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Fundamental Analysis

GOLDThe US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.29%, down about 0.03 percentage points (0.64%) from the previous day’s level around 4.32%–4.34%. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 97.877, showing relative stability with minor fluctuations Impact on Markets Today The slight decline in the 10-year yield suggests modest easing of bond market pressure, possibly reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing fiscal concerns and expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year. The DXY near 97.9 indicates a moderately strong dollar, though recent trends show some weakening due to fiscal worries and softer economic data. Together, a stable-to-slightly weaker dollar and a modestly lower 10-year yield can support safe-haven assets like gold, though elevated yields still pose a headwind. But despite the dips of both the 10 year bond yield and the dollar index GOLD lost over 500pips from Asian session to Newyork session trading. In brief: The US 10-year yield’s slight dip combined with a steady DXY reflects a market balancing inflation, fiscal concerns, and Fed policy outlook. This environment supports cautious risk-taking with safe-haven demand still relevant. #gold #dollar
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Australian dollar jumps on Israel-Iran cease fireThe Australian dollar is up sharply on Tuesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6504, up 0.70% on the day. Investors' risk appetite is higher today after Israel and Iran agreed to a ceasefire in their 12-day war. The markets have reacted favorably to lower oil prices as fears that Iran would close the Straits of Hormuz, which would have disrupted global oil supplies, have diminished. Risk appetite has returned and risk currencies like the Australian dollar have posted strong gains today. The Israel-Iran war has triggered sharp swings in oil prices and there are fears of an oil price shock if the fragile ceasefire does not hold. An oil price shock would send petrol prices higher and boost inflation, complicating the Reserve Bank of Australia's plans to lower interest rates. Australia CPI expected to ease to 2.3% Australia releases the May inflation report early on Wednesday. Headline CPI has been stuck at 2.4% for three consecutive months, within the Reserve Bank of Australia's target of 2-3% and its lowest level since Nov. 2024. The market estimate for May stands at 2.3%. Trimmed Mean CPI, a key core inflation indication, edged up to 2.8% from 2.7% in April. The Reserve Bank will be keeping a close eye on the inflation report, with the central bank making a rate announcement on July 8. The RBA trimmed rates by a quarter-point in May and has shifted to a more dovish stance - the Board discussed a jumbo half-point cut at the May meeting. Fred Chair Powell appears before Congress today and Wednesday and is likely to defend the Fed's wait-and-see stance. The Fed is concerned about President Trump's tariffs and the Israel-Iran war threatens stability in the Middle East, hardly the recipe for further rate cuts. Still, there appears to be some dissent within the Fed, as two members, Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, have suggested that the Fed could lower rates as early as September. AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6490. Above, there is resistance at 0.6522 There is support at 0.6400 and 0.6342
by OANDA
1
Buying the Dip or Catching a Knife? My Gold Setup Explained.Entered a long position on XAU/USD from the 1H demand zone following sharp intraday selling into a key support level. With gold hovering near $3,300 and a significant testimony from Fed Chair Powell on deck, the setup aligns with both technical rebound potential and fundamental uncertainty that could fuel upside. The goal here is to play the liquidity vacuum left after aggressive positioning was cleared, with tight invalidation and asymmetric reward. Technicals: • Entry aligned with prior price inefficiency and confluence of multiple demand zones • 1H structure shows clear deviation below the range with immediate buy-side response • EMA channel flattening, indicating potential compression ahead of expansion • First target: $3,352 • Risk-managed with defined stop-loss below $3,260 Execution Note: This is not a “hold forever” trade. It’s an opportunistic reaction to unwind + sentiment imbalance. Fundamentals • Gold saw a 25% surge in 2024 due to safe-haven demand and dovish policy, but enters 2025 under pressure from: ▫️ A strong USD ▫️ Higher cost of carry ▫️ Speculators taking profit • Fed policy remains the core variable: ▫️ A hawkish tone from Powell could weigh on price ▫️ Rate cuts would likely revive bullish momentum • Central bank demand remains supportive • Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran) could trigger safe-haven bids again. Bearish headwinds: • Waning bullish momentum per RSI divergence • Reduced rate cut expectations post-election • Powell’s testimony could revive volatility either way. This is a short-term tactical long, not a macro bet. With sentiment temporarily overextended and key support defended intraday, this is a high R/R window to exploit Powell-related volatility. Let’s see how price reacts into $3,350+. Any sustained strength there would open room toward $3,400, while failure would confirm a retest of $3,260s. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by AR33_
