Gap below… but copper’s breakout still in playCopper markets erupted higher this week following President Trump's proposal to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports. The price ripped from just above $5.20 to nearly $5.80 in a single 4-hour candle.
Now, copper could be forming a bullish flag or pennant on the 4-hour timeframe. After the vertical spike, price is consolidating in a tight, potentially downward-sloping channel between ~$5.45 and ~$5.60.
If confirmed with a clean breakout above the flag’s upper trendline - perhaps near $5.62—the next leg could project toward the previous high near $5.80
There’s also a gap below current price action, between $5.20 and $5.35, formed during the explosive move up. While gaps can act as support zones, they also tend to get revisited.
Fundamental Analysis
ZENUSDT | Triangle Breakout Setup Brewing!#ZEN is currently consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, following a strong bearish move. The price action has shifted to a sideways range, signaling a potential trend reversal or continuation setup in the making.
What to Watch:
We’re closely monitoring a bullish breakout from the triangle or resistance zone.
A confirmed breakout with a successful retest will trigger our long entry.
As always, proper risk management is key – wait for confirmation before entering.
Trade Plan:
✅ Wait for breakout above resistance
✅ Look for volume confirmation
✅ Enter on retest with a tight stop-loss
✅ Target recent highs for a solid R:R setup
What’s your take on #ZEN? Do you see a breakout coming or more chop ahead? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Follow me for more real-time crypto setups and chart breakdowns!
#ZEN #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TrianglePattern #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #ZENUSDT #Altcoins #TradingSetup #CryptoTA #BullishBreakout #SwingTrade #4hrChart #TradingViewIdeas
GOLD is in bearish conditions, pressured by aggressive tariffsOn Wednesday (July 9) in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly fell sharply in the short term, and the gold price just fell below 3,290 USD / ounce.
Although US President Trump announced that the first tariff letters had been sent to some US trading partners, the gold price fell below 3,290 USD / ounce due to the weakening demand for safe-haven gold. Trump postponed the tariff deadline to August 1, easing trade tensions.
The recovery in the dollar TVC:DXY and rising US Treasury yields also weighed on gold, sending prices sharply lower after hitting a high of $3,345 an ounce.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note TVC:US10Y rose to its highest in more than two weeks, making gold, which does not pay interest, less attractive as an investment.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 4.415%. The US real yield also rose 4 basis points to 2.073%.
TVC:DXY , which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of currencies, rose 0.20% to 97.70. The rise in the Dollar Index means that gold priced in dollars has become less attractive because they are inversely correlated.
Japan and South Korea said on Tuesday they would try to speed up trade talks with the United States in a bid to soften President Donald Trump's stance on new tariffs set to take effect on August 1.
But optimism about a trade deal boosted market risk appetite, limiting gold's upside.
Traders are awaiting the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting on Wednesday, followed by data on initial jobless claims for the week ended July 5.
Investors now expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year, starting in October.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold fell below the 3,300USD whole price point and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, which are the initial conditions for gold prices to have a prospect for a bearish trend.
Currently, with the position below 3,300USD, gold may continue to decline with the next target around 3,246USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
The current resistances of gold prices are the pressure from the EMA21 line, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. These are also the resistance positions that readers paid attention to in the previous issue.
In addition, the RSI is pointing down from 50, currently 50 is considered the nearest resistance and the fact that the RSI is pointing down is quite far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for a decline ahead.
During the day, although the trend is not yet completely clear, gold is showing conditions that are more inclined towards a decline, along with that, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,292 - 3,246 USD
Resistance: 3,300 - 3,340 - 3,350 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3346 - 3344⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3350
→Take Profit 1 3338
↨
→Take Profit 2 3332
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3245 - 3247⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3241
→Take Profit 1 3253
↨
→Take Profit 2 3259
Small cap is the flavor of the day - Long at 4.05I decided to do a small cap stock today. I don't use too many of these as ideas, though I do trade them on my own. I don't usually publish about them because they are inherently more risky than large cap, established stocks. And to be fair, RBBN has a spotty history from a chart perspective.
Go ahead and zoom on out all the way. See that? That's what danger looks like. This stock has lost 80% of its value in the last 10 years, and 50% in the last 4. However, in its defense, it is profitable on a reported earnings basis over the last 12 months, and has held its own for several years now, and that's why I'm not AS nervous as I might otherwise be publishing this.
