Fundamental Analysis
US Recession Imminent! WARNING!Bond traders are best when it comes to economics. Stock traders not so much.
As the chart shows, historically, when rates bunch up, what follows is a recession. During the recession, the economy tries to fix itself by fanning out the yield curve, marking it cheaper to borrow and boosting the economy.
The best time to be buying up stocks and going long the market is when the yield curve is uninverted and fanned out wide—not when it is bunched up like this.
My followers know this is my first warning of a recession since FEB. 2020.
WARNING! Things can get ugly from here very quickly!
$SPCE - Virgin Galactic - Value Hail Mary?Fundamental Play:
Current Price of NYSE:SPCE is at $2.77 with 35.53million shares outstanding giving it a current valuation of just around $98,500,000.
SPCE has over $600 million in cash Reserves as of December 2024.
Cash Value vs. Market Cap
Cash and equivalents: ~$657 million
Current market cap: ~$98 million
That’s ~6.7x more cash than the company’s total market value.
This means: If Virgin Galactic liquidated today and no other liabilities existed, shareholders could theoretically walk away with more than 6x the current share price. That’s an extreme case and not practical — but it gives a sense of undervaluation from a liquidation perspective
Remember the company still has negative earnings, is burning cash rapidly ($115 to $125m a quarter), and has uncertain future revenues so there is room for a lot of speculation. They would need some extra funding or start making revenue soon. Very risky stock at the moment with an over 70% chance of bankruptcy.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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Expand Energy (EXE) – Fueling Growth in the LNG BoomCompany Overview:
Expand Energy NASDAQ:EXE is strategically positioned near the Gulf Coast, enabling it to capitalize on rising global LNG demand with a disciplined growth strategy.
Key Catalysts:
$2.7 Billion Capital Plan (2025) 💰
$500M for debt reduction & share buybacks, improving financial flexibility.
Balances growth investments with shareholder returns.
Production Expansion 📈
2024: 6.41 Bcfe/d
2025: 7.1 Bcfe/d 🚀
2026: 7.5 Bcfe/d 🌍
Scalable drilling & infrastructure investments enhance efficiency.
Strategic LNG Market Positioning ⚡
Located near key export hubs, maximizing access to high-demand markets.
Flexible capacity investments ensure adaptability to pricing trends.
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $95.00-$96.00
🚀 Upside Target: $140.00-$145.00
📈 Growth Drivers: LNG market demand, financial discipline, and production scalability.
🔥 Expand Energy – Driving the Next Wave of LNG Growth. #EXE #Energy #LNG
Nano Nuclear Energy – Pioneering Next-Gen Small Modular ReactorsCompany Overview:
Nano Nuclear Energy NASDAQ:NNE is revolutionizing clean, compact nuclear power with small modular reactors (SMRs), addressing data centers, remote sites, and disaster relief energy needs.
Key Catalysts:
ZEUS Microreactor Development 🚀
Successfully assembled first hardware, marking a key milestone toward commercialization & revenue generation.
Patent-Backed Innovation 🏆
Filed four new patents in February 2025 for its Annular Linear Induction Pump (ALIP).
Strengthens NNE’s edge in molten-salt & liquid-metal reactor technology.
Surging Global Electricity Demand ⚡
Aligns with the growing need for cost-effective, sustainable energy solutions.
Ideal for off-grid, military, and high-demand industrial applications.
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $21.50-$22.00
🚀 Upside Target: $44.00-$47.00
📈 Growth Drivers: Breakthrough SMR tech, patent leadership, and clean energy demand.
🔥 Nano Nuclear – Powering the Future, One Microreactor at a Time. #NNE #NuclearEnergy #CleanTech
EURUSD Surges to 1.10 levels post-Trump Tariffs: BUY or SELL?Current Situation:
EUR/USD spiked to 1.10 levels(up sharply) following Trump’s tariff announcement, defying initial expectations of short-term USD strength. This suggests markets are pricing in long-term risks to the USD (growth fears, retaliatory tariffs) faster than anticipated.
Key Drivers Behind the Move:
1. Tariff Backfire Risk: Investors may fear tariffs will hurt U.S. growth more than Europe’s, weakening the USD.
2. ECB vs. Fed Policy Shift: Bets that the **Fed could cut rates sooner** if tariffs slow U.S. inflation/growth, while the ECB delays cuts.
3. Retaliation Bets: Expectations of aggressive EU countermeasures (e.g., tariffs on U.S. tech/agriculture) boosting EUR sentiment.
---
Technical Analysis (EUR/USD Daily Chart)
- ✅ Breakout Confirmed : Price surged till 2024's resistance, now testing 1.10 levels (psychological levels).
- RSI: Overbought, suggesting short-term pullback risk.
#EURUSD #TrumpTariffs #ForexTrading #Breakout #USDweakness
GOLD → The rally is intensifying. Growth after false breakdownFX:XAUUSD is breaking upwards and is trying to consolidate above the previous high of 3127 as part of a correction. This would be an ideal support for the bulls. The rally, on the background of political and geopolitical problems only intensifies
Tariff escalation pushes up gold demand. Trump rejected the idea of lowering tariffs and the Treasury Secretary named a list of 15 countries that fall under the new measures. This has caused the dollar to weaken and fears of stagflation to rise, boosting demand for gold as a protective asset.
Central banks and investors continue to build positions in gold, but corrections are possible before the tariffs announcement on April 2 and the release of U.S. economic data
Technically, we have a strong bullish trend, it is risky to sell, we are looking for strong areas or levels to buy. For example, if the price consolidates above 3127, or after a false breakdown of 3119 / 3111
Resistance levels: 3147, 3155, 3166
Support levels: 3127, 3119, 3111
Before the continuation of the growth there may be a correction to the key support areas to normalize the imbalance in the market as well as to capture the liquidity. Consolidation above the level after a false breakdown will be a good signal for growth.
