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USDJPY / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE AND FVG / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Action , Prices are currently trading below the supply zone between 148.623 and 149.360 , The next target seems to be the demand zone (A) between 147.164 and 146.062. Potential Outcomes , If prices reach the demand zone (A) and hold above it, a bullish reversal may occur, potentially pushing prices back toward the supply zone ,If prices break below demand zone (A), they may drop to the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone (B) between 145.321 and 144.268. Further Movements , If prices stabilize below zone (B), the next targets would be zone (C) around 142.817 and further down to 141.801 , Conversely, if prices stabilize above demand zone (A), it indicates potential upward momentum, aiming back toward supply zone 148.623 to 149.360. Supply Zone : 148.623 and 149.360. Demand Zone : 147.164 and 146.062 , 142.817 and 141.801. FVG :145.321 and 144.268.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT CHANNEL / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS You’re observing a bearish trend, meaning prices are moving downward or are under selling pressure. This could be due to various factors such as a correction after an uptrend, external market conditions, or the asset hitting resistance zones. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a price range that was quickly passed through during a previous move, creating an imbalance in market orders (usually between aggressive buyers and sellers). These gaps often act as key levels of interest where prices may retrace. FVG Resistance Zone: You have identified an FVG between $2,621 and $2,637. As long as the price stays below this range, it indicates bearish sentiment and the likelihood of further decline ,This gap can act as a resistance zone, meaning price is struggling to rise above it due to strong selling pressure in that range. If the price fails to break above the FVG resistance zone, you expect it to continue declining, with targets at: Demand Zone $2,604 to $2,595: This is an area where buyers previously stepped in, causing prices to rise. It acts as support and a potential reversal point. If the price reaches these levels, you expect some buying interest to potentially stabilize or reverse the trend. However, if the price breaks below the $2,595 support level, it could signal a deeper bearish move. If the price manages to break above the FVG (i.e., trades above $2,637), this would suggest a potential bullish reversal or upward momentum, leading to the next key levels: Supply Zone $2,645 to $2,652, This is where sellers previously overwhelmed buyers, and price dropped. Reaching this zone could lead to consolidation or resistance unless there is enough buying power to push through. Uptrend Confirmation , To confirm a more sustained uptrend, the price needs to break above the $2,652 level. A successful breakout here could lead to a move toward the next target of $2,664.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
BITCOIN / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE / 1HBITCOIN / 1H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Overall Bullish Pressure , The market is expected to generally favor upward movement. Key Resistance Level - 62,413 , If Bitcoin remains below this level, it indicates potential bearish momentum, pushing the price toward a demand zone between 61,251 and 60,717. A break below this zone could signal further declines. KeySupportLevel62,413 , Conversely, if Bitcoin trades above 62,413, bullish momentum is expected, with the price potentially rising to an FVG (Fair Value Gap) area between 63,077 and 63,557. Further Upside , A break above the FVG area could see the price rising into the supply zone between 63,889 and 64,165, where selling pressure may increase. Supply Zone : 63,889 and 64,165. Demand Zone : 61,251 and 60,717. FVG : 63,077 and 63,557.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 1HNAS100USD / 1H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Price Range Observation , The asset is currently moving within a tight range between 19.908 and 19.651. This range suggests a short-term consolidation or indecision in the market, where neither buyers nor sellers are dominant. Tight trading ranges often precede a breakout, either upwards or downwards, depending on key factors like volume, momentum, and news. Attempt to Enter the Fair Value Gap (FVG) ,The price is attempting to move into the Fair Value Gap (FVG), a region between 19.910 and 20.078. This area represents an imbalance created by previous fast price action, typically due to market inefficiencies, and traders often look for price to revisit these gaps to either confirm a reversal or fill the gap. As long as the price trades below 19.998 within this FVG, there’s a tendency to decline. This indicates that 19.998 acts as an important resistance. Traders may look for short positions if the price remains below this level, anticipating a potential drop. Potential Decline to Demand Zone , If the price remains under the key resistance level of 19.998, the analysis suggests a downward move toward the demand zone between 19.743 and 19.701 , This demand zone is likely an area where buyers previously showed strength, and there’s a chance that it could serve as a support level again. If buyers step in here, the price may stabilize or rebound. Bullish Breakout Scenario . If the price breaks above 19.998 and closes a 4-hour candle above this level, it indicates the possibility of a bullish breakout. The break above resistance signifies a potential shift in momentum. The next target would be the supply zone between 20.078 and 20.155, which is where sellers may start to exert pressure. Traders might expect profit-taking or a reversal in this area. Overall Sentiment , Downward Pressure: The overall sentiment remains bearish, and the market is facing downward pressure unless the price successfully breaks above key resistance levels. Caution for Bullish Traders , Bullish traders need to wait for clear confirmation of a breakout above 19.998 before entering long positions to avoid false signals. Supply Zone : 20,078 and 20,155 Demand Zone : 19,743 and 19,701 FVG : 19,910 , 20,078
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
3
XAUUSD / TRADING ACCUMULATION ZONE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Zone A (2,659$ - 2,653$) , The price is currently attempting to stabilize within this range. If stabilization occurs, it suggests a potential breakout to reach the demand zone (2,631$ - 2,623$). Demand Zone (2,631$ - 2,623$) , If the price breaks below Zone A, this demand zone is the next target , A breakout from this zone could lead to a rise towards Zone B. Zone B (2,664$ - 2,672$) , If the price breaks into Zone B, remaining stable suggests a potential decline back to Zone A and possibly lower to the demand zone , However, if the price breaks above Zone B, it may aim for Zone C. Zone C (2,681$ - 2,685$) , A breakout above Zone C could lead to further increases, but stabilization here may result in a decline back to Zone B or lower to Zone A. Historical Zone (2,700$ - 2,710$) , Breaking the key resistance levels could indicate a move towards this new historical range, suggesting bullish sentiment. Supply Zone : 2,659$ - 2,653$ , 2,664$ - 2,672$ , 2,681$ - 2,685$. Demand Zone : 2,631$ - 2,623$.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
EURUSD Sell SetupTime Frame: - Daily: (FVG Identification) - 4-hour: (FVG Identifiication) 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Change of Character (CoC) by the break of the previous support at 1.1000, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bearish trend. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On both the daily chart and H4, I’ve noted a confluent Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.1087 and 1.1097. This gap could serve as a potential reversal zone if the price retraces to this area. 3. Entry Signal Waiting for any reversal candle pattern on the 4-hour chart, if the price touches the identified FVG zone. 4. Trade Execution Entry Price: Wait for confirmation SL: 1.1115 (below above Daily FVG) TP1: 1.0950 (previous low) TP2: 1.0795 (1.618 Fibonacci) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:11 Monitoring: Check-in daily at 8 AM & 8 PM 5. Outcome: Exit Price: Profit/Loss: pips ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Short
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
XAUUSD / UNDER TENSTION IN THE MIDDLE EAST / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The text refers to the NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) news, which typically has a strong influence on the financial markets. In this case, it states that after the NFP announcement, gold prices declined by 0.45%. This indicates that the market reacted to the news with a short-term bearish movement, likely due to positive employment data leading to expectations of tighter monetary policy. Current Price , Gold is currently trading above an FVG (Fair Value Gap) area, specifically around $2,648 to $2,644. An FVG is a technical term often used to indicate areas where the price may have gaps or imbalances from previous trading activity, often suggesting potential price support or resistance. As long as the price remains above the FVG, the text suggests a bullish continuation, with gold possibly increasing towards a supply zone between $2,664 and $2,670. If gold breaks above this supply zone, the text predicts that it could reach ATH (All-Time High) levels at $2,685. On the other hand, if gold breaks below the FVG area, with confirmation from a 4-hour candle close, the text predicts a decline towards a demand zone between $2,631 and $2,623. This would indicate a shift in sentiment to a more bearish outlook in the short term. The overall sentiment is bullish as long as prices stay above the demand zone and within the mentioned price ranges. The range of $2,685 to $2,623 is key to monitor, with any move beyond these levels signaling potential continuation or reversal of the current trend. Supply Zone: 2,664$ and 2,670$. Demand Zone: 2,631$ and 2,623$. FVG: 2,648$ and 2,644$.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
OIL Buy SetupOIL Buy Time Frame: - Daily: (FVG Identification) - 4-hour: (FVG Identifiication) - 1-Hour: Waiting for Confirmation --- 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Change of Character (CoC) in OIL by the break of the previous high at 72.40, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the daily chart & H4, noted Fair Value Gap between 72.50-73.15. This gap is a potential reversal zone if the price rebounds. 3. Entry Signal Waiting for any reversal candle pattern on the 1-hour chart, if price touches the identified FVG zone. 4. Trade Execution Entry Price: Wait for confirmation SL: 72.10 (below H4 FVG) TP1: 77.50 (previous high) TP2: 79.00 (1.618 Fibonacci) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:5 Monitoring: Check-in daily at 8 AM & 8 PM 5. Outcome: Exit Price: Profit/Loss: pips ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
OIL Buy SetupTrade Setup OIL Buy Time Frame: - Daily: (FVG Identification) - 4-hour: (FVG Identifiication) -1-Hour: Waiting for Confirmation --- 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Change of Character (CoC) in OIL by the break of the previous high at 72.40, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the daily chart & H4, noted Fair Value Gap between 72.50-73.15. This gap is a potential reversal zone if the price rebounds. 3. Entry Signal Waiting for any reversal candle pattern on the 1-hour chart, if price touches the identified FVG zone. 4. Trade Execution Entry Price: Wait for confirmation SL: 72.20 (below H4 FVG) TP1: 77.50 (previous high) TP2: 79.00 (1.618 Fibonacci) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:5.3 - 1:7.5 Monitoring: Check-in daily at 8 AM & 8 PM 5. Outcome: Exit Price: Profit/Loss: pips ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
USDJPY / BY BREAKING SUPPLY ZONE / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The price has broken out above 147.218, and there is currently bullish pressure , The price is attempting to reach a supply zone between 148.626 and 149.340. For the uptrend to be confirmed, the price must break above this supply zone. If successful, the price could then aim for the next target at 150.790 (the supply line). If the price fails to hold above 147.218 during a retest, this could signal a decline , Breaking below 147.218 might lead to a drop towards favorable value gaps (FVG) at 145.363 and 144.332. Supply zone : 148.626 and 149.340. Demand zone : 142.546 and 141.687. FVG : 145.363 and 144.332.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD / UNDER NFP PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS After a 1.16% increase in gold prices yesterday, today’s trading shows bearish pressure. The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) news is anticipated to cause significant price movement in the gold market. If prices remain below the $2,664 to $2,670 range, it suggests a potential decline toward the demand zone between $2,644 and $2,637. Conversely, if the demand zone is broken and prices stabilize above it, the next target would be the supply zone at $2,681 to $2,686. Overall Trend , Despite the short-term bearish pressure, the general trend for gold remains upward. Supply Zone: 2,681$ and 2,686$. Demand Zone : 2,644$ and 2,637$.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
EURUSD / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The price is currently trading above a demand zone (an area where buying interest is expected to increase) between 1.102 and 1.100. It suggests that as long as the price remains above this zone, there may be a retest (a drop to the 1.100 level) before the price starts to rise again. The next likely target is an FVG (Fair Value Gap, which refers to a price inefficiency) between 1.108 and 1.109. Beyond that, there’s another FVG around 1.111 and 1.113. On the other hand, if the price breaks below the demand zone (1.100) and closes a 4-hour candle beneath it, this indicates further downside movement. The next downside target would be the FVG between 1.097 and 1.094. Supply Zone : 1.120 and 1.121. Demand Zone : 1.102 and 1.100. FVG : 1.108 and 1.109 , 1.111 and 1.113.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
USOIL / BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL / 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The asset has broken out of a channel and is experiencing bullish pressure. This suggests that the asset’s price is moving upwards after a period of consolidation. The asset is trading above a supply zone around 74.37 to 73.69. A retest of this zone may occur before prices begin to rise again, targeting a higher supply zone between 76.85 and 77.60. If the price breaks 73.59, it indicates a potential move to a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 73.07 and 72.15 , his is a zone where price inefficiencies may exist. If prices stabilize below the FVG zone, it could lead to further declines towards a demand zone between 73.07 and 72.12. This suggests a potential bearish reversal. Supply Zone : 76.85 and 77.60. Demand Zone : 73.07 and 72.12. FVG : 73.07 and 72.15.
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
USDJPY / UNDER BULLISH PRESSUE / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS after breakout from a channel, leading to a price increase of 1.82%. The breakout signals potential for further upward movement. The price is expected to retest a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is a technical term in trading that represents an area on the chart where price moved quickly, leaving little to no volume. The specified FVG zone is between 145.303 and 144.367. A retest of this area could indicate the market finding support here. If the price remains above this FVG area and stabilizes, there is an expectation of further increases, potentially reaching the supply zone between 147.602 and 149.360. This suggests that the supply zone is where there could be selling pressure. A break above the supply zone would indicate even more upside potential for prices. On the downside, if the price closes a 4-hour candle below the FVG area, the expectation is for prices to decline. This could lead the price to a demand zone between 142.672 and 141.736, suggesting buying interest might come in at this level. Supply Zone : 147.602 and 149.360. Demand Zone : 142.672 and 141.736. FVG : 145.303 and 144.367.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 01/10/2024The Judas Swing strategy is straightforward and can be incorporated into any trader's toolkit. It is a well-tested approach that has shown effectiveness when its guidelines are adhered to. The strategy offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, risking 1% to potentially achieve a 2% return. In this post we intend to walk you through a recent trade we took on EURUSD using this strategy. We arrived at our trading desk at 08:25 EST, where we began by demarcating the zones for the trading period. This involves drawing vertical lines on the 00:00 and 08:30 EST candles. Following this, we mark the highs and lows within these zones, as they will serve as the liquidity pools for our trading session. The subsequent step on the checklist is to observe whether the high or the low of this trading zone is breached, as it will guide our bias for the trading session. Five minutes later, the low of the zone was breached, indicating that we should be on the lookout for potential buying opportunities during this session. Even with a bias for the session, we don't execute the trade blindly. The next step on our checklist is to wait for a break of structure to the buy side. This break of structure must leave a Fair Value Gap (FVG) behind. Once the structure is broken and the fair value gap (FVG) conditions are met, the next step is to wait for the price to retrace back into the FVG. A trade should only be entered after the candle that moves into the FVG has closed. After 10 minutes, price retraced and closed within the Fair Value Gap, fulfilling all the conditions on our entry checklist, allowing us to execute our trade. For stop placement, we use the lowest point of the price leg that broke the structure, provided it satisfies specific conditions. The minimum stop loss applied is 10 pips because a tight stop loss is not desirable, as it doesn't allow the trade sufficient room. In this instance, using the low would have resulted in a 4 pips stop; therefore, we extended it to a 10 pips stop loss with a 20 pips take profit and executed the trade. It's important to note that we risked only 1% of our trading account, an amount we're comfortable with losing, thereby eliminating any emotional attachment to this trade. Consequently, we are at peace with the outcome of this trade, be it a win or a loss. The result of this trade was a loss, which we accepted because we understand that the win rate for this strategy on EURUSD is around 50%, indicating that losses are inevitable with this strategy. However, as our winning trades typically outweigh our losses over time, this strategy should yield positive returns, making it unnecessary to focus on a single loss. Moreover, this post serves as a tutorial on how to trade using the Judas swing strategy and emphasizes that incurring losses is a normal aspect of trading.
by CleoFinance
EURUSD / TRADING UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The prices are currently trending lower, indicating a bearish market sentiment. The next move depends on whether the prices break below or hold certain levels. Zone between 1.112 and 1.110 , This is identified as a key demand zone, meaning buyers may step in here to prevent further decline. If prices hold in this zone, there’s potential for a reversal upward. If the price closes below this range based on a 4-hour candle , it suggests continued bearish momentum. If prices fall below the demand zone, the next target would be between 1.107 and 1.104. This area is likely seen as a FVG , where the price may stabilize or find new demand. Stabilizing above 1.112 indicates bullish strength and suggests potential upward movement ,The next resistance levels are 1.117 and, if broken, the price could further rise to 1.122. Supply Zone : 1.117 and 1.125. Demand Zone : 1.112 and 1.110. FVG : 1.107 and 1.104.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / TRADING INSIDE FVG AREA - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS FVG Area (19,880 - 20,098) , The price is attempting to reach a Fair Value Gap (FVG) area. This suggests that the market is looking for equilibrium within this range. The mention of trading and stabilizing in this range implies that consolidation is happening, and a decision on future direction may follow. Possible Decline to Demand Zone (19,540 - 19,367) , If the price doesn't sustain upward movement within the FVG and begins to weaken, it suggests a potential decline toward the demand zone. Demand zones are areas where buying interest is strong, potentially providing support for the price. Breaking FVG Area Could Lead to Rise (20,328) , If the price breaks above the FVG area, it is expected to rise, with the next target being the supply line around 20,328. Breaking this level could signal an uptrend. Uptrend Confirmation (20,654 - 20,785) , For a confirmed uptrend, the price would need to break through this supply zone. Supply zones often represent resistance areas where selling pressure could halt upward momentum. Supply Zone : 20,654 and 20,785. Demand Zone : 19,540 and 19,367. FVG : 19,880 and 20,098.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
1
XAUUSD / SENSETIVE AREA TRADING - 4HXAUUSD / 4HTIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Yesterday: Gold prices declined by 1.70%. Today: Prices began to recover, rising by 0.95%.Analysts expect a further increase in prices, potentially reaching gains of 1.50% Gold is currently trading below a supply zone between $2,655 and $2,665. This zone represents a key resistance level, where sellers may dominate and prevent further price If gold continues to trade below the $2,655–$2,665 supply zone, it could decline further, with support levels at $2,637 and $2,614. If the price breaks above the supply zone, it may rise towards $2,686, a potential resistance level. Despite the recent dip, the market is under bullish pressure, indicating that buyers are still in control and could push prices higher in the near future. Supply Zone : 2,655 and 2,665$. Demand Zone : 2,637$ and 2,614$.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArinaKarayi
1
USOIL / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Recent Decline , Prices began to drop at the end of September by 7.12%. This indicates a noticeable downtrend, which could be driven by various market factors. Support Level at 67.22 , Currently, prices are trading slightly above this key support level. If the price breaks below 67.22, it may trigger a further decline of 9.80%. Potential for Rebound , If the support level holds, a potential rise could occur. Two potential rise targets are a 3.48% increase and a 6.27% increase, depending on how strong the support level is and whether positive momentum returns. Technical Analysis: Current Support Level , The price of USOIL is currently above 67.22. This level serves as a critical support point; if prices remain above this, it suggests bullish sentiment. Target Range (FVG) , If prices hold above 67.22, the analysis predicts an upward movement toward a Fair Value Gap (FVG) area between 68.73 and 69.48. This implies potential buying interest or liquidity in that range. Further Resistance , If the price breaks through the FVG area, it could rise further to reach a resistance level at 71.74. This indicates a bullish outlook if the upward momentum continues. Conversely, if the price drops below 67.22, it suggests a bearish trend, potentially declining to 65.24. This indicates a shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish.
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
EURCAD SHORT EURCAD Set-Up Bearish Arguments: Monthly PCH is being respected Monthly Bearish FVG being respected Monthly swing high has been swept Weekly swing high is being respected Daily Bearish FVG is being respected Daily swing high is being respected 4H swing high is being respected Bullish Arguments: Weekly swing low is being disrespected Daily swing low being respected so far 4H Bullish FVG being respected 4H swing high being respected As observed, the bearish probability is around 70%, while bullish odds stand at 30%. For this reason, risk management is crucial. Trade Management: Stop-loss placed at the short-term high. First TP set at SellStop. Once this level is reached, move the SL to break-even (BE) and hold until the final target is reached. Risk-to-Reward (RR): 2.45 Risk: 2%
Short
by Jaytradermb
Analysis: BBNI Sell OpportunityMarket Context: - Price is within a bearish Discounted Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG). - Price broke Daily Trend Line. Entry: 5450 Stop-Loss (SL): 5850 and trailing Target Price (TP)2: 4300 (last swing low) Target Price (TP)2: 3100 (1.618 Fibonacci extension & Weekly Bullish FVG) Monitoring: Track the price daily and adjust based on new market information. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
IDX:BBNIShort
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade