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ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETFInvestment Thesis ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (SVXY) is a fund that allows you to bet on a decline in volatility with a 0.5x ratio. That is, with a 10% decrease or increase in volatility, this fund will respond with a 5% movement in the opposite direction. Volatility has significantly increased amid uncertainty due to mutual tariffs between the U.S. and the rest of the world. This presents good opportunities for opening long positions in SVXY. The risk/reward ratio looks attractive, given that current VIX quotes are near the levels reached during the correction amid the pandemic in 2020. It is also worth noting that the share of S&P 500 components above the 50-day moving average is at local lows, which historically happens rarely and may signal a local potential for market recovery, and thus, a decline in the level of "fear" in the market. In the base case scenario, we expect that countries will be able to reach agreements regarding the imposed tariffs, which will smooth out the overall impact on the U.S. economy and lead to a reduction in market uncertainty. Target price – $46.8 Recommendation – Buy Upside potential – 28% We recommend setting a stop-loss at the level of $29.9.
CBOE:SVXYLong
by FreedomHolding
ATPC’s Selling Pressure Eases an Shows Signs of AccumulationAgape ATP Corporation (NASDAQ: ATPC) has seen a noticeable shift in its trading dynamics in recent weeks, as technical indicators point to a subsiding of selling pressure and early signals of possible fund accumulation. Following a volatile start to 2025, the stock is now displaying signs of base-building that could pave the way for a potential recovery. From Capitulation to Consolidation The counter experienced sharp declines earlier in the year, with a significant drop towards the $0.90 level in early March – a move that bore hallmarks of panic selling or capitulation. However, since hitting this low, the stock has stabilised and is now trading steadily within the $1.04–1.05 range. This stabilisation, coupled with narrower daily candle ranges and subdued volume, suggests that the worst of the selling pressure may now be behind. Adding to this view are recent candlesticks with extended lower wicks – a classic signal of buying interest emerging on dips. The price action appears to be forming a technical base, potentially supported by buyers absorbing selling flows at lower levels. Signs of Institutional Interest While the price remains below its longer-term moving averages (MA120 at $1.38 and MA250 at $2.69), the flattening of shorter-term moving averages – MA5 ($1.034), MA10 ($1.031), and MA20 ($1.045) – is worth noting. These moving averages are now converging, hinting at a possible shift in momentum from bearish to neutral, or even bullish, if confirmed by subsequent price action. A spike in volume observed in late February also lends credence to the idea of accumulation. Unlike speculative volume surges that tend to be followed by erratic moves, the stock’s ability to retain its gains and enter into consolidation territory suggests that stronger hands may be quietly positioning themselves. The relatively modest turnover reading of 0.007 also supports this theory, indicating that accumulation may be occurring under the radar, without triggering undue volatility – a method often employed by institutional participants. Key Levels to Monitor The $1.00 level has emerged as a psychological and technical support zone, holding firm despite previous attempts to break lower. On the upside, traders and investors alike should watch for a clean break above the MA20 at $1.045, which could invite further momentum. A decisive move beyond the $1.10–1.15 resistance range, ideally accompanied by a pick-up in volume, would strengthen the bullish outlook and likely confirm fund-backed buying interest. Conclusion ATPC is currently at an interesting technical juncture. With selling pressure appearing to ease and signs of quiet accumulation beginning to surface, the stock may be transitioning from a downtrend into a potential recovery phase. Investors looking for early positioning may wish to monitor upcoming volume and price movements closely, particularly as the stock tests its short-term resistance levels.
NASDAQ:ATPCLong
by HASHInvests200
BLK - Strong uptrend is intact with new highs Upward trend, which started from the covid bottom of 2020, continues. The total assets managed by the company reached 11.5 trillion USD, with an annual increase of 2.4 trillion USD. The company increased its quarterly revenues by 15% to $5.197 billion, exceeding expectations of $5.007 billion. Earnings per share for the last quarter were $11.46, above expectations of $10.38. The shares of the company, which announced a net profit of $1.6 billion in this quarter, exceeded the 2021 high level of $970 and reached $990, and its current market cap is $147 billion. The stock, which has a dividend yield of 2%, is trading with a price-earnings ratio of 24.
