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#202442 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500: 4 different upper bull trend lines for multiple wedges and all are kinda valid. You just never know which one will be most respected by the algo’s. 6000 is the target, much more likely we get there before a bigger correction. Don’t try to be the first bear on this. Quote from last week: comment: Two decent days were enough for the bulls to make new ath. Again a bad place to trade, 8 points below the new ath. We have nested bull wedges and market broke above the bigger one. Odds favor some pullback but I would rather wait and be flat than to short this. comment : Monday made the 50 points higher and that’s all bulls achieve last week. We had two pause bars on the daily chart with Tuesday and Thursday but that was not enough to put doubt in bulls minds that this rally is over. 6000 is the target and, same as dax, we will likely hit it one way or the other. current market cycle: nested bull wedges key levels: 5800 - 6000 bull case: Bulls know technically we are at the top of them all and the rally is on it’s last legs. Big round numbers are still just too good to not hit if history tells us anything. Bears are not doing anything and not enough bulls are taking profits, so the market only knows one direction. As long as we are staying above the two bull trend lines that are closest, bulls are good and we continue. Invalidation is below 5800. bear case: Bears are not doing enough. They have many reasonable targets below but what good are those if the 4h 20ema keeps getting bought almost the entire week? Can you sell new highs for a scalp? Sure. Bears need anything below 5800 to start having arguments. Reasonable scalp is probably a break below 5850 for 5800 but as of now, there isn’t much more to expect for Monday. I am open to surprises though. Overall I just doubt many bears want to short 5900 when they know everyone wants to see 60000 and there is much more value to short there. Invalidation is above 6050. outlook last week: short term: Neutral since we are exactly at the top of two big patterns and 8 points below the ath. Sitting on hands is best here. → Last Sunday we traded 5859 and now we are at 5906. Neutral wasn’t too bad since market made 60 points on the week. Wasn’t good either, I know. short term: Neutral between 5870 - 5930 and bullish above 5930 for 6000. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13 : Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: None chart update: Adjusted the many bull trend lines to show it’s pure guesswork which one will be respected. All are valid until clearly broken. Big dotted means that the pattern is on the weekly or monthly chart, and some breaks above are tolerable and do not mean the pattern is invalid. Close is always close enough.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 10.20 - 10.25Last Week : Last week Globex opened and held over Value, for any weakness from there we needed to either get back under Value middle or tag VAH and come back in, instead we pushed up into VAH before the RTH which brought in more buying and gave us a push to test the upper Edge of this HTF Range we have accepted in. As mentioned Monday first tags of big HTF areas like that more often than not give a reaction into opposite direction, which we got the following day with a flush back into Value but that supply was bought up and we again pushed outside of Value. Last two days of the week we ended up balancing between VAH and Edge keeping the price inside the new HTF Range with a close right under the Edge, under Monday and Thursday Highs. This Week : This week I am leaning towards us staying within the current HTF Range as we again don't have much of market moving data coming. Something to look for is if we still have strong enough buying in/over Value then we could continue balancing around this current Intraday Range of 930s - 880s BUT we do have a week of Supply built up here and we are right at the Edge of the HTF Range which tells me that unless we can build up inside the Edge then push over and continue to VAL above or hold the Edge on pull backs after taking it then I wont be looking for much higher prices from here but instead for a possible return back to VAH and possibly a move back inside Value into 880s - 40s Intraday Range, with supply above we could see a return back to 870 - 50s and even pushes towards 40s and VAL. If we do make moves towards VAL we need to be careful with looking for too much continuation under 50 - 40s unless we can take out VAL and show clear acceptance under it, until then we can spend time balancing around this current Value thats if we get back inside of course which would mean for pushes out of VAH and VAL would find their way back inside eventually. We could continue to grind higher here to start the week and attempt to push inside the Edge to try and build up there but as mentioned careful looking for continuation unless we get through the Edge top and don't come back in.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Oct 21 - Oct 25]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD continuously increased sharply from 2,637 USD/oz to 2,723 USD/oz and closed this week at 2,721 USD/oz. According to market observations, gold prices have skyrocketed in recent days due to the impact of many supporting factors: First, the FED warned that it will continue to cut interest rates, although the extent of the FED's interest rate cuts may be less than the recent decision. Not only the FED, but many other central banks have also been implementing their plans to cut interest rates. This increases the appeal of gold. Second, the level of public debt worldwide is even worse than current forecasts, while the measures that countries are taking will not be enough to prevent a sharp increase in public debt. According to the IMF, global public debt will exceed 100 trillion USD, equivalent to about 93% of global GDP, by the end of this year and will reach nearly 100% of global GDP by 2030. Third, as central banks continue to walk the thin line between promoting economic growth and controlling inflation to prevent stagflation, global geopolitical tensions appear to be increasing day by day. Major conflicts between Ukraine and Russia, growing threats between Russia and NATO, Israel-Palestine conflict, tensions between Israel and the US with Iran, tensions between North Korea and South Korea, and many more threats Another threat has been increasing the role of gold as a haven. Fourth, after Russia was removed from the SWIFT system on March 1, 2022, BRICS central banks increased gold reserves at a record pace, promoted currency swaps, and promoted transactions. across borders between BRICS countries is a sign that they are preparing for a global monetary reset. Meanwhile, BRICS member countries account for about 40% of global GDP. This will certainly have a negative impact on the USD. Fifth, central banks of many countries are continuing to promote gold purchases to increase the proportion of gold in national foreign exchange reserves, causing the proportion of USD in foreign exchange reserves of many countries to decrease. down, potentially at risk of USD depreciation. With so many of the above influencing factors, especially geopolitical conflicts, next week's gold price may increase even higher. However, the increase in gold prices is being driven by FOMO psychology, which will pose strong profit-taking risks, especially when geopolitical tensions cool down. 