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Fundementals

BULLISH MOMENTUM ON ETHEREUM What do we have with this chart? ETH is one of the assets that lost most of the market cap in recent days, more than 53 billion dollars have gone ethereum since May 2018 The last time it was so oversold, made the price of having a bounce of more than 100% in a few days Bear Market Still not over yet The Price will follow BTC, if BTC goes down The "hammer" candlestick means bullish reversal of trends STOP LOSSES ARE VERY IMPORTANT IN BEAR MARKETS d.stockcharts.com
BITFINEX:ETHUSDLong
by MarketMinds
Rising rates: Why is the 30 year yield so low? The 30 year treasury yield has traded under 3.25% for almost 4 years now. The Fed continues to hike rates on a quarterly basis and Trump is unhappy about rising rates. Every day we hear how the economy is 'in great shape', and jobs data is 'as good as it gets'. More significantly what is pushing up rates are increased treasury issuance and the Fed's accelerating Quantitative Tightening. So all in all why isn't the 30 year yield closer to 4% like it was only four years ago? For several years the market has priced in low expectations for the long term. The yield curve continues to flatten towards the lowest spreads since leading up to the great recession. (28 basis points on the 30-5 spread and 30 points on the 10-2 spread). At this rate the curve could flatten or invert in 6 to 12 months. An inverted yield curve historically is followed by economic recession. What's your thoughts?
TVC:US30Y
by dime
2
Musk put a car into space, but can he send TSLA to the stars?Hey guys, YoungShkreli in the house Let me just say that Elon Musk is truly an inspiration to me. I've read two books about him, watched many interviews and I can't name you many more people more impressive alive today. He works ALL the time, he's brilliant and he's easily the most ambitious person on the planet (hence why he is trying to leave). That said, as I've mentioned before, this bull run in the broader economy won't last forever and TSLA will struggle massively in the next recession if it can't be profitable in such a bullish period. It is speculative at best and dangerous financially at worst. If you buy TSLA, you aren't long the automobiles, you are long Elon Musk. Right now, there is nothing good about TSLA in terms of its valuation. It's an INCREDIBLE company, but it is not the wisest investment decision. TSLA stock could hit VERY low lows in the coming recession, so I would suggest everyone stay away until TSLA achieves a profitability represented by such a high evaluation. SUMMARY: I am not saying to anyone to short TSLA. In fact, I would implore you not to because firstly, it's a wonderful company, and secondly, it's the most shorted stock in the US and maybe the world. When there are that many short-sellers, there's potential for a massive short squeeze. So, stay away from TSLA, but hope that it survives. Good luck bros, YoungShkreli
NASDAQ:TSLA
by CantorTechnologies
FTSE 100 July 24thSo much is still happening in the Market and yesterday we saw another day of volatility off the back of a spat between Trump and Iran. The problem for Trump arises from overusing threatening language will eventually result in getting used to it as Hot air and Rhetoric. Given this view, we may now be able to focus on the Fundamentals rather than geopolitics. With a continuing weaker pound and earnings season potentially showing further profitable accounts, we may have a bullish few weeks. The Chinese also have managed to offset some of the cost of the trade wars by allowing a weaker Yuan which could also be positive for the World Economy and subsequently the FTSE. To the Chart What we are seeing is a Market that continues to hold up. However we have conflicting patterns as we have an inverted Head and Shoulders which is Bullish and also a near term Rising Wedge, which though could break either way, is more likely to result in bearish price action. My advise is to play the extremes of the pattern until it breaks. When it does eventually break we should have plenty of chance to ride a decent wave.
TVC:UKX
by DollarsNSense
Wallmart Full of PotentialAmazon is no sleeping giant, Amazon took up 44 percent of all U.S. online retail sales in 2017 — and 4 percent of America's total retail sales — according to data released by One Click Retail last month. Although Amazon looks like it will take over the world, the Idea that there will be no competition is not realistic. Walmart is a very consistent company with returns on the majority of its promises. Walmart has faced lots of competition since its founding in 1962 and will outperform amazon 5 years from now. I believe this will be because of an increase of online sales for wall mart faster than amazon. Walmart also has major development in china and is able to profit off of China's growing middle class. Investors also forget to realize that online e-commerce is only 20% of global sales. The remaining 80% is done by traditional brick and mortar stores. From a Technical standpoint Walmart looks due for a price correction. Walmart is down 34% since its highs on January 30th. With the high speculation on amazon I believe Walmart will continue to correct until it hits a lower Fibonacci level. With high levels of support from 70-80$ I doubt Wall mart will go below these levels. I expect a wedge to form or Walmart to bounce off the Fibonacci level around 75$. I expect Wallmar6t to outperform amazon by 2025 and have a bigger steak in Asian countries and Online retail.
NYSE:WMTLong
by CryptoColm
1
AION/USD - This Is Why We Need Market Autonomy!Whats up fellow trader's and Crypto Heads! Our CIO Mike has been a bit under the weather lately and we had a follower request to take a look at AION so, I'll be stepping in for him today! Anywho, this will be a quick one, but it's a beautiful example of one of the reasons we need more banking licensed exchanges with higher volumes of crypto to fiat pairs! But Fiat Is Evil!!! I mean...you're not wrong, but its a necessary one for now. I've overlayed the BTC/USDT 13 bar EMA on top of our AION/USD chart to show why. Notice some similarities here? This is one of the major problems plaguing strong crypto projects these days, the lack of a low volatility trading pairs (fiat/crypto). The unfortunate reality is that until the space has more fiat pairs, we'll keep seeing this reliance on bitcoin price. And one of the most troubling things about this is not just the fact the price moves when BTC does, its the fact that this is not representative of sentiment, but rather just an inevitable binary result of only having btc pairs. Anywho, I'll hop off my soapbox now; just thought this was a particularly clear example of how restrictive bitcoin pairs are affecting price more than actual sentiment. Anywho, AION has some interesting things going on right now, I'm short term bearish, but the long term trend is definitely slowing its rate of decrease and shifting momentum. The Good Our prior trend's long term overhead resistance was tested successfully as a new support Medium-High Strength support in $1.82 to &1.77 range Neutral Volume has been sliding for over a month and still is, but the ROC is slowing down significantly Stochastic of the OBV is trying for a rally, but I believe a breakout is unlikely The Bad BTC/USDT double topped and is swinging down, lower volume markets likely to follow Normalized MACD & RSI below zero, and decreasing - Extremely bearish sign Possibly approaching neckline of Minor H&S, if we dont bounce a slide is imminent Breakou above Andrew's Pitchfork 50 line was unsuccesful Final Thoughts AION in my opinion is a strong project but like much of the market its being pulled along in the wake of whales fighting it out in the BTC markets. I wont be bullish unless we see a breakout and two bars close in the $2.25 to $2.32 range. $1.75 will be another important price point to watch, if we have a double close below there I wouldnt be surprised in the slightest to see an impulsive move to the downside, possibly as low as $1.50 ***TV doesn't seem to like my layered OBV stochastic and it disappeared but the linreg shows the range and trend direction well enough for these purposes. DISCLOSURE: This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk! Austin Doyle CTO
AShort
by UnknownUnicorn1613901
1
