GOLD corrects and recovers, pay special attention to today's CPIOANDA:XAUUSD eased after a significant rise on Wednesday and started to recover in early Asian trading today (July 11).
Powell's testimony hinted at expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, a stronger dollar and rising bond yields, while investors await June U.S. inflation data to come. announced this weekend. A clearer picture of the path of US interest rates after the release of CPI and PPI data.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said Wednesday local time that current monetary policy is restrained and the neutral interest rate has increased, at least in the short term. Usually when Powell talks about a higher neutral interest rate, it means a higher long-term policy rate.
Powell said policy rates have been kept high for longer than initially expected because inflation and the labor market have been slow to respond.
But Powell added that this is an issue the Fed will consider in its next policy review, which begins later this year, so it could have an impact on long-term interest rates going forward.
Powell reiterated on Wednesday that more good data is needed to strengthen his stance on loose monetary policy.
On inflation, Powell said Wednesday that he is not yet confident that inflation will fall sustainably toward the 2% target. However, there is no need to wait for inflation to drop to 2% to cut interest rates.
Regarding the prospect of cutting interest rates, Mr. Powell said the Fed does not need to wait until inflation falls below 2% before cutting interest rates. Regarding interest rate cuts, no specific inflation value (standard) is noted.
The Fed has made great progress in shrinking its balance sheet, but there is still a long way to go.
According to CME's "Fed Watch" tool, the market expects a 74.1% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates in September and another rate cut in December.
Market focus is now shifting to US CPI and PPI data released on Thursday and Friday respectively. Recent data shows that US inflation has eased from unexpectedly high levels earlier this year.
Pay special attention to CPI data that will be published at 7:30 p.m. Hanoi time today, Thursday (July 11).
If inflation data continues to shrink, this will continue to be a fundamental factor in favor of gold prices. On the other hand, if inflation is higher than expected, it will boost the Dollar and cause gold prices to face the possibility of a correction. significantly reduced.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Although gold prices have adjusted downward after increasing significantly in yesterday's trading session, the general trend has not changed with factors supporting the possibility of price increases.
In the immediate term, sustaining above $2,364 provides gold prices with the closest support and once it breaks $2,377 it will have room to continue bullish with a target then at the 2,400 raw price point. USD in the short term.
As long as gold remains above the EMA21 and within the price channel, the bullish technical outlook will not change, on the other hand, the RSI pointing up without reaching the overbought level suggests room for further upside. The technical side remains on the daily chart.
During the day, the uptrend of gold prices will be noticed again by the following technical points.
Support: 2,364 – 2,350USD
Resistance: 2,387 – 2,393 – 2,400USD
🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2401 - 2399
⚰️SL: 2405
⬆️TP1: 2394
⬆️TP2: 2389
🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2337 - 2339
⚰️SL: 2333
⬆️TP1: 2344
⬆️TP2: 2349
Futures
#202429 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
Quote from last week:
comment: Bulls got the breakout again, retested it and held above 82.74. I do think the high is here in the price area below 86 but market will probably have to spend more time here before bears can potentially trade it back down. In April we spent 14 days at the highs until market broke below, retested and went down for good. I expect the same pattern.
comment: Outlooks and chart drawings do not get better than the oil chart posted below. Changed nothing for 2 weeks and still holds up. Next week could be the breakout for the bears. Decent enough rejections above 83 and even if bulls touch 84 again, I think we will trade down over the next weeks/months.
current market cycle: trading range inside the big triangle. Market should stay below 86 or this take is probably wrong. On smaller tf we are still inside the bull channel.
key levels: 80-86
bull case: Bulls were rejected a third time above 83.5 and even though they are in control above the daily 20ema, the selling pressure gets bigger and at some point they want a deeper pullback to buy.
Invalidation is below 81.
bear case: Bears have all the arguments imo. Market at big resistance 84 after bulls having 3 clear legs up. Bears now want a deep pullback to 80 and then keep the bounce below 83 and form a proper channel down.
Invalidation is above 85.
outlook last week:
“short term: Bearish but I wait for bull channel break and bigger selling pressure. Can come fast or take the whole week. All bullish targets are met and as I wrote last week, next 10 points will probably be made to the down side.”
→ Last Sunday we traded 83.16 and now we are at 82.21. High was 83.74 and low was 80.81. outlook was good for 200+ points.
short term: Bearish. All shorts have stop 86.35 so trade small.
medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 82/84. The high of the triangle got tested until mid of April and we have now tested the lows around 72.5. We are at the bear trend line and odds favor the bears if they stay below 86.27 for trading back down below 76 again.
current swing trade: Short since 82.58. Would add to shorts above 83.5 if we get there. SL 86.35.
chart update: Nope.
#202429 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
Quote from last week:
comment: Bulls got the breakout above and 2 good looking bull bars above the daily 20ema. Above 2407 we can expect bears to give up and a retest of 2460 or higher. Market is amazingly symmetrical. 3 tries to drop below 2300 and we are probably seeing the 3rd try at printing above 2477 over the next days. It’s a big trading range and I will long this above 2407 for 2460+ and will short this above 2460, once market turns around again. Maybe bulls can print a higher high or maybe they don’t, it does not matter since you wait for the clear reversal before shorting again.
comment: Bears tried to bring it below the daily 20ema and failed again. Bulls got another smaller higher high which was also a perfect breakout, retest and long again. So bulls are in full control but they are also not very strong or the market would not pull back each time after 1-2 good looking bull bars. Same reasoning as last week. Can bulls print a higher high or will this become a right shoulder? Probably the latter. Bulls are at 2 good resistance lines and buying above 2400 has not been profitable for more than 2 days in this market ever.
current market cycle: trading range until 2300 or 2407 is broken. If bulls break above, trading range is expanded again up to 2480
key levels: 2300 - 2480
bull case: Bulls keeping it inside the bull wedge and channel and as long as we stay in them, it’s bullish af. Bulls are mostly buying dips and not highs, otherwise market would print more consecutive bull bars. Targets for the bulls are obvious, retesting 2477 or making a higher high.
Invalidation is below 2370.
bear case: Bears only need 2 consecutive bear bars to reverse the market to below 2350 again. They are selling new highs inside the channel/wedge and so far it was profitable at least for scalps. They want this leg up to become the right shoulder and finally break the neckline on the next leg down and get below 2300.
Invalidation is above 2510.
outlook last week:
“short term: Neutral until break above 2407. Bullish above”
→ Last Sunday we traded 2397 and now we are at 2420. 23 points higher… I mean… That’s pretty neutral to me since we also traded 30 points lower during the week.
short term: Bearish for a pullback at least to the lower bull trend line again where I expect bulls to buy it again. No opinion after that.
medium-long term: For now I think the most reasonable outlook I could give is a trading range 2200-2500. This could hold for some time. Bear in my still thinks this rally is moronic and we will see 2000 again this year but that’s as unreasonable of an outlook one could hold so don’t. —unchanged
current swing trade: Went long but cut it early. It’s not bullish enough to buy up here. Will only look for shorts once we break the bull trend line.
Chart update: Adjusted the bull wedge and added bull channel with last recent highs but just minor things. Trading range price action and patterns are weak at best.
#202429 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well.
sp500 e-mini futures
Quote from last week:
Don’t know what to tell you here. Market can obviously go much higher for longer and we can print a couple of higher highs. But I will never join the “this time it’s different” crowd. The only sure thing before bubbles popping is that markets print more and more ridiculous highs while more and more people say “it’s really different this time” and they always popped and always will. That’s the nature of the game. Am I saying you should short this right now? No. Do you want to buy this at 5621? If your answer is yes, I do hope you make money, enjoy my letter and take something from it.
comment: Was I wrong about the highs? Yup. SP500 made a higher high by 1 tick. Do I care? Nope. Still convinced this here is the top and I give the market room to prove me wrong again. Have your stop loss in place and live with it if it gets hit. Part of the game. For me the odds of this being the high for the next weeks to months is greater than markets continuing up.
current market cycle: Bull trap and the end of this trend is near. Will soon see a deeper pullback and we will form a trading range where the low is 5000.
key levels: 5500 - 5700
bull case: Bulls printed another higher high and want to stay above the big bull trend line from 2023-01 and inside the bull wedge which could lead to 5800. If bulls actually manage to do so, no reason they can not print 6000 then but that is as low probability as it gets.
Invalidation is below 5580.
bear case: On the weekly and monthly chart this will probably become a bar with a huge tail above, showing a clear rejection above 5600 and market will stay inside the bull wedge that has been going on for 16 months. Bears want to trap bulls who bought above 5600 and they need a strong daily close below 5550 next.
Invalidation is above 5708.
outlook last week:
short term: Most likely outcome for me is a bull trap above 5600 and we will see a correction over the next weeks. I wait for bear strength before shorting. I will only continue to buy quick momentum scalps if we continue upwards.
→ Last Sunday we traded 5621 and now we are at 5664. Bad outlook but still think it will become a bull trap over the next week.
short term: Bearish. Called the top and will stand by that call. If bulls do another higher high and close above 5708, so be it.
medium-long term: Bearish. We will see a bigger correction down to at least 5450 in the near term and likely also 5300. Still think 5000 will be hit in 2024.
current swing trade: Short 5700. Will also hold this until Tesla goes bankrupt or Cathy closes her trashcan of a “fund”.
Chart update: Nope.
Deep Dive into ENS: Full Review of the Project and ENS V2📅 Let's move on to today's analysis. Today, I want to analyze the ENS coin, which is part of the Ethereum ecosystem. With this project, you can buy a domain for your wallet.
🗂 ENS v2 Update : Recently, ENS published an article and introduced the v2 update of the project, announcing that they have added a series of new features to their platform. By collaborating with L2 projects, they aim to reduce fees, increase flexibility, utilize multi-chain capabilities, and make their service more accessible, user-friendly, and cost-effective for everyone, playing a more significant role in the web3 space.
⚙️ How the Project Works : Let's dive deeper into the project and visit its website. The first image you see on the site is a very beautiful landing page. By clicking on "Launch App," you can enter the main space of the platform.
🧩 After launching the app, you need to connect your wallet to the site and search for your desired ID in the search bar. If the domain is available, you can purchase it. If it is registered, it means someone else has already bought it before you. As you can see in the example I searched for, "parham96.eth" has already been registered, but "parham96.box" is still available and hasn't been purchased yet.
🛍 After finding your desired domain, you need to confirm the transaction sent to your wallet. Currently, the cost of this operation, considering the Ethereum network fee, is about $6 for a one-year subscription. According to the project, after the v2 update, these costs will be lower.
🎈 After purchasing, to access the details of your purchased domain, click on the "My Names" section (I prefer not to show you an image of this section due to the privacy of my wallet). You can:
👤 Add a profile picture for your wallet, write a bio, and connect your social media accounts from the profile section.
⚡️ Add another address to your domain from the record section.
🎲 Change the owner of the domain or renew it from the ownership section.
🌐 Create a subdomain for yourself just like websites from the Subname section.
⚓️ Use the permission and more sections to apply other desired settings to your purchased domain.
🌱 Usefulness of the Domain : For example, the "parham96.eth" domain is mine. In this case, I don't need to send my wallet address to someone who wants to transfer to me for each transaction. Just replacing the destination wallet address with the "parham96.eth" phrase will direct the funds to the same wallet. If you search for this domain on Etherscan, you can see it is registered on the blockchain and that the ownership of the domain is also viewable as an NFT in your wallet.
🔄 Renewing the Domain: Click on "Extend," then click "Next," followed by "Open Wallet" to create a transaction. Confirm the transaction through your wallet to renew the domain.
✨ ENS Coin : The ENS project also has a very well-known coin named ENS, which is among the top 100 coins in the market with an $800 million market cap. It is listed on all reputable exchanges, making it a successful project that can achieve even greater success with the launch of ENS V2.
🔍 Technical Analysis : In the daily timeframe, after the price reached a peak of 27.61, the market entered a range, with the price oscillating between 16.58 and 27.61. Following Bitcoin's significant drop, this coin also dropped to the 12.24 area. However, with the announcement of ENS V2 and collaboration with L2 projects, it started an upward movement and returned to the 27.61 area, even briefly breaking this level before returning below it in a fake breakout.
💥 Current Momentum : The price currently lacks momentum. After the fake breakout, there should have been a bearish momentum, but nothing has happened, and the market is still ranging.
📊 Volume Analysis : The volume clearly supports the buyers, as the buying volumes significantly exceed the selling volumes. In the recent bullish candles, the selling volume has significantly decreased.
🧲 Indicators : Due to the ranging market and lack of momentum, I am not using SMAs. However, a break below 43.36 on the RSI would confirm bearish momentum entering the market.
🛒 Long Position : The price has tested the 27.61 resistance six times so far, with increasing buying volume. Given the positive sentiment around ENS V2, it is possible that a few days before the launch, the price will stabilize above this level with a large bullish candle, leaving many behind.
🛎 Short Position : On the other hand, buyers may lose interest in breaking this resistance after six attempts, allowing sellers to enter the market and push the price down.
⚖️ Investment Strategy : If you believe ENS is a good project and that ENS V2 can generate bullish momentum in the market, consider adding this coin to your portfolio and purchasing it according to your strategy.
🎯 Target Prices: If the project succeeds and gains more hype, the initial target prices are 38.10 and 49.27, with the next target being the ATH of 75.80.
👨💻 Futures Trading :
📈 For a long position, a candle close above 27.61 in the 4-hour timeframe can confirm an upward trend. You can look for an entry trigger in the lower timeframes like 1-hour, with a target of 32.83.
📉 For a short position, a break below 23.30 and a candle close beneath this level can confirm a downward trend, with a target of 18.94.
♟ Personally, I will try to open a long position on this coin once the price stabilizes above 27.61. For short positions, I prefer to trade a coin with negative news and lacking a strong upward trend like ENS.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
NOTUSD Is Approaching An Important ResistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NOTUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.0159 zone, NOTUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.0159 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD correction, nearest support level, main technical trendDuring the European market trading session on Monday (July 8), spot gold tended to adjust significantly intraday since the 6-week high reached last week. The current gold price is about 2,372 USD/ounce, down more than 18 USD during the day.
Gold prices adjusted gently mainly due to the recovery in Bond Yields, with the 10-year US Bond Yield at 4,308 recovering 0.61% on the day. In addition, China's suspension of gold purchases for the second consecutive month in June put pressure on gold prices.
Official data released Sunday showed China's central bank's total gold holdings were unchanged at 72.8 million ounces as of the end of June.
In May, China's central bank decided to pause the increase in gold reserves, ending an 18-month gold buying spree that was seen as a support that had helped gold prices rise to record highs.
Currently, the market believes that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September is 73.8%, slightly reduced from the 74% probability after the release of US nonfarm payroll data on Thursday. Six weeks ago, according to FedWatch data provided by CME group.
On the daily chart, as noted by readers in the previous issue, the current correction in gold prices has not yet reached the first support level at 2,364 USD and as long as gold remains above the level 2,364USD, the ability to adjust will still face many limitations.
Instead, the support level at $2,364 is noted as a near-term support level that could push gold prices further towards the original price point of $2,400.
In case the gold price continues to be sold below 2,364 USD, it has conditions to adjust further with a target level of about 2,340 USD, the price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci level.
However, in the overall technical picture, the technical trend of gold price is still more inclined towards the possibility of price increase with the following price points being noticed.
Support: 2,364 – 2,360USD
Resistance: 2,392 – 2,400USD
🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2411 - 2409
⚰️SL: 2415
⬆️TP1: 2404
⬆️TP2: 2399
🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2359 - 2361
⚰️SL: 2355
⬆️TP1: 2366
⬆️TP2: 2371
GOLD recovers after correction, main causes, and trendsOANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading recovered after falling sharply on Friday, once approaching $2,350 and is now reported at $2,367/oz, a gain equivalent to 0.36% on the day as of press time.
Gold prices fell more than 1% in the US trading session yesterday (July 9), due to the rise of the US stock market and profit-taking activities of investors. In addition, China, the largest consumer of gold, did not buy gold; This is the second consecutive month this year that the Central Bank of China has not increased reserves. These are the main reasons for the expectation of a downward adjustment in gold prices sent to you in yesterday's and Sunday's editions.
Official data released Sunday showed China's central bank's total gold holdings remained unchanged at 72.8 million ounces as of the end of June.
In May this year, China's central bank decided to temporarily stop increasing gold reserves, ending an 18-month gold purchase period. When China's central bank released data on buying pauses in May.
Last week's US nonfarm payrolls data showed a weak labor market, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve is about to start cutting interest rates. The market currently predicts a 77.1% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September.
Investors this week will focus on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's semi-annual congressional testimony, a series of speeches by Fed officials and US CPI data released on Thursday.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, Gold is recovering slightly after a downward correction yesterday and overall the correction in gold prices is still limited.
During the term, the price area around $2,364 will still be the closest support, and even if gold moves below this level it will be limited by the confluence of EMA21 support and the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. %, the price area is about 2,340 - 2,345USD.
The relative strength index (RSI) points up but is still far from the overbought level, showing that there is still room for price growth. Technically and intraday the trend of gold prices leans more towards conditions for bullish expectations.
