BTC Fractal PredictionFacts:
The orange oval shows the part of the chart I used to create the forecast.
Yelllow green zones are demand FVGs and purple zones are supply. The green zone signifies the demand order block, and the zones are based on 9h TF.
Fibs are based on long term levels (not drawn from renko values).
*Note this is a Renko chart
Opinion:
If the prediction has any semblance to what will happen, it would be reasonable to suggest longs are accumulating down to maybe 88k without going too low where traders will then try to grab as much liquidity from 91-99k on the way up to sell after they push the price past ATH. A wick down to 88k, as low as even 84k could be expected here, and if the fear index continues dropping we might even see 80k being the target with a wick down to 76k. A bottom in the 70k range might result in an ATH target around 169k, while 141k would be what I think is the next top for a less extreme scenario, 123-125k being either the consolidation or retracement level for all cases. Next level after 141/169 would be the big 200k, where in most attempts at using this method of pattern prediction has shown it would very quickly retrace from.
As time passes, confidence in the 73k level as final support is increasing quickly as VWAPS, ATR based supports and moving averages continue to meet and surpass that price level on longer and longer timeframes and lengths. It might require very specific circumstances along with a very coordinated selloff to cause the price to drop below 73. How the market reacts once we break our 91k support will be interesting to see as there are more new investors and crytpo derivatives this season than ever.
G-channel
XAUMO: The Ultimate Multi-Timeframe Gold Analysis ReportXAUMO: The Ultimate Multi-Timeframe Gold Analysis Report
Period: January 27 – February 2, 2025
📊 Daily Chart (Long-Term Trend)
🔍 Ichimoku Analysis:
• Clouds (Kumo):
• Thick Kumo ($2,744-$2,752) providing strong long-term support.
• Future Kumo: Steep bullish slope with (Senkou Span A > Senkou Span B), reinforcing the bullish trend.
• Tenkan/Kijun (TK/KS) Crosses:
• Type of Cross: Bullish cross above the Kumo.
• Support Levels:
• Tenkan ($2,774): Dynamic short-term support.
• Kijun ($2,761): Key support during pullbacks.
• Chikou Span:
• Positioned above price and Kumo, confirming strong bullish control.
• Stable slope, suggesting minor consolidation.
📈 Regression Channel Analysis:
• Price is moving within an upward channel, with resistance near $2,785-$2,790, signaling potential overbought conditions.
🔗 Support and Resistance Levels (VRP):
• POC: $2,771 (Pivot point for accumulation).
• VAH: $2,785 (Supply zone).
• VAL: $2,756 (Demand zone).
📦 Supply and Demand Zones:
• Supply: $2,785-$2,790.
• Demand: $2,744-$2,752.
⏳ Sushi Kinko Cycles:
• 26-Period Cycle: Confirms bullish continuation toward $2,800.
📌 Tradeable Levels:
• Upside: $2,785-$2,810 (Fibonacci Extension 161.8%).
• Downside: Below $2,756 targeting $2,740 (VWAP).
⏳ 4-Hour Chart (Swing Trading)
🔍 Ichimoku Analysis:
• Clouds (Kumo):
• Moderate thickness supporting price at $2,744-$2,752.
• Steep bullish slope confirming momentum.
• Tenkan/Kijun (TK/KS) Crosses:
• Bullish cross above the Kumo, reinforcing the trend.
• Key Supports:
• Tenkan ($2,774): Immediate support.
• Kijun ($2,761): Major support.
• Chikou Span:
• Positioned above price and Kumo, signaling strong bullish pressure.
• Upward slope, enhancing bullish momentum.
📦 Supply and Demand Zones:
• Supply: $2,785-$2,790.
• Demand: $2,744-$2,752.
⏳ Sushi Kinko Cycles:
• 9-Period Cycle: Minor pullback toward $2,771.
• 26-Period Cycle: Signal for a move toward $2,800.
📌 Tradeable Levels:
• Upside: $2,785-$2,810.
• Downside: $2,756-$2,744.
⏳ 1-Hour Chart (Intraday)
🔍 Ichimoku Analysis:
• Clouds (Kumo):
• Weak clouds with support near $2,774-$2,771.
• Moderately bullish slope.
• TK/KS Crosses:
• Tenkan ($2,777): Immediate support.
• Kijun ($2,773): Key support level.
📦 Supply and Demand Zones:
• Supply: $2,785-$2,790.
• Demand: $2,773-$2,765.
📌 Tradeable Levels:
• Buy: $2,773 targeting $2,785.
• Sell: Rejection at $2,785 targeting $2,773.
⏳ 30-Minute Chart (Scalping)
🔍 Ichimoku Analysis:
• Thin clouds supporting upward momentum.
• Tenkan ($2,777): Immediate support.
• Kijun ($2,773): Major support for scalping.