Additionally, it's solidly above its 200MA and in both a 1 year and 2 month uptrend, so its recent strength is good. I haven't dug down all the way back to its debut, but I suspect I'd have at the very least had a challenge making money on this one over its entire existence. But I am not trading its entire existence today. 75% of the trades in this stock in the last year would have closed in under 2 weeks, so the short term picture is what I'm mostly looking at here, and over the last month or so this has been a very solid stock. Could that change tomorrow? Yup. But I don't have that crystal ball. All I can do is rely on the system that has of late produced excellent results here.
In the last 12 months, there have been 27 buy signals here. 25 closed profitably and 2 are still open and down 18% and 9%, respectively. INCLUDING the losers, however, the median daily return on those trades has been .48% (>10x the market avg) and the average daily return is 1.02% (> 23x the avg daily market return).
Trading is about balancing risks and rewards. This stock is riskier than most, but the rewards are a lot better, too. I don't put all my money into any one trade - that's a TERRIBLE idea. The vast majority of my open trades are relatively safe, large cap stocks. But risky has its place in a portfolio. I made 15% in 2 days recently on QUBT (I posted that trade here) and made almost 18% on NUTX in the last 2 days - just closed that trade today. As a % of my portfolio of trades, ones like that can be small positions, but make a meaningful impact. That's my hope for RBBN here.
Of the 25 winning trades in the last year, over half produced a gain of 4% or more. And the average holding periods of the winners was only 8 days, with 15 of the 25 closing in a week or less. That rapid return also reduces the risk in a stock like this one. Wnen you only stick around for a few days most of the time, it's harder (not impossible) to get caught holding the bag during a drop.
My close will be signal based, and not a particular price target, but the trades I referred to above on RBBN give a good outline. However, the 2 losers have been open since February, so be forewarned that IF you follow me on this one, you might need to buckle your chinstrap. It could get bumpy.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing and why, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
DXY 1D – Tipping Point: News or Price Action?Hey Guys,
The DXY index is currently moving within a downtrend. This trend is unlikely to reverse unless it breaks above the 98.950 level.
Sure, key fundamental data could shift the trend, but without those news catalysts, a reversal at this point doesn’t seem realistic.
Don’t forget—98.950 is a critical threshold for the DXY.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
Bitcoin turns bullish again | Price target = $140k++After 2 months of consolidating within a descending channel, Bitcoin has finally broken out, confirming a major technical breakout and shifting the structure back to bullish. The breakout was followed by a clean retest of the channel resistance turned support, which is now acting as a launchpad for the next leg up.
🧠 Technical Analysis:
Descending Channel Breakout: Price has convincingly broken out of the downward sloping channel, invalidating the bearish structure and flipping it bullish.
Retest Confirmation: The price is currently retesting the upper boundary of the channel — a textbook bullish retest. This confirms buyer strength and shakes out weak hands.
Liquidity Magnet Above 111k: A significant cluster of buyside liquidity sits above 111k. Once that level is breached, expect an explosive acceleration toward 120k.
Measured Move Target: Based on the height of the prior impulse (from April to May), the projected extension points to ~140k.
🌍 Macro & Sentiment Drivers:
ETF Flows & Institutional Demand: U.S. Bitcoin Spot ETFs continue to show consistent inflows, signaling strong institutional accumulation — a major shift in long-term demand.
Fed Pivot Speculation: Expectations for a Fed rate cut later in 2025 are building. Lower interest rates could fuel risk-on sentiment, pushing capital back into crypto.
Big Beautiful Bill: This bill is expected to inject money into the economy, increasing liquidity — ultimately going into crypto. This bill will be signed into law today.
Bullish crypto developments: Settlement of the XRP SEC case, spot crypto ETFs, mainstream crypto adoptions, etc. will all contribute to the bullish sentiment.
🧩 Final Thoughts:
This setup combines strong technical structure, favorable macro tailwinds, and clear liquidity targets. The coming days are critical — if Bitcoin clears 111k cleanly, it could trigger a short squeeze and FOMO-driven rally straight into 120k.
