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Fundamental Analysis

CAKE SWING LONG IDEAI know everyone is fearful in the crypto market right now. People are scared to buy at these lows because they believe Bitcoin will likely continue to decline. And yes, that could happen. But guess what? BTC is sitting on daily support. BTC dominance hit 60% and is possibly forming lower highs (check my BTC DOM analysis). The Fear Index is at 54—people are scared. Funding rates are extremely negative. Most assets' RSI levels are oversold (in a bull market!). All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows. All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows. Let’s look CAKE as an example: Cake has currently hit the monthly and weekly demand zones. It has rejected the weekly demand and broken the 4H structure. We’ve seen strong upside movement following this, confirming the second leg of the higher high formation on the 4H timeframe. TARGETS: TP1: $3.41 TP2: $4.02 TP3: $4.50 SL: Below $2.05 (daily close)
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Gold Ready to Fall: Bearish Move Expected📉 Gold Bearish Short-Term Outlook 🔹 Price Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $2,610 🎯 Target 2: $2,586 🔹 Stop Loss: $2,646 📈 Why This Trade? ✅ Double Top Formation: A clear bearish reversal pattern suggests further downside movement. ✅ Strong U.S. Dollar: The strengthening dollar is putting pressure on gold prices. ✅ Rising Treasury Yields: The recent increase in U.S. Treasury yields makes gold less attractive compared to interest-bearing assets. ✅ Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: With easing geopolitical tensions, the demand for gold as a safe haven is weakening.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ValchevFinance
Wrong Cup & HandleCRYPTOCAP:BTC Now everyone is drawing a cup and handle and saying that ATH is coming soon, why is it not quite so? 📝Let's talk about the pattern first, the cup handle pattern when the asset has a deep drop, after which it recovers and tries to break past highs. Of course, when the price consolidates near resistance and forms a so-called handle, this is a positive signal. After all, the longer the consolidation in front of the resistance zone, the more likely this resistance will not hold. 💡Most take the depth of the cup and say that this will be the growth (300k+), which is not right at all. Here, in the case of #bitcoin, you need to remember that the figures of the technical analysis do not matter much and you need to look at the fundamental analysis and also take into account seasonality. I expect a break through the resistance not now, but in the coming weeks and definitely a break above 80k in October↗️
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by FeelsStrategy
4
Monthly Candle Close Colours since 2011 UPDATEAs we approach the Christmas Holiday I thought I would just drop this in to read. The expected GREEN December began but the draw back over the last week or so have now turned the Monthly candle into a RED one. As it is right now, the Candle is a Mini imverted Hammer. Shoudl it close like this, there has only been ONE opccasion that December closed like this... December 2022 And we all know what happened in January 2023 but I think a repeat is unlikely. I think what we do need to be awatr of, there are not many occasion we had a RED December ofter a number of Green months In fact December 2013 was the ONLY one and signaled the beginning of a BEAR. I do not think we are tere right now but things have shifted Quickly this year. Weekly MACD is Way up high in overbought and this WILL take time to recover once it turns Bearish For now, we need to pay attention to all possibilities and look forward with open emotions. We could be anywhere right now in this cycle but I believe we still have a good 2025 to come. MVRV has not peaked but is at the same level it was on the Nov 2021 ATH For me, if December this year doe snot recover, we may see Green Jan but that would be unusual A Spring Rise is more likely I wish you all Peace and happiness for the Holidays and may your Gods, Godess , Beliefs and philosophies Keep your Socks forever dry
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