But! News ahead and high volatility is possible!
Regards R. Linda!
VISUAL INVESTOR: An Investing Tutorial for EveryoneToday is a wonderful day! I am overwhelmed with positive emotions, like a racer who has crossed the finish line. My first book, The Visual Investor, is out on TradingView. It's written for everyone, from those just starting out in the stock market to experienced investors. You could say you're holding it in your hands now.
The idea for this book came to me a long time ago, thanks to the influence of one person, as well as my invisible teachers: Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, Charles Munger, Peter Lynch and Mohnish Pabrai. Day after day, I worked on the content of chapters, charts, tables, and drawings to take you from theoretical foundations to applied knowledge that allows you to answer the key questions of any investor: What? When? And how much?
My motivators, namely you, dear subscribers and the TradingView editorial team, also made an invaluable contribution to the creation of this book. Every kind word, constructive criticism and award in the form of “Editors’ Picks” made me happier and helped me to create further.
Why “Visual Investor”? This is my reverence for the technologies we have come to now. The modern investor has incredible opportunities compared to our colleagues, even from the beginning of the 21st century. Access to companies' financial data has become an order of magnitude easier, and their visualization allows for fundamental analysis to be done much faster than before.
Global financial centers are now much closer to investors from different countries, thanks to the development of local regulation, active work of financial institutions and services. All this has expanded the range of investment instruments and formed a new way of life for our savings.
A modern person may not be a passive observer of fluctuations in the purchasing power of his own capital. On the contrary, he can independently make decisions to increase this capacity, using technology and a systematic approach. Unfortunately, unmanaged savings will suffer the unenviable fate of the hundred dollar bill from the beginning of the last century.
This chart shows how the $100 bill has depreciated since 1914 due to inflation. By the beginning of the First World War, the monthly salary of a highly skilled worker or employee could reach exactly this amount. If your super-rich great-great-grandfather buried a chest of these bills, and you found it, you'd probably be furious with him. Because $100 now is like $2 then. “Dear Grandpa, why didn’t you buy something from that list ?” you might say in your heart.
However, we must give credit to our hero, as the propensity to save is a skill that any investor should start with, and something I talk about in the early chapters of my book. As Charles Munger said, “I was a cautious little squirrel who hoarded more nuts than I needed and didn’t climb into my own pile of nuts.”
The book is divided into three parts, allowing you to start with any of them, depending on your current level of knowledge.
Part One
This part will be interesting to anyone who wants to understand why we need investments, what a joint-stock company and a stock exchange are, how the price and its schedule are formed. Duration of study: 3 hours 15 minutes.
Part two
This part will be of interest to anyone who already knows the basics of stock trading but wants to understand the fundamental analysis of a company's business. Duration of study: 5 hours.
Part three
This part will be of interest to anyone who understands the financial statements of companies and wants to build a decision-making system on the stock market based on this knowledge. Duration of study: 11 hours.
I recommend reading the book “Visual Investor” thoughtfully, with pauses to understand each chapter. It is precisely with this measured pace in mind that the estimated duration of study for each block and each article has been calculated. You can move faster if you like. If you devote 1 hour a day to the book, then after 20 days you will be able to master the entire theory. Don't rush to apply the knowledge immediately you've gained in real life. TradingView has great tools for hands-on research, such as the Market Simulator and Paper Trading, that will help you solidify your knowledge without risking your capital. Similarly, civil aviation pilots train on a flight simulator before their first flight. Remember that your knowledge, systematic approach, persistence and a pinch of luck can transform everything around you. But if you still need my support, I'm here. Yours, Capy.
Part One
1. Investing is the ability to say "no" so that you can say "yes"
The reader will learn that investing is a conscious skill of foregoing immediate spending in favor of greater value in the future, based on strategy, patience, and an understanding of the difference between investing and speculation. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
2. Raising initial capital: 4 approaches, of which one is not good
The reader will learn about four ways to form start-up capital for investments, and why borrowed money is the least sensible of them. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
3. The lifestyle of your savings, and why Big Mac?
The reader will learn that investing is a conscious way to preserve and increase the purchasing power of savings, in which the level of potential profit is always proportional to the risk taken. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
4. What is a stock? Let me tell you a story
Using the example of a shoe workshop owner, the reader will learn how companies issue shares to raise capital and expand their business. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
5. Stock Company. Selling something that no one will buy piecemeal
Using the same example, the reader is explained the process of transforming a company into a joint-stock company and conducting an IPO to attract investment. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
