Markets revolve around US-China, GOLD seeks new peaksAs Powell's warnings about the impact of the trade war increased market volatility, US stocks and the US dollar fell sharply and gold prices hit new highs.
Powell warned that the central bank may have less flexibility to quickly mitigate the economic impact of President Donald Trump's trade war, comments that sent stocks lower on Wednesday. Powell reiterated that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates and that it would be "better to wait until the situation becomes clearer before considering any adjustments to the policy stance." He also acknowledged that the Fed could face a difficult situation where its two policy goals of price stability and maximum employment conflict, as Trump's tariffs could push up U.S. inflation and slow economic growth.
OANDA:XAUUSD have risen nearly $700/ounce, or nearly 28%, this year, driven by tariff disputes, expectations of interest rate cuts and strong central bank buying, outpacing the 27% gain in 2024.
Gold prices have continued to rise as the escalating trade war raises concerns of a global recession. At the same time, the Trump administration is preparing to pressure other countries to limit trade with China in response to US tariffs in US-China trade talks.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday ordered an investigation into possible tariffs on all critical minerals imported into the United States, marking a new escalation in his dispute with global trading partners and an effort to pressure China. The latest escalation in tensions between the world’s two largest economies has hurt sentiment in financial markets overall, sending investors fleeing to safe-haven assets like gold.
However, a profit-taking or positive developments in US-China trade relations could trigger a sell-off. Therefore, readers/traders need to closely monitor developments surrounding the trade war to make timely changes in their trading plans to suit the market context.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to find and renew all-time highs with an absolutely supported uptrend in both the short, medium and long term. In the long term, the price channel will be set as the main trend with the main support from EMA21, while in the short term, gold is still in an uptrend with support from the 0.382% Fibonacci extension levels and the raw price point of 3,300USD right after.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is entering the overbought zone, a downward RSI below 80 would be considered a signal for a possible correction. Going forward, the trend and outlook for gold prices remain bullish, and declines should only be considered short-term corrections.
But this note will be important, in a market where assets (Gold) are overbought, making them a bubble, any correction will cause serious selling sentiment. As in the current context, we cannot know when the US-China war will cool down, and any positive move around this war will cause selling sentiment in the gold market, which is considered a traditional safe haven asset.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be listed again by the following positions.
Support: 3,303 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,337 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3396 - 3394⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3400
→Take Profit 1 3388
↨
→Take Profit 2 3382
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3309 - 3311⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3305
→Take Profit 1 3317
↨
→Take Profit 2 3323
Future
11 April Nifty50 trading zone #Nifty50
99% working trading plan
👉Gap up open 22660 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 22818, 23118
👉Gap up open 22660 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22492
👉Gap down open 22492 above 15m hold after positive trade target 22658, 22810 , 23118
👉Gap down open 22492 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22372
💫big gapdown open 22372 above hold 1st positive trade view
💫big Gapup opening 22818 below nigetive trade view
📌For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade
More education following me
(BTC) bitcoin "the case for bitcoin"Where is bitcoin going to be during this 2025 year. The image shows a blank canvas. The drawing untold, unknown for now? Where will the price move and how long will it take to move through the pattern, bearish? bullish? neutral? fire? ice? greener pastures? The graph showing what is being seen tends to see a rise in price once the price moves past the crossing of the blue lines but the purple and pink dotted lines are facing down with no indication that the price is moving neutrally in a recovery effort.
Bearish Structure & Gap Fill Target📊 Crude Oil Market Analysis – Bearish Structure & Gap Fill Target 🚨
📉 Crude oil is showing a bearish candle structure, indicating potential downside.
🔄 Bearish Outlook:
✅ Key Target: Price could drop to $67.31 to fill the gap.
✅ Bearish Confirmation: As long as price remains below the bearish candle formations, the trend stays bearish.
✅ Reversal Trigger: A breakout above the bearish candle structure would invalidate the bearish setup.
📌 Until a breakout occurs, the trend remains bearish! Watch price action closely.
Future Nearing.Been peeped Silver since 2023, watch as price rally above $42 soon. Especially with Gold topping out above $3K. The future, full of robotics and humanoids, is nearing. Who’s ready? Who’s scared? Who’s taking advantage of this opportunity?
Whatever happens, do not fomo, stay calculated.
(JASMY) JASMY "that sux"Jasmy losing like there is no tomorrow. The Elliott Wave prospects of Jasmy seem to have fallen through. The December price was what I wanted to believe was a peak of Elliott Wave patterns with two more to follow only slightly lower but this prolonged down angle on the chart is a bummer.
ETH has two pending CME Gaps#ETH #Analysis
Description
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+ ETH has two pending CME future gaps to filled.