AUD/USD lower ahead of RBA minutesThe Australian dollar has posted losses on Monday. Early in the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6227, down 0.31% at the time of writing. It's a very light calendar week, with the Christmas holiday just around the corner. The Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes of this month's meeting on Tuesday, which is the sole Australian event this week. At the December meeting, the RBA held the cash rate at 4.35% for the ninth straight time. Still, the rate statement held out hope for a near-term rate cut, based on some nuances in the language. Previous statements had signaled that rate hikes were on the table, with the board stating it was not "ruling anything in or out", but this phrase was omitted in the December statement. The RBA also sounded more optimistic about the inflation outlook, with the statement noting that the board was "gaining confidence that inflation is moving sustainably towards target". The market viewed this language as being dovish, although Governor Bullock reiterated after the meeting that the February rate decision would be based on the data. In the US, durable goods orders declined 1.1% m/m in November, after an upwardly revised 0.8% gain in October and well below the market estimate of -0.4%. The decline was largely driven by a decrease in new orders for transportation equipment. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence index fell sharply in December to 104.7, down from an upwardly revised 112.8 and well off the market estimate of 113. Consumers were less optimistic about the employment outlook and incomes. The Conference Board report found that consumers are concerned that the tariffs proposed by the incoming Trump administration will push prices higher in 2025. AUD/USD pushed below support at 0.6247 and tested support at 0.6219 earlier 0.6278 and 0.6306 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
$OM: Poised for a $10+ BreakoutWhile other Layer-1s have been sliding, NASDAQ:OM 's been showing serious strength. After months of accumulation, only the true believers remain, holding most of the supply and not selling for anything under $10+. With sell-side pressure exhausted, any buying pressure could trigger an epic move—think CRYPTOCAP:XRP or $SOL. We're just getting started. $10+ is within reach, and this is where years of patience turn into weeks of pure gain. #Crypto #DeFi #Binance #TradingTips #MANTRA
Long
by Anderson771
Bank of America $BAC: Value Meets Growth at $45.47 Current Overview: "Bank of America (BAC) is trading at $45.47, presenting a mix of undervaluation and growth potential. The stock has shown a 31.7% increase over the past year, with a recent pullback of -1.96% weekly and -3.53% monthly. Analysts have set an average price target of $46.22, indicating a potential upside of +1.65% from current levels." Key Levels to Watch: $45.00: A key level to monitor for potential buying interest if prices dip. Resistance: $47.00: Immediate resistance. Breaking this could signal momentum toward higher levels. Growth Catalysts: 1️⃣ Interest Rates: Potential rate cuts in 2025 could boost net interest income, benefiting BAC’s core banking operations. 2️⃣ Consumer Banking: Strong growth in deposits and consumer loans supports BAC’s financial health. 3️⃣ Wealth Management: Expanding ESG-focused services appeal to high-net-worth clients, driving future growth. Risks to Consider: ⚠️ Rate Sensitivity: While rate cuts could boost loans, they might compress margins if not offset by volume growth. ⚠️ Economic Cycles: Credit risks could increase during economic slowdowns. Conclusion: "Bank of America (BAC) combines undervaluation with strong fundamentals and promising growth avenues in consumer banking and wealth management. As it navigates macroeconomic challenges, watch the key levels—$45.00 support and $47.00 resistance—to track its next move." Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
NYSE:BACLong
by DCAChampion
Quantum Corp (QMCO): Eyes on $70—Can We Go Higher?Good morning, trading family! Wellness Tip Of The Day Dehydration can impair focus and decision-making. Keep water or herbal tea at your desk and sip consistently throughout the day. Aim for at least 2 liters daily, adjusting for your activity level. Now Lets Get into it: Quantum Corp ( NASDAQ:QMCO ) has broken through a key resistance level at $29.91, which has now turned into solid support. With that level holding strong, the next big target is $70. If the momentum continues and we don’t see a pullback, there’s potential for a push to $88 as well. This is shaping up to be an exciting move. Let’s stay sharp and see how the price reacts as we approach these key levels! Comment, like, follow, or send me a DM if you’d like a deeper dive into this analysis! Kris/Mindbloome Trading Trade What You See
NASDAQ:QMCOLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Quick Analysis Just before Christmas Hey there, So, I though of doing a quick market review just before Christmas, hoping to bring some extra insight into whats happening in the markets this week. Also note that this is but just my opinion and my view of the markets, it should in no way be used or interpreted as advice or signals, but rather as a reference and a soundboard. Furthermore, I wish you all a happy, blessed and merry Christmas and a successful and profitable new year.