Safe Entry Zone IONQQuantum Stocks currently forever ranging free money. Since Green Zone been re-tested its weaker now but it consider to be good entry Zone for now. We Only Wait for Buyers to Step-in because its weaker zone now not like first time. Take Profit Lines is where you secure your profit. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NYSE:IONQShort
by Faisalzor
xauusd buy Gold price trades with a mild positive for the second straight day on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through and remains below the $3,350 level through the early European session. Reports that US President Donald Trump was considering replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell raised concerns over the future independence of the US central bank. xauusd buy 3333 support 3370 support 3400 support 3500 On the flip side, any subsequent move-up is likely to attract fresh sellers and remain capped near the $3,368-3,370 region, or the trend-channel support breakpoint. A sustained strength beyond could allow the Gold price to reclaim the $3,400 round figure, which, if cleared decisively, could negate the negative outlook and shift the near-term bias in favor of bullish traders. The XAU/USD might then climb to the $3,434-3,435 intermediate hurdle en route to the $3,451-3,452 zone, or a nearly two-month top touched last week, and the all-time peak, around the $3,500 psychological mark.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FxMark17
Nifty 50 Approaching Resistance Zone – Potential Reversal Ahead?Chart Timeframe & Context Index: Nifty 50 (NSE) Timeframe: 30-minute chart Date/Time: June 26, 2025 Current Price: ₹25,530.40 Change: -11.70 (-0.05%) --- 🧩 Key Observations 1. Rising Wedge / Ascending Channel The current price action is within an ascending channel, which typically suggests bullish momentum. However, a bearish red arrow is drawn, indicating potential for a reversal after reaching the upper boundary. The price is nearing channel resistance and a horizontal resistance zone (around ₹25,550–₹25,600), suggesting exhaustion. 2. Historical Consolidation Patterns Multiple triangle and wedge formations have been marked previously: Green triangle zones show accumulation/consolidation before breakouts. These are generally bullish continuation patterns, which played out successfully. The breakouts from these zones led to significant upward movement. 3. Support Zones Major support lies near ₹24,400–₹24,600 (highlighted green box). Another minor horizontal support appears around ₹25,000–₹25,100. Rising trendlines from previous lows also intersect near this region, acting as confluence support. --- 🔄 Potential Scenarios 📉 Bearish Case (Likely Based on Chart Indication): Price hits resistance zone (~₹25,600) and reverses as suggested by the red arrow. Possible pullback targets: ₹25,100 (minor support) ₹24,800 (trendline and horizontal confluence) ₹24,400 (major support zone)
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Aria-Margot-Fx
6/26/25 - $corz - Probably6/26/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:CORZ Probably - NASDAQ:CRWV take private? - we know a few things - they haven't upgraded their btc fleet in over a year, which says "we're really not in that biz anymore and really only HPC" - we know there's a mispriced stake in NASDAQ:CRWV embedded - we know NASDAQ:CRWV needs power and NASDAQ:CORZ has a power portfolio - we have seen many take privates in the last 6 months - NASDAQ:CRWV stock is good acquisition currency at the moment esp as nvda/ semis/ narrative remains hawt. so i'd say this is probably an 80/20 - usually these things take a few weeks to play out - but given this industry, the px as it stands today - and "if" it's going to happen and cat "is" out of the bag... my guess is the px is likely in the $20-25/shr region (an educated guess) and it's smart for the acquiring team/ bankers to communicate sooner vs. later. alas who knows. but this seems like a cheap bi weekly option for what i think could be a 5-10x to 1 in a matter of a week or two (posisson distribution sounds about right for this type of comms) for what it's pricing rn. even a run into the close and perhaps tmr might allow for a take-half-off-ride-for-free. the $15 level is probably unlikely unloosed in the immediate term unless there's "no deal", and again hence the calls (not buying shares). flagging for those who decide to play the tape V
NASDAQ:CORZLong
by VROCKSTAR
2
Safe Entry Zone QBTSCurrent Stock Targeting Previous Major Resistance which act as Major Support level. at 13.40$ Price level. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NYSE:QBTS
by Faisalzor
6/26/25 - $avav - Sign of the times issue 10016/26/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AVAV Sign of the times issue 1001 - have long liked this stock (from YEARS ago, and in market years, millenia ago) - but this move in the last two sessions is clearly an exaggeration - while i write "short" on this post, don't mean this as "i'm shorting it", even though "yes" it's a short... - what i mean is that, you can do way better - even look at NYSE:HIMS today. sized that up y day. got out +8% today. it's +10% today. people couldn't be bothered y day. now they can't get enough. this is monkey brained mkt. - now that we're squarely at index ATHs and into month end AND quarter end of what was otherwise a cray cray 1Q and then 2Q... don't be surprised if there's some whacky whiplash in the up coming session - easy way to play this is to pack more cash, use this market up move to rearrange chairs etc. etc. - my guess is it all results in a garden variety pull back (i wrote about this two days ago in my S&P post) and it should be bought - the strong betas (even NASDAQ:AVAV *might* qualify from a chart-only perspective) should do well, but leaders like NASDAQ:NVDA and the usual (better growth/ margin/ valuation "guns") should do even better and dip gets bot fast - so just use these sorts of moves to check your logic. don't get carried away nobody goes broke taking profits better early than late (and congrats to the longs here! well earned!) V