📌Technically, the price is constantly setting new high price thresholds, when in turn breaking through old peak milestones, specifically in the H1 chart, the gold price is approaching the 161.8 Fibo zone, and next week it may continue to conquer. Recovering the Fibo threshold of 261.8 around the round resistance level of 2,800 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2.741USD Resistance: 2.688 – 2.700 – 2.711USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2801 - 2799⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2805 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2624 - 2626⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2620 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2659 - 2661⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2655
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
$SPY Outlook for OCT 21, 2024AMEX:SPY headed into this week is an inside bar / 1 / harami. Means an explosive move is coming. Got a 2-1-2 going into Monday. The overall market structure is still bullish with higher lows and higher highs. There's no real catalyst ' yet ' for a big bearish move. I'd watch how Sunday night's global opens and see what transpires during the London session of NYSE:ES SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ There still a GAP downside that was not completely filled last week. #SPY is in this rising wedge pattern and been respecting the TL (Green/Red). The pivot for SPY will be 583.99 - 584.55. If the bulls hold above that, you will see 585.39 get taken and then potentially 586.12. Failure by the bears to stop the move up and 587/587.35/588 will be on the path. If the bears take control and break the pivot zone, then you will see 583.67 / 583.2 / 582.6 / 582.33 and 581.82 / 581.5 / 580.9 Market Structure starts to change with a break of 582.16. A true MSS comes at 565 break. Keep in mind, there is a divergence between NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY This is NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE! #SPY #MSFT NASDAQ:AAPL #AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN #AMZN NASDAQ:QQQ #QQQ #ICT NYSE:ES #ES SP:SPX #SPX #thestrat SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ AMEX:SPY #NQ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:TSLA #TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD #NVDA #AMD
AMEX:SPY
by SADnation
Nasdaq Monthly Analysis - Possible Measured Move CorrectionThere may be a lot of choppy price action at the top of this trading range until price definitively starts to trend down to facilitate the correction or break out to make new highs. The reason for speculation that Nasdaq may be due for a correction is based on the current impulsive wave's similarity to the previous impulsive wave in both price and time. If the current impulsive wave has reached exhaustion it will be an approximate measured move of the previous impulsive wave with increase factors of: 1.022 increase in price range (10,365÷10,142) 1.046 increase in days to climax (637÷609) If the upcoming correction is also a measured move of the previous correction, using the calculated increase factors, the correction should be projected to occur over approximately 340 days (325×1.046) and decline by approximately 6,483 Points (6,344×1.022). This would bring price to 14,309 (20,792-6,483) around the date of June 16, 2025, which would also bring price back to the trend line. The projected correction, based the listed calculations, may retrace 77 Points below the 61.8% level (14,386-14,309). It is also worth mentioning that the previous correction retraced 76 Points below the 61.8% level (10,503-10,427). This difference in retracement below 61.8% is a factor increase of 1.013 (77÷76). On the monthly timeframe, technical indicators such as Stochastic and RSI show price as overbought.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by MartialChartsFX
6
Gold reached all-time high and hit weekly targetHello traders, As you can see gold reached all time high time record.And reached the weekly target as anticipated, so the analysis went to our favor and gave us a Great trade. After gold broke the fourr hour level, it Made a break and a retest and made a rebound on the one hour time frame at exactly 2673 The bullish momentum took place againand buyers.Took control of the market and pushed gold higher and higher until reached the weekly target. After this long run making a tree leg extension as you can see on the chart, there is a high probability that the market will reverse.And we might see a huge sell off of gold in order to breathe until.Buyers and bullish momentum comes back again and takes the gold market higher again because this is very normal. After a long run being bulish or bearish.There should always be a big.Correction. Remember.After every long run there is a steep pullback and that's what we gonna see in the coming days. So guys.Be prepared for selling gold, but not this week, probably next week or the following week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by YMtradingsystem
Refreshing all-time level, GOLD is eligible to continue risingAs uncertainty about the US presidential election and war in the Middle East push investors to seek safe haven assets, and the monetary policy environment that tends to lower interest rates are the main factors pushing push up gold prices. After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points last month, gold prices are set to gain more than 30% this year, driven by the prospect of further rate cuts and geopolitical uncertainty. Since gold does not yield interest, cutting interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of investing in gold and increase its appeal. On the geopolitical side, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel will continue to fight until all hostages captured by Hamas last year are released. During times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, investors often seek the safety of gold. Israel announced that Hamas leader Sinwar was dead On October 17 local time, Israeli media quoted senior Israeli officials as saying that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar was killed by the Israeli army. Earlier on the same day, the Israel Defense Forces and the Israel National Security Agency (Sin Bet) issued a joint statement saying that, according to preliminary reports, the Israeli army killed 3 Palestinian armed personnel during the attack. military operations in the Gaza Strip. The Israel Defense Forces and the Israel General Security Agency are verifying whether one of them is Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar. Sinwar masterminded Hamas attacks on southern Israel, sparking a year-long war in Gaza. Concerns about the future of the US government are also driving demand for precious metals. With three weeks to go until the election, polls show the two candidates tied, creating uncertainty. On Thursday, economic data released by the United States supported the view that the economy will maintain strong growth in the third quarter. Signs of economic recovery may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates once next month, but they will reinforce expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut. Data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Thursday showed retail sales rose 0.4% month-over-month in September, better than the 0.1% gain in August and better than expected. will increase by 0.3%. In addition, the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits unexpectedly decreased last week. According to data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Thursday, initial jobless claims fell by 19,000 to 241,000 in the week ended October 12. Economists surveyed had forecast The average number is 259,000. Bloomberg said Western investors also contributed to driving up gold prices. Western investors largely sat on the sidelines in the first half of the year as demand surged in Asia. The Federal Reserve's shift to a looser monetary policy has increased the appeal of gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), with their gold holdings on track to increase. 5th consecutive monthly growth in October for the first time since 2020. Longest capital flow since the beginning of this year. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has reached its target level of $2,711 after strong gains and is on track for a fourth consecutive day of gains. Structurally, gold is still on a short-term uptrend, noticed by price channels, and even in the medium and long term, it is also increasing with price channels as the trend. Once gold breaks the 2,711 USD price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci extension, it will have the prospect of continuing to increase in price with the target level then being around 2,741 USD the price point of the 1% Fibonacci extension. Regarding momentum, the Relative Strength Index is pointing up with a significant slope and has not yet completely reached the overbought level, showing that there is still room for price increases ahead, with absolutely no signs of possible reduced corrections and showed solid upward momentum in the market. As long as gold remains within the price channel it will remain bullish in the short term, notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,700 – 2,688USD Resistance: 2,711USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2741 - 2738⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2744 →Take Profit 1 2633 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2628 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2664 - 2666⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2660 →Take Profit 1 2671 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2676
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2024-10-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bullish spikes on all of them but markets closed mixed. All closed with a big tail above and we are where we closed yesterday. Near but still above the daily 20ema, near bull trend lines but also with bulls not strong enough to get a big breakout above with follow through. Most of the current patterns are in their last stages and the breakout will happen over the next days. I am neutral for now and scalp in both directions. dax futures comment: Big spike to new ath but also big rejection. Market is contracting inside the clear bull wedge. I doubt we get the breakout tomorrow but it could happen but next week for sure. Where will this break out to? Right now I favor another leg down to 19500ish more than a breakout above. On the daily chart it’s bullish and nothing else. I still do have my 20000 target. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 19500 - 20000 bull case: Bulls touched 19800 and got rejected, no surprise there. Only question is how fast do will they retest that price. It’s possible that we need to sell some more to find new buyers but I do think bulls have a better chance of the blow off top if they stay above 19600. Since we are oscillating around 19700, I can’t be anything but neutral for now. Invalidation is below 19500. bear case: Bears need a daily close below 19500 to break outside the bull wedge inside the bigger bull channel on the daily chart. Volume is increasing which is better for the bears than the bulls but they can’t print one decent daily bear bar and until that changes, you simply can not be a bear here. Invalidation is above 19820. short term: Neutral. Bullish above 19820 and bearish below 19500. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: 3 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19500 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Not so sure about 19491 being the high, since liquidity could see a bigger increase and upside could be higher. We will likely have another 10%+ correction this year and a possible year end rally. Update 2024-10-13: Possibility of a blow-off top to 20000 is there. If we get there, it will be the short opportunity of the decade. current swing trade: None trade of the day: S elling 19800 or buying the opening breakout above 19640, which was good for 160 points.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
A significant update on Nasdaq today Hello traders, This is a new update of the NASDAQ market after the release of the data news.Uh uh, that came uh, stagnant stable as expicted 241K, not much happened, but as you can see from the chart, the NASDAQ market really bounced.Off of the 50 moving average and went down a little to stop out traders who were putting their stop losses.Right below the 1 hour level 20300 and that is a trick that institutions, financial and money institutions and funds due in order to stay alone in the market and get rid of all the.Other traders and as I told you before, the market may go down for a correction and still move up since.There is no real impact on the market. I'm pretty sure that the target will be still the daily level that we.Talked about.Earlier, which is?Umm. 20474.And if that level is.Are broken. We should wait for a Pull back and then look for a long trade.to go and seek the next level which will be 20744.So please keep watching that level. As long as we have a bullish momentum, we should look only for a buy trade, not a sell since the four hours. the daily chart are still bullish and there is still a bullish momentum, so we should look for a buy.trade not sell trades. Thank you for your attention and good luck for everyone and take care.
