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Bitcoin - Bears vs Bulls: $100k next?Price recently tapped into a well-defined 4H and daily resistance zone and was met with an immediate rejection. That rejection wasn’t just a reaction, it led to a confirmed market structure shift as price broke the previous low. This transition from higher highs to a lower low signals the first sign of bearish control, flipping the short-term bias and setting the tone for a move lower. Retest of MSS and Inversion Fair Value Gap After the break in structure, price retraced directly into the origin of the move, retesting the same zone where the shift occurred. A previously bullish 4H gap has now flipped into resistance, rejecting price perfectly. This inversion, where a bullish imbalance turns into a bearish reaction zone, confirms the change in direction and strengthens the downside narrative. New FVG as Entry Opportunity The latest bearish impulse created a clean new fair value gap just above current price. A retest of this gap would offer a high-probability continuation setup, as it aligns with both recent structure and order flow. This zone becomes the critical level for bears to defend, and unless price reclaims it, the expectation remains for continuation toward lower liquidity. Liquidity Outlook and Bearish Target Below current price, a large pool of liquidity is sitting just above a major psychological round number. That level hasn’t been swept yet and is a likely downside magnet. With no meaningful support between the current FVG and that draw on liquidity, price is likely to reach for it next. This fits the typical sequence following a market structure shift: rejection, shift, retest, continuation, and liquidity sweep. Momentum and Contextual Confluence Zooming out slightly, the current move fits within broader bearish momentum that has been developing across timeframes. There’s no sign of strong bullish absorption, and each push higher has been met with efficient selling. This isn’t a chaotic breakdown, but a controlled sequence of lower highs and lower lows, supported by clean structural shifts and consistent rejection zones. Conclusion The chart tells a clear story. A clean rejection from a key resistance zone led to a confirmed bearish structure shift, followed by a textbook retest and fresh fair value gap. As long as price remains below that gap, the setup favors continuation lower, with the nearest liquidity pool being the most likely draw. This remains a high-probability bearish scenario until proven otherwise by a shift back above invalidation levels. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
86
Stuck in the Zone: DXY Tests Balance Between 98 and 99Hello Traders, After a sharp and uninterrupted decline in the DXY, price found support at the 97.921 level. Sellers then regained control from the weekly bearish Fair Value Gap (W-FVG), pushing price back into the 99 zone. In this zone, neither sellers nor buyers have managed to assert dominance—suggesting that these levels may act as a pause or balance point. Given the extended drop, a temporary correction could follow if buyers gain traction after one last push. For now, the bearish USD narrative remains intact. With upcoming catalysts like China/US talks and tomorrow’s CPI release, a renewed move toward 98 is likely to accelerate. Whether this leads to further selling or a corrective phase will be assessed afterward.
TVC:DXYShort
by FundedTraderMarkets
5
EUR/USD - Daily highs taken, now what?Introduction The EUR/USD made a strong move higher today, establishing a clear uptrend on the 4-hour chart. With this latest push, it swept the daily liquidity above the previous high. The question now is whether the EUR/USD will continue moving higher or if there are opportunities for long entries at lower levels. Liquidity Sweep EUR/USD has taken out liquidity above the daily highs, where many stop losses are typically positioned. These stops have now been removed from the market. This area could potentially act as a support and resistance flip. However, if we see a 4-hour candle close below the previous daily high, further downside becomes likely. Where Can We Look for Buys? During the recent 4-hour move higher, significant progress was made. This upward movement created a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $1.149 and $1.145. This FVG aligns perfectly with the golden pocket Fibonacci level, drawn from the swing low to the swing high. As a result, this zone forms a strong area of confluence for potential buy positions to target a retest of the highs. Conclusion Although we are currently breaking above the previous high, this move has yet to be confirmed as sustainable. Holding above this level is crucial. If a 4-hour candle closes below the previous high, it becomes likely that we will revisit the daily FVG and golden pocket Fibonacci zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
by Youriverse
40
