Fundamental Analysis
Comparing US10Y/DXY/US500/VIX, fundamental/technical analysisProposed technical/fundamental analysis for US10Y/DXY/US500/VIX.
Bank unrealized losses on available-for-sale and held to maturity securities was $364 billion in Q3 2024; this number will continue to increase as long-term treasure rates increase (www.fdic.gov).
US10Y yield chart looks for yield to go higher, north of 5%. If treasury rates continue to increase, there may be a bank run, as banks get more and more underwater with their unrealized losses. DXY will go up above 120, US500 will crater below October 2022 low of 3490.2, and VIX will pop towards 80.
"Edible Garden: Growing Profits, One Leaf at a Time!"From farm to fork, this green thumb’s a perk. Hydroponic dreams and sustainable schemes, EDBL grows veggies that thrive in beams. With a float so lean and shorts so mean, will this leafy stock make the market gleam? Invest now before it’s a mainstream theme!
BTC/USDT HIt it once, Getting it again?The price made excatly how the analysis showed and is now showing the fake breakout, price return and we can expect the price to continue the buy trend and go back up... be carefull because it still can make another fake and always wait for the right confirmation!!
Micron Technology ($MU): Breaking Resistance or Building Moment
"Undervalued tech stocks are like treasure maps—the trick is knowing where the 'X' marks the breakout. Let’s see where NASDAQ:MU might lead us."
Valuation Insight:
"Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) is trading at $87.50, with valuation metrics that scream potential:
P/E Ratio: 10.5—well below industry averages.
P/B Ratio: 1.7—value investors, take note.
EV/Revenue Ratio: 3.5—a discount on future growth."
Key Resistance Levels to Watch:
$97.18 – The First Test 🎯
"This level marks the first hurdle for $MU. A breakout above could indicate momentum building toward a bullish trend."
$118.54 – The Big Break ⚡
"Crossing this level would confirm renewed bullish sentiment. Look for strong volume as a signal for sustained movement."
$181.66 – The Bullish Peak 🏔️
"While distant, this historical high serves as a long-term target for investors betting on sustained industry growth."
Growth Catalysts:
AI and 5G Demand: DRAM and NAND memory are critical for emerging technologies.
Institutional Activity: Dark pool orders and market-on-close volume indicate increased interest from big players.
Risks to Watch:
Cyclical Nature: Overproduction or slowing demand could impact prices.
Macroeconomic Headwinds: Higher interest rates might dampen near-term spending in tech.
Conclusion:
" NASDAQ:MU is undervalued and approaching critical levels—$97.18, $118.54, and $181.66—that could define its path forward. Keep these zones on your radar and watch for volume to validate potential moves."
Yen Struggles as Investors Question BoJ's Rate Hike ProspectsThroughout the first half of the European trading session on Monday, the Japanese Yen continues to struggle against the US Dollar, with the exchange rate slipping to 0.006436 as I write this article. Investor skepticism regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) potential for further interest rate hikes plays a significant role in this downward trend. This uncertainty, combined with an overall positive market sentiment, is putting pressure on the traditionally safe-haven Yen.
Moreover, the recent widening of the yield gap between US and Japanese government bonds—intensified by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance—further contributes to the Yen's decline. As the Fed signals a more aggressive monetary policy, the lower-yielding Yen becomes less attractive to investors.
In terms of market outlook, we are anticipating a continuation of this bearish trend for the Yen against the Dollar.
USD/JPY Previous Idea as reference:
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Again TLT, again 108 targetI’m still supporting 20+ bonds, and this time I’ve chosen the technical approach.
I’m not entirely sure if I’ve made the correct calculations using the XABCD pattern, but the picture seems accurate.
When the market has concerns about tax reductions, strict measures against migrants, sanctions, etc., and how all of this will affect prices and, specifically, inflation, don’t forget to consider the opposite side of reality.
Before all these factors fully materialize, it will take years. During those years, the Trump administration is preparing to make aggressive cuts in public spending, introduce new optimization plans, and more. This can have a direct negative impact on both inflation and the labor market.
Total 3At the moment, I am expecting the TOTAL3 index (the total market capitalization of altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) to enter the discount zone, which usually corresponds to areas of strong oversold conditions. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is already close to the 30 level, signaling a potential reversal or at least a slowdown in the decline.
Typically, such a zone becomes attractive for purchases as it represents points where the risk is reduced, and the growth potential is high. However, it’s important to consider overall market dynamics, external macroeconomic factors, and the behavior of major players.
I am continuing to monitor the RSI level and price reactions at key support zones.
BnbBnb usdt Daily analysis
Time frame daily
Risk rewards ratio >1.5 👈👌
Target 900 $
Bnb exited from parallel lines that was moving up and down and reached to new high on 795$
Then dropped to middle of parallel and raised to reach new target
Nowadays we hear many good news about corporations between Binance and companies that makes bnb continue stronger than ever
Why I Think More Companies Will Buy Themselves Back in 2025I noticed that Nordstrom is making headlines today as the Nordstrom family moves to take the company private, effectively "buying it back" from public shareholders. I find this fascinating and may add it to one of my themes for 2025: more small and mid cap companies will leave public markets and go private.