NYSE:BLKLong
by murat_cal
BlackRock and other funds in cryptoBlackRock has significantly increased its investment in Bitcoin over the past year. This is partly due to strategic partnerships with MicroStrategy and Coinbase. As of April 2024, BlackRock holds 274,462k BTC worth $17 billion in its spot Bitcoin ETF. This amount is more than MicroStrategy, which holds 193k BTC. It is important to note that MicroStrategy was previously the top institutional Bitcoin investor, but now the BlackRock ETF has surpassed it in terms of BTC. In light of the rapid development of financial markets and constant changes in the global economy, funds are attracting particular attention. These financial organizations are not only key players on the global investment scene but also become significant drivers of future narratives and trends. From venture capital to investment banks, funds are actively involved in shaping the direction of markets and industries. They are the ones who vote with their money, determining which ideas and projects will receive funding and in which sectors of the economy we will see the next round of innovation and growth. Therefore, studying the actions and decisions of funds becomes an exciting task for investors and analysts and an essential tool for anticipating future economic and social trends. Funds are legal organizations that raise money for specific developing projects. Their main goal is to profit from investment, which is achieved by receiving a certain percentage of coins with the help of financing rounds from the total number of coins to be issued. In addition, the financing determines the price at which the fund invests in the project and the time of partial or full unlocking of the received coins for the funding in the project. Let's consider the activity indicator of funds and the categories of projects they invested in last year. The activity rate of investment funds in projects is currently high compared to the average monthly activity over the last 12 months. The following categories were the most invested in over the six months: NFT, 25.86%; Data Service, 21.29%; Artificial Intelligence (AI), 20.53%; DEX, 18.25%; and Play to Earn (GameFi), 14.07%. The most active funds over the past year: Monthly investment of funds over the last year: Where the most active investors have invested over the past year: Portfolios of large investors as of 29.04.2024 Please note that these investor portfolios may not fully reflect their assets; they only reflect those that have been identified to date by researching the blockchain and aggregating their cold wallets. Some of the more prominent investors such as Amber Group, DWF Labs, Wintermute, Jump Trading, Cumberland, GSR have a large amount of stablecoins on their cold wallets, indicating their willingness to continue accumulating their own assets during market downturns to build their influence, as well as to continue investing in projects. Pay attention also to companies that have a large amount of Ethereum, they can start exchanging ETH for other currencies using platforms like Uniswap, PancakeSwap, SushiSwap, and so on. An altcoin index indicates that the market is still dominated by Bitcoin. It is worth accumulating altcoins along with large capitals before Bitcoin's dominance starts to fall and the altcoin market blooms in new colors. BlackRock and tokenization BlackRock, one of the world's largest asset managers, is showing significant interest in cryptocurrency, specifically Real World Assets (RWA) tokenization. They have launched the BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL) to invest in cash, US Treasuries. This fund is represented by the BUIDL token, which is fully backed by these assets and provides returns paid daily via blockchain rails to token holders. As reported by Forbes, the move is part of BlackRock's broader strategy to tokenize $10 trillion of its assets. Ondo Finance, a tokenized real assets (RWA) platform, improved its offerings by using BlackRock's BUIDL fund. Ondo Finance transferred the reserve assets of its US Treasury-backed token OUSG to BlackRock's BUILD. This decision aimed to provide instant settlement of the OUSG token, which was previously backed by the BlackRock iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF, which only traded during traditional market hours. The move to BUIDL allowed for instant settlement on any day. This collaboration between Ondo Finance and BlackRock demonstrates the convergence of traditional finance and cryptocurrencies: institutional players such as BlackRock actively participate in the cryptocurrency and RWA markets. It also highlights the potential for tokenization to improve settlement times and increase accessibility for a wider range of investors. BlackRock is setting an example to some other large investors on how to tokenize their assets through cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology. BlackRock has also significantly increased its investment in Bitcoin over the past year. This is partly due to strategic partnerships with MicroStrategy and Coinbase. As of April 2024, BlackRock holds 274462 BTC worth $17 billion in its spot Bitcoin ETF. This amount is more than MicroStrategy, which holds 193k BTC. It is important to note that MicroStrategy was previously the top institutional Bitcoin investor, but now the BlackRock ETF has surpassed it in terms of BTC. BlackRock Strategy BlackRock's bitcoin investment strategy includes partnerships with major players in the cryptocurrency space. For example, in 2023, BlackRock and Coinbase announced a partnership that will give BlackRock's institutional clients direct access to cryptocurrency trading, custody, prime brokerage, and reporting capabilities. The move was a significant step towards institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin. BlackRock also has many stablecoins, which shows that it is ready to continue investing in altcoins. We expect a further market decline soon. Using Wintermute as an example, we can see how they are already here and now, preparing for the market decline, transferring their stablecoins to acquire altcoins further whenever possible, and exchanging Ethereum for stablecoins via Uniswap. Conclusion: Big Capital is preparing for a big altcoin fall and is emphasizing investing in RWA, NFT, Data Service, and AI. Large investment funds are preparing to tokenize their assets, and BlackRock, led by Larry Fink, is setting an example for other large investment funds. Following them, other funds are tokenizing their portfolios, but they are already on the paved rails. If you want to see more info on the funds, here's the link, platform.arkhamintelligence.com You can see my portfolio at the link below. Best regards EXCAVO
by EXCAVO
10
CAMS - A good buy for this yearCAMS Bharat’s largest registrar and transfer agent of mutual funds has given it's highest ever quarterly sales and profit ever which are 269 crs and 86 crs respectively. Also the chart patterns shows a reverse head and shoulder pattern. So we have a stock which is posting it's best ever numbers in its balance sheet which are supported by strong chart patterns. The stock is not at lifetime high also which makes it less riskier for investment purpose. Buy at current levels of 2882 and sell at 3890. The target price is within it's lifetime high. It will give a 35% returns. Hope you like my analysis. Please invest after your own analysis. Do like and follow. Thank you.
