Gold (4H) Analysis
🗿 Head & Shoulders Pattern
Left shoulder → Head (~3 366 $) → Right shoulder near the downtrend line
A close below 3 283 $ would validate the shoulder break and signal a bearish turn
🔄 Pullback to 3 283 $?
After the H4 close under 3 283 $, expect a quick retest of that level to hunt stops
Perfect short entry if the H&S holds
🎯 OTE Support Trap
Just below lies last week’s Optimal Trade Entry zone (3 260–3 270 $)
Gold often fakes lower here before resuming the rally
⚔️ Scenarios
Bearish : Close < 3 283 $ → retest 3 283 $ → drop to 3 240 $ / 3 200 $
Bull trap : bounce off OTE → trap of retest 3 283 $ → rally back to 3 330–3 350 $
🌍 Macro Note
Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine/Russia) keep Gold bid as a safe haven
No major bearish catalyst yet—watch for a potential trap
👉 Key Level: H4 close under 3 283 $. Use the retest to confirm your bias!
Fundamental Analysis
US Federal Court Rules Trump Tariffs UnconstitutionalUS Federal Court Rules Trump Tariffs Unconstitutional
According to media reports, the US Court of International Trade has:
- declared the tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump illegal;
- ruled that the President exceeded his authority;
- blocked the tariffs, emphasising that under the US Constitution, only Congress has the power to impose tariffs.
The decision was made unanimously by a panel of three judges. Financial markets reacted with:
- a rise in US stock indices;
- strengthening of the US dollar — most notably seen today on the USD/CHF chart, as demand for so-called safe-haven assets declined in light of the tariff reversal.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
The bullish momentum has broken upward through:
- a local downward trendline (shown in red);
- resistance at the 0.8300 level, near the May 22 high.
Additionally:
- the RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart has moved upwards to the overbought territory;
- the area highlighted with a purple rectangle resembles a bullish Fair Value Gap.
Could this upward momentum lead to a sustained uptrend? There is reason for doubt.
Consider the steep decline in USD/CHF in early April (driven mainly by the introduction of Trump's tariffs) and the relatively small size of today's bullish candle compared to that prior drop.
Price action seems to suggest that market participants are skeptical about any lasting change in the situation. The Trump administration has already filed an appeal, and it’s possible the White House could succeed in defending its position.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Salesforce Goes Shopping: Acquires Informatica for $8 BillionSalesforce (NYSE: CRM) has taken a major step in its growth strategy by announcing the acquisition of Informatica (NYSE: INFA) for approximately $8 billion. Informatica closed yesterday at $24.29 per share. This deal, Salesforce’s largest since acquiring Slack in 2021, aims to strengthen its artificial intelligence ecosystem and solidify its position in the enterprise data management market, which now exceeds $150 billion. Salesforce will pay $25 per share, representing a 30% premium. The acquisition seeks to integrate Informatica’s data management capabilities with Salesforce’s Agentforce AI platform, enabling the company to offer more advanced cloud-based solutions to enterprise clients.
Financial Results
On the financial front, Salesforce reported strong results for the first quarter of its fiscal year 2026 (FY2026), which began on February 1 of this year. Revenue reached $9.83 billion, representing an 8% increase year-over-year. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.58, beating market expectations. In light of this performance, Salesforce has raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range between $41.0 and $41.3 billion. Strong demand for cloud solutions and the momentum of artificial intelligence are driving this growth.
Technical Analysis
Salesforce shares closed at $277.19 on May 28, trading within a daily range of $315.87 to $241.08. Over the past twelve months, the stock has experienced significant volatility, peaking at $368 during the year-end rally and bottoming at $229.64 in early April amid market tensions related to Trump’s tariff announcements. The current price sits around the mid-range control zone, suggesting a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Moving averages are showing signs of indecision, with a sideways trend reinforced by a neutral RSI, indicating the potential for a technical rebound if no clear short-term direction emerges.
From a Fibonacci retracement perspective, the price reached the 50% level in mid-May and appears to be forming a bullish support zone. If the market reacts positively to the Informatica acquisition, the stock may move toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level, slightly below the previous consolidation range. This could pave the way for a more sustained recovery in the coming months.
