NAS is about to go down - Kevin Hart voiceGood Morning Traders, so as you can see in my chart right now we are experiencing a bear market shift. Im expecting price currently to come in and fill that gap that it left when it shifted back to the downside. This 1 hour trade analysis also matches my Weekly analysis that ive been studying for this entire month where Nas is heading towards a bearish sentiment. Happy Presidents Day btw and shoutout to ICT Micheal himself.
Fvg
Bitcoin idea for long and shortHello everyone,
This is a continuation of the idea I posted yesterday which is linked as a related idea.
Yesterday I posted relevant FVG and NPOC levels to look at for now. It seems the FVG level was hit precisely, only for price to drop back to the channel which is now acting as support as was to be expected in case of a rejection at FVG level.
I have indicated two zones of interest I am looking at for possible longs or shorts at this point.
Whether or not I will decide to long or short is dependent upon whether or not support will hold, and I will wait for confirmation (retest).
At this point, I think support is more likely to break than to hold. But you never know. Just talking in probabilities.
If you get value from this idea, please leave a like.
Much success, and as always: just an idea - not financial advice.
Trade Idea for Feb 8 - AUDUSD & GBPCADAussie dollar has tap into H1 and has rejected aggressively and also creating another FVG which can be used as an entry going short. GBPCAD has rejected from a FVG and I'm looking to take an OTE going longs on the pair after yesterday's trendline liquidity was cleared.
BTC: relevant nPOC and FVG levels to look at for nowBTC is showing bullish momentum to the upside, right now.
Given that FVG and nPOC levels are relatively powerful predictors of price movements, I highlighted some relevant zones to look out for in current times.
The FVG levels are the thicker lines, the nPOC levels are the thin lines.
Regarding upside potential:
Relevant nPOC level to the upside is located around $46200. I find it especially relevant given the yet untouched FVG level located closely below it, at $45480.
I think both FVG as well as (n)POC levels are best interpreted as zones, so I take it as a 45500 - 46200 zone. I look at that zone as a place of relevance with regards to upside potential.
However, in order to get there, BTC would need to break some psychological support barriers (round numbers) which should be taken into account.
Regarding downside potential:
A relevant nPOC is located at 37950. This is located closely to an FVG level (which has been touched multiple times). So regarding downside potential I would look at 38000 - 37900 first.
However, in order to get there, BTC would need to break some psychological support barriers (round numbers) which should be taken into account.
I have also highlighted a horizontal channel (the dashed lines) which we could spend some time consolidating in before either breaking out to the up- or downside.
As always, just an idea and not financial advice.
EDUCATIONAL POST (FVG - Fair Value Gap)EDUCATIONAL POST: (FVG - Fair value Gap) 📊📈
Let's take some time to explain a trading term I often use in my TA. 🤓
FVG - or Fair Value Gap (= inefficiency, void...)
👉 What they mean by that is an area of the chart where the price moved past in just 1 single candle, meaning the candle before + after haven't touched this area.
👉 This is how such a gap is formed.
👉 This gap frequently works as a magnet for the future price, indicating a CONTINUATION (bullish —> bounce, bearish —> drop)
NOTE: this is the strongest on the first touch it does, after that it's power deminishes and price often moves back through it.
EXAMPLE: (bullish) price moves up fast and creates a FVG. This area will act as a bounce area for when the price drops back down to this, before continuing higher. I've added a theoretical + $BTC example. (scroll back to see it on the chart)
Hope you learned something. 👌
Oli 🤙
Risky S&P500 long on nowDon't try this at home! LMAO! This only fits some of my criteria (it's against a higher tf trend). With it being late in the day this is a very low-quality setup but going to throw it on the demo account and see what happens. learning experience here.
GOLD Possible LONG ScenarioGold continues to create new Highs.
It's possible for it to continue even higher without a deeper confirmation that we were waiting from the previous analysis.
I will be looking for a buy from a daily Order Block/Demand zones. Market structure is important.
We need multiple confirmations and a shift in the structure before entering.
The perfect scenario would be a creation of liquidity and clearance of it tapping into an OB with a Wyckoff spring.
DISCIPLINE
Strive for patience, perseverance, determination, & rational action.
Limit your losses, use stops.
Never cancel a stop loss order after you have placed it!
It's just an idea of mine.
However, everyone can share their thoughts in the comment section below.
Also, don't forget to support me! :)
Disclaimer: Trade at your own risk. I'm sharing my ideas and not giving trading advice.
Always plan your trade and trade your plan.
CHFJPY - Multitimeframe AnalysisCJ is looking good for shorts. We have multiple confluences for it as explained in the video.
Summary:
Monthly Timeframe:
- Price has just run up higher filled in a Fair Value Gap perfectly. It seems to be reversing from here.
Weekly Timeframe:
- We have an unmitigated Orderblock. Since this orderblock was a "Sell to Buy", means that the selling positions from Smart Money are currently in extreme minus positions, and they will want to reprice lower to mitigate out of their minus positions.
Daily Timeframe:
- We are creating SMT Divergence with its correlated pair - EURJPY. This means that CHFJPY went higher to run out the buy stops and made higher highs, will EJ is creating lower highs. CJ will most likely distribute to then run lower.
- Price has just reacted off a Daily Bearish Breaker Block, which should push price lower.
- Huge Imbalance FVG Gap. Price will come back to fill it as fast as possible.
- Massive Consolidation. Below these consolidations, there are lots of sell stops that will get taken out.
H2 Timeframe:
- Potential Sell POI. Valid Orderblock + Breaker that also caused the last low to get broken to the downside (Break in Market Structure - BMS).
- We have a Bearish Trendline that has three beautiful touches. Everyone that already is in Shorts from the trendline will get liquidated at the next mitigation of the Trendline up into the OB + Breaker and sell off further from there.
XAUUSD Long Opportunity+OB in H1 H2 can try to spot trade opportunity with IME if seeing rejection and confirmation.
Target 1850, 1867, or even higher like 1900 where Smart Money wants to reprice to close the daily, weekly, monthly and yearly candle at once.
Please leave your comment down below, trader helps trader, I am new learner and practicing as Smart Money retail trader. Happy Trading and wishing you all Happy New Year 2022 guys!
GBPUSD Long Opportunity+OB from 15min chart, not sure how far can it holds.
down there still possible to get another entry of QML if this trade are meant to be SL triggered.
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EURCAD Long Opportunity with 20R Setup+OB with FVG lying and liquidities lying above
RRR at least 1:20
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GBPJPY long opportunityTP123 not written here. Just analysis, not signal anyway.
Any similar minded kindly shares your comment down below.
New learner to SMC.
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