NSE:CAMSLong
by ronak16125
Aditya AMC quarterly result tradeAditya Birla Sun Life AMC Ltd the company of the old and prestigious Birla group has posted its best ever quarterly result with highest sales and net profit. The quarterly has profit has increased to 209 crore and its growth is supported by the accelerated growth of whole mutual fund industry. The target price is 700 for about 47% potential gain It is a high potential company because of the following factors- Return on capital employed >30 Debt to equity <0.1 Net profit preceding 12months >500 Net Profit latest quarter >100 Please do your own analysis before investing or trading. Thank you and do like and follow if you like my analysis.
NSE:ABSLAMCLong
by ronak16125
S&P500: Moving to the DowOverview I decided it was time to start taking control of my own retirement account. For years my account has been pulling in mediocre gains and the only reason I've put up with it for so long is because: 1) it took me years to hone my trading skills and 2) my employer matches my contributions. Well, after reviewing my available fund allocations and performing a quick technical analysis of the respective funds, I decided to pull completely out of the S&P500 ( SP:SPX ) and placed them into the Dow Jones ( DJ:DJI ). Technical Analysis SP:SPX A double top has appeared on the 1W chart. Combined with dwindling volume on top of increasing value, I think it's ready to fall. Utilizing Fibonacci retracements I believe a good time to re-enter the S&P 500 will be in the range of $2200-$3200 USD. DJ:DJI While it is still slightly early to confirm, it appears that the Dow Jones has escaped the double-top and in my opinion looks coiled up and ready to spring. Utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels -- supported by increasing volume with rising value -- $56.8K appears to be a practical price target.
SP:SPXShort
by Shepherd_Investor
CAMS- 74% potential gain and moreAs mutual fund industry is growing in our country and Reliance also entering the segment companies like CAMS are a good investment. SOME IMPORTANT POINTS because it should be bought: - 1) The company is trading at 42% lower price than its lifetime high. 2) Potential gain of 74% till lifetime high. 3) It has a low P/E ratio in comparison to its competitors. 4) It has consistently increased its revenue and net profit every year from the last decade. 5) Company has been maintaining healthy ROCE of 62.32% over the past 3 years. 6) Campany is virtually debt free. The company will probably beat its previous lifetime high and make a new one in the near future. It may give manifold returns in 5-10 years. Thank you for reading it till the last. Hope it was an effective read.
NSE:CAMSLong
by ronak16125
1
NAM_INDIA excellent buy for long termNAM_INDIA is the largest player in asset management services in Bharat. The current level of the stock is a strong resistance. If broken it will give good returns in both short term and long term as mutual fund industry is growing at bullet speed in India. Some important points, it should be bought now are:- 1) Current PE ratio is 23.4 while lifetime median PE ratio is 27.8. 2) Last two years net profit of the company was highest ever. 3) Company is almost debt free. 4) Stock is providing a good dividend yield of 3.57%. 4) Promoter holding is strong 73.6% which means they believe in the growth potential of the company. 5) The company is present in 16 Indices. 6) Company has a healthy Return on Equity (ROE) track record of 22.93%.
