BITCOIN Is Bullish! Heading To the Highs!After breaking the ATH (All Time High) in March, BTC has formed the a huge Bear Flag, incrementally retracing to a Weekly bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap). The +FVG has proved to be resilient, holding price from going lower... and now price is rallying from said +FVG.
Friday, price formed another +FVG on the Daily TF. This is the bullish indicator I look for to get a sense of the order flow. Should price pullback into the Daily +FVG, it will use it to move higher toward the ATH.
ICT has taught that price will move towards the "smooth edges" when seeking liquidity. Look at the path to the ATH. It is a series of highs that at relatively close together. Compare that to the lows. Price had a hugh heat seeking liquidation wick to sweep the sell side liquidity before moving higher.
The liquidity pools are above now.
Price moves from IRL->ERL->IRL. This is how a trend works. HH->HL->HH.
Price is now moving from Internal Liquidity (FVGs) to External Liquidity (HIghs/Lows). This is how the market moves. It's all about the liquidity.
Fvg
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 21/08/2024Last week, the Judas Swing strategy produced just two trades, both on EURUSD. It served as an excellent lesson in risk management; despite having one win and one loss, we concluded the week with a profit, securing a 1% gain. Even during a slow week, we concluded on a positive note, and it's these small victories that sustain a trader's enthusiasm for the new opportunities each week brings. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
We now wait for the high or low of the trading zone to be swept, which would guide our bias for the session. After 1 hour and 35 minutes, the low of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for buying opportunities during this trading session
After 35 minutes, there was a break of structure (BOS) to the buy side, leaving behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG). Now, all that remains is to patiently wait for price to retrace into the FVG, presenting us with a trading opportunity
The subsequent candle formed a bearish marubozu, closing the gap left from the previous upward move. We executed our trade after the candle's closure, as it met all the criteria on our checklist
After executing our trade, we experienced minimal drawdown as the position quickly turned profitable. These are the types of trades we all hope for, aren't they?
All we need to do is wait for our Take Profit (TP) to be reached, right? Let's observe the outcome. Price got close to our TP and then began retracing. This is the moment when traders who have not thoroughly backtested their strategies might panic and close their trades prematurely. Some may consider moving their stop loss to break even; however, our backtesting data shows that this approach does not benefit us in the long run, as price may hit the break even point and then proceed in our anticipated direction. Therefore, in such situations, we should not panic; instead, we patiently wait for either our TP or Stop Loss (SL) to be triggered.
Price returned to our entry point, and at this juncture, traders who risked more than they could afford are likely experiencing an emotional roller coaster. However, we remained undisturbed since we only risked 1% on this trade with the aim of achieving a 2% return
After 3 hours and 30 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on AUDUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.This trade served as an excellent illustration of the importance of patience and adherence to your trading plan. We hope you have gained some insights from this.
AUDUSD Long IdeasThe reason I chose to buy the AUD/USD currency pair is as follows:
The RBA has kept interest rates on hold for a longer period due to inflation remaining stable and experiencing only a slight increase, which is favorable for the Australian economy.
Meanwhile, the economic outlook for China is potentially improving, as interest rate cuts will continue if China’s economic data is found to be unsatisfactory.
On the other hand, the Federal Reserve is getting closer to an interest rate cut in September.
For market participants, this is a dovish signal for the USD.
ARBUSDT ( TRADING BELLOW TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )ARBUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
The current price is trading below turning level at 0.59. Consolidation and holding below this level would provide strong support for a price decline towards the support level (1) of 0.51. However, if the price breaking and a four-hour candle closes above this level, it may lead to a rising towards resistance level (1) .
Downward Zone: As long as the price stays below the turning level at 0.59 , ARBUSDT is likely to dropping towards support level (1) at 0.51 . If a 4-hour candle closes below this level , it could push further to 0.42 , then 0.42 .
Upward Zone: by breaking turning level around 0.59 , it suggests a increase towards resistance level (1) at 0.67 , confirming a upward trend. If the price stabilizes or stays above this level, there is a strong likelihood of reaching the resistance level (2) around 0.73 or possibly even rising .
CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at
0.59 before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.67 , 0.73 , 0.82 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.51 , 0.47 , 0.42 .
Turning level at 0.59 , Time Frame ( 4H ) .
