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Fundamental Analysis

UK GBP contracts, pound dipsThe British pound continues to have a quiet week. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3530, down 0.30% on the day. The UK wrapped up the week on a down note, as GDP contracted in May by 0.1% m/m. This followed a 0.3% decline in April and missed the consensus of 0.1%. The decline was driven by a 1% decline in manufacturing and a 0.6% contraction in construction, which cancelled out a 0.1% expansion in services. The GDP contractions in April and May point to a weak second quarter of growth, after an impressive 0.7% gain in the first quarter. The economic landscape remains uncertain and the Bank of England has projected weak growth of 1% for 2025. Governor Bailey has said that the rate path will be "gradually downwards" but hasn't hinted as to the timing of the next cut. The weak GDP data supports the case for an August rate cut, even though headline inflation is running at 3.4% and core inflation at 3.5%, well above the BoE's target of 2%. The money markets have priced in a quarter-point cut in August at 80%, which would lower the cash rate to 4.0%. The BoE released its financial stability report earlier in the week, noting that the outlook for UK growth over the coming year is "a little weaker and more uncertain". The Bank highlighted President Trump's tariffs and the conflict in the Middle East. The UK has recently signed a trade deal with the US but some tariffs on UK products remain in effect. GBP/USD is testing support at 1.3534. Below, there is support at 1.3491 The next resistance lines are 1.3577 and 1.3620
by OANDA
Mereo BioPharma (MREO) long speculationMereo BioPharma (MREO) is a biotechnology company with a very small market capitalization – currently below 500 million USD. The company has no revenues and is fully dependent on a single key project: a clinical trial for a treatment of osteogenesis imperfecta (commonly known as brittle bone disease). It is currently in Phase III of the clinical trial (ORBIT), with final results expected by the end of 2025. The project is partnered with U.S.-based Ultragenyx, which is responsible for the commercialization of the therapy. According to recent data, the company has sufficient cash to operate at least through 2027. MREO stock plunged more than 30% in a single day after the company announced it is entering the final analysis phase of the study – a move the market interpreted as a risk signal. The significant price gap downward highlights how sensitive the stock is to uncertainty in clinical development. Despite this, analysts still see substantial long-term upside. JPMorgan has a price target of $7 (Overweight), BTIG sees $6 (Buy), and Needham recently lowered its target from $7 to $5 (Buy). The average target is around $7.50, suggesting a potential upside of +100% to +230% from the current price near $2.90. That said, this is a highly speculative investment. The company’s tiny market cap brings high volatility. With only one promising molecule in its pipeline, any failure in clinical results could lead to a significant drop in valuation. But if successful, the stock could rise dramatically. Disclaimer: This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Investing in biotechnology companies carries high risk and may result in partial or total capital loss. Always make investment decisions independently or consult with a licensed financial advisor.
NASDAQ:MREOLong
by rencus30
TRADING IDEA - US CRUDE OIL - BEARISH FLAG, CONCERNS ON GLOBAL EFOREXCOM:USOIL The US Crude Oil prices went down yesterday, mostly because of the tariffs and concerns on demand. Here is what the Bloomberg is writing: " OPEC+ is discussing a pause in its oil production increases from October is fueling concerns about a slowdown in global energy demand. In addition, the intensification of US tariffs risks slowing global economic growth and energy demand after President Trump ramped up tariffs on numerous countries this week, including a 50% tariff on Brazil." So, despite the pause in oil production increase, which is supposed to be bullish factor the oil prices, we may see the slowdown in global economy and supposedly a recession because of Trump's tariffs. This is a long-term bearish factor for the oil. I think that we will see another bearish impulse here, according to what we observe on the chart. There is a nice bearish flag and i am planning to short it with a target nearby 6,540.00 support level. 🔽 a pending sell stop order at 6615.3 with ❌a stop loss at 6680.9 and 🤑a take profit at 6544.0 Trade cautiously! Preserve your deposits!
