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Fundamental Analysis

THE PLAN WORK PERFECTLYAs the post at Feb 3 said, the market has a big potential to go down, or, you can say, CLEAR BEAR and it does happen. The reason behind this is simple: TOTAL MARKET EQUITY has been dropping massively since then. Why? Instutional play, they are focusing on accumulating BTC. Yes, that shii including selling it too . . . Future Forecast Based on the current condition, we might see a move around 660 Bill. Am I positive about it? Nah, but we will see what happens. BTC has a strong demand at 78K and it shows a strong pullback. Yes, institutional keeps accumulating. Again, another BUT, the biggest area of interest for BTC is 73-67K. Trade responsibly, take care XCO
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by Eirxco
CAD/JPY: Diverging Fundamentals Signal More DownsideFundamental Analysis: • The Non-Weighted Currency Index of the JPY has just broken out of a triangle to the upside, indicating JPY strength at the moment. • Japan’s 10-year bonds have been in an uptrend for months and have just rejected the 50% Fibonacci level to the upside. • The BoJ remains one of the most hawkish central banks, and Japan’s economy continues to show strength, marked by rising inflation since November 2024. • Meanwhile, the Non-Weighted Currency Index of the CAD has been in a downtrend for a long time, signaling CAD weakness against other currencies. • Canada’s 10-year bonds are currently range-bound, but the structure resembles a bearish flag, suggesting a possible breakdown below support. • The Canadian economy is stagnating, and while unemployment has decreased compared to the previous month, it remains relatively high. • Canadian inflation is slightly below the BoC’s target, which suggests that after their recent 25 bps rate cut, they may cut rates further to boost inflation back to 2%, stimulate the labor market, and increase GDP growth. • Additionally, the downtrend in oil prices does not support CAD appreciation. Technical Analysis: • On the Weekly timeframe, we observe an ascending triangle that has just broken to the downside. • On the Daily timeframe, sellers failed to push the price down significantly, indicating weak momentum on the breakout. This suggests a pullback/retest towards the trendline or Fibonacci levels is likely. • The 50 SMA on the Daily chart is acting as strong resistance. • The 200 SMA has also been rejected on the Daily timeframe. • On the 4H timeframe, price is indeed retracing towards the trendline and/or Fibonacci levels. • COT Report aligns with my bias. • 82% of retail traders are positioned on the opposite side (buying).
Short
by Marco-kh
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
ETHUSDT analyse for 2025-2026Ethereum is on its way to hell. They sold you an illusion - promises of 10K, 15K and beyond but reality is setting in. When I did my first analyse on this chart she was around 3.4K. now it's already at 2K and there's more blood ahead. I truly believe the next year or max 2 will be brutal with ETH easily breaking below 1K and even deeper into the targets on my chart. The hype is fading, and the market is waking up. Stay sharp. The real pain hasn"t even started yet.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by NuriGG
Gold Price Analysis February 28⭐️Fundamental Analysis This week, the US Dollar (USD) continued to recover on expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep its monetary policy tight as inflation remains high. This caused money to flow out of gold - a non-yielding asset. In addition, gold prices fell as investors adjusted their positions ahead of the US release of important inflation data, a factor that could affect the Fed's interest rate decision and the short-term direction of gold. However, concerns about former US President Donald Trump's tariff policy and risk-off sentiment could help gold hold its price. In addition, falling US Treasury yields also contributed to limiting gold's decline ⭐️Technical Analysis After closing yesterday's candle, gold confirmed a clear downtrend. The SELL zone that is being watched by investors today is around 2889. Any price increase today is considered a great opportunity to sell. 2840 is considered as the support zone today. The wider price range is being watched when there are signs of Break out from the narrow range at 2920 and 2806. Currently, gold needs to break through 2870 to reach the upper range and if it fails to break 2870, we can set SELL signals at 2840 today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
ADA Bullish Breakout Incoming? Key Levels to Watch! Overview: #ADA has been following a perfect harmonic pattern and has now completed it. On the 1-hour timeframe, a bullish divergence has formed, signaling potential upward momentum. But is it time to go long? Let's break it down. Key Confirmation: 🔹 Harmonic pattern completion 🔹 Bullish divergence on 1H timeframe 🔹 Price respecting key support levels 🔹 The final confirmation? A break and close above resistance! Trading Plan: 🔹 Entry: Wait for a 1-hour candle to close above resistance 🔹 Targets: TP-1: 0.78 and TP-2: 0.8250 🔹 Stop-Loss: Below recent swing low for proper risk management What’s Your Take? Do you think #ADA will break out or face rejection? Share your thoughts in the comments! Let’s discuss and trade smartly. Follow for more trade ideas!