Technical points will be noted again as follows.
Support: 2,364 – 2,345 – 2,340USD
Resistance: 2,377 – 2,392 – 2,400USD
🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2373 - 2371
⚰️SL: 2377
⬆️TP1: 2366
⬆️TP2: 2361
🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2341 - 2343
⚰️SL: 2337
⬆️TP1: 2348
⬆️TP2: 2353
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Overbought Market?!
Crude Oil leaves multiple bearish clues.
The price formed a double top and a rising wedge pattern on a daily
and broke a neckline and a trend line of both patterns.
On an hourly time frame, I see an inverted cup & handle with a confirmed
violation of its neckline.
Looks like the market is overbought.
We may expect a correction to 82.07
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Get ready for big data, GOLD rises to retest 2,364USDOANDA:XAUUSD is mostly flat as the market awaits important news from US non-farm data to be released today (Friday). Fed rate cut expectations are based on this data. At the same time, affected by the US holiday, market trading volume decreased and gold prices found it difficult to maintain Wednesday's gains, fluctuating in a narrow range but still above 2,350 USD/ounce.
Recent U.S. economic data has raised expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin easing policy sooner than expected, but policymakers remain cautious and want to see deflation progress. further development.
Data released by the US showed initial jobless claims last week and ADP data showed private hiring activity fell in June compared to May. Additionally, US PMI data ISM service industry shows that business activities in the service industry have fallen into a decline zone.
Earlier this week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said deflation had resumed but emphasized that more progress was needed before interest rate cuts could be considered.
He added: “Because the American economy is strong and the labor market is strong, we can take our time and get the job done.”
At the same time, the US Federal Open Market Committee released the minutes of its June meeting showing that most participants believe that current policy is very restrictive but leaves the door open for interest rate hikes.
Policymakers acknowledge that the economy is cooling and could respond to unexpected economic weakness.
Today (Friday), the United States will release its nonfarm payrolls report for June, which is expected to show that the US labor market added 190,000 jobs, down from 272,000 in May.
Of course, if NFP data declines, it will be beneficial for gold because it increases the possibility that the Fed will soon cut interest rates, making the US Dollar less attractive.
The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4%, unchanged from the previous figure, while average hourly earnings (AHE) are expected to fall to 3.9% from 4.1 %.
According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, there is a 72% chance the Fed will cut interest rates in September, up from 63% on Tuesday.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold was limited by the $2,364 level that readers noticed in the previous issue, it is now rising to test this important technical level.
In the short term, once gold breaks $2,364 it will have room to continue rising with a target then noted at the original price point of $2,400.
On the other hand, on the overall technical chart, gold still has all the technical factors for a possible price increase. With the nearest support level at the 0.236% Fibonacci point and main support from the 21-day moving average (EMA21).
The relative strength index (RSI) is gradually moving up but is still very far from the overbought area, showing that the room for price increases is still very wide.
During the day, the technical trend leans heavily towards the possibility of an increase in the price of gold and it will be noticed by the following points.
Support: 2,345 – 2,340USD
Resistance: 2,364 – 2,400USD
🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2394 - 2392
⚰️SL: 2398
⬆️TP1: 2387
⬆️TP2: 2382
🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2334 - 2336
⚰️SL: 2330
⬆️TP1: 2341
⬆️TP2: 2346
Nasdaq's Stellar Returns, Potential Risks AheadThe Nasdaq-100 has been a stellar performer since its debut in 1985, rising 22,900% (with dividends reinvested) for a 14.8% compounded annual total rate of return. By comparison, the S&P 500 returned 7,200% over the same period with dividends reinvested, an 11.5% compounded return (Figure 1).
Figure 1: Since the inception of the Nasdaq-100 index in 1985, it has outperformed the S&P
Source: Bloomberg Professional (XNDX and SPXT)
However, the Nasdaq’s outperformance can partly be attributed to higher risk levels. It has been consistently more volatile than the S&P 500 (Figure 2) and has been subject to much greater drawdowns. On March 28, 2000, Nasdaq began a drawdown that reached -81.76% on August 5, 2002 (Figure 3). The total return index didn’t hit a new high-water mark until February 12, 2015. It also had a sharper drawdown during the 2022 bear market.
Figure 2: The Nasdaq-100 has nearly always been more volatile than the S&P 500
Source: Bloomberg Professional (XNDX and SPXT), CME Economic Research Calculations
Figure 3: From 2000 to 2002, the Nasdaq-100 fell by nearly 82% and didn’t recover until 2015.
Source: Bloomberg Professional (XNDX and SPXT), CME Economic Research Calculations
A large part of the reason for the Nasdaq’s greater overall return, higher volatility and its heightened susceptibility to deep and long drawdowns is its dependence on one sector: information technology. Since at least the 1990s, Nasdaq has been nearly synonymous with the tech sector.
While nearly every sector has at least some presence in the Nasdaq, since its launch in 1999 it has always had a near-perfect correlation with the S&P 500 Information Technology Index (the basis for the S&P E-Mini Technology Select Sector futures launched in 2011). That correlation has never fallen below +0.9 and has sometimes been as high as +0.98. In the past 12 months the correlation has been +0.95 (Figure 4).
Figure 4: The Nasdaq-100 has always had extremely high correlations with the tech sector
Source: Bloomberg Professional (NDX, S5INFT, S5UTIL, S5ENRS, S5FINL, S5HLTH, S5CONS, S5COND, S5MATR, S5INDU, S5TELS)
The preponderance of technology stocks in the Nasdaq is largely a function of history. Nasdaq was founded in 1971 as the world’s first electronic stock market and it began to attract technology companies, in part, because it had more flexible listing requirements regarding revenue and profitability than other venues. Over time the technology ecosystem settled largely on this market and came to dominate the Nasdaq-100 Index.
