume confirmation Would you like this setup translated into a Pine Script alert, or want a 24h trailing risk-reward model? You said: what is the probability between scenario 1 and 2? ChatGPT said: Based on the current chart structure and technical indicators, here's the probability assessment between the two scenarios: 📊 Probability Estimate (Next 24 Hours): Scenario Probability Rationale ✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal 65% - RSI near oversold and starting to curve up MACD histogram shrinking, potential bullish crossover Price holding above short-term support ($3,410) Low-volume pullback suggests sellers are losing momentum | | ❌ Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation | 35% | - No confirmed bullish signal yet Still in a lower high/lower low pattern If $3,410 breaks, no major support until ~$3,402/$3,384 Macro resistance at $3,430 remains intact | 🧠 Explanation: Momentum indicators are hinting at a relief rally, not a full trend reversal yet. Bears had control, but are now losing momentum (fading volume, RSI flattening, MACD bottoming). Market is waiting for confirmation: A bullish breakout could trigger a wave of short covering. 🔮 Summary: If $3,410 holds and MACD crosses bullishly: Long trade has a 65% probability of hitting at least TP1 ($3,428–$3,437). But if $3,410 breaks, expect accelerated downside with 35% chance of continuation to $3,384 zone.
TVC:GOLD
by Trader604
GoldFxMinds Sniper Plan — June 17, 2025 🚀 GoldMinds Battle Plan Loaded — June 17, 2025 Good morning GoldMinds 👋 The market is again building perfect traps after CPI & PPI whipped both sides last week. Liquidity is stacking and volatility is hiding behind a quiet news calendar — exactly when the market loves to attack both sides. We stay patient, sniper-style. 🌎 Macro & Sentiment: No major data today, but liquidity still reacts after last week’s CPI & FOMC tone. DXY remains stable — gold remains capped inside premium supply zones. The real game now is liquidity manipulation — we focus on clean execution. 🔬 Structure & Bias: ✅ D1: Liquidity sweep above 3450 — sellers protecting premium. ✅ H4: Lower high distribution forming. ✅ H1: Bearish order flow starting to control. ✅ EMAs 5/21/50: compressed bearish. ✅ RSI: showing divergence on intraday. Bias: Tactical Bearish — under 3460 we remain sellers on sweeps. Liquidity hunts both ways but premium remains the trap zone. 🎯 Sniper Zones 🔻 SELL ZONES: 3405 – 3410 → early pullback rejection zone 3435 – 3445 → main OB liquidity sweep 3452 – 3460 → extreme premium trap zone 🔻 BUY ZONES: 3365 – 3380 → golden zone buy (perfect fibo confluence) 3335 – 3345 → deep flush exhaustion buy 🔄 Tactical Scenarios Sell spikes into premium → M15 rejection → target 3380 first. If flushed into golden zone → watch M15 confirmation → target 3405. If deep flush into 3335 → exhaustion buy setups only. 💡 Tactical Notes No chasing — liquidity first, reaction second. News absence = perfect condition for engineered liquidity sweeps. Stay sniper. Only act when structure confirms. 🔥 If this sniper battle plan helps you prepare, smash the 🚀, drop your bias in comments & hit FOLLOW to support real structure-based trading. Let’s bring back real value content to TradingView. GoldFxMinds 🧠✨
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
10
06/16/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysisEOD accountability report: +450 Sleep: 7 hours Overall health: Good What was my initial plan? I knew today was contract rollovers and decided not to trade it, but after noticing that the x1 signals were working pretty good today, i decided to take some plays at the soft support and resistances. **Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System from (9:30am to 2pm)** Lot of X7 buy signals (usual signal that market is bullish) — 10:40 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (triple signal) — 11:56 AM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal — 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 1:20 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal Next day plan--> Above 6010 = Bullish, Under 5965= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
Markets rally as missiles fly | how long can risk be ignored? Markets may be underpricing Israel and Iran risk. Despite continued fighting—including high-impact strikes and rising casualties—global equities moved higher to start the week. U.S. indices led the advance, with the Nasdaq gaining 1.5%, followed by the S&P 500 and Dow. Earlier in the session, European and Asian markets also closed higher, with Germany’s DAX up 0.8% and Japan’s Nikkei rising 1.3%. Now Asian markets are set to open for the second trading day of the week. Tensions escalated further on Monday as Israel launched drone strikes on Iran’s state-run IRINN television headquarters in Tehran, interrupting a live broadcast. Additional Israeli attacks hit the South Pars gas field. In retaliation, Iran launched a fresh wave of missile attacks into Israel, killing at least five people.
ASX24:AP1!
by BlackBull_Markets
GOLD → Hunting for liquidity before continued growthFX:XAUUSD has been correcting since the start of the session. The fundamental background is complicated due to the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. The price of gold briefly retreated from a two-month high above $3,450 amid a recovery in the dollar and investor caution. Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran are dampening risk appetite, while markets await decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan. Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to support interest in gold, but fresh impetus is needed for further gains. Technically, the market is bullish. Gold is forming a correction to the key support and liquidity zone amid an uptrend. The price is within the range, and a retest of 3400 could trigger growth. Support levels: 3408, 3400 Resistance levels: 3446, 3500 A retest of support and liquidity capture amid the current challenging situation (high interest in the metal) and a bullish trend could support the price, allowing gold to continue its growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
30