Opportunities Arise from Dollar WeaknessSince the dollar peaked in 2022, it has declined by 24%.
Such a decline may not seem significant for a stock, it’s a different story when it comes to currencies, especially a reserve currency for USD. US purchasing power has dropped by a quarter, meaning they will now have to pay 24% more for imports from EU.
However, the decline in the USD also presents opportunities in other markets.
Mirco EUR/USD Futures
Ticker: M6E
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0001 per euro = $1.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
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GOLD SELL SETUPAfter a strong bullish move, price approached a key resistance zone near the 3325–3330 level, which coincides with a potential supply zone created by previous price rejection. The market structure showed signs of slowing momentum, with multiple wicks to the upside and smaller-bodied candles near resistance, indicating possible exhaustion of buying pressure.
Gold Price Analysis July 9GOLD XAU/USD ANALYSIS – CONFIRMING THE CONTINUATION OF THE BEARISH WAVE
Yesterday's D1 candle confirmed the downward momentum of gold when the selling pressure returned strongly below the liquidity candle wick. This shows that the selling pressure is still dominant and the downward momentum is likely to continue in today's session.
🔹 IMPORTANT RESISTANCE ZONE: 3297
The 3297 zone – which was a strong support in yesterday's session – has now turned into a resistance zone. This is a potential SELL zone for the day, especially if there is a confirmation signal from the sellers at this price zone.
🔹 CONFUSION RESISTANCE ZONE: 3310
The 3310 area is the confluence between the downtrend line and the resistance zone of the US session – which needs special attention in the SELL strategy. If the price approaches this zone, expect a reaction from the selling side to return.
🎯 SUGGESTED STRATEGY:
SELL when price does not break through 3297 (confirm selling pressure at resistance)
SELL DCA if price breaks down to 3276
Target: 3250
BUY only considered if price holds 3276 and has a bullish reaction
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 3277 – 3250
Resistance: 3297 – 3310 – 3328
Important reaction zone: 3377 (if price rebounds)
7/9/25 - $envx - Friends tell friends the truth7/9/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ENVX
Friends tell friends the truth
- not a fan of Raj, seems inauthentic on one front... and tbh, that might seem "judgy". i've made my money on wall street reading mgrs in the first 5 seconds i meet them. i'd just not give this guy my money, that's all. it's my human LLM.
- the company financials look ready to "explode" (mm in a good way) if you ask wall street/ expectations. but i don't trust that either. i always do my own work.
- all battery (*cough* meme) tech has done well since april lows
- important to choose names that have solid balance sheets, growth ... and ideally leaders in both respects. i keep coming back to NYSE:SES given it's size, similar if not better growth vs. much larger comps. more chemistry-agnostic software/tech
- so am i actually shorting ENVX. no. but i find too many ppl these days will put a "buy" on things that are buys and "holds" (whatever that means) and actual sells get a "ehh... keep it..". NO. if it's not working OR you have better alternatives dump that trash.
Listen. class in session here for a moment.
One of the most important things you can do in trading, poker and life (all are very similar - also different - but similar)... is when you have a bad hand, you get introduced to a sus person... you find yourself in an unfavorable decision AND you can decide to either engage or just say "thanks but no thanks"... say "thank you very much and no thank you". Don't say "thank you and i'll follow up" or "thank you and i'll consider it". forget that waste of your time. "thank you" (be polite) and "no thank you" all in the same sentence. if you've got some history/ legacy/ other ties.. more complicated. But of course, when we look at stonks, we can have that decision. If we lose a bit of coin. what. f'n ever. nobody EVER shoots 100%. or 80% or even 70%. move on. take your losses. move on. if a stock is non-obvious. move on. maybe you come back to it. should be for a good reason beyond FOMO. but re-consider. alas. you have the decision to say no.
we talk about time being scarce. so is your ability to give two shoes about some of these stocks. if you're not high conviction, then forget it. time is too short to diversify and make excuses.
make time for those who matter
make space in your PnL for the stocks that will drive results
and forget the rest.
Gn my friends
V
LMT – Long Setup IdeaLMT – Long Setup
Current: \$463.01 | Premarket: \$464.01 (+0.22%)
---
📊 Why I’m Eyeing the Long:
✅ Strong base at \$450–460 – buyers defending this level hard for months. Solid floor.
