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XRP/USD "Ripple vs US Dollar" Crypto Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XRP/USD "Ripple vs US Dollar" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated at any price level. however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2h period, the recent / nearest high level Goal 🎯: 2.55000 (OR) Before escape in the market Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ The XRP/USD (Ripple vs U.S Dollar) market is expected to move in a bearish direction, driven by several key factors. 🟢Fundamental Analysis Lack of Adoption: Despite Ripple's efforts, XRP's adoption as a payment solution has been slow, leading to decreased demand. Increased Competition: Other cryptocurrencies, such as Stellar (XLM) and Bitcoin (BTC), are gaining traction as payment solutions, increasing competition for XRP. Regulatory Uncertainty: The ongoing SEC lawsuit and regulatory uncertainty in other countries have created a negative environment for XRP. 🟡Macro Analysis Cryptocurrency Market Downturn: The overall cryptocurrency market has been experiencing a downturn, with many assets losing value. Global Economic Uncertainty: Economic uncertainty, trade tensions, and geopolitical risks have led to increased market volatility, negatively impacting XRP. Inflation and Interest Rates: Rising inflation and interest rates in some countries have decreased the attractiveness of cryptocurrencies like XRP. 🔵Market Sentiment Institutional Investors: Institutional investors have been reducing their XRP holdings, contributing to the bearish sentiment. Retail Traders: Retail traders are increasingly bearish on XRP, with many expecting further price declines. 📌Sentiment Analysis - Bearish Sentiment: 62% of traders and investors are bearish on XRP/USD, expecting a price drop. - Bullish Sentiment: 26% of traders and investors are bullish on XRP/USD, expecting a price increase. - Neutral Sentiment: 12% of traders and investors are neutral on XRP/USD, expecting no significant price movement. 📌Retail Trader Sentiment - Long Positions: 42% of retail traders have long positions on XRP/USD. - Short Positions: 58% of retail traders have short positions on XRP/USD. 📌Institutional Investor Sentiment - Bearish Sentiment: 70% of institutional investors are bearish on XRP/USD. - Bullish Sentiment: 20% of institutional investors are bullish on XRP/USD. - Neutral Sentiment: 10% of institutional investors are neutral on XRP/USD. Please note that sentiment analysis can change rapidly and may not always reflect the actual market performance. These percentages are based on current market data and may not reflect future market movements. 🟣Latest and Upcoming Events SEC v. Ripple Lawsuit: The ongoing lawsuit has created uncertainty and negatively impacted XRP's price. Ripple's Q4 2022 Earnings Report: The report showed decreased revenue and customer growth, contributing to the bearish sentiment. Upcoming Regulatory Decisions: Regulatory decisions in the US and other countries may further impact XRP's price. Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
ICP breakout expected as positive cashflow is achievedInternet Computer Protocol is a unique project, that allows investors to accurately assess fundamentals. 2024 has been an amazing year for the project: ICP has been recognised as being the fastest blockchain in terms of max recorded transactions per second, outperforming Solana by more than 3 times (Cryptogics November 2024). In terms of compute, ICP is frequently burning more than 1 trillion 'cycles' per second, approximately 200x the 5B cycles/s it routinely burned a year ago. It is also reported to be the cheapest for transactions and data storage, by one or more orders of magnitude, depending on the blockchain it is compared with (Token Terminal December 2024). More than 4Tb of data is stored on ICP, more than 3.3x the data stored on Ethereum and potentially more data than is held on-chain by all other crypto projects combined. ICP is attracting developers at breakneck speed (3rd preferred blockchain for new developers), with fees collected up 40x year-on-year (Token Terminal December 2024). These metrics are impressive, but despite the heavy-hitting results booked to date, ICP is still ranked 39th with a market cap of (just) US$4.1B in the CoinGecko list of crypto projects, well below projects with no or little utility. This has led to some insiders referring to ICP as 'crypto's most undervalued project'. This month (January 2025), ICP will achieve 'positive cashflow', defined here as the point at which revenue from compute (ICP burned) exceeds the cost of the network (ICP minted to reward node providers). Refer to my post on Nuance for more detail (nuance.xyz). Apart from this critical milestone, the tokenomics of ICP are such that effective deflation is affected by the value of the ICP token. I built a model described in another Nuance post (nuance.xyz) that estimates deflation (defined as a decrease in the ICP circulating supply) to be achieved in 2028, but at the current depressed ICP price below US$10, effective deflation will be achieved before this Christmas!! In the context of the above, I expect ICP to increase significantly in value this year and given the chart provided here, my expectation is that the price of ICP will flip on a dime this week with the news of ICP achieving positive cashflow ('operational profit'). My view is that 10x is achievable in 2025. I do not provide financial advice. The above expresses my personal view and may be way off the mark. Please do your own research but feel free to comment.
BINANCE:ICPUSDLong
by Fractaleer
Snow lake resources = life changing moneySnow lake has been developing an admirable portfolio of drill sites to their repertoire. With multiple drill sites containing a slew of significant resources, and the snow lake site appraised with an estimated NPV of 1.7 billion. This company seems like a no brainer. Their drill site results should be published soon this month or in Feburary, and they have done three cash offerings to raise cash on hand and capital. The company is well positioned to drill on their sites. I have estimated that they will be making 150 million a year in revenue just off of the lithium in their snow lake site. They have found Uranium and Gallium at their drill sites as well. Gallium is crucial for semiconductor fabrcation and is considered one of the most valuable resources on this day. Most of Gallium and semicoductor production is found in Taiwan and this discovery raises an eye when it comes to valuation on this company. With Ai needing more power for the data centers Uranium/nuclear power has become a major point when it comes to pwoering these data centers. With a market cap of 100million currently this company is considered seriously undervalued with just the estimated profit from lithium drilling at snow lake. I think you will see this company reach a valuation of around 1billion-5billion and you might see these shares rise up from around 1.00 to 20-40 dollars a share in a few years time. Thanks, Ben
NASDAQ:LITMLong
by benarcotta
CHF/JPY "Kiwi vs Japanese" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the CHF/JPY "Kiwi vs Japanese" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉⭐ Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 172.800 Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 175.500 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook 🟡Fundamental Analysis The Swiss Franc (CHF) and Japanese Yen (JPY) are both considered safe-haven currencies. The CHF/JPY pair is influenced by the interest rate differential between the two countries, economic indicators, and geopolitical events. 🔴Macro Analysis Interest Rates: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has maintained a negative interest rate, while the Bank of Japan (BOJ) has also kept rates low. This narrow interest rate differential may lead to a relatively stable exchange rate. Economic Indicators: Switzerland's economy has been performing well, with a strong labor market and low inflation. Japan's economy has also shown signs of improvement, but inflation remains below the BOJ's target. Geopolitics: Global economic uncertainty, trade tensions, and geopolitical risks may lead to increased demand for safe-haven currencies, potentially benefiting the CHF/JPY pair. 🔵Market Sentiment Institutional Investors: Market participants are closely watching the BOJ's monetary policy decisions and the SNB's response to the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy changes. Retail Traders: According to sentiment analysis tools, retail traders are currently leaning slightly bullish on the CHF/JPY pair. 📌Sentiment Analysis: Bullish Sentiment: 42% Traders and investors are optimistic about the Swiss franc's (CHF) performance against the Japanese yen (JPY), driven by Switzerland's safe-haven status and positive economic data. Bearish Sentiment: 28% Some traders and investors are pessimistic about the CHF's performance, citing the potential for a stronger JPY due to Japan's improving economic fundamentals and the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy. Neutral Sentiment: 30% A significant portion of traders and investors remain neutral on CHF/JPY, awaiting further market developments and economic data releases. 📌Market Positioning: Long Positions: 55% The majority of traders and investors are holding long positions in CHF/JPY, expecting the pair to rise. Short Positions: 25% A smaller portion of traders and investors are holding short positions, expecting the pair to fall. Neutral/Flat Positions: 20% Some traders and investors have neutral or flat positions, either closing their positions or awaiting further market developments. Latest and Upcoming Events BOJ Monetary Policy Meeting: January 30, 2025 SNB Monetary Policy Meeting: March 21, 2025 Swiss GDP Growth Rate: February 28, 2025 Japanese GDP Growth Rate: February 14, 2025 Trade Expectation Based on the analysis, the CHF/JPY pair is expected to remain relatively stable, with a slight bullish bias. However, market conditions can change rapidly, and traders should stay informed about upcoming events and market sentiment shifts. Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
Gold (XAU/USD): Analyzing the 4-Hour ChartAs we delve into the gold market, it's clear that the recent economic and geopolitical developments are having a profound impact on XAU/USD. The 4-hour chart provides an insightful snapshot of the current market dynamics and potential future movements. Currently, gold is trading at $2,760.790, reflecting a slight decrease from its opening price of $2,762.960. The highest price reached in this session was $2,763.680, with a low of $2,753.618, showing some volatility in the market. The closing price stands at $2,760.790, marking a minor decline of -0.08%. The chart highlights several critical support and resistance levels. Resistance is noted at $2,795.558, $2,721.846, and $2,696.912, while support levels are identified at $2,790.417, $2,739.758, $2,666.224, and $2,633.618. These levels will be crucial in determining future price movements, as traders look to these points for potential reversals or continuations of the trend. A notable feature on the chart is the upward trend channel, formed by two black trend lines. This channel indicates a bullish trend in the gold market, suggesting that prices are likely to continue their upward trajectory. However, the presence of two red arrows projecting potential future movements indicates a possible short-term correction before the trend resumes. At the bottom of the chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 66.03, signaling that the market is approaching overbought conditions. This is important for traders to consider, as it may indicate a potential pullback in the near term before gold resumes its upward march. In conclusion, the 4-hour chart of XAU/USD reveals a bullish outlook for gold, driven by the ongoing economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions. The weakening US dollar, inflationary pressures, and safe-haven demand for gold are key factors supporting this trend. Traders should keep a close eye on the support and resistance levels, as well as the RSI, to make informed trading decisions. As always, staying informed and considering all aspects of the market will be crucial for navigating the gold market successfully. follow for More ideas.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MasterProTradings
1
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [January 27 - January 31]Last week, the gold market continued to benefit from concerns related to tariffs and US President Donald Trump's statements on interest rates, along with a decrease in US bond yields and the USD, and gold prices traded. trading near a 3-week high of above 2,750 USD/ounce. Ahead of the monetary policy meeting next week, it is predicted that the US Central Bank will keep interest rates unchanged and there will only be one interest rate cut this year, while Mr. Trump called on banks to Global central banks lower interest rates. This means there may be disagreements between Mr. Trump and the Fed. This is something that traders are paying attention to and gold prices are likely to benefit from its role as a safe haven asset. This week's economic calendar will focus on central banks globally, with the US Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada announcing interest rate decisions on Wednesday, followed by an announcement from the European Central Bank. Europe on Thursday. The market will also pay attention to some US economic data, including the December new home sales report released on Monday, durable goods and consumer confidence reports on Tuesday, GDP Fourth quarter weekly unemployment claims and pending home sales on Thursday, and PCE, personal income and personal spending on Friday morning. 📌Technically, on the H4 chart, this week's gold price has broken out of the Downtrend line and the important resistance level at 2725, gaining momentum to near the 2790 resistance threshold. Next week, if the 2790 resistance mark is broken, broken, gold prices will continue to set record high prices for early 2025. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,730USD Resistance: 2,770 – 2,762 – (All-time high) SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2831 - 2829⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2835 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2712 - 2714⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2708
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Dont sleep on DeFi, so much potetnital$21.4M and inclreas of 447.60% in last 24 hours DYOR byt If it not looks good enough for you, then idk what are you looking for. Another PEPE or TRUMP on ICO? - Behaves predictable and holding supports well - Not influenced by BTC speculative moves as dramatically as other majors tokens you know. - Volume and new holders increasing every day - A lot of potential with and it still by the major support area So, IMHO - just take something small you are ready to put in speculative trade and let it marinade there for the next couple months
BYBIT:DEFIUSDTLong
by barrythehomeowner
