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Recovery from Fib0.236%, support and pressure factors for GOLDRisk appetite improved as bets increased that the Federal Reserve could begin easing policy sooner than expected. This comes after Friday's nonfarm payrolls report showed the economy continued to create jobs, albeit at a slower pace. Basic support for OANDA:XAUUSD Market participants continue to digest the latest data from the United States as the April nonfarm payrolls report was weaker than expected. If the next inflation report is weaker than expected, market expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates later in the year will be confirmed (certainly). Fundamental pressure on OANDA:XAUUSD The latest news comes from ceasefire negotiations in the Middle East. On May 6, Hamas issued a statement agreeing with the ceasefire proposal in the Gaza Strip proposed by mediators. This information has cooled the market's risk aversion, putting gold prices under pressure to adjust. Hamas said in a statement that Hamas Politburo leader Haniyeh informed Qatari Prime Minister Mohammed and Egyptian General Intelligence Director Abbas Kamal about the decision by phone that day. An Israeli official said Israel received Hamas's response to Egypt's ceasefire and agreement to release detainees. Israel Defense Forces spokesman Hagari issued a statement on May 6 saying that Hamas had accepted the ceasefire proposal mediated by Egypt. The Israeli side is carefully considering every content of the proposal and making every effort to promote related negotiations and "all possibilities" to release the detainees. At the same time, the Israeli army will continue military operations in the Gaza Strip. According to Cairo News TV on May 6, citing sources from the Egyptian intelligence agency, the Egyptian delegation responsible for mediating the ceasefire in the Gaza Strip that day received a "positive response" from Hamas and Israel. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold continues to recover from the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level but the upside recovery is also limited and is under pressure to react to the downside from the 21-day moving average EMA21. On the other hand, the short-term trend of gold price is still an uptrend from the price channel, as long as gold is still operating below the EMA21 and within the price channel, it still tends to be down in the short term. Currently, gold is technically at $2,322 and if it breaks below this level gold could continue to decline to test the 0.236% Fibonacci level once more. In case the gold price continues to sell off below the 0.236% Fibonacci level, it will open a new bearish cycle with the maximum target level at the 0.382% Fibonacci level. During the day, the technical downtrend of gold prices is noticed by the following price levels. Support: 2,322 – 2,284USD Resistance: 2,340 – 2,345USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2364 - 2362 ⚰️SL: 2368 ⬆️TP1: 2357 ⬆️TP2: 2352 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2303 - 2305 ⚰️SL: 2299 ⬆️TP1: 2310 ⬆️TP2: 2315
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD still has the ability to recoverAfter the release of US non-farm payrolls (NFP) data lower than market expectations, gold quickly increased in price, reaching 2,320 USD/ounce. However, this high level did not last long due to profit-taking pressure and gold quickly fell to close weekly at 2,301 USD/ounce. Although the easing cycle may be delayed, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has made clear that interest rates will not go higher. “I think it's unlikely that the next policy change will be to raise interest rates,” Powell said at a news conference. I would say that is unlikely to happen.” Adding to gold's volatility was Friday's jobs data, which showed the US economy created 175,000 jobs in April, significantly less than expected. At the same time, the unemployment rate rose to 3.9% and wage growth fell short of expectations. While the jobs report supported interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, pushing up gold prices, uncertainty about timing continued to dominate market sentiment and investors were likely to Take advantage of the recovery to take profits. In the coming time, gold traders still need to pay attention to macro data and Fed speeches to have more data to guide their assessment of when the Fed will cut interest rates. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain high interest rates for longer and upbeat market sentiment have become key factors weakening safe-haven demand for gold. However, at the latest FOMC meeting the prospect of a less hawkish Fed led to widespread dollar weakness and helped limit gold's decline, so caution is warranted. A basic direction for gold prices leans towards the possibility of a price decrease. Data to watch out for is data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showing that speculative net long positions in COMEX gold futures fell by 9,018 contracts to 167,139 contracts for the week ends April 30. Next week, the market will also witness the sudden appearance of a number of central bank governors. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari will speak in New York; Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin will speak at an event in South Carolina; New York Fed President John William James will speak at a conference in California; and Chicago Fed President Austen Goolsby will speak at the Minnesota Economic Club. Meanwhile, investors will focus on data on consumer confidence and inflation expectations later this week. Economic data to watch next week Wednesday: 10-year bond auction Thursday: Bank of England monetary policy decision, weekly jobless claims, 30-year bond auction Friday: Preliminary data on consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Last week, gold performed quite stably with a short-term bearish structure from the trend price channel. Stay within range with nearest support from 0.236% Fibonacci retracement and resistance at $2,322 in the short term and beyond at EMA21 and $2,345. Although the expected recovery at 2,365 USD continued to fail last week, maintaining above the original price level of 2,300 USD and the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level should be considered positive conditions for recovery expectations. continues to appear next week. As long as the bearish does not break below the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, it still has room to recover with a target level of around $2,365. However, in case the 0.236% Fibonacci level is broken below, it could cause the gold price to drop even more with a possible price drop to 2.223 or more to the 0.382% Fibonacci level. Therefore, if the 0.236% Fibonacci level is broken below, it is not advisable to open long positions, it is also time to protect open long positions around 2,284USD. The point of complete breakout of the 0.236% Fibonacci level should be determined by price activity below the lower edge of the price channel. Next week, the prospect of a bullish recovery inside the price channel will be noticed again with the following technical levels. Support: 2,284USD Resistance: 2,322 – 2,345 – 2,365USD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
#ARPA - Long Strategy (Swing Position - Futures)We have surpassed the decision level, which is the black line, from the weekly classic pivot points in the “Arpa” token. Currently, we are above the decision level. The trend appears positive on a weekly basis. The decision level at the 0.6633 region should continue to be monitored. In summary; ▪️ Our upward targets are 0.07423 - 0.07887 - 0.088657. ▪️ The figure we need to follow as the decision level is 0.06633. ▪️ Our downward targets are 0.06162 - 0.055399 - 0.04930. ⭕️ The blue-painted area is a dense selling zone. If a position is entered around these levels, profits should definitely be realized upon contact with the blue shaded area. The price may reverse. Please consider market conditions.
Long
by ByCentralTrader
Trading Plan for Friday, May 10th, 2024Trading Plan for Friday, May 10th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but with a cautious undertone after a significant multi-day rally. Expect potential profit-taking and a reduction in aggressive buying activity. A period of consolidation is highly likely. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5235-37, 5228, 5209 (major), 5203 (major) Major Supports: 5177-79 (major), 5155 (major), 5120 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5246 (major), 5268-72 (major) Major Resistances: 5302 (major), 5326-28 (major), 5395 (major) Trading Strategy Capital Preservation Focus: After a strong multi-day rally, prioritize protecting your gains. Adopt a defensive posture and consider reducing position sizes. Limited Long Opportunities: Due to the overbought conditions and the potential for a pullback, look for very selective long entries if at all. Focus on failed breakdowns at 5228 or 5203 for potential long entries. In the event of a deeper pullback, consider buying dips at major support levels, with 5209 or failed breakdowns at 5203 offering potential opportunities. Short Opportunities: While your personal trading rules discourage shorting green candles and breaking trends, monitor back-tests of 5246 and 5268-72 for potential short entries with tight stop losses. Proceed with extreme caution. Focus on Levels and Patience: Trade the provided support and resistance levels with strict discipline. Let price action develop, be patient, avoid emotional trading, and prioritize minimizing risk exposure. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5203-5209 zone remains crucial for sustaining bullish momentum. Holding above this level would indicate a continuation of the breakout, targeting 5246, then 5268-72. Ultra Bullish Scenario (Unlikely): A parabolic move overnight pushing through 5246 would be required for a continuation without a proper dip. Monitor overnight basing above 5228 and below 5246 for clues about strength. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5203 would signal a potential pullback and retest of lower supports. Monitor bounces/failed breakdowns at 5228 or 5203 for potential short entries. News: Top Stories for May 10th, 2024 Global Stock Market Trends: U.S. Market Performance: Modest gains seen in U.S. stock indices, reflecting optimism despite mixed April performance. European and Asian Market Dynamics: Positive movements noted in European and Asian markets, driven by solid economic data and central bank easing. Impact of Economic Indicators: U.S. labor market easing influences market expectations regarding potential rate cuts. Sector-Specific Movements: Technology sector experiences volatility, while energy sector sees potential stabilization. Investor Sentiment and Future Outlook: Cautious optimism prevails amid anticipation of rate cuts and easing inflation, alongside geopolitical risks and trade negotiations. Assessment of Inflation and Interest Rate Policies: Global Inflation Trends: Persistent inflationary pressures challenge central banks' efforts to meet targets. Central Banks' Stance: Cautious approach towards interest rate adjustments observed globally. Economic Implications: High interest rates may slow down consumer spending and business investments. Inflation Expectations and Future Policies: Central banks closely monitor inflation expectations to inform future policy decisions. Impact on Global Economic Stability: Corporate Financial Developments and Deals: Companies announce financial results and engage in strategic transactions, reflecting market dynamics and regulatory changes. Forward-Looking Corporate Statements: Companies adjust strategies to navigate current market conditions and regulatory environments effectively.
CME_MINI:ESM2024
by spytradingpro
COFFEE - Futures - 4/1/2024This Trade was taken as net positions hit the highest amount this year at 16/4/2024 we had the highest positions in a 26 week period at -78,835 net positions, this was followed by a price action signal for a short trade. please know at this current time, We had a very dry season in Brazil and in vietnam which caused a massive price spike through out all year. The COT report shows us the net positioning being the highest as well as commercials are loading up on the sell side of the market.
PEPPERSTONE:COFFEEShort
by insanemalin
Trading Plan for Thursday, May 9th, 2024Trading Plan for Thursday, May 9th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but with increasing uncertainty as the market enters a consolidation phase. Expect choppy trading within a defined range. Prioritize patience and focus on level-to-level scalping for small gains. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5203, 5194 (major) Major Supports: 5177 (major), 5155 (major), 5131-36 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5213 (major), 5219 (major), 5229-33 (major) Major Resistances: 5246 (major), 5263-66 (major) Trading Strategy Consolidation Mode: Recognize that the market has shifted from a strong trending environment to a choppy consolidation phase. Adapt your trading strategy accordingly, focusing on small gains and disciplined risk management. Long Opportunities: Focus on failed breakdowns at 5203 or 5194 for long entries. In the event of a deeper pullback, consider buying the retests of the 5177, 5155, and 5131-36 breakout zone or knife-catches for quick scalps. Short Opportunities: Due to the bullish trend and the inherent risk of shorting against strength in a bull market, avoid aggressive short positions. Monitor back-tests of 5229-33 or 5263-66 for potential short entries, targeting level-to-level profits. Focus on Levels and Patience: Trade the provided support and resistance levels with strict discipline. Let price action develop, be patient, and avoid emotional trading. Overtrading within a tight range can lead to losses. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5194 level and ideally the 5131-36 breakout zone remains crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. Holding above the lower range boundary would indicate a healthy consolidation and base for potential continuation higher. Base Building and Rebound: A period of consolidation within the 5194-5219 range followed by a rebound off the lower zone would set the stage for further advances, targeting 5229-33, 5246, then 5263-66. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5194, more significantly below 5177 would signal a deeper pullback and a potential retest of the 5131-36 breakout zone. Monitor bounces/failed breakdowns at these levels for potential short entries. News: Top Stories for May 9th, 2024 Global Stock Market Trends: Varied Performance: Mixed responses observed in Asian markets; Wall Street experiences second consecutive day of lull. Influence of Geopolitical Events: Ongoing geopolitical tensions impact investor confidence and market stability. Recovery Post-COVID-19: Economic recovery contributes to increased positive correlation among global stock markets. Technological Advancements and Stock Market Analysis: Complex Network Analysis: Studies highlight increased interconnectedness among global stock markets. Geopolitical Impact: Geopolitical unrest continues to pose risks, affecting capital flows and commodity markets. Future Outlook: Predicted trends focus on sustained recovery and nuanced understanding of market interdependencies. Overview of International Trade and Currency Fluctuations: Currency Fluctuation Dynamics: Currency values influence international trade competitiveness and economic policies. Role of Economic Indicators: Inflation rates, interest rates, and GDP growth significantly affect currency valuation. Risk Management Strategies: Businesses employ hedging strategies to mitigate currency fluctuation risks. Government Policies: Monetary and fiscal policies play crucial roles in stabilizing currency values. Impact of Central Banks' Policies on Global Economy: Economic Stabilization: Central banks manipulate monetary policies to address economic fluctuations and crises. Influence on Inflation and Interest Rates: Adjustments in interest rates affect global economic conditions. Effects on Financial Markets: Central bank policies directly impact asset prices and investment flows. Response to Economic Shocks: Central banks provide monetary lifelines during economic crises to stabilize financial systems.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
Fed keeps interest rates, GOLD increases but limitedAfter the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged for the sixth time and announced it would slow down the pace of balance sheet shrinkage, gold prices rose sharply above the $2,300/ounce mark and remained above this key price level. , and also achieved the target adjusted increase in publishing the previous issue sent to you. Market news and reviews The Federal Reserve is determined to achieve its 2% inflation target and kept interest rates unchanged for the sixth time in Wednesday's trading session. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said in a news conference that cutting interest rates until they are confident that inflation is moving toward the 2% target is inappropriate, adding that this year's inflation data “does not give us greater confidence.” They will decide monetary policy “meeting by meeting,” adding that slowing the pace of balance sheet contraction “will ensure a smooth transition in currency markets.” Powell added that the Fed believes monetary policy will be restrictive enough to contain inflation and ignored the possibility of raising interest rates when he made the call. The Federal Reserve has chosen to maintain the federal funds rate at 5.25%-5.50%. In their statement, they noted that the risks associated with achieving the Fed's dual mandate of focusing on employment and inflation have become more balanced over the past year. While acknowledging progress on inflation, they also acknowledged that recent data suggests progress has stalled. The prospect of interest rates remaining fundamentally high is bad news for gold because it increases the opportunity cost of investing in gold. However, the following news is considered the FOMC's mark when Powell said that the next step is unlikely to be raising interest rates, which also makes this press conference much less hawkish than market expectations, at least Most interest rate increases are not considered. This statement caused the Dollar to plummet and stimulated gold prices to skyrocket. Additionally, Federal Reserve policymakers announced major changes to their balance sheet policy. Starting in June, they reduced their monthly holdings of U.S. Treasuries from $60 billion to $25 billion, marking a change in their approach to balance sheet normalization. Macro data ADP Jobs Change reported an increase of 192,000 jobs in April, beating estimates of 175,000 but still falling short of March's upwardly revised figure of 208,000. Additionally, JOLTS job openings fell to 8.488 million in March, the lowest level of job openings in the report, down from 8.813 million. US economic data continues to be mixed. Last week, gross domestic product (GDP) did not meet expectations. However, inflation data tied to the first quarter of 2024 is sounding the alarm that price trends are on the rise, which could prevent the Fed from easing policy sooner than expected. On May 3, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is expected to release nonfarm payrolls data for April, which is expected to be 243,000, down from 303,000 in March. Unemployment Rate is expected to remain at 3.8%, while average hourly earnings are likely to remain unchanged at 0.3% month-over-month. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after gold received support from the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level highlighted by readers in the previous issue, it rose to reach its target recovery level of around $2,322, along with With that, it is also limited by the technical level of 2,322 USD and maintaining price activity below EMA21. The current price position still does not bring many positive technical prospects as gold is still in a short-term falling price channel and under main pressure from EMA21, more consistent with a short-term bearish outlook. Overall, recovery expectations are complete and over, then in terms of the technical picture, gold has more chances to fall than to rise. As long as gold remains below the EMA21, it will remain under pressure in the short term, with price activity returning below the $2,322 level opening the way for gold prices to fall back to the 0.236% Fibonacci level. For gold prices to increase more, it is important for it to break above EMA21, then the target level is around 2,365 USD in the short term. During the day, gold's technical outlook leans bearish with notable technical levels listed below. Support: 2,322 – 2,300 – 2,284USD Resistance: 2,340 – 2,345USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2343 - 2341 ⚰️SL: 2347 ⬆️TP1: 2336 ⬆️TP2: 2331 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2259 - 2261 ⚰️SL: 2255 ⬆️TP1: 2266 ⬆️TP2: 2271
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Looking ahead to NFP, GOLD's technical structure remains stableOANDA:XAUUSD is still trying to operate above its $2,300 base price after Thursday's wild swings, with the market focusing particularly on non-farm payrolls data to be released on this trading day. ADP jobs data exceeded expectations in April and March data was revised upward, suggesting the US labor market remains strong and stable. The US ADP jobs report released on Wednesday showed that US ADP employment increased by 192,000 in April, above expectations of 180,000. The value before March was revised up from 184,000 to 208,000. The U.S. Department of Labor reported Thursday that 208,000 people filed for unemployment benefits in the week ended April 27, compared with expectations of 212,000 and a previous figure of 207,000. The gold market's focus has shifted to Friday's nonfarm payrolls data, which will provide the latest data for the market to further assess the state of the US labor market and the outlook for employment. monetary policy of the Federal Reserve. Surveys show the U.S. nonfarm working population is expected to increase by 243,000 in April after seasonal adjustments, compared with a gain of 303,000 in March. The US unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 3.8% in April. Investors will also be watching data on wages and workforce participation. The survey found that average hourly wages in the United States in April are expected to increase 0.3% monthly and 4.0% annually. The US labor force participation rate in April is expected to be unchanged at 62.7%. If Nonfarm Payrolls data is weaker than expected, or just as weak, this should be seen as a positive for gold prices as it will resonate with the Fed's less hawkish stance during the meeting. The recent FOMC made the US Dollar less attractive and boosted precious metals. On the gold price technical chart, after gold reached the technical level of 2,322 USD, it was under pressure to fall again but the temporary decline is also limited by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement point. In terms of technical structure, not much has changed compared to yesterday's issue, so readers can check back here. Notable prices are also listed as follows. Support: 2,284USD Resistance: 2,322 – 2,340 – 2,345USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2321 - 2319 ⚰️SL: 2325 ⬆️TP1: 2314 ⬆️TP2: 2309 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2259 - 2261 ⚰️SL: 2255 ⬆️TP1: 2266 ⬆️TP2: 2271