✅ Premarket green after red day = possible bounce play incoming.
✅ Deutsche Bank PT \$472 – not huge, but confirms it’s not dead weight.
✅ Defense sector = safety play in choppy markets. War tension = bullish tailwind.
✅ Low vol + tight range = setup for breakout. Watching for volume push.
---
🎯 Trade Plan:
• Entry: $460–464 zone
• Short- Term TP: $480
• Medium-Term TP: $500+
• SL: Clean below $450 (tight risk)
---
📅 Earnings in 13 days – this could move early.
⚠️ Watch volume at open.
---
Just my setup – trade your plan. Let’s see what the tape gives us.
Smart 15-Min Entry on USDJPY – Clear Plan with 2.33 R/R📢 Hey Guys;
I've placed a buy limit order on USDJPY at a key support level.
🔵 Entry: 145.956
🔴 Stop Loss: 145.743
🟢 Targets:
• TP1: 146.069
• TP2: 146.232
• TP3: 146.468
📐 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.33
-------
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
Dollar Index Analysis – Trump, Hegemony & a Dangerous Disconnect🇺🇸💣 Dollar Index Analysis – Trump, Hegemony & a Dangerous Disconnect 📉⚠️
Hey Traders,
FXPROFESSOR here with a deep-dive update on the Dollar Index (DXY) – and this one hits both technicals and macro geopolitics.
🧠 Macro Context:
For decades, the U.S. strategically outsourced much of its basic manufacturing capacity to China—everything from screws, cables, plastics, and circuit boards. This freed America to focus on high-margin sectors like technology, finance, and defense innovation.
But this efficiency came at a cost: dependency. You can't be the military and economic hegemon of the world if you don’t manufacture your own basic components. That’s the foundation of hard power—and Trump understands this well.
🔁 Now Trump is trying to reverse that.
He knows America can’t win long-term without reclaiming production and export competitiveness – and a strong dollar kills that dream.
So what’s the play?
✅ Trump brings the volatility
✅ Fed stays cautious
✅ Dollar weakens... but without actual rate cuts
That’s the scary part 👇
📉 💵 Dollar Strength vs. Treasury Stress
This is also why the U.S. Treasury market is under stress. If the U.S. wants to rebuild domestic production, reduce trade deficits, and support massive fiscal spending, it needs to weaken the dollar and attract internal capital—not depend on foreign buyers of debt.
A strong dollar = trade imbalance, hollowed industry, and rising debt service costs.
A normalized dollar = controlled exports, internal manufacturing, and a potential realignment of global capital flows.
📉 The Chart: "The Year of the Normalized Dollar"
🟡 This is a continuation of the same chart I published over a year ago.
Key Rejection Zone: 100.965 (former support, now resistance)
Current Trajectory: Approaching my long-held target at 94.677
Macro Message: The dollar is dropping without a Fed pivot
Worrying Signal: If we hit major support while the Fed stays tight... the entire market may need to reprice expectations. That could shake equities and crypto alike.
🧊 This is not a clean-cut dollar short anymore . It’s already priced in, and that’s why I’m spooked.
🧭 What I’m Watching:
Will Trump’s trade war accelerate this move?
Will Powell finally cut in September—or double down?
Will the support at 94.5 hold, or break and open a much larger macro shift?
This chart is no longer just technical. It’s political. It’s strategic. It’s a chessboard for hegemony.
🎥 FULL 20-min video breakdown is now live!
I cover DXY, Bitcoin, tech stocks, gold, silver, DAX, BTC.D and much more
Watch it if you want the full map of what I’m thinking this week.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
EUR/USD Bears Maintain Control as ECB Caution Weigh on EuroTechnical Analysis
The EUR/USD 4-hour chart reflects ongoing bearish pressure after failing to sustain above the 1.17647 resistance zone, indicating sellers are currently dominating the market. The pair trades below the 20-period EMA (blue line), which is beginning to slope downwards, confirming short-term bearish momentum.
Price action remains beneath the middle Bollinger Band, emphasizing seller control over the near-term price direction. Recent candlesticks show multiple rejections from the 1.17164 level (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), indicating strong resistance and failed attempts to push higher. The overall momentum suggests a potential continuation of the downward move unless bullish momentum returns decisively.