Where is the new money? This is a update to my idea "Bull trap? Return to normal OR Return to mean", linked at the bottom. I have been watching the Weekly of Bitcoin. I am following up on a previous idea, where I was looking out for bitcoin to fall below the 50 week MA, which happened last week. Assuming bitcoin is continuing a downtrend to 4900 these are some potential bounce points that I think a lot of traders are eye balling. I expect there to be some reaction to 6500 - 6900. I am not confident that we can get back past 7600-7800 area as a lot of speculating bulls got trapped during the breakout of the downward trendline. There's probably a lot of selling pressure from folks looking to exit recent bad positions at around 8200 and above. I did some basic fundamental analysis of crypto. Here are the top 3 coins as of writing (I ignore XRP), and the amount of 'new money' required to enter the market each week to cover the new coins added to the supply. BTC $89,460,000 ETH $73,500,000 BCH $11,340,000 So to cover the number of new coins from the top 3, $174,300,000 of new money needs to be pumped into the market every week. At the moment, I personally think this figure sounds way too high which is why the bear market has continued and dropped below the 50MA. The is exasperated with the fact a lot of money is flowing to other crypto like EOS and ERC Tokens rather that BTC. I am expecting BTC to bounce back up to the 50MA. This coincides with the fib at around 7600 - 7800 and maybe a cross over of the 20/50 MA. This could be too much resistance at that level for BTC to go much higher.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by bitzoo
19
GBPAUD weekly outlook Technical and fundamental.If the price fails to break the current level at 1.7912, the price will break a descending triangle where the abcd pattern will be invalid, and a 5 wave sequence will be active, where 1.88300 will be the end of intermediate wave (5). if we look at the RSI, a bullish hidden divergence have occurred. ( keep in mind that the RSI leg can be extended, before a trend reversal) this could mean that the price have a short term bearish run. A short position can be taken if the descending triangle is broken, where a break of the triangle, will also be a break of a rising wedge, this will make a strong position, as there is two technical factors in play. the TP will be at 1.75950 where TP2 is at 1.73230 level. _________ Tuesday may 22: GBP: Public sector net borrowing is expected to rise from -0,3 B to 7,2 B. ( Which is bad for the currency ) The results from the last couple of years in May have been quite high, i therefore expect that the numbers this year also will end up high, around the consensus. At the same day we have inflation report hearing. CBI industrial order expectation are also expected to fall short, from 4 to 2. Wednesday May 23: AUD: Construction work done q/q is released where the result is expected to rise from -19,4% to 1,3% ( the release gives early insight into the GDP numbers that are released 1 week later ) the numbers from the last couple of years have been bad. GBP: CPI y/y are expected to hold a steady level at 2,5 % which is good, but taking in mind that from the beginning of 2018 the CPI data have been falling where the last two consensus have failed to meet expectations. PPI Input m/m are expected to rise from -0,1% to 1,1% which is greater than the last year's numbers at 0,1%. RPI y/y are also expected to increase from 3,3% to 3,4% where last years numbers where 3,5%. Core CPI y/y, PPI output m/m, is expected to increase 0,1%. Thursday May 24: GBP: BOE Gov Carney speaks, where Retail sales m/m is released the same day. the numbers are expected to rise from -1,2% to 0,8% where last years numbers where 2,3%. Friday May 25: GBP: Second estimate GDP is expected to hold a steady level at 0,1%. this is less than the last couple of years numbers with 0,2%, 0,4% and 0,3% in May 2015. Prelim business investments q/q is also expected to fall short from 0,3% to 0,2% which is less than last years 0,6% in may. this is still greater than last quarter 0,0% BOE gov carney speaks again the day. _____________ The price have had a uptrend the last couple of months, where a rising wedge formation have occured. the price have produced a abcd pattern, where a break up from the descending triangle could leed the price to a intermediate wave count, where the last leg up will end at the 1.88300. this is also supported by the hidden bullish divergence in RSI. ( the RSI downtrend could be extended) while a break down from the descending triangle will also mean a break of the rising wedge, this could get the price to go down to the 1.75950 level and a break of this could make the price go to 1.73230. I expect the prices to fall where the economic data the coming weeks will fail to meet the expectations. if the numbers turning out to be positive, and brexit talks is going further in Britains favor, the price could extend its wave count and continue with the 5 leg up.