6. I dream of entering the stock market. The question is: What for?
The reader learns that going public is a way for a company to make its shares available to a wider range of investors, increase liquidity, and simplify the process of raising capital. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
7. How is the share price formed on the stock exchange? We do it
The reader will learn how the price of a stock is formed on the stock exchange through the mechanism of bids from buyers and sellers, reflecting the balance of supply and demand. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
8. Bid/Offer: The Yin and Yang of Stock Prices
The reader will learn how buy (bid) and sell (offer) orders from the order book on the exchange, determining the mechanism for concluding transactions and the formation of the market price. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
9. Market order or the hunger games of stock trading
The reader will learn that market orders allow shares to be bought or sold immediately without specifying a price, satisfying the current demand or offer at prices available in the order book. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
10. The birth of the chart. The evolution of the tape
The reader will learn how price movement charts are formed from the stock exchange quotes feed and will see historical examples of the evolution of methods for displaying market data. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
11. Japanese Candlesticks: Game of Body and Shadows
The reader will learn how Japanese candlesticks are constructed, including determining the opening, closing, high, and low prices for a selected time interval, as well as the importance of the candlestick body and shadows in analyzing price movements. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
12. A little bit about volumes and the master of all averages
The reader will learn how to analyze trading volumes and use a 252-day moving average to evaluate stock price movements. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
13. My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the Watchlist
The reader will learn step-by-step how to use the TradingView platform's chart, screener, and watchlist features to find and track stocks even if he doesn't know the company's ticker. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
14. Two captains of the same ship
The reader will learn how to use fundamental analysis to assess a company's financial strength by adding financial indicators to a chart in TradingView, and why the author prefers this method over technical analysis. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
Part two
15. My crazy partner is Mr. Market!
The reader will learn about the concept of "Mr. Market" introduced by Benjamin Graham, which illustrates the irrationality of market behavior and emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis in making sound investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
16. Picking rules - the Lynch method
The reader will learn about Peter Lynch's investment principles, including the benefits of private investors, the importance of a financial safety net, the need to understand a company's performance before investing, and the importance of analyzing its earnings. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
17. A pill for missed opportunities
The reader will learn how to set up alerts in TradingView to react promptly to changes in stock prices, thereby avoiding missing profitable opportunities to buy or sell. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
18. Man on the shoulders of giants
The reader learns the story of an Indian engineer who, after starting to invest in his 30s, achieved significant success, emphasizing the importance of self-education and inspiration from eminent investors. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
19. Price is what you pay, but value is what you get
The reader will learn about Warren Buffett's approach to investing based on the difference between price and the intrinsic value of a company, and the importance of fundamental analysis in making investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
20. Balance sheet: taking the first steps
The reader will learn about the structure of the balance sheet, including the concepts of assets, liabilities, and equity. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
21. Assets I prioritize
The reader will learn which balance sheet items are most important for assessing a company's sales performance, and why the author focuses on cash, accounts receivable, and inventory when analyzing current assets. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
22. A sense of debt
The reader will learn about the structure of liabilities and shareholders' equity on a company's balance sheet, including the differences between short-term and long-term debt, and will understand how to analyze debt burden when assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
23. At the beginning was the Equity
The reader will learn about a company's capital structure, including the concepts of retained earnings and return on investment, and will understand how these items are reflected in the balance sheet. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
24. The income statement: the place where profit lives
The reader will learn about the structure of a company's income statement, including key indicators: revenue, cost, gross and operating profit, as well as the importance of these metrics for assessing the financial condition of the enterprise and their impact on the dynamics of stock prices. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
25. My precious-s-s-s EPS
The reader learns that earnings per share (EPS) is calculated as net income available to common shareholders divided by the number of common shares outstanding, and that diluted EPS considers potential increases in the share count due to employee options and other factors that affect earnings distributions. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
26. What should I look at in the Income statement?
The reader will learn which key income statement metrics — such as revenue, gross profit, operating expenses, debt service expense, net income, and diluted earnings per share (EPS Diluted) — the author believes are most important for assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
27. Cash flow statement or Three great rivers
The reader will learn about the structure of the cash flow statement, which includes three main flows: operating, financial and investing, and will understand how these cash flows affect the financial condition of the company. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
28. Cash flow vibrations
The reader will learn how to analyze a company's operating, investment, and financial cash flows to assess its sustainability, strategy, and ability to effectively manage resources. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
29. Financial ratios: digesting them together
The reader will learn that financial ratios are relations between various financial reporting indicators that allow an objective assessment of the financial condition and value of a company, and will understand how to use key multiples to analyze the investment attractiveness of a business. Duration of study: 25 minutes.
30. What can financial ratios tell us?
The reader will learn about key financial ratios such as Diluted EPS, Price/Earnings Ratio (P/E), Gross Margin, Operating Expense Ratio, Return on Equity (ROE), Days Payable and Days Sales Outstanding, and Inventory to Revenue Ratio, and will understand how to use these metrics to assess a company's financial health and investment attractiveness. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
Part three
31. Price / Earnings: Interpretation #1
The reader will learn how the P/E (price to earnings) ratio helps assess the value of a company by determining how many dollars an investor pays for each dollar of earnings, and will understand why a lower P/E may indicate that a company is undervalued. Duration of study: 25 minutes.
32. Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2
The reader will learn an alternative approach to interpreting the P/E ratio by viewing it as the number of years it takes to break even on an investment, assuming the company's earnings are stable. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
33. How to apply an indicator that is only available upon request?
The reader will learn how scripts written in Pine Script work on the TradingView platform and what levels of access there are to them: from completely open to requiring an invitation from the author. The article explains how to request access to an indicator if it is restricted, and what steps to take to add it to a chart once permission is granted. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
34. How to assess the fundamental strength of the company?
The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the financial stability of a company through the aggregation of key financial indicators and multipliers, allowing a visual and quantitative assessment of the dynamics and current state of the business. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
35. How to evaluate the work of company management?
The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the effectiveness of a company's management through the prism of the concept described by Eliyahu Goldratt in his book "The Goal", which focuses on three key indicators: throughput, inventory and operational expenses, and will understand how these indicators affect the financial results of the enterprise. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
36. How to evaluate the state of a company's cash flows?
The reader will learn about the importance of cash flow analysis in assessing a company's financial health, including the interpretation of operating, investing, and financing flows. Duration of study: 25 minutes.
37. How to catch the rainbow by the tail?
The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges for buying stocks based on the principles of fundamental analysis and the idea of investing with a margin of safety. Duration of study: 40 minutes.
38. How to convert craziness into results?
The reader will learn how to navigate market volatility, make smart stock selling decisions, and use a fundamental approach to turn emotional market swings into rational investment actions. Duration of study: 35 minutes.
39. How to use Replay to study indicators?
The reader will learn how to use the Market Simulator feature on the TradingView platform to analyze historical data and test indicators, including step-by-step instructions for activating the simulator, selecting the start date, adjusting the playback speed, and interpreting the results when analyzing NVIDIA Corporation stock. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
40. How to explain my decision-making system?
The reader will learn about the author's approach to choosing stocks for investment, which includes an analysis of the fundamental strength of the company, cash flow dynamics, news, P/E multiple and other aspects of the decision-making system. Duration of study: 35 minutes.
41. The most subjective facet of my decision-making system
The reader will learn how news, although difficult to formalize, influences the investment decision-making process and why its interpretation is the most subjective aspect in stock evaluation. Duration of study: 35 minutes.
42. Full instructions for studying the fundamental strength of a company
The reader will learn how to use applied tools to evaluate a company's financial results, visually track their dynamics over time, and analyze the movement of key cash flows, which accelerates the process of selecting companies with strong fundamental indicators. Duration of study: 90 minutes.
43. Full instructions for determining price ranges for opening and closing positions
The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges and trade sizes when investing in stocks, based on the principles of value investing and Benjamin Graham's "margin of safety" concept. Duration of study: 120 minutes.
44. 10 tricks for developing discipline or here was Warren
The reader will learn ten practical methods to help investors develop discipline, including using alerts, keeping a trading journal, and developing good habits, and will understand how discipline affects the achievement of investment goals. Duration of study: 40 minutes.
45. The Inside Out Investor
The reader will learn how emotional states such as fear, excitement, and fear of missing out (FOMO) influence investment decisions and will understand how awareness of these emotions helps an investor stick to their chosen strategy and make informed decisions. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
46. Effective inefficiency
The reader will learn about the different approaches to using Stop Losses in investment strategies, their impact on the profit/loss ratio, as well as the concept of market efficiency and strategies in it. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
47. Institute of Intermediation and 24 Coffee Lovers
The reader will learn about the factors that create market inefficiencies, such as delays in the dissemination of information, high volatility, the actions of large players and participant errors, as well as the role of intermediaries - brokers and exchanges - in ensuring the efficiency and convenience of trading in financial markets. Duration of study: 25 minutes.
48. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
The reader will learn about the life of Charles Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, his investment philosophy based on common sense and discipline, as well as his views on the importance of personal relationships and moderation in achieving success. Duration of study: 5 minutes.
Gold reverses sharply after Trump's tax announcementThe world gold price has reversed sharply because the global market has just received information last night (Hanoi time) that US President Donald Trump has just signed an executive order to impose taxes on all goods imported into the US, many countries will have to pay high taxes of up to tens of percent.
Specifically, the UK, Brazil, Singapore will be subject to a 10% tax. The European Union, Malaysia, Japan, South Korea, and India will be subject to 20-26%. China, Thailand, and Vietnam are among the countries subject to the highest tax rates, at 34%, 36%, and 46%, respectively. The highest is Cambodia, which will be subject to a tax rate of up to 49%. This tax rate will be applied from April 9. In addition, Mr. Trump said that a 10% import tax will be applied to all goods imported into the US from April 5.
Mr. Trump said that every year the US loses 1,200 billion USD due to the trade deficit due to 3,000 billion USD of imported goods.
After this information, the global financial market was shaken, in which the US stock market had a strong decline, losing from more than 1% to more than 2%. On the contrary, gold - an asset that ensures capital safety in case of risk - has benefited from a strong increase in price.
Many experts commented that the Trump government's tariff policy has increased global trade tensions. Previously, the US imposed tariffs on some goods from Canada, Europe and China, aluminum and steel. These countries have responded to the tariffs on the US.
Huge Buy for Gold XAUUSD (Trump announces tariffs of up to 25%)How Trump’s 25% Auto Tariffs Could Be a Huge Buy Signal for Gold
The proposed 25% tariffs on automobile imports to the U.S. by former President Donald Trump could have significant economic consequences, many of which could drive gold prices higher. Here’s why:
1. Trade War Fears and Market Uncertainty
A new wave of tariffs could escalate tensions with key trading partners, particularly the European Union, Japan, and South Korea, leading to retaliatory tariffs and a potential global trade war.
Uncertainty in global trade historically increases demand for gold as investors seek a safe haven from market volatility.
2. Higher Inflation and Rising Costs
Tariffs would increase the price of imported cars, leading to higher inflation in the U.S.
Rising inflation typically weakens consumer purchasing power and drives investors toward gold, a traditional inflation hedge.
3. Economic Slowdown and Risk of Recession
Automakers and suppliers may cut jobs or reduce production, impacting economic growth.
A slowing economy could trigger rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which would lower bond yields and make gold even more attractive as a non-yielding asset.
4. Pressure on the U.S. Dollar
Trade conflicts can destabilize the U.S. dollar, especially if major economies reduce reliance on U.S. exports or retaliate with their own tariffs.
A weaker dollar increases the price of gold, as gold becomes cheaper for foreign investors.
5. Central Bank Demand and Gold Accumulation
If economic uncertainty rises, central banks may increase gold reserves, further boosting demand.
We’ve already seen major central banks accumulating gold at record levels, and new trade disruptions could accelerate this trend.