NSE:NAM_INDIALong
by ronak16125
1
Stop Trading the Fed Funds RateThe fed usually hikes into growth and eases when it realizes the economy is too weak to absorb the impact of the hikes, so historically stocks usually rise as the hiking begins and crashes when the fed takes their foot off the pedal. This time the fed is late. They hike as the housing market is brought to its knees and the economy is slowing. Equities are down, but this is not due to recession expectations. The bond market has reacted to rate hikes, bond yields rise, the discount rate affects the equity market by eating away at their earnings targets. The higher the yield is, the more your company has to make than that in growth to give incentive to invest in it over just holding fixed income. Rate hikes have many systemic effects like this that increase the cost of credit and directly impact the equity market. If you're holding risk assets you're better off with the Fed holding the line with the hikes in the short term. In the longer term we are screwed no matter what levers the fed pulls. Monetary magic can not save the economy now. Easing or slowing the hikes (which isn't my prediction, but a market's hope) would be a signal to another group of market participants that we haven't seen sell anything yet who are trading based off of what easing signals. So far equities have only reacted to changes in the discount rate. They have not started pricing in a recession and current price action is a bet on temporary economic contraction with no hard landing. Three different recession, three different initial conditions, same market behavior: The probability of a soft landing is zero percent. The mystery of this market isn't the direction it's how low it's actually going to go. The more funny retail money enters this market, the higher the chance we could see unprecedented drawdowns far worse than anyone so far has expected. Everyone in retail, their aunt, uncle, grandma, and dog, is trading speculatively based off the fed funds rate. They believe that a change in the pace of hikes or basis point increases will breathe life into the economy. They have not traded a market like this before. If you think the economy can recover without a crash, park into cash and sit this one out. Stop listening to these talking heads in mainstream media telling you everything will be ok. You are the customer and the product holding up their portfolio as they exit leaving you holding the bag.
AMEX:SPYShort
by coinhoIio
2
Nifty's negative breakdownNifty 50 today has Breakdown 50 DEMA. And also closed than 50 DEMA. i.e., 31.49 points lower. (Point B) On 16th September 2022 itself Nifty 50 has Breakdown from its previous trend (point A). Today its breakdown from 50 DEMA shown that market is moving downwards. Looking into previous strong supports two levels can be recognized 1. Around 16800. (200 DEMA) 2. 16000. psychological level. Apart from those two. Another bearish level is 14800 (But for that too much negativity must prevail in overall environment). Both the levels of NIFTY 50 are good to accumulate for index fund , till then stay with cash.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by nimish3274
SPX Vs FEDFUNDS - NOT BEAR MARKET YETAs you can see on the chart - everytime the FedFunds have topped and consolidated - stocks topped aswell and started its own bear market. Now, what we think is a top on SPX, may have been just a strong push which was later strongly corrected. FedFunds haven't yet topped out and entered into consolidation here - although it is really near. Based on that - highly likely to still see wonders before really declining. Summary - Market knows what's coming and have reacted overly bearish. Once it gets exhausted with the bearishness, it may retest aths or even set new ones before entering the real bear market leading to recession and depression. Stay safe !
SP:SPXLong
by TheSecretsOfTrading
BTCUSDTAccording to the previous analysis, Bitcoin is pulling back to the midline of the ascending channel in the range of 21500 to 21700 after breaking its main support areas, and on the other hand, it is facing the middle resistances of the fork and the 1-hour trend line, and since it has been able to more than from 50% of the previous rising wave, it is more likely to continue the downward trend to the bottom of the channel around the psychological range of 20000, which is symmetrical with the main middle line of the fork, but considering the return from the 0.618 Fibonacci level, if it crosses the 21700 resistance range Its main level is 23,000, and upon its failure, the confirmation of the start of the upward rally up to the range of 28,400 is issued. Today, the main economic data is the announcement of the interest rate increase for the fifth time in 2022, which increases or decreases the rate 8 times a year. According to most experts, this rate increase will be 0.75% and will bring the interest rate to 2.5%, and as it is clear in the interest rate graph, 2.5 is the interest rate ceiling in 2019, but if the Federal Reserve Like the European Union, there is a surprise on the way and it increases the interest rate by 1%, this resistance has been broken and it can grow up to the previous ceiling of 5% that happened in 2006-2007 (that is, technically at this level? 😁) On the other hand, yesterday's economic data, which was the index of consumer confidence and the sale of newly built houses, was significantly lower than the previous period and the expectations of experts (it should be noted that Mr. Biden, who these days has improved the good behavior of the locksmith 😜), it was announced that this data shows a decrease There is a strong demand in the market, and this can be the factor influencing the further increase of the interest rate by the Federal Reserve, because the main determining factors in the American economy are data, not leadership and oversight, and the Federal Reserve and the government operate independently. With these words, in general, it is more likely that the market will continue to fall, although we are in the most difficult market conditions and new data can affect the market conditions at any moment.