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 8th, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 8th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but increasingly cautious in the overbought market. Consolidation is ongoing, and a deeper pullback is likely before further advances. Maintain disciplined risk management. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5209 (major), 5202, 5188-91 (major) Major Supports: 5143-36 (major), 5067-69 (major), Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5224 (major), 5246 (major), 5265-70 (major) Major Resistances: 5302-06 (major), 5328-30 (major) Trading Strategy Post-Breakout Dip Anticipated: The market is overdue for a healthy pullback after the recent strong surge. Long Opportunities: Focus on failed breakdowns at 5202 or 5188-91 for long entries. In the event of a deeper pullback, consider buying the retest of the breakout zone at 5143-36 or knife-catches at 5168 for quick scalps. Short Opportunities: Look for back-tests of 5246 or 5265-70 for short entries, targeting level-to-level profits. Proceed with extreme caution and be ready to cut losses quickly. Remember, shorting against strength in a bull market is inherently risky. Focus on Levels and Patience: Trade the provided support and resistance levels rigorously. Let price action develop, be patient, and avoid emotional trading. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5143-36 breakout zone remains crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. Holding above this level would indicate a healthy dip and a potential continuation higher. Rebase and Bounce: A period of consolidation around 5190-5224 and a rebound off these supports would set the stage for further advances, potentially targeting 5246, then 5265-70. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5188-91 would signal a potential pullback and could lead to a retest of the 5143-36 breakout zone. Monitor bounces/failed breakdowns at these levels for potential short entries. News: Top Stories for May 8th, 2024 Global Stock Market Trends: Varied Performance: Asian markets show resilience despite Nikkei 225 drop, influenced by mixed corporate news. U.S. Economic Indicators: U.S. jobs report and Fed's interest rate decisions continue to influence global markets positively. Geopolitical Tensions: Market responses to geopolitical unrest remain muted, highlighting diversified global economies' resilience. Company Earnings and Forecasts: Earnings Performance: Uber reports Q1 loss; Thomson Reuters shows strong revenue growth. Financial Forecasts: Taboola expects significant YoY growth; Thomson Reuters adjusts full-year outlook. Sector-Specific Insights: Technology and financial services sectors demonstrate strong growth potential despite operational losses. Analysts' Perspectives: Setting Market Expectations: Analysts forecast earnings based on economic indicators, trends, and company guidance. Implications for Investors: Earnings reports influence market sentiment and investor confidence, impacting stock prices. Impact on Currency Values: Political Events: Geopolitical tensions historically impact currency fluctuations, yet recent responses remain subdued, reflecting diversified global markets' resilience.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
SPX500USD - Bullish Momentum UnderwaySPX500USD has been undergoing some bullish momentum over the last few days. This may lead to a potential push to the $5350 region over the next few days. Further movement will take time to tell; but overall it’s currently looking good. All 4 of our Core YinYang Oscillators and exhibiting Bullish Momentum; however since there is such low Volume, it’s hard to say how strong this momentum will be. Nonetheless prepare yourself for a potential movement upwards in the short term.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by YinYangAlgorithms
Fib level 2.618%, GOLD is under pressure before the FOMC meetingOANDA:XAUUSD spot faced strong selling pressure and fell to a one-week low ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index fell for the third straight month in April, falling to 97.0 from a downwardly revised 103.1 in March. Pessimism prevails ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement scheduled for Wednesday. The central bank is expected to leave interest rates unchanged amid lingering signs of inflationary pressures. The central bank is expected to keep interest rates higher for longer and send a hawkish message. Gold investors' attention turns to FOMC and Nonfarm Payrolls The Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision on Wednesday. Markets expect the Federal Reserve to keep policy rates unchanged at 5.25%-5.5%. According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is about a 91.6% chance that the Fed will choose to leave policy unchanged again in June. On Friday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the April jobs report. A sharp decline in nonfarm payrolls (NFP) growth could cause an immediate dollar sell-off . Even if the data doesn't have a very profound impact on expectations for a rate cut in June, it could still weigh on the dollar if investors favor a policy change in September. The CME FedWatch tool shows that markets are pricing in a 53.3% chance that the Fed's policy rate will be unchanged in September. On the other hand, nonfarm payrolls data is stronger than expected, especially if it goes coupled with higher wage inflation data, could increase expectations that the Fed will take no action in September and cause gold prices to fall sharply this weekend. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold fell sharply in yesterday's trading session after breaking the $2,322 level and now this technical level becomes the closest current resistance. Along with that, gold is also stopping its decline when approaching the 2.618% Fibonacci extension level, and this is also the current closest support level. If gold continues to sell off breaking below the 2.618% Fibonacci extension it will likely experience further selling pressure with no chance of a recovery towards the upper channel edge and beyond the 3.618 Fibonacci level. %. Therefore, for protection levels open long positions should be installed behind the 2.618% Fibonacci extension level. On the other hand, the fact that gold still holds above the Fibonacci retracement level still "raises hope" for those who opened long positions to see a recovery to retest the level of 2,322 USD. However, currently, in the short term, gold does not have enough conditions to increase in price as price activity is in a short-term downtrend from the price channel and price activity is below EMA21. During the day, the technical outlook of gold price is noticed by the following technical levels. Support: 2,284USD Resistance: 2,300 – 2,322USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2326 - 2324 ⚰️SL: 2330 ⬆️TP1: 2319 ⬆️TP2: 2314 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2259 - 2261 ⚰️SL: 2255 ⬆️TP1: 2266 ⬆️TP2: 2271
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Trading Plan for Tuesday, May 7th, 2024Trading Plan for Tuesday, May 7th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but increasingly cautious following a strong breakout. The RSI is deeply overbought, increasing the risk of sudden pullbacks. Proceed with heightened awareness of volatility. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5186-88 (major), 5163 (major) Major Supports: 5144-46 (major), 5060-65 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5214-5218 (major), 5246-50 (major) Major Resistances: 5272 (major), 5302-04 (major) Trading Strategy Post-Breakout Cautiousness: The market is in overbought territory following today's strong surge. Prioritize capital preservation and maintain disciplined risk management. Avoid chasing longs or aggressively shorting against strength. Long Opportunities: Due to the overbought conditions, focus on failed breakdowns at 5186-88 or ideally 5144-46 for long entries. In the event of a deeper dip, consider knife-catches at 5163 for quick scalps. Short Opportunities: Look for back-tests of 5214-5218, 5246-50, or potentially 5272 for short entries, targeting level-to-level profits. Proceed with extreme caution and be ready to cut losses quickly. Focus on Levels and Patience: Trade the provided support and resistance levels rigorously. Let price action develop, be patient, and avoid emotional trading. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5144-46 breakout zone remains crucial for bulls. Holding above this level would indicate a healthy dip and a potential continuation higher. Consolidation and Bounce: A period of consolidation and a rebound off 5186-88 or 5144-46 would set the stage for further advances, potentially targeting 5214-18, then 5246-50. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5186-88 would signal a potential pullback and could lead to a retest of the 5144-46 breakout zone. A breach of 5144-46 would be a more significant bearish development. Monitor bounces/failed breakdowns at these levels for potential short entries. News: Top Stories for May 7th, 2024 Federal Reserve's Influence: Interest Rate Decision: Fed keeps rates steady at 5.25% to 5.5% for the sixth consecutive meeting, reflecting concerns about inflation and labor market conditions. April 2024 Jobs Report: Economy adds 175,000 jobs in April, below expectations, potentially alleviating inflation pressures. Commercial Real Estate Midyear Outlook: Despite high-interest rates, commercial real estate sectors show resilience, suggesting less sensitivity to monetary policy. Global Economic Growth Forecasts: World Bank and OECD predict below-average global GDP growth for 2024, influencing market sentiments and central bank policies. Impact on Market Dynamics: Bond and Equity Markets: Higher rates increase Treasury yields, shifting investor preference towards bonds and contributing to equity market volatility. Housing Market Effects: Housing prices respond swiftly to policy adjustments, driven by changes in mortgage rates, impacting affordability and market health. Influence on International Trade: Stronger dollar affects trade balance by making exports costlier and imports cheaper, potentially moderating domestic inflation. Future Outlook: Market sentiment remains cautious, with analysts not expecting rate cuts until at least 2025 if inflation persists, influencing investment and consumer behaviors.