FXOPEN:NDQMLong
by YMtradingsystem
4
Great bullish momentum in Nas100 Hello traders, As you can see, there is a strong amendment, a bullish momentum today in NASDAQ, giving us a great opportunity for a bullish a long train.As you can see from the chart, there is.an inclination to go up upward to reach the daily level of 20474 which is.A higher.Target, So please keep in mind that this is a trade that we took pre market since early in the morning the market showed some significant volume.With the.Upside move of the standard deviation. Also a breakthrough of the 50 moving average.That gave us more confluence that the market is going higher to reach the daily level. So please keep in mind that today we have an.Economic data that will be released today for the.Uh, uh, what is it? Umm, the uh.Excuse me? Initial jobless claim is gonna be released today and if it is positive, so we might see an upside down of the trend where we'll have like.a move downward or a reversal of the trend if so we should be looking for 20124 level which is a previous daily level which is well respected. And as you can see from the chart, those lines are very very.Helpful that show us it's like a road map for the price action to be moving.From level to level, this is how we can make money off of.It's pretty simple, but it's really effective, so please pay attention to those levels and let's make money together..
FXOPEN:NDQMLong
by YMtradingsystem
New news from the Middle East, GOLD gains and positive outlookOANDA:XAUUSD Reaching the target price increase at an all-time high of 2,685 USD, the haven asset continues to get stronger as the Middle East situation becomes tense again. Israeli sources say Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has approved a series of targets in retaliation for Iran's missile attack on Israel earlier this month. US B-2 bombers have attacked weapons storage sites of Houthi rebels in Yemen in an effort to stop attacks by Iran-backed groups. US media mentioned that the US military's latest measures have disrupted the Red Sea supply chain. The US Department of Defense announced that US military forces carried out precision strikes on five underground weapons storage sites in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen. US Central Command indicated that assessment of combat damage from airstrikes in Yemen is ongoing and there are currently no civilian casualties. Bloomberg reported that US B-2 stealth bombers attacked weapons storage locations related to Houthi rebels in Yemen. American B-2 bombers fly to the target from Whitman Air Force Base, Missouri. This is the first combat mission of this wing-shaped stealth bomber since January 2017. At that time, two B-2 bombers flew a 30-hour round-trip mission to bomb an Islamic State training camp in Libya. Each B-2 is capable of carrying up to 20 tons of bombs, including 80 500-pound GPS-guided projectiles. "This type comes to Vietnam in about half a day and can only be used to make rice cookers, combs, water ladles, trays, buckets, basins,... that's it." Meanwhile, the market sees a 92.1% chance that the US will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November, according to CME's "Fed Watch Tool". Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has an upside target at its all-time high of $2,685 and it currently has the conditions to break this level and refresh its all-time high in the short term. A short rising price channel is formed, notably by the price channel and the nearest support is currently in the area of ​​2,672 – 2,660USD. RSI points up but is still far from the overbought level, showing that there is still plenty of room ahead. In general, on the daily chart, from technical position to space and momentum, gold is likely to increase in price in the near future. If the $2,685 level is broken gold will tend to continue rising with a target then around $2,700 as the whole price point or more like the $2,711 price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci extension. The uptrend in gold prices on the daily chart will be noticed again by the following technical levels. Support: 2,672 – 2,660USD Resistance: 2,685 – 2,688 – 2,700 – 2,711USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2701 - 2699⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2705 →Take Profit 1 2694 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2689 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2642 - 2644⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2638 →Take Profit 1 2649 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2654
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2024-10-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Gold - Bulls got the breakout above and got rejected at 2700 again. I think we will spend a bit more time at the highs until bulls give up or we find more buyers willing to buy above 2700. Right now I still favor the bulls for continuation but only willing to buy on strong momentum. comment : Retest 2700 is done, now what? We have a proper channel, so trade it. 2690 right now is not a good spot. Wait for a closer price to the lower trend line or look for shorts near 2700, if bulls show weakness again. New highs inside the channel are getting sold, so you should not buy into strength but rather on pullbacks. current market cycle: bull trend (also trading range on the daily chart - 2619 - 2710) key levels: 2670 - 2710 bull case: Bulls will likely retest 2700 tomorrow. Can they get another big breakout above it? I think so but right now it does not look like it. I expect more sideways until the bull trend line on the daily chart is closer. Bulls still in full control and I would not look for shorts on this. Invalidation is below 2670. bear case: Bears selling new highs but thats about it. Market is grinding higher again and we are near the ath. Nothing bearish about this. Bears can start a case if they close below 2670 again. Invalidation is above 2720. short term: neutral - I would not buy 2700 in hope of 2710 but rather buy decent pullbacks inside the current channel. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22: Very strong breakout above, again. Market currently has no ceiling. Most likely 2700 next and I do think 3000 could be a potential target if we continue. There is certainly an argument for a measured move based on the bull rally from 2018-08 to 2020-08. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Selling 2700.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