TVC:DXY
by DeanMuller
Tesla Q4 2024 Deliveries Expected to Hit Record, but.Tesla's fourth-quarter 2024 delivery figures are anticipated to reach a record high, according to a note from Barclays. Analysts estimate Q4 deliveries at approximately 515,000 units, slightly above the consensus estimate of around 511,000 units, marking a 6% year-over-year increase. Despite these impressive numbers, Barclays believes they will have limited impact on Tesla's stock. Key Takeaways: Delivery Estimates: Barclays projects Q4 deliveries to be around 515,000 units, slightly exceeding expectations. Stock Impact: The delivery numbers are expected to have minimal influence on Tesla's stock, as investors are more focused on the company's long-term opportunities in autonomous driving and artificial intelligence (AI). Long-Term Growth: Tesla's recent momentum is driven by its potential in the AV/AI sectors rather than short-term delivery metrics. Future Outlook: 2024 Sales: Barclays forecasts Tesla's full-year 2024 sales at approximately 1.81 million units, aligning with 2023 figures but falling short of the company's guidance for year-over-year growth. Autonomous Driving and AI: The introduction of "Unsupervised Full Self-Driving" (FSD) in 2025 is expected to bolster Tesla's AV/AI initiatives, mitigating any near-term volume misses. New Models: The upcoming low-cost model, "Model 2.5," anticipated in the first half of 2025, is seen as a crucial growth driver. Delivery Growth: CEO Elon Musk suggests 20-30% year-over-year delivery growth in 2025, which Barclays believes will address any concerns from the Q4 figures. Barclays emphasizes that while the Q4 results are crucial, the stock's recent rally—up 68% post-election versus the S&P 500's 2.6%—reflects positive sentiment on Tesla's long-term potential and technical factors. As the market shifts focus towards future developments, the emphasis remains on Tesla's ability to innovate and lead in the autonomous driving and AI sectors.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by OakleyJM
Daily Analysis of GBP to USD – Issue 235The analyst believes that the price of { GBPUSD } will increase in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Long
by MoonriseTA
Daily Analysis of Gold Ounce to USD – Issue 235The analyst believes that the price of { XAUUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
GBP/USD: Market Sentiment and the Road Ahead for the PoundFollowing up on our previous analysis of GBP/USD, it has been a tumultuous week for the Pound, which experienced significant declines on Wednesday and Thursday. Although GBP/USD managed a brief correction higher on Friday, it ultimately closed the week in negative territory. At the time of writing, the pair is in a consolidation phase, trading below the 1.2545 mark. The sharp drop in GBP/USD can be attributed to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish dot plot, coupled with the Bank of England's relatively dovish stance after its final policy meeting of the year. This combination led to a notable downturn in the currency pair. However, as we approached the weekend, a more positive shift in market sentiment emerged due to the US Congress successfully averting a government shutdown, which caused the US Dollar (USD) to weaken against its peers. This turn of events allowed GBP/USD to recover some of its earlier losses. From a technical analysis perspective, we are anticipating continued bearish momentum for the Pound against the USD as we approach the next demand zone. Previous Idea: ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
XAUUSD - Gold will welcome the holidays?!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1-hour time frame and is trading in its short-term ascending channel. In case of a valid failure of the bottom of the channel, we can see the continuation of gold's decline and seeing the demand zone. Within the demand range of demand, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. If the upward movement continues, gold can be sold in the supply zone. Without a doubt, 2024 has been the year of the US dollar. While high inflation continued to spread across Europe and other parts of the world in 2023, the Federal Reserve reported progress in controlling price growth. Similar to last year, other central banks have been more proactive in reducing interest rates, but the slow pace of inflation containment has delayed the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting process. Federal Reserve officials now anticipate only two 0.25% interest rate cuts in 2025. As a result, it is expected that the Federal Reserve will maintain a tighter monetary stance compared to other major central banks, except for the Bank of Japan, which is currently increasing its interest rates. This decision follows previous rate cuts implemented earlier this year, including a 50-basis-point reduction in September and a 25-basis-point cut in November. Overall, these measures have resulted in a full 1% decrease in the benchmark rate, signaling a shift in the Federal Reserve’s approach to the current economic environment. By lowering