Trade wars begin.The trade war with Colombia will have a ripple effect across several industries, particularly those heavily reliant on imports and exports. Here’s a breakdown of how this could impact sectors and stocks: 1. Coffee Companies (Starbucks, Green Mountain Coffee) Impact: Coffee prices are likely to rise due to reduced imports from Colombia, one of the largest coffee producers in the world. This could affect the cost structure of companies like Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) and Keurig Dr Pepper, which owns Green Mountain Coffee. Stock Impact: Short-term: Likely negative, as higher input costs could squeeze margins. Expect some volatility in these stocks as investors react to news. Long-term: If these companies raise prices to offset costs, it could hurt demand, especially for premium-priced products. Opportunities: Monitor Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) and consider a put option or short-term bearish strategy if you expect higher costs to impact earnings in the near term. If you’re bullish on their ability to navigate the crisis (e.g., through diversified sourcing), look for a dip-buying opportunity. 2. Floriculture Companies (1-800-Flowers, FLWS) Impact: The U.S. sources a significant percentage of its flowers from Colombia. Disruptions could lead to price spikes, reduced inventory, and higher shipping costs from alternative markets (e.g., Ecuador, Mexico). Stock Impact: Short-term: Likely negative as supply chain costs rise and flower availability decreases. Long-term: FLWS may pivot to alternative sources or raise prices, but this would take time. Opportunities: Watch FLWS closely for earnings revisions or news of sourcing diversification. Short-term bearish plays like puts could capitalize on anticipated cost pressures. 3. U.S. Oil Companies Impact: Stopping U.S. oil exports to Colombia could create slight downward pressure on domestic oil prices due to reduced overseas demand. However, this would be marginal since Colombia isn’t a major importer of U.S. oil. Stock Impact: Short-term: Likely neutral to slightly negative for U.S. oil companies like ExxonMobil ( NYSE:XOM ) and Chevron ( NYSE:CVX ). Long-term: Unlikely to have a major impact unless it coincides with other geopolitical disruptions. Opportunities: Consider refiners (e.g., Valero NYSE:VLO ), as lower crude oil costs could improve refining margins. If you believe U.S. domestic oil prices will dip, look at ETFs like USO for bearish plays. 4. General Market Sentiment Trade wars often create uncertainty, which can lead to increased market volatility. Certain sectors, like consumer staples (e.g., packaged food companies), could act as safe havens, while sectors with direct exposure to Colombia may experience sell-offs. 5. Strategies Without Futures Access Focus on stocks and ETFs that are indirectly impacted: Agriculture ETFs: Consider broader agriculture plays, like DBA (Invesco Agriculture Fund), which includes coffee. Bunge Limited (BG): Another agricultural commodity processor that might reflect broader trends in soft commodity markets. Bearish on Specific Stocks: Use put options or short strategies on stocks like NASDAQ:SBUX or NASDAQ:FLWS if you believe higher costs will erode profits. Bullish on Domestic Producers: Companies that grow coffee domestically or are diversified into synthetic alternatives might benefit from supply chain shifts. Final Thoughts Colombia’s trade war fallout will have mixed effects depending on the sector. For companies heavily dependent on Colombian imports (e.g., coffee and flowers), there’s short-term risk, while for oil-related sectors, the impact is likely neutral to slightly bearish. Evaluate the timing carefully and focus on industries with clear, immediate exposure.
NYSE:BG
by bcavin
27/01/2025 gold analysisOn gold we are technically approaching the All Time HIgh area supporting by a fear of a cold war leading by DTrump + his particular interest to lower the IR of the USA. During this week there is the FOMC meeting during Wednesday night and the investors are excepting the FED to keep the IR unchanged for the time being As we are near the ATH we can anticipate that FED will not bring that much new to the table and that a TP move from an investors perspective can occur in order to repositionning themselves on better demand zones before potentially continuing higher and breaking the ATH prices. Later on the week we have some PCE numbers actually excepted to be unchanged. We can except price to accumulated / ranging before the actual FOMC.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Lucfis
1
$CWAN Putting in a Higher Low? (Starting a New Up Trend)NYSE:CWAN is a name most of us have never heard of. They serve hedge funds, asset managers, and insurance clients with Analytic software. It looks like it is in the process of putting in a higher low. It has regained the 8 and 20 EMAs and the MACD has turned positive. It can still go either way. There is overhead resistance at both the upper horizonal line on the chart and the now downward sloping 50 DMA (red). I have an alert set just under last Thursday’s high of 28.56. Should that trigger, I will go to a lower timeframe like a 5-minute chart to see if I can get a good entry. My stop, if I take the trade would be on a close below the 20 EMA (green). Making for a tight and good risk reward trade. I do not set targets, but I do think it has a chance to get back up to around 32.00 – 32.50. Which is around a 13% gain if that were to happen. If you like this idea, make it your own trade that fits your trading style.