📌 Tradeable Levels:
• Buy: $2,773 targeting $2,785.
• Sell: Rejection at $2,785 targeting $2,773.
🔑 Summary:
• Bullish Bias: Above $2,785 targeting $2,800-$2,810.
• Bearish Bias: Below $2,756 targeting $2,740.
• Pivot Point: $2,771 (POC).
📌 Session Insights:
• Tokyo: Scalping at $2,773.
• London: Rejection at $2,785 or breakout opportunities.
• New York: Breakout above $2,785 or correction toward $2,771.
🔗 A blend of analytical tools for a precise and balanced trading strategy.
S&P 500 Financials - Daily in logHello community,
A short analysis of the SP500 Finance index.
For this, I use regression lines with two time units, short and medium.
The trend is bullish but we are at the top of the medium-term and short-term channel.
A retracement may be desirable.
Make your own opinion before placing an order.
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Tesla in daily logHello community,
A quick analysis of Elon Musk's action.
D-Day for him with the American election.
The market has granted him 6 red candles!
Doing politics and managing companies, I wonder if it's a good idea.
American citizen at the polls, your destiny is in your hands.
Courage, the world is watching you, American First!
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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Bank of America (daily - log )Hello community,
Following the publication of Warren Buffet's results, I looked at the Bank of America stock.
Since the beginning of the year, performance 28%
Why did you sell the stock, there must be a reason that I don't know.
Upward trend, I put the 3 accumulation zones on the chart.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (daily - log)Hello community,
Small daily analysis in log.
The trend is bullish, we have a gap lately that should be filled logically.
I have indicated on the graph the three accumulation zones.
Graphically, it's beautiful.
We are at the bottom of the regression line channel, we will have to watch that it does not break down.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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The Walt Disney Company - monthly (log)Hello community,
A look at the Walt Disney stock in monthly, still in log.
Bullish channel since 1970.
The trend is really magnificent, price respects its regression channel, a textbook case.
The trend is your friend as they say in Trend Following.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (log)Hello community,
A quick update on the Sox in weekly, in log.
We are at the top of both channels, the medium term and the short term.
It would be desirable that it does not go too far out of the regression channel.
In any case, the trend has been bullish since 1995, and will be for many years to come.
Make your own opinion, before placing an order.
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SPX in monthly (log)Hello community,
A quick review of the month on the SPX index.
A red candle for this month of October.
I have indicated in orange the simple 12-period average (monthly)
The price is in the upper part of the channel, I don't see anything alarming on the chart.
The trend is still bullish, I prefer to invest my money in the American market, than on the old continent which is very sick!
Whether it is Harris against Trump, the new president will have a country in working order to face the future. I have confidence in the USA.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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ETF SPY weekly (log)Hello everyone,
Weekly chart in logarithmic scale.
The channel is bullish, we are in the upper part of the channel, but I do not see any bullish exaggeration.
The 200-period simple average is bullish in orange on the screen.
In any case, investing in the SPY is a very good investment.
Make your own opinion, before placing an order.
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BITCOIN after the FOBO ! ( FAKEOUT BREAKOUT)
BITCOIN, after the FAKEOUT BREAKOUT, has re-entered the bearish channel that we’ve been monitoring for several months. This was a false breakout, which left many of us hopeful for a bullish market, but it turned out to be the opposite!
But no worries, we must wait. The important thing here is that, within the bear market we saw last week, the price bounced off a very important and key zone that we’ve been tracking for several months.
This purple zone is what I call my inefficiency zone, which I also consider one of the strongest areas where Bitcoin has previously made strong impulses.
The only thing we should consider here is that Bitcoin will likely try to break the channel again. We can’t do anything until the price is on the other side of the channel. It’s that simple! Don’t try to enter right now because the price could pull back. Always pay attention to the immediate structure being presented and WAIT!
We already have confirmation that the price has bounced within our inefficiency zone. Now, we just wait for the breakout, so patience is key!
That’s my advice for this week.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
JIN, weekly setup, waiting for confirmationJIN update, due to a false alarm triggering on the 1H because trendline was too close.
JIN had a strong impulse move this morning 1315 to 1360, it did not BO of descending wedge, no action.
Weekly at horizontal and channel support.
Daily under the downtrend line, hourly under the downtrend line.... sorry for wasting your time 😛
BTCUSDT ⚡ Channel Pattern SpottedHey guys!
At this very moment, we are in the middle of almost everything so you don't want to get caught on the wrong side of the trade. Better be safe than sorry. Having said that, here's my idea about what we are looking at right now.
1) There's a channel marked by green lines as shown in the chart. If you can see this, you'll notice whenever price touches the upper line it gets rejected and whenever it touches the lower band it bounces back inside the range. We can buy when price hits there and sell whenever it touches the upper resistance channel range. A deal breaker would be either a breakdown of the channel or breakout of the channel.
2) TARGETS if price keeps respecting the channel pattern, would be at the top resistance line to take profits as a buyer and viceversa as a buyer taking entry trigger a candlestick pattern on the lower band of the channel.
This idea is to spot for the long term. This asset is still in balanced mode, there hasn't been a breakout of the range yet. However, it's worth to note that there's a channel pattern playing out, right now.
Hope you find it useful and be able to take advantage of this idea.
Kina Tip of the Day: Take profits partially even when they don't seem much because in the long run they will grow in a balanced way with the rest of the portfolio.
Keep it shiny ⭐
Kina, The Girly Trader
TFEX S50 FuturesTFEX S50 Futures looking down in all 3 Trend
Primary trends
Secondary trends
Minor Trends
At the moment it is at the -2SD support level of the Volume Normal distribution and POC of Regression Trend
Now Volume Profile of last Degree move down to the bottom that might bounce.
If looking down, wait for a bounce and then open a short at the POC resistance level or wait for a reversal at the upper edge.
If you look up and don't care about the trend, open Long at the support level, set Stop Loss at Low.
However, There is a target of going down in the Range Volatile month and 3rd month
At 800 it is still the first target.
Trade with faith in your beliefs and follow your own plan.
C.Goii SuperTrader
Bitcoin can decline to support line of downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago entered to range, where it firstly declined to the current resistance level, which coincided with the support area and at once started to grow. In a short time price reached the 71000 resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and tried to break. BTC failed and made a correction movement, after which in a short time rose back and finally broke the 71000 level, but can't fixed and soon declined back to the current resistance level, breaking the 71000 level one more time. Soon, BTC exited from range and then entered to downward channel, where it first rose to the resistance line, but later declined back to the support line of the channel, breaking the 62000 level. Then price made an impulse from the support line to the resistance line of the channel, after which rolled down to the support area, where now continues to trades near the current resistance level. I think that Bitcoin can continue to decline to support line of the downward channel, therefore I set my target at 55000 points, which coincided with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
VERX ATH on Earnings LONGVERX on the 15 minute chart demonstrates printing a high tight bull flag pattern in its
bullrun after the earnings report was a two line beat much like the one a quarter ago.
VERX has impressed traders including this one who got in on the ride early. I will trade
this like others recently with a similar pattern. I will hold during the consolidation and
watch for a break above the flag regression channel. I will add upon the break and
set a trailing stop loss of 5% upon a rise of another 5% keeping the profits safe while
underway. See my ideas on SOUN DUOL, VTYX and a few others. Review the link to
the pattern description here. See also my swing long trade ideas for this sector XBI and LABU.
Reversal channel breakout Potential price breakout of a reversal channel towards a key support area.
Counter movement: If price breaks current resistance area upwards, retrace and form new support area; then price will potentially move towards a key area (previous lower high on the daily timeframe). Place pending orders above and below resistance area and let the price play out.
Bank Nifty: Rectangle Breakout signals potential UPSIDEOver the past few days, NSE:BANKNIFTY has experienced a downtrend, presenting an opportunity for traders to analyze a potential reversal through the formation of a rectangle pattern. The rectangle pattern is a horizontal consolidation pattern characterized by parallel support and resistance levels. It indicates a period of market indecision, where buyers and sellers are in a relative balance. The breakout has occurred above the neckline or resistance zone, suggesting a shift in market sentiment.
Breakout Confirmation: Traders should patiently wait for a clear breakout above the neckline or resistance zone. The breakout should be confirmed by the closing of a candle above this level, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bullish side.
Entry Point: Execute the trade on the day of the breakout, preferably after the closing price has convincingly breached the neckline. This ensures that the breakout is genuine and not a false signal.
Target Calculation: The target for the trade can be determined by measuring the distance between the low of the rectangle pattern and the neckline. This distance is then added to the breakout point, providing an estimate of the potential upward movement.
Retest Possibility: Be prepared for the possibility of a retest of the neckline after the initial breakout. This is a common occurrence, and traders should not be alarmed by a temporary pullback.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss Placement : Mitigate potential losses by setting a stop-loss order below the neckline or the breakout point. The level of the stop-loss should be determined based on individual risk tolerance and the volatility of the asset.
Risk-Reward Ratio
: Evaluate the risk-reward ratio before entering the trade. Ensuring that potential profits outweigh potential losses is crucial for effective risk management.
Regression Channel - Nifty - Day & 1hr timeframe1. Change in the regression trend at day timeframe, 1st Dec 23
It occurred with Gap formation, which will act as good support
2. Another Regression channel can be observed at 1hr time frame
3. Spinning Top Formation at the weekly timeframe, implicates bearish sentiment in the last week's price movement
Another "change in the trend" is expected