Conclusion: A Strong Bull Case for Gold
If Trump’s 25% auto tariffs take effect, they could trigger inflation, market volatility, and economic slowdown, all of which are bullish for gold. With central banks buying aggressively and rate cuts likely on the horizon, this could be a major buying opportunity for gold traders.
Would you buy gold in this scenario? Let me know in the comments! 🚀
XRPUSDT → The bulls won't hold support. Falling to 1.9BINANCE:XRPUSDT is under pressure despite quite positive news. The coin, being in a downtrend, continues to test the key support. The chance of a breakdown is growing
XRP continues to test a strong support zone on the weekly timeframe, relative to this zone, in the medium term, two scenarios can develop, which depend on the general mood in the market. If the current backdrop persists, the chance of a downside breakdown and further decline is quite high.
At the moment, the focus is on the key support at 2.0637, relative to which the retests continue, and the reaction is getting weaker and weaker, which in general only increases the chances of a further fall to 1.9 - 1.63.
Resistance levels: 2.265, 2.365, 2.509
Support levels: 2.0637, 1.9
The cryptocurrency market is going through bad times (Tariff War, high inflation, stock market decline, disappointment of the crypto community due to expectations) and until the situation starts to change, the technical picture will remain negative. XRP may continue its fall after a small correction.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan for April 3, 2025🧠 Smart Money Concepts x Fundamental Flow
Despite negative USD news (ADP & ISM) and Trump’s hawkish blurbs, Gold didn’t pop aggressively — it wicked up into premium supply, then quickly retraced. That’s a liquidity game, not a trend change (yet). Still bullish bias overall, but intraday looks mixed.
🧭 Bigger Picture – D1/H4
Price rejected strongly from the premium supply zone near 3144–3147, leaving a clear wick with imbalance underneath.
Bullish structure remains valid, but we're seeing a potential distribution pattern short-term.
Trendline liquidity & HLs are stacking up below, ideal for a grab.
🟩 Demand zones of interest:
3107–3115 (discount zone, strong reaction in prior sessions)
3086–3092 (last known rally base)
📌 Key Zones
🔵 Premium supply: 3144–3147
🟡 Buyside liquidity: 3147–3155
🟦 Sellside liquidity grab zone: 3107–3115
🟢 Strong demand: 3086–3092
🔴 Major liquidity draw: 3180 zone (untouched weekly magnet)
🧩 SCENARIO 1 – 🐂 “Power of Discount” Buy Setup
“When in doubt, hunt the imbalance out.”
Price dips toward 3115–3107, taps imbalance + OB, shows M5/MS shift
Confirmation + sniper long
TP1: 3142 (last high), TP2: 3180 if momentum kicks in
🎯 Confluences:
Discount OB zone + unfilled imbalance
Trendline tap + BOS + liquidity grab
Weak DXY context
🧩 SCENARIO 2 – 🐂 Trap, Swipe & Rally Buy
Deep sweep to 3086 zone
Reversal signs after stop hunt / equal low grab
Entry on CHoCH or breaker retest (M15 or M5)
TP1: 3140, TP2: 3180
💡 This is the “maximum pain = maximum profit” play.
🧩 SCENARIO 3 – 🐻 Premium Rejection Intraday Sell
“Supply hits, market flips.”
Price tests 3144–3147 again in early session
No BOS on M5, shows weakness (M5/M15 LH + CHoCH)
Sell into imbalance zones
TP1: 3127, TP2: 3110
⚠️ Only take this if we don’t break above 3147. Watch liquidity wicks!
🧩 SCENARIO 4 – 🐻 Fake Pump & Dump
Price spikes through PDH, into 3155–3160
Quick rejection (news-induced spike or algo trap)
Sell setup on lower TF reversal after liquidity sweep
TP to 3115 zone
🎭 A classic “grab & go” trap. Great RR but needs discipline.
📰 Macro Watch – April 3, 2025
Fed speakers are lining up — watch for dollar volatility 👀
China PMI during Asia could boost metals
DXY might stay weak → keep gold supported
Gold is at ATH regions = more manipulation + fakeouts!
FTM/USD 1D ChartHello everyone, let's look at the 1D FTM to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a descending triangle where we are approaching the moment of trying to choose the direction in which the price can go further.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 0.66 USD
T2 = 0.81 USD
Т3 = 0.93 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 0.44 USD
SL2 = 0.31 USD
SL3 = 0.21 USD
If we look at the MACD indicator we can see a return to a local downtrend, however we are still in a place where the trend can reverse and surprise us with growth.
GBP/JPY showing the Bulls some love !!As i write this down GBP/JPY teases us with a triangle on a 1h timeframe with a break and test... and maybe a confirmation?
195.00 level is also there - giving us extra confirmation
the YEN showed some strength since the year began maybe because of the ongoing Japanese fiscal year ending up in march,
but since we are talking about fiscal years, UK's fiscal year concludes in April ! ( during fiscal year end companies tend to repatriate their offshore capital for several reasons: Tax Optimization, Financial Reporting, Dividend Payments, Debt Servicing, Currency Exchange Considerations, Strategic Investments) - this ensure a increased demand for the specific currency making it raise in value ( supply and demand 101)
so where are we at right now:
- Fundamentals favor the GBP in the near term future ( other fundamentals must be taken into consideration - do some research tell me what you find)
- Technically we see an opportunity to profit for the coming fundamentals even tough is a good chance this setup is not the start line of the race upwards
when it comes to Taking profits the only level that comes into mind is 198.200 (not a guarantee but a possibility)
- Other Technical's
the currency sits above the YTD Anchored VWAP and the march Anchored VWAP for some time now,
in terms of Market Structure we see higher highs on the 4h/Daily and previous highs taken out ( feb high and Jan high) - this an uptrend no doubt
For day traders:
on the lower timeframes we see some head & Shoulders formations gearing up
1min_ chart completed H&S
5m_chart H&S in construction -
and if I'm stretching my luck a bit maybe another H&S on the 15 min
that's all there is to it!