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by ProfessorSingapore
XAU/USD 1H Outlook FVG Fill (3320–3318) Price is expected to drop into the unfilled Fair Value Gap between 3320 and 3318. London/NY Liquidity Hunt After filling the FVG, look for a swift bullish impulse during the London and New York sessions to trigger stop-runs and collect liquidity. Downward Correction to 3305 & 3298 Once the liquidity grab completes, expect a retracement: First target: 3305 On a break below 3305, next target is the unfilled FVG at 3298 Summary: Drop → FVG fill (3320–3318) → Bullish liquidity hunt (London/NY) → Retracement toward 3305 (then 3298)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by The_Gold_Syndicate
Congress passes H.R 1 into law. About the new bill.🔵 In what's been an eventful last few weeks congress passed H.R 1 which is essentially Trump's 900 page mega bill Act. Both Democrats and Republicans ultimately united against each other over the bill with Vice President Vance casing the tiebreaking vote giving Senate Republican's the large legislative victory. 🔵 To note is that independent-minded Republican Lisa Murkowski, senator of Alaska had some concerns with the bill before GOP negotiators we're able to acquire her vote for the 50-50 votes. Murkowski's primary issue was with the legislation's changes to Medicaid and federal food assistance funding which she was concerned would hurt her home state understandably. Republican's originally tried to sway her vote by adding language to shield Alaska from the full effect of the legislation's Medicaid and SNAP cuts. 🔵 Parliament opposed that as it violated the Byrd Rule which is there to determine the legislation that can go into a budget reconciliation package as well as passing with only GOP votes. Least to say the amendment was reworked many times in order for the waivers for the SNAP funding cuts to apply more broadly than just Alaska and Hawaii. Parliament rejected the prior amendment and language which targeted just the two states understandably. 🔵 With the rework the new SNAP provisions are planned to reduce food assistance funding more slowly in about 10 states with the number ultimately being decided by a formula and based on the error rate in delivering food assistance benefits in a year. After an arduous process the amendment was passed and Republican's secured the vote with Murkowski saying it was an agonizing process. 🔵 When speaking with reporters afterwards Murkowski noted that the process was stressful with them operating under an artificial timeline in reference to the pressure Trump put on the Senate to pass the bill. 🔵 Her concern was as follows: “Rather than taking the deliberative approach to good legislating, we rushed to get a product out. This is important. I want to make sure that we’re able to keep in place the tax cuts from the 2017 Jobs Act,” said Murkowski when asked about her support for the bill and why it was hard for her to come around to giving her vote. 🔵 “I struggled mightily with the impact on the most vulnerable in this country when you look to the Medicaid and the SNAP provisions,” said Murkowski. This point highlights just how the effort to push the bill through was met with haste and pressure notably. 🔵 The bill itself is projected to add $2.8 trillion to the federal deficit by 2034. Main reason for that would be thanks to a reduction in revenues as well as interest cost which could have the deficit rise by a potential $5 trillion if some temporary provisions become permanent. Interest payments on the national debt are also expected to increase significantly by 2034. 🔵It should be noted that these numbers and estimates are based on a "current law" baseline and are largely thanks to tax cuts in the bill with Economist having differing opinions on the economic impact of the bill. Time will tell us how estimates go but least to say this is a large turnaround from what many we're expecting with even DOGE's Elon Musk opposing the Bill and forming a new party in strong opposition. 🔵 The tax and spending bill will see spending increase and phase in a cut to Medicaid of an estimated $1 trillion over the next decade with the CBO projecting roughly 11.8 million more American's t hat would become uninsured within the next 10 years compared to the current law. This could lead to many losing healthcare services due to medical cost with states as well likely needing to adjust their own programs and having to take on a larger share of the cost whether that means reducing services or even closing some facilities. 🔵 The bill has many key changes but in summary it solidifies many tax breaks from Trump's first term with an estimated $4.5 trillion in tax cuts alongside tax deductions on tips, overtime and auto loans with deductions for adults that make under $75,000 and a boost to the child tax credit from $2,000 to $2,200 though millions of families at lower income levels would still not receive the full credit as one of the credit's, requirements is a minimum earned income of $2,500. In 2022 alone an estimated 18 million children under age 17 (26 of all children) were ineligible for the full child Tax credit because the family income was not high enough as reported by Columbia University's Center on Poverty and Social Policy. 🔵 To say in the least the new bill has many implications for the country and the next few months and years will definitely represent those changes and how the country shifts and adjusts to this with many having differing opinions understandably. I'll definitely keep you guys posted through it all but definitely a lot to see so much happen so quick and only time will tell and show us just how things play out simply put. The market itself is still continuing within this ascending channel, especially since we got that convergence with the 200 EMA and broke that $6,130 resistance. $6,300 is what I'm expecting resistance to hit the strongest so definitely gonna keep an eye there as traders process the news and changes. 🔵 Have to go but grateful as always for the support, definitely a long idea here but wanted to focus on some important points though the bill itself has so many changes it's hard to go over every one but you get the point. This is a big changes and we'll definitely see things shift a lot over the next few months and years and as always we'll keep posted with things. Thanks as always and all the best. Best regards, ~ Rock'
SP:SPX
by Rocksorgate
1
EUR/USD Price Action – Liquidity Grab & Demand Zones This 1-hour EUR/USD chart highlights key intraday price levels and potential trading zones. The chart identifies the Previous Day High (PDH), New York Session High (NY HIGH), and Previous Day Low (PDL). A notable Trap/Demand Zone just below the Asia High suggests a potential liquidity grab before a reversal or continuation move. Price is currently reacting within this zone, and traders may watch for confirmations of either a bullish continuation toward the PDH or a bearish rejection back to the PDL. The marked zones serve as potential trade entry/exit reference points for intraday strategies.
