Gamestop
$GME - $540 in the next couple of months maybe, then back down.Hi Ya'll,
I'm not a financial advisor, nor is this financial advice. I'm just an ape that likes to munch on crayons.
Technican Analysis
Woke up at 18:00PM after 14 hours of glorious sleep and a Friday day off work and took a look at the GME chart and decided it's time for some fresh crayon drawings. A fresh theory based on all the knowledge i have on GME based on my daily readings in /r/GME for the past 3 months where i've obsessively read everything...
I have a hypothesis and i don't like it because it happens to be the same as the one of a redditor i dislike for no good reason. Regardless i think there's an above average chance that this hypothesis could be exactly how GME's next 4 months play out...
The new crayondrawings indicate that it's possible we're doing one of those arcs all the way up to $540 ish and this will play out over the next couple of weeks. This would make what's going on now the start of arc #2. I believe that there could be a total of 3 arcs before the Moass. To be clear, i've come up with this hypothesis myself, but realized that someone else (in fact 2 people) might have the exact same hypothesis as mine... (or vice versa lol).
I believe after we reach the $540 area, in a few weeks that we'll start declining all the way back to $150-$200 again. Yes there is more of this type of business to come and you're going to need to be strong for longer... So, after we reach tis $150-$200 area, we're likely to accumulate a bit and then go for Arc #3 and END sometime late May or the start of June.
In June there's all kinds of weird events happening like the Russel Index reconstitutions and the possibility of GME joining the Russel 1000 Index. This is the bigger brother of the Russel 2000 index that GME is already part of. Heck GME can even join the S&P 500 but i have huuuge doubts that will happen. My bet is on them joining the Russel 1000 and this join will be final on the 28'th of June and we'll all know at least 1-2 weeks before that. Also in June there's the next earnings event for Gamestop and the shareholder meeting where Ryan Cohen might become CEO.
I believe that within June, there will be no #4'th arc but a MOASS.
To recap:
To make all of this more digestable...
Arc # Feb - March
Arc #2 March - April
Arc #3 April - June start
Upon the completion of the 3'rd arc, this is in my predicting abilities where the MOASS starts to happen. Why?
Because again, in June, GME will in my opinion announce a forward split, Ryan will become CEO and kick out all the old blood from the company and GME will then join the Russel 1000. I DONT believe that GME will give out a dividend. I believe they are going the TESLA way where they do a forward split and increase the shorts liabilities making them bleed more thus forcing a big scary (for the shorts) MOASS. Lots of pants are to be discarded on that day due to soiling.
At the completion of that final event of GME joining the Russel 1000, that will be the nail in the coffin as it will likely also be the date where the stock split takes effect. GME execs likely already know all of this and are being silent.
Why do i think we're going to have arcs? Where do those even fit in?
Well, keep in mind that the likes of XRT and IWM (Russel 2000) have paid out a dividend in the past week or two with at least one of those having rebalanced. This means that we've had a lot of shares dumped/sold due to ETF redemptions and from people who were holding XRT and Russel 2000 IWM to get those dividends. Once they got paid their dividends, they sold those shares. Combine this with the XRT rebalance where they also shed some shares thus causing more of a price dip... yeah i think this is why we've been dropping for the past weeks now.
But now, we're onto a new bullish run for the IWM Russel 2000 and generally the market... that is unless the hedgies really think they can go AGAINST the market. I don't believe they are this stupid and that they can no longer short the Russel and that their only options are to continue shorting via XRT & co. Due to that the Russel 2000 e.g 'market' will be on a bull run starting now, we're only going to be going up and up and up until $540 where investors start cycling into other things and the Russel starts to tumble down again in an arc-like manner. The hedgies will help this downwards arc to happen thanks to their next batch of IWM shorting in some months from now once IWM is back at the peak of it's bullish run.
Basically they have around 3 months to shake GME holders off until the inevitable happens and i bet ya even they don't know that a split e.g a liability multiplier is coming to them. This is basically a draw x 4 card for hedge funds that will make the NSCC / DTCC margin call every hedge fund instantly.
Even if GME's price is sub $100, the shorts that were never closed at sub $20 dollar prices are going to sting... so... no matter how low we drop, i'm pretty sure it's worth holding GME...