+ First gap is around 2900-3400 range and second gap is around 2500-2600 range.
+ Sooner or later these CME gaps will get filled. I'm expecting Gap2 get filled in this or next month and Gap 1 in the second or third quarter.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
bluzelle (BLZ)bluzelle not doing so hot as of right now. In the past bluzelle was focused on gaming. Now the company is focused on DeSci, decentralized science and in particular a focus on aging or rather de-aging. There used to be a picture of Tesla on their page, now there are pictures of other people, less recognizable people to the naked eye, or unfamiliar to those within the inner circle of important people in history. Bluzelle is now involved in crowdfunding, and as we all know, funding is a tough business that usually fails to persist along with other more equitable projects. Academics and making money do not usually mix. Academics spends more money than they make.
HBAR/USDT: A Potential Super Long-Term Impulse Wave Take a look at this super long-term potential impulse wave for HBAR. This chart captures a massive Elliott Wave structure that could define the next big move in the crypto market.
We’re seeing the foundation of Wave 3, with the potential for a trend-defining breakout as HBAR progresses through its impulsive phases. The critical zone? A breach of the upper trend line would validate this structure and could signal higher highs on the horizon.
This isn’t just a week-to-week setup—it’s a multi-year roadmap. If the Hurst cycles align, we’re looking at one of the most promising long-term plays.
What’s your take? Do we see confirmation, or does this remain a dream scenario? Share your thoughts and follow for more long-term crypto insights! 🚀
Natural Gas Futures (4H) - ABCD Pattern Analysis and PRZ Levels"In this analysis of Natural Gas Futures (4H timeframe), we identify a bullish ABCD pattern that projects a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) around 394.5-395. Key highlights include:
ABCD Pattern: The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the BC leg aligns with the PRZ.
Current Price Action: Natural Gas is trading around 368.6, indicating a strong upward momentum.
Key Levels:
Resistance at 394.5 (PRZ zone).
Support levels marked at 365.2, 364.3, and 361.5.
Strategy Insight:
Traders may look for potential shorting opportunities at the PRZ (394.5) with confirmations.
Alternatively, breakouts above 394.5 could indicate further bullish movement toward 400+ levels.
This setup is ideal for monitoring reversal or continuation scenarios. Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators for better confirmation."
XRP: Poised at the Edge of Momentum – What's Next?The cryptocurrency market never sleeps, and XRP is the perfect reflection of this restless spirit. Currently trading at $2.8295, XRP finds itself teetering on the brink of a crucial breakout, with just a 2.9% gap from its all-time high of $2.9138, achieved 43 days ago. The question on every trader's mind: is this the moment of ignition, or will the asset take a breather?
Recent patterns highlight a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns reveal the persistence of increased buy volumes, though intermittent sell-offs indicate a battle for control. From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 74.95, signaling that XRP is flirting with overbought territory. Yet, this could either confirm a surge or warn of an impending pullback.
Fundamentally, Ripple’s ongoing legal clarity and the adoption of RLUSD stablecoin are boosting market confidence. Combined with the upward trend supported by key moving averages—MA50 at $2.5597 and MA100 at $2.5201—XRP could be primed for its next big leap.
Your Move: XRP's future is a coin flip between testing its psychological barriers at $3.00 and retracing to stronger support at $2.66. Are you ready to seize the opportunity as XRP prepares to define its next chapter? Stay tuned, as the market reveals its hand.
XRP Tradingmap: Patterns in Motion
Step 1: The Build-Up Begins - Buy Volumes Max (01:00 UTC)
The sequence kicks off with the "Buy Volumes Max" pattern. At this point, the price opened at $2.6765 and closed higher at $2.7918, signaling strong buying momentum. The main_direction was bullish, validated by the immediate follow-up pattern. This set the stage for the next price action.
Step 2: Rally Confirmed - Increased Buy Volumes (02:00 UTC)
True to the bullish call of the previous pattern, the price climbed further, opening at $2.7918 and closing higher at $2.8474. This confirms the integrity of the earlier pattern and keeps the bullish sentiment alive. Trigger points were respected as prices didn’t dip below the lows of the previous three bars ($2.6383). Confidence grows as buyers continue to dominate.
Step 3: Profit-Taking Warning - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (03:00 UTC)
Here comes a shift. The market signals caution with a "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern." Despite opening high at $2.8474, the price closed lower at $2.8304. The main_direction flipped bearish, and this was confirmed as the subsequent pattern saw a slight price drop. Traders who spotted this sell signal had a chance to lock in gains before the retracement deepened.
Step 4: Brief Reprieve - Increased Buy Volumes (17:00 UTC)
Bulls briefly regained control, as prices opened at $2.6146 and closed higher at $2.6553. However, the movement lacked the strength seen in earlier buy patterns. While the main_direction of this pattern was bullish, subsequent price action indicates that this bounce was fleeting—a classic bull trap for unprepared traders.