Those who need to minimize tracking risks with respect to the S&P 500 Information Technology Index can do so with the Select Sector futures. However, those who wish to increase or decrease exposure to the technology sector more generally, and for whom tracking risks is a less of a concern can easily increase or reduce their exposure with the Nasdaq-100 futures.
Also launched in June 1999 were E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures, which are now turning 25 years old. The contracts caught on quickly, and today trade at more than 668K contracts or $60 billion in notional value each day.
E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures offer capital-efficient exposure to the Nasdaq-100 index, and allow investors to trade and track one NQ futures contract versus 100 stocks to achieve nearly identical exposure. These futures also help mitigate risk against the top-heavy nature of the Nasdaq-100 index, where the so-called Magnificent Seven companies—Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon.com, Meta Platforms, Google-parent Alphabet and Tesla—have dominated recently. Broad exposure to this index acts as a hedge if the Magnificent Seven stocks decline.
The Nasdaq has also correlated highly in recent years with consumer discretionary stocks as well as telecoms. By contrast, it has typically low correlations with traditional high-dividend sectors such as consumer staples, energy and utilities which tend to be listed on other exchanges. The exception to this rule is during down markets, when stocks tend to become more highly correlated.
The Nasdaq also has very different interest rate sensitivities than its peers. For starters, high short-term interest rates seem to benefit the Nasdaq-100 companies as many of them have large reserves of cash that are earning high rates of return by sitting in T-Bills and other short-term maturities. This is a sharp contrast to the Russell 2000 index, which has suffered as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes have increased the cost of financing for smaller and mid-sized firms, which borrow from banks rather than bond holders and don’t usually have substantial cash reserves.
By contrast, the Nasdaq has shown a very negative sensitivity to higher long-term bond yields. Many of the technology stocks in the Nasdaq-100 are trading at high earnings multiples. Some have market capitalization exceeding $1 trillion. Higher long-term bond yields are a potential threat because much the value of these corporations is what equity analysts might refer to as their “value in perpetuity,” meaning beyond any reasonable forecast horizon. Typically, such earnings are discounted using long-term bond yields and the higher those yields go, the lower the net present value of those future earnings. Additionally, higher long-term bond yields can also induce investors to switch out of highly volatile and expensive equity portfolios into the relatively less volatile, fixed- income securities.
The Nasdaq’s high sensitivity to long-term bond yields may explain why the index sold off so sharply in 2022 alongside a steep fall in the price of long-dated U.S. Treasuries, whose yields were rising in anticipation of Fed tightening and due to concerns about the persistence of inflation. By contrast, the Nasdaq has done well since October 2022 despite the Fed continuing to raise short-term rates through July 2023 and subsequently keeping those rates high. On the one hand, many of the cash-rich Nasdaq companies are benefitting from higher returns on their holdings of short-term securities. On the other hand, they are also benefitting from the fact that higher short-term rates have steadied long-term bond yields by making it clear that the Fed is taking inflation seriously.
This isn’t to suggest that the Nasdaq is immune from downside risks. History shows that the risks are very real, especially in the event of an economic downturn. In the 2001 tech wreck recession, the Fed cut short-term rates from 6.5% to 1% but long-term bond yields remained relatively high, which was not a helpful combination for the tech sector. In addition to its 82% decline during the tech wreck recession, it also fell sharply during the global financial crisis, though not as badly as the S&P 500, which had a far larger weighting to bank stocks.
This time around, potential threats to the Nasdaq include:
The possibility of an economic downturn which could crimp corporate profits.
Rate cuts which would reduce the return on cash positions.
Large budget deficits and quantitative tightening which could push up long-term bond yields.
Possibly tighter regulation of the tech sector in the U.S. and abroad.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
By Erik Norland, Executive Director and Senior Economist, CME Group
*CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
#BTCUSDT #4h (OKX Futures) Descending trendline break and retestBitcoin just regained 50MA support and is pulling back to it, looks ready for short-term recovery towards 200MA resistance, especially after that bullish hammer.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: OKX Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (5.0X)
Amount: 4.9%
Current Price:
57886.5
Entry Targets:
1) 57738.1
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 62483.9
Stop Targets:
1) 55359.4
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC OKX:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +41.1%
Possible Loss= -20.6%
Estimated Gaintime= 1 week
GOLD slight correction after reaching 2,364 USDOANDA:XAUUSD rallied sharply to test the $2,364 technical level as US economic data performed worse than expected, pressuring the dollar and driving gold prices higher. In addition, tensions in the Middle East showing signs of increasing also stimulate money flows into safe haven assets, and gold is the top choice.
Economic data released by the United States was weaker than expected, increasing market bets that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in September.
Data from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) shows business activity in the US services sector softened after reaching its highest level since August 2023. Along with a rise in the number of Americans filing Jobless claims and hiring by private companies were lower than expected, and employment data weakened, prompting markets to reprice the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
Data released Wednesday showed that in the week ended June 29, adjusted initial jobless claims in the United States were 238,000, above market expectations of 234,000. In the week ending June 22, the number of people continuing to apply for unemployment benefits after adjustment in the US was 1.858 million people, higher than market expectations and setting a new high since November. 2021.
The ADP jobs report showed private sector employment rose by 150,000 in June, falling for the third straight month and hitting a new low since January, below the 163,000 expected by economists. forecast.
Federal Reserve minutes released Wednesday showed officials at the June policy meeting had differing views on how long interest rates should remain high.
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) interest rate meeting that ended June 12 showed that while "some" officials emphasized the need for patience, "some" participants especially noting that continued weakness in the job market could lead to higher unemployment rates.
According to the minutes, officials reiterated that a rate cut would not be appropriate until more data reinforced their belief that inflation was on target. Despite recent signs that some progress has been made in fighting inflation, some policymakers maintain a willingness to raise interest rates if inflation remains high.