What is Nordstrom's doing? The strategy involves acquiring all outstanding shares not already owned by the family, removing Nordstrom from the public stock exchange. Taking the company private allows the family to regain full control, enabling strategic decisions without the pressure of quarterly earnings reports or shareholder scrutiny. Actually, the exact quote from the company is rather interesting: The Nordstrom family believes it will be more successful without the scrutiny and demands of the public market.
For Nordstrom, going private could mean focusing on long-term investments and restructuring without the constraints of public market expectations, costs or regulations. Ah, the freedom to build! A few things to note about this:
1. Look at the trend of Nordstrom's in the chart above into this go private offer.
2. Nordstrom's will save massively on legal costs and fees associated with going public.
3. I think more companies that are floundering at the small and mid cap level will opt to go in this direction.
4. More CFOs and CEOs will ask if it's worth it to stay public if there is no immediate benefit.
5. What's also interesting is that the companies can always go public again if they think they need to raise money once again or need to tap back into the markets.
This will be a space to watch and I will be writing about this more in 2025.
$BABAIn conclusion, with a blend of strong fundamentals, strategic corporate actions, supportive macroeconomic policies, and a recovering market sentiment, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) stands out as a compelling investment. The potential for growth, coupled with its current valuation, makes it a stock to watch closely as we move into 2025. Let's go, $BABA! 🐲🚀
Asian Paints - don't waste time follow simple approach??NSE:ASIANPAINT
Too much talk about Asian Paints? Retail investors aren't all fundamental analysts and only sometimes have the time.
If you're screening and believe Asian Paints will withstand the competition, focus on that. Trust in the Indian growth story.
Note: I'm not buying or planning to – my focus is on growth. But for super long-term investors, this might be of interest.
Here's what I'm tracking – the 3-month candlestick chart from TradingView.
For heaven's sake, it's business – 3 months give us a fair timeline for price action to show some certainty.
Disc: No investment , no recommendation
#AsianPaints #Investing #TradingView #LongTermInvestment #pwinvest #trading
$BTC.D prediction based on the current situation.CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has been climbing steadily since the start of this bull run.
It’s often said that an altseason begins when BTC dominance drops below 55%. However, the 54% level appears to be a strong support zone, with the MACD showing a low point and the RSI entering oversold territory.
My analysis suggests that BTC dominance has established a range between 59% and 55%. It’s likely to bounce off the top resistance, pushing dominance back toward the support.
If the next drop breaks through this support, it could finally trigger a true altseason.
WHAT MOVES LIES AHEAD OF GOLD?FUNDAMENTAL VIEW
It’s a quiet week on the economic calendar as the holiday spirit takes center stage, but gold remains in focus. What moves lie ahead for the precious metal?
From a fundamental perspective, the FED’s recent 25bps rate cut, paired with a cautious stance on future rate changes, has influenced gold prices. Furthermore, softer U.S inflation data for November has also weakened the dollar and lowered Treasury yields. Hence providing support for gold.
This week, markets will keep an eye on U.S. consumer confidence data later today at 7 PM GMT+4. Tomorrow, December 24, 2024, key releases include Core durable goods, durable goods, new home sales, and the Richmond manufacturing index. On Thursday, the weekly unemployment claims are expected, with a forecast of 218K. These and other economic indicators could impact gold prices, given their inverse relationship with the dollar.
TECHNICAL VIEW
On the daily timeframe, the price is struggling and currently trading below the 50 period EMA at $2,640.493, showing a -28% decrease today after a brief uptick during the Asian session, following significant losses last week.
The price is currently leaning bearish, with a potential target at $2,582.181. If this level is broken, the next support targets could be $2,553.488 and $2,489.954.
Alternatively, if bullish momentum takes over, the price could rise to $2,655.962, followed by $2,722.389 and then $2,787.129.
XRP Price Update: Short-Term Dip or Buying Opportunity?🚨 XRP Price Update: Short-Term Dip or Buying Opportunity? 🚨
CRYPTOCAP:XRP is currently trading at $2.19, reflecting a slight decline of 2.43% over the past 24 hours. Despite the short-term volatility, XRP continues to shine as one of the most popular cryptocurrencies with strong fundamentals and a loyal community.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
📈 Resistance: $2.30 (Potential short-term target)
📉 Support: $2.10 (Critical support zone to monitor)
📊 Trade Setup
🟢 Long Entry: Around $2.15, targeting:
1️⃣ $2.30 (short-term PDA)
2️⃣ $2.40 (next major level)
🔴 Short Entry: If XRP falls below $2.10, consider:
1️⃣ $2.05 (retracement zone)
2️⃣ $1.95 (lower PDA)
🛡 Risk Management
💡 Stop-loss: $2.05 to minimize downside risk.
💬 Market Insight
The slight dip in XRP may present a buying opportunity for those looking to accumulate at lower prices. Keep an eye out for recovery signals to confirm a bullish trend in the short term.
🚀 Stay tuned for updates and trade wisely!