Failure to hold the support near 1.16865 would expose the pair to deeper declines targeting the Fibonacci extension zones between 1.16650 and 1.16380 and possibly lower.
Alternative Scenario:
Conversely, a break and sustained close above 1.17164 (61.8% retracement) could trigger a short-term rebound, potentially challenging the 1.17647 resistance level.
Fundamental Outlook
ECB officials' speeches today will reinforce the cautious policy stance, maintaining rates steady amid external uncertainties.
US crude oil inventory reports and the Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast will be key in assessing inflationary pressures and economic growth.
The FOMC meeting minutes release will be critical for signaling the Fed's future monetary policy intentions, which remain a key driver for the dollar’s strength.
Engineers India LtdThe stock is showing strong bullish signs across multiple timeframes:
☕ On the daily chart, it's forming a classic Cup and Handle pattern – a reliable bullish continuation signal.
🔵 On the weekly timeframe, a rounding bottom is clearly visible, adding strength to the longer-term structure.
📍 Neckline: ₹246
🎯 Potential Targets: ₹250 → ₹260 → ₹270
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below recent swing low for risk control
A breakout above ₹246 could trigger a strong move, supported by both pattern formations and structure across timeframes.
Not financial advice – just sharing my analysis.
Bitcoin vs Gold: Driving the Point Home📉 Bitcoin vs Gold: Driving the Point Home The long-term comparison we can't afford to ignore.
Gold, after achieving mainstream status, weathered a 20-year consolidation phase, low volatility, muted investor excitement, but enduring presence. This historical precedent forces us to reconsider expectations for Bitcoin, now in its 15th year.
⚡ While Bitcoin’s adoption curve has been sharper, its market dominance has steadily declined since 2017. Despite intermittent, and often deceptive relief rallies, the trend remains downward. Altcoins, forks, and shifting narratives (DeFi, NFTs, meme tokens) continue to fragment attention and capital.
⚡ Could Bitcoin follow gold’s path and enter a prolonged era of post-hype consolidation? If so, the next bull run might be a decade away or more … if it happens at all. In an age of digital abundance, durability; not innovation, may define Bitcoin’s legacy.
📊 Chart Highlights: The latest image visualizes Bitcoin’s current phase against gold’s historical arc. The final label "Monetary Maturity" suggests a shift from speculative highs to a more sober test of endurance.
🔍 Will Bitcoin evolve into a true store of value or fade as just another chapter in financial innovation? Let the markets answer, but history offers clues. Only Time will tell.
#Bitcoin #Gold #CryptoAnalysis #BTCdominance #CryptoHistory #DigitalAssets #TradingView
CRYPTO:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD TVC:SILVER NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:MARA NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:TSLA TVC:DXY NYSE:CRCL
Momentum Watch: GOOG Entry ZoneNASDAQ:GOOG – Trend Continuation Setup
The price has been trending within a clean ascending channel since April 2025.
After a pullback toward the midline and Bollinger basis, price is showing potential support.
Setup:
• Entry: $175 (conceptual)
• Stop: $165.5 (below channel)
• Target: $208 (upper boundary)
• Risk/Reward: 3.51
Stochastic is retracing but remains above key support zone.
As long as the channel holds, expecting continuation toward $200–208 by late September.
⚠️ Market remains under pressure following July 9th events, which could increase short-term volatility across tech.
Hold more than 3320 gold orders and wait patiently for the riseWe arranged a long order at 3320. Obviously, the market has given us an opportunity. After entering the long order, we should set a stop loss and wait patiently for the profit to be released. This is what we have to do, so there is no other idea and we are still bullish.
The current market has a clear rhythm, and the support is effective. In the short term, it is still a bullish structure. The structure is not broken and the direction remains unchanged. We will continue to advance the trading rhythm as planned.
🔸 Hold long orders near 3320, and the stop profit is 3335-3345 unchanged.
🔸 Strictly implement the trading plan, keep a stable rhythm, and wait for the market to realize the space.
Trade within the plan, rhythm first, keep an eye on the key points, and leave the rest to the market.
Where is Verizon headed next?Some quick points about the slight dip Verizon experienced over the past 5 trading days. Did bears step in and reject higher prices for VZ? Is the potential for a rally over?
In my opinion. No. But why you ask?
This stock trades relatively inverse to 10 year treasury yields. The 4 down days recently coincided exactly with 4 green days for 10 year yields. This is because if treasury prices fall, and thus yields go up, it makes Verizon theoretically less appealing because though you will generate less yield from treasuries, they are backed by the US government.
So in order for Verizon's yield to be more competitive with treasuries, naturally the price declines. When treasury yields drop, VZ can naturally rise, because the dividend can decline relative to price, and it's still appealing. This wasn't investors souring on Verizon, or the bears rejecting a rally, it was investors worrying about US debt repayment, and demanding higher interest payments from the government.
So why did yields spike for 4 days? The Big Beautiful Bill. Basically if the government borrows a bunch of money, and investors think that maybe there is a risk that they won't be able to pay them back, they demand a higher yield (treasury prices fall, and yields go up).
But if you ask me, that yield spike may already be over. The market tends to over-react to big news like this, and there are a few things happening right now that favor VZ going higher, I will list them below :
10 year yields have been trending down for months, they spiked, but only touched the top of the downtrend channel before retreating. They look poised to continue the downtrend for the second half of the week. Remember, the trend is your friend. Until yields break this channel convincingly and create an uptrend, you can assume they will continue downwards.
When tech stocks fall, yields tend to fall even faster, because investors seek the safety of treasuries to preserve capital and wait out the dip, which pushes bond prices up, and drives yields down (good for high dividend stocks like VZ).
Most tech stocks, and the QQQ ETF are looking very overbought. Earnings season is coming, but it looks like all of that action has already been priced in. There are bearish divergences appearing all over the place in tech stock RSI charts, I personally started closing out some positions already.
I'm still bullish on tech into the end of the year, but right now there is a lot of risk chasing the big names higher IMO. This is the longest stretch of days in 3 years without a 5-10% correction, which is already a red flag in itself. I won't be surprised to see some of the big names start to pull back as early as tomorrow, some of them have already begun to pull back. At least a minor correction looks highly probable, a deeper correction within the next few weeks.
10 Year Bond futures bounced and started climbing today (albeit, just a little, but in the right direction).
The market seems to be forgetting that US Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent's former job was literally selling US debt (driving yields down). He has made a career out of pushing yields down, and has stated it's his major goal with this administration. And like Elon said "if you are betting against the bond market, I think you are on the wrong side of that bet." (in short, this is a bullish theme for dividend stocks which are sensitive to yield fluctuations).
All in all, my thesis from previous posts remains. VZ is going higher, so long as 10 year yields don't rocket to all-time highs and stay there forever, and there is no apocalyptic earnings report, I see no reason why it won't.
XAUUSD NY SESSION FLOW – JULY 8→ 9 , 2025"Structure doesn’t lie. Price answered exactly where we expected it to."
Hey traders 👋
Let’s set the record straight after today’s precision bounce. We saw textbook price action across all sessions — Asia triggered the short from our 3344–3351 HTF supply, and both London and New York followed through with no hesitation, driving price down to 3287.
But here’s the key point:
🧨 3287 was just 10 pips above our clean 3286–3280 buy zone.
No mitigation. Just a front-run.
That’s what real liquidity does — grabs what it needs before the crowd gets in. Our zone is still valid… just untouched.
🔍 HTF BIAS & STRUCTURE UPDATE
📆 Daily Bias:
Structure is still bearish — lower highs, CHoCH, and soft RSI.
EMAs 5/21 are flat. No power for bulls unless 3351 breaks.
⏰ H4 Bias:
New lower high confirmed after rejection from our 3344–3351 zone.
Trend is still bearish unless we reclaim 3330+ with conviction.
Liquidity is driving movement, not news.
🕐 H1 Flow:
Bounce from 3287 = engineered reaction before real demand
Price now hovering above 3306, forming mid-structure
No trade in the middle. Let’s work the edges.
🎯 TODAY’S SNIPER ZONES
🔻 SELL ZONES
1. 3325–3330
Nearest short trap. OB + inefficiency + H1 rejection base.
If price returns, watch M15/M30 for CHoCH or BOS → entry.
