Get started

Futures

ETH ANALYSIS📊 #ETH Analysis ✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart and currently trading around its major support zone🧐 Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after sustain above the major support zone 👀Current Price:  $2380 🚀 Target Price:    $2785 ⚡️What to do ? 👀Keep an eye on #ETH price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️ #ETH  #Cryptocurrency  #TechnicalAnalysis  #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
KASPA (KASUSDT) Technical Analysis, 1D Chart KUCOIN + trade planKASPA (KASUSDT) Technical Analysis — 1D Chart by Blaž Fabjan Date: May 19, 2025 Exchange: KUCOIN Pair: KAS/USDT Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal Signal) A rising wedge is currently forming — characterized by converging trendlines sloping upward. Support and Resistance levels are clearly outlined in the orange zones. This pattern often signals a potential breakdown, but an upward breakout is possible with strong momentum. Key Technical Indicators 1. Volume Recent volume surge on uptrend suggests buying interest, but declining volume into the wedge tip hints at a possible exhaustion. 2. VMC Cipher B Divergences Signs of bearish divergence forming; red dots and momentum wave flattening may signal weakening bullish strength. 3. RSI (14) RSI at 53.27: In neutral territory. Slight bearish divergence observed from recent peaks. Watch for a move below 50 as a confirmation of bearish pressure. 4. Money Flow Index (MFI) MFI at 83 (overbought zone): Indicates that buying pressure may soon fade, increasing the probability of a correction. 5. Stochastic RSI (14, 3, 3) Stochastic RSI near 44–49 and crossing downward: Signaling a potential short-term correction. Key Support & Resistance Zones 🟧 Resistance Levels: $0.12 – $0.14 (current wedge resistance zone) $0.16 – $0.18 (next target on bullish breakout) $0.20+ (major resistance if trend continues) 🟧 Support Levels: $0.10 (critical support) $0.08 – $0.09 (wedge breakdown target) $0.065 – $0.07 (strong demand zone) Trading Plan for KASPA (KAS/USDT) Bullish Scenario (Breakout Upwards) Entry: Above $0.115 with strong volume confirmation Targets: TP1: $0.14 TP2: $0.165 TP3: $0.20 Stop-Loss: Below $0.10 (to invalidate wedge structure) Bearish Scenario (Breakdown) Entry: Below $0.10 (support break) Targets: TP1: $0.085 TP2: $0.072 TP3: $0.065 Stop-Loss: Above $0.11 Neutral/Range Strategy If KAS trades between $0.10–$0.115 with low volume: Avoid entry. Wait for breakout or breakdown confirmation. Risk Management Risk/Reward Ratio: Minimum 2:1 Capital Allocation: Max 2–3% of portfolio per trade Use limit orders to control entry points, especially due to high volatility in crypto markets. The rising wedge pattern is often a precursor to downside in crypto. However, macro bullish news, network upgrades, or volume surges may invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should remain flexible and monitor volume, RSI, and support zones for any signs of reversal.
Long
by elfabiiani
GOLD surges 1.5% then falls, US credit rating downgradedOANDA:XAUUSD have recovered from their biggest weekly decline in six months, as growing concerns about the US economic outlook and budget deficit boosted demand for safe-haven assets. Spot gold rose 1.5% to $3,249.80 an ounce in early Asian trading before paring losses, up about 0.55% on the day at press time. Moody's Ratings announced late Friday that it had removed the U.S. government's top credit rating, downgrading the country from Aaa to Aa1. Moody's blamed successive U.S. presidents and lawmakers for the growing budget deficit, although Moody's said the situation showed little sign of improving. "While we recognize that the United States has significant economic and fiscal strength, we believe that these strengths are no longer sufficient to fully offset the deterioration in fiscal metrics," Moody's said in a statement. This “black swan” event has raised concerns about the US financial situation. Safe-haven buying has fueled a sharp rise in gold prices. In addition, the weakening of the US dollar has also benefited the gold price trend. This downgrade is likely to add to Wall Street’s growing concerns about the US government bond market. While rising yields typically boost their respective currencies, debt concerns could increase skepticism about the USD. Gold prices have been volatile in recent months. Last week, gold posted its biggest weekly decline since November as geopolitical tensions eased. The move followed a sharp rally in gold, which topped $3,500 an ounce for the first time last month. Gold is still up more than 20% this year, driven by global conflicts, tariffs from US President Donald Trump and flows into exchange-traded funds. Technical outlook OANDA:XAUUSD After gold reached the target resistance of 3,250 USD, it weakened slightly again, this resistance level is noted by readers in the weekly publication. In the short term, gold still has a bearish outlook with the nearest resistance at 3,250 USD followed by the confluence of EMA21 and Fibonacci retracement 0.382%. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still below 50, 50 is now acting as resistance while the RSI is still quite far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for a decline in momentum ahead. As long as gold remains below the 21 EMA, it remains bearish in the short term and a break below $3,200 would continue to push gold lower with a target of around $3,163 in the short term. For gold to qualify for the upside, it needs to move above the 21 EMA, break the $3,300 base point and then target around $3,371 in the short term. Intraday, the bearish outlook for gold in the short term will be highlighted again by the following levels. Support: $3,200 – $3,163 Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3261 - 3259⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3265 →Take Profit 1 3253 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3247 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3199 - 3201⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3195 →Take Profit 1 3207 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3213
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