Short
by Fx-AlphaStrats
KNC/BTC - double bullish divergence + FAKNC/BTC TP1: .0003700 TP2: .0004350 TP3: .0006500 SL: .0002250 After KNC was listed on Bithumb we saw a massive run up as expected. Now we have found a double bottom with two weak bullish divergences indicating upside to come. If you took profit on the bithumb listing this is excellent entry. Our first strong resistance is at .0003. Another level to watch is at TP1 and TP2 at the top and bottom of the resistance box. If there is a good set up we can have a chance at TP3. Fundamentally we have a re-branding next month as well as a ICOs listed on the KNC DEX. *educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Long
by Maximilian108
This Is Why You Need to "Buy and Hold" EOS Starting Now...Everyone else covers extensively on the technical aspect of EOS. I am going to combine both Value Analysis with Technical Aspect and predict what's going to happen in the Month of May. Why did I use "Short" instead "Long"? That's because controversial tags catch attention! Why "Buy and Hold" instead of market timing between NOW and until end of May? *First of all, let me just say that I can understand why you want to timing the market (because you want to maximize profit buy high and sell low). This is good and all, but what I want to tell you right now is that EOS is extremely bullish at the moment if you sell low (on a relative price) you will need to chase it back due to FOMO. Your downside risk in May at the current price of $17 is VERY Limited. Your lower support include a very strong support line at $16 and $15.40. *Airdrops on May 10th and May 15th... Google it on the Internet. Register your wallet and take your EOS tokens off the exchange! (Price will rise) *Intrinsic value is VERY high even just using it as a basic web service and a database! Compare EOS with Google Compute Engine on the Google Platform or Amazon's AWS. Amazon's AWS revenue is public info and then convert that to market cap. We are severely undervalued even if we IGNORE the Blockchain aspect! CONCLUSION It makes no sense and illogic to SELL or SHORT below $25. If you truly believe EOS is the Ethereum Killer, this baby's gonna worth at least $80 (based on Ethereum's current price) in one year! By the way, people are so afraid to be responsible for what they say they keep on saying, not financial advice and bluh, bluh, bluh. Listen, what I have done is a Fundamental Value Analysis outside of Technical Aspect. You need to believe in math and Dan L. What's the worst case? You use or stake EOS network as a basic web service and enjoy! (Still a tremendous value) Press "Like" if you think my reasoning is correct!
BITFINEX:EOSUSDShort
by ChristopherPrunus
22
$WABI the leaping frog! [ Mid - long term ]**UPDATE** I apologize for the way the chart looks. I forgot to clean it up and TV doesn't allow changes.** What's up traders! Here are my thoughts on WABI and why I am very bullish on this alt coin. Most of my analysis is based on FA. TA was used to find an entry point. #1.) Low market cap. We are at 48mil and WABI has seen a high of 172mil in the past ($6.00 +/-). We are slowly grinding up to 90mil which will place us in that $2.00 range. #2.) Psychological support at $1.00 has been set. #3.) This is a working product. Check out their website and view their roadmap. This shit is real! Over 200 sku products will be working with WABI this summer to prevent counterfeit of infant formula, cosmetics and alcohol. These 3 are some of the largest industries in the world! TA analysis All my analysis is showing that WABI has been on an upward trend and I don't believe it will reverse anytime soon. I may consider profit taking as soon as we hit the $2.20 range (40% of my bag and let the rest ride). In my opinion, this is one of the easiest trades of 2018. I hope you all do well in this QTR. Please, don't forget to take profits. I made that mistake in the past and it fucking sucks. Let's not make that mistake again. Be patient, don't get greedy and never stop learning. GL! ****
WLong
by Crypto_pimp2
USD/JPY short long term swingI'm going to be watching usd/jpy like a hawk for the next few weeks. Many fundamentals are going to need to be considered at this time along with our technical analysis. There is a potential to see a strong yen leading into possible regulations on artificial weakening of Asian currencies. This plays in with the key levels we have been watching. We saw a push to 107.500 key level on NFP day leading to a nice rejection. Long term we are looking to see price break 105.500 key monthly support, this would most likely lead to a drop to around the 101.100 area for about 400 pips. But time will tell and patients will pay:)
Short
by tower47