Potential BOJ Intervention and Technical Setups on USDJPYIf you haven't heard the latest news, Japan's Finance Minister and the BOJ have differing views on the intervention of the Japanese Yen. The Finance Minister believes that FX intervention didn't work, while the BOJ has stated they are prepared to intervene at any time and could catch the market by surprise.
Having traded for 18 years, I'm quite familiar with what a market intervention looks like. If you believe the BOJ will intervene, then there are some interesting technical setups to consider.
Analysis:
1-Hourly Chart:
- Potential Head and Shoulders Formation: This pattern could signal a bearish reversal.
15-Minutes Chart:
- Bearish Shark Pattern Checkback: This setup allows us to capture similar targets with lower initial risk.
Strategy:
1. Head and Shoulders Formation:
- Monitor for Pattern Completion: Watch for the right shoulder formation and neckline break.
- Entry: On confirmation of the neckline break.
- Stop-Loss: Above the right shoulder.
- Target: Based on the height of the pattern projected downwards.
2. Bearish Shark Pattern Checkback:
- 15-Minutes Timeframe:
- Entry: Look for entry on the checkback of the Bearish Shark Pattern.
- Stop-Loss: Above the high of the checkback.
- Target: Aligns with the target from the head and shoulders pattern on the 1-hourly chart, allowing for a lower initial risk.
Key Points:
- BOJ Intervention: The potential for surprise intervention by the BOJ adds a fundamental catalyst to these technical setups.
- Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
- Confirmation: Always wait for confirmation of the patterns before entering trades.
What’s your take on USDJPY and the potential for BOJ intervention?
Do you see any additional opportunities or setups?
Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Fundamentalanalsysis
Hindustan Composites Ltd-Ready for a upside moveHindustan Composites Ltd has been showing consistent up move and it has recently given a handsome breakout at Fibo level 0.50. Moreover, it is showing a consistent increase in its order book with the major buyer being Indian Railways.
It is also trading below its 5-year average PE ratio.
All these factors help us conclude that the stock is a good buy at the current level.
All the best!
Roche Analysis 6/26DISCLOSURE: as of 6/26 I have no open position in SIX:RO
Roche is a Swiss based pharmaceutical conglomerate with a diverse range of operations and brands. The company has a long history of profitability and high returns on investment.
Management Effectiveness: Roche has been around since 1896 and has had consistent growth over the economic cycles. Return on equity has been averaging 40% and although margins have compressed in recent years the company remains highly profitable and in a stable leverage position.
Valuation: With a price to earnings of 20 and price to cash flow of 15 if looks potentially undervalued. I like companies that have a return on equity double that of the price to earnings, and that rule of thumb is met in this case.
Summary: Roche looks like a quality company to potentially take some profits and diversify from my NASDAQ:SIGA position. However, for now it will stay on the watch list. I will be looking at OANDA:USDCHF as well as the valuation metrics I mentioned above.
Here on my macroeconomic and current research shortlist watchlists:
www.tradingview.com
www.tradingview.com
Thanks for reading, have a good one
Be ready for upmove in Dr. Morepen LabsHello Guys,
Dr Morepen Labs is a nice small-cap stock and it has been showing consistent up-moves on higher time frames.
The stock is trading below its 5-year average PE. Moreover, this is a debt-free company.
Based on this quick techno fundamental analysis, I believe it can reach INR 60/- and INR 75/- in 6 months.
Nikkei Remains in Consolidation after Mixed Inflation DataJPN225 has backed off its March record peak, as the central bank made a historic exit from negative rates, shifting away from the ultra-loose stance that has devalued the Yen and has boosted equities. The BoJ is set to go further down that road and start scaling back its bond buying, while at least one more rate cut this year looks reasonable as officials expect underlying inflation to increase gradually. These prospects could weigh further on the index and sent it back towards this year’s low (36,732), but the downside appear unfriendly with the 200Days EMA following (blue line).
Despite the pullback, JPN225 shows resiliency, as the Bank of Japan maintains an accommodative stance and the lack of clarity around its intentions to reduce the asset purchases cast doubts over the policy normalization process. Today’s mixed inflation data added to the uncertainty, as core CPI rose but less than expected and core-core dropped for ninth straight month.