Conclusion
The acquisition of Informatica marks a new strategic chapter for Salesforce, reinforcing its commitment to artificial intelligence and its dominance in the enterprise data market. Backed by strong financials and an optimistic outlook for the rest of the fiscal year, the deal could serve as a catalyst for a new growth phase. While technical indicators suggest some short-term caution, the fundamental context points to a solid foundation for renewed upward momentum. The market’s reaction in the coming sessions will be key to confirming this potential trend shift.
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Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
US30Correlation Between US30, 10-Year Bond Yields, Bond Prices, and DXY
1. Bond Prices vs. Yields
Inverse Relationship: Bond prices and yields move inversely. When bond prices rise, yields fall, and vice versa.
Example: If the 10-year Treasury bond price drops (due to selling pressure), its yield rises to attract buyers.
Current 10-year yield: 4.54% (as of May 21, 2025).
2. 10-Year Yield vs. DXY (US Dollar Index)
Typical Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into USD-denominated assets, strengthening the dollar (DXY↑).
Recent Divergence:
A rising 10-year yield paired with a weakening DXY may signal market skepticism about Fed policy or risk aversion (e.g., investors favor Treasuries as safe havens despite lower yields).
Example: If yields rise due to inflation fears without economic growth, DXY may weaken as traders doubt the Fed’s ability to sustain rate hikes.
3. DXY vs. US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
Inverse Correlation: A weaker dollar (DXY↓) often supports equity indices like US30, as multinational companies benefit from cheaper exports and higher overseas earnings.
Exceptions:
In risk-off environments, a stronger dollar (DXY↑) may coincide with equity sell-offs as investors flee to safe-haven assets.
4. 10-Year Yield vs. US30
Mixed Relationship:
Negative: Rising yields can pressure equities (US30↓) as higher borrowing costs reduce corporate profits and make bonds more attractive.
Positive: Yields rising due to growth optimism may lift stocks (US30↑) if earnings expectations improve.
5. Yield Curve Dynamics (30-10 Year Spread)
Current Spread: 0.51% (30-year yield: 4.94%, 10-year yield: 4.43%).
Implications:
A widening spread (30-year > 10-year) suggests long-term growth/inflation expectations.
A flattening/inverted spread signals economic uncertainty or recession fears.
Summary Table of Relationships
Factor Relationship with DXY Relationship with US30
10-Year Yield ↑ Typically ↑ (if growth-driven) ↓ (if rate-driven) / ↑ (if growth-driven)
Bond Prices ↑ ↓ (yields fall, USD less attractive) ↑ (cheaper borrowing)
DXY ↑ — Typically ↓ (hurts exports)
30-10 Spread Widens Neutral ↑ (growth optimism)
Key Scenarios
Risk-On Environment:
DXY↓ + US30↑ + Yields↑ (growth optimism).
Example: Weaker dollar boosts equities despite rising yields.
Risk-Off Environment:
DXY↑ + US30↓ + Yields↓ (safe-haven demand for bonds and USD).
Policy Divergence:
Yields↑ + DXY↓ (markets doubt Fed’s ability to sustain hikes despite inflation).
Conclusion
The interplay between US30, bond yields, prices, and DXY is dynamic and context-dependent:
Yield-DXY Link: Normally positive but can diverge during policy uncertainty or risk aversion.
DXY-US30 Link: Typically inverse but influenced by macroeconomic drivers.
Yield Curve: A widening 30-10 spread supports growth optimism, while flattening signals caution.
Traders must monitor Fed policy, inflation data, and risk sentiment to navigate these correlations effectively.
Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP? XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 26 | Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP?
Gold is approaching a key resistance zone as geopolitical uncertainty and shifting Fed signals add volatility to global markets. While recent bullish momentum has been strong, traders should prepare for potential shakeouts ahead of NFP week.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
US–Iran Tensions on the Rise: Iran has warned the US it will bear full responsibility if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities. This comes just days before both sides are scheduled to resume nuclear negotiations, increasing the risk of escalation.
Goldman Sachs Signals a Safe-Haven Shift: With 20-year US bond auctions failing and yields surging, Goldman Sachs now recommends gold and Bitcoin as core hedge assets against fiscal instability and a weakening dollar.
DXY Losing Steam: The US Dollar Index is cooling off after a short-term rally, with Fed rate hike expectations becoming less certain.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – XAUUSD (M30 – H1)
Gold is consolidating in a bullish structure, bouncing within a rising channel and showing signs of potential continuation.
EMA13/EMA34 have crossed above EMA200 on the M30 chart → a sign of trend strength building.