NYSE:CWANLong
by jaxdog
Gold correction comingOur algo suggests a correction in physical gold prices. This might be a slow decline over a year or so. Target price is around 2300 i.e. 23 for AAAU. All the best. Marketpanda Disclaimer: The information provided is for general informational and educational purposes only, and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. None of the content shared should be relied upon as the sole basis for making investment decisions. Prior to making any financial or investment decisions, it is strongly recommended that you consult with a qualified financial advisor, accountant, or other professional who is familiar with your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. Any reliance you place on the information presented is strictly at your own risk, and we are not responsible for any losses, damages, or liabilities resulting from your investment or trading activities.
CBOE:AAAUShort
by marketpanda123
VEON: Strong Buy For Ukrainian Rebuilding and Pakistani GrowthMy Thesis VEON Ltd. (VEON) is a Seeking Alpha Quant “Strong Buy” currently trading at what I believe is a discounted valuation of just $3.3 billion in market cap and $6.2 billion in EV. VEON is a multinational telecommunications and digital services operator serving customers in five frontier markets that collectively represent about 7% of the world’s population, according to the Company. The focus of this analysis is on VEON’s two largest markets: Ukraine and Pakistan. I believe the valuation discount to the frontier markets telecom sector multiple reflects dated and distorted misperceptions about Russia and the Ukraine-Russia war. In particular, investors have feared the destruction of telecommunications infrastructure in the region and the Company’s former ties to a sanctioned Russian economy. If and when United States President Donald Trump is successful in bringing a resolution to the conflict, I expect VEON’s share price to react positively and Wall Street to resume their bullish stance prior to the complications of the Russia-Ukraine war. I am separately bullish on Pakistan, as it is one of the youngest and most populated countries in the world with a population of 241 million and GDP per capita of under $1,500. Economic forecasts are cautiously optimistic, and I believe that telecommunications is a logical macroeconomic investment need facing the nation, which it has addressed by forming a government office, The Pakistan Telecommunications Authority. I subscribe to economic convergence theory, whereby the best secular macroeconomic growth plays come from frontier and emerging markets. In my opinion, Pakistan is the epitome of a frontier market with enough progress thus far to warrant future investment. Turning the Page on Russia Investors penalized VEON shares in February 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine. At the time, 65% of VEON’s revenue was generated in these two countries. A soon-to-be sanctioned Russian oligarch sat on the supervisory board of directors, and the largest shareholder, London-based LetterOne, was effectively controlled by the same Russian oligarch and his business partner. Also, in 2023, the Ukrainian court imposed restrictions on VEON’s corporate rights in Kyivstar and its other Ukrainian subsidiaries. Importantly, during no time were either VEON or LetterOne themselves ever sanctioned. Lost Wall Street coverage was also collateral damage from the conflict. There were 11 analysts actively covering VEON shares at the time of the war’s outbreak, with 8 “Buys” and an average target price of $63.10. That all went away when Russia invaded Ukraine. VEON has started to rebuild equity research coverage to three analysts: New Street Research, Inam, and as of November 2024, Benchmark, but research coverage still remains sparse. The debt is covered by Barclays, JP Morgan and Imperial Capital. Importantly, however, over the past three years, VEON has strategically sold off all of its Russian assets, removed Russian oligarchs from its board, and invested significantly in Ukrainian infrastructure to ensure uninterrupted connectivity for its people. The restrictions on VEON’s corporate rights in Kyivstar and its other Ukrainian subsidiaries have been lifted. Today, all that is left of VEON’s former ties to Russia is outdated market perception, a lack of awareness across the investment community, and a discounted valuation. Today: Growing in Key Frontier Markets Simultaneously, VEON aggressively invested to increase its presence in frontier markets, diversifying beyond Ukraine, and growing its non-telco digital services (e.g., financial services, media, health, education). The Pakistan Opportunity Pakistan is VEON’s largest market with 35% of revenue in Q3 2024. Jazz is the relevant subsidiary, which offers cellular services to 72 million subscribers throughout Pakistan. Jazz won the World Best Operator in a Growth Market Award in December of 2024 for its work bringing access to healthcare, entertainment, and banking to underserved Pakistanis. The World Bank points to Pakistan’s economic progress despite its challenges. Real GDP growth rebounded to 2.5% in FY24 from a contraction in FY23 thanks in part to newly introduced liquidity in global currency markets. GDP growth is projected to reach 2.8% in FY25. Main challenges include education, nutrition, inflation, natural disaster, and protectionist policies. Telecommunications revenues are largely increasing beyond GDP growth rates. Data from the Pakistan Telecommunications Authority shows that total industry revenues were projected to grow 17% to 955 billion Rupees or about $11 billion from 817 billion Rupees in 2023. The same authority points to Jazz as the leader in the national market, with 37% market share, trailed in order by competitors of Zong, Telenor, and Ufone. Jazz has a double-digit percentage lead on Zong, and I suspect this lead is even larger when looking at 4G, because these other operators provide the lower quality 2G and 3G assets that comprise most of Pakistan’s current telecom infrastructure. Billions of dollars have been invested in Pakistani telecommunications over the past five years, and I believe investment will continue given the projected accelerations in economic growth. Over 60% of the population is under 30-years-old, meaning the market is ripe with young people who value local and global connectivity more so than older citizens who have lived without it. In Pakistan, the Company operates a fintech company called JazzCash that is helping Pakistan transition to a cashless economy by providing mobile wallet, payments, microlending, and card acceptance. The business serves over 19 million MAUs and facilitated nearly 2.6 billion LTM total transactions as of September 2024. To me, this looks and feels like a unicorn buried within VEON, yet given the current stock price of VEON, it’s clear that the market isn’t assigning much if any value to JazzCash. However, the Company is evaluating IPO-ing JazzCash, which I think would be a catalyst for the market to re-rate VEON higher. Ukrainian Resilience and Reopening Ukraine accounts for about 24% of VEON’s revenue and 33% of EBITDA in Q3 2024 through Kyivstar, which has 50% share in the national market according to VEON presentations. Kyivstar’s performance in keeping Ukraine connected throughout the war has been nothing short of remarkable, and we are most bullish on Kyivstar’s market share to grow as Ukraine reopens, with the Company pledging more than half a billion USD to rebuild Ukraine. We are also bullish on 4G user penetration rates, which represent an opportunity to upsell to a superior product. 4G penetration rates have grown from 46% in 2021 to 60% in 2023 with further room to go. Revenue grew through 2023 and EBITDA and margins have remained stable in the mid double digits. I am also particularly excited about the Starlink partnership. As all the markets that VEON services are at high risk for physical conflict, satellite deals ensure uninterrupted, economical connectivity if 4G infrastructure is destroyed. One may also wonder about population losses and customer churn due to the immigration of Ukrainian civilians. Roam Like Home was introduced in 2022 in partnership with mobile operators in 30 European countries and enables displaced Ukrainians to access Kyivstar communications and digital services as if they were still in Ukraine. Many of those who stayed in Ukraine and fought benefitted from Helsi Healthcare, the largest digital healthcare platform in the country. Helsi has over 28 million users registered in its system as of September 2024 in a country that has 38 million people, helping them find connectivity to over 1,600 healthcare institutions. Looking to the future, VEON announced that it intends to spin off Kyivstar by listing it separately on the Nasdaq. This should further help separate Kyivstar as a pure play on the Ukrainian economy and will provide a vehicle for investors who support Ukraine’s rebuilding and reopening through VEON’s continued investment in Ukraine. The Discounted Valuation Seeking Alpha Quant rates VEON’s valuation grade A+. GAAP P/E is just 5.5 relative to the communications sector median of approximately 14, and non-GAAP PEG is 0.34 relative to a sector median of 1.44. EV/EBITDA is at a 64% discount to the sector median. Price/OCF is at an even more significant discount of approximately 69%. Of course, these comparisons are imperfect because the communications sector is a broad classification, and VEON is diversified into the broader technology space operating a major fintech and a healthcare platform. I believe the key differentiator and one explanation for the compressed multiples is VEON’s frontier market status. More developed economies earn the status of emerging markets, still behind developed or mature nations like the United States. Due to lower household incomes and political and economic instability, frontier and emerging markets are riskier investments that warrant caution and generally lead to lower multiples. Again, because Seeking Alpha Quant lumps together companies like Disney, Google, and Facebook in the communications sector, the sector median comparisons are somewhat skewed. The following table was recently generated by a colleague with access to Bloomberg data and shows some comparisons to frontier market peers. EV/EBITDA