Furthermore, the stock market’s strength goes beyond easy monetary policy. Structural reforms, strong corporate earnings and market friendly government trying to direct saving into investments provide long-term tailwinds. As such, JPNN225 can resume its advance and push for new all-time highs (41,227). The recent consolidation is likely to persist though, amidst competing drivers.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
BoE Rate Decision: Pound's Fate Hangs in the Balance – Rally or With the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate decision on the horizon, let's examine recent developments in GBPUSD, primarily through the lens of fundamental analysis.
Chart analysis reveals that recent GBPUSD fluctuations have been largely influenced by the US dollar's strength, fueled by the Fed's increasingly hawkish stance. Although a September rate cut by the Fed is still widely anticipated, recent commentary and revised dot plot projections suggest a more cautious approach, bolstering the dollar's bullish momentum.
US Dollar Strength: Not Just About Rate Cuts
The US dollar's resilience, despite the expected rate cut, can be attributed to several factors. The September cut was already priced into the market, and the Fed's surprisingly hawkish tone has prompted a reassessment of the likelihood of further easing. Until clear signs of cooling inflation and a looser labor market emerge in the US, the dollar's upward trajectory is likely to persist. The CME FedWatch Tool, which forecasts rate movements based on fed funds futures trading data, currently shows a higher probability of a rate cut in September than before the recent CPI data release. This suggests that the market is still weighing the Fed's intentions carefully.
UK Inflation on Target: A Dovish BoE Unlikely
Yesterday's UK inflation data, which met the BoE's 2% target, might not lead to an immediate shift towards a dovish monetary policy. Market consensus anticipates a rate hold at 5.25% in today's BoE meeting (most analysts and economists predict the first rate cut to occur in August). However, the BoE's forward guidance will be critical. Hawkish commentary regarding inflation, robust wage growth, or a tight labor market could temporarily strengthen the pound.
Short-Term & Mid-Term Outlook: A Bullish Pound Faces Headwinds
In the short term, a hawkish BoE could potentially drive GBPUSD back towards the 1.28 level. However, a sustained bullish momentum is unlikely, with a mid-term target of 1.26 seeming more plausible. This is because even with a hawkish stance, the UK's inflation and labor market appear better positioned for easing compared to the US, suggesting the BoE may be forced to adopt a dovish stance sooner than the Fed.
AUD/USD Upside Favored by Monetary Policy DeferentialAUD/USD upside bias is supported by the monetary policy differential and the technicals. The Australian central bank stayed on the sidelines on Tuesday, but once again considered the case for a hike and does not shut the door to such action. The US Fed on the other hand has already pointed to lower rates and markets expect two cuts within the year.
The Aussie benefited from RBA’s hawkish hold and after defending again the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci of the last leg up, it returned above the EMA200 (black line). This reaffirms the bullish tilt and strengthens prospects of new higher highs (0.6714), but does not inspire confidence for tackling 0.6839.
On the other hand, AUD/USD has faltered above 0.6700 multiple times, creating scope for a pullback and a retest of the 38.2% Fibonacci and the daily Ichimoku Cloud. This would bring 0.6465 in the spotlight, but strong catalyst would be needed for testing it. Markets may be optimistic about two Fed cuts, but officials see just one and their reluctance to pivot supports the greenback. The RBA keeps the door open to a hike, but there is a high bar for such action, while deteriorating economy could increase pressure for easier stance.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
BUY CUB cmp 144.50, target min 166 then 180/200 SL- 129CUB correction is completed both price-wise and time-wise. From this month it has strong potential upside with minimum target of 166 around, then 180 and 200 levels. 2nd target of 180 and 3rd target 200 can come in next month or next to next month but 166 is almost confirmed. This view will fail if it close on or below 130 levels. so the risk is very less from current levels and the rewards are very high with short term time frame. Fundamentally, the fair value of the stock near to 175-180 levels going with earnings of fy25-26 and with fy24, its still stand to value near 155-160 levels so there is a tremendous potential in value unlocking. NIMs of the bank likely to improve given the interest rate downtrend to start and the cost of borrowing will reduce resulting in improvement of margins. NPAs recovery is already going since last 3-4 quarters and it has reduced. Credit growth is expected to grow given the digitalisation in approval process, ties up with NBFC and expanding to new areas of credit growth. Branches increased last year, however still concentrated in TamilNadu, so any improvement in that state directly impacts cub. Recently the key person in higher management has changed with strong banking experience in big banks and mid size bank as well. Expect the strong turnaround for cub in coming quarters, so 200 is just the levels but it wont be surprising even it cross new lifetime highs when numbers are out. Multiple brokerage house knew this and gave a buy call, it is just a matter of time that Investor's patience soon going to be rewarded. Good luck.