Whatever your trading remember to take the risks into consideration and always do your own analysis before taking a decision !!
I'm still new to sharing ideas on the community - don't start throwing rocks now if your Bearish :D
-Not financial Advice !
Will Trump Dump The Markets Again?The NASDAQ was able to recover temporarily today. Whether this recovery is sustainable remains questionable.
After the close of trading, Trump will announce his decisions on tariffs - turbulence is guaranteed.
The normalized RSI shows inverse bearish divergences in the area of an important order block, from which one could profit with the setup shown.
Breaking: $EOS Surged 20% Today Amidst a Falling Wedge PatternBuilt and integrated in the Binance Smart chain (BSC) NYSE:EOS coin spiked 20% today amidst a falling wedge pattern with technical patterns indicating a second legged up with a 180% surge in sight.
With the RSI at 79 momentum is increasing and the bulls are striving to push this altcoin to the $1 pivot. The asset is already trading above key moving averages, and with the daily candle stick depicting a bullish Harumi pattern, a trend continuation might be imminent. However, there might be short term correction to cool off before picking liquidity up.
What Is EOS Network?
The EOS Network is an open-source blockchain platform that prioritizes high performance, flexibility, security, and developer experience. As a third-generation blockchain platform powered by the EOS virtual machine, EOS has an extensible WebAssembly engine for deterministic execution of near fee-less transactions.
EOS is the market's most scalable, divisible, and programmable digital currency. EOS is a Delegated Proof of Stake (DPoS) network where stakeholders have the authority to select node operators. EOS is fully decentralized power doesn't reside in the hands of block miners, but rather all parties involved in the EOS Network.
EOS Price Live Data
The live EOS price today is $0.832481 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $749,481,793 USD. EOS is up 19.40% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $1,295,646,252 USD. It has a circulating supply of 1,556,368,173 EOS coins and a max. supply of 2,100,000,000 EOS coins.
EUR/GBP: Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Towards TargetChart Overview
Asset: Euro / British Pound (EUR/GBP)
Timeframe: 1-hour (1H)
Date and Time: Published on April 2, 2025, at 19:21 UTC
Publisher: GoldMasterTraders on TradingView
Current Price (at the time of the chart):
Open: 0.83668
High: 0.83670
Low: 0.83260
Close: 0.83635
Change: -0.00035 (-0.04%)
Price on the Right Axis: The price scale ranges from approximately 0.83100 to 0.84447, with the current price around 0.83642 (ask) and 0.83635 (bid).
Chart Elements and Technical Analysis
1. Candlestick Price Action
The chart displays a 1-hour candlestick representation of EUR/GBP, showing price movements from mid-March to early April 2025.
Trend Context:
Prior to the formation of the pattern, the price experienced a downtrend, declining from around 0.84200 (March 12) to a low of 0.83260 (March 25). This indicates a bearish trend leading into the pattern formation.
Following this decline, the price began to consolidate, forming the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
Recent Price Action:
On April 2, the price appears to have broken out above the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, closing above the resistance level with a bullish candle. The current price of 0.83642 is above the breakout level, supporting the bullish thesis.
2. Chart Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders
Pattern Identification:
The chart highlights an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal pattern that typically forms after a downtrend. It consists of three troughs:
Left Shoulder: A low around 0.83400 (March 20), followed by a bounce.
Head: A deeper low at 0.83260 (March 25), marking the lowest point of the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A higher low around 0.83400 (March 30), indicating diminishing selling pressure.
The neckline is drawn by connecting the highs between the shoulders (around 0.83600–0.83700), sloping slightly downward in this case.
Pattern Dynamics:
The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. The left shoulder and head represent selling pressure, while the higher right shoulder indicates buyers stepping in at a higher level, showing increased demand.
The breakout occurs when the price closes above the neckline, confirming the reversal. In this chart, the breakout is confirmed around April 2, with the price closing above the neckline at approximately 0.83600–0.83700.
Breakout Confirmation:
The price broke above the neckline on April 2, with a strong bullish candle closing at 0.83635. The current price of 0.83642 is holding above the breakout level, which is a positive sign for bulls.
The breakout level aligns with the resistance zone, making the move significant as it also clears this key barrier.
3. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level:
A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.83425 (approximately 0.8340–0.8345).
This level corresponds to the lows of the left and right shoulders, where buyers stepped in to defend the price. It also aligns with the lower boundary of the pattern, reinforcing its importance.
Resistance Level:
A resistance zone is marked around 0.83700 (approximately 0.8365–0.8375).
This level corresponds to the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern and a previous high from March 19. It acted as a barrier during the pattern formation but has now been broken, turning it into potential support on a retest.
Target Level:
The target for the breakout is projected at 0.84447.
This target is calculated using the standard method for Head and Shoulders patterns: measuring the height of the pattern (from the head at 0.83260 to the neckline at 0.83700, which is 0.00440) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point (0.83700 + 0.00440 = 0.84140). The target of 0.84447 is slightly higher, possibly adjusted for the next significant resistance.
The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00627 (0.75%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (0.83700) to the target (0.84447).
4. Stop Loss and Risk Management
Stop Loss:
The stop loss is suggested below the support level at 0.83425.
Placing the stop loss below this level ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back below the neckline and the right shoulder, the trade is exited with a controlled loss.