Traders' attention turns to Friday's nonfarm payrolls report as US markets will be closed on Thursday for the Independence Day holiday.
Geopolitical risks
Regarding the situation in the Middle East, the Israel Defense Forces issued a statement on July 3 saying at least 100 rockets were fired from Lebanon toward northern Israel. Hezbollah in Lebanon announced a missile attack in retaliation for an Israeli airstrike in southern Lebanon that day that killed a senior commander of the organization.
The Israeli army issued a statement early on the morning of July 3 confirming that Nasser, a core figure of Hezbollah in Lebanon, was killed in an Israeli airstrike.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after increasing in price to reach 2,364 USD, please note that in yesterday's publication, gold is temporarily limited by this level, which is also the target price increase that For gold to open a new bullish cycle it needs to break the technical level of 2,364 USD.
Although the upward momentum of gold prices is limited, the overall picture still shows that gold prices have all the conditions to increase in price with major support except the EMA21 moving average and the nearest support level at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. .
As long as gold maintains its price performance above the EMA21, it still has a bullish technical outlook in the short term, and once it breaks the $2,364 technical point, gold has the potential to resume its uptrend at the target level. Initial spending is about 2,400 USD.
During the day, the uptrend of gold prices will be noticed by the following technical points.
Support: 2,345 – 2,340USD
Resistance: 2,364USD
🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2394 - 2392
⚰️SL: 2398
⬆️TP1: 2387
⬆️TP2: 2382
🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2334 - 2336
⚰️SL: 2330
⬆️TP1: 2341
⬆️TP2: 2346
75: Post-Liquidation Strategy for Nasdaq Mini FuturesAfter liquidating longs at the low, we aim to hold the level of 20,712 in the Nasdaq Mini Futures market.
Recent market movements have shown increased volatility, making it crucial to identify key support and resistance levels. Staying informed about macroeconomic events and earnings reports is essential as these factors can significantly impact market direction.
Bullish Scenario:
If we maintain this level, we will wait for a gain at 20,713 and then look for new highs around 20,752.
Bearish Scenario:
When losing this level (20,712), we will shift our focus to 20,686 and wait for new scenarios to develop.
Staying vigilant and adaptable in this volatile market environment is key to navigating potential trading opportunities and risks.
GOLD pays attention to the main focus of the marketOANDA:XAUUSD remained generally stable as markets received information from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and continued to look to US jobs data later this week for further signals on the state of the US economy.
The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) released on Tuesday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) found that there were 8.14 million job openings on January 1. Last work of May.
This is a significant increase compared to April's 7.9 million (adjusted to 8.05 million) and exceeds the market forecast of 7.9 million.
Key points from Powell's speech included his mention that wage growth is falling back to more sustainable levels, a sign that the labor market is cooling.
Additionally, he added that inflation could return to 2% by the end of next year or the year after that, suggesting inflation will be lower than expected. However, he reiterated that he hopes to see more progress before being confident enough to start cutting interest rates.
"Services inflation has generally stabilized and wage growth is returning to more sustainable levels," he said. "Wage growth remains above equilibrium and the labor market is cooling. Inflation has will probably return at the end of next year or early next year to 2%.
The focus now turns to Friday's nonfarm payrolls data, which will be crucial in assessing whether the US labor market remains strong amid the highest interest rates in decades. century or not.
However, data due today (Wednesday) will also have an impact on the markets, including the minutes of the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), as well as the purchasing managers index. services (PMI) from S&P Global and the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is still trading quite stable around the EMA21 moving average, and the market still needs a fundamental impact large enough to break the current situation and give a clear trend cycle.
Technically, although gold is currently above EMA21, its ability to increase in price is limited by the upper edge of the price channel and the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. Gold will have enough conditions to increase technically if it breaks the price channel and stays above the 0.236% Fibonacci level, then the target level will be aimed at 2,364USD in the short term.
On the other hand, once gold continues to be sold below EMA21 and below the technical point of 2,324 USD, it will tend to continue to decrease with a target level of 2,305 - 2,300 USD in the short term.
The relative strength index is completely flat, showing hesitation and the market has not found a specific trend.
During the day, the technical outlook of gold price is showing that the main trend is sideways accumulation with the above conditions for an increase and decrease. In the accumulation phase of the market, short-term open positions are always given priority. Technical positions will be given attention again as follows,
Support: 2,324 – 2,320USD
Resistance: 2,340 – 2,345USD
🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2354 - 2352
⚰️SL: 2358
⬆️TP1: 2347
⬆️TP2: 2342
🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2302 - 2304
⚰️SL: 2298
⬆️TP1: 2309
⬆️TP2: 2314
GBPUSD comments at the beginning of the weekCable had a volatile week, driven almost entirely by top tier US data (US CPI, FOMC forecasts). The welcomed inflation data on Wednesday and subsequent rise in the pair was pulled back a few hours later with more hawkish revisions to the inflation outlook.
Since then FX markets have prioritized the hawkish projections over the encouraging inflation data – the reverse of what has been seen in the US stock market as major indices achieved new all time highs. Continued progress in inflation and a more dovish BoE could extend the current move lower, towards 1.2585 and possibly even the 200 SMA.
GOLD recovers, supported by data, key trends, PCE eyes onAs weak economic data supports expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates this year, putting pressure on the USD, spot gold increased sharply by nearly 30 USD in yesterday's trading session. Today (Friday), investors will receive the most important economic data of the week, US PCE inflation data, which is expected to set the market trend.
Some published data has supported the gold market. Essentially, wholesale inventories were lower than expected and the final GDP value fell significantly, dragging down the US Dollar index, thus boosting gold prices.
• US quarterly GDP growth in the first quarter was revised slightly to 1.4%, but remained below the 3.4% in the last three months of 2023. GDP report also showed weakness in consumer spending. US consumption growth was adjusted down to 1.5% compared to the previous forecast of 2%.
• Data released Thursday also showed initial unemployment claims fell to 233,000 in the week ended June 22. However, in the week ending June 15, the number of people continuing to apply for unemployment benefits increased by 18,000 to 1.839 million, the highest level since late 2021.
US PCE inflation data is about to be published
At 19:30 Hanoi time today (Friday), US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price data for May will be released, which could reveal the path of interest rates of the Fed.
Surveys show the US PCE price index is expected to be flat month-on-month in May, after rising 0.3% in April. The US PCE price index is expected to rise at a monthly pace. year-on-year was 2.6% in May, following a 2.7% increase in April.
In terms of more important core data, the survey shows that the US core PCE price index in May is expected to increase 0.1% monthly, following a 0.2% increase in April; increased at an annual rate of 2.6%, compared with a 2.8% increase the previous month.
As the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, year-over-year changes in the core PCE price index have a larger impact on policymakers.
The upcoming US core PCE price index for May will act as a short-term catalyst for market trends in general and the gold market in particular. Since gold does not earn interest, falling interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it more attractive to investors.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold reached levels around the 2,305 – 2,300 USD area it recovered and increased again but is currently still limited by the confluence area of EMA21, the upper edge of the price channel and the technical 2,324USD.
Considering the overall technical picture, although the gold price has recovered, it still does not have enough conditions to increase further. The condition for the gold price to continue to recover and increase is that it needs to move up. above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level and then the target level can be noticed at 2,365USD in the short term.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold does not show further price increases, but instead technical conditions are still supporting a downtrend from the price channel.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,305 – 2,300USD
Resistance: 2,324 – 2,340 – 2,345USD
🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2343 - 2341
⚰️SL: 2347
⬆️TP1: 2336
⬆️TP2: 2331
🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2302 - 2304
⚰️SL: 2298
⬆️TP1: 2309
⬆️TP2: 2314
GOLD will continue to accumulate in the coming sessionsWorld gold prices decreased significantly in the trading session on Friday (June 28), after US statistics showed that inflation continued to deescalate and was in line with forecasts, reinforcing the possibility that the Federal Reserve The Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates in September. Many experts predict that gold prices will continue to accumulate in the coming sessions, with the possibility of breaking out of the 2,300-2,350 USD/oz range in the short term. short.
Although the US Dollar index (DXY) remained stable during the day, gold prices still increased. US macro data released yesterday and tensions in the Middle East are supporting gold prices.
On the evening of June 27 local time, air defense sirens sounded across a large area in northern Israel. The Israeli army said the northern region of the country was attacked by about 35 rockets from Lebanon. Israel's air defense system blocked most of the missiles.
The Israeli army said the attack caused no casualties among local people. However, the attack caused fires in two northern areas.
Since the outbreak of a new round of conflict between Palestinians and Israelis on October 7 last year, Hezbollah in Lebanon has occasionally carried out attacks in northern Israel, and the Israeli military has retaliated with airstrikes. bombardment and shelling of targets in southern Lebanon. A large number of residents in the northern border area have been evacuated.
The conflict continued to escalate this month. On June 6, the Israeli Northern Command announced that it had completed the deployment of forces to conduct a large-scale attack against Hezbollah in Lebanon. On June 11, Lebanese Hezbollah commander Talib Abdullah was killed in an Israeli airstrike. Hezbollah then launched a large-scale rocket attack on Israel.
Follow the US elections
After the first televised debate of the US presidential election, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's approval rating significantly surpassed that of incumbent President Biden.
During the debate, Biden often looked away when Trump spoke and Biden's statements were also quite weak. Some information said Biden had a cold.😁
The impact of the US presidential debate on the market has so far been limited. Although the US dollar's rise is in line with Trump's comments that he could increase trade tensions and concerns about fiscal extravagance. However, the increase in USD price seems to be more related to economic factors announced in US macro data.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [July 01 - July 05]OANDA:XAUUSD today closed weekly at 2,326 USD/ounce. It had previously hit a high of $2,339 when the US PCE inflation data was released.
COMEX gold futures closed up 0.01% at $2,336/ounce, with a cumulative gain of 12.8% in the first half of the year.
Gold is currently quite neutral fundamentally, but looking at the overall picture, inflation will not disappear and geopolitical tensions will not subside, which will be important positive supports for gold prices.
Previously, the core US personal consumption expenditure index showed moderate rising inflationary pressures, in line with expectations. Over the past 12 months, the Fed's inflation index has increased 2.6%, the lowest annual increase in more than three years.
Although inflation has yet to reach the Fed's 2% target, it may be close enough to signal a rate cut in September.
CME Group's FedWatch tool shows that traders now see about a 64.1% chance the Fed will cut interest rates in September.
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who is also a member of the 2024 FOMC, said the latest inflation figures were “good news that policy is working.”
It's also worth noting that data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that in the week to June 25, speculative net long positions in COMEX gold futures contracts decreased by 4,823 lots.
Data outlook next week
Independence Day will give next week's economic data a break.
On Monday, markets will get the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index, followed by preliminary Eurozone CPI data and JOLTS job hiring data on Tuesday.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will also speak at the central bank meeting in Portugal.
Next Wednesday, the market will focus on the ADP jobs report, weekly unemployment benefits data and the ISM services purchasing managers index, as well as the June FOMC meeting minutes.
After the July 4 holiday, US traders will receive the June nonfarm payrolls report on Friday
Notable economic data
Monday: ISM Manufacturing PMI
Tuesday: Eurozone CPI estimates, JOLTS vacancies, ECB President Christine Lagarde and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to speak at Bank of Portugal meeting
Wednesday: ADP employment data, weekly jobless claims, ISM services PMI; FOMC June meeting minutes;
Friday: US nonfarm payrolls report
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold recovered but the early recovery was beaten by the target resistance area presented to readers in the previous issue of 2,340 – 2,345 USD, the price area of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement and technical level 2,345USD.