2024-10-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bears hoped for a second leg down and build decent selling pressure but bulls bought the dip. Nothing unexpected and we likely continue sideways at the highs until bears give up again or more bulls get exhausted and want to secure profits. Technically I expect another leg down but we could retest the highs first. Don’t overstay your welcome in positions. comment: 5850 was the low yesterday and bears could not break below. Weak bears gave up and we closed around the 50% pullback from Tuesday’s selling. Where does this leave us? Nowhere. 5890ish is the worst place to trade now because it’s the exact mid point of this trading range. Wait for strong momentum or until we reach one of the extremes again. These bullish earnings should have taken the market higher by now if you ask me. So there is a decent chance we are forming a credible top. 5850 - 5920 is the current range and until we see the MAG7 earnings, it probably won’t break out of it. current market cycle: bull trend (bull wedge) key levels: 5850 - 5920 bull case: Bulls bought the dip, no surprise there. They want 5900+ next and they will probably continue to buy 5850. No more magic to this. Since it was a bullish close, bulls are very slightly favored higher tomorrow but I would not buy 5886 right now. Invalidation is below 5850. bear case: Bears tried and failed. They have to make the market more neutral and trade sideways until more bulls want out of their position. BTFD is still strong. Anything above 5850 is bullish and bears have to scalp. Earnings will probably set the next impulse to either side. Invalidation is above 5920. short term: Neutral inside given range. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Long the double bottom with yesterday’s low. Very obvious trade that worked greatly.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
WILL EIGEN REACH $4 BEFORE END OF OCTOBER? The probability of reaching $4 is very possible. Here are my confluences: - Weekly Low at $3.29 which had liquidity resting just got raided. - Q4 has seasonally been great for Cryptocurrencies over the years so I expect a great end to Q4 for EIGENUSDT. - Price is currently testing the Daily Bullish Order Block which is within the Range Discount Array. - There is more Liquidity resting above current price rather than below current market price. - Targeting price to reach $3.72 , $3.91 and $4 for this Long entry. Trading is risky so always use proper risk management. Happy Trading Pals
Long
by Evaliste
GOLD reaches price increase target, outlook remains positiveUS inflation data reinforces the prospect of an interest rate cut next month. Gold prices rose more than 1% in the weekend's trading session, while safe-haven demand triggered by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The U.S. Department of Labor reported Friday that the Producer Price Index (PPI), a measure of wholesale prices, was unchanged in September, suggesting the inflation outlook remains favorable and supporting the view that the U.S. Department of Labor The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again next month. The report showed that US PPI increased 0% month-on-month in September, lower than the expected 0.1%, the previous value was a 0.20% increase. Commerzbank reported that gold ETF holdings increased by nearly 95 tons in the third quarter, meaning ETFs once again contributed positively to gold demand for the first time in 10 quarters. This week, the market will focus on US retail sales data to determine whether consumer spending will continue to be strong. In addition, the European Central Bank's monetary policy decisions are also the focus of market attention. Traders will need to keep an eye on (Empire State Manufacturing Survey; US Weekly Jobless Claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey, as well as data on building permits and construction starts US housing on Friday.) In summary, although the gold market may experience volatility in the short term, in the long term, the safe haven asset gold is still the main factor supporting price increases. Including the recent reduction of interest rates by the Federal Reserve, attracting investors to choose gold as a haven, combined with the widespread war in the Middle East, has further boosted gold prices, because gold is considered an investment channel. safety, especially during difficult times. geopolitical conflict. Going back a bit in history, in 1979, during the Soviet conflict in Afghanistan, the value of gold more than doubled during that period. If Israel carries out retaliatory attacks against Iran, the gold price has absolutely enough basis to continue to surge even stronger. Previously, on October 1, Tehran fired about 180 missiles at Israel in retaliation for Israel's killing of Hamas and Hezbollah leaders. Economic data to watch next week Tuesday: Empire State Manufacturing Survey Thursday: European Central Bank monetary policy decision, US retail sales, US weekly jobless claims: Philly Fed manufacturing survey. Friday: Housing construction starts and construction permits in the United States Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD During the weekend trading session, gold achieved the target increase in the weekly issue sent to readers last week and the upward momentum was temporarily limited by the technical level of 2,660 USD. If gold breaks above 2,660 USD, it will be eligible to continue to increase in price with the next target level after that at about 2,672 USD, more than 2,685 USD. Breaking the $2,660 level means that the price channel is also broken, while the Relative Strength Index pointing up with a significant slope reinforces the expectation of strong price increases in the near future. As long as gold remains within the price channel and above the EMA21, the bullish outlook and the technical structure for the uptrend are unchanged, pullbacks should still only be considered short-term technical corrections. In the coming time, the main prospective trend of gold is price increase and notable levels will be listed as follows. Support: 2,634 – 2,630USD Resistance: 2,660 – 2,672 – 2,685USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2690 →Take Profit 1 2679 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2674 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2627 - 2629⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2623 →Take Profit 1 2634 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2639
