Fvg
Bitcoin - Preparing for Massive PumpBitcoin has almost completed its consolidation, preparing for a major pump to the upside.
Although the Daily EMA is showing a Bearish trend (EMA Crossed 2 days ago), on the WEEKLY chart, the trend is still very much Bullish.
However as we can see, there is a Daily FVG waiting to be filled by price action. This Daily FVG is also where many Longs have their Stops in the Futures markets, which I suspect will be the catalyst for the first initial pump upwards from this current price range/area.
Price action is still in the premium zone, however I suspect by another 24 to 72 hours, price will arrive in the discount zone which will be the reversal point. (eg: below the 0.50 Fibonacci marker)
I have made a white box which shows the area I suspect will be the reversal point to the upside. Anywhere in this white box should be the reversal area. I do not expect the price action, at this point in time, to go below the $60,000 dollar mark. I am expecting price action to fly past the previous ATH.
GBPUSD ( CORE PCE PRICE INDEX) ( 4H )GBPUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 1.287 & 1.285 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 1.287 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 1.285, so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.293 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 1.303 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.279 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 1.269 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 1.286 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.293 , 1.303 .
SUPPORT LEVEL :1.279 , 1.269 .
SILVER ( TRYING TO RETEST A TURNING LEVEL (1) ) (4H)XAGUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , after breakout channel .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 28.20 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 27.29 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 29.33 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 30.48, for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 26.43, for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 25.23 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 27.80 , have two scenario , first corrective 28.20 before dropping to touch a 27.29 , then26.43 , second corrective 27.29 to reach a 28.20, then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 29.33, 30.48 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 26.43 , 25.23 .
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 30/07/2024Risk management ought to be a trader's closest ally, as the previous week demonstrated the practical significance of incorporating risk management into every trader's toolkit. Last week, we executed four trades; despite having only one win and three losses, we concluded the week with a mere 1% loss on our trading account. This has heightened our excitement for the opportunities that this week may present. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
The next 5 minute candle swept liquidity resting at the low of the zone, which meant our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities for the trading session.
To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure.
We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied. Please note that our stop loss is set at the low of the price leg that broke structure, and we implement a minimum stop loss of 10 pips. The minimum stop loss value was not chosen randomly; it was determined through extensive backtesting. This allows trades sufficient space to fluctuate, avoiding premature stop-outs and trades later moving in our anticipated direction.
After 15 minutes, a large bearish marubozu candle formed, which could have exited us from the trade if we had set our stop loss solely based on the low of the price leg that broke structure, without including a minimal stop loss in our checklist. By using that price leg, our stop loss would have been around 6 pips, whereas a 10 pip stop loss provides the trade with sufficient breathing room.
We are aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50% on EURUSD, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we used only 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% gain. Upon checking our position later, we observed that the position was a few pips away from hitting SL.
We remained calm despite the drawdown we were experiencing and were prepared for any outcome of the trade. All that was left was to wait for either our stop loss or take profit to be triggered to determine the result of our trade. A few hours later, the trade began to move in our favor.
After 13 hours, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on EURUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
USDJPY ( INSIDE OLD DEMAND ZONE ) (4H)USDJPY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level at 154.786 & 153.625 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 154.786 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 153.625 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 157.687 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 159.893 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 151.996 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 150.180, for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 153.931 , have two scenario , first corrective 154.786 , before dropping to touch a 153.625 , then 151.996 , second corrective 153.625 to reach a 154.786, then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 157.687 , 159.893 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 151.996 , 150.180.
Buy Dogecoin (DOGE) at $0.12724I recommend buying Dogecoin (DOGE) at $0.12724. This recommendation is based on the Smart Money Concept (SMC), which identifies a "Demand Zone" at this price level and a Fair Value Gap (FVG) above the demand zone.
Key Points:
Entry Price:
Buy Dogecoin at $0.12724. This price level has been identified as an optimal entry point due to the presence of a demand zone and an FVG.
Explanation of FVG:
Fair Value Gap (FVG): An FVG occurs when there is a significant price movement with little or no trading activity in between, creating a gap. This gap represents an imbalance in the market, often caused by institutional investors, and can act as a magnet for price, providing an area of potential support or resistance.
Stop Loss (SL):
Set your stop loss (SL) at $0.12502, which is just under the FVG. This level has been chosen to minimize potential losses if the market moves against the trade. The stop loss percentage is 1.74%.
Take Profit (TP):
Set your take profit (TP) at $0.13822, which aligns with a supply zone. This target has been chosen based on market dynamics and anticipated resistance levels.
Explanation:
Smart Money Concept (SMC):
SMC is a trading strategy that focuses on understanding and following the actions of institutional investors, who have significant influence on the market. By identifying areas where these large players are likely to buy (demand zones) or sell (supply zones), traders can align their positions with the "smart money" to improve their chances of success.
Demand Zone:
A demand zone is an area on the chart where there has been a high level of buying interest, causing prices to rise from that level in the past. When the price returns to this zone, it is likely to encounter buying pressure again, providing a potential entry point for traders.
Supply Zone:
A supply zone is an area on the chart where there has been significant selling interest in the past, which may act as a resistance level.
Conclusion:
Entering Dogecoin at $0.12724, based on the SMC and the identified demand zone and FVG, presents a strategic investment opportunity. By setting a stop loss at $0.12502, we aim to manage risk effectively, and by setting a take profit at $0.13822, we target a supply zone for potential gains.
As always, it's essential to monitor the market closely and adjust your strategy as necessary. Trading involves risks, and it's crucial to stay informed and make decisions based on thorough analysis. Like, follow me for more such content and share to increase your friends' knowledge.
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 24/07/2024Last week concluded positively, with three trades taken and two big wins on EURUSD. This success has heightened our anticipation for the opportunities this week may present. We began our trading day at 8:25 EST by marking the zones for the Judas Swing strategy. This is a fundamental part of the checklist and cannot be skipped.
The next step on the checklist is to wait for a sweep on either side of the zone, which will assist in establishing a bias for the trading session. After 25 minutes, the high of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for potential selling opportunities during this trading session.
Although we have a bias for the trading session, we do not rush into every selling opportunity. Instead, we wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. The price leg that establishes this BOS should leave behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and price must retrace into this FVG before we consider executing a trade using this strategy.
The next five-minute candle entered the Fair Value Gap, indicating that we could execute our trade at the candle's close since we had met all the checklist criteria.
After executing the trade, price remained in a deep drawdown, which can be unsettling for many traders who do not manage their risk adequately. Additionally, traders who do not backtest their trading strategy thoroughly often struggle to adhere to their plan in these situations. However, this was not an issue for us, as we were aware that our strategy has approximately a 50% win rate, indicating that losses are part of the process. Therefore, we only risked 1% of our trading account on the trade, aiming for a 2% return.
Price eventually reversed and started moving in our intended direction. We remained unperturbed by the duration of the trade, as our strategy data indicates an average trade duration of 8 hours and 5 minutes.
Now all we need to do is be patient and let the trade run. We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
EURUSD WEEKLY BULLISH BREAKOUT, LTF BEARISH RETRACEMENT!!The weekly timeframe has a beautiful bullish break-out, meaning that we are overall Bullish.
We have two weekly bullish FVGs
- One in Premium at 1.08709 (We would not want to Buy on the basis of this FVG since it is in Premium) However we could have a LTF reaction.
- Another beautiful FVG in discount at 1.08032 ( This is where we will be looking for timeframe alignment to go Long). Beautiful area to look for Longs!!!
Before price reaches 1.08032, we will be looking for shorts to trade the retracement.
Beautiful Week Ahead of us!!! Trade, Repeat!!!
Turbo preparing for more upwards move but there will be pain!Turbo's price action is currently in what looks like a level 1 move, however this could be invalidated if the equal DAILY lows are taken out by a liquidity sweep.
However that should be short lived as there is significant resistance in the form of an FVG and Gap in the 'Discount' zone, below the 0.50 Fibo, as we are still in a Bullish Trend with current DAILY and WEEKLY EMA in a bullish cross.
The painful areas could be anywhere between the Gaps (0.004970 ~ 0.0040016) or even as low as (0.0034710 ~ 0.0029715). However in my opinion price action won't breach the 0.004000 value, unless with a fast wick to the down side before reversing.
The bullish targets are the Equal Highs (where liquidity is lurking) as well as the previous High where additional liquidity is lurking in the form of bearish stops on the futures markets.
All in all, based on my analysis, is that Turbo will continue to surge forward, at least to a target of anywhere between 0.01 to 0.10 cents, even possibly higher, based on market sentiment and interest in this token, which I must add is based in Real Art with a very interesting background story of how it was created, with the assistance of both a strong community and Chat GPT AI.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST JULY 15-19th: BITCOIN BUY SETUPAnalyzing BTCUSD for the upcoming week.
It looks like there is evidence that price turning bullish in this market.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
July Seasonal Long Copper HG1!: Seeking Gap & clean highs-We retraced down to 50% of the 2024 up leg, finding support.
-We neatly found support at the Volume imbalance W and the midpoint of the Fair value gap M, circa 50% of said 2024 up leg.
-July has a strong bullish seasonal tendency.
~The plan would be to take partials (half off) in the gap (FVG- fair value gap) circa 4.75; and move stop-loss up to trailing.
~If this runs up hard & fast, ideal target would be the high time frame clean highs 5.24
~Timestop: End of July marks end of seasonal bull, so depending on the price action context, i'd be inclined to close the trade as we enter into August.
~If this proves bearish and i'm wrong, I would close the entire position if we come any lower than a mere peep below the late June low; stop-loss would be at 4.31
**B-ADJ toggled ON; SET toggled OFF.
**Just an idea for paper trading purposes, not financial advice.
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 16/07/2024 - big win!Last week, we had awesome trading sessions using the Judas swing strategy. We entered 7 positions across 4 major currency pairs: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD, and secured 5 Big wins! The results we've achieved with this strategy have heightened our anticipation for our trading sessions. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
In a few minutes the low of the zone was swept, which meant our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities for the trading session.
To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure.
We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied. Please note that our stop loss is set at the low of the price leg that broke structure, and we implement a minimum stop loss of 10 pips.
The position underwent minimal drawdown, after 5 minutes we were already in profit. What remains is for us to exercise patience and allow the trade to unfold to our advantage.
We are aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50%, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we used only 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% gain. Upon checking our position later, we observed that the position was a few pips away from hitting TP.
After 4 hours, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on EURUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
RUM Struggling & aims for $6.00If we start closing high time frame candles below $6.80, the target will be $6.00. It left behind a massive FVG & Single print with the buy side imbalance.
Stay focused.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
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This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
LONGING $MARAWhy I am bullish on NASDAQ:MARA
- About to break out of a symmetrical triangle pattern
- Recent bullish VWAP Divergence
- A lot more buying pressure vs selling on Time Relative Volume Oscillator
- Recently bounced off of a weekly Fair Value Gap
My personal trade:
Stop Loss / Take Profits:
- Entry: $20.72
- Take Profit: $34.26
- Stop Loss: $10.99
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 08/07/2024Last week proved challenging for the Judas swing strategy, which experienced losses on AUDUSD and GBPUSD. However, this has heightened our anticipation for a more successful trading week ahead. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
Now that our trading zone is defined, we wait for a liquidity sweep at either side of the zone to inform our trading bias for the session. Liquidity was taken at the highs after 25 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
Even though we have a bias for the trading session, we do not enter trades blindly. Instead, we consider the following questions and do not rush into any trades until all the criteria are met. The questions are:
1. Is there a break of structure (BOS) to the sell side?
2. Has the price leg that broke the structure left a Fair Value Gap (FVG) behind?
3. Has price retraced into the FVG that was left behind?
After an hour's wait, two of our previously mentioned conditions were met, indicating we were on the right track. We just needed to wait for price to retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) to execute the trade.
After the Break of Structure (BOS), the following candle entered the Fair Value Gap (FVG) that had formed. However, our thorough backtesting revealed that it is preferable to execute trades after the candle that entered the FVG has closed. This approach is due to instances where the candle entering the FVG may proceed to hit our stop loss, but waiting for the candle to close prevents us from such trades.
After initiating the trade, we experienced a drawdown for approximately 35 minutes before the position began to move in our favor. Patience is now required for the trade to unfold. Based on the data we have gathered, we anticipate an average trade duration of 8 hours and 27 minutes.
We are aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50%, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we used only 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% gain. Upon checking our position later, we observed that it was progressing favorably in the direction we intended.
After 12 hours and 20 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on EURUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
ICT Breaker & Mitigation Blocks EXPLAINEDToday, we’re diving into two powerful concepts from ICT’s toolkit that can give you an edge in your trading: Breaker Blocks and Mitigation Blocks. There are one of my favourite PD Arrays to trade, especially the Breaker Block. I’m going to explain how I interpret them and how I incorporate them into my trading. Stay tuned all the way to the end because I’m going to drop some gold nuggets along the way"
Ok, so first of all let’s go through what both these PD Arrays look like and what differentiates them, because they are relatively similar and how they are used is practically the same.
On the left we have a Breaker Block and on the right a Mitigation Block. They both are reversal profiles on the timeframe you are seeing them on, and they both break market structure as you can see here. The actual zone to take trade from, or even an entry from, in the instance of this bearish example is the nearest down candle or series of down candles after price makes a lower low. When price pulls back to this area, one could plan or take a trade.
The defining difference is that a Breaker raids liquidity on its respective timeframes by making a higher high or lower low before reversing, whilst a Mitigation Block does not do that. For this reason, a Breaker is always a higher probability PD Array to trade off from. As you should know by now if you are already learning about PD Arrays such as these is that the market moves from one area to liquidity to another. If you don’t even know what liquidity is, stop this video and educate yourself about that first or you will just be doing yourself a disservice.
Alright, so let’s go see some real examples on the chart. Later on I’ll give you a simple mechanical way to trade them, as well as a the discretionary approach which I use. And of course, some tips on how to increase the probability of your setups.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST Part 1: DXY, INDICES, GOLD, SILVER, US OILThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, S&P500 NASDAQ DOW JONES DAX GOLD SILVER US & UK OIL
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 02/07/2024Last week saw a lull in trading activity for the Judas Swing, concluding with no trading opportunity on the four major currency pairs we monitor ( FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD , FX:AUDUSD ). This pause in activity has heightened our anticipation for engaging in some promising trades this week. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
The next step on our checklist is to await the sweep of liquidity on either sides of the zone, which will give us a directional bias for the trading period. Liquidity was taken at the highs after 20 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
Although a bias has been established for the trading period, we do not proceed to sell indiscriminately. To enhance the probability of successful trades, we await a break of structure (BOS) on the sell side. Following the BOS, we expect the price to pull back to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed during the development of the leg that broke structure.
Next on the checklist, we wait for the price to retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and execute the trade only after the candle that entered the FVG has closed.
After executing the trade, we were in profit for about 10 minutes before the price reversed, leading our position into a drawdown. During the drawdown, we remained calm because we had risked only 1% of our trading account on the trade, aiming for a 2% gain if the trade was successful. We were aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50%, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we let the trade run its course and accepted whatever the outcome would be.
We later reviewed the position and discovered it was once again moving in our favour, only to reverse direction and head towards our stop loss. We anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes for the trade, so we let the trade run.
We waited with patience, yet our perseverance did not bear fruit on this occasion, as our position reached the stop loss after 4 hours and 40 minutes, leading to a 1% reduction in our trading account. It's important to note that we were on a winning streak for a few weeks and it's normal to have losing trades; no strategy guarantees a 100% win rate. However, with proper risk management and a favorable risk-reward ratio, the potential for profit can outweigh the losses.