interest rates, the Federal Reserve aims to stimulate consumption while continuing to monitor inflationary pressures. Although these pressures have generally subsided, they have slightly risen in recent months. Nonetheless, the decision to reduce rates could benefit borrowers by lowering consumer interest rates, making it more affordable to buy homes, secure personal loans, or borrow funds in other areas. However, the implications extend beyond lending. Adjustments to the Federal Reserve’s interest rates could create a complex environment for investors, particularly those drawn to traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Historically, the relationship between interest rates and gold prices has been inversely proportional. Lower rates typically increase gold valuations, as the reduced cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold makes it more appealing, thereby driving up demand and prices. However, it is crucial to understand that the impact of interest rate decisions on gold prices operates within a broader network of interconnected factors beyond monetary policy. For investors considering adding gold to their portfolios, understanding this broader context is essential. In addition to Federal Reserve policies, one key driver of the gold market is central bank purchases, particularly by emerging economies seeking to diversify their reserves. These purchases have recently reached historic levels, providing substantial support for gold prices. Global trade tensions, supply chain disruptions, and evolving industrial demand—especially from technology and renewable energy sectors—also add layers of complexity to the gold market. In the first quarter of this year, India’s central bank recorded a net purchase of 77 tons of gold, followed by Turkey’s central bank with 72 tons, increasing the share of gold in its foreign reserves to 34%. Poland, with a purchase of 69 tons, was the third-largest buyer, while China, traditionally the largest gold buyer in recent years, ranked fourth with less than 30 tons. BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has predicted in its 2025 global outlook report that the coming year will be marked by increased geopolitical fragmentation and the formation of rival economic and political blocs. These developments are likely to accelerate the trend of de-dollarization and bolster gold purchases. Moreover, the strength of the US dollar continues to play a crucial role in gold pricing. However, factors such as relative economic growth rates, trade balances, and international capital flows can overshadow this influence.For instance, the dollar may strengthen if major economies face significant challenges or if investors seek safe-haven currencies during market turmoil—even in a rate-cut environment. Inflation expectations also strongly influence the gold market. While moderate inflation typically supports gold as a store of value, extreme inflation may shift investment patterns, potentially reducing demand if other assets offer higher returns. Changes in consumer demand, particularly from major gold-buying countries, can also impact prices. Additionally, seasonal trends, such as increased gold purchases during festivals or weddings in these countries, may contribute to price fluctuations. Finally, US President Joe Biden signed a budget bill that will fund the government until mid-March next year, preventing a year-end shutdown. This legislation, recently approved by both the House of Representatives and the Senate, ensures government operations continue until the beginning of Donald Trump’s presidency next year.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
US Nas 100Hello everyone, dear traders! I am Fereydoon Bahrami, a trader and market analyst focused on Forex. Today, we will conduct an in-depth analysis of the NAS 100U chart and review our insights NAS 100U Chart Analysis Greetings and best wishes to you all. Based on our analysis today, we have received confirmation of a bullish trend in the 4-hour timeframe. In this analysis, the price has reached and established a short-term peak within the 4-hour chart. Following a pullback to accumulate liquidity, we can anticipate a potential price increase towards the specified target on the chart. This represents our first entry point, which I have indicated on the chart. However, should the **Order Block Decisional** prove ineffective, I will revise the selling strategy and share it with you. Additionally, I have identified another **Order Block Extreme**. If this Order Block fails and we implement the selling strategy, once we receive confirmation in this zone, we will re-enter a buying position. Furthermore, the price targets (Take Profit levels) have been established using Fibonacci retracement levels; it is essential that if we enter a trade, we maintain it until we achieve the designated target. Fundamental Analysis for the Week (December 16 to December 22, 2024) To enhance the accuracy of our analysis, let’s highlight the fundamental factors that have impacted the market over the past week: 1. **Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Report**: On Friday, December 20, 2024, the NFP report was released, indicating a drop in the unemployment rate to 4% along with an increase in the number of new jobs created, exceeding expectations. This positive data serves as a potential macroeconomic indicator of growth in the U.S. economy, which could bolster NAS 100U. 2. **Inflation Data**: On December 18, data regarding the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released, showing a 0.3% increase from the previous month. This has raised concerns regarding a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. If this trend persists, it could exert pressure on the markets. 