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Futurestrading

Long US 5s30 Yield CurveThe US Government Treasury 5Y vs the US Government Treasury 30Y is now back above inverted levels and will continue this path as the FOMC hawkish rhetoric and major policy error will drive the US into a recession this year. It is in our opinion that this trade will move from inversion to +100bp as the FOMC pivots, equity markets falter and the FOMC stops their QT and stops Mortgage Back Securities and US Treasury roll offs. In a fiat fractional reserve system the current set up requires continued fiat printing or QE in order to keep asset prices higher. Also inflation is transitory and stemmed from the fiscal direct payment stimulus post Covid. We will see wage pressure come down, debt service go up and a tighter economic environment. All of this is telegraphed already in leading economic indicators. We believe this trade has a better than 5 to 1 payoff structure, risking -25bp to make 125bp. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS- Trading is risky and may involve leverage, Magnelibra or any of its affiliates are not suggesting in any way to guarantee any profits or against any future losses. Trading should be done by well capitalized and individuals well versed in quantifying risk.
TVC:US30YLong
by magnelibra
ICICIGI - ACCUMULATION OR DISTRIBUTION?NSE:ICICIGI ICICIGI formed a good trading range. its been consolidating for 25 days now with a total volume of 10.5 Million shares. Big players are getting it ready for a big move as they are slowly building positions in the stock. I will watch for a breakout to the one side with above-average volume. #Breakout levels are marked on chart Use position sizing according to your stop loss level. Like this idea if you find it helpful and please share it with your friends. Keep learning, Happy trading. Thank you.
NSE:ICICIGI
by SANJAYPATIDAR_
TRADE PLAN 01/06/2023 TP1> If we manage to Trade/Bid above MAIN POC 3863, we can go for 3830 > 3841 > 3862 (Range POC) > 3878 > 3913. >To the upside, the level I'm looking it right now is the 3860, that's the POC of those last 13 days, we need to trade/bid above so we can try to break the LIS 3913/3915, where BULLS are losing the battle. TP2> If we manage to Trade below MAIN POC 3830, we can visit 3826 > 3800 > 3787 > 3766. >To the downside, the level I'm looking is 3826 (RANGE VAL), as we are already trading below 3960 12 days POC, so once we confirm below 3824, we have to break lower to find strong sellers to push below 3800, where BEARS are losing the battle. * We are trading in this 100 points RANGE from 3800 to 3900 levels for the last 13 days or about 2 weeks, I would say that the market structure are balanced, looking for stronger BUYERS or SELLERS around the VALUE AREAS. Below is my previous comment from yesterday:. For now no direction in the markets, just range trades, we should break anytime soon out of this BOX, and I was hoping that today with FOMC minutes we could go search some new levels, out of balance, but... Mr Market had other plans, so for now lets trade the levels and see how it goes by Friday NFP. >As we didnt break the RANGE, now its a matter of one single REPORT, NFP by tomorrow 8:30am, there's only one way to make money tomorrow, and the way is to be IN ALREADY !! The movement will be soon, and the TRADE will make it or break it bt 8:30am and will set the tone for the following weeks for a BEARISH or BULLISH continuation. >I'm using $IWM PUT DEBIT SPREAD with 43DTE for my BEARISH BET, this is kind of a LOTTO PLAY, because the TRADE will be moving a lot in one direction, the advantage here is that if its a fake out UP, I have 43 days to manage and decide what to do with it... If you want to take a trade now, you would have to go with FUTURES, or FUTURES OPTIONS using GLOBEX . #tradesafe #sizekills #justonemoretrade
CME_MINI:ES1!
by IronMan_Trader
ETH SHORT SETUP FROM RETRACEMENTDay's Bias: Bearish Plot: Previously a strong drop from a rising wedge pattern made a strong bearish impulse move leaving huge amount of gaps along the way. Price recently shows bullish momentum on the lower TF signals the retracement within 50 to 61.8% to take out some of the gaps. Price momentarily consolidates exactly at the retracement area. Price created liquidity pools and has been taken out. Today Asian Range has the highest probability of no longer being revisited to continue another bearish impulse move. After price revisits 50% of the Asian Range multiple times, then creating a displacement leaving small gaps to be revisited before it continues towards the expected direction.
Short
by bl4ckoffee
Gold offers opportunities for intraday tradersvery obvious that gold has been on a downtrend since March. the trend is moving below MA 209 which confirms the trend. As long as there is no obvious trend reversal signal, I will only look for sell signals on my daily trading. By focusing only on selling signals, I will increase my win rate and avoid many losses. On the weekly chart, the MA 209 is broken and confirms that the trend is bearish. What do you think? are you only going to sell gold or buy it :)
COMEX:GC1!Short
by aminearga
LAST CONSOLIDATION BEFORE NEXT BULL RUNMy Idea of consolidation towards next bull run. Best time to Buy and HODL. ETH and BTC showing tendency of having a pullback soon before finally moving down towards the last consolidation area. Expecting to see strong bullish formation after taking out previous HTF Low towards the GAP on 3D TF We could already be at the start of the next bull run very very soon. Probably between March to June of 2023. :) Time to study the best crypto projects out there. I think the timing is just perfect, as most of the influencers out there area calling for the next bull run to be in 2024. Momentarily my bias is a short swing upwards as a retracement of 50% to 61.8% taking out some of the gaps left recently before the continuation towards the last consolidation area.
Short
by bl4ckoffee