Long
by mudusir
Bullish Opportunity: Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Current Price: $83.00 TP1: $90 (Analyst target) TP2: $100 (Psychological resistance) TP3: $120 (Upper channel target) 🚀 Why Palantir is a Bullish Opportunity 1️⃣ Strong Q4 Earnings Outlook 📊 Earnings Report Due: February 3, 2025 – Analysts expect another strong quarter. 405% Growth Over the Past Year – Palantir was the best-performing S&P 500 stock in 2024. Wedbush Analyst Dan Ives Calls Palantir’s Q3 a "Masterpiece" – Revenue surged 30% YoY to $726M, driven by AI demand. 2️⃣ AI Leadership & Competitive Edge 🤖 AIP Named Best AI Platform by Forrester Research – Ranked ahead of Google Cloud, AWS, and Microsoft Azure. AIP Growth Driving Revenue – U.S. commercial revenue is expanding rapidly, with unprecedented demand for AIP solutions. Dan Ives Sees Palantir as the Next Oracle – If true, this would mean 185% upside from current valuation. 3️⃣ Institutional Confidence & Price Upgrades 💡 Wedbush Raised Price Target to $90 – Signaling continued AI-driven momentum. Strong Hedge Fund Interest – Institutional investors remain bullish on Palantir’s AI expansion. Market Cap Nears $185B – With 81.1% gross margins, Palantir is positioned as a high-growth AI leader. 4️⃣ Government & Commercial Expansion 📈 $400M+ Partnership with U.S. Army – Reinforcing Palantir’s role in defense & AI applications. Strong Commercial Growth – Demand for AIP is driving both new customer conversions and existing client expansions. The Biden Administration’s AI Push – Government spending on AI infrastructure directly benefits Palantir. 🔎 Conclusion Palantir is positioned as a leading AI company, with institutional backing, strong earnings momentum, and government contracts fueling growth. With analyst upgrades and AI adoption surging, PLTR could see a breakout toward $100+ in the coming months.
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by ValchevFinance
Bitcoin $BTC Inverse Head and Shoulders: $88,400 by March 3rdThe macro economic backdrop favors Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC far more than equities at the moment (in my view), and this promising short term technical setup should solidify a bullish open for CRYPTOCAP:BTC mining stocks come Monday.⚡️🙆🏻‍♂️📈 February was a historic month at WAVE$ Cap, and I think that miners like NASDAQ:RIOT and NASDAQ:MARA could lead to some more life-changing gains in the month of March. 👑💎⛏️ Let's keep this momentum alive team! 🌊🌊🏆 -Royce
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by roycejakob
The Secret Gold Level Revealed: The Power of 7The Secret Gold Level Revealed: The Power of 7 After extensive backtesting and observation, I am finally ready to reveal a key level in gold that has remained hidden in plain sight. We all know the importance of round numbers, psychological levels, and the Quarter Theory in trading. But now, we introduce a new concept—the power of 7. The Magic Number: 77 No matter where gold is trading, whether it's 2577, 2477, 2377, or 2277, this level consistently acts as support or resistance, generating high-probability reactions every time it is touched. Why This Matters? ✅ Consistent Reactions – Every test of a 77 level leads to significant price movement. ✅ Key Decision Points – Gold often rejects or breaks with momentum, providing ideal trade setups. Start marking 77 levels on your chart and watch the magic unfold. We have unlocked a new edge in gold trading!
