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Fundamental Analysis

Expect ENPH breakout by EOY 2025. Buy <$60Trends: - LT parallel channel shown marks some key trendlines for the company since IPO - LT falling wedge intersects the bottom of this channel H2 2025 --> a buying opportunity above $50. If that breaks, falling wedge ends around $35, a 30% downside (or 40% vs today's price). - The early 2023 peak aligned with peak in revenue and net income (decline matched stock decline). We're now seeing revenue and net income growth again (growth can bring back stock growth) My Bias: I'm a long-term believer in solar. ENPH plays mostly in the residential solar space (and is expanding into small commercial). They are often lauded for their high levels of customer service. Investment Thesis: We're back to financial growth but the stock is down. We're in a few months window before LT trends converge mid / H2 2025. If we break bullish from falling wedge and hit LOWEST point of parallel channel by EOY 2026, we'd be at $70/share (16% upside from $60; 40% upside from $50). This is my expected worst case scenario, meaning anything under $60/share is now a buying opportunity.
NASDAQ:ENPHLong
by HandsomeSloth
NMR with potential for growthHello everyone, let's look at the NMR chart in hand at USDT, taking into account the 1W interval. As we can see, the prices are moving under the designated inheritance trend line, and what is more, you can see here when we entered a strong support zone from $ 11 to $ 7, which can potentially be a good shopping zone for Long position. In a situation where BTC stabilizes at the current price or the valuation increases again, we can see an interesting increase on NMR. It is worth considering several output levels like T1 = 12.36 $ T2 = 14.98 $ T3 = 19.59 $ T4 = 22.77 $ T5 = $ 26.74 Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see the traffic below the lower limit, which may also indicate a potentially upcoming growth movement.
Long
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD 2H OUTLOOK FOR TODAYThe expected move in the price of gold can be analyzed on a 2-hour time frame. As we know, the overall trend of gold remains bullish. However, recently, gold has broken it's trendline support and has also confirmed a Market Structure Shift (MSS). Therefore, today, I will be looking at the market from a sell-side perspective. I will wait for the price to reach my given key levels and form some bearish or reversal patterns, so I can get an ideal entry point. Confirmation is crucial in this process. Let's dive deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper R:R ratio. This is my analysis for today. #XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
$TGTX Stock Set For Breakout Amidst Symmetrical Triangle PatternTG Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TGTX ) a biopharmaceutical company, that focuses on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel treatments for B-cell mediated diseases in the United States and internationally is set for a breakout amidst a bullish symmetrical triangle pattern. Analyst Forecast According to 6 analysts, the average rating for TGTX stock is "Strong Buy." The 12-month stock price forecast is $40.67, which is an increase of 35.16% from the latest price. Important Dates The next confirmed earnings date is Monday, March 3, 2025, before market open. On How the bullish symmetrical plays out is largely incumbent on the earnings report slated for today Monday March 3, 2025 before the bell.
NASDAQ:TGTXLong
by DEXWireNews
IO Weekly Technicals Review [2025/09]: IO In Strong DowntrendSGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe Fines) Index Futures (“SGX IO Futures”) declined last week, closing USD 6.20/ton lower by 28/Feb (Fri). SGX IO Futures opened at USD 108.20/ton on 24/Feb (Mon) and closed at USD 102.00/ton on 28/Feb (Fri). Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 108.60/ton on 24/Feb (Mon) and a low of USD 101.45/ton on 03/Mar (Mon). It traded in a range of USD 7.15/ton during the week, which was wider than the prior week. Prices fell below S2 pivot point at USD 102.15/ton and settled below this level. Volume peaked on 28/Feb (Fri) as prices declined by more than 3% with concerns over Chinese exports. Iron Ore Fundamentals in Summary Tariff concerns over Chinese steel have dampened sentiment in iron ore markets. Trump confirmed plans to proceed with his new tariff policy, raising fears of a broader trade war. Vietnam imposed a temporary anti-dumping levy on Chinese steel products, and South Korea introduced a provisional tariff on Chinese steel imports. China's PMI data, released on Saturday (1/March), indicated expanding manufacturing activity, with the index rising to 50.2 from 49.1—the first monthly increase since November. This week, release of trade data from China is likely to provide context around how China’s imports and exports are faring. China's port IO stockpiles dropped by 1.02 million tons (-0.68%) WoW to 148.16 million tons for the week ending 28/Feb as per MMI data . Based on seasonality, SGX IO Futures Mar contract trades 19.5% below its last 5-year average (USD 127.29/ton). Short-Term MA Signal Imminent Decline Following Tariff Concerns