Gann Fann Appreciation Post, plus a word on CharityI just started messing around with this little tool in the last month or so, and it's really interesting what it shows. Kind of incredible, really.
There's an amazing amount of shadiness happening in the background with $gme, so predicting price action in the short term is going to be difficult. All I can say is that this isn't going to be comfortable for individuals or institutions with over-leveraged short positions. How long it might take is hard to say, but this is going to be historic one way or the other.
For all apes hodling with diamond hands, I'm really impressed with you all. You're really doing an amazing thing and your fortitude commands a lot of respect.
I love that you're adopting gorillas, buying game consoles for kids in hospitals, and all the other good things I see you doing. If I have the good fortune to realize the returns we seem to have coming to us, I'm going to donate to three charities. If you are looking for good ones to give to you might consider these:
innocenceproject.org : This is an organization of attorneys pushing for wrongly convicted people to have their cases reviewed and get them released. It's an expensive undertaking, and they need help.
Fight Malaria through www.givewell.org : The cost of saving a human life has been discovered. You can do it, too. Nowhere near as expensive as you'd think. For more info, this article is pretty good medium.com
www.stjude.org : This one is pretty famous, but their work is crucially important for research into the prevention and treatment of pediatric cancers.
Hats off to you, apes. Hold the line. We go moon.
$GME - Bullishness UpdateHi Ya'll
Gonna keep this one short (this pun though...)
Multiple patterns and indications that GME is way too oversold and that the pressure is not coming from inside GME itself but from externals like ETFs containing GME like the IWF or GAMR or XRT as well as SWAPS and other trickery.
Everyone is shorting GME more and more... i think they are going on the 'official' short interest numbers being posted by the likes of S3 and others and they're forgetting that those numbers are self reported with tiny reprecussions to naked shorters...
Reminder that 250% and likely more of GME's float has been bought. Hedge funds aren't interested in covering their shorts, only increasing them and kicking the can on failures to deliver on shares down the road.
About this technical analysis:
The OBV On Balance Volume indicator shows that no one is actually selling GME and that if anything, more people are buying. This also indicates that GME's price is dropping due to external factors e.g shorting ETFs (IWM, XRT and others).
There's a decently sized bullish wedge almost ending, as expected, hedge funds want to milk this as much as possible and will settle with nothing less other than GME at the ABSOLUTE bottom of the range of this bullish wedge. I have doubts they can drop it below the range of the bullish wedge, but i don't put it past them. Regardless, now would be the absolute worst time to sell if you were thinking of paperhanding but it the absolute best time to buy in my opinion. (If you haven't yolo'd everything in GME already lol)
RSI basically showing that GME is oversold e.g it's time for it to reverse upwards. Is it going to rocket up? No one knows. Maybe. Or maybe it'll just go up a bit. Again no one knows. I recon it's gonna rocket, but that's just my dumbass opinion based on nothing. The facts are that RSI says it is indeed oversold, so there.
There's some common historic support between GME and the ETF that tracks it (IWM) the Russel 2000. We're exactly at that support right now. This is where we either consolidate for a week before launch or this is where we simply just reverse upwards. There's always the small chance of breaking slightly below this range, but as with all fake breakouts downwards to shake more weak hands, it'll be a fake shakeout that won't last long and is more likely to be a dip buy.
I would say that whoever is shorting this so much is putting the financial system at risk, but i know better lol. There's definitely enough money out there for them to fix this infinite short squeeze when it happens and when multiple brokers and clearing houses start defaulting once this pops off. Several tens of thousands can be paid easily, i cannot speak for anything beyond that, but theoretically, it can go to infinity, but nobody truly knows where this can go. My personal bet is anywhere between 12k - 100k +. Again theoretically with the amount of shares they shorted and the amount of times they need to buy the entire float over ( anywhere between 4 and 12 times over), the price of this can go very very very very very very very high.
As usual and as with all volatile stocks, GME will swing wildly UP and DOWN. If you can't handle her at her worst, you don't deserve her at her best. If you're in for a quick buck, get out before you get burned. If you're here to get your character hardened and to make money, welcome fellow ape.
GME Gamestop Bullish once again???If you missed my last GME Gamestop post that perfectly touched the target:
Then you should know that you can find $315 option calls for GME Gamestop for March 26.
Do you think GME still has the fuel for another bull run??
I`m looking forward for your opinion.
Meanwhile, if you are also interested to test some amazing BUY and SELL INDICATORS that i use, which give the signal at the beginning of the candle, not at the end of it, just leave me a message.
$GME - Bullish wedge ending & Reversal pointHi ya'll
I'm not a financial advisor nor is this financial advice. I'm just an ape that likes drawing with crayons.
That having been said, i believe that GME is on the verge of bullish reversal plainly based on chart technical analysis and patterns. As you see there's a nice ~1 month bullish wedge that is almost at it's end e.g breakout could be imminent. In addition to this, i've found a divergence point or a reversal point that i believe is where bullish reversal will occur. How i find these point is by using either flexible trendlines or just normal trendlines and compare their converging points with where bullish wedges end. If they are close enough together and there are other patterns to support them, then i consider them to be reversal points.
In the example in the screenshot you'll see there is 1 such convergence point based on the flexible trendlines & based on the ending point of the bullish wedge, you see that they are super close to each other. Based on this, i believe that bullish reversal is imminent.
I'm invested in GME for several hundred thousand dollars. Not revealing my position to prevent mining and hedging by the big boys or others.
Last Night
Last night ~50k GME shares and a few hundred thousand ETF shares were borrowed to short GME with. Source: gme.crazyawesomecompany.com
It is in my opinion that last night's drop was a mix of the following:
Fabricated by the hedge funds to created FUD / Fear Uncertainty and Doubt to shake people off GME.
Some weak pathetic paperhands who sold as soon as they saw red.
NSCC taking over some hedge fund's or other instution's positions due to the failure of one or more entities to provide their SLD (Supplementary Liquidity) when they were margin called after Friday's Quadruple Witching Day (T+2 settlement from Friday).
Other unknown factors
What does the above mean?
Last night there was a single $637 MILLION order showing up in the books after hours. This was likely the NSCC having taken over someone's short/long positions since that entity failed to post their margin SLD. I think soon we're going to see a liquidation of these assets to cover that entity's short overly naked short position on GME. Last night GME's 10k report also showed that GME is likely headed for a short squeeze as it's been mentioned in the 10k report itself as legally required by law to do so if your stock is experiencing this type of volatility. Nothing special, but nothing to cough at either.
This first liquidation is likely the first one to occur in a series of liquidations. More are likely to occur as we go forward in time and failures to deliver increase as it slowly becomes harder and harder for failures to deliver to be hidden in SWAPS on other assets like ETFs or treasury bonds. The clock is ticking in my opinion and it's just a matter of time until whoever is on the hook for 200+ million short GME shares out of the 45 million available (not really available anymore lol) share trading pool... Once these 200 million shares (400% of the share float) start to get covered as some hedge fund positions are liquidated and forced bought in on market price by the NSCC more and more naked shorters are expected to get burned causing a cascade margin call by the NSCC due to the new DTCC rules that require the NSCC and others to margin call brokers and brokers of brokers ON THE SPOT INTRADAY and asking them for an extra SLD to prove their ability to function. Once this cascade starts, you can expect GME to skyrocket.
Until then it's all going to be fun and games between retail and these very ballsy big short position owners and their ever growing short positions. I bet you some of these 'clever' suits are just small firms and even retail people selling naked calls and shorts and just generally having naked positions not knowing that 250% of the entire share float is bought out. They are going to get horribly burned WHEN this blows up in their faces. Reminder, naked shorting by firms/institutions is illegal.
tldr: Buy, Hold. Be insane. Red is just a number. GME's price doesn't matter, it'll go up and down, enjoy it like a rollercoaster. Any price is a bargain right now... it really is. Once this blows up into a short squeeze into the multiple thousands, tens of thousands, or just generally an infinite short squeeze due to the 250% float overboughtness..... Yeah you're going to wish you were a part of it. I DON'T believe they will get out of this whole ordeal unscathed. This is history in the making.
A possibility...So, the red key there I put next to a segment of red line. When it comes to these pennant continuation patterns, my understanding is that when they complete they go up by roughly the measurement of the left side (flat side) of the pennant. That segment of red line is the same length as the green arrow over on the right.
What I'm thinking is that the pattern might complete at some point along the horizontal green line above the pink arrow, and from there go up roughly as high as the length of the back of the previous pennant.
Just thinking out loud here, folks.
Happy to hear your thoughts!
#GME Don't Worry Apes 🦍🦍🦍 We will be back to pick you up!!!#GME Don't Worry Apes🦍🦍🦍 We will be back to pick you up, on the way to the Moon 🌛🌛🌛 🚀🚀🚀 @GameStop @gamestopcorp #Retweet So the Apes Kno! #BullRun to the mofo MOON!!!
This was drawn out over a Week ago... #SpotOn per Usual Same trend as Bitcoin over 2 years, But much much shorter time span. Bullish Pennant.
$GME - Possible breakout 24'th - 25'th MarchHi ya'll
I'm not a financial advisor nor an oracle.
That having been said, here's my 'thesis' (more of a dumbass opinion based on nothing substantial). I suggest you don't take it seriously. Regardless, here it is.
Last month on the 24'th - 25'th, we saw a big surge in GME's price.
This month on the 24'th - 25'th i believe we will see the same uptick in GME's price (probably bigger)
What i base this on is that last month's move up was due to Jim Bell having been removed from Gamestop. This month on the same/similar date/s Gamestop has gone ahead and removed their CCO (Chief Customer Office) who only did a good job in running the company into the ground.
In addition to this pattern, today is GME's earnings 1 hour after market close. Earnings are expected to be beyond stellar especially because of the new console Cycle that GME was able to take advantage of. Of course it supposedly won't excuse the current price of GME some will say, especially anal-systs with interests in driving this stock below $10 for 'reasons'.
Currently GME has ~45 million shares available to trade as a public float.
Of these 45 million shares, everyone currently owns around 250 million shares based on publically available data. Yes you heard that right.
GME is also the most shorted stock out there. Short interest and short ratios given by S3 and other professionals in my opinion cannot be trusted as the formula used to make up this short interest number is not industry wide accepted. It's been changed just for GME to include synthetic shares e.g the 200 million extra shares that have been created by the shorts or naked shorts. If you don't believe this, you just need to go online and see how much Gamestop shares are owned by institutions, retail and others and add it all up together and try to come up with a good excuse on why this supposedly not true.
I've followed GME for the past 3 months. It's been shorted to heck daily by using a method called ETF stripping. Specifically shorters used the XRT ETF that until 2 days ago was ~15-20% GME weighted because they wanted to avoid created more FTD's / Failures to Deliver e.g shares that never arrived because they either never existed or were created out of thin air or simply could not be located.
I'm in on GME for several hundred thousand dollars. Not going to reveal my position as it can easily be mined and hedged against.
The GME short squeeze never ended despite what the Motley Fool, Bloomberg or other MM say. Them saying those are in fact a part of a disinformation campaign paid by big hedge funds and institutions who have a short stake in GME and don't want more people to pile on. GME is and has been more alive than ever. And no $200 is not expensive. When the hedge funds or whoever has this short stake runs out of steam, the GME bubble will likely pop to several thousands of dollars if not tens or hundreds (Not kidding). This is because of the amount of shares shorted and the amount of shares owned out of the 45 million share pool (250 million shares or more owned by people.......).
So next time you go and read how much GME is shorted and someone tells you it's a meager 20-30-40%, try and find out how they come up with that number. Scrutinize it. If you won't then you should happily walk away from GME.
Also GME is not for the faint of heart or swing traders. Make no mistake. It's super volatile and will swing up a lot and down a lot. If you can't handle her, don't buy her.
Please also beware of bots on other social platforms with pre-written messages just saying: "I sold my GME!!!!!1!!" or basic easy to spot stuff like that. There's a lot of bots hired both on reddit, twitter and Facebook that are spreading this type of bs.
Thank you for your time.
$GME GamestopDaily chart. Large flag pennant developing which could take us into May to play out. Suggest to play the highs and lows of the structure. Would not buy again until a touch of the 100 MA or 200 MA. Volume shelf at around $42.00 which is way down there but very plausible scenario.
Good Luck.