by ByCraig
The price fell back. Watch out for a breakthrough.After reaching the resistance position near 3345 predicted by Quaid, the price fell back slightly, and the price fluctuated around 3335 so far. From the hourly chart, before the price stabilizes at 3345, it is likely to maintain a range of 3330-3345. 3330-3345 is a temporary range. If it stands firm and breaks above 3345 again, the fluctuation range will become 3345-3360. On the contrary, if it falls below 3330, the range may drop to 3320-3330. However, as long as the downward trend does not fall below 3320, gold will still maintain a bullish trend. If the price breaks down below 3320, today’s trend will be reversed. As long as it is above 3320, gold will maintain a bullish trend today. On the last trading day of this week, I wish all traders a good harvest.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
1
USDCHF continues bullish recovery. Opportunity for BUY signal✏️#USDCHF is showing bullish recovery. The price is trading in a triangle pattern in the recovery phase. The 1.79500 area is an important support zone that is driving the pair's upside. 0.80700 is the immediate Target for a BUY signal. 📈Key Level SUPPORT 0.79500 RESISTANCE 0.80700 BUY now at support 0.79500 Target: 0.80700 SELL Trigger: Break support 0.79500 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Long
by VHT_Trader
4
NASDAQ – Decision Point is Now: Breakout or Breakdown?📈🔍 NASDAQ at Key Inflection – Momentum or Meltdown? ⚠️💥 Hey Traders, The NASDAQ 100 is now standing right at the make-or-break zone: 22,655. This level marks a critical retest of the recent breakout, and what happens here could define the next major move. 🔵 The Setup: After a strong bounce and sharp rally from below 18K, we've climbed back into the tight ascending structure. But momentum is slowing… This zone could produce either a bullish continuation to new highs — or a brutal rejection that unwinds the entire move. 📍 Structure Speaks: Holding above 22,655 = likely continuation Breakdown = deeper pullback toward 20,000 and lower channel support Momentum names like NVIDIA are doing the heavy lifting again — but can they sustain the market alone? 📊 What I'm Watching: Bullish path = measured target ~25,000+ Bearish path = test of the broader trendline near 20,000 or even the 18,200 region Macro signals still mixed — stay nimble, not married to one bias ⚠️ Stay Sharp: Just like in crypto, the Nasdaq can punish both bulls and bears when it enters chop mode. Structure and discipline remain your best defense. I’ve updated the chart — fresh out the oven 🍞 — and more market ideas are following, including BTC, ETH, and BTC Dominance. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by FX_Professor
Aussie: Still Growing! CAPITALCOM:AUDUSD The bullish momentum continues after our last successful AUDUSD setup, and a move toward the 0.65900 resistance area looks probable now. 🪙 My Trading Plan: 🔼 BUY Stop: 0.65648 ❌ Stop Loss: 0.65320 ✅ Take Profit: 0.65965 💡 Why am I buying here? ✅ Price broke recent resistance at 0.65500, activating buy trades. ✅ RSI confirm ongoing bullish momentum 📊. 📰 Fundamental Situation: 🏦 RBA Rate Decision Supports AUD The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprised markets by holding rates steady at 3.85% 🏛️, diverging from expectations of a cut. This cautious stance reflects the RBA’s preference to wait for clearer signs of slowing inflation 📉 before adjusting policy further. Governor Michele Bullock emphasized that inflation risks remain persistent ⚠️, driven by high labor costs and weak productivity, possibly requiring a longer period of restrictive policy ⏳. Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser noted the bank is closely monitoring global risks 🌐, especially US tariff developments, underscoring sensitivity to global headwinds that could impact trade and growth 📦. 🌎 Trade Tensions in Focus: President Trump ruled out extending tariff deadlines beyond August 1 ⛔, announcing new duties: 🔹 50% on copper 🪙 🔹 Potential 200% on pharmaceuticals 💊 🔹 10% on goods from BRICS 🌐 These moves are likely to intensify global trade tensions ⚔️, potentially impacting commodity flows and inflation, which the RBA and markets will continue to monitor closely.
Long
by ProfessorSingapore
Why Ethereum’s Will 10×🚀 Ethereum’s Next 10×: Why bank-grade adoption + the stable-coin avalanche make a moonshot look conservative Big banks are building on-chain right now. JPMorgan & Bank of America began 2025 pilots for dollar-backed tokens that settle on Ethereum, while Societe Generale just unveiled its USD CoinVertible stable-coin on main-net. Stable-coins already move more money than Visa + Mastercard combined. $27.6 trillion flowed through stable-coins in 2024—most of it routed over Ethereum block-space. Ethereum clears four-fifths of that stable-coin volume. More than 80 % of all stable-coin transactions occur on ETH or its L2s, locking in network effects that rivals can’t match. ETF wall-of-money is already hitting the gate. 2025 Ethereum ETFs posted a record $743 million month of inflows—the strongest vote of institutional confidence to date. ETH supply keeps shrinking while demand spikes. Post-Merge burn has removed roughly 332 k ETH, flipping issuance negative; base-line inflation is now < –1.3 %/yr. 30 million ETH is locked in staking, slicing liquid float by 25 %. The yield engine tightens supply just as banks and ETFs need inventory. Real-world assets are going token-native. Tokenized bond issuance jumped 260 % in 2024 to €3 billion, and virtually every pilot settles on ERC-standards. Layer-2 roll-ups slashed average gas fees to <$4. Cheaper block-space makes day-to-day payments viable, driving still more stable-coin throughput (and fee burn). User base is exploding toward mass scale. Active ETH wallets hit 127 million—up 22 % YoY—showing that retail, devs, and institutions are onboarding together. Energy-efficient PoS removes the last ESG roadblock. With > 99 % less energy use than PoW chains, Ethereum checks the sustainability box that banks and asset managers need for wide-open deployment. Bottom line: when TradFi giants plug directly into Ethereum rails and stable-coins dwarf legacy payment rails, every transfer torches a little more supply. Add the ETF flywheel and a vanishing float, and a 10× move shifts from “moon-boy” to math. OTHER EXAMPLES TSLA www.tradingview.com Total 2 www.tradingview.com MartyBoots here—trading for 17 years, and I would like to hear YOUR take! 👉 Can Ethereum really 10× from here? Drop your best argument below, hit the 👍 if you learned something, and smash that Follow to stay in the loop on every crypto deep-dive I post.
Long
by MartyBoots
20
CRC | Long | Strong Cash Flow | (July 2025)CRC | Long | Strong Cash Flow & Carbon Transition Story | (July 2025) 1️⃣ Short Insight Summary: CRC is showing solid momentum as it combines strong cash flow from oil & gas with an expanding carbon capture strategy. Price action suggests a possible breakout on its second attempt at resistance. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long ✅ Entry: Watching current resistance zone closely on the 4-hour chart; money inflows confirmed on daily. Stop Loss: Around $44 (invisible stop loss level to manage risk). TP1: $53 💰 TP2: $57 💰 Partial Exits: Letting a portion run towards $63 for extended upside potential. 3️⃣ Key Notes: We see strong institutional support, recent acquisition synergies from Aera Energy, and potential tailwinds from the Carbon TerraVault (CTV) project. Watch for volume confirmation and the upcoming Q2 earnings report on August 5, which could act as a catalyst. Be cautious of commodity price volatility and regulatory timelines for CCS projects. 4️⃣ Optional Follow-up Note: Will monitor closely and share updates as the trade develops, especially if earnings significantly shift sentiment. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NYSE:CRCLong
by Risk_Adj_Return