Fxtrading
GBPJPY Sell/Short SignalWhat I have been marking up for GBPJPY it appears to have pumped a few pips prior to stopping at its main shoulder of resistance. I have been watching key levels for take profits potential here of the levels 192.020, 188.006, and 183.762 for day trades and swing trades. Rejection levels of 199.853 and 198.881 has proven that we are facing a lower high trend rejection for a continuous downtrend for the next few months it potentially has here. I suggest to use proper risk management when entering the trade and to have your stop losses set at 30-50 pips depending where you entered in. You may close when you feel is best to do so on your own. Please message me if you have any questions about this trade! Thanks!
GBPUSD Buy to SellLooking to have GBPUSD head up to the ash zone before a sell...
Simply look for a confirmation or way to join the buy based on your style and strategy, then get a confirmation for sells at that zone above price currently.
Do ensure to follow your strategy if it tells you otherwise!
GBPJPY Sell/Short SignalGBPJPY looks like a sell on the D1 and has been moving steadily down from the last entry we took. We are looking for a nice slide downward movement with key levels I marked on the chart. Last few patterns that have played out created a double top and a clear indication of an M formation to complete the full double bottom. I would like to see levels 192, 188, and 183 touch for a long term swing trade period, however, you are able to close when you wish to do so. Please be advised to use cautionary risk/reward ratios and what suits you best. If you have any questions, please feel free to message me as I love to answer questions! Thanks! Happy New Years to all! We are officially BACK!
ENTRY: 195.284 (can enter in these levels)
TP 1 (Day Trade): 192.020
TP 2 (Swing Trade): 188.006
TP 3: (extended swing trade) 183.762
SL: 50 Pips from entry
Please message me if you have any questions! Please enjoy your day and be sure to follow our page!
EURCHF 1HR This EUR/CHF 1-hour chart shows a recent shift from bullish to bearish momentum:
Trendline Break: The uptrend has been broken, indicating a potential bearish shift.
Key Levels:
Resistance: Strong resistance around 0.94200.
Support: Key support at 0.93862 has been breached.
Bearish Engulfing: A bearish engulfing pattern below the trendline signals strong selling pressure.
Price Projection: The bearish momentum suggests a move towards the next support level at 0.92852.
Overall, the analysis suggests that EUR/CHF is likely to continue its downward trend in the near term, with the next target being around the 0.92852 level. Traders should look for selling opportunities on retracements, keeping an eye on any potential reversal signals that could alter the bearish outlook.
BTC - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched equal lows lower.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of weakness, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
NZD/USD Bears Remain in ControlSince early October, sellers have largely taken control of the NZD/USD (New Zealand versus the US dollar) and sent price to lows not seen since late 2022, with limited pullbacks seen. Overall, the currency pair is down nearly 10% from October highs.
Ichimoku Resistance Supporting Sell-On-Rally Setups
What is technically important to recognise is that the current downtrend remains supported by the area formed between the Ichimoku’s Conversion Line (blue at US$0.5830) and Base Line (red at US$0.5892). Consequently, as long as the pair continues to explore lower levels, any pullback will likely prompt traders to closely monitor price action for signs of bearish intent from within the aforementioned area.
Adding to the bearish outlook for the NZD/USD, in addition to the 200-day simple moving average (US$0.6050) rotating lower, and price crossing south of the line in early October, it is clear that the Ichimoku’s Leading Span A (light green at US$0.5861) crossed below the Leading Span B (light orange at US$0.6012). This provides a bearish signal and helps establish another resistance area that investors will watch closely should a deeper pullback come to fruition: the Ichimoku Cloud.
Price Direction?
With the downtrend clear, should a pullback to resistance at US$0.5816 materialise – which, at that point, will likely line up with the resistance area between the Ichimoku’s Conversion/Base Lines – this could be an area that sellers are drawn to.
Australian Dollar Looks Like a Good Investment Well, now that Australian unemployment surprisingly dropped it gave the central bank’s hold-steady stance on rates some creedence. With Aussie sitting in the lower portion of ranges (E.G. here with AUDCHF)I like buying and holding the asset for longer time horizons. Small sizes, and take profits at levels, like the 200 MA, and jumping back in on pullbacks.
XAGEUR - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation. For me the best way to confirm higher timeframe context is structure.
We can notice the break of market structure (sign of weakness) on key liquidity level, so there is a higher probability to see price lower at least on opposite level (marked lower).
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Crude Oil - High Tide Pt.2Pt 1 found here .
This is an extremely critical market at this time. What must be understood, is NYMEX light crude oil is not its' own independent market, but rather a BENCHMARK for a larger market for crude oil globally, and its' derivatives. Consider a Kenyan bank, that owns a loan on a Kenyan gas station. What is the best instrument to hedge their investment? Well, obviously the answer is NYMEX:RB1! , NYMEX gasoline futures. The sovereign bond of gasoline prices so to speak.
Examining the market technically, we see that it appears bullish. The market experienced a severe panic in price during 2020, as demand and logistics collapsed in face of a global epidemic. However the price has recovered considerably, due to OPEC controls and the global necessity for this commodity. In fact, the market has even retested attempts made at reaching its 2008 high.
Many local market do not have access to global markets as might be expected, such as the NYSE and CME to conduct their day-to-day affairs. This highlights the importance of NYMEX:CL1! globally, not only for the physical delivery of light crude in the United States. But the global marketplace for light crude oil and its' derivatives, such as plastic containers, heating oil and cosmetic products. The reference price for such items by suppliers, is naturally the most liquid benchmark available to them. Which is to say, they will sell their product based on the most available market for their ingredients. A notion common in all business, to be examined at a global level to understand the relevance of this market into the future. This market exists in the United States, which is what underpins the importance of the US Dollar as this principle applies to all commodity and equity benchmarks. Furthermore, the principle of liquidity remains relevant all through history, where commodities as long as trade exists have been priced according to the most liquid benchmark.
The relevance of the US Dollar can most clearly be observed in global bond markets. As capital becomes scarce as Quantitative Easing globally comes to an end, and begins to flow towards the USA, creating the rally in $TVC:DXY. Rates in sovereign debt markets in the US and abroad have risen, and prices have fallen. A lack of demand in sovereign debt outside the USA is being realized, as FRED:RRPONTTLD RRP usage has risen since the beginning of the war between Ukraine and Russia. Because the USA is also the global benchmark for interest rates, due to its deep liquidity. Banks all around the globe balance and hedge their local debt based on this proxy market. For all intents and purposes, this is the only game in town.
It may seem odd that the price of crude oil in US Dollars has risen, given that the value of the US Dollar has risen significantly worldwide. Inflation domestically might dictate that the price of NYMEX:CL1! should fall, but this has not been the case. There is something beneath the surface, that indicates a deep value in this trade yet to be realised. Despite governments and activist organisations fighting against the product, its relevance in commerce has not diminished. Coupled with the importance of this global benchmark, the whole of oil-based product globally appears as important as ever. The market indicated last week the potential for a turning point, as it has capitulated. Traders should consider the market will likely make another low, but appears to be setting up for a rally.