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by samstoobad
1
DOGE/USD "The Doge Coin" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DOGE/USD "The Doge Coin" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (0.18100) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (0.21500) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.14000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook: DOGE/USD "The Doge Coin" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend in short term (there is a chance for trend reversal), driven by several key factors. 🟡Fundamental Analysis - Current Price: $0.20214 (as of March 1, 2025) - Market Capitalization: $29.97 billion - Circulating Supply: 148.24 billion DOGE - Total Supply: 148.25 billion DOGE 🟤Macro Economics - The global economy is experiencing a slowdown, which may impact cryptocurrency markets. - Interest rates and inflation rates are being closely watched by investors, as they can impact cryptocurrency prices. ⚪Global Market Analysis - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a downturn, with many major cryptocurrencies experiencing significant losses. - The global market is experiencing a high level of volatility, making it challenging to predict future price movements. 🟠On-Chain Analysis - Transaction Volume: The transaction volume for DOGE has been relatively stable over the past few weeks. - Active Addresses: The number of active addresses on the Dogecoin network has been increasing steadily. 🔴Market Sentimental Analysis - Fear and Greed Index: The Fear and Greed Index is currently indicating a neutral sentiment. - Social Media Sentiment: Social media sentiment for DOGE is currently mixed, with some investors expressing optimism while others are expressing pessimism. 🟣Positioning - Long/Short Ratio: The long/short ratio for DOGE is currently skewed towards long positions. - Open Interest: Open interest for DOGE futures is currently relatively high. 🟢Next Trend Move - Based on the current market data, it's difficult to predict the next trend move for DOGE/USD. However, some analysts are predicting a potential bullish reversal in the near future. 🔵Overall Summary Outlook - The current market outlook for DOGE/USD is neutral, with some analysts predicting a potential bullish reversal in the near future. - However, the global market is experiencing a high level of volatility, making it challenging to predict future price movements. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
COINBASE:DOGEUSD
by Thief_Trader
Bitcoin: Another Drop or the Biggest Market Trap?🚨 Is Bitcoin’s decline a natural correction, or are we witnessing a masterfully engineered shakeout? Bitcoin currently stands at a critical crossroad, leaving both retail traders and institutional investors in a state of uncertainty. To fully understand this moment, we must look beyond charts and price action—we must uncover the true forces at play. 🔍 The Hidden Forces Behind Bitcoin’s Volatility From its inception, Bitcoin was seen as a decentralized revolution, but as it gained momentum, it also became a tool for financial anonymity. Over the years, untraceable payments to cartels, mercenary groups, and illicit networks forced global regulators to move from passive observation to active intervention. Institutional money didn’t just fuel Bitcoin’s growth—it forced governments to rethink their stance. The Trump administration took a radical step, considering Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset for the United States. This wasn’t a random event—it was a carefully planned maneuver. 💣 The Trump Inauguration Pump-and-Dump: Market Manipulation at Its Finest On Trump’s inauguration day, Bitcoin saw a violent pump, led initially by Binance, followed by Bybit and Coinbase, triggering an all-time high breakout. However, this wasn’t a genuine breakout. Instead, it was a classic fakeout, designed to trigger mass FOMO, liquidate short positions, and set up liquidity for institutions. 🔹 Bybit initiated large-scale sell-offs 🔹 Binance and Coinbase followed suit 🔹 Bitcoin collapsed from its peak To believe this was random is pure naïveté. Liquidity providers don’t act in isolation—they operate within a much larger framework of financial and political power. 📊 CME Futures: The Financial Gaps That Had to Be Filled If you analyze the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Futures chart, you’ll notice multiple unfilled gaps, which indicate severe financial imbalances between spot and futures traders. 🔸 The 80,705 - 77,905 gap took 9 months to fill. 🔸 A new gap between 92,695 - 93,790 has now appeared. These gaps are not accidental—they are byproducts of an engineered system designed to manipulate liquidity and correct imbalances. 📉 Bitcoin’s Support Levels & Why It Shouldn’t Drop Further 🔻 $75,000 is a crucial support level. 🔻 A temporary dip to $70,000 is possible but unlikely to hold. 🔻 A drop beyond $70,000 could lead to catastrophic financial turmoil: ⚠️ Mass liquidations worldwide ⚠️ Corporate bankruptcies ⚠️ Stock market collapses ⚠️ Institutional liquidity crises This is why Bitcoin’s freefall must be controlled, and governments, exchanges, and major players will intervene before the damage spreads too far. 🚀 The Birth of a New Altcoin Season? 🔹 Traders are exhausted. 🔹 Bitcoin’s volatility has shaken confidence. 🔹 Capital is looking for alternative growth. We may be witnessing an unprecedented event: the first altcoin season where altcoins move independently of Bitcoin’s influence. 🚀 If Bitcoin remains trapped in uncertainty, altcoins could decouple and establish their own market cycles. But beware—this could be another orchestrated setup to drain liquidity before Bitcoin’s next move. ⚠️ The Perfect Short Squeeze Setup? Markets have been flooded with short positions, driven by: 🔹 Fear & Pessimism 🔹 Institutional Manipulation 🔹 Lack of Retail Confidence But what if this hopeless sentiment is the ideal setup for a market-shaking reversal? Imagine a scenario where: 🔺 Bitcoin traps overleveraged shorts 🔺 Suddenly reverses with explosive momentum 🔺 Traders who expected further decline get liquidated We’ve seen this happen before. The question is—who will be caught off guard this time? 📢 What Do You Think? Comment Below! 💬 Is Bitcoin heading for another major dump or a massive short squeeze? 💬 Will altcoins finally move independently of Bitcoin? 💬 Are we seeing a government-controlled Bitcoin strategy unfold? 🔥 If this analysis was insightful, don’t forget to like & follow for more deep market insights! With respect, Hamid #Bitcoin #Crypto #CryptoMarket #Altcoins #Blockchain #CryptoNews #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis #BTCChart #CryptoSignals #BitcoinManipulation #WhaleGames #CMEGap #InstitutionalInvestors #MarketLiquidity #ShortSqueeze #Altseason
CME:BTC1!