The distance from the breakout level (0.83700) to the stop loss (0.83425) is 0.00275, representing the risk on the trade.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00627 (0.75%) to the target.
The risk is 0.00275 (from 0.83700 to 0.83425), and the reward is 0.00627 (from 0.83700 to 0.84447), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.28:1 (0.00627 / 0.00275). This is a favorable ratio for a trading setup.
5. Additional Annotations
Pattern Components:
The chart labels the Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder, clearly identifying the structure of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
A blue arrow labeled “Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern” points to the formation, making it easy to recognize.
Arrows and Labels:
A green arrow labeled “Support Level” points to the 0.83425 zone, indicating where buyers have defended the price.
A red arrow labeled “Resistance Level” points to the 0.83700 zone, highlighting the neckline and the breakout area.
A blue arrow labeled “Target” points to 0.84447, showing the projected price objective.
A blue arrow labeled “Stop Loss” points to 0.83425, indicating the risk management level.
Price Labels on the Right Axis:
The right axis shows key price levels, with the current ask price at 0.83642 (red) and bid price at 0.83635 (black), reflecting the live market spread.
Trading Setup Breakdown
Based on the chart, here’s the detailed trading setup:
Entry:
Position: Long (buy) EUR/GBP.
Entry Point: The setup suggests entering after the price breaks out above the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025, at approximately 0.83700.
Confirmation: The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the neckline, with the current price at 0.83642, slightly below the high of 0.83670 but still above the breakout level. Traders might wait for a retest of the neckline (now acting as support) for a safer entry, though this isn’t explicitly suggested in the chart.
Stop Loss:
Level: Place the stop loss below the support level at 0.83425.
Rationale: This placement protects against a false breakout. If the price falls back below the neckline and breaches the right shoulder, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and the trade should be exited.
Risk: The distance from the entry (0.83700) to the stop loss (0.83425) is 0.00275, or approximately 0.33% of the entry price.
Take Profit/Target:
Level: The target is set at 0.84447.
Rationale: This target is derived from the height of the pattern projected upward from the breakout point. It also aligns with a logical extension toward the next significant resistance.
Reward: The distance from the entry (0.83700) to the target (0.84447) is 0.00627, or approximately 0.75% of the entry price.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk-reward ratio is approximately 2.28:1, which is attractive for a trading setup. For every unit of risk (0.00275), the potential reward is over 2 units (0.00627).
Trade Management:
Trailing Stop: Once the price approaches the target at 0.84447, traders might consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits, especially if the price shows signs of stalling.
Partial Profit Taking: Some traders might take partial profits at a minor resistance level (e.g., 0.84000) and let the remaining position run toward the target.
Broader Market Context
Trend Analysis:
The broader trend before the pattern was bearish, as evidenced by the decline from 0.84200 to 0.83260. The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern suggests a potential reversal to the upside, with the breakout confirming this shift.
The price action after the breakout will be critical. A strong move toward 0.84000 with high volume would confirm the bullish momentum.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders breakout includes:
Volume: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest.
Momentum: A bullish signal from indicators like RSI (e.g., moving above 50) or MACD (e.g., a bullish crossover).
Traders should check these indicators to validate the breakout’s strength.
Market Factors:
EUR/GBP is influenced by factors like Eurozone and UK economic data, interest rate differentials, and Brexit-related developments. On April 2, 2025, traders should consider:
Economic Data: Key releases like UK GDP, Eurozone inflation, or central bank statements around this time could impact the pair.
Geopolitical Events: Any developments related to UK-EU relations or global risk sentiment could drive volatility in EUR/GBP.
Potential Risks and Considerations
False Breakout:
If the price fails to hold above the neckline (0.83700) and falls back below the right shoulder, the setup is invalidated. The stop loss at 0.83425 mitigates this risk.
Resistance at 0.84000:
The price may encounter resistance around 0.84000, a psychological level and a previous high. Traders should watch for bearish price action (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing candle) near this level.
Market Volatility:
EUR/GBP can be volatile on a 1-hour timeframe, especially around economic data releases. Unexpected news could lead to sharp price swings, potentially triggering the stop loss prematurely.
Timeframe Limitations:
This is a short-term setup on a 1-hour chart, so the target might be reached within hours to a couple of days. However, intraday noise could lead to choppy price action, requiring active trade management.
Conclusion
The TradingView chart by GoldMasterTraders presents a well-structured bullish trading setup for EUR/GBP based on an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. The price has broken out above the neckline on April 2, 2025, signaling a potential move toward the target of 0.84447. Key levels include support at 0.83425 (where the stop loss is placed) and the neckline resistance at 0.83700, which the price must hold above to maintain the bullish thesis. The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of 2.28:1, making it an attractive trade for short-term traders.
However, traders should confirm the breakout with additional indicators (e.g., volume, RSI) and monitor broader market conditions, as this chart is a snapshot from April 2, 2025, and market dynamics may have evolved since then. If you’d like to search for more recent data on EUR/GBP or check the outcome of this setup, I can assist with that!
Stock Market Dives into Correction? It Happens—Here's What to DoYou wake up, check your portfolio, and see a sea of red. The market’s down, your stocks are taking a nosedive, and CNBC is running apocalyptic headlines about an impending crash. Sounds familiar?
It’s maybe because we’re in (or super close to) a correction right now — the S&P 500 SP:SPX was down 10% from its record high two weeks ago and a lot of people are unsure what to do.
The truth of the matter is, stock market corrections are routine—not as often as the meeting that should’ve been an email, but also not as rare as a winning trade in the Japanese yen ( widow maker is real, yo ).
And, most importantly, they’re usually not as catastrophic as they feel in the moment.
So, before you hit the panic button (or worse, start revenge trading to “win it all back”), let’s talk about what’s shaking the market right now and how to navigate corrections like a pro.
🤔 First Things First: What’s a Correction?
A stock market correction is a drop of 10% or more from a recent high. It’s not a crash, it’s not the end of capitalism, and it’s definitely not a sign that you should liquidate your entire portfolio and move to a remote cabin in the woods.
Corrections happen regularly, typically once every year or two. They’re a natural part of market cycles, shaking out excessive speculation and resetting valuations to more reasonable levels.
For the record, a drop of 20% is considered a bear market.
🤝 Why the Market’s Getting Jittery
Markets don’t move in straight lines, and sometimes they hit turbulence. Lately, two big themes have been dominating headlines:
Trump’s Hard-Line Tariffs Hit Hard (And Markets Are Nervous About It)
If there’s anything Trump knows how to do is say things online or on-site and move markets. And his hostile and straight up combatant approach to handling international relations has sent traders scrambling to offload risk.
With hiked tariffs on China, Europe, and Mexico and Canada, businesses are bracing for severe supply chain disruptions, higher costs, and tighter margins. When tariffs go up, corporate earnings tend to go down—and the market doesn’t like that math.
Inflation Just Won’t Quit
The Federal Reserve spent most of the last two years trying to tame inflation, and just when it seemed like things were cooling off, it’s creeping back up. The latest readout of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report showed prices ticked up more than expected at 2.8% in February.
Higher inflation means the Fed might keep interest rates elevated for longer than expected, making borrowing more expensive and slowing down growth. Every new inflation release has investors guessing: Will the Fed cut rates, hold steady, or—worst case—hike again?
Between trade wars and stubborn inflation, uncertainty is running high, and that dynamics breeds volatility. But a correction doesn’t mean the market is broken—it just means sentiment has shifted.
⚠️ How NOT to React (aka: Rookie Mistakes to Avoid)
When corrections hit, bad decision-making is at an all-time high. Here’s what not to do:
Panic selling – Selling at the bottom is a classic rookie move. If you weren’t planning to sell at the highs, why dump everything when it’s down?
Trying to time the exact bottom – Good luck. Nobody, not even Warren Buffett, can catch the bottom (not that he’s trying). If you’re waiting for the “perfect” dip, you’ll likely miss the rebound.
Going all-in on one asset – Thinking of putting everything into one stock or crypto because it’s “cheap” now? Please don’t. Diversification exists for a reason .
Getting glued to financial news – Watching every market update during a correction is like doom-scrolling Google after a mild headache—you’ll only freak yourself out more.
Now that we’ve covered what not to do, let’s focus on the smart plays.
💪 So, What Should You Do?
If you want to come out of a correction with your sanity (and portfolio) intact, here’s your game plan:
1️⃣ Zoom Out—Corrections Are Temporary
The market moves in cycles, and corrections are just part of the game. Historically, corrections last a few months, while bull markets last years. If you’re investing for the long term, a correction is a blip on the chart, not an extinction event.
2️⃣ Review Your Portfolio Like a Hedge Fund Manager
Corrections are a great excuse to audit your holdings. Ask yourself:
Is this stock/ETF/index still worth holding?
Has anything fundamentally changed, or is this just temporary market noise?
Do I have too much exposure to one sector?
Think of it as spring cleaning for your investments. It's also an opportunity to make some good use of the handy Stock Screener or Stock Heatmap to spot the best (and worst) performers. If something was a FOMO buy and doesn’t belong in your portfolio, consider trimming it.
3️⃣ Buy Selectively, Not Blindly
Corrections create opportunities, but that doesn’t mean you should just throw money at every stock that’s down. Some companies deserve their declines ( looking at you, Nikola )—others are just collateral damage in a broader selloff.
Look for quality companies with strong earnings, manageable debt, and real growth potential. If they were solid before the correction, they’ll likely recover faster than the overhyped names.
Example: Remember when Amazon stock NASDAQ:AMZN tanked 90% in 2000, the dot-com bubble? No, because you were too busy being 2 years old instead of loading up on Jeff Bezos’s dream. And look where the guy’s now.
4️⃣ Do Some Good Old DCA
Instead of dumping all your cash into the market at once, use dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Buying in small increments at regular intervals helps you avoid the stress of trying to time the bottom. If prices drop further, you can buy more at an even better price.
5️⃣ Keep Emotions in Check
Corrections test your patience and discipline. The best investors don’t let fear dictate their strategy. If you’re getting emotional about your trades, step away from the screen and take a breath. The market will be there when you come back.
👍 The Market Always Bounces Back—Eventually
Every correction feels like the worst one while it’s happening. But let’s look at history:
The S&P 500 has faced 30+ corrections since 1950. It survived them all.
The average correction lasts four months before a recovery begins.
After a correction, markets typically rally higher within a year.
Unless you believe the global economy is permanently broken (hint: not yet, at least), every major downturn has eventually turned into a new bull run.
🦸♂ Final Thought: Be the Hero, Not the Victim
Market corrections separate the professionals from the wannabes. The people who panic and sell at the bottom? They usually regret it. The ones who keep a level head, stick to their strategy, and take advantage of good opportunities? They come out stronger.
And finally, if you need to take away one thing it’s this: Corrections aren’t the enemy. They’re the price of admission for long-term gains.
👉 Let’s hear it from you!
How do you handle corrections, what’s your strategy when the market is in a downturn and what’s in your portfolio then? Share your experience in the comment section!