A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains unfilled near 3360–3395 → potential magnet zone if bullish breakout succeeds.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY
🟢 BUY SCALP
Entry: 3304 – 3302
SL: 3298
TP: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3276 – 3274
SL: 3270
TP: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300
🔴 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3344 – 3346
SL: 3350
TP: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3376 – 3378
SL: 3382
TP: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350
🧩 STRATEGIC KEYLEVELS
Key SELL Zone: 3358–3360 → If broken, gold may rush toward ATH targets.
Key BUY Zone: 3276–3274 → If lost, a deep retracement below 3200 is likely.
⚠️ NOTES TO TRADERS
This is a geo-politically sensitive market. Sudden news or tweets can trigger explosive moves.
Always wait for confirmation near key zones. Don't chase breakouts without structure.
Risk management is critical.
✅ SUMMARY:
"Political risk is the fuel. Gold is the fire. Stay sharp around the key levels and don't get caught in false breakouts. Be reactive, not predictive."
ETH Forming Bullish AB=CD Pattern | Eyes on Breakout #Ethereum (ETH) is showing strong bullish momentum on the 4H timeframe and is currently developing a classic AB=CD harmonic pattern, which often precedes a continuation of trend.
✅ Key Observations:
#ETH is holding within a solid uptrend structure
No signs of bearish divergence or reversal patterns yet
Momentum remains healthy, with buyers in control
🔍 What to Watch For:
We are closely watching the previous Higher High (HH) — currently acting as a key resistance level. A 4H candle close above this level will serve as confirmation for the continuation of the bullish trend.
📈 Trading Plan:
Once #ETH breaks above the resistance and confirms with a close, we’ll look to enter a long position with proper risk management and stop-loss placement below recent structure.
💬 What’s your bias on #ETH in the short term? Are you already long, or waiting for the breakout too?
📌 Don’t forget to Like, Comment, and Follow for more clean setups and strategy-based analysis!
#ETH #Ethereum #CryptoTrading #ABCDPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #Harmonics #TradingSetup #Breakout #PriceAction
XAUUSD Expecting Selling movementKey Levels Highlighted
Resistance Zone Blue Box
$3,294
This level acts as a strong resistance area from previous price action
It aligns with a prior consolidation zone and the peak of the projected retracement
Support/Target Zones Pink Lines
1 $3266
2 $3255
Final Target $3244
Marked with a label Target this is the analyst’s main bearish objective
Close to a price callout marked $3244 emphasizing the precision of the expected price drop
CAKE – Triangle Pattern Forming: Breakout Incoming?Hey traders! 👋
#CAKE is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle – a classic setup that often precedes a big move! The price action is tightening, and momentum is building. 📈
🔍 What We're Watching:
Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
Bias: Bullish, with potential for upside breakout
Key Resistance: 2.65
Entry Plan:
We'll wait for a confirmed breakout above resistance, followed by a clean retest of the broken structure. If the retest holds, that’s our cue to go long!
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss just below the retest zone. Target based on measured move of the triangle.
🧠 Why This Setup Matters:
Triangle breakouts often lead to strong continuation moves, especially in trending markets. If CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the broader altcoin market remain bullish, #CAKE could cook up a nice rally!
💬 Let me know your thoughts! Are you bullish on #CAKE too?
💡 Drop your targets in the comments!
📈 Like & follow for more chart setups and trade ideas.
#CAKEUSDT #CryptoTrading #TriangleBreakout #Altcoins #TradingView #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishBreakout #CryptoSetup #TradersJournal
XAG/USD finds support as buyers build momentum.Silver price (XAG/USD) halts its losing streak, trading around $33.20 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Thursday.
There is a good chance silver could retest the immediate support at the twenty-day EMA of $32.87. A push below this level could weaken the short and medium-term price momentum to the downside and put downward pressure on the grey metal around the lower boundary at $31.80.
On the upside, the XAG/USD pair could explore the region around the rectangle’s upper boundary at $33.70, aligned with the seven-week high at $33.71, reached on May 25. A break above this crucial resistance zone could cause the influx of the bullish bias and lead the silver price to approach the seven-month high of $34.60, last seen on March 28.
EUR/USD short: IEEPA; You're fired...Hello traders
I have been sitting on my hands since my last post. Thanks to @InternalTraderNYC to exercise patience. No trades, no harm. But keeping an eagle eye on the daily market chaos.
I know this may come across as "told you so" but whatever I post is always with the goal of bouncing ideas and insights off my fellow trading warriors.
I mentioned the IEEPA and the Court of International Trade as a reminder that there are legal avenues to contest the tariffs in this idea
I had been following any and all developments after the 14 state lawsuit that challenged the validity of using the IEEPA as a pretext to impose the tariffs.
Although I was dubious about any mechanism/court/legislation/congressional action that could moderate the tariffs, the Court of International Trade, based in Manhattan, NY has spoken.
The USD rallied as a result for, oh, so many reasons.
The FOMC interest rate is still the highest of the G7.
Trump's Big Beautiful Bill was already on thin ice with the House because it was predicated on increasing our insane national debt because "tariffs" would pay for the tax cuts for the 1%.
The bond market is already showing signs of US borrowing power becoming cheaper.
There is finally an adult in the room: The Court of International Trade.
Musk has officially departed the employ of the United States Government after criticizing Trump's Big Beautiful Bill. No one knows what happened behind closed doors but what we all know is that no one is allowed to contradict or criticize DJT...
At this point, I'll gloat. :)) I mentioned in one of my Ideas that Musk will be the first to depart the Trump inner circle. Only so much room for two of the biggest three narcissists on the planet. Yup, Putin is number 3.
The FOMC mentioned the "R" word in their minutes that were published today: Recession possibility stemming from trade policy.
Let's see what the US Senate does with this bill.
Stay tuned folks and watch the developments. This mess is far from over. It is all but guaranteed that this will head to the US Supreme Court.
As for trades, I am inserting a link to my previous Christmas Tree chart layout.
www.tradingview.com
The most important take away is that the 10Y T-bill is already cheaper for a higher yield.
Best of luck!!!
EURUSD PullbackEURUSD continued its pullback this morning, reaching 1,1207.
The uptrend remains intact, and this correction is a healthy move for its continuation.
The next key support level is at 1,1198.
Watch for a potential bounce and buying opportunity.
The target is a breakout above the previous high!
NVDA GEX Earnings Outlook by OptionsNVDA reports earnings this Wednesday, and it’s a big deal. A major move could impact both the indexes and broader tech sector.
The OTM 16 delta curve essentially overlaps with both the GEX profile and the expected probability zone — signaling strong confluence.
📈 Rising IV with falling call skew: Volatility is rising into earnings, while the call skew is dropping — a sign of growing interest in downside hedging/speculation.
🔷 Key inflection zone (129): Above 129, the market is unlikely to surprise. Below it, however, a domino effect could trigger increased volatility and put-side flows.
Implied move into earnings is 6.62%, reflecting binary risk expectations from the options market.
Strong gamma squeeze territory exists between 140–145, with significant call wall buildup around 140.
The nearest expiry shows a positive net GEX — supporting short-term mean-reversion or hedging flow stability above 129, at least until the earnings print.
🔴 Downside risk scenario:
In the event of a downward move, the market is most heavily hedged around the 125 level, which aligns with the deepest put support.
💡 Wheeling Opportunity Idea
ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term), this might be a great time to start the wheeling strategy.
Because earnings inflate volatility, you can sell a near-term cash-secured put (CSP) for solid premium — even on a 53DTE (July) option.
Based on current GEX levels, we’re seeing:
-Support (squeeze zone) around $125
-Call resistance around $140
-A potential upside squeeze extending to $145-$150
These align roughly with ~20 delta OTM options, so the premium is attractive.
How would I personally start this:
Sell a CSP for May 30 with the intention to get assigned if NVDA drops.
If I do get assigned, I’m happy to own shares.
Then, I sell a 60DTE covered call right after to collect another round of premium.
If I’m not assigned, I sell a new 45–60DTE put the following week — still benefiting from the relatively high IV.
👉 Remember: High IV = synthetic time value. With this two-step method, you can harvest premium twice in quick succession.
I used the same technique with NASDAQ:INTC , and it’s been performing well.
💥 ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term)!
The FUN Begins!BTC.D looks ready for a reversal. Seems to have reacted @ around 66% dominance or the .786 fib. RSI is also showing overbought at 70.