Judas Swing Monday Recap – Sticking to the Plan Pays 09/06/2025In case you're new to the Judas Swing Strategy, here’s the strategy in a nutshell: It’s a classic price manipulation strategy where the market fakes a move in one direction (the “Judas” move), usually after the 00:00–08:30 EST window, before sharply reversing. This tactic is often used by smart money to trap retail traders around key highs/lows, followed by a reversal into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) for entry confirmation. We began Monday spotting a textbook Judas Swing on FX:EURUSD which was our first trade of the day. Price took out session lows, grabbing liquidity, then gave us a break of structure to the upside and a clean reversal into the FVG. We entered long with our stop loss below the manipulation low. The trade moved nicely into profit and came within points of our target but just as we were anticipating a clean 1:2, price stalled and reversed aggressively, stopping us out. Trade Outcome: Loss Risk-Reward: -1% Lesson: Even the most valid setups will sometimes fail The next Judas swing setup came on $GBPUSD. Price swept the low of the zone, then gave a break of structure, with price retracing into the FVG. We entered long, placing the stop loss 10 pips below entry price. The trade rallied hard post-entry, hitting our target with minimal drawdown Trade Outcome: Win Risk-Reward: +2% This is why we take every valid setup. The win here offset the earlier FX:EURUSD loss, keeping us net even on the day at this point The final Judas swing setup on Monday was on OANDA:AUDUSD , and it couldn’t have been cleaner. After a strong sweep of previous lows, price reversed and broke structure convincingly. An FVG formed and price retraced into it beautifully. We entered long, placing the stop below the liquidity sweep. Price then rallied steadily throughout the session, and retraced almost hitting our stop loss but turned around and hit our 1:2 target. Trade Outcome: Win Risk-Reward: +2% Despite starting the day with a loss, staying disciplined and trading all valid Judas setups left us with: 1 loss ( FX:EURUSD -1%) 2 wins ( FX:GBPUSD +2%, OANDA:AUDUSD +2%) Net Gain: +3R This is why a rules-based approach beats emotional trading. Stick to the process, and the edge takes care of the rest.
by CleoFinance
Last week Bitcoin created massive liquidity at a key resistance!🚨 Bitcoin Update – A Bullish Storm Is Brewing? 💥 Last week, Bitcoin created massive liquidity at a key resistance zone, and guess what? That liquidity is still untouched. The market hasn’t fully tapped into it yet — and that’s a big deal. Recently, BTC smashed through resistance and even left behind a Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), signaling strength. But hold on—after this breakout, the market is showing signs of a minor pullback, likely to retest its marked IRL (Important Reaction Level). 📉 It’s cooling off temporarily... but don’t blink. This zone could act as a springboard for the next big leg up. 💡 Here’s the kicker: there’s still a ton of liquidity waiting above. If the market wants it—and it usually does—there’s a high probability (80%+) of another bullish push. 👀 Watch this area closely. It’s a make-or-break zone. 📊 Do Your Own Research (DYOR) – this is not financial advice, just a friendly nudge from the charts.
Long
by Peter_Wade
Bitcoin - Breakout incoming towards $115k?Introduction Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating just below a key resistance level over the past several days. This period of sideways movement, without any significant pullbacks, reflects notable strength in the market. Such price behavior often precedes a strong directional move, and in this case, the technical setup continues to favor the possibility of a bullish breakout. 1H BullFlag Pattern On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC is forming a well-defined bull flag pattern, which is typically a bullish continuation signal. This flag began to develop after BTC surged from approximately $105,000 to $110,000, creating the flagpole that represents the initial wave of upward momentum. Since that move, price has entered a consolidation phase, forming the flag portion of the pattern with declining volume and tighter price action. If BTC breaks out above the upper boundary of this flag, the measured move target projects a rally toward the $115,000 level. Reaching this target would represent a new all-time high for Bitcoin, signaling a continuation of the broader uptrend. 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), Downside Scenario Although the overall structure favors a bullish outcome, it is important to acknowledge the potential for a short-term retracement. On the 4-hour chart, there is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $105,700 and $106,800. If BTC fails to break out immediately, this zone becomes a logical area to monitor. Price may revisit this imbalance to fill the gap left behind by the recent upward move. A dip into this area could present a strong opportunity for long entries, particularly if buyers step in with conviction. Filling this FVG would allow for a more balanced structure before BTC attempts a sustained move higher. Conclusion BTC continues to show impressive resilience as it consolidates near its prior highs. The presence of a bull flag on the lower timeframes, coupled with minimal downside volatility, suggests that a breakout above resistance is becoming increasingly likely. However, reclaiming the previous all-time high remains a critical step before targeting the projected $115,000 level. How BTC reacts to that key resistance area will provide important insight into the strength of this rally. At this stage, the bullish case remains the higher probability scenario, while any short-term pullback into the FVG zone could offer a healthy reset and a potential long setup for continuation toward new highs. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Long
by Youriverse
4
