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EUR/USD in Correction Mode: Potential Pullback Ahead.The EUR/USD currency pair has witnessed a decline in its value and subsequently bounced back from the 1.0975 region. Over the past week, the EUR/USD has been retreating from its recent highs in the proximity of 1.1100. This drop can be attributed to the correction in the upside movement of the dollar. As of now, the price movement of the EUR/USD is expected to continue to follow the dynamics of the dollar closely. It is also expected to be influenced by the diverging intentions of the Fed and ECB banks regarding potential interest rate changes. Despite the hawkish stance of the ECB, which supports further rate hikes, there seems to be a loss of momentum in economic fundamentals in the region, which contrasts this view. Our analysis suggests that the EUR/USD might experience a pullback in the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci area before setting up for a new long position. However, if the price falls below the 78.6% Fibonacci level, it could indicate a short entry opportunity.
by FOREXN1
12
GBP/JPY Faces Bearish Chart Formation with Mild Gains: AnalysisAt the start of the London trading session on Monday, GBP/JPY shows a slight increase in value, hovering around 166.50. However, the cross-currency pair is facing a challenge in maintaining its upward momentum over the past four days, as it is currently caught in a bearish chart pattern, known as the Head and Shoulders pattern. If the dynamic trendline of the pattern, referred to as the "Neckline," is broken, this could confirm a downside trend for the pair. However, if the price manages to rise above the level of the Right Shoulder, it may indicate a long setup.
by FOREXN1
5
EURJPY And Historical Market PricesEURJPY is a clear example of when it is a good idea to check back for old PA levels. This is because the price has rallied and becomes more extreme. The more extreme price gets the older the PA levels that are relevant become because they have not been hit for a while. As the EUR gains VS the JPY this becomes the case. You can see to the LEFT handside of the chart denoted PA levels (where traders have created rejection) That forms the Bias for new moves. Any Qs ask.
by WillSebastian
3
USD/JPY Bears Eye Downward Trend as US Dollar Faces PressureThe current market for USD/JPY is dominated by the bears, who are eagerly anticipating a continuation of the downward trend. At this crucial moment, the trendline support is highly vulnerable. As Tokyo traders enter the market on Friday, the price of USD/JPY remains stagnant, resting below a significant resistance area near 132.70 on the 4-hour charts. The US Dollar is facing pressure, mainly due to the week's data that has led to the belief that the Federal Reserve will pause in its tightening policy campaign, with just one last rate hike scheduled for May. The primary focus of the market has been on the inflation data, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showing a year-on-year decrease from 6% in February to 5% in March. Furthermore, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand, which was released on Thursday, also indicated a continued decrease in inflationary pressures, with a 0.5% drop last month. Over the twelve months leading to March, the PPI increased 2.7%, representing the smallest year-on-year rise since January 2021, following a 4.9% increase in February. In the event that the price breaks out of the dynamic trendline, we can expect to see a further pushdown in the price, moving in a downward direction.
by FOREXN1
7
For Those Asking About Buying GBP..Hey Guys, Some have asked me about buying the GBPUSD FX pair. We just had CPI data falling inline with expectations that did not enormously shift GBP upwards or to the downside. Nonetheless our bias remains higher for shorts. WHY? Because that is where Key Risk Averse PA zones exist (larger money short zones). This coincides with the fact you have risen on the GBP for a long amount of time now as a retracement. Within these retracements you will inevitably get rebounds of price as sellers RE move into the market within the upmove. So having said that we are not looking to buy LATE. the train has gone and we need to just wait at the stop again. Buying high is never a good idea. This is an issue. That's because if you are buying it you are buying it WAY after it's been bought (and it's no longer cheap)... If you keep doing that you will statistically be unprofitable (and naturally). Buy dips, sells rips.
by WillSebastian
GBP/USD Showing Bullish Continuation Pattern 50% Fibo 1.2400 SUPDuring early Easter Monday morning in London, the GBP/USD currency pair is experiencing a drop for the fourth consecutive day, as it takes offers to refresh the intraday low near 1.2400. This is a result of the US Dollar rebounding due to risk aversion and hawkish bets on the US Federal Reserve (Fed), following last week's pullback from a 10-month high. Meanwhile, the Bank of England's (BoE) next move is uncertain, causing doubts about the pair's future direction. Based on our analysis, the GBP has experienced a pullback towards the 1.2400 area, which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci level. We have identified a bullish flag pattern of continuation, indicating that there is a high probability of a new bullish impulse for the Cable.
by FOREXN1
10
EUR/USD steady despite lower than expected ADP reportOn Wednesday, EUR/USD saw a slight retracement from its initial move to 1.0970. Despite this, the Final Services PMIs in Germany and the Eurozone remained strong in March. The US ADP report came in lower than expected at 145K jobs, down from February's 261K jobs. As a result, EUR/USD experienced some gains and losses around the 1.0950 level. Initial resistance for EUR/USD can be found in the 1.0970/80 range, with the currency pair exhibiting a cautious note and showing fluctuations around the 1.0950 area. While hawkish comments from ECB policymakers and healthy prints from Services PMIs in the Eurozone supported the euro, the markets' prudence ahead of the NFP figures on Friday limited the bulls. For the EUR, market participants should keep an eye out for potential tests of the 1.1000 level, as the currency pair continues its weekly rally. The euro's price action will likely be influenced by the direction of the US dollar and the divergence between the Fed and ECB's plans regarding interest rate moves. Furthermore, while hawkish ECB-speak supports further rate hikes, some loss of momentum in economic fundamentals in the region contradicts this view.
Long
by FOREXN1
22