Ticker Name CY23 CY24E CY25E VEON US VEON Ltd 4.3 3.7 3.4 CNVRG PM Converge ICT Solutions 6.5 6.1 5.5 MTELEKOM HB Magyar Telekom Telecommunications 5.6 5.1 5.0 TIGO SS Millicom International Cellular 5.2 4.4 4.1 OTEL OM Oman Telecommunications Co SAO 5.1 5.2 5.0 OPL PW Orange Polska SA 5.5 5.2 5.1 ROUTE IN Route Mobile Ltd 15.2 13.5 11.3 SAFCOM Safaricom PLC 6.4 5.9 4.3 MTNGH GN Scancom PLC 3.5 4.1 3.3 TEL2B SS Tele2 AB 8.8 9.2 9.1 ETEL EY Telecom Egypt Co 3.6 4.3 3.7 TKA AV Telekom Austria AG 4.0 4.0 3.9 TTKOM TI Turk Telekomunikasyon AS 4.2 3.6 2.6 TCELL TI Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS 3.4 3.3 2.5 EXCL IJ XL Axiata Tbk PT 4.6 4.4 4.1 Synthesizing the data, I suggest that VEON trades at approximately a 30% discount on EV/EBITDA when you split the median and average calculations. That tells me that, despite the recent appreciation, VEON shares still trade at a meaningful discount to its EM telco peers, and that’s before giving credit to the Company’s non-telco assets. Risks to Thesis There are several key risks that may hinder VEON’s multiple expansion. The first is simply stagnant economic growth in key markets of Ukraine and Pakistan and/or inflation that cannot be passed through to the consumer. In my view, it is likely that Ukraine specifically will experience accelerated inflation rates as economic activity picks up and the population rebounds if and when the war ends. It is furthermore possible that Ukraine concedes large swaths of land to Russia in a peace deal, in which case Kyivstar may be covering newly Russian citizens and thus complicating the prior divestments from Russia. Separately, geopolitical conflicts in the region are rampant beyond the Ukraine-Russia war, with several high profile terrorist organizations governing key trade partners of Pakistan. I believe there is potential for a smaller-scale, yet similar sort of situation between Ukraine and Russia to occur between Pakistan and Afghanistan, as reports suggest tensions are on the rise. Moreover, VEON operates in Bangladesh, which recently experienced a coup d’é·tat, which exemplifies the political risks associated with the region. More microeconomic risks include less than expected growth and adoption of digital services of JazzCash and Helsi Healthcare, the fact the ladder is still in the early stages of monetization, and the potential for a failed listing of Kyivstar, which could be specifically detrimental to share prices if news of the potential listing has been a driving factor in the recent price momentum. Concluding Remarks My analysis supports Quant’s Strong Buy rating of VEON. I am bullish on Pakistan and Ukraine according to my macroeconomic analysis, which highlights concentrated investments in telecommunications, healthcare, and banking in these frontier markets to bolster their GDP per Capita growth and transcend their political instability. Most importantly, I believe in President Trump’s campaign promise to end the Ukraine-Russia war, and that VEON will react to catalytic news events building up to a peace deal. If and when Kyivstar is listed separately, I suspect U.S. investor sentiment for Ukraine will propel VEON’s prices higher. VEON has demonstrated impressive resilience, pivoting its capital structure to align with U.S interests by divesting from Russia and committing to Ukraine. Digital service subsidiaries such as JazzCash have significant potential to bolster the valuation of VEON once they are recognized by investors. I reiterate my agreement with Quant’s Strong Buy rating of VEON. Disclosure: This piece reflects my honest market outlook on 01/26/2025 and is subject to revision or change at any time. I/we have a current ownership stake in VEON. I have no business relationship with the Company.
NASDAQ:VEONLong
by mackattack98
The New Competition is apon us📈 Upcoming CME Trading Competition: What Traders Should Know 📈 The CME Group is gearing up for its annual trading competition, and it's an excellent opportunity for traders to showcase their skills in a simulated, risk-free environment. Here are some key points to keep in mind: Key Factors to Watch Out For Real-Time Data Feeds: Ensure you have access to accurate and timely market data. Diverse Asset Offerings: Familiarize yourself with the various asset classes available, such as agriculture, energy, metals, equity indices, interest rates, and foreign exchange. Competition Environment: Understand the rules and regulations to avoid disqualification. Psychological Pressure: Stay calm and composed, as the competitive environment can be intense. The Importance of Backtesting Backtesting is crucial for developing a robust trading strategy. By using historical data, you can simulate trades and analyze the effectiveness of your strategy5. This helps in identifying potential flaws and refining your approach before risking real capital. Inspirational Quote To wrap things up, here's a quote by the legendary trader Jesse Livermore: "The game of trading is the greatest game in the world. If you are wise enough to learn it, you can do anything you want to do." Best of luck to all participants! May your strategies be sound and your trades profitable. 🚀
COMEX:GC1!