USD/JPY – Short-term bullish structure within a larger downtrendThe USD/JPY pair has been in a well-established downtrend on the daily timeframe, showing consistent weakness over recent weeks. Daily timeframe The pair recently bounced from a significant and well-respected support zone around the $140.00 level. This area has historically provided a strong base for price, and once again, it appears to be holding as reliable support. Although the overall daily trend remains bearish, this bounce introduces the potential for a short-term retracement or consolidation phase. Clear Rising Trendline on the 4H Chart Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the price action shows a notable shift in momentum. A clear rising trendline has formed, acting as a dynamic support level and guiding the pair higher in the short term. As long as this trendline remains intact and unbroken, the bullish bias on the 4H remains valid. This upward move suggests a corrective phase within the broader daily downtrend, supported by increasing demand at higher lows. Approaching Key Resistance — FVG and 0.786 Fibonacci Level The pair is currently approaching a key resistance area near the $145.50 level. This zone aligns with the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) left by the previous strong downward move and coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, measured from the most recent swing high to swing low. A few days ago, price action briefly tested the lower boundary of this FVG but failed to fully fill the imbalance. Given the current momentum, another attempt to fill the entire FVG and test the 0.786 Fibonacci level is likely. This confluence of technical factors creates a strong resistance zone that could trigger significant price reactions, potentially resuming the broader downtrend. Target Levels — Where to Look for Reversal or Profit-Taking A sensible short-term target would be the previous lower high around the $144.00 level. This zone may serve as an initial resistance or take-profit area before price challenges the $145.50 resistance region. Additionally, if the pair breaks below the rising trendline on the 4H, this $144.00 zone could become a support level from which the pair might attempt another move higher. Conclusion To summarize, the USD/JPY pair remains in a broader daily downtrend but has shown signs of short-term strength after bouncing from the $140.00 support zone. On the 4-hour timeframe, bullish momentum is evident, supported by a rising trendline and upward movement toward a significant resistance area. Traders should closely watch the $145.50 zone, as it represents a confluence of the FVG and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement — both of which could act as a strong ceiling for price. Until the rising trendline breaks, the short-term outlook remains cautiously bullish, but the medium-term bias leans bearish if resistance holds and selling pressure resumes. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
25
EURUSD - Waiting for the Breakdown After 4H SweepEURUSD has just completed a sweep of the 4H highs, tagging liquidity resting above the consolidation range. That move looks like a classic inducement, with price now reacting lower and showing signs of weakness. This type of sweep, especially when it happens inside a range, often leads to a reversal back through the range, provided the internal low breaks cleanly. Right now, price is still hovering above that key point, but we can see signs of slowing momentum already. Liquidity Context and Sweep Logic This recent push above the highs fits well within ICT-style logic: a sweep of internal range liquidity that serves to fuel the opposite move. The chart shows a textbook example of a consolidation phase being manipulated to the upside first, where buy stops get triggered and liquidity is taken. The real move tends to unfold after that, once we get confirmation through structure breaks and displacement to the downside. Structure Break and Bearish Confirmation The internal low within the range is acting as a key trigger level. A clean break below that would serve as confirmation of a bearish market structure shift. That’s the point where the market goes from internal liquidity hunt to actual displacement. If that low gives way, the probability of continuation lower increases significantly, and that’s where I’ll be expecting price to seek the next pocket of liquidity. Support and Key Area of Interest There’s also a well-respected support level not too far below, one that price has bounced from several times. That area could either act as a temporary reaction zone or, if broken impulsively, could open the path toward deeper inefficiencies. Ideally, I want to see price break below both the internal low and this support area, then continue toward my next level of interest where I expect either a reaction or a higher probability setup to form. Conclusion For now, this setup is a waiting game. The liquidity has been swept on the upside, and now it’s all about whether the structure confirms to the downside. I’m not interested in chasing the first move. What I want to see is displacement below the internal low and support level, followed by continuation or a clean reaction from the next zone of interest. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
50
Did You Catch the Sweep & Shift on GBPAUD?Sometimes the market whispers its intentions before making a move — and this was one of those moments. This GBPAUD setup was built on the core principles of Candle Range Theory (CRT): Sweep of the Previous Day’s Low (PDL) Break of Structure (BOS) confirming a shift in momentum Entry retracement into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) What stood out here was the precision of the sweep and how price reacted cleanly after BOS, tapping into the FVG zone and immediately pushing toward the high-probability target. No indicators, no noise, just clean market structure and smart money behavior. The temptation to enter early was real, but the edge came from waiting for price to validate itself. A textbook example of how patience and plan adherence outweigh prediction .
Long
by Crusade1Jay
Bitcoin - Bulls in Control: Aiming For $110kBitcoin has just confirmed a strong bullish breakout after consolidating beneath a prior fair value gap. The market not only broke out of that zone cleanly but did so with conviction, creating a new inversion fair value gap (IFVG) along the way. This type of structure often indicates a shift in sentiment, especially when paired with increasing volume and impulsive candles. Fair Value Gap Break and Continuation Context Following the breakout, price surged straight through another 4H FVG overhead, flipping it with strength and no hesitation. That kind of move shows clear intent. The market didn't pause or stall at resistance, which increases the probability that the same pattern could play out again, clean break, shallow pullback, and continuation. The breakout level now holds as short-term support. Near-Term Expectations – FVG Fill Before Higher With this latest 4H candle close, I’m now expecting a short pullback to fill the newly created 4H FVG below. This would provide the market with the fuel it needs to continue higher without leaving inefficient price action behind. The structure is setting up a classic breakout-fill-continue sequence, and the next key objective sits just below a clear resistance zone overhead. Conclusion Bitcoin broke out of a compression zone, formed an IFVG, and followed up with a strong push through the next fair value gap. I’m expecting a controlled retracement to fill the new 4H imbalance, after which price could continue pushing toward the major resistance area. The momentum is clean and structured—until that changes, continuation remains the more likely path. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
53
Bitcoin is Super Bullish Right Now - Here is my BTC trade planSince Bitcoin is super bullish on monthly and weekly time frame, my focus is to trade trend continuation pull backs on the 4HR time frame. For this particular trade, I want to see a pull back to a key level of either imbalance or the old high serving as new support for price. I will be taking a bullish trend continuation setup on that 4HR pull back. Target: I expect to see Bitcoin break that all time high of 111k level and go as high as 150k per one.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Elijahenoch7
Bitcoin - Showing strength as it breaks key resistance levels!Bitcoin (BTC) recently demonstrated impressive strength by bouncing off a well-known confluence zone consisting of the golden pocket and a 4-hour fair value gap (FVG) around the $100,000 level. This technical area has historically acted as a reliable support and once again proved its significance, offering a solid foundation for the current rally. Following this bounce, BTC surged to $108,000, decisively breaking above the 4-hour FVG near $107,000. With this breakout, the previously resistant zone is now expected to flip into support, adding further confidence to the bullish outlook. This type of price action is often seen in strong uptrends, where key resistance levels are reclaimed and converted into support, providing a base for further upside. Importantly, BTC has also managed to push through the golden pocket resistance, a critical Fibonacci retracement area closely watched by traders. This breakout, in conjunction with the 4H FVG clearance, clears the path for a potential continuation toward Bitcoin’s all-time high. Momentum is clearly building. Buying pressure is strong, and retracements have been shallow, indicating a market dominated by demand. While this is a bullish sign, a brief pullback or bounce off the newly formed support (the 4H FVG zone) would be healthy. Such a move would allow BTC to consolidate and build strength before potentially pushing toward new highs. Overall, the technical landscape looks increasingly favorable for BTC. As long as it holds above the reclaimed support zones, the path to retesting, and possibly surpassing, the all-time high appears wide open. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Long
by Youriverse
17
EURUSD Interim Short Active, Looking for the LongInterim short active from our analysis posted last night, rejected off the lower end of the supply zone highlighted. Looking for the trade to trade down to a good Demand level to then take this trade up to the higher levels of the supply zone. Targeting the 1.1500 region. This will be all dependent on price action. If price moves to plan and 1.1500 is achieved we then can look for the original short position highlighted in last nights analysis.