Gold's weekly close still within the price channel shows that the downtrend remains stable, while price activity returning below the EMA21 also makes this moving average the closest current resistance for gold. with the price of gold technically on the daily chart.
In the near term, if gold continues to be sold below 2,324 USD it will provide conditions for further declines with the target level then being around 2,305 – 2,300 USD.
In case the $2,300 raw price breaks below, a new bearish cycle could be opened with a short-term target of $2,286 and more than the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level.
As long as gold cannot move above the 0.236% Fibonacci level, in terms of overall technicality, the gold price technical chart is not inclined to an upward trend.
The technical downtrend of gold prices will be noticed again by the following price levels.
Support: 2,324 – 2,305 – 2,300USD
Resistance: 2,330 – 2,340 – 2,345USD
📌The trading plan for next week will be selling around 2360 and buying around 2268.
GOLD moves sideways awaiting significant fundamental impactOANDA:XAUUSD closed Monday's session higher but still limited by the 0.236% Fibonacci level. Currently price activity hovers around the EMA21 level as investors turn their attention to US jobs data due out later this week, which could provide further clues about a rate cut of the Federal Reserve.
U.S. manufacturing activity fell for a third straight month in June as demand for goods weakened and a gauge of factory input prices fell to a six-month low, suggesting inflation may continue to ease.
This week, the market will focus on today's (Tuesday) speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, the minutes of the central bank's latest policy meeting on Wednesday and non-payroll data. US agriculture on Friday. US markets will be closed on Thursday for the Independence Day holiday.
The market currently expects a 64% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in September and another rate cut in December. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold and make gold more attractive. should be more attractive than holding US Dollar.
OANDA:XAUUSD is keeping price activity around the EMA21 level, however, staying above the EMA21 level is a good sign for gold prices as the current $2,324 technical point is also acting as another support. compatible with EMA21.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still moving sideways without a clear trend. If the RSI bends and points up, it will be a signal that there is still a lot of room for price growth.
The 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level is also currently the resistance that limits the upside potential of gold prices. Once gold breaks this Fibonacci level, which can be confirmed by the $2,345 level, it has all the technical elements. needed for a new bullish cycle with a short-term target around 2,364USD.
With current largely sideways price activity, gold will need significant impact from fundamentals to create technical direction.
During the day, the trend of gold price is still moving sideways around the EMA21 level, and the price points will be noticed again as follows.
Support: 2,324 – 2,320USD
Resistance: 2,338 – 2,340 – 2,345USD
🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2361 - 2359
⚰️SL: 2365
⬆️TP1: 2354
⬆️TP2: 2349
🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2304 - 2306
⚰️SL: 2300
⬆️TP1: 2311
⬆️TP2: 2316
2024-07-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Good follow through by the bears and a clear break below the bull channel. If we continue down from here, I would be surprised. More likely is another retest from the bulls to 83/84. Selling is strong enough that we have a decent chance of 84.52 being the high of this bull trend that’s now over and we are in a trading range at the highs. Odds strongly favor the bears since we are in a huge triangle.
current market cycle: Trading range
key levels: 80 - 84
bull case: Bulls failed at the 1h 20ema multiple times today but held it above 82 which means we are forming a smaller descending triangle which will likely break out early tomorrow. Retest of the bull channel to 83.5 is reasonable.
Invalid below 82.
bear case: Bears showed strength by consecutive decent bear bars on the daily chart. They want the 1h 20ema to be resistance as long as possible and their next target is the daily 20ema at 81.2ish which is also the recent trading range and a magnet.
short term: Two bear trend lines which can both work and we will only find out tomorrow. Market should stay below 82.9 if bears are in control. If bulls break above, can see 83.4/84 again. So looking for shorts near 1h 20ema and upper bear trend lines. Long scalps above 83.
medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 86 (could also be 87 but for now I see the spike above 83 as a failed breakout of the triangle. We hit the lower trend line and now we will test back up to above 83. —will update this Wednesday
current swing trade: Small short initiated and will add on higher if necessary. Plan to hold this to at least 76 with profit taking/adding on in between.
trade of the day: Look at all the bars with a tail above 82.7. That’s more than enough reason and time to place some shorts because market is screaming at you, that bulls are not strong enough above 82.7.
GOLD has dropped to its lowest level in 2 weeksOANDA:XAUUSD fell to its lowest in more than two weeks, weighed down by strength in the US dollar and rising bond yields, while traders looked ahead to US inflation data due later in the week. This
According to CME "Fed Watch" data, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 89.7% and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 10.3%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 37.2%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 57.3%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 5 .5%.
The focus this week will be on the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure that could provide guidance on interest rates. If the result is lower than expectations, the Fed is likely to An early federal interest rate cut will increase and support gold prices. The opposite is true if inflation increases.
Technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD outlook
As sent to readers in yesterday morning's edition, gold currently has bearish conditions after the recovery momentum was defeated. Gold has fallen rapidly again and the price has dropped below the price point of 2,300 USD.
With current price activity, gold is still leaning towards price possibilities with the main pressure from EMA21 and the current main trend being noticed at the trendline.
As long as the rallies fail to take gold prices above the $2,340 technical level, price increases should only be considered short-term corrections and not an uptrend.
In the short term, with current price activity, gold is likely to continue to test the $2,286 price level rather than the $2,282 price point of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
The intraday trend of gold price is a downtrend and is noted as follows.
Support: 2,286 – 2,273USD
Resistance: 2,300 – 2,306 – 2,324USD
🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2322 - 2320
⚰️SL: 2326
⬆️TP1: 2315
⬆️TP2: 2310
🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2269 - 2271
⚰️SL: 2265
⬆️TP1: 2276
⬆️TP2: 2281