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, BITCOIN, CRUDE OIL, EURGBP Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸 EURUSD is trading in a bearish trend on a daily. The price is falling steadily within a falling wedge pattern. With a recent correctional movement, the price reached the resistance of the range. A trend-following movement may initiate soon. Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge will trigger a trend reversal. 2️⃣ #BITCOIN daily time frame ₿ After a very bullish movement on Friday, the market violated a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern on a daily. It is the important sign of strength of the buyers. Looks like the market may keep growing. 3️⃣ #WTI CRUDE OIL 🛢️ As I predicted, Crude Oil keeps falling. The price is very close to 2 significant demand clusters. Probabilities will be high to see a pullback from one of these structures. 4️⃣ #EURGBP daily time frame 🇪🇺🇬🇧 The price nicely respected a key daily horizontal demand zone and bounced from that. With a clear strength of the buyers the pair may keep growing easily. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
BTC/USD Long Signal: It's NOT over yet! Bullish Flag PatternWe're spotlighting a LONG opportunity for BTCUSD (Spot & Futures) Trading Signal Entries: 63.5k (Market Orders), 67k (Conditional Limit Orders) Stop Loss: 57.9k to safeguard your trade (Limit Sell) Profit Targets Target 1: 82k, adjust to breakeven Target 2: 89k Target 3: 102k Helpful Tips Save Money: Use limit orders instead of market orders for lower fees. Stick To Your Plan: This is key for making progressive gains! Control Your Risk: Your stop-loss order protects you against unforseen market reversals. We aim to provide high-quality signals that guide you to success. Happy trading! Please make sure to Boost this idea & follow this account if you want to see more of this content. We appreciate it!
Long
by Swiss_Signals
EURUSD rises after US PMI shockEURO ( OANDA:EURUSD ) ANALYSIS - Flash PMI data provides unflattering US outlook, Europe improves - EURUSD rises after US PMI shock FLASH PMI DATA PROVIDES UNFLATTERING US OUTLOOK, EUROPE IMPROVES German and EU manufacturing remains depressed but encouraging rises in flash services PMI results suggest improvement in Europe. UK manufacturing slumped well into contraction but also benefitted from another rise on the services front. It was the US that provided the most surprising numbers, witnessing a decline in services PMI and a drop into contractionary territory for manufacturing – weighing on the dollar. OANDA:EURUSD RISES AFTER US PMI SHOCK EURUSD reacted to lackluster flash PMI data in the US by covering recent losses. The euro attempted to break above the 1.0700 level after recovering from the oversold zone around the 1.0600 low. The pair has maintained a longer-term downtrend reflecting the different monetary policy stances adopted by the ECB and the Fed. A strong labor market, robust growth and rising inflation have forced the Fed to delay plans to cut interest rates, which has strengthened the dollar against G7 currencies. Surprising US PMI data suggests the economy may not be as strong as initially predicted and some weakness could emerge. However, it will take more than one quick data point to reverse the story. If the bulls take control from here, 1.07645 becomes the next interesting upside level, followed by 1.0800 where the 200 SMA lies. On the other hand, 1.06437 and 1.0600 remain support levels. Interesting support if the long-term trend continues.
by Xayah_trading
EURUSD bounced back on MondayAfter a subdued performance late last week, the EUR/USD bounced back on Monday, challenging overhead resistance at 1.0725. A successful clearance of this technical barrier could pave the way for a move towards 1.0755. Further strength from this point onwards would shift focus to the 1.0800 handle, where the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages converge. In the event of a market retracement, support is expected near the psychological level of 1.0700, followed by April’s swing lows around 1.0600. Prices are likely to establish a base in this region during a pullback ahead of a possible turnaround. However, if a breakdown occurs, the possibility of a rebound diminishes, as this move could lead to a drop towards the 2023 trough at 1.0450.
by Xayah_trading
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