Polka(DOT). Will it Survive?DOT is a long way from its high of $55, back in 2021. And now, currently, price has been struggling to push higher. With the thought the BTC ETFs being a game changer along with the BTC halving, there was the anticipation that Crypto would sky rocket. But this hasn't been the case. With all other coins getting hit by the current environment Crypto is facing, it stands that DOT is no exception. On the daily chart, DOT price is showing a head and shoulders pattern that could spell a push lower to the $5 lvl and maybe even to the $3.50. Since the FED interest rates seem to be the catalyst for the direction of crypto price so far, any data pointing at FED officials wanting to hold rates for longer (being hawkish) will continue to put pressure on Crypto's price.
Well with this said, how is Polkadot going to survive? There is things going for it that can get it through this rough patch:
-There are around 66 interoperability Cryptos and in that sector, DOT is the #1 coin, followed by Chainlink(LINK) and Cosmos(ATOM). DOT boasts close to a $8.5 billion market cap and LINK close to a $8.4 billion market cap (not too far behind), respectively.
-Amongst all the other Cryptos out there, it sits at #14 out of 10,127.
-Staking is currently at 11.78%, which has risen from 2023 when staking was around 9%, which if held for a year would be more then what some hedge funds can make. So not too bad.
-While not as much PR as some of the more prominent coins out there, it does have PR coming out which shows that it is still relevant
What do I think? I think DOT will survive and will likely drop which would be a buying opportunity. The Crypto Market as a whole is taking a drip (sitting at around 2.37 trillion currently, hitting a high this year in March of around 2.64 Trillion, and all time high of around 2.8 trillion back in 2021) and if price does continue to drop, it may test the support around 2.33 trillion. But majority of cryptos are taking a hit and as catalyst start popping up in favor of crypto, it is likely that DOT will join in this.
Blum Project Analysis!!!Today, I want to introduce you to another Tap-To-Earn project and see if it is worth your time.
In the previous articles, I explained Notcoin and the Hamster Kombat project. If you have time, take a look at these articles.
The name of this project is Blum .
Please stay with me.
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What is Blum?
The Blum Token is a cryptocurrency associated with the Blum Crypto Project on Telegram . While specific details about the creators and core team might be limited, the project focuses on community engagement, utility, and promoting blockchain adoption. The token serves various purposes within the project’s ecosystem, from facilitating transactions to enabling governance and rewarding community participation
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Now, let's check the Blum project with the help of SWOT ( Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats ).
What is the SWOT !?
SWOT (Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats) analysis is a framework used to evaluate a company's competitive position and to develop strategic planning. SWOT analysis assesses internal and external factors, as well as current and future potential.
🔸 Strengths : The game's style makes it difficult for the bot to jam every token_The active Telegram community currently has 11 million followers Blum selected by Binance labs team as featured airdrop
🔸 Weaknesses : No whitepaper _ Poor website _ Boring game _ The total number of tokens is not clear - the distribution method may not be fair _ the development team is unclear_The goal of the project is very general_ Low number of followers compared to other competitors on X platform _ Currently, you can become a member by invitation only_ It only has roadmap until the end of 2024_ The game environment is very simple.
🔸 Opportunities : Hard Forks to improve the Blum project_ Willingness of big investors to invest _ Improving the website and white paper_ Improve the game environment
🔸 Threats : High number of miners _ Emergence of Whales _Unspecified fee_ Hackers _ Competitors_Laws and regulations of countries
Can you add other parameters to the options above or not!?
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Conclusion : Due to the fact that there are more Tap-to-Earn games these days, we should be a little careful in choosing the game, because no matter what you like, you will eventually have an income for the time you spend.