Long
by SKA_CAPITAL
Bitcoin - Will the $100K Level Hold?Since reaching its all-time high (ATH) on May 22nd at an impressive $112,000, Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a corrective phase that has caught the attention of traders and analysts alike. After a strong and relentless move to the upside, such a phase is not uncommon in crypto markets, where rapid rallies are often followed by cooling-off periods. As of now, BTC is trading at around $101,000, marking a decline from its peak but still maintaining a significant portion of its recent gains. This retracement has not only been healthy in terms of price structure but also offers potential opportunities for those closely monitoring key technical levels. 4H FVG One important aspect of the move leading up to the ATH was the formation of a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG). These imbalances, left behind during aggressive moves in the market, are often revisited and filled as part of a broader effort by price to return to equilibrium. The current FVG spans from approximately $100,500 to $99,800. This range is especially noteworthy, as such gaps tend to act as magnets for price action, creating zones of potential support where buyers may step in to defend the structure. As BTC approaches this region, it's plausible to expect at least a temporary bounce, particularly if market sentiment remains constructive. Golden Pocket Fibonacci Adding further weight to this zone is the confluence of the Golden Pocket, the area between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels, derived from the latest upward leg. This specific Fibonacci region is widely regarded in technical analysis as a high-probability reversal zone, often attracting significant buying interest. Interestingly, the Golden Pocket aligns almost perfectly with the aforementioned FVG, both residing in the $100,500 to $99,800 range. The overlapping of these two technical indicators strengthens the case for this area to act as a firm support level, or at the very least, a point where the ongoing correction could take a breather. Conclusion Taken together, the alignment of the 4H FVG and the Golden Pocket around the $100,000 mark creates a technically compelling scenario. The psychological impact of a round number like $100,000 only adds to its potential as a battleground between buyers and sellers. If this zone holds, it could spark a notable bounce, either a temporary relief rally or potentially the beginning of a renewed leg to the upside, depending on broader market conditions. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Long
by Youriverse
27
Bitcoin - Reclaim or Reject? Key 4H FVG Levels in FocusAfter an extended move lower, Bitcoin has just swept the major 4H lows and immediately bounced back with strength. This aggressive reaction suggests the sweep was likely a liquidity grab rather than a continuation. Price is now trading back inside a large 4H fair value gap, which could serve as a short-term magnet while market participants reassess direction. Key Price Reaction and Fair Value Gap Context The current rebound into the 4H FVG is notable. This zone holds significance because it's the last inefficiency left unfilled before the final leg down. If buyers manage to push through and close above this imbalance, it would indicate a short-term reclaim and open the door to a bullish liquidity sweep higher. The clean highs just above are marked by the $$ label, which align with a key inducement zone and should attract price if bullish momentum sustains. Upside Scenario – Targeting the Liquidity Sweep If we do see a clean move and close above the fair value gap, I’ll be looking for price to extend toward the highs just above it. These highs are likely to be the next target for liquidity collection, especially if short-term traders begin chasing strength. However, I’m not expecting price to trade beyond that zone. There’s a protected high resting above, and unless a significant fundamental shift occurs, it’s unlikely we break that structure. Downside Risk – Failure to Hold Could Lead to 99K If the market fails to close above the FVG or quickly gets rejected on a wick into it, the bullish scenario becomes invalid. That would confirm the move back up was simply a retracement after the sweep, setting the stage for further downside continuation. In that case, I expect the market to break lower and move toward 99K, which remains my downside target under bearish conditions. Conclusion Bitcoin just swept key 4H lows and is now testing a large imbalance. A close above could trigger a run on the $$ liquidity, but I do not expect price to move beyond that due to the presence of protected highs. On the other hand, failure to break and hold above the FVG opens the door for a deeper flush toward 99K. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
by TehThomas
32
EUR/USD - After taking the highs, are the lows next?The EUR/USD currency pair is moving between two important price levels. The top level is 1.1454 and the bottom level is 1.1357. This means the price is staying inside a range. Yesterday, the price of EUR/USD went above the top level of 1.1454. By doing this, it triggered many stop-loss orders from traders who were expecting the price to go down. These traders had placed their stop-losses just above this level, and the market moved up to take them out. Current support of the 1H FVG Now, the price is starting to go down again. It is getting closer to the lower level of the range, which is around 1.1357. There is a chance that the market will go below this level as well. If that happens, it may take out the stop-loss orders of traders who are expecting the price to go up. These traders often place their stop-losses just below the low point of the range. When the market goes below the low, it collects liquidity. In simple words, it grabs the orders that are waiting there. Looking at the chart, we can see that EUR/USD has found some support at the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (1H FVG). This area is acting like a short-term floor for the price. If a full 1-hour candle closes below this support area, then the price will likely fall further. In that case, it may reach the bottom of the range and possibly move below it to take out more stop-losses. Why below support? But why would the market go below the low on purpose? The reason is that many retail traders, those are small traders who trade from home, often put their stop-losses just below the recent low. If the market moves there, it activates those stop-losses. These stop-losses are usually sell orders, and when they get triggered, it gives the market extra selling power. After collecting this liquidity, the market often uses the new buying interest (from other traders entering long positions) to push the price back up again. Conclusion So in summary, the EUR/USD is still inside a range. It has already moved above the top to take out stop-losses, and now it might go below the bottom to do the same. After that, there could be a strong move upward, powered by the new liquidity in the market. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
by Youriverse
19