USOIL 78.31 -1.59 % AHEAD OF THE CRUDE INVENTORIES HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at USOIL from MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
🎯 CRUDE OIL INVENTORIES TOMORROW
- 7th Aug release was more than expected which meant weaker demand and was bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if tomorrow a decline in inventories is less than expected.
USOIL 4H TF
* Friday & monday where strongly bullish but tues came with change in delivery as we see strong bearish move.
* The weekly & daily TF are still range bound .
* USOIL took External range LQ & price will delive from the -FVG above.
* We are trading in premium of the move, This is where I would be looking for short entries.
* With PO3 looking to open bullish (fri & monday) to confirm a move Lower into +FVG on USOIL.
USOIL 1H TF
* Looking for the hourly to open Bullish into the 4h FVG because our HTF BIAS (PO3) .
* We will see what does the market dish.
* On the 4 hourly IRL > ERL.
- LOWER TF
* ANALYSED IN REAL TIME
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 12/08/2024We ended last week on a positive note, with four trades taken and three big wins on #EURUSD, #GBPUSD and #NZDUSD. This success has heightened our anticipation for the opportunities this week may present. We began our trading day at 8:25 EST by marking the zones for the Judas Swing strategy. This is a fundamental part of the checklist and cannot be skipped.
After an hour and 5 minutes, there was a sweep of liquidity at the high of the zone, indicating we will be looking for potential selling opportunities this trading session. Following the liquidity sweep, there was a break of structure (BOS). Now, we simply need to wait for price to retrace into the fair value gap (FVG) that was created before entering a sell position.
Although we had a bias for the trading session, we do not rush into every selling opportunity. Instead, we wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. The price leg that establishes this BOS should leave behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and price must retrace into this FVG before we consider executing a trade using this strategy.
After 30 minutes a bullish candle filled the FVG, indicating that upon its close, we could execute our trade as all the prerequisites for entry on our checklist were satisfied.
Our position was profitable for approximately 15 minutes before plunging us into a drawdown. During this drawdown period, we remained composed because we had a solid risk management strategy and only risked what we could afford to lose. We allocated just 1% of our trading account to this trade, targeting a 2% return.
After 30 minutes into the trade, our stop loss was triggered, resulting in a 1% loss of our trading account. It's important to note that incurring losses is a normal part of trading. This particular strategy has a win rate of approximately 50%. However, with a positive risk-reward ratio of 1:2, adhering to this strategy can lead to consistent profitability in the long run.
US100 18.992.0 +2.52% MID-WEEK MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at NAS 100 & S&P500 from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
NAS100 DAILY TF
* We started the week on some BULLISH runs into a bearish BB.
* Entering the premium zone looking for rejection of this -BB.
* NAS100 currently taking LQ, looking for that internal range LQ to be taken(+OB).
* We are entering discount price looking for a bullish continuation long term on Nasdaq but intraday some shorts could be profitable.
* With PO3 looking for THURSDAY TO REVERSE for th week.
NAS 100 4H TF
* The week to opened Bullish into the 4h FVG + OB because our HTF BIAS (PO3) on D & W looking for possible reversals before we continue higher.
* looking for short positions OPPORTUNITIES.
* We will see what does the market dish.
* On the 4 hourly ERL > IRL.
S&P500 4H TF
* sentiment stays the same we still bullish, running into higher tf pd arrays.
US100 1H TF
* STRONG rally with the bulls, strong momentum to the upside.
* The is a 1H FVG, this is where i would look for short entries this week.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be short for the NASDAQ
* BASED on the price action served this week. But we might just reverse some where might as well be in these FVG prices
S&P 500 1H TF
* sentiment stays the same we still bullish, running into higher tf pd arrays
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Bitcoin - The dump before the massive pump !!!By now a lot of traders and investors are very nervous about Bitcoin's next move, and justifiably, I don't think many people saw this particular setup coming, although it is normal for Bitcoin to have such volatility.
However, In the above chart, we see a particular situation which could present itself with various moves and targets. This is combined with a possible Black Swan event (meaning large scale military conflict) or even significant loss of confidence in the petro dollar, due to external influence such as BRICS and the mere fact that the USA is printing more $$$ into their way into oblivion and hyper-inflation. Why does it matter if the USD takes a hit? Unfortunately at this current point in time, Bitcoin seems to be +80% correlated with the S&P500.