Bullish cases for Ethereum (and other alternatives):
Recent Pectra Upgrade
coinmetrics.substack.com
ETH ETF Staking In Progress
cryptomus.com
🔥 Monetary Policy:
Deflationary ETH, low issuance, gas burn
💸 Income & Yield:
Staking yields + restaking = ETH as productive asset
🌉 Scaling:
L2 growth, rollup-centric roadmap
🏛 Regulatory Clarity:
Spot and staking ETFs, ETH viewed as a commodity
🧠 Innovation:
Fastest-moving ecosystem, leading dev activity
📊 Valuation:
ETH/BTC ratio and on-chain revenue imply undervaluation, deflationary aspect
📈 Institutional Access:
ETFs, staking rewards in ETFs, custody solutions, DeFi
🔮 Bottom Line: Bitcoin Dominance will most likely decline because:
• The market in general is expanding beyond just a monetary hedge.
• Assets like ETH and others offer yield, utility, and flexibility.
• Developers and institutions are building on platforms, not commodities.
Bitcoin may retain its crown as digital gold, but it’s no longer the center of gravity in the crypto universe. Only time will be the true test! May the best tech prevail!
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!!!
Bullish Reversal on Risk-On Shift and Channel BreakoutCMCMARKETS:USDJPY USD/JPY surged as risk appetite returned after a U.S. federal court blocked President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs, undermining demand for safe-haven assets like the yen. Meanwhile, weak demand in Japan’s 40-year bond auction raised concerns over fiscal stability, adding further downside pressure to JPY. Technically, the pair broke above a downward channel and formed a bullish engulfing pattern near the 144.90 demand zone. If price consolidates above 145.00, a test of the 148.15 resistance zone is possible. Traders now eye upcoming U.S. GDP and PCE inflation data for direction on Fed policy.
Resistance : 148.14 , 148.67
Support : 144.90 , 144.42
EUR/USD - H4 - Triangle Formation (31.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern.
1. Wait for Breakout with Good Volume
2. Conformation in short Timeframe Must
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Fundamental Updates :
Dollar mixed on tariff uncertainty, U.S. President Donald Trump to battle a U.S. trade court ruling that blocked most of his proposed tariffs.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on BTC on high time frames, the $102,000 level (referred to as the vector level) is crucial for price action. If the price convincingly breaches and closes below this level on the 4-hour or higher time frames, it suggests a potential move to the downside.
However, if the price merely sweeps liquidity and forms shadows on the high time frames without closing below the critical level, it indicates the potential for further upward momentum towards new higher highs."
If you have any more details to add or need further assistance, feel free to let me know!
Power Mech Projects LtdTECHNICAL TARGETS IN CHART
FUNDAMENTALS
Market Cap
₹ 9,824 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 3,107
Stock P/E
30.1
Book Value
₹ 683
Dividend Yield
0.03 %
ROCE
22.9 %
ROE
16.3 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Price to book value
4.55
Intrinsic Value
₹ 2,385
PEG Ratio
1.49
Price to Sales
1.88
Debt
₹ 735 Cr.
Debt to equity
0.34
Int Coverage
5.95
Reserves
₹ 2,128 Cr.
Promoter holding
58.3 %
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EPS last year
₹ 103
Net CF
₹ 40.1 Cr.
Price to Cash Flow
36,366
Free Cash Flow
₹ -160 Cr.
OPM last year
11.5 %
Return on assets
8.49 %
Industry PE
23.9
Sales growth
24.4 %
$BTC correction has just started. What is coming next?As I previously stated in my CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , and CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 analysis — this move was expected. Check out my other ideas for more detailed breakdowns.
So, what’s happening?
Bitcoin maximalists have been buying heavily at the top, right when RSI and MACD were in overbought territory, creating a clear bearish divergence.
Something Saylor and others seem to ignore: you can't defy mathematics — what needs a correction will correct.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC still looks bullish on the weekly timeframe, so we’re not entering a bear market. However, the pump is over, key supports have broken, and altcoins are correcting — some by -25% in a single day.
Purely from a charting perspective, we can identify multiple potential support levels for CRYPTOCAP:BTC :
$101K, $94K, $89K, $87K, with a lower-probability retest down to $75K.
We’re likely entering a 2-week correction, after which CRYPTOCAP:BTC could resume its uptrend — potentially closing June at a new all-time high.
DYOR.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Altcoins #CryptoCrash #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCdominance #TOTAL2 #BearishDivergence #Saylor #RSI #MACD #ATH #DYOR