by SeyedHamid822
BTC - Bigger Picture of Liquidity Collection RoadmapExpanding on my last idea focusing on the first move in this sequence, here is a bigger picture of this idea and I will explain in detail how I arrive to this. 1. The market is always going to absorb liquidity. We know this. We also know that since Dec 2022 Bitcoin has been on a steady climb up allowing for lots of long positions to open and stay open. What this creates is a lot of absorbable liquidity in the form of long position stop losses. Further more, the dominance of leverage is very high in crypto, therefor these stop loss orders are “leveraged sell orders”. This is the “fuel” that can be used to explain the possibility of a move of this magnitude. In other words, the orders are already in place in the chart; the adverse of traders decisions via leveraged position stop losses. 2. We can identify (2) main trendlines that explains why Bitcoin has been struggling so much around these zones. Price tends to break above and below these diagonal trendlines, trading sideways in a diagonal fashion - until there is enough “fear” or justification to allow the trendline to play itself out. The first trendline I design for you in my previous idea. This takes Bitcoin to a zone with several confluences. (1) A Volume Profile support, (2) The bottom of a bearish trendline, and (3) The absorption of a mass amount of liquidity located from the current price to that zone. The second trendline, which you can apply the same validation methods I pointed out in my previous idea (duplicating the trendline and placing it infinitely at different areas on the chart and observing price respecting the angle), has a bottom of $7,000. Now this Uber low may seem extraordinarily unrealistic, but there is again, a mass amount of liquidity located in those low zones that the market wants to absorb. 3. I lay out here a corrective wave sequence that would allow all of this liquidity to be absorbed. The US Dollar on the higher timeframes shows a bearish retest of a major breakdown. With all of the negative news and geopolitical tension with the US, both technically and fundamentally this points in the direction of a falling US dollar relative to other global currencies. 4. Ultimately this is good for Bitcoin. I present this idea for several reasons, most importantly, what I can see happening (assuming this does occur) is that many holders and investors will sell at very low prices in extreme fear that Bitcoin will go to zero, when in fact it would just be a liquidity grab prior to a true 3-5 year bull run on Bitcoin as the US Dollar loses strength. Of course being ill prepared and selling at those extreme lows would be catastrophic for investors and traders. So if anything, I hope this serves you with the possibility explained in detail, and in the event you see this occur, to not panic and not sell. To do the exact opposite of what the majority would do and BUY into those extreme fear zones. Happy trading and stay safe. For anyone wanting to argue that it’s not possible or showing their confidence that it would never happen; please understand there is no harm is looking at potential scenarios and this isn’t an ego contest about who is right or wrong. It’s ideally about looking out for each other and sharing our work, knowledge, and experience to collectively succeed in understanding this challenging market. People may also like to point out that I’ve been speaking about this occurring for roughly a year, and have been wrong - however the timing of such events doesn’t mean it’s “wrong”. If the chart demonstrates a possibility, it remains.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DickDandy
BUY $100-130 for LT holdAnalysis: - LT trend since 2012 shows ~$100 as key support level, even if support (prior resistance now support) from 2014 fails. - $100 is 67% off of the recent high of $306. Ouch! But this also means there's large upside to get back to those levels. Despite Trump admin opposition to renewables, FSLR is well positioned with US manufacturing capability, a FWB:20B backlog on current SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:4B in revenue. This means they could grow YoY throughout the Trump admin with just the current backlog. Also, they're profitable with 30% Net Income margins form the last year. Large commercial customers (namely, tech giants through renewables developers) are happy to continue investing billions in renewables (and to trade high capex for low opex). Investment Thesis: - Monitor this $130-135 level. If broken with conviction, we look towards $100 entry points. IMO, worst case is also $100-130 price by EOY 2026.
NASDAQ:FSLRLong
by HandsomeSloth