2. 3344–3351
Our major HTF supply. Asia already reacted from top half.
If revisited, this zone remains the high-probability rejection zone.
3. 3380–3394
Premium OB + imbalance pocket.
Untouched zone far above — if tapped late in the week, watch for liquidity sweep → clean reversal potential.
🟢 BUY ZONES
1. 3297–3300
NY session bounce zone. Price tapped 3297 → pushed to 3306.
Still live for intraday reentry if price retests and confirms with BOS.
2. 3286–3280
Our true demand base. Price front-ran it by 10 pips — didn’t mitigate.
Still valid, still reactive. Don’t delete this zone.
3. 3263–3255
Last line of support. Deep zone — only comes into play if 3280 fails with conviction.
✅ EXECUTION REMINDERS
Price is hovering mid-range → don’t force entries
Only act if structure reacts at the edges (3325 or 3286)
3380–3394 may be a late-week trap if bulls get overconfident
📌 If this breakdown helped, hit 🚀 and drop a comment:
👉 Are you stalking 3325… or waiting for 3286 to finally wake up?
Let structure talk. You just execute.
GoldFxMinds 💭🔥
📢 Disclosure:
This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee.
⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice.
MR. COPPER GOES FUN. WITH DONALD TRUMP — IT IS A BULL RUNCopper prices in 2025 are up about 27 percent year-to-date, driven by a complex interplay of technical and fundamental factors, with geopolitical events such as the Trump administration's tariff policies and the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East having a significant impact.
Fundamental Outlook:
The main driver of copper prices in 2025 is the ongoing global surge in demand driven by the transition to clean energy. Copper is essential for electric vehicles (EVs), renewable energy infrastructure, and grid upgrades, all of which require extensive use of copper due to its superior electrical conductivity.
For example, EVs use about 2-4 times more copper than traditional vehicles, and renewable installations such as wind turbines contain several tons of copper each. This structural growth in demand underpins the optimistic outlook for copper in the medium to long term.
On the supply side, however, copper production is growing. The International Copper Study Group (ICSG) forecasts a global copper surplus of 289,000 tonnes in 2025, more than double the 2024 surplus. This surplus is driven by rising production, particularly from new or expanded operations in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Mongolia, Russia and elsewhere.
Capacity increases in these regions, coupled with smelter growth, could contribute to a supply glut despite strong demand.
Conversely, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could disrupt bauxite and alumina supply chains, a region that is a strategically important supplier of raw materials.
Impact of Trump Tariffs:
The Trump administration’s threats and actions to impose tariffs on U.S. copper imports have added volatility and complexity to the market. The tariff announcement triggered a sharp sell-off in early April 2025 as concerns about the impact on US manufactured demand and global trade flows grew. London Metal Exchange (LME) copper prices fell to one-month lows following China’s retaliatory tariffs, before partially recovering after some tariff exemptions and reductions were announced.
The tariffs also distorted physical supply chains. Traders rushed to deliver copper to the US ahead of the tariffs, reducing copper availability in other regions such as China. This arbitrage resulted in a significant widening of the price differential between US CME copper contracts and LME copper prices, with US prices trading at a premium of over 10% to London. This premium reflects the tariff risk embedded in the US copper price and expectations of temporary domestic market tensions.
Technical Outlook:
Technically, copper prices have shown resilience despite the tariff shocks. Copper prices sold off after peaking in late March 2025 before the tariffs were announced, but have since begun to recover.
Long-term trendlines and moving averages remain supportive, with the 100-week and 200-week moving averages trending higher and forming a bullish crossover earlier in the year.
Long-term copper prices are once again attacking the 18-year resistance around $4.50/lb ($10/kg) that capped the upside in 2008 and again in the 2010s and first half of the 2020s, with a 1.5x rally in the next 1 to 3 years.
The technical main chart of the COMEX December 2025 copper futures contract COMEX:HGZ2025
points to the possibility of an upside move, all the way to the $7 mark (around $15/kg) as early as H2 2025.
Conclusion
Going forward, copper prices are expected to remain volatile but supported by long-term structural demand growth, with the impact of tariffs likely to cause episodic disruptions rather than a sustained suppression of increasingly hot prices.
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@PandorraResearch Team😎