NASDAQ:AVAVShort
by VROCKSTAR
2
Yen rises sharply, Tokyo Core CPI nextThe Japanese yen has posted strong gains on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.14, down 0.55% on the day. Earlier, USD/JPY fell as low as 143.75, its lowest level since June 13. Tokyo Core CPI, a leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends, will be released early Thursday. Tokyo Core CPI hit 3.6% in May, its highest level in over two years. The market estimate for June stands at 3.3%. The Bank of Japan has signaled that more rate hikes are on the way, provided that inflation continues to move towards the BoJ's level of a sustainable 2%. However, trade talks between the US and Japan have hit a snag, with Japan saying it can't accept US tariffs of 25% on automobiles. The clock is ticking, as US reciprocal tariffs will take effect on July 9 without a deal. The markets are eyeing a possible rate hike in July, which would be the first rate hike since January. The BoJ meets next on July 31, and if the two sides can reach a trade deal before then, it could cement a rate hike at that meeting. Even if the BoJ maintains rates at the upcoming meeting, investors will be keen to see the new inflation and growth forecasts. The BOJ's summary of opinions from the June meeting, released Wednesday, didn't provide much insight into the BoJ's rate path. Board members were divided over whether to raise rates in a period of economic uncertainty over the impact of US tariffs on Japan's economy. There is support at 144.59 and 143.93 145.27 and 145.93 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
Gold is sideways. Is a new trend brewing?Information summary: On June 23, Trump announced that Iran and Israel reached a comprehensive ceasefire, but the asymmetric terms of the agreement caused the conflict to continue. Israel launched another air strike on Iran, and Israel threatened to kill Iranian senior officials. The uncertainty of geopolitical risks continues to support gold prices. Market analysis: From the 4-hour chart, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages show signs of upward divergence, and the K-line stands firm on the moving average support and fluctuates upward. In the short term, pay attention to the breakthrough and decline of the 3350 pressure level. The current market's downward momentum has weakened, and the overall market remains volatile. We need to be wary of the risk of short-term adjustments after continuous surges. Be alert to the short-term adjustment risks after continuous highs. Operation strategy: Short near the price rebound of 3345, stop loss 3355, profit range: 3330-3320.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold shorting opportunity not to be missedGold hit the key resistance of 3350 and then fell under pressure, reaching a low of 3309, and was temporarily supported by the low point on Wednesday. The intraday showed a pattern of rapid decline after a volatile rise, highlighting the long-short tug-of-war pattern. The hourly line fell again after a pullback to 3328, indicating that there is still room for short-term retracement. The current operation needs to focus on key points: short orders can be entered again near the pullback of 3328-3335. If the market continues to decline, focus on the support range of 3300-3290, and long orders can be arranged if it stabilizes. The overall idea of ​​​​oscillation is maintained. Before effectively breaking through 3350 or losing 3290, high-altitude and low-long are still the main strategy. Gold recommendation: short near 3328-3335, target 3315-3305
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Short idea: INMB (WILL NOT WORK)Inmune Bio originally focused on using a dominant-negative TNF protein (DN-TNF) for cancer immunotherapy, which failed to show efficacy. Now, they’ve pivoted to neurology—repurposing the same molecule (XPro1595) for Alzheimer’s. The science behind targeting neuroinflammation is still early, and their approach lacks robust clinical validation. They're in Phase 2, but data is sparse, the trial is small, and biomarkers—not clinical outcomes—are the main readout. With limited cash (~$20M as of last filing) and a high burn rate, they’ll likely need to raise before any real catalyst hits. High risk of dilution, weak scientific precedent, and a recycled failed asset = recipe for another disappointment. Conclusion: This Alzheimer’s pivot feels like a Hail Mary. Market’s giving them credit for a turnaround that probably won’t work again ❌
NASDAQ:INMBShort
by TBB_Trades