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
News that the Middle East cools down brings GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD adjusted downward again in the short term after recovering and achieving the upside price target around the technical point of 2,660USD on yesterday's trading day. The Washington Post reported on Monday that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the Biden administration that he is ready to attack Iran's military facilities, but not its oil or nuclear facilities. This can be seen as a sign of Israel's restraint in retaliating against Iran's missile attacks. According to a report by "Jerusalem Post", sources revealed that Iran has contacted Israel through secret channels, saying that as long as Israel's response is limited, Iran will consider this round of conflict to have ended. . These two pieces of news eased external concerns about the situation in the Middle East, thereby reducing the appeal of the safe-haven asset gold and causing the upward momentum to slow down, creating downward corrections in the future. short term. Next, traders will need to monitor comments from Federal Reserve officials this week for further hints of an impending rate cut, as well as U.S. retail sales data. The market still sees an 88.1% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its November meeting. Since gold does not earn interest, lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold . However, gold will react more strongly to "future" orientations. Therefore, it is possible that even if the Fed cuts another 25bps, it will not react strongly but will be influenced by Fed officials' comments on future direction, especially Jerome Powell. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold's recovery was limited after hitting target gains at $2,660. The area around the technical point of 2,660 USD has created pressure causing gold to correct downwards but it is also receiving support from the 2,634 – 2,630 USD area. Note to readers in the previous issue. Along with that, gold is also receiving support from the position of the EMA21. As long as gold remains within the price channel, the main uptrend remains unchanged and the EMA21 level will still serve as the closest support for the uptrend. Once gold breaks above $2,660 it will tend to continue rising with a subsequent target of around $2,672. The $2,660 – $2,672 levels form an area of ​​resistance in the short term. During the day, the technical outlook for gold remains bullish and notable levels are listed below. Support: 2,634 – 2,630USD Resistance: 2,660 – 2,672 – 2,685USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2690 →Take Profit 1 2679 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2674 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2627 - 2629⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2623 →Take Profit 1 2634 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2639
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD hits upside targets, temporarily capped by $2,672OANDA:XAUUSD continues to get stronger, reaching the short-term target level at 2,660USD and aiming for the next target levels at 2,672 - 2,685USD. Boosted by falling US Treasury yields, investors cautiously await more data that could provide a fresh assessment of the Federal Reserve's monetary easing cycle. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders now see about a 95.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in November. Market attention will be focused on US retail sales data, industrial production data and weekly jobless claims data due out later this week. Gold prices have risen more than 29% year-to-date, with optimism about interest rate cuts fueling recent gains. Gold prices are also supported by strong purchasing power from central banks and safe-haven demand amid ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. The latest news from Israel, two Israeli officials said on October 15 local time that although Israel's attack on Iran is not expected to target nuclear facilities and oil facilities, it could including missile and drone launchers, Iranian warehouses and factories, military bases, government buildings and other targets. Iran on October 1 launched a large number of ballistic missiles into Israel, attacking Israeli military and security targets in response to a series of previous Israeli attacks and assassinations. In security consultations involving Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, Defense Minister Galante and other ministers, a comprehensive agreement was reached on the course of action against Iran, timing and intensity a response is possible, but the details still require final Cabinet approval before the action can be taken. Gold itself does not generate interest, but it has the potential to increase in price during times of geopolitical and economic instability. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has recovered and increased to achieve most short-term targets from 2,660 USD to close to the 2,672 USD area. Temporarily, technically, the gold price is still limited by the level of 2,672 USD. However, maintaining above 2,660 USD will be a positive condition in the short term for the possibility of a technical price increase in the near future. Once gold breaks $2,672 it will be on track to continue rising more with a target then around $2,685 or so making new all-time highs. The relative strength index (RSI) is pointing up from 50 and is still far from the overbought level, showing that there is still room for price growth in terms of momentum. As long as gold remains within the channel and above the EMA21, it still has a bullish technical outlook, and notable intraday levels are listed below. Support: 2,660 – 2,643USD Resistance: 2,672 – 2,685USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2690 →Take Profit 1 2679 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2674 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2642 - 2644⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2638 →Take Profit 1 2649 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2654