3. **Federal Reserve Signals**: Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials hinted at the possibility of an interest rate increase in the upcoming meeting, which may positively influence financial markets. Such developments can lead to increased volatility and prompt investors to closely analyze the status of NAS 100U and other indices. 4. **Global Economic Influences**: In the past week, global markets have been affected by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and trade disputes with China. The economic and political decisions made by major world powers have had a significant impact on NAS 100U and other U.S. indices, leading to market fluctuations. Scenarios Now, we can summarize our three scenarios as follows: 1. **Bullish Scenario**: With the price stabilization at the short-term peak and a pullback for liquidity accumulation, we expect the price to rise toward the target identified on the chart. This represents our first entry point. 2. **Selling Scenario**: If **Order Block Decisional** fails, we will update our selling entry strategy and will enter a trade upon confirmation. 3. **Re-buy Scenario**: If **Order Block Extreme** is validated in a specific region, we can re-enter a buying position. It is crucial to emphasize maintaining the trade until we reach the targets outlined by Fibonacci levels. By considering these analyses alongside the fundamental news, we aim to assist you in making informed trading decisions. Join us as we embark on this pathway to mutual success. Thank you! Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading Center (Forex)."
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by fereydoon1199
Bitcoin's Struggles Persist as Market Faces Continued Downturn.Bitcoin’s struggles continue as the asset fails to initiate a notable recovery, with its price hovering around $96,000. The cryptocurrency market, known for its volatility, has seen significant fluctuations over the past week, impacting both Bitcoin and altcoins. Bitcoin's Recent Performance Last Monday and Tuesday, Bitcoin posted fresh gains, surging above $108,000 to mark its latest all-time high. However, the landscape shifted dramatically following the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday evening. Bitcoin reacted with an immediate price drop to under $100,000, signalling the start of a downward trend. The sell-off intensified over the subsequent days, culminating in a sharp decline to $92,000 by Friday. Although Bitcoin managed to halt its freefall and briefly recovered to over $99,000 on Saturday morning, the relief was short-lived. By Sunday, Bitcoin's price had fallen back to $96,000, where it remains currently. Market Dynamics and Influencing Factors Several factors could influence Bitcoin's price in the coming week: Regulatory Developments: Any new regulations or policy changes affecting cryptocurrencies could impact market sentiment. Macroeconomic Indicators: Data on inflation, interest rates, and economic growth can influence investor behaviour in the crypto market. Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment among retail and institutional investors plays a crucial role in price movements. For now, Bitcoin’s market cap stands at $1.9 trillion, with its dominance over altcoins just shy of 55%. Altcoins in Similar State Altcoins have mirrored Bitcoin's struggles, experiencing similar or even more severe declines in recent days. Major altcoins like XRP, ADA, AVAX, SHIB, DOGE, and ETH have all remained in the red. Over the past day, DOT, XLM, SUI, and APT have also registered further declines. One notable exception among the larger-cap altcoins is AAVE, which has bucked the trend with a significant price surge. The asset has gained roughly 10%, now sitting at $340 amid the broader market correction. Market Overview The cumulative market capitalization of all crypto assets has dropped to $3.460 trillion, reflecting the broader market downturn. Despite the current challenges, the resilience of the cryptocurrency market suggests that recovery could be on the horizon once the influencing factors stabilize. As we move into the new trading week, traders and investors should remain vigilant, keeping an eye on key economic indicators and market sentiment. The coming days will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin and the broader crypto market can regain their footing and initiate a recovery.
FX:BTCUSD
by OakleyJM