Thus, we are at a critical point in the market where, based on previous price action (chart history) and some issues that have affected and/or will affect the market, we now have 5x Potential targets as follows:
Target #1 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $57,736.05 to $59,535.00
Target #2 = Daily Gap: Range between $45,288.65 to $46,800.00
Target #3 = Daily Gap: Range between $44,396.50 to $45,242.12
Target #4 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $43,399.98 to $44,331.10
Target #5 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $40,300.24 to 41,394.34
Target #1 is where the current price is centered inside a DAILY FVG + OB. This would be the optimal reversal point, however going by my Level count, we are still in Level 2 which means an inevitable drop again to a lower price point, either within the Lower FVG+OB range between $52,088.00 to $54,476.47 or to one of the lower targets #2 through to 5. My guess is there will be another dump, either due to some financial issue or possible military action in the Middle East or Ukraine. I labelled this as Possibility #1 in the chart above.
Target #2 is where price action could come down to one of the Daily Gaps and then reverse. I see this as a low probability move, especially due to the fact that Bitcoin has an irritating habit of retracing back to 98% of it's previous high.
Target #3, again, could come down to one of the Daily Gaps and then reverse.
Target #4, is a high probability reversal point where due to the Daily FVG + OB being where most of the liquidity would be held, seems the most logical target before a solid reversal. I have labelled this as Possibility #2.
Target #5, is a high probability reversal point due to the Daily FVG+OB as well as it being at the 98% retracement point that Bitcoin seems to so often follow. I have labelled this as Possibility #3.
Therefore at this point in time, due to the many issues currently under the microscope together with potential conflict escalation in the Middle East and/or Ukraine, and the level count showing a level 2, I see it highly probable that the current boxed reversal zone will be invalidated and we will achieve a much lower reversal point more than likely between Possibility #2 and Possibility #3.
Note that I am still very bullish on this, even though the DAILY EMA shows BEARISH trend, it is only temporary as the WEEKLY EMA is still very much BULLISH !
I shall update when price action reveals more useful information.
BEAM scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 6Another setup from the livestream is coming into play. Shorting some BEAM here at the retest of this range. Looking for the imbalances to be filled on the downside. Maybe even going under MDay-Mid but let's see. Important news later on so keep that in mind.
Analysis of the Chart:
Retest of the Range:
The chart shows BEAMUSDT retesting a previously established range. This level acts as a potential resistance where the price might reverse.
Break of Structure (BOS):
Several Breaks of Structure (BOS) indicate where the market sentiment has shifted. These points are crucial in identifying the potential continuation or reversal of the trend.
Imbalances and Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
The price has created imbalances or Fair Value Gaps (FVG) on the way up. These gaps represent areas where the price moved quickly without much trading, often revisited by the price to achieve equilibrium.
EURUSD ( INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL) ( 4H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under up ward pressure , until trade above turning level at 1.091 .
Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to continues trading above a turning level at 1.091 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 1.098 , then if the price breaking resistance level (1) by open 4h candle above it indicates to reach a resistance level (2) at 1.102 , but stabilizing below this level it refers likely to reach a turning level .
Downward zone: Provided until the prices breaking turning level by open 4h candle below it, indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 1.084 , then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 1.078 .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 1.091 , before rising .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.098 , 1.102 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.084 , 1.078 .
Trading NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 06/08/2024Every trader relishes ending the trading week positively, and that was precisely our experience last week. The Judas Swing strategy produced two trades, one on EURUSD and the other on GBPUSD, both of which turned out being winners. This positive experience has heightened our excitement for the possibilities that this week may bring. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
After 25 minutes, there was a sweep of liquidity at the low of the zone, indicating we will be looking for potential buying opportunities this trading session. Following the liquidity sweep, there was a break of structure (BOS). Now, we simply need to wait for price to retrace into the fair value gap (FVG) that was created before entering a buy position.
The subsequent candle entered the Fair Value Gap, indicating that upon its close, we could execute our trade as all the prerequisites for entry on our checklist were satisfied.
This position barely experienced any drawdown, as it became profitable 25 minutes after executing the trade. We risked a mere 1% of our trading account, aiming for a 2% return from this trade. All that remained was to wait patiently, having already accepted the outcome of our trade, be it a win or a loss. Based on the data collected for NZDUSD, we anticipate an average trade duration of six hours and fifteen minutes.
After 45 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on NZDUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
SOL scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 3The only setup from the livestream that I will be playing is this setup on SOL. You already know the plan, 30m FVG + demand should hold and target new highs.
The chart highlights multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), indicating key levels where the price has shifted its market structure, moving from a bearish to a bullish trend.
30-Minute Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The 30-minute Fair Value Gap is a crucial zone where the price is expected to find support. This gap represents an imbalance in the market that the price may revisit to achieve equilibrium.
30-Minute Demand Zone:
The 30-minute demand zone, located just below the FVG, is another significant area of interest. This zone is where strong buying activity previously occurred, providing a potential support level for the price.
Bitcoin - Preparing for Massive PumpBitcoin has almost completed its consolidation, preparing for a major pump to the upside.
Although the Daily EMA is showing a Bearish trend (EMA Crossed 2 days ago), on the WEEKLY chart, the trend is still very much Bullish.
However as we can see, there is a Daily FVG waiting to be filled by price action. This Daily FVG is also where many Longs have their Stops in the Futures markets, which I suspect will be the catalyst for the first initial pump upwards from this current price range/area.
Price action is still in the premium zone, however I suspect by another 24 to 72 hours, price will arrive in the discount zone which will be the reversal point. (eg: below the 0.50 Fibonacci marker)
I have made a white box which shows the area I suspect will be the reversal point to the upside. Anywhere in this white box should be the reversal area. I do not expect the price action, at this point in time, to go below the $60,000 dollar mark. I am expecting price action to fly past the previous ATH.
GBPUSD ( CORE PCE PRICE INDEX) ( 4H )GBPUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 1.287 & 1.285 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 1.287 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 1.285, so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.293 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 1.303 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 1.279 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 1.269 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 1.286 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.293 , 1.303 .
SUPPORT LEVEL :1.279 , 1.269 .
SILVER ( TRYING TO RETEST A TURNING LEVEL (1) ) (4H)XAGUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , after breakout channel .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 28.20 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 27.29 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 29.33 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 30.48, for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 26.43, for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 25.23 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 27.80 , have two scenario , first corrective 28.20 before dropping to touch a 27.29 , then26.43 , second corrective 27.29 to reach a 28.20, then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 29.33, 30.48 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 26.43 , 25.23 .
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 30/07/2024Risk management ought to be a trader's closest ally, as the previous week demonstrated the practical significance of incorporating risk management into every trader's toolkit. Last week, we executed four trades; despite having only one win and three losses, we concluded the week with a mere 1% loss on our trading account. This has heightened our excitement for the opportunities that this week may present. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
The next 5 minute candle swept liquidity resting at the low of the zone, which meant our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities for the trading session.
To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure.
We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied. Please note that our stop loss is set at the low of the price leg that broke structure, and we implement a minimum stop loss of 10 pips. The minimum stop loss value was not chosen randomly; it was determined through extensive backtesting. This allows trades sufficient space to fluctuate, avoiding premature stop-outs and trades later moving in our anticipated direction.
After 15 minutes, a large bearish marubozu candle formed, which could have exited us from the trade if we had set our stop loss solely based on the low of the price leg that broke structure, without including a minimal stop loss in our checklist. By using that price leg, our stop loss would have been around 6 pips, whereas a 10 pip stop loss provides the trade with sufficient breathing room.
We are aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50% on EURUSD, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we used only 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% gain. Upon checking our position later, we observed that the position was a few pips away from hitting SL.
We remained calm despite the drawdown we were experiencing and were prepared for any outcome of the trade. All that was left was to wait for either our stop loss or take profit to be triggered to determine the result of our trade. A few hours later, the trade began to move in our favor.
After 13 hours, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on EURUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
USDJPY ( INSIDE OLD DEMAND ZONE ) (4H)USDJPY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level at 154.786 & 153.625 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 154.786 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 153.625 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 157.687 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 159.893 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 151.996 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 150.180, for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 153.931 , have two scenario , first corrective 154.786 , before dropping to touch a 153.625 , then 151.996 , second corrective 153.625 to reach a 154.786, then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 157.687 , 159.893 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 151.996 , 150.180.
Buy Dogecoin (DOGE) at $0.12724I recommend buying Dogecoin (DOGE) at $0.12724. This recommendation is based on the Smart Money Concept (SMC), which identifies a "Demand Zone" at this price level and a Fair Value Gap (FVG) above the demand zone.
Key Points:
Entry Price:
Buy Dogecoin at $0.12724. This price level has been identified as an optimal entry point due to the presence of a demand zone and an FVG.
Explanation of FVG:
Fair Value Gap (FVG): An FVG occurs when there is a significant price movement with little or no trading activity in between, creating a gap. This gap represents an imbalance in the market, often caused by institutional investors, and can act as a magnet for price, providing an area of potential support or resistance.
Stop Loss (SL):
Set your stop loss (SL) at $0.12502, which is just under the FVG. This level has been chosen to minimize potential losses if the market moves against the trade. The stop loss percentage is 1.74%.
Take Profit (TP):
Set your take profit (TP) at $0.13822, which aligns with a supply zone. This target has been chosen based on market dynamics and anticipated resistance levels.
Explanation:
Smart Money Concept (SMC):
SMC is a trading strategy that focuses on understanding and following the actions of institutional investors, who have significant influence on the market. By identifying areas where these large players are likely to buy (demand zones) or sell (supply zones), traders can align their positions with the "smart money" to improve their chances of success.
Demand Zone:
A demand zone is an area on the chart where there has been a high level of buying interest, causing prices to rise from that level in the past. When the price returns to this zone, it is likely to encounter buying pressure again, providing a potential entry point for traders.
Supply Zone:
A supply zone is an area on the chart where there has been significant selling interest in the past, which may act as a resistance level.
Conclusion:
Entering Dogecoin at $0.12724, based on the SMC and the identified demand zone and FVG, presents a strategic investment opportunity. By setting a stop loss at $0.12502, we aim to manage risk effectively, and by setting a take profit at $0.13822, we target a supply zone for potential gains.
As always, it's essential to monitor the market closely and adjust your strategy as necessary. Trading involves risks, and it's crucial to stay informed and make decisions based on thorough analysis. Like, follow me for more such content and share to increase your friends' knowledge.
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 24/07/2024Last week concluded positively, with three trades taken and two big wins on EURUSD. This success has heightened our anticipation for the opportunities this week may present. We began our trading day at 8:25 EST by marking the zones for the Judas Swing strategy. This is a fundamental part of the checklist and cannot be skipped.
The next step on the checklist is to wait for a sweep on either side of the zone, which will assist in establishing a bias for the trading session. After 25 minutes, the high of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for potential selling opportunities during this trading session.
Although we have a bias for the trading session, we do not rush into every selling opportunity. Instead, we wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. The price leg that establishes this BOS should leave behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and price must retrace into this FVG before we consider executing a trade using this strategy.
The next five-minute candle entered the Fair Value Gap, indicating that we could execute our trade at the candle's close since we had met all the checklist criteria.
After executing the trade, price remained in a deep drawdown, which can be unsettling for many traders who do not manage their risk adequately. Additionally, traders who do not backtest their trading strategy thoroughly often struggle to adhere to their plan in these situations. However, this was not an issue for us, as we were aware that our strategy has approximately a 50% win rate, indicating that losses are part of the process. Therefore, we only risked 1% of our trading account on the trade, aiming for a 2% return.
Price eventually reversed and started moving in our intended direction. We remained unperturbed by the duration of the trade, as our strategy data indicates an average trade duration of 8 hours and 5 minutes.
Now all we need to do is be patient and let the trade run. We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
EURUSD WEEKLY BULLISH BREAKOUT, LTF BEARISH RETRACEMENT!!The weekly timeframe has a beautiful bullish break-out, meaning that we are overall Bullish.
We have two weekly bullish FVGs
- One in Premium at 1.08709 (We would not want to Buy on the basis of this FVG since it is in Premium) However we could have a LTF reaction.
- Another beautiful FVG in discount at 1.08032 ( This is where we will be looking for timeframe alignment to go Long). Beautiful area to look for Longs!!!
Before price reaches 1.08032, we will be looking for shorts to trade the retracement.
Beautiful Week Ahead of us!!! Trade, Repeat!!!