The 9-day and 21-day DMAs are nearing a bearish crossover after a sharp decline, indicating potential further downside based on short-term moving averages. Prices Face Resistance at Long-term Moving Average Convergence Iron ore prices have dropped below their 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which now act as support levels. A stronger catalyst may be needed for a decisive break lower. Meanwhile, resistance is forming as these long-term averages converge. MACD Signals Strong Bearish Momentum. RSI Falls Sharply, Nearing Oversold The MACD indicates that prices are in a sharp downtrend, with the 12-day and 26-day moving averages continuing to diverge, suggesting further downside potential. The RSI, currently at 36.88, also reflects the downtrend but remains above the oversold threshold. Volatility Rises From Lows, IO Prices Above 61.8% Fibonacci As Rally Loses Steam Volatility rose over the past week continuing its broader increase since bottom on 31/Jan but levels still remain near multi-year lows. With the 2025 rally losing steam, prices have retraced by 6.9% from their peak. They trade just above the 61.8% Fibonacci level which could provide support. Buying Pressure Softens & IO Prices Below Lower Bollinger Band Buying pressure weakened during the week, as reflected in the Accumulation/Distribution indicator. Bollinger Bands widened sharply after narrowing in the latter half of February, with prices now trading below the lower band. China’s Two Sessions: A Key Catalyst for Iron Ore Market Swings? China's Two Sessions (Lianghui) is an annual political gathering in China where key economic and industrial policies are set. This can significantly impact China linked assets including iron ore. Over the past four years (2021-2024), prices have shown a pattern of pre-meeting speculation-driven gains, followed by declines due to policy interventions or cautious economic targets. While 2021 and 2022 saw initial optimism fueling price spikes before corrections, 2023 and 2024 featured steady declines amid weak demand and rising inventories. This trend underscores China's policy direction as a key driver of iron ore market fluctuations. Source: TradingView Data and Mint Finance Analysis IO Futures Only Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed Money participants are net long with 74.8k lots and 130.8k across all futures expiries. Physicals participants and Others are net short with 158.1k and 47.5k lots respectively across all futures expires. Managed Money increased net long positions, Physicals increased net short positions while FIs decreased net long positions last week. Overall futures open interest was 1,224,213 lots as of 21/Feb (+11.2%) while it was 1,101,024 lots as of 14/Feb. Source: SGX IO Futures & Options Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed Money participants are net long with 78.9k lots and 146.4k across all futures and options expiries. Physicals participants and Others are net short with 171.1k and 54.2k lots respectively across all futures and options expires. Managed Money increased net long positions, Physicals increased net short positions while FIs decreased net long positions. Overall futures and options open interest was 1,525,430 lots as of 21/Feb (+11.3%) while it was 1,370,376 lots as of 14/Feb. Source: SGX Historical Futures Aggregate Exposure by Market Participants Physical participants have switched from net long to net short over the past month. Managed Money participants have switched from net short to being net long in the last two weeks. Financial Institutions continue to hold net long positions since the second quarter of last year. Source: SGX Data and Mint Finance Analysis Hypothetical Trade Setup Iron ore prices have fallen amid concerns over Chinese steel exports. U.S. trade tariffs are expected to affect a USD 7 billion Chinese steel market, while other countries are also imposing levies and charges, adding pressure on demand. Weaker steel demand could dampen iron ore consumption, potentially slowing China's iron ore imports. Prices are down 6%, with multiple indicators pointing to strong bearish sentiment. However, the upcoming Two Sessions meeting could trigger a recovery if a stimulus plan is announced to support the struggling steel sector. Additionally, prices are hovering around a long-term moving average, which may act as support. Given these factors, further downside could be limited. A closer target for a short position may be more prudent, while a potential higher open could offer a better entry level. This paper posits a short position in SGX Iron Ore Futures expiring on 30th April 2025 (FEFJ2025) with an entry level of USD 102.95/ton combined with a take profit level of USD 99.75/ton and a stop-loss at USD 106.15/ton resulting in a reward-to-risk ratio of 1x. DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
SGX:FEF2!Short
by MintBulkCommods
Trump Fuels Crypto Rally with Strategic Reserve. What’s Inside?The lines are finally rocketing upward! Bored crypto traders suddenly turned into hyperventilating market mavens after Donald Trump on Sunday unveiled the creation of a “strategic crypto reserve.” Names were named and those names pumped by 10% or more as enthusiastic buyers couldn’t get enough of them. Here’s who made the short list: Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD XRP BITSTAMP:XRPUSD Solana COINBASE:SOLUSD Cardano COINBASE:ADAUSD These five made the cut as the only blue-chip tokens worthy to be recognized by the White House’s crypto working group, which finally got something out after staying tight-lipped for weeks. “A U.S. Crypto Reserve will elevate this critical industry after years of corrupt attacks by the Biden Administration, which is why my Executive Order on Digital Assets directed the Presidential Working Group to move forward on a Crypto Strategic Reserve that includes XRP, SOL, and ADA,” Trump said on Truth Social . “I will make sure the U.S. is the Crypto Capital of the World.” “And, obviously, BTC and ETH, as other valuable Cryptocurrencies, will be at the heart of the Reserve,” he said in a follow-up post . “I also love Bitcoin and Ethereum!” Cardano’s token was the biggest gainer moments after the announcement, pumping more than 60% to cross the dollar mark. XRP soared more than 30% to eclipse $2.80 and Solana followed up with a 20% advance to $170 a pop. Bitcoin and Ethereum, the two heavyweights of the crypto world , climbed 10% and 12%, respectively. Let’s break down what all this means. A key thing to note is that Trump changed the wording from a crypto “stockpile” to a crypto “reserve.” A reserve would imply that the US government will be collecting, i.e. buying, digital assets for the purpose of holding them right next to its other reserves like gold XAUUSD . The US holds about $770 billion worth of gold. No proportions, weighting or targets have been announced for the crypto reserve. But this Friday Trump will be hosting the first-ever crypto venue in the White House. The White House Crypto Summit will be chaired by the administration’s AI and Crypto Czar David Sacks and will feature a speech by the President. Traders and investors will most likely be glued to the screens for any signs of government adoption and warm legislation. Obviously, the White House getting involved with crypto is a big deal and perhaps even a watershed moment. But crypto is notoriously volatile and the good (or bad?) old market adage “buy the rumor, sell the news” might hold true more times than traders want to admit. Do you expect this news to be the start of a new upside swing for crypto? Or is it another frothy move that would soon fizzle? Share your thoughts in the comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
2
Idea No. 3 for the spotUniswap, the first significant DEX in the ETH network, where liquidity pools were created and all onchain transactions took place. Uni was the first, after it forks for different networks were based on it. 

What do we have?
 Active growth phase, the structure is not broken and remains upward. A sharp, but still divergence on the daily TF. A bullish MACD crossover, the reversal can be seen on the chart itself. In terms of tokenomics, there are only 13% more coins in circulation compared to May '21, and that was ATH. Plus the SEC recently closed the case against Uniswap, so more reasons to see positive dynamics. 
 My stop loss is at $6.6. Consider your risks. DYOR
Long
by charyyevn
EURNZD EXTENDS RALLY FOLLOWING EUROZONE INFLATION DATA RELEASEThe annual inflation rate in the Euro Area slowed to 2.4% in February 2025, down from 2.5% in January, which was a six-month high. However, it remained slightly above market expectations of 2.3%, according to a preliminary estimate. Meanwhile, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, also declined to 2.6%, slightly surpassing forecasts of 2.5% but reaching its lowest level since January 2022. In response, EURNZD surged higher, extending its gains from last week. However, the pair encountered minor resistance near a six-month high of 1.8648. According to technical analysts, this level is likely to hold, potentially leading to a slight pullback before the next move unfolds, but if the level doesn’t hold, then the next potential target to the upside would be 1.8800 UP COMING CATALYST: For the remainder of the week, markets are gearing up for a series of high-impact events that could shake up volatility. The action kicks off with a speech from the RBNZ Governor on Thursday, March 6, at 12:30 AM GMT+4, setting the stage for market sentiment. Shortly after, attention shifts to the Euro Summit, where policymakers will navigate key economic discussions. Later that day, all eyes will be on the Eurozone’s main refinancing rate, widely expected to be cut by 25bps, followed by a press release that could set the tone for future monetary policy. With this major speeches and policy decisions unfolding, markets could see heightened volatility bringing both risks and opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on the momentum. LEVELS TO WATCH OUT FOR THE WEEK: To the upside, buyers will likely aim to break the 1.8648 resistance level, paving the way for a move toward the psychological levels of 1.8800 and 1.9000. On the downside, sellers will be targeting key support levels, potentially looking for a retracement if momentum shifts in their favor towards 1.8412, 1.8221, 1.8000 and 1.7789 breakout of these levels are not ruled out.
by CFI
How do you feel about DPR(Deeper) . Are they scamming people ?Deeper network is a decentralized VPN based utility crypto project since 2021 . At the initial stage they were performed well . but recent year performance and promotion on this token had not gone well .Even though a great utility project behind this token and the physical VPN devices are good quality products to grow up in future . May be an 100 USD deposit on this project make you a millionaire or waste of time and money .
by Treasure_Traders_TTFX
Idea No. 2 for the spotEthereum, in general, the formation of movements is not directly obvious, but still The second cryptocurrency in history, consensus POS, a huge number of developers and projects are built on the Ethereum blockchain. What about tokenomics ? Due to the shift to POS, more coins are being burned than created. So now coins are in circulation at the same level as during ATH. Deflationary model plus to the aura for the long term. Also seeing accumulation by big capital, especially Trump's company. On the downside, except for the recent hack of the exchange and the theft of coins worth a yard and a half of greenbacks, but of course it is unlikely that they will be able to sell it all at once and quickly. That's why I'm placing a stop at the $2,000 level. Consider your risks. DYOR
Long
by charyyevn
Idea No. 1 for the spotNear protocol, the price has been rising for 186 days and already 327 days in a sideways correction. The correction phase is in the form of ABC waves, but it is very tedious. If we consider the Elliott waves, there is nothing except the first and the current second, we can suggest the third one, but then we are waiting for a bull of incredible size. What at the moment gives us the idea to buy? - touching the support zone - RSI is almost oversold. - A future possible bullish MACD crossover. - ADX is about to show a trend, but the decline has already happened. What about the fundamentals ? Basically strong asset, in top 30. MС 4.44B, good volume and liquidity. It is clear that when the asset was 20$, tokens were 2 times less and capitalization was 12B, but 3 years passed and volumes increased everywhere, liquidity became more, cellular ETF and retail funds broke into our chat + in addition the US president launched his meme. So seeing a $15 price with MС 18B in the next quarter or two is not hard to see. If we talk about ATN update, it's a breakdown of MС 25B and a shift to about 9th place of the top, this is quite realistic, but still more likely there will be an extensive liquidity inflow into other projects as well. Consider your risks DYOR Translated with DeepL.com (free version)
Long
by charyyevn
JD.COM - we had amazing earnings, waiting for the yearly report!JD.com is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 financial results on March 6, 2025.Analysts are optimistic about the company's performance, with several key indicators pointing toward positive growth: Earnings Projections: Earnings Per Share (EPS): The consensus estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.85, reflecting an increase from last year's $0.73 for the same period. Revenue Growth: Projections indicate a year-over-year revenue growth of approximately 6.61%, with expected revenues rising from $43.11 billion to $45.96 billion. Analyst Ratings: Strong Buy Recommendation: Based on evaluations from nine analysts, JD.com has received a consensus rating of "Strong Buy," underscoring confidence in the company's growth trajectory. Future Outlook: Earnings Growth: Forecasts suggest JD.com's earnings will grow by 13% per annum, with an anticipated EPS growth rate of 12.8% annually. Revenue Projections: The company's revenue is expected to increase by 5.6% per year, indicating sustained business expansion. These positive indicators reflect JD.com's robust market position and its potential for continued growth in the upcoming earnings release. Entry: 42.00 Target 70.00
NASDAQ:JDLong
by DG55Capital
sol FINISHED"The Pump Fun casino was exciting, peaking with the 'Trump top,' which drove many investors to buy SOL in droves to join the action. But the jig is up—memecoins are a thing of the past. We’re now in a meme cooldown period as people realize they aren’t winning the game. There’s little reason to buy SOL at this point, especially with many holders and upcoming unlocks creating sell pressure. The only hope is the SOL ETF, but holders are in for a rude awakening when it fails to attract inflows, even if it gets approved. I expect we’ll see prices drop below $100 again
Short
by CartoonPepper
03/03/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $96,500 Last weeks low: $78,297.13 Midpoint: $87,398.56 What a week! In my last weekly outlook I proposed the idea that BTC was coiling up for a big move, the question was "which direction will the move be?" Well we got our answer, after, multiple weeks hovering around the $96K level bitcoin sold off a massive 18% to a low of $78.2k. This sell-off broke the weekly support area of $91K after a full 3 months of holding. Now that we answered last weeks question I propose a new one, is $91K now a HTF resistance level? To answer that question a look at the weekly chart, despite such a severe sell-off this is not unusual in a bull market, 25-25% corrections happen multiple times during a large bullish trend. To add to that, the weekly close still managed to be above the $91K mini range floor, in essence a giant SFP on the weekly candle and therefore a continuation high would make sense from a TA point of view. For the bulls the worry would be the inevitable backfilling of the wick on the weekly, for me this comes into play if we have acceptance back below $91K, entirely possible. On Friday 7th March President Trump is holding a Cryptocurrency summit at the white house, this will include David Sacks (crypto & AI czar), Founders, CEOs and members of the digital assets group. This comes off the back of confirmation of the "Crypto Strategic Reserve" that will contain BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP & ADA and was announced yesterday. I do not believe in coincidences so the timing of this is very interesting to me, to announce this on a weekend with very thin orderbooks and low volume after such a big sell-off had to be done on purpose IMO. The timing would guarantee a swift rally, I also believe the sell-off could be related to this announcement too, if a market maker like the US government has the means to create a more optimal entry, they will do just that. I could see the market being very cautious up until Friday, the $91K is a key S/R level and will determine if bitcoin backfills the weekly wick or moves up to weekly high.
by ProR35
$SMCI: Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop? NASDAQ:SMCI : Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop? AI infrastructure’s hotter than a July barbecue, with revenue up 110% to $14,989.2 million in 2024! But with internal control concerns, is this tech beast charging up or taking a breather? Let’s dive in! (1/9) Good morning, everyone! ☀️ NASDAQ:SMCI : Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop? AI infrastructure’s hotter than a July barbecue, with revenue up 110% to $14,989.2 million in 2024! But with internal control concerns, is this tech beast charging up or taking a breather? Let’s dive in! 🔍 (2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊 • Fiscal 2024: Net sales soared 110.4% to $14,989.2 million 💰 • Server Systems: Up 115.9%, GPU servers leading the charge 📏 • Sector Trend: AI demand’s skyrocketing 🌟 It’s a wild ride, fueled by AI’s hunger! ⚙️ (3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈 • Market Cap: $2.4B, based on shares outstanding 🏆 • Holdings: Servers, storage, and AI solutions ⏰ • Trend: International sales steady at 32%, showing global appetite 🎯 Firm, carving a niche in AI infrastructure! 🚀 (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑 • 10-K Filing: Dropped Feb 25, 20 25, dodged NASDAQ delisting 🔄 • Revenue Driver: GPU servers for AI workloads 🌍 • Market Reaction: Shares jumped 19.8% after-hours 📋 Adapting, with investors cheering the comeback! 💡 (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡ • Internal Controls: Audit flagged issues, per Feb 25 filing 🔍 • Competition: Big players in AI server space 📉 • Volatility: High-growth sectors swing hard ❄️ Tough, but risks loom! 🛑 (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪 • Revenue Boom: 110% growth, $14,989.2 million in sales 🥇 • AI Focus: GPU servers crushing it 📊 • Global Reach: 32% international sales 🔧 Got rocket fuel in the tank! 🏦 (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️ • Weaknesses: Internal control concerns, per audit 📉 • Opportunities: AI infrastructure demand keeps soaring 📈 Can it fix the cracks and ride the wave? 🤔 (8/9) – 📢 SMCI’s revenue up 110%, with AI demand exploding, your take? 🗳️ • Bullish: Shares to $50+ soon, AI’s unstoppable 🐂 • Neutral: Steady, risks balance growth ⚖️ • Bearish: $35 looms, controls spook 🐻 Chime in below! 👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯 SMCI’s revenue surge to $14,989.2 million screams AI potential 📈, but control issues add a pinch of caution 🌿. Volatility’s our friend—dips are DCA gold 💰. Grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DCAChampion
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Academy