According to the description above, if you want to enter the BLUM project, you should only consider it a hobby and not spend a lot of time on it because it has many ambiguities and weaknesses.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
USOIL(WTI), SHORTUSOIL(WTI) in the early month of June made gains in a localized ascending channel since 4th Jume from $72.497 to $78.98 but the $79 price remains a strong resistance to the price ascension.
As long as $79 and $78.55 remains resistance, USOIL (WTI) could fall to the $76.5 with potential further extension of the losses to $75 in the coming days.
Resistance 1: 78.95
Resistance 2: 78.54
Support 1 : 77.3
Support 2 : 76.5
Support 3: 75.0
TVS SUPPLY CHAINThis is good time to buy this stock because stock at support level in channel pattern also recently TVS Supply Chain Solutions secured a new business contract from VE Commercial Vehicles (VECV).
The contract involves managing in-plant warehousing and logistics functions at VECV’s Eicher bus factory in Baggad, Madhya Pradesh.
The partnership is set to last for three years.
So we see a good move in short term
Target , SL and Entry on chart
Retracement ahead...trade cautiouslyWe predicted this V-shaped stock market recovery one month ago in one of our videos. Happy that it has overcome the fall of election results day.
But a retracement is due now, hence trade cautiously.
A perfect time to invest for long-term investors in fundamentally strong and sector-specific leagues
Can Hamster Kombat become another Notcoin(NOT)!?Today, I want to examine a new Telegram game that has become very trending and see if the Hamster Kombat project can be another Notcoin(NOT) .
You have probably heard about the Hamster Komba game in the past few weeks at work, school , university , and in the family (maybe even the notification of people joining your contact in Telegram is a lot for you😂). I suggest you read this article to find out if Hamster Kombat is worth your time or not.
Please stay with me.
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What is Hamster Kombat?
Hamster Kombat is a Tap-to-earn type of game that is activated on the Telegram platform . This game was officially launched on March 25, 2024 on the TON network.
Hamster Combat currently has more than 60 million users , with more than 24 million active users
The game allows players to manage a virtual cryptocurrency exchange and earn in-game coins, which can subsequently be converted into real tokens to withdraw the earned funds. The gameplay is similar to the popular game Notcoin.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Now, let's check the Hamster Kombat project with the help of SWOT ( Strengths - Weaknesses - Opportunities - Threats ).
What is the SWOT!?
SWOT ( Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats ) analysis is a framework used to evaluate a company's competitive position and to develop strategic planning. SWOT analysis assesses internal and external factors, as well as current and future potential.
🔸 Strengths : More interesting game than Notcoin _ High number of active users (Notcoin less than 40 million users) _ Good marketing _ Very good conditions on social media _ Having a road map.
🔸 Weaknesses : No whitepaper _ Poor website _ Not having a clear future for the Hamster Kombat project _ The total number of tokens is not clear - the distribution method may not be fair _ the development team is unclear _ wastes a lot of energy and time.
🔸 Opportunities : Hard Forks to improve the Hamster Kombat project_ Willingness of big investors to invest _ Improving the website and white paper.
🔸 Threats : High number of miners _ Emergence of Whales _Unspecified fee_ Hackers _ Competitors.
Can you add other parameters to the options above or not!?
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Conclusion : Due to the fact that there are more Tap-to-Earn games these days, we should be a little careful in choosing the game, because no matter what you like, you will eventually have an income for the time you spend.
According to the above description and the information so far about the Hamster Kombat project, it seems that considering the high number of active users, the token of this project will be listed at least because of its attractiveness for exchanges (volume trading). The point here is whether you can earn for the time you spend or not? Because this game seems to take more time than the similar Notcoin project, so in conclusion, I recommend you look at the Hamster Kombat game as a side hobby and not spend all your time on a project that is uncertain.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
39% Lying on the Table in BPCL chartsThe fundamental situation, BPCL is in, I can not see it not going ahead and achieving the 39% technical targets.
Disclaimer: I am holding since 355 and have targets of almost 100% from current levels, i.e. of around 1150.
Trade/ make financial commitments at your own risk. This is to spread awareness and not intended as a buy/sell call. Always, do your own research and/or seek expert financial help.
Copper Breaches Key Support but Tech & Fundamentals FavorableThe commodity has registered a notable pullback from last month’s record highs and has now moved below the pivotal EMA200 (black line) and 38.2% Fibonacci of this year’s advance. This pauses the bullish momentum and exposes Copper to the ascending trend line from the 2024 low and the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
However, this region could contain the correction and multiple roadblocks follow, making the downside unfriendly, while the RSI points to oversold conditions. As such, we expect Copper to find renewed vigor and push towards 5.000 and eventually new all-time highs (5.200), with the fundamentals also being supportive.
The improved supply-demand dynamics have driven this year’s rally and can fuel further strength. There may be some risks in the consumption outlook, mostly form China’s property sector and the slowdown in the pace of EV adoption, but consumption for the metal is set to increase due to the AI revolution and the clean energy transition. At the same time, things don’t look good on the supply side, with major miners slashing their output targets for the year.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
$2.9 Billion in Mt. Gox Bitcoin on the Move for the First Time $2.9 Billion in Mt. Gox Bitcoin on the Move for the First Time in 5 Years: Where Is It Headed?
Key Points and Timeline of Transactions
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
*May 27*:
- *Initial Announcement*: Blockchain analytics platform, Arkham Intelligence, reports a significant Bitcoin transfer from Mt. Gox, the bankrupt Bitcoin exchange based in Shibuya, Tokyo, Japan.
- *Transfer Details*: Mt. Gox moved 42,830 BTC, valued at $2.9 billion, into several unknown wallets. This marked the first transfer in five years.
*Context*:
- *Background*: The transfer follows Mt. Gox’s recent announcement of reorganization plans aimed at compensating its creditors and customers affected by its hack and bankruptcy in February 2014.
- *Market Reaction*: The large-scale transfer raised concerns in the cryptocurrency market about potential selling pressures. A member of the crypto community suggested it might be time to sell BTC, which could significantly impact the market.
*Market Impact*:
- *Bitcoin Price*: Bitcoin had already fallen by 4.41% over the week, trading below $70,000 at $67,834. Concerns of a sell-off could lead to further price decreases.
*Subsequent Transactions*:
- *Whale Alert Reports*: Blockchain tracker Whale Alert identified several large transactions by Mt. Gox on the same day.
- *Transaction 1*: 3,999 BTC ($277.6 million)
- *Transaction 2*: 8,239 BTC ($565 million)
- *Transaction 3*: 14,057 BTC ($966.3 million)
- *Transaction 4*: 16,589 BTC ($1.1 billion)
- *Largest Transaction*: 34,138 BTC ($2.3 billion)
- *Other Large Transfers*: 32,137 BTC ($2.1 billion) and 32,499 BTC ($2.2 billion)
- *Total Transfer*: Over 141,659 BTC, valued at more than $9.6 billion, were moved to unidentified wallets in one day.
*Expert Opinions*:
- *Mike Deutscher*: A crypto analyst and DeFi supporter, Deutscher indicated that such significant transactions could lead to selling pressures but also presented an opportunity to accumulate Bitcoin. He reassured the community, noting Mt. Gox’s disclosure of its 200,000 Bitcoin reimbursement plans to creditors since January 2024 as a reason for confidence.
- *Mark Karpeles*: Another crypto community member, Karpeles, alleviated fears by explaining that the trustee was merely moving coins to a different wallet in preparation for distribution, with no imminent sale planned.
GOLD, Price vulnerable under the 2365-2358 ResistanceThe Gold fundamentals are negative and as long as price is trading under the 2365-2358 resistance zone. There is still a high probability of a high selling pressure happening. The GOLD fundamentals are still negative with the FED likely to CUT INTEREST rate and the pending inflation data.
Resistance : 2358 - 2365
Support 1 : 2335
Support 2 : 2305
Xiaomi Drops but Strong Results & EV Entry Are SupportiveThe stock of Xiaomi posts its first losing week in more than a month, despite its mostly strong quarterly results on Thursday and the upgraded guidance on EV deliveries. The drop likely reflects the broader decline of the Hang Seng Index due to geopolitical concerns. It also makes sense from a technical standpoint, since it had reached highly overbought levels.
It is now at a critical technical juncture, as it tests the 50 line on the RSI and is exposed to the 38.2% Fibonacci of this year’s advance. A breach of these levels would open the door to deeper correction that could challenge the EMA200 (black line) and the Ichimoku Cloud, but these levels can contains such moves.
However, Xiaomi reported a 27% y/y increase in revenue in Q1 and 37.6% y/y rise in operating profits. Furthermore, its smartphone shipments increased and the No 3 maker globally can benefit from the expected recovery of the market, following last year’s contraction.
Most importantly, the Chinese smartphone maker made its foray into electric vehicles this year, continuing to diversify and search for new growth markets. Demand for its SU7 sedan, deliveries of which began in late March, has been very high. It has already handed over 10,000 vehicles since May 15 and aims to deliver more than 100K units this year.
Its entry into EVs has fueled a rally in its stock and can drive further gains. Even if there is risk of deeper pullback, the path of least resistance is higher, especially if the 38.2% Fibonacci holds.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
EURUSD SHORTEven though this seems incredibly strange, I opted to enter for short on this pair since, after all, stop-loss orders have their place, and I trusted my eyes more than my heart.
I'm just waiting for the market to tell me to jump on a sale as the price is already in my value range.
Short Bias for the upcoming week.
Instead of being stuck with the indicators, trade using Fed Data.
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**First Scenario - Short:**
Initial Target: $1.07863
Entry: $1.08692
Stoploss: $1.08740
**Second Scenario - Long:**
Initial Target: $1.0935
Entry: $1.0875
Stoploss: $1.0869
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Take into consideration:
Psychological Resistance at $1.090
Psychological Support at $1.075
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NFA
DYOR
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Good Luck!
⚠️Caution: Just because I've set my buy and sell position Settings or drawn direction lines on my chart doesn't indicate I've opened a position or am obsessed with a particular bias. This is only a forecast; I don't trade when the price reaches my level; I have rules of engagement. Perhaps the most crucial element is 🆘RISK MANAGEMENT🆘.
Strategic GBPJPY Selling AnalysisExplore the latest trends in the GBPJPY forex pair with identified sell levels at 195 and 197. Our comprehensive analysis delves into key market drivers, technical indicators, and fundamental factors, providing strategic insights for navigating the dynamic GBPJPY landscape.
Fundamental Picks - Stock PE < 20 (NIFTY BANK)📊 Script: BANKBARODA
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 254
🎯 PE 🏆 - 6.98
📊 Script: FEDERALBNK
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 159
🎯 PE 🏆 - 9.33
📊 Script: BANDHANBNK
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 187
🎯 PE 🏆 - 10.12
📊 Script: SBIN
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 817
🎯 PE 🏆 - 11.43
📊 Script: INDUSINDBK
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 1410
🎯 PE 🏆 - 12.66
📊 Script: HDFCBANK
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 1437
🎯 PE 🏆 - 16.07
📊 Script: IDFCFIRSTB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 76
🎯 PE 🏆 - 17.13
📊 Script: PNB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 123
🎯 PE 🏆 - 17.89
📊 Script: ICICIBANK
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 1117
🎯 PE 🏆 - 18.44
📊 Script: KOTAKBANK
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 1627
🎯 PE 🏆 - 18.49
Formula to calculate PE = MVP/EPS
MVP - Market Value Per Share (Stock Price)
EPS - Earning Per Share
Industry(NIFTYBANK) PE - 15.7
Always Compare Stock PE with Industry PE for Better Understanding.
LOWER THE PE MORE ATTRACTIVE THE COMPANY.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
75: Analyzing ASML Sales Decline Potential Bearish MomentumIn light of the recent downturn in ASML sales, it's prudent to assess potential implications for the stock's trajectory. ASML faces lower than expected orders in Q1 amid industry downturn. CEO Peter Wennink remains optimistic about sector recovery in 2024. Orders dip to €3.6 billion, revenue at €5.3 billion. Our initial target lies at 826.1, where we anticipate a consolidation phase. However, if selling pressure persists, we could foresee a drop to 688.6. Monitoring validation of short positions is crucial. Conversely, stabilization around 826.1 could signify a potential reversal and pave the way for renewed upward momentum. Keeping a close eye on market dynamics and key support levels will be paramount in navigating ASML's current trajectory.