BTC Super CyclesI know many of you will not like this idea. It is a pure speculation based on how the different values like time and percentage decline or rise. I know that time is completely impossible to predict, even prices can range dramatically +-1k%, so my purpose is to share my price view as realistic as possible.
Every super cycle consists of two smaller ones. It is hard to get your head around that from 2018-2020 btc was just pausing and moving sideways in a massive range. It was not really a bear market from a supercycle perspective. What took btc 2 months in 2010, it takes almost 3 years right now. Each supercycle takes exponentially longer to play out, percentage gains in each cycle is also declining rapidly in log. fashion:
-1st SC (3608943 %) -- 329 d
-2nd SC (58398 %) -- 742 d
-3rd SC (41981 %) -- 2492 d
based on that percentage decline we could expect 30k% for the 4th one.
Even if BTC falls to 2.5k it would still be above 700k by the end of the supercycle if 30k % is in the cards. It is just that it would quite possibly take 18-24 years (~7k days based on exp. increase).
I expect this bear market to be similar to 2011 where price lost 93%. It is largely because stock market is expected to collapse in 2022 and BTC has never experienced that. Wherever it falls it will eventually rise back up even stronger.
Bear markets between supercycles are also getting lengthened exponentially. Not that fast than bull runs but still they do:
-1st bear market (-93 %) -- 161 d
-2nd bear market (-86 %) -- 406 d
due to having only 2 bear markets between the cycles it is even harder to predict how long it could take for the 3rd one as we don't even form exponential line growth from having only 2 values. Needles to say it is lengthening exponentially so to assume that it can take 3 years for the crash to finish is not completely unrealistic.
Bottoms are also increasing exponentially:
-1st $0.0009
-2nd $2.01
-3rd $163.88
-(4th $2300-$2800)
I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise. Take care.
Gains
ONT/USDT Daily looking like juicy gains incoming. R/R= 6.7ONT is about to go green on the histogram after testing the 0.886 retrace from its last rally high to $2.958 for the 4th time. There is small bullish divergence on the MACD while under the 200 daily MA. We should have a breakout soon in under 2 weeks. If the macro doesn't fail, it's going to be a good start to a new year.
ETH Loses Key SupportEthereum Price Analysis: ETH Loses Key Support, This is The Next Level to Watch If Downtrend Continues.
Not only the ETH price dropped below $4,000, but it also closed below this key level on the daily timeframe. If no surprises will take place, today will be the first time since October 19 that ETH is seeing a full candle body below the significant $4K mark. This put an end to the bullish trend, at least in the short term.
Key Support levels: $3750, $3,000
Key Resistance levels: $4,000, $4,500
Last week, the weekly MACD went through a bearish crossover which was an early sign that the uptrend may reverse. Yesterday, ETH broke below the key support at $4,000 and closed the day under this key level. In doing so, ETH confirmed the change in the trend and also broke beneath a significant trendline that has held the uptrend since March 2020 (see the dotted line as shown below).
Following the breakdown, the $4,000 level now becomes a key resistance. In addition, ETH is currently trading below the 100-day moving average line. If this downtrend continues, then the next critical support levels for ETH are found at $3750 and $3,000.
Altcoin Heaven: SHIB, CHZ, GALA, CRO PredictionsI believe we're in a crypto accumulation period (ready to launch up), preparing for the continued ascension phase.
The charts have my short-term opinions and price projections for them. This is all my opinions and NOT Financial Advice.
Happy Trading,
Stefan
Founder of A-Stock Trading
At this point worth a shot SHIBA INUAn apparent downtrend is shown by the Red Line Crossing the highs. That slope was hard to give up and seemed like all daily highs closed below that line shown in the green line.
But today we see a breakout. And one thing we know about Meme Coins is they run hard.
Nothing about SHIBA says it's a long-term hold, but we know historically these runs last a few days. With the breakout, it looks like you may want to put a few ponies in the race and see what happens.
It is plausible with US Thanksgiving and table talk, this run could hold through the weekend and into the next week. If you missed the last run, this is an opportunity.
The BEST HODL until Xmas! About:
SAND is 'The Sandbox's' token. It's a blockchain-based virtual world developed by Pixowl, which allows people to create and explore universes (sounds like Minecraft a bit, right?)
Fundamental Benefits:
- Being part of the thriving metaverse, SAND has been pumping in parallel to Zuckerberg's announcement that Facebook is renaming itself to 'Meta'. SAND isn't the only metaverse token to receive a positive response from investors either, almost all of them have (which i'll cover in future posts).
- Another reason for this sudden pump, is that The Sandbox recently announced a MASSIVE play to earn event, launching on November 29th and running through to December 20th (this will receive a ton of publicity).
- The Sandbox secured a $93M fund from SoftBank at the start of November, to go toward developing new metaverse games, live experiences and seeking out bigger partnerships with brands.
Technical Analysis:
As you can see, I entered at $3.05. Circled in purple is $2, which obviously is a better position for buying. I FOMO'd into SAND once I read into it and didn't want to risk waiting for a dip. The support and resistance lines are parallel and have held up extremely well. The end of the lines is December 1st and by this point we could see SAND anywhere within the price-range illustrated. I'm confident in the growing popularity of this metaverse token, along with the roadmap making progress as promised. Look out for a buy-point and get involved if you're interested!
I post altcoin opportunities daily, feel free to follow for more!
Stc Kucoin 100% plus gains! Would you like me to post more Kucoin bangers? Comment yes if so.
These have been paying my group a lot lately and I’m happy to share some with you all. Message me for details on more.
Have a green week!
The inflation is taking TBLT to the moonKeep it easy simple and safe
Enter at current price
TP1 0.72 (42% gain)
TP2 0.89 (74% gain)
TP3 1$+
SL 0.49 (4% loss )
Safe trade , trade safe ><><
XLM First Target SecuredSo if we focus closely here, we can see XLM really consolidating for Higher highs. And we honestly believe they will be well worth the HODL/Accumulation.
Currently it looks like XLM is battling .33-.37 pretty vehemently. If it can break through and hold a steady beat through even the .44 range, XLM will start a new leg up to its higher-highs.
Keep an eye out for traps. RSI cannot be too high when ATH is in sights. The same is true for Volume and low RSI on sell-off. Don't get caught.
Never advice. Just m00n thoughts.
3 days ago - www.fxstreet.com
OMG, omg.Never Advice, but with the airdrop coming based on wallet held OMG, plus this setup... I bet we see a quick dip below 14 -- maybe 10-12, then we zip right through to 18ish, then 22ish, if enough pressure comes in... 32.
Don't say we didn't tell you so.
On the m00n this is a hot commodity. Don't get left behind when the rocket launches.
Smoke up, drink up, study up. We only allow the most well read degenerates on the m00n.
ETH DO A LIL DANCEY DANCESo, really, there are three major options for ETH in the coming weeks before the year's end. I personally believe that by Oct. 25th we see a major Up or an insane Down. Praying for another up before the years end.
Right here we have ETH battling with an old Fib Retracement res, but if it crosses that highlighted .786 res, it likely becomes a .786 supp. spike and we see that ATH one more time.
Not advice. Never advice.
SC/USD stairway to gainsI keep noticing siacoin loves to move in ascending triangles.
These triangles are confirmed by declining volume during the formation. Every triangle the amount of volume gets bigger and bigger.
I therefore think the next move up could be a big one where we surpass our all time high.
This will happen probably before the end of may.
So i'll keep hodling!
NOAV bottom fish playbottom fish opportunity, this one can look for entry at the bid, real action doesn’t start until over 1.52 and watch for rejection at 1.64 (could be quick in and out target might blast through without any resistance)
Entry @ the bid over 1.35
PT1- $1.66
PT2- $2.02
Macro (weekly hold)
PT1- $2.49
PT2- $3.32
PT3- $3.78
stop loss 1.33
R:R (PT2) 8.86 +43%
Cautions, low float can mean moon shots or steep elevator rides down, physical stops are highly recommended on this one and if kept tight can look for re entry if it stabilizes after getting struck.
They have no history of splits, I’m currently looking into open offerings or potential for a momentum killer shelf.
The weekly chart (last picture) makes me a little uncomfortable the way my averages are stacked and RSI below trend but reversals happen before weekly candles form, so proper risk management is a must. This could be fun though.
NAOV is low floater and could get violent with volatility. 24M OS
SPX, SP500, SPY down.Im not much of a bear... sike, its due to the fact that we are up 590% from bottom to top since the financial crises in 2008. Almost a century ago saw a 500% run up from lows to ATH's
Generally when something goes up on whatever positions you hold its a good thing. Everyone is chasing the same thing and that gains however you acquire that.
With that being said this has been yet another great run up and has been exciting to trade.
Here ladies and gentleman is yet another ascending wedge coupled by a higher RSI on the 4hr than the previous run up to ATH and the same level on the daily charts.
Given the dynamic of earnings happening I think that this one shall be interesting to say the least.
theres some gaps that need to be filled that are on SPX though we will see if those are filled this time around.
Currently we broke trend yesterday and looks ready to drop a little lower before maybe shooting up again to ATH or dropping lower due to some out of left field circumstance or something playing out that was already talked about.
Only time will tell.
That's all folks
NOC, Oscillator predictionsLooking at the highlighted places there is a fluctuation between each increase in stock. Clear indications in 3 different areas with a high increase where the oscillator starts fluctuating and after a tremendous rise in stock. I think this tool can be further manipulated and used with research and time.