Step 5: The Market Takes a Turn - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (19:00 UTC)
The sell-off resumes with another VSA sell pattern. The price slid lower, respecting the bearish direction outlined earlier. Opening at $2.682 and closing at $2.6626, this pattern further solidified bearish control. Trigger points were cleanly activated as prices failed to regain previous highs, providing traders with an opportunity to ride the downtrend.
Step 6: Strategy Reset - The Bigger Picture Emerges
The sequence highlighted above demonstrates the power of reading patterns within a cohesive framework. Early buy signals paved the way for strong upward momentum, but the subsequent sell patterns hinted at deeper corrections. By following the roadmap, investors could have avoided traps and maximized profits during the transition from bullish to bearish phases.
What’s Next?
XRP’s roadmap reveals its inherent volatility. Each pattern offers insight into market behavior, but success comes from aligning these signals with a broader strategy. Stay tuned for the next move—will bulls or bears take the crown?
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels:
$2.6666 – First line of defense. If this level doesn’t hold, it’s likely to flip into resistance, attracting sellers like bees to honey.
$2.5783 – A deeper support level where buyers might regroup. If broken, expect it to act as a ceiling for any bounces.
$2.2748 – Critical zone for bulls to keep control. If this level is lost, momentum shifts decisively in favor of the bears.
$2.1349 – The market’s last-ditch effort to keep things afloat. Failure here could open the floodgates.
$1.9667 – A psychological barrier where value hunters might step in. But remember, if it cracks, it’s a wall on the way up.
Resistance Levels:
While the chart doesn’t scream significant resistance levels, any failed support will naturally transform into tough barriers for a comeback rally.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
$1.1047 – A long-term level where sellers are likely to dig in their heels. Watch for strong rejections here.
$0.5538 – Key zone for the long game. If this level is reached and rejected, the bears could strengthen their grip.
$0.5032 – An area that will attract big players if prices retrace this far. Keep an eye on the price action here.
$0.3646 – The fortress of resistance. If bulls manage to breach this, it’s a signal of a major shift in market sentiment.
Trading Strategies Using Rays: A Path Through the Fibonacci Framework
Concept of Rays
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" approach is a unique method that applies Fibonacci-based geometric principles to map the dynamics of price movement. These rays act as predictive tools, marking zones where significant price interactions occur—either signaling a continuation or a reversal. By focusing on interactions with these rays, traders can better gauge probabilities without attempting to pinpoint exact levels in a nonlinear financial system.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Constructed at mathematically significant angles starting from the initial movement, not extremum points. This increases accuracy in trending or corrective phases.
Dynamic Levels: These rays adapt to new patterns, automatically updating ranges for potential price movements.
Moving Averages as Dynamic Factors: Key levels align with Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200), providing strong zones of interaction.
Ascending and Descending Rays: These define movement boundaries, marking pathways for price to travel from one ray to another.
Optimistic Scenario
Entry Point: Interaction with a descending ray around $2.6666 (support). If the price bounces above this ray and confirms with a close above MA50 at $2.5597, the movement could head upward.
Target 1: $2.8295 – Interaction with the next ray above creates an opportunity to scale out partial profits.
Target 2: $2.9138 – Absolute high from recent history; a breakout here could extend gains toward higher Fibonacci levels.
Dynamic Factors: If RSI remains above 70 while interacting with ascending rays, the bullish scenario strengthens.
Pessimistic Scenario
Entry Point: Price interaction with an ascending ray near $2.6666, but fails to close above MA50, confirming bearish sentiment.
Target 1: $2.5783 – Initial support zone becomes the first profit target in the downtrend.
Target 2: $2.2748 – Second ray below and the next potential reaction level for a partial exit.
Target 3: $2.1349 – A critical area where price may consolidate or reverse.
Dynamic Factors: Watch for Moving Averages flipping into resistance zones, confirming further downward pressure.
Trade Ideas Using Rays
Long Trade from $2.6666 to $2.8295: Enter long when price interacts with the ray at $2.6666, confirming with a bullish close above MA50. Scale out at $2.8295, targeting the upper ray.
Short Trade from $2.6666 to $2.5783: Enter short if price interacts with $2.6666 but fails to break above MA50. Target $2.5783 for a clean exit at the next ray.
Breakout Trade above $2.9138: Go long if price cleanly breaks $2.9138, with a tight stop below the breakout candle. Use dynamic Fibonacci rays to set extended targets.
Reversal Trade at $2.1349: A bounce off the $2.1349 ray could signal a countertrend move. Enter with confirmation from price closing above MA200, targeting $2.2748.
