US30 / TRADING INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL / 4HUS30 / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Trends:
Following Trump’s win, the US30 index rose by 4.90% , The index is now testing historical peak levels around 44,045, with a potential to reach 44,532 if the upward trend holds.
Technical Levels and Price Action:
The analysis suggests that if prices stay below a certain “ascending channel line,” it could indicate weakness, possibly leading to a decline , The first potential downside target is a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between 43,381 and 42,984 , If prices break this zone, further declines could target another FVG range between 42,716 and 42,335.
Trend Confirmation:
If the price remains below the second FVG zone, it might confirm a downtrend , Conversely, if it stays above these levels, it suggests potential for a continued increase.
Fvg
XAUUSD / TEST TO SUPPLY ZONE BEFORE DECLINE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The asset is aiming to reach a supply zone between $2,747 and $2,732, This zone represents an area where selling pressure is expected, potentially capping upward movement.
Prices are under downward pressure, especially after the news about Trump’s election, which has impacted the market sentiment.
As long as the price stays below or within this supply zone, the expectation is for further declines , If prices stabilize below the current supply zone, they are expected to move down towards a demand zone between $2,657 and $2,638.
For a confirmed downtrend, the asset would need to stay below this demand zone, potentially pushing prices lower toward the next zone between $2,618 and $2,605 , If prices break through the upper boundary of the supply zone ($2,747), there may be an upward move toward a higher supply zone between $2,773 and $2,790, suggesting a possible trend reversal or upward correction.
NAS100USD / UNDER FOMC PRESSURE / 4H NAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Recent Price Movement ,The price has reached a new historical level, breaking past the last all-time high (ATH) of 20,788.
Current Target , Prices are trying to approach 21,125. As long as there’s upward pressure, there’s potential for growth.
Potential Retest of Support , Before continuing to increase, prices might retest an old supply zone between 20,788 and 20,662. This area serves as a potential support level, and if the price remains above it, there’s a higher chance for further increases.
Upside Target , If prices stabilize above this support zone, there’s a chance of reaching a new ATH around 21,125. If it breaks this level, the next historical zone lies between 21,200 and 21,350.
Downside Risk, If prices fall below the old supply zone, it could indicate a decline, with a potential target of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 20,482 and 20,335. This level represents a potential lower support area if the price trend reverses.
XAUUSD / AFTER VOTE OF THE PRESIDENT OF THE AMRICAN / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Initial Reaction to Election Outcome, It suggests that gold prices dropped by 3.46% following Trump’s win, indicating an immediate market response likely due to investor sentiment or economic expectations associated with his presidency.
Current Trading Position, The current price is below an “ascending channel” (typically a technical pattern indicating a trend), which could signal a weakening upward trend. However, it remains within a “demand zone,” where buying interest could support prices.
Demand Zone and Support, As long as gold stabilizes above the $2,657 - $2,638 demand zone, there is a potential for prices to rise back up. This zone acts as a support level, where enough demand could prevent further declines.
Upside Target (Supply Zone), If prices hold above the demand zone, there is an expectation of an increase toward the $2,732 - $2,747 supply zone. This is seen as a resistance level where selling pressure may limit further upward movement.
Downside Risk , If a 4-hour candle closes below the demand zone, a further decline is anticipated, potentially pushing prices down to the next demand zone between $2,618 - $2,605.
Overall Trading Range , The analysis concludes with a broader price range for gold between $2,790 (upper limit) and $2,605 (lower limit). This range outlines the expected volatility in gold prices.
FILECOIN LONG-SWING TRADINGI’m starting to go long on altcoins, beginning with Filecoin. I see a realistic target before the weekend, ahead of a potential breakout.
BINANCE:FILUSDT
This is a swing trade setup, with the plan to close it by the weekend or on Sunday at the latest.
Entry Strategy:
OTE (0.705) + FVA + FVG + Overlapping Defense
Trade Management:
Consider taking the first profit at the 1.62 Fibonacci level. However, with altseason on the horizon, I'm aiming higher—targeting the 2.62 level to close the trade if all goes as expected.
Altseason is approaching. Stay calm; there’s still time to position yourself for solid entries at good prices before December.
Trading NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 05/11/2024Last week concluded with a 3% gain using the Judas Swing strategy, which yielded three trades in total: two on EURUSD and one on NZDUSD. The EURUSD trades resulted in one win and one loss, while the NZDUSD trade closed with a win. These results have set the stage for a thrilling week ahead in the markets, and we can't wait to see what unfolds! As usual, we arrived at the trading desk at 8:25 EST to delineate our trading zones.
Once these zones have been marked we need to wait for the high or low of this zone to be swept, this step is essential to help us get a bias for the trading session. After 40 minutes, the liquidity at the high of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for potential selling opportunities in this session.
While we may lean toward a sell this session, we hold back from entering until we see a clear structure break on the sell side. During this shift, price should create a Fair Value Gap, giving us an optimal entry point to step into the trade. After an hour's wait, we finally got a Break of Structure on the sell side, which also resulted in a Fair Value Gap being created.
To fulfill all the entry criteria on our checklist, we must wait for price to retrace into the Fair Value Gap that has formed, and we can only execute the trade once the candlestick has closed. After 10 minutes a candle entered the Fair Value Gap, indicating that upon its closure, we may proceed with executing the trade.
By risking just 1% of our account for a potential 2% gain, we reduce emotional attachment, knowing the loss is manageable, while positioning ourselves for greater rewards. Shortly after entering, the trade went into a drawdown; however, since we had risked an amount we were comfortable with losing, the current state of the trade did not move us.
Upon reviewing the position after some time, we noticed that the trade had started moving in our favor, although it hadn't moved much from the entry price. Given the average trade duration of around 11 hours for the strategy, there’s no rush, we simply need to wait for the setup to deliver as expected.
While the trade didn't reach our desired outcome and we took a 1% loss after the stop loss was hit, we remained unaffected because we were fully prepared for this potential outcome.
NAS100USD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Market Movement Post-Election:
The analyst mentions that after Trump’s victory, NAS100USD rose by 610 pips (a pip here likely refers to a unit of price change in the index, even though “pips” are more common in forex markets). This initial increase reflects market optimism or a reactionary move post-election.
Current Supply Zone:
The NAS100USD is currently trading in a “supply zone” between 20,662 and 20,788. A supply zone in trading refers to a price range where there’s likely to be selling pressure. The price is near its all-time high (ATH) around 20,788, which could mean resistance.
Potential Scenarios Based on Price Action:
If a 4-hour candle opens and stays below the ATH level of 20,788, the analyst expects a decline in the price. This might reach a fair value gap (FVG) between 20,482 and 20,335. An FVG often suggests an area where the price could correct or balance out.
If prices move lower, they could reach a demand zone between 20,088 and 19,961. A demand zone is a price range where buying interest could push the price back up.
Scenario for an Upward Move:
Conversely, if a 4-hour candle closes above the ATH level, it suggests a potential continuation of the uptrend. The price might then aim for a new historical range between 20,972 and 21,125.
USDJPY / TRYING TO REACH DEMAND ZONE AFTER SUPPLY ZONE / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Action:
The prices are trying to reach a demand zone between 150.210 and 148.835. A demand zone typically indicates an area where buying interest is expected to increase, potentially causing prices to rise if they stabilize here.
Upward outlook:
If prices remain and stabilize inside or above this demand zone, it suggests the possibility of an upward move. This would be a bullish indicator, pointing towards an increase in price to the next supply zone between 152.763 and 153.914. Supply zones are areas where selling pressure may occur, potentially leading to price resistance.
Downward outlook :
If the prices break below the current demand zone (148.835), this would imply bearish pressure, suggesting a possible further decline. The next target in this scenario is another demand zone between 146.422 and 145.917, where buyers might step in again.
Overall Market Sentiment:
Despite the potential for a decline if the current demand zone is broken, the analysis notes that prices are currently under bullish pressure. This means the overall market trend is upward, but staying above the key demand zone is crucial for this bullish outlook to remain valid.
XAUUSD / UNDER CHOICE PRESIDENT AMRICAN / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Market Influence of Election Results:
The text suggests that if Donald Trump wins the election, it could impact the financial markets by increasing the price of gold and decreasing the value of the dollar. This reflects the common market reaction where political uncertainty or risk can lead to a “flight to safety” in assets like gold.
Current Gold Price Levels:
• The current price range mentioned is between $2,728 and $2,709. This is described as a support or stabilization zone, where prices are attempting to maintain a level above $2,709.
• If the price stabilizes above this range, there’s an expectation that gold could continue to rise, aiming for a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between $2,756 and $2,772. Above this FVG, there is a “supply zone” where upward momentum might slow or reverse due to selling pressure.
Downward Scenario:
• If the gold price falls below $2,709, it suggests a possible decline toward the “demand zone” between $2,688 and $2,672. A demand zone indicates a level where buyers might come in, potentially stopping or reversing the price decline.
Overall Trend:
• The text concludes that gold is trading under upward pressure, meaning that current market sentiment is biased toward price increases. This could be influenced by factors like inflation concerns, economic instability, or political uncertainties tied to the election.
BITCOIN / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HBITCOIN / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Demand Zone (Support): 67.435 - 66.457
• Above this Zone: As long as the price remains above this range, it suggests a higher likelihood of a bullish trend, with potential to move upward.
• Potential Target on Stability Above: If prices stabilize above this demand zone, it may attract buyers, leading to an upward movement toward the supply zone.
Supply Zone (Resistance): 71.484 - 72.916
• Upside Potential: Should the price continue to rise after holding above the demand zone, it may reach this supply zone. This area could act as resistance, where selling pressure might increase.
Downside Risk and Confirmation of Downtrend:
• Break Below Demand Zone (66.457): If prices fall below the demand zone, it could signal the start of a decline, with a potential target around 65.320.
• Break Below 65.320: A drop below this level would further confirm a downtrend, suggesting stronger bearish sentiment.
Trend Confirmation:
• Uptrend: Stabilizing and maintaining price levels above the demand zone supports a bullish scenario.
• Downtrend: Breaking below 65.320 would confirm a downtrend, indicating a bearish
NAS100USD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4H NAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Status:
Prices have increased and hit a target with a +175 pip profit.
Prices are now approaching a demand zone (an area where buying interest might be strong enough to prevent further price declines).
Demand Zone Stabilization:
If prices stabilize in this demand zone, there is potential for further upward movement towards a supply zone (an area where selling interest could cause a reversal).
Key Supply and Demand Zones:
Supply Zone: Between 20,188 and 20,300. If prices rise and break through this level, it may confirm an uptrend and lead to further gains ,Primary Demand Zone , Between 19,963 and 19,735. A break below this level would suggest a downward movement, potentially heading towards the next demand zone , Secondary Demand Zone , Between 19,515 and 19,366. This is likely the next area where prices could find support if they fall through the primary demand zone.
Overall Market Trend:
The market is currently under upward pressure, indicating a bullish bias.
For a confirmed uptrend, prices need to break through the supply zone (20,188-20,300).
For a confirmed downtrend, prices would need to break below the demand zone (19,963-19,735).
USOIL / TRADING IN SENSITIVE AREA / 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Context:
• The price is currently trading within a supply zone defined by the levels of 72.30 and 71.47. This suggests that there is significant selling pressure in this range.
Scenario Analysis:
• First Scenario (Bullish): If the price breaks above the supply zone (specifically, if a 4-hour candle opens above this range), it is expected to rise towards a higher supply zone between 75.37 and 76.16. This indicates a bullish outlook if the resistance level is overcome.
• Second Scenario (Bearish): If the price breaks below the supply zone, it suggests a decline towards a demand line around 69.66, with potential further drops to levels at 68.12 and 66.78. This indicates a bearish outlook if the support level is broken.
General Market Condition:
• The overall sentiment is described as being under “upward pressure,” suggesting that, despite the current resistance, there is a prevailing bullish trend or sentiment in the market.
EURUSD / TRADING UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Movement to Supply Zone (1.092 - 1.095):
• Prices are attempting to reach a supply zone between 1.092 and 1.095. This level acts as potential resistance where sellers may enter, potentially halting further upward movement.
Potential Decline to Demand Zone (1.085 - 1.083):
• If prices face resistance near 1.092 - 1.095, they might pull back to the demand zone between 1.085 and 1.083. This demand zone represents a level of support where buyers might enter, stabilizing prices.
Outlook if Prices Stabilize Above 1.085 - 1.083:
• Stabilization above this demand zone suggests an opportunity for prices to increase. The next target is another supply zone between 1.101 and 1.104, which could act as a new resistance level.
Risk of a Decline if Demand Zone is Broken:
• If prices break below the demand zone (1.085 - 1.083), it signals potential for further decline to a lower demand zone (1.079 - 1.076). A break below 1.076 would likely confirm a downtrend.
Trend Confirmation Based on Zone Breaks:
• Breaking the supply zone (1.092 - 1.095) would signal an uptrend, while a break below the demand zone (1.079 - 1.076) would confirm a downtrend.
BIPI Buy Position1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Change of Character by the break of the previous high at 81, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the Weekly chart, identified Fair Value Gap between 69 - 71.
3. Trade Execution
Entry Price: 74 ( Engulfing Candle on 5 Nov 24)
SL: 66 (FVG)
TP1: 110 (1.618 Fibbo)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:4.5
Monitoring: Check-in daily closing price
4. Outcome:
Exit Price:
Profit/Loss: pips
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Market Movement:
• Prices initially dropped to a buy zone at around $2,728, where a buying opportunity was identified.
• After reaching this zone, the price increased, securing a profit of 145 pips.
Price Retesting and Stabilizing:
• The price is currently retesting the $2,728 level.
• If the price stabilizes above this level, it indicates potential upward momentum.
Upward Targets:
• If prices hold above $2,728, the next target range is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $2,756 and $2,772. This gap suggests potential for further gains if it’s reached and surpassed.
Demand zone and Downward Risks:
• If prices break below $2,728, they may fall to $2,710.
• Should prices decline below $2,710, further drops are expected, with a potential support or “demand zone” between $2,688 and $2,672.
Overall Market Sentiment:
• Despite potential downward corrections, the market remains under bullish pressure, indicating that the primary trend remains upward for now.
BTC failed retest.So my next Long target can bee seen on the chart.
They are:
1) FVG Intersection of 1D - 12H - 8H - 4H
2) FVG Intersection of 8H - 4H
2nd long zone is more valid and less risky to enter long.
XRP Scalping-Day trading HIGH RISKHigh Risk
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
XRP appears likely to respect the daily bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap), and it's rare to see such setups on this asset. Given this unique opportunity, I’ve decided to enter, aiming to close the trade around the Intermediate Term High (ITH).
This is a straightforward setup: stop-loss placed at the swing low, as a break there could indicate a move to seek liquidity at lower levels. Target profit is set in the premium zone.
XAGUSD LONG-ScalpingThis is a high-risk trade setup. While I believe silver has more room for a rally, I expect it may need a significant drop first—that's what my instincts say. However, based on the charts, I’ve decided to go long as the price action has been resilient and seems poised to recover from yesterday's bearish whipsaw candle. Reminder: this is a high-risk trade with 0.50% capital at risk.
BTC Swing LongPotential for a Strong Bullish Move 📈
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Based on current price action, I believe we may be heading into a significant bullish leg. Here’s why:
Bullish Arguments:
Previous Month Low (PML) is being disregarded.
Previous Month High (PMH) is being disregarded.
Previous Week Low (PWL) is being disregarded.
Previous Day Low (PDL) is being disregarded.
4H swing high is being ignored.
4H swing low is being disregarded.
The only bearish point to note:
Previous Week High (PWH) is still respected.
Trade Management: Once we hit the first Equal High (EQH) around 68K, I’ll move my Stop Loss to Break Even (BE) and manage the trade towards the final target.
BTC Long- Day trading The first line of defense didn’t hold, and price has moved toward the Overlapping defense alongside the Fair Value Area.
I believe this level may hold, though once it reaches the target or gets close, we might see a temporary pullback or consolidation. For this reason, this trade requires close monitoring of price action, especially on a day full of important news. Be safe
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Gold is trading under bullish pressure despite a recent pullback of 2.09%. This suggests that while there’s short-term weakness, the overall trend is still upward.
The analysis identifies a demand zone between $2,735 and $2,728, with a possibility for a dip to $2,710, which could serve as another support level. Should prices stabilize here, a bullish continuation is likely.
If gold fails to hold above $2,728 on a 4-hour closing basis, a further decline toward the next demand zone between $2,688 and $2,672 may be anticipated.
An initial upward target lies in the fair value gap (FVG) between $2,756 and $3,772. Above this, the analysis notes supply zones between $2,782 and $2,790, with an all-time high (ATH) of $2,810 as the next major resistance.
The strategy is a combination of support-resistance testing and close monitoring of 4-hour candles. Stabilizing above the lower zones suggests a bullish rebound, while a failure could lead to extended declines.
USDJPY / OVERALL UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HUSD JPY 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Supply Zone (154.685 - 154.975), This range is seen as a resistance level where the price might struggle to break above, as sellers are likely to dominate. If the price stabilizes in this zone, it suggests that a reversal could occur, potentially leading to a decline.
Potential Decline to Demand Zone (150.331 - 149.075) , If the price reverses from the supply zone, the expectation is that it could drop to the demand zone, where buying pressure is higher, and the price might find support.
Downtrend Confirmation , For a confirmed downtrend, prices would need to break below the demand zone, signaling strong selling pressure and possibly more declines.
Uptrend Confirmation (157.135 - 157.873) , Conversely, if prices can break above the supply zone, it would signal a potential uptrend. The target in this case would be the next resistance zone, around 157.135 to 157.873.
NAS100USD / TRADING UNDER EARNING Q3 / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Initial Achievement , Prices have reached a target with a profit of +350 pips, indicating successful movement in the predicted direction.
Current Trading Range , Prices are currently within a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 20,549 and 20,410. An FVG is an area where liquidity may exist, so prices might experience some consolidation here.
If prices break below 20,146 (the demand line) and hold there, this would likely confirm a downtrend , A demand line often indicates support, where buyers might step in to prevent further drops.
Stabilizing within the FVG (above 20,410) suggests potential to reach 20,820 and further to 20,968 , If prices stabilize above the demand line, this would indicate strength and could push prices towards the target.
Overall Sentiment , The analysis concludes with an upward pressure bias, suggesting the analyst anticipates more bullish movement despite potential consolidation zones.