#202520 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax futuresGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: We are only about 300 points higher than the previous week but market printed the obvious big round number and Friday we had the retest, which did not quite get there but close is always close enough. We are seeing somewhat of an increase in selling pressure but it’s not enough. current market cycle: trading range and very broad bull channel on the weekly time frame key levels for next week: 23000 - 24000 bull case: Best for bulls would be to go sideways and not let market fall below 23400. That’s pretty much all I can come up with for the bulls. Can we go much above 24000? We can but I can not see it happening. If we go higher, it will be without me. I am only interested in seeing an increase in selling pressure and looking for a good short entry. I give bulls 2-3 more days in trying to print 24000 again and if they fail 1-2 more times, they will give up and we can test back down to 23000. It would still be the most bullish outcome if we continue to range between 23000 and 24000. Invalidation is below 22900. bear case: I only want to short this but bears are not doing enough for me to consider it. I hate being early because it correlates big time with being wrong. My line in the sand would be a daily close below 23000 and the daily 20ema. Until bears get that, odds heavily favor the bulls to buy any pullback. So for now, not much to do as a bear. For this year I still expect at least 20000 to get hit again. So if you would force me to give an answer, I would short this with a stop 24600 and wait until we hit 20000 again. If we go into a recession, I would likely hold for lower. Invalidation is above 24100. short term: Neutral. I wait for clear topping signals and more selling pressure. Long scalps against support if bulls want 24000. Same as last week. medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks/months and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000. We most likely have not seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?” 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
#202520 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futures Good Day and I hope you are well. comment: The bulls gapped up on Monday’s Globex open and we never looked back. My line in the sand was 20536 and we are now about 1000 points higher. The rally is climactic in a very tight bull channel and those are always unsustainable. We are close to the ath to expect a new one or a retest but I doubt we can get there without at least a couple of days sideways to down movement. If we continue higher from 21500, it will go without me because I don’t think this is a good trade. Bulls should not let the market fall below 20800ish or the trend line breaks and that would decrease the odds of a new ath somewhat. Even if I expect a pullback, I doubt bears will get something big going next week. The rally is too strong to not expect the next pullback to get bought. The only chance bears have to reverse would be a news event and trading on hope is never a good strategy. current market cycle: trading range key levels for next week: 20000 - 22000 bull case: 22000 is the next obvious target for the bulls but I doubt we can get there without some sideways to down movement first. If we print 22000 next week, there is no reason we can’t go for 22500 as well. Bulls have all the arguments on their side right now and the bull channel is clear, so trade it until it is clearly broken. Invalidation is below 19100. bear case: Very small chance my wave count is correct and we have seen the high of this move. The two-legged correction with a higher high is the best guess I have for now but I would not initiate trades based on that right now. It helps with expectations but not more. Base assumption is a pullback, more upside and then a stronger reversal over the summer and Q2. As of now, bears have absolutely nothing going for them and you can only think about shorts if you are comfortable with holding through 23300ish because that’s how high I can potentially see it going. I fully expect 19000 to get hit again this year but for now this market is as bullish as it gets. Invalidation is above 21600. short term: Neutral. Expecting a pullback and that will likely be another good long opportunity if nothing changes dramatically. 22000 is the obvious next target. If we get real bad news, we could see a bigger pullback but even then I would expect at least a retest of 21500. medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-11: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish. Now I assume we will be in a trading range 16000 - 23000 for much longer. Same update as for dax, I guess we could go down and sideways over the next weeks/months and then have another squeeze into year end. Stairs up, elevator down.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
#202520 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: I think buying that weekly time frame double bottom below 55 makes sense. Bulls are trying to print 64+ again and hit the weekly 20ema around 64.5ish. I favor the bulls to get to the upper bear wedge trend line a bit higher around 66ish and there market will decide if we continue further in it. The structure has a lot more room, so I don’t think bulls can get much more than that. We are in a bear wedge inside a broad bear channel. Making money as a bear is just easier, that is why I don’t expect too much from the bulls. current market cycle: monthly time frame is a broad bear channel - weekly tf is a bear wedge - daily is a trading range key levels: 59 - 65 bull case: Bulls trying to make last week’s low a credible higher low and test up to the bear wedge trend line around 64.5 - 65. If we stay above 59.5ish, I favor the bulls. Below that price it get’s neutral again and I would see the odds of 55 the same as for 65. Invalidation is below 59. bear case: Bulls are trying to keep the market above the daily 20ema and form a two-legged pullback at the moving average, which is a buy signal if they get a good signal bar the next 1-3 days. Bears can invalidate it, if they break below 59 and get follow-through below it. It is technically slightly more likely that we continue sideways inside the given range, like we did the past 5 weeks. Structure is neutral, so if bears want to reverse from above 60, they need to print a decent sell signal on Monday/Tuesday. Invalidation is above 64.4 short term: Neutral and will lean towards the side that can print the next decent bull/bear day. Bulls can go up to 65 and bears could trade back down to 55 if we go below 59 again. Only a big bull surprise could get us above the closest next bear trend line and prices above 66. medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-11: 3 legs down on the weekly chart and market has printed a credible bottom around 55. I think we can test back to 65 over the next weeks.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