DJT Is Down 68% From Its Peak. Is It Close to Turning a Corner?President Trump’s Trump Media and Technology Group NASDAQ:DJT announced this week that its board has authorized up to $400 million of share repurchases at a time when the stock is down some 68% from last fall’s peak. What does technical and fundamental analysis say could happen to the social-media firm’s stock next? Let’s take a look: DJT’s Fundamental Analysis Trump Media and Technology Group is the operator of the "Truth Social" social media platform, the "Truth+" streaming platform and the "Truth.Fi" fintech brand. The company plans to make stock and/or warrant buybacks through open-market transactions, with all repurchased shares retired. It will pay for the buyback program out of the firm's balance sheet, which had $759 million in cash vs. just $27.2 million of liabilities as of March. (DJT’s cash position is separate from its recently announced $2.3 billion investment in Bitcoin COINBASE:BTCUSD .) In addition to share buybacks, management authorized the company to repurchase convertible notes from time to time through privately negotiated transactions. DJT had entered in May into a subscription agreement to offer 0% convertible senior notes due in 2028 as part of a roughly $2.5 billion fundraising effort that included other convertible notes and an equity issuance. As for earnings, Trump Media will likely report Q2 results in early August, although the firm hasn’t yet announced a firm date for doing so. Last month, DJT reported a $0.14 Q1 adjusted loss per share on $821,200 of revenue. However, Trump Media only went public in March 2024, so we don't have much in the way of historical earnings data to compare that to. DJT’s Technical Analysis With few fundamentals to look at, we’re mostly left with technical analysis to assess this stock. Here’s DJT’s chart going back to last fall: Readers will see that the stock has been mired in a so-called “falling-wedge” pattern of bullish reversal since very late last October. DJT made serious attempts to break out of the pattern to the upside in January and again in May, but has yet to do so. That said, the stock found support at the pattern’s lower trendline in January, early April and May. Typically, it tends to take a stock two to three touches at these patterns’ tops and bottoms before shares see a breakout. Meanwhile, DJT has also been unable to retake its 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a red line). Nor has it managed to retake its 50-day SMA (the blue line) or its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with a green line). Still, the stock has remained within striking distance of all three key moving averages. As a reminder, the 50- and 200-day SMAs tend to impact decisions made by institutional portfolio managers, while swing traders rely more on the 21-day EMA and other EMAs of shorter duration. As for DJT’s other technical indicators, the stock’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) has been weak for a month, but is currently flirting with entering technically oversold territory. Separately, Trump Media’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) is postured rather bearishly. The histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is below zero, as is the 12-day EMA (the black line) and 26-day EMA (the gold line). The 12-day line is also below the 26-day line. That means there’s not a lot of optimism for this stock right now, but at least there’s also not much of a gap between DJT’s 12- and 26-day EMAs. All in, DJT’s chart doesn’t look overly positive in technical terms, but a number of indicators say the stock could turn a corner. Add it all up and this might be a stock to keep on your "watch list" for now. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in DJT at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. 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NASDAQ:DJT
by moomoo
Is USDJPY in a Downtrend?USDJPY is supported by the trendline and the price is facing the resistance zone of 144.500. If the candle cannot close above this resistance zone, the sellers can push the price to break the trendline and head towards the support zone of 142.700. This support zone plays an important role in shaping the trend if broken the downtrend can be extended and no support zone can be strong enough to push the price of the pair until 140.300. There is still a high possibility of a reaction so the BUY strategy at the support zone of 142.700 is still ready On the other hand, if the candle closes above the resistance zone of 144.500, the uptrend is still maintained and heading towards this week's peak around 147.500. Pay attention to the price reaction at 146.000.
by VHT_Trader
Can we still go long if the decline of gold intensifies? 📊Comment Analysis Looking back at today's trend, it rose to a high of 3350, and then continued to retreat. The current low is 3310. At present, due to the upward trend line broken by the hourly line, many orders can only be short. The trend is still biased to the short side, and the current market risk aversion does not facilitate the longs. But first of all, one thing can be confirmed that this round of gold decline lasted for a long time, which also enhanced the execution of gold to go long near 3310-3320 in the future. Since gold has fluctuated greatly in the past two days, it means that the end point of emotions will not disappear so easily for the time being. In the short-term K-line pattern, continuous short-side artillery should not be constantly changed and increased. It is necessary to stop and see appropriately. The early trading is relatively difficult to grasp, but at least the current market has given some signals, so I hope that when the market is in place, your execution will be strong enough, and then you can look at gold according to the trading signals I gave. The rehearsal is definitely exciting enough, but the actual operation is not that simple! 💰Strategy Package Gold: Pay attention to the low-long opportunities of 3310-3220 in the US market, and defend at the 3300 line. If the retracement continues, go long directly. Otherwise, the upper resistance will be around 3345! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA