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EURJPY LongMarket Idea for This Week 🔍 FX:EURJPY After analyzing last week's sharp drop, I'm seeing a strong opportunity with the market's current reaction. The Asian range at the start of this week has created a significant bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) on both the 4H and 1H timeframes. Although the 4H FVG carries more weight, I've opted to place my Stop Loss (SL) based on the 1H FVG for tighter risk management. Trade Management Plan: Target: Take profit (TP) as soon as the Order Block (OB) is reached on the 15min chart. Risk Management: Move SL to break-even (BE) once first TP is hit.
Long
by Jaytradermb
3
WTI Crude Oil USOUSD LongIn my humble opinion, the worst seems to be over for oil. Trading Idea: After analyzing multiple sessions, I noticed how well the price has absorbed the recent drop, reclaiming the liquidity distribution from last month. There’s no strong indication of further downside. The Asian session has brought it into a solid accumulation range. I’m looking for an entry within the lower zone, aligned with a 15-minute FVG. Trade Management: Once the rally begins, I plan to take partial profits (40%) at yesterday’s NY session high, and let the remaining position run toward the swing high. I’m targeting a rally up to the $73 area, but will wait for additional high-probability confirmations as the rally unfolds. Risk: 0.50% R/R: 6.78
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by Jaytradermb
Golden Hunt with ICT Strategy: Perfect XAU/USD Analysis in the 1Hey everyone! Today, I’m excited to share a fascinating analysis of the XAU/USD pair in the 1-hour timeframe using the ICT strategy. I’ve added a free indicator to the chart that not only identifies swing points but also beautifully connects them with lines. This indicator even marks the days of the week, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), and includes a 20-period EMA. It’s truly an amazing tool! What’s more, it has features for displaying Kill Zones, sessions, and Silver Bullet, but I’ve turned those off for now to keep the focus on the essentials. As you can see, Break of Structure (BOS) points are clearly marked, and I’ve highlighted the areas where the market structure has shifted. Notice how sometimes strong swing highs or lows are "hunted" by a shadow that pierces through, leading to a sharp bearish move afterward. The indicator highlights most of these hunts in red, helping us better anticipate market movements. For entering trades, I used a simple tool to highlight green zones on the chart. I employed Fibonacci retracement levels of 61.8%, 70.5%, 79%, and 50% to pinpoint key entry areas. Additionally, using a custom method based on standard deviation, I marked potential future price zones with dotted lines. In summary, this analysis combines advanced ICT techniques with practical tools to give you a clearer view of gold’s movements. I hope these insights help you achieve more successful trades! ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mohamadrezaKhorsand
1
GBPUSD SHORTI'm currently participating in a trading competition, which is why I'm opening more trades than usual—these are not on my personal account. Typically, I only open one trade per day on my personal account, but only when my setup shows a high probability of confirmation. Trade Management: I've decided to open a short position because the price has been creating Fair Value Gaps (FVG) consecutively on the 5-minute chart, and it seems likely that it will seek liquidity in the lower zones. Additionally, there's a 4-hour FVG, which increases the probability of the price continuing to drop. However, once it reaches the sell-stop, I plan to take partial profits (70%). Risk: 1% Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.84
Short
by Jaytradermb
EURAUD Sell IdeaThe reason I am selling the EUR/AUD currency pair is because inflation in the Eurozone has eased to 2%, which could prompt the ECB to cut interest rates again. Meanwhile, inflation in Australia has risen slightly while the Reserve Bank of Australia has kept interest rates unchanged, and on the other hand, Australia's trading partner, China, is making efforts to boost its inflation, which has been under pressure, by cutting interest rates and providing future stimulus. Therefore, the AUD has better long-term prospects compared to the EUR. Sell Limit : 1.65700 Stoploss : 1.66100 Take Profit : 1.64500 Be safe and protect your capital with stoploss
Short
by ICT_ID
9
BITCOIN Is Bullish! Heading To the Highs!After breaking the ATH (All Time High) in March, BTC has formed the a huge Bear Flag, incrementally retracing to a Weekly bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap). The +FVG has proved to be resilient, holding price from going lower... and now price is rallying from said +FVG. Friday, price formed another +FVG on the Daily TF. This is the bullish indicator I look for to get a sense of the order flow. Should price pullback into the Daily +FVG, it will use it to move higher toward the ATH. ICT has taught that price will move towards the "smooth edges" when seeking liquidity. Look at the path to the ATH. It is a series of highs that at relatively close together. Compare that to the lows. Price had a hugh heat seeking liquidation wick to sweep the sell side liquidity before moving higher. The liquidity pools are above now. Price moves from IRL->ERL->IRL. This is how a trend works. HH->HL->HH. Price is now moving from Internal Liquidity (FVGs) to External Liquidity (HIghs/Lows). This is how the market moves. It's all about the liquidity.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RT_Money
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 21/08/2024Last week, the Judas Swing strategy produced just two trades, both on EURUSD. It served as an excellent lesson in risk management; despite having one win and one loss, we concluded the week with a profit, securing a 1% gain. Even during a slow week, we concluded on a positive note, and it's these small victories that sustain a trader's enthusiasm for the new opportunities each week brings. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises: - Setting the timezone to New York time - Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Identifying the high and low of the zone We now wait for the high or low of the trading zone to be swept, which would guide our bias for the session. After 1 hour and 35 minutes, the low of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for buying opportunities during this trading session After 35 minutes, there was a break of structure (BOS) to the buy side, leaving behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG). Now, all that remains is to patiently wait for price to retrace into the FVG, presenting us with a trading opportunity The subsequent candle formed a bearish marubozu, closing the gap left from the previous upward move. We executed our trade after the candle's closure, as it met all the criteria on our checklist After executing our trade, we experienced minimal drawdown as the position quickly turned profitable. These are the types of trades we all hope for, aren't they? All we need to do is wait for our Take Profit (TP) to be reached, right? Let's observe the outcome. Price got close to our TP and then began retracing. This is the moment when traders who have not thoroughly backtested their strategies might panic and close their trades prematurely. Some may consider moving their stop loss to break even; however, our backtesting data shows that this approach does not benefit us in the long run, as price may hit the break even point and then proceed in our anticipated direction. Therefore, in such situations, we should not panic; instead, we patiently wait for either our TP or Stop Loss (SL) to be triggered. Price returned to our entry point, and at this juncture, traders who risked more than they could afford are likely experiencing an emotional roller coaster. However, we remained undisturbed since we only risked 1% on this trade with the aim of achieving a 2% return After 3 hours and 30 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on AUDUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.This trade served as an excellent illustration of the importance of patience and adherence to your trading plan. We hope you have gained some insights from this.
by CleoFinance
AUDUSD Long IdeasThe reason I chose to buy the AUD/USD currency pair is as follows: The RBA has kept interest rates on hold for a longer period due to inflation remaining stable and experiencing only a slight increase, which is favorable for the Australian economy. Meanwhile, the economic outlook for China is potentially improving, as interest rate cuts will continue if China’s economic data is found to be unsatisfactory. On the other hand, the Federal Reserve is getting closer to an interest rate cut in September. For market participants, this is a dovish signal for the USD.
Long
by ICT_ID
2
USOIL 78.31 -1.59 % AHEAD OF THE CRUDE INVENTORIES HELLO TRADERS Hope everyone is doing great 📌 A look at USOIL from MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS 🎯 CRUDE OIL INVENTORIES TOMORROW - 7th Aug release was more than expected which meant weaker demand and was bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if tomorrow a decline in inventories is less than expected. USOIL 4H TF * Friday & monday where strongly bullish but tues came with change in delivery as we see strong bearish move. * The weekly & daily TF are still range bound . * USOIL took External range LQ & price will delive from the -FVG above. * We are trading in premium of the move, This is where I would be looking for short entries. * With PO3 looking to open bullish (fri & monday) to confirm a move Lower into +FVG on USOIL. USOIL 1H TF * Looking for the hourly to open Bullish into the 4h FVG because our HTF BIAS (PO3) . * We will see what does the market dish. * On the 4 hourly IRL > ERL. - LOWER TF * ANALYSED IN REAL TIME HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK. SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS. IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT. ALWAYS APPRECIATED ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ * Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤ LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
TVC:USOILShort
by PULEMokhothu
4
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 12/08/2024We ended last week on a positive note, with four trades taken and three big wins on #EURUSD, #GBPUSD and #NZDUSD. This success has heightened our anticipation for the opportunities this week may present. We began our trading day at 8:25 EST by marking the zones for the Judas Swing strategy. This is a fundamental part of the checklist and cannot be skipped. After an hour and 5 minutes, there was a sweep of liquidity at the high of the zone, indicating we will be looking for potential selling opportunities this trading session. Following the liquidity sweep, there was a break of structure (BOS). Now, we simply need to wait for price to retrace into the fair value gap (FVG) that was created before entering a sell position. Although we had a bias for the trading session, we do not rush into every selling opportunity. Instead, we wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. The price leg that establishes this BOS should leave behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and price must retrace into this FVG before we consider executing a trade using this strategy. After 30 minutes a bullish candle filled the FVG, indicating that upon its close, we could execute our trade as all the prerequisites for entry on our checklist were satisfied. Our position was profitable for approximately 15 minutes before plunging us into a drawdown. During this drawdown period, we remained composed because we had a solid risk management strategy and only risked what we could afford to lose. We allocated just 1% of our trading account to this trade, targeting a 2% return. After 30 minutes into the trade, our stop loss was triggered, resulting in a 1% loss of our trading account. It's important to note that incurring losses is a normal part of trading. This particular strategy has a win rate of approximately 50%. However, with a positive risk-reward ratio of 1:2, adhering to this strategy can lead to consistent profitability in the long run.
by CleoFinance
US100 18.992.0 +2.52% MID-WEEK MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS Hope everyone is doing great 📌 A look at NAS 100 & S&P500 from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS NAS100 DAILY TF * We started the week on some BULLISH runs into a bearish BB. * Entering the premium zone looking for rejection of this -BB. * NAS100 currently taking LQ, looking for that internal range LQ to be taken(+OB). * We are entering discount price looking for a bullish continuation long term on Nasdaq but intraday some shorts could be profitable. * With PO3 looking for THURSDAY TO REVERSE for th week. NAS 100 4H TF * The week to opened Bullish into the 4h FVG + OB because our HTF BIAS (PO3) on D & W looking for possible reversals before we continue higher. * looking for short positions OPPORTUNITIES. * We will see what does the market dish. * On the 4 hourly ERL > IRL. S&P500 4H TF * sentiment stays the same we still bullish, running into higher tf pd arrays. US100 1H TF * STRONG rally with the bulls, strong momentum to the upside. * The is a 1H FVG, this is where i would look for short entries this week. * Should this PD ARRAY hold will be short for the NASDAQ * BASED on the price action served this week. But we might just reverse some where might as well be in these FVG prices S&P 500 1H TF * sentiment stays the same we still bullish, running into higher tf pd arrays HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK. SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS. IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT. ALWAYS APPRECIATED ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ * Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT. _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤ LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by PULEMokhothu
4
Bitcoin - The dump before the massive pump !!!By now a lot of traders and investors are very nervous about Bitcoin's next move, and justifiably, I don't think many people saw this particular setup coming, although it is normal for Bitcoin to have such volatility. However, In the above chart, we see a particular situation which could present itself with various moves and targets. This is combined with a possible Black Swan event (meaning large scale military conflict) or even significant loss of confidence in the petro dollar, due to external influence such as BRICS and the mere fact that the USA is printing more $$$ into their way into oblivion and hyper-inflation. Why does it matter if the USD takes a hit? Unfortunately at this current point in time, Bitcoin seems to be +80% correlated with the S&P500. Thus, we are at a critical point in the market where, based on previous price action (chart history) and some issues that have affected and/or will affect the market, we now have 5x Potential targets as follows: Target #1 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $57,736.05 to $59,535.00 Target #2 = Daily Gap: Range between $45,288.65 to $46,800.00 Target #3 = Daily Gap: Range between $44,396.50 to $45,242.12 Target #4 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $43,399.98 to $44,331.10 Target #5 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $40,300.24 to 41,394.34 Target #1 is where the current price is centered inside a DAILY FVG + OB. This would be the optimal reversal point, however going by my Level count, we are still in Level 2 which means an inevitable drop again to a lower price point, either within the Lower FVG+OB range between $52,088.00 to $54,476.47 or to one of the lower targets #2 through to 5. My guess is there will be another dump, either due to some financial issue or possible military action in the Middle East or Ukraine. I labelled this as Possibility #1 in the chart above. Target #2 is where price action could come down to one of the Daily Gaps and then reverse. I see this as a low probability move, especially due to the fact that Bitcoin has an irritating habit of retracing back to 98% of it's previous high. Target #3, again, could come down to one of the Daily Gaps and then reverse. Target #4, is a high probability reversal point where due to the Daily FVG + OB being where most of the liquidity would be held, seems the most logical target before a solid reversal. I have labelled this as Possibility #2. Target #5, is a high probability reversal point due to the Daily FVG+OB as well as it being at the 98% retracement point that Bitcoin seems to so often follow. I have labelled this as Possibility #3. Therefore at this point in time, due to the many issues currently under the microscope together with potential conflict escalation in the Middle East and/or Ukraine, and the level count showing a level 2, I see it highly probable that the current boxed reversal zone will be invalidated and we will achieve a much lower reversal point more than likely between Possibility #2 and Possibility #3. Note that I am still very bullish on this, even though the DAILY EMA shows BEARISH trend, it is only temporary as the WEEKLY EMA is still very much BULLISH ! I shall update when price action reveals more useful information.
Long
by Market-Pip-Factory
2