Could AI Unlock the Secrets of Life's Building Blocks?In a remarkable leap forward for biotechnology, scientists have unveiled MassiveFold, a revolutionary adaptation of Google DeepMind's AlphaFold that transforms our ability to understand protein structures. This groundbreaking system achieves what was once thought impossible: reducing protein structure prediction time from months to mere hours. By combining parallel processing with sophisticated optimization techniques, Université de Lille and Linköping University researchers have created a tool that democratizes access to one of science's most powerful capabilities.
The implications of this advancement ripple across multiple industries, from pharmaceutical development to sustainable agriculture. MassiveFold's ability to rapidly decode protein structures – the fundamental building blocks of life – accelerates our potential to develop new medicines, enhance crop yields, and create more efficient biofuels. What makes this development particularly significant is its accessibility; the system operates efficiently on both modest computing setups and advanced GPU infrastructures, making it available to research teams worldwide.
Perhaps most intriguing is MassiveFold's performance in real-world applications. During the prestigious CASP15-CAPRI blind structure prediction trials, the system demonstrated remarkable accuracy, sometimes surpassing the capabilities of its predecessor, AlphaFold3. This success, combined with its open-source availability, suggests we're entering a new era of biological understanding where the mysteries of protein structures – and thus the fundamental mechanics of life – become increasingly accessible to scientific exploration. As this technology continues to evolve, it promises to unlock new possibilities in everything from disease treatment to environmental conservation, potentially revolutionizing our approach to humanity's most pressing challenges.
Polkadot Dot usdt Daily analysis
Time frame 4hours
Risk rewards ratio >2 👈👌
Technical analysis base on Eliot waves
The correction 3points (ABC) Eliot waves has finished ✅️
Now, I think, impulse Eliot waves starts . (1-5)
I designed the fist impulse wave on the first branche of main Eliot waves. ✅️
If this analysis happens, we will have a unbelievable alt-season. 🎅💥💥🎅
What's your analysis? 🤔
Do you think impulse wave is started?🤔
Q4 2016 Q4 2020 and Q4 2024 are the beginning of $ETH parabolic Q4 2016 Q4 2020 and Q4 2024 are the beginning of CRYPTOCAP:ETH parabolic run!
Historically the beginning of the #Ethereum Bull run starts from the 4th quarter with 4 year intervals as seen in the chart !
If you can't handle the dumps, you don't deserve the pumps.
Palantir ($PLTR): Positioned for Major Upside
Palantir Technologies ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) just announced a game-changing partnership with Anduril, SpaceX, OpenAI, and other private sector giants to form a consortium targeting U.S. government contracts.
This move positions NASDAQ:PLTR as a key player in the tech-defense ecosystem, directly competing against the traditional military-industrial complex. With this strategic backing from innovative companies, Palantir is poised for long-term growth and a potential re-rating of its value.
Key Highlights:
• Increased exposure to high-value government contracts.
• Diversified partnerships across AI, aerospace, and defense.
• Strong momentum in the defense-tech sector.
Technically, NASDAQ:PLTR continues to show solid support levels, with the potential for a breakout as these partnerships materialize. Watch for volume spikes and news updates for entry opportunities!
WIFUSDT: Long-Term Bullish SetupI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
DogWiFiHat ( KUCOIN:WIFUSDT ): Long-Term Bullish Setup for a Multi-Month Hold
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $2.0682 (Activated)
- Stop-Loss: $0.2580
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $5.6605
- TP2: $10.2864
Fundamental Analysis:
DogWiFiHat ( KUCOIN:WIFUSDT ) is an innovative cryptocurrency project aimed at merging decentralized connectivity solutions with meme-inspired community engagement. With its growing adoption and strategic partnerships in the tech sector, $ KUCOIN:WIFUSDT is creating a niche within the blockchain space. The anticipated market bullishness by May adds further potential for a strong rally.
Recent community-driven campaigns and developments in the ecosystem are expected to enhance its visibility and attract more long-term investors.
Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
- Current Price: $2.0820
- Moving Averages:
- 50-Day SMA: $1.8000
- 200-Day SMA: $1.5000
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 63, indicating bullish momentum.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $1.9000
- Resistance: $2.5000
KUCOIN:WIFUSDT has broken out of a consolidation phase, supported by strong buying volume. A confirmed breakout above $2.50 will likely drive the price toward TP1 and eventually TP2 as the market enters a more bullish phase.
Market Sentiment:
DogWiFiHat is riding the wave of increasing interest in meme-inspired cryptocurrencies with real-world use cases. With the broader market sentiment turning positive, KUCOIN:WIFUSDT is poised for significant upside potential.
Risk Management:
The stop-loss at $0.2580 provides strong downside protection, while the take-profit targets offer excellent reward potential. TP1 represents a 173% return, with TP2 providing a potential 397% gain for long-term holders.
Key Takeaways:
- KUCOIN:WIFUSDT combines meme culture with real-world utility, making it a unique play in the crypto space.
- The trade setup offers significant upside potential, aligning with market-wide bullish expectations through May.
- Strict adherence to stop-loss and take-profit levels is crucial for managing risk.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*