Trading is all about finding those key levels where the magic happens, and now it's your chance to engage. Have questions about the analysis? Drop them right in the comments—I’m here to discuss, clarify, and brainstorm with you!
Found this idea helpful? Don’t forget to hit Boost and save it for later so you can track how price moves along the rays. Observing these levels in real-time will not only sharpen your skills but also deepen your understanding of how market dynamics work.
Curious about my indicator? The strategy you see here, drawing all the rays and levels automatically, is part of a private setup. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to reach out to me via direct message—I’ll explain how we can make that happen.
Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Whether you want it shared publicly or kept private for your eyes only, I’m open to discussing options. Just let me know in the comments or via DM, and I’ll do my best to help.
Remember, these rays work across all assets, and the price often respects them like clockwork. If you want me to mark up specific assets for you, write in the comments and don’t forget to hit Boost. I’ll tackle requests as time permits.
Finally, make sure to follow me here on TradingView for more in-depth ideas and strategies. This is where I share all my updates, and I’d love to have you as part of my trading community.
Let’s trade smarter together! 🚀
PEPE, long term super cycle awaits!This is how PEPE could play out in the long-term assuming that we're putting in wave 1, which looks like a leading diaganol. In the medium term we're likely to see some lows as the minor wave 1 corrects for the clearly visible ABC. But, then hold on to your hats as we put in wave 3 which is always the most violent. If you're not out of your shorts by then, this pattern could ripe your face clean off. In any case, keep an eye and plan for early retirement. Follow for more.
1000PEPEUSDT.Phello friends
Due to the high growth of this coin, now that it has entered a correction, it has reached a very strong support area, from where we expect a higher ceiling.
Note that the price will increase if the support zone remains valid and does not break, so manage your investment and be careful...
This analysis is checked from a technical point of view.
Be successful and profitable.
dogecoin idea"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
XRP: Accumulation Zone Hello Team,
Ripple XRP has now entered into the 5-year accumulation zone from 0.14-0.35 Cents.
- At this price point and as the price drops more will present long-term buying opportunities for the future in the form of "Dollar Cost Averaging".
XRP has a large potential for future upside movement if the SEC case is dropped and due to a large number of partnerships & use-cases acquired.
Don't expect a miracle overnight.
BTC TO THE FUTURENo one is ready.
Here's a question...
When btc went from $1 to $10, it never went below $10
When btc went from $10 to $100, it never went below $100
When btc went from $100 to $1,000, it never went below $1,000
When btc went from $1,000 to $10,000, it never went below $10,000
When btc goes from $10,000 to $100,000, what will happen?
When btc goes from $100,000 to $1,000,000, what will happen?
When btc goes from $1,000,000 to $10,000,000, what will happen?
GL and HF
(ARM) arm holdings plcArm semiconductors looks like real prospect for long term investment strategy based investors similar to NVidia, intel, and major computer companies. I kind of figured this would happened and yet I stayed away from stocks in favor of cryptocurrency. ARM is a strong contendor for future gains up to $1000 (*speculation) and stock splits followed by gains and stock splits and the future is endless.
Gold D1, H4 and H1 Analysis In a single chartPair Name = Gold
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Explaination :-
In daily Time Gold is getting a good support expecting price 2530+. lets check the lower time frames and analyze the market deeply.
H4 Time Frame Analysis :-
Timeframe = H4
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
H1 Time Frame Analysis:-
Timeframe = H1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Bitcoin - Reversal is imminent - CME Future Gaps#BTC/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ It's unusual to see consecutive unfilled CME futures gaps, but recent market volatility has created just that scenario. Historically, CME gaps tend to be filled sooner or later, and current market conditions suggest that prices may be heading directly towards these gaps.
+ The appearance of two consecutive unfilled gaps is a rare occurrence. Given the strong historical tendency for these gaps to be filled, it’s likely that the market will attempt to revisit these levels.
+ The recent bounce from support has been robust, indicating strong upward momentum. This move bolsters confidence that the gaps will be filled in the coming weeks, especially as traders and investors often target these areas.
+ With the current price action showing strength after the bounce, it seems increasingly probable that the price is headed towards the gaps. If this momentum continues, we could see these gaps filled relatively soon.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 57000
Stop Loss: 50000
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Target 1: 59900
Target 2: 61000
Target 3: 65000
Target 4: 70000
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Timeframe: 1D
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
---------------------------------------------------------------
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
(ETH) ethereumA made up idea here. The lines converge in the middle of july. If the price of Ethereum climbs towards that moment there is a good chance Ethereum crashes. If the price of Ethereum stays neutral or even declines leading to the middle of July there is a good chance the price of Ethereum rises. Mysterious.
The Olympics start at the end of July. . . . . . .