by Uniden202
Market Outlook for Week 5 (US):The upcoming week features several key economic events and data releases that could significantly influence market sentiment and asset prices. Below are the highlights and their potential market implications: Key Economic Events & Data Releases Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Wednesday, January 31, 2025) Time: 2:00 PM EST The Federal Reserve is expected to halt its rate cuts after 100 basis points of cuts last year, with investors keen to understand future monetary policy.  European Central Bank Interest Rate Decision (Thursday, February 1, 2025) Time: 7:45 AM EST The European Central Bank is anticipated to cut rates by another 25 basis points due to economic sluggishness and tariff threats from the U.S.  Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision (Thursday, February 1, 2025) Time: 10:00 AM EST The Bank of Canada is expected to maintain its current interest rate, with market participants closely monitoring any indications of future monetary policy adjustments. Advance Economic Indicators Report (Tuesday, February 5, 2025) Time: 8:30 AM EST This report will provide insights into international trade, retail, and wholesale activities, offering a snapshot of the U.S. economy’s performance.  Major Corporate Earnings Reports Several major companies, predominantly in the technology sector, are set to report earnings, including Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Tesla, and Apple.  Market Implications Equity markets will likely remain sensitive to any data hinting at changes in economic growth, inflation, or labor market conditions. Positive surprises in growth or inflation cooling could drive risk-on sentiment, while signs of a slowing economy or stubborn inflation might increase market volatility. Bond markets may see notable movement depending on the GDP and Core PCE figures, while the U.S. dollar’s trajectory will largely depend on labor market and inflation data. Investors should prepare for potential volatility across sectors, particularly in interest rate-sensitive areas like technology and real estate.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeTools
$JPINTR -Japan's Interest Rate (December/2024)ECONOMICS:JPINTR 3.6% (December/2024) source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications - The annual inflation rate in Japan jumped to 3.6% in December 2024 from 2.9% in the prior month, marking the highest reading since January 2023. Food prices rose at the steepest pace in a year (6.4% vs 4.8% in November), with fresh vegetables and fresh food contributing the most to the upturn. Further, electricity prices (18.7% vs 9.9%) and gas cost (5.6% vs 3.5%) increased at the fastest rate in four months with the absence of energy subsidies since May. Additional upward pressure also came from housing (0.8% vs 0.9%), clothing (2.9% vs 2.6%), transport (1.1% vs 0.9%), furniture and household utensils (3.0% vs 3.7%), healthcare (1.7% vs 1.6%), recreation (4.0% vs 4.5%), and miscellaneous items (1.1% vs 1.1%). In contrast, prices continued to fall for communication (-2.1% vs -3.0%) and education (-1.0% vs -1.0%). The core inflation rate rose to a 16-month high of 3.0%, up from 2.7% in November and matching consensus. Monthly, the CPI increased by 0.6%, the highest figure in 14 months.
ECONOMICS:JPINTR
by Mr_J__fx
XAUUSDGold Likely to Consolidate Ahead of U.S. Elections and FOMC Decision Author: Priyanka Sachdeva, Senior Market Analyst, Phillip Nova Despite resilient U.S. inflation data indicating economic stability, the rise in jobless claims suggests a potential for interest rate cuts. This aligns with market expectations for future monetary policy easing. It will be crucial to monitor upcoming Federal Reserve commentary, as traders will be looking for signals regarding the pace of any upcoming rate cuts. Lower interest rates traditionally have a positive effect on gold prices, as this non-interest-bearing asset becomes more attractive in a low-rate environment. However, there are additional risks to the gold market. Among them are weak inflation data from China and uncertainty surrounding further stimulus measures from Chinese authorities. Expectations of reduced demand from one of the largest gold consumers could put downward pressure on prices. !The gold market is currently in a consolidation phase, and I have identified several key entry points based on technical and macroeconomic factors ahead of two major events: the U.S. midterm elections and the Federal Reserve's (FOMC) meeting in early November.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by TraderNo007_