Short
by MrHunterTradeInsight
3
🔥 Bitcoin & The Federal Funds Rate: An Easy ExplanationEver since the FED has been talking about interest rates, I see questions popping up on social media where investors ask why the federal funds rate (also known as the FED interest rate) is so important for the stock and crypto markets. With this post I'd like to write an easy understandable explanation on what the FED funds rate is and why it is important. What is the FED funds rate? The FED funds rate is the interest rate set by the FOMC (the committee of the FED). This interest rate targets the rate at which commercial banks in the USA can lend and borrow excess money to each other. Higher rates means it's more expensive to borrow money for banks, lower rates make it cheaper. Why is it so important? The FOMC changes the rate in order to control inflation. Higher rates reduce the money supply because money is more expensive to get (borrow), whilst lower rates increase the money supply because it encourages spending. The latter has happened during the 2008 Financial crisis and the more recent Corona crisis. Encouraging people to spend money generally helps the economy. Rule of thumb: if the economy is in good shape, higher interest rates are needed to control inflation. If the economy is in bad shape, lower interest rates will encourage people to spend and can help turn things around. Should I be afraid of it? Generally, no. As seen on the BTC chart above, the only time that the FED has increased the rates it did not have a bearish effect on BTC. However, this was done during a period of lower inflation than we currently have. To combat the current inflation rates, the FED needs to increase the rate at a much faster and higher rate than what we have seen in the past 30 years. During the 1980's the interest rate was set to 20% in order to combat strong inflation, I'd argue the FED has to do that as well if they don't raise the raids much faster this year. The imposed rate hikes of 0.25% every meeting are not enough to reduce the 10% year-over-year inflation. In case the FED decides to raise the rates with big steps (>1% per meeting), this can definitely have a huge impact on the stock- and crypto-markets. It will become much more expensive for banks to borrow (and invest) money since money will become more scarce. There's no immediate danger for the markets. However, if inflation spirals out of control because the FED decides not to act (keep the rates low), they'd have to increase the rates much higher and quicker than everyone anticipates, which will trigger a big sell-off in the markets. In my view, this will be the start of the next crypto bear-market. The FED interest rates are most definitely an interesting, but also difficult topic. If you think that I've skipped an important part, please share your knowledge in the comment section. The more people know about it, the better.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by FieryTrading
88
China’s Bitcoin Crackdown China’s Supreme Court has issued a ruling that specifies penalties for offenders who use cryptocurrency to raise funds. Penalties range up to 10 years in prison and fines of up to 500,000 yuan ($79,000). China’s years-long crackdown on cryptocurrency has stepped up another level, thanks to a new Supreme Court ruling that paves the way for fines and potentially lengthy jail sentences for citizens found guilty of fundraising via crypto tokens. Released earlier today, the Supreme Court’s decision specifies that “virtual currency” transactions used for raising funds can be prosecuted, with varying penalties available depending on the amount of money raised via the transactions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by rentooipili
AMC - Wild Child within Compressing Micros, Larger Range Friday's Price action was immaterial. Call chasers were rewarded off the 39s. The winners there took $10 - the "winners" were the same Funds of Size gaming the theaters. Apes who took their gains were in large Profit. Late chasers the follow-ons... who bought 50s, 45s... were smoked. The Jungle has a few days to close out the 48 and then 52 level. Memes abound, BTC acceptance... the entire Float churn... Triple digits.... Dangerous Herd behavior imho, set SELLs at levels, wait an see. A bankrupt Company traded through an insolvent Micro-Broker should end in an extreme decline in the near future. AMC has traded, consistently traded, inverse to the NQ. How much longer until this fails... anyone's WAG. Apes are growing in constitution in the belief/faith/hopes of a triple digit price level on MOASS. We shall see... we'll take the MoreASS opposing trade at the levels indicated - 48 - 52 Sells with the stop @ 57.12. Gamers return with more Call buying this week, how hard the Jungle can move it depends on the reaction @ 41.96. We'd like to see the Apes take their win, the issue is 95% always lose on these types of moves. Small investors getting damaged removes Liquidity... not something we ever want to have happen. It will again. -HK
NYSE:AMC
by HK_L61
6