#202520 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: Can’t be anything but bullish. Nothing changed so this bias did not change either. Bulls were so strong that we have corrected sideways in a tight range for 9 days now and if bears can’t even print one decent bear bar after such a rally, bears are doing absolutely nothing and the correction is mostly from bulls taking profits. We can only expect higher prices until bears come around with much bigger selling pressure. Targets above are obvious, new ath above 109396 and then the big bull trend line around 113000. current market cycle: weekly time frame is in a bull trend inside a big bull wedge - daily time frame is in a tight bull channel key levels: 95k - 115k bull case: Upside will likely be limited to something below 120000 but bulls are in full control until we print below a higher low again. Bulls want 110000 and then some. It’s a clear bull wedge and longs above 100000 are tough because stop has to be at least 97000. Market has moved sideways enough to expect another leg up any day now. Invalidation is below 97000. bear case: Bears can only have hope that we will still find no acceptance above 100000 on the weekly & monthly time frames and once we get the spike to 110000 we will turn again. I printed the monthly chart because it shows the tails above 100000 and that we are in the retest of the previous ath, which is the same structure as we did in 2021. As of now, bears have nothing going for them until we actually turn again. I still heavily favor the bears to print below 80000 this year but right now you should not look for shorts. Invalidation is above 112000. short term: Bullish but buying at the very top is tough. Any long 100000 or 98000 is likely good, if it’s not during a crazy strong bear spike. New ath or something close is expected. medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-11: I expect a trading range 700000 - 100000 for longer. The current move above 100000 I see as a retest of the ath and it could overshoot but I doubt market can find acceptance there for longer. Only interested in shorts on anything above the 1h time frame.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by priceactiontds
2
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [May 19 - May 23]During the week, OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuated strongly, falling from $3,292/oz to $3,120/oz and then recovering to $3,202/oz. The main reason was that the US and China reached a trade agreement, according to which the two sides agreed to significantly reduce tariffs from May 14, creating positive sentiment for the market. This week’s gold sell-off was the steepest since mid-June 2021, even steeper than the drop after Donald Trump’s election victory in November 2024. President Trump said there are currently about 150 partners who want to negotiate trade with the US, but the US cannot handle them all at once. In the next 2-3 weeks, the US will announce the export tax rates that partners will have to pay when selling to the US market. The Trump administration will impose specific tariffs on partners that have not yet negotiated with the US, at what level, has not been specifically announced. If the new tariffs remain as high as the initial list of reciprocal tariffs, there is a risk that many partners will retaliate, making the tariff war hotter, pushing gold prices up sharply. On the contrary, if the new tariffs are much lower than the initially announced tariffs, gold prices may only increase moderately, then continue to adjust. After the recent sharp sell-off, profit-taking sentiment is still dominating the market. However, safe-haven demand remains strong due to geopolitical tensions that have not yet ended and concerns about a global economic recession. 📌The gold price trend next week is likely to fluctuate in the range of 3,055 - 3,270 USD/ounce, with a slight decrease scenario being preferred due to profit-taking pressure and the potential recovery of the USD. However, if there is a positive signal from the Fed policy or increased geopolitical instability, the gold price may recover to the range of 3,260 - 3,270 USD/ounce. Investors need to closely monitor economic data and geopolitical fluctuations to make appropriate decisions. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,162 – 3,100 USD Resistance: 3,228 – 3,250 – 3,292 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3271 - 3269⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3275 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3054 - 3056⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3050
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
How to Set Custom Alerts for Futures Trading in TradingViewThis tutorial video demonstrates how to access and add custom alerts for futures and other types of trading as well as manage those alerts. Learn more about trading futures with Optimus Futures using the TradingView platform here: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by OptimusFutures
Gold - New ATH in the making?Overall Market Context This daily timeframe chart of Gold (XAU/USD) reflects a textbook example of a bullish retracement within a broader upward trend. The price has recently pulled back after printing a significant swing high, which is currently the all-time high (ATH). This retracement brings Gold into a high-probability reversal zone, aligning several technical elements that point toward potential bullish continuation. Retracement Into A Confluence Zone Price has retraced into a key technical area defined by the Fibonacci golden pocket (0.618–0.65) and a Fair Value Gap (FVG). The golden pocket is widely regarded as one of the most reactive retracement levels in Fibonacci analysis, where institutional participants often enter or scale into positions. The addition of an FVG overlapping this zone strengthens its importance. An FVG is typically created by an aggressive move that leaves behind inefficient price action or unmitigated imbalances, and in this case, it represents an area where demand previously overwhelmed supply. The combination of the golden pocket and FVG creates a strong demand zone, from which a bullish reaction is expected if the overall macro sentiment remains supportive. Bullish Reaction And Confirmation Price wicked slightly below the FVG, likely triggering liquidity stops resting beneath prior swing lows before showing signs of a strong bounce. This type of price action—known as a liquidity grab or "spring"—is often a precursor to significant reversals when it aligns with higher timeframe bullish order flow. The current bounce from this zone suggests that smart money may have accumulated long positions here. If price continues to hold above this zone, it confirms a successful defense of this key area and increases the probability of bullish continuation. The market is showing signs of shifting from a retracement phase back into an impulsive phase. Break Of Structure And Targeting Buy-Side Liquidity The next key area of interest is the buy-side liquidity resting above the most recent swing high, labeled as the "BSL" (Buy-Side Liquidity). If price breaches this level, it will confirm a break of market structure to the upside and signal a continuation of the overall bullish trend. Such a break would invalidate the idea of deeper retracement and instead align with an impulsive leg that could target the previous ATH—and potentially exceed it. This makes the current zone a critical pivot point in determining whether gold resumes its long-term bullish trajectory. New All-Time High Scenario Should the BSL be breached and momentum maintained, price is likely to head toward printing a new all-time high. From a psychological and technical standpoint, the break of an ATH often leads to price discovery, where resistance is minimal, and price action becomes more volatile and parabolic. Traders and institutions monitoring historical highs often front-run such moves or aggressively participate once confirmed, driving increased volume and volatility. This behavior can lead to rapid upside extension, especially when supported by macroeconomic narratives such as inflation hedging, geopolitical tensions, or declining real yields—all traditionally bullish catalysts for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Louigi_24
62
GOLD falls to support $3,200, recovery momentum weakensOANDA:XAUUSD rebounded sharply on Thursday's trading day and weakened rapidly in the first half of the Asian trading session today, Friday (May 16). Gold is currently trading at $3,210/oz, equivalent to a decrease of $30 on the day, down about 0.93% as of the time of writing. OANDA:XAUUSD accelerated their recovery on Thursday as weak US economic data fueled expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and weighed on the US dollar. At the same time, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s absence from Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Turkey also prompted some safe-haven buying. Information surrounding the Russia-Ukraine talks is brought to readers through brief comments during the day. Data released on Thursday showed that the US producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly fell in April and retail sales growth slowed significantly, while the consumer price index (CPI) for April released earlier in the week rose less than expected. The data showed that the US PPI unexpectedly fell 0.5% month-over-month in April, while the market expected a growth of 0.2%; the core PPI fell 0.4%, also below the expected growth of 0.3%. Meanwhile, US retail sales increased slightly by 0.1% month-over-month in April, slowing significantly from March's 1.7%. Thursday’s data provided more room for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and market expectations to become more dovish. Gold itself does not generate interest rates, and when rates fall, it increases the appeal of gold. However, the impact from the data was not sustainable enough to generate a stronger rally, while new developments around the Russia-Ukraine talks are showing a positive trend. Gold is not benefiting from a risk-off environment. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart in the short term, gold is still in a position to decline in the short term with pressure from the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement point as the nearest resistance. Meanwhile, in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing signs of folding as it retests the 50 level, which is noted as the closest resistance in terms of momentum to the current position of the RSI. For now, the downside is also limited by the $3,200 base level, which is currently the nearest support and once it is broken below, gold is likely to continue its decline with a target of around $3,163 in the short term, which is the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, rather than $3,120. For the day, gold still has a bearish technical outlook with the current positions listed below. Support: $3,200 – $3,163 – $3,120 Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3286 - 3284⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3290 →Take Profit 1 3278 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3272 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3159 - 3161⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3155 →Take Profit 1 3167 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3173
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
2025-05-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market is in peak euphoria again but you would be buying at the very top on an Opex Friday. Like… Just dont. Enjoy your weekend. I expect a rather choppy session maybe even a deep pullback rather than closing the week on another green bar. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20600 - 22000 bull case: Bulls want a new ath and we are high enough, that they could easily get it next week. My count was likely wrong and W1 was not the spike from 16735 to 19388 but rather the leg from 17863 to 20277. That means we are in W3 and W4 is around the corner. I have many calculated targets around 23000 and as of now, there is no reason we can not get there. It’s a very tight bull channel upwards. Bears are not doing anything so the path of least resistance is up. Invalidation is below 20100. bear case: Bears need a miracle. That’s it. Best they can maybe get is a pullback to the bull trend line around 20700ish but I highly doubt that. If we print 21000 tomorrow, most bears would be wet and take their profits before letting them see burning away again. My assumption for tomorrow is a choppy session somewhere between 21000 - 21600. Invalidation is above 21600. short term: Neutral. Opex Friday, I made my money this week. Absolutely no need to throw it away tomorrow. Less interest in buying up here but bears are barely making money, so I’d rather sit on hands. medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year. trade of the day: Longing the lower low below 21300 is the obvious choice. Market went sideways to up with higher lows for 4h. There were at least 4 big tails on the 15m chart which told the story.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
How to Use Drawing Tools on TradingViewThis tutorial video discusses why and how traders use different types of trading tools, how to access the trading tools in Tradingview, and a few examples of how and why you might apply them. Learn more about using Tradingview to trade futures with Optimus Futures: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by OptimusFutures
Technical Analysis – Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1H Chart + TRADE PLANThe chart displays a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is a neutral continuation pattern often leading to a breakout in the direction of the prevailing trend. The current price action is at the apex of the triangle, suggesting an imminent breakout. The price is currently testing the lower trendline support, with a visible weakening momentum. Indicators Analysis: VMC Cipher B Divergences: Showing bearish momentum with continued red wave dominance and lack of significant bullish divergence. RSI (14): Bearish territory at 32.51, approaching oversold but no bullish divergence visible. Money Flow Index (MFI): At 28.90, indicating weak buying pressure, leaning toward bearish continuation. Stochastic Oscillator (14, 3, 3): In the oversold zone (1.49), which could indicate a short-term bounce is possible, but not confirmed by other indicators. Volume: Note that the chart mentions volume data is unavailable. Confirmation on volume spikes during breakout is essential to validate any move. Scenarios and Targets Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout (Less probable based on current conditions) Break above triangle resistance (approx. 102,300 USD). Target 1: 107,500 USD (Measured move from triangle height). Target 2: 115,500 USD (Extended target based on historical breakout levels and Fibonacci projection). Confirmation needed: Clear breakout with high volume and RSI recovery above 50. Scenario 2 – Bearish Breakdown (More probable currently) Break below triangle support (approx. 101,300 USD). Immediate Target 1: 97,000 USD (Measured move from triangle height). Target 2: 93,500 USD (Previous major support zone). Confirmation needed: Hourly candle close below support zone and breakdown with increased volume, RSI falling below 30, Stochastic remaining oversold. Trading Plan Bias: Bearish unless invalidated by bullish breakout confirmation. Entry Strategy: Aggressive short entry: On hourly candle close below 101,300 USD. Conservative short entry: On confirmation below 101,000 USD with volume spike. Stop-Loss: Above 102,500 USD, invalidating the bearish thesis. Take-Profit Zones: TP1: 97,000 USD TP2: 93,500 USD Risk Management: Max risk per trade: 1-2% of portfolio. Monitor closely for fakeouts at the apex; symmetrical triangles are prone to false moves. Alternative Strategy: If bullish breakout occurs above 102,500 USD with RSI reclaiming 50, switch to a long setup with: Stop Loss: Below 101,000 USD TP1: 107,500 USD TP2: 115,500 USD Current indicators, price behavior, and chart pattern favor a bearish scenario. Key to execution is waiting for confirmed breakout direction with volume confirmation, especially near the critical apex zone. Stay adaptive, as symmetrical triangles can break either way, and false breakouts are common.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINLong
by elfabiiani
2
2025-05-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Higher highs and higher lows compared to Tuesday. We are in a triangle and market is refusing to print below 23500. I do think we will see a big move tomorrow. What I don’t think is that we will close Friday at an extreme. If we get to 24000 again, I am very inclined to look to fade it again. Can we close this week below 23000? I gighly doubt that as well. current market cycle: broad bull channel or trading range - doesn’t matter since you trade them the same key levels: 23000 - 24100 bull case: Bulls want 24000 again and I think 23500 is the place where they are happy to scale in. Bears will likely give up tomorrow, if we move above 23650 since they tried 3 times since Monday and market is refusing to go lower. I still think bulls will likely not get much more than 24000. Every time we are in a form of a triangle, I will not write much since market is in balance around it’s midpoint and you should not interpret more into it than it is. We are in a clear bull trend and this sideways correction is better for bulls than bears, since sideways is acceptance and it means bears are not making much money. Invalidation is below 23300. bear case: Bears can not expect 23500 to break all of a sudden tomorrow. If anything, most have to cover if we go above 23650 because we could do 23750 or higher. I don’t have much for the bears. If they somehow break below 23440, it would open up the possibility of 23000 but for now it’s very unlikely. Invalidation is above 24100. short term: Neutral but rather looking for longs than shorts. Clear support 23500 and everyone expects at least a double top or more. medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp. trade of the day: Shorting above 23700 has been profitable all week but I expect it to fail either tomorrow or Friday. Market poked enough at it, that the chance of a breakout above is too big for me to continue to fade against that price.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) ON BINANCE + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Market Trend and Chart Structure: The price of Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase as shown in the descending channel pattern formed by the resistance and support lines. The market is moving within this range, but there is a strong possibility of a breakout to the upside based on the bullish divergence forming on the indicators and the overall market sentiment. The chart also shows Bollinger Bands (BB), which are in a squeeze, signaling a potential breakout. Typically, this indicates that volatility is low, and the price could move sharply in either direction once the bands break. Key Indicators and Signals: MACD: The MACD indicator is showing a bullish crossover, which indicates the possibility of a trend reversal to the upside. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 45.78, indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold. This suggests that Bitcoin is in a neutral zone, but with bullish signals from other indicators, an upward move seems likely if momentum continues to build. ArtY Money Flow Index: The Money Flow Index is showing green bars, suggesting that capital is flowing into Bitcoin, which supports the bullish outlook. Stochastic RSI: The stochastic is in the oversold region (currently at 14.99), which usually signals a potential reversal to the upside. Resistance and Support Levels: Resistance: The primary resistance level is located at $105,705. A break above this level would indicate a strong upward move. Support: The primary support level is around $101,600. If the price reaches this level and holds, it could act as a potential bounce point for a reversal. Trading Strategy and Plan: Entry Strategy: Buy Entry: Enter a long position if the price breaks above the $104,700-$105,705 range, indicating a breakout above resistance. A confirmation from the MACD and RSI would add strength to this signal. Stop Loss: Set a stop-loss order at $101,000, below the key support, to manage risk if the market reverses unexpectedly. Target/Exit Strategy: Take Profit Target: A good target is at the $110,000 level, where Bitcoin could face another resistance. A more aggressive target could be at $115,000, but this would require a continuation of the bullish momentum. Trailing Stop: Use a trailing stop as Bitcoin continues to move upward to secure profits if the price continues to climb without retracing. Risk Management: Maintain a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:3, meaning you should aim for profits that are at least three times the amount of risk you take. This will ensure better risk management in case the market reverses unexpectedly. Monitor the market sentiment closely. Bitcoin's price movements can be highly volatile, so being ready to adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels is essential for successful trading. Bitcoin is showing positive signs of breaking to the upside, with support from key technical indicators such as bullish MACD crossovers, oversold stochastic levels, and a neutral RSI. It’s essential to monitor the breakout above the $104,700-$105,705 level, which could signal a strong upward move. However, traders should use proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders and managing position sizes carefully. Always stay updated with market news and adjust your strategy based on any significant news or changes in the overall market sentiment.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by elfabiiani
1
GOLD is supported short, trend is bearishThe bargain-hunting wave has supported OANDA:XAUUSD in the short term. In addition, weaker-than-expected US CPI in April, cooling expectations for a Fed rate cut, a fall in the US Dollar Index from a one-month high, and geopolitical concerns have all provided bullish momentum for gold. Spot gold was trading in a narrow range in early trading on Wednesday (May 14), currently trading around $3,245/ounce. Inflation data Data from the US Labor Department, a key indicator of Federal Reserve policy, released on Tuesday showed that the CPI rose just 0.2% month-on-month in April, below the expected 0.3%. This mild inflation report is like a tonic, injecting new life into gold prices. This data will not hinder the Fed's interest rate cut, and the market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates again in September. It is worth noting that while inflationary pressures are not high now, inflation could pick up again in the coming months as the impact of tariffs becomes clear. Such expectations are prompting many investors to turn to gold as an inflation hedge. On the same day on Tuesday, Do Nam Trung once again called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates On Tuesday, Trump reiterated his call for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, saying that the prices of gasoline, groceries and “almost everything else” are falling. Geopolitics: “Safe Haven Fire” In addition to economic factors, continued tensions in the global geopolitical situation also provide strong support for gold. The possible face-to-face talks between Ukrainian President Zelensky and Russian President Putin are fraught with uncertainty, and despite a temporary ceasefire in the India-Pakistan conflict, the underlying tensions between the two sides have not changed. These uncertainties mean that gold still has the potential to rise in price once market risks suddenly occur. Looking Ahead: Gold’s Challenges Looking ahead, gold faces three key variables: • First, the further progress of the Sino-US trade talks. Although the two sides have reached a 90-day truce, the comprehensive tariff policy remains in effect. • Second, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction. A soft performance in inflation data could pave the way for a rate cut. • Finally, global geopolitical risks, especially the developments in the Russia-Ukraine peace talks and the India-Pakistan conflict. There is relatively little economic data on the trading day. US Secretary of State Rubio will attend the informal meeting of NATO foreign ministers from May 14 to 16 to discuss NATO security priorities, including increased defense spending and ending the Russia-Ukraine war. In addition, several Federal Reserve officials will speak, which investors should pay attention to. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is still trading in a narrow range with short-term conditions leaning towards the downside with the main pressure from the EMA21. However, the downside momentum is currently limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level, which is also the nearest support. If gold is sold below $3,228, it will have the prospect of continuing to decline with the next target around $3,163 in the short term. For gold to resume its uptrend, the necessary condition is that the price action needs to be pushed above the EMA21 and break above the raw price level of 3,300 USD. Although the main trend from the price channel has not been broken yet, the short-term outlook for gold is bearish, and the notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: 3,228 – 3,200 – 3,163 USD Resistance: 3,245 – 3,292 – 3,300 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3284 - 3282⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3288 →Take Profit 1 3276 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3370 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3165 - 3167⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3161 →Take Profit 1 3173 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3179
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
2025-05-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Can’t get more bullish than this but I am not willing to buy the exact high but rather would wait for a pullback. The only thing that we turn me neutral right now, would be a > -2% down day and close below 20800. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 19700 - 20600 bull case: My lowest measured move target is 22350. Market should stay above 20000 if bulls want to get there and that’s likely all that’s important about the nasdaq for now. Clear breakout and follow-through. Bears gave up and we are again at peak euphoria. Invalidation is below 20000. bear case: Bears need a miracle below 20000. That’s it. Could this become a bull trap and an exhaustion gap? Always possible but I think it’s so unlikely that you can not make money betting on those odds. Path of least resistance is up, Opex or not. What I do think is that we could be close to the top of the channel we are in and we go sideways for the next days. I drew potential upper bull channel line but confirmation would only be if we don’t print anything above 21350 tomorrow. Invalidation is above 20400. short term: Neutral. Bulls grinding but for how many more tries? If that is bad English, you can suck my Bratwurst. medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year. trade of the day: Shorting new highs continues to print money.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Kaspa on Its Path to Glory (TA + Trading Plan) + UPDATETechnical Analysis for KASPA (KAS) Current Price: 0.11268 USD Timeframe: 4-Hour Chart Indicators and Key Observations: Price Action: Kaspa is currently in an ascending triangle pattern, with price action approaching the resistance line, which has been tested multiple times without a clear break. This pattern indicates the possibility of a breakout if the price moves above the resistance line. Support Zone: The support level has been consistent, forming a base near 0.1070 USD. This is a crucial area where buying interest has been observed. Resistance Line: The price is approaching the resistance at around 0.1130 USD. A breakout above this level could signal bullish continuation towards higher targets (potentially 0.1900 USD as indicated by the chart’s blue arrow). Technical Indicators: VWC Cipher B Divergences: The indicator shows bullish signals, suggesting that price might continue to rise, especially if it successfully breaks the resistance line. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is sitting at around 52.96, indicating that the asset is neither overbought nor oversold. This gives space for potential bullish momentum. MFI (Money Flow Index): The MFI is relatively neutral, indicating that there is no immediate imbalance between buying and selling pressure. Stochastic Oscillator: The oscillator shows a potential bullish crossover, with the signal line moving towards the overbought zone. Trading Plan for KASPA (KAS) Entry Strategy: Long Entry: Consider entering a long position once the price breaks and closes above the resistance line around 0.1130 USD. Look for confirmation through a strong green candle to ensure momentum continuation. Target: The primary target for this trade is 0.18 USD, as indicated by the blue arrow in the chart. A second target can be placed near the psychological level of 0.20 USD, depending on market conditions and price action. Stop-Loss Strategy: Place the stop-loss slightly below the support zone, ideally around 0.1060-0.1070 USD, to protect against a false breakout. The stop-loss should be adjusted as the price moves in your favor to lock in profits. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk-reward ratio for this trade is favorable, as the potential upside (0.18-0.20 USD) significantly outweighs the downside risk (stop-loss below 0.1070 USD). A risk-reward ratio of 2:1 or higher is ideal for entering the trade. Volume Confirmation: Ensure that the breakout above resistance is accompanied by an increase in volume. Low-volume breakouts can lead to false signals, so confirming the move with higher-than-average volume is crucial for a successful trade. Risk Management: As always, never risk more than 2% of your trading account on any single trade. Use proper position sizing and adjust your stop-loss accordingly to maintain a controlled risk profile. Recent News - Crescendo Upgrade 🚀 Today, Kaspa has rolled out its Crescendo upgrade, which boosts the network speed to 10 blocks per second. This is a major leap in scalability, enhancing transaction speed and efficiency. The upgrade is expected to drive greater adoption and increase investor interest, potentially providing additional support for the upward momentum in the KAS market. Kaspa (KAS) is showing signs of bullish momentum, with key technical indicators pointing to a potential breakout above resistance. The recent Crescendo upgrade adds further optimism for the coin's future prospects, making this an exciting trade to consider. Be sure to monitor price action closely and implement strict risk management strategies for optimal results.
CRYPTO:KASUSDLong
by elfabiiani
3
Markets turn their attention to US CPISafe-haven OANDA:XAUUSD fell nearly 3% on Monday (May 12) and continued to decline slightly in early trading on Tuesday (May 13), mainly due to the easing of market risk sentiment after the United States and China announced a temporary “ceasefire” in their trade war. According to a joint statement released by the United States and China on Monday, the United States will reduce the tariffs imposed on Chinese goods in April this year from 145% to 30%, and China will reduce the tariffs imposed on American goods from 125% to 10%. The new measures will take effect in 90 days. Gold prices fell more than 3% on Monday as risk sentiment improved after the US and China agreed to roll back tariffs for 90 days during talks over the weekend. This sent the US dollar soaring to its highest level in more than a month and global stocks rebounding strongly after the US and China reached an interim tariff deal. Meanwhile, gold sold off sharply as market sentiment began to shift back to risk assets, making the yellow metal less attractive. China and the United States announced in Geneva, Switzerland, that they have reached an important economic and trade agreement. Both sides will also further reduce tariffs on each other's goods, with the total reduction exceeding 100%. The breakthrough marks a major turning point in the years-long tariff war between China and the United States. After implementing the measures, the two sides will establish a mechanism to continue negotiations on economic and trade relations, Xinhua News Agency reported. Investors' attention turns to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due out on Tuesday for a gauge of the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Other key US data this week include the Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales. Economists expect the US CPI to have risen by 2.4% year-on-year in April. Excluding volatile items, the core CPI growth rate is expected to have been unchanged at 2.8% year-on-year. While the underlying market is under pressure from positive factors from trade to geopolitics, we (individual investors in the short term) still need to pay special attention to the erratic behavior of Do Nam Trung. A status line that brings tariff risks will push gold to increase strongly again. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, a drop below the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level would be a bullish signal for further downside with a target of around $3,163 in the short term, which is where the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level is located. In terms of momentum, gold is showing bearish signals as the RSI falls below 50 and the next target is the overbought zone, with the current RSI position, gold still has a lot of room to fall. The most important condition for gold to be able to be assessed to increase in price again is that it needs to bring the price activity above the base price of 3,300 USD, then the target could be 3,371 USD. Otherwise, with the current market position and context, the short-term downtrend is dominant. During the day, the possibility of a decline in gold prices will be noticed by the following technical positions. Support: 3,228 - 3,200 - 3,163 USD Resistance: 3,245 - 3,267 - 3,292 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3283 - 3281⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3287 →Take Profit 1 3275 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3369 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3220 - 3222⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3216 →Take Profit 1 3228 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3234
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Two Shots at NQ: Because One's Never EnoughAlright, here’s the game plan – because let’s be honest, the market loves nothing more than pretending to break out, then snapping back just to mess with us. 🔥 The Setup: I’m eyeing the Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (June 2025), and I’m giving myself two shots at this breakout. Yeah, I know – ambitious. But the market’s been playing hard to get lately, so I’m hedging my enthusiasm. 💡 Why Two Long Entries? Because, let’s face it, the first entry will probably get stopped out. I like to think of it as a “testing the waters” trade. If it works, great – I’m a genius. If not, well, it was just practice. First Entry (The Optimist): I’m jumping in if it breaks out, keeping the stop tight – because nothing says confidence like a cautious stop loss. Second Entry (The Realist): If the first entry faceplants, I’ll wait for the market to freak out and then calm down. Then, I’ll slide back in when it looks like it’s actually serious this time. 🧠 Managing the Chaos: Short-Term Target: The last high – because if it doesn’t clear that, what’s the point? Long-Term Target: The equal move – assuming the market doesn’t chicken out halfway. Stop-Loss: Snug and sensible, because I’d rather not watch my account do a disappearing act. Take profit targets are set where the equal move would complete – assuming the market cooperates for once. 💭 The Thought Process: I’m not here to pretend I can predict the future – if I could, I’d be on a yacht, not posting on TradingView. But this setup gives me two chances to be right, which is at least one more than usual. 🔥 Your Thoughts? If you’re also giving your trades a second (or third) chance, drop a comment. Or just let me know how your latest breakout fake-out went – because misery loves company. 😅
CME_MINI:MNQM2025Long
by natron
1