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Harmony one is going up! Technical analysis + trade plan by BFChart Overview Timeframe: 4-hour (Binance Exchange) Price as of Analysis: $0.01346 Volume: 3.744 million ONE Formation: Falling Wedge pattern Chart Patterns and Indicators: Falling Wedge: A falling wedge pattern is typically a bullish reversal pattern, indicating that the current downward trend is weakening and a potential breakout to the upside could follow. The narrowing of price action shows a decline in both support and resistance levels, with lower highs and lower lows. The breakout is anticipated above the wedge resistance, potentially marking the beginning of an uptrend. The VMC Cipher B indicator is similar to the MACD and shows signs of bullish divergence, meaning that while the price has been declining, momentum is building for a potential reversal. The RSI is hovering around 50.25, which is neutral but can indicate momentum is shifting. If RSI starts increasing above 55, it will confirm bullish momentum. Stochastic Oscillator is currently at 35.30, this shows the asset is near the oversold zone but still in neutral territory. A move above 40 may confirm a bullish trend reversal. The HMA histogram shows early signs of turning bullish as the color changes and bars are in the process of shifting positive. Volume has decreased over the wedge formation, which is typical of such patterns. An increase in volume after the breakout will serve as confirmation for a stronger upward move. Potential Price Targets: Immediate Resistance: $0.01360 - This is the wedge resistance. A breakout above this level confirms the pattern. First Target: $0.01550 - Based on previous price levels, this area is the next resistance once the breakout occurs. Second Target: $0.01750 - This aligns with the previous significant high and could be a target after the first resistance. Risk Factors: Stop-Loss: It’s crucial to place a stop-loss below $0.01200 (below the previous support levels) to manage risk in case of a false breakout. Volume Confirmation: Ensure that the breakout occurs with significant volume, as low-volume breakouts may lead to a reversal back into the wedge. Trading Plan 1. Entry: Enter a long position after a confirmed breakout above the $0.01360 resistance with strong volume confirmation. A 4-hour candle close above this level should confirm the breakout. 2. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below $0.01200 to manage the downside risk in case the falling wedge pattern fails and the price reverses. 3. Profit Targets: First Target: Set a take-profit around $0.01550 to capture the first major move after the breakout. Second Target: For those with a higher risk appetite, target $0.01750, which aligns with the next resistance. 4. Position Size: Risk only 1-2% of your trading capital on this trade. Given the potential volatility and the falling wedge pattern, it's essential to manage position size conservatively. 5. Monitoring: Keep an eye on the volume and the RSI/Stochastic Oscillator. If RSI rises above 55 and Stochastic confirms the upward movement, the breakout should gain more strength. Monitor for any potential fake breakouts. If the price fails to close above the resistance on the 4-hour chart, consider delaying the entry until clear confirmation is given. The Harmony (ONE/USDT) chart is showing a potentially bullish falling wedge formation, indicating that a reversal from the recent downtrend could occur soon. A breakout above $0.01360 with confirmed volume is crucial for confirming the uptrend. If confirmed, Harmony could target $0.01550 and $0.01750 in the near term, but it's important to employ tight risk management through proper stop-loss placement.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
2024-10-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. dax futures comment: A daily bear bar closing on it’s low. What a time to be alive. Kinda in the middle of the channel now, which is a bad bad place to trade. Both sides have valid arguments. I would rather sit on hands and only scalp on momentum than initiate trades around 19600. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 19500 - 20000 bull case: Bulls can be happy a decent dip came which they can now buy. Will they buy 19600 or will they wait? I am not sure but would you really want to buy 19600 now in hopes of a climactic continuation above 19800? Hard to make that a good trade. I do think the rally was fueled by momentum, that is gone now. Invalidation is below 19500. bear case: Bears finally got a decent day and they want/need follow through tomorrow. Obvious targets to hit next are 19350ish (breakout price) and the potentially much bigger support at the daily 20ema and the bull trend line around 19300-19350. If we get there, I highly doubt bears will push their luck and we see another strong move up. On the 1h tf, the first target for tomorrow is the open of the week 19536 and that is also where a smaller bull trend line is. Can be bigger support and bears could also give up there. Hard to make a bigger bear case for now but it’s worse for the bulls to blindly buy this just because we dipped some. Invalidation is above 19800. short term: Bullish but a bit more neutral right now, until we know where the next support is and bulls come around again medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: 3 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19500 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Not so sure about 19491 being the high, since liquidity could see a bigger increase and upside could be higher. We will likely have another 10%+ correction this year and a possible year end rally. Update 2024-10-13: Possibility of a blow-off top to 20000 is there. If we get there, it will be the short opportunity of the decade. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Shorting 19750 was not the hard part about the short trade but holding through bar 38 - 52 was. Had to get short bar 32 or latest 33. Can you hold afterwards? Tough. Open price was an obvious magnet when we hit 19650, so do you want to hold through a 60 point up move when you are short? I did not. Could have gone short below bar 57 but then you see the spike and hope for more and when you hold, market reverses bad again and you are underwater or break even at best. Then you do what? The 15m 20ema was decent to short then but all in all tough because market wanted lower but also produced many big tails below the bars that touched 19600.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
Technical Analysis for Numerico (NWC/USDT) + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis for Numerico (NWC/USDT) The price is showing a breakout potential at the top of the channel, which may signal a trend reversal. Descending Channel Pattern: Resistance: The upper trendline shows where the price has faced rejection multiple times. The resistance level is gradually declining. Support: The lower trendline indicates strong support, where buyers have consistently entered the market, preventing further decline. Breakout Potential: The price appears to have tested the upper trendline of the channel. The arrow pointing upward suggests the possibility of a breakout above the descending resistance, which would indicate a bullish reversal. Indicators: Volume: A spike in volume supports the possibility of the breakout. A breakout with increased volume is generally a stronger confirmation of the trend change. VMC Cipher B: This momentum oscillator shows a shift from negative to positive momentum, implying that the buying pressure is gaining strength. RSI (14): The Relative Strength Index is around 58.66, indicating that momentum is neutral to slightly bullish. RSI above 50 usually signals increasing buying pressure. Stochastic RSI: The stochastic RSI is currently in the overbought zone (91.21), which might signal some short-term correction, but the overall momentum remains strong. HMA+ Hist: HMA (Hull Moving Average) shows that the histogram is close to zero but shifting upward, which could imply a possible change in trend direction soon. Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Support: $0.0719 (marked by the horizontal blue line). Resistance Zone: Around $0.0753 (upper edge of the channel). Great Entry Point: The label indicates that a long entry is ideal around the breakout zone, with an upward arrow suggesting that this level ($0.0721) could offer a solid risk-reward ratio for buyers entering before a potential upward movement. Trading Plan Entry Point: Enter the trade at the breakout above $0.0721 (highlighted as the "Great Entry Point"). If the price closes above this level on the 4-hour timeframe with significant volume, it will confirm a bullish breakout. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below the recent support of $0.0719, at approximately $0.0690, to minimize risk in case the breakout turns into a false breakout. Profit Targets: First Target: $0.0800 – This level aligns with a previous resistance zone and would be a conservative target for short-term traders. Second Target: $0.0850 – If momentum remains strong, the price may continue toward this higher level of resistance, providing a larger reward. Risk Management: Ensure a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 2:1. For example, if the stop-loss is set at $0.0690 (risk of approximately 3%), aim for the first target at $0.0800 (a reward of approximately 10%). Use position sizing techniques to risk only 1-2% of the portfolio per trade, to ensure long-term sustainability and avoid major losses in case of unexpected market moves. Monitoring & Adjustments: Watch for volume confirmation during the breakout. If the volume diminishes, consider closing the position early, as it may signal a weakening breakout. Adjust the stop-loss to breakeven once the price hits the first profit target, ensuring a risk-free trade for the remaining portion of the position. Conclusion: The technical analysis for NWC/USDT suggests a bullish breakout from the descending channel pattern, with indicators supporting a potential upward move. Entering at the breakout level of $0.0721 with proper risk management offers a promising opportunity, especially with a positive shift in momentum.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
Goatseus Maximus is meme NO.1 for this bull run! TA+TRADE PLAN🚀🚀🚀 MEMECOIN No.1 FOR THIS BULLRUN 🚀🚀🚀 Goatseus Maximus is primed to be the KING OF MEME COINS this season! With a powerful symmetrical triangle pattern, an incoming breakout, and massive hype potential, GOATSEUS MAXIMUS is set to dominate the market. This coin isn’t just riding the meme wave—it’s about to surf it to HUGE GAINS! 🌊💎 Get ready for the next big thing in crypto. With strong technicals, an upcoming bullish breakout, and a dedicated community, GOATSEUS MAXIMUS is about to hit the moon! Don’t miss the ride of a lifetime! 🌕✨ Goatseus Maximus is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern during an overall uptrend, a continuation pattern that often precedes a breakout in the direction of the prevailing trend. In this case, given the prior upward momentum, the odds are in favor of a bullish breakout. Key Technical Insights: Symmetrical Triangle: The price has been consolidating within the triangle, making higher lows and lower highs. This signals market indecision, but as the triangle narrows, an imminent breakout is expected. Volume Spike: The volume shows a notable increase (175.9K), a positive signal that a strong move may follow soon, potentially confirming the breakout direction. Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 54.21, the RSI suggests the coin is in a neutral zone, with more room for an upside move before hitting overbought territory. Stochastic Oscillator: Sitting at 57.79, it shows momentum is gradually turning positive, which aligns with a potential breakout to the upside. Support and Resistance Zones: Support: The orange zone between $0.08 - $0.10 acts as a solid support area where buyers could step in. Resistance: The current resistance levels are projected near $0.16 and $0.20. A breakout from the triangle could push the price toward these levels. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Enter long on a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline of the triangle (above $0.14 - $0.15). Ensure that volume supports the breakout to avoid a false move. Consider setting a pending buy order slightly above the triangle resistance line at $0.1505 to catch the breakout early. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below the lower trendline of the triangle (around $0.105) to protect against invalidation of the pattern. Alternatively, if the price breaks below the support zone near $0.08, consider exiting, as this would signal bearish momentum. Profit Targets: First Target: $0.18, aligning with the next significant resistance zone. Second Target: $0.24, based on the measured move from the base of the triangle, offering a strong risk-to-reward ratio. Risk Management: Ensure that the position size adheres to a 2-3% risk of your total portfolio. Monitor volume and price action closely for any signs of reversal after a breakout.
Long
by elfabiiani
1